SaylorCorpus

Michael Saylor's Deep-Dive on Bitcoin Energy Misconceptions (BTC099)

Preston Pysh · 2022-10-12 · 2h 54m · View on YouTube →

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I’m here with the one and only Michael Saylor.

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Welcome back to the show.

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Michael Saylor (00:01:46):

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Thanks, Preston.

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Preston Pysh (00:01:48):

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Hey, so Michael, last week I had Jason Lowery on the show, and Jason and I did a deep dive

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on all the nuances between proof of work and proof of stake.

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And one of the things that Jason has really outlined in what I think is a meaningful way

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is why Bitcoin requires energy to tether itself to reality.

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And this is something that we’re going to cover in depth today during our deep dive

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on energy, energy FUD and whatnot.

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I want to start off this conversation with a quote from Jeff Booth, and Jeff has this

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theory or thesis that if the currency isn’t scarce, every desirable good on the planet

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will become scarce.

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I’m curious if you agree with this idea.

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If you do, I’m kind of curious why you think it’s important.

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Michael Saylor (00:02:36):

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I do agree with the idea, and I think that ultimately it’s anchored in the laws of

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thermodynamics.

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The whole premise that is required for the universe to function is conservation of energy.

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At first, you have to have the existence of energy, and then you have to have the conservation

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of energy.

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In the Bible, the first thing we remember is God says, let there be light that.

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So everything starts with the deity pointing out that in the absence of light, which is

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energy, there is no life.

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Darkness is the absence of energy.

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Energy is fundamental, but conservation of energy is what makes the universe rational,

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is what makes it work.

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I think Jeff Booth is pointing out that, right?

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That the idea of scarcity of money is the same as saying, if money is conservative,

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then everything else will be conservative.

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If money is non-conservative, the world goes insane.

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Michael Saylor (00:03:41):

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I think the examples there that pop up, a commodity without energy is a coupon.

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If I have a dozen eggs and I take the eggs away and I replace it with a sheet of paper

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or a text message, and I send you a text message saying, “This is good for dozen eggs.”

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Now, I’ve created a coupon, but I don’t have a commodity anymore.

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Now, the problem is you might forward the text message to a million of your friends

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and now you have a million text messages that are all coupons, but you don’t have the

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eggs that equal the coupons and so that’s an example of non-conservative money, right?

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Money without energy is credit.

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Commodities without energy are coupons.

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In cyberspace, an object without energy is an image.

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If you have an object and there’s no energy, it’s like Plato shadow, a person without

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energy is a ghost.

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Michael Saylor (00:04:40):

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When you make a comment and there’s no energy to back it, it lacks credibility.

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And if you have a cyber persona and there’s no energy that backs it, again, you lack credibility.

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The energy itself is what creates cost to a copy.

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Having a cost to a copy is what creates scarcity.

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If there is no cost to a copy, if we come back to that example of I want to go to a

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party and I’ve got one ticket, and then I email the one ticket to 10,000 friends,

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the first friend gets sent to the party, and the next 9,999 friends either A, they all

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get into the party and the party collapses in chaos, right?

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Because now you’ve got 10,000 people in a room that holds 200 people and the fire

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marshal shuts down the party.

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Preston Pysh (00:05:32):

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And they’re consuming everything.

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Michael Saylor (00:05:33):

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That’s what happens when the coupon gets redeemed 10,000 times against a single commodity

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and the other possibility is the person running the party is competent and they only let the

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first person in because they’re scanning and they deny the next 9,999 people.

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Then what you have is chaos at the door, 9,999 people, they’re just mad, they couldn’t

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get in and kind of a breakdown in civilization because now people all go crazy.

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They all literally go crazy because they think they had the coupon to get into the party,

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but they didn’t.

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And so when I apply that to a coupon for food, a coupon for energy, a coupon for access,

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et cetera, then what you’ve got is an example of everyone plunged into chaos.

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Nothing has any credibility anymore.

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I think Booth says, if money is the ultimate coupon, the ultimate coupon is there’s 21

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million units of money and you can’t make anymore.

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If I want to guarantee that it’ll be scarce, then I inject energy into each coupon, right?

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Michael Saylor (00:06:46):

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That’s equivalent to 21 million gold coins.

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It’s not perfect, but it’s energy infuse.

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So there’s some expense to it, so it’s credible.

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But if I want to make it perfect, then I have to come up with a decentralized ledger Bitcoin

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type system where it’s not just 21 million gold coins, it’s 21 million Bitcoin and

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no one can mine anymore Bitcoin, no matter how much energy they expense.

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In that case, I go from digital coupon when I have no energy to digital commodity, when

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I have energy, and if I want to become digital scarcity, I have to have digital protocol

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or scarcity protocol that the energy circulates within.

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So Satoshi’s protocol converts a commodity into scarcity.

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If you kept the same proof of work protocol and use proof of work, but you didn’t cap

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the Bitcoin at 21 million and you didn’t have halvings, the difficulty adjustment controls

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the rate at which the 21 million coins come out and says they have to take until the year

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2140.

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Michael Saylor (00:07:50):

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But the halvings asymptotically approach 21 million and what they say is, we exponentially

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decrease the amount of Bitcoin that get produced until we get to 21 million and then we stop

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produce anymore.

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The real genius of Bitcoin there is you haven’t created a coupon, you haven’t even created

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digital commodity, you’ve created a digital scarcity due to the protocol, and the digital

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scarcity created absolute scarcity that’s fixed.

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And because you created an absolute fixed scarcity, you created the perfect money and

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the ideal investment asset, now people can start to act rationally.

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The other half of the observation is, if the money is totally not scarce, if I can produce

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20 coupons, 200 coupons, 20 million coupons, if I told you here’s the ticket to the party,

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first guy gets in, you rush to the party knowing that you don’t want to be the second person.

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That’s where I’m saying, here’s some money.

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Michael Saylor (00:08:50):

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It’s getting inflated at a fast rate, and you’re rushing to spend it before it goes

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to zero.

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One aspect of the lack of scarcity is I’m urgently wanting to use the coupon and I’m

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using it even though my wife is delivering a baby, and I probably should be in the hospital,

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but instead I’m rushing off to spend the money because the money will be worthless

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by the time the baby is born.

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So you’re caught in this wicked conundrum where you have to make irrational decisions

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because the clock is ticking, and that’s one big problem.

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Preston Pysh (00:09:25):

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You’re incentivized that if you know there’s going to be a thousand coupons, I’m now

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incentivized to go to the gatekeeper, issuing them to try to get to front run everybody

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else.

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And this is our Cantillon effect, kind of why that incentive exists in this type of

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system that you’re describing?

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Michael Saylor (00:09:44):

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You end up with a dilemma of impatience, like irrational urgency.

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Then the other dilemma is lack of credibility because since they’re just coupons, and

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I had the experience, maybe I got in the party first and yeah, that’s good, but if I got

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to the party third and I got rejected, then I’m angry about it.

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Now, the next time someone offers me a coupon for something else, here’s a coupon for

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a dozen oranges, I think, well, this one’s probably also going to go to zero.

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You go through these phases, the phase of ignorance, I didn’t think there was a problem.

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I get to the party, I get denied.

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Then the phase of urgency, I know there’s a problem.

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I rush to the party, I get in.

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Then the phase of apathy, there’s no way I can beat 999 other people.

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Someone will get to the party before me.

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Michael Saylor (00:10:33):

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So this thing is worthless.

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It’s toilet paper, I might as well just throw it away.

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Whenever you give me something, I think it lacks substance and I don’t value it.

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And so now, you have a breakdown of trust in all the systems, a breakdown of trade,

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a breakdown of credibility, and we come back to in the economy, you’ve got these classic

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examples, the money is becoming worthless.

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I have to trade it for something that isn’t going to become worthless.

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You just get lots of inefficiency and panic.

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But in cyberspace, we see this manifested for whenever I post on Twitter, 99 Twitter

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bots will comment and they will say, “Why isn’t anybody talking about this?”

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Or they’ll give you the crypto giveaway or they’ll offer to let you join their telegram

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group to get free trading advice.

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Those are all examples of non-real people.

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Michael Saylor (00:11:29):

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They’re not real, so they’re not credible.

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The credibility disappears from all of the personas.

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They’re obviously just bots.

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They’re bots because there’s no energy content in the bot.

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But what happens by inference is first the credibility disappears from the persona, then

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the credibility disappears from the comment, and then the credibility disappears from the

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overall system.

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I went to a party, there were 500 ghosts, they all lied to me.

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Then I realized I was the only person at the party.

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Then the party wasn’t fun anymore.

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I took myself home and I realized that I’d inadvertently been hanging out in a haunted

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house.

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That’s what you get, right?

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Preston Pysh (00:12:13):

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Yeah.

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Michael Saylor (00:12:13):

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When you go to a party of ghosts.

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And what I’ve used, what I’ve said, and metaphorically that describes my DMs and Twitter,

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I think I have a 100,000 direct messages of which in the 100,000, there are 57 legitimate

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ones that describes my DMs in Instagram, that describes right now if I go to Twitter and

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I post something, there might be a 1,000 or 1,500 comments of which there might be 50

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real comments.

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We have all of these ghost parties going on and the best situation is, well, they’re

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just ignored.

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But the worst situation is the ghost get in your head and drive you insane, literally

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insane.

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What happens when your daughter logs into Instagram and finds an 18 year old football

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quarterback from the school across town that praises her and then it turns out that’s

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really a 65 year old inmate.

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It’s like, you don’t really know what they are.

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I think Booth’s example is conventional economics and he points out that if the money

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is not scarce, everything else will be because of hyperinflation and economic collapse.

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There is no method for storing and rationally allocating energy across time and space, so

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he’s pointing that out.

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But that economic metaphor, that can be applied in cyberspace, the same thing happens.

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In essence, you have a collapse of civility and security and credibility in cyberspace

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on YouTube or Instagram or Twitter or Facebook.

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You can also apply it as a biological metaphor.

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If I suck all the oxygen out of your blood, or if I just open up one of your arteries

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and your blood pressure goes to zero, and you can also apply…

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So you’re bleeding to death.

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Michael Saylor (00:14:04):

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And that’s also an example of an energy collapse.

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And of course, you have an energy collapse.

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If I go into a room, maybe I go into a school and the school is in the Arctic and it’s

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68 degrees and everybody’s studying and cooperating and working well with each other

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and they’re very efficient and they’re working in the lab and they’re doing things

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and they’re constructing things and writing books and poems and playing music.

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Then I crank the temperature down to 58 degrees and then someone gets up where they walk around

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a little bit and they go and put a coat and they get distracted.

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Then I crank the temperature out of 48 degrees and then I crank the temperature out of 38

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degrees.

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At some point, the person that was actually composing the symphony is now just jumping

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up and down to try to keep from freezing to death.

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Michael Saylor (00:14:50):

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Then the kids are fighting with each other over who gets the clothes or who gets the

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blanket.

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When I crank the temperature down at 28 degrees, there’s no teaching, there’s no creating,

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there’s no joy.

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The only thing you’re doing is attempting to avoid freezing to death.

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And in the midst, there’s a lot of fighting.

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You close the door, I want to burn your desk.

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You’ll burn the room down.

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Why didn’t you give me your lighter?

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You’re too close to me.

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Get closer.

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All sorts of crazy insanity.

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All of these systems all collapse because the energy and the fluid lapses, the energy

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lapse.

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I think classic Austrian economics, as you need hard money in order to solve the coincidence

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of once and in order to trade over spent across domains, through space and through time.

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I have to have hard money and hard money is simply efficient energy circulation.

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Michael Saylor (00:15:47):

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I need a fluid that moves through the system that’s no different than your blood holds

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oxygen and you’re not bleeding or it’s no different than I’ve got a coolant in

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the radiator, right?

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Isn’t there a fluid through the system for heat exchange?

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That’s what you need.

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If I want to break it, I either remove the fluid or I put a defect in the circulatory

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system.

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Generally, the result is a breakdown of cooperation, a breakdown of trust, a breakdown of credibility,

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a breakdown of patients.

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How do I do anything that takes four years if I have enough oxygen for one year?

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How do I do anything that takes three months if I have enough oxygen for three minutes?

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The only way that I get something sophisticated done that requires extraordinary cooperation

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is I have to have a long enough time horizon and I have to have an efficient means of cooperation

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and money.

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Money is critical technology for that, but really money is just energy.

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Preston Pysh (00:16:52):

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Michael, would you…

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Michael Saylor (00:16:52):

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And we can talk about money, but we should just always take it back to the creation of

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the universe, which is everything works naturally because of conservation of energy, the existence

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of energy and matter.

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Preston Pysh (00:17:07):

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That’s where I wanted to go.

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When you say conservation of energy, and you talk about how this is so important to the

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physical universe, is it possible to create a digital money without injecting energy into

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It sounds like you’re saying that’s impossible, is that correctly summarized?

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Michael Saylor (00:17:30):

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I don’t think you can.

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I think that we only have discovered one way that is settled and universally agreed upon

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to create digital energy or a digital commodity and the one way is proof of work.

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I take electricity and I run it through some kind of hashing algorithm.

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You could do it with SHA-256.

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I mean, you could probably come up with another hashing algorithm.

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You can come up with certain other algorithms that do it, but I’m modulating electricity

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to do work.

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I’d say bitcoin’s an example of the creation of a digital commodity.

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As I said before, if you took away the difficulty adjustment and you took away the halvings,

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you could have a commodity more so than a scarcity.

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The brilliance of Bitcoin is not just that it’s a digital commodity, but that it’s

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a digital scarcity.

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If I uncap the amount of Bitcoin, I just let you continue to create it.

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Michael Saylor (00:18:27):

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Well, I’ve got a digital commodity.

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Well, I mean, oil is a physical commodity, and so it’s uncapped.

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I mean, the reason that oil is not necessarily as good in investment as Bitcoin over the

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long term is A, it’s not digital and so I can’t carry $10 billion worth of oil on

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a USB stick, but I can carry $10 billion worth of Bitcoin.

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And the second reason is it’s not a scarcity.

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A 100 oil miners or oil refiners can produce a hundred times as much as one, whereas with

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Bitcoin, a 100 Bitcoin miners can’t produce any more Bitcoin than one Bitcoin miner can

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produce.

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Oil’s not a scarcity, it’s a commodity, and it’s the physical commodity.

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Bitcoin is a digital commodity.

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Now, other people have launched, I mean, other groups have launched crypto networks that

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use proof of work, I mean, Ethereum was a proof of work network.

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You’ve got the Bitcoin forks, a handful of other cryptos that are proof of work networks.

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That might make them, what would I say?

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Michael Saylor (00:19:28):

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It might make them an ersatz or an architectural digital commodity.

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It doesn’t guarantee they’re a specialty or it doesn’t guarantee their digital scarcity.

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For example, Dogecoin keeps increasing its supply.

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It’s not a scarcity, it’s a proof of work protocol that creates more and more and more,

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right?

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It’s commodity in the same way that someone creates more silver or more soybeans every

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year.

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It doesn’t necessarily make them regulatory commodities or ethical commodities.

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And the distinction there is if Apple computer launched a proof of work network tomorrow

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and it kept half the coins, it wouldn’t be an ethical commodity.

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It would be an architectural digital commodity.

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But Apple computer makes it a security because there’s a pre mine.

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And so if there’s a pre mine or if there’s an ICO, or if I created a protocol where 10%

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of all the coins that were mined were funneled to a wallet that I controlled, that I used

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to pay developers, all of those things make it more of an investment contractor security,

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even though it’s using energy.

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Michael Saylor (00:20:47):

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The use of energy doesn’t guarantee that something’s a commodity.

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The use of proof of work doesn’t guarantee it’s a scarcity, right?

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Because the protocol is what makes it a scarcity, and the providence is what makes it ethical

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and a commodity.

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So Bitcoin is special because it has a providence of Satoshi disappears, that Satoshi coins

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never moved.

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There’s no ICO, there’s no central development organization, there’s no protocol that funnels

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energy to developers and there’s no pre mine.

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The ethical launch of the digital commodity could create a regulatory commodity or an

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ethical commodity, which would be deemed as an asset without an issuer, right?

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An asset without an issuer is a technical definition.

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The regulatory definition of a commodity.

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So the oranges, wheat, coal, steel, soybeans, oil, natural gas are all assets without an

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issuer but they’re not capped.

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Bitcoin is the asset without the issuer because the ethical providence and the way that it

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becomes without an issuer is you have to have a consensus mechanism that doesn’t require

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the coordination of engineers.

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Michael Saylor (00:22:06):

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The problem with proof of stake is that proof of stake is a simulation of the universe or

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an imaginary universe.

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You’re imagining energy and you’re cutting a virtual machine.

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I literally call it a virtual machine, a virtual machine with virtual energy in the form of

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virtual tokens for virtual security, all manifested in software code.

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Someone has to write that software code.

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And if you write that software code and you keep changing it over and over and over again,

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then you’ve got this problem, which is how can I continually change the software without

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someone having influence over the software?

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In essence, have created a software company.

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So with Ethereum, the Ethereum Foundation is a software company.

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There’s a lot of software engineers that have to write the software.

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They have to be paid, someone has to budget for the payment of the engineers.

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The only hope you have of something based on software becoming a commodity is you write

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the software once you gift it to the world, and then you stop changing it and you distributed

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across 20, 30, 50, a 100, a 1,000 different parties.

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Michael Saylor (00:23:18):

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And if everybody can run the software and if there’s no need to change it, and if

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no one organization controls it, now it becomes sufficiently decentralized.

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So you see, that’s the fact pattern with Bitcoin.

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The reason it’s important for Bitcoin to be simple is the software, the protocol needed

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to be substantially finished when it was first released by January 3rd, 2009.

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They needed to have it done.

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They couldn’t keep changing the protocol because otherwise you end up with a software

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company.

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So proof of work allows you to place the consensus and the security and the integrity of the

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network in the hands of Bitcoin miners and Bitcoin node runners.

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So you’re using electricity and you’re using 256 Asics in order to create the security

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and the integrity of the network.

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That’s generally thermodynamically bound and it’s open and everybody can participate

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and anybody can create their own Bitcoin miner.

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Michael Saylor (00:24:19):

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Anybody can mine Bitcoin, anybody can…

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Electricity is broadly found in the universe, and you’re not waiting.

