MICHAEL SAYLOR X ODELL BITCOIN PARK FIRESIDE
Citadel Dispatch · 2024-08-07 · 44m · View on YouTube →
W what a week Michael thank you so much
for joining us yeah thanks for inviting
me happy to be here this is Bitcoin Park
welcome kind of crazy huh so a lot of
birds and bees buzzing around your Park
I I apologized to Michael before we got
on stage uh the backstage was actually a
little bit hotter than it is in here but
it's it's quite hot with all the well
all the head in the room so um our air
conditioning is a work in progress we're
we're we're trying our best here it's a
a small
Grassroots iterating project um to those
that are not aware Bitcoin Park is
supported by our members um so we have
members that support us on an annual
basis and that's who makes this possible
uh by a show of hands who here is a
member of Bitcoin Park thank you guys
would not be possible without you okay
well Michael's time is short so let's
just get into it
um first of all Michael it's been
absolutely crazy watching your Bitcoin
Journey uh you just go 0 to 60 and just
aped right into the space in a big way
um when you think about this week I mean
what are you looking at right now how
how how are you thinking about the space
how how have we gotten so far so fast
and
uh how do you think about that basically
I guess well I mean I I think we just
see great signs of Bitcoin adoption
throughout the world Bitcoin is an issue
so the fact you have
Governors that have interests the fact
you have a lot of senators that have
interests the F fact you have a lot of
Congress people that have interests the
fact that you have two of the three
major presidential candidates that have
interests the fact that you've got tons
and tons of uh wall streeters you know
you've got representatives from Fidelity
and black rock and the like that's
interesting the fact you've got a bunch
of operating companies you know publicly
traded operating companies like Marathon
that are here in size I mean there big
sponsor and uh and and all the other
public and and private Bitcoin miners I
think you you would have seen the
Bitcoin miners private but you roll the
clock back four years you didn't see any
public operating companies you didn't
see any public Investment Trust you
didn't really see any politicians I
don't think they would have well first
of all they they just wouldn't have any
interest it just would other than squash
it out like a bug like maybe negative
interest but no positive interest and um
you know and uh not a lot of enthusiasm
and now I think they can't help but be
interested so I think um
sometimes uh the message is the message
and sometimes half of success in life is
just showing up right the fact that
you're there is sending the message
regardless of what comes out of your
mouth and um I know in the in the in the
um you know in the world of say public
companies or or Wall
Street the worst thing is not for
someone to hate you
the worst thing is for them to be
indifferent to you and view you as
irrelevant and so you know that's a A
Kiss of Death is you're irrelevant I
don't even think about you
um a lot of people don't like Tesla
stock and a lot of people short it but
it's not a problem well you know uh
there's probably 20 billion dollar of
short interest in micro strategy but
then they go long Bitcoin and I think
it's good they just get up every day and
they like hate on us or like on us it
doesn't matter what matters is they're
engaged and so I think this week is all
about engagement you just see engagement
across there are celebrities there are
politicians there are investors and then
there are bitcoiners and then there are
the engineers and the Technologies they
all come together and this is presumably
it feels like this is the richest like
most uh most energetic Gathering of uh
Bitcoin in a long time maybe the one
that I remember is most
energetic yeah I mean it seems
absolutely unreal to me I remember uh my
my first Bitcoin conference was in 2013
in uh New York and it was just like an
empty exhibitor hole you know there was
a bunch of companies that had booths
that they paid for that no one was
standing at um some of them had Booth
babes that they overpaid for and uh most
of those businesses have gone out of
business and it's just the last if you
look at the last 10 years last 11 years
it's been absolutely astounding the pace
of growth of this space um and it
definitely feels like it's accelerating
even just this week feels like a decade
almost um in in in in terms of of
progress in terms of bitcoin's
recognition I mean I agree with you you
definitely cannot argue that that
Bitcoin is irrelevant uh it's definitely
more relevant than it's ever been we
have more haters than we've ever had
we've had more lovers than we've ever
had um and it's just been crazy to watch
so Michael um you have basically made a
name for yourself
with turning micro strategy turning your
baby into this Bitcoin accumulation
machine and I've you know I've had this
