SaylorCorpus

Michael Saylor on Bitcoin and Crypto following FTX Collapse

Natalie Brunell · 2022-11-14 · 49m · View on YouTube →

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the mainstream narrative all right it's

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time for the show

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thanks for joining me on this special

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episode of hard money and coin stories

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where I am joined by the one and only

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Michael Saylor and what a week to be

1:34

doing an interview Michael thanks so

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much for joining me happy to be here

1:38

what a week FTX melting down no binance

1:41

buyout you call this a teachable moment

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on TV so what are the biggest lessons

1:46

here

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Bitcoin not crypto

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that's the lesson

1:51

I I think um

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this week highlights the contrast

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between the virtues of Bitcoin and the

2:01

vices of crypto and it illustrates the

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wisdom of Satoshi

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so if we go back to First principles

2:10

the entire Bitcoin movement got started

2:13

because of a loss of faith in the

2:15

currency and a loss of faith in Banks

2:19

and so this has gone on for since time

2:21

immemorial banking crisis that froze

2:25

customers funds and currency crisis that

2:28

collapse their purchasing power and

2:30

Bitcoin was was created as a currency

2:33

that couldn't be debased

2:35

running on an open network so you could

2:38

be your own bank

2:39

and the principal is if you're your own

2:43

bank and the current and no one has

2:44

discretion to debase the currency then

2:47

you're not going to wake up one morning

2:48

and find out that your funds have been

2:50

seized and they've been devalued to zero

2:53

crypto uh and the entire movement is

2:56

almost like the reinvention of fiat

2:59

currency and and uh fractional Reserve

3:02

banking but instead of it being in a

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regulated environment it's just in an

3:08

unregulated environment so ironically we

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saw the same human behaviors here a

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human being creates a wildcat bank

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unregulated then a human being creates

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their own currency like the ftt token

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then they issue a bunch of it then they

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start to leverage it and borrow against

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it and then at some point they start to

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misuse the funds of their customers in

3:32

their bank and they use it to prop up

3:35

their currency eventually they the

3:37

currency collapses the bank freezes its

3:41

assets people who had trusted the bank

3:43

lose their assets people who had trusted

3:45

the currency

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lose their purchasing power and so this

3:50

is a teachable moment because the

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solution is

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don't put your value and currencies that

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are controlled by human beings

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you can't trust the CEO you can't trust

4:02

the company and you can't trust a

4:05

custodian

4:06

and if there's a counterparty

4:09

it's credit it's not money and Bitcoin

4:12

is nobody's liability there is no

4:15

counterparty anyone that joins the

4:17

network is their own Banker the reason

4:20

it's money is because no human being or

4:23

no organization has discretion over it

4:26

so and if anything uh all of the Bitcoin

4:31

memes have come back to life not your

4:33

keys not your coins

4:36

constant and uh don't trust

4:39

verify

4:40

and uh and it's it's uh it's sad to say

4:45

that this is an incredibly expensive

4:48

lesson in basic fundamentals of monetary

4:53

Theory and Banking and a principled way

4:57

forward with your Investments well the

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CEO that a lot of people were trusting

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was SBF who issued an apology the day

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before filing for bankruptcy and another

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apology what do you think about his Mia

5:09

culpa

5:10

I think uh he caught got caught up in

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this entire crypto wave and it was much

5:16

bigger than him and everything happened

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very very fast and and in this

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particular case it's still not even

5:22

clear to him what happened I he's

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probably he'll probably register this or

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figure out what happened some number of

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years afterwards

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so I think

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the humility of Satoshi

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is the observation that no one can carry

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the burden of that trust

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Satoshi can't no company no board of

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directors no government no political

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process at the point that you conclude

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that no one has this the strength of

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character and and wisdom and commitment

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uh to carry the burden of a billion

6:03

people's money

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then you realize that the solution is

6:07

put to control of that into the hands of

6:10

nature submit yourself to nature's laws

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and to the laws of mathematics and and

6:17

then put it into into the hands of a

6:21

software that's not just a software

6:24

program running on a machine but a

6:26

software protocol running on millions of

6:28

machines and so if you can create a fair

6:31

Equitable trustworthy rational software

6:34

protocol

6:35

if you can release it as a virus to

6:38

millions of of machines and hundreds of

6:42

millions of people

6:43

you have a chance

6:45

you have you have an opportunity it may

6:48

work and Bitcoin is the first example of

6:52

of a successful monetary protocol that

6:54

was released and in the first year or

6:56

two or three years it could have been

6:58

smoshed out of existence or could have

7:00

failed and now we're fortunate enough to

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actually see that it has grown to

7:04

maturity and it is working and and it is

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the best choice in this crypto Carnage

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and for those who have Clear Vision and

7:15

they can see through uh the sound of the

7:17

fury and the chaos they'll see that um

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Satoshi was wiser than they realized

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Satoshi said something

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you know very seminal at the very

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beginning of this entire movement yeah

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the the root cause of all these

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collapses is the trust that is required

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and that trust has been betrayed over

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and over and over again

7:45

uh you know the the FTX collapse isn't

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the first collapse of a bank it won't be

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the last collapse of the bank and and

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until human beings developed a humility

