SaylorCorpus

What One Billionaire Knows About Outlasting a Dollar Collapse | Michael Saylor | EP 554

Jordan B Peterson · 2025-06-09 · 1h 27m · View on YouTube →

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On average, the currency collapses every

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30 to 40 years in most political

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jurisdictions for all of human history.

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Your storehouse of value, whatever it

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is, is going to be deflated terribly

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during your lifetime. The best currency

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of the last 100 years is the dollar. The

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winning currency of the 20th century,

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the best currency in the world, lost

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99.9% of its value. That's a winner.

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Okay. Now you come across Bitcoin and

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you talked about it as if it was

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abstracted gold. If God's not going to

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set up divine bank and solve all your

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monetary problem, what's the second best

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idea? We don't trust the government. We

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don't trust a local bank. We don't trust

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each other. And we want the bank to last

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for a thousand years. Let's go ahead and

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build out this Bitcoin network.

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My guest today, Michael Sailor, started

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a number of um successful companies,

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successful by almost every standard. It

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it wasn't sufficient to expand out the

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full scope of his ambition. and I I

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would say that in the most positive

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sense he became deeply interested in

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2020 in Bitcoin in consequence and has

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been at the forefront of a revolution in

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finance. Uh his company now owns 3% of

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the Bitcoin in circulation and the

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successful company that he built with

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blood, sweat, and tears let's say 10

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years ago has become a hyper successful

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company. In consequence, he's been an

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evangelist for Bitcoin. He's used

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religious symbolism and terminology to

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describe it. He's on fire for Bitcoin.

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And we talked about things you really

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need to know today. You need to know who

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Michael Sailor is, where he got his

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ambition, his how his grounding in

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fantasy and science fiction allied with

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his with the encouragement of his

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parents to produce the ambition in him

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that has culminated in this consequence.

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You need to know that Bitcoin is

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increasingly becoming uh an accepted

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monetary standard like gold around the

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world. That's there are revolutionary

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transformations on that basis in the

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last year, not least because of the new

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Trump administration. If you're young or

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if you're middle-aged or if you're old

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and you're trying to understand how you

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will store the work that will comprise

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much of your life, you need to listen to

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this podcast and hear what Michael

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Sailor has to say.

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So, you discovered Bitcoin, as I

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understand it, in March of 2020, which

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was relatively recently, and it had been

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around for a while, and you had been

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doing a lot of other things, but it

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moved your life laterally as I

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understand it. And I'm curious, you're

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an engineer and a software engineer. I'm

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curious about what it was that you

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discovered and realized that produced

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this profound change in your orientation

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and why you think it's justified and why

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you evangelized for it as well. I guess

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I discovered Bitcoin 30 years into my

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career. So I started a company late

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1989. For 30 years I had been running an

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enterprise software company, Micro

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Strategy. We brought it public uh on the

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NASDAQ in 1998.

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Initially, we were focused upon one line

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of business, which is to sell software

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that allows banks or or large retailers

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or insurance companies to analyze all of

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the data in their databases and assess

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risk and come up with marketing

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campaigns. Or if you wanted to figure

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out what sells with with what and do

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market basket analysis or or any kind of

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risk assessment and you're a large

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enterprise, you would want to build a

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proprietary analytical system. We call

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that business intelligence. So that was

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successful. Uh then I I was in my

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expansionary era in my 30s and in my 40s

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and I wanted to create lots of things

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and so I launched 10 other businesses. I

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uh I bought up all the domain names like

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angel.com and alarm.com and strategy.com

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and hope.com and and uh I launched

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businesses and and some of them were

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were singles, some were doubles. I

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bought voice.com. I sold it for $30

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million. I I sold the angel business for

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about a hundred million. The Alarm.com

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business, uh, we spun off. It's a

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multi-billion dollar publicly traded

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company today. Um, and then I launched,

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I don't know, half a dozen, a dozen

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other things. They just whiffed. They

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failed. What was your what was your hit

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rate? Just out of curiosity, can you can

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you estimate it? I I would say that the

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number the thing I started with turned

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out to be the biggest success between

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1990 and 2020 and then the next idea was

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a small, you know, was a double and the

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next one was a single and the rest uh

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sputtered out. I spent a lot of time.

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They they were my favorite idea, a great

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idea. I loved them. I invested a lot of

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money in them. It turned out the world

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didn't think the same way I did. I over

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complicated it. And so it's an important

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part of the story because by 2010 uh we

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had overexpanded as a company we'd

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launched I wanted to be the conglomerate

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10 you know like the 10 different things

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and I found that the one thing worked

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and the other nine things didn't work

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and I couldn't I needed to focus so we

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refocused on the core business and for

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the next decade I had two dual

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experiences I had the experience

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professionally

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uh and I had an experience personally in

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finance Here's the professional

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experience. I worked 2,500 3,000 hours a

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year with 2,000 people doing a 100,000

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things, right? I tried everything under

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the sun. We had a $500 million

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enterprise software business. And we

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found that we were the winner. 99 out of

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a hundred of our competitor or 99 other

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competitors had gone bankrupt or left

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the industry. We were the winner and we

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were competing against

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Microsoft and Microsoft is Microsoft and

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so we were the pure play the you know

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call it the David against the Goliaths

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and so for the next decade I spent huge

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amounts of money on development it

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didn't work I spent huge amounts of

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money on marketing it didn't work I

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worked I I rebuilt every information

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system in the company it didn't work I

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obsessed over systems for HR obsessed

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over systems for sales for marketing. I

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spent huge amounts of money on digital

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advertising, everything you can imagine.

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I I would fly around the world. I flew

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around the world for a month and I

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talked to I talked in every city

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everywhere in order to get the message

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out. So I had tried every conventional

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thing imaginable and 10 years later the

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company was still about a $500 million

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company. We were like a very low growth

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and we were banging our head against uh

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a company Microsoft which is more you

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could more easily leave the United

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States than you could leave the domain

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of Microsoft. It's they're just

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everywhere. So my professional

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experience is I figured I'm not a stupid

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guy. I worked very hard. I had brilliant

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people working with me. We tried

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everything imaginable, but we could not

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dent, you know, the digital monopolies

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of the world. And we were this we were

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this I'll call us a zombie company. It's

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a a publicly traded company that makes

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money that won't go out of business

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that's uninteresting because it's not

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growing 20% or 30% a year. It's not

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Google. It's not Facebook. It's not a

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It's not a monster, but it's But you

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know, there are 10,000 companies like

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ours. Right. Right. Most companies are

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like ours. So we were there and uh and

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then here's my personal experience. I uh

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got very fascinated with technology. I

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wrote a book called the mobile wave. And

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in the mobile wave back I was 2012 that

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I published it 2012. I wrote it 2010

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2011 and and the book the theme of the

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book is what happens when software

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dematerializes when the software runs on

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a phone when the computer goes from

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under your desk to in your hand when

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it's no longer solid state or liquid

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state but it's vapor state and you go to

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sleep with the phone next to you and

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what kind of software would happen in

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the mobile world and of course we know

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all about it right the Instagrams the

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Facebooks the Ubers, all of these things

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became possible during the mobile era.

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They were inconceivable when the

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software ran on a computer. So, the

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theme of the book is, you know, uh

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software is going to leap from under our

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desk to our clothing. We'll wear it.

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We'll hold it. Uh and it's become

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ubiquitous 24/7 365 and it's going to

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change. We're going to dematerialize

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27,000 devices. 20,000 device companies

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died so Apple could live. We're going to

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crush 20,000 retailers because

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everybody's going to want the Amazon.

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You're going to see 20,000 newspapers

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crushed because Google and Facebook eats

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them. And uh, you know, the message of

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the book is, you know, you probably

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ought to just buy the Amazon stock or

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buy the Apple stock. And as an

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investor, I took, you know, a a decent

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amount of money, call it $25 million

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that I'd made over the previous 20 years

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as a CEO and as a founder of a company.

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I invested in these stocks and I 20xed

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it. If you, you know, how do you make

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money in the tech world? You uh invest

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in something everybody needs, nobody

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could stop, and very few people

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understand. like most people will in the

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year 2010 if you had said hey I really

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think that Amazon's going to work people

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would have said you're crazy Amazon's

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losing money no one's going to do this

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you know and they would have thought

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you're nuts uh and if you had said I

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remember with Apple you say well Apple I

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think this iPhone's a cool thing they

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would say well no eventually it'll it'll

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go to the price of $25 a phone like

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Nokia it's going to be commoditized they

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can't hold their margins are too high

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they're going actually have their

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margins collapse like Dell or like

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Nokia. And of course, and of course the

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conventional wisdom was Apple's not a

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good investment. Amazon's not a good

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investment. Facebook, what is this goofy

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thing? And of course, for the next

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decade, here's what happened. I work an

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hour a month as an investor and I get

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rich.

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You know, make half a billion

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dollars. Not working. Embarrassing. All

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you got to do is just buy the

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Magnificent 7 in 2010. And and the

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conventional wisdom of Wall Street is if

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the stock doubles, you should diversify.

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You should sell half of it. If if Apple

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doubles in price, go buy some IBM and

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some HP and some other computer company.

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If it doubles again, you sell some more

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of the portfolio and you buy the thing.

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And their thought was, you got to stay

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diversified. But the problem is Apple

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won. Everybody else lost. At one point,

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Apple made all the money in the mobile

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phone business. Everybody else

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collectively lost money to compete with

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them. Amazon won. Samsung as well. All

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of them. Yeah. If you look at the

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winners, Yeah. in this era, right? I

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mean, Apple was a winner. Amazon was a

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winner. Google, Facebook were a winner.

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Samsung is the winner in the in the Far

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East. Um Walmart kept up. every other

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retailer. You know, it's like there's

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two or three that kind of keep up. Maybe

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a Walmart, maybe a Target, but there's

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20,000 that went out of business. I know

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as a clinical psychologist that any

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given teenager is going to fall prey to

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peer pressure from time to

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time. If you listen hard enough, people

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are likely to tell you everything. Our

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son, who's in seventh grade, he's

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starting to fall in with a with a bad

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friend group. Teenagers are desperate to

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fit in. and obviously desperate to have

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friends and not to be the isolated

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target of exclusion and bullying. How do

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we as parents get involved and engaged?

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The reason people don't have these sorts

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of conversations is cuz they don't want

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the emotion. And the longer you let it

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go on, the more mess you're going to

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have to clean up. Our daughter was

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bullied at her school. How do we protect

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our kids when this is happening? Don't

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let your kids drift away when they're

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teenagers. They don't want to, but they

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will if you don't pay

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[Music]

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attention. Do you think that's partly a

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consequence of the like is there a

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radically centralizing tendency of the

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mobile world? There is. And so it's

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increasingly a winner take all because

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when everyone's connected, the prito

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distribution goes out of control. That's

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what it looks like to me. There's like

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one person occupies each niche or one

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company because everything's connected.

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There's no micro markets anymore. These

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all became dominant digital monopolies

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and and they became dominant because

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Apple can ship a new feature to the

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iPhone over the weekend to a billion

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people. the cost the electricity and

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before Apple you would have to Kodak or

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Polaroid or or fill in the blank would

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have to create a new device it would

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take a year and then they would have to

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sell it and it would take another year

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and there's a variable cost to it so

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when the functionality becomes software

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there's a 99% gross margin and you can

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give it to 100 million a billion right

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Apple could do Apple music and give it

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to IP ownership matters right and so

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they They dominated the rails and they

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be and they had these you know I used to

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say Apple's going to be the most

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valuable company in the world because

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it's the most valuable company in the

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world because it's the first time one

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company could deliver a feature to a

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billion people overnight that you know

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we never had that 30 years ago or 40

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years ago. So there were all these

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natural monopolies that built and at

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some point you know Microsoft dominated

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you know business software and Facebook.

