SaylorCorpus

Michael Saylor: Bitcoin is the Best Property in the World

UpOnly · 2022-01-26 · 2h 07m · View on YouTube →

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up only

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hello and welcome to up only tv i'm

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ledger we got kobe and the king of all

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sat stackers michael saylor on the show

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today we're excited for everybody to be

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here first let me tell you about our

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partners at ftx go to uponly dot tv

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slash ftx make a trade there today you

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can go directly from one asset to the

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only dot tv slash

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ftx trade with zero fees stack sats on a

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recurring basis if that's your desire or

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even buy coins we'll ask sailor

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about that uh thanks for being here

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thanks ftx

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let's get to the episode

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cubby how you doing

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i am nervous mate it's giga chad himself

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sleepless yeah

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like we're called up only but he is the

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true up only poster boy saylor how you

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doing

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awesome thanks for having me

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you know you're the most popular

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podcaster that's invited me on my

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notifications went nuts when you started

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posting

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and i i thought you know i said okay

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yeah maybe we'll do this podcast and all

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of a sudden i see like 25 blue checks

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like the thing and i thought who is this

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kobe dude

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it must be the og podcaster because i've

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never seen anybody so popular in my

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notifications yeah we only started doing

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it a year ago and honestly we don't

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really talk much about markets or crypto

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or bitcoin we just get drunk

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yeah let the guests watch over us but um

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yeah thanks for thanks for coming on um

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i think he is probably been the most

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anticipated episode when you replied it

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got instantly like 10 000 retweets or

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something um and i think a big part of

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it is our audience or the people that

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watch are um

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they're into

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crypto

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like often late cycle um and their uh

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role in crypto is a little bit more

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similar to gambling than it is to

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like super long

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time horizon kind of it goes up forever

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um they're making money to their trading

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whatever not just bitcoin they're

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trading like whatever dog coin or uh

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sonic coin um in order to make a bit of

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money so um you coming on as the there

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is no second best bitcoin only um i

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think is uh super interesting um to them

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i'd love to ask

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on your bitcoin journey from you know uh

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day one hearing about it to you know

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where you are now and what uh what sort

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of changed throughout that time and um

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yeah your realizations can we can we

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start in a particular place with that

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because this is the first tweet that i

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know of with uh

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with you about bitcoin and it was uh

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skeptical uh

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so like that was 2013 but then you know

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obviously now you're you're one of the

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biggest advocates out there and you know

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i think a lot of us go through that

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skeptical to believer journey but we

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definitely won't hear it

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yeah um

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i think if you roll the clock back

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to the beginning of the decade

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and i i fancied myself a twitter

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commentator i would watch things in the

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tech space and you know how they're like

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these twitter people and they post

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things and they get three likes

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and they think that someone's noticing

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okay so i was posting and i might get

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like 12 likes or eight likes and

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probably like half the people work for

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me that liked it and i had opinions

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about

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all sorts of stuff you know i

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i was um a big tech enthusiast i wrote a

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book called the mobile wave published it

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in 2012 and

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and uh you know and i was fascinated

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with the idea of what happens when

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software is dematerialized

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and starts running on a mobile device

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if you're sleeping with your software

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and it can wake you up you know what how

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would that create a business opportunity

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you know

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and the mobile wave winners were like

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facebook and amazon and apple and google

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what can you do with a mobile phone

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you're not going to book a hotel

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reservation on a pc

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you know but when you've got a mobile

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phone and you're out on a saturday

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afternoon then maybe you could actually

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do something commercial or communicative

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or you know et cetera

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i i tweet this and that uh i'll say two

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things one

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i didn't even remember i tweeted this

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thing

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uh when i actually announced we bought

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bitcoin in in 2020. all the bitcoiners

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they scoured everything i'd said in the

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history of the world and then bring this

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up i'll make did i say that wow

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i noticed bitcoin once i literally had

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forgotten i'd ever said it right but you

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know you gotta give him credit that uh

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the internet never forgets

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but what i was thinking when i did tweet

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that was

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you know i watched uh i'd watched all

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these online poker sites

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and you know it was a great idea and

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remember tradesports.com

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when you could bet there used to be this

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prediction markets i mean there still

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are today i think uh

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i think there's a love-hate relationship

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people would like to vote on who's going

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to win the super bowl and well you know

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which politician will win this

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and they'll get it started and then the

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regulators will shut them down and um

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so trade sports was like an online

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gambling site and then they had online

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poker sites and they were really big

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what happened by the way is

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i think like the indian casinos got

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together gave a lot of money to the

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southern baptist ministry that gave a

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lot of money to jack abramoff which and

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he went to lobby a bunch of politicians

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in dc

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to convince them that gambling is an

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abomination in the eyes of god and the

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remedy was of course to outlaw the

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online

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poker sites and allow the gambling and

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the indian reservations in vegas to

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continue but they

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they basically

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pulled uh they stopped uh banks from

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allowing you to wire money into trade

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sports and online gambling sites and

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first they did that and then they

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actually pulled the ceos of those

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companies off their flights while

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passing through dulles airport and

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arrested them and that shut that

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business down so

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so much you know we all we all like to

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play poker it was kind of fun and bet on

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who's going to win the next election or

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whether it's going to rain on groundhog

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day it seemed fun but it became

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non-compliant and it just went away

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at some point i probably read some

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random thing about

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bitcoin and you know it was being used

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for silk road or use for whatever

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and i said well it looks like it's gonna

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go the way of online gambling some some

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regulator will probably shut it down and

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and uh i

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it probably got like four likes

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you know and okay here's oblivious

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when you tweet something and nobody

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notices

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and you don't notice that nobody noticed

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right

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there's a lot of twitter influencers

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like that even today people tweet some

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random thing and like they don't notice

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that nobody noticed or cared

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out here

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you know so i did that for a long time

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and that was one of my tweets bottom

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line with bitcoin is i didn't need it

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i did i didn't need it it wasn't a

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problem i was very i had a solution my

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solution to every world problem was oh

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mobile you know

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amazon apple music apple photos mobile

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apps amazon

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apple is going to ship a a billion a

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product to a billion people overnight

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for a nickel and change the world and

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you ought to buy apple stock

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and i mean that's my solution buy apple

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stock buy amazon stock buy whatever and

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it works fine and that's the mainstream

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the mainstream big tech or the

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mainstream investor if they were

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successful in that decade from 2000 to

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they entered in the big tech trade like

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90 of the gains in the s p were making

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like five companies

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and if you you know and by the way the

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the the tech rev the revolutionary

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the revolutionary was going on a wall

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street and saying you should buy amazon

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or going to wall street and say you

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should buy apple

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you know and the mainstream investors

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would say

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well you know if apple stock doubles we

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should just sell it and rebalance and

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we'll buy a bunch of other computer

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companies so you don't have too much

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and they're like well if amazon stock

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doubles we should just sell it and buy

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some other retailers you know toys r us

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whatever something not too much risk

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okay and and my you know

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my view at that time and it's still my

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view today is like

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the problem with the the problem with

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diversification

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diversification is

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selling the winner to buy the losers

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one company in the retail space amazon

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the second company walmart

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kind of treads water

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and fifteen thousand companies lose

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they all lose

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and with apple

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one company wins

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they get a hundred and fifty percent of

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the profit in the industry

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every other company loses half as much

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as apple makes or a third as much as

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apple makes something to compete

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and there are no winners

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there there was just one winner there

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was apple and the reason you don't want

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to sell the winner to buy the losers or

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the reason you don't want to diversify

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or portfolio balance is

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because the success of the one thing

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eliminates the need for all the other

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things

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when that one thing is a digital network

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and it's a digital monopoly

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when the one thing is a youtube or the

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one thing is an apple or an ios or

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whatever

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the problem is they can ship a piece of

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software that's crappy

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like apple tv

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apple apple music they can ship anything

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that's mediocre average but they can

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ship it to 300 million people with a

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marketing cost of a dollar and they

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could ship it to a billion people over

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the weekend for the cost of the

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electricity like a nickel

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and everybody else

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has to you know like peloton's got to

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manufacture a bunch of treadmills and

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put them in inventory and you know they

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got to deal with real world issues it's

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nearly impossible to beat the digital

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monopolies so

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anyway that my my view was find a

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digital monopoly and ride the wave the

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mobile wave was digital transformation

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of music and maps and relationships and

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communications and entertainment and

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video and television and books

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and you know each of those companies

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made about a trillion dollars doing that

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you know fine

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i didn't really see bitcoin as a

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solution to my problem if i if i had all

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my assets in argentina all of them

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if i if i was a rancher in

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zimbabwe

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if i was a business person in syria or

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lebanon or whatever i would have been

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more sensitive because when more than 50

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percent of your net worth

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is at risk if i tell you you're about to

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lose half of everything or all of

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everything in the next 12 months or you

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watch it happen

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all of a sudden you get religion

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um i i had just

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i had my feathers singed i had a taste

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of it i lost a million dollars in a bank

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in brazil when the head of the bank just

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stole the money

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i never got it back

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so i saw that counterparty risk rug poll

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but it was a conventional

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and then i i lost a million dollars in

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argentina

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you know when the argentine peso was one

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peso to the dollar

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i i literally remember when that when

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the peso was one peso to the dollar

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right if you if you google blue dollar

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right now you'll find it's like 210

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pesos to the dollar or something

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but i remember when i was one and i

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thought no way am i trusting the peso

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with my money i had like a big company

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that was selling business intelligence

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software in argentina so i had about a

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million dollars and i said well i don't

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trust argentine argentine banks

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get me an american bank you go oh oh my

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ouch painful

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it was 209 a week ago i swear to your

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ledger and now it's 221.

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look at the official rate

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110. so they're not even recognizing the

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actual rate

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the cut the government will you know

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they're like that we think it's 110 but

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you have to come up with uh 221 for a

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dollar if you want to actually get the

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dollar

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right they officially say you can put

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110 pesos up for a dollar but they don't

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have any dollars to sell you it's

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capital control right

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anyway uh but coming back to that

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so i have a million dollars i say to my

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finance people i say i don't trust an

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argentine bank they're like no problem

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we're going to put it in bank of america

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oh bank of america i feel better about

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that bank of america where in argentina

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okay but it's the bank of american

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branch in argentina and i don't trust

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the peso like okay no problem we'll save

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it in the dollar

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okay i said well can i get out of the

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country no

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capital control we got to keep it there

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like sure okay no

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so i go to sleep and i wake the next

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week it's like the finest people coming

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in my office are like well you know we

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got some bad news and some worse news

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what's the bad news well the bad news is

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the government converted all of our uh

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all of our pesos uh all of our dollars

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to pesos

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and the worst news is the pace is

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devalued ten to one

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it's like so what do i have now like

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well you have a you have a hundred

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thousand pesos or something like that i

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like i yeah you know you have a million

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pesos worth a hundred thousand dollars i

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said well can i get it out of the

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country now they're like no it's gonna

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depleting that's crazy so so i had a

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little inkling of of this issue but at

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the end of the day 95 98 of our assets

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were in the western world and and it was

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just like a flesh wound

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so um you know incidentally by about

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if you pull up that chart again can you

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pull up the blue dollar chart put it on

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the screen and you know you'll find

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there's a little thing that shows the

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the rate for like the last five years

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pull the uh look at the uh informal rate

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and pull up the chart there's a chart

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there

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okay you you want to uh go to that chart

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in 2017

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can you read uh what the no you you had

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it on you had it on there i think

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just uh

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can you can you see 36 months ago

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just put your cursor over it okay

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okay you're showing the 20 years like

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it's pretty brutal right yeah but what's

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what's the rate around 2017 it was about

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uh 20

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okay yeah 20.

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20 pesos to the dollar

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and i'm looking at i'm reading the press

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i'm like i know i'm going to lose all my

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money in argentina again i know it's

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going to happen i said

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it's 20 pace of the dollar inflation

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rates 30 40 percent a year i said can we

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get the money out of argentina

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they go well no

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i said uh can we just go buy like two

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million dollars of gold

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like and they're like and carry it to

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the airport it's like we'll get arrested

0:15:46

okay now i can't do that i said well can

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we buy any can we buy like a ranch or

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something in argentina at least buy

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something tangible like well we can't we

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don't own a ranch i said

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can you guys just go buy a yacht in

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argentina

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and i want you to buy the yacht and i

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want you to float it to the caribbean

0:16:07

and then we'll sell it or we'll keep the

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you know the and the the finance people

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and the lawyers came in my office to

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stage an intervention

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they're like they're trying you know how

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when you have like your boss's boss

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you're a very powerful person and you

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want to tell them that no they can't do

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something but you're afraid that they're

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going to send you so you come in with

0:16:28

three other people as backup

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yeah so there's like four people in my

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office and i'm like okay i get it this

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is like they're about to give me some

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really bad news

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they're going to tell me that i just

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can't do it like i don't think there's

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anything illegal about buying a yacht in

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argentina if you're a company i didn't

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think it was illegal i mean what's

0:16:46

illegal about buying a boat yeah but uh

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i guess they're concerned about a

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boating accident

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but um

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but you know so i i couldn't do that and

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eventually i gave up and

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yeah our solution was some roundabout

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way we bought some sovereign debt from

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the argentine government that where

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there's a law makes it illegal legal to

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buy the sovereign debt you take a 20

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haircut and by the time you pay 20 or 30

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you know you've lost like 30 of your

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money but maybe you got some of the

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money out of the country

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and it's all kind of compliant but

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that's my experience with that currency

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if you fast forward to 2020

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you know when i discovered bitcoin again

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i had a problem and at that point the

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problem was half the market cap of the

0:17:36

company was in dollars

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i had a billion dollar market cap i had

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500 million cash the interest rate had

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gone to zero was going to stay at zero

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for four years

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and uh

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the wall street wall street had

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recovered with a k-shape recovery and i

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was staring at cash with a zero percent

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yield in the s p up 25

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which means that i'm basically losing 25

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of the purchasing power of the money

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i either have to just give back the 500

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million dollars

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i mean basically it's kind of like

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amputating your left arm and your left

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leg and attempting to run the race it's

0:18:15

like you're an athlete but we need to

0:18:17

you to like give up you know either two

0:18:19

of your legs or an arm and a leg and

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then you can hop

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in the race

0:18:24

it's either that or i better find out i

0:18:27

better find something to invest the cash

0:18:29

that's going to go up faster than the

0:18:31

money supply expands

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and hence yeah we're back to can i buy a

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boat with it it's like

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i can't buy a boat so can i buy should i

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buy gold should i buy land can i buy a

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building can i buy a portfolio of real

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estate can i should i buy baseball cards

