SaylorCorpus

Michael Saylor on How Bitcoin Infiltrates Corporate America

Real Vision · 2020-10-21 · 2h 01m · View on YouTube →

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michael

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great to get you on real vision you've

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become

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suddenly a legend in the crypto business

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kind of a real thought leader for many

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people and i just thought it would be

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fascinating to get you on but before we

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go down that kind of crypto journey

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i'd love to hear a bit about your

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background where you came from

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and also micro strategies itself okay

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um i'm an air force brat my father was

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in the military i lived on air force

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bases my entire life

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so i got a scholarship from the united

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states air force to go to mit

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i went to mit and i and i was that

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generation where i read

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science fiction books i read them all a

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big fan of robert heinlein i

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decided i was going to be a rocket

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scientist and i got an aeronautics and

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astronautics degree

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with a specialty in spaceship design

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and while i was there i um

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i stumbled across this school of

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management uh

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system dynamics uh the construction of

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cons uh computer models to predict the

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future

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and uh i ended up getting a second

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degree in science

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and technology and society in the

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history of science

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so that that was formative because it

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was all about paradigm shifts the

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structure of scientific revolutions

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and how did people decide to embrace

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nuclear power or electricity

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or petroleum and a lot of people think

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that technology just

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kind of is a modern thing but of course

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and they think that technology companies

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are a class

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of investments and i'm always amused

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when finance people talk to me about the

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tech sector because they're only

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it's kind of an ignorant statement

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there's never been a successful

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growth company that wasn't a technology

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company once you understand technology

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for the past hundred years

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john d rockefeller was a tech company

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you know general electric was a tech

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company

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craft and hershey's were tech companies

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so um studying technology for the past

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hundred two

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three four hundred years and why people

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do it that was interesting to me

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i am thought i was going to be a fighter

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pilot astronaut

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right but uh so i learned fly in the air

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force and in my senior year

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reagan won the cold war they ramped down

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the military cut it in half and i had a

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macroeconomic event

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combined with just a random

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a random personal event that catapulted

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me into business

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the macroeconomic event was the end of

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the cold war the drawdown

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of um the united states military

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uh and uh the united states had paid for

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my education and i was like on the hook

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to serve i thought i'd be in the

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military ten years

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and um my final

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flight physical my senior year at mit

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they diagnosed me with a benign heart

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murmur

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and that disqualified me from flying

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now by the way the hilarious part of the

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story is

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they kicked me out of uh the aviation

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program

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uh i was a little bit dejected and then

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the next week they came and they said

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you can join the air force reserve and

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be a civilian

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and i was going to pay three times as

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much money as a civilian as i would have

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made in the air force

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so i thought well you just gave me a

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free education and i get to like

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not pay the money back by the way the

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week before they said well if you don't

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go in the military that's awol you go to

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okay so i went from you're going to be

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in the military for a decade or you go

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to jail to

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ronald reagan is giving you the gift of

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your freedom and by the way to make it

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easier

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if you want to be in the military you

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have to wait two years

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working a part-time job before we call

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you up and then maybe we'll call you up

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so i kind of got a kick out of the

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military and then a doctor said you

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can't fly

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and i was kind of dejected and i thought

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well this must be a sign

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sorry for interrupting your video but i

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have a very important message to share

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month's access to this incredible

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content

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i don't think it's something you could

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afford to be without

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so i kind of got a kick out of the

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military and then a doctor said you

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can't fly

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and i was kind of dejected and i thought

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well this must be a sign from god i

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should do something else

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so i joined the air force reserve and i

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left mit

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i am i worked for about two years

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and i was gonna go get a phd uh because

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i had a very simple list i have you know

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every

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every red-blooded american male in the

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80s had this list

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rock star astronaut

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fighter pod astronaut top gun right

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obviously yeah

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professor okay or ceo

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so i tried my rockstar thing in high

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school and then i realized

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rock stars don't make any money or at

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least

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percent of musicians make like 20 bucks

