Bitcoin, The Red Wave, and The Crypto Renaissance - Michael Saylor Speaks at Cantor Fitzgerald.
Crypto, Digital Assets & AI Infrastructure Conference · 2024-11-15 · 59m · View on YouTube →
so the audience has grown uh certainly
not for me uh just wanted to again thank
everybody for being here uh excited uh
to continue this uh this event uh during
a very interesting time in the markets
um obviously see a lot of people been
glued to their phones over the last two
hours with the volatility going on
um the gentleman that I'm going to
introduce needs no introduction
obviously he's been at the uh Forefront
of crypto though uh doing something
quite frankly that's unprecedented uh
using the company's uh balance sheet to
continue to purchase uh Bitcoin in the
open market he's had a very strong view
I've had the pleasure of listening to
that view at a couple different
occasions uh chairman of micro strategy
uh a legend in the space uh and really a
savant in terms of thinking about the
world in a different way so with great
pleasure Michael sailor
[Music]
[Applause]
thank you um I title a presentation
Bitcoin uh the Red Wave and the crypto
Renaissance so today you're going to
hear me talk about a few things you
might have heard before but they're
they're now uh refreshed and then you're
going to hear me speak about a few
things I've never spoken about before
which I think will be interesting to the
group but I'll start with the problem
that we all
know um the economic problem is that
very few asset classes outperform
monetary inflation if you're trying to
beat the cost of capital the SNP index
it's very very challenging to do it and
everybody in the world's looking for a
solution to this
problem the companies don't have a
solution if the company can't grow 15% a
year or more institutional investors
lose interest liquidity and the stock
dries up there is no options
market and companies are requ IR ired by
uh by normal treasury
rules uh to use us treasuries as a
capital asset and if a company's sitting
on top of treasury bills they're losing
10% of their capital A year they're
underperforming the cost of capital by
10% a hundred billion dollar of capital
is going to cost your shareholders 10
billion a year so companies are in
essence type one diabetics every company
with the treasury strategy is a diabetic
you're less you're in essence bleeding
Capital off your balance sheet and of
course intelligent CEOs or CFOs
understand that so they solution of
course is just give away all the money
like we give away the capital we buy the
stock back and we lever up 144 to1 or I
dividend it out but the the solution of
my wealth is toxic so I'm going to give
it all away is in my opinion not a
recipe for living happily ever after and
that's what we do to most operating
companies there's a political problem
the political problem is how do we grow
the economy of the United States how do
we deliver prosperity to our people and
how do we overcome a deficit and all
that while maintaining Global
Leadership so everyone every institution
every investor every company every
politician struggling with these
problems
today bitcoin's the
solution why is it the solution is it
the solution a lot of people are
wondering that well I'll put the Bitcoin
return for the last four years on this
chart I just showed you and you can see
Bitcoin is just punching a hole in all
the traditional Capital markets this
isn't one year or two years this is four
years but you know it happens to be the
four years since micro strategy decided
Bitcoin was the solution and you might
say well you Cherry Picked that number
that's the low number I cherry-picked
that number because the other numbers
are better and I'll show you that in a
second if we look at this entire set of
asset classes they line up kind of
elegantly if you're actually holding
bonds for the last four years you lost
5% of your capital A year they're losers
every Bank in the US is capitalized on
bonds every operating company is
capitalized on bonds you wonder why the
banks are sick you wonder why the
operating companies are sick they're
sitting on on those minus 5% instruments
and that's their best idea Gold's plus
6% you might as well just hold gold real
estate's plus
10% the S&P is
15% you can double it with the
Magnificent s find the best companies in
the S&P the nvidias the apples the
Googles
29% and this little creature we call
Bitcoin is doubling that
60% and when you look at that a lot of
things become pretty
clear but this is the past 14 years
bitcoin's not just winning I mean it's
up 78% in 8 years it's up 103% in 12
years it's up 168% in 14 years it's
consistently winning and at some point
if you look at the numbers you start to
wonder well why is it winning and is
this a fluke and the irony of course is
that you still get questions from the
normies every day like well when does
The Run Stop is like like when do
nuclear reactors stop producing more
electricity than water
wheels you know when does the airplane
stop Flying faster than the donkey
cart the answer is it's not going to
stop because it's structural and
Technical everyone in the world is
searching for an asset uncorrelated to
the S&P
500 with higher returns uncorrelated and
Performing it's the Holy Grail
banks have conferences on this stuff
well Bitcoin is that asset it's an asset
without the counterparty risk that comes
from competitors countries corporations
creditors cultures or currencies
everything else you own in your life has
a counterparty risk to one of those
items except Bitcoin Bitcoin is in
essence orthogonal to the rest of the
market that makes it
Alpha but you don't have to believe it
from first principles you don't have to
study it you can just look at the data
this is Fidelity data it's showing the
lack of correlation and the sharp ratio
it's got the highest sharp ratio it's
got the lowest correlation so even if
you haven't read the book the Bitcoin
standard even if you haven't thought
about it for 100 hours or a thousand
hours or 10 hours all you have to do is
just run the numbers uh the market is
screaming at you that it's an