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You don’t need the permission of anybody to allow you to get on a network and mine,

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nor do you need the permission of anybody to run a node.

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It’s permissionless and that’s what makes it without an issuer.

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As soon as you decide that you want to get rid of the energy, then you’ve decided to

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create a virtual machine, virtual energy.

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And when they create the energy in a proof of stake network or any other non-energy protocol,

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you’re not just getting rid of the electricity, you’re also getting rid of the material

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energy, which is the SHA-256 mining Asic.

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The application specific integrated circuit is matter, the electricity is energy.

0:28:36

You’re limiting the matter and the energy, and the hardware’s important here, just

0:28:43

as important as the energy because the electricity is a commodity.

0:28:51

Michael Saylor (00:25:19):

0:28:52

Whereas the thing that creates that makes this a specialty or makes it a scarcity, is

0:28:59

the fact that you are modulating the energy through a SHA-256 mining chip and that mining

0:29:11

chip is special purpose.

0:29:14

That’s important.

0:29:15

It’s not a general purpose chip, and it’s also getting exponentially more efficient.

0:29:21

The genius of the Bitcoin protocol is that the hardware is proprietary, there’s no

0:29:32

other use for it, and it gets exponentially better over time, such that the energy efficiency

0:29:38

of the network is improving with Moore’s Law and with the having protocol.

0:29:44

That makes this an increasingly efficient security protocol, and it protects the protocol

0:29:55

from someone that has a huge amount of commodity computing power or a huge amount of electricity

0:30:04

power.

0:30:05

It doesn’t matter that you build a fusion reactor that generates thousands of terawatts

0:30:10

because it’s not the pure electricity that secures the network, it’s the encrypted

0:30:17

energy.

0:30:18

It’s the SHA-256 hashes that secure the network.

0:30:23

If it was only the electricity, it would be vulnerable to an attack from someone that

0:30:30

harnessed the power of the sun.

0:30:32

Preston Pysh (00:26:41):

0:30:33

I think what you’re talking about is one of these questions that I have coming up here,

0:30:36

and I’m going to just read this because I think it ties into what you’re saying

0:30:39

here.

0:30:40

In 2017, the World Economic Forum posted an article that said by 2020, the Bitcoin mining

0:30:45

could consume the same amount of electricity every year as is currently used by the entire

0:30:51

world.

0:30:52

This is the World Economic Forum just a couple years ago.

0:30:54

Well, as we know, that calculation was grossly misstated, but that doesn’t stop other experts

0:31:00

from still stating such salacious headlines right now that we’re seeing in 2022.

0:31:04

What is it that these experts fail to understand about Bitcoin’s energy consumption that

0:31:09

I think you’re getting at with what you were just talking about?

0:31:11

Michael Saylor (00:27:20):

0:31:12

I think what they’re missing is that the efficiency, that network is improving with

0:31:16

Moore’s Law exponentially.

0:31:18

That’s what they’re missing.

0:31:22

The other day, I walked through one of these Newport mansions and now you can actually

0:31:31

download a mobile app to your phone and then you can download the audio for, and you can

0:31:37

listen to the tour guide using AirPods, walking to a mansion in the year 2022.

0:31:42

While I watched this, I’m downloading it and sometimes the audio tour is 80 megabytes

0:31:49

and sometimes it’s 160 megabytes or something.

0:31:55

Then I thought back to when I was at MIT when one of my classmates had a five megabyte hard

0:32:04

drive or something, and if you simply took the effi…

0:32:10

Then I thought about the efficiency of audio in the 1980s, and you could have easily said,

0:32:19

if people continue to use computer music or if Napster spreads computer music, by the

0:32:26

year 2010, all of the hardware and all of the electricity in the world will be sucked

0:32:33

up listening to rock and roll music.

0:32:35

Michael Saylor (00:28:26):

0:32:36

It would’ve been true if you extrapolated the efficiency of music compression and the

0:32:43

cost of hard drives, pretty much would’ve said that we can’t allow teenagers to listen

0:32:51

to music on a computing device because the world will come to an end.

0:32:57

And you could have said the same thing about digital photos, if this keeps up, then teenage

0:33:04

girls taking selfies will suck up all the electricity and all of the minerals in the

0:33:11

earth’s crust by the year 20 something or other.

0:33:15

And of course, what happens in all cases is the efficiency of computer music and the efficiency

0:33:22

of storing files and the capacity of memory, the capacity of computer memory, the capacity

0:33:32

of computer drives, these things are increasing exponentially, such that it turns out that

0:33:39

people can listen to music on their phones and take photos, and the world doesn’t come

0:33:44

to an end.

0:33:45

Michael Saylor (00:29:23):

0:33:46

And so when people make these statements about Bitcoin, what they’re doing is the same

0:33:51

thing.

0:33:52

They’re missing the point.

0:33:53

It’s not secured by energy, it’s secured by digital energy or encrypted energy.

0:34:01

And the efficiency with which that encryption is taking place is improving somewhere in

0:34:09

the range of 36 to 40% a year.

0:34:14

Ironically, Moore’s law is every 18 months to double.

0:34:19

If you have an 18% improvement every year due to having protocol, and if you have an

0:34:25

18% improvement every year, because every four years the Asics double, okay, you got

0:34:32

36% a year.

0:34:33

And when you start dividing that into 70 with a few twists, you realize in about 18 months,

0:34:40

you double the efficiency of the network and you keep doing it for the first 30, 40, 50

0:34:48

years.

0:34:49

Maybe you continue to do it for a long time to come.

0:34:56

As of today, as far as we can see, we run the numbers.

0:34:58

Michael Saylor (00:30:27):

0:34:59

Bitcoin has taken up maybe 15 basis points of the world’s energy and it’s not clear

0:35:05

to me that it’s going to grow that much more.

0:35:08

At some point, it is some maximum, and it actually starts to decrease because the proprietary

0:35:18

protocol is such that ultimately in the year 2100, it won’t matter whether you have harnessed

0:35:25

all the power of a star, it won’t matter because that won’t allow you to build, to

0:35:33

create hashes.

0:35:35

I could give you all the electricity, the powers of New York City tomorrow, but you

0:35:41

can’t generate hashes with it.

0:35:44

And unless you can get your hands on 256 mining rigs, set them up in a world class mining

0:35:49

center, get the transformers and turn it on, so you can see there’s already a limiting

0:35:55

factor there.

0:35:56

Michael Saylor (00:31:15):

0:35:57

On the other side, if Google and Microsoft and Amazon, they all decided tomorrow they’re

0:36:06

going to turn all of their data centers into Bitcoin mining data centers, their cost to

0:36:16

generate a Bitcoin would probably be like a million dollars of coin and not $10 million

0:36:20

of coin because they don’t have Asics, right?

0:36:23

And the ASIC isn’t thousand times, it’s million times more efficient.

0:36:28

It’s this specialization of labor, the driving of the tractor is a better idea than a hand

0:36:37

plow, right?

0:36:39

In every field of human endeavor, everything humans put their mind to, we find when we

0:36:45

create a specialized machine and then we power that specialized machine, then we overcome

0:36:56

any generalist who’s willing…

0:36:57

Michael Saylor (00:32:00):

0:36:58

Then we overcome any generalist who’s well intentioned.

0:37:00

I toured the DuPont gunpowder factories.

0:37:06

The DuPonts showed up.

0:37:07

They set up a factory on a hill where the Brandywine River runs down it.

0:37:12

And the reason they wanted this creek is they had to harness the creek for hydro power to

0:37:18

turn their water wheel to turn the mills to grind the gun powder.

0:37:23

Michael Saylor (00:32:26):

0:37:24

And so, here are some smart immigrants.

0:37:27

They use the power of gravity, the power of water.

0:37:31

Then they mix three elements together.

0:37:34

They create gun powder.

0:37:36

They hand you the gun powder and you blow your way through the mountain.

0:37:39

Okay.

0:37:40

Michael Saylor (00:32:41):

0:37:43

And someone starts by saying, “I have this idea.

0:37:45

I’m going to build tunnels through mountains.”

0:37:49

And some non-technologist says, “No, no, no.

0:37:52

We can never build tunnels through mountains that will take every single human being in

0:37:58

the world and we will all starve to death because it’s too expensive using our little

0:38:02

rubber mallets or our little chisels to chisel our way through the mountains.”

0:38:06

Preston Pysh (00:33:04):

0:38:07

Exactly.

0:38:08

Michael Saylor (00:33:04):

0:38:09

Right.

0:38:10

And the point is, we’re not doing it that way.

0:38:13

We’re going to use our brains and technology.

0:38:15

If you actually back calculate, someone says, “Okay, I’m going to connect San Francisco

0:38:21

to New York.”

0:38:23

And you back calculate, well, how much energy is it going to take to haul a bucket of water

0:38:29

on my back 10 million times?

0:38:32

Well, we can’t do that because the human race will suffocate trying to connect New

0:38:36

York and San Francisco.

0:38:37

Michael Saylor (00:33:32):

0:38:38

And then if you calculate what it costs to build the railroad, you would conclude it’s

0:38:42

too much.

0:38:43

And if you calculate the maintenance cost on wooden rails, that’s too much.

0:38:48

And the answer is, I invent explosives, I invent steel.

0:38:54

I come up with some technique to get through, then I create a locomotive.

0:38:59

Then I go and I drill for oil, then I put the oil into the locomotive.

0:39:02

Then I drive the train back and forth.

0:39:05

Michael Saylor (00:33:58):

0:39:06

Every single one of those things would have used all of the energy in the world, if you

0:39:14

were to attempt.

0:39:15

We can’t give public transportation to people, that will use all the energy.

0:39:20

All the ox carts in the world will be allocated to letting people commute back into work.

0:39:25

We can’t let them live in the suburbs.

0:39:27

Preston Pysh (00:34:19):

0:39:28

Michael, this is hard for, I think for a lot of people to wrap their head around because

0:39:31

the examples you’re providing are physical examples that people can relate to.

0:39:37

And it makes sense to them when you describe it in that way.

0:39:39

But when you think about ASICs and you think about Moore’s Law and you think about how

0:39:43

these things that people can’t touch or really understand at the level that you understand

0:39:50

and that many people in this space understand, it’s just completely lost on them.

0:39:54

It’s intangible.

0:39:56

It’s not something they can feel or touch.

0:39:59

Michael Saylor (00:34:49):

0:40:00

Yeah.

0:40:01

Bitcoin miner is, it’s a machine to create security in cyberspace.

0:40:07

That’s what it is.

0:40:10

You have to see it as a mechanism.

0:40:12

Preston Pysh (00:34:59):

0:40:13

Like a digital vault.

0:40:14

A digital vault if you will.

0:40:15

Is that how you’d describe it?

0:40:16

Michael Saylor (00:35:03):

0:40:17

I would almost describe it as a transmitter of encrypted energy.

0:40:18

It creates a wall of encrypted energy.

0:40:21

You’re feeding electricity into one end and out the other end comes a hash wall.

0:40:29

And then you’re building…

0:40:30

Preston Pysh (00:35:19):

0:40:31

Like a bank vault.

0:40:32

Like a bank vault, but virtual.

0:40:33

Right?

0:40:34

Michael Saylor (00:35:22):

0:40:35

Yeah, that’s probably…

0:40:36

An energy vault.

0:40:37

You’re putting electricity in and you’re creating a vault of encrypted energy.

0:40:43

And that’s what you’re using to build as your foundation to build civilization in

0:40:53

cyberspace.

0:40:54

Like I said.

0:40:55

And a lot of people can’t figure it out.

0:40:57

They can’t work it out.

0:40:59

But you ever cross a bridge and you look down at the caissons or the structures the bridges

0:41:07

are built on.

0:41:08

And the bridge is resting on these, what are they?

0:41:14

Caissons I suppose.

0:41:16

Resting on these structures.

0:41:17

And they’re buried 30 feet down into the East River or the Hudson River.

0:41:23

Michael Saylor (00:35:59):

0:41:24

And the average person can’t figure out how to create that bridge.

0:41:27

But that doesn’t mean that the bridge doesn’t work.

0:41:33

In this particular case, I see the Bitcoin miners as the foundation to hold up the entire

0:41:41

digital ecosystem.

0:41:45

And we’re feeding them electricity and then we’re running them through an ASIC.

0:41:52

And the ASICs just keep getting more and more efficient.

0:41:55

Michael Saylor (00:36:20):

0:41:56

And just like you take a history of civil engineering and you look at Greek architecture

0:42:06

and they’re using stone architraves.

0:42:12

Those things crack.

0:42:15

And then they replace them with some wooden beams and they crack.

0:42:18

And then they come up with the idea of a truss.

0:42:21

And a truss creates this, dramatically increases the strength of the beams.

0:42:25

And now things stop cracking.

0:42:27

Michael Saylor (00:36:44):

0:42:28

And that works well for a while.

0:42:29

And then they come up with arches and then buttresses.

0:42:34

And of course, ultimately, they solve the problem when they figure out how to put enough

0:42:40

energy into iron to create steel.

0:42:44

Iron works and steel works and steel is a material energy.

0:42:50

It’s a massively dense energy.

0:42:54

And if you want to build structures, you have to create the steel.

0:42:58

I think about a steel refinery and I think about how much energy goes into the refining

0:43:03

of steel and the heat and the energy.

0:43:07

And then you think about what comes out.

0:43:10

And then, if you want to build any structure in the world, that steel is the material to

0:43:17

build that structure.

0:43:19

Michael Saylor (00:37:23):

0:43:20

Bitcoin miners are energy refiners in a way.

0:43:23

And what they spit out is digital energy.

0:43:26

They not only create it, but they secure it.

0:43:30

You can also think of them as supporting the railroad in cyberspace.

0:43:36

It’s a railroad.

0:43:39

And there’s a fixed cost to build the railroad and there’s a fixed cost to maintain the

0:43:45

railroad when something breaks.

0:43:49

But once you’ve got the railroad and it’s properly maintained, now the cost to move

0:43:54

tons of cargo from one end of the line to the other in the line has decreased, not by

0:44:01

a factor of 10 or a factor 100.

0:44:03

It’s probably decreased by a factor of 10,000 to 100,000.

0:44:06

It might have decreased by a factor of a million, if you want, you did the energy calculations.

0:44:13

Michael Saylor (00:38:10):

0:44:14

Try to move 80 tons of coal from New York to Chicago in one day without the railroad,

0:44:24

without the road on an ox cart.

0:44:27

I mean it’s such a silly comparison.

0:44:30

Because no one would ever think to do it because it’s almost impossible to do.

0:44:34

But when we created the railroads, we created this extraordinarily expensive, upfront engineering

0:44:43

project that required a lot of capital investment, very capital intensive.

0:44:49

Michael Saylor (00:38:37):

0:44:50

But then after you’ve created it, then for a…

0:44:53

You’ve got a moderate maintenance cost and then you get this super conducting effect

0:45:02

where you’re able to move material.

0:45:04

And it’s orders and orders of magnitude less cost.

0:45:08

Preston Pysh (00:38:53):

0:45:10

Michael, since Bretton Woods, when we go back in time, the world has become more digital

0:45:15

than at that period of time, where you didn’t have these digital units representing energy

0:45:20

and representing money.

0:45:22

Our currencies have become digital.

0:45:24

And with that, there appears to be a need for a technology to tie this virtual digital

0:45:30

world to physical reality.

0:45:31

Preston Pysh (00:39:14):

0:45:32

If people are going to desire physical goods but keep virtual records, there needs to be

0:45:38

a way to force virtual records to be immutable.

0:45:42

Do you see this as the crux of the energy debate?

0:45:46

Do you see this as the crux of the environmental situation that we see playing out?

0:45:52

And I know those are two very big and separate, maybe not separate, but two separate questions.

0:45:59

But I’m curious how you think about this.

0:46:01

Michael Saylor (00:39:41):

0:46:03

Yeah, I think the best way to break it down is in two areas.

0:46:10

With regard to currency and digital currency, the problem we have right now is, although

0:46:16

the world wants to be digital, there is no digital money.

0:46:21

There is only digital credit.

0:46:24

Remember when I said money without energy is credit.

0:46:28

And so, right now, what you have is credit circulating on the digital network.

0:46:37

And the credit is got a first order failing and a second order failing.

0:46:44

The first order failing is the credit card network where the settlement is slow once

0:46:52

a month or something.

0:46:54

The settlement is censored and it’s crippled.

0:46:59

I can’t settle between France and Nigeria or between Argentina and China.

0:47:05

I can’t settle between the US and China.

0:47:08

And you can’t settle with three, four, 5 billion people that aren’t on your credit

0:47:14

network.

0:47:15

Michael Saylor (00:40:37):

0:47:16

The first order problem is the settlement is just crippled and it is slow and it is

0:47:24

expensive.

0:47:27

My transaction will go through a third of the time to a third of the world for two and

0:47:32

a half percent fee with a one month delay.

0:47:36

After lots and lots of expensive engineering to get the systems to work together and after

0:47:43

lots of expensive KYC, AML and compliance issues.

0:47:48

That’s the first order problem with circulating credit.

0:47:51

Michael Saylor (00:41:10):

0:47:52

And the second order problem is the underlying asset, the euro, the dollar, the peso.

0:47:59

They’re credit and they’re not backed by energy, which means that they’re all

0:48:05

lapsing in energy content anywhere from 10% a year, to 50% a year, to 90% a year.

0:48:14

Over time, the entire system is collapsing because there’s no energy backing it.

0:48:21

And it’s neither a commodity, nor is it a scarcity.

0:48:27

It’s not a commodity because any politician can decide to print as much as they want whenever

0:48:34

they want so it’s just political money.

0:48:36

It’s not a scarcity because it’s not totally capped.

0:48:39

Michael Saylor (00:41:49):

0:48:40

It’s really just mismanaged credit on the base layer with 20th century inefficient banking

0:48:48

on the transaction layer.

0:48:51

And so that itself is a structural problem.

0:48:54

And we can leave that for a moment.

0:48:57

I mean, Bitcoin solves that problem by substituting.

0:49:00

Bitcoin is the base layer and Lightning as the transaction layer.

0:49:04

Michael Saylor (00:42:10):

0:49:05

And now you go from a velocity of one transaction a month to one transaction a millisecond.

