Why you shouldn't sell your Bitcoin for the next 100 years | Interview with Michael Saylor
Cointelegraph · 2021-02-10 · 34m · View on YouTube →
michael saylor the ceo of microstrategy
made a billion dollar bet on bitcoin
last year
microstrategy has now acquired over 70
000 bitcoins
making it one of the largest public
holders of bitcoin in the world
so it's a gift once in a thousand years
do you actually see the invention of a
fundamentally new thing
this is our once in a thousand year
opportunity you get to buy into it early
in august 2020 microstrategy confirmed
it had made bitcoin its primary treasury
reserve
asset then in september the firm doubled
down by purchasing an
additional 175 million dollars of btc
sailor touted his commitment to bitcoin
on twitter by advising elon
musk to convert tesla's balance sheet
into bitcoin
a month later tesla did just that
however
sailor wasn't always a staunch bitcoin
supporter
in 2013 he claimed bitcoin's days are
numbered
and compared bitcoin with online
gambling times have changed since then
along with the opinions of large
corporations
sailors advocacy of bitcoin in 2020
earned him a spot in cointelegraph's top
100 notable people in blockchain
in fact he took fourth place so why does
the fourth
most important person in blockchain
claim his company will hold bitcoin for
the next
hundred years watch this interview to
find out
but before that don't forget to
subscribe to our channel
austin davis co-founder of community
electricity
sat down with michael saylor to bring
you this interview take it away austin
what's up everybody austin davis here
interviewing the
the uh famed michael saylor we're going
to be chatting about bitcoin
and about uh success and failure and
glory and all the above how you doing
michael
i'm well thank you amazing um
so last time i got to chat with you i i
wanted to ask you a question but i
kind of forgot what is that boat behind
you is this the uh queen anne's revenge
we're looking at here
what boat is that you know it's actually
it's a 19th
century antique model
handmade of a 17th century
galleon so it's a it's an old uh
an old galleon and and uh it was made
very intricately and
about 150 years ago by hand and it's a
it's kind of a work of art
and so i keep it around it's one of my
mascots it's very motivational
since you mentioned you know history and
that thing seems to like
has a lot of history to it um you're
you're a history buff right you've uh
you've uh have a background in the
history of science i believe
is that right yeah i got a degree in the
history of science at mit
so uh what what draws you to history
because that must have started
at an early age right i i always loved
history you know
from uh from the point i was in
secondary school and
i just think it's fascinating to read
about the exploits of humanity
what happened why did it happen how did
it all turn out
hopefully there's some there's some good
lessons in there that we can draw upon
for
the modern era absolutely yeah
and um and you also studied engineering
right
yeah spaceship design i studied uh
you know astronautical engineering
so i at mit you know there are a lot of
engineers but i
but i thought it was really nice to be
able to blend
to study the humanities and sociology
and economics and politics and history
of science
which is all about what happens to
civilizations when you have new
technology
introduced into them what happens when
we invent
x-rays or railroads or communications or
airplanes or roads in general and and
they all have a profound impact so
if you're just the engineer and you
don't consider the consequences
economically or politically then you
only get half the picture i i
think it's very interesting to see the
interplay of the two
so that that leads me to one of the uh
the interesting topics of today bitcoin
right it's bitcoin week in miami
um so there's a lot going on around
bitcoin around the world you're
obviously a huge advocate of it these
days and you believe in it which is
amazing um to have someone in your
position who uh
who actually has done the research and
and decided it was a good
investment and a good uh secure a way to
secure the future
um so so that leads me to the kind of
tying engineering to this so
i love it when you uh kind of bring the
thermodynamic principles and the laws of
thermodynamics into uh
explanations of bitcoin and why you
think it's a very sound money because of
that so
can you can you touch on that a little
bit um on thermodynamics and bitcoin
sure i mean i think that a lot of times
the bitcoin story is
is told through uh an economic lens
or spiritual lens or a mathematical
lens or sometimes a financial lens and
you know in the extreme it gets called
an uncorrelated speculative asset which
i hate
right uh i think the story that needs to
be told much more
is that bitcoin is a masterpiece of
monetary engineering
and there was no class in monetary
engineering at mit
but we studied servo mechanisms and
cybernetics and
the principles of control system uh are
are critical for aerospace engineering
the plane won't fly if you don't have
stability
avionics are all about control um
in electronics you know there's plenty