0:18:47

what can i buy

0:18:50

that's actually going to go up in value

0:18:52

more than 20 a year

0:18:54

and you know to make a long story short

0:18:56

we shifted through everything we thought

0:18:58

crypto gold was a good idea we shifted

0:19:00

through all the cryptos we thought

0:19:01

bitcoin was the crypto gold

0:19:05

and we started on this journey and

0:19:06

there's a long story about how we

0:19:08

finally got into our position we are

0:19:10

today where we got like five billion

0:19:12

dollars worth of it

0:19:14

we started

0:19:16

to make a very short story we we started

0:19:19

deciding we'll buy 250 million dollars

0:19:22

of the bitcoin and will give 250 million

0:19:24

dollars back to the shareholders in a

0:19:26

buyback

0:19:27

the idea being that the shareholder

0:19:28

assault were sparked stark raving crazy

0:19:30

and they wanted to get off the crazy

0:19:32

train they can sell their stock back at

0:19:34

a at a premium

0:19:36

and that's what helps you to avoid

0:19:37

getting sued

0:19:39

right because if i just did it and the

0:19:41

stock traded down

0:19:42

then i immediately get a whole rash of

0:19:44

shareholder lawsuits

0:19:46

you know alleging that i shouldn't have

0:19:47

done it

0:19:48

but if we announced the the initiative

0:19:51

along with the buyback well the stock's

0:19:53

going to trade up because we're going to

0:19:55

buy back the stock and that way it does

0:19:57

a bunch of things it's kind of

0:19:59

prophylactic

0:20:00

from a shareholder relation point of

0:20:02

view it also rotates your shareholder

0:20:05

and it also de-stresses the transition

0:20:08

because instead of have if i put out a

0:20:10

new if i got put on a news release at

0:20:13

nine o'clock in the morning where we

0:20:15

just bought 500 million dollars of

0:20:16

bitcoin

0:20:17

every investor has 27 minutes to

0:20:21

research bitcoin

0:20:23

and they decide whether they like that

0:20:24

or not now how many people can figure

0:20:26

out whether or not they want to own 20

0:20:28

million worth of bitcoin in 27 minutes

0:20:31

on a monday morning right they go

0:20:33

ballistic nuts

0:20:35

so you don't really want to surprise

0:20:37

anybody one of the rules of running a

0:20:39

publicly traded company a simple rule is

0:20:41

no surprises

0:20:43

be transparent be very predictable

0:20:46

you know tell them what you're thinking

0:20:48

about tell them you're thinking about

0:20:49

tell them how you're thinking about it

0:20:51

tell them how you thought it you know

0:20:53

and make sure that it is

0:20:55

utterly boring

0:20:57

you do a tender offer it's 20 days

0:20:59

everybody's got 20 days to study it and

0:21:02

at the end of the 20 days they can

0:21:03

either tend to their shares at a premium

0:21:05

or they can stay

0:21:07

on board you know for the ride and they

0:21:09

can um and they can be investors in the

0:21:12

company so that's kind of how we got

0:21:14

into it and

0:21:15

i didn't really tweet much about bitcoin

0:21:19

when we made the first announcement

0:21:20

because we're in the middle of a dutch

0:21:22

auction and every investor has to decide

0:21:24

whether they want to

0:21:26

buy or sell the stock or hold right

0:21:29

and it's a security

0:21:31

and if you're if you're a public company

0:21:34

officer of a security if i do jury

0:21:36

duties and it's like if i made it look

0:21:38

like i wanted them to sell into the

0:21:40

tender that's bad if i made it look like

0:21:42

i wanted them to not do it it's bad if

0:21:44

you know i was like i i just don't want

0:21:46

to condition the market everybody's got

0:21:47

to make their own decision

0:21:49

so we really didn't start to communicate

0:21:52

until

0:21:53

later

0:21:54

like after the tender offer expired then

0:21:56

i started seeing some of these tweets

0:21:58

where i had

0:21:59

you know said the bitcoin was going to

0:22:01

zero and i'm like oh crap

0:22:05

all of a sudden there's like twitter has

0:22:07

come to life if you had this experience

0:22:09

for a decade where you tweet every

0:22:11

single day for a decade and four people

0:22:13

notice and you kind of it makes you a

0:22:16

little bit what is the word comfortable

0:22:20

like maybe you think you think no one's

0:22:21

noticing so you could be a little bit

0:22:23

more loose

0:22:25

and then at some point people are

0:22:26

noticing and you're like you get the

0:22:27

math wrong and if you multiply by two

0:22:29

numbers and you got you're wrong in the

0:22:31

third significant digit you get

0:22:33

excoriated

0:22:36

they've got receipts on the internet i

0:22:37

posted i posted one tweet you know and i

0:22:40

you know i

0:22:41

i posted a tweet by gandhi and i spelled

0:22:44

his name wrong you know i put the gh

0:22:46

instead of a g-a-n-d or whatever i had

0:22:49

the h in the wrong place

0:22:51

and i tweeted it and then within like 17

0:22:54

seconds there's like four people that

0:22:56

have like lambasted me for spelling

0:22:59

gandhi's name wrong and i'm like oh crap

0:23:01

i have to fix this or i'm not going to

0:23:03

feel the end of it for the you know next

0:23:05

many days and so i'm like delete

0:23:09

create

0:23:10

google gandhi

0:23:11

copy paste it you know now you gotta

0:23:14

like you gotta google everything before

0:23:16

you tweet it for the spell checker to

0:23:18

check it and lord help you if you didn't

0:23:20

have the apostrophe where you should

0:23:22

have had the apostrophe there's somebody

0:23:24

who's going to like rip you to shreds

0:23:26

but i guess that's why we love them

0:23:28

ollie so when did i like i like the idea

0:23:30

that someone saw a tweet

0:23:32

about like

0:23:34

gandhi talking about bitcoin and they

0:23:35

focused on the spelling of his name

0:23:39

he didn't say that i was like he spelled

0:23:40

his name wrong though

0:23:42

a lot of times people were like gandhi

0:23:44

did not endorse bitcoin

0:23:48

obviously everyone knows that you're

0:23:49

like incredibly bullish on bitcoin

0:23:52

hardest money biggest network effects

0:23:54

all those things bitcoin is energy and

0:23:56

we're all cyber hornets and what i can't

0:23:58

remember all the memes um

0:24:00

what i would like to know is when did

0:24:03

owning bitcoin under a corporate

0:24:05

umbrella change from i want to maintain

0:24:08

the buying power of the cash that we

0:24:10

manage within our company to

0:24:12

we're going to buy absolutely all the

0:24:14

bitcoin we possibly can

0:24:16

with you know cash debt instruments

0:24:18

whatever the hell is out there like if

0:24:19

we can get our hands on bitcoin we want

0:24:21

our hands on bitcoin like when did that

0:24:22

conversion occur

0:24:24

yeah that's an interesting uh story in

0:24:27

in the second quarter of 2020

0:24:29

the k-shape recovery hit and what i said

0:24:33

if you're on main street this is the

0:24:35

worst year of your life in 30 years

0:24:36

there's nothing worse than this if

0:24:38

you're manufacturing products with

0:24:40

people and providing goods and services

0:24:42

in the real world

0:24:44

but if you but the k-shape recovery

0:24:45

meant that if you're on wall street you

0:24:47

had a 30 gain in your portfolio and and

0:24:50

the average s p index was up 10 a year

0:24:53

for 100 years

0:24:55

and is up 30 percent in one year

0:24:59

wall street had the best year of their

0:25:03

main street had the worst year of their

0:25:05

i'm sitting in the in the middle i'm

0:25:08

saying i got a massive problem i'm

0:25:10

obviously i'm missing something we can't

0:25:12

we can't keep going where it's like

0:25:14

we're rowing six miles an hour against a

0:25:17

30 knot wind

0:25:19

this is not going to work

0:25:22

the first bitcoin buy that we announced

0:25:25

in august

0:25:26

that was defensive that was i either

0:25:29

have to do this

0:25:31

or i get stripped of all my capital and

0:25:33

if i lose my financial capital my stocks

0:25:35

trading not at 120 bucks it'll be

0:25:37

trading at 60 bucks a share if it's

0:25:39

trading at 60 bucks a share the stock

0:25:41

options are underwater the rsus are

0:25:43

underwater

0:25:45

microsoft and amazon and google and

0:25:47

apple target all my employees

0:25:50

you know my top line's shrinking my

0:25:52

turnover is going to double right we're

0:25:54

kind of we're headed toward a death

0:25:56

spiral if we give the capital back if we

0:25:59

hold the capital it's dead money on the

0:26:01

balance sheet losing 20 percent so i'm

0:26:04

gonna lose a hundred million dollars in

0:26:06

in shareholder value and make 50 or 75

0:26:09

million a year so i'll work for the next

0:26:10

decade but make no progress just

0:26:13

i'm just rowing against the wind that's

0:26:15

blowing harder than i can grow so

0:26:18

i figured uh

0:26:20

better to take a risk than have a than

0:26:22

suffer either a fast death

0:26:25

giving up the capital is kind of a

0:26:26

speedy death keeping the capital is a

0:26:29

slow death

0:26:31

do something take a risk is a chance at

0:26:36

so i figured better to take a risk it's

0:26:38

defensive and the first purchase in

0:26:40

august was 250 million

0:26:43

you know and i i thought you know

0:26:45

wouldn't it be great if we get 50 a

0:26:47

share in bitcoin but i but our first buy

0:26:49

was about 25 a share in bitcoin about 10

0:26:52

million shares outstanding

0:26:55

and then the dutch auction well i didn't

0:26:56

know what would happen i mean for all i

0:26:58

know if the shareholders hated bitcoin

0:27:00

we would have got hit with 250 million

0:27:01

dollars of redemptions

0:27:03

and then that's all we would have but as

0:27:06

it turns out the dutch auction resulted

0:27:08

in 60 million dollars in redemptions and

0:27:10

175 million in free capital

0:27:14

so at that point you know

0:27:17

we meet as a board and we think well

0:27:19

we've got extra capital we've already

0:27:21

come halfway we might as well adopt this

0:27:23

as the primary reserve asset

0:27:25

and so we did that

0:27:27

then we bought 175 million more bitcoin

0:27:29

it wasn't easy because we bought that

0:27:31

first tranche bitcoin was trading like

0:27:36

yeah and that 20 days it traded down to

0:27:38

10 000 okay so so

0:27:41

and and that first 20 days i'm getting

0:27:43

beat on pretty hard you know you you're

0:27:46

more on you've lost 40 million dollars

0:27:49

or something

0:27:50

people kind of make fun of me today on

0:27:51

twitter like michael said i lost all

0:27:53

this money they're like it's not my

0:27:55

first time you know

0:27:56

[Laughter]

0:27:59

you know take a ticket stand in line

0:28:02

this is like not the first time a trade

0:28:04

has gone against me

0:28:07

so the the actual courageous decision

0:28:11

i think was the second decision because

0:28:13

the second time around we were putting

0:28:15

175 million dollars in and i think that

0:28:19

purchase was like 10

0:28:20

400 a coin

0:28:23

so we were actually doubling down

0:28:26

after the market moved 10 against us

0:28:30

but you know it is what it is

0:28:32

and so

0:28:33

that's stage one defensive and uh what

0:28:36

happened next is the stock traded up

0:28:39

and then all of a sudden the stock

0:28:40

traded up to the 10-year high

0:28:43

and so for 10 years we've never gotten

0:28:44

above 200 a share and went to 200s and

0:28:47

we went to the 300s

0:28:49

and um

0:28:51

at that point

0:28:52

you know we're

0:28:54

we're generating cash we bought bitcoin

0:28:56

with some cash

0:28:57

you know some of the employees were

0:28:59

exercising some stock options we

0:29:00

generated cash from stock option issues

0:29:02

we bought some bitcoin with that

0:29:04

and um and you know the equity markets

0:29:07

were pretty strong the convertible

0:29:09

market was strong and we thought

0:29:11

well maybe we can actually raise money

0:29:13

in a convertible debt offering

0:29:16

and uh

0:29:17

so we came out we offered uh we offered

0:29:19

a 400 million dollar debt offering well

0:29:22

you know the stocks trading in like 300

0:29:24

or something you know

0:29:26

we couldn't have raised 400 million

0:29:28

dollars

0:29:29

at that level at any other time in 10

0:29:31

years so we thought we'll offer that

0:29:34

bitcoin traded up a lot and our stock

0:29:37

was up and we had an opportunity so we

0:29:40

upsized the deal

0:29:42

we priced it at the low end of the range

0:29:45

we were able to basically make the deal

0:29:47

a 650 million dollar deal at 75 basis

0:29:49

points like three quarters of one

0:29:51

percent interest

0:29:53

and uh it was a 37 percent premium which

0:29:57

was the high end of the range which

0:29:58

meant that in essence the strike was 398

0:30:01

dollars a share

0:30:02

now keep in mind that a few weeks

0:30:04

earlier our stock was trading ninety

0:30:07

and when we announced this strategy our

0:30:09

stock was 120 a share

0:30:13

we're in essence we're raising money at

0:30:15

not quite four times but almost four

0:30:18

times that price

0:30:20

and at that point i call that

0:30:22

opportunistic

0:30:23

it's like why did you raise the 650

0:30:26

million dollars at less than one percent

0:30:28

interest

0:30:29

well because like why wouldn't you

0:30:31

why yeah why wouldn't you like if

0:30:34

someone wanted to give you a 650 million

0:30:36

dollar loan to invest in anything you

0:30:38

wanted to invested in

0:30:40

for less than one percent interest would

0:30:41

you take the money

0:30:44

yeah okay so

0:30:47

we're opportunistic at that point you

0:30:49

know and like

0:30:51

i think i think in that in the offering

0:30:53

you know they said well are you going to

0:30:55

buy bitcoin with it i said yeah i'm

0:30:56

going to buy bitcoin with it like and so

0:30:59

we went back and forth over well is it

0:31:01

for general corporate purposes

0:31:03

or to or to buy bitcoin and we

0:31:06

eventually said something like we're

0:31:08

going to buy bitcoin with it and then

0:31:10

hold it for general corporate purposes

0:31:12

if we want in the future

0:31:14

so we're at the stage where an

0:31:15

enterprise software company you know in

0:31:18

our and our market cap is up and we've

0:31:21

got this interesting treasury reserve

0:31:23

strategy

0:31:25

and and it went from a treasury

0:31:28

investment to a treasury reserve

0:31:31

to an opportunistic capital raise

0:31:35

then what happened next is by the time

0:31:36

we got to like february

0:31:39

you know bitcoin caught fire you

0:31:41

remember what happened like it went to

0:31:43

all-time high so we bought 650 million

0:31:45

dollars of bitcoin around 19 000 or 20

0:31:48

000 i don't remember exactly but

0:31:50

people said you're crazy you're buying

0:31:52

at the all-time high

0:31:54

okay let me just say for the record guys

0:31:57

i'm going to be buying at the all-time

0:31:59

high forever

0:32:02

you know if the company's in business 30

0:32:04

years then every year for the next 30

0:32:07

years there's going to be a point at

0:32:09

which i'll be buying an all-time high

0:32:11

you know

0:32:12

the haters are like they're like blah

0:32:14

blah blah you bought some at 57 or 49 or

0:32:18

whatever they always conveniently forget

0:32:20

that i also bought 175 million worth of

0:32:23

it below 10 000.

0:32:25

like they leave that part out right they

0:32:28

always remember the other part

0:32:31

um but you know every year forever if

0:32:34

you just focus upon the last six months

0:32:37

you're going to be able to find someone

0:32:39

buying something all-time high so

0:32:41

we bought this at the all-time high

0:32:43

no i was like what was the all-time high

0:32:45

to date i mean

0:32:47

at some point the world changes i have i

0:32:50

have views of you know the future and

0:32:53

the future includes things that have not

0:32:55

yet occurred

0:32:57

and the future includes things that

0:32:59

didn't happen in the past

0:33:01

and so

0:33:03

right uh the all-time high is just the

0:33:05

all-time high to date

0:33:07

so we bought

0:33:08

and this and bitcoin just kept trading

0:33:10

up you know we probably bought a bunch

0:33:12

at 19 000. you remember was 25 000 by

0:33:15

christmas it was 30 000 by new year's

0:33:17

day and then it went on this

0:33:20

that convertible bond that we sold

0:33:23

that was the best performing bond of the

0:33:26

year of every bond sold by any company

0:33:29

in the world

0:33:31

okay the the people that bought that

0:33:33

bond like

0:33:35

triple their money or sorry like it

0:33:37

traded up it tripled right they doubled

0:33:40

their they got a 200 return in like six

0:33:43

weeks so it was a it was a screaming

0:33:46

home run

0:33:47

so um

0:33:48

you know because the strike was 3.98 our

0:33:50

stock ended up going to a thousand

0:33:53

bitcoin would scream and like you know

0:33:55

you could go do the math but

0:33:58

at that point we had a chance to go back

0:34:00

to the market and we thought well maybe

0:34:01

we could do it again

0:34:04

okay our stock had a thousand dollars a

0:34:06

share so

0:34:08

we went back we did a convert we started

0:34:10

this time at 600 million and we upsized

0:34:12

it to 900

0:34:14

million or something and we exercised a

0:34:16

green shoe in a 1 billion 50 million

0:34:19

dollar capital raise

0:34:21

and uh the range of coupon was zero to

0:34:24

50 basis points so we priced it at zero

0:34:27

zero interest

0:34:29

and the rate of the premium was 37 to 50

0:34:32

and 37 to 47 or something and so we were

0:34:35

at the high end of the range so the

0:34:36

shorts the short story there is

0:34:39

so we essence we raise a billion fifty

0:34:43

million dollars with a strike price of

0:34:45

fourteen hundred thirty two dollars a

0:34:46

share now you remember what my bottom

0:34:50

was like 90 a share you remember what my

0:34:53

tender price was it was 140 a share

0:34:57

in september people were giving the

0:34:59

stock back to us at 140 a share because

0:35:02

they thought we were crazy

0:35:03

[Laughter]

