SaylorCorpus

Why you shouldn't sell your Bitcoin for the next 100 years | Interview with Michael Saylor

Cointelegraph · 2021-02-10 · 34m · View on YouTube →

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michael saylor the ceo of microstrategy

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made a billion dollar bet on bitcoin

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last year

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microstrategy has now acquired over 70

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000 bitcoins

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making it one of the largest public

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holders of bitcoin in the world

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so it's a gift once in a thousand years

0:18

do you actually see the invention of a

0:20

fundamentally new thing

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this is our once in a thousand year

0:24

opportunity you get to buy into it early

0:26

in august 2020 microstrategy confirmed

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it had made bitcoin its primary treasury

0:32

reserve

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asset then in september the firm doubled

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down by purchasing an

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additional 175 million dollars of btc

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sailor touted his commitment to bitcoin

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on twitter by advising elon

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musk to convert tesla's balance sheet

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into bitcoin

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a month later tesla did just that

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however

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sailor wasn't always a staunch bitcoin

0:53

supporter

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in 2013 he claimed bitcoin's days are

0:56

numbered

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and compared bitcoin with online

0:59

gambling times have changed since then

1:02

along with the opinions of large

1:03

corporations

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sailors advocacy of bitcoin in 2020

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earned him a spot in cointelegraph's top

1:09

100 notable people in blockchain

1:12

in fact he took fourth place so why does

1:15

the fourth

1:16

most important person in blockchain

1:18

claim his company will hold bitcoin for

1:20

the next

1:20

hundred years watch this interview to

1:23

find out

1:24

but before that don't forget to

1:26

subscribe to our channel

1:28

austin davis co-founder of community

1:30

electricity

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sat down with michael saylor to bring

1:33

you this interview take it away austin

1:37

what's up everybody austin davis here

1:39

interviewing the

1:40

the uh famed michael saylor we're going

1:43

to be chatting about bitcoin

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and about uh success and failure and

1:47

glory and all the above how you doing

1:49

michael

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i'm well thank you amazing um

1:52

so last time i got to chat with you i i

1:55

wanted to ask you a question but i

1:56

kind of forgot what is that boat behind

1:58

you is this the uh queen anne's revenge

2:00

we're looking at here

2:01

what boat is that you know it's actually

2:03

it's a 19th

2:04

century antique model

2:07

handmade of a 17th century

2:11

galleon so it's a it's an old uh

2:14

an old galleon and and uh it was made

2:17

very intricately and

2:18

about 150 years ago by hand and it's a

2:21

it's kind of a work of art

2:23

and so i keep it around it's one of my

2:25

mascots it's very motivational

2:27

since you mentioned you know history and

2:29

that thing seems to like

2:30

has a lot of history to it um you're

2:33

you're a history buff right you've uh

2:34

you've uh have a background in the

2:37

history of science i believe

2:38

is that right yeah i got a degree in the

2:40

history of science at mit

2:42

so uh what what draws you to history

2:44

because that must have started

2:45

at an early age right i i always loved

2:48

history you know

2:49

from uh from the point i was in

2:52

secondary school and

2:53

i just think it's fascinating to read

2:55

about the exploits of humanity

2:59

what happened why did it happen how did

3:01

it all turn out

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hopefully there's some there's some good

3:04

lessons in there that we can draw upon

3:06

for

3:07

the modern era absolutely yeah

3:10

and um and you also studied engineering

3:12

right

3:13

yeah spaceship design i studied uh

3:17

you know astronautical engineering

3:20

so i at mit you know there are a lot of

3:24

engineers but i

3:25

but i thought it was really nice to be

3:27

able to blend

3:29

to study the humanities and sociology

3:31

and economics and politics and history

3:34

of science

3:35

which is all about what happens to

3:37

civilizations when you have new

3:39

technology

3:41

introduced into them what happens when

3:43

we invent

3:44

x-rays or railroads or communications or

3:48

airplanes or roads in general and and

3:51

they all have a profound impact so

3:53

if you're just the engineer and you

3:54

don't consider the consequences

3:56

economically or politically then you

3:58

only get half the picture i i

4:00

think it's very interesting to see the

4:01

interplay of the two

4:03

so that that leads me to one of the uh

4:05

the interesting topics of today bitcoin

4:06

right it's bitcoin week in miami

4:08

um so there's a lot going on around

4:10

bitcoin around the world you're

4:11

obviously a huge advocate of it these

4:13

days and you believe in it which is

4:15

amazing um to have someone in your

4:17

position who uh

4:18

who actually has done the research and

4:20

and decided it was a good

4:21

investment and a good uh secure a way to

4:24

secure the future

4:25

um so so that leads me to the kind of

4:28

tying engineering to this so

4:30

i love it when you uh kind of bring the

4:32

thermodynamic principles and the laws of

4:34

thermodynamics into uh

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explanations of bitcoin and why you

