SaylorCorpus

The Case For $3M Bitcoin Revealed in Exclusive Interview With Michael Saylor & Adam Back!

BTCPrague · 2025-06-25 · 1h 24m · View on YouTube →

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I'm just going to issue billions and

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billions and billions of dollars of

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securities and buy billions and billions

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and billions of dollars of Bitcoin and

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uh right I mean that's the engineering I

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give you the upside you have no downside

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and I pay you a dividend while you wait

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to get rich okay

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which is

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Bitcoin goes to a million 2 million bit

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as Bitcoin goes up if I own Bitcoin in

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Cuba or North Korea. I'm getting rich.

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Now, the interesting thing is where is

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all the money in the world? There's

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hundred trillion dollars of money in the

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equity capital markets. There's 3002

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$300 trillion of money in the credit

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markets.

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But the long-term durable business is to

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issue BTCbacked credit instruments and

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issue billions and then tens of billions

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and then hundreds of billions.

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And you're not competing against other

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Bitcoin treasury companies and it almost

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is meant to compete with IBIT. They

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can't invest in something for a hundred

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years. And so the Bitcoin superpower is

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Oh, you go first. We'll figure it out.

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All right. It's all good with me.

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[Applause]

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All right. Thank you everyone. Uh very

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happy to be here. Very grateful to be

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with legends Adam, Michael Sailor. I

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think we can all be grateful to have the

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privilege to spend time and get uh the

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all the knowledge of Michael and of Adam

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all together. But first I would like to

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express my deepest gratitude to BTC

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Prague. I think they have put together

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an amazing event.

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Thank you so much. Thank you Matias

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Martin. I think we can all say every

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time there is no second best, but then

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you meet Matias, you say there might be

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no second best and then you meet Martin

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and then there is maybe.

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And so thank you so much for all of

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this. And uh I would like also to thank

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very much Michael and Adam. I think on a

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personal level uh you have changed my

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life uh and my family and I think that's

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the case for a lot of people here. I

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think that um you are an example of

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ethics, of courage and of success over

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the years and that provide a lot of hope

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for everyone.

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Well, I guess everyone agrees. So, thank

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you very much. Um I guess uh a key topic

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here today will be uh the

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financialization of Bitcoin. uh and

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maybe we will get into how this is also

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positive for Bitcoin. What are also

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potentially some risks and trade-offs to

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always take in mind but first I would

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like to start with Michael and to ask

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how is it possible that the simplest

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the the the clear model for business is

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actually the most effective. I asked

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just before entering the stage to the

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community on X what is the number one

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question I should ask and the question

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always I get is what is the next

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business model for Bitcoin Treasury

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company. Well, the business model you

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already have it and so I will leave the

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floor to to Michael to explain how the

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model is so robust due to its simplicity

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and how you can achieve amazing results

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by focusing on executing it as laser

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eyes focused as possible and to deliver

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the best results for shareholders.

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Thanks. You know, I I said um I said in

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Vegas, you know, uh a corporation is uh

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the most effective wealth creation

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machine that we have yet devised. And if

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we think about the spread of Bitcoin as

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a monetary virus and as a as an idea, um

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the super spreaders uh the amplifiers of

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the virus are corporations. when uh

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Bitcoin hits an individual, if uh bit

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Bitcoin arrives, you know, at my

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proverbial dentist and the dentist

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clocks a couple hundred,000 a year or

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whatever, they're buying a few

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hundred,000 of Bitcoin. And you know, as

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I said, in the in the war to determine

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the future of money, right, it's going

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to be fought with money, right? Right.

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Right? The future of money is going to

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be fought with and won with money. So

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the dentist is um he's generating a few

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hundred,000 or she's generating a few

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hundred,000 a year. And so over 20

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years, you're going to buy $4 million of

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Bitcoin.

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When the dentist incorporates and

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becomes a company,

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the dentist is going to sell a million

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dollars of stock

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and they're going to buy a million

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dollars of Bitcoin in a month.

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And when the company recapitalizes on

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Bitcoin, then your real opportunity is

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to any any operating company can sell

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equity or sell credit, issue credit. And

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uh public companies are the best. So say

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you're a public company, the superpower

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you have as a public company is you can

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sell equity, you can issue warrants, you

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can issue bonds,

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convertible bonds, junk bonds, or

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preferred stock.

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uh and the preferred stock can have any

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rights. They it can look like equity. It

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can look like convertible equity. It can

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look like a bond. It can have dividends

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or not. So when a company adopts the

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Bitcoin standard, that dentist that

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becomes a company

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doesn't buy a million dollars of Bitcoin

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in five years, doesn't buy a million

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dollars of Bitcoin in one year. The

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company issues a million dollars of

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equity and buys a million dollars of

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Bitcoin in one month.

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But it's immediately profitable, which

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means in the next month the company can

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issue another million. And so a company

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may very well start to issue a million

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dollars a month of security of equity

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and it all of a sudden has bought $10

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million of Bitcoin. So now the

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interesting thing is where is all the

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money in the world? There's a hundred

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trillion dollars of money in the equity

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capital markets. There's 300230 trillion

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dollars of money in the credit markets.

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All of the equity capital in the world

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is valued based upon future expectations

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of fiat cash flows.

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Every company in Nigeria is valued based

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upon the expectation of Nigerian cash

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flows. Every company in Brazil is based

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on Brazilian cash flows. Every company

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in the US cash flows. Okay? And we know

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that those the value of that cash is

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falling but we also know it's very

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competitive. So so you have uh a long

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heterogeneous uncertain like uh credit

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risk there or or a equity risk we'll

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call it. And then with credit all of the

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creditors they're valued based upon the

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future expectations of cash flows. I I I

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borrow money. I don't have the money. I

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promise you I'll pay it back. I'm going

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to get the money over 10 years. Right?

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So the existing markets are based upon

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these future expectations

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of business operation. We're valuing

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real world assets. We're valuing future

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cash flows. We're valuing equity uh or

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or opportunities. And the Bitcoin

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treasury company idea and the and the

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most elegant business model is I have a

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stack of Bitcoin, $10 million of

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Bitcoin. I start issuing equity based

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upon my ability uh to acquire more

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Bitcoin. Then I issue credit, you know,

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fixed credit, convertible credit, some

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other credit, and then I use it to buy

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Bitcoin. And of course, the point is

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when MetaPlanet was a hotel, they might

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be able to buy a million dollars of

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Bitcoin a year, but when Met Planet

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started uh issuing equity, it's able to

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issue a billion dollars of equity in a

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year. And so now they're buying not a

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million, but a billion a year. But the

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rate at which a company can issue equity

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or credit

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is exponential. But it's not like annual

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it, you know, you might be doubling

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every month, right? You might or you

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might go into something like uh like on

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October 30th we announced the 21 billion

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ATM. We thought well that you know if we

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do that in three years that'll be the

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most successful equity program in the

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history of the capital markets if we did

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it in three years. And we did it in like

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three months because because all you're

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doing is you're swapping equity for

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Bitcoin and you're swappering swapping

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credit

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for Bitcoin. Companies can do that.

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Individuals can't do that. But when you

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put three individuals together and they

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cooperate, they become a company. So

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really that I wouldn't be afraid of a

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company. I would just say a company is

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when, you know, one dude that knows

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finance got together with one lawyer and

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got together with one uh with one

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leader, a CEO, a CFO, a general counsel,

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now you have a Bitcoin treasury company.

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If you put Bitcoin digital capital

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behind it,

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and now you can grow literally as fast

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as you can issue the security and buy

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the Bitcoin. And that is that is an

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investment cycle which is 1,000 times

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faster than you know a physical real

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estate cycle or a business cycle. So

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it's faster, it's homogeneous

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and uh primarily the friction point is

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the issuance of securities. So it's a

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it's a legal and it's a regulatory

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friction point. And it's different if

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you're Japanese than if you're French.

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You you you need Bitcoin treasury

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companies in the UK that understand UK

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law and one in France and one in Norway

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and Sweden and Germany and they're all

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going to have local advantages

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because they're you know you know if

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you're a Japanese company it's easier to

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issue Japanese securities than American

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company going to Japan. I know this.

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I called Simon. And I said,"Simon, the

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good news is you'll probably beat me to

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issue preferred stock in the Japanese

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market. You know, go for it." Right? And

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so I I think that that's the the

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simplicity uh in the business model is

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I'm just going to issue billions and

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billions and billions of dollars of

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securities and buy billions and billions

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and billions of dollars of Bitcoin and

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I'm going to digitally transform the

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equity and the credit capital markets

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from 20th century analog physical cash

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cashbased

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to 21st century very digital

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bitcoinbased and that's I think what we

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see right now in the market. So Michael,

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you have built the Bitcoin Treasury

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Company bridge. You have said multiple

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times the best thing to do is to

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actually build the bridge, stand on the

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bridge, show that the bridge works and

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then invite us to come to the bridge and

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you have done an amazing uh work on this

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and thank you so much for all you do for

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Bitcoin for corporations overall. Uh we

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have the chance today to also have Adam

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that has even contributed to build the

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Bitcoin bridge itself through

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innovations uh like hash at the time in

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the 1990s and uh who is also extremely

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present in the Bitcoin treasury company

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analysis today. So Adam, how do you see

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uh the evolution of Bitcoin and the

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Bitcoin treasury company model and how

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do you have a valuation framework for

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the different bridges of Bitcoin

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treasury company and how do you analyze

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them? You have even created new metrics

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how do you analyze the Bitcoin treasury

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company business model? Well, it's

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interesting to see how people are

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looking at it because as with many new

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things, the default is people are

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skeptical. Okay, why why does that work?

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Seems like magical thinking. Seems

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recursive logic. That kind of feel. But

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if you It's quite simple really. You can

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recreate the logic for yourself, which

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is to go back to Michael's dentist

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example. Let's say it's a private

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practice. They could use their free cash

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flow to buy Bitcoin, but they realize

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they can take a loan and borrow Bitcoin.

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because they have now accounts, they can

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maybe borrow a million dollars against

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the practice which has enterprise value

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and buy Bitcoin and the dentist is a

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friend of yours. So, he invites you to

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buy 10% ownership in his practice.

