SaylorCorpus

PBD Podcast | EP 128 | Patron Saint of Bitcoin: Michael Saylor

PBD Podcast · 2022-03-01 · 1h 56m · View on YouTube →

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we're going to talk about michael saylor

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today

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all right folks so today is a special

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podcast we got a special guest for you

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here today i would say this the first

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time we got a billionaire in uh devault

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michael saylor uh for some of you guys

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that don't know his story i'll kind of

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uh set him up and we'll get right into

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it get your pens ready get your papers

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ready get your mind ready it's about to

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go for a workout the next two hours i

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promise you and for some of you guys

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that maybe still have doubts of

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cryptocurrency or maybe even bitcoin

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this man may change your mind here's why

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mit grad he is the ceo and founder of

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microstrategy nearly 2 000 employees

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they started an 89 went public in 98

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uh over 40 patents if you own one

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bitcoin today a bitcoin as of right now

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is worth forty four thousand five

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hundred and twelve dollars

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if you own ten that's 440 000

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if you own 100 that's 4.4 million

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dollars

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but he owns personally

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732 bitcoins and his company micro

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strategy brace for impact owns

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125 000 bitcoins let me say that one

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more time 125 000 bitcoins so with that

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being said michael saylor thank you so

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much for being a guest on the podcast

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happy to be here yeah so

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here's the craziest thing about

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what you were just talking about off

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camera you just got into this

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summer of 2020. it's not like you've

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been a

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true believer from day one it's not like

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you bought in you know 12 years ago 10

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years ago when these guys are talking

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you just got in two years ago for a guy

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as smart as you what made you switch and

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say this is the way to go

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you know most people don't think about

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money

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and we just kind of take it for granted

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and and i uh really took it for granted

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up until about 2020 but i think in march

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of 2020 a lot of people's world's view

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world views were shaken

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right i had some deeply held beliefs you

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know one belief is everybody should work

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in an office and you had to come show up

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and work in the office and then during

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the lockdowns

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i i found that i had to question that

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belief and pretty soon we're all working

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remotely and and i along with probably a

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billion other people went through that

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same transformation so that was like a

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digital transformation of work

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uh in uh in the second quarter of 2020

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we had what we'll call a

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k-shape recovery but in my opinion the

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k-shape recovery was main street got

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shut down and locked down and if you

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manufactured anything or provided

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services your business was wrecked

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and then wall street had a rapid

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miraculous recovery within six weeks of

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the pandemic and they had the best year

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of their life and

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i could have basically

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sat on a floatie in my you know poll in

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the hamptons and got a 30 percent

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in that year doing nothing

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which would be the best year of my

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entire business career if i'm a

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financier

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but if i was running a restaurant or

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running a manufacturing facility or

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doing something with raw materials

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i would have had to generate 30 percent

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more cash flow to get nothing

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you would have and of course that was

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impossible so can you explain can you

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flint to the average get what that means

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30 more cash flow

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the value of the currency collapsed in

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the year in essence the fed printed 40

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of all the dollars in existence in the

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18 months that followed the pandemic so

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when jerome powell said we're not even

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thinking about thinking about raising

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interest rates you know and forecast

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four years of zero percent interest

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and when the fed loosened the reserve

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restrictions on banks and allowed banks

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to in essence print infinite money with

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no reserve ratio

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then uh the economy was flooded with

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liquidity what happened was the stock

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market immediately recovered people

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thought that that was a that was

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something good

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it wasn't good it was the money

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collapsing it was the value of the

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dollar collapsing in real time against

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scarce assets

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so i most of the time if you owned a

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portfolio of stocks if you had a billion

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dollars worth of stocks and your

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portfolio went up by 30 you would have

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thought you were a genius in that year

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for doing what for staying invested in

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stocks why

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because jerome powell printed 30 more

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money

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if you didn't own a portfolio of stocks

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if you thought you were going to work as

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a dentist or a doctor or do things with

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in the real world your business is shut

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down the cost of all your materials is

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going up your labor's disappeared and no

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one is showing up to buy your stuff

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the world doesn't look so good so you

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had this uh

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dichotomy i think and

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the people on one side of of the economy

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thought everything was just fine and

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people on the other side the economy got

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destroyed

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i was sitting in the middle

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i had a main street company that

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generated 500 million in revenue and

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generated cash flow

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and uh i had a 500 million dollar

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treasury that was sitting in

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conservative instruments basically

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invested in in short dated uh sovereign

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debt you know the the conventional

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strategy for any publicly traded company

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you take your treasure and you buy one

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to five-year t-bills

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and otherwise you hold it in cash

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now um

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if the if the um

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interest rates were three or four

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percent and the money supply was

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expanding at two percent you might think

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that that was rational

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when the interest rate goes to zero

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percent and the money supply is

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expanding at two or three percent it

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looks a little bit painful

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but when wall street recovers 30 percent

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in a matter of weeks when main street's

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completely shut down and it's pretty

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obvious it's shut down

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you're

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you're uh

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catalyzed to consider your premises

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check your premises and ask the question

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is the economy 30 better than it was

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before the pandemic

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or is there something else going on here

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and i think the answer is there's

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something else going on here the the

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actual inflation rate isn't two percent

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or zero percent the inflation rate was

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30 percent but the inflation was hitting

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the assets it wasn't hitting consumer

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goods

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and so

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what i realized is maybe the money

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supply is expanding faster than zero or

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two percent a year and i started on a

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search and i discovered the bitcoin

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standard

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and some austrian econ economists and

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what i realized is the money supply had

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really been expanding at seven to ten

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percent a year for the last decade

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that's why the s p indexes is

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appreciating it ten percent a year for a

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decade and once i realized that that

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assets like the s p and equity

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portfolios and real estate are driven

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primarily by monetary policy of the

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central banks

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then i realized that holding money at

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zero percent interest when the money

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supply is expanding at 10 percent is

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losing 10 percent of your wealth a year

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and then i realized that in fact the

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money supply was expanding not at 10 but

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about 25 percent a year starting with

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pandemic and i was going to lose half my

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wealth on that treasury within 36 months

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and once i realized that i was i was

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destroying about 250 million dollars of

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shareholder value if i did nothing

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i started thinking i need to do

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something

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so in an environment where where the

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money is losing

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15 20 25 of its value a year and you're

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sitting in all cash instruments

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you either need to give the money back

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to the shareholders or you need to

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invest it in some scarce desirable asset

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the reason i did what i did at

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microstrategy was

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if i gave the 500 million dollars back

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to the shareholders

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that was 60 a share the stock was 120 a

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share

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i basically was valued at one times

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revenue plus the cash

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when i gave the money back to the

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shareholders the stock was going to go

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to 60 a share when that happened

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all my employees stock options were

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going to be underwater

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right

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we were going to get beat to death

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by amazon apple facebook and google

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they're just going to steal all our

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employees when the stock crashed and

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that would mean that instead of growing

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five or ten percent a year i was going

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to be shrinking five or ten percent a

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year instead of my cash flows doubling

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or tripling they were going to be cut to

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and once your revenues start falling

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your cash flows go to zero you have no

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capital all your employees quit when

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your employees quit the company unwinds

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we're gonna go to zero

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so giving the cash back to the

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shareholders was a fast death

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holding the cash at zero percent

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interest when it was losing twenty

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percent of its value a year as a slow

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death

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doing something was the alternative and

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we decided to do something which is

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invest the money in a property or in an

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asset that would go up faster than the

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rate at which the money was collapsing

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and that set us on a search and we

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considered buying a portfolio of scarce

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i thought about 500 million worth of

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real estate really you thought about

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mine art yeah

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i thought everything do you buy gold do

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you buy art do you buy real estate do

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you buy a portfolio of stocks do you

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we're going through

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perceptions before you settled on

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bitcoin you were thinking art you're

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thinking real estate you're thinking

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anything other than

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cash everything in fact in fact we put

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out a press release to our entire

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shareholder base when the stock's 120

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and you can go read it today it said

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over the next 12 months we're going to

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buy back 250 million dollars worth of

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our stock and we're going to invest 250

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million dollars worth of our treasury

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assets and some

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some asset in order to avoid inflation

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and we listed a litany of these things

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and we included bitcoin as one of the

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things we're evaluating

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um ultimately so so we went from first

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principles we said you have a bunch of

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money

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and i'll tell you why we said we're

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going to buy back 250 million dollars of

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our stock in a second uh but you have a

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bunch of money say 250 million dollars

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you want to hold it for a hundred years

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give it to your great grandchildren

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where do you invest it

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if you put it into the dollar the dollar

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is losing at least it's been losing

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seven to ten percent of its value a year

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for 100 years

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that means over the course of 100 years

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the dollar loses 99 of its value

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my house in miami beach was purchased

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for a hundred thousand dollars in 1930.

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okay i bought it for 14 million dollars

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this is the villa 2012.

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today

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you know yeah so

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100 000 to 50 million

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in less than 100 years that's

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that's not the house getting more

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valuable that's the currency getting

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less value that means the 200 million

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100 years from now there is nothing two

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million bucks

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okay if you took a if you took any

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amount of money take a hundred million

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dollars in the year nineteen hundred and

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invested in any currency in the world

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you would have lost

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a hundred percent of your money in every

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currency

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except for the dollar or maybe the pound

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every currency collapse the winner of

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every war in the 20th century was the

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united states

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and so the winning currency loses 99.5

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percent of its value everybody else you

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lose everything

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now if you if you put that money in gold

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there's a 95 chance it would have been

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seized

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in the hundred years because there's

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only a couple cities on earth maybe

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zurich or geneva where you wouldn't have

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had it stolen and maybe then they still

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would have stole it you know if you were

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the wrong citizen

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in the wrong country if you were a swiss

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citizen in switzerland for the hundred

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years you might have kept gold

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but uh you know churchill seized the

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goal roosevelt seized the gold if you'd

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lived in germany you would had your gold

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seized multiple times in japan they lost

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it two or three times and russia

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you know count the number of times so

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there's nowhere on earth where you could

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have kept your uh your gold

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and now you're stuck with okay well what

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are you invested land

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take um

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take a hundred million dollars worth of

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money and buy land in

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florida tax bill's two million dollars a

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if you buy property in florida's two

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percent property tax a year it gets

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assessed up every year you have the

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ownership of the land for about 20 years

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before the government takes it back from

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you you don't own you don't own your uh

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your property of the land yeah plus the

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maintenance so

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if you want to move money through time

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how do you do it you can't do it with

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the currency

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the money is broken the money was always

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broken it's been broken for a hundred

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years losing seven to ten percent of its

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value but

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in hyper-inflating economies like

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venezuela argentina

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fill in the blank

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the money uh loses 20 30 40 of its value

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a year sometimes 80 of its value a year

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in that case you can't even carry money

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for a decade you might not be able to

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hold money for a year in those economies

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uh the russian rubles lost 35 percent of

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its value in the past

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few weeks

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right that's how fast it collapses

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fundamentally we have this issue i want

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to move money through time i have it a

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100 year time frame i'm an institution

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the whole point of the institution's

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supposed to go on right and so

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how do you do it no currency will work

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can you use gold

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well gold is money is is the best idea

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humanity had for like five thousand

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years but it was but it's not a

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perfected idea the problem with gold is

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gold miners produce two percent more

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gold a year

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that's no better than the state of

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florida seizing two percent of your uh

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your property a year in a property tax

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the half-life of gold therefore becomes

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about 30 years you divide two percent

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into 70 in 35 years your money's cut in

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half hold it for a hundred years it's

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cut in half three times the second

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problem is it'll be stolen by a criminal

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or a politician that disagrees with you

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and the third problem with it is that

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gold is a property you have to put in a

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vault and if you have to put in a vault

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then the counterparty the bank is able

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to hypothecate it and rehypothecate it

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which means they basically sell

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100 ounces of gold paper for every ounce

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of gold you hold and they keep they keep

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shorting it naked and they hold the

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price down and manipulate the price

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you can't hold your own gold

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ultimately the problem with gold is

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holding money in gold over the course of

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a hundred years is going to lose 85 to

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90 percent of your wealth under the best

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of case

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the other problem is

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you can't move money through space

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with gold i need to i need to move money

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through time and space i need to hold it

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for 100 years and i need to move it from

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here to tokyo

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if i want to move you know

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a billion dollars of gold is like 30 000

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pounds or something you want to move a

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bunch of money through space it's gonna

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cost you three to six months and five

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million dollars to move it once

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if you want to move it through time

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you're going to lose 80 90 of your money

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through time

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and it's going to be seized so

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gold's a pretty expensive way to move

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money currency is an ineffective way to

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move money

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property property is only good so long

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as the nation's state that the property

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is in chooses to allow you to continue

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to possess it

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but of course the oldest you know the

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oldest story in the world is oh we lost

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the family farm because we couldn't pay

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the property taxes

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you can hold the price you can hold the

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you know buy 10 000 acres of land

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someone moves in and sets up shop next

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to you they incorporate a city then they

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bring 50 people in the city then they

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make themselves mayor then they pro pass

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a property tax then they annex your farm

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then they give away free money to

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anybody that wants free housing in the

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city then they double your property tax

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you can't pay your property tax then

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they seize the property because you

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can't pay the property tax so

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ultimately property is not a very

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effective way to hold money for a long

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period of time and you can't move money

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through space

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this is a problem

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i i started going down this rabbit hole

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of thinking about what is money when i

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realized that i was in essence going to

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lose my company

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right and destroy the livelihoods of all

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my employees and you know waste 30 years

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of my life and so when i started

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thinking about it and you know it's

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helpful when jerome powell says we're

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not even thinking about thinking about

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raising interest rates you know your

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strategy of investing in bonds is broken

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when i started thinking about it what i

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realized is

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money is energy

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money is economic energy social

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political energy currency is a medium

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through which the energy moves

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if if you wish to um if you wish to hold

0:17:32

energy and transport energy you need a

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technology

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we're not using gold anymore when we use

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gold as i pointed out it's expensive and

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it's uh and it's cumbersome

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currencies don't work

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the us dollar is the the strongest

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currency in the world but is losing 15

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to 20 percent of its value a year

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the peso is losing 40 to 50 of its value

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a year the boulevard is losing hundred

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percent 95 98 of his value a year

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so once you start thinking about it that

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way you start thinking

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what's a better way to store economic

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energy through time and you realize that

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the currencies don't work

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gold doesn't work

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what is money well money money in the

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last 30 years became the s p index you

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buy a diversified portfolio of companies

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of stocks

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which is a little bit better

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because maybe you're getting bled two

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percent a year by the management team

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but the company's making money and so

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maybe you can hold value

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it turns out that the money is losing

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about 10 percent of its value year and

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the s p index is going up about 10 a

