Michael Saylor: Bitcoin is the Best Property in the World
UpOnly · 2022-01-26 · 2h 07m · View on YouTube →
up only
hello and welcome to up only tv i'm
ledger we got kobe and the king of all
sat stackers michael saylor on the show
today we're excited for everybody to be
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let's get to the episode
cubby how you doing
i am nervous mate it's giga chad himself
is
sleepless yeah
like we're called up only but he is the
true up only poster boy saylor how you
doing
awesome thanks for having me
you know you're the most popular
podcaster that's invited me on my
notifications went nuts when you started
posting
and i i thought you know i said okay
yeah maybe we'll do this podcast and all
of a sudden i see like 25 blue checks
like the thing and i thought who is this
kobe dude
it must be the og podcaster because i've
never seen anybody so popular in my
notifications yeah we only started doing
it a year ago and honestly we don't
really talk much about markets or crypto
or bitcoin we just get drunk
yeah let the guests watch over us but um
yeah thanks for thanks for coming on um
i think he is probably been the most
anticipated episode when you replied it
got instantly like 10 000 retweets or
something um and i think a big part of
it is our audience or the people that
watch are um
they're into
crypto
like often late cycle um and their uh
role in crypto is a little bit more
similar to gambling than it is to
like super long
time horizon kind of it goes up forever
um they're making money to their trading
whatever not just bitcoin they're
trading like whatever dog coin or uh
sonic coin um in order to make a bit of
money so um you coming on as the there
is no second best bitcoin only um i
think is uh super interesting um to them
um
i'd love to ask
on your bitcoin journey from you know uh
day one hearing about it to you know
where you are now and what uh what sort
of changed throughout that time and um
yeah your realizations can we can we
start in a particular place with that
because this is the first tweet that i
know of with uh
with you about bitcoin and it was uh
skeptical uh
so like that was 2013 but then you know
obviously now you're you're one of the
biggest advocates out there and you know
i think a lot of us go through that
skeptical to believer journey but we
definitely won't hear it
yeah um
i think if you roll the clock back
to the beginning of the decade
and i i fancied myself a twitter
commentator i would watch things in the
tech space and you know how they're like
these twitter people and they post
things and they get three likes
and they think that someone's noticing
okay so i was posting and i might get
like 12 likes or eight likes and
probably like half the people work for
me that liked it and i had opinions
about
all sorts of stuff you know i
i was um a big tech enthusiast i wrote a
book called the mobile wave published it
in 2012 and
and uh you know and i was fascinated
with the idea of what happens when
software is dematerialized
and starts running on a mobile device
and
if you're sleeping with your software
and it can wake you up you know what how
would that create a business opportunity
you know
and the mobile wave winners were like
facebook and amazon and apple and google
what can you do with a mobile phone
you're not going to book a hotel
reservation on a pc
you know but when you've got a mobile
phone and you're out on a saturday
afternoon then maybe you could actually
do something commercial or communicative
or you know et cetera
um
so
i i tweet this and that uh i'll say two
things one
i didn't even remember i tweeted this
thing
uh when i actually announced we bought
bitcoin in in 2020. all the bitcoiners
they scoured everything i'd said in the
history of the world and then bring this
up i'll make did i say that wow
i noticed bitcoin once i literally had
forgotten i'd ever said it right but you
know you gotta give him credit that uh
the internet never forgets
but what i was thinking when i did tweet
that was
you know i watched uh i'd watched all
these online poker sites
and you know it was a great idea and
remember tradesports.com
when you could bet there used to be this
prediction markets i mean there still
are today i think uh
i think there's a love-hate relationship
people would like to vote on who's going
to win the super bowl and well you know
which politician will win this
and they'll get it started and then the
regulators will shut them down and um
so trade sports was like an online
gambling site and then they had online
poker sites and they were really big
what happened by the way is
i think like the indian casinos got
together gave a lot of money to the
southern baptist ministry that gave a
lot of money to jack abramoff which and
he went to lobby a bunch of politicians
in dc
to convince them that gambling is an
abomination in the eyes of god and the
remedy was of course to outlaw the
online
poker sites and allow the gambling and
the indian reservations in vegas to
continue but they
they basically
uh
pulled uh they stopped uh banks from
allowing you to wire money into trade
sports and online gambling sites and
first they did that and then they
actually pulled the ceos of those
companies off their flights while
passing through dulles airport and
arrested them and that shut that
business down so
so much you know we all we all like to
play poker it was kind of fun and bet on
who's going to win the next election or
whether it's going to rain on groundhog
day it seemed fun but it became
non-compliant and it just went away
so
at some point i probably read some
random thing about
bitcoin and you know it was being used
for silk road or use for whatever
and i said well it looks like it's gonna
go the way of online gambling some some
regulator will probably shut it down and
and uh i
it probably got like four likes
you know and okay here's oblivious
when you tweet something and nobody
notices
and you don't notice that nobody noticed
right
there's a lot of twitter influencers
like that even today people tweet some
random thing and like they don't notice
that nobody noticed or cared
out here
you know so i did that for a long time
and that was one of my tweets bottom
line with bitcoin is i didn't need it
i did i didn't need it it wasn't a
problem i was very i had a solution my
solution to every world problem was oh
mobile you know
amazon apple music apple photos mobile
apps amazon
apple is going to ship a a billion a
product to a billion people overnight
for a nickel and change the world and
you ought to buy apple stock
and i mean that's my solution buy apple
stock buy amazon stock buy whatever and
it works fine and that's the mainstream
the mainstream big tech or the
mainstream investor if they were
successful in that decade from 2000 to
2020
they entered in the big tech trade like
90 of the gains in the s p were making
like five companies
and if you you know and by the way the
the the tech rev the revolutionary
the revolutionary was going on a wall
street and saying you should buy amazon
or going to wall street and say you
should buy apple
you know and the mainstream investors
would say
well you know if apple stock doubles we
should just sell it and rebalance and
we'll buy a bunch of other computer
companies so you don't have too much
risk
and they're like well if amazon stock
doubles we should just sell it and buy
some other retailers you know toys r us
whatever something not too much risk
okay and and my you know
my view at that time and it's still my
view today is like
the problem with the the problem with
diversification
diversification is
selling the winner to buy the losers
one company in the retail space amazon
wins
the second company walmart
kind of treads water
and fifteen thousand companies lose
they all lose
and with apple
one company wins
they get a hundred and fifty percent of
the profit in the industry
every other company loses half as much
as apple makes or a third as much as
apple makes something to compete
and there are no winners
there there was just one winner there
was apple and the reason you don't want
to sell the winner to buy the losers or
the reason you don't want to diversify
or portfolio balance is
because the success of the one thing
eliminates the need for all the other
things
and
when that one thing is a digital network
and it's a digital monopoly
when the one thing is a youtube or the
one thing is an apple or an ios or
whatever
the problem is they can ship a piece of
software that's crappy
like apple tv
apple apple music they can ship anything
that's mediocre average but they can
ship it to 300 million people with a
marketing cost of a dollar and they
could ship it to a billion people over
the weekend for the cost of the
electricity like a nickel
and everybody else
has to you know like peloton's got to
manufacture a bunch of treadmills and
put them in inventory and you know they
got to deal with real world issues it's
nearly impossible to beat the digital
monopolies so
anyway that my my view was find a
digital monopoly and ride the wave the
mobile wave was digital transformation
of music and maps and relationships and
communications and entertainment and
video and television and books
and you know each of those companies
made about a trillion dollars doing that
you know fine
i didn't really see bitcoin as a
solution to my problem if i if i had all
my assets in argentina all of them
if i if i was a rancher in
zimbabwe
if i was a business person in syria or
lebanon or whatever i would have been
more sensitive because when more than 50
percent of your net worth
is at risk if i tell you you're about to
lose half of everything or all of
everything in the next 12 months or you
watch it happen
all of a sudden you get religion
um i i had just
i had my feathers singed i had a taste
of it i lost a million dollars in a bank
in brazil when the head of the bank just
stole the money
i never got it back
so i saw that counterparty risk rug poll
but it was a conventional
and then i i lost a million dollars in
argentina
you know when the argentine peso was one
peso to the dollar
i i literally remember when that when
the peso was one peso to the dollar
right if you if you google blue dollar
right now you'll find it's like 210
pesos to the dollar or something
but i remember when i was one and i
thought no way am i trusting the peso
with my money i had like a big company
that was selling business intelligence
software in argentina so i had about a
million dollars and i said well i don't
trust argentine argentine banks
get me an american bank you go oh oh my
ouch painful
it was 209 a week ago i swear to your
ledger and now it's 221.
look at the official rate
110. so they're not even recognizing the
actual rate
the cut the government will you know
they're like that we think it's 110 but
you have to come up with uh 221 for a
dollar if you want to actually get the
dollar
right they officially say you can put
110 pesos up for a dollar but they don't
have any dollars to sell you it's
capital control right
anyway uh but coming back to that
so i have a million dollars i say to my
finance people i say i don't trust an
argentine bank they're like no problem
we're going to put it in bank of america
oh bank of america i feel better about
that bank of america where in argentina
okay but it's the bank of american
branch in argentina and i don't trust
the peso like okay no problem we'll save
it in the dollar
okay i said well can i get out of the
country no
capital control we got to keep it there
like sure okay no
so i go to sleep and i wake the next
week it's like the finest people coming
in my office are like well you know we
got some bad news and some worse news
what's the bad news well the bad news is
the government converted all of our uh
all of our pesos uh all of our dollars
to pesos
and the worst news is the pace is
devalued ten to one
it's like so what do i have now like
well you have a you have a hundred
thousand pesos or something like that i
like i yeah you know you have a million
pesos worth a hundred thousand dollars i
said well can i get it out of the
country now they're like no it's gonna
keep
depleting that's crazy so so i had a
little inkling of of this issue but at
the end of the day 95 98 of our assets
were in the western world and and it was
just like a flesh wound
so um you know incidentally by about
2017
if you pull up that chart again can you
pull up the blue dollar chart put it on
the screen and you know you'll find
there's a little thing that shows the
the rate for like the last five years
pull the uh look at the uh informal rate
and pull up the chart there's a chart
there
yeah
okay you you want to uh go to that chart
in 2017
can you read uh what the no you you had
it on you had it on there i think
just uh
can you can you see 36 months ago
just put your cursor over it okay
okay you're showing the 20 years like
it's pretty brutal right yeah but what's
what's the rate around 2017 it was about
uh 20
okay yeah 20.