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for the game

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i tried and i just can't play guitar i'm

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just not coordinated enough to have to

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give up

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for one reason the other we give up on

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rockstar yeah that was our first

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goal the second goal was fighter pilot

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astronaut and that that was dashed by

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some physician

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you were close by the way the hilarious

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part of the story is a decade

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later i go back to the doctor he goes oh

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you're perfectly fine i said i can't be

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fine i have benign heart murmur i'm

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mitral valve prolapse

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he goes no you don't i said but but i'm

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sure i do they kicked me out of the air

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force because i had it

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he said oh that was a mistake they used

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to make that mistake all the time

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you know we have much better equipment

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so so i left my fighter pilot astronaut

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track

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because of a mistake and i ended up uh

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ended up working but i left the military

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track on

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february march my senior year i missed

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all of the financial aid applications

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for fellowships i couldn't afford

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i had no money i couldn't afford to go

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to a phd program so i worked for a year

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i applied for all the fellowships i got

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into mit

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and harvard and i was going to go get my

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phd and be a professor and life was done

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and uh just as i did that i informed my

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boss and my boss worked at

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the dupont corporation and he had i had

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built a computer simulation

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to predict the return on the investment

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of about a billion dollars of capital

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investment in titanium dioxide

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and they needed that model to get the

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board to give them the money

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so when i tended my resignation

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the guy saw his billion dollars of

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capital going away

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and i'm sure he said to someone that

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works for him go tell

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give the kid whatever he wants but he

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can't quit yet

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and i was 24 year old i happened to be

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important to a guy that needed a billion

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dollars

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you know i didn't know i was important i

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was just the right place at the right

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so he tells a guy who tells a guy that

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comes to me and says

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okay well we'll give you a raise if you

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stay i said i don't want to raise

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i want to be a professor they said well

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what do you want i said

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i said rock star astronaut

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there's only one other thing i want i

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want my own company

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so i said i'll stay if you finance my

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i i want uh i got millions of dollars of

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contracts

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i got a quarter million dollars up front

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i got free office space for a couple of

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years

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i got all the computer equipment i.t

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support 10 people from dupont came over

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to work for me

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they didn't take any equity so it's the

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best deal ever

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and i you i did this one negotiation my

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best negotiation my life

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they you know i had zero money in fact

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when i started this company

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i went to a bank and i got the only

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unsecured loan that you can get as a 23

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year old

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which is i said i want to buy five

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thousand dollars of furniture

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i mean they gave me a 5 000 furniture

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i was living in an apartment at 700

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bucks a month with uh

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with milk crates for bookshelves and i

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thought

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five grand that'll last me six months i

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maybe that'll make it so i got a 5 000

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furniture loan

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then i said to dupont i need a hundred

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thousand dollar cash check

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up front to start you can imagine these

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guys in suits and they thought the kid

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is out of his mind

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and and they said we can't give you that

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you might take that money and run off to

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the caribbean

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like maybe where you are right now and i

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was like well you know you got to give

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me the money because i

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and this is my negotiating story i said

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you got to give me the money

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because i have no money

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[Laughter]

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and they looked at me and i you got a

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point there you got no money

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so i they literally wrote me a hundred

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thousand dollar check and by

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rao at this point on seven hundred

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dollar a month

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rent i literally believe that hundred

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thousand dollars would last me for seven

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years

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i calculated i had seven years of

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capital took the money

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and i started micro strategy and where

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10 people the first year and i thought

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i'm going to defer

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my phd program and when this thing fails

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i'm going back to college and the next

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year we were 20 people the next year we

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were 40 people the next year we were 80

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people the next year we were 300 people

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and the next year people said you got to

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go public

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and at some point what year are we in

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what year are we in now

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we started i graduated in mit 87

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i started this in 89 started

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microstrategy in 89

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wow and i again i got so lucky like

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lucky that i got misdiagnosed by that

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doctor lucky that

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reagan won the cold war then i got lucky