thesis for a long time that every single
individual every single government every
single company is going to try and
accumulate as much Bitcoin as possible
that that is the ultimate goal and uh
most just don't realize it yet and the
people that realize it first have the
most to gain um since you've embarked on
that that strategy we've seen over the
last it actually kind of took a little
bit longer than maybe even you expected
it definitely took longer than I
expected but we're starting to
see smaller public companies around the
world try and adopt a similar strategy
I'm kind of curious how you think about
that like because to me yeah I'm not
going to answer the question for you how
do you think about that these these like
smaller public companies I mean one
example would be like um The Meta Planet
that's happening in in Japan where they
just said we're going to do the micro
strategy thing in a press release and
the stock kind of just goes
wild you know I've got a chart that I
tweet and the chart shows that bonds are
minus 5% ARR for the past four years and
Bitcoin is plus
55% so if you're an operating Company by
law you're only up
until January of this year by law you
had to invest your exess capital in in
treasuries and you couldn't invest it in
the S&P index and you couldn't you know
an operating company can't reasonably
hold their excess Assets in real estate
Timber rights sports teams and Apple
stock uh the reason not well talked
about but the reason U Berkshire hathway
for example has so much cash is because
they can't buy the S&P index and they
can't buy more Apple stock because they
would trip a 40% Covenant or limit
that's put in place by the SEC 40 act
and if the company gets more than 40% of
its liquid assets uh in a security it's
no longer an operating company and that
means it can't take on debt it can't
issue option it basically blows up the
company you become a Investment Trust so
for a 100 years 80 years the law forces
operating company
to hold their excess capital in an asset
which is losing 5% of its uh economic
energy 5% of its purchasing power per
year
and when 2020 came along you know we
were pushed in the Bitcoin space but
there're really three crippling uh
defects of you know three crippling
things that keep a company from swapping
out bonds for Bitcoin or basically
putting Bitcoin in and bonds out the
first thing is you need uh the SEC to
endorse it as an Institutional or a
legitimate asset class a digital
commodity and not a security it's it's
either illegal you know because you
can't it's illegal to own Apple stock
you know it's you know and so and it's
definitely you don't want to have an
unregistered security so we had to have
digital commodity first step and we kind
of got 75% of the way there in January
it's not a
perfected endorsement it's like a it's a
grudging endorsement you know with
reservation but we cross the Event
Horizon you can't turn that back the
second thing that's required is fair
accounting you can't invest in something
that you only lose money in and you
never make money in just simple right no
one wants to invest and always lose
money and never make money but the
accounting rules before January were you
can only lose money in Bitcoin and so
nobody is going to buy an asset that
always gets written down and never get
written up and so that got that's
optionally fixed in January that's
mandatory Fair Accounting in next
January that's the second stool leg of
the stool and the Third Leg of the stool
is Google can wire a billion dollars to
JP Morgan every month and say put it in
t- bills and it's like 15 seconds and if
JP Morgan loses it it's JP Morgan's
problem the status quo right now is
Google would have to wire a billion
dollars a month to coinbase
while the SEC is trying to put coinbase
out of business and they'd have to cross
with cross river bank like a bank of
never heard of that's the only bank that
will actually take the wire so the CFO
of Google is not going to be so
interested in wiring billions and tens
of billions of dollars to a crypto
exchange as a custodian they want State
Street they want City Group City Bank is
the pred the successor to National City
Bank National City Bank was run by the
brother of John D Rockefeller it was the
Rockefeller bank so if you want a sense
of how long these relationships
run 30 years is a short period of time
so the third piece we need is we need
Banks to be able to custody Bitcoin and
then then they can buy it for you sell
it for you loan money against it and
then in that world you will be able to
get a margin loan at Sofer plus 50 basis
points against your Bitcoin you will
probably get five percent interest
you'll probably get the same interest
rate on bitcoin as you get on a money
market fund and if you had those two
things then a corporate it's like a
hundred billion dollars of Bitcoin going
up 20% a year yielding 5% with no risk
and a bank too big to fail is doing the
headache for me you could imagine Apple
might say put $50 billion dollar in