7:59

to realize that trusting the bank and

8:02

trusting a fiat currency was the mistake

8:04

in the first place then they won't

8:07

transcend and evolve Beyond this

8:10

situation you know a lot of bitcoiners

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were sounding the alarm about these

8:14

tokens and exchanges so where did we

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fall short and why couldn't we prevent

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this

8:20

I think that bitcoiners have have uh

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have had a very clear vision and that's

8:25

because they move forward in a

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principled fashion and and if you didn't

8:30

uh buy the alt coins if you didn't put

8:33

your money in a crypto exchange then you

8:36

didn't fall short you did the best you

8:38

could do for yourself for your family

8:40

for your friends for your followers

8:43

um there's been a never-ending campaign

8:47

on behalf uh by bitcoiners uh to

8:51

convince people uh not to trust run your

8:56

own node take responsibility of your own

8:58

actions hold your own Keys support an

9:03

ethical

9:05

decentralized Fair

9:08

transparent protocol and I would say

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that we've you know we can look at it as

9:15

well we failed because we didn't

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convince everybody in the crypto world

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to adopt Bitcoin but you can also look

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at it as we succeeded because we had we

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got the most number of people

9:28

and the most amount of money

9:30

to adopt Bitcoin and so Bitcoin is still

9:34

the dominant crypto asset network uh in

9:38

terms of number of holders in terms of

9:41

of value and in terms of the amount of

9:44

value stored on the chain and so

9:46

although we're not we haven't convinced

9:48

100 of the people to agree with us we've

9:51

convinced the most of the people to

9:53

agree with us and this week is is

9:56

another educational lesson and I as a as

10:00

a newcomer to the space I've only been

10:02

in it for about two and a half years

10:04

I observe that we are making great

10:07

Headway with mainstream investors and

10:10

mainstream media and we're also making

10:12

great Headway with uh the crypto Bros

10:16

and you know all the crypto degens

10:19

everyone that said I gotta trade this

10:21

altcoin or I got to trade on that or I

10:24

need leverage and and you know they made

10:26

fun of the Bitcoin maximalist and and

10:29

the ones that want to self-custody and I

10:32

think that uh now you won't find anybody

10:36

in the crypto industry that would make

10:39

fun of uh bitcoin's principled approach

10:42

right and I think that if you go on CNBC

10:46

and you look at the conversations the

10:48

conversations are clearly

10:50

you know we can't really be trusting

10:53

these Wildcat you know Wild West crypto

10:58

casinos and we need to we need to be

11:01

more responsible the industry needs to

11:03

grow up you know it's easy to understand

11:05

why people would go into the industry

11:07

especially young people who feel like

11:09

they've been left behind by the

11:10

traditional system right they want to

11:12

get rich maybe they want to put money

11:14

into these tokens hoping one will take

11:16

off to eventually put it into Bitcoin as

11:18

the savings technology but unfortunately

11:20

we see what happens when it implodes and

11:23

you see a greater cultural ecosystem

11:25

behind crypto that needs a ton of

11:28

education is that crypto ecosystem

11:30

holding Bitcoin back or is it gonna

11:32

ultimately help Bitcoin adoption

11:35

I think that the that there are some

11:38

ideas in the crypto ecosystem which are

11:41

good ideas that have been

11:44

um poorly executed or executed in an

11:47

immature fashion uh that has been

11:50

counterproductive so let's let's talk

11:52

about the good ideas

11:54

the good idea is a digital commodity

11:57

that is an asset without an issuer

12:00

Bitcoin is the greatest execution of the

12:03

idea of a digital commodity because it

12:05

is not just a commodity it's a scarcity

12:07

it's an asset without an issuer that's

12:09

absolutely capped

12:11

um the second and it has a role right is

12:14

a long-term store value as a base layer

12:17

for the digital economy or the entire

12:19

world economy in the future there's a

12:21

second good idea a digital currency like

12:24

the dollar

12:25

that can move on an Android phone or an

12:28

iPhone at the speed of light between 8

12:30

billion people in order to allow

12:32

cross-border payments cross-border

12:34

remittances purchases and the like and

12:37

to give uh give an entitlement or access

12:41

to the dollar to people in Argentina or

12:44

Cuba or North Korea or Nigeria where

12:47

they're without

12:48

and so there are probably one to two

12:51

billion people in the world that have

12:53

access to the dollar through the 20th

12:54

century banking system there are six

12:57

billion people in the world that do not

12:58

have access to the dollar they are

13:01

disenfranchised they are unbanked and

13:04

they are suffering so there there has

13:06

been a demand for that digital dollar it

13:08

manifested itself in the growth of

13:10

tether and circle that uh that uh idea

13:15

right looks a little bit degenerate to

13:19

someone on the Upper East Side of New

13:21

York City who's a trust fund baby with a

13:24

JPMorgan account

13:25

but if you're living in Nigeria and the

13:30

banks can't be trusted and the

13:32

government devalued your currency and

13:33

you're looking at starving to death or

13:35

the same in Venezuela that dollar looks

13:38

to you like a lifeline and and that is

13:41

really critical for you

13:44

um the crypto industry you know has

13:47

spread that dollar and it's moved on

13:49

crypto rails it's moved on networks like

13:51

Tron or ethereum

13:53

unfortunately it hasn't moved on the

13:56

Bitcoin lightning Network so the execute