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But he knows that you can't get this

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favorable business loan because you're

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not a business. So, he asks for a

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premium and you do the calculation, you

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realize it's still a good deal because

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if you want to do it yourself, your

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credit is less scalable. you you know

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you you have a worse credit risk as an

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unsecured lender and so it makes sense

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and so you invest in it. So now you've

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proven to yourself but a treasury

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company should have a premium.

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Now once it it's a public company the

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market will tell you what the premium

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should be and once you have a premium

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you can start to use a capital markets

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tools. So you can sell more shares issue

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more shares and sell more shares. And if

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you if you look at it when there's a

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positive premium that will increase the

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bitcoin per share which is the uh

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northstar metric that all the treasury

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companies are looking at is increasing

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bitcoin per share because the

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shareholders are buying shares and if

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they're getting more bitcoin over time

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per share that's uh you know growing

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their position. So I think the next next

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question people come to if you if you

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get them across those hurdles is you

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know well am I overpaying? is has the

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market bid up this uh premium or the

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MNAV the market cap divided by the net

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asset value of Bitcoin too far and you

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know so it's something that any investor

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struggles with to think you know from a

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risk perspective what could go wrong if

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I get too enthusiastic and I buy a very

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high MNAV and that turns out to be

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something that decays over time and

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normalizes lower then I'm left holding

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this thing so now I think there's some

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interesting factors here with treasury

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companies that have reduced that risk.

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One is that the treasury companies are

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buying Bitcoin all the time, you know,

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every month, every day. And so they're

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reducing your risk over time because

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what what you'll see is that uh as as a

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treasury company buys Bitcoin, they're

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sort of uh paying for a premium. So the

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example I was giving is that you know

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micro strategy or strategy now is the

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most wellknown the earliest treasury

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company. So I had some conversations

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with you know people in the banking

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sector investment banking sector and

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they they were you know why does this

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work? I said well look it's very simple.

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Micro strategy was trading at around two

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times now for for some periods and you

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know what yield have they achieved? How

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much have they increased Bitcoin per

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share since January last year? And it

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about doubled the amount of Bitcoin. It

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did 73 and a half% last year and about

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enough this was a month or so ago during

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this first two quarters of this year

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that that compounds to two times. I

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think if you if you bought the stock

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last year, you're now the the yield has

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paid for the two two times risk premium.

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And so that means from here forwards as

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they continue to accumulate until

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Bitcoin is fully saturated, you have no

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risk, you know, almost no risk because

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you're you you've you've got to the

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point where you have uh paid a bitcoin

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for each bitcoin inside the company and

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it's still operating. It's still doing a

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strategy. So that thought process

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basically lends itself to a new metric

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which is how quickly does a given

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company pay for the premium it has and

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so the premiums are different for you

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know due to local market dynamics due to

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the market tools they have uh whether

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they're using debts or ATMs and the MNAV

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they they end up in a reg in a region

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and so you can see that you know it was

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a way for me to start to feel

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comfortable buying metal plants planet

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at five times premium when I was

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accustomed. I was relatively early in in

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buying Micro Strategy shares because I

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thought that Michael's mission here to,

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you know, encourage other companies to

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put their treasury reserves into Bitcoin

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was a was a very uh, you know, good

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cause and would help companies and, you

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know, it would surprise me actually it

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took so long for other companies to to

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come on board despite, you know,

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Michael's running a annual conference to

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show them and give them a playbook. So

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in any case the the question for me was

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well do I feel comfortable buying

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MetaPlanet at five and you know because

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it's higher than than Micro Strategy had

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and the answer became easier what to

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think about once you thought about well

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how long does it take to pay for that or

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it was actually you know it's varying

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over time but at one point it was five

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months and so then I realized well

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that's actually much lower risk than it

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appears intuitively because within the

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within the space of five months if they

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continue, you know, if nothing disrupts

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their ability to raise capital with the

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mechanism they're using for that period,

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then they actually get to the same one

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times in after a five month period and

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then it's upside after that. Now, you do

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have there's a lot of, you know,

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judgment in the execution strength of

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the management. In in my case, I knew

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Alexander and I knew somebody involved

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with MetaPlanet. So I had some uh

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built-in trust of the people involved in

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running it and that they were you know

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bitcoiners interested in bitcoin for its

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for its mission and so on. Um so that

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that metric I expressed as the months to

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cover and actually I think it was

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somebody sent me a a screenshot which I

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asked where it came from and it was from

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the MetaPlanet quartly presentation and

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they picked it up and used it within

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like a few days basically. So evidently

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it they thought it was useful to explain

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to their investors why you should you

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should buy you know why you should

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invest in MetaPlanet effectively. So I

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think they found it uh they have a high

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MF so it it works well for them right

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anyway they they adopted it and picked

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it up. So it's just a way to to look at

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it but I think you do have to form an

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opinion about the repeatability of the

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strategy the scalability of the strategy

0:19:40

as the company grows. you know, if it's

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twice as big, ideally, it needs to be

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able to raise correspondingly twice as

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much or it could slow down and um

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whether it will be able to continue this

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at the same pace in a bare market as a

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bull market. And of course, the other

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factor you're looking at is what's the

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debt ratio. And you know, you can see

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today that strategy has a relatively low

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debt ratio. I believe it's something in

0:20:04

the 15% range. And you know on the

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Bitcoin side of things uh the blockchain

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group is actually not taking on debt at

0:20:13

all in a normal sense because you have a

0:20:15

Bitcoin basis convertible note which I

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think is a very interesting

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uh new variant of of debt. The reason

0:20:23

that that is not conventional debt is

0:20:25

because if it fails to reach the

0:20:28

conversion premium over uh the 5year

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period ultimately the company could just

0:20:33

give back to Bitcoin sitting in rig

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fence in a bank subsurfree mode

0:20:38

custodian and so it doesn't have the

0:20:41

same kind of tail risk and so they were

0:20:43

able to at the blockchain group to to

0:20:46

bring in what would be staggering

0:20:48

amounts of debt if you if you were to do

0:20:50

that in euros. So it enabled the

0:20:52

blockchain group to grow very quickly in

0:20:53

its in its early period. So yeah, that's

0:20:56

that's what I've been looking at um in

0:21:00

trying to understand and get a feel for

0:21:01

things. I I find that generally the best

0:21:04

way to understand things is is to get

0:21:05

your your hands on to it and you know

0:21:09

buy invest try to analyze form an

0:21:12

opinion should always have your own

0:21:13

opinion. Shouldn't rely on other

0:21:15

people's opinions. If you're investing,

0:21:16

you should have your own valuation. What

0:21:18

all your own thesis for why you think

0:21:21

something's valuable? And another

0:21:23

question I get asked sometimes is how

0:21:26

scalable is is the treasury company

0:21:28

playing which is to say if lots of

0:21:32

companies come in will it compress the

0:21:35

effect lower the mnavs and exhaust

0:21:37

something and you know in a way that

0:21:41

that's a question for Michael because he

0:21:43

was inviting people you know trying to

0:21:45

encourage them to come in you know would

0:21:46

that compress his his strategy right and

0:21:49

you know my intuition when asked this

0:21:51

question is actually No, it won't

0:21:54

because it's an enormous market.

0:21:56

effectively the treasury play you know

0:21:58

everybody buying Bitcoin personally

0:22:01

uh every fund manager putting Bitcoin

0:22:03

into a pension fund and all of the

0:22:06

treasury companies are basically all

0:22:08

participating you know so everybody

0:22:10

owning Bitcoin is participating along

0:22:12

with the treasury companies and you know

0:22:14

sovereign wealth funds and everybody in

0:22:16

this huge arbitrage between the fiat

0:22:19

current which is mispricing Bitcoin and

0:22:22

the Bitcoin denominated future which you

0:22:25

Hal Finny in 2009

0:22:28

uh famously just put out the what if

0:22:31

that Bitcoin should be worth $200

0:22:33

trillion

0:22:35

um you know just just based on the

0:22:37

monetary premium in other assets and so

0:22:39

that still seems very plausible maybe

0:22:41

it's a bit higher because we've

0:22:43

onboarded a lot of inflation in the

0:22:44

different major currencies and so you

0:22:47

know if you look at that it's an

0:22:48

enormous arbitrage that will take you

0:22:51

know maybe decade or decades to go

0:22:54

through even If the big cashrich

0:22:56

companies get involved, it's just an

0:22:58

enormous pie. And there are probably

0:23:00

some beneficial effects of of more

0:23:02

players. you know, it will provide more

0:23:04

liquidity, more understanding, more

0:23:06

certainty, standardize the model, make

0:23:08

it work better because people people's

0:23:10

risk um misunderstanding will will clear

0:23:13

up or like react to safety and numbers

0:23:15

and and copying other people, seeing

0:23:17

other people doing things with

0:23:19

confidence and um so I think that you

0:23:23

know and of course this activity is you

0:23:25

know slowly bringing forward

0:23:28

bitcoinization of the world. So it's

0:23:30

generally absorbing Bitcoin. Um yeah,

0:23:34

another thing interesting thing about

0:23:36

treasury companies buying Bitcoin is

0:23:38

they are very mission focused on not

0:23:40

selling Bitcoin. So they're taking

0:23:41

Bitcoin off of the spot Bitcoin markets

0:23:44

and storing it. And while the individual

0:23:47

companies stock varies depending on, you

0:23:50

know, it uh just market psychology or

0:23:54

somebody shorting it temporarily, things

0:23:57

like that, that doesn't result in

0:23:59

Bitcoin. selling it just results in the

0:24:01

company getting compressed temporarily

0:24:02

while they build up lots more Bitcoin

0:24:04

and then they spring back. So it seems

0:24:06

quite resilient as well. You know, one

0:24:08

one theory people might have is will the

0:24:11

MNAV get compressed and stay low, get

0:24:14

stuck there? And you can see that a good

0:24:16

example in MetaPlanet in February this

0:24:19

year, um their MNAV got to 10, which was

0:24:22

on the high side, and then it

0:24:24

immediately crashed with a limit down, a

0:24:27

limit system in the Japanese market

0:24:29

under a,000 yen. It can only move 150

0:24:32

yen before there's a limit stop. And so

0:24:35

it limit down three days in a row and it

0:24:36

reopened almost 50% down and that that

0:24:39

made the market subdued for a couple of

0:24:41

months. But in the meantime, you know,

0:24:42

the Metropanet management team continued

0:24:45

to operate their moving strike uh ATM

0:24:48

like system and changed 1,760

0:24:53

Bitcoin into 5,000 Bitcoin in a couple

0:24:56

of months. And of course that that

0:24:58

compressed the MNAP down to two and a

0:25:00

half. And at that point the investors

0:25:02

woke up and said, "Wow, that's cheap."