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that the dot-com boom took off because

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if you recall between 96 and 99

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everybody was going public and we were

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just coming of age in 96

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97 you know and in 98 we came public

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june of 98

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and of course it would come if we are

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two years late

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wouldn't have happened two years early

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wouldn't have happened we came out right

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that through that window and by then it

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was just too late for me to go back to

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college and i was like stuck

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as a ceo better worse

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so that's how microstrategy was founded

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it was if i could i couldn't do it again

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like in that twilight zone episode where

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the ceo goes back

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and gets all of his knowledge to try

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again he ends up the janitor

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if you put me back there again

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i'm like well i need the cold war to end

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and i need a doctor to make a mistake

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and i need someone to tell me to do the

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opposite of what i wanted to do and then

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you know it's just all random so were

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a risk taker with the firm so as you go

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through

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the journey from you know going public

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so everyone's a risk taker when you

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start a business you have to be

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but then after that were you a risk

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taker i mean how did how did that

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kind of corporate journey evolved you

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were ceo

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you know i in hindsight i was a risk

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taker

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but at the time i didn't realize i was

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taking the risk

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the most dangerous kind of risk i you

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like uh like if i if i could go back i

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would give myself

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counsel to do things differently but

0:12:16

yeah we

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we did take risk although i'm

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one thing that i i did is i just was

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always very passionate about

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technology so we launched microstrategy

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as a business intelligence company and

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we were always inventing the next thing

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finally the first um the first risk

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that i took was i created a piece of

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software

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to create computer simulations on a

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macintosh

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and older wiser minds professors from

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mit told me

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uh that's how awful idea um the

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macintosh is not gonna win

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everybody knows that business people use

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the pc okay we were like a million

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dollar company then i said

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well i guess you're right but the

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macintosh is much more beautiful and

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better technology than the pc

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so we doubled and doubled again

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and they and the professor that gave me

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that advice was still running a 300 000

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a year consulting business and we were 4

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million

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with with the wrong technology so then

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the professor asked me what i was doing

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i said well

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i'm creating executive information

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systems using this spreadsheet called

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wings with a hyperscripting language and

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that professor said

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well all my friends tell me that excel

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is going to be the choice for all big

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businesses

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and wings is going to fail so i said

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well you may be right but excel doesn't

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have a scripting language

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so we'll try it for a while well we

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doubled again and doubled again

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we got to be 30 million and he was right

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and he's still running his 350 000

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consulting business and then he asked me

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what i was doing and i said

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well i've decided to convert to

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microsoft visual basic and we're going

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to create relational analytics on top of

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big databases he said well do you have

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an experienced big database i said

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no none at all and he said well you know

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visual basic is not what people use for

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software engineering they use c

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plus i said yeah but i can't figure that

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out yet

0:14:13

so we did it and we doubled again to 60

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million dollars and he was still running

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his 350 million dollar

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a 50 000 consulting business not making

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a mistake

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at which point i realized you know

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you're kind of an idiot you need to

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write us

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the software in c plus plus so we took

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the money that we made making the first

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set of mistakes and we wrote it in c

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plus plus and we doubled again

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and then you know i'm sure someone said

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don't go public

0:14:40

but basically i would say we mistake

0:14:42

we're not very good at listening to

0:14:43

people that's your problem

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you know i always chase after these

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shiny things

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okay but but there's a method to the

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madness which is you're better to be

0:14:53

correct and do something that works

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now and then figure it out three or four

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years from now

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then to do nothing and sit and wait and

0:15:03

be beat to death

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so i mean the short of the story is you

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know i took like six or seven risk and

0:15:08

and every three years we had to invent

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something new

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web intelligence mobile intelligence

0:15:15

we launched uh we launched a business

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called alarm.com

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about i got really enamored with domain

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names

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i you know i bought microstrategy.com

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for my email and then i got lazy and i

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thought

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i hate typing micro wouldn't it be