13:59

the idea is a good idea give billions of

14:02

people the dollar right the execution is

14:05

a bad execution let's basically use

14:08

unregistered security and centralized

14:11

crypto networks to give them the dollar

14:14

and now you leave someone in Lebanon

14:16

with a choice do I trust tether and Tron

14:20

more than I trust the Lebanese

14:22

government and my Lebanese bank and of

14:25

course in their case it's historic

14:27

choice we know the government stole my

14:29

money and the and currency was devalued

14:31

and the bank freeze my assets so they're

14:34

between a rock and a hard place and they

14:36

choose the the crypto solution to

14:39

getting the dollar

14:40

now there's a third good idea

14:43

um a digital uh Exchange

14:47

when you own Apple stock you only the

14:50

bank only lets you trade it when they're

14:51

awake and they work 20 of the time from

14:53

9 30 in the morning till four in the

14:55

afternoon Monday through Friday if

14:57

there's no bank holiday and if you want

14:59

to trade Apple stock on Saturday

15:00

afternoon they just don't work Saturday

15:02

so a digital exchange Works 168 hours a

15:07

week

15:09

right and and that's nearly five times

15:12

as much as banking hours so the idea

15:16

that you can uh you can get the bank to

15:18

work for you all the time is a big idea

15:21

also the idea that I could have a

15:23

digital exchange on my Android phone or

15:25

my iPhone in my pocket as I travel

15:27

through central Africa is also an

15:30

empowering idea and finally

15:32

uh you know a a fourth idea it's just

15:35

property rights if you own Apple stock

15:39

a bunch of it your bank is able to loan

15:42

that Apple stock out and get a yield on

15:45

it but just not for you you don't

15:47

right so a million dollars of assets

15:50

sitting in a conventional bank is the

15:52

banks uh it's the bank's assets and they

15:55

get benefits from it but you don't get

15:57

benefits from it so the 20th century

15:59

conventional banking system is

16:01

constructed to work part-time for its

16:04

own benefit and the idea of a digital

16:07

exchange would be you ought to be able

16:08

to hold your own assets get the yield on

16:11

your own assets trade your and transfer

16:13

your own assets whenever you want and do

16:16

it at the speed of light and do it a

16:17

thousand times faster and quicker so

16:20

that that's another Innovation the Lost

16:23

Innovation is a digital token

16:26

um it it you know exploded as nfts in

16:29

the crypto World okay the idea that's

16:32

the ethical idea is you're an artist a

16:35

musician and you know an actor or an

16:39

athlete and you wish to monetize your

16:41

brand

16:42

right once upon a time you know you have

16:44

music rights you want to sell the music

16:46

right so you know there's a famous David

16:49

Bowie bonds where David Bowie sold the

16:52

bonds that uh included rights to his

16:55

music over time to monetize his his art

16:58

well most people can't sell bonds to

17:01

monetize their brand so the idea that I

17:03

could somehow issue a token uh that

17:06

monetizes my brand was interesting to

17:09

hundreds of thousands of creators and

17:11

artists and celebrities right they were

17:13

very excited about it because you know

17:16

from their point of view it's Hollywood

17:19

and the music companies that control Me

17:22

Once Upon a Time Prince you know changed

17:25

his name to the you know to a

17:27

unpronounceable symbol and went by the

17:29

artist formerly known as as a protest

17:32

against his record label because he felt

17:35

you know he painted slave or wrote slave

17:38

on his forehead yeah they want what's

17:41

theirs right and so and so the people

17:43

want to own their rights that's the

17:46

that's the ethical idea that came out of

17:48

crypto the execution of the idea was

17:52

we're going to do it on a centralized

17:54

you know crypto token Network a Solana

17:58

or an ethereum or or something and the

18:02

problem is those are all

18:04

you know those are all unregistered

18:06

Securities right and so

18:09

if you could take those ideas

18:12

and you could put them on the Bitcoin

18:14

Network on lightning Bitcoin is ethical

18:18

because it's a it's an asset without an

18:20

issuer

18:21

lightning is ethical

18:24

because it is an open protocol and and

18:26

the gas the fees that run it are

18:29

satoshi's and satoshi's are of course

18:32

ethical money so if you had an open Fair

18:34

protocol running on an ethical money and

18:37

then you gave tokens to creators and you

18:40

gave dollars to people in Africa that

18:43

would otherwise starve or they're locked

18:45

out of the world economy without dollars

18:47

and if you gave them Bitcoin as the

18:51

digital scarcity asset and if you gave

18:54

them access to these defy ideas and

18:58

exchanges uh 24 7 365 but it was ethical

19:04

right not only that's the first check

19:06

it's got to be ethical the second check

19:08

is it's got to be technically sound

19:12

Lightnings technically sound you could

19:14

support billions of people and do

19:16

billions of transactions a day quick and

19:18

cheap technically sound and then third

19:20

it's got to be economically sound

19:23

you could create a digital commodity

19:25

that had an inflation rate of 10 a year

19:27

forever

19:28

it's not it's not economically sound to

19:31

have a continual inflation rate like

19:32

Dogecoin has continual inflation so

19:36

Bitcoin is economically sound because

19:38

it's it's capped scarcity is technically

19:42

sound because it's layered from the base

19:44

layer which is optimized for security to

19:47

the layer two which is optimized for

19:50

performance and scalability and enables

19:53

layer three applications

19:56

and I I think that as we look forward

19:59

what we'll say is well the first decade

20:01

of crypto they were trying to do all

20:04

these good ideas but they were doing

20:06

them with unregistered Securities and

20:08

centralized Banks and centralized

20:10

exchange and and those and with poor

20:15

economic principles right and they

20:17

collapsed under they either collapsed