0:25:04

So they start buying it. Once you get

0:25:06

some some buying going, a lot of people

0:25:08

are momentum traders. They see they see

0:25:10

something's happening. They build it up.

0:25:12

And you know, now within not too many

0:25:14

weeks, their MNAP is back at seven. So

0:25:16

you can see the MNAV can get reanimated.

0:25:19

And the thing that causes that is the

0:25:20

buildup of pressure of more Bitcoin

0:25:23

being piled in making it, you know,

0:25:25

reducing the risk because it gets

0:25:27

cheaper and cheaper in terms of the

0:25:29

premium. Um, so very interesting to see

0:25:33

those, you know, fears be proven again

0:25:36

in the market over time. So get

0:25:38

confidence in in how this type of

0:25:40

instrument, this type of company can

0:25:43

behave in the market. So Adam, you

0:25:45

mentioned that we are going to a BTC

0:25:47

denominated world, the 200 trillion

0:25:50

dollars opportunity in today's dollars

0:25:53

and the future of as well the accretion

0:25:56

and the bitcoin per share and the mnav

0:26:00

and the premiums and so on. Many of

0:26:02

these maker you have been pioneering the

0:26:04

BTC denominated capital markets with the

0:26:08

KPIs, the BTC KPIs, the BTC yield, the

0:26:11

BTC gain uh and the torque and you have

0:26:14

been put putting together a lot of

0:26:17

metrics for the financial industry

0:26:19

overall to be able to value Bitcoin

0:26:22

treasury companies and you are also

0:26:25

aggressively now tapping into credit

0:26:27

markets and you are issuing new products

0:26:31

that allow to maybe challenge this form

0:26:35

of consensus view that the premium

0:26:37

should go to one over time or something

0:26:39

like this. Effectively with the

0:26:41

instruments that you are leveraging

0:26:43

potentially you are uh enabling the

0:26:46

premium to continue to stabilize or even

0:26:49

go up. Um so how are you uh able to uh

0:26:55

provide a financial engineering in a in

0:26:57

a best-in-class manner to tap into those

0:27:00

capital markets and have the best

0:27:01

performing preferred and have the

0:27:04

ability to make an announcement of

0:27:07

10,000 bitcoin um in a week and uh how

0:27:11

how are you able to do that and how this

0:27:13

is shaping the new wave of um adoption

0:27:17

for financial markets with the

0:27:19

instruments of Bitcoin treasury

0:27:21

companies.

0:27:24

You know, I I think our first um

0:27:28

challenge was to develop a set of

0:27:29

metrics that you could use to value uh

0:27:32

BTC backed equity. And because you're on

0:27:36

a Bitcoin standard, uh, simple USD, uh,

0:27:40

US dollar accounting doesn't really work

0:27:43

because US dollar accounting is geared

0:27:45

toward companies that generate their

0:27:47

earnings via operations. And so, you

0:27:51

know, we created BTC yield, which is

0:27:53

basically the accretion of Bitcoin per

0:27:55

share in a percentage. And the idea of

0:27:57

that is if you've got a 20% BTC yield,

0:28:02

you could put a multiple of it on it

0:28:04

like 10 and you could you could come to

0:28:06

a 200% premium to NAV. It's a very

0:28:10

simple way to get to what should the

0:28:11

premium to NAV be. Well, it comes down

0:28:14

to whether the whether the company

0:28:15

generates 220%

0:28:18

yield or 10 or 200% yield, right? And a

0:28:21

bond that pays 200% interest after tax

0:28:24

is worth a lot more than a bond that

0:28:26

pays 5% interest after tax. Right? So,

0:28:29

um the yield metric was an equity

0:28:31

metric. Uh BTC gain or dollar gain is an

0:28:35

equity metric. A BTC dollar gain is

0:28:38

basically the earnings equivalent for a

0:28:40

Bitcoin company. It's it's on a Bitcoin

0:28:42

standard basis. If you generated a

0:28:44

hund00 million of BTC dollar gain, it's

0:28:47

like $100 million of after tax earnings.

0:28:50

um it goes direct to shareholder equity.

0:28:53

It bypasses the P&L. But a company that

0:28:57

can generate a billion dollars of of BTC

0:28:59

dollar gain is like a company that

0:29:01

generates a billion dollars of earnings,

0:29:04

right? And you could use a P to E on

0:29:07

that and say, well, I'll assign a PTE of

0:29:09

10 or 20 or 30 or whatever times that

0:29:11

gain and that gives me an enterprise

0:29:13

value for the operation and their

0:29:15

ability to do it. Now the question

0:29:17

becomes how do you generate BTC yield

0:29:21

and how do you generate BTC uh dollar

0:29:24

gain or BTC gain and there's three

0:29:28

obvious ways to do it. One way is

0:29:32

operating cash flows. I take my

0:29:34

operating profit and I sweep it into BTC

0:29:37

and that becomes a yield and that

0:29:39

becomes a gain.

0:29:41

that is uh have $100 million of

0:29:43

operating cash flow and I buy Bitcoin

0:29:46

with it. Uh then I have $100 million of

0:29:48

BTC uh dollar gain without any

0:29:51

shareholder dilution, right? And so

0:29:53

that's you know that's one way to do it.

0:29:56

Uh you need an operating company that

0:29:58

generates a lot of cash to do it. The

0:30:00

second way to do it is is if you sell

0:30:02

equity at a premium to NAV, you know,

0:30:05

when you're selling a $100 million of

0:30:06

equity at a 2 MNAB, then you capture a

0:30:09

$50 million BTC

0:30:12

dollar gain. And of course, if you sell

0:30:14

equity at a discount to MNAB, you're

0:30:16

actually diluting the shareholder. So,

0:30:17

you would have a negative yield, a

0:30:20

negative gain. I think the reason that

0:30:22

BTC yield and BTC gains matter is it's a

0:30:26

very simple, transparent, instantaneous

0:30:28

way for an investor to see whether the

0:30:31

management team uh took an accretive

0:30:33

transaction or a dilutive transaction on

0:30:37

any given day. Any public company can

0:30:40

raise almost any amount of money if

0:30:42

they're willing to dilute their

0:30:43

shareholders. And the real trick is to

0:30:46

do it accreatively. So those two

0:30:49

metrics, you know, are important, but

0:30:52

now we've moved through this issue. I've

0:30:55

run out of cash flow. What do you do if

0:30:58

the BTC um if the MNAV is 10 or five or

0:31:03

eight? This is not a complicated

0:31:05

question. when you're on fire with an

0:31:07

MNAV of eight, you sell the equity, you

0:31:10

buy the Bitcoin, you know, at an MNAV of

0:31:13

of 10, you've got like a 90% spread,

0:31:17

right? So, you're generating $900

0:31:20

million of gains for every billion

0:31:22

dollars of of equity you're selling.

0:31:25

It's risk-free instant earnings. In

0:31:28

essence, that's not complicated. The

0:31:31

question is, what if MNAV goes to one or

0:31:34

it goes below one? How do you j what if

0:31:36

you don't have any cash flow and mnav

0:31:39

goes to one but you have a billion

0:31:41

dollars of bitcoin on the balance sheet

0:31:44

well if you're a closedin trust like

0:31:46

gayscale right or if you're an ETF uh

0:31:50

but especially a closedin trust you

0:31:52

can't do anything so you'll trade at a

0:31:55

discount to mnav and that's always the

0:31:57

thing people wanted to avoid

0:32:00

the special power that an operating

0:32:02

company has is to issue credit

0:32:04

instruments though. And so the way that

0:32:06

you actually pull yourself out of a hole

0:32:09

if you trade at a discount or you trade

0:32:11

down to normal MNAV is you start to sell

0:32:15

credit instruments you collateralized on

0:32:18

the on the assets of the company. So

0:32:21

that takes us to the idea of uh of BTC

0:32:26

credit models. If I have a billion

0:32:28

dollars of Bitcoin, I can sell a hund00

0:32:31

million of a bond or a hundred billion,

0:32:35

let's say, $100 million of preferred

0:32:37

stock that yields 10% dividend yield.

0:32:41

It's 10 times over collateralized. So

0:32:43

therefore, the BTC rating is 10. You can

0:32:47

now calculate the risk. The risk would

0:32:49

be the risk that your billion dollars of

0:32:53

Bitcoin trades to less than a hundred

0:32:54

million by the time of maturity of the

0:32:57

instrument.

0:32:59

You can calculate that statistically the

0:33:01

same way you calculate Black Scholes

0:33:03

models. You plug in the volatility, you

0:33:05

plug in the BTC rating, a risk pops out.

0:33:08

Um and uh then you can calculate a

0:33:11

credit spread, what we call BTC credit.

0:33:14

What is the what is the theoretical

0:33:17

credit spread above the risk-free rate

0:33:19

that you need to offset the risk? And of

0:33:22

course, the credit spread if the BTC

0:33:24

rating of is two is higher than if it's

0:33:27

10. And if Bitcoin volatility is

0:33:30

forecast at 50, then the the credit

0:33:34

spread has to be higher than if the

0:33:36

Bitcoin volatility is 30. So if you plug

0:33:40

into your model your expectation of

0:33:42

Bitcoin return or ARR over a decade and

0:33:46

you plug in your expectation of

0:33:48

volatility of Bitcoin and you plug in

0:33:50

the price of Bitcoin, you get a BTC

0:33:52

rating, the risk pops out, the BTC

0:33:56

credit model pops out. Um what we have

0:34:00

done is used that in order to start to

0:34:02

issue Bitcoin back credit instruments.