20 pesos to the dollar
and i'm looking at i'm reading the press
i'm like i know i'm going to lose all my
money in argentina again i know it's
going to happen i said
it's 20 pace of the dollar inflation
rates 30 40 percent a year i said can we
get the money out of argentina
they go well no
i said uh can we just go buy like two
million dollars of gold
like and they're like and carry it to
the airport it's like we'll get arrested
no
okay now i can't do that i said well can
we buy any can we buy like a ranch or
something in argentina at least buy
something tangible like well we can't we
don't own a ranch i said
can you guys just go buy a yacht in
argentina
and i want you to buy the yacht and i
want you to float it to the caribbean
and then we'll sell it or we'll keep the
you know the and the the finance people
and the lawyers came in my office to
stage an intervention
they're like they're trying you know how
when you have like your boss's boss
you're a very powerful person and you
want to tell them that no they can't do
something but you're afraid that they're
going to send you so you come in with
three other people as backup
yeah so there's like four people in my
office and i'm like okay i get it this
is like they're about to give me some
really bad news
they're going to tell me that i just
can't do it like i don't think there's
anything illegal about buying a yacht in
argentina if you're a company i didn't
think it was illegal i mean what's
illegal about buying a boat yeah but uh
i guess they're concerned about a
boating accident
but um
but you know so i i couldn't do that and
eventually i gave up and
yeah our solution was some roundabout
way we bought some sovereign debt from
the argentine government that where
there's a law makes it illegal legal to
buy the sovereign debt you take a 20
haircut and by the time you pay 20 or 30
fees
you know you've lost like 30 of your
money but maybe you got some of the
money out of the country
and it's all kind of compliant but
that's my experience with that currency
if you fast forward to 2020
you know when i discovered bitcoin again
i had a problem and at that point the
problem was half the market cap of the
company was in dollars
i had a billion dollar market cap i had
500 million cash the interest rate had
gone to zero was going to stay at zero
for four years
and uh
the wall street wall street had
recovered with a k-shape recovery and i
was staring at cash with a zero percent
yield in the s p up 25
which means that i'm basically losing 25
of the purchasing power of the money
and
i either have to just give back the 500
million dollars
i mean basically it's kind of like
amputating your left arm and your left
leg and attempting to run the race it's
like you're an athlete but we need to
you to like give up you know either two
of your legs or an arm and a leg and
then you can hop
in the race
it's either that or i better find out i
better find something to invest the cash
in
that's going to go up faster than the
money supply expands
and hence yeah we're back to can i buy a
boat with it it's like
i can't buy a boat so can i buy should i
buy gold should i buy land can i buy a
building can i buy a portfolio of real
estate can i should i buy baseball cards
what can i buy
that's actually going to go up in value
more than 20 a year
and you know to make a long story short
we shifted through everything we thought
crypto gold was a good idea we shifted
through all the cryptos we thought
bitcoin was the crypto gold
and we started on this journey and
there's a long story about how we
finally got into our position we are
today where we got like five billion
dollars worth of it
we started
to make a very short story we we started
deciding we'll buy 250 million dollars
of the bitcoin and will give 250 million
dollars back to the shareholders in a
buyback
the idea being that the shareholder
assault were sparked stark raving crazy
and they wanted to get off the crazy
train they can sell their stock back at
a at a premium
and that's what helps you to avoid
getting sued
right because if i just did it and the
stock traded down
then i immediately get a whole rash of
shareholder lawsuits
you know alleging that i shouldn't have
done it
but if we announced the the initiative
along with the buyback well the stock's
going to trade up because we're going to
buy back the stock and that way it does
a bunch of things it's kind of
prophylactic
from a shareholder relation point of
view it also rotates your shareholder
base
and it also de-stresses the transition
because instead of have if i put out a
new if i got put on a news release at
nine o'clock in the morning where we
just bought 500 million dollars of
bitcoin
every investor has 27 minutes to
research bitcoin
and they decide whether they like that
or not now how many people can figure
out whether or not they want to own 20
million worth of bitcoin in 27 minutes
on a monday morning right they go
ballistic nuts
so you don't really want to surprise
anybody one of the rules of running a
publicly traded company a simple rule is
no surprises
be transparent be very predictable
you know tell them what you're thinking
about tell them you're thinking about
tell them how you're thinking about it
tell them how you thought it you know
and make sure that it is
utterly boring
so
you do a tender offer it's 20 days
everybody's got 20 days to study it and
at the end of the 20 days they can
either tend to their shares at a premium
or they can stay
on board you know for the ride and they
can um and they can be investors in the
company so that's kind of how we got
into it and
i didn't really tweet much about bitcoin
when we made the first announcement
because we're in the middle of a dutch
auction and every investor has to decide
whether they want to
buy or sell the stock or hold right
and it's a security
and if you're if you're a public company
officer of a security if i do jury
duties and it's like if i made it look
like i wanted them to sell into the
tender that's bad if i made it look like
i wanted them to not do it it's bad if
you know i was like i i just don't want
to condition the market everybody's got
to make their own decision
so we really didn't start to communicate
until
later
like after the tender offer expired then
i started seeing some of these tweets
where i had
you know said the bitcoin was going to
zero and i'm like oh crap
like
all of a sudden there's like twitter has
come to life if you had this experience
for a decade where you tweet every
single day for a decade and four people
notice and you kind of it makes you a
little bit what is the word comfortable
like
like maybe you think you think no one's
noticing so you could be a little bit
more loose
and then at some point people are
noticing and you're like you get the
math wrong and if you multiply by two
numbers and you got you're wrong in the
third significant digit you get
excoriated
they've got receipts on the internet i
posted i posted one tweet you know and i
you know i
i posted a tweet by gandhi and i spelled
his name wrong you know i put the gh
instead of a g-a-n-d or whatever i had
the h in the wrong place
and i tweeted it and then within like 17
seconds there's like four people that
have like lambasted me for spelling
gandhi's name wrong and i'm like oh crap
i have to fix this or i'm not going to
feel the end of it for the you know next
many days and so i'm like delete
create
google gandhi
copy paste it you know now you gotta
like you gotta google everything before
you tweet it for the spell checker to
check it and lord help you if you didn't
have the apostrophe where you should
have had the apostrophe there's somebody
who's going to like rip you to shreds
but i guess that's why we love them
ollie so when did i like i like the idea
that someone saw a tweet
about like
gandhi talking about bitcoin and they
focused on the spelling of his name
he didn't say that i was like he spelled
his name wrong though
a lot of times people were like gandhi
did not endorse bitcoin
dude
obviously everyone knows that you're
like incredibly bullish on bitcoin
hardest money biggest network effects
all those things bitcoin is energy and
we're all cyber hornets and what i can't
remember all the memes um
what i would like to know is when did
owning bitcoin under a corporate
umbrella change from i want to maintain
the buying power of the cash that we
manage within our company to
we're going to buy absolutely all the
bitcoin we possibly can
with you know cash debt instruments
whatever the hell is out there like if
we can get our hands on bitcoin we want
our hands on bitcoin like when did that
conversion occur
yeah that's an interesting uh story in
in the second quarter of 2020
the k-shape recovery hit and what i said
was
if you're on main street this is the
worst year of your life in 30 years
there's nothing worse than this if
you're manufacturing products with
people and providing goods and services
in the real world
but if you but the k-shape recovery
meant that if you're on wall street you
had a 30 gain in your portfolio and and
the average s p index was up 10 a year
for 100 years
and is up 30 percent in one year
so
wall street had the best year of their
life
main street had the worst year of their
i'm sitting in the in the middle i'm
saying i got a massive problem i'm
obviously i'm missing something we can't
keep
we can't keep going where it's like
we're rowing six miles an hour against a
30 knot wind
this is not going to work
so
the first bitcoin buy that we announced
in august
that was defensive that was i either
have to do this
or i get stripped of all my capital and
if i lose my financial capital my stocks
trading not at 120 bucks it'll be
trading at 60 bucks a share if it's
trading at 60 bucks a share the stock
options are underwater the rsus are
underwater
microsoft and amazon and google and
apple target all my employees
you know my top line's shrinking my
turnover is going to double right we're
kind of we're headed toward a death
spiral if we give the capital back if we
hold the capital it's dead money on the
balance sheet losing 20 percent so i'm
gonna lose a hundred million dollars in
in shareholder value and make 50 or 75
million a year so i'll work for the next
decade but make no progress just
i'm just rowing against the wind that's
blowing harder than i can grow so
i figured uh
better to take a risk than have a than
suffer either a fast death
giving up the capital is kind of a
speedy death keeping the capital is a
slow death
do something take a risk is a chance at
life
so
so i figured better to take a risk it's
defensive and the first purchase in
august was 250 million
you know and i i thought you know
wouldn't it be great if we get 50 a
share in bitcoin but i but our first buy
was about 25 a share in bitcoin about 10
million shares outstanding
and then the dutch auction well i didn't
know what would happen i mean for all i
know if the shareholders hated bitcoin
we would have got hit with 250 million
dollars of redemptions
and then that's all we would have but as
it turns out the dutch auction resulted
in 60 million dollars in redemptions and
175 million in free capital
so at that point you know
we meet as a board and we think well
we've got extra capital we've already
come halfway we might as well adopt this
as the primary reserve asset
and so we did that
then we bought 175 million more bitcoin
it wasn't easy because we bought that
first tranche bitcoin was trading like
11
600
yeah and that 20 days it traded down to
10 000 okay so so
and and that first 20 days i'm getting
beat on pretty hard you know you you're
more on you've lost 40 million dollars
or something
people kind of make fun of me today on
twitter like michael said i lost all
this money they're like it's not my
first time you know
[Laughter]
you know take a ticket stand in line
this is like not the first time a trade
has gone against me
so
so the the actual courageous decision
i think was the second decision because
the second time around we were putting
175 million dollars in and i think that
purchase was like 10
400 a coin
so we were actually doubling down
after the market moved 10 against us
but you know it is what it is
and so
that's stage one defensive and uh what
happened next is the stock traded up
and then all of a sudden the stock
traded up to the 10-year high
and so for 10 years we've never gotten
above 200 a share and went to 200s and
we went to the 300s
and um
at that point
you know we're
we're generating cash we bought bitcoin
with some cash
you know some of the employees were
exercising some stock options we
generated cash from stock option issues
we bought some bitcoin with that
and um and you know the equity markets
were pretty strong the convertible
market was strong and we thought
well maybe we can actually raise money
in a convertible debt offering
and uh
so we came out we offered uh we offered
a 400 million dollar debt offering well
you know the stocks trading in like 300
or something you know
we couldn't have raised 400 million
dollars
at that level at any other time in 10
years so we thought we'll offer that
bitcoin traded up a lot and our stock
was up and we had an opportunity so we
upsized the deal
we priced it at the low end of the range
we were able to basically make the deal
a 650 million dollar deal at 75 basis
points like three quarters of one
percent interest
and uh it was a 37 percent premium which
was the high end of the range which
meant that in essence the strike was 398
dollars a share
now keep in mind that a few weeks
earlier our stock was trading ninety
and when we announced this strategy our
stock was 120 a share
so
we're in essence we're raising money at
not quite four times but almost four
times that price
and at that point i call that
opportunistic
it's like why did you raise the 650
million dollars at less than one percent
interest
well because like why wouldn't you
why yeah why wouldn't you like if
someone wanted to give you a 650 million
dollar loan to invest in anything you
wanted to invested in
for less than one percent interest would
you take the money
yes
yeah okay so
we're opportunistic at that point you
know and like
i think i think in that in the offering
you know they said well are you going to
buy bitcoin with it i said yeah i'm
going to buy bitcoin with it like and so
we went back and forth over well is it
for general corporate purposes
or to or to buy bitcoin and we
eventually said something like we're
going to buy bitcoin with it and then
hold it for general corporate purposes
if we want in the future
so we're at the stage where an
enterprise software company you know in
our and our market cap is up and we've
got this interesting treasury reserve
strategy
and and it went from a treasury
investment to a treasury reserve
to an opportunistic capital raise
then what happened next is by the time
we got to like february
you know bitcoin caught fire you
remember what happened like it went to
all-time high so we bought 650 million
dollars of bitcoin around 19 000 or 20
000 i don't remember exactly but
people said you're crazy you're buying
at the all-time high
okay let me just say for the record guys
i'm going to be buying at the all-time
high forever
like
you know if the company's in business 30
years then every year for the next 30
years there's going to be a point at
which i'll be buying an all-time high
you know
the haters are like they're like blah
blah blah you bought some at 57 or 49 or
whatever they always conveniently forget
that i also bought 175 million worth of
it below 10 000.