4:37

think it's a very sound money because of

4:39

that so

4:40

can you can you touch on that a little

4:42

bit um on thermodynamics and bitcoin

4:45

sure i mean i think that a lot of times

4:48

the bitcoin story is

4:49

is told through uh an economic lens

4:53

or spiritual lens or a mathematical

4:58

lens or sometimes a financial lens and

5:01

you know in the extreme it gets called

5:03

an uncorrelated speculative asset which

5:05

i hate

5:06

right uh i think the story that needs to

5:09

be told much more

5:10

is that bitcoin is a masterpiece of

5:12

monetary engineering

5:14

and there was no class in monetary

5:17

engineering at mit

5:19

but we studied servo mechanisms and

5:21

cybernetics and

5:22

the principles of control system uh are

5:25

are critical for aerospace engineering

5:27

the plane won't fly if you don't have

5:29

stability

5:30

avionics are all about control um

5:33

in electronics you know there's plenty

5:35

of examples of control systems

5:39

and in every other engineering

5:40

discipline people understand

5:43

uh the principles of controls

5:46

thermodynamics

5:47

uh you know the study of energy

5:50

as a manifest itself and heat and work

5:54

right is critical to making any machine

5:55

work and

5:57

um you know when i think about bitcoin i

6:00

think well

6:02

first of all it's the first successfully

6:06

engineered monetary network in the

6:09

history of the world

6:10

one day they'll probably have a a class

6:12

or they'll have a degree in monetary

6:14

engineering at universities

6:16

uh next to chemical engineering or

6:19

electrical engineering it makes sense

6:22

um what is money uh well

6:25

i think most people want to ask the

6:26

question i think money is monetary

6:28

energy

6:29

i think it's the apex energy and as soon

6:31

as you understand money to be

6:33

energy then it stands to reason

6:36

and that a monetary system that applies

6:39

the

6:40

the principle of conservation of energy

6:44

is a pretty good idea if i create a

6:46

bathtub with a

6:47

you know with the sink open it doesn't

6:49

work if i have a swimming pool with a

6:50

leak in it it doesn't work if i have a

6:52

ship with a leak it doesn't work a plane

6:54

with a leak doesn't work

6:56

electrical engineering systems you know

6:58

and power grids with short circuits

7:00

don't work

7:01

in fact nothing in the engineering world

7:04

aqueducts don't work right bridges with

7:08

a leak in them don't work

7:10

so every engineer knows you have to

7:12

apply the laws of thermodynamics you

7:14

need to apply conservation of energy

7:17

if you're a mathematician you'd call it

7:19

arithmetic right

7:21

the rule that says that if i add 9 plus

7:23

9 it better add up to 18 because on the

7:25

day that it adds up to 19

7:28

some horrific thing is going to happen

7:31

right uh so once you understand money as

7:34

monetary energy and you understand

7:36

bitcoin is a monetary energy network

7:40

then uh you start to appreciate the fact

7:42

that

7:43

it either does or does not respect the

7:45

laws of thermodynamics

7:47

if it doesn't then that means that uh it

7:50

has a leak

7:51

you know the the term the colloquial

7:54

term for a leak

7:55

in uh in monetary economics is inflation

7:59

inflation is the leak and you know

8:02

inflation is

8:03

is a hole you know

8:06

in the container and in the reactor

8:10

and and uh your water your electrical

8:13

power

8:14

your reservoirs your hydraulic systems

8:17

your pneumatic systems

8:18

your fuselages and your holes

8:22

they all fail everybody dies

8:25

if you don't have conservation of energy

8:28

and so um i you know i respect bitcoin

8:31

because

8:33

a it's a monetary system b it's

8:35

engineered

8:36

uh in a conservative fashion and the

8:39

classic

8:40

definition of conservative would be

8:43

derived from conservation of energy

8:46

if i give you 10 items will you give me

8:49

back the 10 items

8:51

or will you change the number to 11 or

8:53

downgrade it to nine

8:56

and if you're not conservative in your