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better if i just had the email

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sailor at strategy.com so i bought it

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you know back in the day when you could

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buy it for a hundred thousand dollars i

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bought the word

0:15:39

strategy and still own it so then i

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thought this is kind of cool

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what other words could i buy i thought

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it'd be cool to be

0:15:47

sailor michael.com so i bought

0:15:50

michael.com

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and then i bought mike.com and then i

0:15:54

was like then i bought wisdom

0:15:56

and by the way the world needs hope

0:15:58

right everybody needs hope

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i own hope i own hope.com

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so i bought all these domain names hope

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i own allah if you would like hope by

0:16:09

the way every

0:16:10

about once every month someone wants to

0:16:12

buy hope for me

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or they want some hope but they always

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offer me like a hundred and two hundred

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thousand dollars

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and i'm hoping for a hundred million

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dollars

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so i just keep it but that's a

0:16:25

meandering way of saying

0:16:27

i got re-enamored with domains back in

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the mid-90s to the late 90s

0:16:32

and then i started thinking these are

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like real estate and cyberspace

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what if we could commercialize them so i

0:16:38

commercialized

0:16:39

strategy.com and i created this like uh

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it was like a twitter subscription

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you could sign up for alerts to anything

0:16:48

under the sun

0:16:49

and the company went from zero to 100

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million in one year

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and then went from 100 million to zero

0:16:55

in one year

0:16:56

and i you know it was it was

0:16:59

it was interesting i learned a lot from

0:17:02

that i had the skin flayed off my

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back but you know then

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but then i went on to alarm.com

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and but we launched these under the

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microstrategy umbrella

0:17:13

and the idea behind alarm was what if

0:17:16

you could wire all your home alarm

0:17:18

systems into the internet and they would

0:17:19

talk to you and talk to your phone and

0:17:21

they would tell they would call you and

0:17:23

tell you if someone broke into your

0:17:24

house

0:17:25

and then and uh you know not a brilliant

0:17:29

today amazon and google and apple are

0:17:32

doing it

0:17:33

pretty unique in the year 1998 or 1999

0:17:37

wow so we launched that and

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we launched it on alarm.com so if you go