like they leave that part out right they
always remember the other part
um but you know every year forever if
you just focus upon the last six months
you're going to be able to find someone
buying something all-time high so
we bought this at the all-time high
no i was like what was the all-time high
to date i mean
at some point the world changes i have i
have views of you know the future and
the future includes things that have not
yet occurred
and the future includes things that
didn't happen in the past
and so
right uh the all-time high is just the
all-time high to date
so we bought
and this and bitcoin just kept trading
up you know we probably bought a bunch
at 19 000. you remember was 25 000 by
christmas it was 30 000 by new year's
day and then it went on this
run
that convertible bond that we sold
that was the best performing bond of the
year of every bond sold by any company
in the world
okay the the people that bought that
bond like
triple their money or sorry like it
traded up it tripled right they doubled
their they got a 200 return in like six
weeks so it was a it was a screaming
home run
so um
you know because the strike was 3.98 our
stock ended up going to a thousand
bitcoin would scream and like you know
you could go do the math but
so
at that point we had a chance to go back
to the market and we thought well maybe
we could do it again
okay our stock had a thousand dollars a
share so
we went back we did a convert we started
this time at 600 million and we upsized
it to 900
million or something and we exercised a
green shoe in a 1 billion 50 million
dollar capital raise
and uh the range of coupon was zero to
50 basis points so we priced it at zero
zero interest
and the rate of the premium was 37 to 50
and 37 to 47 or something and so we were
at the high end of the range so the
shorts the short story there is
so we essence we raise a billion fifty
million dollars with a strike price of
fourteen hundred thirty two dollars a
share now you remember what my bottom
was like 90 a share you remember what my
tender price was it was 140 a share
in september people were giving the
stock back to us at 140 a share because
they thought we were crazy
[Laughter]
and we turned around we sold a billion
dollars at fourteen hundred thirty two
dollars a share now why because why
wouldn't you
again mike
why if someone said okay what business
are you in blah blah blah well would you
like a billion dollars for the next six
years for free to invest in that
business
well yeah
i mean
so at that point i i don't know if it
was before or after but in the february
time frame
we had to file our 10k a public company
files an annual report and an annual
report it's audited and it's pretty
serious document it's probably the
single most serious document you file
every year is the 10k and in the 10k we
had to address this issue is this
a treasury strategy
is it opportunistic is it defensive or
is it
strategic
and that's the point where we turned the
corner and we said you know
we're not just to say
if you go back and you look at my first
cnbc interview
you know melissa lee said well are you a
software company or a hedge fund i'm
like
well we're a software company and uh six
months later we said well what are you
and and the answer is well we really are
two things now
we've got two business strategies we're
a business intelligence company and
we're selling enterprise software and we
got 30 years experience it's a 500
million a year business it's growing
zero to 10 a year
it's gonna generate 50 to 100 million in
cash flow a year
it's profitable that's what we are
we love it we'll keep doing it uh
but you know you can't really scale it
like if you gave me a billion dollars i
couldn't just go hire 10 000 more people
and make it 10 times bigger
like you can't scale it with labor you
can't scale it with capital we're not a
monopoly we're not
we're not google or facebook or amazon
or apple i can't just you know buy a
music service and bundle it on 18
billion devices right
i have to go and knock on doors and sell
things so that is like your main street
company
we provide services and products that
take a lot of effort to people that
value them and we're very proud of what
we do
but the other strategy was the bitcoin
strategy
and the bitcoin strategy we thought long
and hard about it it's acquiring whole
bitcoin
pure and simple
not trade
not
not anything else just acquire and hold
bitcoin it's like acquiring hole
property
right uh it it might evolve
sometime in the future to be something
more sophisticated but acquiring holding
bitcoin
seemed like a reasonable thing to do
and it became proactive at that point
and we set it in black and white we said
if you're buying the company
then you're buying a company that's
going to acquire and hold bitcoin
and it's going to
build and sell and market enterprise
business intelligence software
and we do our best to disclose all the
risk factors and all the cost and how we
do it
and um
with regard to acquire and hold bitcoin
it's like how are you going to do it
well
by any means that is accretive
and the creative's a very a powerful
word but i
you know are you going to do it with
equity you're going to deal with debt
are you going to deal with cash flows
you're going to do it with convertible
debt well you know it all depends upon
the terms and conditions and the risks
associated with the financing and it's
pretty obvious if i generate 50 million
in cash flow and i buy bitcoin with it
that's creative
so yeah i'm going to do that
but we may do other things
and so i would say that that's the
journey in august it's defensive
in december
it's opportunistic
by
march february to march it's become
strategic
you said um you said you know uh i
bought the all-time high and i'll buy
future all-time highs over the next 30
years you know i'm i'm just buying
non-stop how do you think about the
um
i guess historically cyclical nature of
of the markets where i've been in crypto
since 2012 or so so i've sat through
three horrendous uh soul-crushing uh
bear markets of
just being down only and me losing my
sanity a little bit um
and
um i've also sat through some of the
most euphoric op only
years over the past decade um
is your strategy you just don't give a
you're buying no matter what like
periodically
yeah um but but i have a more articulate
answer
first of all
we're an institution
so the life expectancy of an institution
is forever like if you're a company
right that the company will transcend it
will last past me right i'm not a family
right the you know
the life expectancy of a family depends
upon you know it depends upon the family
it might be 100 years it might be 10
years right it might
might be you're a solo dude and you're
thinking i just need to have a lambo in
three years and nothing else matters but
a lambo or or whatever
um
institutions have a longer time horizon
uh the second is we're a profitable
institution so i we don't we don't
if you're an individual and you were
trading in crypto and you needed to pay
your bills you worried about health
insurance or you got married you had
kids and you want to put your kids and
you want to get a house or buy a car
well you have near-term cash
requirements
microstrategy generates
cash
right we will when we came down this
path we concluded we would always
generate cash
and and the reason we concluded this
kobe is
is there is a massive digital
transformation and we realize that no
amount of throwing money at sales and
marketing will actually grow our
business
we couldn't throw money at it if we
wanted to we tried it like
it's
be a fantastic 30 years like i've gone
through a period where i'm like i'm
going to hire 400 engineers i'm going to
go spend 20 million dollars on marketing
trade shows i'm going to go spend i
spent 20 million dollars on
ads on facebook and linkedin
ask me whether they work
i'm guessing no but did they work no
they don't work they don't work right uh
you know like i i've spent five hundred
thousand dollars for two days of a trade
show you know i i you know
i've done i've been there i've done all
that stuff
so i got to the point where
i realized that we really couldn't throw
money and capital at the at the core
business and make it grow we had a cash
cow
and
and the problem with the cash cow by the
way is if the money supply is expanding
at 10 percent a year which is what it
was from 2010 to 2020
if your top line and your cash flows
don't grow more than 10 a year your
stock will tank
so the only way to avoid your stock
tanking if you want your stock to be a
store of value you have to grow your
cash flow per share greater than the
rate of the monetary inflation
this is why amazon works amazon google
facebook grow 20 percent that's why they
work this is why apple bought a lot of
their stock back and leveraged up
right if you can't grow your top line
you either do acquisitions this is why
oracle bought a lot of companies
your choices are you have a monopoly and
you grow your top line 20 or you do a
bunch of acquisitions
or you leverage up
or you sell out
those are your four choices so
imagine if i can't grow twenty percent i
got a problem but what happens when the
inflation rate goes to twenty percent
and you can't grow thirty percent
okay at that point it's pretty hopeless
so um
i i kind of realized that i had a good
business
but as a public company
it's dead money
because the investor's view is
they they want you to grow faster than
the hurdle rate or or they just rather
you roll over and die
it's like
you know if if
your your your father or mother was a
doctor and they had a practice and they
were
doing good business and delivering
babies and saving lives
you know and and the inflation rate's 25
and you said you know mom dad are you
going to raise your prices 25 this year
like no no my customers can't pay 25
more okay so roll over and die
like uh
what so i got to like roll up the
business
and end it like
there you know there's something in our
society right where i think it's pretty
obvious that you probably need
doctors and dentists even if they can't
grow their companies 25 you need them
but somehow in the public market the
public investors are of the view that if
your company can't grow 25 percent
you're worthless
and so so there's a dichotomy and you
can see
you can see that if the the central
bankers crank up the inflation rate from
three percent to seven percent to ten
percent to fifteen percent to twenty
percent what you're doing
is you're tilting the playing field
in favor of the monopolies and the
manufacturing businesses against the
small businesses and the manufacturers
and the craftsmen
and you know eventually you're just
destroying anybody that's not highly
automated and highly capital intensive
and
you know i saw it viscerally 99 of my
competitors went out of business
well you know i am literally the last
man standing in my industry
like you might go check i don't think
there's there's no ceo in the enterprise
software business that stayed in their
job you know longer than me 99 out of
100 ceos in my industry went out of
business the companies that i compete
against gone and people think oh it's
just competition
well it's partially competition
but it's partially monetary policy
so um
you know
coming back to this entire issue i i i
kind of was aware
that um
that wasn't going to work
and i couldn't i didn't need the capital
i was going to generate cash
and um
you know and you're saying well how do i
view the volatility well
i've got a cash cow
what i need to be is i need to be an
asset rich company
because if you're an asset rich company
with property or some kind of assets
then um
it's kind of like
putting up a sale like you're in a boat
you're in a row boat you're rowing at
seven knots the wind is blowing against
you seven knots you're not going
anywhere then the wind is blowing
against you 14 knots you're going
backwards at that point you have this uh
realization that you're never going to
get to your destination and you're going
to die at sea
it's like that guy it's sad story i
don't know if you noticed the guy was
trying to row across the atlantic last
week and he died
you know it's very sad
but the problem is if you can't outro
the current or outro the wind
then you're never gonna you're gonna die
and uh so i'm in a rowboat corporately
and the wind figuratively speaking
metaphorically speaking is the monetary
inflation rate
so you can keep working harder
you know like that
horse and animal farm or whatever just
keep working harder to your heartbeat
the heart breaks or you can do something
and the something is
you put up a 250 million dollar crypto
sale
okay and then you make it a 425 million
crypto sale
and so now i got a 500 million dollar
sale if you have a 500 million dollar
sale and the monetary inflation rate's
20 percent you're gonna get a hundred
million dollar shareholder gain a year
and and so
at that point
you can see
if i had 500 million in cash yielding
zero and i generate a hundred million in
cash flow
and if the inflation rates twenty
percent
then the hundred million in accretion is
offset by the hundred million in
dilution on the balance sheet and in
essence two 000 people row as hard as
they can to go nowhere yeah you're just
trading more right
on the other hand when i flip the 500
million in cash to 500 million in
bitcoin
at that point if bitcoin trades up 20
30 right now i've got 100 million plus
100 million now i'm going somewhere
right now i've got 200 million in
accretion instead of zero in accretion
and at that point you go borrow another