of examples of control systems
and in every other engineering
discipline people understand
uh the principles of controls
thermodynamics
uh you know the study of energy
as a manifest itself and heat and work
right is critical to making any machine
work and
um you know when i think about bitcoin i
think well
first of all it's the first successfully
engineered monetary network in the
history of the world
one day they'll probably have a a class
or they'll have a degree in monetary
engineering at universities
uh next to chemical engineering or
electrical engineering it makes sense
um what is money uh well
i think most people want to ask the
question i think money is monetary
energy
i think it's the apex energy and as soon
as you understand money to be
energy then it stands to reason
and that a monetary system that applies
the
the principle of conservation of energy
is a pretty good idea if i create a
bathtub with a
you know with the sink open it doesn't
work if i have a swimming pool with a
leak in it it doesn't work if i have a
ship with a leak it doesn't work a plane
with a leak doesn't work
electrical engineering systems you know
and power grids with short circuits
don't work
in fact nothing in the engineering world
aqueducts don't work right bridges with
a leak in them don't work
so every engineer knows you have to
apply the laws of thermodynamics you
need to apply conservation of energy
if you're a mathematician you'd call it
arithmetic right
the rule that says that if i add 9 plus
9 it better add up to 18 because on the
day that it adds up to 19
some horrific thing is going to happen
right uh so once you understand money as
monetary energy and you understand
bitcoin is a monetary energy network
then uh you start to appreciate the fact
that
it either does or does not respect the
laws of thermodynamics
if it doesn't then that means that uh it
has a leak
you know the the term the colloquial
term for a leak
in uh in monetary economics is inflation
inflation is the leak and you know
inflation is
is a hole you know
in the container and in the reactor
and and uh your water your electrical
power
your reservoirs your hydraulic systems
your pneumatic systems
your fuselages and your holes
they all fail everybody dies
if you don't have conservation of energy
and so um i you know i respect bitcoin
because
a it's a monetary system b it's
engineered
uh in a conservative fashion and the
classic
definition of conservative would be
derived from conservation of energy
if i give you 10 items will you give me
back the 10 items
or will you change the number to 11 or
downgrade it to nine
and if you're not conservative in your
appreciation of energy
then no machine works nothing works
that's right yeah i wish more of our
economic policies would
would learn from uh the principles of
thermodynamics as well right i don't
think
i don't think printing uh was it between
23 and 26
i believe in 2020 we printed of the
entire
us dollar amount ever created that's
pretty
it's pretty insane right because it goes
back to what you're talking about the
expanding monetary supply your salaries
are staying roughly the same
the monetary supply is expanding your
purchasing power of your dollar is
shrinking
most people don't even think about that
they just spend their dollars and
you know maybe if you're not holding the
dollars it doesn't matter as much but
it's that's the problem they try to i
guess the powers that be want to hold
everybody in that position
to some degree so that they can keep
printing so that kind of takes me to uh
to scarcity a bit because based on those
principles there's only 21 million
bitcoins that will ever be created
now i had some some folks yesterday
asking questions about the scarcity of
that you know
what happens as we approach that you
know in your mind what happens as we
approach 2141 when
the last bitcoins are being mined um
what does the world look like
um you know regarding bitcoin and the
use of it at that point
well i think scarcity uh just means
integrity it means math
mathematical purity or it means
conservation of
energy and if you have integrity in any
engineered body
or reactor that just means that you're
not going to be leaking
pressure or leaking fluids it's a closed
system
thermodynamically or an adiabatic system
and of course what you learn in
engineering is you can't solve
for a non-adiabatic system there's no
solution
because it's uncertain as to how much
fluid or how much mass will enter
or leave the system that makes it
impossible so
scarcity really to my mind just means
we've decided to create a conservative
adiabatic system
such that we can solve an economic
problem
um you know once we've done that what do
i think will happen
i i think that uh the system uh
you know the bitcoin monetary network
will gracefully evolve
into a monetary network that's funded by
transaction fees
and the transaction fees will finance
the miners to provide transaction
processing power and security
and it'll be all market driven and as
the network gets more broadly
distributed
the demand for scarce bandwidth on the
network will increase
and the transaction fees will increase
and the
and uh and the transaction size