0:34:05

Our our idea is we want to sell

0:34:10

securities into a market that's uh

0:34:12

orthogonal to the equity market and to

0:34:15

the Bitcoin market or uh an uncorrelated

0:34:18

market. So the market for uh for US

0:34:22

dollar yield right amongst retirees

0:34:26

there are a lot of people that don't

0:34:27

know what Bitcoin is, don't know what uh

0:34:30

strategy is. They don't know anything

0:34:33

about our business model. But if we

0:34:36

offer them like we offered a a a

0:34:40

preferred stock that yields 10% dividend

0:34:42

at par, we offer you 10% dividend yield

0:34:45

and a qualified income distribution, a

0:34:48

QID or QDI qualified

0:34:52

um type instrument. If you make less

0:34:55

than $48,000 a year, you can buy the

0:34:58

instrument and collect 10% dividend

0:35:00

yield taxree in the US. Okay. Well,

0:35:03

that's interesting. A lot of people want

0:35:07

Now the issue is is it risky? Well, if

0:35:09

it's 5x or 10x over collateralized, then

0:35:12

it doesn't look that risky if you if you

0:35:15

think Bitcoin is a real thing. So, the

0:35:18

idea of giving someone extremely low

0:35:21

risk but high yield uh fixed income is a

0:35:27

is a simple idea. I think it's kind of a

0:35:31

killer application for Bitcoin as

0:35:33

collateral. What we did at Strategy is

0:35:36

we created a convertible preferred

0:35:38

called strike which gives you 40% of the

0:35:41

upside of the stock and an 8% dividend

0:35:44

at par. And then we created a senior um

0:35:48

preferred called Strife that gives you

0:35:50

10% at par that is uh cumulative. It

0:35:54

means the dividends if you ever miss

0:35:56

them they accumulate and there are

0:35:58

penalties. So it's and it's senior to

0:35:59

all the other preferred and u those two

0:36:03

were the two most successful preferred

0:36:05

stocks in the century that is the most

0:36:08

liquid the highest performing they all

0:36:10

traded up 25% when the other preferred

0:36:12

were trading down 5%. And of course,

0:36:15

they're the most successful because

0:36:17

anything any security backed by pure

0:36:19

Bitcoin is always better, right? The

0:36:22

options are more valuable, the equity is

0:36:24

more valuable, the convertible bonds are

0:36:25

more valuable, these preferred are more

0:36:28

valuable because you're plugging in an

0:36:31

asset which is going up 55% a year with

0:36:34

55 vol. And so if you plug in something

0:36:37

which is spinning at 55 RPM that's clock

0:36:40

that's that's going 55 miles an hour

0:36:42

there's a lot of energy in it. So we

0:36:45

just plug that into those instruments.

0:36:47

They were very successful.

0:36:50

We we uh floated them in the public

0:36:52

market on NASDAQ and we attached a shelf

0:36:54

registration to them. And the idea is

0:36:57

now we can just we can sell people we

0:37:01

can sell people 40% of the upside of the

0:37:03

stock and that might be 80% of the

0:37:06

upside of Bitcoin but with downside

0:37:08

protection and a guaranteed dividend. So

0:37:10

we call strike it's like a it's like a

0:37:13

Bitcoin fellowship. It's like you get a

0:37:15

living stipen you get protection and you

0:37:18

get to ride the upside and you can hold

0:37:21

it forever. And that's for the Bitcoin

0:37:23

curious that are afraid to get on the

0:37:25

roller coaster, which is Bitcoin, or the

0:37:29

hyper roller coaster, which is the

0:37:31

equity, the turbocharged Bitcoin, MSTR.

0:37:35

But then there's a lot of people that

0:37:36

don't want Bitcoin exposure. They just

0:37:38

want US dollar yield or euro yield or

0:37:40

JPY yield. And so, you know, how is

0:37:44

that? How many people is that? Well,

0:37:45

that's like every retiree in the world.

0:37:46

That's like that's like everybody.

0:37:49

There's no one that doesn't want eight

0:37:52

or 10% dividend yield at extremely low

0:37:56

risk. That's why the credit markets,

0:37:58

fixed income markets are bigger than the

0:38:00

equity markets. So what we did there is

0:38:03

we're just using Bitcoin to generate

0:38:05

that. And um if Bitcoin is going up,

0:38:09

it's been going up 55%. So you can

0:38:12

pretty much slice any amount of yield

0:38:14

out of 50 less than 55% and you can give

0:38:17

it to an investor

0:38:20

and uh you know I think a Bitcoin

0:38:22

maximalist long-term forecast is 30%.

0:38:26

But I I figure Bitcoin's got to yield

0:38:28

between 20 and 60% a year for ever.

0:38:32

And as long as Bitcoin is returning 20%

0:38:35

or more, you can always sell these

0:38:39

instruments offering 6 7 8 9 10% and

0:38:44

swap it into 20 30 40%.

0:38:47

Capture the difference for the equity

0:38:49

investors and that way the equity

0:38:51

outperforms Bitcoin.

0:38:53

The convertible you can probably and and

0:38:57

here's our engineering. We're basically

0:38:59

engineering the company for the equity

0:39:01

to outperform Bitcoin by 50 to 100%.

0:39:05

Then you've got Bitcoin. If you want

0:39:07

straight Bitcoin, you buy it from IBIT

0:39:09

or you buy the BTC and you hold it

0:39:11

yourself. And then we're engineering,

0:39:14

but you're getting you're getting all

0:39:15

the upside and the downside of Bitcoin,

0:39:17

all the volatility. Then strike the

0:39:20

convertible instrument is engineered to

0:39:22

give you 80 to 100% of the performance

0:39:25

of Bitcoin but with 10% of the downside.

0:39:28

So we want 80% of the upside, 10% of the

0:39:31

downside and a guaranteed dividend. So

0:39:35

that's for people that kind of want to

0:39:37

have their cake and eat it too and they

0:39:39

don't want the roller coaster.

0:39:42

And it almost is meant to compete with

0:39:44

IBIT. You know, if you think about it,

0:39:45

it's like instead of 100% of the upside,

0:39:47

100% of the downside, and no dividend,

0:39:50

what if I gave you 80 to 100% of the

0:39:52

upside? I don't know if it'll be exactly

0:39:55

100%, but the the more we lever the

0:39:58

equity, then the more likely the

0:40:00

convertible equity becomes equal to

0:40:03

Bitcoin performance. So, we're shooting

0:40:06

to get the convert to perform the same

0:40:09

as Bitcoin over the long term, but with

0:40:11

principal protection and liquidation

0:40:13

preference. and with the guaranteed

0:40:15

dividend stream. And that's that thing.

0:40:18

And it seems like there's a market for

0:40:20

people that want the upside without the

0:40:22

downside, right? And uh Right. I mean,

0:40:26

that's the engineering. I give you the

0:40:27

upside, you have no downside, and I pay

0:40:30

you a dividend while you wait to get

0:40:31

rich. Okay?

0:40:35

Which is

0:40:36

[Applause]

0:40:39

the the smart financial engineers in my

0:40:42

opinion agree with me. They're like,

0:40:43

"Oh, wow. This is a good idea." But a

0:40:46

lot of people haven't quite they haven't

0:40:48

quite figured it out yet because

0:40:51

because um nobody's ever issued a

0:40:55

perpetual uh convertible preferred

0:40:58

stock. They're the the last 10 preferred

0:41:01

stocks issued in the last four years.

0:41:02

The top three of the 10 were ours and

0:41:05

they're all perpetual and all the other

0:41:08

seven aren't. People don't normally sell

0:41:11

a perpetual dividend or a perpetual call

0:41:14

option because they don't have a

0:41:16

perpetual use of proceeds. They they

0:41:19

they can't invest in something for a

0:41:21

hundred years. And so the Bitcoin

0:41:24

superpower is if you believe if you're a

0:41:27

Bitcoin believer, you think Bitcoin is

0:41:29

going to outperform the S&P index

0:41:31

forever.

0:41:32

And if Bitcoin outperforms the S&P index

0:41:35

forever, you can sell a dividend that's

0:41:38

less than the S&P forever. And then you

0:41:42

can also sell a a convertible preferred

0:41:45

that outperforms, right? That that's

0:41:47

good forever. So, so we engineered that.

0:41:50

And then the idea with the the fixed is

0:41:53

is we're going to give someone an

0:41:56

infinite duration dividend yielding. and

0:41:59

and and the conventional thinking is

0:42:01

you're crazy. You should have a call

0:42:03

option in so you can retire it if

0:42:05

interest rates fall. And that's a way a

0:42:08

convent a conventional banker is like

0:42:10

they all like you should put a call

0:42:11

option and then you call it if if if the

0:42:13

interest rates fall 200 basis points.

0:42:15

You'll call it and you'll refinance it.

0:42:18

But that's the way you think if you sell

0:42:20

144a over-the-counter instruments with a

0:42:23

three-year duration to trade in the

0:42:25

over-thecounter market. But those are

0:42:27

all crippled 20th century instruments.

0:42:30

The way you think in the 21st century is

0:42:34

I'm going to put strife into the market

0:42:38

and I don't care how much I sell in the

0:42:40

first week. I'm m I I'm creating the

0:42:43

instrument so that I will maximize the

0:42:45

amount of capital I raise over the next

0:42:48

decade or 20 years. So we wanted uh to

0:42:52

create the instrument so that if if

0:42:55

Jerome Pal drops the interest rates 200

0:42:57

basis points strife trades up to 150 or

0:43:02

and when it trades up to 150 the cost

0:43:05

the the yield falls to 6%. And when the

0:43:08

you know so instead of 10 it falls to

0:43:10

six and then we're we're able to then

0:43:13

sell it. I'm not buying it back.