8:58

appreciation of energy

9:00

then no machine works nothing works

9:05

that's right yeah i wish more of our

9:07

economic policies would

9:09

would learn from uh the principles of

9:11

thermodynamics as well right i don't

9:13

think

9:13

i don't think printing uh was it between

9:16

23 and 26

9:17

i believe in 2020 we printed of the

9:19

entire

9:20

us dollar amount ever created that's

9:23

pretty

9:24

it's pretty insane right because it goes

9:26

back to what you're talking about the

9:28

expanding monetary supply your salaries

9:31

are staying roughly the same

9:32

the monetary supply is expanding your

9:34

purchasing power of your dollar is

9:35

shrinking

9:37

most people don't even think about that

9:39

they just spend their dollars and

9:40

you know maybe if you're not holding the

9:42

dollars it doesn't matter as much but

9:44

it's that's the problem they try to i

9:47

guess the powers that be want to hold

9:48

everybody in that position

9:50

to some degree so that they can keep

9:52

printing so that kind of takes me to uh

9:55

to scarcity a bit because based on those

9:58

principles there's only 21 million

9:59

bitcoins that will ever be created

10:02

now i had some some folks yesterday

10:04

asking questions about the scarcity of

10:06

that you know

10:07

what happens as we approach that you

10:08

know in your mind what happens as we

10:10

approach 2141 when

10:11

the last bitcoins are being mined um

10:14

what does the world look like

10:15

um you know regarding bitcoin and the

10:18

use of it at that point

10:19

well i think scarcity uh just means

10:22

integrity it means math

10:24

mathematical purity or it means

10:26

conservation of

10:27

energy and if you have integrity in any

10:31

engineered body

10:32

or reactor that just means that you're

10:33

not going to be leaking

10:35

pressure or leaking fluids it's a closed

10:37

system

10:38

thermodynamically or an adiabatic system

10:41

and of course what you learn in

10:42

engineering is you can't solve

10:45

for a non-adiabatic system there's no

10:48

solution

10:48

because it's uncertain as to how much

10:51

fluid or how much mass will enter

10:54

or leave the system that makes it

10:56

impossible so

10:57

scarcity really to my mind just means

11:01

we've decided to create a conservative

11:03

adiabatic system

11:05

such that we can solve an economic

11:07

problem

11:08

um you know once we've done that what do

11:11

i think will happen

11:12

i i think that uh the system uh

11:15

you know the bitcoin monetary network

11:17

will gracefully evolve

11:19

into a monetary network that's funded by

11:23

transaction fees

11:24

and the transaction fees will finance

11:27

the miners to provide transaction

11:29

processing power and security

11:31

and it'll be all market driven and as

11:33

the network gets more broadly

11:35

distributed

11:36

the demand for scarce bandwidth on the

11:38

network will increase

11:39

and the transaction fees will increase

11:42

and the

11:43

and uh and the transaction size

11:46

and monetary value will increase we'll

11:49

end up moving large blocks of money

11:51

million dollars 10 million 100 million

11:54

whatever the fiat currency is it'll be

11:55

large blocks

11:57

with high transaction fees and then all

11:59

the small

12:00

blocks will move off chain in

12:03

in essence bitcoin banks like paypal

12:07

or square or binance or coinbase which

12:10

are in essence bitcoin banks

12:11

that are moving hundreds of millions of

12:13

small transactions

12:15

off-chain or maybe enlightening if you

12:17

will

12:18

and uh and and it'll be great it'll be

12:21

fine

12:22

so do you think that uh you know let's

12:24

say invoices will be

12:26

thought of in bitcoin in the future

12:28

instead of right now it's

12:29

i guess globally accepted that the us

12:31

dollar is a good comparative

12:32

uh currency um when you're invoicing do

12:35

you think that

12:36

we'll start to switch because it's so

12:39

universal

12:41