and monetary value will increase we'll
end up moving large blocks of money
million dollars 10 million 100 million
whatever the fiat currency is it'll be
large blocks
with high transaction fees and then all
the small
blocks will move off chain in
in essence bitcoin banks like paypal
or square or binance or coinbase which
are in essence bitcoin banks
that are moving hundreds of millions of
small transactions
off-chain or maybe enlightening if you
will
and uh and and it'll be great it'll be
fine
so do you think that uh you know let's
say invoices will be
thought of in bitcoin in the future
instead of right now it's
i guess globally accepted that the us
dollar is a good comparative
uh currency um when you're invoicing do
you think that
we'll start to switch because it's so
universal
what i what i think is there's going to
be five
let's say today there's 500 trillion
dollars worth of monetary energy
money in the system and it's divided
between currencies like the euro and the
dollar
it's divided in tangible hard assets
maybe real estate trophy assets art
gold silver bitcoin and then there's a
portion of it sitting in bonds and
stocks
and bitcoin is going to grow from that
600 billion dollar asset to become a 10
trillion dollar asset like gold
then it will subsume gold and it'll
become a 20 30 40 50 100 trillion dollar
asset and that'll be the core
of the monetary planet if you will right
now
we're still going to have picasso and
people will have value for their picasso
paintings
you're still going to have your diamonds
you're wearing and your gold rings and
you're going to have your beach house
because you're going to want your beach
house if you're going to own stocks
you're going to own them because you
love the companies because you wanted to
make an investment in the company
because you love the company you think
it's going to go up faster than the rate
of
monetary expansion i think that the
currencies will be mandated by the
governments as long as there's a united
states government there'll be a dollar
and the dollar will be legal tender and
and people will buy things and sell
things
transactionally in dollars and the
reason why
is because the irs gives the dollar
currency
tax treatment if i give you a hundred
dollars a year ago
and if the dollar appreciates against
the peso
over the next year and it's worth 10
million gazillion pesos
and you give me the hundred dollars the
us government is not going to charge you
a capital gains tax
right so it makes sense for you to move
dollars as currency
because there's no tax obligation but if
i give you a bitcoin a year ago
and the bitcoin is now worth it was
worth ten thousand a year ago and it's
worth a hundred thousand next year and
you give it back to me
you're going to owe the federal
government 35 000 in capital gain
you're not giving me the bitcoin keep
the bitcoin
give me the dollars right you want to
give me
you want to give me money borrow against
fund in the bitcoin currency and then
give me the dollars
or convert something into dollars and
that's
so your your currency is dictated by the
government
you know you start your own island
austin you can have your own
you know you can spend satoshis on your
own island if you want to
but as long as there's the eu central
bank or the u.s or the whatever
their tax authority will determine the
currency based upon whatever they
designate
as currency if the irs had designated
bitcoin as currency
there would be no capital gain to move
that back and forth when the irs
designated as
property it implies it's digital gold
you should treat it like gold you should
buy it and hold it forever
and then my advice to you would be to
borrow against it
tax free never pay capital gains never
take an operating income
you know if you must sell it i don't
think you should because it's the
highest quality property in the world
in the history of the world we never
invented a technically
more thermodynamically sound pure
monetary property than this right this
should be the container for the money
you're going to hold for your
grandchildren
this is it better than gold better than
a stock better than real estate
better than a picasso even if you love a
picasso right right so i think that
i think bitcoin is property in
cyberspace and i think that currencies
aren't going away as long as governments
are with us and i'm going to hope the
government will stick around because i
think there's some good things about
having a government
and when the dust settles you're going
to have
maybe a hundred trillion dollars worth
of pure monetary energy in bitcoin
you're gonna have 100 trillion dollars
worth of stocks or 200 trillion and
they'll be pri
price discovery the value the stock
should decrease
until the returns are expected risk
adjusted returns on the stocks are
rational
you would expect the value of bonds
would decrease such that the coupon on
the bond is rational
price that is called price discovery
returning those markets
you would expect that the value of gold
will decrease and or
will start to equalize to its ornamental
value what is it worth to you as an
ornament what's your art worth as an
ornament
what is your beach house worth for your