0:35:04

and we turned around we sold a billion

0:35:06

dollars at fourteen hundred thirty two

0:35:08

dollars a share now why because why

0:35:10

wouldn't you

0:35:12

again mike

0:35:13

why if someone said okay what business

0:35:15

are you in blah blah blah well would you

0:35:17

like a billion dollars for the next six

0:35:20

years for free to invest in that

0:35:22

business

0:35:23

well yeah

0:35:25

i mean

0:35:26

so at that point i i don't know if it

0:35:29

was before or after but in the february

0:35:31

time frame

0:35:33

we had to file our 10k a public company

0:35:35

files an annual report and an annual

0:35:37

report it's audited and it's pretty

0:35:40

serious document it's probably the

0:35:41

single most serious document you file

0:35:43

every year is the 10k and in the 10k we

0:35:46

had to address this issue is this

0:35:49

a treasury strategy

0:35:50

is it opportunistic is it defensive or

0:35:53

is it

0:35:55

strategic

0:35:56

and that's the point where we turned the

0:35:58

corner and we said you know

0:36:00

we're not just to say

0:36:01

if you go back and you look at my first

0:36:03

cnbc interview

0:36:05

you know melissa lee said well are you a

0:36:06

software company or a hedge fund i'm

0:36:10

well we're a software company and uh six

0:36:13

months later we said well what are you

0:36:15

and and the answer is well we really are

0:36:17

two things now

0:36:18

we've got two business strategies we're

0:36:20

a business intelligence company and

0:36:21

we're selling enterprise software and we

0:36:24

got 30 years experience it's a 500

0:36:27

million a year business it's growing

0:36:29

zero to 10 a year

0:36:31

it's gonna generate 50 to 100 million in

0:36:33

cash flow a year

0:36:35

it's profitable that's what we are

0:36:38

we love it we'll keep doing it uh

0:36:41

but you know you can't really scale it

0:36:43

like if you gave me a billion dollars i

0:36:45

couldn't just go hire 10 000 more people

0:36:47

and make it 10 times bigger

0:36:49

like you can't scale it with labor you

0:36:52

can't scale it with capital we're not a

0:36:54

monopoly we're not

0:36:56

we're not google or facebook or amazon

0:36:58

or apple i can't just you know buy a

0:37:02

music service and bundle it on 18

0:37:05

billion devices right

0:37:07

i have to go and knock on doors and sell

0:37:09

things so that is like your main street

0:37:11

company

0:37:12

we provide services and products that

0:37:14

take a lot of effort to people that

0:37:16

value them and we're very proud of what

0:37:18

we do

0:37:19

but the other strategy was the bitcoin

0:37:21

strategy

0:37:22

and the bitcoin strategy we thought long

0:37:24

and hard about it it's acquiring whole

0:37:26

bitcoin

0:37:27

pure and simple

0:37:29

not trade

0:37:31

not anything else just acquire and hold

0:37:33

bitcoin it's like acquiring hole

0:37:35

property

0:37:37

right uh it it might evolve

0:37:39

sometime in the future to be something

0:37:41

more sophisticated but acquiring holding

0:37:43

bitcoin

0:37:45

seemed like a reasonable thing to do

0:37:47

and it became proactive at that point

0:37:50

and we set it in black and white we said

0:37:52

if you're buying the company

0:37:54

then you're buying a company that's

0:37:56

going to acquire and hold bitcoin

0:37:59

and it's going to

0:38:00

build and sell and market enterprise

0:38:03

business intelligence software

0:38:05

and we do our best to disclose all the

0:38:07

risk factors and all the cost and how we

0:38:10

do it

0:38:11

and um

0:38:13

with regard to acquire and hold bitcoin

0:38:14

it's like how are you going to do it

0:38:16

by any means that is accretive

0:38:19

and the creative's a very a powerful

0:38:21

word but i

0:38:23

you know are you going to do it with

0:38:24

equity you're going to deal with debt

0:38:25

are you going to deal with cash flows

0:38:27

you're going to do it with convertible

0:38:28

debt well you know it all depends upon

0:38:30

the terms and conditions and the risks

0:38:32

associated with the financing and it's

0:38:34

pretty obvious if i generate 50 million

0:38:36

in cash flow and i buy bitcoin with it

0:38:38

that's creative

0:38:39

so yeah i'm going to do that

0:38:41

but we may do other things

0:38:43

and so i would say that that's the

0:38:45

journey in august it's defensive

0:38:48

in december

0:38:49

it's opportunistic

0:38:52

march february to march it's become

0:38:55

strategic

0:39:01

you said um you said you know uh i

0:39:01

bought the all-time high and i'll buy

0:39:02

future all-time highs over the next 30

0:39:04

years you know i'm i'm just buying

0:39:06

non-stop how do you think about the

0:39:10

i guess historically cyclical nature of

0:39:15

of the markets where i've been in crypto

0:39:17

since 2012 or so so i've sat through

0:39:20

three horrendous uh soul-crushing uh

0:39:24

bear markets of

0:39:26

just being down only and me losing my

0:39:28

sanity a little bit um

0:39:31

um i've also sat through some of the

0:39:33

most euphoric op only

0:39:36

years over the past decade um

0:39:39

is your strategy you just don't give a

0:39:41

you're buying no matter what like

0:39:43

periodically

0:39:53

yeah um but but i have a more articulate

0:39:53

answer

0:39:54

first of all

0:39:57

we're an institution

0:39:58

so the life expectancy of an institution

0:40:01

is forever like if you're a company

0:40:03

right that the company will transcend it

0:40:06

will last past me right i'm not a family

0:40:09

right the you know

0:40:10

the life expectancy of a family depends

0:40:13

upon you know it depends upon the family

0:40:15

it might be 100 years it might be 10

0:40:17

years right it might

0:40:18

might be you're a solo dude and you're

0:40:21

thinking i just need to have a lambo in

0:40:23

three years and nothing else matters but

0:40:25

a lambo or or whatever

0:40:29

institutions have a longer time horizon

0:40:31

uh the second is we're a profitable

0:40:34

institution so i we don't we don't

0:40:37

if you're an individual and you were

0:40:40

trading in crypto and you needed to pay

0:40:42

your bills you worried about health

0:40:43

insurance or you got married you had

0:40:44

kids and you want to put your kids and

0:40:46

you want to get a house or buy a car

0:40:48

well you have near-term cash

0:40:50

requirements

0:40:51

microstrategy generates

0:40:55

right we will when we came down this

0:40:57

path we concluded we would always

0:40:59

generate cash

0:41:00

and and the reason we concluded this

0:41:02

kobe is

0:41:04

is there is a massive digital

0:41:06

transformation and we realize that no

0:41:08

amount of throwing money at sales and

0:41:10

marketing will actually grow our

0:41:12

business

0:41:13

we couldn't throw money at it if we

0:41:15

wanted to we tried it like

0:41:19

be a fantastic 30 years like i've gone

0:41:20

through a period where i'm like i'm

0:41:21

going to hire 400 engineers i'm going to

0:41:24

go spend 20 million dollars on marketing

0:41:26

trade shows i'm going to go spend i

0:41:27

spent 20 million dollars on

0:41:29

ads on facebook and linkedin

0:41:32

ask me whether they work

0:41:35

i'm guessing no but did they work no

0:41:39

they don't work they don't work right uh

0:41:42

you know like i i've spent five hundred

0:41:44

thousand dollars for two days of a trade

0:41:46

show you know i i you know

0:41:48

i've done i've been there i've done all

0:41:50

that stuff

0:41:51

so i got to the point where

0:41:53

i realized that we really couldn't throw

0:41:56

money and capital at the at the core

0:41:59

business and make it grow we had a cash

0:42:03

and the problem with the cash cow by the

0:42:06

way is if the money supply is expanding

0:42:08

at 10 percent a year which is what it

0:42:10

was from 2010 to 2020

0:42:13

if your top line and your cash flows

0:42:16

don't grow more than 10 a year your

0:42:18

stock will tank

0:42:19

so the only way to avoid your stock

0:42:21

tanking if you want your stock to be a

0:42:23

store of value you have to grow your

0:42:24

cash flow per share greater than the

0:42:27

rate of the monetary inflation

0:42:30

this is why amazon works amazon google

0:42:33

facebook grow 20 percent that's why they

0:42:35

work this is why apple bought a lot of

0:42:38

their stock back and leveraged up

0:42:41

right if you can't grow your top line

0:42:44

you either do acquisitions this is why

0:42:47

oracle bought a lot of companies

0:42:49

your choices are you have a monopoly and

0:42:50

you grow your top line 20 or you do a

0:42:53

bunch of acquisitions

0:42:55

or you leverage up

0:42:57

or you sell out

0:42:59

those are your four choices so

0:43:02

imagine if i can't grow twenty percent i

0:43:04

got a problem but what happens when the

0:43:06

inflation rate goes to twenty percent

0:43:07

and you can't grow thirty percent

0:43:10

okay at that point it's pretty hopeless

0:43:13

so um

0:43:15

i i kind of realized that i had a good

0:43:17

business

0:43:18

but as a public company

0:43:21

it's dead money

0:43:23

because the investor's view is

0:43:25

they they want you to grow faster than

0:43:27

the hurdle rate or or they just rather

0:43:30

you roll over and die

0:43:32

it's like

0:43:33

you know if if

0:43:35

your your your father or mother was a

0:43:37

doctor and they had a practice and they

0:43:41

doing good business and delivering

0:43:42

babies and saving lives

0:43:45

you know and and the inflation rate's 25

0:43:48

and you said you know mom dad are you

0:43:50

going to raise your prices 25 this year

0:43:53

like no no my customers can't pay 25

0:43:55

more okay so roll over and die

0:43:59

like uh

0:44:00

what so i got to like roll up the

0:44:01

business

0:44:02

and end it like

0:44:04

there you know there's something in our

0:44:06

society right where i think it's pretty

0:44:08

obvious that you probably need

0:44:11

doctors and dentists even if they can't

0:44:13

grow their companies 25 you need them

0:44:16

but somehow in the public market the

0:44:18

public investors are of the view that if

0:44:20

your company can't grow 25 percent

0:44:22

you're worthless

0:44:23

and so so there's a dichotomy and you

0:44:25

can see

0:44:27

you can see that if the the central

0:44:29

bankers crank up the inflation rate from

0:44:31

three percent to seven percent to ten

0:44:33

percent to fifteen percent to twenty

0:44:34

percent what you're doing

0:44:37

is you're tilting the playing field

0:44:41

in favor of the monopolies and the

0:44:44

manufacturing businesses against the

0:44:47

small businesses and the manufacturers

0:44:50

and the craftsmen

0:44:52

and you know eventually you're just

0:44:54

destroying anybody that's not highly

0:44:57

automated and highly capital intensive

0:45:01

you know i saw it viscerally 99 of my

0:45:04

competitors went out of business

0:45:06

well you know i am literally the last

0:45:07

man standing in my industry

0:45:09

like you might go check i don't think

0:45:12

there's there's no ceo in the enterprise

0:45:14

software business that stayed in their

0:45:16

job you know longer than me 99 out of

0:45:18

100 ceos in my industry went out of

0:45:21

business the companies that i compete

0:45:22

against gone and people think oh it's

0:45:24

just competition

0:45:26

well it's partially competition

0:45:28

but it's partially monetary policy

0:45:31

so um

0:45:33

you know

0:45:34

coming back to this entire issue i i i

0:45:37

kind of was aware

0:45:39

that um

0:45:40

that wasn't going to work

0:45:42

and i couldn't i didn't need the capital

0:45:44

i was going to generate cash

0:45:46

and um

0:45:48

you know and you're saying well how do i

0:45:50

view the volatility well

0:45:52

i've got a cash cow

0:45:57

what i need to be is i need to be an

0:46:00

asset rich company

0:46:03

because if you're an asset rich company

0:46:04

with property or some kind of assets

0:46:07

then um

0:46:09

it's kind of like

0:46:11

putting up a sale like you're in a boat

0:46:13

you're in a row boat you're rowing at

0:46:15

seven knots the wind is blowing against

0:46:18

you seven knots you're not going

0:46:19

anywhere then the wind is blowing

0:46:21

against you 14 knots you're going

0:46:23

backwards at that point you have this uh

0:46:26

realization that you're never going to

0:46:28

get to your destination and you're going

0:46:29

to die at sea

0:46:31

it's like that guy it's sad story i

0:46:33

don't know if you noticed the guy was

0:46:34

trying to row across the atlantic last

0:46:36

week and he died

0:46:38

you know it's very sad

0:46:40

but the problem is if you can't outro

0:46:42

the current or outro the wind

0:46:44

then you're never gonna you're gonna die

0:46:46

and uh so i'm in a rowboat corporately

0:46:49

and the wind figuratively speaking

0:46:52

metaphorically speaking is the monetary

0:46:54

inflation rate

0:46:57

so you can keep working harder

0:46:59

you know like that

0:47:01

horse and animal farm or whatever just

0:47:03

keep working harder to your heartbeat

0:47:04

the heart breaks or you can do something

0:47:07

and the something is

0:47:09

you put up a 250 million dollar crypto

0:47:13

okay and then you make it a 425 million

0:47:16

crypto sale

0:47:18

and so now i got a 500 million dollar

0:47:19

sale if you have a 500 million dollar

0:47:21

sale and the monetary inflation rate's

0:47:24

20 percent you're gonna get a hundred

0:47:25

million dollar shareholder gain a year

0:47:31

and and so

0:47:31

at that point

0:47:33

you can see

0:47:35

if i had 500 million in cash yielding

0:47:38

zero and i generate a hundred million in

0:47:40

cash flow

0:47:42

and if the inflation rates twenty

0:47:43

percent

0:47:45

then the hundred million in accretion is

0:47:47

offset by the hundred million in

0:47:48

dilution on the balance sheet and in

0:47:50

essence two 000 people row as hard as

0:47:52

they can to go nowhere yeah you're just

0:47:54

trading more right

0:47:56

on the other hand when i flip the 500

0:47:57

million in cash to 500 million in

0:47:59

bitcoin

0:48:01

at that point if bitcoin trades up 20

0:48:05

30 right now i've got 100 million plus

0:48:07

100 million now i'm going somewhere

0:48:10

right now i've got 200 million in

0:48:12

accretion instead of zero in accretion

0:48:15

and at that point you go borrow another

0:48:18

500 million if you go short the dollar

0:48:21

you borrow 500 million

0:48:23

and now you got a billion dollar crypto

0:48:27

now the 20 inflation rate generates 200

0:48:30

million a year

0:48:31

put another 100 million on top of it you

0:48:33

generate 300 million a year in in uh

0:48:36

shareholder games

0:48:38

divided by 10 million shares you got 30

0:48:40

dollars a share

0:48:42

now you can have a 300 or 600 stock

0:48:45

right

0:48:48

so i i am i was aware of the volatility

0:48:52

but now let me put you back in the ocean

0:48:54

you're in the middle of the atlantic

0:48:55

ocean you're going to die because you're

0:48:57

rowing and somebody says hey i got an

0:48:59

idea to save our lives we'll put up a

0:49:02

and then we're going to turn and tack

0:49:03

with the wind and we're going to sail

0:49:05

with the wind and someone else says

0:49:07

you know the wind is kind of gusting you

0:49:09

know sometimes the wind goes away and

0:49:11

sometimes it turn changes direction and

0:49:14

we're going to have to continually trim

0:49:15

the sails and we might like occasionally

0:49:17

shred a sail it's like

0:49:21

but i want you to roll back the clock

0:49:22

and try to figure out whether you know

0:49:24

the new world would have been discovered

0:49:26

on ships with no sails

0:49:29

like it's it's like you're not getting

0:49:31

anywhere without using the wind

0:49:34

i mean do

0:49:35

you know the history of the duponts

0:49:36

right the duponts came to america

0:49:38

because um

0:49:40

they're few they were huguenots i think

0:49:42

and they couldn't own property and they

0:49:44

were running out of the country and they

0:49:45

had no pot they had no future so they

0:49:48

decided to come to america they're

0:49:49

getting a sailing ship supposed to take

0:49:51

like six weeks captain gets lost

0:49:54

you know it takes 12 weeks they run out

0:49:56

of food everybody's half starving to

0:49:58

death

0:49:59

you know it's like people think they

0:50:01

take all this for granted like this is

0:50:04

no i mean people that came to wherever

0:50:07

they came to australia america wherever

0:50:09

it was it was never easy i mean they

0:50:11

were dying along the way

0:50:13

right the mortality rate from amsterdam

0:50:16

to australia is like 30 percent

0:50:19

each way

0:50:21

100 people get on the boat 30 people die

0:50:23

before you reach your destination it's

0:50:24

like it did not used to be easy but

0:50:26

that's with the sale

0:50:28

yeah and so you can say well

0:50:30

were you afraid of the volatility

0:50:33

i was certain i was going to die

0:50:36

with the row with the rowing and so or i

0:50:40

was going to get tossed on a stormy sea

0:50:42

of fate

0:50:44

and my view is better get tossed around

0:50:46

by the stormy seas of fate than a

0:50:48

certain death

0:50:50

in a rowboat

0:50:52

and uh

0:50:53

you know so that's that's what i think

0:50:55

about that i'll make one more point on

0:50:56

the future

0:50:58

you know

0:50:59

if you want to model any given system if

0:51:01

it's if it's an adiabatic system it's a

0:51:03

closed system it's like a a wind tunnel

0:51:06

you know it's one of those it's a it's a

0:51:10

you know that you're using to test your

0:51:12

hull designs

0:51:14

if the energy is is completely

0:51:17

predictable and controllable and there

0:51:18

are no new sources of energy there are

0:51:20

no uncontrolled variables and if you run

0:51:23

the experiment 10 000 times you can

0:51:25

probably find some resonating frequency

0:51:27

and you can find some patterns and it

0:51:29

becomes predictable

0:51:31

right like

0:51:32

vibration it's predictable you know

0:51:35

exchange of forms of energy in a closed

0:51:38

system

0:51:39

but as i said before if godzilla shows

0:51:42

up to the kid's playground

0:51:44

then all of your models

0:51:47

they're all irrelevant and broken it is

0:51:52

that you know

0:51:54

it's it's totally true that if i die if

0:51:56

i deal you double aces

0:51:58

then you have an advantage in the poker

0:52:01

but if i take out a gun and point it at

0:52:03

your head and say give me your goddamn

0:52:05

money

0:52:06

the double aces

0:52:08

don't give you an advantage in the poker

0:52:10

game anymore right the point is the

0:52:12

system change

0:52:14

there are new developments

0:52:16

and so

0:52:18

i think the people that have lived in

0:52:20

crypto industry for the last decade they

0:52:22

lived through a very difficult time and

0:52:24

i respect that you know

0:52:26

and their lessons are their lessons and

0:52:29

and you should respect them for what

0:52:31

they what they learned

0:52:33

just because you lived through

0:52:35

the first decade of the industry

0:52:39

doesn't mean that you can

0:52:42

draw upon

0:52:43

solely your experiences and your data

0:52:46

sets to extrapolate

0:52:48