what i what i think is there's going to

12:44

be five

12:45

let's say today there's 500 trillion

12:47

dollars worth of monetary energy

12:49

money in the system and it's divided

12:51

between currencies like the euro and the

12:53

dollar

12:54

it's divided in tangible hard assets

12:57

maybe real estate trophy assets art

13:01

gold silver bitcoin and then there's a

13:04

portion of it sitting in bonds and

13:06

stocks

13:07

and bitcoin is going to grow from that

13:12

600 billion dollar asset to become a 10

13:16

trillion dollar asset like gold

13:18

then it will subsume gold and it'll

13:19

become a 20 30 40 50 100 trillion dollar

13:22

asset and that'll be the core

13:24

of the monetary planet if you will right

13:27

we're still going to have picasso and

13:29

people will have value for their picasso

13:31

paintings

13:32

you're still going to have your diamonds

13:35

you're wearing and your gold rings and

13:36

you're going to have your beach house

13:38

because you're going to want your beach

13:39

house if you're going to own stocks

13:41

you're going to own them because you

13:42

love the companies because you wanted to

13:43

make an investment in the company

13:44

because you love the company you think

13:46

it's going to go up faster than the rate

13:48

monetary expansion i think that the

13:51

currencies will be mandated by the

13:53

governments as long as there's a united

13:54

states government there'll be a dollar

13:56

and the dollar will be legal tender and

13:59

and people will buy things and sell

14:01

things

14:01

transactionally in dollars and the

14:03

reason why

14:04

is because the irs gives the dollar

14:06

currency

14:07

tax treatment if i give you a hundred

14:09

dollars a year ago

14:11

and if the dollar appreciates against

14:14

the peso

14:15

over the next year and it's worth 10

14:18

million gazillion pesos

14:19

and you give me the hundred dollars the

14:22

us government is not going to charge you

14:24

a capital gains tax

14:26

right so it makes sense for you to move

14:28

dollars as currency

14:30

because there's no tax obligation but if

14:32

i give you a bitcoin a year ago

14:35

and the bitcoin is now worth it was

14:37

worth ten thousand a year ago and it's

14:39

worth a hundred thousand next year and

14:40

you give it back to me

14:42

you're going to owe the federal

14:43

government 35 000 in capital gain

14:46

you're not giving me the bitcoin keep

14:49

the bitcoin

14:50

give me the dollars right you want to

14:52

give me

14:53

you want to give me money borrow against

14:56

fund in the bitcoin currency and then

14:58

give me the dollars

15:00

or convert something into dollars and

15:03

that's

15:04

so your your currency is dictated by the

15:06

government

15:07

you know you start your own island

15:09

austin you can have your own

15:10

you know you can spend satoshis on your

15:12

own island if you want to

15:14

but as long as there's the eu central

15:16

bank or the u.s or the whatever

15:18

their tax authority will determine the

15:21

currency based upon whatever they

15:23

designate

15:23

as currency if the irs had designated

15:26

bitcoin as currency

15:28

there would be no capital gain to move

15:30

that back and forth when the irs

15:32

designated as

15:33

property it implies it's digital gold

15:36

you should treat it like gold you should

15:38

buy it and hold it forever

15:40

and then my advice to you would be to

15:42

borrow against it

15:44

tax free never pay capital gains never

15:47

take an operating income

15:49

you know if you must sell it i don't

15:51

think you should because it's the

15:52

highest quality property in the world

15:54

in the history of the world we never

15:56

invented a technically

15:58

more thermodynamically sound pure

16:01

monetary property than this right this

16:04

should be the container for the money

16:06

you're going to hold for your

16:07

grandchildren

16:08

this is it better than gold better than

16:10

a stock better than real estate

16:11

better than a picasso even if you love a