Bitcoin so we don't have that third
thing we're kind of in year one you
could say we're year zero because year
one is you get the third thing and you
get the endorsement without prejudice
you know but I would say that we're six
months in now you got 50,000 publicly
traded companies they're all capitalized
on toxic credit which is
collapsing you know one of the points of
my speech is if you if you build your
company on a capital asset with a
10-year useful life your company is
going to last 10 years and so all these
companies have a 10 to 20 year life
because they're sitting on a effective
Capital asset the driver for them to
switch from bonds to bitcoin is
bitcoin's got a useful life of 10,000
years if you self- custody it your
maintenance cost is you know one basis
point or something so the useful life of
Bitcoin is thousands of years the useful
life of a bond is a Dozen Years or 20
years the regulatory impediment keeps
mainstream companies and institutions
from doing it because it's too much
trouble and 2024 is that first year so
the reason that they're kind of creeping
into it right now is finally you can
sorted do it it's a lot of effort to
figure out who you're going to custody
with and how you're going to buy it
right now and you can buy it for 65,000
because you're doing the effort when JP
Morgan and Goldman Sachs do this it'll
be easy and it will cost
$500,000 so you get 85% discount if you
do the work and you take a little bit of
risk if you done it in 2020 you know you
would have got a 98% discount if you
came in in 2013 you got a
99.8% discount but that was a lot more
risk and a lot more
work and you know a lot of these in
institutions they're just like if I can
make a phone call in 30 seconds and say
buy $10 billion of Bitcoin they'll do it
but if they have to work harder they'll
study it for three years and then they
won't do it because why should they take
that risk and so we're in that
transition but I guess that makes sense
to me I mean risk reward I I have a
friend who always says the the best way
to measure how long someone's been in
Bitcoin is not how much Bitcoin they own
but how much Bitcoin they've lost um
just because it was incredibly risky and
also it's very easy uh to not stay
humble and and to lose lose your coin um
on various schemes
I guess where I'm going with it is
um and this is something that I'm
intimately focused on because of my work
at 10:31 so at at 10:31 we're a venture
firm uh that specializes in the Bitcoin
space we have a portfolio of 36 Bitcoin
startups you know they're all trying to
accumulate as much Bitcoin as possible
that is their goal and I'm trying to
separate in my head uh where at some
point it can't it I I think there's some
companies out there that are just kind
of riding on almost like cheap cheap
trick uh strategy it's like we say
Bitcoin we accumulate some Bitcoin they
don't actually have a business model um
they they they don't have a competitive
advantage to outperform the hardest
asset of all time um and at some point
that evaporates and and we we kind of
haven't hit that yet but at the core
what I look at
is low low low expenses keep your
expenses as low as possible keep your
cash flow as high as possible um and
just trying to accumulate as much
Bitcoin on the balance sheet while
growing in a responsible way do you do
you would you agree with me on that on
that front that there's a lot of kind of
just say Bitcoin or say AI right and as
a result your stock pumps and I'm
obviously not accusing micro strategy of
that I mean I think you've proven that
the stock is a creative and as you hold
the stock you you you gain more Bitcoin
over
time I I think that every business has
got a p&l and it's got a balance sheet
and the p&l is the operation it's what
you do and the balance sheet is how you
save what you do and so the people that
have it very easy the people that can
make lots of money right now are just
people that started with the money right
if you've already got the money and you
just could move it from a bond to
bitcoin then you moved it from minus 5%
a year to plus 50% a year and that not
hard right um it's very hard to compete
with Microsoft like it's very hard to
compete with Amazon it's very hard to
compete with Google it's very hard to
compete with apple all of those
companies are examples where they wiped
out 20,000 competent healthy hardworking
companies like if you ever been in the
retail business every single retailer
except Walmart got wiped out by Amazon
there's nothing wrong with those people
they're good people they work hard they
work themselves to death but at the end
of the day it's you know same with
Microsoft they have a monopoly on every
on 80 million business businesses and
they sld them their software for three
years and so so I think
that if you're asking me is it easy to
create a business in the modern world my
answer is it's not easy you can do it I
mean Mr Beast can you know it happens
right random stuff happen but it's it's