the second decade

0:52:51

of the industry

0:52:52

right you you know you fought wars with

0:52:55

bows and arrows and spears your entire

0:52:57

life and i show up with a bunch of dudes

0:52:59

with machine guns

0:53:00

and then you you want to call the battle

0:53:02

strategy

0:53:05

the point is you're fighting the last

0:53:07

and like there are there are elements

0:53:10

of what you learned in the past decade

0:53:12

that are relevant

0:53:15

but let's

0:53:16

you know let's point

0:53:18

let's just deal with uh the elephant in

0:53:20

the room here which is

0:53:22

if you look at bitcoin and you look at

0:53:24

all the other cryptos

0:53:26

there's a crypto economy it's got its

0:53:28

own future it's very complicated and

0:53:30

murky we could talk about it for three

0:53:31

hours

0:53:33

it's there's competitive issues security

0:53:36

issues regulatory issues

0:53:39

nation state issues complicated then

0:53:41

there's bitcoin a digital property on a

0:53:44

dominant network

0:53:45

it doesn't need any of the other crypto

0:53:47

whatever to be successful

0:53:50

for bitcoin to be successful there are

0:53:53

there are any of 10 000 entities

0:53:56

the sovereign wealth fund of abu dhabi

0:53:59

the sovereign wealth fund of saudi

0:54:00

arabia the qataris the emir you know the

0:54:03

emiratis the norwegian sovereign wealth

0:54:06

fund every public investor every macro

0:54:08

investor every large company on earth

0:54:10

any municipality any state any

0:54:12

government

0:54:14

any there's 10 20 000 people they go to

0:54:17

sleep tonight they could wake up

0:54:19

tomorrow morning

0:54:21

and they could say

0:54:23

i think bitcoin looks like crypto gold

0:54:26

i'm gonna go ahead and put three percent

0:54:28

of my portfolio in it that means i'm

0:54:30

gonna buy four billion dollars of it i'm

0:54:33

gonna buy four or five billion dollars

0:54:34

of it it's nothing to me

0:54:37

it's nothing

0:54:38

it's like you know figure out how

0:54:40

important two percent of your money is

0:54:43

it's like that deal is like i noticed it

0:54:46

i'm gonna put two three percent of my

0:54:47

assets into it we'll see where it goes

0:54:50

lfg and they put the news release out on

0:54:53

the wire

0:54:55

and uh bitcoin doubles or triples

0:54:58

and then you know if if the sovereign

0:55:00

wealth fund of some middle eastern state

0:55:02

did it if they bought five billion these

0:55:04

people have 500 billion dollars

0:55:07

like the intelligent sovereign wealth

0:55:09

funds they're not you know the central

0:55:11

banks of smart countries they're not

0:55:13

sitting on a bunch of

0:55:15

long-dated t-bills they're not holding a

0:55:17

bunch of sovereign debt

0:55:19

they're holding apple amazon facebook

0:55:22

google

0:55:23

you know it's like it's the day that uh

0:55:26

that a warren buffett gets up and he

0:55:28

says to some dude that works for him i

0:55:29

got 50 billion figure out something to

0:55:31

invest it in and the dude says oh we

0:55:34

bought 10 billion dollars with apple and

0:55:36

then apple triples and warren buffett

0:55:39

made more money on apple stock which was

0:55:41

a delegated decision by a dude

0:55:44

he made more money on apple stock than

0:55:46

he made in his entire life and he's

0:55:48

acknowledged to be like maybe one of the

0:55:50

most successful investors in the last

0:55:51

100 years and yet the thing he made the

0:55:54

most money on was like an afterthought

0:55:56

so so back to what does this mean to

0:55:58

bitcoin it's like

0:56:00

some dude with a 400 billion dollar

0:56:02

balance sheet can delegate to a

0:56:03

portfolio manager to look at this thing

0:56:05

and that portfolio manager can certainly

0:56:07

put two percent into it and if if you

0:56:09

pick up the paper and you read that the

0:56:11

sovereign wealth fund of such and such

0:56:13

state bought five billion worth of it

0:56:16

what happens is the next five countries

0:56:18

they think they'll put five billion into

0:56:21

and what happens next is

0:56:23

somebody at google say i guess we can

0:56:25

hold five billion of it

0:56:30

and then somebody at goldman sachs or

0:56:30

morgan stainless i guess we probably

0:56:32

should grab some

0:56:33

and then ray dalio with his 50 billion

0:56:35

or 100 billion or 150 billion dollars

0:56:39

okay well i guess

0:56:41

instead of like half a percent maybe

0:56:43

three percent

0:56:47

okay and then all of a sudden bitcoin

0:56:47

spends from forty thousand to a hundred

0:56:49

and fifty thousand

0:56:51

two hundred thousand

0:56:53

and i guess what i'm telling you is

0:56:55

there's ten thousand people that could

0:56:57

make five billion dollars in 30 days if

0:57:00

they wanted to bend over

0:57:01

and pick up the money

0:57:03

without taking a risk

0:57:06

and it's it's literally like they might

0:57:08

just notice you

0:57:09

they haven't really noticed you yet and

0:57:13

that being the case

0:57:15

you know

0:57:16

kobe everything you know for the past 12

0:57:19

years right now i was listening to the

0:57:20

kobe broadcast but but it's like four

0:57:23

hours long by the way

0:57:30

to your credit guys i didn't want to

0:57:30

speed it up because i was kind of

0:57:32

enjoying the banter so like if i was if

0:57:34

i was just in it to cherry pick some

0:57:36

facts i would have watched it at 2x

0:57:38

speed but

0:57:39

you know i kind of enjoyed it so i got

0:57:41

like halfway through it haven't got all

0:57:42

the way through it there's a lot of

0:57:44

stuff that i don't you know i don't know

0:57:46

sometimes i learn it the hard way when i

0:57:48

get beat up by the hornets about you

0:57:50

know being

0:57:52

oblivious to the new york agreement or

0:57:54

the block size wars or something so uh

0:57:57

you know i'm still learning

0:57:59

but at the end of the day

0:58:02

you know the future is going to be

0:58:04

determined in part by

0:58:07

the past and in part it part of it is

0:58:10

what the crypto industry thinks and does

0:58:13

but a lot of it is a function of what

0:58:16

one one regulator could get up tomorrow

0:58:19

and put out a press release that would

0:58:21

double the market

0:58:24

you know any politician there's there's

0:58:27

probably 200 politicians

0:58:29

there's five there's 10 000 big

0:58:32

companies

0:58:33

there's 10 000 big institutional

0:58:35

investors there's 10 000 big

0:58:38

governmental entities

0:58:41

here's the big idea

0:58:44

the things at a tipping point you don't

0:58:46

need them all to agree

0:58:48

you just need anybody

0:58:51

to agree all you need is one two three

0:58:55

one will tip five will tip 25

0:58:59

and then you spin up

0:59:00

by an order of magnitude

0:59:03

so when will that happen

0:59:06

i don't know like is it an it's not an

0:59:08

if it's a win it will happen because

0:59:12

i can't really imagine that we live in a

0:59:15

world where 30 000 people don't want

0:59:18

billions of dollars of money

0:59:21

like sometimes i'll i'll talk to these

0:59:23

big investors and they'll say what's

0:59:25

what's this thing with bitcoin so it was

0:59:26

digital properties the dominant global

0:59:28

digital

0:59:29

asset network and and it's a lever and

0:59:33

here's here's the reason it's better

0:59:34

than credit or bonds or real estate

0:59:38

here's how it fits in your portfolio

0:59:41

and they're like

0:59:42

i can think about it some more

0:59:44

and i try to always be very polite

0:59:46

but in the back of my head

0:59:48

like i'm like you have 25 billion

0:59:50

dollars in your portfolio and you

0:59:51

generated two percent yield last year

0:59:53

which is downright embarrassing because

0:59:55

the s p was up 25

0:59:57

and a freaking robot

0:59:59

could have got 10x what you got

1:00:02

and i'm thinking

1:00:04

you must not like money that much

1:00:08

like like i'm listening to you

1:00:10

i'm telling you take a billion take 2

1:00:12

billion buy bitcoin put out a press

1:00:14

release explain why you bought it

1:00:17

and wait and you're going to double your

1:00:18

money

1:00:20

you must not like money right

1:00:22

because it would take you

1:00:25

i don't know not that long it's not easy

1:00:27

to make billions of dollars

1:00:29

it's not easy

1:00:30

but um

1:00:32

there is one easy way

1:00:34

bitcoin

1:00:35

bitcoin's easy way and uh

1:00:37

it all comes down to what your balance

1:00:39

sheet right it used to be the sum with

1:00:41

50 million dollars could lean on it

1:00:44

you saw our impact we started with 500

1:00:46

million

1:00:47

we really started 250 million in capital

1:00:49

that we could invest and so now we're up

1:00:52

to 5 billion

1:00:53

but what happens when someone comes in

1:00:55

starting with five billion

1:00:58

right and i i think that uh the future

1:01:01

the future is is

1:01:03

a function

1:01:05

of what everybody else in the world does

1:01:08

and there's a lot of people that have a

1:01:11

vested interest in discovering this this

1:01:12

is a solution

1:01:15

to a lot of problems it's it's a big

1:01:17

tech solution

1:01:18

if you're apple

1:01:20

you can take your market cap up by two

1:01:22

trillion dollars

1:01:23

okay so does someone in apple want to

1:01:25

make two trillion dollars

1:01:27

presumably

1:01:28

i you know i

1:01:29

there are certain

1:01:31

you know there are certain uh big tech

1:01:33

players that will remain nameless or

1:01:34

even exchanges i'm like

1:01:36

certain exchanges that will remain

1:01:38

nameless you know you take a billion

1:01:40

dollars you buy bitcoin you put it on

1:01:42

the wire bitcoin trades up your stock

1:01:44

trades up

1:01:45

right

1:01:50

there are a lot of big tech companies

1:01:50

apple google facebook amazon microsoft

1:01:53

to just name a few

1:01:55

they could make a hundred billion to a

1:01:57

trillion dollars

1:01:59

will they

1:02:01

not all of them but somebody will

1:02:04

you've got all the nation states

1:02:07

let's take turkey

1:02:09

the turkey could print a billion dollars

1:02:11

worth of lire buy a billion dollars of

1:02:13

bitcoin and denominate it in lira double

1:02:16

the price of bitcoin in lyra right it's

1:02:18

like it's a simple trade

1:02:20

and the emirates they could just buy a

1:02:22

billion 10 billion of bitcoin with dram

1:02:26

right they have their own currency

1:02:27

take your own currency convert it into

1:02:30

property it's a reflexive trade

1:02:33

it doesn't work for the last

1:02:36

entrant to the market but it works for

1:02:37

the first five percent so

1:02:41

it's an it's an obvious trade um

1:02:44

for a nation state it's an obvious trade

1:02:47

for um any um

1:02:49

any company

1:02:51

like a company let's take my company

1:02:52

what did i do

1:02:54

well first i took existing cash and i

1:02:56

bought bitcoin then i borrowed money and

1:02:59

bought more bitcoin

1:03:01

why was i able to borrow the money i was

1:03:03

able to borrow the money because the

1:03:05

stock traded up because i bought the

1:03:08

bitcoin right so buying the bitcoin

1:03:10

drove the stock opened up the

1:03:12

opportunity to borrow the money

1:03:14

opened up more opportunities and

1:03:16

in the third in the fourth quarter we

1:03:19

a billion dollars worth of stock

1:03:22

we sold a billion dollars of stock you

1:03:25

know blended 700 a share

1:03:28

you remember what the stock was at when

1:03:29

i started the journey

1:03:32

okay so what's going on is i'm backing

1:03:35

the equity of the company with an asset

1:03:38

which is stronger than a currency

1:03:40

the equity trades up

1:03:42

all the securities of the company trade

1:03:44

up and then i borrow money to buy

1:03:47

the uh buy back into the balance sheet

1:03:50

so today

1:03:52

you know say what you will we're sitting

1:03:54

on five billion dollars or 124 000

1:03:57

bitcoin

1:03:59

right

1:04:00

which is an asset

1:04:02

as opposed to having a liability

1:04:05

and we got there in 18 months we got

1:04:07

there from august to today right about

1:04:09

18 months

1:04:11

you know you could do the same thing

1:04:13

with the country

1:04:14

because the currency of a country is

1:04:17

like the stock of a company

1:04:19

and if you're a municipality

1:04:22

a mayor

1:04:23

the mayor of new york

1:04:25

you know if you go check new york

1:04:27

municipal debt they can borrow money at

1:04:29

one percent interest

1:04:30

new york could go borrow a billion

1:04:32

dollars

1:04:33

i mean here's a real bitcoin bond you

1:04:35

borrow a billion dollars at one percent

1:04:36

interest you buy bitcoin

1:04:39

better idea you borrow 10 billion

1:04:41

dollars at 1 interest you buy 10 billion

1:04:43

a bitcoin

1:04:44

so do this thought experiment

1:04:47

what would happen if you woke up and you

1:04:49

read a press release from the mayor of

1:04:51

new york saying

1:04:52

we just issued five billion dollars of

1:04:55

of debt and we're going to buy bitcoin

1:04:57

with it to fix the balance sheet of new

1:05:00

york city

1:05:01

what do you think would happen to the

1:05:03

price of bitcoin

1:05:05

i whatever happens i get liquidated i'm

1:05:09

yeah i have a lot of questions that was

1:05:13

a solid hour of my i do think

1:05:16

i do think i do think the second second

1:05:19

person you know like el salvador did it

1:05:20

and now there's rumors of honduras and

1:05:22

guatemala and brazil

1:05:25

you know you spoke to a lot of cfos and

1:05:27

ceos over the last year i'm sure i do

1:05:30

think the second person is a very

1:05:32

underappreciated form of leadership

1:05:34

because it turns the first person who

1:05:37

goes out and there and does something

1:05:38

from being like a lone wolf that looks a

1:05:40

little bit crazy into

1:05:42

okay now there's two and then all of a

1:05:43

sudden three is a crowd and it's a trend

1:05:46

and lots of people can do it so um i do

1:05:48

think that's a very salient uh uh point

1:05:51

and i think i agree with you

1:05:53

there's no doubt that happens over the

1:05:54

next sort of uh five years or so sorry

1:05:57

legend what are you saying while we're

1:05:58

on the second

1:05:59

second person subject give credit to

1:06:01

jack dorsey

1:06:02

oh yeah because after microstrategy

1:06:05

announced a major bitcoin by

1:06:07

it was square

1:06:09

that announced the second one and i

1:06:11

think they kicked off the bull run

1:06:13

yeah and tesla bought as well didn't

1:06:15

they but then elon's been flip

1:06:16

flip-flopping

1:06:18

yeah and then he started like that's

1:06:20

a third-person story

1:06:22

you tweet about dog coins all the time

1:06:24

so i don't know if it counts

1:06:25

um but i was thinking more about the

1:06:27

countries because el salvador went and

1:06:29

there's been rumors i guess for last

1:06:30

year about

1:06:31

other latin american countries um

1:06:34

and i i think that materializes soon i

1:06:36

know max um spoke about it a little bit

1:06:39

on television the other day um anyway

1:06:41

ledger you're saying something

1:06:42

so i think

1:06:44

at baseline your your bet

1:06:47

your ability to stay afloat depends on

1:06:49

the network effects being

1:06:53

value-add so more companies

1:06:55

nation states etc

1:06:57

buying in growing the network effects of

1:07:00

of bitcoin and also the the digital

1:07:02

scarcity kind of playing out

1:07:04

in the long run which is also based on

1:07:06

network effects not based on some kind

1:07:08

of proprietary software advantage

1:07:10

because it's open source software

1:07:13

my my question for you and i think

1:07:14

that's a good bet that makes a lot of

1:07:15

sense to me and

1:07:17

your your top job therefore as one of

1:07:20

the largest holders of bitcoin is to

1:07:22

convince other people to become large

1:07:23

holders of bitcoin because that

1:07:25

increases those network effects by

1:07:27

orders of magnitude when it's large

1:07:29

entities that are buying into that

1:07:30

concept

1:07:32

and have the ability to flip gold and

1:07:33

whatnot

1:07:34

you talked earlier about

1:07:36

companies that have the ability to have

1:07:38

create a monopoly so on

1:07:41

you know with with facebook at social or

1:07:43

with apple it's uh you know hardware and

1:07:46

software and with amazon it's probably

1:07:48

operational fulfillment as much as

1:07:50

anything

1:07:51

these different concepts and my question

1:07:54

for you is a little bit of a challenge

1:07:55

towards the bitcoin maximalism which is

1:07:58

is there a window for

1:08:00

monopolies to exist

1:08:02

within the crypto ecosystem on multiple

1:08:05

fronts so if bitcoin is as a store of

1:08:07

value or for money is there a world

1:08:09

where ethereum can have a monopoly on

1:08:11

crypto based compute

1:08:13

to the degree that it would actually

1:08:15

incentivize you to kind of repeat this

1:08:18

gamble or diversify

1:08:20

but with another potential monopolistic

1:08:22

asset

1:08:27

the most important

1:08:29

thing

1:08:31

any crypto investor long term to

1:08:34

understand i think

1:08:37

is um the regulatory treatment the the

1:08:41

political status of every single crypto

1:08:43

asset

1:08:45

you got to start by defining what's a

1:08:48

cryptocurrency what's a crypto property

1:08:50

what's a crypto security

1:08:53

what's a crypto platform

1:08:56

and um

1:08:58

as far as i can see bitcoin is a crypto

1:09:01

property and by property it means

1:09:04

it's viewed as a fair

1:09:07

common

1:09:08

piece of property beyond the control of

1:09:11

a company or a group of individuals it

1:09:14

has to be parapasou to

1:09:16

land or soybeans or gold or food

1:09:22

you know some commodity

1:09:24

in order to create uh a crypto property

1:09:27

is pretty challenging right the bitcoin

1:09:29

story is

1:09:31

satoshi disappeared the coins never

1:09:33

moved you know from january 3rd of 2009

1:09:37

to like may 22nd of 2010 the price was

1:09:40

like a penny less than a penny on pizza

1:09:44

it's a couple of pennies or something

1:09:47

there's no pre-mine there's no ico

1:09:50

there's proof of work it's a fair

1:09:53

distribution

1:09:55

there's no yield

1:09:57

and no one's investing in it with a with

1:10:00

an expectation of profit

1:10:02

now you can have debate over all these

1:10:05

things you know for long periods of time

1:10:08

i think it's pretty clear that of

1:10:09

everything in the crypto universe the

1:10:11

thing that is most

1:10:13

likely to be deemed properly in any

1:10:15

given nation state

1:10:17

is bitcoin

1:10:18

and i think we've seen that

1:10:20

i think that uh

1:10:22

you've then got a handful of other

1:10:24

cryptos where you could debate whether

1:10:26

they are property or not property and it

1:10:28

goes on for a while the best claim would

1:10:30

be the bitcoin forks

1:10:32

and uh then you move on you've got

1:10:35

you've got an interesting story of eth

1:10:37

very interesting story and then you get

1:10:38

all the other crypto coins

1:10:41

i think that if you yeah i'm very

1:10:44

sensitive to this because i've been a

1:10:45

public company ceo since 1998.