0:49:14

You’re increasing velocity by a factor of 10 million.

0:49:18

You’re decreasing impedance transaction fee by a factor of 10 million.

0:49:24

You’re converting the coupon into a commodity, upgrading it to a scarcity.

0:49:30

You’re setting up an energy system that will hold money without energy lapse forever

0:49:36

and will move it millions of times or billions of times more efficiently.

0:49:41

And you’re making it open as opposed to permissionless.

0:49:44

Michael Saylor (00:42:44):

0:49:45

8 billion people can access any kind of monetary transaction, friction free with instant final

0:49:54

settlement.

0:49:55

That’s why Bitcoin and Lightning or superior monetary system to fiat currency and credit

0:50:01

cards and banks.

0:50:03

Now we go to the energy side.

0:50:06

The entire energy debate is interesting because I don’t really think bonafide energy activists

0:50:12

are focused upon Bitcoin.

0:50:14

I’m not even sure if there are bonafide energy activists to tell you the truth, Preston.

0:50:20

And I think that the entire debate about energy usage has been corrupted and has always been

0:50:29

corrupted by the political process and commercial interests.

0:50:33

Preston Pysh (00:43:30):

0:50:34

In what way?

0:50:35

Michael Saylor (00:43:30):

0:50:36

And so, I think in what you have is a bunch of…

0:50:37

Preston Pysh (00:43:31):

0:50:38

Yeah.

0:50:40

Michael Saylor (00:43:31):

0:50:41

You have a bunch of propaganda that’s being driven by self-interested groups for either

0:50:42

political or for commercial purposes that have generally very little to do with the

0:50:46

environment.

0:50:47

I might say, out of 100 people or actors that are acting in this bath, there might be one

0:50:58

or two that actually are doing it because they actually believe this is an environmentally

0:51:03

good thing, whatever they’re advocating.

0:51:04

Michael Saylor (00:43:57):

0:51:05

I think 95 to 98 are doing it because they’re being paid by someone to advocate a certain

0:51:14

position.

0:51:16

And so let me back up and let’s start with the classic example, the Jack Abramoff affair.

0:51:23

If you want to know how lobbying works in DC.

0:51:26

It used to be a bunch of people that are playing online poker.

0:51:29

I’m very famous for an online poker quote I once said.

0:51:34

I once said, “I think Bitcoin’s going the way of online poker, just a matter of

0:51:38

time.”

0:51:39

Michael Saylor (00:44:25):

0:51:40

What I should have said, by the way is, “Crypto is going the way of online poker.

0:51:43

It’s just a matter of time.”

0:51:44

If I’d actually understand the nuance of Bitcoin versus crypto, I would’ve said,

0:51:49

“The cryptos are probably going the way of online poker.

0:51:52

Just a matter of time.”

0:51:53

But here’s the online poker story.

0:51:57

A bunch of people set up online poker, gambling sites.

0:52:00

Everybody loves them, people like to play online.

0:52:04

And it starts to cut into the earnings of a bunch of casinos, especially some Indian

0:52:09

casinos.

0:52:10

Michael Saylor (00:44:54):

0:52:12

These India casinos are making a fortune because they’ve been given a government license

0:52:16

to allow gambling on their reservation.

0:52:20

The Indians decide they want to stop online gambling.

0:52:25

They go to DC and they hire a lobbyist, Jack Abramoff.

0:52:27

This is all, they made a movie about this, Casino Jack.

0:52:32

You can watch the movie, you can read the records.

0:52:35

Michael Saylor (00:45:14):

0:52:37

They give Abramoff tons of money, let’s say 20 million.

0:52:43

Abramoff keeps half the money and he turns around and he gives the other half the money

0:52:49

to a bunch of fundamentalist ministers, a variety of ministries.

0:52:56

Now what do ministries have to do with Indian reservations?

0:52:59

Well, he got the ministries to then go and they probably kept a third of the money.

0:53:07

He took a third of the money and bought TV ads and he gave a third of the money to the

0:53:11

ministers.

0:53:12

And the ministers signed a letter and they put the letters in the New York Times, the

0:53:15

Wall Street Journal, in the Washington Post and the like.

0:53:18

Michael Saylor (00:45:47):

0:53:19

And they said, “We think online gambling is abomination of the eyes of God, it’s

0:53:23

corrupting America’s youth.

0:53:25

It’s not Christian, it’s corrupting.”

0:53:29

The fundamentalists began lobbying against online gambling.

0:53:32

They weren’t lobbying against gambling on Indian reservations or in Vegas, presumably

0:53:37

maybe because Junior can’t get there from his bedroom, but he can…

0:53:43

I guess there’s some kind of, I argument that somehow it’s much more corrupting for

0:53:47

America’s youth.

0:53:49

You can do it online and you can play poker.

0:53:53

Michael Saylor (00:46:17):

0:53:54

You had a non-profit organization, seemingly unrelated organization, promote morals.

0:54:01

Why did they choose to pursue improvement of morals by shutting down online gambling

0:54:08

or online poker?

0:54:09

Well, no one’s giving them money to object to other breaches in morality.

0:54:15

There’s a customer here offering them money.

0:54:18

And so they took the money, they signed the letter.

0:54:21

Then Abramoff took the letters to Congress and he marched in front of a bunch of congressmen

0:54:26

and senators.

0:54:27

And they ended up passing a law making online poker playing illegal.

0:54:30

Michael Saylor (00:46:50):

0:54:31

Okay.

0:54:32

They shut down online poker.

0:54:34

People go back to the casinos and the Indian reservations.

0:54:38

The casinos are happy.

0:54:40

Inadvertently, it’s not really a debate about whether you should gamble.

0:54:44

It’s a debate about whether or not you should give your gambling money to my competitor

0:54:49

or you should do it in person.

0:54:51

Michael Saylor (00:47:09):

0:54:53

This idea, which is I have some money and then dirty money and I use it to corrupt the

0:55:01

lobbyist.

0:55:02

And then I actually find a non-profit.

0:55:05

And the non-profit becomes my front organization to lobby the general public.

0:55:11

And then I combine that with a bunch of donations to politicians.

0:55:16

Now the politicians can’t just take my money from the Indians and outlaw their competitor.

0:55:22

That looks bad.

0:55:23

But the politicians can take money from everybody involved and say they’re outlawing the Indians

0:55:28

casinos competitor because they want to protect America’s youth, is acceptable.

0:55:33

Michael Saylor (00:47:43):

0:55:34

Everybody gets paid, Abramoff gets paid, the politicians get reelected, they get paid,

0:55:41

and the non-profit gets paid.

0:55:43

Like an iron triangle.

0:55:47

I think that’s been going on since time immemorial, for thousands of years.

0:55:51

If you look at the nuclear industry, nuclear looks to be the cleanest, most efficient way

0:55:58

to generate energy.

0:55:59

And yet it was environmentalist, the Green Peaces of the world, that lobbied against

0:56:05

the nuclear industry.

0:56:06

Michael Saylor (00:48:11):

0:56:08

Now why would they do that?

0:56:09

Well, because nobody’s paying them money to lobby in favor of the third redwood tree.

0:56:18

The redwood tree is not paying you money.

0:56:21

If you’re lobbying in favor of ultimately no one’s going to pay you money to save

0:56:29

the 19 millionth dolphin.

0:56:32

But if somehow I happen to run a fishing operation and my competitor uses carbon fiber fishing

0:56:43

javelins, then maybe I can give you money to lobby against the use of inhumane, cruel

0:56:49

carbon fiber fishing javelins from these evil offshore people.

0:56:54

Michael Saylor (00:48:49):

0:56:55

And then I shut that down so I can fish the waters and they can’t fish the waters.

0:57:00

Ultimately, what you find is the most common driver for all these narratives is someone

0:57:09

has an agenda.

0:57:12

And the agenda is either a foreign government, like your enemy, like a political enemy has

0:57:18

an agenda.

0:57:19

Or maybe a frenemy.

0:57:21

Maybe a foreign government that trades with you has an agenda.

0:57:25

Or a not in kind competitor to you has an agenda.

0:57:29

Michael Saylor (00:49:20):

0:57:31

With nuclear, ironically it was probably the oil and the gas industry that was paying off

0:57:38

the non-profits to shut down the nuclear industry and they were very effective at that.

0:57:44

We haven’t built a nuclear power plant in 50 years.

0:57:48

Okay.

0:57:49

Who’s lobbying to stop the creation of a pipeline in the US?

0:57:54

Well, who would benefit?

0:57:57

The Russians would benefit because they saw the oil.

0:58:01

They have their own pipeline, so they might benefit, but also all the Middle Eastern countries

0:58:06

would benefit.

0:58:07

Michael Saylor (00:49:51):

0:58:08

If you’re pumping oil out of the desert in the Middle East, you would benefit from

0:58:14

a oil and gas pipeline getting shut down in the US.

0:58:19

our allies that produce the same product would actually benefit by having a non-profit organization

0:58:28

fight for the rights of Indian Native American burial mounds.

0:58:32

Michael Saylor (00:50:12):

0:58:33

You remember all the arguments that were made to keep the pipeline going through in the

0:58:39

It’s like, “Well, we’re desecrating Native American burial grounds.”

0:58:42

No, you need a Native American Indian to campaign for that.

0:58:46

How do you do that while you go and you give them tons of money?

0:58:50

What does everybody want?

0:58:51

A job.

0:58:52

Okay, so I will give you a job protesting or I’ll give you a job restoring the Native

0:58:59

American burial grounds.

0:59:00

I happen to live in Asia and I own billions of barrels of oil, but I’ve decided to take

0:59:06

a special interest in restoring Native American burial grounds that happen to be in the 10

0:59:12

square mile radius that the pipeline’s going across.

0:59:15

Michael Saylor (00:50:52):

0:59:16

Now, I’ve got a non-profit, I’ve got a local interest, I funnel the money quietly.

0:59:24

Now it becomes an embarrassment for the local politicians.

0:59:28

What happens is maybe that campaign works and now they shut down the pipeline, which

0:59:34

creates a net shortage of 10 billion barrels of oil that they have to buy from somebody

0:59:39

else.

0:59:41

But the price of oil goes up and the competitor sells it.

0:59:45

Michael Saylor (00:51:18):

0:59:48

Ironically, it might be an foreign intelligence.

0:59:53

If I was a hostile nation state and I wanted to undermine my enemy, I would want them not

1:00:01

to build ports, not to build infrastructure, not to build refineries, and not to have oil

1:00:07

and not to build nuclear power plants.

1:00:10

It might be in foreign intelligence.

1:00:12

They have plenty of money and the motive.

1:00:15

It might be just a friendly trading partner in Europe or the Middle East.

1:00:19

Michael Saylor (00:51:46):

1:00:20

Remember, it used to be we have these campaigns against child labor.

1:00:26

Okay.

1:00:27

Well, if the child labor is your 16 year old kid working at McDonald’s, no one much cares.

1:00:34

But if the child labor is 16 year old working in a shoe factory in Indonesia.

1:00:40

And that’s competing against maybe another factory in the US or another factory not in

1:00:47

Indonesia, then maybe I want to actually campaign for the rights of child laborers.

1:00:54

And the way that I’m going to help the children in Indonesia is I’m going to make it illegal

1:00:58

to buy from that factory so they all lose their jobs and their parents lose their jobs

1:01:02

and they all starve to death.

1:01:03

Michael Saylor (00:52:23):

1:01:04

But no one’s going to think about that.

1:01:06

They’re going to be thinking about whatever the issue is.

1:01:10

The classic trope, propaganda is you can’t tell people what to think, but you can tell

1:01:17

them what to think about.

1:01:18

My agenda is to shut down a foreign import.

1:01:23

I can’t say, “Stop buying from my competitor that’s cheaper and better than me.”

1:01:29

I say, “Stop buying from that vendor that’s unethical, that uses child labor.”

1:01:34

Preston Pysh (00:52:51):

1:01:35

Michael, so a lot of this granularity that you’re getting into is I think an area that

1:01:41

people probably have never really considered.

1:01:44

Let’s say that you have a person who’s looking at the environmental narrative that

1:01:51

is hot and heavy, ESG.

1:01:54

Hot and heavy right now.

1:01:56

I have a hard time even going down that path because it seems like the world, and if you

1:02:09

buy into this environmental discussion point that people are making, that they candidly

1:02:14

believe in, I’m of the opinion that they haven’t gone far enough upstream to, if

1:02:20

the money is in sound, how in the world can we possibly expect the efficiency and optimization

1:02:28

of producers and consumers to take place?

1:02:30

Preston Pysh (00:53:42):

1:02:31

It’s like this unit that we’re using in order to conduct trade amongst each other

1:02:36

is so mutilated and so distorted that how can we possibly expect it to happen efficiently?

1:02:42

And then you’re going to have over consumption if you have all these digital units that have

1:02:46

no peg or no scarcity to them.

1:02:50

Is that where we should start when we’re thinking about energy and environmental impact?

1:02:55

Michael Saylor (00:54:04):

1:02:56

I think all the ESG fund is originated by and promulgated by the other cryptos.

1:03:06

This starts within the crypto industry and it is a fire set by the crypto industry.

1:03:12

And so, the whole basis is Bitcoin is bad because it uses energy and we have a better

1:03:16

tool that doesn’t use energy using proof of stake.

1:03:20

And it’s a not in kind propaganda campaign or marketing campaign.

1:03:25

Call it gorilla marketing.

1:03:26

This is all just gorilla marketing by other crypto promoters.

1:03:29

Michael Saylor (00:54:35):

1:03:31

And the motive is I want to convince you that you should consider a crypto other than Bitcoin

1:03:37

that doesn’t use energy.

1:03:38

And also, I want to distract you from the observation that the other cryptos without

1:03:43

energy or unregistered securities and therefore, you can’t trade them.

1:03:47

And you shouldn’t buy them.

1:03:48

It’s not ethical to promote them.

1:03:49

Michael Saylor (00:54:55):

1:03:50

I want to change the subject.

1:03:53

There really is no defense to creating a software company and issuing a coupon and selling to

1:03:59

the general public without a registration statement.

1:04:04

It isn’t morally defensible.

1:04:06

It isn’t legally defensible.

1:04:08

You can’t start by saying, “I want to do it.

1:04:12

Please let me do it.”

1:04:14

What you say is, “That thing you’re looking at is interesting, but it’s using too much

1:04:22

energy and our thing does the same but without energy.”

1:04:26

And they hope you don’t think too much beyond that.

1:04:28

Michael Saylor (00:55:29):

1:04:29

I think you can approach this from two points.

1:04:32

But one point is you can make the deep argument that you need sound money.

1:04:39

And the problem with that is you have to explain to people this sound money requires energy

1:04:45

and it actually requires scarcity, requires more than energy.

1:04:50

Gold is not sound money because of all the other defects in gold.

1:04:54

It’s just better than the other stuff.

1:04:59

Gold is a commodity.

1:05:00

What you really want is scarcity for sound money.

1:05:02

You can go down that path, but ultimately, the crypto attack is, “Yeah, but we can

1:05:10

create our own token without any energy and it’s just as good and it’s just as secure.”

1:05:14

And so now, and so you really have to go the other direction, which is to make the observation

1:05:20

that if you take the energy out of the coin, you’ve created a coupon.

1:05:29

And if you take the energy out of the coin, it’s not money, it’s credit.

1:05:33

it’s not a commodity, it’s a security.

1:05:40

And therefore, the only question is how are you going to inject the energy?

1:05:48

You can inject the energy into the coin with multiple protocols.

1:05:52

You can do it with Satoshi’s protocol.

1:05:54

the Doge coin protocol.

1:05:58

You can do it with big blocks, small blocks.

1:06:02

There’s plenty of other protocols.

1:06:03

You don’t need to use SHA-256, but you can’t avoid putting energy into the product if you

1:06:13

want to create something of substance.

1:06:15

Michael Saylor (00:57:03):

1:06:16

I think it doesn’t hurt to explain the theory of money and the theory of economics and Austrian

1:06:23

economics, and why we’re doomed if we don’t have sound money.

1:06:29

It doesn’t hurt.

1:06:32

But ultimately, most people that are looking at cryptos and they’re trying to figure

1:06:38

out between Bitcoin and all other proof of state coins, they’re definitely not thinking

1:06:43

deeply about Austrian economics or sound money.

1:06:46

They’re just juggling six different tokens.

1:06:49

And they’re probably not considering this for more than 10 minutes to an hour.

1:06:53

Michael Saylor (00:57:34):

1:06:54

And so, in their case, I think the real challenge is to explain to them why there’s a moral

1:07:04

hazard and an economic hazard and a technical hazard to take the energy out of the crypto

1:07:14

network.

1:07:16

The economic hazard is when the energy disappears, it’s easy to spin up 10,000 copycat networks.

1:07:27

The real problem is once you go to proof of stake, well the what’s to keep you from

1:07:31

making copies, endless copies of all these networks because you’re running on generic

1:07:36

hardware using imaginary energy.

1:07:39

Michael Saylor (00:58:09):

1:07:41

How many teams of eight programmers can copy and paste and then spin up an AWS node or

1:07:47

set up nodes and gen up their own system.

1:07:52

We have 20,000 cryptos now, so there’s no scarcity.

1:07:58

And ultimately, the economic hazard is they’ll be 50.

1:08:03

And then they’ll all just chew into each other’s monetary premium and then there’ll

1:08:06

be 100, then 1,000 and the like.

1:08:09

Michael Saylor (00:58:33):

1:08:10

And so, there’s no way that it will hold value because there’s no scarcity when you

1:08:16

take the energy out of it.

1:08:19

It becomes a marketing game.

1:08:21

It’s really a casino chips or coupons.

1:08:27

And you’ll be limited to the value that you can create in a coupon network or a security

1:08:34

network, which is two orders of magnitude less than a monetary network.

1:08:38

That’s the economic hazard.

1:08:40

Michael Saylor (00:58:59):

1:08:41

The technical hazard, The technical hazard to not using hardware with electricity, not

1:08:50

using those two forms of energy, is that you have to create a simulation.

1:08:57

And what you’re doing is you’re creating a virtual world.

1:09:00

And in the virtual world, you have to simulate everything people might want to do.