500 million if you go short the dollar
you borrow 500 million
and now you got a billion dollar crypto
sale
now the 20 inflation rate generates 200
million a year
put another 100 million on top of it you
generate 300 million a year in in uh
shareholder games
divided by 10 million shares you got 30
dollars a share
now you can have a 300 or 600 stock
right
so
so i i am i was aware of the volatility
but now let me put you back in the ocean
you're in the middle of the atlantic
ocean you're going to die because you're
rowing and somebody says hey i got an
idea to save our lives we'll put up a
sail
and then we're going to turn and tack
with the wind and we're going to sail
with the wind and someone else says
you know the wind is kind of gusting you
know sometimes the wind goes away and
sometimes it turn changes direction and
we're going to have to continually trim
the sails and we might like occasionally
shred a sail it's like
yeah
but i want you to roll back the clock
and try to figure out whether you know
the new world would have been discovered
on ships with no sails
like it's it's like you're not getting
anywhere without using the wind
i mean do
you know the history of the duponts
right the duponts came to america
because um
they're few they were huguenots i think
and they couldn't own property and they
were running out of the country and they
had no pot they had no future so they
decided to come to america they're
getting a sailing ship supposed to take
like six weeks captain gets lost
you know it takes 12 weeks they run out
of food everybody's half starving to
death
you know it's like people think they
take all this for granted like this is
easy
no i mean people that came to wherever
they came to australia america wherever
it was it was never easy i mean they
were dying along the way
right the mortality rate from amsterdam
to australia is like 30 percent
each way
100 people get on the boat 30 people die
before you reach your destination it's
like it did not used to be easy but
that's with the sale
yeah and so you can say well
were you afraid of the volatility
well
i was certain i was going to die
with the row with the rowing and so or i
was going to get tossed on a stormy sea
of fate
and my view is better get tossed around
by the stormy seas of fate than a
certain death
in a rowboat
and uh
you know so that's that's what i think
about that i'll make one more point on
the future
you know
if you want to model any given system if
it's if it's an adiabatic system it's a
closed system it's like a a wind tunnel
you know it's one of those it's a it's a
tank
you know that you're using to test your
hull designs
if the energy is is completely
predictable and controllable and there
are no new sources of energy there are
no uncontrolled variables and if you run
the experiment 10 000 times you can
probably find some resonating frequency
and you can find some patterns and it
becomes predictable
right like
vibration it's predictable you know
exchange of forms of energy in a closed
system
but as i said before if godzilla shows
up to the kid's playground
then all of your models
they're all irrelevant and broken it is
true
that you know
it's it's totally true that if i die if
i deal you double aces
then you have an advantage in the poker
game
but if i take out a gun and point it at
your head and say give me your goddamn
money
the double aces
don't give you an advantage in the poker
game anymore right the point is the
system change
there are new developments
and so
i think the people that have lived in
crypto industry for the last decade they
lived through a very difficult time and
i respect that you know
and their lessons are their lessons and
and you should respect them for what
they what they learned
but
just because you lived through
the first decade of the industry
doesn't mean that you can
draw upon
solely your experiences and your data
sets to extrapolate
the second decade
of the industry
right you you know you fought wars with
bows and arrows and spears your entire
life and i show up with a bunch of dudes
with machine guns
and then you you want to call the battle
strategy
and
the point is you're fighting the last
war
and like there are there are elements
of what you learned in the past decade
that are relevant
but let's
you know let's point
let's just deal with uh the elephant in
the room here which is
if you look at bitcoin and you look at
all the other cryptos
there's a crypto economy it's got its
own future it's very complicated and
murky we could talk about it for three
hours
it's there's competitive issues security
issues regulatory issues
nation state issues complicated then
there's bitcoin a digital property on a
dominant network
it doesn't need any of the other crypto
whatever to be successful
for bitcoin to be successful there are
there are any of 10 000 entities
the sovereign wealth fund of abu dhabi
the sovereign wealth fund of saudi
arabia the qataris the emir you know the
emiratis the norwegian sovereign wealth
fund every public investor every macro
investor every large company on earth
any municipality any state any
government
any there's 10 20 000 people they go to
sleep tonight they could wake up
tomorrow morning
and they could say
i think bitcoin looks like crypto gold
i'm gonna go ahead and put three percent
of my portfolio in it that means i'm
gonna buy four billion dollars of it i'm
gonna buy four or five billion dollars
of it it's nothing to me
it's nothing
it's like you know figure out how
important two percent of your money is
it's like that deal is like i noticed it
i'm gonna put two three percent of my
assets into it we'll see where it goes
lfg and they put the news release out on
the wire
and uh bitcoin doubles or triples
and then you know if if the sovereign
wealth fund of some middle eastern state
did it if they bought five billion these
people have 500 billion dollars
like the intelligent sovereign wealth
funds they're not you know the central
banks of smart countries they're not
sitting on a bunch of
long-dated t-bills they're not holding a
bunch of sovereign debt
they're holding apple amazon facebook
you know it's like it's the day that uh
that a warren buffett gets up and he
says to some dude that works for him i
got 50 billion figure out something to
invest it in and the dude says oh we
bought 10 billion dollars with apple and
then apple triples and warren buffett
made more money on apple stock which was
a delegated decision by a dude
he made more money on apple stock than
he made in his entire life and he's
acknowledged to be like maybe one of the
most successful investors in the last
100 years and yet the thing he made the
most money on was like an afterthought
so so back to what does this mean to
bitcoin it's like
some dude with a 400 billion dollar
balance sheet can delegate to a
portfolio manager to look at this thing
and that portfolio manager can certainly
put two percent into it and if if you
pick up the paper and you read that the
sovereign wealth fund of such and such
state bought five billion worth of it
what happens is the next five countries
they think they'll put five billion into
it
and what happens next is
somebody at google say i guess we can
hold five billion of it
and then somebody at goldman sachs or
morgan stainless i guess we probably
should grab some
and then ray dalio with his 50 billion
or 100 billion or 150 billion dollars
okay well i guess
instead of like half a percent maybe
three percent
okay and then all of a sudden bitcoin
spends from forty thousand to a hundred
and fifty thousand
two hundred thousand
and i guess what i'm telling you is
there's ten thousand people that could
make five billion dollars in 30 days if
they wanted to bend over
and pick up the money
without taking a risk
and it's it's literally like they might
just notice you
they haven't really noticed you yet and
um
that being the case
you know
kobe everything you know for the past 12
years right now i was listening to the
kobe broadcast but but it's like four
hours long by the way
to your credit guys i didn't want to
speed it up because i was kind of
enjoying the banter so like if i was if
i was just in it to cherry pick some
facts i would have watched it at 2x
speed but
you know i kind of enjoyed it so i got
like halfway through it haven't got all
the way through it there's a lot of
stuff that i don't you know i don't know
sometimes i learn it the hard way when i
get beat up by the hornets about you
know being
oblivious to the new york agreement or
the block size wars or something so uh
you know i'm still learning
but at the end of the day
you know the future is going to be
determined in part by
the past and in part it part of it is
what the crypto industry thinks and does
but a lot of it is a function of what
one one regulator could get up tomorrow
and put out a press release that would
double the market
you know any politician there's there's
probably 200 politicians
there's five there's 10 000 big
companies
there's 10 000 big institutional
investors there's 10 000 big
governmental entities
here's the big idea
the things at a tipping point you don't
need them all to agree
you just need anybody
to agree all you need is one two three
one will tip five will tip 25
and then you spin up
by an order of magnitude
so when will that happen
i don't know like is it an it's not an
if it's a win it will happen because
i can't really imagine that we live in a
world where 30 000 people don't want
billions of dollars of money
like sometimes i'll i'll talk to these
big investors and they'll say what's
what's this thing with bitcoin so it was
digital properties the dominant global
digital
asset network and and it's a lever and
here's here's the reason it's better
than credit or bonds or real estate
here's how it fits in your portfolio
and they're like
i can think about it some more
and i try to always be very polite
but in the back of my head
like i'm like you have 25 billion
dollars in your portfolio and you
generated two percent yield last year
which is downright embarrassing because
the s p was up 25
and a freaking robot
could have got 10x what you got
and i'm thinking
you must not like money that much
like like i'm listening to you
i'm telling you take a billion take 2
billion buy bitcoin put out a press
release explain why you bought it
and wait and you're going to double your
money
you must not like money right
because it would take you
i don't know not that long it's not easy
to make billions of dollars
it's not easy
but um
there is one easy way
bitcoin
bitcoin's easy way and uh
it all comes down to what your balance
sheet right it used to be the sum with
50 million dollars could lean on it
you saw our impact we started with 500
million
we really started 250 million in capital
that we could invest and so now we're up
to 5 billion
but what happens when someone comes in
starting with five billion
right and i i think that uh the future
the future is is
a function
of what everybody else in the world does
and there's a lot of people that have a
vested interest in discovering this this
is a solution
to a lot of problems it's it's a big
tech solution
if you're apple
you can take your market cap up by two
trillion dollars
okay so does someone in apple want to
make two trillion dollars
presumably
i you know i
there are certain
you know there are certain uh big tech
players that will remain nameless or
even exchanges i'm like
certain exchanges that will remain
nameless you know you take a billion
dollars you buy bitcoin you put it on
the wire bitcoin trades up your stock
trades up
right
so
there are a lot of big tech companies
apple google facebook amazon microsoft
to just name a few
they could make a hundred billion to a
trillion dollars
will they
not all of them but somebody will
you've got all the nation states
let's take turkey
the turkey could print a billion dollars
worth of lire buy a billion dollars of
bitcoin and denominate it in lira double
the price of bitcoin in lyra right it's
like it's a simple trade
and the emirates they could just buy a
billion 10 billion of bitcoin with dram
right they have their own currency
take your own currency convert it into
property it's a reflexive trade
it doesn't work for the last
entrant to the market but it works for
the first five percent so
it's an it's an obvious trade um
for a nation state it's an obvious trade
for um any um
any company
like a company let's take my company
what did i do
well first i took existing cash and i
bought bitcoin then i borrowed money and
bought more bitcoin
why was i able to borrow the money i was
able to borrow the money because the
stock traded up because i bought the
bitcoin right so buying the bitcoin
drove the stock opened up the
opportunity to borrow the money
opened up more opportunities and
in the third in the fourth quarter we
sold
a billion dollars worth of stock
we sold a billion dollars of stock you
know blended 700 a share
you remember what the stock was at when
i started the journey
okay so what's going on is i'm backing
the equity of the company with an asset
which is stronger than a currency
the equity trades up
all the securities of the company trade
up and then i borrow money to buy
the uh buy back into the balance sheet
so today
you know say what you will we're sitting
on five billion dollars or 124 000
bitcoin
right
which is an asset
as opposed to having a liability
and we got there in 18 months we got
there from august to today right about
18 months
you know you could do the same thing
with the country
because the currency of a country is
like the stock of a company