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How did you see that early? I mean you

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the the companies you listed off that

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was pretty good that was a pretty good

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hit list and like you said you know you

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worked you worked yourself half to death

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but all the money that you made or the

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majority of the money you made was

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actually a consequence of an hour you

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said an hour a month in investment

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strategy but like what and this is

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gerine to the Bitcoin question because

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one of the things you're doing is

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setting up the circumstance you could

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you saw the direction the digital world

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was going you bet money on it which is

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actually an indication of commitment to

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it and the bets that you made paid off

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and they paid off in in some ways more

0:15:14

than your hard work on the business

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front. You know, you got to roll back

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to, you know, first grade. My parents

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told me they'd give me a dime for every

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book I read and I had a comic book

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addiction. So, one summer I read a

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hundred books and won some reading

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competition. I started reading in first

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grade and that led me to a love of

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science fiction and fantasy, especially

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science fiction. And I read the big

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three, Heinline, Clark, and Azimov. And

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my entire generation, you know, Elon

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Musk, Jeff Bezos, a lot of us were

0:15:43

influenced by that. So yeah, I was

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reading 10 a week when I was well in

0:15:49

grade three and four. My neighbor across

0:15:50

the street had a wall of science fiction

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and he let me come in once a week and

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take, you know, as many books as I

0:15:57

wanted. And this I was reading exactly

0:15:59

the same crew that you described. I

0:16:01

liked Ray Bradbury, too. One of the

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Well, the a famous book by Heinland is

0:16:05

Have Space It Will Travel. And in the

0:16:07

book, uh, uh, precocious youth builds a

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spaceship, gets picked up by, you know,

0:16:13

bugeyed monsters or by space aliens,

0:16:16

gallivance around the universe, saves

0:16:18

the human race from bugeyed monsters,

0:16:20

comes back, and because he saved the

0:16:22

human race through his uh, courage and

0:16:25

his capability, he gets a full tuition

0:16:28

scholarship to MIT. Well, I read that I

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guess by sixth grade and I just thought

0:16:32

I was going to MIT. Oh, yeah. So uh so I

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you know I liked you know and then my

0:16:37

era you know we used to play Dungeons

0:16:39

and Dragons. We used to do board games.

0:16:41

We play all these simulation games and

0:16:43

and uh you know when you play these

0:16:45

games they give you a 64 page uh set of

0:16:49

rules and a set of dice and you're

0:16:51

creating a simulation of a naval battle

0:16:55

or army battle or or you know whatever

0:16:58

it might be. That was just before

0:17:00

computers got big. Mhm. So I got very

0:17:02

interested in all that. That drove me

0:17:04

down a path where I went to MIT. I

0:17:07

studied spaceship

0:17:08

engineering, astronautics really. And

0:17:11

while I was there, you know, I studying

0:17:16

uh studying uh astronomical engineering,

0:17:19

I stumbled across uh another course at

0:17:22

the school of management there called

0:17:23

system dynamics and I became fascinated

0:17:26

with that. It was the computer

0:17:27

simulation of uh human behavior. So the

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so people were building the big names in

0:17:33

system dynam dynamics. J Forester

0:17:35

founded the school and uh the idea was

0:17:39

build a computer simulation that shows

0:17:41

what happens if you change uh the

0:17:45

dynamics of a traffic system in a city.

0:17:47

I mean the classic example is I build a

0:17:50

beltway around the city and I build hub

0:17:52

and spoke system and I build

0:17:53

superighways because I want to speed up

0:17:56

travel time. M but invariably what

0:17:58

happens is the city increases by a

0:17:59

factor of 10 and the travel times go

0:18:01

back to what they were because of the

0:18:04

because of the feedback right if you

0:18:07

built the roads and then no one reacted

0:18:09

to it then you would be able to get

0:18:11

around faster but the world would be a

0:18:13

much simpler place yeah another classic

0:18:15

example is you remember the club of Rome

0:18:18

study you know they declared that the

0:18:19

world was going to run out of resources

0:18:21

within 10 years and they declared it

0:18:24

because all the oil reserves were for 10

0:18:26

more years. But if you thought about it,

0:18:28

you would realize that an oil company

0:18:30

only has an incentive to identify 10

0:18:33

years worth of reserves and everything

0:18:34

after that's a diminishing return. So we

0:18:36

always have 10 years, right, worth of

0:18:39

reserves. And so if it's a time horizon

0:18:41

issue, not a resource issue. If you see

0:18:43

the world as a dynamic nonlinear

0:18:45

feedback system and you consider the the

0:18:48

human behavior or the reaction to what

0:18:50

you do, then you're much more

0:18:53

sophisticated and you start to realize

0:18:55

the simplistic linear models don't work

0:18:57

and you have to consider human behavior

0:18:59

and economics and and uh urban planning

0:19:03

and and um and business planning. And so

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I uh I studied that. I did my thesis in

0:19:11

it. I started building computer

0:19:12

simulations. I learned from the computer

0:19:15

scientist in the in the school of

0:19:17

management. I I got very fascinated in

0:19:20

in the school got very interested in

0:19:22

politics, philosophy, economics. I ended

0:19:26

up taking another degree in the history

0:19:27

of science and uh you know as I started

0:19:31

where did you take that? At MIT. It was

0:19:33

at MIT too. So at the same time when

0:19:34

were you there? 1983 to 1987. And when I

0:19:38

was there, I was also an Air Force

0:19:40

cadet. You know, the Air Force paid for

0:19:42

my education to go through MIT. I was

0:19:44

very fortunate in that regard. So this

0:19:48

is all just backstory, but I had the

0:19:50

background as as you know, a cadet, a

0:19:52

commissioned officer in the Air Force. I

0:19:54

I grew up on Air Force bases my entire

0:19:56

life. My father was career

0:19:58

non-commissioned officer, so I lived on

0:20:00

military bases. Move a lot. Moved a lot.

0:20:03

So I saw the world. I had the science

0:20:05

fiction background. I I had the Dungeons

0:20:08

and Dragons, the fantasy background.

0:20:11

Um I got very interested in the history

0:20:13

of science that's all about paradigm

0:20:16

shift you know uh you know how do people

0:20:21

embrace new ideas whether it's the

0:20:22

capernac revolution or whether it's you

0:20:25

know whether it's relativity and and

0:20:28

Einstein's ideas or whether it's quantum

0:20:31

physics or whether it's uh whether it's

0:20:35

what happens when I introduce railroads

0:20:36

or electricity or crude oil or radio.

0:20:41

How does it change the culture? How does

0:20:43

it change the politics? How does it

0:20:45

change the economics of the

0:20:48

civilization? So that was my academic

0:20:50

background. So and so I always was

0:20:52

fascinated by science and technology. I

0:20:55

was surrounded by technologists at MIT.

0:20:58

I got I got into the space and but I but

0:21:01

the fantasy background was very

0:21:02

important because in fantasy um there's

0:21:06

this idea that if you know the name of a

0:21:08

demon, you can summon them. you can

0:21:10

control them. Names are very powerful.

0:21:13

And uh when the internet hit, I was

0:21:16

typing out

0:21:17

uh sailor

0:21:21

sailor@microstrategy.com in my email and

0:21:23

I thought, well, it'd be a lot better if

0:21:24

I just typed out sailor strategy.com.

0:21:27

And I started thinking about domains and

0:21:29

it inspired me to go and buy up all the

0:21:32

domains I could. So I bought hope, you

0:21:34

know, like how would you like to own

0:21:35

hope? Like the nice thing about owning

0:21:37

Hope that was when what year was that?

0:21:40

Between 94 and 98.

0:21:43

Pretty early. Pretty early on. I And and

0:21:47

so I thought, how many do domain names

0:21:49

do you think you bought? I bought lot I

0:21:50

bought a bunch, but I bought about 30 of

0:21:52

the classics. My idea was the most

0:21:54

valuable thing in the is is a

0:21:57

constructive uh word in the English

0:22:00

language that has a positive connotation

0:22:03

that everyone understands, everybody can

0:22:04

spell. So, I bought Emma. I bought

0:22:07

Michael. My own Michael.com. I bought

0:22:09

mike.com. I bought hope. I bought voice.

0:22:12

I bought angel. I bought alarm. I bought

0:22:14

speaker. How did you pick the words? I

0:22:16

mean, you you laid out I bought every

0:22:18

good word that I could buy. I was It was

0:22:20

a real estate a digital real estate gold

0:22:22

rush. Right. If you would sell it to me,

0:22:25

I would buy it. I figured, you know,

0:22:27

what did I think? I think if a billion

0:22:29

people learn to speak English, I'll give

0:22:31

you an example. A billion people learn

0:22:33

to speak English. How many of them know

0:22:35

how to spell

0:22:36

strategy? How many of them have a

0:22:39

positive impression of

0:22:41

strategy? Now, right now I name my

0:22:45

company Micro Strategy. Let me tell you,

0:22:47

for 30 years, half our customers

0:22:49

mispronounced it. Micro

0:22:51

Strategies. Like when you pick a word

0:22:53

that's not in in the English language,

0:22:56

if you teach it to third graders or

0:22:58

sixth graders, the education system is

0:23:00

burning the word. What does hope mean to

0:23:02

you? Right? That's different than naming

0:23:06

a company

0:23:08

[Music]

0:23:19

celebrity to be able to buy words which

0:23:19

is essentially what happened and it and

0:23:21

it happened in the internet era. Yeah.

0:23:23

Right. Now if we go to mobile, my

0:23:25

fascination was this idea that if

0:23:29

software goes from the back office to

0:23:33

desk to my

0:23:36

pocket. It goes from solid state to

0:23:38

liquid state to vapor state. It's all

0:23:40

around me. What happens when I can talk

0:23:44

to it? What happens when it can talk

0:23:46

back to me? Well, you know, now you have

0:23:50

to you have to have an imagination. sci

0:23:52

science fiction it's valuable because it

0:23:55

says if you learn science and

0:23:56

engineering you can you can figure out

0:23:59

like what's the optimal way to get to

0:24:01

Mars from the US you start to understand

0:24:03

gravity wells you understand physics

0:24:06

that's very important for one part of

0:24:08

the story but the other part of the

0:24:10

story is

0:24:11

fantasy you know

0:24:14

it I'm creating something in cyerspace

0:24:17

I'm an engineer and I can imagine uh

0:24:19

throwing a baseball in orbit and And if

0:24:22

I throw it fast enough, it stays in

0:24:24

orbit. And if I throw it harder, it

0:24:26

breaks Earth's gravity field and it

0:24:28

orbits the sun. And if I throw it

0:24:29

harder, it breaks the sun's

0:24:31

gravitational field and it spins off

0:24:33

into, you know, Milky Way. Well, that's

0:24:36

what that's what science fiction or

0:24:38

engineering teaches you. Fantasy teaches

0:24:40

you. I can throw the baseball and will

0:24:42

it to be a flock of seagulls that land

0:24:45

on my head and turn into a pot of gold.