1:09:04

And it turns out that playing God by creating a simulation of the world is really difficult.

1:09:11

For example, you can turn off your Bitcoin mining rig.

1:09:16

It’s decentralized.

1:09:17

ETH hasn’t figured out how to withdraw your ETH stake token yet.

1:09:21

Preston Pysh (00:59:32):

1:09:22

Yeah.

1:09:23

Which is crazy.

1:09:25

Michael Saylor (00:59:36):

1:09:26

And by the way, it might not be that they haven’t figured out.

1:09:28

It might be they don’t wish to.

1:09:29

Preston Pysh (00:59:40):

1:09:31

I think that’s where that’s at.

1:09:34

Michael Saylor (00:59:44):

1:09:36

The technical hazard is I have to have the purge and the surge and the verge.

1:09:40

And I’ve got pretty much a decade worth of programming yet to do.

1:09:44

I’ve got to implement slashing.

1:09:47

And you’ve got slashing and charting and withdrawals and staking and all these things.

1:09:53

And you’ve got to deal with a question of, “Well, what if someone does this?

1:09:56

And what if they do that?

1:09:57

And what if they do this?”

1:09:58

Michael Saylor (01:00:04):

1:10:00

That’s very expensive.

1:10:01

That creates a lot of technical debt, it creates very complicated code.

1:10:06

And because it creates very complicated code, it creates very large tax surfaces.

1:10:12

From a computer science point of view, a lot of security threats to it.

1:10:17

But from a maintenance point of view, there’s a lot of technical debt and you have all these

1:10:21

regressions.

1:10:22

Michael Saylor (01:00:23):

1:10:23

Every time you add a feature, you break two things.

1:10:25

And I know this because I’m actually in a business.

1:10:30

There aren’t that many people that have overseen the same software for 30 years.

1:10:38

MicroStrategy software, we were coding it in 1993.

1:10:42

And so, we have some code, and ’92, ’93, with some ideas there that now they’re approaching

1:10:48

the 30th year.

1:10:49

And I can say that after you’ve had some software and you’re 30 years in and you’re

1:10:55

the sixth generation of engineers, the 13th version, you add a feature and you break something.

1:11:03

And you add a feature and you break two things.

1:11:05

Michael Saylor (01:01:01):

1:11:06

You end up spending as much time on regression and technical debt, and then you have to go

1:11:10

back and rearchitect the entire thing to make progress.

1:11:14

And these are just extraordinarily expensive rearchitecting exercises.

1:11:19

And you have this entropy and you reach this entropic frontier.

1:11:27

And it just gets to be really, really challenging.

1:11:31

That’s a technical risk.

1:11:33

Michael Saylor (01:01:24):

1:11:34

If you live in a universe where the laws of thermodynamics hold, there’s a rate at which

1:11:39

heat dissipates everywhere in the world.

1:11:42

And you don’t have to write a piece of software to tell Bitcoin miners how to dissipate heat.

1:11:46

to apply gravity and apply the speed of light.

1:11:53

You get that for free.

1:11:55

Michael Saylor (01:01:45):

1:11:56

In a virtual world, you have to actually write the software to control things like speed

1:12:01

of light and speed of sound and heat dissipation and gravity and materials coefficients.

1:12:10

And what you find is it’s not so easy for a small group of engineers to duplicate what

1:12:16

the universe worked out over the last 4 billion years.

1:12:20

You’re literally playing God and you forgot one thing.

1:12:22

Preston Pysh (01:02:11):

1:12:23

Yeah, go ahead.

1:12:24

Michael Saylor (01:02:12):

1:12:25

And the one thing blows you up.

1:12:26

Bitcoin, because it’s working in the physical world, it absorbs all of the physical constants

1:12:29

in the universe.

1:12:30

And everything works in parallel at the speed of light.

1:12:35

Whereas in a staking network, you have to create a simulated world where you have to

1:12:39

simulate all these constants and you have to enforce your own concept of time.

1:12:46

Michael Saylor (01:02:35):

1:12:47

And when you attempt to create a decentralized world in software, you’ve bitten off probably

1:12:53

more than you can chew.

1:12:55

If you get everything perfectly right, then it may work for a time.

1:13:03

But of course, if you actually just overlook one thing.

1:13:07

And who knows what that one thing is?

1:13:09

It only takes one mistake in the code to bring it all crashing down on your head.

1:13:15

And of course, when it crashes down on your head, the entire universe collapses on you.

1:13:20

It’s a very challenging task.

1:13:23

And so that’s why there’s technical hazard.

1:13:26

Michael Saylor (01:03:09):

1:13:27

The one last point I wanted to make is, in addition to the economic hazard and the technical

1:13:34

hazard, there’s the moral hazard.

1:13:36

And the moral hazard is when you choose to create something that’s a simulated universe

1:13:42

and virtual security on a virtual machine, you have to have a very organized software

1:13:50

development function.

1:13:51

And generally, you’ve created the software development company.

1:13:54

Michael Saylor (01:03:31):

1:13:55

And the software developers have the ability to…

1:13:58

If they have the ability to slash or to grant permission or deny access.

1:14:03

Or for example, to let you withdraw your tokens are not.

1:14:07

At that point the software company has become so central to the network that you’ve created

1:14:16

a security.

1:14:18

It becomes an investment contract per the definition of securities law because you are

1:14:24

relying on the efforts of others.

1:14:27

And it’s pretty much impossible not to rely on the efforts of others when you require

1:14:32

software-

1:14:33

Michael Saylor (01:04:00):

1:14:34

Rely on the efforts of others when you require software engineers to make the sun shine,

1:14:36

and make the planets to revolve around the sun, and enforce gravity and the like.

1:14:42

Even if they didn’t want to, if you finish it, eventually they’re subject to nation

1:14:47

state attack.

1:14:49

The government shows up and says, “You have to do this, block that.”

1:14:52

You have to make it impossible to spend the coupons in China, or you’re not allowed

1:14:59

to spend the coupons in Russia.

1:15:01

Now you’re jiggering with the universe.

1:15:04

Now imagine if I was able to stop gravity in Russia, or if I was able to make it impossible

1:15:10

to eat oranges in China.

1:15:13

Well, they wouldn’t be commodities, right?

1:15:16

The universe wouldn’t work if one software engineer has that kind of power.

1:15:23

The real problem with a virtual universe and a virtual network is ultimately the power

1:15:30

concentrates in the hands of the software engineers, and inadvertently you’ve created

1:15:34

an investment contract, and you’re relying on a software company and the token becomes

1:15:40

equity in a software company.

1:15:41

Michael Saylor (01:05:08):

1:15:43

There’s an ethical way to sell equity in a software company.

1:15:47

It’s been done by Oracle and by Microsoft, but you see it requires registration statements

1:15:54

and a whole set of other disclosures, and that’s not in the crypto ecosystem.

1:15:59

They can’t really afford to do that.

1:16:01

That’s why energy, a la Bitcoin, is the superior approach, and maybe the only approach

1:16:14

that we know of for solving the problem of sound money.

1:16:17

Preston Pysh (01:05:36):

1:16:18

Michael, what you’re talking about there with this virtual reality universe constant,

1:16:25

I think is such a profound idea, and it’s such a profound idea especially for policy

1:16:30

makers.

1:16:31

If there’s policy makers out there listening to this anywhere in the world, they’re being

1:16:36

fed narratives from this perverted incentive structure that you so eloquently covered,

1:16:42

from all these other protocols that are out there, specifically proof of stake protocols.

1:16:49

No proof of stake protocol is bigger than this announcement that was recently made with

1:16:53

the merge and Ethereum.

1:16:54

I’m about to play, I’m going to play you a clip from Vitalik Buterin who’s the, whatever

1:17:03

you want to refer to him as, the CEO of [inaudible 01:06:19].

1:17:06

But here’s the clip of him talking about something that completely relates to what

1:17:12

you were just describing in detail, Michael, with respect to virtual constants.

1:17:17

Vitalik Buterin (01:06:32):

1:17:19

I think to summarize that, one of the ways that I think about this in a more philosophical

1:17:23

way is proof of work is based on the laws of physics and so you sort of have to work

1:17:30

with the world as it is.

1:17:31

You have to work with electricity as it is, hardware as it is, what computers are as it

1:17:38

Whereas because proof of stake is virtualized in this way, it’s basically letting us create

1:17:42

a simulated universe that has its own laws of physics.

1:17:45

That just gives us as protocol developers a lot more freedom to optimize the system

1:17:52

around actually having all of the different security properties that we want.

1:17:57

If we want the system to have a particular security guarantee, and then often there is

1:18:03

a way to modify the [inaudible 01:07:16] mechanism to also achieve it.

1:18:07

It’s just much more flexible and it shows through in the efficiency and the security

1:18:15

of the network.

1:18:16

Preston Pysh (01:07:26):

1:18:17

Michael, what are your thoughts?

1:18:18

Michael Saylor (01:07:29):

1:18:22

Giving the protocol developers the freedom to optimize the system as they wish is what

1:18:31

makes it a security and not a commodity.

1:18:35

The whole reason that it doesn’t work is because you’ve got us.

1:18:44

Who does us refer to right?

1:18:46

In the entire [inaudible 01:07:47]?

1:18:48

Presumably us refers to a small group or a defined group of protocol developers that

1:18:56

are tinkering with the code in order to make the universe the way they want it to be.

1:19:02

That makes it a software company and that makes ETH an investment contract and that

1:19:07

makes every ETH investor reliant upon the efforts of others.

1:19:12

That throws into a bunch of questions, which is, there’s so many different problems with

1:19:20

this.

1:19:21

Michael Saylor (01:08:16):

1:19:22

One problem is you’re implying that you’re going to get one group of software engineers

1:19:28

to write software to simulate the entire universe.

1:19:31

Good luck with that.

1:19:34

But the second problem is if one group of software engineers did write the software,

1:19:38

that makes it a investment contract.

1:19:41

The only way for it to be a commodity is you have to have dozen different groups of software

1:19:47

engineers without coordination bouncing into each other randomly agreeing on some software

1:19:54

code that simulates the universe after lots of bitter dissent without any one of them

1:20:00

able to take a leadership role.

1:20:03

Michael Saylor (01:08:55):

1:20:06

You think about it and you just think, where to even start?

1:20:13

If you found the hundred smartest scientists in the world that ever lived and you put them

1:20:19

on the team to write the code, it would be a security and that would be an investment

1:20:26

contract, and it’s not a commodity.

1:20:30

But if you found the not a hundred smartest people, they’d probably screw it up.

1:20:36

You probably can’t write software that simulates the universe.

1:20:39

It’s not so easy to do it perfectly for a billion years, even for a year.

1:20:45

Michael Saylor (01:09:28):

1:20:46

Then the third problem is you just can’t have…

1:20:51

Vitalik implies that they’re just going to keep changing it whenever they wish for

1:20:56

whatever reason they wish.

1:20:59

Well, who appointed him God, and who appointed the ETH developers God?

1:21:08

If the people that talk like that are software company CEOs, if you’re the CEO of a software

1:21:17

company and you have the controlling interest in the shares, maybe you’re Mark Zuckerberg,

1:21:25

you could say, “I’ve decided I’m going to change the way Facebook works.

1:21:29

It’s my way or the highway,” but it’s a security and he’s accountable to his public

1:21:35

shareholders.

1:21:36

The reason he can do it is because he runs the company, but if you’re actually promoting

1:21:43

your crypto network as the commodity, nobody has the power to dictate what happens next,

1:21:50

and certainly you shouldn’t be able to force that.

1:21:52

Michael Saylor (01:10:20):

1:21:53

If you can force your views onto the asset holders, then that doesn’t sound like consensus.

1:22:01

If you can force your views on the Bitcoin, on the ETH miners, that doesn’t sound like

1:22:08

consensus.

1:22:09

The fact is, you have a situation where a small group of software engineers have hijacked

1:22:16

a crypto network to their benefit to the detriment of the outsiders and the miners.

1:22:23

It wasn’t a vote for sure.

1:22:26

The ETH miners never would’ve voted to convert to proof of stake.

1:22:29

They weren’t given a vote.

1:22:30

Preston Pysh (01:10:52):

1:22:31

Which proves it’s decentralized.

1:22:32

That’s the proof.

1:22:33

Michael Saylor (01:10:57):

1:22:34

Everybody with their ETH [inaudible 01:10:59] stakes is waiting to see how much they’ll

1:22:36

be diluted once the software developers decide, and everyone with their money staked is waiting

1:22:43

to see whether they’ll ever get it back once the developers decide.

1:22:48

Now the question is, how do they decide who is we?

1:22:50

Vitalik, he actually refers to us.

1:22:52

Who is us?

1:22:54

In a publicly traded company, you would have to file a registration statement and then

1:23:02

you would disclose the management team, and the board, and you would disclose who has

1:23:08

the voting stock.

1:23:11

Any investor would actually would some idea of corporate governance, and you would also

1:23:18

disclose all your risk factors.

1:23:21

But in a commodity, none of those things are disclosed.

1:23:24

Michael Saylor (01:11:40):

1:23:25

If you have a situation where you have a small group of individuals that are actually writing

1:23:33

software that determines whether another group of individuals make money or lose all their

1:23:42

money, in theory, couldn’t the protocol developers just decide to never let you one

1:23:47

stake and pay you no fee?

1:23:50

They could.

1:23:51

What are you going to do about it?

1:23:56

What’s your ETH worth in that case?

1:24:00

The staked ETH is worth nothing, right?

1:24:01

Michael Saylor (01:12:08):

1:24:02

On the other hand, they could do the opposite.

1:24:03

They could say that the staked ETH is the only, no one else can stake anymore ETH, and

1:24:09

you get paid 10% or 20% of a year in ETH, and then the non staked ETH goes to zero.

1:24:19

You have a classic example of a small group of people that are basically playing God.

1:24:29

You don’t even get around this by saying, “We’re going to take a vote.”

1:24:31

Of course they don’t take a vote.

1:24:33

If you took a vote, you’d be taking a shareholder vote.

1:24:37

Corporations take votes.

1:24:38

You’re still a security.

1:24:40

Michael Saylor (01:12:38):

1:24:41

The way that you actually get to be a commodity is you create something which no one can reasonably

1:24:49

change without overwhelming universal consensus.

1:24:54

Almost like, you could even say universal consensus.

1:24:59

You want to change something?

1:25:00

If I don’t change my node, you can’t force me to change the node.

1:25:06

You can fork off, you can break off and do your own thing, but you can’t force me.

1:25:12

You can’t reach in and stop me.

1:25:16

That’s what makes it a commodity, the lack of governance.

1:25:23

Michael Saylor (01:13:12):

1:25:26

If you have a plan, if you have a roadmap, the fact that you have the power to implement

1:25:33

the roadmap is what makes it a security.

1:25:39

I think in Bitcoin, the difference between Bitcoin and ETH is, Vitalik would say ETH

1:25:48

is only 40% finished and Bitcoin is 80% finished.

1:25:53

That’s what he says.

1:25:55

But if you ask the Bitcoin, they would say “No, ETH may be 40% finished.

1:25:59

It doesn’t look that finished to us, but it’s something finished, but bitcoin’s

1:26:04

done.”

1:26:05

Michael Saylor (01:13:42):

1:26:06

Bitcoin was 100% finished on January 3rd, 2009.

1:26:11

It was a complete protocol.

1:26:14

The only thing that’s going to happen in Bitcoin is we’re going to fix a fatal bug,

1:26:21

or if we have an overwhelming 100% consensus that we might want to create for [inaudible

1:26:27

01:14:02] with a [inaudible 01:14:02] or something, maybe we will.

1:26:30

But that’s why Bitcoin has been all soft forks, no hard forks.

1:26:35

You’re going to take four years or longer with a massive bitter debate over even an

1:26:42

inconsequential soft fork, right?

1:26:46

Because we would say Bitcoin is substantially done.

1:26:51

I think there’s even a famous line, or maybe it was Satoshi that said, “The nature of

1:26:56

Bitcoin was such that it was, substantially the protocol was complete in the beta.”

1:27:03

As soon as it went to beta, it was pretty much done.

1:27:05

You weren’t going to change it.

1:27:07

Michael Saylor (01:14:34):

1:27:08

The idea that you can keep changing it and changing it, I think in Vitalik’s keynote

1:27:14

speech, he had four more phases to go and each phase looks like two years, which means

1:27:20

it’ll stretch the three or four years, and each one has to be funded.

1:27:24

Who’s going to pay for it?

1:27:27

That’s interesting.

1:27:33

You almost get this sense that the miners all have to die so that the money that was

1:27:39

going to go to the miners for hardware security or physical security can be redirected to

1:27:44

the developers to add software.

1:27:47

Michael Saylor (01:15:03):

1:27:48

If you’ve made the decision that you’re going to derive all of your security and integrity

1:27:53

from software, then you’ve made the decision to fund a software development effort at infant

1:28:00

item, which means you’ve made the decision to fund a software company.

1:28:04

I don’t know how you fund one, but now imagine you’re going to launch six of them.

1:28:11

How do you get six different independent software companies to do the same complicated thing

1:28:15

and fight with each other over the next 10 to 20 years in order to be decentralized?

1:28:19

Preston Pysh (01:15:33):

1:28:20

You talk about perverted incentive structures like you were describing earlier with lobbying

1:28:26

and things like that, I could only imagine what type of infighting could potentially

1:28:32

cause a split in some of those incentives as you’re talking about a niche group of

1:28:37

programmers that are working towards what update they personally want.

1:28:42

You talk about the seniorage that’s doing the consensus as well, and the validation

1:28:47

of a proof of stake system and how infighting and lobbying could play out so that it just

1:28:54

gets consolidated more and more into the hands of the few because it’s not tethered to

1:28:57

physical reality.

1:28:59

Michael Saylor (01:16:09):

1:29:01

Yeah, Bitcoin is on one handed an example of how to do it.

1:29:06

Set the protocol January 3rd, 2009, don’t mess with it.

1:29:16

Occasional soft forks to fix a fatal bug or something, but really don’t mess with it.

1:29:21

Leave it well enough alone.

1:29:24

The monetary protocol in a year 2140, we have every reason to believe is the same as the

1:29:30

monetary protocol today and the monetary protocol in the year 2240 or 2340 or 2440, the same

1:29:39

as today.