and if you're a municipality
like
a mayor
the mayor of new york
you know if you go check new york
municipal debt they can borrow money at
one percent interest
new york could go borrow a billion
dollars
i mean here's a real bitcoin bond you
borrow a billion dollars at one percent
interest you buy bitcoin
better idea you borrow 10 billion
dollars at 1 interest you buy 10 billion
a bitcoin
so do this thought experiment
what would happen if you woke up and you
read a press release from the mayor of
new york saying
we just issued five billion dollars of
of debt and we're going to buy bitcoin
with it to fix the balance sheet of new
york city
what do you think would happen to the
price of bitcoin
i whatever happens i get liquidated i'm
sure
yeah i have a lot of questions that was
a solid hour of my i do think
i do think i do think the second second
person you know like el salvador did it
and now there's rumors of honduras and
guatemala and brazil
and
you know you spoke to a lot of cfos and
ceos over the last year i'm sure i do
think the second person is a very
underappreciated form of leadership
because it turns the first person who
goes out and there and does something
from being like a lone wolf that looks a
little bit crazy into
okay now there's two and then all of a
sudden three is a crowd and it's a trend
and lots of people can do it so um i do
think that's a very salient uh uh point
and i think i agree with you
there's no doubt that happens over the
next sort of uh five years or so sorry
legend what are you saying while we're
on the second
second person subject give credit to
jack dorsey
oh yeah because after microstrategy
announced a major bitcoin by
it was square
that announced the second one and i
think they kicked off the bull run
yeah and tesla bought as well didn't
they but then elon's been flip
flip-flopping
yeah and then he started like that's
a third-person story
you tweet about dog coins all the time
so i don't know if it counts
um but i was thinking more about the
countries because el salvador went and
there's been rumors i guess for last
year about
other latin american countries um
and i i think that materializes soon i
know max um spoke about it a little bit
on television the other day um anyway
ledger you're saying something
so i think
at baseline your your bet
your ability to stay afloat depends on
the network effects being
um
value-add so more companies
nation states etc
buying in growing the network effects of
of bitcoin and also the the digital
scarcity kind of playing out
in the long run which is also based on
network effects not based on some kind
of proprietary software advantage
because it's open source software
my my question for you and i think
that's a good bet that makes a lot of
sense to me and
your your top job therefore as one of
the largest holders of bitcoin is to
convince other people to become large
holders of bitcoin because that
increases those network effects by
orders of magnitude when it's large
entities that are buying into that
concept
and have the ability to flip gold and
whatnot
you talked earlier about
companies that have the ability to have
create a monopoly so on
you know with with facebook at social or
with apple it's uh you know hardware and
software and with amazon it's probably
operational fulfillment as much as
anything
these different concepts and my question
for you is a little bit of a challenge
towards the bitcoin maximalism which is
is there a window for
monopolies to exist
within the crypto ecosystem on multiple
fronts so if bitcoin is as a store of
value or for money is there a world
where ethereum can have a monopoly on
crypto based compute
to the degree that it would actually
incentivize you to kind of repeat this
gamble or diversify
but with another potential monopolistic
asset
okay
the most important
thing
for
any crypto investor long term to
understand i think
is um the regulatory treatment the the
political status of every single crypto
asset
and
you got to start by defining what's a
cryptocurrency what's a crypto property
what's a crypto security
what's a crypto platform
and um
as far as i can see bitcoin is a crypto
property and by property it means
it's viewed as a fair
common
piece of property beyond the control of
a company or a group of individuals it
has to be parapasou to
land or soybeans or gold or food
you know some commodity
in order to create uh a crypto property
is pretty challenging right the bitcoin
story is
satoshi disappeared the coins never
moved you know from january 3rd of 2009
to like may 22nd of 2010 the price was
like a penny less than a penny on pizza
day
it's a couple of pennies or something
there's no pre-mine there's no ico
there's proof of work it's a fair
distribution
there's no yield
and no one's investing in it with a with
an expectation of profit
now you can have debate over all these
things you know for long periods of time
but
i think it's pretty clear that of
everything in the crypto universe the
thing that is most
likely to be deemed properly in any
given nation state
is bitcoin
and i think we've seen that
i think that uh
you've then got a handful of other
cryptos where you could debate whether
they are property or not property and it
goes on for a while the best claim would
be the bitcoin forks
and uh then you move on you've got
you've got an interesting story of eth
very interesting story and then you get
all the other crypto coins
i think that if you yeah i'm very
sensitive to this because i've been a
public company ceo since 1998.
so i know the securities law reasonably
well
probably i know it better than
most anybody in the crypto industry
because there aren't very many crypto
companies that have come public
right if you if you go public and you
live through that and you understand
public securities laws that revolve
around everything you can and cannot do
what you can say what you cannot say for
example
if you parse everything i've said in the
past 18 months you will not see me utter
ever
that i thought that you should buy mstr
i have never endorsed my own stock i've
never uttered in a penny to my own stock
you can go on twitter and you know you
can trash you know mstr
to the cows come home i'm not going to
defend it i'm not going to say anything
i have no comment
it's a security
it's a security i have civil liability
criminal liability
right if you lie about a security right
if you inadvertently lie if you tell the
truth as you understood it but it turns
out not to be the truth
right
six years later
you find yourself in court defending it
so
securities are a different creature
altogether than property
and i think that
if you look at bitcoin it is the
dominant digital property network the
other forks you know bitcoin cash
bitcoin satoshi vision they're less than
one percent now
if you have a
if you have a similar property network
if it's global non-sovereign store of
value
if that's the use case if that's the
design which is what bitcoin is
then i think
information theory thermo the law of
thermodynamics the law of mark in law
politics says
all the energy tends to collapse into
the dominant network
in that space classic
classic uh business strategy says that
whatever your market is
you need to dominate that market
whatever it is and if you can bring the
overwhelming
uh the overwhelming over overbearing
amount of assets
to bear in a given market you'll crush
everybody else and there's one winner
the only way that you can win
if you don't have that overwhelming uh
support is you have to segment the
market you have to find a very different
segment for which you can be the best
solution yeah so that takes us to
everything else
well if you parse the words of the
regulators and if you look at the law i
can't find any reading of the law that
indicates that anything else is other
than a security
if it's if it uses a coin to stake every
proof of stake network is a digital
security it's a it's been explicitly
stated by the regulators
if there's a stake and it generates
yield it's an investment contract an
investment contract is a security it
passes the howie test
if if you've got a pre-mine an ico if
you've got a foundation if you've got
developers controlling it if you're
driving hard forks every three to six
months
if you have a software heavy protocol if
the security from the network comes from
software
then you've got software developers that
can control that network if it's a
permission network who gets to stake
their coins
right do i get to stake 92 percent of
the network for the next 90 seconds who
could stake their coins if someone
controls access to the network it
becomes a security
so the issue there is everything that's
a security is in a regulatory gray zone
and
in order for you to invest in any of
those things you have to be willing to
accept the securities risk the legal
risk
the com the competitive risk
and uh and the literal cyber security
risk will it be hacked
will it be copied will it be banned
that's very simple
will it be hacked will be copied will it
be banned
okay before i buy bitcoin
i would ask those three questions and
then before i endorse it here's a very
it's important ethical
question
is it property or is it security if
you're the mayor
of the city if you're a senator a
governor if you're a president of a
country if you're a public official if
you're the head of the army the navy the
air force
if you run any non-profit organization
you can't
endorse
a security
you can only endorse a property
it's reasonable for you to say
i believe a chicken in every pot
everybody should have a home
a chicken
a farm
and some bitcoin
you understand because i just endorsed
four flavors of property i could even
say you should have some gold in the
basement
because they're deemed as common
property but if i were to say
i think you should buy
my yoyo dine stock
and i think that facebook stock is a
better store of value than the us dollar
and if i think that uh you know sailor
moon coin is uh is really good or sailor
moon two coin because there's not just
one coin right there's multiple sailor
moon coins you know or son of sheba dog
coin is whatever
now the issue really is is it property
and i it's it's not that
you know that people say the maxima say
there's only one thing
let me give you a more nuanced view
it's not that i think that it's
impossible to create another property
token
it's possible for example
if you took a fork of bitcoin if the
chinese government forked bitcoin and
they created china coin and they said
it's only legal
to mine to mine china coin in china
and you can custody china coin you can
sell and trade china coin and you can
mine china coin and they started with a
fork of bitcoin
they would have basically applied um a
sovereign
they would have created a sovereign form
of property
if the canadian government said uh you
could mine uh you can use the same
bitcoin protocol or something comparable
to the bitcoin protocol and they said
you can mine canada coin in in canada
then you could imagine like if you're a
canadian investor you might want to own
that
like just like if you're in canada land
in canada is property
you see
i don't want to own it because i i i
don't want to live in canada and i don't
want to own chinese land
but land in china and land in canada are
property
bitcoin is global property if i'm a
global investor
i want to own the global thing because
that's the strongest network effect
because a guy in
tokyo or london or paris might want to
buy my bitcoin for me but
you can create a crypto property network
by
making it legal tender or by giving it a
tax advantage or by say just simply
saying it's illegal to mine anything
other than canada coin in canada
and canadian banks can handle canada
coin
and canadian banks cannot handle
anything else or or maybe they can
handle bitcoin and canada coin
you've got two forms of property just
look silver and gold are property
soybeans and and you know and dirt
sawdust or property i guess right
there there could be multiple forms of
property but
here's where you go awry
if i start a company and i and i issue
half the tokens to my friends and family
and i control the protocol and then i
sell 10 of the tokens to the public
and if i have the ability to change the
monetary policy
i i have to disclose to the public who
it is that controls the policies
what what if i were to sell you you know
like if i sold a million shares of
microstrategy and then like
and then like two years later you found
out that actually had 100 million more
shares i didn't tell you about
right
something like that right it's a problem
and uh
the the thing that's
the thing that's powerful about bitcoin
which makes it a solution to a 250 to
500 trillion dollar problem
is
we have perfected a crypto property at
least one in cyberspace
and the monetary policy of bitcoin is
pretty much set in stone
on pizza day
if you roll the clock back to may 22nd
2010
you know it was like we're going to
issue this much bitcoin between now and
21.40 and we're going to run off of
transaction fees for the next thousand
years
and if you were to say to me mike what's
the what is the monetary policy and
how's the network going to work for the
next thousand years
i can credibly describe it and if you
said do you think it's gonna change
no like it's not that there isn't some
risk
like an asteroid can hit the earth and
your ranch land in kansas will be
worthless property
right i mean heck i mean i can sell you
land in florida and it can sink in a
swamp so there's a tsunami that can wipe
out your beachfront so there is risk