uncorrelated high performing
asset but to truly understand it you
have to go back to First principles and
this is my all theer MIT and this is
where I was taught to think from first
principles and they taught you how to
build things that had never been built
before and solve problems that had never
been solved before and it was an
epiphany that you're actually expected
and capable of solving problems no human
being on the face of the Earth has ever
solved before I mean Elon Musk keeps
pointing this out and proving it and
that's why he's the richest man in the
world the capital markets are full of
people doing the same thing over and
over again the same way because
convention says to do it the same
way I'm suggesting you apply basic
physics and Engineering to Capital
markets and see if you can solve the
problem in a new
way this is the wealth in the world it's
distributed across real estate and bonds
and equity and the little Block in the
lower left corner is Bitcoin at 1.8
trillion when uh incidentally when micro
strategy got into this Bitcoin was 100 0
billion so we have 10x and um and that's
just in four years but
um here's another way to see that chart
and this is the most profound Insight of
the day I'm going to give you that I I
think the majority of rich people and
the majority of Corporations and the
majority of money managers still don't
get this one idea which is half of the
wealth in the world is invested in
Assets in in search of a long-term store
value people just want to engage in
long-term capital preservation another
way to say it is I just want to stay
rich I want to keep my money there's no
one you'll meet that doesn't want to
keep their money right there's no
government there's no Corporation
there's no wealthy per there's no poor
person nobody wants to lose their money
so the circle on the right is 450
trillion dollar blob of long-term
capital right next time you hear
something someone say well what's the
Bitcoin use case there's no use case the
use case is the most valuable thing in
the entire human race it's $450 trillion
it's all the capital in the world the
use Cas is you get to keep your money
right that's actually the Epiphany once
you understand that people are using
assets for two reasons long-term capital
preservation or the second reason is
utility your yacht your jet your bakery
your Farm your Ranch your
plane company that's utility value your
piece of art you put on the wall it's
utility half the stuff is for utility
the other half is capital
preservation and um the challenge with
preserving capital is you either do with
with financial assets and they degrade
over time due to
entropy everything you invest in is
subject to weather and War and tax and
inheritance and income and excise and
these are the risk factors in every
10K they degrade the capital and so
people that want to get away from
Financial assets they buy land and they
buy buildings and they buy physical
items but entropy uh decades them too uh
there's a hurricane coming you know in
Florida right now it's going to hit in
the next few days you can't buy
hurricane Insurance you're just living
with this chaos in the real world and of
course I could talk about the Litany of
ways that your physical capital breaks
down but you all know it what's the cost
of
entropy what's the cost of chaos
confusion and competition inflation
politics and War well the cost is like
3% of $450
trillion the cost is 105 trillion
dollars a year it's trillions of dollars
a year someone says well what's the use
case of Bitcoin it's like well it's not
to we're not going to lose 10 trillion a
year like you get to keep the 10
trillion right that's what's driving
people to
bitcoin when you live in a world without
Bitcoin and you live in a world of
capital assets that are physical and
financial you see your useful life is 10
20 30
years if you buy a Ferrari or yacht
you're probably not going to preserve
your Capital but most people buy 10 20
30 year useful life assets and they
struggle and worry about them how many
people worry about their stocks every
day worry about their building worry
about their business worry about
currencies worry about bonds there's an
entire industry of
worry that's a constant
struggle this guy Satoshi came along and
discovered a method to transfer value
without a trusted intermediary and
everybody repeats it at infin item
Satoshi figured out how to send
something of value between two people
without a intermediary but that wasn't
the brilliant idea the idea that's so
profound it shakes the foundation of the
economy is that Satoshi figured out a
method to store value without a trusted
intermediary because sending the value
it's like a little bit better than Visa
or the FED wire storing the value well
that makes it the most useful thing for
$450 trillion of capital that's worth 10
trillion a year that's the big idea and
it's a very poorly understood idea
Bitcoin represents the transformation of
our capital from financial and physical
assets to
digital what we've created is an asset
without Financial Risk that's in a
currency or stock and without physical
risk that's in real estate or
property and that makes it digital
Capital not digital currency digital
Capital everyone that's a hater everyone
that's skeptic like oh it's a digital
currency it won't work well that's
because you decided to Define it as the
wrong
thing yes it's not a
currency right it's Capital once you
understand it as capital you realize
that you ought to compare it to a $100
million building in
Miami and think about the benefits of
building of owning a building versus
owning a a digital
building what if I could own a building
that had no tax no traffic no tenants no
torch no trouble no weather no
corrosion and uh what if it was an
invisible indestructible Immortal
teleport
building well I mean may I think I'd
rather have it than the $100 million
building in New York but I'm sure I'd
building in
Moscow digital capital is global capital
and uh and that means that if I gave you
$100 million and I put you in Africa or
I put you in
Russia or I put you in China and I said