0:18:43

year and you look at that for a hundred

0:18:45

years and there's a very interesting

0:18:47

correlation there

0:18:49

a diversified portfolio of assets

0:18:52

is tracking the money supply

0:18:54

okay interesting

0:18:56

what's the problem with that

0:18:59

well the problem with holding stocks as

0:19:01

a store of value is if the stock goes up

0:19:04

by a factor of 10

0:19:06

there's a management team that has a

0:19:08

fiduciary obligation to issue more stock

0:19:11

there's a temptation to issue stock

0:19:14

stocks aren't scarce the the amount of

0:19:16

equity shares will also go up if the

0:19:18

stock is overvalued versus the

0:19:21

fundamentals of the company

0:19:23

the ceo is almost certainly going to

0:19:25

issue more stock

0:19:26

and so

0:19:28

that's one problem the second problem is

0:19:29

stocks have political nexus they have

0:19:31

management teams they're in countries

0:19:34

they can be unionized i can put a tariff

0:19:37

on the product i've got a competitor

0:19:39

what if the ceo goes bonkers

0:19:42

all sorts of interesting problems what

0:19:44

if the company gets expropriated by the

0:19:46

government you know or the jurisdiction

0:19:49

it operates within

0:19:51

stocks are an imperfect approach

0:19:54

better than gold

0:19:56

the other approach is by a bunch of

0:19:58

buildings in new york city by scarce

0:20:00

desirable real estate in miami los

0:20:02

angeles london

0:20:05

that's a an interesting idea and the

0:20:07

best idea in the 20th century if you're

0:20:09

going to if you're going to try to

0:20:11

either create

0:20:12

wealth or hold your wealth if you want

0:20:14

to hold your wealth

0:20:16

you buy a billion dollars worth of

0:20:17

property

0:20:18

if you want to create wealth you borrow

0:20:20

a billion dollars

0:20:22

and you buy a billion dollars of

0:20:24

and you start with a million dollars of

0:20:26

equity a sliver of equity and what

0:20:29

you're doing is you're going short the

0:20:30

currency and you're going along the

0:20:32

property

0:20:33

so if i told you

0:20:35

let's go to argentina

0:20:37

if i told you in argentina the peso is

0:20:39

going to go from one peso to the dollar

0:20:42

to five pesos to the dollar to 10 pesos

0:20:44

to the dollar to 20 pesos to the dollar

0:20:46

to 40 to 80 to 100

0:20:49

the black market rate right now is 210

0:20:52

pesos to the dollar

0:20:53

220. if i told you it was going to

0:20:56

collapse

0:20:57

from 1 to 20

0:20:59

and you had 20 years of notice

0:21:02

what's your best strategy

0:21:04

take your million pesos convert to

0:21:06

dollars and you're gonna have 220

0:21:08

million pesos in 20 years you're going

0:21:10

to look rich

0:21:12

better strategy

0:21:13

is borrow a million pesos convert to

0:21:16

dollars

0:21:17

wow best strategy would be mortgage your

0:21:20

entire company in pesos sell equity in

0:21:23

your company and pesos convert it all to

0:21:26

and then get the dollars out of the

0:21:27

country

0:21:29

because if they're in the country if

0:21:31

you're if the million

0:21:32

pesos is converted to dollars in a bank

0:21:35

in argentina then the government will

0:21:37

basically pass a law force your dollars

0:21:39

to be converted back into pesos devalue

0:21:42

and i happen to have some experience

0:21:44

with that because i actually had a

0:21:45

million dollars in argentina during the

0:21:47

last currency collapse they converted to

0:21:49

pesos they devalued it ten to one

0:21:51

a day later i'd lost 90 of my money

0:21:55

simple idea

0:21:58

short the currency which is collapsing

0:22:01

go long property and then get the

0:22:03

property out of the country

0:22:06

because the property in the country

0:22:08

is also going to devalue

0:22:10

because uh the property's value based

0:22:12

upon the extreme of cash flows right

0:22:15

if the building is uh has got a a rentor

0:22:18

and it's got a lease and the lease is

0:22:20

capped at cpi or or or denominated in

0:22:23

local currency when the currency

0:22:25

collapses the value of of the rental

0:22:28

income also collapses so

0:22:31

wouldn't it be great if i could buy a

0:22:33

virtual building

0:22:35

in argentina

0:22:37

using borrowed pesos

0:22:39

and then what if i could spirit the

0:22:41

building out of the country and rent it

0:22:42

to people in london or new york city

0:22:46

that's what bitcoin is

0:22:48

bitcoin is digital property

0:22:51

that you can teleport

0:22:53

anywhere in space instantly

0:22:56

and it's also perfected property with

0:23:00

with the lowest maintenance cost

0:23:02

you know you don't have the property tax

0:23:04

you have on a building you don't have to

0:23:07

repaint the thing every 10 years you

0:23:09

don't have to worry about leaks in the

0:23:12

so if i could buy a big if i could buy a

0:23:15

billion dollars worth of property

0:23:18

and it was in cyberspace

0:23:21

and if you couldn't make any more of it

0:23:23

if i capped it at 21 million

0:23:26

city blocks in cyberspace

0:23:29

and if i could hold it for a thousand

0:23:31

years

0:23:33

i might have a better idea than buying a

0:23:35

city block in manhattan

0:23:37

or a building in london

0:23:40

or even a company

0:23:41

and it's a lot better idea than buying

0:23:43

30 000 pounds worth of gold

0:23:47

because real estate developers going to

0:23:49

create more buildings gold miners going

0:23:51

to create more gold mayors are going to

0:23:53

pass a property tax and they're going to

0:23:56

they're going to put some kind of

0:23:59

enjoinder or some kind of restriction on

0:24:01

your rents

0:24:02

rent control you're building

0:24:05

something you know acts of god are going

0:24:07

to create earthquakes and floods

0:24:10

and lightning strikes

0:24:12

and none of that stuff's happening in

0:24:13

cyberspace

0:24:16

the whole idea of bitcoin is

0:24:19

it's perfected engineered gold crypto

0:24:24

with none of the none of the defects of

0:24:26

gold you can't mine any more of it it's

0:24:28

it's weightless i can move it at the

0:24:30

speed of light it never decomposes

0:24:34

i can deco i can i can break it into a

0:24:37

thousand pieces in a second

0:24:39

send it to a thousand places and

0:24:40

recompose it

0:24:42

uh all using a computer program

0:24:46

and i can take personal custody of it

0:24:48

maybe the most the most powerful two

0:24:50

ideas are

0:24:52

i can hold possession of a billion

0:24:54

dollars of bitcoin in my head

0:24:56

just holding a password or a set of

0:24:58

private keys that's a pretty big idea

0:25:01

maybe the first the first time in the

0:25:03

history of the human race that you can

0:25:05

actually take possession of your wealth

0:25:07

and take it to the grave with you or

0:25:09

take it anywhere else on earth with you

0:25:12

and even if i put a gun to your head the

0:25:15

most i can do is kill you

0:25:17

i can't take it

0:25:19

and this is a very interesting idea

0:25:20

every other form of property in the

0:25:22

history of the human race

0:25:23

i pull the gun i get it all

0:25:26

right my incentive is to violence with

0:25:29

bitcoin i pull the trigger i get none of

0:25:35

the incentive is the negotiation i'd

0:25:37

rather have half

0:25:39

than zero right and it's a very

0:25:41

interesting idea big idea

0:25:43

and the second big idea is got super

0:25:45

intimidated by the way

0:25:49

yeah i

0:25:50

the second big idea is it's a monitor

0:25:53

it's a virus

0:25:54

it's it's a cyber virus it's a it's a

0:25:57

chain reaction in cyberspace or it's a

0:25:59

life form in cyberspace

0:26:02

bitcoin is a bank in cyberspace run by

0:26:04

incorruptible software

0:26:07

and the software

0:26:09

the software itself is going to

0:26:11

basically protect your money

0:26:13

the problem with software is i don't

0:26:15

trust the computer it's on

0:26:17

if it's on a it's on a single phone i

0:26:20

can seize the phone and reprogram the

0:26:22

software so if i came up with the bank

0:26:24

and a bank that was run by software how

0:26:27

do i prevent any human being from

0:26:29

corrupting it

0:26:31

the thing that makes it incorruptible is

0:26:33

i release thousands tens of thousands or

0:26:36

hundreds of thousands of identical

0:26:38

copies in cyberspace and it's

0:26:39

self-replicating

0:26:41

and all of the copies keep track of each

0:26:44

other and when one of them is corrupted

0:26:46

it gets kicked off the network

0:26:49

so you could think of it as i released a

0:26:51

life form plankton

0:26:53

or a virus

0:26:55

and i let go

0:26:57

or a swarm

0:26:58

now you're a part of the swarm i shoot

0:27:01

you it doesn't help you have the genetic

0:27:03

code i shoot you doesn't help i

0:27:05

obliterate all of you know the the algae

0:27:09

in the atlantic won't stop it

0:27:12

i eliminate all of the bacteria in your

0:27:15

body won't stop it right it's a virus

0:27:17

it's gonna keep spreading

0:27:20

the beauty of the system is

0:27:23

it's in essence this chain reaction in

0:27:25

cyberspace and the only purpose of the

0:27:27

chain reaction is to protect the

0:27:29

integrity of the network

0:27:31

there will never be more than 21 million

0:27:33

bitcoin

0:27:36

what you've got

0:27:38

is truth

0:27:40

and integrity

0:27:42

released

0:27:43

as a as a cyber virus

0:27:45

and you can if you choose to join that

0:27:48

network

0:27:49

you avail yourself of all of the

0:27:52

benefits of that network how many of the

0:27:54

21 million bitcoin have been i've been

0:27:56

mined already

0:27:58

about 18 and a half million okay

0:28:02

yeah it's it's um i want to read you

0:28:04

something i want to read yourself

0:28:05

because i'm trying to see more the uh i

0:28:07

like the way you processed everything

0:28:08

with real estate with stocks

0:28:11

you know management teams ceo what could

0:28:13

happen to the market government can

0:28:15

regulate them etc and said okay fine

0:28:17

cash got it if you have 200 million

0:28:18

dollars you know two million dollars you

0:28:20

know 100 000 house in miami now it's a

0:28:22

50 million dollar house okay so maybe

0:28:24

that's also a risk because what florida

0:28:26

would do within 20 years but so here's

0:28:28

what just took place i'm trying to see

0:28:30

for somebody that's uh wanting to play

0:28:32

devil's advocate and be a skeptic

0:28:33

ukrainians

0:28:35

are preparing to lose internet access

0:28:37

okay this is crypto briefing

0:28:39

article per forbes in ukraine apps that

0:28:42

permit basic service like communication

0:28:43

and mapping without internet access are

0:28:46

tapping the downloads charts right now

0:28:47

such applications utilize radio signals

0:28:49

or bluetooth

0:28:51

uh for offline functionality and are

0:28:53

common with when civil conditions

0:28:55

deteriorate amid war government

0:28:57

crackdown the similar searches on uh

0:28:59

such downloads occurred in 2019 with

0:29:00

hong kong protests right while there has

0:29:02

been an influx of cryptocurrency

0:29:04

donations to the country amidst its uh

0:29:08

invasion cryptocurrency usage is

0:29:10

generally impossible without internet

0:29:11

connection parts of ukraine's third most

0:29:14

populous city odessa have already lost

0:29:17

power and forbes sources indicated their

0:29:19

expectation that ukraine could lose

0:29:20

power interconnected activity on a more

0:29:23

widespread basis this is where i'm going

0:29:24

with this so you know

0:29:26

kova takes place whatever you agree with

0:29:28

it there's a lot of different stories

0:29:29

it's a virus it came from this uh your

0:29:32

lab it came from this we don't know what

0:29:34

market is a lab we haven't done the

0:29:35

investigation we still don't know the

0:29:37

tribunal courts got to get out there and

0:29:39

say we got to do real investigation

0:29:41

but there was a community that says look

0:29:42

china is known for investing most of

0:29:44

their money in the military bio warfare

0:29:46

that's what their strength is at right

0:29:48

and russia is known for cyber warfare

0:29:50

that's where you know they got the

0:29:52

nuclear weapons we all know they're very

0:29:53

powerful with the nuclear weapons

0:29:57

we experienced what

0:29:59

you know if

0:30:01

we had a biowarfare the last 30 months

0:30:03

if we did we experienced a glimpse of it

0:30:06

what it did it shut down the entire

0:30:07

world right

0:30:08

what is your concern with a what a cyber

0:30:11

warfare would look like how would that

0:30:13

affect bitcoin and cryptocurrency

0:30:17

bitcoin is a nuclear hardened protocol

0:30:20

it's it's pretty much the most robust

0:30:22

resilient thing that human race has yet

0:30:24

to invent

0:30:26

for example

0:30:27

it's running uh on on

0:30:30

tens of thousands of nodes you can't

0:30:32

even identify the nodes and there's an

0:30:34

identical copy of the bitcoin ledger on

0:30:37

every one of them

0:30:38

so if all of the electricity got shut

0:30:43

everywhere on earth

0:30:46

and every computer failed everywhere on

0:30:48

earth

0:30:49

for 10 years

0:30:51

the protocol just goes dormant for 10

0:30:53

years and as soon as one person turns

0:30:55

one node back on the entire protocol

0:30:58

comes back to life again

0:31:01

there's nothing like that right

0:31:02

all your money in a bank and bank of

0:31:04

america could be wiped out with you know

0:31:06

a keystroke you go and you wipe out a

0:31:08

few servers you know your building can

0:31:11

be wiped out with a bomb right

0:31:13

lots of things can be wiped out but

0:31:16

but um

0:31:17

bitcoin is the most resilient thing in

0:31:20

cyberspace because it is so incredibly

0:31:23

decentralized you know if you took if