in property just like there is risk at
bitcoin but
with good faith
i can say to you i think i know the
monetary policy i don't think anybody
can change it i can't change it i have
no intention to change it
and so that's what makes it useful for
500 trillion dollars worth of companies
insurance companies governments banks to
use this as what as a as a foundation
for a balance sheet
it's like uh
i want to build new york i'm going to
build new york on uh granite or schist
new york's built on schist it's a very
heavy stone
now is it easy to move no is it high
speed
no
what's it do it just lays there
does it need to do anything
what's the single most important thing
if you buy manhattan for like 27
pounds worth of glass beads and 16
something or whatever and i give you
manhattan
what is it you want manhattan to be
500 years later a heavy rock it's just
there you want it yeah you want it to
still be there
you want something with durability
integrity predictability you want the
heavy if
manhattan happens to be
a very heavy rock
now we did a lot of stuff on top of it
right we built you know the buildings
are like platforms they're like
exchanges right and then
the companies are securities we built
things we traded things you know there's
been more than one country that
controlled manhattan you know there's
been different currencies there's
probably been who knows how many
currencies traded in man stuff comes and
it goes
but the foundation of manhattan which is
property
what you want it to be is heavy
heavy and durable
so
i when you look at everything else i
would just say
yeah they're they're all interesting but
they're competing if if they're
competing as non-compliant
tokens
then they're going to work in the gray
market and will they be able to become
compliant and what does it mean to be
compliant
will will you be able to trade these
tokens for the next 10 years and will
you have to make a disclosure and what's
the disclosure
and what will the sec say
and i don't know
right it's like that is venture capital
and it's speculation
and
if you see the world as crypto only then
you live in that world but you got to
keep in mind that
fortnight can issue tokens and you know
and activision can issue tokens so
you're competing against facebook and
microsoft and google and apple and
you're like well why aren't they in the
market right now well because certain
things are non-compliance and they're
illegal that's why they're not in the
market right now
right that's why they're not and why
what you have is you have a
an industry crossing the chasm the first
decade was offshore entrepreneurial
wild west
and then the next decade
is onshore institutional
and we're in the middle
and we're going to be in the middle for
three to five years
you know and what do you have you have
like tether like
it's an offshore entrepreneurial
successful company
does the world need it yeah the world
needs it if you're in turkey or
argentina and you need dollars and your
choice is lose your dollars in the bank
or whatever you need it right will apple
or microsoft use it no
right so
will they become public and get
registered in the us
you know what will it be small companies
in the us that grow to be big companies
like silvergate bank
will it be offshore entrepreneurs that
come on shore
or will it be jp morgan bank of america
will that goldman sachs will they back
into this business and the truth is
nobody knows
right my best bet would be
if i had to forecast i would say that
there will always be some gray market
offshore there's something
but um
i don't i don't think the massive growth
is there the 100 trillion dollar
opportunity
is is to provide the foundation for the
mega for the 500 trillion dollars worth
of capital in western europe in the
united states if you could be half of
that or a third of that right that's a
mega opportunity right you want to be a
vendor
for google apple amazon facebook jp
morgan city group do you not you want
the united states government to buy a
hundred billion dollars worth of bitcoin
right i mean you get really big when you
have
governments
institutions mega corpses your customers
right the duponts
they came over small time but how do
they get big they got big by selling
gunpowder to the united states right and
they had presidents as customers buying
their product so
ultimately
whoever manages to sell crypto property
cryptocurrency
and you know and crypto exchange to the
mega
uh the mega nation states they'll
succeed like coinbase for example
is much more compliant right there in
the us they're publicly traded
right they're on one side of the trade
you know you've got players like ftx and
binance on the other side of the trade
they're rich they have richer product
offerings they're more articulate their
higher speed higher velocity
and you know just like you can you can
bet on the outcome of a football game
offshore but you can't bet on the
outcome of a football game on shore
what will happen
so um
i
i would say they're just totally
different
things and uh
no digital security is ever going to
displace bitcoin
as which is a digital property the only
thing that can displace digital property
is a better digital property which means
it needs to be engineered and it needs
to have the same
legal ethical political characteristics
right digital securities are going to
compete with each other
and and the rules of the game are going
to change
every six months to every 12 months
right i mean you can see them right now
like for example
uh
the regulators make you d list 100
tokens on a defy exchange well how can
you delist anything on a d5 exchange if
it's really defy
if it was defy you couldn't de-list
anything so it's kind of not d5 it's an
exchange
somewhat compliant with some people in
control of it
and what will be allowed to prosper and
the answer is
who knows the states are involved you
know the opinion of the states is
different than the opinion the federal
regulators different regulators have
different opinion different nation
states have different opinions and even
if
even if i marched in front of you like
if they put me in charge of
the most important regular in the world
today and i had a perfect 97 page plan
to provide a path to regulatory
compliance for security tokens for
crypto currencies for stable coins for
property
for exchange if i had the perfect plan
there's no guarantee you could get it
through congress
there's no guarantee you go through the
senate there's no guarantee that the
other agencies would agree with it
there's no guarantee that other agencies
through western would agree with it so
we don't really know
the reason
it's not that i don't think there's
opportunity but the reason that i'm
focused laser-like with laser eyes on
bitcoin is
a bitcoin is property not a security b
the use case of bitcoin is the service
property
which is a low velocity use case right
now which is the least controversial one
if uh if you know if an investor of ray
dalio bought 10 billion dollars of
bitcoin to hold forever tomorrow
it doesn't represent
any regulatory question there's no
existential question is it legal to do
that yeah
what's the tax treatment capital gains
kobe it sounds like uh sailor might be
bullish on crypto punks
maybe maybe i i mean i agree i don't i
agree with the thesis right like my
personal opinion is you buy bitcoin
because there is it cannot change it
does not change and it is well
understood and in 50 years from now you
will know bitcoin will be the same as
bitcoin currently is uh and if the
economy is a relative like a reasonably
solved game then bitcoin will be worth
multiple millions in 50 years you buy
ethereum or
whatever else in the ethereum world that
is currently in a knife fight with each
other because it does change and the
problems that they're solving are
important problems i think a
decentralized financial layer for the
world is a very important problem but
everything sailor just described is true
right like it's unclear how the um the
regulators will treat them like
obviously the regulators have spoken
several times about stable coins d5
governance tokens and the majority of
is clearly a security it's clearly
just regard
from people in around the world so i 100
agree with that uh with that thesis and
i think uh from your position it's like
very very very clear that that is the
optimal solution the distinction that i
make i think it's helpful is
you've got a portfolio
let's say you have a hundred dollars
what portion of it is a saving
a savings account that you want to save
for 100 years
10 years at least a long time
that portion you want to save in strong
property
in an inflationary environment if you're
going to save money for 30 years you
either got to buy land or some strong
property or and bitcoin i think is the
strongest property
um
and you decide what i mean i i respect
any decision you want to buy art you
want to buy land you want to buy trophy
assets you want to buy
something that'll hold its value for 30
or 40 years
you do that your saver
it becomes pretty obvious if you live in
uh if you live in argentina and i told
you the currency is going to lose 75 of
its value in the next 12 months if
you're switching uh from the peso to the
dollar you're just a saver
right you're not an investor
yep it looks like an investor especially
but you're not you're just that you're
just converting from
weak
to strong asset
there's another part of your portfolio
you're an investor
okay you're taking risk like is apple
is apple better than peloton is it
better than gamestop is it better than
eth is it better than solana is it
better than uber is a private company
better than a public company
right is a crypto
project better than uh an equity finance
tech project do you want to buy biotech
gene splicing thing they're all just
different ventures you're taking a
venture and you've got an investment
just
you know i think my view there is just
you deserve to understand what you're
investing in
if you're investing in a public company
you can read my 10k and you can see who
owns it if you're investing in a private
company maybe you can if you're
investing in a crypto project and you
don't know
who controls it and how many there are
right you're at a disadvantage right so
the friction comes from are there fair
disclosures as to the risk you're taking
and then the third category is uh
speculation
so when you're when you're betting on
puppy coin three you know the sequel
or or like sailor moon coin i i can't
believe there's a sailor moon coin but i
really can't believe there were two
apparently sailor moon climbs up 300
during this episode because you said it
twice
yeah maybe i don't doubt you but uh
so and by the way i it's like
to just just for the record to be
straight
i
i don't begrudge people the ability to
speculate on
whatever coin and i i obviously don't
have a problem with you investing in
whatever you want to invest in
i personally am a public figure
and
i would i only choose to articulate and
advocate and educate on bitcoin because
i believe it is the
it is the uh
what i'll call ethical safe haven for a
public figure
if it was to secure like you won't i
don't even endorse my own stock you see
i don't i'm not going to endorse apple
i'm not going to endorse google i'm not
going to i'm not going to give
investment advice i mean the definition
of investment advice is if you're
investing in a security if you're
investing in property i'm giving you
lifestyle advice
my lifestyle advice is
trade your weak currencies for strong
currencies
get a place to live
you know if you have if you have excess
funds you know it's good to have a home
that you can live in the rest of your
life that's lifestyle advice control
your destiny
right and um and lifestyle you know
i would say macroeconomic political
advice is
all things considered if you can own a
piece of property that doesn't get taxed
two percent a year
like
like don't if you buy land in florida or
a house in florida you do get charged
that means over a hundred years you're
going to pay 200 you're going to pay
more you're going to pay 500 over 100
years because they're going to appraise
the value of the property up and charge
you two percent of the appraised value
so i just give common sense advice which
is
if you know you're going to have the
property stripped out of your hands in
10 years because of inflation and
taxation
that's not a good savings strategy
find something you can hold for 30 years
and maybe give to your children and if
you don't have children you want to give
it to
something you can hold to live on and if
you don't and if you don't need that
something you can give to your favorite
charity right
make the world a better place
and i just leave it at that and
i one thing i learned on twitter
is stay in your lane
like that you know the way to get ripped
to shreds
is you you know you start to express a
an opinion nuanced or otherwise about
someone else's field of expertise
and what you find is like you know all
of a sudden you're debating the dude
who's got the nobel prize or the phd to
study it for 27 years and he's going to
make an example out of you in front of
his
437 000 followers and then all the
trolls are going to gleefully
feast on your you know cyber flesh
so i you know like i i just
i stay out of that just because i'm not
here to give you trading advice
i can't time the market
i don't understand all those risks i i
know there's a risk an asteroid will hit
the earth
and i know there's you know there's a
black swan risk and maybe you know
demons come down from