1:10:48

so i know the securities law reasonably

1:10:51

probably i know it better than

1:10:54

most anybody in the crypto industry

1:10:56

because there aren't very many crypto

1:10:59

companies that have come public

1:11:01

right if you if you go public and you

1:11:03

live through that and you understand

1:11:07

public securities laws that revolve

1:11:11

around everything you can and cannot do

1:11:13

what you can say what you cannot say for

1:11:15

example

1:11:16

if you parse everything i've said in the

1:11:18

past 18 months you will not see me utter

1:11:23

that i thought that you should buy mstr

1:11:27

i have never endorsed my own stock i've

1:11:29

never uttered in a penny to my own stock

1:11:31

you can go on twitter and you know you

1:11:33

can trash you know mstr

1:11:36

to the cows come home i'm not going to

1:11:38

defend it i'm not going to say anything

1:11:40

i have no comment

1:11:43

it's a security

1:11:45

it's a security i have civil liability

1:11:47

criminal liability

1:11:49

right if you lie about a security right

1:11:52

if you inadvertently lie if you tell the

1:11:54

truth as you understood it but it turns

1:11:56

out not to be the truth

1:11:58

right

1:12:00

six years later

1:12:01

you find yourself in court defending it

1:12:04

securities are a different creature

1:12:07

altogether than property

1:12:09

and i think that

1:12:10

if you look at bitcoin it is the

1:12:13

dominant digital property network the

1:12:15

other forks you know bitcoin cash

1:12:18

bitcoin satoshi vision they're less than

1:12:19

one percent now

1:12:21

if you have a

1:12:22

if you have a similar property network

1:12:24

if it's global non-sovereign store of

1:12:26

value

1:12:28

if that's the use case if that's the

1:12:29

design which is what bitcoin is

1:12:32

then i think

1:12:34

information theory thermo the law of

1:12:37

thermodynamics the law of mark in law

1:12:39

politics says

1:12:40

all the energy tends to collapse into

1:12:42

the dominant network

1:12:44

in that space classic

1:12:47

classic uh business strategy says that

1:12:50

whatever your market is

1:12:52

you need to dominate that market

1:12:54

whatever it is and if you can bring the

1:12:56

overwhelming

1:12:58

uh the overwhelming over overbearing

1:13:01

amount of assets

1:13:02

to bear in a given market you'll crush

1:13:05

everybody else and there's one winner

1:13:07

the only way that you can win

1:13:10

if you don't have that overwhelming uh

1:13:13

support is you have to segment the

1:13:15

market you have to find a very different

1:13:16

segment for which you can be the best

1:13:19

solution yeah so that takes us to

1:13:21

everything else

1:13:23

well if you parse the words of the

1:13:25

regulators and if you look at the law i

1:13:28

can't find any reading of the law that

1:13:30

indicates that anything else is other

1:13:32

than a security

1:13:34

if it's if it uses a coin to stake every

1:13:37

proof of stake network is a digital

1:13:39

security it's a it's been explicitly

1:13:42

stated by the regulators

1:13:45

if there's a stake and it generates

1:13:47

yield it's an investment contract an

1:13:48

investment contract is a security it

1:13:51

passes the howie test

1:13:53

if if you've got a pre-mine an ico if

1:13:55

you've got a foundation if you've got

1:13:57

developers controlling it if you're

1:13:58

driving hard forks every three to six

1:14:00

months

1:14:01

if you have a software heavy protocol if

1:14:04

the security from the network comes from

1:14:06

software

1:14:08

then you've got software developers that

1:14:10

can control that network if it's a

1:14:13

permission network who gets to stake

1:14:15

their coins

1:14:16

right do i get to stake 92 percent of

1:14:19

the network for the next 90 seconds who

1:14:21

could stake their coins if someone

1:14:22

controls access to the network it

1:14:25

becomes a security

1:14:26

so the issue there is everything that's

1:14:30

a security is in a regulatory gray zone

1:14:35

in order for you to invest in any of

1:14:38

those things you have to be willing to

1:14:40

accept the securities risk the legal

1:14:44

the com the competitive risk

1:14:47

and uh and the literal cyber security

1:14:50

risk will it be hacked

1:14:51

will it be copied will it be banned

1:14:53

that's very simple

1:14:55

will it be hacked will be copied will it

1:14:56

be banned

1:14:58

okay before i buy bitcoin

1:15:00

i would ask those three questions and

1:15:02

then before i endorse it here's a very

1:15:04

it's important ethical

1:15:06

question

1:15:07

is it property or is it security if

1:15:09

you're the mayor

1:15:10

of the city if you're a senator a

1:15:12

governor if you're a president of a

1:15:14

country if you're a public official if

1:15:16

you're the head of the army the navy the

1:15:18

air force

1:15:20

if you run any non-profit organization

1:15:23

you can't

1:15:24

endorse

1:15:26

a security

1:15:27

you can only endorse a property

1:15:30

it's reasonable for you to say

1:15:32

i believe a chicken in every pot

1:15:35

everybody should have a home

1:15:37

a chicken

1:15:38

a farm

1:15:40

and some bitcoin

1:15:42

you understand because i just endorsed

1:15:43

four flavors of property i could even

1:15:46

say you should have some gold in the

1:15:47

basement

1:15:48

because they're deemed as common

1:15:50

property but if i were to say

1:15:53

i think you should buy

1:15:55

my yoyo dine stock

1:15:57

and i think that facebook stock is a

1:15:59

better store of value than the us dollar

1:16:02

and if i think that uh you know sailor

1:16:04

moon coin is uh is really good or sailor

1:16:08

moon two coin because there's not just

1:16:10

one coin right there's multiple sailor

1:16:12

moon coins you know or son of sheba dog

1:16:15

coin is whatever

1:16:17

now the issue really is is it property

1:16:20

and i it's it's not that

1:16:22

you know that people say the maxima say

1:16:25

there's only one thing

1:16:26

let me give you a more nuanced view

1:16:30

it's not that i think that it's

1:16:32

impossible to create another property

1:16:34

token

1:16:36

it's possible for example

1:16:38

if you took a fork of bitcoin if the

1:16:40

chinese government forked bitcoin and

1:16:42

they created china coin and they said

1:16:45

it's only legal

1:16:46

to mine to mine china coin in china

1:16:51

and you can custody china coin you can

1:16:53

sell and trade china coin and you can

1:16:56

mine china coin and they started with a

1:16:58

fork of bitcoin

1:17:00

they would have basically applied um a

1:17:03

sovereign

1:17:05

they would have created a sovereign form

1:17:07

of property

1:17:08

if the canadian government said uh you

1:17:10

could mine uh you can use the same

1:17:12

bitcoin protocol or something comparable

1:17:14

to the bitcoin protocol and they said

1:17:16

you can mine canada coin in in canada

1:17:21

then you could imagine like if you're a

1:17:23

canadian investor you might want to own

1:17:26

like just like if you're in canada land

1:17:29

in canada is property

1:17:31

you see

1:17:32

i don't want to own it because i i i

1:17:35

don't want to live in canada and i don't

1:17:36

want to own chinese land

1:17:39

but land in china and land in canada are

1:17:41

property

1:17:43

bitcoin is global property if i'm a

1:17:45

global investor

1:17:46

i want to own the global thing because

1:17:48

that's the strongest network effect

1:17:50

because a guy in

1:17:51

tokyo or london or paris might want to

1:17:54

buy my bitcoin for me but

1:17:56

you can create a crypto property network

1:18:00

making it legal tender or by giving it a

1:18:03

tax advantage or by say just simply

1:18:05

saying it's illegal to mine anything

1:18:07

other than canada coin in canada

1:18:10

and canadian banks can handle canada

1:18:13

and canadian banks cannot handle

1:18:15

anything else or or maybe they can

1:18:16

handle bitcoin and canada coin

1:18:19

you've got two forms of property just

1:18:21

look silver and gold are property

1:18:23

soybeans and and you know and dirt

1:18:26

sawdust or property i guess right

1:18:29

there there could be multiple forms of

1:18:31

property but

1:18:33

here's where you go awry

1:18:35

if i start a company and i and i issue

1:18:38

half the tokens to my friends and family

1:18:42

and i control the protocol and then i

1:18:45

sell 10 of the tokens to the public

1:18:47

and if i have the ability to change the

1:18:50

monetary policy

1:18:52

i i have to disclose to the public who

1:18:55

it is that controls the policies

1:18:58

what what if i were to sell you you know

1:19:00

like if i sold a million shares of

1:19:02

microstrategy and then like

1:19:04

and then like two years later you found

1:19:06

out that actually had 100 million more

1:19:07

shares i didn't tell you about

1:19:09

right

1:19:10

something like that right it's a problem

1:19:13

and uh

1:19:15

the the thing that's

1:19:17

the thing that's powerful about bitcoin

1:19:19

which makes it a solution to a 250 to

1:19:23

500 trillion dollar problem

1:19:27

we have perfected a crypto property at

1:19:29

least one in cyberspace

1:19:32

and the monetary policy of bitcoin is

1:19:34

pretty much set in stone

1:19:36

on pizza day

1:19:37

if you roll the clock back to may 22nd

1:19:42

you know it was like we're going to

1:19:44

issue this much bitcoin between now and

1:19:46

21.40 and we're going to run off of

1:19:47

transaction fees for the next thousand

1:19:49

years

1:19:50

and if you were to say to me mike what's

1:19:52

the what is the monetary policy and

1:19:55

how's the network going to work for the

1:19:56

next thousand years

1:19:58

i can credibly describe it and if you

1:20:01

said do you think it's gonna change

1:20:03

no like it's not that there isn't some

1:20:07

like an asteroid can hit the earth and

1:20:09

your ranch land in kansas will be

1:20:11

worthless property

1:20:13

right i mean heck i mean i can sell you

1:20:15

land in florida and it can sink in a

1:20:17

swamp so there's a tsunami that can wipe

1:20:19

out your beachfront so there is risk

1:20:22

in property just like there is risk at

1:20:25

bitcoin but

1:20:27

with good faith

1:20:29

i can say to you i think i know the

1:20:31

monetary policy i don't think anybody

1:20:33

can change it i can't change it i have

1:20:35

no intention to change it

1:20:38

and so that's what makes it useful for

1:20:41

500 trillion dollars worth of companies

1:20:43

insurance companies governments banks to

1:20:46

use this as what as a as a foundation

1:20:49

for a balance sheet

1:20:50

it's like uh

1:20:51

i want to build new york i'm going to

1:20:54

build new york on uh granite or schist

1:20:56

new york's built on schist it's a very

1:20:58

heavy stone

1:21:00

now is it easy to move no is it high

1:21:03

speed

1:21:05

what's it do it just lays there

1:21:08

does it need to do anything

1:21:11

what's the single most important thing

1:21:12

if you buy manhattan for like 27

1:21:15

pounds worth of glass beads and 16

1:21:19

something or whatever and i give you

1:21:21

manhattan

1:21:22

what is it you want manhattan to be

1:21:25

500 years later a heavy rock it's just

1:21:28

there you want it yeah you want it to

1:21:30

still be there

1:21:32

you want something with durability

1:21:34

integrity predictability you want the

1:21:37

heavy if

1:21:38

manhattan happens to be

1:21:40

a very heavy rock

1:21:42

now we did a lot of stuff on top of it

1:21:45

right we built you know the buildings

1:21:47

are like platforms they're like

1:21:49

exchanges right and then

1:21:51

the companies are securities we built

1:21:53

things we traded things you know there's

1:21:57

been more than one country that

1:21:58

controlled manhattan you know there's

1:22:00

been different currencies there's

1:22:01

probably been who knows how many

1:22:02

currencies traded in man stuff comes and

1:22:05

it goes

1:22:06

but the foundation of manhattan which is

1:22:09

property

1:22:12

what you want it to be is heavy

1:22:15

heavy and durable

1:22:18

i when you look at everything else i

1:22:20

would just say

1:22:21

yeah they're they're all interesting but

1:22:23

they're competing if if they're

1:22:26

competing as non-compliant

1:22:28

tokens

1:22:29

then they're going to work in the gray

1:22:31

market and will they be able to become

1:22:33

compliant and what does it mean to be

1:22:35

compliant

1:22:37

will will you be able to trade these

1:22:39

tokens for the next 10 years and will

1:22:42

you have to make a disclosure and what's

1:22:43

the disclosure

1:22:45

and what will the sec say

1:22:47

and i don't know

1:22:49

right it's like that is venture capital

1:22:51

and it's speculation

1:22:55

if you see the world as crypto only then

1:22:58

you live in that world but you got to

1:22:59

keep in mind that

1:23:01

fortnight can issue tokens and you know

1:23:04

and activision can issue tokens so

1:23:06

you're competing against facebook and

1:23:08

microsoft and google and apple and

1:23:10

you're like well why aren't they in the

1:23:11

market right now well because certain

1:23:14

things are non-compliance and they're

1:23:16

illegal that's why they're not in the

1:23:17

market right now

1:23:19

right that's why they're not and why

1:23:22

what you have is you have a

1:23:24

an industry crossing the chasm the first

1:23:27

decade was offshore entrepreneurial

1:23:31

wild west

1:23:33

and then the next decade

1:23:36

is onshore institutional

1:23:39

and we're in the middle

1:23:41

and we're going to be in the middle for

1:23:42

three to five years

1:23:45

you know and what do you have you have

1:23:46

like tether like

1:23:48

it's an offshore entrepreneurial

1:23:50

successful company

1:23:52

does the world need it yeah the world

1:23:54

needs it if you're in turkey or

1:23:55

argentina and you need dollars and your

1:23:57

choice is lose your dollars in the bank

1:23:59

or whatever you need it right will apple

1:24:02

or microsoft use it no

1:24:06

right so

1:24:07

will they become public and get

1:24:09

registered in the us

1:24:11

you know what will it be small companies

1:24:14

in the us that grow to be big companies

1:24:16

like silvergate bank

1:24:18

will it be offshore entrepreneurs that

1:24:21

come on shore

1:24:22

or will it be jp morgan bank of america

1:24:25

will that goldman sachs will they back

1:24:28

into this business and the truth is

1:24:31

nobody knows

1:24:32

right my best bet would be

1:24:36

if i had to forecast i would say that

1:24:38

there will always be some gray market

1:24:40

offshore there's something

1:24:43

but um

1:24:44

i don't i don't think the massive growth

1:24:48

is there the 100 trillion dollar

1:24:50

opportunity

1:24:51

is is to provide the foundation for the

1:24:55