0:17:43

and type alarm.com right now what you'll

0:17:45

find is

0:17:46

it's a billion dollar company uh we

0:17:49

eventually spun it off we made a decent

0:17:51

amount of money off it then they

0:17:53

went public with goldman sachs and it's

0:17:55

it's a billion dollar nasdaq traded

0:17:57

company now

0:17:57

so that's one of my babies uh it flew

0:18:00

away from home

0:18:02

i created another one called i bought

0:18:03

angel raw

0:18:05

angel a-n-g-e-f my theory of these was

0:18:08

very simple which is

0:18:10

people have a hard time spelling and

0:18:12

they have a hard time remembering things

0:18:15

so everybody gets taught how to spell

0:18:18

angel or hope when they're in

0:18:21

high school or junior high so if i tell

0:18:25

my charity or my company or whatever is

0:18:27

on angel you go

0:18:28

am a-n-g-e-o you don't got to go to the

0:18:31

google you don't have to go to yahoo you

0:18:33

don't have to search for it

0:18:35

if you search by the way for voice

0:18:39

on google you get a billion hits you

0:18:42

have to sift through a billion

0:18:43

if your name of your company is

0:18:45

something voice or whatever voice of the

0:18:47

people there's a billion things you're

0:18:49

fighting with

0:18:50

if you own voice.com you go to the top

0:18:54

by the way not only do you go to the top

0:18:55

of the search engine

0:18:57

right nobody needs the search engine you

0:19:00

can bypass a search engine everybody

0:19:02

knows how to type in

0:19:03

voice right so the idea was own the word

0:19:07

in cyberspace it's a scarce asset right

0:19:10

fascinating and for 10 you know 1 000

0:19:14

years people been using the word

0:19:16

so own the word so we basically

0:19:19

commercialized on angel the idea of

0:19:21

interactive voice response like emma

0:19:23

i'm sorry not like uh siri siri or

0:19:26

or or the like or alexa and uh we did it

0:19:30

back in

0:19:31

2000 anybody could basically build an

0:19:34

interactive

0:19:35

voice response application we plugged it

0:19:37

into your telephone

0:19:38

and that started to work and about it

0:19:40

was a sas application we ran it out of

0:19:42

the cloud and you plugged in your

0:19:43

telephone

0:19:44

and we built it to a certain point but

0:19:46

it was a totally different brand it was

0:19:48

a different business model and

0:19:50

and i had an enterprise software company

0:19:53

and this was not enterprise software and

0:19:55

it drove

0:19:56

all of the accountants crazy so

0:19:59

eventually we realized it was more

0:20:01

valuable to someone else than it was to

0:20:02

us and we sold it for about 120 million

0:20:05

dollars

0:20:06

uh and so that was my next little hit

0:20:08

with a domain

0:20:10

and then then at some point i started to

0:20:14

realize

0:20:15

that if you're not the best in the world

0:20:17

at something

0:20:19

nobody wants you for anything okay and

0:20:21

it's like

0:20:22

you know in the early days we all

0:20:23

thought well

0:20:25

i got 30 million dollars i can build

0:20:27

this app everybody wanted to be what's

0:20:29

up everybody wanted to be instagram or

0:20:31

whatever

0:20:31

i when i'm i gotta but if i had a nickel

0:20:34

for every time someone said i have an

0:20:35

idea for a mobile app you know

0:20:39

it's like yeah you do right and

0:20:42

it's worth a nickel i launched all these

0:20:45

things some work

0:20:46

some didn't work right and i you know i

0:20:48

i tried

0:20:49

i tried it many of them and then i

0:20:51

eventually realized that you need to

0:20:54

focus right it's the first

0:20:57

hurdle is is can you acquire a thing can

0:21:01

you build something

0:21:02

okay you generally can i mean

0:21:06

can you buy that thing the second hurdle

0:21:09

can you um can you compete in that

0:21:12

market right can you can you maintain a

0:21:14

competitiveness

0:21:15

in that market that means investing

0:21:18

every year as much as the next best

0:21:21

person is investing forever

0:21:23

right can you stay competitive that's a

0:21:26

higher hurdle

0:21:27

but the highest hurdle is can you

0:21:29

commercialize or not can you profit from

0:21:32

the thing

0:21:33

so a lot of people can do a thing yeah

0:21:36

most people can't do a thing better

0:21:39

consistently forever

0:21:41

and even if you can can you make money

0:21:43

off it

0:21:44

okay so this is a this is an

0:21:46

articulation of stoicism

0:21:48

just because you can do a thing doesn't

0:21:51

mean you should do a thing

0:21:53

and every young man he sees everything

0:21:56

he's like i have to do all this stuff

0:21:59

i have an idea for this and this and

0:22:00

this and this and this

0:22:02

so i i went through that journey of do

0:22:04