value and use
and then there'll be a layer of cash and
dollars and euros and pesos and yen and
juan
that will circulate around and that
layer of cash will probably not hold
value
because we know we're going to keep
inflating it and you know you ever
calculate in the wan
i do it's like it's like a 10 000 won to
the dollar
and it's it's measured in billions of
won
it is you know it used to be a peso was
one peso to the dollar
and you know it's shooting up to 140
argentine pesos to the dollar on the
black market right now so
eventually that the currencies will fall
but they'll be used from day-to-day
transactions
and if you're wise your wealth
preservation strategy would be
put all your money into bitcoin don't
ever sell it
and then borrow against it you know and
if you borrow against 10
of your bitcoin and then your living
expenses don't go up more than 10
a year and a bitcoin goes up 20 percent
a year your debt to equity ratio will
fall forever
you will never pay capital gains tax you
will never have income tax
yeah you just need a bank that that
handles bitcoin and the bank
for bitcoin is evolving right now so
also earlier you mentioned something
about
scarcity um tying it to you know
thinking about precious metals right
like
yeah in the near term they're probably
going to do good and go up but long term
there's a non-trivial effort going into
asteroid mining right now one person
gets it right one group of people get
that right and they start bringing
payloads back
you know let's say they they hire elon
musk and say you've got a lot of assets
up there help me get this stuff from a
to b
and all of a sudden we've got a steady
stream 24 hours bringing precious metals
to the planet
you know there's more platinum on one
asteroid than we've ever mined on planet
earth so i think precious metals
long term don't make sense uh forever
but bitcoin
you know could get thousands of years
out of it right depends on what happens
to humanity i guess
look the i mean the problem is if i want
a system of mathematics
or engineering it needs to be based on
arithmetic
mathematical integrity or
conservation of energy it can't be based
upon
an analog approximation of integrity
like
it's really hard for us to find rocks
and we found 21
rocks and we're gonna as long as nobody
finds a 22nd
rock then we're going to add up to 21.
it can't be an approximation which is
what gold is it needs to be a
it needs to be an exact thing so bitcoin
arithmetic is a protocol you know
bitcoin is a protocol
english is a protocol a language is a
protocol
you know if everybody in the world
agrees to communicate with the english
language
a thousand years from now we'll still be
using the english language
and we'll be using it because billions
of people
agree to communicate in the english
language
right if everybody agrees to move their
money around in bitcoin
a thousand years from now we'll be
storing our money in bitcoin
so worrying about whether we find some
more silver or some more gold
right is is kind of silly right it's
like the truth is
we just should abandon commodity monies
in the same way that you abandon the
abacus or
i don't know i'm trying to imagine like
caveman with like 47
rocks in the dirt and they're like this
is our way of keeping track of what we
have and at night there's someone
standing guard over the 42
rocks to make sure that someone doesn't
accidentally drop a 43rd rock
and destabilize the power structure it's
like that's
you know it's a it's an open system not
a closed system
it's defective and it's kind of like
just changing the rules of arithmetic
your bridge is going to crash your
ship is going to sink your airplane is
going to crash and burn
so i i don't even think about asteroid
mining because it's such a silly notion
to think that
i'm going to save my money in gold and
hope that no one mines an asteroid it's
about as stupid as saying
i'm gonna save my money in gold beads in
sub-saharan africa
and hope that nobody with a ship shows
up with more gold
with more glass beads right right it's
like the glass bead money or like the
seashell money as long as no one treks
over to the
to the beach and finds more seashells
i'll be a rich man
right well good luck with that i mean
that didn't work with any civilization
that i can remember it's about as dumb
as the giant
stone coin of the app people and so
if you're saving your money in gold it's
the modern equivalent of saving your
money in the giant stone
coin of the yak people and as long as no
westerner and a ship
shows up with other stones
yeah you're gonna be fine you think
about it
you know and the asteroid mining thing
is the equivalent of what if someone
shows up with a ship with glass beads or
sea shells or oh
it's exactly the same thing it crashes
our economy
yeah the answer is maybe you'll actually
have computers and arithmetic
you should have used the computers and
arithmetic to base your economy on
and not stone coins of the yap people
yeah yeah for sure you mentioned
something earlier about um
you know money being a kind of a
language and i've kind of
kind of agreed with that i've said that
over the years um and it just dawned on
me like man