hard and it's and if you ask me for
advice in entertainment versus medicine
versus law versus software versus
whatever
I would say I'm not an expert in any of
those things I would say probably you
ought to look at AI because it's
probably going to you know disrupt and
obliterate anything that's labor
intensive is getting obliterated the
distribution is getting
disrupted and so that's hard on the
other side the the Bitcoin uh the
balance sheet strategy it's actually
quite easy right the reason I talk about
Bitcoin is your choice is lose 5% of
your money with Bob
or make you know if it's 50% right now
right my my forecast is on average the
ARR is going to be 25 30% over the next
20 years so if it if it goes the worst
case for me is it's got to go up faster
and perform better than the S&P index
and if the S&P is 10 to 12 then Bitcoin
is 20 to 22 so I basically uh talk about
that which I know I don't give advice to
people on on that which I don't know and
the and the sad fact is if I were to
tell you there's a 99% chance a startup
will fail I might be overstating your
chances of success 99% of the S&P 500 is
failing right now yep I mean there's
five companies and the S&P 5 everybody's
saying how do I compete with Nvidia and
that includes apple and Tesla are saying
I don't know if we can right what you
will see is a rise of trillion doll
corporations because someone's going to
give all the medical advice to billion
people with AI doctors without an
employee and whoever figures that out is
going to make a lot of money and it's
going to make Medical Care cheaper it's
going to put a lot of people in the
middle out of
business and there'll be disruption so I
don't think that Bitcoin is a pan bit
Bitcoin won't make your startup that
competes with Microsoft compete better
right it's not going to make you it's
not going to help you build better cars
than Tesla the dude that creates the
humanoid robot that's as smart as a
million phds you know that actually you
can buy for 100 bucks a month they're
probably going to sell a lot of them and
the dude that creates the second best
humanoid robot nobody will want to buy
it nobody wants the second best of
anything right they just want the one
they want the best one and they're going
to sell a billion so you know I think
the summary of that is sometimes people
think that by doing something with
Bitcoin it will generate a p&l for
them it's like okay I'm going to launch
a Bitcoin exchange and I'm going to
compete with my with Fidelity or with
Morgan Stanley or with Vanguard it's
like just because you sell and buy in
custody Bitcoin doesn't mean it's easy
to displace Fidelity and so I think you
got to have humility there and like in
in our journey for
example we got into Bitcoin you know we
now have 15 billion dollar of Bitcoin
but I'm not selling the Bitcoin to hire
Engineers to compete with Microsoft see
it would it would be like throwing good
money after bad right I mean so what is
a good idea well I mean our idea is
securitize the Bitcoin there are a lot
of people they want the upside of
Bitcoin but no downside right have you
ever met people they' like to make a lot
of money but with no volatility and no
risk many such cases Okay so so how do
you buy Bitcoin at the all-time high and
not lose money and then make money if it
goes up well you buy a convertible Bond
if I sell you a convertible bond with
70% upside that's 5x over collateralized
on the downside and you and if micro
strategy guarantees you to give back
your
principle it's like I'm guaranteeing
you'll get your money back in six years
but if Bitcoin goes up you'll also get
the warrant and so you're getting half
the upside none of the down or 5% of the
downside half the upside and that's the
security and so if you think about that
we're just stripping the volatility or
we're stripping the uh risk off the
bottom and there are a lot of people for
which for example if you go up to a
typical investor and you said what would
you like 20% return no volatility no you
know and little risk or 50% return lots
of volatility most will tell you 20%
even though that's the wrong
answer right it's the wrong I mean
you're going to take 20 instead of
55 well I just I don't want the
volatility so what we do is we simply
strip away the volatility and the risk
and give them what they want but other
companies in the Bitcoin space if your
idea is you're going to create a mobile
app that let you buy and sell Bitcoin
you're competing against cash app and
cash app is you know holding their own
but they're gonna have to compete
against Apple and Google and and Robin
Hood and look there are Robin hoods I
mean there are successful businesses but
at the end of the day if there's a theme
to this business is hard like launching
a business and growing a business is
hard investing is hard when you look at
every public company you try to guess if
their stock is overvalued or
undervalued versus their their cash flow
forecast that's hard it's not hard to
say it's a good company it's hard to say