0:24:48

So those are those are little paradigm

0:24:50

revolutions fantasy

0:24:53

frame breaking. The significance is in

0:24:55

the hardware world you're subject to

0:24:57

thermodynamics and physics and you

0:24:59

better know it. But in

0:25:02

cyberspace you could you're not subject

0:25:04

to thermodynamics and physics. You could

0:25:08

imagine uh you know I look at mirror

0:25:10

mirror on the wall who's the fairest of

0:25:12

them all right and Snow White gave you

0:25:15

the answer right because you know when

0:25:19

when that happens in a in a fairy tale

0:25:22

the mirror talks back to you it comes to

0:25:25

life you know and eventually we got to

0:25:29

you know zoom and video and pretty soon

0:25:32

your iPad became a magic mirror and

0:25:35

pretty soon you could talk to, you know,

0:25:37

a a relative of your of yours 8,000 mi

0:25:39

away and that was pretty magical. But

0:25:41

then when you put the AI behind it and

0:25:43

the AI generates an AI image, you're not

0:25:46

talking to a person, you're talking to

0:25:48

an angel or a demon, right? And so now,

0:25:52

if you want to design that stuff, if you

0:25:54

want to design uh magic software, why

0:25:58

those words an angel or a demon? Yeah.

0:26:02

Yeah. Because you see, one of the things

0:26:03

I wanted to talk to you about today was

0:26:05

the use of imagery, the your use of

0:26:08

imagery in your tweets and your

0:26:10

marketing for Bitcoin because like you

0:26:12

you have a strange mind in many ways

0:26:14

because you're you have your engineering

0:26:18

background and you think that way, but

0:26:20

you also have a foot in the world of

0:26:22

fantasy. And that's a that's not a

0:26:24

that's I mean there's a lot of well

0:26:26

there's lots of engineers that are sort

0:26:28

of possessed by the world of fantasy.

0:26:30

you know, they live in a Star Wars

0:26:32

ethos, right? And and many of them had

0:26:35

their philosophy shaped by the science

0:26:37

fiction that they read when they were in

0:26:39

their early adolescence. And that really

0:26:42

produced the religious and fantasy

0:26:44

substrate of their thought. But there's

0:26:46

not a lot of examination of that. But

0:26:48

you thought about fantasy by all

0:26:50

appearances a lot more in a lot more

0:26:51

detail than that.

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Yeah. Well, when I was at MIT, I was

0:27:54

surrounded by some of the most brilliant

0:27:56

mathematicians and engineers in the

0:27:58

world. But what distinguished me is is I

0:28:02

was a pretty good engineer. Like I

0:28:04

probably wasn't like a Fields metal

0:28:07

mathematician, right? I I wasn't like

0:28:09

that, but I was a good engineer. But I

0:28:11

had a liberal arts bent. And the truth

0:28:14

is, if I could have afforded it, I would

0:28:16

have gone to Yale and studied history as

0:28:17

an undergraduate. I just didn't have any

0:28:19

money and they didn't have an ROC

0:28:21

program and the government wasn't paying

0:28:23

Air Force cadets to go study history at

0:28:25

Yale. So my my love was history that you

0:28:29

know history, science fiction, imagining

0:28:32

the future, fantasy, uh imagining an

0:28:36

alternative future. Would you say you

0:28:39

think in pictures or words?

0:28:41

Images. You think? I'm a synthesist. So

0:28:45

I generally

0:28:46

uh I'm the person that would tell you

0:28:50

why the steam engine, you know, and the

0:28:53

governor of steam engineer is similar to

0:28:55

a political process that was implemented

0:28:57

in medieval Russia.

0:28:59

Like I I'm thinking about the mechanisms

0:29:02

and how they function in the physical

0:29:04

world, the political world, the economic

0:29:06

world, the the fantasy world, the magic

0:29:09

world, the whatever world. So I I would

0:29:11

always be thinking

0:29:13

simultaneously across that. So when I

0:29:16

went to MIT most of them were there to

0:29:18

do engineering. I was actually half

0:29:21

liberal artist half engineer. And that

0:29:24

was that was what was uh different about

0:29:28

me. And when I and of course when I came

0:29:30

out of MIT I didn't work for I don't

0:29:34

want to work for someone else doing

0:29:36

something they told me to do. I wanted

0:29:38

to create something. And I think that I

0:29:40

think that um you know when you're that

0:29:43

that entrepreneurial bent probably goes

0:29:45

along at least to some degree with that

0:29:46

proclivity to appreciate fantasy because

0:29:50

well entrepreneurial activity is

0:29:53

associated with trade openness which is

0:29:55

the creativity dimension. And so it it

0:29:59

it makes sense that you would have that

0:30:03

entrepreneurial bent combined because

0:30:04

you have to imagine possibility to be an

0:30:06

entrepreneur. Right? So that's the

0:30:08

fantastic element. You have to conjure

0:30:09

up something that doesn't yet exist and

0:30:11

then you have to pursue it and it has to

0:30:13

captivate you. So you have to have the

0:30:15

temperament for that. So you've got Do

0:30:17

you like fi Do you still read fiction? I

0:30:19

do not as much as I used to in my

0:30:21

current stage in life. Um, I spend a lot

0:30:25

more time reading history like like

0:30:28

cover to cover Durant's history of story

0:30:32

of civilization every volume all 15,000

0:30:34

pages or all the history of uh America

0:30:38

be you know you know conceived in

0:30:40

liberty Rothbart's history of America

0:30:42

before the revolutionary war or history

0:30:43

of economic thought. So, a lot of

0:30:46

history, a lot of biography, a lot of

0:30:49

monetary theory. And of course, today I

0:30:51

spend my time reading

0:30:53

legislation, all of the developments in

0:30:56

the political economic world relevant to

0:30:58

digital assets, digital technology

0:31:00

because there's a a flood of it and I'm

0:31:03

expected to have an opinion on it. But

0:31:07

when I can sneak away, I'll I'll go read

0:31:10

his artistic interests,

0:31:13

landscape, architecture,

0:31:15

residential archite when I first came

0:31:17

here I went to Talison West Franklidd

0:31:20

Wright's architecture all architecture

0:31:22

everywhere in the world right well

0:31:24

that's a good blending of aesthetic and

0:31:26

engineering as well so very much

0:31:28

but uh to address two of your points

0:31:30

that are important one in fantasy

0:31:33

there's this idea of casting a spell

0:31:37

right so if you can imagine it you can

0:31:40

you can cast it that's a very

0:31:42

interesting idea Can you make the world

0:31:45

a better place? Can you shape it in a

0:31:47

certain way? Um and um the second the

0:31:51

second point you brought up about

0:31:53

metaphor, right? Imagery. Yeah. That was

0:31:56

in relationship to the angels and the

0:31:58

demons. You know, if you if you write a

0:32:00

book about something, you know, write a

0:32:03

book about Bitcoin and it's 200 pages

0:32:05

long. I I wrote the book about

0:32:08

something, what I discovered is 1% of

0:32:11

the people will read the book in five

0:32:12

years. maybe 0.1%. It's very, you know,

0:32:16

and when they read the book, if you

0:32:18

wanted to explain something in 200 pages

0:32:21

or 500 pages, they might have forgotten

0:32:23

what they read on the first 50 pages by

0:32:25

the time they get to the end. And so, a

0:32:27

200page explanation isn't nearly as

0:32:29

powerful as to say, "Oh, that's a demon

0:32:33

coming out of cyerspace." Right? Well,

0:32:35

that's the power of poetry because a de

0:32:37

a it's like, "Oh, what is that? That's

0:32:40

an actor in cyberspace with hostile

0:32:42

intent that I should be afraid of. And

0:32:46

so there's a lot of overexlaining in the

0:32:49

world. And what I've discovered is in

0:32:51

that, you know, in the modern world, we

0:32:53

live in an age of abundance and there is

0:32:55

so much infinite information. I, you

0:32:57

know, I watched your podcast on YouTube.

0:33:00

I I I came to know you before COVID and

0:33:02

I was fascinated by them. it. Then I

0:33:04

stumbled across chess videos and then I

0:33:07

found you could spend your entire waking

0:33:09

day watching chess videos. And then I

0:33:11

realized you could spend your entire

0:33:12

life watching Magnus Carlson chess

0:33:14

videos. And then I realized you could

0:33:16

probably spend an entire day watching

0:33:18

different chess commentators covering

0:33:21

one Magnus Carlson game from 30

0:33:24

different points of view. And if you

0:33:26

want to go down that rabbit hole,

0:33:28

whether it's uh you know, diets, the

0:33:30

carnivore diet or chess or pocket knives

0:33:34

or someone sailing around the world,

0:33:37

there is literally infinite depth

0:33:39

content. Yeah. you know, and and you

0:33:41

know, then comes along Netscape and

0:33:43

YouTube, you know, and all these other

0:33:45

streaming and then Lord help you, you

0:33:48

fall into a Tik Tok hole, you know, and

0:33:49

you're like, you start swiping and then

0:33:51

YouTube decided to steal it and they

0:33:53

have these shorts and when you pull up

0:33:55

the YouTube short, you know, the

0:33:56

algorithm is thinking, what is the

0:33:58

statistically most likely thing to

0:34:01

capture your attention and punch your

0:34:02

buttons and hit your dopamine and you

0:34:05

find yourself going, "Yeah, is that an

0:34:07

angel or a demon?" That algorithm. Yeah.

0:34:10

And you are, you know, you are stuck and

0:34:12

it's an addiction if you're not careful.

0:34:13

And and of course, well, it's optimized

0:34:16

to grip short-term attention, you know,

0:34:18

and that's there's something really

0:34:20

there's something really distressing

0:34:21

about that because the more immature a

0:34:24

mind is, the more it's gripped by

0:34:25

short-term attention. And these bloody

0:34:27

algorithms maximize for short-term

0:34:29

attention. And the attention fragments

0:34:31

are getting shorter as the content gets

0:34:33

shorter. And so we're literally training

0:34:35

super intelligent AI systems to hook us

0:34:39

in keeping with our hedonistic drive.

0:34:42

It's just so that's a demon I would say.