0:43:17

I'm selling it. Right? The whole idea is

0:43:19

when the interest rates fall, I will be

0:43:21

selling billions and billions of dollars

0:43:24

of that instrument via the ATM at 150 or

0:43:30

And the small thinker thinks, oh, I have

0:43:32

to buy it back, refinance it, go back

0:43:35

and do a 144A deal with the investment

0:43:37

bank with a huge, huge commission to

0:43:40

refinance it, and then that'll be

0:43:42

illquid and crippled. And so I don't

0:43:44

want to issue a series of crippled,

0:43:47

illlquid securities. And by by the way,

0:43:50

what I'm describing

0:43:52

the entire preferred stock market, all

0:43:54

of the preferred stocks, in my opinion,

0:43:56

are garbage, right? to all this this

0:43:59

you're you're buying these garbage

0:44:00

instruments that are illlquid that trade

0:44:03

$400,000 a day that yield 6% that have

0:44:06

the credit of a midsize regional bank in

0:44:09

a state you've never been to with

0:44:12

mortgage portfolios you don't understand

0:44:15

and you're supposed to accept 6% illquid

0:44:19

over-the-counter

0:44:20

that nobody can buy you know instead of

0:44:24

something which yields more which is

0:44:27

100xes liquid that everybody can buy.

0:44:30

And of course, the problem is all that

0:44:32

corporate credit, all of that preferred,

0:44:35

it's all 20th century ideas on 20th

0:44:38

century credit models. So, what we did

0:44:42

is we concluded the killer app for a

0:44:45

Bitcoin treasury company

0:44:48

is to issue credit Bitcoin, you know,

0:44:51

Bitcoinbacked equity. That's the first

0:44:53

app. And yeah, you can do that for a

0:44:56

while, but the long-term durable

0:44:59

business is to issue BTCbacked credit

0:45:02

instruments and issue billions and then

0:45:04

tens of billions and then hundreds of

0:45:06

billions. And you're not competing

0:45:09

against other Bitcoin treasury

0:45:11

companies. You're competing against

0:45:13

every junk bond sold by every company

0:45:16

with no money, every corporate bond sold

0:45:20

by an investment grade company. And

0:45:22

guess what? We're more collateralized

0:45:24

than the best investment grade companies

0:45:26

issuing corporate bonds. We have better

0:45:29

collateral. So, we're competing against

0:45:31

corporate bonds, investment grade bonds,

0:45:35

junk bonds, private credit, and then

0:45:37

against preferred stock in that market.

0:45:41

And the idea is we're just going to sell

0:45:43

something that is more creditw worthy,

0:45:45

less risky, better collateralized, that

0:45:48

yields more, that's more liquid, that

0:45:51

everybody understands.

0:45:53

And ultimately the goal is

0:45:57

we're, you know, instead of a market of

0:45:59

a thousand preferred stocks with 500

0:46:02

million in the float each that are

0:46:04

illquid, that are garbage,

0:46:06

how about one preferred stock with $50

0:46:09

billion in the float that trades $2

0:46:12

billion a day that yields more that

0:46:15

everybody's heard of that's backed by

0:46:17

Bitcoin, right? And and to do that, you

0:46:20

just kind of adopt those metrics. And

0:46:22

what I just described, every Bitcoin

0:46:24

treasury company can copy. I invite you

0:46:27

to copy it. You know, I encourage you to

0:46:30

copy it because just like 20 BTC

0:46:34

companies issuing equity legitimizes

0:46:36

Bitcoin. and Bitcoin equity. 20

0:46:40

companies issuing Bitcoin backed credit

0:46:42

instruments will legitimize Bitcoin back

0:46:45

credit will accelerate the digital

0:46:48

transformation of all the credit markets

0:46:49

and create a stampede of capital out of

0:46:52

the 20th century defective crippled

0:46:55

credit instruments into the digital

0:46:59

credit instruments of the 21st century

0:47:02

and uh S&P and Moody's and Fitch they'll

0:47:05

all just start to cover that everybody's

0:47:07

view of credit risk will evolve. Uh the

0:47:11

retirees get 200 basis points more yield

0:47:14

on something which is an order of

0:47:16

magnitude less risky.

0:47:18

Bitcoin goes to a million 2 million bit.

0:47:24

As Bitcoin goes up, the collateral goes

0:47:26

up. The markets all evolve. And what

0:47:28

you're what I'm describing is the way

0:47:31

that I see the digital transformation of

0:47:34

the capital markets driven by these BTC

0:47:36

companies. Thank you so much for

0:47:49

all right so we have about 30 minutes

0:47:49

left um I will ask a last question to

0:47:52

Adam and then open to the Q&A so please

0:47:55

prepare your questions um what we are

0:47:58

witnessing really is Bitcoin as the

0:48:01

standard store of value for capital

0:48:03

markets Bitcoin treasury companies that

0:48:06

are securitizing ing Bitcoin and

0:48:08

providing access to various capital

0:48:10

pools and have you seen very well

0:48:13

described by Michael like the ability of

0:48:15

Bitcoinary companies to create new

0:48:18

financial instruments for various pools

0:48:20

of capital and of course that's a

0:48:22

monstrous opportunity and as you

0:48:25

mentioned Michael it's not a competition

0:48:27

we are collaborating and creating an

0:48:29

industry and on the same mission to uh

0:48:33

get Bitcoin at the core of the capital

0:48:35

markets And Adam here with us has been

0:48:38

working for a long time on digital

0:48:40

capital markets as well. So we would

0:48:42

like to get your perspective Adam on uh

0:48:46

potentially first uh some risks and

0:48:48

trade-off to take into account when it

0:48:50

comes to Bitcoin capital markets and how

0:48:53

you've built also solutions for 247 365

0:48:58

uh capital markets and how do you see

0:49:00

the evolution of the role of Bitcoin

0:49:02

treasury companies uh within the

0:49:05

transformation as well of Blockstream

0:49:07

within the asset management industry for

0:49:09

the adoption of Bitcoin And how do you

0:49:11

see this impact of Bitcoin treasury

0:49:13

companies overall into capital markets?

0:49:17

Yeah. So um as I might have mentioned, I

0:49:21

think that Bitcoin is the hurdle rate.

0:49:23

So that's that's effectively, you know,

0:49:27

the fiat currencies are suffering a lot

0:49:29

of inflation and Bitcoin is best

0:49:32

performing asset class of the last

0:49:34

decade. And so you know if you realize

0:49:37

that you don't want to invest in

0:49:39

anything that isn't competing with

0:49:41

Bitcoin very very hard to compete with

0:49:43

Bitcoin. So the obvious solution is to

0:49:46

redenominate the companies in Bitcoin,

0:49:49

base their treasuries on Bitcoin and you

0:49:52

know use the profits from their

0:49:54

enterprise to buy Bitcoin and use the

0:49:56

capital markets structures that Michael

0:49:57

has been describing to you to to improve

0:50:00

that cycle and you know play with the

0:50:03

arbitrage to bring forward the

0:50:05

bitcoinized future. Um now in terms of

0:50:09

risks I I described the um sort of MNAV

0:50:14

varying over time and you see companies

0:50:18

reanimating their MNAV. So they'll get

0:50:22

they'll get a compressed MNAV and

0:50:23

they'll recover from that. And so you

0:50:27

know um strategy's been around the

0:50:29

longest and I was early investor in it.

0:50:31

So I was actually buying it at times in

0:50:33

the bare market um with the first bare

0:50:36

market that a treasury company has been

0:50:38

through actually the rest the rest of

0:50:40

the treasury companies have been through

0:50:42

one and you know to my point of view it

0:50:45

was cheap so I was buying it and you

0:50:47

know as Michael's described that there's

0:50:50

an incentive within a company and this

0:50:52

is why companies do share buybacks when

0:50:54

if your own equity is mispriced you want

0:50:56

to buy it and so you know if you've got

0:50:58

cash reserves you can buy it in a

0:50:59

Bitcoin setting the more effective way

0:51:02

is to raise capital from these

0:51:05

uncorrelated preferred instruments that

0:51:08

Michael set up the strike strife and

0:51:10

stride and use that capital to buy back

0:51:13

your own equity if if it were to get

0:51:16

below one. I'm not sure that it would

0:51:18

necessarily because there's a lot of

0:51:20

people looking at the companies who

0:51:22

would buy it, you know, at one and a

0:51:24

half and and also consider that cheap.

0:51:27

So maybe it can't quite get there. Um,

0:51:30

so and I think in terms of risk, it

0:51:32

depends on your investing horizon. I'm

0:51:35

generally a value investor, a long-term

0:51:37

outlook. So I I tend to not like buying

0:51:40

not like selling things. I don't like

0:51:41

selling Bitcoin. Once I get into a

0:51:44

treasury company, I kind of want to hold

0:51:45

on to it and and ride the uh, you know,

0:51:48

their ability to accumulate Bitcoin at a

0:51:50

time because that improves you know,

0:51:52

your entry point is now historic and

0:51:54

they've accumulated more Bitcoin than

0:51:56

the MNAV when you bought it. then you're

0:51:58

kind of quite well insulated.

0:52:01

So I think you know people who create a

0:52:04

risk is more by trading in a very

0:52:07

short-term viewpoint. You know, you see

0:52:09

that in the Bitcoin market and I think

0:52:10

that same kind of risk can exist in the

0:52:13

treasury company market, which is if

0:52:15

you're prone to sell something because

0:52:18

the market's volatile, you um you know,

0:52:21

to slow down and take a longer

0:52:24

perspective um and realize, you know,

0:52:26

the the Bitcoin cycles come and go and

0:52:29

of course you have short-term volatility

0:52:31

in anything. It's, you know, there is

0:52:33

there is no risk-free return. So of

0:52:36

course you're you're taking on a risk by

0:52:38

doing anything. Um I do find the fact

0:52:41

that the the treasury companies are

0:52:45

accumulating Bitcoin which is sort of

0:52:46

de-risking behind your investment. So if

0:52:49

you were to let's say if let's take

0:52:52

MetaPlanet as an example and it's MNAV

0:52:55

is ranging between 5 and 10. There was

0:52:57

probably a point in time when it got a

0:52:58

bit above that right? So if you picked

0:53:00

it up at 12 and it generally is not

0:53:04

going back there, you might think, "Oh,

0:53:05

now I'm I'm stuck." But that's just not

0:53:08

not really what happens because, you

0:53:11

know, after a few months relative to

0:53:13

your entry, they will have accumulated

0:53:15

more Bitcoin. So it will become as if

0:53:18

you bought it at 10 a few months later

0:53:21

and then over time it it kind of decay.