whether the stock price is a good entry
point right investing is hard
saving was hard under the Fiat standard
but under the Bitcoin standard if your
goal is I have some money I'm GNA hold
it for four years that's easy I buy
Bitcoin if I'm G to hold it for four
years it doesn't matter what the
volatility
is and uh from there you know business
is hard man business is you know there
there's something happening in the world
which is
like how does anybody sell software to a
corporation if Microsoft look what they
did with uh slack look what they did
with zoom they will just take your slack
and make it teams and put it into their
three-year Enterprise deal and you have
to buy it and they will take zoom and
put it into teams and put it in the
three-year deals and you have to buy it
and it would be easier for a company to
leave the US than to leave
Microsoft just like apple not that
different right I mean how many people
want to throw away their Apple phone and
switch to a new ecosystem they've got
your stuff so businesses and if they do
switch they switch to Google right in
both your examples like mic you leave
Microsoft teams you go to Google suite
and what's the third choice yeah like so
so business is hard and it's it's not
that you can't create new
opportunities but Bitcoin what Bitcoin
offers is you can either use it to
escape the bond conundra
or if you're a private company that can
raise money or if you're a public
company that can raise
money you can securitize Bitcoin because
there are large pools of capital that
people have where they have to buy a
security for example a venture
capitalist they have to buy a a security
a participating a preferred stock in a
private company that might go public
they have a billion dollars they can't
buy Bitcoin they can't buy the ETF they
can't buy land they can't buy art they
can't buy a public operating company
they just can't it doesn't matter
whether it's going to go up by a factor
of a million they can't buy it their
Charter says spend the billion dollars
on private Equity so you you know they
can't buy Bitcoin but you can actually
create a company with Bitcoin on the
balance sheet and go sell them a
participating preferred stock with half
of the return of Bitcoin none of the
volatility they don't have to market the
market they don't say oh risking all
your money on bitcoin they're like oh I
made an interesting investment in a
Bitcoin based company they make
22% if they get a 20% return and the S&P
returns 12 they'll go back to their
investors and raise 10 billion more
dollars and the fireman's pension fund
will say oh you beat the S&P how much
money do you want so they need to do
that the guys that buy my converts when
I sell a convertible Bond I have a one
hour phone call I'm like okay this is
the bond this what we're going to do
okay they buy 800 million of it at the
end of the day okay why it's like they
have the money they have to buy a
convertible Bond they can't they're like
why don't they buy Bitcoin they can't
why don't they buy your Equity they
can't they need to buy there's a phrase
in Wall Street if the Ducks are quacking
feed the Ducks they want that there's
another group of people they want equity
in a public company they can't buy the
spot ETF they can't it's a it's against
their Charter they get fired just can't
why don't they well you're questioning
the world right I mean the end of the
day the world is made up of huge pools
of capital and it might have taken 20
years to raise the money now I got to
spend the money so if you are the
entrepreneur my general message is you
can create a security that a capitalist
can then use to get Bitcoin exposure and
if you're public you sell public Equity
or debt and buy Bitcoin and if you're
private you'll sell private Equity or
private debt and buy Bitcoin if you
can't raise money then you just got to
work very very hard and get lucky and
it's hard and you'll see a Zuckerberg on
occasion you'll see some breakthroughs
but you know it's like it's not easy and
so I my recommended strategy is not work
yourself to death my recommended
strategy is notice that there are $450
billion of capital in bonds and real EST
estate and traditional 20th century
assets there's 1 trillion so there's 450
trillion in those things there's 1
trillion in
Bitcoin you should be the conduit to
move the next trillion dollars from the
old world to the new world and the way
you do it is by raising money with
issuing Securities to buy Bitcoin and
you solve what's the problem you solve
custody it for them buy it for them take
away the volatility take away the
downside risk you know and then solve
the compliance issue Chinese billionaire
has got to buy Bitcoin through a
Shanghai ETF otherwise he goes to jail
right that's the problem you solve it's
not as good as self- custody is not as
good as the raw Bitcoin but that's
academic because when you've got 10
billion dollars in your choice is buy a
billion this way or go to jail or don't