the guys who invented esperanto i forgot
who it was um
back in the day and tried to create a
universal language right that everybody
could
easily learn and use bitcoin kind of is
that new thing right everybody can use
it
it doesn't take much to understand it at
least not under to understand how to use
to understand it takes a lot of brain
power and time really to understand it
if you look back but but at a high level
to use it and understand how to use it
doesn't take
any just it's pretty simple um
especially since more and more companies
are supporting it um
so at any rate i don't want to dive into
that too much but i thought that was
interesting um
well look i'll say on that subject the
people that are skeptical of bitcoin
they
generally they don't have historical
appreciation of protocols
like they think like well like i even
see a famous hedge fund manager saying
well bitcoin is something and someone
will invent a better version of it one
day or replace it it's like
well do do you not realize that railroad
tracks are that width because roman war
chariots were that width and 2 000 years
have gone by and nobody managed to
change the railroad gauge
right good luck with that we still have
i mean latin lasted 800 years the
english language is circulating we're
using a arabic
arithmetic how trace those numbers back
and try to figure out
how come no one change the system of
arithmetic
yeah you know and why don't you look at
the power plug in the wall
look at the power supply and the voltage
and the prongs
and then ask yourself how hard would it
be to change that
and then once you go change like you
know pounds and
inches for the metric system because
people been talking about doing that
since i was a kid
in first grade yeah protocols last
tcpip last
english language last all of these
technical protocols and weights and
measures
we have things that go back thousands
and thousands and thousands of years
they go back two thousand years before
christ
and we're still stuck with certain of
these protocols because once they get in
to the civilization and everybody agrees
that they're going to use those
protocols
you know it's a basic common sense idea
even warren buffett articulated it but
he didn't understand
it is a protocol when he says brands
have value
the reason coca-cola as a brand has
value is because a billion people on the
planet have in their head that the word
coke means something safe i can drink
that taste
fizzy and good and when a billion people
have it in their head
if you were to nuke all factories all
distribution the entire supply of
coca-cola
everything on earth the idea of
in in the head of a billion people has
value
and you have to murder the billion
people
and start again with the civilization to
replace the brand with something else
and so
the bitcoin brand and the protocol for
moving money around
is something which very well can go for
hundreds of years
if not thousands of years and once
people realize that
they realize no it's not about inventing
something better
there's you know any number of people
came up with the better
railroad card that was 12 inches wider
good luck with
putting that on a 100 billion dollars
worth of
rails railroad tracks and bribing
10 000 politicians that let you rebuild
the railroad so that you can run your
rail car with an extra one foot of width
it doesn't work do you think there's a
future of decentralized mining for
bitcoin where everybody
you're not going to make a ton of money
but you'll be supporting the network
right you know
the virtual power plant would be the
centralized thing that is maybe earning
the most money but
individuals could be running nodes as as
a lot already are
i i think it's most likely that it's
going to scale up
and it'll be containerized like people
building these big shipping containers
that are full of miners
that have thousands of miners in a
container that they can ship anywhere on
earth and just drop on a pad
and i think it'll migrate in these
containers to the edge
of the power network it's going to
migrate to the place where
you're not going to be stealing power
from manhattan where you're competing
against human beings because human
beings are going to bid
more for the power like it's worth for
example you would pay
10 cents a kilowatt hour you would pay a
dollar a kilowatt hour
you would pay ten dollars a kilowatt
hour if the if your choice was to do it
yourself or do it with the mule
right or buy electricity so so human
beings are always going to pay more for
the power
you have to go to places where there is
power
that and there are no human beings
places where the humans
can't consume all the power and where
the power is either it's either stranded
where we have to keep producing it we
can't stop
producing it and there are no human
beings or there's no
other uses of the power and then
presumably
you know be some combination of i find
renewable power
you know in a place that's very cold so
my cooling is free
what you really want is infinitely
renewable power stranded
in a place where it's freezing and and i
don't to pay to cool the thing i dropped
it
and there are no people there and i run
a long line there
and i just mine bitcoin and and uh you