hell above or heaven below or
whatever and they screw with bitcoin i
get it
but all things considered
you're going to lose 90 percent of you
know your money over the next 24 months
if you're in a hyper-inflating
environment by doing nothing so my view
is
if you're guaranteed to lose 90 percent
of your assets
to do nothing
then you know you might as well do
something and and
it's like i said to people on bitcoin so
you don't like bitcoin you think it's 95
likely to fail
okay then only allocate five percent of
your money to it
yeah if you think if you think it's 99
likely to fail then you might as well
put one percent of your money in it
right like so i i think that people
oftentimes
they don't get their risk right
there is a risk to doing nothing
and the risk of doing nothing in a
monetary sense is the monetary inflation
rate
so when the monetary inflation rate hits
25
it means that there needs to be a 25
chance of bitcoin going to zero in the
next 12 months
for you not to want to buy it
and when the monetary inflation rate
hits
you know in in lebanon or turkey or
argentina or someplace when it hits 50
or 75 or 80 or 150 percent
the risk of doing nothing is far higher
than the risk of doing something
so i like the manhattan analogy
uh
because of the the scar the scarcity
that exists there
of a very heavy rock but one of the
components that's important there is
that
manhattan is ideally situated on the
east coast and because of the activity
occurs there the gathering of economic
productivity that lives on top of very
heavy rock is what makes it the most
valuable
and one of the critiques you see about
bitcoin is that there's not a ton of
activity there's some like layer two or
some attempts to do smart contracting
using bitcoin as security or companies
that are
using bitcoin
as a security layer for other economic
activity is there a risk though of there
not being enough of that so that there's
just not enough activity on the very
heavy very valuable rock in isolation or
is it okay that it's just a very heavy
rock that doesn't do very much
i i don't think there's any risk and i
think that
a lot of people misperceive
the network effect that's already there
well let's let's parse that a little bit
so first of all i know manhattan well
i've sailed around it uh it's sitting
between the east river and the hudson
river and i've gone up the hudson river
the hudson river is nature's great
highway it's a mile wide it's pretty
much straight the entire way except for
the bend at west point which is why they
built that fortress at west point
and uh and you can't help but conclude
this is the perfect place to build a
seaport
if you're gonna create a country
so manhattan is the greatest city in
america because of its geographic
setting because of the rivers the ports
your ability to harness water power air
power sea power and also because of that
schist and the rock
having said all that
there are many great cities in the world
there's london there's paris there's
tokyo
right there's hong kong there's
singapore they've all got a story
okay and so
ultimately if you're if you're going to
own
manhattan property you're competing
against all those other cities as well
and manhattan is a 20th century uh
real world
uh net network right all the great
cities of the world they're all the
nexus of an empire
venice was a nexus of an empire rome was
the nexus of an empire and when the
empire flourished the city flourished
and they built great buildings and you
can see them manifest themselves in the
architecture
and then when the empire failed
right uh the city calcified and
fossilized you know and started to sink
one way or the other
so
let's look at bitcoin
well bitcoin's the greatest city in
cyberspace the difference here is
you know you don't need 25 great cities
in cyberspace you definitely need one
but if you're a wealthy business if
you're an asset holder in beijing or
tokyo or moscow or london or paris or
rio or new york or california l.a all of
them can park their money in bitcoin
and so in that regard uh being the
greatest piece of real estate in cyber
space
is an advantage
the other advantage is there's only 21
million city blocks
whereas
if you look at new york city they can
develop that and they expand it out to
the boroughs to queens and to brooklyn
and they're zoning and you could build
up and
there's no you know there is some
scarcity to the acreage but there isn't
necessarily the same scarcity to the
square footage and it's uncertain and
it's very political
and because it's very political it meant
that it was dilutive and you could be
dilutive or you could be impaired right
you could own an apartment building in
new york city and a politician could
pass a law or rent controlling it and
now all of a sudden your rent is capped
by one-third of what it should be
right and that's not a hypothetical
right that's a real
and so
bitcoin is advantageous because the 21
million blocks are probably capped there
for 10 000 years
and if you own a block of bitcoin you
could rent it out to any any bank or
counter party anywhere in the world at
the prevailing market rate and
the mayor of san francisco or new york
can't rent control
your block of bitcoin
so that's another big advantage in terms
of speed
you got to keep in mind
you know like 10 000 companies could buy
10 billion dollars of bitcoin each and
just hold it on their balance sheet and
then you know this the network will be
worth 100 trillion dollars and it
wouldn't have to move more than once
every year
once every decade
right the underlying asset doesn't have
to move there are applications of
bitcoin
do you look at how fat how many times my
stock has been traded in the past 18
months
do you know how my stock was traded
today
today there are microstrategy calls puts
the spot market
the converts
and the junk bond
they're all trading
all the time
they're bitcoin derivatives
right just like beto is a bitcoin
derivative
right just like you know block is a
bitcoin derivative
but uh you know just like uh there are a
lot of bitcoin every bitcoin miner is a
bitcoin derivative there are 24 publicly
traded bitcoin miners by the end of this
quarter every single time one share
trades hands
bitcoin moved
so
you could say
it's low velocity what i would say is
bitcoin could be a 100 trillion dollar
network without a layer two
without lightning
without any higher speed transaction
network it could be a hundred trillion
just based upon
uh the use case as a treasury asset let
me ask the question like how fast the
blocks of granite underneath manhattan
move
like how often do you have to move a
city block underneath a building in new
york city in order for new york or the
land of value the point really is
the foundation doesn't have to move
the foundation just has to exist
right for the great value
so i i think that the transaction
argument is wrong on a number of bases
because people don't
they they don't understand the use case
which is
i just want to hold five billion dollars
of bitcoin for a hundred years
and every single time i pay an employee
that's bitcoin bitcoin derivative right
everything that microstrategy does is
now uh
resting on a foundation of bitcoin
just like
just like that building stands for 100
years on a block of granite manhattan
and everything that comes in and out of
that building was predicated upon that
block of schist not moving right it has
value
you think it doesn't have value let's
play the other thought experiment i'm
going to convert you know all that
schist into quicksand
i'm gonna turn the dial or into swamp
land or into like a bog and now what
happens to your new york right it's like
it has value
so the second
point i'd make is
if you look at the lightning network the
lightning network is a non-custodial
layer two network
you know based upon pretty advanced
cryptography and there's no reason
why you can't do eight billion
transactions an hour on it
for next to nothing
so you can move money at the speed of
light you can move the property and you
can move the bitcoin
uh at the speed of light at high
frequency for next to nothing on
lightning
there's nothing that precludes you from
creating lightning competitors too right
lightning is an obvious network i think
it's going to be it seems to be the
winning layer too
but
and it's it's an open source
permissionless layer to transaction
network
you can also create a um
a permissioned uh a permission compliant
call it a layer three network like let's
take cash app
by the way ftx is one i mean ftx and
binance and cache app you know
they're all you know
layer 3
custodial application networks
you know how fast does bitcoin move on
binance seems like it moves pretty
freaking fast to me
like and there's
how many tens of millions of people with
cash app
now they've got lightning integrated and
you could and before lightning you could
send bitcoin
to cash tag for next to free right
instantly
so um
it's pretty obvious that to me as an
engineer
the solution to this problem is
you want to layer one optimize for
durability
and integrity
right you want it to be true
true and durable
over you know
and and and secure
true durable and secure how long
for 10 000 years
like for example say you're going to
build a building in manhattan and i said
okay i'll give you the i'll give you a
lease on the building but it's only good
for 10 years well would you build any
building with a 10-year ground lease
no
what if i gave you a 12-month ground
lease can you build anything no
let's take bitcoin mining
bitcoin mining's got a clear path to
2140 for block rewards and you've got
transaction fees that are market driven
it's a business that you can finance you
can invest and expect to be in the
business 10 years from now
20 years from now
let's take eth
well you know if heath flips the proof
of stake the entire eth mining network
is murdered
next year
you think you can finance that
you think anybody will give you a loan
for that you you can't take the company
public if you're a ceo and you went you
tried to take that company public
institutional investors would laugh at
you are you kidding
right but you're somewhere borderline
between you know am i committing fraud
am i a fool
am i destroying capital like if you
can't build
a business
on top of a foundation that is not fixed
and what i'm talking about fixed
like didn't how many times the
difficulty bomb move didn't it move from
2015 to 2016 to 2017 to 2018 to 2019 to
2020 to 2021 like the difficulty bomb
thing keeps getting pushed back
like
the monetary policy is changing every 12
months how long do you need to have it
you need to have a monetary policy fixed
for 100 years
if you want to be property
okay how long will it be before i will
trust you
like for example i go by and i buy a
ground lease in london and the lease is
good for 300 years
and then i read in the newspaper that
some judge
found the lease to be non-constitutional
and he revoked it and the the tenant
lost their building and lost a billion
dollars because the ground lease is only
good for 27 months
and now
and then someone calls me and says oh
well we fixed that not to worry you know
that judge retired and we don't think
anybody else feels the same way
how long as an investor do you have to
wait before you would
feel comfortable going back and
investing on that property
like i think that um
10 years is a short period of time
like bitcoin has been sitting with the
same exact protocol for 10 years
and after 10 years of beating on it then
you know then you went through the four
course
if the if
if the original protocol had not won the
fork wars if they'd not run the block
size wars
it probably would have restarted the
clock another five years
right that the fact that the big
blockers lost and the small blockers
won
meant that you could say well it looks
like uh the protocol is pretty
anti-fragile and nobody can change it
and that's why i would bet a billion
dollars on it
or 10 billion
right or my life or my career
or my reputation like
like what what happens if you invest in
that thing and it goes to zero right
like
companies bankrupt right think
think about what that means to a public
official
to a public official it's like maybe you
go to jail
yeah okay
and so
if you look at these things
i would say
before you put your weight on something
before you trust your life to it and all
your assets to it you need to be pretty
sure
and as
if you said to me here's a protocol it's
indestructible it's property nobody can
control it nobody can change it i would
say well how long has it been unchanged
you say 36 months
like ah
i think i'll wait another few years
okay 10 years
all right now we fought over it hundreds
of billions of dollars were at stake 10
years where are we at now oh now we're
risky
now we're at the point where uh a
company where a controlling shareholder
who's the founder of the company with
more than 50 of the voting stock
after going through contortions can
maybe
right do you know what it cost me to buy
bitcoin
to pay 250 million dollars in a dutch
auction
to be able to buy
250 million of bitcoin that's what it
cost you after 12 years
of an unchanging monetary policy that
survived the block size wars
and uh that was risky
now it's less risky so
if you look at all the other things the
pro every hard fork starts to clock
again
i i don't even want you to be able to do
a hard four
like it's like
the point is
if you're if you're trying to build on
manhattan someone said well we're going
to shift it slightly you know what's
what we call slight shifts
in the foundation of the city