buy any the answer the world is
imperfect that's why they call it Earth
not heaven
wonderful um Michael we have 15 minutes
um want to be very conscious of your
time we have a hard stop here and I have
20 different directions I like this
conversation to go so I hope this is the
first of many um first and foremost I
just want to
say
uh feel like there's a little bit of an
elephant in the room um Michael and I
have had multiple productive
conversations in terms of supporting
open resource development um we are not
going to go there today I I I don't
think that's the best path for for this
conversation to take um I want to talk
to you about your thoughts on bitcoin as
a transactional
currency um because I I think it's super
interesting uh being in the space with
you because uh we agree on so much and
we have such different perspectives on
bitcoin um but we we we end up in the
same space like 99% % we're on the exact
same page um the transactional currency
piece um might be where we differ the
most can let's just chat about that like
how are you thinking about that right
now okay well you know if I think about
energy frequency and vibration every
time you trade an asset it's a vibration
and if you're vibrating in a high
friction environment or a high impedance
environment you're bleeding off energy
and so things that you can C things you
can do in outer space
forever you can do in the atmosphere for
less and in the water not so much so the
real issue is when you're doing a
transaction what is the impedance and
there's there's a source of physical
impedance like for example what do I
think of gold as a transactional
currency well like I don't think it's
good because it's hard to subdivide it
and it's hard to send it over the mail
and so you can see how there's a high
energy cost cost to trade gold high
frequency that's why it died um on the
other hand like what do I think of Apple
stock as a transactional currency and
here you're just get into
politics in a country where Apple stock
was legal tender if it's legal tender
and I can send it to you and you could
send it back to me and I can do it in
one
second with no
tax then you know wow Apple stock is
better than gold now what do I think of
the dollar as as legal as a
transactional currency well what I think
is I can send it back and forth a
million times a day and I don't have a
million taxable events and so I don't
have to account for it if I send a
capital asset whether it's a corporate
bond an equity Bitcoin in the U if
you're in the US now if I move it I'm
moving it at high frequency and I'm
incurring an account event and a taxable
event and if you if you do the
calculation it just turns out that
everything just costs 10 or 20% more and
and so I don't if we were talking about
a country Al Salvador where it's legal
tender and I can move it back and forth
a hundred times a month and there is no
accounting event and there's no taxable
event then my opinion is if it's
satoshi's on Lightning I kind of like it
if it's Satoshi over the base layer I I
think at some point the friction is you
know when it's $3 a transaction yep
there's too much friction so I don't
like it on the base layer I do like it
on the second layer but I would counsel
anybody that if you had a if you had a
certain amount of money 95% of it should
be held in the capital account as
Bitcoin 5% should be in the local
checking account and as a practical
you've got real two two things you in
Argentina if everything's priced in the
peso and then you have to have pesos I
would probably buy them the hour before
I had to spend them but I would buy them
and on the other hand
if if something is legal tender I'm much
more likely to want to vibrate it or
transact at high frequency and if it's
and if it's going to be taxed heavily
you know short-term capital tax right is
like 35 40% right so if I if I gave you
a Bitcoin and it was up you know a bit
and I gave here's the thing I think we
both agree on Matt which is neither one
of us think we should send all our money
to the
government right very
[Applause]
true and I think that's why for example
tether has been so successful you know I
mean in theory a digital currency that's
just a dollar that's pegged to the
dollar at for high frequency checking
you know and a digital property Bitcoin
which you can hold for the rest of your
life as the property or the capital
asset those two paired would allow you
to go anywhere in the world and stay
rich or stay wealthy and stay compliant
and minimize you know what do you want
you want to hold the Bitcoin forever and
never pay capital gains you don't want
to like you know and you never you know
you just want to hold it forever and
then you want everything else to be
quick and easy so that's what I think on
that subject I mean so you think you
think the tax treatment is is the major
hurdle so it's more of a politics
regulatory kind of landscape issue I
think the government can basically
destroy any asset by the tax treatment
politics