20:19

because they're unethical and The

20:21

Regulators shut them down or they

20:23

collapse because they're technically

20:25

flawed right and they clog up and

20:27

they're trying to do everything on the

20:29

base layer or they collapse because

20:30

they're economically unsound the next

20:34

generation of the digital economy

20:37

digital assets people will pursue

20:39

digital exchanges digital currency

20:41

digital Commodities digital tokens

20:44

digital securities they will pursue them

20:47

but in an ethically sound technically

20:50

sound economically sound

20:53

fashion Michael you mentioned that

20:54

you've been in the space now for two and

20:56

a half years so I'm curious what's been

20:58

the thing that has surprised you the

21:00

most and what has been your biggest

21:01

lesson

21:03

I think what surprised me uh the most is

21:07

is fairly intelligent uh people and

21:11

entities uh

21:14

not realizing everything I just said to

21:16

you fast enough

21:18

right it for example it seems quite

21:21

evident right if you were doing it I

21:24

didn't have a penny on FTX I wouldn't

21:27

invest a penny in ftt

21:29

right I mean from the very beginning if

21:32

if um people that have any business

21:36

Acumen or background any legal sense any

21:39

ethical training or any Technical

21:41

Training in a university if they would

21:43

look at this they would say

21:45

yeah it doesn't make sense to invest in

21:47

20 000 random tokens they get spun out

21:50

of nowhere the trade on an on an opaque

21:52

offshore exchange with nearly infinite

21:55

leverage right doesn't make sense but

21:58

it's it surprised me that so many

22:00

otherwise intelligent people put so much

22:03

money into these things big institutions

22:05

why would yeah why would a pension fund

22:07

why would a VC

22:10

you know investor you know I why would

22:13

they put hundreds of millions or

22:15

billions of dollars into crypto tokens

22:18

and crypto exchanges and why would they

22:22

why would they pursue these ideas in

22:26

such an irresponsible fashion and

22:29

sometimes

22:30

you almost want to you know want to

22:33

tweet like people will literally lose a

22:36

billion dollars chasing after these

22:39

crypto casinos before they'll put a

22:41

million dollars in Bitcoin they're you

22:43

know it's just fast money

22:46

you know borderline greed I guess

22:49

thinking that somehow Bitcoin is too

22:53

straightforward

22:56

too straightforward an idea it's like

22:59

Bitcoin is too honest too ethical

23:02

too rational

23:03

and so the conclusion is I have to skip

23:06

over that and I have to go for the next

23:08

thing the next Bitcoin or the next good

23:11

idea I think bitcoin's boring and and so

23:14

that's what surprises me that people

23:16

with billions of dollars in education

23:18

that should know better when they're

23:20

granted something which is ethical

23:22

ethically sound technically sound

23:25

economically sound and the first

23:29

perfected money

23:31

and the first you know truly open Fair

23:34

decentralized monetary Network in the

23:36

history of the world when they're

23:38

staring at it their reaction is it's too

23:41

boring how do I take another crypto risk

23:46

I guess it just takes you know these

23:49

billion dollar blow-ups of Celsius and

23:51

Voyager and FTX

23:54

for uh for some of them to start to to

23:57

get the idea that that uh Bitcoin is the

24:02

Innovation and they should come back to

24:05

basic first principles well there are

24:08

now even bigger reasons for Regulators

24:10

to come in and intervene look at the

24:12

space with a microscope so are you

24:14

concerned at all that given this

24:16

environment of volatility with crypto

24:18

platforms blowing up that this will

24:20

negatively impact bitcoin's adoption

24:22

with regulators I'm not concerned in

24:25

fact I think that a lot of uh the pain

24:29

that the Bitcoin Community has absorbed

24:31

is because of the slow response of The

24:34

Regulators if The Regulators had moved

24:37

faster

24:38

in in order to if they had moved more

24:41

aggressively in 2018 or 2019 you

24:43

wouldn't have seen all of these you know

24:46

crypto casinos spin up the way they've

24:49

spun up

24:50

um the one of two things will happen

24:52

with Regulators they will either move

24:55

much more aggressively in a fairly

24:58

regressive conservative approach

25:01

and that means they'll just shut down

25:03

all the other crypto Innovations in

25:05

which case Bitcoin will still be a

25:07

beneficiary

25:08

because in a conservative world

25:11

Bitcoin is the Apex crypto property and

25:14

the Apex crypto asset and people will

25:17

simply hold it as a long-term store of

25:19

value

25:20

and if if the regulator said everything

25:23

in the crypto ecosystem is now you know

25:26

forbidden

25:27

all you can do is buy Bitcoin and hold

25:30

it and sell it at you know at the end of

25:33

its useful life treat it like gold

25:35

Bitcoin would still benefit right the

25:38

other uh The Other Extreme would be The

25:40

Regulators act proactively they act

25:43

progressively and they provide a a path

25:48

to registration of a digital commodity a

25:51

path to registration of a digital

25:53

security

25:54

a path to registration of a digital

25:56

token a path to registration of a

25:59

digital exchange and

26:01

um and a path to registration of a

26:03

digital currency

26:05

right and if they said you want to issue

26:07

tether you have to file monthly

26:09

statements register with this you know

26:12

banking supervisor and and take on these

26:16

responsibilities to have these reserves

26:17

and abide by these guard rails you can

26:20

issue a stable coin if they said that if

26:23

they said okay well you want to issue a

26:26

digital security you have to do it this

26:28

way you know fill out these forms and

26:30

every month or every week or every

26:32

quarter you know this is what you do

26:34

then uh then what you would see is a

26:38

collapse of all the true scams you would

26:42

see the VC that have been trying to

26:44

launch these other things they would

26:46