16:13

picasso right right so i think that

16:16

i think bitcoin is property in

16:17

cyberspace and i think that currencies

16:20

aren't going away as long as governments

16:22

are with us and i'm going to hope the

16:23

government will stick around because i

16:24

think there's some good things about

16:26

having a government

16:28

and when the dust settles you're going

16:30

to have

16:31

maybe a hundred trillion dollars worth

16:33

of pure monetary energy in bitcoin

16:36

you're gonna have 100 trillion dollars

16:38

worth of stocks or 200 trillion and

16:40

they'll be pri

16:41

price discovery the value the stock

16:43

should decrease

16:44

until the returns are expected risk

16:46

adjusted returns on the stocks are

16:48

rational

16:49

you would expect the value of bonds

16:51

would decrease such that the coupon on

16:53

the bond is rational

16:55

price that is called price discovery

16:57

returning those markets

16:59

you would expect that the value of gold

17:01

will decrease and or

17:03

will start to equalize to its ornamental

17:05

value what is it worth to you as an

17:07

ornament what's your art worth as an

17:10

ornament

17:11

what is your beach house worth for your

17:13

value and use

17:14

and then there'll be a layer of cash and

17:17

dollars and euros and pesos and yen and

17:19

juan

17:20

that will circulate around and that

17:22

layer of cash will probably not hold

17:24

value

17:25

because we know we're going to keep

17:26

inflating it and you know you ever

17:28

calculate in the wan

17:29

i do it's like it's like a 10 000 won to

17:33

the dollar

17:34

and it's it's measured in billions of

17:37

it is you know it used to be a peso was

17:40

one peso to the dollar

17:41

and you know it's shooting up to 140

17:44

argentine pesos to the dollar on the

17:46

black market right now so

17:48

eventually that the currencies will fall

17:51

but they'll be used from day-to-day

17:52

transactions

17:54

and if you're wise your wealth

17:55

preservation strategy would be

17:57

put all your money into bitcoin don't

18:00

ever sell it

18:01

and then borrow against it you know and

18:04

if you borrow against 10

18:06

of your bitcoin and then your living

18:08

expenses don't go up more than 10

18:11

a year and a bitcoin goes up 20 percent

18:12

a year your debt to equity ratio will

18:14

fall forever

18:15

you will never pay capital gains tax you

18:17

will never have income tax

18:19

yeah you just need a bank that that

18:22

handles bitcoin and the bank

18:24

for bitcoin is evolving right now so

18:26

also earlier you mentioned something

18:27

about

18:28

scarcity um tying it to you know

18:30

thinking about precious metals right

18:31

like

18:32

yeah in the near term they're probably

18:33

going to do good and go up but long term

18:35

there's a non-trivial effort going into

18:37

asteroid mining right now one person

18:39

gets it right one group of people get

18:41

that right and they start bringing

18:42

payloads back

18:43

you know let's say they they hire elon

18:45

musk and say you've got a lot of assets

18:47

up there help me get this stuff from a

18:48

to b

18:49

and all of a sudden we've got a steady

18:51

stream 24 hours bringing precious metals

18:53

to the planet

18:54

you know there's more platinum on one

18:55

asteroid than we've ever mined on planet

18:57

earth so i think precious metals

18:59

long term don't make sense uh forever

19:01

but bitcoin

19:02

you know could get thousands of years

19:04

out of it right depends on what happens

19:06

to humanity i guess

19:08

look the i mean the problem is if i want

19:11

a system of mathematics

19:13

or engineering it needs to be based on

19:16

arithmetic

19:18

mathematical integrity or

19:21

conservation of energy it can't be based

19:25

upon

19:25

an analog approximation of integrity

19:29

like

19:30

it's really hard for us to find rocks

19:32

and we found 21

19:34

rocks and we're gonna as long as nobody

19:37

finds a 22nd

19:38

rock then we're going to add up to 21.