Buy $100 million worth of stuff keep it
for 30 years or buy 100 million of
Bitcoin there's no doubt you'd rather
have the 100 million in Bitcoin there's
not a single thing you want to own in
Africa that's better than Bitcoin and
when people start to think of it that
way you realize that this is the
solution to Global capital and it's
inevitable that all the cap in the world
is going to flow into this network
because whereas you might think New York
is good and Miami is good no one's
arguing that any random City in Nairobi
is better than New York or better than
Miami right it's just not a question so
when you put that on my map here you see
Bitcoin solves a problem it's the
Thousand-Year asset right what if you
just wanted to be uh wealthy forever
well I mean like there's an entire
industry that's wrapped around wrapped
up in that idea of how do I keep my
money Bitcoin is this digital Capital
that has a useful life not of 30 years
but maybe 30,000 years and that's the
profound idea it's stretching your time
Horizon to a different place and what
backs it it's not backed by anything
people say that it's not backed by
anything it's backed by power the same
thing that backs everything in the world
raw power a lot of it is backed by
digital power political power economic
power 733 ex ahash is more power than
Amazon or Apple or Google could muster
or or or Microsoft could muster to
attack the network right now or any
nation state it is the most digital
power 18 gws is 18 fullon nuclear
reactors it's more than the United
States Navy runs on 850 billion of real
Capital people have taken 850 B of real
money deposited in the bank that we call
Bitcoin you think those people aren't
going to fight to defend the 850 billion
there a lot of economic power 420
million crypto Advocates you just saw
the impact on the on the election on
Tuesday night 220 million
holders it's the most powerful crypto
Network in the world it's 99% of the
power in the crypto Network it is the
dominant one it's 100x more powerful
than the next best one that's why I say
there isn't the second best is because
this is all the power another way to say
it all the
smart money in the world ask the
question how do I store my money in
cyberspace and not lose it and they kick
the tires on 10,000 crypto networks and
a thousand other ideas and 100,000 other
investment ideas and if they like the
idea of put your money in cyberspace in
a crypto Network they pick Bitcoin it's
the
winner right if you're the smart money
you go to where the smart network is if
there's a bank with a 100 billion dollar
in it in your town and another guy opens
up dude's bank with
$10 you don't say the bank with the 100
billion is overvalued and dude's bank is
the best investment you put your money
in the bank with all the rich people
it's just a smart thing to do they have
all the
power Bitcoin is emerging as the
dominant digital monetary Network now
when I I use the word emerging not
because it isn't it already is I just
use the word emerging because 95% of the
people with the money in the world don't
understand that there's a digital
monetary Network yet when they
understand that the class exists they'll
realize the Bitcoin is the winner once
they realize it
exists it's like I said it's like it's
like Facebook for money except when rert
Murdoch shows up to bitcoin he'll bring
billions and billions of dollars he
won't just bring 27 friends and a few
party invitations
12 out of the top 20 ETFs launch in 2024
are related to Bitcoin in some way it's
it's obviously eating the ETF
Market it's now the seventh largest
asset by market
cap seventh and it's the most widely
recognized widely held compelling
investment asset in the world right
what's above it Alpha bet Amazon
Microsoft Apple Nvidia they're all
Securities in the US there's no way that
a Chinese or a Russian company is going
to capitalize on those things gold the
best idea in the 19th century dead
money right so what do I expect I think
we actually chew through you know one
through six sometime
soon spot ETFs have 90 billion of
AUM black rocks ETF for Bitcoin is
actually outstripped their gold ETF in
less than a year Gold's been around for
5,000
years bitcoin's crawling into all the
bond markets look at the yields you can
have 64% from Bitcoin or you could have
2% 3% 4% or 5% for the
bonds you know Bitcoin is going to take
the take a place in the 60/40
portfolio right now people talk about 1
to 3% allocation that's going to move to
10 to 20% an allocation as soon as
people get their hands around this I
don't I don't think it'll take very
long Larry fank is has become the most
prominent advocate of Bitcoin this is M1
CNBC no I I know you have been a leader
not play this because willing to embrace
crypto you because you can look it up
but I want to stay on
schedule lots of entities buying
Bitcoin now 2 and a half million Bitcoin
held by ETFs countries private companies
public companies what's driving
Bitcoin institutions are driving Bitcoin
thousands the ETFs have actually
purchased five billion do in the last
six
days the last six days there's only $40
million of Bitcoin available for sale by
natural
Outlook okay you can you can Google this
Bitcoin 24 go you'll find it on GitHub
download the model put in all your own
forecast assumptions about inflation
Innovation and the like I'm going to
show you
mine back to to our map of assets I'm
looking out over the next 21 years
what's going to happen well I assume
technology is going to continue to
advance we're going to harness AI
there's going to be a lot of incredibly
valuable
companies bitcoin's going to grow
rapidly Gold's going to be gradually
demonetized Equity is going to grow a
bit faster real estate about the
historic average basically the money
supply is going to expand about 7% a
year some assets are going to stay on
that Glide slope some will slightly
outperform it uh like Equity like
Bitcoin some will slightly underperform
it that gets us to this forecast which I
presented in July of
2024 Bitcoin grows in a basea in my base
case 29% ARR up to 13 million a coin I
think it grows faster in the first four