0:31:25

you took an entire country offline

0:31:27

that's irrelevant in fact we just saw

0:31:30

last year during the china crackdown

0:31:32

that china banned bitcoin mining

0:31:35

they took 40 to 50 of the entire network

0:31:38

offline half of bitcoin money was taking

0:31:40

place in china the network didn't miss a

0:31:44

not even for a minute it just kept

0:31:46

running completely secure

0:31:49

you could literally wipe out 99

0:31:52

of all the nodes you wouldn't notice in

0:31:55

the network there's nothing else that

0:31:57

you rely upon if

0:31:58

i can take down google and twitter and

0:32:00

facebook and apple and amazon and the us

0:32:03

government and you know there's a lot of

0:32:06

other systems you can take down much

0:32:07

more easily you take down bitcoin

0:32:11

i don't really worry about uh about

0:32:13

bitcoin's

0:32:14

fragility to any cyber attack

0:32:17

in fact the whole point of proof of work

0:32:19

was to create something which is

0:32:21

impervious to a denial of service attack

0:32:24

and it turns out that if you dig a bit

0:32:26

deeper what you realize is that not only

0:32:29

is bitcoin impervious to cyber attacks

0:32:32

it's also the solution to cyber attacks

0:32:35

because

0:32:35

if you want to eliminate denial of

0:32:37

service attacks which are the most

0:32:39

common brute force attacks or you want

0:32:41

to eliminate phishing and scam and spam

0:32:44

uh attacks and and other sorts of

0:32:47

imposters and malicious behavior in

0:32:49

cyber space

0:32:50

the way to do it is to integrate a layer

0:32:54

monetary energy which is what bitcoin is

0:32:57

into the internet

0:32:59

you need to wrap

0:33:01

uh the avatars you need to wrap the

0:33:02

people the websites and the services

0:33:05

that we have in cyberspace with a layer

0:33:08

of digital energy if you did that you

0:33:11

could prevent all denial of service

0:33:14

attacks you could shut them down you

0:33:15

could probably shut down most of the

0:33:17

scam videos on youtube

0:33:19

all the scamming on twitter all the spam

0:33:21

in your inbox right the simple principle

0:33:25

you simply have to post a monetary

0:33:27

security deposit in order to hit my

0:33:29

website or message my inbox or post a

0:33:32

comment and if you're found to be

0:33:35

a scammer or a fisher or a malicious

0:33:37

actor you're fined and we just take your

0:33:40

money

0:33:41

now this is not a problem for an

0:33:43

ordinary person you would post ten

0:33:45

dollars once in your life and you will

0:33:46

trip through cyberspace as you will

0:33:51

1 000 times a week someone spends up a

0:33:53

michael saylor bitcoin giveaway on

0:33:55

youtube and those are live youtube class

0:33:58

they'll probably take this interview we

0:34:00

have they'll rip it out they'll put it

0:34:02

into a michael saylor bitcoin giveaway

0:34:05

they'll run it on youtube with 40 000

0:34:07

fake people listening

0:34:09

and they'll have some number where you

0:34:11

can where you can uh send bitcoin to get

0:34:14

send one to get two back

0:34:16

for those people listening i won't get

0:34:18

one scam never send your bitcoin to

0:34:21

someone to get two back you're getting

0:34:22

ripped off so they'll do that and they

0:34:25

will have spun up forty thousand fake

0:34:28

actors

0:34:29

if you actually required someone to post

0:34:31

ten dollars of bitcoin in order to trip

0:34:34

through youtube or use youtube it would

0:34:36

cost you

0:34:37

400 000

0:34:39

every 10 minutes because they get taken

0:34:41

down every 10 minutes and they get spun

0:34:43

up every 15 minutes it's literally

0:34:46

a thousand times a week and so imagine

0:34:49

trying to spend forty thousand or four

0:34:51

hundred thousand dollars a thousand

0:34:53

times a week to do this michael what

0:34:55

type of people fall for those scams i

0:34:56

mean you said you've been a victim of

0:34:58

you'd be using your your name for this

0:35:01

type of one out of a thousand

0:35:03

one in a thousand but yeah they

0:35:05

obviously work because they do them

0:35:06

every 15 minutes if you went online

0:35:08

right now and type michael sailor crypto

0:35:10

giveaway or something

0:35:12

i just bought a few before i got here

0:35:14

just kidding yeah

0:35:16

yeah so

0:35:18

bitcoin is it's digital energy right

0:35:21

this is a big idea we've encrypted

0:35:24

money right it's such a huge idea since

0:35:26

most people don't know what money is it

0:35:28

doesn't occur then that money is energy

0:35:31

since they don't understand what money

0:35:32

is they don't really understand that

0:35:34

money is defective

0:35:36

that the energy is bleeding out of their

0:35:39

currency and by the way

0:35:42

if money is energy the energy finds its

0:35:45

way into a currency it also finds its

0:35:47

way into into stocks and into bonds and

0:35:51

property they're all bleeding energy

0:35:53

over time or over space

0:35:56

and if you're an engineer

0:35:58

and you understand that a

0:36:00

well-engineered system is a system that

0:36:01

allows you to move energy through time

0:36:03

and space with no power loss no

0:36:05

impedance super conducting

0:36:08

which is

0:36:09

that we call that like uh you know it's

0:36:11

an adiabatic system or a

0:36:12

thermodynamically sound system

0:36:15

if you're an engineer you totally get it

0:36:17

when you're designing a pneumatic system

0:36:18

electrical system you know even a

0:36:20

heating system in a house or a swimming

0:36:24

if the if the water drained out of your

0:36:25

swimming pool wouldn't work so well

0:36:27

right if your bathtub you know drained

0:36:30

out it was doesn't work so well

0:36:32

so engineers understand this but

0:36:35

economists don't really think of money

0:36:37

as energy and so they it doesn't occur

0:36:38

to them that the energy is bleeding out

0:36:41

of the systems

0:36:43

once you figure that out you realize

0:36:45

that bitcoin is truly brilliant because

0:36:47

what they've done

0:36:49

is they've created a thermodynamically

0:36:52

sound monetary network that allows you

0:36:55

to store any amount of energy

0:36:58

for any period of time

0:37:00

and move it at essentially no cost

0:37:03

anywhere in space as frequently as you

0:37:06

pat have you ever and it's lossless he's

0:37:08

saying lossless yeah that's a key word

0:37:10

you've heard that money is a tool money

0:37:12

enables i've never really heard money

0:37:14

being used as

0:37:16

energy is this something that you've

0:37:17

heard before where the energy thing

0:37:20

listen i mean it makes sense though he

0:37:23

it totally makes sense on what he's

0:37:24

saying the way he's describing it for me

0:37:27

uh if

0:37:28

when i'm listening to him speak all i'm

0:37:30

thinking about

0:37:31

and i hope the audience is doing this as

0:37:33

well as how this man processes issues

0:37:35

i mean as an investor everything he went

0:37:38

through

0:37:39

was common sense nothing that he went

0:37:41

through on how he came to

0:37:42

the processing of why he wants to do

0:37:46

is now you can sit there and disagree

0:37:48

and you can say i disagree with them i'm

0:37:49

gonna go this way i'm gonna go that way

0:37:51

which is totally fine but i'm just

0:37:53

listening to the way he's processing

0:37:54

issues tyler can you pull up that story

0:37:56

what happened with canada because for me

0:37:57

one of the things i'm watching michael

0:37:59

very closely right now is the following

0:38:00

all i watch is

0:38:02

you know i got four kids i watch the

0:38:04

kids on how they handle a crisis

0:38:07

i watch kids how they handle a loss

0:38:10

i watch kids how they handle a you know

0:38:14

a breakup how they handle a

0:38:16

rejection how they handle a bullying how

0:38:19

they handle all this because that's how

0:38:20

we're learning about the personality of

0:38:22

the individual and maybe there's an

0:38:23

opportunity there to coach

0:38:25

and walk the kid through what he's going

0:38:27

through

0:38:28

i also watch what's going on with crisis

0:38:30

how the market reacts to crisis you said

0:38:32

a few different things you said

0:38:35

you know what kova did to me is it made

0:38:38

question a few things one of them was

0:38:39

working remotely it's one of the things

0:38:41

you talked about right the other one was

0:38:42

you know this and this and that some of

0:38:44

the things that you know i was looking

0:38:46

at was

0:38:47

number one we've been told you know when

0:38:49

i went and started working on morgan

0:38:50

stanley dean with a day before 9 11 even

0:38:52

when i was in the army everybody would

0:38:53

say buy a roth ira diversify okay

0:38:56

diversification

0:38:57

that's a concept we've heard for a long

0:39:00

uh inflation increases gold whenever

0:39:03

there's inflation peter's shift oh my

0:39:04

gosh gold's gonna go because you know we

0:39:06

printed 40

0:39:07

percent of the us dollar has been

0:39:09

printed the last 18 months gold's going

0:39:11

to go up we didn't see that cause and

0:39:14

effect you know we didn't see the cause

0:39:15

and effect with that taking place

0:39:17

uh you know what are your thoughts with

0:39:20

some of these things where the

0:39:21

traditional conventional way of things

0:39:23

have been questioned based on the last

0:39:24

18 24 months inflation and you know

0:39:28

inflation and diversification are both

0:39:30

bromides there there are these uh

0:39:33

simplistic terms that people toss around

0:39:35

but no one really thinks very deeply

0:39:37

about them in my experience i mean let's

0:39:39

start with inflation um

0:39:42

inflation is not two percent inflation

0:39:45

is not the cpi

0:39:47

it's not seven and a half percent

0:39:48

inflation uh properly understood is

0:39:51

simply the rate at which the price of

0:39:53

anything appreciates in the currency

0:39:56

which is the frame of reference which

0:39:58

means that you can calculate an

0:40:00

inflation rate for a picasso painting

0:40:02

which is different than a building in

0:40:03

new york which is different than a bond

0:40:05

which is different than

0:40:07

a market basket of of goods and services

0:40:10

that you wish to buy which is different

0:40:11

than the market basket of goods and

0:40:13

services i want to sell you

0:40:15

so what's the real inflation rate it's a

0:40:17

vector

0:40:18

right it's not a scalar a scalar is like

0:40:21

two percent no it's not it's like an

0:40:23

n-dimensional vector and there's a

0:40:25

different inflation rate for everything

0:40:27

in every place

0:40:29

for every time period dynamically

0:40:32

evolving right

0:40:33

once you understand that you realize

0:40:36

there's probably two inflation rates of

0:40:37

interest one inflation rate is the rate

0:40:40

at which uh cost of living is going up

0:40:42

for a middle-class family

0:40:45

that's not the cpi because the cpi is a

0:40:47

manipulated market basket

0:40:50

set by uh a politician or a bureaucrat

0:40:53

that's

0:40:54

that is uh

0:40:55

engineered not to go up in price very

0:40:59

most average people would find that

0:41:01

their inflation rate is higher than the

0:41:04

and if you know for example we don't

0:41:06

include the cost of buying a home in the

0:41:09

cpi even though it sounds the reason

0:41:11

that just about any reasonable person

0:41:12

would want to buy a house at some point

0:41:14

in their life

0:41:15

so you can calculate a consumer

0:41:18

inflation rate which is different than

0:41:20

cpi but you can also calculate an asset

0:41:22

inflation rate that's the rate of that's

0:41:24

the cost of getting rich or staying rich

0:41:27

if you want to be wealthy

0:41:29

it's not good enough to keep up with cpi

0:41:31

you have to actually keep up with the

0:41:33

rate at which assets are appreciating

0:41:36

right um

0:41:37

the cost of housing went up eighteen

0:41:39

point eight percent year over year this

0:41:41

is case schiller according to case

0:41:43

schiller index right

0:41:44

that's another uh that's that's a common

0:41:47

asset but if you look at um the s p

0:41:50

index which is a market basket of

0:41:52

desirable companies that gives you a

0:41:54

surrogate for a monetary inflation rate

0:41:57

the monetary inflation rates been

0:41:59

running seven to ten percent a year in

0:42:00

the us at the same time that the cpi has

0:42:03

been running one percent

0:42:05

if you understood that you understand

0:42:06

that your cost of capital is more like

0:42:08

10 which meant that any investment you

0:42:10

made that didn't yield 10 was making you

0:42:12

poorer you were losing wealth you were

0:42:15

you know any business person understands

0:42:18

that i couldn't get you to accept a two

0:42:20

percent roi on an investment

0:42:24

if you if you understand inflation's a

0:42:26

vector

0:42:28

then then you start to realize that the

0:42:30

inflation rate in miami beach is

0:42:31

different than it is in kansas city

0:42:34

and you understand that the inflation

0:42:35

rate if you want to stay wealthy is much

0:42:37

higher the inflation rate in 2020 was

0:42:41

about 25 percent

0:42:43

for assets

0:42:44

the inflation rate

0:42:46

for bonds was was at one point higher

0:42:50

right you could have bought a bond for a

0:42:52

million dollars that yielded fifty

0:42:54

thousand dollars in interest a decade

0:42:56

ago if you wanted social security if you

0:42:59

wanted fifty thousand dollars in income

0:43:01

risk-free the rest of your life the cost

0:43:03

was a million dollars

0:43:05

when the 10-year yield went to 50 basis

0:43:08

points

0:43:09

you would have to pay 10 million dollars

0:43:12

for the same bond

0:43:14

the bond went up by a factor of 10.