0:34:44

And that that you know that it's not a

0:34:47

fair fight. It's not a fair fight. It's

0:34:49

a 16-year-old boy against the smartest,

0:34:52

you know, AI in the world trying to

0:34:54

addict the boy to the imagery they feed,

0:34:57

right? And and so yeah, the smartest the

0:35:00

smartest engineers and the smartest AI

0:35:02

systems that are actually operating in

0:35:04

ways that we don't even understand

0:35:05

because they're reinforced. They learn

0:35:07

by reinforcement. But so they understand

0:35:09

things about us that we don't

0:35:11

understand. They understand. Coming back

0:35:13

to my communication style, then what I

0:35:15

realize is people just don't have the

0:35:17

time. Like you can, for example, in in

0:35:21

life, you can equivocate. You could say,

0:35:23

well, you know, you might do this and

0:35:24

you might do that and do your own

0:35:25

research and if you think blah blah blah

0:35:27

that this might happen and read these 82

0:35:29

pages. Yeah. Yeah. Or you can say this

0:35:33

is digital gold, but it's going to crush

0:35:34

real gold by a factor of Okay. So, let's

0:35:37

let's leap ahead into the Bitcoin issue

0:35:39

because I I still want to know cuz you

0:35:41

set up the background now. You've

0:35:43

described how your mind works. You

0:35:44

described the fact that you recognize

0:35:46

patterns and that you see possibility. I

0:35:49

want to hear how that translated into

0:35:51

your discovery of Bitcoin and where that

0:35:53

went. Okay, it's March of

0:35:56

2020 and in March of 2020, uh, Michael

0:36:00

Sailor, the CEO, is

0:36:02

slaved for a decade, working infinitely

0:36:06

hard, working his 2,000 employees

0:36:08

infinitely hard uh to compete against

0:36:12

Microsoft and Magnificent 7 and to and

0:36:15

to put growth back into this public

0:36:17

company called MSTR. The company is

0:36:20

perfectly fine company, but we're, you

0:36:22

know, a company growing one, two, three,

0:36:24

four percent a year is uninteresting to

0:36:26

every professional investor in the

0:36:28

capital markets and we've tried

0:36:30

everything under the sun and we cannot

0:36:32

break free and our our our employees are

0:36:35

paid in stock options and the stock's

0:36:37

not going anywhere, right? And so I am

0:36:40

at a dead end there. Very frustrated. My

0:36:44

wit's in. Mhm. And then Michael Sailor,

0:36:47

the individual, occasionally buys some

0:36:49

Apple and Amazon stock and he's made a

0:36:51

fortune.

0:36:52

And I'm thinking this is not good. Why

0:36:55

is it not good though? Like because you

0:36:58

I mean let let because I want to dig

0:37:00

into that a little bit. You had a

0:37:01

company that was growing moderately.

0:37:04

Let's say it wasn't spectacularly

0:37:06

interesting. There were stock problems,

0:37:07

but the company is quite functional and

0:37:09

it's doing quite well and it does its

0:37:11

thing well. And then as an individual,

0:37:12

you've made these like home run

0:37:14

investments. So what is it that's

0:37:16

dissatisfying you? Exactly. What's

0:37:19

dissatisfying is to think that you

0:37:21

peaked 10 years earlier. You've hit a

0:37:23

plateau and you cannot you cannot go any

0:37:26

further. I I see. So it's a plateaued

0:37:28

adventure, right? We plateaued. We can't

0:37:30

break free. You know what's the And work

0:37:32

isn't fixing that. What's the satisfying

0:37:34

is to see the Elon Musks or the Mark

0:37:37

Zuckerbergs, you know, of the world have

0:37:39

extraordinary success and you grow up in

0:37:41

that generation and you feel like you

0:37:44

hit the wall. They they launched the

0:37:46

Instagram, they launched the Facebook,

0:37:49

they launched the you know electric car

0:37:51

and you uh you somehow have created

0:37:55

this this uh it's a successful business

0:37:59

but it's now a low growth business which

0:38:01

is you know comparable. Why do you think

0:38:04

why do you think that that why do you

0:38:07

think that ground at you like I mean

0:38:11

because in by many by many indices

0:38:15

you're multi-dimension you were

0:38:17

multi-dimensionally successful already.

0:38:19

Now, you talked about the fact that the

0:38:21

the big league leap, so to speak, didn't

0:38:24

occur, but why in the world do you think

0:38:26

that particularly disturbed you and

0:38:29

drove you to seek

0:38:30

other avenues of of expansion? I just

0:38:35

thought, is this all there is? There's

0:38:36

got to be more. I wanted to change the

0:38:38

world. You know when you you know you

0:38:41

start you think you can change the world

0:38:43

and you get to some point where you

0:38:44

realize you fulfill one 2% of the demand

0:38:49

of a given niche of the world which has

0:38:51

now become a mature cash cow business

0:38:54

and the world's done with you. Do you

0:38:55

have any idea where that ambition came

0:38:57

from?

0:38:59

Oh. Uh, must have come from my

0:39:02

mother when I was, uh, my first job was

0:39:05

as a paper boy and, uh, you know, so I'm

0:39:07

delivering papers in Dayton, Ohio, uh,

0:39:11

through the bitter cold, the Blizzard

0:39:13

78. And at some point there's going to

0:39:16

be a competition uh, for the best paper

0:39:19

boy of the Dayton Daily News. And my

0:39:20

mother enters me in the competition and,

0:39:23

you know, she creates this book of

0:39:25

entries. you know, I'm the musician,

0:39:27

I've got the book collection, I'm the

0:39:29

gamer, I'm a this, I'm a that. And I

0:39:32

swear she must have thought I was God's

0:39:34

gift, you know, and and it never occurs

0:39:37

to me that being, you know, the number

0:39:39

one honor paper boy in Dayton, Ohio,

0:39:42

isn't necessarily the pinnacle of

0:39:44

achievement, but in her eyes, it was.

0:39:47

And she entered me in the competition

0:39:48

and I end up number two. She had faith

0:39:49

in you. But I thought, you know, she

0:39:51

thought I was the greatest person on

0:39:53

earth. She's like, you're going to

0:39:54

change the world. Freud's mother thought

0:39:55

that about him and he said that it had

0:39:57

given him a tremendous advantage. You

0:39:59

know, it's it's really something to have

0:40:00

a parent who has like unblinking faith

0:40:03

in you, especially if they've actually

0:40:05

identified those elements of you that

0:40:07

are useful. I was a smart guy. Like I

0:40:10

was like number one in my class

0:40:11

normally, but being number one in your

0:40:13

class in a public elementary school in

0:40:16

middle Ohio is no statistical

0:40:19

justification for thinking someone's

0:40:21

going to grow up and change the world.

0:40:23

But my mother believed it. She believed

0:40:24

in me. She imbued it in me. And for

0:40:26

whatever, if your parents think that

0:40:28

about you, they program you and it

0:40:30

works. So somehow in my head, I I was

0:40:34

programmed at an early age, you know,

0:40:36

believe that you could do it by an

0:40:37

inspirational figure to believe I could

0:40:39

do it. Do you think that was ambition

0:40:41

exactly or do you think that was faith

0:40:42

in your ability to solve problems?

0:40:45

Cuz those aren't the same thing, right?

0:40:47

I mean, you could you could imagine a

0:40:50

situation like that that would produce

0:40:52

someone who is narcissistic. That's

0:40:54

that's a different that's a very

0:40:55

different outcome than someone who

0:40:57

believes that if they hit a problem hard

0:40:59

enough, they can crack it and move

0:41:00

forward. You know, uh if you combine the

0:41:05

influence of my parents and my mother

0:41:07

especially with my father is a very

0:41:11

inspirational figure as well. He's like

0:41:12

the He's the Air Force sergeant, you

0:41:15

know, at 6:30 in the morning saying,

0:41:17

"Hit the ground running, son." Okay. He

0:41:20

was the So that's the work ethic. He was

0:41:22

the work ethic, you know, you know,

0:41:24

straight arrow, work hard, you know, and

0:41:27

uh and do your job and do your duty. And

0:41:29

my mother was I I have the smartest son

0:41:31

in the world. He's going to change the

0:41:33

earth, right? And and so that was the

0:41:35

two. But, you know, once I got into into

0:41:39

reading, you know, if you read Heinland,

0:41:42

Heinland's, you know, stories, his

0:41:44

juvenile stories are and his stories are

0:41:47

here's a teenage kid that's going to go

0:41:49

off and go to Mars and make peace with

0:41:51

the Martians and change the course of

0:41:53

human history. Right. Right. Or, you

0:41:55

know, and you name them, every one of

0:41:57

these. So, you found that hero mythology

0:41:59

in, you know, like all of his figures

0:42:01

are inspirational figures, you know?

0:42:04

Yeah. Right. If you think about the

0:42:05

Highland uh ethic, right? It's like uh

0:42:09

self-reliance,

0:42:11

resourcefulness, you know? Well, he was

0:42:13

a libertarian, too. Very much so. It's

0:42:15

like when I know the lefties used to

0:42:16

think of Heinland as a fascist. I

0:42:18

remember that. It shocked me. I never I

0:42:21

never realized when I was like 13 that

0:42:22

the science fiction I was reading had

0:42:24

political implications. I didn't I

0:42:25

didn't think that. And that's not my

0:42:27

takeaway. My takeway is he says when

0:42:29

when wherever you're living gets too

0:42:30

crowded and there's too many

0:42:31

bureaucratic busy bodies telling you how

0:42:33

to live and how to breathe and what to

0:42:35

do it's time for you to find a new

0:42:37

frontier go somewhere else go west go to

0:42:40

cyberspace go to out in his case go to

0:42:43

outer space right it's you have to you

0:42:46

know well there are frontiers everywhere

0:42:48

and you found them in the digital world

0:42:50

and and something you know it's always a

0:42:53

struggle but something good always comes

0:42:54

of it right in all of his books Right.

0:42:57

Right. Right. And so you have the

0:43:00

inspiration of of him as you know as

0:43:04

kind of a a a figure and then you have

0:43:07

the inspiration of you know your parents

0:43:10

in a different way. And then of course

0:43:12

once you start reading books right you

0:43:14

if you read enough you're inspired by

0:43:17

the lives of human beings that came

0:43:19

before you. So I think uh all of that

0:43:22

okay made me think I was put here to do

0:43:24

something. Okay. Right. Okay. And I get

0:43:26

to 2020 and uh I'm frustrated and it's

0:43:30

it's a very pivotal point in my career.

0:43:33

I'm just deciding am I going to sell

0:43:34

this company? Am I going to retire and

0:43:36

drift quietly out of history? Right. How

0:43:40

old are you at this point? 55. Right.

0:43:43

Right. Okay. Lots of people stop at 55.

0:43:46

Right. They decide they're retired,

0:43:47

whatever that means, and then they're

0:43:50

well looking they're looking for purpose

0:43:54

for the next 20 years, which is not a

0:43:56

good fate. It's not a good fate. I've

0:43:58

watched this many people at right around

0:44:00

that age, you know, they decide in a way

0:44:03

that they're old and they stop looking

0:44:06

for further adventure and generally

0:44:08

that's a catastrophe. But you, when you

0:44:11

hit it, you thought you hadn't hit an

0:44:13

apex. You hadn't had the apex that you

0:44:15

wanted and then you you found Bitcoin in

0:44:17

2020. Yeah. Well, you know, I felt like

0:44:19

I'm not done yet. But I had invented 10

0:44:21

things and that didn't work to invent

0:44:23

something and then I had tried 10

0:44:26

different business strategies and not

0:44:28

bit small like I bought $30 million of

0:44:31

my stock back. I was like I'm going to

0:44:32

spend hundreds of millions of dollars

0:44:34

and this is against a company that made

0:44:36

75 million a year, right? So I spent

0:44:38

huge amounts of money to try to fix it.

0:44:41

I literally rewired every single IT

0:44:44

system, rebuilt everything, rethought

0:44:46

every business process as the you know

0:44:49

thinking if I just work if I work harder

0:44:53

and focus more air force dead. Yeah.

0:44:56

Yeah. Well, the thing is the funny thing

0:44:57

is so that's the contradiction between

0:44:59

conscientiousness and openness, right?