have to go through a registration

26:47

process now you would actually

26:49

understand and you have the full

26:51

disclosure and transparency many uh many

26:54

entrepreneurs would say this is too hard

26:57

you know like you get the sense that

26:58

some of them never bothered to hire a

27:00

lawyer or get a legal opinion right it's

27:02

like I have to I have to pay for lawyers

27:04

and accountants in order to be in the

27:06

business this is too hard you'll see a a

27:08

rationalization 99 of all the the tokens

27:12

will go away you'll see you will see

27:15

some stable coins there's a there's a

27:17

bona fide need for a coin like a circle

27:20

or a tether the world wants it not maybe

27:23

not in the US but outside the U.S the

27:25

world wants it so I think you would see

27:27

some of those I think you would see some

27:29

digital Securities I think I think you

27:33

would see

27:34

um you would probably see actresses and

27:37

musicians they would say hey I'm going

27:39

to issue my you know Katy Perry token

27:42

right but that but they would do it with

27:44

a lawyer in the compliant ethical

27:48

way because they don't want to risk

27:50

their reputation the industry will morph

27:53

it'll change and at the end of the day

27:54

Bitcoin will benefit from that too it's

27:57

not clear to me which approach is better

27:59

for Bitcoin the truth is the the only

28:02

thing that that is clearly good for

28:04

Bitcoin is if we were able to do to

28:08

disentangle ourself from the crypto

28:11

casinos right right because the crash of

28:14

Terror the crash of Luna the crash of

28:17

Celsius the crash of FDX these have been

28:20

painful uh events and Bitcoin is

28:24

cross-collateralized and they're selling

28:26

Bitcoin when they're crashing their

28:29

their doggy coins and their hamster

28:31

coins and their yo-yo coins and so

28:34

shutting that down

28:36

will be good for Bitcoin it'll take the

28:38

volatility out of Bitcoin

28:40

and then these other regulatory

28:42

guidelines

28:44

at the end of the day if you if you

28:46

simply said

28:48

you're not a commodity unless you're an

28:50

asset without an issuer IT would knock

28:52

out the top 50 coins other than Bitcoin

28:57

and every Institutional Investor would

28:59

say huh I get it Bitcoin is special

29:02

Bitcoin is the commodity ethereum Solana

29:06

Ripple you know uh name every other coin

29:11

that ever had an Ico every coin that

29:13

ever had a pre-mine every coin that has

29:16

a centralized Foundation a management

29:19

team every other coin would be deemed as

29:21

a security and as a security they would

29:25

all have to make Fair disclosures when

29:28

they made those disclosures

29:30

95 would collapse

29:33

a few would be left and people would say

29:34

well this looks kind of like a tech

29:36

stock

29:37

and then they go um maybe I like the

29:39

tech stocks better probably they'll

29:41

collapse

29:42

right and I

29:44

I don't know what's left but I mean the

29:46

argument in favor of a digital security

29:49

um wouldn't it be great if I could issue

29:51

it faster in a traded 24 7 365 and then

29:54

someone could if you said to me you can

29:56

take custody of your Apple stock on your

29:59

Android phone if you live in Zimbabwe

30:02

right and I can't get a JP Morgan

30:04

account I would think okay well that's

30:06

good I can give Apple stock to my friend

30:09

in Zimbabwe right

30:10

on an Android phone so maybe the idea of

30:14

a security circulating on a mobile

30:17

network outside of the control of the

30:20

20th century banking system maybe that's

30:22

a good idea

30:24

but on the other hand probably the

30:26

digital security I want is apple as

30:28

opposed to

30:29

you know all the crypto Securities that

30:32

are out there

30:34

well these are the growing pains and I

30:36

know that going back to what you said

30:37

about a teachable moment it makes me

30:38

think of the letter that was just put

30:40

out by Ross Stevens of naidig who talks

30:42

about what happened with crypto at large

30:44

how we need to treat the people that

30:46

lost money kindly and he shared a

30:48

personal anecdote about his own lessons

30:50

in Risk Management you have bought

30:53

Bitcoin at the bottom as well as toward

30:56

the top and so I'm just curious from

30:57

your own experience you know what

30:59

lessons can you share from all of your

31:01

experience with risk management

31:04

well I think one of the lessons is

31:07

you have to separate your p l from your

31:09

balance sheet so if the way that you're

31:12

making money is is and Ross's Lottery

31:15

points out that that they make money

31:17

with 10 different strategies one of them

31:19

is Bitcoin the other nine strategies are

31:22

firmly grounded in the conventional

31:25

economy of the world so if you're a

31:29

doctor

31:30

you stay a doctor you're the best doctor

31:32

you can be you serve your patients the

31:34

best and you maximize your your income

31:36

as a doctor and then on your balance

31:39

sheet you you have assets and on your

31:42

balance sheet you would have a variety

31:43

of assets whatever property you're going

31:45

to hold for a long period of time you

31:48

could have a diversified portfolio

31:50

property of of digital property like

31:52

Bitcoin and you might very well hold

31:54

real estate and you might own a share in

31:58

a company right but

32:01

separate your balance sheet from your p

32:04

l and microstrategy we have a

32:07

traditional enterprise software company

32:09

and we keep 99 of our employees focused

32:14

upon that business which generates

32:16

substantial cash flows and that's what

32:19

allows us to pursue our Bitcoin strategy

32:22

by sweeping those cash flows into

32:24

Bitcoin in a form of corporate dollar

32:26

cost averaging uh I think where things

32:29

get dangerous which is what happened

32:31

with FTX is all of a sudden the way they

32:35

make money is also their balance sheet

32:37

strategy and if you're going to have a

32:40

balance sheet with a bunch of ftt token

32:42

and then you're going to use this

32:44

collateral to borrow against it to

32:46

generate yield when the token collapses