0:43:16

what's the inflation rate

0:43:18

right the inflation rate in that

0:43:20

particular case was a hundred percent it

0:43:22

was like hyperinflation

0:43:24

you had hyper inflation in the bond

0:43:26

market you had infl massive inflation in

0:43:29

the asset market you had no inflation in

0:43:32

the domino's pizza delivery you know

0:43:36

netflix market for a while

0:43:38

and uh and if what you want to do is

0:43:41

live in your parents basement and watch

0:43:43

netflix and order pizza

0:43:45

then the inflation rate

0:43:47

much much lower for you

0:43:49

and uh if you wanted to if you wanted to

0:43:52

stay wealthy or you wanted to get

0:43:54

wealthy or hold shareholder value

0:43:55

inflation rate looks more like 30 40

0:43:57

percent in like 18 months

0:43:59

so once you understand inflation is a

0:44:02

vector then you stop paying attention to

0:44:04

just one cherry picked number

0:44:06

because what you realize is i can

0:44:08

manufacture

0:44:09

any inflation rate you want simply by

0:44:12

adjusting the market basket of products

0:44:15

and services and

0:44:16

by definition

0:44:18

by definition if i never include assets

0:44:21

in the market basket of desirable goods

0:44:25

then you will always

0:44:26

ignore asset inflation which is the most

0:44:29

pernicious inflation

0:44:31

so we have had hyperinflation since 1971

0:44:35

but the inflation has manifested itself

0:44:37

in the assets

0:44:39

and the pr here's the pernicious thing

0:44:42

about it

0:44:43

i've literally brainwashed you into

0:44:45

thinking that asset inflation isn't a

0:44:47

bad thing it's a good thing and it isn't

0:44:50

inflation at all

0:44:52

it's actually investment gain right so

0:44:55

so that's

0:44:58

when i convince you that a bad thing is

0:45:00

a good thing

0:45:02

right we've we've come to a a bizarre

0:45:05

point so

0:45:06

we're living in inflation since we went

0:45:08

off the gold standard it's just in

0:45:09

manifesting the assets we have

0:45:11

hyperinflation right now it's just

0:45:13

manifesting itself in the assets more so

0:45:16

than in the goods and services

0:45:18

now if you go to diversification it's

0:45:20

another bromide another silliness you

0:45:22

should be diversified lots of people say

0:45:24

that a lot of times the people that say

0:45:26

that to you want you to give them your

0:45:28

money

0:45:29

right it's like i'm a hedge fund manager

0:45:32

and so i'm going to stand up and tell

0:45:34

you you need a broadly diversified

0:45:35

portfolio of like international equities

0:45:38

and domestic equities and like some of

0:45:40

these commodities and it changes all the

0:45:42

time it's very complicated it's too

0:45:43

complicated for you to figure out so you

0:45:45

just give me your money i'm going to

0:45:47

charge you a two percent fee keep 20

0:45:49

percent of the upside and i'm going to

0:45:51

invest it in this hyper complicated

0:45:53

array diversification of stuff

0:45:56

right

0:45:57

i'll give you a simple idea go buy

0:45:59

bitcoin

0:46:00

don't give me anything i don't want your

0:46:02

money i don't want the two percent i

0:46:04

don't want 20 of the upside

0:46:06

and bitcoin is a diversified index

0:46:09

of the entire world economy and

0:46:12

certainly the crypto economy as it comes

0:46:14

to its senses

0:46:15

you can believe one thing or the other

0:46:17

thing

0:46:18

you can imagine if you're in the

0:46:20

business of managing people's money the

0:46:22

last thing you want to do is tell them

0:46:24

the answer is just buy this one thing

0:46:26

and hold it for 100 years how do i make

0:46:28

money off of that

0:46:29

right

0:46:30

on the other hand what's the problem

0:46:32

with diversification

0:46:33

well uh first of all the problem with

0:46:36

diversification is diversification is

0:46:38

selling the winner to buy the losers

0:46:42

and the second problem with

0:46:43

diversification is

0:46:45

you're not really diversified at all

0:46:47

because everything you own is probably

0:46:48

correlated to one currency which is

0:46:50

collapsing so let's let's deal with them

0:46:52

one at a time

0:46:55

if you own apple stock in the year 2010

0:46:58

a mutual fund manager or a hedge fund

0:47:01

manager would tell you he's going to

0:47:02

diversify you because when apple stock

0:47:04

doubles he's going to sell some of that

0:47:05

so he can buy some hp or some dell or

0:47:08

some other ibm or some other computer

0:47:10

company and when apple doubles again

0:47:12

he's going to sell some more to keep you

0:47:13

diversified in the computer sector

0:47:16

because he wouldn't want you out of too

0:47:17

much exposure to apple

0:47:19

the problem with that is that at one

0:47:21

point apple

0:47:22

became 150

0:47:24

of all the profit in the entire mobile

0:47:27

phone industry

0:47:29

that is to say the winner eats everybody

0:47:32

not only does it eat everybody

0:47:34

everyone competing against apple is

0:47:36

losing money to compete against apple

0:47:39

so you're selling the winner

0:47:41

to buy the losers you're going to sell

0:47:43

facebook to buy the newspapers you're

0:47:45

going to sell

0:47:47

google so that you can buy every every

0:47:50

company competing against google you're

0:47:51

going to sell amazon to buy the other

0:47:54

retailers amazon won

0:47:56

walmart almost kept up

0:47:59

15 000 retailers lost

0:48:02

right and why is that

0:48:05

it's it should be pretty obvious why it

0:48:07

is right now

0:48:09

when you have a dominant digital

0:48:10

monopoly the digital monopoly eats

0:48:13

everything else and apple computer is

0:48:15

the most valuable company in the world

0:48:16

because apple computer is literally

0:48:20

they can ship a product to a billion

0:48:22

people over the weekend for a nickel

0:48:25

and their competitors can't

0:48:27

so selling the winner

0:48:30

to buy the loser

0:48:32

is an awful strategy the only people

0:48:34

that made money in the stock market in

0:48:35

the last decade were the people that

0:48:37

that owned fang they owned apple amazon

0:48:40

facebook google microsoft

0:48:42

there's no diversification here at all

0:48:45

so if you're if you're if you're

0:48:47

investing

0:48:48

in a stable currency

0:48:50

you have to keep in mind that digital

0:48:52

monopolies uh are dominant and they

0:48:55

crush everything else then and

0:48:57

everything else goes to zero so the only

0:48:58

everything else goes to zero

0:49:01

name another retailer you'd rather own

0:49:03

than amazon

0:49:04

so you're saying ethereum's gonna go to

0:49:06

zero what i'm saying is that ethereum's

0:49:09

a different subject we can talk about it

0:49:11

in a bit what i'm saying is

0:49:13

if you're a conventional investor the

0:49:16

winners tend to crush the losers by far

0:49:19

and so diversification of selling the

0:49:21

winner to buy the losers is not a good

0:49:23

of you know eventually all you know what

0:49:26

what portion of the s p return is

0:49:29

attributable to five companies out of

0:49:31

the 500.

0:49:32

it's like 80 or something ridiculous

0:49:34

like that right

0:49:37

now here's the other problem

0:49:39

i'm gonna put you in venezuela

0:49:42

okay so you're in venezuela and you have

0:49:44

a choice you can buy one company in

0:49:46

venezuela or the entire index of

0:49:48

venezuelan stocks or you can buy one

0:49:51

building in venezuela or all the

0:49:52

buildings in venezuela or you can buy

0:49:55

one bond in venezuela or all the

0:49:57

venezuelan bonds

0:49:58

give me a diversification strategy which

0:50:01

is going to actually keep you from

0:50:02

losing all your money over five years if

0:50:05

you're sitting in venezuela five years

0:50:06

ago what is it

0:50:09

they're all correlated you see it's like

0:50:13

you're on you're shuffling deck chairs

0:50:15

on you know on the titanic the ship is

0:50:18

sinking

0:50:19

you're shuffling these deck chairs the

0:50:21

fundamental elephant in the room here is

0:50:24

when the currency collapses right give

0:50:26

me a diversification strategy for

0:50:28

russian stocks right now which of those

0:50:30

do you want to own

0:50:32

when the currency collapses

0:50:34

the bonds collapse that are that are

0:50:36

linked to the currency

0:50:37

all the companies that generate cash

0:50:39

flows and the currency they all collapse

0:50:42

because they're valued as a stream of

0:50:44

cash flows and if the cash is worthless

0:50:46

how is the company going to be valuable

0:50:48

right you sell beef in argentina the

0:50:51

peso collapses the people are buying the

0:50:53

beef and pesos so you want to sell the

0:50:55

beef to europeans for euros the

0:50:58

government passes a law keeping you from

0:51:00

selling the beef or exporting your beef

0:51:02

export controls come wage and price

0:51:04

controls come

0:51:05

so the problem is every equity

0:51:09

every piece of debt every piece of

0:51:11

property linked to the currency is

0:51:13

correlated to the currency

0:51:16

so your diversification strategy with

0:51:18

any given currency whether it's the peso

0:51:20

the dollar the euro the ruble

0:51:23

the lira the whatever they're all

0:51:25

correlated so then you're like okay well

0:51:27

this is great i'm just gonna buy the

0:51:29

dollar

0:51:31

all the currencies are correlated to the

0:51:32

dollar and the dollar is collapsing

0:51:35

how fast is the dollar collapsing

0:51:38

well you can you can watch it against

0:51:41

real estate in miami beach

0:51:44

right you know you can walk all you got

0:51:46

to do is look at the at the dollar

0:51:49

versus any scarce desirable piece of

0:51:51

property so what's the dollar valued in

0:51:54

versus a picasso a leonardo da vinci a

0:51:57

city block in new york city a desirable

0:52:00

piece of bench beachfront property and

0:52:03

how about palm beach right what's

0:52:05

happened to palm beach property in the

0:52:06

past 10 years

0:52:08

so ultimately the problem with

0:52:11

diversification is

0:52:13

nearly everything every stock is

0:52:16

correlated and and every every

0:52:18

conventional asset is generally

0:52:20

correlated the only true diversification

0:52:24

is if you find

0:52:26

non-sovereign stores of value

0:52:29

stores of value that have val that

0:52:32

derive their value based upon something

0:52:34

other than the cash flows

0:52:36

that you could derive from them

0:52:38

right so

0:52:40

you know think hard about what those are

0:52:43

real pristine trophy properties

0:52:46

might protect you

0:52:47

but i think um

0:52:49

i think that the problem ultimately is

0:52:58

if you're on a sinking ship

0:52:58

you have to get off the ship

0:53:00

and the problem with diversification

0:53:03

like when you're in the retail industry

0:53:05

and when it's completely getting

0:53:06

obliterated by amazon

0:53:09

you have to get off you have to get out

0:53:11

there's no winning strategy no matter

0:53:13

how you diversify in

0:53:15

and so

0:53:16

most of the time these models inflation

0:53:19

is two percent or cpi and you know we

0:53:21

should stay diversified they're based

0:53:23

upon this very conventional wisdom that

0:53:26

i live in this safe world and nothing

0:53:29

has changed

0:53:30

like there is no

0:53:33

when godzilla shows up to the playground

0:53:37

the rules of the game change

0:53:39

right

0:53:40

if there's an external factor

0:53:43

right you have this model it's like it's

0:53:45

always been like this it's always traded

0:53:47

like this in the last 30 years

0:53:50

well the u.s dollar never collapsed in

0:53:52

the past 30 years the u.s dollar is

0:53:54

losing 7 percent of its value for 30

0:53:56

years so your model says buy property

0:53:59

and buy the s p index

0:54:01

what happens when the us dollar is

0:54:02

losing 21 percent of its value

0:54:05

right it's like that's a different thing

0:54:07

[Music]