mega for the 500 trillion dollars worth

1:24:57

of capital in western europe in the

1:24:58

united states if you could be half of

1:25:01

that or a third of that right that's a

1:25:03

mega opportunity right you want to be a

1:25:05

vendor

1:25:06

for google apple amazon facebook jp

1:25:09

morgan city group do you not you want

1:25:11

the united states government to buy a

1:25:13

hundred billion dollars worth of bitcoin

1:25:15

right i mean you get really big when you

1:25:18

governments

1:25:19

institutions mega corpses your customers

1:25:22

right the duponts

1:25:24

they came over small time but how do

1:25:26

they get big they got big by selling

1:25:27

gunpowder to the united states right and

1:25:29

they had presidents as customers buying

1:25:32

their product so

1:25:35

ultimately

1:25:36

whoever manages to sell crypto property

1:25:39

cryptocurrency

1:25:41

and you know and crypto exchange to the

1:25:45

uh the mega nation states they'll

1:25:47

succeed like coinbase for example

1:25:51

is much more compliant right there in

1:25:53

the us they're publicly traded

1:25:55

right they're on one side of the trade

1:25:58

you know you've got players like ftx and

1:26:00

binance on the other side of the trade

1:26:01

they're rich they have richer product

1:26:03

offerings they're more articulate their

1:26:05

higher speed higher velocity

1:26:08

and you know just like you can you can

1:26:10

bet on the outcome of a football game

1:26:12

offshore but you can't bet on the

1:26:13

outcome of a football game on shore

1:26:17

what will happen

1:26:18

so um

1:26:20

i would say they're just totally

1:26:22

different

1:26:23

things and uh

1:26:26

no digital security is ever going to

1:26:29

displace bitcoin

1:26:31

as which is a digital property the only

1:26:33

thing that can displace digital property

1:26:35

is a better digital property which means

1:26:38

it needs to be engineered and it needs

1:26:40

to have the same

1:26:42

legal ethical political characteristics

1:26:46

right digital securities are going to

1:26:47

compete with each other

1:26:50

and and the rules of the game are going

1:26:52

to change

1:26:53

every six months to every 12 months

1:26:56

right i mean you can see them right now

1:26:57

like for example

1:27:00

the regulators make you d list 100

1:27:01

tokens on a defy exchange well how can

1:27:04

you delist anything on a d5 exchange if

1:27:06

it's really defy

1:27:08

if it was defy you couldn't de-list

1:27:09

anything so it's kind of not d5 it's an

1:27:12

exchange

1:27:14

somewhat compliant with some people in

1:27:16

control of it

1:27:18

and what will be allowed to prosper and

1:27:21

the answer is

1:27:22

who knows the states are involved you

1:27:25

know the opinion of the states is

1:27:26

different than the opinion the federal

1:27:27

regulators different regulators have

1:27:29

different opinion different nation

1:27:30

states have different opinions and even

1:27:34

even if i marched in front of you like

1:27:36

if they put me in charge of

1:27:39

the most important regular in the world

1:27:40

today and i had a perfect 97 page plan

1:27:43

to provide a path to regulatory

1:27:45

compliance for security tokens for

1:27:47

crypto currencies for stable coins for

1:27:50

property

1:27:51

for exchange if i had the perfect plan

1:27:54

there's no guarantee you could get it

1:27:55

through congress

1:27:56

there's no guarantee you go through the

1:27:58

senate there's no guarantee that the

1:28:00

other agencies would agree with it

1:28:02

there's no guarantee that other agencies

1:28:04

through western would agree with it so

1:28:06

we don't really know

1:28:08

the reason

1:28:10

it's not that i don't think there's

1:28:12

opportunity but the reason that i'm

1:28:13

focused laser-like with laser eyes on

1:28:16

bitcoin is

1:28:18

a bitcoin is property not a security b

1:28:22

the use case of bitcoin is the service

1:28:25

property

1:28:26

which is a low velocity use case right

1:28:28

now which is the least controversial one

1:28:32

if uh if you know if an investor of ray

1:28:35

dalio bought 10 billion dollars of

1:28:36

bitcoin to hold forever tomorrow

1:28:39

it doesn't represent

1:28:41

any regulatory question there's no

1:28:43

existential question is it legal to do

1:28:46

that yeah

1:28:47

what's the tax treatment capital gains

1:28:50

kobe it sounds like uh sailor might be

1:28:52

bullish on crypto punks

1:28:58

maybe maybe i i mean i agree i don't i

1:28:58

agree with the thesis right like my

1:29:00

personal opinion is you buy bitcoin

1:29:01

because there is it cannot change it

1:29:03

does not change and it is well

1:29:05

understood and in 50 years from now you

1:29:08

will know bitcoin will be the same as

1:29:10

bitcoin currently is uh and if the

1:29:13

economy is a relative like a reasonably

1:29:16

solved game then bitcoin will be worth

1:29:18

multiple millions in 50 years you buy

1:29:21

ethereum or

1:29:23

whatever else in the ethereum world that

1:29:25

is currently in a knife fight with each

1:29:26

other because it does change and the

1:29:28

problems that they're solving are

1:29:30

important problems i think a

1:29:32

decentralized financial layer for the

1:29:34

world is a very important problem but

1:29:35

everything sailor just described is true

1:29:37

right like it's unclear how the um the

1:29:40

regulators will treat them like

1:29:41

obviously the regulators have spoken

1:29:43

several times about stable coins d5

1:29:45

governance tokens and the majority of

1:29:47

is clearly a security it's clearly

1:29:49

just regard

1:29:51

from people in around the world so i 100

1:29:55

agree with that uh with that thesis and

1:29:57

i think uh from your position it's like

1:29:59

very very very clear that that is the

1:30:01

optimal solution the distinction that i

1:30:03

make i think it's helpful is

1:30:07

you've got a portfolio

1:30:09

let's say you have a hundred dollars

1:30:11

what portion of it is a saving

1:30:14

a savings account that you want to save

1:30:15

for 100 years

1:30:18

10 years at least a long time

1:30:20

that portion you want to save in strong

1:30:23

property

1:30:24

in an inflationary environment if you're

1:30:26

going to save money for 30 years you

1:30:28

either got to buy land or some strong

1:30:31

property or and bitcoin i think is the

1:30:33

strongest property

1:30:36

and you decide what i mean i i respect

1:30:38

any decision you want to buy art you

1:30:40

want to buy land you want to buy trophy

1:30:42

assets you want to buy

1:30:45

something that'll hold its value for 30

1:30:47

or 40 years

1:30:49

you do that your saver

1:30:51

it becomes pretty obvious if you live in

1:30:53

uh if you live in argentina and i told

1:30:55

you the currency is going to lose 75 of

1:30:57

its value in the next 12 months if

1:30:59

you're switching uh from the peso to the

1:31:02

dollar you're just a saver

1:31:04

right you're not an investor

1:31:06

yep it looks like an investor especially

1:31:08

but you're not you're just that you're

1:31:09

just converting from

1:31:12

to strong asset

1:31:13

there's another part of your portfolio

1:31:15

you're an investor

1:31:17

okay you're taking risk like is apple

1:31:20

is apple better than peloton is it

1:31:22

better than gamestop is it better than

1:31:24

eth is it better than solana is it

1:31:25

better than uber is a private company

1:31:28

better than a public company

1:31:30

right is a crypto

1:31:32

project better than uh an equity finance

1:31:35

tech project do you want to buy biotech

1:31:38

gene splicing thing they're all just

1:31:41

different ventures you're taking a

1:31:43

venture and you've got an investment

1:31:45

you know i think my view there is just

1:31:47

you deserve to understand what you're

1:31:49

investing in

1:31:50

if you're investing in a public company

1:31:52

you can read my 10k and you can see who

1:31:54

owns it if you're investing in a private

1:31:56

company maybe you can if you're

1:31:59

investing in a crypto project and you

1:32:01

don't know

1:32:02

who controls it and how many there are

1:32:05

right you're at a disadvantage right so

1:32:07

the friction comes from are there fair

1:32:10

disclosures as to the risk you're taking

1:32:13

and then the third category is uh

1:32:15

speculation

1:32:17

so when you're when you're betting on

1:32:18

puppy coin three you know the sequel

1:32:21

or or like sailor moon coin i i can't

1:32:23

believe there's a sailor moon coin but i

1:32:25

really can't believe there were two

1:32:28

apparently sailor moon climbs up 300

1:32:30

during this episode because you said it

1:32:31

twice

1:32:38

yeah maybe i don't doubt you but uh

1:32:38

so and by the way i it's like

1:32:41

to just just for the record to be

1:32:43

straight

1:32:45

i don't begrudge people the ability to

1:32:47

speculate on

1:32:49

whatever coin and i i obviously don't

1:32:52

have a problem with you investing in

1:32:53

whatever you want to invest in

1:32:56

i personally am a public figure

1:33:01

i would i only choose to articulate and

1:33:04

advocate and educate on bitcoin because

1:33:07

i believe it is the

1:33:09

it is the uh

1:33:11

what i'll call ethical safe haven for a

1:33:13

public figure

1:33:15

if it was to secure like you won't i

1:33:17

don't even endorse my own stock you see

1:33:20

i don't i'm not going to endorse apple

1:33:21

i'm not going to endorse google i'm not

1:33:23

going to i'm not going to give

1:33:25

investment advice i mean the definition

1:33:27

of investment advice is if you're

1:33:28

investing in a security if you're

1:33:30

investing in property i'm giving you

1:33:32

lifestyle advice

1:33:34

my lifestyle advice is

1:33:36

trade your weak currencies for strong

1:33:38

currencies

1:33:40

get a place to live

1:33:42

you know if you have if you have excess

1:33:44

funds you know it's good to have a home

1:33:46

that you can live in the rest of your

1:33:47

life that's lifestyle advice control

1:33:50

your destiny

1:33:51

right and um and lifestyle you know

1:33:55

i would say macroeconomic political

1:33:57

advice is

1:33:58

all things considered if you can own a

1:34:00

piece of property that doesn't get taxed

1:34:03

two percent a year

1:34:06

like don't if you buy land in florida or

1:34:08

a house in florida you do get charged

1:34:12

that means over a hundred years you're

1:34:13

going to pay 200 you're going to pay

1:34:15

more you're going to pay 500 over 100

1:34:18

years because they're going to appraise

1:34:19

the value of the property up and charge

1:34:21

you two percent of the appraised value

1:34:24

so i just give common sense advice which

1:34:27

if you know you're going to have the

1:34:28

property stripped out of your hands in

1:34:30

10 years because of inflation and

1:34:31

taxation

1:34:33

that's not a good savings strategy

1:34:36

find something you can hold for 30 years

1:34:38

and maybe give to your children and if

1:34:40

you don't have children you want to give

1:34:41

it to

1:34:42

something you can hold to live on and if

1:34:45

you don't and if you don't need that

1:34:47

something you can give to your favorite

1:34:48

charity right

1:34:50

make the world a better place

1:34:52

and i just leave it at that and

1:34:54

i one thing i learned on twitter

1:34:57

is stay in your lane

1:34:59

like that you know the way to get ripped

1:35:01

to shreds

1:35:03

is you you know you start to express a

1:35:05

an opinion nuanced or otherwise about

1:35:08

someone else's field of expertise

1:35:11

and what you find is like you know all

1:35:13

of a sudden you're debating the dude

1:35:14

who's got the nobel prize or the phd to

1:35:18

study it for 27 years and he's going to

1:35:20

make an example out of you in front of

1:35:22

437 000 followers and then all the

1:35:25

trolls are going to gleefully

1:35:27

feast on your you know cyber flesh

1:35:31

so i you know like i i just

1:35:34

i stay out of that just because i'm not

1:35:36

here to give you trading advice

1:35:39

i can't time the market

1:35:40

i don't understand all those risks i i

1:35:43

know there's a risk an asteroid will hit

1:35:45

the earth

1:35:46

and i know there's you know there's a

1:35:48

black swan risk and maybe you know

1:35:51

demons come down from

1:35:54

hell above or heaven below or

1:35:57

whatever and they screw with bitcoin i

1:36:00

get it

1:36:01

but all things considered

1:36:03

you're going to lose 90 percent of you

1:36:05

know your money over the next 24 months

1:36:08

if you're in a hyper-inflating

1:36:09

environment by doing nothing so my view

1:36:12

if you're guaranteed to lose 90 percent

1:36:15

of your assets

1:36:17

to do nothing

1:36:18

then you know you might as well do

1:36:20

something and and

1:36:23

it's like i said to people on bitcoin so

1:36:24

you don't like bitcoin you think it's 95

1:36:27

likely to fail

1:36:28

okay then only allocate five percent of

1:36:30

your money to it

1:36:33

yeah if you think if you think it's 99

1:36:35

likely to fail then you might as well

1:36:37

put one percent of your money in it

1:36:38

right like so i i think that people

1:36:41

oftentimes

1:36:43

they don't get their risk right

1:36:45

there is a risk to doing nothing

1:36:48

and the risk of doing nothing in a

1:36:50

monetary sense is the monetary inflation

1:36:54

so when the monetary inflation rate hits

1:36:58

it means that there needs to be a 25

1:37:00

chance of bitcoin going to zero in the

1:37:02

next 12 months

1:37:04

for you not to want to buy it

1:37:07

and when the monetary inflation rate

1:37:09

you know in in lebanon or turkey or

1:37:12

argentina or someplace when it hits 50

1:37:14

or 75 or 80 or 150 percent

1:37:18

the risk of doing nothing is far higher

1:37:21

than the risk of doing something

1:37:23

so i like the manhattan analogy

1:37:27

because of the the scar the scarcity

1:37:30

that exists there

1:37:31

of a very heavy rock but one of the

1:37:33

components that's important there is

1:37:36

manhattan is ideally situated on the

1:37:38

east coast and because of the activity

1:37:42

occurs there the gathering of economic

1:37:44

productivity that lives on top of very

1:37:46

heavy rock is what makes it the most

1:37:48

valuable

1:37:49

and one of the critiques you see about

1:37:51

bitcoin is that there's not a ton of

1:37:54

activity there's some like layer two or

1:37:57

some attempts to do smart contracting

1:37:59

using bitcoin as security or companies

1:38:01

that are

1:38:02

using bitcoin

1:38:04

as a security layer for other economic

1:38:06

activity is there a risk though of there

1:38:08

not being enough of that so that there's

1:38:10

just not enough activity on the very

1:38:12

heavy very valuable rock in isolation or

1:38:15