1:29:42

I think ETH is the other extreme, which is we’re sitting here in the security protocol

1:29:46

that’s a month old or a few weeks old.

1:29:49

We don’t know what’ll happen there.

1:29:51

The monetary protocol is still not set.

1:29:53

Michael Saylor (01:16:51):

1:29:54

For example, what’s the staking yield?

1:29:56

Nobody knows, right?

1:29:59

What’s the staking yield for the next 120 years?

1:30:03

We actually know what the Bitcoin mining reward structure is for the next 120 years.

1:30:09

We have an algorithm to determine transaction fees for the next 20,000 years.

1:30:13

We know that.

1:30:14

We knew that on January 3rd, 2009.

1:30:17

Hasn’t changed.

1:30:18

That’s the monetary protocol of Bitcoin, capped to 21 million.

1:30:23

Michael Saylor (01:17:16):

1:30:24

The monetary protocol of ETH hasn’t been set yet.

1:30:26

In fact, there’s not even a date by which it will be set yet.

1:30:31

You don’t know if you can stake, you don’t know if you can unstake, you don’t know

1:30:38

what the consequences are, and you’ve got a never ending set of technical changes.

1:30:46

Charting is just another feature set.

1:30:52

What about slashing?

1:30:54

You’ve got all these questions.

1:30:59

One could reasonably say Bitcoin is substantially complete.

1:31:02

Well, Bitcoin was substantially complete January 3rd, 2009.

1:31:07

Michael Saylor (01:17:52):

1:31:08

Ethereum is substantially incomplete now.

1:31:13

That fundamentally is the problem, and the challenge with Vitalik’s philosophy is this

1:31:23

idea that we can simply imagine anything and do anything that we imagine is unhinged from

1:31:34

reality.

1:31:35

You really can’t just do anything that you want.

1:31:41

Anybody that’s ever built software before knows you start with this idea of a cool feature

1:31:45

and then you go down the path and then you realize that either you couldn’t get it

1:31:48

to work or nobody wanted it, or it’s dysfunctional or backfires.

1:31:54

I think Ethereum and all the proof of stake cryptos, generally all the cryptos, they’re

1:32:01

very overly idealistic, and the idealism ultimately makes them inappropriate as money and makes

1:32:11

them inappropriate as commodity.

1:32:13

Preston Pysh (01:18:42):

1:32:14

I think it’s important, so when you have policy makers that are hearing these debates

1:32:18

and they’re getting swayed one way or the other, it’s very easy for people who don’t

1:32:25

understand what Bitcoin is fundamentally trying to solve for.

1:32:29

What is it fundamentally trying to solve for versus somebody who would look at an Ethereum

1:32:34

and say, “Yeah, but it does smart contracts and it does programmability on the base layer

1:32:39

and it does all these other things.”

1:32:42

When I hear that side by side, I immediately, in my brain, I’m saying that person does

1:32:48

not understand what’s fundamentally broke and what’s fundamentally being solved for.

1:32:53

Michael Saylor (01:19:19):

1:32:54

Let’s boil it down to one idea.

1:32:55

Bitcoin is attempting to be a digital asset without an issuer.

1:33:03

The whole ethos of crypto properly understood is the creation of a digital asset without

1:33:11

an issuer, and that idea, or aspiration has been achieved by Bitcoin.

1:33:18

There’s a massive debate as to whether or not half a dozen or a dozen other networks

1:33:24

have achieved it.

1:33:25

We could debate that back and forth.

1:33:28

But the other 20,000 are really just coupons running on software databases.

1:33:34

The idea that I can do all these cool things without all the functionality, that’s called

1:33:41

software.

1:33:42

Smart contracts and the like are all available in software.

1:33:45

They run in software.

1:33:46

You can do them on web browsers and servers and iPhones using a very small amount of electricity,

1:33:56

very little energy, and you can do them beautifully

1:33:59

There’s no innovation there.

1:34:01

Michael Saylor (01:20:18):

1:34:02

The innovation that’s really critical in crypto is the creation of an asset without

1:34:08

an issuer.

1:34:11

Whenever you default to have a software organization create that asset and essentially maintain

1:34:18

it, you failed.

1:34:19

You haven’t created a crypto, you’ve created a software program.

1:34:24

It may be a software program running on 20 computers instead of one computer, but you’re

1:34:30

just creating a software program.

1:34:33

And so therefore there’s no breakthrough there.

1:34:37

The slight of hand here is somehow to say, “Well, Bitcoin is a digital asset without

1:34:43

an issuer, and we’re sort of like Bitcoin, but we have a lot more features and don’t

1:34:47

use electricity, so favor us.”

1:34:49

Michael Saylor (01:20:59):

1:34:50

But of course the logical fallacy is they’re nothing like Bitcoin because they’re not

1:34:57

assets without issuers, they’re assets with issuers.

1:35:03

The fact that Vitalik can actually say what they intend to do is proof that they’re

1:35:08

not a decentralized network.

1:35:11

A true crypto network doesn’t have anybody that can tell you what’s going to happen

1:35:15

next.

1:35:16

That’s why Satoshi disappeared.

1:35:17

Preston Pysh (01:21:22):

1:35:18

Michael, it’s not just that it has, and I’m assuming this is your opinion, but correct

1:35:22

me if I’m wrong, it’s not that it just has this no issuer, it’s that it has no

1:35:28

issuer with a terminal fixed supply that can never be based beyond that amount.

1:35:34

That’s the game changing piece that solves the problem, which I want you to address what

1:35:39

that problem is.

1:35:40

Michael Saylor (01:21:43):

1:35:41

Yeah, let’s talk about that.

1:35:43

The creation of a crypto asset without an issuer is the innovation.

1:35:50

Bitcoin is one step beyond that.

1:35:52

If you create a digital asset without an issuer, you’ve created a commodity, a digital commodity,

1:36:00

but you haven’t created digital money or digital scarcity.

1:36:04

If you want to create the perfect digital money, you don’t just want a commodity.

1:36:10

Remember stock to flow?

1:36:11

Preston Pysh (01:22:12):

1:36:13

Yeah.

1:36:14

Michael Saylor (01:22:13):

1:36:15

Silver is a commodity that makes bad money.

1:36:19

Bales of tobacco and seashells and glass beads are commodities that make crappy money.

1:36:28

Gold is a commodity that makes better money because it’s got a higher stock to flow

1:36:32

ratio.

1:36:34

Bitcoin is a commodity that makes the best money because the stock to flow ratio is infinite.

1:36:40

In essence, it’s 21 million.

1:36:44

We know where it ends.

1:36:45

It’s completely capped, completely scarce.

1:36:47

Those coin may or may not be a digital commodity, I’m not sure because I’d have to determine

1:36:53

whether or not it was ethically launched and whether or not it was truly decentralized,

1:36:56

and whether or not there’s anyone that has true influence over it.

1:37:02

I can honestly say I haven’t studied it enough to know whether it is or isn’t.

1:37:07

Preston Pysh (01:23:01):

1:37:08

Neither have I.

1:37:09

Michael Saylor (01:23:03):

1:37:10

But let’s say hypothetically you forked some Bitcoin code, but then you change some

1:37:17

of the code to remove the having.

1:37:20

Well then would’ve a digital asset that you might be able to argue is a commodity.

1:37:29

If you forked it, gave it to the world, disappeared, and it ran like Bitcoin, but without the havings,

1:37:39

then it would simply continue to inflate at whatever, 3, 4% a year, X percent a year,

1:37:46

forever.

1:37:47

Now that’s a commodity, but it’s not a scarcity.

1:37:53

It’s weak money.

1:37:55

It’s not hard money, it’s weaker money.

1:38:01

You could make an ethical argument that you should be able to trade in on a crypto exchange

1:38:06

without filing a registration statement.

1:38:09

Michael Saylor (01:23:55):

1:38:12

The thing that’s missing right now is the ability to actually apply to the CFTC or the

1:38:19

SEC and submit your crypto network and say, “This token should be deemed a commodity.”

1:38:26

But let’s say that they’ve already agreed Bitcoin is a commodity.

1:38:31

There’s nobody to apply because it’s so decentralized that there’s no one left,

1:38:35

but that I could just take the protocol and submit it and I could say, “Look, no one

1:38:41

has the power to change it.

1:38:42

The protocol hasn’t substantially changed in years and years and years.

1:38:46

Is this commodity?”

1:38:47

They would probably say yes.

1:38:48

I don’t see an issuer.

1:38:50

There’s no ICO, there’s no pre mine, there’s no one that seems to have it.

1:38:53

Michael Saylor (01:24:32):

1:38:54

Satoshi, looks like Satoshi mined a lot of coins, but they haven’t moved and Satoshi’s

1:38:58

gone.

1:38:59

So yeah, it looks like commodity.

1:39:02

Now, if I forked it, if I forked Bitcoin the year 2022 and I removed the havings and bitcoin’s…

1:39:12

and this is Bitcoin lite or weak coin, we’ll call it.

1:39:19

Weak coin, or maybe it’s minor coin because some minor decides it’s a good idea because

1:39:24

their block rewards will just stay constant.

1:39:27

I can create minor coin, M-I-N-E-R or M-I-N-O-R, depending on which one [inaudible 01:25:10].

1:39:34

Miner coin, and I fork that and I submit that application to the CFTC and I say, “Look,

1:39:42

this is this.

1:39:43

There’s like 27 minors that are mining miner coin.

1:39:45

Is this a security or commodity?”

1:39:49

If I did in a fair and equitable fashion, it would be a digital asset without an issuer,

1:39:55

because you’re allowed to do a little bit of sulfur engineering.

1:40:00

Michael Saylor (01:25:35):

1:40:02

You can copy and paste the code, change having line, and again, issue it to the public domain.

1:40:08

You’re just not allowed to give yourself an ICO, give yourself 20% of the supply, sell

1:40:15

20% to the general.

1:40:17

You can’t sell 20% to the general public, keep 20%, and then keep control of the protocol

1:40:24

and then call it a commodity, you see?

1:40:27

In this particular case, the miner achievement, which we should recognize as an achievement,

1:40:33

is the creation of a digital commodity, but the brilliant achievement, the brilliant achievement

1:40:41

is the creation of a digital scarcity.

1:40:43

Michael Saylor (01:26:15):

1:40:44

What you just said is right in a way, that is Satoshi’s genius is creating digital

1:40:50

scarcity, a digital commodity without an issuer, but the thing that makes it scarce is the

1:40:58

protocol.

1:40:59

You can create… the protocol.

1:41:00

Another way to say it is not all digital commodities are equally good, just like not all commodities

1:41:09

are really good.

1:41:10

Just like copper versus silver versus gold, they’re all commodities.

1:41:13

One is harder than the other.

1:41:15

Michael Saylor (01:26:47):

1:41:17

You can have a superior protocol or an inferior

1:41:20

What I would say with Bitcoin is, and what I would say with crypto is, you have to have

1:41:26

energy, a proprietary energy, to create the decentralized secure network that creates

1:41:36

a commodity or creates an asset with an issuer.

1:41:39

You need that.

1:41:40

You have some choices in the software protocol.

1:41:41

[inaudible 01:27:11] every six years instead of every four years.

1:41:42

Like choices, you have choices in the hardware.

1:41:43

Well, actually not.

1:41:44

I’ll take that back.

1:41:45

The hardware, you have choices how you build the hardware, but anybody can build any hardware

1:41:46

they want.

1:41:47

Michael Saylor (01:27:23):

1:41:48

The Shaw 256 protocol, which is a software decision, determined the hardware that followed,

1:41:51

and now people are creating hardware optimized for that software.

1:41:54

The genetic code was set.

1:41:58

There are other genetic codes that could result in digital assets without an issuer.

1:42:05

There are also other genetic codes.

1:42:06

There are other software protocols that could result in digital assets without an issuer

1:42:13

that are also scarce.

1:42:16

You could create a Bitcoin copy that’s capped to 21 million coins, but the difficulty adjustment

1:42:27

takes place every four weeks instead of every two weeks, and having takes place every five

1:42:31

years instead of every four years.

1:42:32

It would still be a scarcity, but it’ll be a different network, a different protocol.

1:42:39

Would one be better than the other?

1:42:41

Maybe it’s like single cell organisms.

1:42:45

There’s that bacteria and this bacteria, and they kind of look the same to all of us,

1:42:49

but one of the bacterias is better than the other bacteria when it comes to fighting for

1:42:53

survival.

1:42:54

Michael Saylor (01:28:26):

1:42:57

I think what we have is Bitcoin is a digital asset without an issuer that happens to be

1:43:04

a digital scarcity and a digital commodity.

1:43:07

There’s a question as to how many other digital commodities or scarcities there are.

1:43:14

There is no process in the regulatory system for having something formally designated a

1:43:20

digital commodity.

1:43:22

The presumption is most things are securities until proven otherwise.

1:43:26

The observation is most of them look like securities because they have CEOs and management

1:43:33

teams and BC and ICOs and airdrop and pre mines and all sorts of indicia of investment

1:43:45

contracts.

1:43:46

Preston Pysh (01:29:08):

1:43:47

Michael, when I look at the problem that it’s solving, if I was going to quantify what problem

1:43:53

I think it is, I would probably state it like this.

1:43:57

Bitcoin is solving the breakdown in fiat currency, A fiat currency that has been manipulated

1:44:06

for decades on end, and has now created a head bashing between net exporters and net

1:44:15

importers around the world where the net exporters don’t want to be paid in these credit-based

1:44:22

fiat paper promises because they’ve been manipulated down to nothing percent.

1:44:29

But the net consumers insist on paying in these paper promises.

1:44:34

Bitcoin steps in as a wedge between these two importers or net exporters and net consumers,

1:44:41

and solves the unit of account that they cannot come to agreement on for their settlement.

1:44:46

Do you agree with that?

1:44:48

Do you see it differently?

1:44:49

Do you think I’m using a word sandwich to describe the problem?

1:44:54

Can you describe the problem more simply than that?

1:44:56

What are your thoughts?

1:44:58

Michael Saylor (01:30:23):

1:44:59

I agree with what you said, and I agree on the dilemma.

1:45:07

I can’t help but remember going Parabolics phrase hard money, you can’t F with.

1:45:13

Preston Pysh (01:30:33):

1:45:14

Jason Williams, the shout out.

1:45:16

Michael Saylor (01:30:36):

1:45:18

Yeah, go Jason.

1:45:20

Hard money you can’t F with.

1:45:22

I think Bitcoin, it’s hard money, right?

1:45:27

We’re moving into a world where the credibility of the fiat currencies are collapsing.

1:45:35

My fiat currency has been money since, I mean maybe it’s been money since 1914.

1:45:41

I mean, we could debate.

1:45:43

We had a goal standard 1865, 1914.

1:45:47

Then we had a goal reserve standard until 1971, and then we just had pure fiat.

1:45:56

We’ve had some flavor of fiat, but I guess the trust in fiat since 1971 has been decaying

1:46:04

at some progressive rate.

1:46:05

Michael Saylor (01:31:17):

1:46:06

Now we’ve reached a point where we have an unprecedented crisis of confidence or loss

1:46:12

in confidence, and we see it in the collapse of the euro, the yen, the pound against the

1:46:18

dollar.

1:46:19

We see it in the collapse of developing world currencies against the dollar.

1:46:23

We see it in the breakdown of world trade.

1:46:26

There’s between…

1:46:27

all sorts of blocks, there’s a problem of trade between the Chinese and the Indians

1:46:33

and the Russians and the Americans and the like.

1:46:37

Hence a re-embracing of commodities, and it seems like people want commodity backed money.

1:46:46

Michael Saylor (01:31:52):

1:46:47

The dilemma that the world has is it needs two things.

1:46:51

It needs a monetary asset and it also needs a monetary network.

1:46:57

In the age of gold, the monetary asset was a bar of gold and the monetary network was

1:47:04

move it on a ship or a plane or a train, probably more than likely a train or a ship, no planes

1:47:13

really.

1:47:14

That was the old world.

1:47:15

And then the last hundred years have been this intermediate period where the monetary

1:47:22

asset was substantially the dollar.

1:47:25

From 1918 on, the pound was secondary, but for the most part the dollar and the banking

1:47:32

system was the network or the central banking system has been the network for that time

1:47:38

period.

1:47:39

Michael Saylor (01:32:38):

1:47:40

Now the world wants a new monetary network.

1:47:46

We have an economic problem, we have a technical problem, we have a political problem.

1:47:50

The technical problem is 8 billion people need to be able to do transactions 10,000

1:47:58

times a day with each other over 50 billion computers.

1:48:03

That’s a technical problem.

1:48:05

You could solve that with Bitcoin plus layer two and layer three protocols.

1:48:10

But you need money that moves at the speed of light with final settlement in a milli

1:48:15

a second.

1:48:16

We don’t have that through the 20th century.

1:48:18

You don’t have it with the central banks, the correspondent banks, and the credit card

1:48:23

networks.

1:48:24

You just don’t have it.

1:48:25

That’s a technical problem.

1:48:26

Michael Saylor (01:33:19):

1:48:27

The economic problem is that all the fiat currencies are losing purchasing power and

1:48:35

they’re collapsing.

1:48:37

If they’re collapsing at, right now, it looks like they’re collapsing between 10

1:48:42

and 20% a year in total.

1:48:46

The world reserve currency, the dollar was collapsing at 7% a year for about a hundred

1:48:51

years.

1:48:52

We managed to live through the 7% a year, but I don’t think we can live through the

1:48:56

15 to 21% a year.

1:48:59

The rate of collapse is just accelerated, and in some places, a lot of places, it’s

1:49:05

collapsing even faster.

1:49:08

Michael Saylor (01:33:59):

1:49:09

That creates, I don’t know, $10 trillion a year worth of economic damage.

1:49:15

That’s basically…

1:49:16

Preston Pysh (01:34:07):

1:49:18

Michael Saylor (01:34:07):

1:49:19

… energy lapse.

1:49:20

We’re all freezing to death.

1:49:24

Think about the dysfunction in Lebanon right now.

1:49:29

The dysfunction that happens when the bank freezes, the currency collapses.

1:49:35

How much creativity in industry is taking place?

1:49:39

Or the dysfunction in any war zone and the dysfunction in South America, the dysfunction

1:49:45

in Africa.