0:53:23

So I I like the phenomena that it sort

0:53:25

of forgives too hot of an entry. um

0:53:28

makes it a sort of forgiving type of

0:53:30

investment. But of course you know with

0:53:32

any company you are trying to understand

0:53:36

um what you know where the risks are in

0:53:39

terms of trust you know the operational

0:53:42

capability are they good at executing

0:53:44

will they stay good at executing and

0:53:47

what mechanisms are they doing are they

0:53:49

repeatable are they scalable so if they

0:53:51

if the company gets bigger they can they

0:53:53

can go bigger say you instruments like

0:53:57

strike and stride and strife that are

0:53:59

drawing capital from uh debt markets

0:54:01

which are enormous is is positive for

0:54:04

scalability.

0:54:08

and I think, you know, in the

0:54:12

Bitcoin market, there are, you know,

0:54:14

people who are long-term investors,

0:54:16

value investors who just buy Bitcoin and

0:54:18

cold store it. And that's great, but

0:54:20

there are also some speculators. And so,

0:54:23

you know, for people who like

0:54:24

speculating, they like volatility.

0:54:27

Treasury company tends to have an

0:54:28

amplified volatility compared to the

0:54:30

underlying. And um it's an interesting

0:54:33

trade because you know part of what

0:54:35

creates volatility in the Bitcoin market

0:54:38

is that people find themselves all in so

0:54:40

or they're at their allocation risk and

0:54:43

so they see a lower price and they don't

0:54:45

they don't have any more capital so they

0:54:47

can't buy it or they use leverage which

0:54:49

then they can mischarge. So you know

0:54:52

there's a shortage of capital to buy

0:54:54

pullbacks in the Bitcoin market. And so

0:54:58

what what I was finding attractive um

0:55:01

apart from supporting the treasury

0:55:03

company mission as part of the overall

0:55:05

Bitcoin mission to Bitcoin the world is

0:55:07

that um you could trade a strategy

0:55:10

company using Bitcoin as the

0:55:13

denominator. So you have a basically a

0:55:15

Bitcoin basis trade. So if you see a

0:55:17

strategy company and you think it's in

0:55:19

that is cheap compared to its normal

0:55:22

range or compared to monster cover, you

0:55:25

can buy it with Bitcoin and when it

0:55:29

looks overheated or it's normalized, you

0:55:31

could swing it back to Bitcoin. Now

0:55:33

typically if you try that, you'll

0:55:35

realize over time probably would have

0:55:36

been better off to just leave it in

0:55:38

there because they're continuing to

0:55:39

acrue Bitcoin and you know you're

0:55:41

playing with market timing. But at least

0:55:43

it's Bitcoin denominated. So you'll fall

0:55:45

back as you're in Bitcoin. Um and also,

0:55:49

you know, as a kind of stubborn value

0:55:51

investor, I won't typically want to

0:55:53

realize a loss, particularly a Bitcoin

0:55:56

denominated loss. That's a very

0:55:57

upsetting phenomena.

0:56:00

So, you know, that's that's where the

0:56:01

huddle meme comes from, right? That the

0:56:04

guy was uh extremely drunk, but making a

0:56:07

very sillient point that if you sell

0:56:10

Bitcoin, you are short Bitcoin and

0:56:12

that's very dangerous. Um I I arrived at

0:56:15

this conclusion very early in the

0:56:18

Bitcoin my Bitcoin experience in 2013 or

0:56:21

something that you know the price of

0:56:24

Bitcoin is going up exponentially even

0:56:26

then you know it's kind of fractal right

0:56:29

so it's doing the same thing again and

0:56:30

again if you zoom out um and if

0:56:34

something is going up exponentially it

0:56:37

has very high volatility

0:56:39

if you were to sell the odds are stacked

0:56:42

against you because it's just

0:56:44

inexorably, you know, if you zoom out

0:56:45

over time going up. So, you're really

0:56:47

taking bad odds to sell and think you

0:56:50

you'll be lucky and buy back in. You

0:56:53

know, the market's moving against you

0:56:54

generally. So, I never

0:56:58

uh want to sell Bitcoin. And so, I think

0:57:01

the Yes. So, I think there's a new

0:57:04

market evolving here, which is to price

0:57:06

treasury companies in Bitcoin. And so at

0:57:10

Blockstream we have some Bitcoin layer 2

0:57:12

technology. We are participants in the

0:57:15

lightning phenomena. We have one of the

0:57:17

implementations of lightning called core

0:57:19

lightning. I think it was the first one

0:57:20

to go live with a real value in web

0:57:23

store that's still running today. Uh and

0:57:27

we have another layer 2 called liquid

0:57:29

which is a side chain technically and

0:57:32

with a side chain you can introduce new

0:57:34

features. So one of the features of the

0:57:37

side chain is you can you can uh issue

0:57:41

assets on it and use it as a settlement

0:57:43

layer or trading layer for uh limit

0:57:47

orders and trustless settlement and

0:57:48

execution and simple smart contracts

0:57:51

like call options and so on without an

0:57:53

intermediary. Um

0:57:56

those kind of instruments are typically

0:57:57

settled with the back office where

0:57:59

you're trusting an intermediary. So you

0:58:01

can you can do this and there are

0:58:02

wallets that support this kind of

0:58:04

technology including some that have

0:58:06

trading features in them. So there's one

0:58:09

called sides swap which has um it's by a

0:58:12

Swedish company. It has a central order

0:58:15

book, but you're able to trade on it,

0:58:17

place limit orders on it while keeping

0:58:19

your assets, which could be Bitcoin,

0:58:22

Micro Strategy shares, MetaPlanet

0:58:23

shares, probably soon OPG, the

0:58:27

blockchain group shares, and what you're

0:58:30

you're actually participating in is a

0:58:32

properly licensed regulated security

0:58:34

even though it's in a blockchain format.

0:58:37

say how that particular one is set up

0:58:39

but it could be done in different ways

0:58:40

with different legal processes is the

0:58:43

units are Luxembourg securitization

0:58:45

vehicles and you are trading units of

0:58:49

the securitization vehicle. Um, and you

0:58:52

know, you have to enroll to access that

0:58:55

market because it, you know, rules

0:58:56

differ in different countries. And

0:58:58

whenever you transact, you know, I could

0:59:01

pay for my share of a lunch bill using a

0:59:03

few hundreds of MetaPlanet share and

0:59:07

given that small action results in a

0:59:08

share registry update in a database. Um,

0:59:12

so it's, you know, it's it's real time

0:59:14

updated. It's regulated and yet it feels

0:59:17

permissionless. You can transfer it.

0:59:19

It's a kind of more modern digital share

0:59:22

certificate with a bearer-like behavior

0:59:25

in the sense that you have the share

0:59:27

certificate and you can swap it, you can

0:59:29

transfer it. It's very real time but it

0:59:31

is updating the classical share

0:59:33

registration database with a with a

0:59:35

registered owner and actually if you use

0:59:38

lose the keys you can go and apply to

0:59:40

the share registration agent and they

0:59:42

can you know lock the previous one for

0:59:45

transfer and replace the uh replace

0:59:48

certificate. So anyway with that market

0:59:50

you have um on a sight swap order book

0:59:54

actually bitcoin denominated pricing for

0:59:57

a few strategy a few treasury companies

1:00:00

and more over time. Now that provides

1:00:03

two advantages. One is if you are doing

1:00:06

this kind of trading,

1:00:09

you are typically going to sell um a

1:00:13

Bitcoin ETP or ETF to dollars or euros

1:00:17

and then you use the dollars or euros to

1:00:19

buy, you know, OPG, the blockchain group

1:00:21

or MetaPlanet and then do the reverse.

1:00:24

So you're taking two trades every time

1:00:25

and these prices are moving. So it's you

1:00:27

know you can slip quite a lot with that.

1:00:29

So, it's inefficient and also the

1:00:33

markets are not 24 by7. So, um you know,

1:00:37

if you live in Europe and you try to

1:00:38

trade MetaPlanet, the market opens at 2

1:00:40

a.m. for your perspective. It's not not

1:00:42

good timing. So, with these um tokenized

1:00:46

treasury stocks, you have a 24 by7

1:00:51

Bitcoin denominated market that you know

1:00:53

trades on a weekend. It trades in your

1:00:55

time zone and it's more uniformly

1:00:59

accessible. So you you see when you see

1:01:02

new treasury companies coming to market

1:01:04

OPG a while ago, you still see threads

1:01:07

on social media where people asking how

1:01:09

do I get to Paris stock exchange? I

1:01:12

can't I can't you know I called

1:01:15

interactive brokers or I called this or

1:01:17

Fidelity and it is a bit uneven and um

1:01:21

so this this provides kind of more

1:01:22

uniform access. Another one which it

1:01:25

seems to be even harder to get at is

1:01:28

uh a new a new treasury company in

1:01:31

incorporated in Sweden on the Nordic

1:01:33

growth market. You know same thing again

1:01:36

people are trying to find where can they

1:01:38

buy it. Of course that's you know it

1:01:40

gives the local market participants

1:01:43

faster access to it then maybe they have

1:01:45

some unique advantage in their in their

1:01:48

home country as Michael desping

1:01:56

new um sort of digital capital market

1:01:56

technology and you know there's interest

1:01:59

from exchanges now who are adding

1:02:03

securities licensing so that they can

1:02:06

have they can trade securities in a

1:02:08

bitcoin exchange and so you have

1:02:10

Bitfinex announcement. So Bitfinex was

1:02:13

one of the first to get this kind of

1:02:14

licensing. I think now you see Kraken

1:02:17

making some announcement that they're

1:02:18

going to start more recently Coinbase.