or five years it's growing 50 50 to 60%
it's going to decelerate from 60 % at
some point down toward two times the S&P
index but you can see every Bitcoin you
don't buy today is going to cost you $13
million a lot of people think well you
know the world's going to turn upside
down uh no it's not the world is not
going to turn upside down in 21 years
the world's going to look pretty much
the same as it looks right now they'll
be a lot of real estate a lot of bonds a
lot of currency a lot of equity there'll
be a ton of trillion dollar companies
there'll be1 trillion do companies the
only difference is if you didn't buy
Bitcoin you won't have made that
money right there'll be a whole class of
people that use Bitcoin as a capital
asset and the big Winners should be
Bitcoin and Equity is you know AI makes
all the cars drive themsel and someone
produces a billion robots and they get
and the robots make the robots if the
robots make the robots then presumably
the company that owns the robots that
make the robots is going to make a lot
of money
right so the I mean it's going to be a
good a good future for high tech for the
people that can harness
that uh okay micro strategy what are we
um we're the first and largest Bitcoin
treasury
company what does that mean it means we
basically Buy and Hold Bitcoin
exclusively and we focus upon issuing
Innovative fixed income instruments to
create intelligent leverage to give our
Equity holders performance that's better
than Bitcoin in a very precise
consistent way just buy Bitcoin raise
money to buy Bitcoin rinse and
repeat what happens if you have such a
monotonic simple idea and have laser
focus on it well every Green Dot is a
purchase of Bitcoin by micro strategy we
buy the lows we buy the highs we buy the
middle we buy we buy we don't sell you
know at some point people are making fun
of us for having lost a billion ion or
two billion on this
trade we're up 135 billion right now I
think we made three and a half or four
billion in the past five
days the point is leverage right like
once you get the right asset position
bitcoin's going to have $220,000 up
dayss you're just going to want to own
it you're never going to want to not own
it so this is what happens if you what
if you lever Bitcoin what's better than
Bitcoin the only only thing better than
Bitcoin is more
Bitcoin okay and then and then the
question is did I pay 14% interest to
get the more Bitcoin 7% interest to get
the more Bitcoin or did I pay in micro
strategies case 82 basis points to get
the more Bitcoin if you borrow money for
free for five years and buy a billion
dollars of Bitcoin with it and if
Bitcoin goes up
60% your return will be higher micro
strategy is buying Bitcoin but we're
doing it as a public company with
intelligent
leverage okay well how does that compare
to all the S&P
500 okay Nvidia is the number one and
you can see that it's we used to be
proud We were slightly beating them but
now we're crushing
them right this is not even funny
anymore now here's the thing if you guys
can if you can copy nvidia's business
model I encourage you to do
so I don't think Apple and Google and
Microsoft and Amazon believe they can
copy nvidia's business
model but I'm inviting all of you to
copy my business model I'm telling
everybody I'm singing it I'm yelling it
from the Treetops I'm showing you how
I'm publishing The Playbook it's the
simplest thing possible any company can
copy
that right and that's what you get if
you copy that business
model This Is How We compare to all
these assets
what's the secret well it's intelligent
leverage intelligent leverage the
capital markets are
unhealthy and and Fiat capital is toxic
I just showed you what's wrong with the
us treasuries if you Arbitrage between
something that's minus 5% and something
that's plus 60% with
leverage you can create a monster
company okay how do we perform well we
beat 100% of the P 500 Bitcoin look at
Bitcoin you don't have to be micro
strategy you could be the most brainless
person imaginable and you could have
just bought Bitcoin you would have beat
every single
company magnificent 7 they beat 95% 60%
of the S&P can't beat the
index right that's the
challenge so I say volatility is
Vitality conventional wisdom is run away
from it it turns out that the smart
thing to do is run toward it volatility
is not a problem if you rich if you're
Bernard Arno and you go from being worth
150 billion and $250 billion do that
wasn't painful volatility when Elon Musk
made hundred billion dollar this week
that was not painful volatility for him
that's the volatility you want you want
to own assets with massive
Leverage What does that get you well
what happens is if you if you're if
you're basically spinning at high
frequency a bunch of assets you get
massive liquidity and massive open
interest in your options market and what
this illustrates is that micro strategy
is one of the top 10 uh companies in the
S&P 500 for liquidity and for open
interest and it also illustrates that on
a market cap basis we're number one
right we're the literally the hottest
most radioactive
stock you know and and if you're afraid
of fire and if you're afraid of nuclear
power hot and radioactive or dirty words
but you know the human civilization was
built on the one of them and the future
is based on the other one and so I don't
think they're dirty I think this is
opportunity this is just a schematic of
our of our business what are we
doing you ever see a ship well half of
the weight of the ship is above the
water line the other half is below the
water line if you want to have 500 tons
above the water line you got to have 500
tons below the water line the Baseline
for Bitcoin is the spot ETFs that's 50
55 Vol 55 AR or 60 Vol 60 AR micro
strategy strips the ball and strips the
performance off of that asset and sells
it into the fixed income market and into
the capital markets to people that are
more risk adverse and then we actually
layer that ball and that performance on
the equity so our Equity can be 2x
Bitcoin and our bonds can be
1X Bitcoin with much less risk and the