0:54:09

and i i think that

0:54:11

if we come back to energy

0:54:14

energy is life

0:54:16

and and if i suck the energy out of this

0:54:19

room i freeze you to death right when i

0:54:22

when i suck the energy out the

0:54:24

temperature keeps falling if the

0:54:25

temperature is falling one two percent

0:54:28

you can crank it up and try to deal with

0:54:30

it but when the temperature is falling

0:54:31

ten percent

0:54:32

at some point you'll start to freeze if

0:54:34

i if i pull enough energy out of the

0:54:36

room fast enough and at that point you

0:54:39

have to entertain a new notion an oxygen

0:54:43

you know put on a coat you got to exit

0:54:45

the room eventually

0:54:48

if we come back to this issue right the

0:54:49

issue of the day is ukraine but what's

0:54:51

really going on here

0:54:53

the currency in the banking systems have

0:54:55

collapsed in afghanistan

0:54:57

in iraq

0:54:59

they're falling and collapsing in turkey

0:55:01

they've collapsed in lebanon

0:55:04

in syria they're not trustworthy

0:55:07

in ukraine and in russia

0:55:10

now i've just lassoed about 400 million

0:55:12

people

0:55:14

and those 400 million people don't have

0:55:16

a currency that they can use as a medium

0:55:18

of exchange or a store of value they

0:55:21

don't have banks that they trust that

0:55:23

work effectively

0:55:27

what's the fundamental issue here it's

0:55:29

like if you don't have a property or a

0:55:32

currency with which you can store

0:55:33

economic energy that's like being a type

0:55:35

one diabetic you cannot store fat on

0:55:39

your body it means that you can eat as

0:55:41

much as you want you will literally

0:55:43

starve to death

0:55:45

right because you don't have the ability

0:55:46

to store energy fat is organic energy

0:55:50

just like property is uh is a

0:55:52

manifestation of energy

0:55:54

in low frequency

0:55:56

i give you a billion dollars in the

0:55:58

currency it's high frequency money i

0:56:01

give i buy a billion dollar building i

0:56:02

hold it for 30 years it's low frequency

0:56:05

money

0:56:07

right either way

0:56:09

okay i give you a billion dollars you

0:56:11

buy a building in in some central

0:56:14

african republic someone puts a gun to

0:56:16

your head takes your building now you

0:56:17

have no building

0:56:19

you buy a billion dollars with the

0:56:21

currency the currency collapses because

0:56:22

the guy that runs the country prints

0:56:24

more of it it goes to zero

0:56:26

you know like uh

0:56:28

paper money in venezuela is not as

0:56:29

valuable as toilet paper right now

0:56:36

what is it right not not clear so

0:56:36

what you have is an economic collapse

0:56:40

it's a global phenomenon today and it

0:56:43

was accelerated in march of 2020

0:56:46

right the catalytic event the catalyst

0:56:49

for these things normally is a war

0:56:51

a war on covid

0:56:53

a war on currency

0:56:55

a war on a lot of things we're fighting

0:56:56

a lot of wars right now and now we've

0:56:58

got real wars right a political and

0:57:01

actual war in ukraine

0:57:03

wars collapse currencies they always

0:57:05

have world war one collapsed the

0:57:07

currency world war ii also damaged the

0:57:10

currency you can actually trace it if

0:57:11

you look at real estate values in the

0:57:13

years that follow the war

0:57:15

right so

0:57:16

what we're doing is we're collapsing the

0:57:18

currency and you could describe the

0:57:19

entire world right now as 8 billion

0:57:21

people

0:57:23

there's one strongest currency the

0:57:25

dollar which is losing 15 to 20 percent

0:57:28

of its value a year

0:57:29

that's how fast it's bleeding out you've

0:57:31

got to set you've got a set of tier of

0:57:33

currencies pegged to the dollar

0:57:35

sing you know singapore the middle east

0:57:37

the euro that are fairly uh fairly close

0:57:40

to the dollar then you've got a set of

0:57:42

second-tier currencies the peso and and

0:57:45

the the turkish lira and the like and

0:57:47

they're losing 40 percent the the ruble

0:57:49

now losing 40 50 of their value a year

0:57:52

and you get the third tier currencies

0:57:54

the venezuelan you know the boulevard

0:57:57

etc they pretty much hyperinflate they

0:57:59

all collapse and they're all going to

0:58:00

dollarize

0:58:02

this this trend is going to continue

0:58:05

crypto falls into this trend because

0:58:06

what's happening is people realize

0:58:09

they can't trust their local currency

0:58:11

they can't trust their local bank

0:58:14

if you don't trust the bank why don't

0:58:16

you trust the bank and canada right the

0:58:18

bank might seize my assets if they

0:58:20

disagree with me

0:58:21

in afghanistan the banks all failed you

0:58:24

know when the u.s pulled out and lebanon

0:58:26

the banks basically closed froze

0:58:29

everybody's assets

0:58:31

seized and converted all their foreign

0:58:33

currency assets into local lebanese

0:58:35

money devalued the money and they locked

0:58:37

it up for 10 years

0:58:39

okay so when you have

0:58:41

hundreds of millions if not billions of

0:58:43

people losing faith in the currency

0:58:44

losing faith in the banks what do you do

0:58:48

you look for the digital solution and

0:58:50

the digital solution is i download a

0:58:52

mobile app to my phone

0:58:54

and then i convert whatever asset or

0:58:56

work or property i have into a

0:58:58

cryptocurrency

0:59:00

and there's two things that i really

0:59:01

want badly

0:59:03

one thing i want badly is crypto dollars

0:59:06

like tether or circle or the like it's

0:59:09

basically u.s dollars sitting on crypto

0:59:11

rates stable coin stable coin

0:59:14

and the world's bought 190 180 190

0:59:17

billion of that from like 5 billion over

0:59:19

the past 24 months it's exploding

0:59:22

it will go to 10 trillion

0:59:25

if they could right the market has a

0:59:27

trillion to 10 trillion dollar demand

0:59:29

for that stable coin

0:59:31

what will happen when that happens

0:59:33

every one of these local weak currencies

0:59:35

collapses

0:59:36

right there's not a single currency in

0:59:39

africa in south america in asia you

0:59:42

would rather hold than the dollar right

0:59:43

now the chinese don't want to hold the

0:59:45

cny they would all convert to the us

0:59:48

dollar how do you know that because

0:59:50

their capital controls every country

0:59:52

that implements a capital control making

0:59:54

it illegal to convert their currency or

0:59:56

move their capital out of the country is

0:59:58

signaling to you that their currency is

1:00:01

weak and that includes the chinese

1:00:02

currency

1:00:03

so that's one dynamic you got 130

1:00:06

currencies floating in the world there's

1:00:08

probably only two or three that will be

1:00:11

left when the dust settles you got the

1:00:12

euro the cny the usd

1:00:16

everything else either gets pegged to

1:00:18

those or it collapses into those

1:00:21

and then the second thing the world

1:00:22

wants is once crypto property it wants

1:00:24

money to give to your grandchildren i i

1:00:27

want to hold my money for a hundred

1:00:29

years if not a thousand years

1:00:31

the dollar won't work

1:00:33

the dollar is losing two percent of its

1:00:34

value a month

1:00:36

which is horrific

1:00:37

and you know horrific over 36 months

1:00:40

it's catastrophic over 10 years

1:00:42

and people are getting smart enough to

1:00:44

realize that that won't work

1:00:46

so the issue is

1:00:48

where do i put my long-term money i need

1:00:51

a savings account

1:00:52

so hence this is where bitcoin comes in

1:00:55

bitcoin is the dominant crypto property

1:00:57

network in the world it's it's pretty

1:00:59

much the only

1:01:01

the only perfected

1:01:03

digital property network the human race

1:01:05

has created it's it's a proven digital

1:01:08

property

1:01:09

everything else is a speculation that it

1:01:12

may become property over time bitcoin is

1:01:15

the success and every like-kind

1:01:17

competitive bitcoin has collapsed

1:01:19

against it such that bitcoin is the 95

1:01:21

dominant network in this space

1:01:24

the dollar is clearly the dominant the

1:01:26

dominant currency and it wants to be the

1:01:28

dominant digital currency it is really

1:01:30

the dominant digital currency as well

1:01:32

despite

1:01:34

despite the fact that the us government

1:01:36

doesn't have you know us banks issuing

1:01:39

them yet we've been slow on the uptake

1:01:41

you can see where this is headed

1:01:44

and the driver is the stampede of

1:01:46

everybody else in the world right you

1:01:48

know you're a rich american and you feel

1:01:50

comfortable with your banking structure

1:01:52

okay maybe you can ignore this but name

1:01:55

somebody in africa asia or south america

1:01:59

that can ignore this issue right now

1:02:02

right i mean i invite you to sell all

1:02:04

your money and move to a country in

1:02:06

africa and then invest it in local local

1:02:09

property local companies

1:02:12

local currencies and put in a local bank

1:02:15

and feel good about yourself you've

1:02:17

mentioned

1:02:18

south america latin america multiple

1:02:20

times venezuela you must have some

1:02:22

strong feelings on what's going on in el

1:02:24

salvador

1:02:25

with naive buchelli the president of el

1:02:27

salvador is that someone

1:02:29

you follow or you're in touch with or

1:02:31

anything like that the situation in el

1:02:33

salvador is uh

1:02:39

instructive

1:02:39

because el salvador

1:02:41

doesn't have their own currency

1:02:43

they had a war a civil war and following

1:02:45

the civil war their currency collapsed

1:02:47

and so they dollarized

1:02:49

so the medium of exchange in el salvador

1:02:51

has been the dollar

1:02:53

and so

1:02:54

their problem is and and

1:02:57

and was

1:02:59

that uh the banking system the us

1:03:01

banking or the traditional 20th century

1:03:03

banking system is too expensive and

1:03:05

cumbersome to serve the people of el

1:03:06

salvador

1:03:08

over 100 years they managed to put two

1:03:10

and a half million people into a banking

1:03:11

relationship

1:03:13

over three weeks they rolled a digital

1:03:15

asset than they accomplished in 300

1:03:18

years

1:03:19

and now i can put up one tower and give

1:03:22

internet access to millions and millions

1:03:25

of people

1:03:26

for 1 1000th

1:03:28

of the cost of doing it with the copper

1:03:33

technique

1:03:34

so if you think about digital banking

1:03:37

the future of the world is eight billion

1:03:39

people with mobile phones

1:03:42

i download an application in 60 seconds

1:03:45

and on that mobile phone i carry a

1:03:47

digital currency like the dollar

1:03:50

maybe the euro

1:03:51

maybe a local maybe the yen or the one

1:03:54

maybe if there's an effective nation

1:03:56

state

1:03:58

if there's not an effective nation state

1:03:59

i just clearly swap out to the dollar

1:04:01

immediately everybody would want to do

1:04:04

and then i also carry a digital property

1:04:06

bitcoin

1:04:11

i want to hold it for 100 years it's a

1:04:11

you know instead of holding a building

1:04:13

which you can you can tax or seize or

1:04:16

rain on

1:04:18

or instead of like holding a bar of gold

1:04:20

which you can take from me i'm just

1:04:21

gonna hold my digital bar of gold on my

1:04:24

phone and then maybe i have some other

1:04:26

assets maybe i have digital art maybe i

1:04:28

have digital securities you know maybe

1:04:31

copies of uh ownership of something else

1:04:33

that i might like sitting in a wallet

1:04:36

but certainly

1:04:37

this i can give to everybody on earth

1:04:40

and i can move the money at the speed of

1:04:42

light

1:04:43

and what do i trust i'm trusting a piece

1:04:44

of software

1:04:46

which is

1:04:47

which is a lot cheaper and a lot more

1:04:49

reliable

1:04:51

than trusting a building a bank a board

1:04:53

of directors a man

1:04:55

when you actually have your money in

1:04:57

this bank vault i mean look at it

1:04:58

imagine money in the

1:05:03

think about that when you had your money

1:05:03

there you were trusting the guy that ran

1:05:06

the bank the manager the bank the mayor

1:05:09

the head of the police force of the bank

1:05:11

the head of security of the bank the

1:05:13

dude that came to actually fix the lock

1:05:15

everyone that touched the thing the

1:05:17

governor of the state then you're

1:05:19

trusting the head of the country the

1:05:21

central bank that managed the country

1:05:23

the military system who do you trust

1:05:25

with bitcoin

1:05:27

nobody

1:05:29

that's the point

1:05:31

nobody bitcoin's a bank in cyberspace

1:05:33

run by software incorruptable software

1:05:37

and this is

1:05:38

this is the beauty right really great

1:05:41

engineering it takes an a corruptable

1:05:44

element

1:05:45

and puts corruptable or imperfect

1:05:48

elements together in a system such that

1:05:50

they cancel out their imperfections to

1:05:53

create perfection

1:05:55

where did this happen happens in a

1:05:57

thermostat

1:05:59

in a thermostat i you know i have um i

1:06:01

have a strata or a metal and the metal

1:06:04

contracts

1:06:06

when it gets cold and expands when it

1:06:08

gets hot

1:06:09

okay now i tell you build something

1:06:11

which doesn't contract and expand when

1:06:14

it gets cold and it gets hot you're an

1:06:15

engineer how do you do it

1:06:17

you take the you take the piece of metal

1:06:20

that's going to contract and you put it

1:06:22

in opposition to another piece of metal

1:06:23

that contracts the other way but if

1:06:25

they're both the same and they both

1:06:26

contract with the same force

1:06:28

and you pin them they cancel each other

1:06:31

and then you actually get a zero

1:06:32

tolerance perfect machine

1:06:35

that's how john harrison created a

1:06:37

perfected clock he basically used that

1:06:41

insight that imperfect elements can

1:06:43

create a perfect mechanism and a clock

1:06:46

that clock was used to calculate

1:06:47

longitude on the ocean

1:06:50

that's how we actually navigated for 300

1:06:53

years it it's all based upon a bunch of

1:06:56

imperfect elements that create a perfect

1:06:58

mechanism bitcoin is the same thing

1:07:02

i've got a piece of software it runs on

1:07:04

a machine is it perfect no why because

1:07:06

you can corrupt it

1:07:08

how do i fix it i give another piece of

1:07:10

software

1:07:11

to him

1:07:12

now the two of each of your machines

1:07:15

check each other

1:07:16

well what if you're both corrupted well

1:07:19

i throw another 10 000 of those pieces

1:07:21

of software into the ether well who do i

1:07:23

give them to people i don't know

1:07:25

how do i corrupt them how do we find

1:07:28

okay what if i promised a murder

1:07:31

everybody in the u.s that doesn't change

1:07:33

their bitcoin nodes doesn't help

1:07:36

doesn't help what if i murder everybody

1:07:38

i can find with a bitcoin node doesn't

1:07:41

help i can't right

1:07:43

how do you stop a fire

1:07:46

how do you stop a fire in cyberspace

1:07:48

right it's like you've released this

1:07:50

thing you've operated you've invested

1:07:52

you've seen things you saw amazon drop i

1:07:55

don't know what was it 95 percent in 05

1:07:57

whatever the year was when the stock

1:07:59

went down 95 percent i may be wrong on

1:08:01

the year

1:08:02

you've seen a lot okay you've seen a lot

1:08:03

what's happening yeah so

1:08:05

you seem

1:08:06

a hundred percent certain about what

1:08:08

you're talking about which his history

1:08:10

doesn't favor a hundred percent

1:08:12

certainty

1:08:13

you know it it typically you know

1:08:16

and it's not even the i'm not even

1:08:17

talking about the trust but verify

1:08:20

there's got to be an element of

1:08:22

skepticism but you're like no you it's

1:08:25

almost a combination of a

1:08:27

uh a person who has experience running a

1:08:30

business investor

1:08:31

genius but also a salesperson you're

1:08:34

very very good at persuading as well

1:08:37

are you

1:08:38

a hundred percent certain about

1:08:41

the future of bitcoin and that it it has

1:08:44

zero risk there's no risk that could be

1:08:46

anything i don't think you can state

1:08:47

that no i think that everything in life

1:08:50

has risk

1:08:51

so there's a there's a black swan risk

1:08:54

an unknown unknown and anybody

1:08:56

intellectually honest has to admit that

1:08:58

there is that risk

1:08:59

that's not what i would say what i would

1:09:01

say is

1:09:06

you have to you've got a a bucket of

1:09:06

money

1:09:08

let's come back to africa okay

1:09:12

you've got a you've got a hundred

1:09:14

thousand dollars in africa you've got

1:09:15

invested in something you've got to put

1:09:18

it into a building and to land into an

1:09:20

african currency into something else

1:09:23

what are you gonna do

1:09:25

there is a hundred percent certainty

1:09:27

that you're going to lose 80 percent of

1:09:29

your money in most currencies over the

1:09:31

next decade

1:09:33

there's 100 there's 100 certainty you're

1:09:36

going to lose 95 percent of your wealth

1:09:38