0:45:01

Because the conscientious types are

0:45:03

managers and administrators,

0:45:05

incrementalists. Their solution to a

0:45:07

problem would be make what we're doing

0:45:09

better. But the fantasy people, the open

0:45:12

people think, "No, no, like no matter

0:45:14

how efficiently we go down this road,

0:45:16

it's not the right road. There has to be

0:45:18

something else. There has to be a

0:45:19

radical

0:45:21

transformation." As a spouse, a parent,

0:45:23

or a leader, people count on you. But if

0:45:25

you're constantly tired, unfocused, and

0:45:27

just not feeling like yourself, how can

0:45:29

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0:46:08

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mealth. Now we get to some very

0:46:14

transformational things. So, so Thomas

0:46:17

Cune in the structure of scientific

0:46:18

revolution, he introduces this idea of

0:46:20

the paradigm shift and what he notes is

0:46:22

that when a new paradigm comes along,

0:46:25

it's embraced by the youth. Yeah. Or all

0:46:29

the people who had the old paradigm

0:46:31

died. And the only reason the adults

0:46:33

ever embrace it is a war. So you know,

0:46:36

you know, and there's the the famous

0:46:38

phrase, science advances one funeral at

0:46:40

a time. Exactly. Right. So we're waiting

0:46:42

for the old guard to die. But the one

0:46:44

time when it's possible for an old dog

0:46:47

to learn new tricks, if you will, is

0:46:49

when there's a war. So when I first saw

0:46:52

Bitcoin, it was 2013. I was fascinated

0:46:56

by Apple, fascinated by Amazon, making a

0:46:59

lot of money in my private investments.

0:47:01

That was my tech ride and uh I was

0:47:04

working hard my business. And I, you

0:47:06

know, I had 20 things that I thought I

0:47:07

was going to do to fix that business.

0:47:09

Mhm. And I looked at Bitcoin. I was

0:47:11

like, well, this is an interesting

0:47:12

thing. You know, you know, some

0:47:15

decentralized monetary system. But you

0:47:18

know, right around then, uh, the

0:47:20

government shut down. There was a a a

0:47:22

online betting site called Trade Sports

0:47:25

and you could go and you could bet on

0:47:26

the outcome of anything. You could bet

0:47:28

on the outcome of elections, you could

0:47:29

bet on sports, you could bet on whether

0:47:32

it's going to rain and it was kind of a

0:47:34

cool idea. The government shut it down

0:47:36

because a lot of times when there, you

0:47:38

know, remember they they shut down

0:47:40

online gambling. I was watching this in

0:47:43

2013. I looked at uh Bitcoin and I I

0:47:46

tweeted very famously. This is back when

0:47:47

I tweeted, but no one cared. So, I aired

0:47:50

my opinion and my opinion was, you know,

0:47:52

Bitcoin's interesting, but I think it's

0:47:54

going to go the way of online gambling.

0:47:56

Okay. Oh, you think it'd be shut down? I

0:47:57

thought it was going to be shut down. I

0:47:59

Well, that was a likely that was a

0:48:00

likely outcome. Yeah. And and in my

0:48:03

defense, I had a lot of good arguments

0:48:04

why. And it wasn't until 2014 that the

0:48:06

IRS designated Bitcoin as property.

0:48:09

2013, it was unclear what it was what it

0:48:12

was going to uh be designated as. But in

0:48:14

any event, I did it. I forgot about it

0:48:16

for the next seven years. I went off and

0:48:18

we roll into March of 2020. And in March

0:48:21

of 2020, you know, this entire COVID

0:48:24

thing developed, right? So, first the

0:48:27

world shut down and I'm not happy about

0:48:30

it and I don't agree with it. Um, and

0:48:33

the second thing that happens is we all

0:48:35

go remote. And the third thing that

0:48:38

happens is is all of the big tech

0:48:42

companies, the Amazons, the

0:48:45

Microsofts, their number one

0:48:47

disadvantage in recruiting away our

0:48:49

employees is all of our employees would

0:48:51

have to get up, move across the country,

0:48:52

take their kids out of their school,

0:48:54

sell their house, and their wife would

0:48:57

probably have to get a new job or their

0:48:58

husband have to get a new job. and and

0:49:01

our advantage was we we had a tight

0:49:03

group and we all had lunch together and

0:49:05

we met in the office and we had a

0:49:08

face-to-face uh community. So imagine

0:49:11

how you feel when your best engineer is

0:49:13

basically sitting at a house in

0:49:15

Arlington or Vienna and they can simply

0:49:18

point their computer to a Microsoft

0:49:20

server, change jobs, get a pay raise.

0:49:23

all these mega companies going to steal

0:49:24

all my employees. And if they hire away

0:49:28

all my engineers, then maybe my

0:49:30

product's good. Now, I have a better

0:49:32

product, but I'm I'm fighting against

0:49:35

monster corporations with a better

0:49:37

product, but I'm not going to be better

0:49:40

once they've hired my best engineers

0:49:42

away, and they're going to slurp

0:49:44

them, you know, off. So the company had

0:49:47

one more ace. The the thing that we had

0:49:50

in our back pocket that kept us that we

0:49:53

had relied on was we had $500 million in

0:49:56

cash. I have 2,000 hardworking

0:49:58

employees. I have a operating business

0:50:00

that's a cash cow and I have 500 million

0:50:02

in cash. And that cash, you know, in the

0:50:05

best period, uh, back in 2010, just

0:50:08

before the great financial crisis or,

0:50:11

you know, in that range, interest rates

0:50:14

got to 5%, 5 12%. And, you know, maybe

0:50:18

you can make 25 million a year on that.

0:50:21

And then interest rates got hammered

0:50:22

down. The central bankers kept printing

0:50:24

money and they and they actually forced

0:50:27

the interest rates down. I didn't

0:50:28

understand that they were manipulating

0:50:30

the interest rates to make them lower

0:50:32

during that decade. I was a techie. I

0:50:35

would say I was very technically

0:50:36

sophisticated and I was very good at

0:50:38

running a business. I I was in the

0:50:40

category of work very very

0:50:44

hard and know my

0:50:46

business. But what I didn't understand

0:50:48

was money and I didn't understand

0:50:50

banking. And I didn't realize that as

0:50:53

hard as I was working, they were taking

0:50:55

it out the back door through inflation.

0:50:58

Mhm. So the interest rates are maybe 2

0:51:01

and a.5% as we roll into the

0:51:04

year. And here's what what happened.

0:51:07

COVID lockdown takes place. There's a

0:51:09

massive panic. All of these stocks crash

0:51:11

because we're shutting down the world

0:51:13

for the next two years. Of course, they

0:51:15

should crash.

0:51:17

And uh you know the administration looks

0:51:20

at it and and you know the hue and cry

0:51:23

comes from the mainstream media and from

0:51:25

from the leaders in business and from

0:51:28

the politicians lower the interest

0:51:30

rates. So Jerome Pal turns around and

0:51:32

lowers the interest rates and lowers the

0:51:34

interest rates and pretty soon we've got

0:51:35

got interest rates going from 250 basis

0:51:37

points like overnight rates to zero.

0:51:41

Well, what happens to the stock market?

0:51:43

And this is the most perverse thing

0:51:45

imaginable. By the summer of 2020, all

0:51:48

of the stocks have recovered. It's like,

0:51:51

oh, we had a crisis, but we solved it by

0:51:53

taking the interest rate to zero. We

0:51:55

printed

0:51:56

money and the stocks recover. Amazon's

0:51:59

recovered. Apple's recovered. Disney is

0:52:02

trading higher. People are basically

0:52:04

taking Disney up to double. And they're

0:52:07

trading it based upon forward

0:52:09

expectations of Disney streaming video

0:52:11

revenue year

0:52:13

2024. And I'm watching this And this was

0:52:16

a what happened in 2020 I would

0:52:18

characterize as a bifurcation of Main

0:52:21

Street and Wall Street. What you saw was

0:52:25

Main Street was destroyed by these

0:52:29

policies, right? Main Street got shut

0:52:31

down. The private manufacturer, the

0:52:34

person that works with their hands, the

0:52:36

guy that shows up, the small business,

0:52:38

the midsize business. This is the Trump

0:52:41

constituency, by the way. Mhm. Mhm.

0:52:43

These people get destroyed, right? And

0:52:46

they're wiped out. Like, okay, it's

0:52:48

illegal for you to open your gym. You're

0:52:51

going to jail if you go to work. Mhm.

0:52:54

Okay. And then Wall Street was, you got

0:52:58

guys running $5 billion uh equity

0:53:01

investment funds living in New York and

0:53:04

Hamptons. They had the best year of

0:53:06

their life.

0:53:08

Jordan, 2020 was the best year in 30

0:53:13

years for these investors. They're

0:53:15

making all you had to do was be holding

0:53:17

the stocks or playing the market. When

0:53:21

interest rates go to

0:53:22

zero, the PTE of any company that

0:53:25

generates cash goes, it doubles, it

0:53:27

triples. The cap rates on real estate

0:53:30

doubled. So the perverse irony is you

0:53:33

own a building, no one's in it. the

0:53:37

value of the building doubles in four

0:53:39

weeks. You're owning a company, all the

0:53:43

customers are being bankrupted. The

0:53:45

value of the company doubles. So what

0:53:47

happened was the government printed

0:53:49

money. We had

0:53:52

hyperinflation not in consumer products,

0:53:55

not in producer products. We had

0:53:57

hyperinflation in financial assets.

0:54:01

That hyperinflation meant that the stock

0:54:04

market rallied, real estate rallied. If

0:54:07

you owned a portfolio of real estate or

0:54:09

perfor portfolio of stock, you got rich.

0:54:13

And the thought that I had was this

0:54:15

investment manager sitting on his floaty

0:54:17

at his house in the Hamptons is having

0:54:19

the best year of his life and I'm having

0:54:21

the worst year of my

0:54:24

life. He's not working at

0:54:27

all. He's literally not working at all.

0:54:29

is watching television, getting rich,

0:54:32

taking high fives, and I'm watching all

0:54:34

these people I care about wiped out,

0:54:37

destroyed, jailed, abused, bankrupted,

0:54:42

fired, stripped of all hope, and then I

0:54:46

have this $500 million asset and the

0:54:48

interests go to zero. And Jerome Pal

0:54:51

goes on television and he gives a speech

0:54:53

and these are his words. We've taken

0:54:56

interest rates to zero. I'm not even

0:54:58

thinking about thinking about raising

0:55:01

interest rates to the year

0:55:03

2024. But my observation

0:55:06

was I had an asset is now

0:55:10

non-performing. You know, my finance is

0:55:13

non-performing. My equity is dead in the

0:55:15

water. My chances of turning this around

0:55:18

are zero because after doing a hundred

0:55:21

things for a decade, they're zero. My

0:55:23

human capital is about to be stripped

0:55:25

away.

0:55:26

And uh so I have a choice between a fast

0:55:29

death or a slow death. And so it was

0:55:33

time to make a decision to choose a

0:55:36

side. And I felt

0:55:38

like if I if I give the money back to

0:55:41

the shareholders, conventional wisdom

0:55:43

is, you know, re re give the capital

0:55:45

back to the shareholders because you

0:55:47

idiot. You're getting 0% interest and us

0:55:50

brilliant investors are getting, you

0:55:51

know, S&P's up 25% this

0:55:54

year. Okay? So, I could just give the

0:55:56

money away. Well, I took 30 years to

0:55:58

accumulate the money. Why should I give

0:56:00

up 30 years of my

0:56:02

life? 2,000 people did a million things

0:56:05

right, and I'm just going to give it up

0:56:07

and slink into my hole and disappear

0:56:10

from history. I thought that's not very

0:56:13

appealing. Well, I can keep the money at

0:56:16

0% interest, but I'm boiling, right? the

0:56:20

the the environment is boiling my

0:56:22

employees off and it's just a it's a

0:56:24

slow death not a fast death but it's a

0:56:27

it's a slow certain

0:56:29

death or I can

0:56:31

fight right and so paradigm shift war it

0:56:36

wasn't the war on COVID it was the war

0:56:38

on currency combined with the war on co

0:56:42

and in that

0:56:43

circumstance yeah I'm standing there and

0:56:45

I'm thinking I wasn't put on the earth

0:56:47

to lose like this like this this is not

0:56:49

how I'm going to go

0:56:51

out. And so I started looking for a

0:56:54

solution and I said, "Well, it's pretty

0:56:56

obvious operating companies are

0:56:57

discriminated against. People that do

0:56:59

things are being discriminated against.