entire thing uh is self- sustaining as
long as we're stripping risk and
volatility off one set of instruments we
can uh add it to the equity and the
options market and the other set and uh
you know this is again it's just how how
most things work in nature
next um a lot of times people say well
you know the company's valued a premium
to its uh to its net assets and
um I think that's the wrong way to think
of it it's like saying Standard Oil you
know has a few billion dollars of
reserves so it seems to be valued at a
premium to the reserves well the point
is standard oil does something more than
just have St own stuff by the way M
Microsoft is valued something like 50x
its
reserves because it does stuff and so
there's an operating company that does
stuff so what does our operating company
do we're refining crude Capital we're
refining like you refine crude oil and
you pull in crude oil on one side and
out comes kerosene which goes into your
jet engine or out comes gasoline goes
into your car Jets and cars don't run on
crude oil there's value added to refine
it and make it into a product that runs
Jets and cars and trains and you can
burn in your house and asphalt you lay
down on the road so petrochemical
product are valuable that's why oil
refineries are worth a sum of their
operations and their
reserves well there's a there's $300
trillion dollars of capital in the
capital markets they can't buy Bitcoin
they don't want Bitcoin they want
Bitcoin with no risk they want Bitcoin
upside with no Vault they want double
Bitcoin they want 10x Bitcoin they want
something different than Bitcoin so if
you were to say I think the oil company
is only worth its
reserves okay fine we'll just like blow
up the refineries and we'll all freeze
to
death okay what we're doing is we're
refining crude
Capital well this is an interesting
slide micro strategy is the leader in
issuing Bitcoin back bonds okay what's
interesting about them if you bought our
bonds you get 134% return if you bought
Bitcoin the same day you get 70% return
we actually gave you all the upside of
Bitcoin with no
risk stripped of all stripped the risk
stri the downside gave you double the
upside why wouldn't you want that right
if you like Bitcoin why wouldn't you
like Bitcoin without the risk of Bitcoin
how do you do that you have to actually
issue the bond senior in a capital
structure which is all Bitcoin if I
diversify the capital structure if I
dilute it if I put a 100 billion of
treasuries on it you lose the Vall you
lose the return you lose the performance
you have to be all in on bitcoin to do
this but once you're all in you can do
this over and over and over again this
is infinitely
scalable we've got uh a primary kpi we
use we call it uh BTC
yield and um BTC yield is the rate of
increase in Bitcoin per share since the
beginning of the year we've increased
Bitcoin per share for our shareholders
by
26.4% um what does that translate to it
translates to like almost 50,000 Bitcoin
and what are we doing well we just
launched the biggest ATM offering in the
history of capital markets 21 billion we
thought Satoshi would be proud of us to
raise 21 billion of capital and it's out
part of a$ 42 billion Capital plan and
so we're actually raising 10 14 18
billion that's our Target over the next
three years and of course all of that is
going into buying Bitcoin
if Bitcoin trades at $40 million a day
of natural if there's natural sellers of
40 million a day you can divide 40
million into 42 billion and figure out
how many days we're
buying
right this is one way to look at it
we're about uh 27
279,000 generated a yield of 7.3% that
works out to
18,41 bitcoin that means that we we
created 18,000 Bitcoin at no cost and no
dilution it's like a Bitcoin miner if
you had a Bitcoin miner and you Min
18,41 Bitcoin in 10 days for
free that's what we did there right
that's what that is multiply that by the
price of Bitcoin and you can figure out
what's that Worth to our
shareholders years to date we we
actually uh generated a 4
49,93321
Bitcoin every single day for free no
dilution that would be onethird of all
the Supply right it's like we're
onethird of the hash rate but we managed
to do it with no
electricity no Capital cost and keep
scaling
it and the difference is we're enriching
every Bitcoin minor we're actually not
decreasing their profitability they're
getting wealthier while we're doing this
this is a very virtuous
thing okay now let's switch to the fun
topic the Red
Wave the Red Wave you know we didn't
know what was going to happen but you
know as of this morning I'm reading the
Republicans have taken the house they've
taken the Senate they've taken the White
House and what's the Red Wave about well
I think I'd boil it down this phrase
Elon Musk kind of the the heart the soul
the Zeitgeist of the moment has that
quote give people their freedom back
this entire Red Wave is about getting
Freedom
back and this is the guy that's going to
give you your freedom
back and he is all in on bitcoin all in
on crypto all in on freedom he's in
favor of business he's America first he
wants to unleash entrepreneurial Spirit
from the clutches of
bureaucracy he has these words for
implications end into the war on crypto
it's one of the planks of of the entire
election lay out a digital assets
framework accelerate institutional
adoption modify the tax laws make them
much more favorable to crypto to bitcoin
to Industry to
everybody can you go
back and
uh a strategic Bitcoin Reserve all these
things I think are implications of the
Red Wave they're all
coming big milestones for Bitcoin
institutional adoption a repeal of sa
121 the ability to uh create inine
create Redemption of Bitcoin ETFs
options on bitcoin ETFs approval for
solicited sales by Banks and acceptance
of BTC as collateral for
credit crypto Renaissance this is going
to usher in a crypto Renaissance what is
it and
why the traditional Capital markets
they're failing the public they're
crippled by Antiquated structures and
they're based on those structures are
based on 20th century
techniques they're all
obsolete right we're living in a world