is it okay that it's just a very heavy

1:38:17

rock that doesn't do very much

1:38:20

i i don't think there's any risk and i

1:38:22

think that

1:38:23

a lot of people misperceive

1:38:26

the network effect that's already there

1:38:28

well let's let's parse that a little bit

1:38:30

so first of all i know manhattan well

1:38:31

i've sailed around it uh it's sitting

1:38:33

between the east river and the hudson

1:38:35

river and i've gone up the hudson river

1:38:38

the hudson river is nature's great

1:38:40

highway it's a mile wide it's pretty

1:38:42

much straight the entire way except for

1:38:45

the bend at west point which is why they

1:38:47

built that fortress at west point

1:38:49

and uh and you can't help but conclude

1:38:52

this is the perfect place to build a

1:38:54

seaport

1:38:56

if you're gonna create a country

1:38:58

so manhattan is the greatest city in

1:39:00

america because of its geographic

1:39:03

setting because of the rivers the ports

1:39:05

your ability to harness water power air

1:39:07

power sea power and also because of that

1:39:10

schist and the rock

1:39:12

having said all that

1:39:14

there are many great cities in the world

1:39:16

there's london there's paris there's

1:39:18

tokyo

1:39:19

right there's hong kong there's

1:39:20

singapore they've all got a story

1:39:23

okay and so

1:39:25

ultimately if you're if you're going to

1:39:28

manhattan property you're competing

1:39:30

against all those other cities as well

1:39:33

and manhattan is a 20th century uh

1:39:36

real world

1:39:38

uh net network right all the great

1:39:41

cities of the world they're all the

1:39:42

nexus of an empire

1:39:44

venice was a nexus of an empire rome was

1:39:46

the nexus of an empire and when the

1:39:48

empire flourished the city flourished

1:39:50

and they built great buildings and you

1:39:52

can see them manifest themselves in the

1:39:53

architecture

1:39:55

and then when the empire failed

1:39:57

right uh the city calcified and

1:40:00

fossilized you know and started to sink

1:40:02

one way or the other

1:40:05

let's look at bitcoin

1:40:07

well bitcoin's the greatest city in

1:40:09

cyberspace the difference here is

1:40:12

you know you don't need 25 great cities

1:40:15

in cyberspace you definitely need one

1:40:18

but if you're a wealthy business if

1:40:20

you're an asset holder in beijing or

1:40:23

tokyo or moscow or london or paris or

1:40:26

rio or new york or california l.a all of

1:40:29

them can park their money in bitcoin

1:40:31

and so in that regard uh being the

1:40:34

greatest piece of real estate in cyber

1:40:36

space

1:40:37

is an advantage

1:40:39

the other advantage is there's only 21

1:40:41

million city blocks

1:40:44

whereas

1:40:45

if you look at new york city they can

1:40:47

develop that and they expand it out to

1:40:48

the boroughs to queens and to brooklyn

1:40:50

and they're zoning and you could build

1:40:52

up and

1:40:53

there's no you know there is some

1:40:55

scarcity to the acreage but there isn't

1:40:58

necessarily the same scarcity to the

1:41:00

square footage and it's uncertain and

1:41:03

it's very political

1:41:04

and because it's very political it meant

1:41:06

that it was dilutive and you could be

1:41:08

dilutive or you could be impaired right

1:41:10

you could own an apartment building in

1:41:12

new york city and a politician could

1:41:14

pass a law or rent controlling it and

1:41:16

now all of a sudden your rent is capped

1:41:19

by one-third of what it should be

1:41:21

right and that's not a hypothetical

1:41:23

right that's a real

1:41:24

and so

1:41:26

bitcoin is advantageous because the 21

1:41:28

million blocks are probably capped there

1:41:31

for 10 000 years

1:41:33

and if you own a block of bitcoin you

1:41:36

could rent it out to any any bank or

1:41:39

counter party anywhere in the world at

1:41:41

the prevailing market rate and

1:41:44

the mayor of san francisco or new york

1:41:46

can't rent control

1:41:48

your block of bitcoin

1:41:50

so that's another big advantage in terms

1:41:53

of speed

1:41:54

you got to keep in mind

1:41:57

you know like 10 000 companies could buy

1:41:59

10 billion dollars of bitcoin each and

1:42:01

just hold it on their balance sheet and

1:42:03

then you know this the network will be

1:42:06

worth 100 trillion dollars and it

1:42:07

wouldn't have to move more than once

1:42:09

every year

1:42:11

once every decade

1:42:13

right the underlying asset doesn't have

1:42:15

to move there are applications of

1:42:17

bitcoin

1:42:20

do you look at how fat how many times my

1:42:22

stock has been traded in the past 18

1:42:25

months

1:42:26

do you know how my stock was traded

1:42:28

today

1:42:29

today there are microstrategy calls puts

1:42:31

the spot market

1:42:33

the converts

1:42:34

and the junk bond

1:42:36

they're all trading

1:42:38

all the time

1:42:39

they're bitcoin derivatives

1:42:42

right just like beto is a bitcoin

1:42:43

derivative

1:42:45

right just like you know block is a

1:42:47

bitcoin derivative

1:42:49

but uh you know just like uh there are a

1:42:51

lot of bitcoin every bitcoin miner is a

1:42:52

bitcoin derivative there are 24 publicly

1:42:55

traded bitcoin miners by the end of this

1:42:56

quarter every single time one share

1:42:59

trades hands

1:43:00

bitcoin moved

1:43:02

you could say

1:43:05

it's low velocity what i would say is

1:43:06

bitcoin could be a 100 trillion dollar

1:43:08

network without a layer two

1:43:11

without lightning

1:43:12

without any higher speed transaction

1:43:14

network it could be a hundred trillion

1:43:17

just based upon

1:43:19

uh the use case as a treasury asset let

1:43:23

me ask the question like how fast the

1:43:25

blocks of granite underneath manhattan

1:43:29

like how often do you have to move a

1:43:31

city block underneath a building in new

1:43:33

york city in order for new york or the

1:43:36

land of value the point really is

1:43:39

the foundation doesn't have to move

1:43:42

the foundation just has to exist

1:43:45

right for the great value

1:43:46

so i i think that the transaction

1:43:49

argument is wrong on a number of bases

1:43:51

because people don't

1:43:53

they they don't understand the use case

1:43:56

which is

1:43:57

i just want to hold five billion dollars

1:43:59

of bitcoin for a hundred years

1:44:02

and every single time i pay an employee

1:44:05

that's bitcoin bitcoin derivative right

1:44:08

everything that microstrategy does is

1:44:10

now uh

1:44:11

resting on a foundation of bitcoin

1:44:14

just like

1:44:15

just like that building stands for 100

1:44:18

years on a block of granite manhattan

1:44:20

and everything that comes in and out of

1:44:22

that building was predicated upon that

1:44:24

block of schist not moving right it has

1:44:27

value

1:44:29

you think it doesn't have value let's

1:44:30

play the other thought experiment i'm

1:44:32

going to convert you know all that

1:44:33

schist into quicksand

1:44:35

i'm gonna turn the dial or into swamp

1:44:38

land or into like a bog and now what

1:44:40

happens to your new york right it's like

1:44:42

it has value

1:44:44

so the second

1:44:45

point i'd make is

1:44:47

if you look at the lightning network the

1:44:49

lightning network is a non-custodial

1:44:51

layer two network

1:44:53

you know based upon pretty advanced

1:44:55

cryptography and there's no reason

1:44:58

why you can't do eight billion

1:45:00

transactions an hour on it

1:45:02

for next to nothing

1:45:04

so you can move money at the speed of

1:45:06

light you can move the property and you

1:45:08

can move the bitcoin

1:45:11

uh at the speed of light at high

1:45:13

frequency for next to nothing on

1:45:15

lightning

1:45:16

there's nothing that precludes you from

1:45:17

creating lightning competitors too right

1:45:19

lightning is an obvious network i think

1:45:21

it's going to be it seems to be the

1:45:23

winning layer too

1:45:27

and it's it's an open source

1:45:29

permissionless layer to transaction

1:45:31

network

1:45:32

you can also create a um

1:45:36

a permissioned uh a permission compliant

1:45:39

call it a layer three network like let's

1:45:41

take cash app

1:45:43

by the way ftx is one i mean ftx and

1:45:46

binance and cache app you know

1:45:48

they're all you know

1:45:51

layer 3

1:45:52

custodial application networks

1:45:55

you know how fast does bitcoin move on

1:45:58

binance seems like it moves pretty

1:46:00

freaking fast to me

1:46:02

like and there's

1:46:04

how many tens of millions of people with

1:46:06

cash app

1:46:07

now they've got lightning integrated and

1:46:09

you could and before lightning you could

1:46:11

send bitcoin

1:46:13

to cash tag for next to free right

1:46:16

instantly

1:46:17

so um

1:46:19

it's pretty obvious that to me as an

1:46:22

engineer

1:46:24

the solution to this problem is

1:46:26

you want to layer one optimize for

1:46:29

durability

1:46:30

and integrity

1:46:33

right you want it to be true

1:46:35

true and durable

1:46:37

over you know

1:46:38

and and and secure

1:46:40

true durable and secure how long

1:46:43

for 10 000 years

1:46:46

like for example say you're going to

1:46:47

build a building in manhattan and i said

1:46:49

okay i'll give you the i'll give you a

1:46:50

lease on the building but it's only good

1:46:52

for 10 years well would you build any

1:46:55

building with a 10-year ground lease

1:46:58

what if i gave you a 12-month ground

1:47:00

lease can you build anything no

1:47:02

let's take bitcoin mining

1:47:05

bitcoin mining's got a clear path to

1:47:07

2140 for block rewards and you've got

1:47:09

transaction fees that are market driven

1:47:12

it's a business that you can finance you

1:47:14

can invest and expect to be in the

1:47:15

business 10 years from now

1:47:17

20 years from now

1:47:19

let's take eth

1:47:21

well you know if heath flips the proof

1:47:23

of stake the entire eth mining network

1:47:25

is murdered

1:47:27

next year

1:47:29

you think you can finance that

1:47:31

you think anybody will give you a loan

1:47:32

for that you you can't take the company

1:47:34

public if you're a ceo and you went you

1:47:37

tried to take that company public

1:47:38

institutional investors would laugh at

1:47:39

you are you kidding

1:47:41

right but you're somewhere borderline

1:47:43

between you know am i committing fraud

1:47:46

am i a fool

1:47:48

am i destroying capital like if you

1:47:51

can't build

1:47:53

a business

1:47:55

on top of a foundation that is not fixed

1:47:58

and what i'm talking about fixed

1:48:00

like didn't how many times the

1:48:02

difficulty bomb move didn't it move from

1:48:04

2015 to 2016 to 2017 to 2018 to 2019 to

1:48:07

2020 to 2021 like the difficulty bomb

1:48:10

thing keeps getting pushed back

1:48:13

the monetary policy is changing every 12

1:48:16

months how long do you need to have it

1:48:19

you need to have a monetary policy fixed

1:48:21

for 100 years

1:48:23

if you want to be property

1:48:25

okay how long will it be before i will

1:48:28

trust you

1:48:30

like for example i go by and i buy a

1:48:33

ground lease in london and the lease is

1:48:35

good for 300 years

1:48:37

and then i read in the newspaper that

1:48:39

some judge

1:48:41

found the lease to be non-constitutional

1:48:43

and he revoked it and the the tenant

1:48:46

lost their building and lost a billion

1:48:48

dollars because the ground lease is only

1:48:50

good for 27 months

1:48:52

and now

1:48:53

and then someone calls me and says oh

1:48:54

well we fixed that not to worry you know

1:48:56

that judge retired and we don't think

1:48:57

anybody else feels the same way

1:49:00

how long as an investor do you have to

1:49:02

wait before you would

1:49:04

feel comfortable going back and

1:49:05

investing on that property

1:49:08

like i think that um

1:49:10

10 years is a short period of time

1:49:13

like bitcoin has been sitting with the

1:49:15

same exact protocol for 10 years

1:49:17

and after 10 years of beating on it then

1:49:19

you know then you went through the four

1:49:21

course

1:49:22

if the if

1:49:23

if the original protocol had not won the

1:49:26

fork wars if they'd not run the block

1:49:29

size wars

1:49:30

it probably would have restarted the

1:49:31

clock another five years

1:49:33

right that the fact that the big

1:49:35

blockers lost and the small blockers

1:49:40

meant that you could say well it looks

1:49:42

like uh the protocol is pretty

1:49:44

anti-fragile and nobody can change it

1:49:47

and that's why i would bet a billion

1:49:50

dollars on it

1:49:52

or 10 billion

1:49:53

right or my life or my career

1:49:56

or my reputation like

1:49:58

like what what happens if you invest in

1:50:00

that thing and it goes to zero right

1:50:03

companies bankrupt right think

1:50:06

think about what that means to a public

1:50:07

official

1:50:09

to a public official it's like maybe you

1:50:11

go to jail

1:50:12

yeah okay

1:50:13

and so

1:50:15

if you look at these things

1:50:17

i would say

1:50:19

before you put your weight on something

1:50:22

before you trust your life to it and all

1:50:25

your assets to it you need to be pretty

1:50:28

and as

1:50:29

if you said to me here's a protocol it's

1:50:32

indestructible it's property nobody can

1:50:34

control it nobody can change it i would

1:50:36

say well how long has it been unchanged

1:50:39

you say 36 months

1:50:42

like ah

1:50:43

i think i'll wait another few years

1:50:47

okay 10 years

1:50:48

all right now we fought over it hundreds

1:50:50

of billions of dollars were at stake 10

1:50:52

years where are we at now oh now we're

1:50:54

risky

1:50:55

now we're at the point where uh a

1:50:57

company where a controlling shareholder

1:51:00

who's the founder of the company with

1:51:02

more than 50 of the voting stock

1:51:04

after going through contortions can

1:51:06

maybe

1:51:07

right do you know what it cost me to buy

1:51:09

bitcoin

1:51:10

to pay 250 million dollars in a dutch

1:51:14

auction

1:51:15

to be able to buy

1:51:17

250 million of bitcoin that's what it

1:51:19

cost you after 12 years

1:51:23

of an unchanging monetary policy that

1:51:25

survived the block size wars

1:51:28

and uh that was risky

1:51:30

now it's less risky so

1:51:32

if you look at all the other things the

1:51:34

pro every hard fork starts to clock

1:51:36

again

1:51:38

i i don't even want you to be able to do

1:51:40

a hard four

1:51:41

like it's like

1:51:43

the point is

1:51:44

if you're if you're trying to build on

1:51:46

manhattan someone said well we're going

1:51:48

to shift it slightly you know what's

1:51:51

what we call slight shifts

1:51:54

in the foundation of the city

1:51:56

earthquakes

1:51:59

we call them earthquakes

1:52:02

[Laughter]