1:49:46

We can almost, you could probably say there’s been dysfunction in Africa for hundreds of

1:49:52

years.

1:49:54

You could point that one of the major sources of dysfunction in Africa is the lack of a

1:50:01

monetary network with integrity.

1:50:05

If I give you a billion dollars in most African nations, how long would the money be there,

1:50:10

and would it be gainfully invested or would it be dissipated?

1:50:16

It’s kind of similar to, you’ve got an open artery and I’m pumping blood into your

1:50:23

arm, but it’s coming out the artery.

1:50:28

That’s the economic problem.

1:50:31

Michael Saylor (01:35:16):

1:50:32

Then finally, the political problem, the political problem is nobody trusts anybody.

1:50:39

If I was sitting with a politician and try to explain why do you need an energy based

1:50:49

currency like Bitcoin, why do you need a digital asset without an issuer that’s properly

1:50:56

architected, the proper architecture is the scarcity protocol.

1:51:01

Why do you need a functional digital money?

1:51:04

The answer is because you don’t trust the other country and the other country’s not

1:51:10

going to trust you.

1:51:12

It’s like if someone says, “Well, I want it from a company.”

1:51:16

“Okay, fine.

1:51:17

Well, do you want it from a company in China?”

1:51:20

“No, not that company.”

1:51:22

“Okay, well do you think that 1 billion Chinese…

1:51:24

Michael Saylor (01:36:00):

1:51:25

… that company.

1:51:26

Okay, well, do you think that 1 billion Chinese want it from a company in America?

1:51:27

Preston Pysh (01:36:06):

1:51:28

Nope.

1:51:29

Michael Saylor (01:36:06):

1:51:31

Do you think the people in North Korea are allowed to get it from you?

1:51:33

Do you want it from a company in Cuba?

1:51:36

Do you think the Cubans want it from you?

1:51:39

Do you think the Russians are going to trust fill-in-the-blank?

1:51:44

Are you going to trust them?

1:51:46

No country can trust another country.

1:51:50

States don’t trust each other.

1:51:52

Cities don’t trust each other.

1:51:54

Companies don’t trust each other.

1:51:58

And if you did, pick the country that you trust.

1:52:01

Okay, how about this one?

1:52:03

You’re a Republican.

1:52:05

Do you trust America?

1:52:07

Yeah.

1:52:08

Okay.

1:52:09

Are you going to give absolute power to the White House?

1:52:13

Not if a Democrat’s getting elected next month.

1:52:18

Reverse it.

1:52:19

You’re a Democrat.

1:52:20

You want to give absolute power to the White House with the possibility that Republican,

1:52:26

or your political rival, will be in power?

1:52:28

Michael Saylor (01:36:59):

1:52:30

So, the truth of the matter is: No country trusts each other, no one can trust any company,

1:52:35

and you can’t trust any institution over time.

1:52:39

Okay, so what if I tell you, “Well, I guarantee you the next 10 elections,” do you still

1:52:46

want that much power?

1:52:47

What about the 11th?

1:52:49

The problem that we’re solving is monetary integrity through time and space across domain.

1:52:58

So, “across space” means I need to do them everywhere in the world, billions of

1:53:07

times an hour.

1:53:09

And “across every domain” means that I need a hundred million companies in a hundred

1:53:14

countries to trade with each other across 10,000 different political jurisdictions.

1:53:23

Think about how many different agencies and jurisdictions there are.

1:53:26

There’s the county.

1:53:28

The precinct.

1:53:29

The township.

1:53:30

The city.

1:53:31

The state.

1:53:32

There’s 47 federal agencies.

1:53:33

Now, think about the Cartesian product of 47 federal agencies across a hundred jurisdictions

1:53:41

across who-knows-whatever-else.

1:53:43

Right?

1:53:44

Michael Saylor (01:38:07):

1:53:45

It just gets to be such a complicated set of cross products that you can’t do it.

1:53:50

So I need to trade cross domain, cross space, and then I need to trade cross time, and it’s

1:53:58

pretty easy if your definition of time is “for the next eight days.”

1:54:03

You look at most people in this market, they think in terms of hours or days or months,

1:54:07

and all their comparisons are that way.

1:54:09

“Longterm” is 10 years.

1:54:13

And the last time I saw anybody on television or in the mainstream media do a reasonable

1:54:21

analysis where they looked out 10 years, I can’t remember.

1:54:24

That’s very rare.

1:54:26

No one says a hundred years, and nobody says a thousand years.

1:54:30

So, if you’re trying to solve the problem, “How do you build something truly great?”

1:54:40

you need to look out hundreds of years.

1:54:44

The hardest substance, the hardest mineral, is granite or schist.

1:54:52

Of all the materials, you want something really hard, the thing that deflects the least under

1:54:58

pressure: granite.

1:54:59

No surprise that New York City is built on that bedrock, schist, which is that hardest

1:55:05

thing.

1:55:07

And the question is: How long do I want it to be there?

1:55:10

Well, it’s been there for 200 million years.

1:55:13

If I’m going to build a city: a thousand years.

1:55:17

Go look at the Venetians and see the problem of a city that simply holds up for 50 years.

1:55:23

They built on pilings.

1:55:24

The pilings are sinking an inch a hundred years, or a couple of inches every century.

1:55:30

That just doesn’t work.

1:55:31

I mean, it turns out that the city will be gone.

1:55:34

Michael Saylor (01:39:51):

1:55:36

And so, ultimately, if you want to create something that is going to last a thousand

1:55:43

years, that’s going to work across a hundred million companies, across 10,000 cultures,

1:55:51

across 10,000 regulatory domains, and you’re going to do it at the speed of light, if you’re

1:55:59

going to do it at 50 kilohertz, I want to write a program that looks at a hundred-thousand

1:56:05

counterparties every minute, and then moves my assets around to maximize the yield and

1:56:12

minimize the risk.

1:56:15

And I want 10,000 counterparties of weight come on the network and exit the network.

1:56:21

If I want something which is truly fluid and efficient, then it has to be a digital asset.

1:56:28

It can’t be a digital security.

1:56:32

And notwithstanding the issue of: You need 250 people to issue a security responsibly.

1:56:41

But even if you bought into that notion, the issue is, in the US, we’re not recognizing

1:56:47

Chinese securities.

1:56:48

Michael Saylor (01:40:57):

1:56:49

The Chinese aren’t recognizing our securities.

1:56:52

And the securities, and the protocols of the securities, are controlled by a management

1:56:58

team, and the management team is subject to the influence of a family or a founder.

1:57:04

Or, if you’re the CEO of a company, then there’s any number of politicians that can

1:57:15

hold a gun to your head.

1:57:18

The mayor of the town you’re in can coerce you.

1:57:21

The neighborhood association can coerce you.

1:57:24

The county can coerce you.

1:57:26

The state can coerce you.

1:57:28

The federal government can coerce you.

1:57:30

187 regulatory agencies can coerce you.

1:57:34

So, to the extent that you have anything where you’ve got an influencer, that they have

1:57:42

influence on it, we can make changes if we see fit.

1:57:49

That’s the kiss of death for a commodity, the fact that you can change it.

1:57:56

And I think that most of the problems in the world are well-intentioned people changing

1:58:02

things.

1:58:03

Michael Saylor (01:42:08):

1:58:04

That’s the problem.

1:58:05

The fact that you can change it is what corrupts it, right?

1:58:11

I mean, literally, what’s the difference between the definition of “change” and

1:58:17

the definition of “corrupt”?

1:58:21

When do you corrupt something and not change

1:58:27

I mean, the truth is: For example, let’s take another commodity, like steel.

1:58:37

Okay?

1:58:39

You can change it any way you want.

1:58:41

Go ahead.

1:58:42

How would you like to change it?

1:58:43

I put you in charge.

1:58:44

You’re the CEO of steel.

1:58:46

Okay.

1:58:48

Now that you’re the CTO of steel: “Preston, we need you to invalidate steel’s tensile

1:58:54

strength in Russia because we’re fighting a war.

1:58:59

It’s your patriotic duty.”

1:59:01

Did you change it?

1:59:02

Did you improve it?

1:59:03

Did you corrupt it?

1:59:06

How about just the difference between: Why is steel a commodity and why is iron a commodity?

1:59:15

Well, because when they figured out how to create steel, the recipe was released into

1:59:22

the universe and they couldn’t take it back.

1:59:25

Michael Saylor (01:43:21):

1:59:29

You can create a commodity.

1:59:33

Bronze is an alloy, right?

1:59:35

It’s a creation.

1:59:38

And you could argue bronze is a commodity.

1:59:40

But it’s a one-way function.

1:59:46

You created it, you released it, and your worst enemy can build a sort of it and kill

1:59:52

you with it.

1:59:53

That’s how you know it’s a commodity and is not a security.

1:59:58

Lord knows if it was a coupon for a bronze sword and I came at you, you would revoke

2:00:03

my coupon.

2:00:04

Like, “Preston, here’s a coupon for a Glock.

2:00:08

Can you give me the Glock?

2:00:09

I’m going to shoot you in the head with it.”

2:00:11

I don’t think you were redeeming the coupon, right?

2:00:14

And so, fundamentally, I don’t think there’s a difference between being able to change

2:00:19

something and being able to corrupt something.

2:00:23

And that’s why it’s very dangerous to actually take this idealistic notion that

2:00:31

we’re on a journey and to keep building in the protocol.

2:00:36

Preston Pysh (01:44:22):

2:00:38

So, Michael, I hear this all the time.

2:00:40

People will say, “Bitcoin just costs too much.

2:00:43

Too much energy expense.

2:00:45

It’s too much.”

2:00:46

And my immediate thought when I hear this is, “Relative to what?”

2:00:51

And so, when you think about the existing settlement system, the traditional settlement

2:00:57

system, how do you possibly quantify the cost that’s associated with that?

2:01:05

And the cost isn’t just the numeric energy expense of the existing system.

2:01:09

There’s a lot in there, like you were talking about Africa and how it was unbanked and all

2:01:13

these other intangible costs that are associated with a system that is corruptible.

2:01:18

Michael Saylor (01:45:05):

2:01:19

I think the people that say it costs too much are the 0.1% crypto promoters that are promoting

2:01:27

their crypto token.

2:01:29

They’re a yo-yo coin, whatever, and they say a cost too much because they’re desperately

2:01:36

grasping for relevance.

2:01:38

Okay?

2:01:40

I think that the 98% of the world that doesn’t really understand or think much about Bitcoin,

2:01:46

they don’t have a strong opinion one way or the other.

2:01:48

They hear a little bit of barking from the crypto promoters and the entrepreneurs, but

2:01:57

from their point of view, they’re not sure.

2:02:00

Aqueducts costs a lot.

2:02:03

Take away the aqueduct and everybody in the city dies.

2:02:06

Sewers and reservoirs and dams.

2:02:09

The Hoover Dam costs a lot.

2:02:11

Power plants cost a lot.

2:02:14

Railroads cost a lot.

2:02:15

Railroads used to bankrupt everybody.

2:02:18

Right?

2:02:19

Steel costs a lot.

2:02:20

I mean, how many people have ever seen a steel refinery?

2:02:23

Gun powder’s hard to make too.

2:02:25

It costs a lot.

2:02:26

You study the history of the DuPonts, right?

2:02:29

A couple of them got blown up in their own gunpowder factories.

2:02:32

Michael Saylor (01:46:19):

2:02:34

Dangerous?

2:02:35

Yeah.

2:02:36

Too dangerous?

2:02:37

Not if you want to win the war.

2:02:38

Right?

2:02:39

I mean, take away the steel, the oil, and the gun powder, and then fight World War I

2:02:45

and World War II again.

2:02:47

Or take it out of the North.

2:02:49

It determines whether you win or whether you lose.

2:02:53

Ships cost a lot.

2:02:55

The Manhattan Project costs a lot.

2:02:58

If you study what went into that, it must have been half a million people were working

2:03:04

on all those projects to basically drop two weapons.

2:03:11

So, I think you could say, in general, every significant thing cost a lot.

2:03:19

Look at the Brooklyn Bridge.

2:03:20

Look at the Verrazzano-Narrows Bridge.

2:03:22

Look at the skyscraper in Manhattan.

2:03:24

Look at Manhattan in general.

2:03:26

Costs a lot.

2:03:28

They all cost a lot.

2:03:29

The Union Pacific Railroad costs a lot to connect the country.

2:03:32

Michael Saylor (01:47:10):

2:03:33

And they all have the same thing in common.

2:03:35

There’s a profound investment of capital and in human intellect and labor in order

2:03:42

to construct something with some degree of utility.

2:03:48

And in this particular case, when you look at it in that context, Bitcoin doesn’t really

2:03:53

cost that much at all.

2:03:55

Bitcoin is…

2:03:56

Probably there’s 25, $30 billion of hardware that’s been purchased or capitalized in

2:04:03

the network.

2:04:04

They burn something like 3, 4, $5 billion a year worth of electricity to run it.

2:04:11

They’ve kind of crossed over to the point where the network is getting…

2:04:16

It’s probably getting increasingly energy efficient.

2:04:21

And so, say it’s $10 billion a year to run the Bitcoin mining network, which is in essence

2:04:29

the Bitcoin security network, for that cost you’re currently supporting $400 billion

2:04:35

of assets.

2:04:37

But it’s like you spent $10 billion on a railroad that’s worth $400 billion that

2:04:45

moves…

2:04:46

What is the number?

2:04:49

It’s billions of dollars an hour of transactions, but it moves trillions and trillions. 10 trillion,

2:04:56

$20 trillion a year or more, some large amount, right now.

2:05:00

Michael Saylor (01:48:34):

2:05:01

But the network is almost infinitely scalable at this point.

2:05:06

So the same $10 billion of hardware and energy expenditure per year that could support 10(x)

2:05:17

as many transactions or transaction value could support 10(x) the asset value.

2:05:23

So it’s like a railroad.

2:05:26

The cost to create the railroad was high.

2:05:29

The value of the railroad will scale dramatically by 10(x) and by a 100(x) and by a 1,000(x).

2:05:36

Ultimately, it’s the price you pay for the civilization.

2:05:41

You’re an aviator.

2:05:45

The cost of building a 747: obscene.

2:05:49

The cost of a First Intercontinental jet is 10, $20 billion for the first plane.

2:05:58

The next plane, much cheaper.

2:06:00

And you’re [inaudible 01:49:30], so by the time you’ve been flying the plane for 30

2:06:04

years, you’ve reduced the cost of going between New York and Tokyo down to some few

2:06:10

hundred dollars.

2:06:11

So, who would actually say it’s too expensive?

2:06:15

The guy that’s selling the ox cart would say the railroad is too expensive.

2:06:21

Preston Pysh (01:49:51):

2:06:24

Michael Saylor (01:49:52):

2:06:25

And the guy that’s actually got the sailing yacht would say the steamship is too expensive.

2:06:32

And the person that was pitching the automobile would say the subway is too expensive.

2:06:38

And the dude that wants you to buy coal would say the oil is too expensive.

2:06:44

And the oil person would say the nuclear power is too expensive.

2:06:49

And if I came up with a fusion reactor that ran off of a bottle of water that would light

2:06:54

up the entire city for a hundred years, the dudes in the nuclear industry say, “This

2:06:59

is strange and too expensive.”

2:07:02

Preston Pysh (01:50:29):

2:07:03

Toxic.

2:07:04

Michael Saylor (01:50:30):

2:07:05

” Dangerous,” or something, right?

2:07:06

I mean, everybody always says that to prevent the next technology change.

2:07:13

So I think that the solution, clearly, is educate those that are objective and explain

2:07:19

to them why the civilization is based upon this monetary network.

2:07:24

And the monetary network needs to be without an issuer, without dependence on a country

2:07:32

or a company.

2:07:33

It’s ironic that it’s companies that are paying money to lobbyists and academics and

2:07:40

non-profits to lobby against Bitcoin’s energy use because they want you to rely upon their

2:07:48

company and their company’s token.

2:07:51

Michael Saylor (01:51:18):

2:07:52

And ultimately, it’s pretty obvious to anyone that thinks about it, that we’re not going

2:07:57

to trust a private company to issue our money.

2:08:00

And even if we did, even if it was the most perfect human being imaginable, they’d better

2:08:08

be God and they better live for the next million years, because we’re not going to trust

2:08:12

their kid or their kid’s kid.

2:08:16

Name one person who’s universally trusted by all 8 billion people on the planet in every

2:08:22

nation state.

2:08:23

Who would that be?

2:08:24

Yeah.

2:08:25

The answer is nobody.

2:08:27

Nobody can agree on trusting any political or commercial entity, but the one thing we

2:08:34

can all agree on is on electricity and fire and steel.

2:08:39

In every one of those nations, in every one of those places, if you went and you said,

2:08:46

“Who do you trust?”

2:08:47

they couldn’t agree, but they’d probably all be using electricity.

2:08:51

Michael Saylor (01:52:16):

2:08:53

They trust Maxwell’s equations, by the way.

2:08:58

They trust Newtonian physics.

2:09:02

And steel is wildly popular, even in communist regimes.

2:09:06

Socialist regimes, communist regimes, fascists, leftists, rightists, everybody agrees they

2:09:12

like steel.

2:09:14

And if you go study civil engineering and you look at how difficult it is to build a

2:09:19

building using masonry, stone blocks or a wood, then someone comes along with steel…

2:09:27

And steel is kind of like the solution to everybody’s problem for the next 2000 years.

2:09:30

And it’s such a good solution that all your problems go away, and it doesn’t matter

2:09:36

what your politics are.

2:09:39

So I think that the most important point to make about Bitcoin is Bitcoin is crypto steel.

2:09:44

It’s digital steel, and it has to be a commodity without an issuer.

2:09:49

Michael Saylor (01:53:11):

2:09:51

And if you’re not going to be reliant on the efforts of others…

2:09:54

Gensler uses this phrase a lot: “Efforts of others.”

2:09:58

It’s the Howey Test.

2:10:00

Definition of investment contract is: some people make an investment of money based upon

2:10:05

the efforts of others.

2:10:07

But forget about the idea of whether it’s an investment contract or, “Did you invest

2:10:12

money?”