that was defined in the 1930s and if you
read rothbard he'll tell you that the 33
SEC Act was meant to create a cartel and
limit access to the Capital Market to
just a few people it was already a
Restraint of trade and an encroachment
on freedom in 1933 under the Roosevelt
administration it's just gotten
progressively
worse traditional Capital markets just
too expensive it's like too many lawyer
you want to go public too many lawyers
too many accountants too much money too
many employees too many years too much
revenue too much of everything it's just
too hard
and and if you manage to get public if
you're one of the 4,000 companies that
goes through that and spends four years
and $40 million and you get
public there's no liquidity in your
options there's no liquidity in the spot
you can't beat the S&P you can't retain
earnings you're limited in the
Investments you can make by the SEC 40
Act and the SEC 33 act you're you're
basically hamstrung you can't take risk
you live in fear of missing the quarter
capital is toxic volatility is toxic
inflation is killing you that's the
problem that's why 2,000 companies in
the Russell 2000 are all
struggling don't take my word for it
though here's the chart number of
publicly listed companies in the US over
the past 20 years 25 years now I invite
you to put anything on that chart if I
if I put that chart up and I said number
of basketball players number of number
of public schools number of planes
Yachts trains Apartments number of
televisions number of
computers number of wealthy people
number of I don't care what you put it's
a sick chart right it's a it's a chart
of a Dying economy that's not working in
a healthy bu healthy economy you
shouldn't have charts going down and to
the right that is a chart of like Xerox
copy machines right or typewriters or
buggy
whips except American public companies
shouldn't be an Antiquated rapidly
obsessing product of the
civilization the traditional markets
they're exclusionary they're elitist
there's 4,000 publicly traded companies
in the US they're the crela crop there's
400 million small businesses in the
world there's 40,000 list companies
there 400,000 big
companies okay
0.016% of the United States businesses
are served by the capital
markets like like in what world you know
is 0.06% of the people having access to
water electricity power mobile phones
computers internet in what world is
0.006%
winning right that's anemic and we have
been beaten in a submission to think
that there's something healthy about
that that is not healthy that's not
normal our current regulations they
require four years and $40 million to
create a traditional
security but you could do something
smarter faster strong or in a digital
token in four hours with 40
bucks and so the Millennials the genz
are looking at this they're like I don't
get it I could do something better and
cooler in four hours why do I need
armies of lawyers and accountants in
order to do something which is
worse right and that is the driver
behind the crypto
Renaissance now the industry needs a
digital assets
framework in order to grow and prosper
that's very clear without a framework
we're not going
anywhere but this is not a complicated
thing I think I think the previous
administration acted like it's
complicated a lot of people think it's
comp okay it's not that hard it's three
steps Define the asset classes set sound
ethical e economic and Technical
guidelines and provide a practical legal
method to issue own and operate digital
assets one two three very
straightforward has not been done the
industry will not go forward until we've
done those three
things it would take like 10 10 pieces
of paper to Define 95% of this
decently so what are the
assets a digital commodity an asset with
without an issuer backed by digital
power that's what Bitcoin is a digital
commodity a digital security an asset
with an issuer backed by a security not
complicated Equity debt derivative
something tokenized a digital
security a digital currency an asset
with an issuer backed by a fiat
currency stable coin tether Circle
straightforward a digital token a
fungible asset with an issuer offering
digital
utility something useful in
cyberspace an nft a non-fungible asset
with an issuer offering utility in
cyberspace
again not
complicated abts asset back tokens an
asset with an issuer backed by a
physical asset like gold or oil or
corn there you go those are the asset
classes those asset classes could be
hundreds of trillions of
rules well digital currency rules H H
this is what our um our government is
going to need to do over the
next
year they need to lay out the um the
rules of the road for this so here's a
simple question how does a corporation
issue and operate a stable coin back by
USD reserves that could be transferred
freely and instantly between humans and
machines
worldwide what's the asset test it's
very simple when tether relocates to the
us we will have solve the problem why
wouldn't you want them to relocate to
the US create a simple a simple strategy
or a simple guideline they move their
digital currency operation to the US
they buy hundreds of billions and
trillions of dollars of US currency
everybody's happy very simple we won't
have succeeded till we solve
that digital Securities how does Apple
make its shares available for trading
247 365 on a digital exchange how does
an Apple shareholder take POS possession
of their shares on their own iPhone um
it seems kind of ridiculous that you
can't hold a share of Apple stock on an
iPhone why
not somehow the entire rhetoric became
it's like unethical to do how is it
unethical to hold a share of Apple stock
on an iPhone it's not unethical it's
like so logically obvious if I can hold
my photos my books my communications on
an iPhone on a movie why can't I hold a
share of stock on an iPhone is it
possible of course it's possible in fact
all the crypto Bros figure it out we
just put them in jail for figuring it
out you know it's like it's not
hard um but that's the question and
what's the asset test well when micro
strategy stock trades 247 on coinbase