1:02:20

And so the concept here is that you can

1:02:22

have uh sort of standardized Bitcoin

1:02:26

layer 2 uh tokens for the treasury

1:02:31

stocks and be able to deposit them on a

1:02:33

custodial exchange, trade them with high

1:02:35

velocity on there and withdraw them and

1:02:37

move them to other exchanges. You also

1:02:39

have the possibility because it is

1:02:41

tokenized to use that as collateral to

1:02:45

borrow. Of course, you could borrow

1:02:47

dollars. That's a common thing. But

1:02:49

because people are engaging in a bitcoin

1:02:52

basis trade, you actually have now a

1:02:56

natural and new market to borrow bitcoin

1:02:59

to apply leverage to that trade. So you

1:03:02

know if you are trading metaplanet it's

1:03:04

quite volatile. So using leverage on

1:03:06

that might be a little risky. But in any

1:03:08

case you could apply a low leverage

1:03:10

where you're basically borrowing a bit

1:03:12

of Bitcoin against Metaplanet to buy

1:03:15

more metaplanet and unwinding that on

1:03:17

the way back. So it's really unlocking

1:03:19

you know um a bitcoin basis view of a

1:03:24

lot of capital market structures where

1:03:26

uh margin trading is all dollar or euro

1:03:29

based margin in a traditional market

1:03:31

it's very clunky the markets are 24 by7

1:03:35

the leverage they can provide is very

1:03:36

variable so in some sense it can expose

1:03:39

you to special margin call or

1:03:42

liquidation risk a very very

1:03:44

conservative view on leverage unless you

1:03:46

are you

1:03:48

a hedge fund that can negotiate

1:03:49

something more custom. So we're finding

1:03:52

this quite interesting and opening the

1:03:54

doors for you saw that stalker who is

1:03:57

the Luxembourgation

1:04:00

licensed entity doing the first two

1:04:02

treasury stocks in this format made an

1:04:05

announcement of uh partnering with H100

1:04:09

to do some more elaborate things like a

1:04:12

convertible note that's tradable that

1:04:15

you can you know pay for the conversion

1:04:17

and receive the share you know with a

1:04:19

few clicks rather than um you know go

1:04:23

through the conversion paperwork and you

1:04:25

know wait a few days to get the uh

1:04:27

shares to show up in your brokerage

1:04:30

account. So you get this much more

1:04:31

accelerated

1:04:33

uh process which is interesting to see

1:04:35

as well. And you know, you're you're

1:04:37

literally exchanging some Bitcoin, a

1:04:40

tokenized convertible note, a tokenized

1:04:42

share in a in a sort of trustless

1:04:45

market, you know, a non-custodial order

1:04:48

book or market service. And you can

1:04:51

exercise a convertible node. So, you

1:04:53

know, that's that's not built yet, but

1:04:55

it's pretty easy to build with these co

1:04:56

tools. So, might see that pretty soon.

1:04:59

That's interesting as well.

1:05:02

All right. Thank you so much, Adam. Um I

1:05:04

guess something that Adam mentioned

1:05:07

quickly to end the panel and open for

1:05:11

maybe one or two questions. Um is um

1:05:15

Bitcoin investment and as Michael Mnt

1:05:17

mentioned many times the right horizon

1:05:20

for Bitcoin is at least four years and

1:05:22

the best one is forever. uh and so we

1:05:25

talk a lot about Bitcoin, Bitcoin

1:05:27

treasury companies and the opportunity

1:05:29

is enormous but uh we are here for the

1:05:31

long term and I think that the the

1:05:34

opportunity should be looked in the long

1:05:36

term and uh to be careful as well in the

1:05:39

market. So is there any questions? Okay,

1:05:54

Thank you very much.

1:05:54

from the blockchain group and VC

1:05:56

treasury and the X community and my

1:05:59

question goes to Adam and also Alexander

1:06:01

if you feel like commenting. So um the

1:06:05

blockchain group is the first and uh

1:06:08

only as far as I know as of today

1:06:11

company um using an issue in BTC

1:06:13

terminated convertible bonds and what I

1:06:17

noticed is that people who first hear

1:06:19

this um kind of struggle to wrap their

1:06:22

head around that. So my question is um

1:06:25

what are actually the incentives on both

1:06:27

sides for the company issuing the bond

1:06:30

uh and also for the um bonds subscribers

1:06:34

um why for example a way of should

1:06:36

decide to use their bitcoin that way in

1:06:39

comparison to other alternatives

1:06:41

available there.

1:06:44

Um yeah, so I think the incentive for

1:06:48

the Bitcoin basis convertible for the

1:06:51

investor is they hope to capture they

1:06:54

hope that the market price reaches the

1:06:57

conversion premium. So um we talked

1:07:01

about the blockchain group they issued

1:07:02

some uh a lot not fairly recently

1:07:05

actually that with a 30% premium above

1:07:09

the market that was a price you pay

1:07:12

because there was an embedded option

1:07:13

which commanded the conversion premium

1:07:16

and then the so that's the purchase the

1:07:19

purchase price of the convertible and

1:07:21

then there's another 30% above which was

1:07:23

the conversion premium so I think the

1:07:25

attraction for the investor is that they

1:07:27

could, you know, put Bitcoin into it,

1:07:31

hope that the conversion premium is

1:07:33

reached, you know, quickly or in the

1:07:36

long term. It's a fiveyear pro, you

1:07:38

know, fiveyear instrument.

1:07:40

And um if it if it does reach the

1:07:43

conversion premium, then you can convert

1:07:45

it and you can hold it if you want to

1:07:47

participate in a company's continued

1:07:49

treasury strategy or you can sell it and

1:07:51

buy back a little more Bitcoin than you

1:07:53

put in. And um in terms of the rest of

1:07:56

the structure, there is a three-year

1:07:59

period where the uh investor can opt to

1:08:03

convert, not obliged to convert. And

1:08:05

after that, it's a 2-year period where

1:08:07

the company as long as you have the

1:08:09

premium because you can't convert if you

1:08:10

have a premium. And for the last two

1:08:13

years, the company has the option to

1:08:14

convert if it's above the premium. So

1:08:18

now the the thing that makes that lower

1:08:19

risk, there's two factors. One is the

1:08:23

debt ratio is kind of zero because you

1:08:27

know if it doesn't convert you know the

1:08:29

risk point is at maturity if it doesn't

1:08:30

convert the company has to give the

1:08:32

money back if the money was euros and

1:08:34

bitcoin price was low they might have to

1:08:36

raise money in the markets or maybe they

1:08:38

do something dilutive to come up with

1:08:40

the money or refinance it or something

1:08:41

right so it wasn't tools but

1:08:43

nevertheless with bitcoin that that kind

1:08:46

of tail risk most Bitcoiners think that

1:08:49

bitcoin will go a lot higher in five

1:08:50

years so they're not focused on that

1:08:52

anyway. But that tail risk if it's

1:08:55

Bitcoin and they have the Bitcoin

1:08:56

independent custodian in that tail risk

1:08:59

situation they can just simply transfer

1:09:00

the Bitcoin back and cancel it. Right?

1:09:02

So it's a kind of money back kind of

1:09:04

feel. So people like money back kind of

1:09:06

deals, right? And then what's in it for

1:09:08

the company is when the investor

1:09:11

converts the company gets more Bitcoin.

1:09:13

So they've generated a bookable yields

1:09:15

in terms of Bitcoin per share. And in

1:09:19

fact the the blockchain group

1:09:23

uh first instance of this had an

1:09:25

embedded option to uh

1:09:31

participate in a second bond second

1:09:33

convertible note um with a 30% higher

1:09:37

price and another 30% higher conversion

1:09:39

premium and 1.5 times the money that you

1:09:43

invested in the first one you had a pro

1:09:44

or right to and because It happened

1:09:48

relatively quickly. It was um you know a

1:09:52

curious experience right which is that

1:09:54

you invested certain amount of money to

1:09:56

your allocation choice preference and

1:09:59

now suddenly you have to find 150% more

1:10:03

money but it's in the money so you're

1:10:05

going to you're going to want to do it

1:10:06

right so that kind of pull forward a lot

1:10:08

of demand and helped I think ultimately

1:10:10

helped the blockchain group have this

1:10:13

very rapid growth. Um and I think the

1:10:16

other thing is that because of the sort

1:10:18

of being Bitcoin related debt that they

1:10:21

had a very high nominal yield in the

1:10:24

beginning because they had 40 bitcoins

1:10:26

from private placement money in November

1:10:29

and then they raised um 580 uh bitcoin

1:10:35

using this um bitcoin basis node without

1:10:39

embedded option only. And so if if that

1:10:43

was a euro debt, it would be an

1:10:45

enormously leveraged position because it

1:10:47

was a Bitcoin debt. That that felt like

1:10:48

a relatively safe thing to do. So

1:10:50

they're able to book a very rapid rate.

1:10:52

So please correct me if I got some

1:10:53

details wrong.

1:10:56

Um yeah, I think uh maybe a question for

1:11:00

microphone. You should go get it. Yeah.

1:11:05

Or just go walk through the audience and

1:11:07

ask them questions.

1:11:09

Yes. uh question to Michael. So thanks

1:11:12

first of all for being like for making

1:11:20

um yeah so my question is at least in my

1:11:20

view there is some kind of

1:11:24

that um financial engineering on top of

1:11:27

bitcoin growth but at the same time we

1:11:30

see more and more centralization on the

1:11:33

let's say technical side of things I

1:11:35

would like to ask if you see this

1:11:36

concern and uh what can be I don't know

1:11:40

social economical maybe financial ways

1:11:42

to fight it. What I mean is like

1:11:43

centralization of pools uh an amount of

1:11:47

nodes that are getting lower and things

1:11:49

like that. But do you see it a threat?

1:11:50

And if yes, what do you think we could

1:11:52

do to provide it? I I don't think it's a

1:11:55

threat. I think the network is

1:11:57

decentralizing and I'm not concerned

1:11:59

about the pools. Um I think that the

1:12:02

Bitcoin mining network is decentralizing

1:12:05

everywhere in the world. It's far more

1:12:07

decentralized today than it was during

1:12:10

the China lockdowns when China shut down

1:12:13

their Bitcoin mining and the D, you

1:12:15

know, when China China was mining half

1:12:18

of it that was sort of centralized and

1:12:20

then it migrated the US and in the past

1:12:23

year or two it's migrating out of the US

1:12:25

and spreading everywhere in the world

1:12:27

and at the end of the day I don't think

1:12:29

the pools have that much power. I think

1:12:31

that the power rests with the economic

1:12:34

actors. It rests with the economic

1:12:37

nodes. It rests with political actors.