matter like if they want to destroy it
right then for example you know here's
the best tax treatment legal tender no
tax on it you can hold it forever and
you can transfer it and there and
there's no tax what's the second best
which is capital gains or property
what's the last best property tax which
is a tax on time like you're holding it
and I want 1% of it you know I want 1%
of the market value every year
regardless of whether you trade it right
and and that's the land tax in the US
and that takes your money away from you
in 35 40 years so I would
say if the government passes a a
property tax on bitcoin you should leave
the country I would say if they're going
to capital gains tax it you should
manage yourself so you don't have to
transfer it very often almost never and
I would say if they made it legal tender
then you probably ought to move to that
country you ought to go the other
direction we haven't talked about
inheritance taxes yet right that's say
but that's the last part but I do think
taxes taxes are 40% of the equation they
matter a lot and generally the best
strategies are strategies that allow you
to defer tax or avoid tax and the worst
strategies or strategies that accelerate
the tax you're either going to pay it or
you're not going to pay it and then
you've got a legal liability and then
you got to worry about that and then
either way those strategies become uh a
friction you know they become a problem
yeah I mean I think one of the earliest
things uh you said when you became
public in the space was that that
politics and people aren't taking them
seriously enough I mean and I think just
the last few weeks alone have have
proven you right I mean just the panel
before us was was with our governor and
one of our Senators um we have the
former president of the United States
going to be speaking at at the largest
Bitcoin conference in the world tomorrow
um politics clearly matter um I think
one of the cool Parts
about uh Freedom Tech and Bitcoin as
Freedom money is is it gives individuals
more power when it comes to combating
governments or not combating governments
maybe that's too critical of a word but
uh defending themselves and and and and
supporting their individual liberties um
and as a result it levels the playing
field a bit and that to me has always
given me hope and I think uh you've
always been really good you have
hope.com Bitcoin is hope I mean we got
Larry Frink out there saying bitcoin's
like the Hedge against hope it's like
the exact opposite to a degree the
opposite thing yeah I think we can merge
I think we can merge that but anyway um
Michael I'm curious are we do you think
we're entering the era of nation state
government fomo like is is is are we
about to start seeing you know the micro
strategy Playbook happen on a government
scale I
think
it's it's positive that they're all
talking about it the Overton window has
shifted a year ago no one would discuss
it now you've got you know you've got
Robert F Kennedy talking about it you've
got a bunch of senators talking about it
uh so I just think we start with the
conversation I keep my expectations low
I think we should all keep our
expectations low but with the
observation that when a government
starts talking about owning it they
legitimize it and that means what
they're not talking about is taking it
away from you so when they're not
talking about owning it like if you look
at the German government they emergency
sold it because it could go to zero and
so The Narrative of it's not an asset
and it's a you know it's a criminal
thing and it's going to zero that thing
is pernicious and if you want to move
forward you have to put a firm
foundation so I think when the
government starts talking about it that
means that individuals and small
companies will feel comfortable enough
to move in they'll move first they'll
front run right the government's always
going to be slow it's always going to be
hamfisted there'll be a lot of
fighting but I think the individuals and
families will move I think if the
government's considering it it becomes a
lot less risky for you to discuss it in
the board meeting so when I go into a
boardroom and they ask me I can say you
know micr strategy doing but guess what
here are all the politicians that of
this bill and the question is will I get
fired if I propose it so I think the
Overton window is Shifting I I'm not
expecting you know that a government's
going to buy a ton of Bitcoin tomorrow
and put it on the wire I think I think
you have to Discount that I do think we
will over the next four years see some
government start to take a position
it'll probably come out of the blue
it'll probably be someone you didn't
expect and it'll be a good thing but my
I generally think this this plays out
over Epic four years this is the early
institutional phase then another four
then another four yeah I mean we've
already seen the smaller Nations to a
degree start Bitcoin accumulation
strategies uh obviously El Salvador is