0:57:02

I want to be one of those guys that owns

0:57:04

things. But I don't want to own

0:57:07

sovereign debt. If I'm owning the T

0:57:09

bill, the government's just told me tea

0:57:10

bills are worthless. I better go find

0:57:12

something else to own." So I started

0:57:14

thinking, well, what can I buy? Am I

0:57:16

going to buy art? Am I going to buy a

0:57:18

building? Well, how much time were you

0:57:19

spent thinking about this at this point?

0:57:21

Like, is this like 16 hours a day? Well,

0:57:24

you know, so I was there and uh I

0:57:27

thought, what can you buy? It's like,

0:57:29

can I buy real estate? And the answer

0:57:30

is, well, real estate just doubled in

0:57:32

value over a few weeks because Jerome

0:57:33

jacked the price of the of interest to

0:57:36

zero. So, that's not good. Can I buy a

0:57:38

portfolio of stocks? They just went to

0:57:40

an all-time high because we jacked the

0:57:42

interest rates zero. That's no good. Can

0:57:45

I buy a portfolio of collectible art? Oh

0:57:48

yeah, good luck with like how do I find

0:57:50

$500 million of Picassos and Mones

0:57:53

attractively priced? That's not and and

0:57:57

by the way, we're now meet we're we're

0:57:59

struggling with you're looking at a guy

0:58:02

after 30 years in business and an

0:58:04

engineering

0:58:05

education, reasonably educated but not a

0:58:08

classically trained economist, not an

0:58:10

Austrian economist. I am struggle with

0:58:12

struggling with the time-honored

0:58:14

question. What is money?

0:58:16

I need a liquid fungeable asset which

0:58:19

will store my economic energy for an

0:58:23

indefinite period of time. That that is

0:58:26

and so what is money? I'm looking for

0:58:28

money and I you know eventually I get to

0:58:30

gold and I'm look I'm thinking should I

0:58:33

buy $500 million of gold? And you know,

0:58:35

my attorney, he looks at me and goes,

0:58:37

"You know, Mike, I remember when gold

0:58:38

was $800 an ounce back in the 70s or the

0:58:41

80s and then it went nowhere for 20

0:58:43

years, and you should be careful about

0:58:45

that, and it might not. It's kind of

0:58:47

dead money." And then I So, I'm sitting

0:58:50

at this table, and I'm watching the

0:58:52

world burn while all the Wall Street

0:58:55

guys get rich and the talking heads on

0:58:58

CNBC say what they're saying. And I'm

0:59:01

looking out at Miami Beach and I'm

0:59:03

looking at Collins Avenue and every car

0:59:05

is not there's no cars on the road

0:59:07

except for an Amazon truck which just

0:59:10

makes me

0:59:11

angry. One Amazon truck going by and

0:59:14

I've got 82 birds in my backyard and

0:59:17

they're hunting for worms because all

0:59:18

the restaurants in Miami Beach shut

0:59:20

down. So that whatever whoever was

0:59:22

feeding them is not feeding them. So I'm

0:59:24

watching uh us strip the world back to

0:59:28

the stone age, right? a a

0:59:31

devolution. And I'm I'm staring over my

0:59:34

pole and I look at Eric and I say,

0:59:37

"Eric, tell me about that Bitcoin thing

0:59:39

again." And Eric was a crypto

0:59:42

entrepreneur and he had been investing

0:59:44

in digital assets in crypto. And I had

0:59:47

dismissed him two years earlier in 2018.

0:59:49

I was like, "Oh, that's probably just a

0:59:51

scam coin that's going to collapse."

0:59:54

But uh you know everybody finds this

0:59:57

when you you know if I tell you you got

1:00:00

6 months to live you would go looking

1:00:02

for a cure. And if I told you every

1:00:05

asset that you hold in Canada is going

1:00:07

to be seized from you within 6 months

1:00:09

that could happen. You would think about

1:00:11

how you're going to get your money out

1:00:12

of Canada. Yeah. We already thought

1:00:14

about that you know and like and the

1:00:16

point is you didn't think about it for

1:00:18

the 20 years of your career when it just

1:00:20

wasn't the priority. Yeah. And then when

1:00:23

when you're faced with a crisis, a

1:00:26

challenge, you start thinking. So I

1:00:29

said, ' Eric, tell me about that Bitcoin

1:00:31

thing again. And he started describing

1:00:33

it. And I started thinking, how can I

1:00:35

get more information on that? And he

1:00:36

said, well, you can go and watch this

1:00:38

podcast. And you can learn anything on

1:00:40

YouTube, right? You can learn it if you

1:00:42

want to learn, right? I learned a lot

1:00:44

from you on YouTube. I learned a lot a

1:00:46

lot about diets and ketogenic diets and

1:00:49

the carnivore diet. And I learned a lot

1:00:52

about uh food politics and I learned a

1:00:55

lot about psychology and well so I

1:00:58

started studying up on crypto and I and

1:01:01

I started speed watching and intensely

1:01:03

watching and I went and I saw the work

1:01:05

of Andreas Antonopoulos and I saw all

1:01:07

the podcast of the early crypto uh

1:01:10

developers and I started looking for the

1:01:12

books and I read the Bitcoin standard

1:01:14

and I I got quote unquote dragged down

1:01:17

the rabbit hole and uh and I came to the

1:01:21

opinion that uh that the solution was

1:01:25

was a non-s sovereign store b value

1:01:28

bearer instrument of which gold had been

1:01:32

the best of those

1:01:34

but then I applied my engineering mind

1:01:36

and I and and I thought the way hein

1:01:39

would thought would have thought about

1:01:41

it and I said okay over a long enough

1:01:45

timeline what's the mortality rate okay

1:01:49

short You know, people that think short

1:01:51

time think about weeks or months or

1:01:53

years. I thought, well, let's try a 100

1:01:56

years. I looked over a hundred years and

1:01:58

I realized that at a 2% inflation rate,

1:02:01

and that's the rate at which we mine

1:02:02

more gold. At a 2% inflation rate, that

1:02:05

means the halflife of gold is about 36

1:02:08

years. Which means that the value of the

1:02:10

gold you hold is cut in half three times

1:02:12

over a 100 years. Which means that if

1:02:14

you started with the 100, you ended up

1:02:16

with 12.5% of the money you started with

1:02:19

over a 100. Explain that in a little

1:02:21

more detail. How does that happen with

1:02:23

gold? Say you owned 100% of the supply

1:02:26

of gold this year. The gold miners

1:02:30

produce 2% more gold every year. It

1:02:32

compounds which means it takes 36 years

1:02:34

before they've doubled the supply of

1:02:36

gold. Got it. Got it. Because you supply

1:02:38

of gold in 30 years. You own a quarter

1:02:40

of the supply of gold

1:02:42

in the relative scarity increases as you

1:02:45

hold it. It's inflating. Okay. Okay.

1:02:48

Okay. And and so gold although it's

1:02:51

quote unquote sound money and in the

1:02:53

Austrian economy school of thought it

1:02:55

was the best money, it's not perfect

1:02:57

money. The reason that you had stable

1:03:00

prices uh throughout the gold era, you

1:03:04

know, the the gold standard age is gold

1:03:06

was inflating about 2% a year and the

1:03:10

economy is growing 2% a year. And so if

1:03:14

the output of goods and services grow at

1:03:17

the rate of the money supply, the price

1:03:20

is constant. Okay. Okay. If the I if the

1:03:24

money supply is fixed and the economy

1:03:28

grew 2% a year, prices will fall 2%

1:03:31

every year. Right. Right. The na when

1:03:34

and by the way in technology when you

1:03:37

look at technical um products where the

1:03:40

company grows productivity faster than

1:03:43

2%. In a gold world the price would fall

1:03:48

very fast. Okay. So what's going on is

1:03:51

is there's a race between productivity

1:03:54

and money supply. And if I can drive the

1:03:58

price of the product down 20% a year, I

1:04:00

can inflate the amount of money 10% a

1:04:03

year and the price of that thing will

1:04:05

fall 10%. But but if I didn't inflate

1:04:08

the price of money, it would fall 20%.

1:04:10

You see? So I looked at gold. I said, I

1:04:13

need something like gold, but the

1:04:16

problem the problem with gold is it's a

1:04:18

conventional asset. it had kind of

1:04:20

recovered a bit and I thought it's not

1:04:23

perfect. It's the it's the best idea in

1:04:25

the 19th century and and it's not quite

1:04:29

working in the 20th

1:04:31

century. And so I started thinking what

1:04:34

if someone designed digital

1:04:36

gold? What if I you know now we go back

1:04:40

to the engineer saying can you perfect

1:04:43

gold and the engineering idea how do you

1:04:46

fix gold and make it perfect? Well, you

1:04:48

make it impossible to mine

1:04:50

anymore. What if and then we get into

1:04:53

the fantasy thing. What if you know what

1:04:56

if uh if God came down and there's a bit

1:04:59

of theology here if you for allow me. If

1:05:02

God came down and wanted to fix gold,

1:05:05

it's impossible to make any more

1:05:07

gold, right? How can you make it better?

1:05:11

It'd be really great if it was

1:05:12

weightless. Mhm. How do you make it

1:05:14

better? I'm going to cast a spell and

1:05:16

allow you to teleport the gold anywhere

1:05:18

on Earth. If God said, you know, I'm

1:05:21

going to implement a system of 21

1:05:23

million gold coins, but we're going to

1:05:25

call them God coins, and I'm going to

1:05:27

keep them in a bank in heaven, and I'm

1:05:30

going to let you transfer, you know, any

1:05:32

amount. I'm going to let you subdivide

1:05:33

it by 100 million, and we'll call them

1:05:35

Satoshi's

1:05:37

and and I will let you transfer

1:05:39

peer-to-peer and pay anybody any time

1:05:42

instantly at the speed of light. And I

1:05:43

will keep track of the ledger of who you

1:05:46

know corruptible way. I will never cheat

1:05:49

you. Mhm. And I will do it

1:05:51

forever for free. You know, if if if God

1:05:57

offered you that kind of divine

1:06:01

bank and you were sitting in Argentina

1:06:04

when the currency was collapsing to

1:06:06

zero, the Argentine peso went from a

1:06:08

dollar to the peso to a,000 pesos to the

1:06:11

dollar over 20 years and it did it five

1:06:14

times over the century. Right. Right.

1:06:16

Right. Or if you saw it happen in Russia

1:06:18

where their currency collapsed, it hap

1:06:20

the currency collapsed in Brazil. Yeah.

1:06:23

Not 25 years ago. Uh currency collapsed

1:06:26

in Germany a few times.