1:52:05

a profound difference

1:52:07

uh between

1:52:10

building a company

1:52:12

and building on a property

1:52:14

if you're building on a property what

1:52:16

you want to hear is there hasn't been an

1:52:18

earthquake in a hundred years and it's

1:52:20

going to be the same in a hundred years

1:52:23

and then all of the bells and whistles

1:52:26

we build on the layer two and the layer

1:52:28

three

1:52:29

right the innovation is going to be in

1:52:32

square cash app it's going to be at

1:52:33

binance it's there's plenty of

1:52:35

innovation you want innovation look at

1:52:37

ftx very innovative

1:52:39

i mean there's a lot of innovation do

1:52:41

you look at any of the bitcoin d5 stuff

1:52:43

like uh i forgot it's called is it

1:52:45

called stack stacks stacks i don't

1:52:48

remember

1:52:49

i don't remember

1:52:51

i mean that the key question here is is

1:52:56

we we use decentralization we used uh we

1:52:59

used a decentralized crypto network to

1:53:01

create a global non-sovereign property

1:53:05

you can also use it to create sovereign

1:53:08

property i just gave you the example

1:53:09

china coin

1:53:11

canada coin

1:53:13

can you use it to create other things

1:53:15

can you use it to create cryptocurrency

1:53:17

i don't know we'll see right now

1:53:19

cryptocurrencies are digital currencies

1:53:21

and they're run by organizations and

1:53:22

there's regulatory compliance issues

1:53:24

what are the compliance issues around

1:53:26

applications

1:53:28

right i mean there's a lot of great

1:53:29

applications it just the issue becomes

1:53:31

one of what what are companies good of

1:53:34

companies are good at compliance they're

1:53:36

good at hiring an army of lawyers

1:53:39

in order to figure out you know

1:53:41

circumstances under which it is legal to

1:53:43

offer life insurance in massachusetts

1:53:45

right

1:53:46

that's it's a complicated issue

1:53:49

will that be solved with the d5

1:53:52

maybe there'll be a gray market thing

1:53:54

but it's going to sit in this

1:53:55

non-compliant gray market zone

1:53:59

and uh and the rest of the use case that

1:54:01

they all are going to be competitive

1:54:03

they're going to compete against

1:54:04

centralized companies

1:54:06

right if you read the crenshaw memo and

1:54:09

the crenshaw have you read it do you

1:54:10

know what i'm referring to

1:54:12

i do not know it's a memo written by a

1:54:14

commissioner of the sec one of five

1:54:17

caroline crenshaw if you read the memo

1:54:19

it's specifically on

1:54:22

it's pretty clear what what she's saying

1:54:25

which is

1:54:26

we know d5 is well intentioned

1:54:28

and we can understand the appeal of of

1:54:32

having a high speed high velocity

1:54:36

to do finance

1:54:39

we also

1:54:40

understand that there are organizations

1:54:43

and development teams that have to

1:54:44

configure these things and they have a

1:54:46

lot of power over it

1:54:49

even though you're well intentioned it

1:54:51

doesn't absolve you of the obligation

1:54:54

not to abuse the investor the retail

1:54:57

investor and you may inadvertently be

1:55:00

doing it even though you don't know

1:55:02

you're doing it

1:55:03

and as far as we're concerned these

1:55:05

things are mostly decentralized and name

1:55:07

only and we're going to treat them the

1:55:09

same as we treat centralized crypto

1:55:10

exchanges

1:55:12

and maybe you want to come see us

1:55:14

and if you read this one sentence and

1:55:15

they say come see us our phone has not

1:55:19

been ringing

1:55:20

and we have never failed to answer the

1:55:22

phone call us

1:55:24

and so the takeaway from that

1:55:27

yeah it's it's pretty

1:55:28

interesting you should read but the

1:55:30

takeaway from that is look

1:55:33

there is an idealistic future

1:55:37

but there's also uh there's also

1:55:40

the scourge of boiler room penny stock

1:55:43

pump and dump schemes

1:55:45

and just because you're an idealist

1:55:47

pursuing the future it doesn't absolve

1:55:49

you of responsibilities

1:55:51

uh to fair disclosure and fairness

1:55:54

and not to abuse retail investors

1:55:58

and uh there's there's there's an

1:55:59

ethical long before the sec act of 33

1:56:03

there are some simple ethical rules like

1:56:05

do not lie cheat and steal

1:56:07

okay so forget about sec laws

1:56:10

thousands at 10 000 years ago there was

1:56:13

rules like do not lie cheat and steal

1:56:15

and then if you read the securities laws

1:56:18

they kind of convert do not lie cheat

1:56:20

and steal into a bunch of expectations

1:56:23

and along with that has come some good

1:56:27

has come some bad

1:56:28

the bad is

1:56:30

and i'll freely admit it's like it's too

1:56:32

expensive to come public it costs you 10

1:56:34

million a year of overhead

1:56:36

there's no way to quickly issue a public

1:56:38

token you know the the government says

1:56:42

you know

1:56:43

they say you got to be a bank to issue a

1:56:45

stable coin but they won't let you be a

1:56:48

they say we want a bank to issue

1:56:50

stablecoin but now

1:56:51

but facebook found a bank silvergate

1:56:54

and then they had to drop dm why i mean

1:56:58

so so on one hand the politicians don't

1:57:01

want you to do these things on the other

1:57:02

hand they say there's a way to do it but

1:57:05

they don't make it easy to do

1:57:07

that's you know the crypto community has

1:57:09

got that

1:57:11

issue but the other side of the coin is

1:57:14

you know if you give somebody 50 billion

1:57:16

dollars of chips and you take it and you

1:57:18

use it to speculate on dogecoin and you

1:57:22

lose all the money right then there's a

1:57:25

run on the bank and people lose 50

1:57:26

billion dollars of u.s dollars but they

1:57:28

thought it was stable but it wasn't

1:57:29

stable right there's problem with that

1:57:32

right and there's a concern

1:57:34

and um

1:57:36

so i i think that that's going to have

1:57:38

to get

1:57:40

sorted out and it's a long

1:57:42

long road it's not yeah

1:57:44

i do think the

1:57:45

i do think the the like you know honest

1:57:48

path is difficult and because um you

1:57:51

know you have an environment today where

1:57:55

uh i think you have the most the highest

1:57:56

amount of retail investors ever right

1:57:58

robin hood over the last couple of years

1:58:00

became exceptionally popular

1:58:03

and retailer like trading options now

1:58:05

because i think monetary policy over the

1:58:08

last um

1:58:09

like 10 15 20 however many years has

1:58:13

driven inequality to a point where

1:58:15

regular people feel that they cannot um

1:58:19

they cannot save for the future or their

1:58:20

financial goals uh uh

1:58:23

escaping from them um so i think

1:58:28

that environment plus the privatization

1:58:31

of profits um with accredited investor

1:58:34

laws and the securities loads and it

1:58:36

being very expensive for people to go

1:58:38

public and it'd be very difficult for

1:58:40

retail investors to uh to put risk on a

1:58:43

reasonable valuation

1:58:45

and throughout

1:58:46

this year all these ipos have just gone

1:58:49

down only like robin hood is down 84

1:58:53

um there's been tons of these cases so i

1:58:56

understand from a retail investor's

1:58:58

point of view

1:58:59

they want to put risk on somewhere and

1:59:01

they have no opportunities so it just

1:59:03

ends up being somewhat like gambling and

1:59:05

all they want to do is buy a house and

1:59:06

they see the house prices running away

1:59:08

from them faster than their wages are

1:59:10

going up or faster than they can save um

1:59:13

so i do think it is a long road and um i

1:59:16

think crypt a lot of crypto exists in

1:59:18

this regulatory arb which has been

1:59:20

abused by bad actors and people who are

1:59:23

most tolerant to taking those personal

1:59:25

risks by running something fraudulent or

1:59:28

running a scam

1:59:31

on the other hand i also see a world

1:59:32

where uh it's allowing people access to

1:59:36

uh investment opportunities that they

1:59:38

that normally would be restricted just

1:59:41

venture capitalists and uh and stuff so

1:59:43

i do think it's an interesting moment in

1:59:45

history and um a lot of sort of social

1:59:49

and economic issues are uh converging uh

1:59:51

by the same time i recognize we about 30

1:59:54

minutes over the amount of time we we

1:59:56

said and i do want to say i have massive

1:59:59

respect for you because i have huge

2:00:00

respect for anyone that has a lot of

2:00:02

conviction in uh in a belief and then

2:00:05

executes on that conviction but not just

2:00:07

a little bit you like you've gone all in

2:00:09

um and

2:00:11

um i've got a lot of respect for for

2:00:13

that um on every episode we uh we asked

2:00:18

before we do that real quick i have one

2:00:20

quick super quick yes no typing do you

2:00:23

hold a significant amount of bitcoin

2:00:24

personally in addition to through

2:00:25

microstrategy

2:00:28

yeah i do i have 17

2:00:31

732. awesome i didn't know that i had

2:00:34

not seen that publicly so there we go i

2:00:36

tweeted that i mean i i bought that it's

2:00:39

like like ninety six hundred dollars a

2:00:42

coin or something i've had it before

2:00:44

i wasn't sure about that all right kobe

2:00:45

continued to alpha

2:00:47

i liked that you knew the exact number

2:00:49

though i don't know the exact number of

2:00:51

cards i have anymore um but yeah on

2:00:53

every episode we uh we ask a guest at

2:00:56

the the very end for some uh advice like

2:00:59

as like

2:01:00

some sort of mantra or piece of wisdom

2:01:03

that throughout your life you find

2:01:04

yourself often referring to and applying

2:01:07

in day-to-day life so that our viewers

2:01:08

can um

2:01:10

take it away maybe apply to theirs be

2:01:12

happier healthier smarter more fulfilled

2:01:14

definitely not financial advice and

2:01:16

definitely not to buy sailor moon coin

2:01:19

is there something that you can pass on

2:01:20

some wisdom that's been given to you

2:01:22

maybe by a teacher or a parent or

2:01:23

something that you uh want to pass on to

2:01:25

it to our audience of people that can't

2:01:29

focus

2:01:34

focus would be the one word but the the

2:01:34

piece of advice would be just because

2:01:36

you can acquire a thing doesn't mean you

2:01:38

can maintain the thing and it just

2:01:40

because you can maintain the thing

2:01:42

doesn't mean you can enjoy the thing

2:01:45

if you take a simple example of boat a

2:01:48

lot of people buy a boat and then they

2:01:50

realize they got to spend 10 percent of

2:01:51

the purchasing price every year to

2:01:53

maintain the boat like oh this is

2:01:54

expensive

2:01:57

even if you can afford to buy the thing

2:01:59

and pay 10 of the purchase price every

2:02:01

year to maintain it then they wake up

2:02:03

and they're like i don't have no time to

2:02:05

go hang out on this boat it's like

2:02:06

sitting in a marina halfway across the

2:02:08

country and they never get to it so it's

2:02:11

be careful

2:02:12

that your things don't owe you

2:02:15

most businesses fail or most business

2:02:17

plans fail because the business enters

2:02:20

into a new business they acquire a new

2:02:21

business that they can't compete in

2:02:24

and and it's easy to buy a business or

2:02:27

build a product it's much harder to

2:02:29

compete

2:02:30

to be competitive but it's really hard

2:02:33

the hardest hurdle is to compete

2:02:36

profitably

2:02:38

forever

2:02:41

right so you see it's like can you be

2:02:43

the best in the world at something

2:02:45

against other people that want to be the

2:02:46

best in the world at something can you

2:02:47

make money doing it do it and can you

2:02:50

stay competitive and get bigger and

2:02:52

better as the market gets better

2:02:54

and so you can imagine out of a thousand

2:02:56

things a thousand good ideas

2:02:59

there's maybe a hundred a thousand you

2:03:01

can do

2:03:02

a hundred you can be good at

2:03:05

and maybe one of them

2:03:08

you can enjoy

2:03:10

or you can prosper in

2:03:12

and i think that that principle holds

2:03:14

your personal life

2:03:15

people over extend they try to do too

2:03:17

many things and they acquire stuff and

2:03:19

they can't maintain it and they're not

2:03:21

going to enjoy it so everything becomes

2:03:22

dilutive it's a dilutive distraction

2:03:25

and then in business

2:03:27

so i can't tell you how many

2:03:28

entrepreneurs how many businesses every

2:03:31

one of the businesses i competed against

2:03:33

they all failed because they over

2:03:34

expanded and they kept doing acquisition

2:03:37

after acquisition

2:03:39

it's like and and if i look back at all

2:03:40

my mistakes it's like i don't regret any

2:03:45

bad idea i pursued

2:03:47

because news flash i never pursued a bad

2:03:51

you will never pursue a bad idea nobody

2:03:54

will ever fail because they pursued a

2:03:55

bad idea you will fail

2:03:58

because you pursued a good idea

2:04:00

you're like oh this is a really good

2:04:01

idea i can do this too and so i went to

2:04:04

do that and i found that oh it gets

2:04:06

exponentially more expensive to compete

2:04:09

in that second area

2:04:11

and not only do you have to be better

2:04:13

than everybody in the world

2:04:15

but every day someone else gets up with

2:04:17

infinite money and infinite power to do

2:04:20

it better than you do it

2:04:22

so the conclusion really is

2:04:25

figure out you know in your personal

2:04:27

life what you need to be happy

2:04:30

and focus on it

2:04:32

and uh

2:04:33

figure out what you're going to do in

2:04:34

your professional life

2:04:37

and focus on it and if you're going to

2:04:38

do that thing be the best of the world

2:04:40

of that thing and when someone comes to

2:04:41

you and says hey you know do you want to

2:04:43

launch your own trade show and your own

2:04:45

pizza company and you want to you know

2:04:47

do this and do that would you also like

2:04:49

to start your own whatever hedge fund

2:04:51

yeah you can

2:04:53

they're giving you the opportunity

2:04:55

you're you're gonna find that you'll

2:04:58

launch the business and then your core

2:05:00

thing that you're good at

2:05:01

you're now mediocre at

2:05:03

and there'll be some younger hungrier

2:05:05

person that's going to say oh yeah

2:05:07

kobe's lost the eye of the tiger he's

2:05:11

distracted now you know he's flirting

2:05:13

with all these other things so i'm going

2:05:14

to take his

2:05:16

spot right i'm going to displace him

2:05:19

and uh the same holds with portfolios

2:05:21

too it's like

2:05:22

say if you wouldn't hold it for a decade

2:05:24

don't hold it for 10 minutes

2:05:25

if you're gonna if you're gonna own

2:05:27

something figure out what you own

2:05:29

and have the conviction

2:05:31

and if you're gonna invest in something

2:05:33

you know make sure you do the research

2:05:35

to figure out the risk

2:05:36

related to investing in it

2:05:38

and if you're going to trade

2:05:41

you should know that you're the best

2:05:42

trader in the world if you trade

2:05:44

soybeans the guy that trades soybeans

2:05:47

that is the best trader in the world

2:05:49

with all the information flows and all

2:05:51

the proprietary algorithms and all the

2:05:54

deal flow advantages and the proprietary

2:05:57

whatever

2:05:58

that person knows they're the best in

2:06:00

the world if you're not that person

2:06:03

you're the sucker

2:06:05

and so just generally in life

2:06:08

don't be gallivanting around chasing all

2:06:11

these good ideas walking into markets

2:06:13

where someone else owns the market

2:06:17

and don't take on obligations that you

2:06:19

can't maintain and you can't enjoy

2:06:23

because it's it's a path to dilutive

2:06:27

distraction

2:06:28

and everybody always overestimates

2:06:31

what they can accomplish

2:06:33

it's like napoleon dropped an army in

2:06:36

russia hitler dropped an army in

2:06:39

russia

2:06:40

julius caesar dropped an army in

2:06:43

egypt you know napoleon dropped an army

2:06:46

in egypt

2:06:47

you know everybody drops an army and you

2:06:49

know the germans dropped an army in

2:06:51

egypt you know it's like everybody

2:06:53

thinks they can do more than they can do

2:06:56

and maybe you just ought to figure out

2:06:59

what you could be satisfied with and and

2:07:01

have a more modest

2:07:03

uh a modest plan

2:07:06

and focus upon making that work for you

2:07:09

your family your business your employees

2:07:11

your shareholders

2:07:13

michael saylor thank you so much

2:07:15

follow sailor on twitter

2:07:18

we appreciate you sir it was a pleasure

2:07:20

thank you both

2:07:21

everybody can go to uponly.tv to check

2:07:24

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2:07:25

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2:07:27

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2:07:28

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2:07:31

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we'll catch you next time bye

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