know
offsetting that will be these containers
will be moving because politicians will
be changing the laws and they'll be
seizing them
they'll be taxing they'll either tax
them they'll outlaw them they'll seize
them
or they'll leave you alone and the rates
will change and so i
you know i don't think it makes a lot of
sense to build fixed
mining capacity because eventually the
politicians will tax you
or or the power will go up if you want
to play this game
you have to have access to the equipment
you have to be able to spin up the data
center quickly but you have to find
stranded power energy that there
for which there is no better use where
you can buy it in essence buy it for
effectively zero
right near zero a penny is good
zero is better of course
right and and two cents is okay
but ultimately anybody on earth can
compete and mining against you
and so you're going to be competing
against nation states that we'll give
away the power for free
yeah in order to generate the hard
currency and so
you know you really got to you almost
got to be thinking about will nature
give me free cooling so i got to go the
arctic circle
can i find free energy with a
hydroelectric
power supply that was accidentally built
can i find a political government that
won't tax me out of existence
and then can i keep uh first generation
or our current generation
shaw 256 hash power i don't know
we'll see but uh you know it's it's
going to be a very dynamic business
very dynamic very competitive business
and it's good for bitcoin
but it's like if i had a hundred million
dollars right now i wouldn't
invest it in mining i'd invested in
bitcoin
right okay coin is the monopoly digital
dominant network
mining is you choosing to compete
against everybody on earth
right but you better have a built-in
edge
you know if you're intel or you build
chips or if you're amazon you have data
centers or if you
if you're iceland and you already own a
bunch of
hydroelectric or geothermal power that
yeah
you're if you're bit made and you're
you're using your first gen and selling
all of your second gems to
you know whatever you know vice versa
you're selling the
the new models but you've already used
the old models and you're just rotating
them something like that like if you're
first in line at bitmain or one of the
miners right um so yeah that's
interesting i just wanted to touch on
that and get your perspective on
bitcoin mining um all right so so we can
wrap but uh before we do
any any uh motivational words for folks
that uh
should get into uh to bitcoin i know
you've been great at calling people out
you know top level people that that
should get in but
in general to the public any uh
motivational words of uh
why they should pay attention to this
thing called bitcoin
look i think bitcoin's a bank in
cyberspace it's
you know and your choices are you save
your money in a traditional conventional
fiat bank and you're going to watch your
purchasing power dwindle
down over the next decade to the point
where it'll buy nothing
or you can gamble in the stock market
that's maybe rigged against you you know
and if it's not rigged against you
then then you'll be buying companies
that are generating
cash flows and fiat currency
that is collapsing in value so
even if you think you've avoided the
problem of currency weakening
of storing your money in a bank you
haven't really because if you're buying
real estate bonds or stocks that also
generate fiat currency and that currency
is collapsing in value you've got the
same problem it's a
now you have a fiat derivative or
you can uh save your monetary energy
save your purchasing power and your
wealth and bitcoin
which is not a fiat derivative that is
not collapsing in value
that is going to appreciate against all
these other currencies
as they collapse in value and you don't
have to
gamble on whether or not apple will ship
a good iphone 14 or
you know the next generation of this
product or that product or this service
or what that government will do to this
company and what that ceo will do
all very complicated anxiety inducing
bitcoin is a simple thing right it's
you're buying into
a thermodynamically sound engineered
monetary network the first
workable monetary network in the history
of the world
first digital monetary network in the
history of the world
you know it's it's a gift once in a
thousand years
do you actually see the invention of a
fundamentally new thing
this is our once in a thousand year
opportunity you get to buy into it early
you know what would be like if you own
10 of all the electricity
that was ever gonna be pumped or what if
you could buy one percent of all the
running water
that's ever going to be pumped right
that's what this is right it's
one percent of all the fire that's ever
going to be lit
you have a chance to buy a percentage of
of the future
seems like a no-brainer to me thank you
for uh
for being the way you are and taking the
moves that you're doing uh because i
know that you're probably facing
opposition
but you know what's right so thanks for
uh sticking true to yourself yeah
thanks for hosting me austin thanks so
much michael we'll talk to you next time
bye