2:10:13

The point really is: When you walk out on a steel bridge, you don’t want to be reliant

2:10:17

upon the efforts of others halfway around the world to make the bridge not collapse.

2:10:23

So forgetting about…

2:10:26

You don’t have to be caught up in the debate over security versus commodity.

2:10:30

The real question is: Can you create digital material and digital energy?

2:10:36

Can you create digital matter?

2:10:39

If I want to create a bridge, I need to create it with a material that will not collapse

2:10:45

depending upon the opinion of a politician or the opinion of a company, and I don’t

2:10:52

want to have to worry about a software engineer putting a bug in the code.

2:10:55

Michael Saylor (01:54:14):

2:10:57

That’s why I trust what?

2:11:00

I trust a steel that’s that’s been certified after I’ve seen it successful for 50 years

2:11:09

or 100 years.

2:11:12

And that’s why I wouldn’t trust balsa wood.

2:11:14

And that’s why I wouldn’t trust a software-actuated bridge.

2:11:19

When we break this rule, tragedy occurs.

2:11:24

If you look at the Boeing 737 MAX debacle…

2:11:28

The 737 is a totally safe plane, and it’s probably one of the safest planes ever built.

2:11:36

They engineered it in the 1970s.

2:11:38

The sixties and the seventies, right?

2:11:40

It’s been flying that long.

2:11:42

Why did it start falling out of the skies 50 years later?

2:11:46

It’s because some well meaning engineer wanted to improve it.

2:11:51

“We can make it better.”

2:11:52

And so, the way they made it better is they wrote software that attempted to compensate

2:12:00

for human error, because the software engineers arrogantly thought that they were better than

2:12:08

the pilots.

2:12:12

Playing God is…

2:12:14

It’s a pretty serious responsibility.

2:12:18

Preston Pysh (01:55:31):

2:12:19

Especially when you don’t have a hundred people on the plane, but you have the whole

2:12:22

planet on the plane.

2:12:23

Michael Saylor (01:55:36):

2:12:26

Good point.

2:12:27

Yeah.

2:12:28

I mean, what happened with 737 is they overengineered the software and the software crashed the

2:12:35

plane and killed everybody.

2:12:38

And if they hadn’t done anything, the pilots would’ve done just fine.

2:12:43

And I think that that’s the argument in favor of simplicity, right?

2:12:47

Preston Pysh (01:55:58):

2:12:49

Michael Saylor (01:55:58):

2:12:50

“Keep it simple, stupid.”

2:12:51

Preston Pysh (01:56:00):

2:12:52

Yes, yes.

2:12:53

Michael Saylor (01:56:02):

2:12:54

And mission critical systems…

2:12:55

You see this a lot in the military.

2:12:57

When someone’s life depends on something, oftentimes you would opt for the low-tech

2:13:04

solution where you can verify it with your own eyes.

2:13:07

I don’t want a piece of software that runs a million lines of code that tells me that

2:13:14

the thing is stable.

2:13:16

I want to test it myself, or I want to see it, that it’s stable.

2:13:22

And I think to your point, the difference is: When software drives a car, the software

2:13:31

may kill you.

2:13:32

And when software flies an airplane, the software may kill 100 people or 500 people or 1,000.

2:13:37

Michael Saylor (01:56:46):

2:13:38

But when software runs the monetary network, may kill a billion.

2:13:45

Actually, the truth is we’ve got two problems.

2:13:47

Two extremes.

2:13:48

And maybe they’re both the same.

2:13:51

One extreme is central bankers running the monetary system, and every time they change

2:13:55

something, they make it worse.

2:13:57

And we just saw that happen in Britain this week.

2:14:01

Just chaos.

2:14:03

A trillion dollars changes hands, and the bankers say, “Oh, well, we were busy trying

2:14:10

to keep a bunch of pension funds and institutions from a massive loss of billions of dollars.”

2:14:19

What they don’t say is, ” We were busy keeping a bunch of rational investors on the

2:14:23

other side of the trade from making billions of dollars.”

2:14:25

Preston Pysh (01:57:35):

2:14:27

Amen.

2:14:28

Michael Saylor (01:57:37):

2:14:29

I mean, they took a hundred-billion from one group and gave it to another group that happened

2:14:33

to be politically connected, and then they masquerade as virtuously protecting the system

2:14:39

from a meltdown.

2:14:41

What they were doing was they were keeping the system from rationally correcting to a

2:14:45

fair interest rate and rewarding rational thinkers that did the right thing.

2:14:51

And they punished-

2:14:52

Preston Pysh (01:58:02):

2:14:54

And incentivizing, in the future, for more people to pile in to further risk.

2:15:00

Yeah.

2:15:01

Michael Saylor (01:58:10):

2:15:02

Yeah, they create that moral hazard.

2:15:03

Preston Pysh (01:58:12):

2:15:05

Michael Saylor (01:58:12):

2:15:06

Right?

2:15:07

Preston Pysh (01:58:13):

2:15:09

Thank you.

2:15:10

Michael Saylor (01:58:13):

2:15:11

Punish the wise, reward the foolish, and create an insane world where the only way to get

2:15:12

ahead is to act foolish.

2:15:13

And if anybody ever fixes the world, everybody dies, so they turn the world upside down.

2:15:20

And they did that manually.

2:15:21

The danger with software-driven systems is you might inadvertently…

2:15:28

Some piece of code in the system meant to optimize for something and it just goes catastrophically

2:15:35

awry, and it crashes the entire system for everybody else.

2:15:39

It’s a classic example of the phrase, “Don’t let the perfect be the enemy of the good.”

2:15:47

Michael Saylor (01:58:56):

2:15:49

The whole problem with most of these networks is they’re continually chasing perfection,

2:15:54

and they’re willing to accept all sorts of ineffable, non-quantifiable risks that

2:16:01

they don’t understand in order to pursue a tangible benefit they can see.

2:16:09

So the fact that we manage to avoid a $50 billion loss by a pension fund is used as

2:16:17

a justification to inflict a trillion dollars of damage on everybody else who is not on

2:16:23

the fund.

2:16:25

But I’m not wise enough to necessarily conceptualize the trillion dollars of damage I’m doing.

2:16:33

Or maybe I am, but it’s just they’re not screaming at me right now, so I’m going

2:16:37

to take the expedient path.

2:16:39

Preston Pysh (01:59:44):

2:16:40

Michael, when we talk about energy, everything that we’ve kind of talked to date, or in

2:16:45

this discussion, has been a defensive response to what we hear all the time.

2:16:51

What also drives me a little crazy is: I get all these DMs from people showing me various

2:16:58

charts of how they’re using Bitcoin almost like a capacitor or a battery on the grid

2:17:04

to strengthen the grid to make it more reliable.

2:17:09

And the excess energy above whatever’s being required off the grid is being immediately

2:17:14

converted into stored energy, digital energy, and it’s just making the grid more robust.

2:17:21

You look at the flaring, the methane, and you look at how Bitcoin can be used in that

2:17:26

capacity, and it’s earth-shattering what this adds to the infrastructure for energy

2:17:32

companies.

2:17:33

I guess go on the offense of and explain to people that are listening how revolutionary

2:17:39

this is for energy companies.

2:17:42

Michael Saylor (02:00:46):

2:17:43

Yeah, I guess to that point: If all you do is write software, then the only thing you

2:17:50

can ever do is improve virtual circumstances.

2:17:54

So anything that’s software only means you’re creating a virtual machine to move imaginary

2:18:01

tokens around to achieve an imaginary goal to create imaginary happiness.

2:18:06

And you’ll never get out of that metaverse.

2:18:09

You’re kind of trapped in the metaverse.

2:18:12

If we were wired in cubicles, getting fed through a feeding tube or an IV and we never

2:18:18

moved and we lived in our brains, then maybe you would just focus on that metaverse.

2:18:24

But that is literally like the Matrix.

2:18:26

If on the other hand, you want to improve things in the universe, if you have interest

2:18:30

in solving problems in the universe like clean water or healthy food or a comfortable environment

2:18:39

or providing people with physical luxury, then you have to build machines and you have

2:18:45

to manipulate matter and energy.

2:18:47

Michael Saylor (02:01:49):

2:18:48

So, the number one problem with all the non-energy-based cryptos is they’re all just software programs,

2:18:53

and so you can write a hundred million billion software programs, they’re never going to

2:18:58

feed you.

2:19:00

The only way that you’re going to change the real universe is plug a piece of software

2:19:06

into a machine.

2:19:09

And so, Bitcoin Mining is really the digital energy business, and what you’re doing is

2:19:15

you’ve got a software protocol plugged into a machine and the machine is converting electricity,

2:19:24

intermittent electricity anywhere in the earth powered by any energy source, into digital

2:19:31

energy; and it’s also creating security and integrity.

2:19:36

So what you’re getting is you’re getting a block of digital energy, an asset that you

2:19:41

can move around at the speed of light, friction-free, but you are also getting a block of digital

2:19:50

energy, digital scarcity, digital money that will last forever.

2:19:57

And so, the entire network is therefore monetizing energy, and that means you’ve created a

2:20:05

machine to convert waste energy into digital energy.

2:20:10

That’s really valuable for remediating methane or remediating stranded natural gas.

2:20:17

Michael Saylor (02:03:20):

2:20:19

It’s also useful for monetizing stranded geothermal or stranded any other power.

2:20:26

You’re never going to monetize stranded power or waste power with a software-only

2:20:31

program, right?

2:20:32

So all the proof-of-stake networks are irrelevant to solving an energy problem because they’re

2:20:40

not interfacing with energy.

2:20:43

So the real value of Bitcoin to the energy business is: I can monetize intermittent energy.

2:20:53

I can monetize stranded energy.

2:20:55

I can recycle wasted energy.

2:20:58

I can create an economic sponsor to either develop an energy source where it would not

2:21:09

be economically viable.

2:21:11

Right?

2:21:12

So I’ve got a small, stranded group of people that need energy, and I can’t afford to

2:21:16

build a plant to scale for them unless I pair a Bitcoin miner with their colony.

2:21:23

So I can deliver energy to a place that needs it.

2:21:27

And one example would be a small group of people that need it or a small business that

2:21:31

needs it.

2:21:34

Another example would be: I need to run a generator on a methane flare, and it costs

2:21:42

money to bring in the generator, right?

2:21:43

Preston Pysh (02:04:41):

2:21:44

Mm-hmm.

2:21:45

Michael Saylor (02:04:42):

2:21:46

So it costs money to remediate the methane flaring, and I can’t afford to do that if

2:21:51

there’s no customer for the electricity that I generate or the pure energy I create.

2:21:58

So Bitcoin allows you to pursue all sorts of these energy monetization strategies at

2:22:08

different frequencies, at different scale, intermittently and off of different sources.

2:22:15

It also allows you to cross political jurisdiction.

2:22:19

So if you look at why Bitcoin mining is interesting, it would be interesting to any nation that

2:22:28

wanted a hard currency export.

2:22:31

So I might do Bitcoin mining just to generate hard currency when I have no other natural

2:22:37

buyer for my exports.

2:22:38

Preston Pysh (02:05:34):

2:22:39

Yeah.

2:22:40

Michael Saylor (02:05:35):

2:22:41

I might do Bitcoin mining to monetize stranded or waste energy because I know a customer.

2:22:49

I might do Bitcoin mining because I have an interest in security itself and I might have

2:22:59

capital that I just want to put into this.

2:23:03

So if I have extra capital.

2:23:05

I might do it because I have extra semiconductor capacity, too.

2:23:10

So there are a lot of motives for this, but in terms of environmental conservation, it

2:23:15

seems, to me, to be the only technology that can monetize stranded or waste energy or remediate

2:23:26

environmental fluttering of any scale anywhere.

2:23:30

I mean, most of the other ideas are kind of crippled ideas.

2:23:36

You wouldn’t be able to scale them up to be meaningful.

2:23:41

Preston Pysh (02:06:40):

2:23:42

Michael, I have a friend that has sent me an article kind of getting into some of the

2:23:48

things that we’ve been talking about throughout this interview.

2:23:51

I’ll have a link to that in the show notes.

2:23:52

He goes by “Baseload.btc.”

2:23:55

And he made the comment to me, he said, “Bitcoin is basically the best ESG investment vehicle

2:24:01

in tech ever invented.”

2:24:04

And so, I think for people on the outside, they might hear that statement, they might

2:24:09

laugh hysterically, and say, “How in the world could that possibly be true?

2:24:13

It uses energy.”

2:24:14

But when you look at the incentive structure of what Bitcoin incentivizes, especially on

2:24:21

the long tail, 10, 15, 20 years from now, how do you envision Bitcoin miners being integrated

2:24:28

into the grid?

2:24:30

And do you agree with his statement that it’s the best “ESG investment vehicle and tech

2:24:35

ever invented”?

2:24:36

Michael Saylor (02:07:35):

2:24:37

I do agree with the statement.

2:24:40

I think that it’s pretty clear that, environmentally, it’s the most efficient use of electricity

2:24:51

to create value that the human race has come up with.

2:24:54

And so, on the energy side or the environmental side, it seems to be pretty obviously clean

2:24:59

and useful.

2:25:01

If you look at the other two, the S and the G, from a societal point of view, you’re

2:25:07

giving economic empowerment to 8 billion people.

2:25:09

Digital money-

2:25:10

Michael Saylor (02:08:00):

2:25:11

… giving economic empowerment to 8 billion people, digital money to the human race.

2:25:12

So it’s obviously good for the society, you’re banking everybody.

2:25:17

And then from a governance point of view, it’s a digital asset or a digital network

2:25:22

without an issuer.

2:25:24

So corporate governance or governance normally is all about fair governance.

2:25:30

And this phrase popped up because there were companies that were thought to be poorly governed

2:25:35

maybe for the benefit of the family or the benefit of the community to the detriment

2:25:41

of the shareholders, et cetera, Bitcoin is literally without a CEO, without a board of

2:25:47

directors, it is the most fairly governed thing in the universe.

2:25:51

It’s more fair than any country, any city, any state, any company.

2:25:55

So in terms of ESG, it definitely checks all three boxes.

2:26:02

In fact, it hits home, runs out of the park on all three.

2:26:05

I’d probably just make one more point here, which is look, if you’re concerned about

2:26:11

ESG, you really asked the question, what is a universal entitlement to the human race?

2:26:20

The most ESG friendly stuff is clean water, power, bandwidth like internet access, steel,

2:26:31

functioning materials, transportation, and just pure energy, food.

2:26:39

These are the things that life is based on.

2:26:42

So if you want to create a civilization, and the Romans knew this, a famous historian and

2:26:51

he said, “I admire the Romans for their aqueducts, their roads and their drains.”

2:26:55

And you think about this, “Oh really drains?”

2:26:58

Well, the aqueducts brought water to the city, and the normal consequence of course is the

2:27:05

city population grows by a factor of 10.

2:27:08

And without the water, you can’t flush away the waste byproduct because everybody dies

2:27:13

of typhus or some cholera, some awful disease.

2:27:20

So you need the water and then you need the roads to be able to move.

2:27:24

Michael Saylor (02:10:14):

2:27:26

And then the drains carried away the waste and they carried away the waste water and

2:27:31

also shed water so that the buildings didn’t collapse and kill everybody.

2:27:36

So if you think about that and aqueducts is ESG friendly, it’s very expensive to build

2:27:44

the first one and lawyer to help you.

2:27:47

And it’s hard to build the first one.

2:27:49

I mean no one else could figure it out.

2:27:51

That’s why the Romans dominated because no one’s could figure it out.

2:27:54

And then after the Romans disappeared, people forgot how to do it and the civilization collapsed.

2:28:00

And 90% of the people died in some of these cities because you run out of water three

2:28:05

days and you’re dead.

2:28:07

Michael Saylor (02:10:56):

2:28:08

So I think if you think about Bitcoin, the same framework, a digital energy network,

2:28:14

it is providing the ultimate gift, which is clean money.

2:28:21

Clean money to go along with your clean air, clean power, clean food, clean water.

2:28:31

And what happens if the water is dirty?

2:28:33

We die.

2:28:34

If the air is dirty, we die.

2:28:37

If the food is dirty, we die.

2:28:39

If the money is dirty, it kills us.

2:28:43

The money is dirty right now.

2:28:45

And you want to see what happens in an environment where the money is dirty just go to any economy

2:28:52

where the currency’s collapsing.

2:28:54

Like all those people in Lebanon that are robbing banks to try to get their own money

2:28:58

back.

2:28:59

They don’t count the number of people that commit suicide probably after they get wiped

2:29:05

out from that but it’s quite a lot.

2:29:08

Michael Saylor (02:11:54):

2:29:09

So I think anybody that really cares about ESG care about a fair, equitable, monetary

2:29:17

network and establishing a stable financial foundation or monetary foundation for the

2:29:25

human race to stand on.

2:29:26

There could be nothing more important at this stage I think.

2:29:30

Short of just don’t nuke us, all right?

2:29:33

As long as we don’t explode in a nuclear fire, then I think after that we need to fix

2:29:39

the money.

2:29:40

Preston Pysh (02:12:23):

2:29:41

On that point, when we look around the world and we look at what I alluded to earlier as

2:29:49

far as this strife that’s happening between net producers and net consumers around the

2:29:54

world because they can’t agree on how they’re going to be paid for tangible items that are

2:30:00

desirable.

2:30:02

We started off this conversation with Jeff Booth’s quote, and I want to end it here

2:30:08

on a similar note, but I’m going to invert his quote and if I invert his quote I say,

2:30:14

it reads, “If the money is sound desirable resources will be efficiently consumed and

2:30:22

managed and global cooperation should take place.”

2:30:25

Do you agree with that?

2:30:27

And paint a picture for us, what does the world look like?

2:30:33

Are we able to divert this enormous amount of social unrest that is brewing?

2:30:38

And the trend of that is looking very concerning for a lot of people.

2:30:42

I hear from people all the time, they’re very scared as to what’s happening in the

2:30:45

world right now.

2:30:46

Paint of picture for us in a Bitcoin world.

2:30:49

Michael Saylor (02:13:29):

2:30:51

Unsound money creates chaos and foolishness.

2:30:58

The definition of foolish is shortsighted and chaos is uncoordinated.

2:31:03

So foolishness and chaos is what you get when you have unsung like this collapsing.