32:48

the p l collapses and vice versa and and

32:51

the entire thing becomes a house of

32:53

cards seems so obvious too

32:55

at hindsight is always 20 20. you know

32:59

and then of course you know to the

33:01

extent that you actually take on any

33:03

debt you you generally want to take a

33:06

debt that is uh secured against assets

33:09

that don't get marked to Market like

33:11

that the best form of debt is is I have

33:14

a mortgage against a house and the

33:16

bank's not going to show up at my door

33:18

and value my house down by 80 percent on

33:22

Monday and then ask me to repay the

33:24

mortgage on Tuesday right right but you

33:27

know use common sense right if you were

33:30

to borrow against a stock like a a

33:34

liquid asset like Apple stock or or s p

33:37

index or even against Bitcoin you want

33:40

to be ready for 80 drawdown

33:43

and most you know most conventional Risk

33:45

Managers you know they would for example

33:48

they would never Advance more than 50

33:51

loan to value and then when you get

33:53

close to that you know you would think

33:55

okay well now I got to be ready for a 50

33:57

drop from here

33:59

and so if you are if you have a very

34:02

conservative view right on liquid assets

34:05

you know you would say you never want to

34:07

go beyond 20 loan to value on a liquid

34:10

asset even if you think it's rock solid

34:12

of course if you're borrowing against a

34:14

token printed out of thin air right like

34:16

ftt well that can go to zero overnight

34:19

because there's nothing backing it so

34:22

I think can be conservative with the way

34:25

that you use debt be be rational and

34:29

thoughtful in how you distribute your

34:31

balance sheet and then on the p l side

34:36

figure out what it is you can do that is

34:39

making a unique contribution to the

34:40

world and if you're the world's best

34:42

bakery on this city block and that's

34:44

what you do and if you're a doctor or a

34:46

dentist that's what you do and just make

34:48

sure you do that thing and and uh if

34:52

you're in a currency like uh a very weak

34:56

developing Nation currency where it's

34:58

collapsing at a hundred percent you know

35:00

100 inflation a year or more you're

35:02

sweeping your local proceeds you know

35:05

into a combination of dollars that

35:07

you're going to hold for 12 months

35:10

you know and then Bitcoin that you're

35:12

going to hold for 12 years right and if

35:14

you think in terms of your long-range

35:16

asset your short range asset and your

35:18

immediate currency then I think you'll

35:21

probably be in good Stead

35:23

it seems to so many of us that a lot of

35:25

your purpose now has to do with Bitcoin

35:28

education is there anything that keeps

35:30

you up at night I think we need a lot we

35:32

need to educate a lot more people

35:34

what keeps me up at night is that there

35:36

are so many mainstream influencers so

35:40

many policy makers so many uh so many

35:45

investors and money managers that still

35:49

don't understand

35:51

half an hour or an hour worth of bitcoin

35:53

fundamentals

35:54

but the world is still full of uh

35:57

incredible numbers of people at every

36:01

level from the top ranks of our

36:03

government

36:04

to leaders captains of industry down to

36:07

rank and file those full of people that

36:11

don't understand the theory of money

36:14

they couldn't they don't understand what

36:16

money is

36:18

right they would sell money is a medium

36:20

of exchange okay so therefore I guess

36:22

the peso is just as good as the dollar

36:23

is just as good as Bitcoin just you know

36:26

because they're all just mediums in

36:27

exchange to somebody right and so the

36:31

lack of awareness of the theory of money

36:33

that that's it that's something that

36:35

keeps you up at night the world is full

36:36

of people that don't understand the

36:38

power of an open permissionless

36:40

monitoring Network

36:42

right the fact that you can move a

36:44

million dollars from here to Africa and

36:48

you can do it in an open Rail and then

36:50

you could you could do it a million

36:52

times cheaper than the conventional 20th

36:55

century banking system and you could do

36:57

it a million times better

36:59

and then you could program it a million

37:01

times faster so most people they don't

37:04

realize that money is technology they

37:08

don't realize they don't really

37:09

understand what what true

37:12

a non-defective money is because every

37:15

monetary system in the history of the

37:17

world has collapsed and every money

37:20

that's ever been invented before Bitcoin

37:22

was objectively defective mathematically

37:26

and physically

37:27

and so because people don't have that

37:29

fundamental understanding of the physics

37:31

of money and they don't understand that

37:34

money is technology they're not looking

37:36

for this solution they have this massive

37:39

blind spot

37:40

and uh and we have and but they do have

37:43

power

37:44

right the world is full of people with

37:46

money

37:46

with power and with influence

37:50

that are ignorant

37:52

of these two basic principles and the

37:55

first principle explains you why you

37:58

would want to own Bitcoin and the second

38:00

principle explains to you why the world

38:04

the future is eight billion people with

38:07

devices plugging in via the lightning

38:10

protocol to each other

38:12

to trade and and to run the economy of

38:15

the 21st Century

38:16

so we have to go and educate

38:19

those leaders so that uh so that they

38:23

Embrace and adopt

38:25

the this physically perfected money and

38:28

this ethical open network well one of

38:32

those Leaders with power and money is

38:33

Elon Musk who just took over the

38:35

platform that you use to to communicate

38:38

with so many of your followers and

38:39

you've been tweeting at him about things

38:41

like the verified check marks what's

38:43

your message to Elon Musk and does it

38:44

have something to do with Bitcoin

38:47

I I would say that Twitter is is the

38:51

most underappreciated of the major

38:54

digital networks in the Year 2022.