1:06:28

If you read the history of civilization,

1:06:31

read Durant. Durant's talking about

1:06:33

currencies collapsing in Russia in 16th

1:06:35

century. Yeah. Yeah. You know, the Roman

1:06:37

emperor, it's a substantial lifetime

1:06:39

risk. Pretty much on average the

1:06:42

currency collapses every 30 to 40 years

1:06:45

in most political jurisdictions for all

1:06:48

of human history. And if you get a

1:06:50

currency to last for, by the way, the

1:06:52

best currency of the last hundred years

1:06:54

is the dollar. The US won every war of

1:06:57

the 20th century. My house in Miami

1:07:00

Beach traded for $100,000. In 1930, it

1:07:04

would trade for hund00

1:07:06

million hundred years later.

1:07:14

99.9% collapse in the value of the

1:07:14

dollar. The winning currency of the 20th

1:07:17

century, the best currency in the world,

1:07:21

99.9% of its value. That's a winner.

1:07:25

If you do the math fast, just for the

1:07:27

viewers, it works out to 7% a year. 7%

1:07:31

inflation over in the best currency. And

1:07:33

how how do you calculate the infla like

1:07:35

the inflation calculations have always

1:07:38

need to do is take the take the number

1:07:40

divide it into 72 and that means that

1:07:43

you're having or you're doubling every

1:07:45

10 year seven into 70 is a 10year

1:07:48

halflife. So the issue is what's the

1:07:50

halflife of your money against what

1:07:53

basket of goods? Okay. And that is the

1:07:55

trick. That's for sure that's the trick

1:07:58

because what's the yard stick? the yard

1:08:00

the the government wants to calculate

1:08:03

inflation by constructing a a market

1:08:06

basket of consumer goods. Yes. And then

1:08:10

uh the trick is they just keep changing

1:08:12

what's in the basket. So they call it a

1:08:14

hydonic adjustment. Yeah. So Exactly.

1:08:16

Well, I create a basket of By the way, I

1:08:19

create a basket of goods that are not

1:08:21

likely to go up in price as I print

1:08:23

money and I put that into the basket.

1:08:25

You know, it's like if if I said organic

1:08:28

inflation of the inflation standard

1:08:30

grass-fed be Yeah. This pops up in uh

1:08:33

organic diet or you know, carnivore diet

1:08:36

or diet in general where people note

1:08:38

that if everybody ate meat and if it was

1:08:41

all organic, then we probably couldn't

1:08:44

support the 8 billion people on the

1:08:46

planet, we could support 800 million

1:08:48

people. So, it behooves us to convince

1:08:51

everybody that they should eat biscuit.

1:08:53

And that's what the Egyptians figured

1:08:55

out 5,000 years ago that you know if you

1:08:59

grow grain and you feed the population

1:09:01

biscuit you can raise an army and it's

1:09:03

very cheap. How does the army travel?

1:09:05

They travel on biscuit. So you know is

1:09:09

this good for 40 50 years? No. Your

1:09:11

teeth are going to fall out. It's awful

1:09:12

for your health. You're going to die 20

1:09:14

years early. But it doesn't matter when

1:09:16

the people fighting the war between the

1:09:18

ages 15 and 30. Like you won't kill

1:09:21

yourself with an awful diet fast before

1:09:24

the age 25, right? You're gonna, by the

1:09:27

way, in a war, you're going to die from

1:09:30

influenza, right? You're going to die

1:09:32

from the pathogens first if the bullet

1:09:35

doesn't get you second. You're not going

1:09:39

to die from malnutrition, except that I

1:09:41

can't give you a

1:09:42

cow, so I can only give you the biscuit.

1:09:45

So at the end of the day, the

1:09:48

government's view toward inflation is

1:09:50

it's in their best interest to construct

1:09:53

um Mhm. to to construct a single number.

1:09:56

There's the old phrase, you can tell

1:09:58

people, you can't tell people what to

1:09:59

think, but you can tell them what to

1:10:01

think about,

1:10:03

right? And so I want you to think that

1:10:06

inflation is CPI. It's not. Yeah. Yeah.

1:10:09

I want you to think 2% is acceptable.

1:10:12

And you estimated at seven. Now, this is

1:10:15

where you got to come back to being an

1:10:17

engineer. When you look out at a bay and

1:10:20

the wind is blowing on the bay and you

1:10:22

see all the white caps and the water is

1:10:24

moving and I ask you in one sentence to

1:10:27

describe the motion of the

1:10:30

bay, you there a semantic representation

1:10:34

is imperfect way to describe fluid

1:10:37

flow. you know, watch, you know, water

1:10:41

and it's spinning like this going down a

1:10:43

drain. How do you describe fluid flow?

1:10:45

Well, the answer is every component of

1:10:47

the water has a different uh velocity.

1:10:50

It's a different vector, right? It's

1:10:52

they're all moving like and it's

1:10:54

dynamic. And now blow some bubbles in

1:10:56

it. Describe that with words. Give me

1:10:59

the number. There's no number. That's a

1:11:01

field. It's a vector, right? You you

1:11:03

know, so my background at MIT, I studied

1:11:06

thermodynamics. I I studied very hard

1:11:08

math. I mean, the math you use to design

1:11:10

a jet engine, the math you use to

1:11:13

design, you know, anything that goes

1:11:15

supersonic through the air, the math is

1:11:18

complicated. You know, you need vector

1:11:21

calculus. You need you need nonlinear

1:11:24

dynamic systems of equations. You need

1:11:26

field theory. What's the gravitational

1:11:28

field of the Earth? Tell me that in like

1:11:30

a number. Well, you know, like it's it's

1:11:32

different everywhere. It's changing. But

1:11:35

no, but but that's too complicated,

1:11:38

right? For the rank and file. So what is

1:11:40

inflation? Inflation's a vector. There's

1:11:42

a different inflation rate for every

1:11:44

single thing in this room. And it would

1:11:46

be a different rate for this room if I

1:11:48

put this room in Toronto. Mhm. Right.

1:11:51

And it's changing every week. It's

1:11:53

changing every minute. So the inflation

1:11:55

rate of there's a 100,000 things you

1:11:57

might want. And the rate of inflation on

1:12:00

all of those 100,000 things is changing

1:12:03

minute by minute. And it's different in

1:12:04

Hong Kong than it is in China. It's

1:12:07

like, okay, there's a war going on.

1:12:09

Guess what? We shut down the economy.

1:12:11

There's a war. World War I, World War

1:12:13

II, there's no inflation. Why? Cuz it's

1:12:15

illegal to buy anything. Okay? There was

1:12:18

no inflation in 2020 when we printed

1:12:20

money. Except what? What are you allowed

1:12:21

to buy when you're under home arrest?

1:12:24

You can buy

1:12:25

stocks. The inflation was in the stocks.

1:12:28

The inflation was in Amazon stock in in

1:12:32

March of 2020. It wasn't in restaurant

1:12:34

bills because it was illegal to go to

1:12:36

the restaurant. It wasn't in the cruise

1:12:38

lines. It wasn't in the airlines. And so

1:12:41

I want you to think now this 2%

1:12:44

inflation is so let me abstract back a

1:12:46

bit here. So just Okay. So we we laid

1:12:49

the groundwork for

1:12:51

why this

1:12:53

Bitcoin revelation hit you hard. And

1:12:57

then you laid out an economic argument

1:12:59

which was that your assessment of the

1:13:00

situation was that

1:13:05

standard story with regards to the

1:13:07

reliability of currency and the

1:13:08

inflation rate is

1:13:10

radically offkilter.

1:13:13

The most successful currency hasn't been

1:13:16

particularly successful at all. And the

1:13:18

inflation rate that's reasonably

1:13:21

estimated is much higher than the

1:13:23

official inflation rate which means that

1:13:26

your storehouse of value whatever it is

1:13:29

is going to be deflated terribly during

1:13:32

your lifetime. Okay. Now you come across

1:13:34

Bitcoin and you talked about it as if it

1:13:36

was you know this abstracted gold with

1:13:39

the properties that you already

1:13:41

described. So, it has the rarity of

1:13:42

gold. Let me ask you a couple questions

1:13:44

about that because some people have

1:13:45

actually asked me about this. Is quantum

1:13:48

computation going to break the Bitcoin

1:13:50

passwords? Like I can imagine, are there

1:13:53

two things that would take it out? What

1:13:55

about a solar flare that wipes out the

1:13:57

electronics? Does that wipe out Bitcoin?

1:13:59

What about quantum computation and

1:14:01

cracking the the passwords to the short

1:14:04

answer is is no. and uh this is the most

1:14:07

anti-fragile indestructible

1:14:10

thing in the world. Um the long

1:14:14

distribution the longer answer is uh

1:14:19

Bitcoin is an ideology.

1:14:23

Yeah. That is manifested as a protocol

1:14:29

materialized as a network across which

1:14:32

an asset runs. So okay okay. is the most

1:14:36

real aspect of the ideology. Let me say

1:14:39

it's like is quantum computing if it

1:14:41

hacks your email account going to

1:14:42

destroy the English language. You see,

1:14:44

is quantum computing going to actually

1:14:47

break base 10 math? Base 10 math is a

1:14:50

protocol. If you have a computer program

1:14:53

and it becomes insecure, you have to

1:14:55

upgrade the program. But but the reason

1:14:57

that we use numbers 1 through 9 or 0

1:15:00

through 9 is because over the course of

1:15:03

about 900 years, Western civilization

1:15:06

realized that we could actually

1:15:08

calculate things more efficiently with

1:15:10

that protocol. But it's not the only

1:15:12

protocol, Jordan. There's base two.

1:15:15

There's base, you know, 16, right?

1:15:16

There's why do we have 12 months in the

1:15:19

year? Why do we have

1:15:21

360 degrees? Because the Babylonians had

1:15:24

other systems of math. Mhm. We have a

1:15:26

system of math. There's other languages.

1:15:28

Why do we use English? Well, we all

1:15:31

decided, the scientists, the economist,

1:15:33

Western civilization, there's a lot of

1:15:35

reasons why. We could trace it to

1:15:37

geography of England and the English

1:15:39

Channel and a bunch of stuff. We don't

1:15:41

have time for that. It's a protocol.

1:15:43

Bitcoin, it's a protocol. What kind of

1:15:46

protocol? It's an monetary protocol.

1:15:49

Why? What's it informed by? An ideology.

1:15:52

What is the ideology?

1:15:54

sovereignty,

1:15:56

truth, sound,

1:15:59

thermodynamic

1:16:00

soundness. Um, why thermodynamic

1:16:03

soundness? Cuz 1 + 1 has to equal two.

1:16:08

And if 1 + 1 equals three some days or

1:16:12

one and a half other

1:16:15

days, you can't solve any problem. in

1:16:19

engineering and in aeronautical

1:16:20

engineering uh there's a phrase called

1:16:23

adiabatic an adiabatic system and

1:16:26

adiabatic system means a closed system

1:16:30

um and so whenever you're whenever

1:16:32

you're building anything the the problem

1:16:34

always starts with assume an adiabatic

1:16:37

system right right if I introduce this

1:16:40

heat source if I you know if I fly

1:16:43

through what they're saying is assuming

1:16:45

it's a closed energy system there's

1:16:47

noter external

1:16:49

factor, right? Uh assuming assuming an

1:16:53

adabatic system, how long will our

1:16:54

podcast go? About two and a half hours.