we'll have solved this
problem why can't why can't they right
by the way I can't under the previous
administration without the framework but
it's very obvious you'd want
to how's a European living in Japan send
a share of Apple stock to an American in
Argentina using an Android phone on
Saturday
afternoon by the way substitute apple
stock for uh
photo for
message it works with photos it works
with messages it just doesn't work with
a share of Apple stock is there
something unethical about moving Apple
stock instead of a message or a photo
it's very straightforward is it hard not
hard you just need the framework what's
the acid test when you sell that share
for USD and you can convert that to to
Argentine pesos and pay the rent with it
then you will have solved the
problem how about small businesses right
how does a small business issue
Securities where $3 million to fund uh
their expansion when they've got a few
hours and a few thousand doll to spend
and they don't employ any lawyers is it
unethical to want to do that no is it is
it good for the economy of course it
is how many people want to do it well
maybe like 400 million want to do it is
it possible
yeah what's the asset test when you can
invest in Joe Rogan when Rogan releases
Rogan token and yeah then you've solved
that problem would he could
you in
time token rules how does a celebrity
issue a digital token to their followers
that offers Super Fan privileges to the
holder and what are the obligations of
the issuer the owner and the exchange
it's very simple question not that hard
I mean you can you could answer the
question in in two paragraphs or three
paragraphs if you wanted to write it
what's the asset test it's when you own
Katy Perry
coin right then you'll know it worked
when Katie Perry issues the token and
someone's got it or your daughter's got
it then that works how many people want
to do that oh like millions and millions
and millions of people want to do it
like I you know just about every
celebrity I've ever met would probably
want to do
it exchanges how does a corporation
offer crypto exchange services allowing
the public to issue Buy sell transfer
digital
assets well that's the question right
what's the asset test well when binance
moves its headquarter to the US you'll
know you've solved the problem would we
want them to of course we want them to
right why wouldn't you want every
company that does something that people
want to buy or want to use why wouldn't
you want them all to come to the
US right like why don't we want them
well they won't act ethically well just
make the rules give them some meth I
don't think anybody in business wants to
cheat their
customers right they're just they're
just caught in a in in a obsolete you
know Antiquated oligopoly situation
where there it's illegal for them to
actually solve the
problem so the crypto Renaissance is
going to revitalize the capital markets
right and what would happen well you can
see here coming back to my chart well a
big chunk of equity when Apple and
Google and meta can actually tokenize
their Equity you think they will of
course they will of course they will
right you know you think that Tesla will
tokenize Tesla stock of course they will
right so you'll see a lot of equity get
tokenized you'll see bonds get tokenized
we used to have you know we had bearer
bonds like we've gone backwards the
Rothchild sold beer Bonds in the 19th
century well how about going forward to
bearer bonds again we'll have tokenized
bonds tokenized currency token we'll
even have tokenized real estate I think
someone will sell you 100 acres of
farmland or timber land in Canada or
whatever and you'll have fungible real
estate you'll have non-fungible real
estate tokens I suspect and um let's
what does that look
like that transformation will will
probably transform $500 trillion of
assets from the analog world to the
digital world and that's going to bring
extraordinary Prosperity right you're
going from a trillion to 500 trillion in
digital assets you're going from 1.8
trillion of digital Capital to 280
trillion in digital Capital right
like what's the secret well everything
goes smarter faster stronger at the
speed of light right a million times a
second do you think we'll be more
efficient if the robots make a million
times a second decisions between eight
billion other robots
probably or we can do it the
oldfashioned way put your book on a
wooden ship and sail it for three months
across the ocean and then seize half of
the book at the border because it
violates customs and that's another way
to send
information I'm gonna I'm I'm at the end
of my presentation so I save the best
for last these are my comments on the
United States strategic Bitcoin Reserve
the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve was
introduced by Senator lumus at Bitcoin
Nashville at that point the outcome of
the election was uncertain if it had
been a split Congress if it had not been
a red wave it would have been a
challenge this was this was unclear 10
days ago but today you have a you have a
pro Bitcoin White House Pro Bitcoin
House of reps and pro Bitcoin Senate and
a pro Bitcoin Senator that is made her
mission to accomplish this and her Bill
calls for a million Bitcoin to be
purchased by the United States
government over five
years let's talk about the geopolitical
logic why will it happen why should it
happen well first of all it establishes
a fair Equitable and peaceful system to
resolve political differences we know
that Donald Trump's in favor of ending
endless Wars it's better to have a
business outcome than a military outcome
to solve problems go
back and
um this supports prosperity and Lusher
and aox Americana in the 21st century
right this establishes pox
Americana
21 this is a chance to own the 21st
century like the US can own it you
address the deficit with an Innovative
economic idea and an Innovative
technical
idea you you extract trillions of
dollars of capital from the 20th century
physical and financial economy but as
the money flows out of physical and
financial assets it flows into Bitcoin