38:57

everybody understands the power of

38:59

Facebook and Google and apple and

39:02

Microsoft

39:04

um and you know the Instagram and the

39:07

what's up Network Twitter was that

39:09

red-headed stepchild you know the one

39:11

that was kicked around that wasn't

39:13

appreciated but at its core uh Twitter

39:16

is a is the global Network for public

39:19

speech

39:21

and if you wanted if you were a public

39:23

figure and you wanted to go on the

39:25

record and and uh and memorialize and to

39:30

verify your Speech Twitter is that

39:33

Network there's no reason why that

39:35

Network shouldn't be subscribed to by

39:39

everyone that reads right it should have

39:42

you know I think they had 300 million

39:44

users it should have 6 billion to 8

39:48

billion users let's say one billion you

39:51

know aren't aren't paying attention but

39:53

but why aren't there five billion people

39:55

on the Twitter Network

39:56

right and and once there are five

39:59

billion people on the Twitter Network

40:00

Twitter is capable of providing free

40:05

free verified

40:08

trustworthy speech if

40:11

properly engineered

40:13

the challenge is the proper engineering

40:15

and and it is not easy to properly

40:18

engineer it we need to know we need to

40:20

be able to trust people or who they say

40:23

they are we need to shut down the Bots

40:26

and all of the toxicity on the network

40:30

um the network

40:32

needs to have needs to be monetized and

40:35

so my message to Elon Musk is is people

40:39

are saying you overpaid for it not

40:42

really Twitter could be worth a trillion

40:43

dollars maybe you make 20 extra return

40:48

you won't you won't Meander into that

40:51

you need to obsess over how to make

40:54

Twitter the most trustworthy speech

40:58

platform in the world and that means

41:01

finding a way to embrace

41:03

Anonymous speakers who want to remain

41:06

anonymous how do you Embrace

41:08

corporations how do you embrace the

41:10

individual how do you Embrace people in

41:13

countries where it's dangerous for them

41:15

to be identified how do you punish the

41:19

scammers and the fissures in the Box how

41:21

do you how do you celebrate how do you

41:25

celebrate high integrity

41:27

clear speech

41:29

right how do you make it easier

41:31

to find the speech I I can go on Twitter

41:34

and I can search for something I know I

41:35

said and I can't find it now like the

41:38

search doesn't work the Bots go crazy

41:42

right it's it's uh just uh challenging

41:46

and difficult and yet

41:48

every school board leader and every

41:51

police chief and every mayor and every

41:53

politician and every business leader if

41:55

they want to say something on the record

41:57

Twitter is where they go so I would say

42:00

it's a diamond in the rough

42:02

you have an opportunity to bring uh to

42:05

bring the uh the entitlement

42:08

of truthful speech

42:10

verified to the world

42:13

but there's a lot of work to do there is

42:16

where I want to leave this conversation

42:18

is the idea of money and happiness

42:21

something that Jeff Booth has said

42:22

before is that people don't want more

42:24

money they want the things that money

42:26

can buy them and I think about the the

42:28

pursuit of happiness

42:30

how happy are you and has Bitcoin

42:32

affected that

42:34

I am much happier after Bitcoin than

42:37

before Bitcoin

42:40

I mean the pursuit of happiness is

42:42

critical and I I think

42:45

a Bitcoin offers hope and I've said this

42:49

many many times I dedicated hope.com to

42:52

all things Bitcoin

42:54

if you live in a system where where

42:59

the fruits of all of your labor are

43:02

converted into a currency which is

43:05

debased

43:06

inevitably continually and going to zero

43:13

you're just overcome by despair

43:15

right and the amount of Despair the

43:18

degree of Despair is just a function of

43:20

how fast the currency is collapsing and

43:23

when you live in a nation where they're

43:25

living under 100 inflation per year

43:29

you realize that everything you do and

43:32

everything you're going to do is going

43:34

to be siphoned away from you right and

43:38

it's just hard to be happy and it's hard

43:41

to pursue happiness you're you could

43:43

almost say your time Horizon

43:47

is shrunk and the discount rate

43:51

the the financial discount rate has got

43:54

to be equal to the inflation rate

43:57

so when the discount rate is zero when

44:02

the inflation rate is zero the discount

44:04