is the one that's on most people's minds
I think it's pretty cool that you could
go to their like mempool instance and
see they buy one Bitcoin a day which is
like a nice little meme step chart up um
but like even countries like Bhutan that
we found out through bankruptcy reports
that they were just quietly accumulating
as much Bitcoin as possible um but what
is your given what may or may not happen
tomorrow uh do you believe the US
Treasury
should stack
Bitcoin yeah I mean I I just came from a
a presentation on the stage and what I
said was you know that the the 10center
strategy for the US would be to buy
500,000 Bitcoin the BTC the Maxi
strategy is they should buy a million
the double Maxi strategy is they should
buy two million and the triple Max
strategy for the US is they ought to buy
four million Bitcoin over the next four
years they would have like
18% of the of the supply and if they did
that they retire the debt and they flip
to a massive Surplus and and I you know
my precedent
is like the secret to success as a
nation state is you have defensible
productive property and so the reason
that the British Empire Rose is they had
an island and it was hard to invade it
nobody got to it after 1066 and that on
that island they
industrialized and then they got the the
colonies and that was defensible
productive land and then the reason the
US Rose to power is the United States is
defended by the Pacific on one side the
Atlantic on the other side Frozen tunder
to the north a desert to the South
defensible productive and what we do
well we bought Louisiana Territory
Jefferson did it for 15 million bucks
and he bought 27% of the land mass
Seward bought Alaska 7 million dollar
the United States federal government
owns 28% of the land in the US we own
whatever 18% of the gold or something so
scarce desirable property but by
productive property you can defend and
so if hundreds of trillions of dollars
are migrating to cyberspace right my
view is bitcoin's going to demonetize
Siberian real estate and Chinese real
estate and everything in Africa and why
would you want to own bonds of a South
American company why would you want to
own
anything other than Bitcoin so as the
capital flows you're going to see
hundreds of trillions of dollars there
so if you're the United States what are
you worried about losing your world
Reserve currency status where's the
money going to go to bitcoin how do you
hedge that just go to go to where
everybody's going and buy 20% of it and
then when they get there you know you'll
be fine that where else you going to go
right for example if you're if you're
going to sell the dollar right you're
not selling the dollar for the peso the
L the Euro nobody wants any of that so
when you sell the dollar you're going to
buy Siberian real estate no you're going
to buy bit buy Bitcoin what's the second
best you're going to buy a sec nothing
second best there is no second best
right
so so the point is you want a country
you want a country to be capitalized on
a firm foundation the foundation is
productive property that no one can take
away from you and bitcoin's beautiful it
is productive because the AIS are going
to want to move 10 billion dollars from
you know here to there every hour
they're not going to move $10 billion to
buildings or silver right or dollars
Lord knows they can't get a bank account
right so everybody's going to want the
capital if you want a company a family a
country to last and
prosper like how well would your how
good would your family be if you owned
100 acres in the middle of Manhattan
like how would you like to own a
thousand square miles in Texas right
something right own something productive
for a long time the catch is you don't
want me to take it away from you they
you don't want them to tax it and you
don't want them to steal it from you and
the beauty of Bitcoin is any country
puts their money in cyberspace nobody
can steal it nobody else can tax it so
even though it's brilliant for the US
it's even a better idea for Switzerland
or for in Norway or for turkey because
there's no point in invading your
country to take your stuff if all your
stuff is in cyers space so I I'm a big
believer I think it's good for the
network I think it decentralizes us
further I mean it'll be source of a lot
of interesting debates and dialogue but
you know if you if you believe you want
if you want to help the us then give
them productive digital capital and
anybody else you want to help give them
the same advice and if you hate somebody
if you hate someone tell them to sell
their Bitcoin and don't buy
it right that's the worst you can do to
anybody encourage them to not Bitcoin
because that's like en encouraging
Russians to sell Alaska it's like
Napoleon sold a third of America for 15
million bucks blew it on bullets and
blankets in the Napoleonic War we still
have a third of the United States so who
got the better
trade Bitcoin is beautiful and we should
all stack as much as possible stay
humble all stack SATs let's go