2:31:09

And when you have a shared sound monetary network, which is what Bitcoin represents,

2:31:16

you get the opposite.

2:31:17

You get rational order.

2:31:19

We’re orderly, you’re going to get trade through time and space.

2:31:24

I can now afford to invest.

2:31:27

I can build something for the next three years to sell you for a lot of money in the fourth

2:31:32

year.

2:31:33

And I can find a way to finance it.

2:31:35

And I don’t expect the society to collapse in four years.

2:31:40

So I can make long-term investments, I can do long-term research, I can defer gratification

2:31:48

and then I can transfer my capital for me to you for the next year because it’s fair

2:31:55

and I’ll get a fair return on it.

2:31:57

Michael Saylor (02:14:36):

2:31:58

So you get rational behavior by producers and by savers you get trading.

2:32:03

If I could trade cross borders, that’s a big deal.

2:32:09

Being able to trade with everybody.

2:32:12

I mean every country is not trading with everybody.

2:32:14

We have massive efficiencies cause we can’t trade with China right now.

2:32:19

If you want to fix it, you bring down the trade barriers and then you can trade.

2:32:26

And the ideal network would allow you to trade within anybody over any domain, at any frequency

2:32:35

for any period.

2:32:37

And that’s a big idea, like any frequency.

2:32:40

How do I trade a thousand times an hour between 100 countries?

2:32:47

Now that’s impossible.

2:32:49

How do I trade with someone in another country where the duration of the contract is six

2:32:56

years or 60 years?

2:32:58

Michael Saylor (02:15:40):

2:33:01

For example, there’s a joke you’re going to give someone loan for 100 years when the

2:33:07

payment is in a fiat currency that’s collapsing.

2:33:10

That makes no sense at all.

2:33:11

So it’s impossible to do that.

2:33:13

But what if the trade wasn’t in the currency that was collapsing?

2:33:18

What if it was in Bitcoin something that’s scarce?

2:33:23

So in a sound environment with sound money and technically proficient monitoring network,

2:33:32

then I think you get high frequency, high bandwidth trading over long durations with

2:33:41

a bias toward rational action.

2:33:43

Michael Saylor (02:16:24):

2:33:44

I’m not saying everybody would act rationally because some people are so stupid and do stupid

2:33:48

things and we can’t always agree on what the rational behavior is.

2:33:53

But the bias is toward rational action because over time the rational actors will accumulate

2:33:57

the capital and the irrational actors get squeezed out of system.

2:34:03

And in unsound money environment, the irrational actors accumulate the capital.

2:34:09

The rational actors sometimes are being squeezed out of the system and everybody learns that

2:34:15

if they don’t actually influence a politician to give them some unfair advantage, they can’t

2:34:22

get ahead.

2:34:23

Michael Saylor (02:17:02):

2:34:24

So instead of investing all my time in figuring out how to build goods and services and products

2:34:30

that people need, I invest all my time trying to figure out how to manipulate the political

2:34:35

system to get an unfair advantage to steal from someone else.

2:34:39

In essence, you have the rise of the parasite class.

2:34:44

Politicians and lawyers and lobbyists that are manipulating the public in order to give

2:34:50

themself an advantage.

2:34:51

And it gets so bad that even if you are a creator, you still have to hire lobbyists

2:34:57

and lawyers to protect you from the other parasites.

2:35:01

So large portions of the economy are diverted to parasitic activity.

2:35:10

And when you have a sound monetary system and a sound monetary asset, then the tendency

2:35:17

is toward the opposite.

2:35:18

Michael Saylor (02:17:54):

2:35:20

I’ve said before, I think Bitcoin fixes half the problems in the world.

2:35:25

So I should interpose right now only half.

2:35:28

Half the problems are due to defective money and a crippled monetary network.

2:35:35

The other half of the problems are due to politics and culture and acts of nature and

2:35:44

force majeure, things that are beyond our control.

2:35:48

So I have no doubt they’ll still be unfair rules and unfair cultures and unfair situations

2:35:55

and suboptimal things.

2:35:57

Even if we fix the money, that’s why the other half will be there.

2:36:02

But I do think that we inflict about twice as much inefficiency on ourself as we need

2:36:09

to by having defective money.

2:36:12

And if you’re looking for a metaphor, the simple metaphor is one athlete had to give

2:36:20

a pint of blood before they ran the race and the other athlete didn’t.

2:36:26

Preston Pysh (02:18:59):

2:36:27

That’s no world I want to live in if I’m the one not receiving.

2:36:31

Michael Saylor (02:19:04):

2:36:33

Yeah.

2:36:34

It’s just a never ending drain.

2:36:38

On the energy of the civilization it’s like how well you going to run?

2:36:44

Or are you going to train for the Olympics in four years if I tell you that I’m seizing

2:36:50

your house in one year and you’re going to jail in two years.

2:36:55

It’s just very difficult to focus.

2:36:57

So what you have is you have a lot of chaos that’s interfering.

2:37:03

What you would do is you would stop and you would hire a lawyer to defend you on the one

2:37:07

thing and then you would go shopping for another place to live that you’re not going to lose

2:37:11

for the other thing.

2:37:12

And in the third block of time, if you had time left, you would train for the marathon.

2:37:16

Preston Pysh (02:19:47):

2:37:17

So Michael, is there anything else that you think we may be left out or that you think

2:37:21

is important to this conversation?

2:37:22

Michael Saylor (02:19:55):

2:37:24

Yeah.

2:37:25

I mean the entire talk about energy, it just brings me back to a basic principle.

2:37:30

The whole problem and the civilization is an energy and balance and an energy and efficiency

2:37:39

at the base of our entire economy and maybe the base of our entire civilization.

2:37:46

And we’re trying to fix it.

2:37:48

It’s like there’s a whole in the civilization and trillions of dollars of energy are flowing

2:37:55

out of that container every year, and we need to plug the hole.

2:38:00

Michael Saylor (02:20:38):

2:38:01

I think of it like this.

2:38:03

If you think about the basis of the money supply, it’s the US dollars of the reserve

2:38:09

currency of the world, all the other currencies are linked to it.

2:38:13

You’ve got 100 trillion worth of that stuff floating around.

2:38:20

And then you’ve got other currency derivatives.

2:38:22

You’ve got bonds, massive amounts of bonds, massive amounts of real estate, property and

2:38:32

stocks.

2:38:33

And you’ve got companies that are valued based on cash flows.

2:38:35

Michael Saylor (02:21:12):

2:38:37

So let’s say we have 500 trillion worth of stuff in the civilization.

2:38:44

All is really predicated upon this fundamental unit of account, store of value, medium and

2:38:51

exchange, which is the fiat currency, that underlying currency that’s collapsing right

2:39:01

And we talked about a collapsing 10 to 20% a year and all of those derivatives of the

2:39:07

currency are losing value.

2:39:10

So you could almost think about the civilization resting on a platform, which you got a big

2:39:16

hole in it, and the energy of the civilization is draining out that hole.

2:39:22

Bitcoin represents a new monetary base.

2:39:27

What we have is that digital scarcity.

2:39:29

And the idea is 100 years ago we thought goals should be the basis and then it became fiat

2:39:35

should be the basis.

2:39:37

And now we create digital scarcity as the basis or what we might say is a perfect ledger.

2:39:43

Michael Saylor (02:22:18):

2:39:44

And if we had a fair, equitable immutable ledger or a proper ledger, a ledger that didn’t

2:39:52

lose 10% or more of its energy a year, but rather it was conservative.

2:39:59

In that case, the goal becomes to shift the entire civilization from an imperfect foundation

2:40:08

that’s losing.

2:40:09

It doesn’t really matter whether it’s 10% or 20% or 7%, all of those numbers.

2:40:14

And even 2% is too much.

2:40:16

If the civilization is sitting on a foundation where two or three or five or 20% of the energy

2:40:23

is lapsing out the bottom of it every year into the ether.

2:40:29

Then you’ve got a suboptimal situation.

2:40:33

And when the number gets to be 20 or 30%, you approach economic collapse.

2:40:38

Michael Saylor (02:23:17):

2:40:39

So that’s the problem.

2:40:42

The solution is seal the energy lapse.

2:40:46

We have to seal the economic system.

2:40:49

We’ve invented a way to do it.

2:40:52

This crypto steel or digital energy, which we know is Bitcoin, we’ve invented a way

2:40:58

to do it.

2:40:59

You can’t do it with a country.

2:41:02

We’ve been trying to do it with the political process.

2:41:07

The British tried to do it the pound, we tried to do it with the dollar, the Mark, the Peso,

2:41:12

the Franc, the Euro.

2:41:14

So we already know what happens when we try to do it politically.

2:41:18

We can’t do it corporately because nobody trusts a company.

2:41:23

We can’t use Apple stock as the basis of the civilization.

2:41:29

I mean a company is even less credible than a country.

2:41:34

So we’re left looking for a digital asset which is trustworthy with integrity, an economic

2:41:45

material that is strong enough to build a civilization on top of without it collapsing.

2:41:51

Michael Saylor (02:24:34):

2:41:52

I gave you the model of Venice as the city collapsing and pilings that keep sinking.

2:42:02

And our civilization is a bigger problem than Venice.

2:42:05

We’re collapsing at a faster rate on pilings that are sinking.

2:42:10

The challenge of humanity forever has been how do I build something that will last on

2:42:15

a foundation that won’t sag over 100 years?

2:42:18

How do I build a civilization over 1,000 years?

2:42:23

So we’ve got this idea, digital asset that we call Bitcoin.

2:42:30

And now the challenge is how do we move 500 trillion of weight?

2:42:37

Because you can measure mass and energy and monetary terms.

2:42:43

A million dollars will buy you a certain amount of steel.

2:42:47

A billion dollars will buy you thousand x more steel.

2:42:51

So you can measure the mass of the civilization and money.

2:42:55

Michael Saylor (02:25:37):

2:42:56

We need to shift our entire civilization to a firmer foundation.

2:43:00

We need to move from a swamp to granite.

2:43:06

And the only way we’re going to do it is if everybody can agree on something that’s

2:43:12

fair and equitable.

2:43:15

And that means it needs to be open and it needs to be permissionless and it needs to

2:43:20

be incorruptible, indestructible, immortal.

2:43:27

And once you understand the idea that we need to move from something which is not working.

2:43:36

If you’re an American, you might think the dollar works but we can be quite sure if we

2:43:40

go to the Russians, they’re not going to say the dollar works.

2:43:43

It’s not working for them.

2:43:45

And if you go to the Chinese, they would disagree.

2:43:49

And of course everybody would disagree that everybody else is foundation works.

2:43:53

Michael Saylor (02:26:30):

2:43:54

So if we want to create a civilization that rests on a mathematically sound foundation,

2:44:02

you need to create an economic material that will not deflect.

2:44:07

And that’s really the story of civilization.

2:44:10

The iron age was an improvement over bronze and steel was an improvement over iron, and

2:44:18

the truss is an improvement over the beam.

2:44:22

And each crude oil and oil is an improvement over pedal power or a wind power.

2:44:29

So the civilization is a continual quest for a stronger material upon which to build a

2:44:37

civilization.

2:44:38

Michael Saylor (02:27:15):

2:44:39

And when your life depends on it, things become apolitical.

2:44:45

Like if you had a Republican and a Democrat and a communist and a socialist, and they’re

2:44:52

all standing on the 88 floor of a building that’s got steel beams and you recommended

2:44:59

that you replace that with organic bamboo leaves to be ESG friendly all the way down.

2:45:10

You probably wouldn’t get much consensus.

2:45:14

You could probably get them to agree that the steel beams in the concrete floors seems

2:45:18

a little bit better than organic bamboo leaves as a structural material upon which, and even

2:45:26

if I was radical, I probably wouldn’t march my three year old son or daughter across the

2:45:32

88 floor organic bamboo leaves.

2:45:35

Michael Saylor (02:28:10):

2:45:37

So generally people can get beyond competition in politics when it is truly a utilitarian

2:45:45

entitlement.

2:45:46

Even competitors that hate each other both use electricity, they still use math, they’ll

2:45:53

still use the English language, they’ll still use concrete and steel and they’ll

2:45:58

still fly in airplanes because it’s pretty axiomatic to everybody that these things work.

2:46:06

So the most fundamental thing to understand about Bitcoin is if we’re going to improve

2:46:10

the economy, if we’re going to create an ethical monetary asset and a trustworthy technically

2:46:18

sound, economically sound, ethically sound, monetary network, you’re going to have to

2:46:23

do it in a fashion that it doesn’t require nor does it allow the intervention of a company,

2:46:30

an individual, a group of programmers, a country, a politician.

2:46:35

And to the extent that anybody doubts that it is neutral, it will fail.

2:46:42

It needs to be beyond a shadow of a doubt.

2:46:46

Nobody in China thinks that an American politician can make their steel building collapse by

2:46:54

passing a law in America.

2:46:56

That’s why they use steel.

2:46:59

And that’s why we universally use steel to build beautiful things.

2:47:03

Michael Saylor (02:29:41):

2:47:04

So fundamentally, if this conversation is made me think anything, what it makes me think

2:47:09

is, it’s just very important that people see the stakes.

2:47:13

500 trillion with 10 to 20 trillion going down the drain every year versus 500 trillion.

2:47:24

What happens to the 500 trillion when we close the drain?

2:47:30

You get 20 trillion worth of prosperity per year and you compound that over a few years

2:47:38

and the human race there steps up to prosperity.

2:47:43

And I think we can all agree on an engineering breakthrough.

2:47:48

Michael Saylor (02:30:27):

2:47:49

So when you’re talking to politicians or Investor’s and they say, “Why energy?”

2:47:55

It’s because we’re trying to engineer a better world.

2:48:00

And you can’t engineer a better physical world without physical energy and physical

2:48:07

matter.

2:48:08

If you want to engineer a virtual world, put on your virtual goggles, put on music and

2:48:16

stare at some avatar and never take them off, and then software might solve that problem.

2:48:25

But it’s certainly not going to solve the problem that the human race has and is going

2:48:29

to have for the next 10,000 years.

2:48:30

Michael Saylor (02:31:09):

2:48:31

We need to live in the real world, in the universe, and we need to do the one thing

2:48:37

that human beings have always done in order to elevate their condition.

2:48:43

And that one thing is to channel energy.

2:48:46

We will either channel energy and prosper as a nation, as a civilization, as a people,

2:48:52

or we will fail to channel energy and we will suffer.

2:48:59

And of course, if another country or another people figure’s out how to channel energy

2:49:05

better than us will be extinct, our entire way of life collapses.

2:49:13

And the world is full of examples.

2:49:17

A lot of people that thought that explosives were too difficult to invest in, the Native

2:49:24

Americans didn’t have explosives.

2:49:26

They didn’t have railroads either.

2:49:28

I mean the Romans invested in serious siege equipment and roads and standardized production

2:49:37

and many of their enemies did not.

2:49:40

And we know how that ended.

2:49:42

Michael Saylor (02:32:18):

2:49:43

Ultimately, it’s the channeling of energy that determines the winners from the losers.

2:49:47

And our best hope to uplift all of the civilization, all of humanity, is to channel energy more

2:49:53

effectively.

2:49:56

And money is the last great engineering feat for us to move to the next stage.

2:50:04

You can point toward already extraordinary achievements in channeling information, energy

2:50:09

and electrical energy and mechanical energy and chemical energy and nuclear energy.

2:50:16

But if you’re looking for the great breakthroughs in channeling economic energy, you had coinage

2:50:23

followed by banknotes, followed by credit and here we are.

2:50:32

And none of those previous systems were channeling economic energy would be deemed by an engineer

2:50:39

to be anywhere near acceptable.

2:50:44

Any machine that lost 2, 3, 5, 10% of its energy, every cycle would’ve been discarded

2:50:50

as a prototype.

2:50:52

Preston Pysh (02:33:25):

2:50:55

And it’s such an exclamation mark for me when you’re saying the stakes are so high.

2:51:03

People that are listening to this that are not heavily involved in economics or understand

2:51:09

what’s happening in the markets right now, I don’t think fully understand how profound

2:51:14

this 500 trillion number that you’re stating, I don’t think they fully understand how

2:51:21

precarious that is at this exact moment in time.

2:51:26

Michael Saylor (02:33:57):

2:51:28

No, it’s pretty critical.

2:51:30

I mean, the Romans invented the aqueducts, the empire rose but then again the aqueducts

2:51:37

broke and people forgot how to fix them and the empire fell.

2:51:42

And we invented nuclear power and then we created the nuclear regulatory commission.

2:51:50

And for 50 years we stopped building nuclear power plants and now we’re staring at massive

2:51:56

crisis throughout the world because we can’t generate enough energy.

2:52:01

And one wonders, if we hadn’t stopped and investing and building nuclear energy, would

2:52:09

we have any energy crisis right now?

2:52:11

Michael Saylor (02:34:36):

2:52:12

So we can’t take it for granted.

2:52:16

There are examples of the political system destroying engineering achievements, but there

2:52:23

are other examples of the political system embracing them.

2:52:27

And I think right now it’s pretty important for all of us to communicate to the politicians,

2:52:34

to the mainstream media, to investor’s that this is superior technology.

2:52:40

This is digital energy technology, digital energy, digital money, digital commodities.

2:52:46

They’re critical to embrace and especially digital scarcity to the future of the human

2:52:53

race.

2:52:55

And I’m optimistic, but we just have a lot of talking to do.

2:53:00

Preston Pysh (02:35:23):

2:53:01

You and me, both.

2:53:02

When I look at the complexity of it, the education is the piece that we’ve just got to keep

2:53:07

on educating people on what this is.

2:53:10

Especially when we look at policy makers that are being fed, all sorts of narratives that

2:53:16

come with individual incentives attached to them sometimes that are parasitic type narratives.

2:53:24

And having a conversation like this with you, Michael, specifically around energy, because

2:53:30

I think it’s one of the biggest pieces that is really difficult for people to wrap their

2:53:34

head around, I can’t thank you enough for making this time that you’ve made to try

2:53:39

to explain it from your point of view as to what this thing is.

2:53:44

Just really appreciate it.

2:53:46

Michael Saylor (02:36:08): Yeah, thanks for having me. I appreciated it. It’s fun working through these things.

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