rate is zero when your money will last

44:06

forever which is what Bitcoin is then

44:09

your hopes your aspirations and your

44:11

horizon is forever

44:13

and I could say to you well I you know I

44:16

get up every day to make Bitcoin a

44:17

success because I know even if I fail

44:19

then I will leave a legacy and someone a

44:23

thousand years from now will be happy

44:26

that we made this work

44:27

right and and to the extent that I'm

44:31

able to to siphon energy into Bitcoin

44:34

then whatever that supports is going to

44:37

continue so so I'm pretty energized by

44:40

that

44:41

if you take the Other Extreme when the

44:44

inflation rate is a hundred percent

44:47

and that means that everything you're

44:49

doing is getting cut in half every you

44:52

know nine months or every year depending

44:54

on how you do the math

44:56

um your um your time Horizon is

45:00

36 months I'm gone from this Earth it's

45:03

almost like being given you're given a

45:07

um you know a terminal

45:09

diagnosis

45:11

okay but it's worse than the terminal

45:13

diagnosis because it's because it's not

45:16

it's not just that you'll be gone it's

45:18

that every you know your entire state

45:20

will be gone you don't even get the

45:23

ability to to write into your will you

45:26

know take care of my family and my

45:28

friends because it's all gone in 36

45:31

months so in the absence of Bitcoin and

45:35

and in the presence of a collapsing

45:37

economy

45:40

you're just overcome by Despair and in

45:43

the presence of Bitcoin uh it's like the

45:45

sun comes out and there's light and you

45:48

can see a path

45:50

to happiness right and and uh and the

45:54

network is greater than you

45:56

right Bitcoin is an ideology it's a

45:58

network and

46:00

one of the most profoundly ethical

46:03

things about it is is that in the

46:06

pursuit of making it successful you're

46:08

helping not just yourself but you're

46:10

helping a lot of people you don't even

46:12

know

46:13

you you even

46:15

and Bitcoin you even have the joy I'll

46:18

give you an example if you if you took

46:20

all the money in the world that you had

46:23

right and you invested it in a um a boat

46:28

and you and you took it on the open

46:30

ocean you caught in the hurricane and

46:32

the boat sinks and you die

46:35

in the Fiat world that is a disaster and

46:38

a catastrophe

46:40

but in the Bitcoin world if you invested

46:42

all your money in Bitcoin and you died

46:46

and your private Keys went to the bottom

46:49

of the ocean

46:50

you've just made a contribution of your

46:52

entire estate to the rest of the Bitcoin

46:54

community and everyone else is that much

46:56

richer and and so it's the ultimate

46:59

charitable Pursuit

47:02

if you were to Simply go to the Grave

47:04

with your keys in your head because you

47:06

have contributed

47:08

to everyone that was on that Journey

47:10

with you Pro rata and ultimately Fair

47:12

fashion and if you're not sure right

47:16

instead of like uh you know you're a bat

47:20

crazy relative taking your money

47:23

and wasting it on derelict Pursuits

47:25

after your death you've actually

47:28

contributed your wealth to the most

47:30

honorable ethical responsible people

47:33

that may not even be alive someone that

47:36

will be born a hundred years from now

47:37

will benefit from the fact that you

47:39

simply took your Bitcoin keys to the

47:41

Grave it's a you know it's a it's the

47:44

ultimate privatization and

47:46

decentralization of charity

47:49

instead of having some

47:51

virtue signaling charitable organization

47:54

saying you're not a good person unless

47:56

you give us all your money so that we

47:58

can use it after you're dead or while

48:00

you're alive right which is just you

48:04

know just more of this you know kind of

48:07

uh unwarranted senior Ridge

48:10

you know

48:12

instead of that Bitcoin basically

48:15

privatizes virtue privatizes charity

48:18

decentral

48:19

decentralizes uh all of these things so

48:23

that you no longer

48:25

you no longer have to depend on the

48:26

government to think you're a good person

48:28

I you no longer have to depend on a

48:31

charity to think you're a good person

48:33

you can just be a good person on your

48:36

own by running a node holding your key

48:38

stacking SATs and going about whatever

48:40

you want and and that I just see as it

48:45

is the pursuit of happiness

48:48

what a powerful concept you do so much

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