1:16:56

If Godzilla steps on your studio in the

1:17:00

next 30 seconds, the podcast will go

1:17:02

shorter because of new energy. So when

1:17:04

Godzilla shows up to the playground, all

1:17:07

bets are off. Right. Right. Okay. Right.

1:17:09

So Right. So if if I have a an a bathtub

1:17:14

or I have a swimming pool with a leak in

1:17:16

it, you can't jump into the swimming

1:17:18

pool without risking breaking your neck,

1:17:20

right? If I have a leak in a fuselage of

1:17:23

an airplane, we can't fly. Explosive

1:17:25

decompression. You can if you're an

1:17:28

engineer and you're engineering

1:17:30

airplanes or internal combustion engines

1:17:32

or spaceships,

1:17:35

you have to do the engineering properly.

1:17:38

And that includes make it a closed

1:17:40

system or a thermodynamically sound

1:17:43

system. When it's not, there's leakage,

1:17:46

right? There's either a friction cost or

1:17:48

there's a leakage cost. And you have to

1:17:50

account for the leakage in a

1:17:52

replenishment if you want the machine to

1:17:54

work. The machine will not work if you

1:17:57

don't actually solve the problem. So

1:18:00

when when we come uh to this idea of the

1:18:04

ideology of Bitcoin, Bitcoin is based

1:18:08

upon engineering principle, scient

1:18:11

mathematical soundness, consistency,

1:18:15

integrity, truth, right? Um and and

1:18:20

those are all the principles

1:18:21

incorruptibility of the le ledger. Those

1:18:23

are the principles of libertarians and

1:18:25

Austrian economists, right? Yeah. And

1:18:28

those are also that is someone that

1:18:31

believes that we should be governed by

1:18:33

natural law, right? So we go back to

1:18:36

John Lockach and we go back to natural

1:18:39

rights and natural law, right? Uh nature

1:18:44

governs, right? Whether nature nature

1:18:46

gives you gravity. If you tip the glass

1:18:48

there, it's falling to the floor. You

1:18:50

don't get to break the rule. That is

1:18:52

just the rule. You have to comport

1:18:54

yourself accordingly knowing that

1:18:56

there's a gravitational field in this

1:18:58

room right now. You can't wish it away,

1:19:01

right? A lawyer would like to wish you'd

1:19:03

like to if if the politicians could pass

1:19:05

a law, they'd pass a law suspending

1:19:08

gravity rights, you know, for the time

1:19:10

being in certain places, but the you

1:19:12

can't as Elon Musk says, you don't get

1:19:14

to break the laws of physics, right?

1:19:17

So, so Bitcoin starts with this ideology

1:19:21

of the engineers, the scientists, the

1:19:23

mathematicians, right? Uh, and we create

1:19:27

a protocol. The protocol

1:19:30

is what if a bunch of smart people in

1:19:33

the world

1:19:34

um what if they wanted to keep their

1:19:36

money?

1:19:38

What if uh or or in this case I gave you

1:19:41

the example of the divine bank that God

1:19:43

gave you except if God's not going to

1:19:46

set up divine bank and solve all your

1:19:48

monetary problem. What's the what's the

1:19:50

the second best idea? The second best

1:19:53

idea would be a smart engineer takes

1:19:56

advantage of semiconductors, the

1:19:58

internet and cryptography and you create

1:20:01

a system where 21 million bitcoins

1:20:05

circulate subdividable by a 100 million

1:20:08

satoshi's each. That system

1:20:12

uh is protected by public and private

1:20:14

key cryptography.

1:20:16

And should you actually have possession

1:20:18

of the private key, you have control

1:20:21

over your coins, that means that you've

1:20:24

created a bank in cyberspace. Now

1:20:27

imagine a hundred rich

1:20:29

families. They live all over the world.

1:20:32

They all get together one day and they

1:20:34

say, "Well, you know, God won't solve

1:20:36

our problems for us, so we got to solve

1:20:38

our problems oursel. Let's go ahead and

1:20:41

build out this Bitcoin network." And uh

1:20:44

this is a bank and we're all going to be

1:20:46

able to deposit our money in this bank.

1:20:49

Why? We don't trust the government. We

1:20:52

don't trust a local bank. We don't trust

1:20:55

each other. We don't, you know, and we

1:20:58

want the bank to last for a thousand

1:21:00

years. Okay. Who's going to run the

1:21:03

software?

1:21:05

Well, the answer is everybody's going to

1:21:07

run the software because nobody I trust

1:21:09

you, you trust me, but your your idiot

1:21:12

great grandson I might not trust. Or

1:21:15

maybe my idiot great grandson might not

1:21:18

get along with your idiot great

1:21:20

grandson.

1:21:21

So, you know, and this is where history

1:21:24

of science comes in. You know how we

1:21:26

studied longitude or uh long longitude

1:21:29

was the breakthrough they gave the

1:21:31

British control of the seas and and the

1:21:35

longitude prize was instantiated by the

1:21:39

parliament. They offered £10,000 to

1:21:41

whoever could figure out how to

1:21:42

calculate longitude on the

1:21:44

ocean. Every physics professor at uh at

1:21:48

Cambridge and Oxford tried it. They all

1:21:50

failed. Every mathematician failed. They

1:21:52

could not figure it out. A clock maker

1:21:56

by the name of John Harrison makes

1:21:59

clocks. He solved the problem. Just like

1:22:01

the Wright brothers figure out how to

1:22:03

fly without their aeronautical

1:22:04

engineering degree, the clock the

1:22:05

bicycle makers figure out how to fly.

1:22:07

The clock maker figured out how to solve

1:22:09

the problem. He created a perfect clock.

1:22:11

He gave you two clocks. And when you get

1:22:13

in the British ship, you sail past

1:22:15

Greenwich, which is where the Royal

1:22:16

Observatory is. You set your first clock

1:22:19

to Royal Observatory time. Grinnwich

1:22:21

meantime. That's where we got universal

1:22:23

time. The second clock is set at the

1:22:25

local time. The ship sails to the West

1:22:29

Indies. You look up, you figure out what

1:22:31

high noon is. You compare the second

1:22:33

clock to the first clock. You subtract

1:22:36

two hours. You multiply by 15 degrees.

1:22:39

You've got your longitude on the ocean.

1:22:42

Now, what's the breakthrough? No one

1:22:44

could make a perfect clock. How do I

1:22:46

create a perfect clock? Because the

1:22:49

metal in the clock expands and

1:22:52

contracts, John Harrison created a

1:22:54

perfect machine from imperfect

1:22:56

materials. What he realized is yes, the

1:23:00

metal does expand and contract. We can't

1:23:02

stop it from expanding and contracting

1:23:04

with humidity and with temperature. What

1:23:06

we can do is take two identical pieces

1:23:09

of metal and put them in tension with

1:23:12

each other. So, this one is contracting

1:23:14

the same amount that one is contracting.

1:23:16

they they actually uh compensate

1:23:20

neutralize each other and you end up

1:23:22

with a perfect machine. That is

1:23:24

brilliant engineering. Not through math,

1:23:28

not not through science, but through uh

1:23:30

practical

1:23:32

engineering. Harrison creates a perfect

1:23:34

clock. The clock inadvertently gives us

1:23:37

longitude. Longitude gives the British

1:23:39

Navy command of the seas. And we're

1:23:41

speaking English right now, right?

1:23:43

Satoshi got it. Satoshi has to create a

1:23:46

perfect monetary network and you got to

1:23:49

create it with imperfect components. The

1:23:52

imperfect components are the people, the

1:23:54

governments, the actors, the computers.

1:23:57

They're going to fail. What happens if

1:24:00

the power goes out? What happens if that

1:24:02

gets hacked? The answer is I create a

1:24:06

machine that's running the protocol.

1:24:09

This one's running the protocol. This

1:24:11

one's running the protocol. They're all

1:24:13

running at the same time. They're all

1:24:16

hashing in order in order to guess the

1:24:19

answer to that's required to build the

1:24:21

next block. One out of a million of

1:24:24

these things will win. The entire thing

1:24:27

is a fault tolerant shared nothing, you

1:24:31

know, mission critical nuclear hardened

1:24:34

system because what is it? It's a virus,

1:24:38

right? It's a it's a it's an internet

1:24:42

virus, a monetary virus, an ideological

1:24:44

virus. And everyone that chooses to run

1:24:46

the node is feeding the network, you

1:24:50

know, participating in the network. All

1:24:52

of the miners are defending the network.

1:24:57

Um people will but but once you

1:25:00

understand it like that then you realize

1:25:02

that what's going on with this with

1:25:04

Bitcoin is a bunch of people with the

1:25:07

ideology we just all like to keep our

1:25:09

money. Mhm.

1:25:12

Running a protocol have instantiated

1:25:14

that protocol in software that runs on

1:25:17

mobile phones that runs on computers. We

1:25:19

should also say you know it's not

1:25:21

exactly that you want to keep your

1:25:22

money. It's it's you want to keep the

1:25:24

fruits of your labor and you want to

1:25:26

keep your reputation and you want to do

1:25:27

that over the longest amount of time

1:25:29

possible with the least amount of

1:25:31

parasetism and corruption u manageable.

1:25:34

And so, you know, because when you say

1:25:36

you want to keep your money, it's it's

1:25:38

got that kind of evil capitalist ring to

1:25:40

it. But you know, if you spent your

1:25:42

entire lifetime building up a storehouse

1:25:44

of value and you did that in a way that

1:25:46

also brought prosperity to other people,

1:25:48

it's only natural justice of the sort

1:25:50

that keeps hardworking people working

1:25:52

and everything abundant in order to not

1:25:55

allow people like that to be parasitized

1:25:57

and taken out. If you would indulge me,

1:26:00

this is where we should probably veer

1:26:01

off into libertarian politics and

1:26:04

philosophy. Let's wait. Let's do that on

1:26:06

the Daily Wire side because we should

1:26:08

bring this part to a close. Well, you

1:26:10

you had a good landing there with

1:26:12

regards to, you know, your summary of

1:26:14

how Bitcoin worked and all the things

1:26:16

that we talked to culminated into that.

1:26:18

And on the Daily Wire side, we'll talk

1:26:20

about the relevance of this for young

1:26:22

people. We'll talk about what you think

1:26:24

is going to transpire in the next 5 to

1:26:26

10 years on the Bitcoin side, and we'll

1:26:28

flesh out the libertarian discussion.

1:26:30

But that's an excellent place to stop.

1:26:32

Thank you for your time. Thank Thank you

1:26:33

very much for the thorough investigation

1:26:36

and explanation. And so we're going to

1:26:39

continue on this road on the Daily Wire

1:26:42

side for all of you watching and

1:26:43

listening. And so um you might feel

1:26:46

inclined to attend to that so that we

1:26:48

can delve into this. I want to hear

1:26:51

Michael's thoughts

1:26:53

on well what's going to happen in the

1:26:55

next 5 years and what you should do if

1:26:57

you're young concretely speaking. And so

1:27:00

join us there. Thank you everyone here

1:27:02

today uh in Scottsdale film crew and

1:27:04

thank you very much for showing up and

1:27:07

talking. It's been a real pleasure and

1:27:08

very informative that's for sure. So

1:27:11

thanks everybody. We'll see you on the

1:27:12

daily wire side.

1:27:14

[Music]

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