over 30 years in just about every

1:09:40

currency and and so

1:09:43

you have to work through each of these

1:09:45

issues and say

1:09:46

what's the cost of doing nothing what's

1:09:48

the cost of not taking a risk what's the

1:09:50

risk-free rate

1:09:52

well i mean the risk-free rate is the

1:09:54

monetary inflation rate

1:09:56

so the price that you pay to not do

1:09:59

something is the rate at which the money

1:10:01

is collapsing if you were russian

1:10:04

they just lost 35 of their wealth by not

1:10:07

doing anything in the matter of weeks so

1:10:10

so in this particular case you just have

1:10:12

to look at the array of options

1:10:15

if uh if you're an investor in uh

1:10:18

south america or asia or africa i would

1:10:23

the the risk-free rate is much higher

1:10:25

for you right the ins

1:10:28

like you're in lebanon

1:10:30

what are you gonna do in lebanon how

1:10:32

about afghanistan how about iraq right

1:10:35

what are you gonna do

1:10:36

um in all those situations

1:10:40

they're thinking maybe i'll trust my

1:10:42

money to tether you know tether is run

1:10:44

by bitfinex it's just a company

1:10:47

so why is it that people in many

1:10:49

countries are more willing to uh

1:10:52

trust a company out of hong kong that's

1:10:55

running a stable coin on the crypto

1:10:56

network then they're willing to trust

1:10:58

their local bank

1:10:59

well because in fact tether is probably

1:11:01

a better bet than than betting your

1:11:04

money on

1:11:05

most currencies in the world other than

1:11:08

the top 12 currencies the rest are

1:11:09

collapsing why do tether if you can just

1:11:11

do the us dollar or usdc well you can't

1:11:15

that's the point

1:11:18

why do why do tether if you could just

1:11:20

do the us dollar okay how many people in

1:11:22

africa can walk into a bank of america

1:11:25

in new york city open an account and

1:11:27

then get the us dollar none of them

1:11:30

that's the whole point

1:11:32

right and okay i did it i'll give you an

1:11:35

example

1:11:35

i put a million dollars into bank of

1:11:38

america in argentina

1:11:40

when the dollar was worth one peso

1:11:43

because i didn't trust the peso i did it

1:11:46

what do you think happened

1:11:51

the government basically shut down for

1:11:51

one day

1:11:52

they sent an edict to the bank saying

1:11:55

all dollars must be converted back into

1:11:57

pesos

1:11:58

then they went off the dollar peg and

1:11:59

they divided the peso ten to one

1:12:02

and i lost ninety percent of my money

1:12:06

so why do tether instead of trust bank

1:12:08

of america in argentina

1:12:11

you tell me

1:12:13

right because what's the odds that

1:12:15

tether is going to go to zero

1:12:18

in the next year

1:12:23

if the odds were 90 your money is going

1:12:23

to zero in the next year by putting it

1:12:25

somewhere else then you would think

1:12:26

maybe that's a risk i want to take

1:12:30

you know

1:12:30

people are forced out the risk curve

1:12:33

based upon the monetary policy and in a

1:12:36

hyper-inflating economy in zimbabwe

1:12:39

right you're going to take everything

1:12:40

you've got you're going to buy anything

1:12:43

i don't know if you if you saw um

1:12:45

you'll buy toilet paper you'll buy boxes

1:12:47

of cereal right

1:12:49

you'll buy anything uh there's pictures

1:12:51

in turkey

1:12:52

people and this is this year people go

1:12:55

into uh they go into a car lot and they

1:12:58

buy all the cars

1:13:00

okay so here's here's the news story

1:13:03

the government in pounds 54 cars that

1:13:06

were bought by a hoarder

1:13:09

someone had the temerity to actually

1:13:12

convert their currency into automobiles

1:13:15

because they thought the automobiles

1:13:17

would hold their value better than the

1:13:19

currency and then the government seizes

1:13:21

their automobiles

1:13:23

okay if you look at every single war

1:13:25

right the the war always has the story

1:13:27

of the speculators right the speculators

1:13:30

the scot the the smugglers and the

1:13:32

hoarders

1:13:33

what's your crime

1:13:35

your crime was not holding your money in

1:13:37

the currency which was losing 90 percent

1:13:39

of its value but rather deciding to buy

1:13:41

too many automobiles now your crime was

1:13:44

hedging

1:13:45

something like that picking at picking

1:13:47

an alternative asset as a storehouse of

1:13:50

what you perceive to be security until

1:13:52

the sovereign comes back and does one of

1:13:54

two things that they're good at

1:13:57

sovereigns know that debt

1:13:59

long term there's the jubilee theory and

1:14:01

also inflate your way out this is or

1:14:04

seize and force conversion which

1:14:06

basically feeds right back into inflate

1:14:08

your way out

1:14:09

eventually that

1:14:11

yeah that all these countries will just

1:14:13

inflate their way out and the currencies

1:14:15

collapse and that's why they're all

1:14:16

collapsing

1:14:18

right that the currencies are weaker

1:14:19

today

1:14:20

than ever what

1:14:22

i i and i think that's pretty obvious

1:14:24

the dollar will also be printed to pay

1:14:26

off the debt and

1:14:29

that will just manifest itself and the

1:14:30

dollar continuing to lose value against

1:14:33

scarce assets

1:14:34

it will gain value it'll be stronger

1:14:36

than the other currencies because

1:14:38

they're just collapsing faster so

1:14:40

eventually we'll see a world where

1:14:42

there's a dollar in the cny

1:14:45

right if you're not a very powerful

1:14:46

empire you can't maintain your currency

1:14:49

and uh that'll be the medium of exchange

1:14:51

and everything will be pegged to it or

1:14:53

correlated to it and then you're going

1:14:55

to see

1:14:56

monetary energy flowing out of weak

1:14:59

property and weak assets into strong

1:15:02

property

1:15:04

like i would sell all the land i have in

1:15:06

africa and convert to bitcoin but i

1:15:08

would sell all the land in africa and i

1:15:10

would move it to europe and i'd probably

1:15:12

sell my land in europe move to the u.s

1:15:14

and i'd sell my land in the u.s and move

1:15:16

it to bitcoin you're just swapping

1:15:18

from a weaker thing to a stronger thing

1:15:20

and the definition of weak is a function

1:15:22

of what's the risk it'll be seized taxed

1:15:26

or impaired

1:15:28

right regulated right so

1:15:30

calculate that right will the government

1:15:34

the jurisdiction that your property's

1:15:35

nbc's confiscated taxed away

1:15:40

impaired away and the last the last

1:15:42

issue is we'll be inflated away

1:15:44

right the reason that bitcoin is magical

1:15:46

is because there's only 21 million

1:15:49

um i can create more real estate in new

1:15:51

york city

1:15:53

i can create more cars i can create more

1:15:55

luxury watches i can print i can create

1:15:58

more gold i can create more shares of

1:16:00

stock i can create more bonds

1:16:03

i can create any commodity their

1:16:05

commodities by definition given enough

1:16:07

money and time i can create infinite of

1:16:09

any of them

1:16:10

bitcoin is a scarcity

1:16:13

okay name another scarcity

1:16:15

in the world right and technically it's

1:16:17

not clear there is another scarcity

1:16:20

right a scarcity is something of which

1:16:22

it is absolutely capped if the price

1:16:24

goes up by a factor of a thousand or a

1:16:26

million it is absolutely capped

1:16:29

that is not the case with gold soybeans

1:16:31

silver stock bonds real estate single

1:16:34

family homes ships planes trains

1:16:38

nothing else

1:16:39

everything else could be manufactured

1:16:42

and of course

1:16:44

if the price goes up the the the

1:16:47

incentive to manufacture more will go up

1:16:50

which is why

1:16:52

you know buying a house isn't

1:16:53

necessarily going to be a great store of

1:16:55

value in an inflating economy because

1:16:58

you're going to have incentives for

1:16:59

someone else to dilute the value of your

1:17:01

house if you do buy a house

1:17:03

better off to buy a house on land than a

1:17:06

condo on the 57th floor of a building

1:17:08

and if you do buy it on land better off

1:17:10

to buy it on

1:17:11

on waterfront property

1:17:13

and and if you buy water from property

1:17:15

better off to buy it on the beach

1:17:17

and if you buy it on the beach you're

1:17:18

better off to buy it in the in the most

1:17:20

desirable

1:17:22

location of affluent intelligent people

1:17:25

for the next 30 years sure pat has

1:17:27

scarce pristine which you

1:17:29

you're better to be at scarce pristine

1:17:31

or as close as you can and that's that

1:17:33

and you can do that for 10 20 30 years

1:17:35

that's palm beach that's the hamptons

1:17:37

right you can figure that out now figure

1:17:39

it out for a hundred years

1:17:42

that's this is the problem right when

1:17:43

you go out for the individual though who

1:17:45

cares for 100 years the individual how

1:17:47

many individuals think 100 years though

1:17:49

michael institutions think institutions

1:17:52

do but how many even some institutional

1:17:54

leaders only care about the return

1:17:55

they're going to give you for a decade

1:17:57

or two they don't sit there and or next

1:17:58

think about a hundred years i think

1:18:00

here's the point i mean that's that's

1:18:01

one of the problems we have with our

1:18:03

current uh uh political system even we

1:18:05

have in america you know the the guy who

1:18:07

gets elected he only cares about two

1:18:09

terms how much can he really do it's

1:18:10

tough the issue is the assets reflexive

1:18:13

if if i told you that that uh you could

1:18:16

buy this digital asset and it would lose

1:18:19

its all of its value in 17 years

1:18:22

then people start to amortize it down

1:18:24

and when it gets to be 12 years old

1:18:26

people start to discount it it's like

1:18:28

you don't want to own a building in

1:18:29

london where there's a ground lease that

1:18:31

expires in 37 years

1:18:33

right that's not as valuable as owning

1:18:35

the land outright for a thousand years

1:18:38

so if i told you it's good for 10 years

1:18:41

i think and the other thing is good for

1:18:43

a hundred years everybody wants the

1:18:45

thing that's timeless

1:18:47

and the difference is going to create a

1:18:49

marginal difference in the price let's

1:18:51

say it's two percent or three percent

1:18:53

okay so all the intelligent money go

1:18:55

they stamped in the thing that's two

1:18:57

percent better

1:18:58

and when they stamp anything that's two

1:19:00

percent better liquidity is 10x more and

1:19:02

then the money collapses out of the

1:19:04

other thing and it it goes to zero

1:19:07

that's why bitcoin cash collapses

1:19:09

bitcoin satoshi vision collapses

1:19:12

anything that's sort of like the same

1:19:13

thing but not quite as good

1:19:16

will go to zero that's why youtube is

1:19:19

youtube right it's like there there is a

1:19:21

tendency

1:19:23

of winner take all in these things

1:19:25

and uh and it it does matter

1:19:28

right now

1:19:29

you have children you have grandchildren

1:19:32

right i i never met anybody that said

1:19:35

you know i just i kind of want to keep

1:19:36

my family generational wealth intact for

1:19:39

12 years but then i don't care anymore

1:19:42

right you sort of care

1:19:44

and and and there's one more element to

1:19:48

it's it's not just the ability to know

1:19:50

that the asset will hold value 100 years

1:19:52

out it's the portability

1:19:59

you know if you're living in uh you're

1:19:59

living in nazi germany in 1932

1:20:02

having portable property versus

1:20:03

non-portable property makes a difference

1:20:05

might make a life or debt there are

1:20:07

people that are dead

1:20:08

because they couldn't move the property

1:20:10

right it does make a difference to be

1:20:12

able to move it

1:20:14

so you can't you can't blink your eyes

1:20:16

and teleport a billion dollars of real

1:20:18

estate in los angeles somewhere else in

1:20:21

the world you can't even move it

1:20:22

somewhere else in the country

1:20:24

being able to move the money

1:20:27

from a city to another city from a state

1:20:30

to a state

1:20:31

from a country to a country and from a

1:20:34

counterparty to a different counterparty

1:20:36

all of these things are are

1:20:39

extraordinarily valuable the difference

1:20:41

in life and death

1:20:43

in many cases

1:20:45

and and that's what bitcoin gives you

1:20:48

that you don't get

1:20:49

with anything else well you i i brought

1:20:52

up ethereum uh earlier you said we can

1:20:54

cover that as well you know there's a

1:20:55

lot of guys that are pro ethereum and

1:20:57

you know they swear by now if nft you

1:20:59

know most of the purchase 50 is being

1:21:01

done by ethereum ethereum's eventually

1:21:03

going to get a better than bitcoin or

1:21:05

you know ethereum's going to be right

1:21:06

there next to bitcoin what are your

1:21:07

thoughts on the theory

1:21:09

so first of all

1:21:11

if you look at the crypto ecosystem

1:21:13

there's crypto property there's crypto

1:21:15

currencies there's crypto platforms and

1:21:17

there's crypto securities and there's

1:21:19

even crypto art

1:21:21

right these are just asset classes maybe

1:21:22

they'll be crypto commodities

1:21:24

nft is crypto art it's like art

1:21:27

cryptographically protected

1:21:29

uh stablecoin is cryptocurrency a dollar

1:21:32

or a euro moving on crypto rail it's

1:21:33

currency because i can move it as a

1:21:35

medium exchange without paying a tax

1:21:37

bill on it

1:21:40

ethereum's crypto platform right people

1:21:42

are building other things on that

1:21:44

platform and and that's

1:21:47

the principal appeal smart contracts and

1:21:49

and the fact that you can build

1:21:50

something

1:21:51

bitcoin is crypto property it is a

1:21:54

long-term store of value

1:21:57

and um

1:21:58

and it is the dominant crypto property

1:22:01

and the way it establishes itself as

1:22:02

crypto property

1:22:04

is through nakamoto consensus and proof

1:22:07

of work you you have a decentralized

1:22:09

mining network that is encrypting energy

1:22:11

with the sha-256 hash function in order

1:22:14

to create

1:22:16

this wall of encrypted energy and and

1:22:19

make it uh resistant to denial of

1:22:21

service attacks other sorts of attacks

1:22:23

it needs to be robust

1:22:25

and have integrity over

1:22:27

over time and space and that's the

1:22:29

that's the technique that we've

1:22:31

developed now here's the big idea an

1:22:33

important idea most people don't

1:22:35

understand securities law

1:22:37

okay bitcoin's the only

1:22:40

proven

1:22:41

digital property

1:22:43

that we have created in the world we

1:22:45

have we have created a property and not

1:22:47

a security

1:22:49

the definition of property is um is a a

1:22:53

common commodity that is beyond the

1:22:55

control of any one individual or

1:22:58

corporation

1:22:59

if something is deemed property uh in in

1:23:03

a legal sense it means it wouldn't be

1:23:05

regulated by as a security by the sec

1:23:08

um gold is property

1:23:11

soybeans are property wood lumber land

1:23:14

is property bitcoin is property

1:23:16

okay um did the sec come out and

1:23:19

officially state that that it's not it's

1:23:21

not a securities it's officially a

1:23:22

property it's understood that that

1:23:24

bitcoin is not regulated by the sec

1:23:26

bitcoin is property it's the only thing

1:23:29

we all agree on in the crypto

1:23:31

marketplace

1:23:32

that bitcoin is property

1:23:35

securities are regulated by the sec and

1:23:38

you can you can create a security

1:23:41

uh microstrategy mstr is a security

1:23:45

go read my 10k statement it's 123

1:23:49

pages of disclosures that are legally

1:23:51

required for that stock to trade that

1:23:54

security to trade

1:23:55

it cost 20 million dollars a year for us

1:23:57

to maintain all the disclosures to be

1:24:00

compliant with securities law if you're

1:24:03

a security it's a different thing

1:24:09

bitcoin is property

1:24:09

ethereum

1:24:10

everything else in the crypto ecosystem

1:24:12

likely they're all securities right why

1:24:15

are they securities

1:24:16

they're controlled by

1:24:18

groups of developers they're issued

1:24:20

pursuant to icos initial coin offerings

1:24:23

that makes them security

1:24:25

if there's a pre mine and there was a

1:24:27

group of of individuals that initially

1:24:29

control the thing it makes it security

1:24:32

if um you know if anyone can exercise

1:24:36

undo influence it comes to security and

1:24:38

technically if you know if you look at

1:24:40

the definition it's

1:24:42

when you're making investment of money

1:24:44

uh relying upon the efforts of others

1:24:46

and expectation of profit it becomes an

1:24:47

investment contract a security

1:24:51

okay the fundamental difference between

1:24:53

bitcoin and ethereum is

1:24:56

ethereum's monetary policy changes every

1:24:58

six months

1:24:59

every few months it changes there's a

1:25:01

difficulty bomb in ethereum that's been

1:25:03

getting pushed back since 2016.