earthquakes
we call them earthquakes
[Laughter]
a profound difference
uh between
building a company
and building on a property
if you're building on a property what
you want to hear is there hasn't been an
earthquake in a hundred years and it's
going to be the same in a hundred years
and then all of the bells and whistles
we build on the layer two and the layer
three
right the innovation is going to be in
square cash app it's going to be at
binance it's there's plenty of
innovation you want innovation look at
ftx very innovative
i mean there's a lot of innovation do
you look at any of the bitcoin d5 stuff
like uh i forgot it's called is it
called stack stacks stacks i don't
remember
i don't remember
i mean that the key question here is is
we we use decentralization we used uh we
used a decentralized crypto network to
create a global non-sovereign property
you can also use it to create sovereign
property i just gave you the example
china coin
canada coin
can you use it to create other things
can you use it to create cryptocurrency
i don't know we'll see right now
cryptocurrencies are digital currencies
and they're run by organizations and
there's regulatory compliance issues
what are the compliance issues around
applications
right i mean there's a lot of great
applications it just the issue becomes
one of what what are companies good of
companies are good at compliance they're
good at hiring an army of lawyers
in order to figure out you know
circumstances under which it is legal to
offer life insurance in massachusetts
right
that's it's a complicated issue
will that be solved with the d5
maybe there'll be a gray market thing
but it's going to sit in this
non-compliant gray market zone
and uh and the rest of the use case that
they all are going to be competitive
they're going to compete against
centralized companies
right if you read the crenshaw memo and
the crenshaw have you read it do you
know what i'm referring to
i do not know it's a memo written by a
commissioner of the sec one of five
caroline crenshaw if you read the memo
it's specifically on
and
it's pretty clear what what she's saying
which is
we know d5 is well intentioned
and we can understand the appeal of of
having a high speed high velocity
way
to do finance
we also
understand that there are organizations
and development teams that have to
configure these things and they have a
lot of power over it
and
even though you're well intentioned it
doesn't absolve you of the obligation
not to abuse the investor the retail
investor and you may inadvertently be
doing it even though you don't know
you're doing it
and as far as we're concerned these
things are mostly decentralized and name
only and we're going to treat them the
same as we treat centralized crypto
exchanges
and maybe you want to come see us
and if you read this one sentence and
they say come see us our phone has not
been ringing
and we have never failed to answer the
phone call us
and so the takeaway from that
yeah it's it's pretty
interesting you should read but the
takeaway from that is look
there is an idealistic future
but there's also uh there's also
the scourge of boiler room penny stock
pump and dump schemes
and just because you're an idealist
pursuing the future it doesn't absolve
you of responsibilities
uh to fair disclosure and fairness
and not to abuse retail investors
and uh there's there's there's an
ethical long before the sec act of 33
there are some simple ethical rules like
do not lie cheat and steal
okay so forget about sec laws
thousands at 10 000 years ago there was
rules like do not lie cheat and steal
and then if you read the securities laws
they kind of convert do not lie cheat
and steal into a bunch of expectations
and along with that has come some good
has come some bad
the bad is
and i'll freely admit it's like it's too
expensive to come public it costs you 10
million a year of overhead
there's no way to quickly issue a public
token you know the the government says
you know
they say you got to be a bank to issue a
stable coin but they won't let you be a
bank
they say we want a bank to issue
stablecoin but now
but facebook found a bank silvergate
and then they had to drop dm why i mean
so so on one hand the politicians don't
want you to do these things on the other
hand they say there's a way to do it but
they don't make it easy to do
that's you know the crypto community has
got that
issue but the other side of the coin is
you know if you give somebody 50 billion
dollars of chips and you take it and you
use it to speculate on dogecoin and you
lose all the money right then there's a
run on the bank and people lose 50
billion dollars of u.s dollars but they
thought it was stable but it wasn't
stable right there's problem with that
right and there's a concern
and um
so i i think that that's going to have
to get
sorted out and it's a long
long road it's not yeah
i do think the
i do think the the like you know honest
path is difficult and because um you
know you have an environment today where
uh i think you have the most the highest
amount of retail investors ever right
robin hood over the last couple of years
became exceptionally popular
and retailer like trading options now
because i think monetary policy over the
last um
like 10 15 20 however many years has
driven inequality to a point where
regular people feel that they cannot um
they cannot save for the future or their
financial goals uh uh
escaping from them um so i think
that environment plus the privatization
of profits um with accredited investor
laws and the securities loads and it
being very expensive for people to go
public and it'd be very difficult for
retail investors to uh to put risk on a
reasonable valuation
and throughout
this year all these ipos have just gone
down only like robin hood is down 84
um there's been tons of these cases so i
understand from a retail investor's
point of view
they want to put risk on somewhere and
they have no opportunities so it just
ends up being somewhat like gambling and
all they want to do is buy a house and
they see the house prices running away
from them faster than their wages are
going up or faster than they can save um
so i do think it is a long road and um i
think crypt a lot of crypto exists in
this regulatory arb which has been
abused by bad actors and people who are
most tolerant to taking those personal
risks by running something fraudulent or
running a scam
but
on the other hand i also see a world
where uh it's allowing people access to
uh investment opportunities that they
that normally would be restricted just
for
venture capitalists and uh and stuff so
i do think it's an interesting moment in
history and um a lot of sort of social
and economic issues are uh converging uh
by the same time i recognize we about 30
minutes over the amount of time we we
said and i do want to say i have massive
respect for you because i have huge
respect for anyone that has a lot of
conviction in uh in a belief and then
executes on that conviction but not just
a little bit you like you've gone all in
um and
um i've got a lot of respect for for
that um on every episode we uh we asked
before we do that real quick i have one
quick super quick yes no typing do you
hold a significant amount of bitcoin
personally in addition to through
microstrategy
yeah i do i have 17
732. awesome i didn't know that i had
not seen that publicly so there we go i
tweeted that i mean i i bought that it's
like like ninety six hundred dollars a
coin or something i've had it before
i wasn't sure about that all right kobe
continued to alpha
i liked that you knew the exact number
though i don't know the exact number of
cards i have anymore um but yeah on
every episode we uh we ask a guest at
the the very end for some uh advice like
as like
some sort of mantra or piece of wisdom
that throughout your life you find
yourself often referring to and applying
in day-to-day life so that our viewers
can um
take it away maybe apply to theirs be
happier healthier smarter more fulfilled
definitely not financial advice and
definitely not to buy sailor moon coin
is there something that you can pass on
some wisdom that's been given to you
maybe by a teacher or a parent or
something that you uh want to pass on to
it to our audience of people that can't
read
focus
focus would be the one word but the the
piece of advice would be just because
you can acquire a thing doesn't mean you
can maintain the thing and it just
because you can maintain the thing
doesn't mean you can enjoy the thing
if you take a simple example of boat a
lot of people buy a boat and then they
realize they got to spend 10 percent of
the purchasing price every year to
maintain the boat like oh this is
expensive
but
even if you can afford to buy the thing
and pay 10 of the purchase price every
year to maintain it then they wake up
and they're like i don't have no time to
go hang out on this boat it's like
sitting in a marina halfway across the
country and they never get to it so it's
like
be careful
that your things don't owe you
most businesses fail or most business
plans fail because the business enters
into a new business they acquire a new
business that they can't compete in
and and it's easy to buy a business or
build a product it's much harder to
compete
to be competitive but it's really hard
the hardest hurdle is to compete
profitably
forever
right so you see it's like can you be
the best in the world at something
against other people that want to be the
best in the world at something can you
make money doing it do it and can you
stay competitive and get bigger and
better as the market gets better
and so you can imagine out of a thousand
things a thousand good ideas
there's maybe a hundred a thousand you
can do
a hundred you can be good at
and maybe one of them
you can enjoy
or you can prosper in
and i think that that principle holds
your personal life
people over extend they try to do too
many things and they acquire stuff and
they can't maintain it and they're not
going to enjoy it so everything becomes
dilutive it's a dilutive distraction
and then in business
so i can't tell you how many
entrepreneurs how many businesses every
one of the businesses i competed against
they all failed because they over
expanded and they kept doing acquisition
after acquisition
it's like and and if i look back at all
my mistakes it's like i don't regret any
bad idea i pursued
because news flash i never pursued a bad
idea
you will never pursue a bad idea nobody
will ever fail because they pursued a
bad idea you will fail
because you pursued a good idea
you're like oh this is a really good
idea i can do this too and so i went to
do that and i found that oh it gets
exponentially more expensive to compete
in that second area
and not only do you have to be better
than everybody in the world
but every day someone else gets up with
infinite money and infinite power to do
it better than you do it
so the conclusion really is
figure out you know in your personal
life what you need to be happy
and focus on it
and uh
figure out what you're going to do in
your professional life
and focus on it and if you're going to
do that thing be the best of the world
of that thing and when someone comes to
you and says hey you know do you want to
launch your own trade show and your own
pizza company and you want to you know
do this and do that would you also like
to start your own whatever hedge fund
yeah you can
they're giving you the opportunity
you're you're gonna find that you'll
launch the business and then your core
thing that you're good at
you're now mediocre at
and there'll be some younger hungrier
person that's going to say oh yeah
kobe's lost the eye of the tiger he's
distracted now you know he's flirting
with all these other things so i'm going
to take his
spot right i'm going to displace him
and uh the same holds with portfolios
too it's like
say if you wouldn't hold it for a decade
don't hold it for 10 minutes
if you're gonna if you're gonna own
something figure out what you own
and have the conviction
and if you're gonna invest in something
you know make sure you do the research
to figure out the risk
related to investing in it
and if you're going to trade
you should know that you're the best
trader in the world if you trade
soybeans the guy that trades soybeans
that is the best trader in the world
with all the information flows and all
the proprietary algorithms and all the
deal flow advantages and the proprietary
whatever
that person knows they're the best in
the world if you're not that person
you're the sucker
and so just generally in life
don't be gallivanting around chasing all
these good ideas walking into markets
where someone else owns the market
and don't take on obligations that you
can't maintain and you can't enjoy
because it's it's a path to dilutive
distraction
and everybody always overestimates
what they can accomplish
it's like napoleon dropped an army in
russia hitler dropped an army in
russia
julius caesar dropped an army in
egypt you know napoleon dropped an army
in egypt
you know everybody drops an army and you
know the germans dropped an army in
egypt you know it's like everybody
thinks they can do more than they can do
and maybe you just ought to figure out
what you could be satisfied with and and
have a more modest
uh a modest plan
and focus upon making that work for you
your family your business your employees
your shareholders
michael saylor thank you so much
follow sailor on twitter
we appreciate you sir it was a pleasure
thank you both
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