19:41

it can't be an approximation which is

19:43

what gold is it needs to be a

19:45

it needs to be an exact thing so bitcoin

19:49

arithmetic is a protocol you know

19:51

bitcoin is a protocol

19:53

english is a protocol a language is a

19:55

protocol

19:57

you know if everybody in the world

20:00

agrees to communicate with the english

20:02

language

20:03

a thousand years from now we'll still be

20:06

using the english language

20:07

and we'll be using it because billions

20:10

of people

20:11

agree to communicate in the english

20:13

language

20:14

right if everybody agrees to move their

20:15

money around in bitcoin

20:17

a thousand years from now we'll be

20:19

storing our money in bitcoin

20:21

so worrying about whether we find some

20:23

more silver or some more gold

20:26

right is is kind of silly right it's

20:29

like the truth is

20:31

we just should abandon commodity monies

20:34

in the same way that you abandon the

20:35

abacus or

20:38

i don't know i'm trying to imagine like

20:40

caveman with like 47

20:42

rocks in the dirt and they're like this

20:44

is our way of keeping track of what we

20:47

have and at night there's someone

20:48

standing guard over the 42

20:50

rocks to make sure that someone doesn't

20:52

accidentally drop a 43rd rock

20:54

and destabilize the power structure it's

20:56

like that's

20:58

you know it's a it's an open system not

21:00

a closed system

21:02

it's defective and it's kind of like

21:04

just changing the rules of arithmetic

21:06

your bridge is going to crash your

21:08

ship is going to sink your airplane is

21:09

going to crash and burn

21:12

so i i don't even think about asteroid

21:15

mining because it's such a silly notion

21:17

to think that

21:18

i'm going to save my money in gold and

21:21

hope that no one mines an asteroid it's

21:22

about as stupid as saying

21:24

i'm gonna save my money in gold beads in

21:26

sub-saharan africa

21:27

and hope that nobody with a ship shows

21:29

up with more gold

21:31

with more glass beads right right it's

21:33

like the glass bead money or like the

21:35

seashell money as long as no one treks

21:37

over to the

21:38

to the beach and finds more seashells

21:41

i'll be a rich man

21:43

right well good luck with that i mean

21:44

that didn't work with any civilization

21:47

that i can remember it's about as dumb

21:48

as the giant

21:49

stone coin of the app people and so

21:53

if you're saving your money in gold it's

21:56

the modern equivalent of saving your

21:57

money in the giant stone

21:59

coin of the yak people and as long as no

22:01

westerner and a ship

22:02

shows up with other stones

22:05

yeah you're gonna be fine you think

22:09

about it

22:09

you know and the asteroid mining thing

22:11

is the equivalent of what if someone

22:12

shows up with a ship with glass beads or

22:14

sea shells or oh

22:15

it's exactly the same thing it crashes

22:18

our economy

22:19

yeah the answer is maybe you'll actually

22:21

have computers and arithmetic

22:23

you should have used the computers and

22:25

arithmetic to base your economy on

22:27

and not stone coins of the yap people

22:31

yeah yeah for sure you mentioned

22:33

something earlier about um

22:35

you know money being a kind of a

22:36

language and i've kind of

22:38

kind of agreed with that i've said that

22:39

over the years um and it just dawned on

22:41

me like man

22:42

the guys who invented esperanto i forgot

22:44

who it was um

22:45

back in the day and tried to create a

22:47

universal language right that everybody

22:48

could

22:49

easily learn and use bitcoin kind of is

22:51

that new thing right everybody can use

22:54

it doesn't take much to understand it at

22:56

least not under to understand how to use

22:58

to understand it takes a lot of brain

23:00

power and time really to understand it

23:03

if you look back but but at a high level

23:05

to use it and understand how to use it

23:07

doesn't take

23:07

any just it's pretty simple um

23:09

especially since more and more companies

23:11

are supporting it um

23:12

so at any rate i don't want to dive into

23:13

that too much but i thought that was

23:14

interesting um

23:16

well look i'll say on that subject the

23:17

people that are skeptical of bitcoin

23:19

they

23:20

generally they don't have historical

23:21

appreciation of protocols

23:23

like they think like well like i even

23:26

see a famous hedge fund manager saying

23:28

well bitcoin is something and someone

23:29

will invent a better version of it one

23:31

day or replace it it's like

23:33

well do do you not realize that railroad

23:36

tracks are that width because roman war

23:38

chariots were that width and 2 000 years

23:40

have gone by and nobody managed to

23:42

change the railroad gauge

23:44

right good luck with that we still have

23:46

i mean latin lasted 800 years the

23:49

english language is circulating we're

23:51

using a arabic

23:53

arithmetic how trace those numbers back

23:55

and try to figure out

23:57

how come no one change the system of

23:59

arithmetic

24:00

yeah you know and why don't you look at

24:02

the power plug in the wall

24:04

look at the power supply and the voltage

24:07

and the prongs

24:09

and then ask yourself how hard would it

24:11

be to change that

24:12