1:12:40

It rests with uh the Bitcoin miners. At

1:12:43

rest with a bunch of tech providers. Uh

1:12:47

there's a lot more parties that are

1:12:49

engaged in consensus today than there

1:12:53

were five years ago. And I think the

1:12:56

mining pools are much weaker and again

1:12:59

largely irrelevant. any mining pool that

1:13:01

wanted to drive any particular policy

1:13:03

could be would and could be fairly

1:13:07

quickly overridden by all the other

1:13:09

economic actors or technical actors uh

1:13:12

in the space right now. So, I actually

1:13:15

think Bitcoin is at its most robust it's

1:13:18

ever been in my opinion. It's and so I

1:13:22

think we're good. We're gonna there's

1:13:23

going to be there's going to be people

1:13:25

concerned about everything under the sun

1:13:27

all the time. And I think that's

1:13:29

healthy. It's healthy that everyone's

1:13:31

worried about this protocol change or

1:13:33

Bitcoin core, this mining pool. That's a

1:13:36

that's a healthy degree of skepticism,

1:13:39

but I wouldn't interpret that healthy

1:13:43

immune response for the network being

1:13:46

weaker today. The network is far

1:13:48

stronger today than at any point that I

1:13:51

can remember or point to.

1:13:55

[Applause]

1:14:00

All right. Um I think Adam gave already

1:14:02

a very good answer on the BTC

1:14:04

convertible note. So if you have more

1:14:06

questions, I'll be available later on.

1:14:08

Maybe there is another question to close

1:14:10

the discussion.

1:14:13

Right.

1:14:23

Hello. So, I prepared it because my

1:14:23

English is not good.

1:14:26

So, we've discovered that there is a

1:14:28

global trust law fraud connected to

1:14:30

legal names worldwide affecting even all

1:14:33

KYC processes on the exchanges. And my

1:14:36

friend Rico, he has a little gift for

1:14:38

you about this. And my question is you

1:14:41

often suggest also before in the talk

1:14:43

that you are using company structures to

1:14:46

protect yourself. Is it also connected

1:14:48

to the names? But what happens if large

1:14:51

private or institutional actors continue

1:14:54

operating directly under their personal

1:14:57

names?

1:14:58

What would you recommend to avoid

1:15:01

long-term legal risks as the global

1:15:03

structure becomes more exposed?

1:15:10

I'm not sure I understand the question.

1:15:10

Can you say it again? Okay. My question

1:15:13

is so on all the KYC exchanges, there is

1:15:18

the problem that they use the wrong

1:15:20

names. They change it and it's not the

1:15:22

legal names as if you have it in the

1:15:24

passports. So if you act as a company,

1:15:27

you don't have the problem. But when you

1:15:30

have big investor like institutional

1:15:32

investor, they use their personal u

1:15:35

data. So their normal name and then you

1:15:39

have um yeah you have the problem with

1:15:41

the with the tax institution and with

1:15:44

the tax companies because they um have

1:15:47

changed

1:15:54

but uh yeah he has some information

1:15:54

about interview

1:16:04

anyway

1:16:04

I I think that um

1:16:08

that uh Bitcoin is spreading everywhere

1:16:10

in the world and and you can choose to

1:16:13

engage with it peer-to-peer with

1:16:15

self-custody and bypass the exchanges. I

1:16:19

think you can look at Bitcoin as uh one

1:16:22

world of Bitcoin where it's all

1:16:24

individuals uh working with each other

1:16:26

and there are a lot of different ways

1:16:27

you can do that, right? I mean there

1:16:29

there various there are various uh

1:16:32

individual

1:16:33

strategies or techniques where you're

1:16:36

not working with an exchange and you're

1:16:37

not working with a company. I think

1:16:39

there's a there's a second way to view

1:16:41

Bitcoin which is what if 400,000

1:16:44

companies all trade peer-to-peer with

1:16:45

each other and bypass the exchanges and

1:16:47

the banks. I think there's a third way

1:16:50

to view it which is what happens if

1:16:52

50,000 banks start to hold it and trade

1:16:55

with each other peer-to-peer.

1:16:57

I think there's a certain way that

1:16:59

people are dealing with crypto exchanges

1:17:01

today, but that's dynamically evolving.

1:17:04

I think that I think that um as the

1:17:09

digital assets environment becomes more

1:17:11

flexible I think you'll see an explosion

1:17:12

of innovation and uh the innovation is

1:17:16

taking place at the country level and

1:17:19

it's taking place at the individual

1:17:20

level and whatever is the status quo

1:17:23

today probably won't be the same in five

1:17:25

years and there'll be some countries

1:17:28

that will uh heir on the side of more

1:17:30

liberty and freedom and privacy and they

1:17:33

will develop very good technologies and

1:17:35

those will probably spread everywhere

1:17:36

else in the world. And there'll be other

1:17:38

countries that heir on the side of KYC

1:17:41

and censorship and not privacy. And I

1:17:44

think it's not a Bitcoin problem. It's a

1:17:47

it's a na it's a nation state or

1:17:50

citizenship problem. If you find

1:17:52

yourself in a particularly hostile

1:17:55

nation state where they deprive you of

1:17:58

your of your uh privacy or your economic

1:18:03

liberties, then of course the answer is

1:18:06

you're either going to use technology

1:18:07

that came from another place like VPNs

1:18:11

and firewalls and the like or you're

1:18:14

going to move. But I think Bitcoin

1:18:17

because it's global is uh it it's it's

1:18:20

allowing every nation, every actor

1:18:23

everywhere in the world to develop uh

1:18:26

technology for layer 2, layer three,

1:18:28

layer four protocols as fast as they

1:18:31

can. There are things that are being

1:18:33

done in countries that you don't live in

1:18:35

that would be illegal in your country or

1:18:37

or not culturally acceptable. And you

1:18:41

will probably as a Bitcoin holder,

1:18:43

you're the beneficiary of someone doing

1:18:46

something in another place that might,

1:18:49

you know, if if I own Bitcoin in Cuba or

1:18:51

North Korea, I'm getting rich even

1:18:54

though it's illegal to own Bitcoin in

1:18:56

Korea and North and Cuba. And likewise,

1:19:00

a lot of good technology will flow from

1:19:02

the US into countries that um that

1:19:05

wouldn't allow it. And there'll be

1:19:07

technology that flows from other

1:19:09

countries into Europe where it may not

1:19:11

be allowable. And I think that's dynamic

1:19:14

equilibrium. There's no one answer

1:19:16

except for the fact that it's pretty

1:19:18

clear that if you're looking for the

1:19:20

best answer, the best answer is going to

1:19:21

be a decentralized

1:19:24

network like Bitcoin and then

1:19:26

decentralized layer 2 protocols like

1:19:28

Lightning. then they are most likely uh

1:19:32

to provide uh the most sovereign

1:19:35

resistance and sound money properties

1:19:39

that you could get. Uh there's no second

1:19:43

best idea.

1:19:46

So I I you know a friend of mine says um

1:19:51

you know uh things aren't necessarily

1:19:54

perfect here. That's why we call it

1:19:56

earth and not heaven.

1:19:59

And I would say with regard to this,

1:20:01

there's always going to be imperfections

1:20:02

in people's implementations of Bitcoin.

1:20:05

That's why it's earth. It's not heaven.

1:20:08

But the second best idea is much much

1:20:12

worse than that. And what Bitcoin gives

1:20:16

us is it gives us hope that if you are

1:20:19

stuck in a place where you have an

1:20:21

imperfect uh capability or imperfect

1:20:24

execution, somebody somewhere else in

1:20:27

the world is probably working on

1:20:28

something better and once they roll it

1:20:31

out, it will start to either directly or

1:20:34

indirectly improve your condition as a

1:20:38

network participant. And so I I take

1:20:40

that incremental approach and I don't

1:20:43

get demoralized or depressed if I see

1:20:46

there's a suboptimal thing. If there's

1:20:48

some exchange or some wallet that did

1:20:50

something I didn't like. I just accept

1:20:53

the fact that that we move forward

1:20:56

sometimes imperfectly, two steps

1:20:58

forward, one step back. And that's how

1:21:01

all human progress takes place. And if

1:21:04

you're too much of an idealist and you

1:21:06

and you demand that everything be

1:21:08

perfect everywhere at all the time, you

1:21:10

know, throughout the journey, you never

1:21:12

get started on the journey and you'll

1:21:14

never get to a better place. And I think

1:21:17

we're moving to a pretty good place

1:21:18

right now. And on the margin

1:21:21

you have $2 trillion dollar of economic

1:21:25

energy in the network today that is

1:21:28

imperfectly

1:21:29

uh distributed to some actors

1:21:33

but 10 years ago you had a few billion

1:21:35

dollars of economic energy in the

1:21:37

network and it's not like the network

1:21:39

was more functional then or all the

1:21:42

applications were better. So, I think

1:21:44

we're better off today. And now that

1:21:46

everybody sees the excitement, you're

1:21:49

about to see the best and brightest

1:21:51

minds everywhere in the world start to

1:21:53

spend uh orders of magnitude more money

1:21:56

on programming and innovation and layer

1:21:58

twos and layer 3es in order to cure all

1:22:00

the problems that you identify. And I I

1:22:03

agree there's lots of problems in the

1:22:05

world. I think that Bitcoin is a

1:22:08

movement and a technology and a protocol

1:22:11

that provides us with a hopeful path to

1:22:14

get to solutions that are better than

1:22:17

anybody else has proposed with any other

1:22:20

protocol that I am currently aware of.

1:22:23

Yeah.

1:22:34

Right. Um well, thank you very much all.

1:22:34

Uh before closing, I'd like to say uh we

1:22:36

organized at 1:30 uh p.m. shareholder

1:22:40

meeting of the blockchain group. So if

1:22:42

you'd like to learn more about uh the

1:22:44

BTC convertible note and so on will be

1:22:46

with Adam back and

1:22:50

so please come by and please give a last

1:22:53

round of applause for Mailor and Adam

1:22:55

back. Thank you.

1:23:04

Thank you.

1:23:05

Thanks.

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