and the United States going to own all
the Bitcoin so the United States is the
beneficiary of the passage from the 20th
to the 21st
century own the 21st century this is
where all the money is going you might
as well buy it before it gets there
this cements the US dollar as the world
Reserve currency and it also establishes
a world Reserve Capital Network that the
US also owns and controls right the best
way to protect the dollar is make sure
that we retire the debt and we become
rich the next best way to protect the
dollar is to make sure that if anybody
ever considers a different Capital asset
other than treasury bill you own it well
there's only two Capital assets that
make any sense the 20th century asset
was the treasury bill the 21st century
asset is Bitcoin if you own both of them
you can't lose you can only win any
movement away from treasuries is going
to go toward Bitcoin the obvious thing
to do is just buy it before everybody
gets there they either won't go and you
won't it won't matter or they will go
and you'll be you'll be uh beneficiary
then
too the other geopolitical Brilliance of
this is that you're attracting foreign
Capital to the us from our enemies
people are selling Chinese real estate
Russian real estate African real estate
South American Real Estate everything in
the world they're selling it their
Capital the Securities the bonds they're
selling that in order to buy
Bitcoin and so everybody in the world if
you had a billion dollars and you lived
in Mexico would you trade it for a
billion in the US yes would you trade
all your money in Cuba or Venezuela or
China or Russia for a US real estate yes
you would but you can't you can't uh do
that right it's impossible for Russian
oligarchs to sell their Russian real
estate and Buy Manhattan real estate but
what they can do by Bitcoin when they do
if we own it we benefit from it so this
is about attracting capital from
everywhere else in the world bringing it
to the US where it creates a US jobs us
prosper
enriches us corporations us institutions
US citizens and the United States
Municipal state and federal government
right you want all the money in the
world to come to you and I and if they
wanted to buy the land it's like well I
don't know if I can sell them the land
but they can just buy Bitcoin and then
our Bitcoin goes up by a factor of
100 this is the impact of the lumus bill
if you crank in the
assumptions if we implement the lumus
bill
well we're going to overcome and and
we're going to get the debt under
control via good tax policy good
technology policy good industrial policy
Innovation AI robots the
like but as we build the Bitcoin
position to17 trillion do we're going to
we're going to retire and convert the
net debt position to be something which
is very di Minimus so yeah is this a
good idea
yeah why
cuz if I'm wrong it costs
nothing if I'm wrong it costs nothing
you're paying for it with money you
printed which cost nothing it's like
it's literally like it's like a penny on
$100 it's like one two 3% if I'm wrong
it cost nothing if I'm right you solve
all your problems like that's an
asymmetric bet like I'm giving you a
thousand to one payoff and you're
betting with free money and you're going
to tell me you don't want to take the
bet because you're risk adverse you have
free money it's a,1
payoff that's the lus
bill there are historic precedents for
this right Once Upon a Time the Dutch
paid 60 gilders for
Manhattan they generated a
multi-trillion dollar payoff 60 gilders
once upon a time we bought the Louisiana
Territory for $15
million it's like a third of the country
it's worth
trillions we bought California from the
Mexicans under duress all not but we
still paid
them they didn't want to sell because
they were smart you shouldn't have sold
California but nonetheless we paid 18
million we had a chance to do the deal
by the way I don't want to sell you my
Bitcoin either right we paid him 18
million we got California Nevada Vegas
it's worth quite a lot 8 trillion and
then we bought Alaska from the Russians
we paid them a few million it's worth
trillions okay it's been done before
it's a very simple idea figure out where
the value is going to be go buy it cheap
and hold it you're a nation that's what
nations do this is manifest
destiny Bitcoin is Manifest Destiny for
the United States
I think the Trump Administration
understands it I think Senator lumus
understands it I think everybody that's
behind her understands it that's why it
will
happen this is my last
slide this is the greatest deal of the
21st
century the Strategic
Reserve if we don't do the lumus deal if
we don't pass that bill and all we do is
just hold the existing Bitcoin on the
balance
sheet it's worth $3 trillion to the
people if the lumus bill passes as
currently drafted it's a 16 trillion
doll benefit to the United States over
21
years if they decide to go double Max
and they double that it's a $0 trillion
benefit if they assume a triple Max
position and they purchase 4 million
Bitcoin is 56
trillion and of course the deal of the
century maybe the greatest deal of all
time would be the Trump deal if we go
Trump Max which is the rational thing
buy the Bitcoin it's worth 81 trillion
dollar we'll retire all the debt will be
the richest company in country in the
world for hundreds of years right it's
very
straightforward and the beauty is the
more aggressively you pursue this the
less risky it
gets this is one of those things where
if the US does this every other country
has to follow the Saudis the Emirates
the Europeans the Chinese the Russians
everybody follows every company follows
the 20th century gets put away the 21st
century comes into into view the capital
comes out of the rest of the world flows
into the Bitcoin Network which rest and
floats right above the United States of
America so will this happen yeah I think
it's going to happen the only question
is is it going to be a double Max a
lumus bill a triple Max or a trump Max
and that's what we're going to find out
in the political process in the coming
12 months and with that I want to thank
all of you for your time