and then once you go change like you

24:15

know pounds and

24:16

inches for the metric system because

24:18

people been talking about doing that

24:20

since i was a kid

24:22

in first grade yeah protocols last

24:26

tcpip last

24:29

english language last all of these

24:33

technical protocols and weights and

24:35

measures

24:36

we have things that go back thousands

24:38

and thousands and thousands of years

24:40

they go back two thousand years before

24:42

christ

24:43

and we're still stuck with certain of

24:45

these protocols because once they get in

24:48

to the civilization and everybody agrees

24:52

that they're going to use those

24:53

protocols

24:55

you know it's a basic common sense idea

24:58

even warren buffett articulated it but

25:00

he didn't understand

25:01

it is a protocol when he says brands

25:04

have value

25:05

the reason coca-cola as a brand has

25:07

value is because a billion people on the

25:10

planet have in their head that the word

25:12

coke means something safe i can drink

25:15

that taste

25:16

fizzy and good and when a billion people

25:19

have it in their head

25:20

if you were to nuke all factories all

25:23

distribution the entire supply of

25:25

coca-cola

25:26

everything on earth the idea of

25:30

in in the head of a billion people has

25:33

value

25:34

and you have to murder the billion

25:36

people

25:37

and start again with the civilization to

25:40

replace the brand with something else

25:42

and so

25:43

the bitcoin brand and the protocol for

25:46

moving money around

25:48

is something which very well can go for

25:51

hundreds of years

25:52

if not thousands of years and once

25:55

people realize that

25:57

they realize no it's not about inventing

25:59

something better

26:00

there's you know any number of people

26:02

came up with the better

26:03

railroad card that was 12 inches wider

26:06

good luck with

26:07

putting that on a 100 billion dollars

26:10

worth of

26:10

rails railroad tracks and bribing

26:14

10 000 politicians that let you rebuild

26:17

the railroad so that you can run your

26:19

rail car with an extra one foot of width

26:22

it doesn't work do you think there's a

26:24

future of decentralized mining for

26:26

bitcoin where everybody

26:28

you're not going to make a ton of money

26:29

but you'll be supporting the network

26:30

right you know

26:31

the virtual power plant would be the

26:35

centralized thing that is maybe earning

26:36

the most money but

26:38

individuals could be running nodes as as

26:40

a lot already are

26:42

i i think it's most likely that it's

26:44

going to scale up

26:45

and it'll be containerized like people

26:47

building these big shipping containers

26:49

that are full of miners

26:51

that have thousands of miners in a

26:53

container that they can ship anywhere on

26:55

earth and just drop on a pad

26:57

and i think it'll migrate in these

26:59

containers to the edge

27:00

of the power network it's going to

27:02

migrate to the place where

27:05

you're not going to be stealing power

27:07

from manhattan where you're competing

27:09

against human beings because human

27:10

beings are going to bid

27:11

more for the power like it's worth for

27:13

example you would pay

27:15

10 cents a kilowatt hour you would pay a

27:18

dollar a kilowatt hour

27:19

you would pay ten dollars a kilowatt

27:21

hour if the if your choice was to do it

27:23

yourself or do it with the mule

27:25

right or buy electricity so so human

27:27

beings are always going to pay more for

27:29

the power

27:30

you have to go to places where there is

27:32

power

27:33

that and there are no human beings

27:35

places where the humans

27:37

can't consume all the power and where

27:40

the power is either it's either stranded

27:43

where we have to keep producing it we

27:45

can't stop

27:46

producing it and there are no human

27:49

beings or there's no

27:50

other uses of the power and then

27:53

presumably

27:54

you know be some combination of i find

27:56

renewable power

27:58

you know in a place that's very cold so

28:01

my cooling is free

28:03

what you really want is infinitely

28:04

renewable power stranded

28:07

in a place where it's freezing and and i

28:09

don't to pay to cool the thing i dropped

28:12

and there are no people there and i run

28:14

a long line there

28:16

and i just mine bitcoin and and uh you

28:20

know

28:20

offsetting that will be these containers

28:23

will be moving because politicians will

28:25

be changing the laws and they'll be

28:27

seizing them

28:28

they'll be taxing they'll either tax

28:30

them they'll outlaw them they'll seize

28:33

them

28:34

or they'll leave you alone and the rates

28:37

will change and so i

28:39

you know i don't think it makes a lot of

28:41

sense to build fixed

28:43

mining capacity because eventually the

28:45

politicians will tax you

28:48

or or the power will go up if you want

28:51

to play this game

28:52

you have to have access to the equipment

28:54

you have to be able to spin up the data

28:56

center quickly but you have to find

28:58

stranded power energy that there

29:01

for which there is no better use where

29:03

you can buy it in essence buy it for

29:05

effectively zero

29:07

right near zero a penny is good

29:11

zero is better of course

29:14

right and and two cents is okay