1:25:06

they keep pushing it back when it goes

1:25:08

off it will wipe out obliterate a 50

1:25:10

billion dollar ethereum mining industry

1:25:13

just wipe it out completely change the

1:25:15

protocol flip everything to proof of

1:25:17

stake

1:25:18

they keep putting it off okay that

1:25:20

sounds like a group of people exercising

1:25:22

influence over the protocol

1:25:24

the thing you need to know about bitcoin

1:25:26

is on pizza day

1:25:28

may 22nd 2010

1:25:31

bitcoin is trading for a couple of

1:25:32

pennies for the first time in

1:25:34

15 months or or something like that

1:25:38

the protocol

1:25:39

hadn't changed and has not changed

1:25:43

it when it was a penny the protocols

1:25:45

were all the same

1:25:46

today they're the same exact protocol

1:25:49

there was a war

1:25:51

fought over this the block size war

1:25:53

and the block size war

1:25:55

all of the powerful holders and miners

1:25:58

and exchanges wanted to change

1:26:00

the protocol and double the block size

1:26:03

it would have changed all the economics

1:26:05

of bitcoin forever for the next thousand

1:26:07

years it would have screwed up the

1:26:09

economics of the miners

1:26:11

it would have shifted the balance of

1:26:13

power in favor of of of some holders

1:26:16

versus others

1:26:18

that war was lost the original bitcoin

1:26:21

protocol

1:26:22

continued on and that means it's an

1:26:25

unadulterated uh protocol and it's shown

1:26:28

itself to be resistant to the influence

1:26:31

of of any group of people that's what

1:26:33

makes it property

1:26:35

property is critical because prop

1:26:38

if property makes bitcoin being property

1:26:41

makes it the ethical foundation of the

1:26:43

crypto economy

1:26:45

and by ethical foundation i mean

1:26:48

it's unethical for a public figure to

1:26:50

endorse a security

1:26:52

if you're the mayor of a city the

1:26:54

governor of a state if you're a

1:26:56

politician a congressman a senator

1:27:00

a president of a nation

1:27:02

you can't endorse a security nor can you

1:27:05

make a security underpinning of the

1:27:07

balance sheet

1:27:08

of a public uh a public organization

1:27:11

right it's like i couldn't say i really

1:27:13

think that every citizen of kansas city

1:27:15

should buy twitter stock because it's a

1:27:17

better store of value

1:27:18

it's conflict of interest it's probably

1:27:20

illegal

1:27:21

it probably violates all sorts of

1:27:23

foreign practices acts as well as all

1:27:26

the ethics laws

1:27:27

and so this this is a very bright line

1:27:31

property versus security and as soon as

1:27:33

you start to exercise influence over the

1:27:36

protocol

1:27:37

it becomes a security

1:27:39

if you look at all the cryptos

1:27:41

you know there might be a dozen that you

1:27:43

could debate a property a debate of the

1:27:46

ones that you could debate a property

1:27:47

there's one that's dominant which is

1:27:49

bitcoin

1:27:50

there's 17 000 securities

1:27:53

as the sec

1:27:55

and the regulators move there's going to

1:27:57

be a massive shakeout

1:27:59

if they ever do clarify what the

1:28:00

securities laws are

1:28:03

there's a whole set of disclosures and

1:28:04

obligations and then

1:28:06

and then you're going to see

1:28:09

you know the entire industry rationalize

1:28:11

in a big way what happens if they do

1:28:13

categorize bitcoin as a security well

1:28:15

bitcoin's not a security

1:28:18

right we've already we've already

1:28:19

crossed that chasm the point the real

1:28:21

question you should be asking yourself

1:28:23

is what happens if they categorize

1:28:24

ethereum and every other crypto as a

1:28:26

security you're underestimating the

1:28:29

power of politicians to screw things up

1:28:32

you're underestimating the the power of

1:28:35

them not liking a person like you to get

1:28:37

up and say whatever you want to say

1:28:39

and you offend them you offend

1:28:42

politicians you know people who are yeah

1:28:44

i've just read an article right now from

1:28:45

political can you pull up the political

1:28:47

article it's just the way they i get

1:28:49

but the real point here is there's 17

1:28:51

000 cryptos and and all the rest are

1:28:53

much more centralized so yeah but they

1:28:56

know the most powerful one is the one

1:28:57

that you're you're supporting and the

1:28:59

reason it's powerful is because it's

1:29:00

completely decentralized and and no one

1:29:03

nation state can shut it down not even

1:29:05

all of them can shut it down if they

1:29:07

wanted to

1:29:08

so so so you so these uh

1:29:12

sweet amazing nice

1:29:16

uh supportive people who love

1:29:19

uh independent thinkers like you

1:29:20

politicians

1:29:22

you don't think behind closed doors

1:29:23

they're sitting there trying to figure

1:29:24

out a way to regulate or get their hands

1:29:27

on bitcoin because they're starting to

1:29:29

lose a little control with the bitcoin

1:29:30

commission because the bitcoin community

1:29:31

essentially the crypto community forget

1:29:33

you know let's just say bitcoin one side

1:29:35

and a crypto community

1:29:37

i said this the other day i i think it's

1:29:38

becoming a political party i think the

1:29:41

cryptocurrency yeah so regulations

1:29:43

first of all there's like 250 million

1:29:45

people

1:29:47

that are that are pro bitcoin right now

1:29:49

and this is spreading at millions per

1:29:51

week so

1:29:53

you can't find you can't find

1:29:56

any large constituency that's anti right

1:29:59

it's a virus that's spreading right

1:30:01

you're not going to get any votes by

1:30:03

being against bitcoin right there is no

1:30:05

constituency that is anti-bitcoin second

1:30:08

regulations not bad right sometimes

1:30:10

people say oh they're going to regulate

1:30:12

is bad now the truth of the matter is

1:30:14

the faster the regulation comes the

1:30:16

faster the 17 000 other cryptos get

1:30:20

sorted into their buckets as securities

1:30:22

platforms art etc

1:30:25

and that will actually shake out

1:30:28

a lot of the noise in the system result

1:30:30

in a lot of capital focusing upon the

1:30:33

winner which is bitcoin

1:30:35

and it'll also accelerate the entry of

1:30:38

institutional capital into the space

1:30:40

because there's a hundred trillion

1:30:41

dollars worth of money that's not in the

1:30:43

crypto space that's afraid to come into

1:30:45

the space because they're not sure about

1:30:47

the definitions between the securities

1:30:50

that's a valid concern property yeah

1:30:52

that's a valid concern so in fact the

1:30:54

regulation probably would be the best

1:30:56

thing that ever happened i've seen you

1:30:57

say that yeah can i read a quote that

1:30:59

you've actually said yeah um this is on

1:31:02

page four bitcoin evangelist michael

1:31:04

saylor says clear crypto regulations

1:31:06

would speed

1:31:08

institutional adoption so cnbc story

1:31:10

tighter government crypto regulations

1:31:12

would actually be a positive catalyst

1:31:15

for bitcoin microstrategy co-founder

1:31:17

michael saylor says additional regular

1:31:19

regulatory insurance on what the

1:31:21

regulation is well yeah that's what i

1:31:23

want him to to clarify he says

1:31:24

additional regulatory clarity from the

1:31:26

biden administration is going to going

1:31:28

to benefit bitcoin and accelerate

1:31:30

institutional adoption of that asset

1:31:33

stressing

1:31:34

a major bitcoin believer and holder he's

1:31:36

looking for clear bright line

1:31:38

definitions of a digital property

1:31:41

versus a digital security versus a

1:31:42

digital currency and the operating rules

1:31:44

of the digital digital exchange

1:31:48

you know you know you said something you

1:31:49

said there's 250 million people that are

1:31:51

uh pro crypto right or pro bitcoin but

1:31:54

250 million probably more after this

1:31:56

week okay we probably made 200 million

1:31:58

fans i don't disagree but i think

1:32:00

there's that's right i think you're

1:32:01

saying because of ukraine yeah but not

1:32:03

just ukraine canada there's a lot of

1:32:04

different things that's going on but but

1:32:05

here's what i would also say michael

1:32:07

there's

1:32:08

seven and a half billion people in the

1:32:09

world that are pro-freedom

1:32:11

except for the people that are

1:32:12

pro-communism and control you're

1:32:14

underestimating the power don't you

1:32:15

think because we're part of the same

1:32:17

party

1:32:18

under thinking but don't you think we're

1:32:20

underestimating the power of the few

1:32:22

who hate independent thinkers who go

1:32:25

make their money and they're sitting

1:32:26

around you know constantly advancing and

1:32:29

questioning them and

1:32:31

in a way cryptocurrency is a big middle

1:32:33

finger to all the politicians

1:32:35

and they don't want to have 250 million

1:32:37

middle fingers right so how do you

1:32:39

how do you address that part amongst

1:32:41

these few that like to control people

1:32:43

like you it looks like it looks like

1:32:46

bitcoin's winning

1:32:51

if we if we look at what's happening

1:32:51

bitcoin is spreading everywhere in the

1:32:52

world it's only been a few years

1:32:54

right i mean it's it's the most

1:32:57

powerful disruptive force in the decade

1:33:00

you know look at look at the rate at

1:33:02

which it's spreading zero to 250 million

1:33:04

people

1:33:05

and if you turn on cnbc and watch i you

1:33:08

know count the number of minutes that'll

1:33:10

go by before you'll see the bitcoin

1:33:12

ticker flip up on the screen or before

1:33:14

they'll start talking about it

1:33:16

um as far as i can see the idea of

1:33:20

the idea of bitcoin and the idea of

1:33:22

digital property and digital money and

1:33:25

and uh and

1:33:31

digital freedom

1:33:31

is spreading pretty aggressively

1:33:34

very aggressively um i

1:33:36

i don't really so much worry about it

1:33:38

because um

1:33:40

i mean i

1:33:42

i've met with uh a lot of people

1:33:44

including a lot of politicians i think

1:33:47

you might find

1:33:48

one out of 20 that will be trollish

1:33:52

that'll be negative because they think

1:33:53

it gets them attention

1:33:55

but uh if you speak to most people in

1:33:58

private there are they all think it's a

1:33:59

pretty good idea i think i think you

1:34:01

probably find a lot of a lot of

1:34:04

advocates in russia right now a lot of

1:34:06

advocate remember what happened when

1:34:07

when putin or when the when the russian

1:34:09

bank said they were going to ban it then

1:34:11

all of a sudden they reversed their

1:34:12

stance within 24 hours

1:34:15

right you see the same thing happening

1:34:17

in every single other place in the world

1:34:19

um if you look at the senate and

1:34:21

congress there's

1:34:23

the consensus in uh congress right now

1:34:28

is very pro-crypto and it's very pro

1:34:31

bitcoin it's not anti if you look at the

1:34:34

administration the administration is

1:34:36

moving forward uh with uh with

1:34:38

guidelines that will be beneficial to

1:34:40

the industry

1:34:41

there is a schism between the

1:34:43

institutions and the entrepreneurs by

1:34:45

the way like for example

1:34:47

if jp morgan can issue a stable coin

1:34:50

then the existing stable coin issuers

1:34:53

would view that as being competitive to

1:34:54

them so there's a lot of tension between

1:34:57

institutions and entrepreneurs and

1:34:59

between states and federal government

1:35:01

but i don't think anybody disagrees with

1:35:03

the idea that uh that bitcoin's here to

1:35:06

stay and this is spreading

1:35:09

there's a

1:35:11

and so i'm not much worried about it but

1:35:13

you can choose to be pessimistic and say

1:35:15

oh yeah well somebody somebody somewhere

1:35:17

will take it away because it's too good

1:35:19

an idea but what are you gonna do roll

1:35:20

over and die i don't think it's

1:35:22

pessimism you you started your company

1:35:24

in 89

1:35:25

and you went public in 98 you got a

1:35:28

10 million dollar deal with mcdonald's

1:35:30

in 92

1:35:32

from 1990 to 96 your company grew at 100

1:35:35

every year from getting these facts

1:35:37

right you come from an era where andy

1:35:39

grove was god and andy grove wrote a

1:35:42

book where he ran intel i think they ran

1:35:44

the company at what pace they were

1:35:46

growing he wrote a book called only the

1:35:47

paranoid survive so there's a difference

1:35:49

between pessimism

1:35:51

and paranoia

1:35:54

the paranoia from a few

1:35:56

uh comes from supporting the cause of

1:35:59

crypto nobody's sitting there saying i

1:36:01

mean in so many ways this makes sense

1:36:04

it's tough to argue this who doesn't

1:36:06

want to not be controlled by the bank i

1:36:08

can't think of any time where bank has

1:36:10

been the low income middle income or the

1:36:12

average guy's best friend who's ever

1:36:14

liked the bank i don't think any time

1:36:16

anybody's ever liked the bank the low to

1:36:19

middle income in the rich unless when

1:36:20

the rich was just getting money without

1:36:22

you know what you're talking about it's

1:36:23

being printed i'm just my skepticism is

1:36:26

to be a little bit paranoid about what

1:36:29

these politicians who sit around

1:36:31

uh uh wanting their names to be on a

1:36:33

bill and a law that can regulate to brag

1:36:35

about it that's the only you know

1:36:38

paranoia that exists and the rational

1:36:40

response to that is go educate the world

1:36:43

so if you go to hope.com bitcoin is hope

1:36:46

go to hope.com there's courses and books

1:36:49

and educational materials on bitcoin

1:36:52

if you go to my website sailor.org we've

1:36:55

got a free bitcoin for everybody course

1:36:58

we've given it to

1:37:00

tens of thousands of people

1:37:03

why do you think i'm sitting here

1:37:04

talking to you today but i think the

1:37:05

level above that though if i if i was

1:37:07

arrogant and presumptuous i just sit

1:37:10

back and wait for the inevitable to take

1:37:13

place but

1:37:14

i don't think uh i don't think we can

1:37:16

sit back and wait i think we got to go

1:37:18

and speak with every politician every

1:37:20

influencer we got to reach out to every

1:37:22

community

1:37:23

you got to go on television you know go

1:37:25

on cnbc fox cnn you know bloomberg

1:37:30

and educate

1:37:33

bitcoin is is the digital transformation

1:37:36

of and we are living through the digital

1:37:38

transformation of property money and

1:37:41

energy

1:37:43

and and once you understand this idea

1:37:46

digital transformation of property money

1:37:48

and energy

1:37:50

you realize that you know the world's

1:37:52

not going to understand that for a

1:37:53

decade i mean it'll take 10 years 15 20

1:37:57

years before people get their hands

1:37:58

around what is that i mean it's so

1:38:00

inconceivable if you go back 100 years

1:38:03

and you look at electricity

1:38:05

how long did it take before people

1:38:07

really understood the concept of

1:38:10

electric energy

1:38:12

can't touch it right without getting

1:38:13

shocked by it but it was a scary thing

1:38:16

by the way it was regulated

1:38:19

right it was regulated and and uh it

1:38:23

took a long time for people to embrace

1:38:25

it and it changed the entire world

1:38:27

the same happened with chemical energy

1:38:30

in the form of standard oil

1:38:33

it was regulated took a long time for

1:38:35

people to appreciate it aviation air

1:38:38

power nuclear power all of these things

1:38:41

you know digital energy is cyber power

1:38:44

bitcoin is cyber power right the next

1:38:46

war will be fought in cyberspace if you

1:38:49

don't master digital energy you're not

1:38:51

going to win it you can't even defend

1:38:53

against it most people haven't even

1:38:55

figured this out right now that uh that

1:38:57

digital energy is critical

1:39:00

but you know like

1:39:01

even i i got a lot of twitter followers

1:39:03

when i post on twitter only about a

1:39:04

third of my followers understand what

1:39:06

digital energy is

1:39:08

right

1:39:09

they don't really get the idea i we have

1:39:12

created a file which we can move at the

1:39:15

speed of light on a layer 2 or layer 3

1:39:18

network on an apple apple pay network or

1:39:21

a whatsapp network or any website

1:39:24

that moves energy in a conservative

1:39:26

fashion through cyberspace

1:39:29

for the first time in human history

1:39:32

that's a profound idea

1:39:35

they don't get it right if i have a

1:39:36

digital music file

1:39:38

and i send it to you and you run it

1:39:40

through your headphones or you run it

1:39:42

through a speaker you can listen to

1:39:43

music

1:39:44

if i take away the computer and i take

1:39:46

away the headphones is it still digital

1:39:49

sure it is a digital music file but you

1:39:51

need to actually decode it and run it

1:39:53

through a speaker with electricity for

1:39:54

it to be digital music

1:39:56

that's profound if i have a file as

1:39:58

digital energy and it holds a billion

1:40:00

dollars in it and i send it to you in

1:40:02

tokyo and you run it through that

1:40:05

decoder and then you go and you buy a

1:40:06

billion dollars of electricity

1:40:08

or a billion dollars worth of weapons or

1:40:10

a billion dollars worth of buildings i

1:40:12

have moved digital energy through

1:40:14

cyberspace

1:40:15

i have to decode it

1:40:17

it's a big idea we never did it before

1:40:20

right it's like putting something in

1:40:23

orbit

1:40:24

right everything's ballistic until it

1:40:26

finally hits escape velocity and then it

1:40:28

orbits the earth forever

1:40:30

and orbiting forever in orbit is a

1:40:33

pretty big idea

1:40:35

that's what's going on here it'll take a

1:40:37

while for people to figure it out we got

1:40:39

to educate them so so let's start so

1:40:41

that's uh i like that uh point about

1:40:43

education i think the other part would

1:40:45

be which is one above that is guys got

1:40:48

to get involved in politics and office

1:40:50

they got to get involved there as well i

1:40:51

think some of the guys from the crypto

1:40:54

community have to get involved in

1:40:55

political you know arenas congress

1:40:57

senate governor even some being inspired

1:41:00