29:18

but ultimately anybody on earth can

29:20

compete and mining against you

29:22

and so you're going to be competing

29:23

against nation states that we'll give

29:25

away the power for free

29:27

yeah in order to generate the hard

29:29

currency and so

29:31

you know you really got to you almost

29:33

got to be thinking about will nature

29:35

give me free cooling so i got to go the

29:36

arctic circle

29:37

can i find free energy with a

29:39

hydroelectric

29:40

power supply that was accidentally built

29:44

can i find a political government that

29:46

won't tax me out of existence

29:49

and then can i keep uh first generation

29:52

or our current generation

29:54

shaw 256 hash power i don't know

29:57

we'll see but uh you know it's it's

30:01

going to be a very dynamic business

30:04

very dynamic very competitive business

30:07

and it's good for bitcoin

30:09

but it's like if i had a hundred million

30:10

dollars right now i wouldn't

30:12

invest it in mining i'd invested in

30:14

bitcoin

30:15

right okay coin is the monopoly digital

30:19

dominant network

30:20

mining is you choosing to compete

30:22

against everybody on earth

30:29

right but you better have a built-in

30:29

edge

30:29

you know if you're intel or you build

30:31

chips or if you're amazon you have data

30:33

centers or if you

30:34

if you're iceland and you already own a

30:36

bunch of

30:38

hydroelectric or geothermal power that

30:41

yeah

30:42

you're if you're bit made and you're

30:43

you're using your first gen and selling

30:45

all of your second gems to

30:47

you know whatever you know vice versa

30:49

you're selling the

30:50

the new models but you've already used

30:52

the old models and you're just rotating

30:54

them something like that like if you're

30:55

first in line at bitmain or one of the

30:57

miners right um so yeah that's

30:59

interesting i just wanted to touch on

31:01

that and get your perspective on

31:03

bitcoin mining um all right so so we can

31:06

wrap but uh before we do

31:07

any any uh motivational words for folks

31:10

that uh

31:11

should get into uh to bitcoin i know

31:13

you've been great at calling people out

31:15

you know top level people that that

31:17

should get in but

31:18

in general to the public any uh

31:21

motivational words of uh

31:23

why they should pay attention to this

31:24

thing called bitcoin

31:26

look i think bitcoin's a bank in

31:27

cyberspace it's

31:29

you know and your choices are you save

31:31

your money in a traditional conventional

31:33

fiat bank and you're going to watch your

31:35

purchasing power dwindle

31:36

down over the next decade to the point

31:38

where it'll buy nothing

31:40

or you can gamble in the stock market

31:44

that's maybe rigged against you you know

31:47

and if it's not rigged against you

31:48

then then you'll be buying companies

31:51

that are generating

31:52

cash flows and fiat currency

31:56

that is collapsing in value so

31:59

even if you think you've avoided the

32:00

problem of currency weakening

32:03

of storing your money in a bank you

32:04

haven't really because if you're buying

32:07

real estate bonds or stocks that also

32:09

generate fiat currency and that currency

32:11

is collapsing in value you've got the

32:13

same problem it's a

32:14

now you have a fiat derivative or

32:18

you can uh save your monetary energy

32:21

save your purchasing power and your

32:22

wealth and bitcoin

32:24

which is not a fiat derivative that is

32:26

not collapsing in value

32:28

that is going to appreciate against all

32:30

these other currencies

32:31

as they collapse in value and you don't

32:34

have to

32:35

gamble on whether or not apple will ship

32:37

a good iphone 14 or

32:39

you know the next generation of this

32:42

product or that product or this service

32:44

or what that government will do to this

32:45

company and what that ceo will do

32:48

all very complicated anxiety inducing

32:51

bitcoin is a simple thing right it's

32:54

you're buying into

32:56

a thermodynamically sound engineered

32:59

monetary network the first

33:01

workable monetary network in the history

33:04

of the world

33:05

first digital monetary network in the

33:07

history of the world

33:09

you know it's it's a gift once in a

33:11

thousand years

33:13

do you actually see the invention of a

33:15

fundamentally new thing

33:17

this is our once in a thousand year

33:19

opportunity you get to buy into it early

33:22

you know what would be like if you own

33:23

10 of all the electricity

33:25

that was ever gonna be pumped or what if

33:28

you could buy one percent of all the

33:30

running water

33:31

that's ever going to be pumped right

33:33

that's what this is right it's

33:35

one percent of all the fire that's ever

33:37

going to be lit

33:39

you have a chance to buy a percentage of

33:41

of the future

33:43

seems like a no-brainer to me thank you

33:46

for uh

33:46

for being the way you are and taking the

33:48

moves that you're doing uh because i

33:49

know that you're probably facing

33:51

opposition

33:52

but you know what's right so thanks for

33:54

uh sticking true to yourself yeah

33:55

thanks for hosting me austin thanks so

33:57

much michael we'll talk to you next time

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