to go into

1:41:01

presidency look at the president of el

1:41:02

salvador what kind of an edge he has i

1:41:04

think the strategy for a guy like you

1:41:06

going and talking maybe a part of it is

1:41:08

also inspiring some of these other guys

1:41:09

who want to pursue politics because you

1:41:11

know most of the world when we think

1:41:13

about oh my gosh warren buffett he

1:41:16

doesn't believe in bitcoin oh my gosh

1:41:18

bill gates is against bitcoin peter

1:41:20

schiff says bitcoins going to zero which

1:41:22

i believe you said in 2013 bitcoins

1:41:24

going to zero but you flipped you

1:41:26

started educating and getting a little

1:41:27

bit more clear and then you went to a

1:41:29

different direction even monger recently

1:41:32

said charlie munger said the following

1:41:33

he says i wish

1:41:35

it and this was last week i wish it had

1:41:37

been banned two weeks ago immediately

1:41:40

and i admired the chinese for banning it

1:41:43

can you imagine charlie munger a

1:41:44

capitalist agreeing with china monger

1:41:47

said wednesday a daily journal corp

1:41:49

annual meeting which was held virtually

1:41:51

i certainly didn't invest in crypto i'm

1:41:53

proud of the fact i've avoided it it's

1:41:55

like a venereal disease or something i

1:41:58

just regarded as beneath contempt

1:42:02

the 98 euro billionaire has been long

1:42:04

critic of bitcoin previously calling it

1:42:06

rat poison

1:42:07

and uh i mean he just

1:42:09

certainly the great short squeeze in

1:42:11

gamestop was wretched access certainly

1:42:14

the bitcoin thing is wretched access i

1:42:15

would argue that venture capital is

1:42:17

throwing too much money too fast and

1:42:18

there are considerable wretch access and

1:42:20

venture capital and other forms of

1:42:21

private equity and he just doesn't stop

1:42:23

he keeps going and going and going so

1:42:25

the world looks at these guys the people

1:42:27

who have been influencers in the finance

1:42:29

world for a while

1:42:31

who are totally against it

1:42:33

and then

1:42:34

somebody sits there and says well

1:42:37

i i i trust buffett more than i do

1:42:39

michael

1:42:40

why should i believe these guys that are

1:42:42

talking about bitcoin what you're seeing

1:42:44

is a shockwave moving through the

1:42:45

culture

1:42:46

you're seeing the most disruptive force

1:42:48

in the world right now and it's slamming

1:42:50

into people and institutions faster than

1:42:54

they can

1:42:55

then they can absorb it and and

1:42:57

appreciate it and understand it

1:43:00

and this is like shock waves in the real

1:43:02

world right if i move an airfoil through

1:43:03

the air faster than the speed of sound

1:43:05

the speed of sound is the rate at which

1:43:07

air communicates with itself the air

1:43:09

can't get out of the way i pound into it

1:43:12

i create massive turbulence and noise

1:43:15

the way to solve it is you go slower but

1:43:17

you know then you're not supersonic

1:43:19

you know charlie munger wasn't an

1:43:21

advocate of apple computer right how

1:43:24

about amazon right how about how about

1:43:26

microsoft right

1:43:29

warren buffett's a friend of bill gates

1:43:31

for how many years and he still hasn't

1:43:33

bought microsoft stock and microsoft is

1:43:35

an idea that was

1:43:37

you know

1:43:38

fairly well understood 40 years ago 30

1:43:41

years ago

1:43:42

so um

1:43:44

what you have is is something so

1:43:46

powerful that everyone's being asked to

1:43:48

have an opinion right

1:43:50

presidents

1:43:51

you know the president of russia the

1:43:53

president of most nations states they're

1:43:55

asked to have an opinion every

1:43:56

investor's asked to have an opinion

1:43:58

but what if i told you you couldn't

1:44:00

really understand it without a hundred

1:44:01

hours of time invested

1:44:03

how many people after the age of 40

1:44:07

spend 100 hours studying anything

1:44:10

you know

1:44:11

like once you get to how about age of 65

1:44:13

you don't think of monger buffett gates

1:44:15

these guys spent 100 hours studying

1:44:17

bitcoin aren't you sure they didn't

1:44:19

isn't it obvious

1:44:20

i i would say it's almost certain that

1:44:23

he hasn't spent 10 hours

1:44:25

and so i like i i would say the same

1:44:27

with most macro investors though right

1:44:29

now you know what i would say the same

1:44:31

with a lot of crypto investors the world

1:44:33

is full

1:44:34

okay how many people

1:44:37

i mean i see it because i see in my feed

1:44:39

most people in the crypto space devon

1:44:41

spent a hundred hours studying this

1:44:42

how many people have spent a hundred

1:44:44

hours studying the stock that they hold

1:44:45

in their portfolio true how many people

1:44:47

spend a hundred hours studying facebook

1:44:49

yeah based on what you're saying you

1:44:51

don't need to study

1:44:53

bitcoin just trust you and buy bitcoin

1:44:55

no no he's not saying that he's not

1:44:56

right

1:44:57

but i'm not saying that i'm saying that

1:44:59

i spent a thousand hours before what i'm

1:45:02

saying is you're basically saying look

1:45:04

i've done the research you don't need to

1:45:06

do it yourself just buy bitcoin and hold

1:45:08

it for 100 years have a great day bye

1:45:10

it's basically what you're saying

1:45:12

i'm actually saying that people should

1:45:15

do the research until they get the

1:45:17

conviction necessary to make their own

1:45:18

decision

1:45:21

like at the end of the day this is

1:45:22

property i don't run a i'm not promoting

1:45:25

my own security right promoting an

1:45:27

exchange i'm basically suggesting go

1:45:30

west young man get some land

1:45:32

right it's like go get go go to america

1:45:36

right get some property and make a life

1:45:38

for yourself but you decide whether

1:45:41

you're wanting to do that or not here's

1:45:44

the more important point though it's

1:45:46

every single influential person in the

1:45:49

world is being asked to have an opinion

1:45:51

but they're not spending a hundred hours

1:45:53

on the opinion

1:45:54

if i roll the clock back a hundred years

1:45:56

and i went to every politician and every

1:45:58

rich person in the world in the year

1:46:00

1900 and i asked them what they thought

1:46:01

about electricity what do you think

1:46:03

they'd say right

1:46:04

how about how about airplanes in the

1:46:06

year 1904 what was the opinion then

1:46:10

it's not unreasonable

1:46:14

and i don't think we should be spending

1:46:15

a lot of time fixating upon the opinions

1:46:20

famous and powerful and rich people

1:46:23

about a technology that they have not

1:46:26

chosen to make a focal point of their

1:46:29

interest well especially when they're 98

1:46:31

years old like

1:46:33

i think it has to be a factor i think

1:46:34

the more important point is everybody

1:46:36

thinks for themselves

1:46:38

right so

1:46:40

you wouldn't go to charlie monger and

1:46:42

ask him to pick out stocks in your st

1:46:45

name every winning stock in the past

1:46:47

decade

1:46:49

netflix google

1:46:51

apple

1:46:52

facebook amazon

1:46:54

how many of them were recommended to you

1:46:57

any of these people that you're getting

1:46:58

opinions on

1:46:59

none of none of the bitcoin antagonist

1:47:02

or critics would have recommended or did

1:47:05

recommend any of those

1:47:07

stocks right so it's it's kind of a

1:47:10

point it's really just marketing

1:47:12

or sparks that are being sent up because

1:47:15

what happens is these guys in the media

1:47:16

they interview them and they want to

1:47:18

like get a rise out of them so they

1:47:19

actually throw this out there nobody is

1:47:21

asking warren buffett's opinion of

1:47:23

silver or gold right now

1:47:26

because no one's interested in hearing

1:47:28

the answer

1:47:30

here's the next one i want to show you

1:47:31

you and peter shift going back and forth

1:47:33

on twitter

1:47:35

uh did do you have the one in regards to

1:47:37

gold is this the one in regards to gold

1:47:40

uh tyler is this the one

1:47:42

so you're going back okay so also

1:47:44

instead of just posting ill relevant

1:47:45

replies might cook all the way to the

1:47:47

table see what peters have set goal

1:47:48

because he's a big proponent of gold

1:47:50

cios who follow michael sailors asinine

1:47:52

advised to plug their balance sheets

1:47:54

into bitcoin to hedge against they

1:47:55

expect an annual inflation rate of two

1:47:57

percent now down as much as thirty four

1:47:58

percent of their hundred one month uh uh

1:48:00

that's 17 years of expected inflation

1:48:03

losses time to pull the plug michael

1:48:05

saylor responds

1:48:07

with returns

1:48:09

on gold versus bitcoin then he responds

1:48:12

also instead of just posting irrelevant

1:48:13

replies to my tweets why don't you agree

1:48:15

to debate me so far you have turned down

1:48:17

every opportunity to do so it's clear to

1:48:20

uh that you're afraid to actually

1:48:21

confront me and defend your ridiculous

1:48:23

views so you

1:48:24

take your cowards way out by the way we

1:48:27

invited him to be on the podcast today

1:48:29

he said get me a private jet and we want

1:48:30

him to be on the zoom and he said he's

1:48:32

not available i'm just letting you know

1:48:33

we don't get typically people saying get

1:48:35

me a private jet that was his request

1:48:38

and then you say it's not clear what we

1:48:39

could debate we would debate your

1:48:41

position appears to be buy some more

1:48:42

gold buy some gold or silver or gold

1:48:44

stocks or government bonds or corporate

1:48:46

bonds or dividend stocks or value stocks

1:48:48

or emerging market stocks or small

1:48:49

company stocks or anything

1:48:51

really just not too much the debate

1:48:53

would be about bitcoin you think it's

1:48:55

digital gold i think it's digital fool's

1:48:57

gold you think everyone who doesn't own

1:48:59

it should buy it i think everyone who

1:49:00

wants it should sell it and the

1:49:01

fundamental point here is

1:49:05

you have to give the world a solution to

1:49:07

their problem not just be a critic

1:49:09

if you want to be a critic you can

1:49:11

criticize everything but but what's his

1:49:13

answer if you listen if you listen to

1:49:15

peter's debates what he says is he only

1:49:17

has five percent of his portfolio

1:49:19

invested in gold which means that he has

1:49:21

95 invested in something else but what

1:49:24

is the something else

1:49:26

and the point is he you know you're back

1:49:28

in the same you know hedge fund shuffle

1:49:31

mentality it's like just give me all

1:49:33

your money and i'm just going to shuffle

1:49:34

it with random 95

1:49:37

opacity on random stuff

1:49:39

back and forth but don't question it

1:49:42

what about the five if it was it was a

1:49:44

recommendation he would own more than 50

1:49:47

percent of his portfolio in the gold but

1:49:49

he doesn't believe in it

1:49:50

so but his argument would be his

1:49:52

argument would be i don't recommend

1:49:53

people to buy 50 i recommend people to

1:49:56

buy two to five percent that's his

1:49:57

position he doesn't have an answer to

1:50:00

that that means that you're going to

1:50:01

lose 95 of your wealth so what's the

1:50:03

answer so and your point is that

1:50:05

depression by the way i already i have a

1:50:07

debate if you go online and you google

1:50:10

michael saylor gold debate you'll find a

1:50:12

pretty good debate that's got more than

1:50:14

two million views right now where i go

1:50:16

point by point

1:50:17

through the differences between bitcoin

1:50:19

and gold

1:50:20

the issue with with peter is

1:50:23

peter's not offering a solution to the

1:50:26

world

1:50:27

right he's simply

1:50:29

trolling

1:50:31

bitcoin and he's not trolling bitcoin

1:50:33

with any

1:50:34

any real concrete criticism other than

1:50:37

he just doesn't like it right like but

1:50:39

wouldn't the world so mike if you guys

1:50:41

did have a debate

1:50:43

wouldn't the world benefit i guess the

1:50:45

question is i don't realize

1:50:46

he doesn't he doesn't have a concrete

1:50:48

argument but you're not dodging a debate

1:50:50

with him i i don't see the point of

1:50:53

debate when peter buys a billion dollars

1:50:55

worth of gold

1:50:57

then i'll have a debate with him

1:51:00

so you're saying you don't see him as a

1:51:01

true believer even in the he says hey

1:51:04

gold is your hedge against as pat uh uh

1:51:07

properly pointed out to him on the fox

1:51:09

interview that peter and pat had said

1:51:11

listen peter you're selling armageddon

1:51:13

to sell gold yeah and you're saying and

1:51:15

yet peter only owns five peter short

1:51:17

gold peter is a peter is anti-everything

1:51:20

for example he's got more investment in

1:51:22

gold stocks gold miners than gold well

1:51:25

gold miners are short gold gold miners

1:51:28

incentive is to dump as much gold on the

1:51:30

market as possible as fast as possible

1:51:32

if you read the balance sheets of the

1:51:34

gold miners what you'll find is they

1:51:36

don't hold gold as an asset so so gold

1:51:39

miners don't believe gold is money if

1:51:42

they did they wouldn't sell it they'd

1:51:44

buy it

1:51:45

and peter doesn't believe gold is money

1:51:47

if he did he wouldn't allocate 95

1:51:49

percent of his wealth to something other

1:51:51

than it

1:51:53

and ultimately

1:51:54

the fundamental issue with peter is you

1:51:56

know he's just debated you know he's

1:51:58

debated this issue for a

1:52:00

decade all of his argument is just i

1:52:03

don't like bitcoin he hasn't come up

1:52:05

with anything worth refuting that i can

1:52:07

see and if you go online you'll find

1:52:09

three four five six peter shift debates

1:52:12

and he just doesn't say anything other

1:52:13

than just bark the person that he's

1:52:15

debating with so i can't see it's

1:52:17

constructive this is a reasonably

1:52:19

constructive debate if you go to me and

1:52:22

frank gestra where we actually had a lot

1:52:25

back and forth

1:52:27

fundamentally though

1:52:30

find me somebody in the world that has

1:52:32

invested more than 50 percent of a

1:52:34

portfolio and gold

1:52:37

or at a billion dollar level

1:52:39

like my my position is pretty clear i've

1:52:42

invested almost four billion dollars in

1:52:44

bitcoin

1:52:46

and i'm not telling you you need to

1:52:47

invest half your portfolio in it i'm

1:52:49

just saying that i think that it is it

1:52:52

is money it is an asset it will

1:52:54

appreciate in value and one can create a

1:52:57

strategy where it is the the dominant uh

1:53:01

part of the strategy

1:53:03

there are other people that have

1:53:04

invested in companies amazon

1:53:07

amazon was jeff bezos strategy i get it

1:53:09

big tech

1:53:11

other people have bought city blocks in

1:53:12

new york city that's a that's a valid

1:53:15

strategy so

1:53:16

investing in property or investing in

1:53:18

technology is a valid strategy but on

1:53:20

the other hand

1:53:22

find me someone that is actually bet

1:53:24

five billion dollars on gold where it

1:53:27

constitutes more than fifty percent of

1:53:29

their portfolio and it's their own money

1:53:31

and peter's not one

1:53:33

peter hasn't bet on gold peter's betting

1:53:35

on gold going down he's buying the

1:53:37

bitcoin the gold miners that are dumping

1:53:40

the gold making the gold price decay so

1:53:43

that doesn't make any sense if you dig

1:53:45

into the gold miner balance sheets

1:53:47

read read the the two three biggest gold

1:53:50

miners what you'll find is

1:53:52

they overmind the gold dump the gold

1:53:55

then they pay an income tax then they've

1:53:57

divided out their excess and pay a

1:53:59

dividend tax then they pay off their

1:54:01

debt which is two percent so another way

1:54:03

to say it is they would rather uh loan

1:54:07

money out to the world for two percent

1:54:09

interest than whole gold

1:54:11

that's how bad they don't like gold

1:54:13

right and they're the ones that mine the

1:54:15

goal it's it's an it's a crippling

1:54:17

indictment of the entire industry

1:54:20

right that they think it's going to zero

1:54:22

that's why they keep dumping the gold on

1:54:24

the market

1:54:25

find me somebody

1:54:26

that really believes in gold in fact

1:54:29

every single gold proponent you'll find

1:54:31

on the internet if you listen to them

1:54:33

they'll start their conversation with

1:54:34

well first of all i don't recommend you

1:54:36

invest more than five or ten percent of

1:54:38

your money in gold it's just like it's a

1:54:40

hedge thing just which makes the gold

1:54:42

miners really no different as a

1:54:45

commercial enterprise than

1:54:46

timber cutting

1:54:48

how are you processing i uh here's how

1:54:50

i'm processing we're one minute over i

1:54:52

want to respect the the time as well as

1:54:53

we got meetings that we got to go to as

1:54:55

well michael this uh we don't have

1:54:57

enough time with you do you you just

1:54:59

talk and you person's got to listen to

1:55:01

how you're processing your uh decisions

1:55:04

this was extremely i hope the audience

1:55:07

enjoyed it as much as i enjoyed it i

1:55:08

feel we needed two or three more hours

1:55:09

together uh uh i'm uh

1:55:13

i'm assuming peter schiff wouldn't mind

1:55:15

sitting next to you for a debate and if

1:55:17

you're up for educating the world maybe

1:55:19

it would be a great educational moment

1:55:22

for the audience if we can get him here

1:55:24

we can't get him in a private gym and we

1:55:25

get him on the greyhound that floats

1:55:27

from puerto rico to here who knows or

1:55:28

get into a private jet in front of a

1:55:30

zoom and then he'll accept it but uh

1:55:32

having said that uh would love you have

1:55:34

to back on michael uh uh thank you again

1:55:36

for taking the time to come out this was

1:55:38

wonderful appreciate you yeah thanks for

1:55:39

having me guys absolutely take care gang

1:55:41

we're not gonna do podcast again this

1:55:44

week because i'll be out of town but we

1:55:46

will do it again next week i think we've

1:55:47

got a very busy week next i got a very

1:55:49

very busy week yes take care guys

1:55:51

bye-bye

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