this and i kind of worked for you

0:22:06

you have more successes than failures i

0:22:09

failed up

0:22:10

i got a lot of scars but i but it was

0:22:12

humbling

0:22:14

to i mean you have to have the failures

0:22:17

uh along with the successes because if

0:22:19

you if you don't fail eventually you get

0:22:21

this big failure where it all comes

0:22:22

crashing down

0:22:23

so i guess i adopted along the way this

0:22:26

idea of stoicism and i realized that

0:22:28

you need to put all of your heart and

0:22:31

soul into one thing

0:22:33

and so at that point we sold off the one

0:22:35

company we

0:22:37

spun off the other thing and i realized

0:22:40

you know my destiny was i could i could

0:22:43

microstrategy and be the world's best

0:22:47

business intelligence company solely

0:22:50

focused upon that one thing that's what

0:22:52

we're going to be

0:22:54

and um i went back to doing that and i

0:22:56

let the other things go

0:22:58

and i let the domain portfolio just sit

0:23:01

and um it and and we just we're the

0:23:04

little engine that could focus upon

0:23:06

making our business intelligence better

0:23:08

with web intelligence and mobile

0:23:09

intelligence and cloud intelligence and

0:23:12

and now our cool thing is hyper

0:23:13

intelligence it's like

0:23:15

it's like know the answer before you ask

0:23:17

the question without clicking on

0:23:19

anything

0:23:19

you know and i tell you about that in a

0:23:21

bit if you want but yeah i'm super

0:23:23

interested

0:23:23

i i was just busy minding my own

0:23:26

business

0:23:27

i got off i used to tweet you know i

0:23:30

used to tweet all the time i got off

0:23:32

twitter

0:23:33

i focused on my core business and then

0:23:36

eventually i came back i discovered

0:23:38

bitcoin

0:23:39

the day i put on twitter that we bought

0:23:42

250 million

0:23:43

worth of bitcoin the entire hive mind of

0:23:46

crypto twitter came to life

0:23:48

and they went through every tweet that i

0:23:51

had put out there

0:23:53

a thousand of them and then someone

0:23:55

dredges up the tweet where i had

0:23:57

once upon a time in my imminent

0:23:59

brilliance discovered that

0:24:01

bitcoin was dead and it was going to

0:24:03

zero and i

0:24:05

enthusiastically posted that back in

0:24:07

2013.

0:24:08

and and everybody wanted to know what i

0:24:10

thought about that and

0:24:11

and and what i got to tell you is

0:24:14

i didn't remember i ever had an opinion

0:24:17

on bitcoin

0:24:19

until they reminded me that i had once

0:24:21

been utterly wrong

0:24:23

on it and so i i guess that's very

0:24:26

humbling

0:24:27

but uh but i i love the entire crypto

0:24:30

twitter community i mean i think they're

0:24:32

the smartest

0:24:33

coolest most interesting uh charismatic

0:24:37

individuals

0:24:38

you know when they're right there right

0:24:40

when they're wrong they're still

0:24:42

kind of interestingly right and uh and

0:24:45

i think they make us better versions of

0:24:47

ourself but

0:24:49

putting that aside i was minding my own

0:24:52

business running micro strategy

0:24:54

trying to be the best business

0:24:55

intelligence company we can and i would

0:24:57

say that's 150

0:24:58

focus on the p l and i was not you know

0:25:02

and and with regard to investment my

0:25:05

investment world consisted of

0:25:07

this row it's like i was a technology

0:25:11

investor

0:25:12

in the year 2012 i published a book the

0:25:14

mobile wave

0:25:15

and in the mobile wave ion essence said

0:25:18

software is leaping

0:25:19

from out from under your desk beyond

0:25:22

your laptop

0:25:23

onto a mobile device it's going from

0:25:25

solid state

0:25:26

to liquid state to vapor state and it's

0:25:29

going to be like vapor all around us

0:25:32

and what that means is that the entire

0:25:35

software

0:25:36

world is becoming networked

0:25:40

networked uh networked vapor state

0:25:44

uh incredibly powerful dematerialized

0:25:47

versions of of

0:25:48

products and services and so the summary

0:25:52

is um apple computers going to rule the

0:25:54

world

0:25:55

buy apple facebook amazon google go

0:25:58

if you read the book you know that's

0:26:00

what i wrote i mean the epiphany was

0:26:02

2009 i asked my niece who was nine years

0:26:06

you know what do you want for christmas

0:26:08

and she said i want the big apple and i

0:26:09

said you want a trip to new york city

0:26:12

and she goes no i want an ipad okay and

0:26:14

i thought

0:26:15

apple's going to replace new york city i

0:26:18

was going to rule the world

0:26:20

so my investment thesis was quite simple

0:26:23

you know

0:26:24

apple facebook amazon google a simple

0:26:27

for a tech investor to think is you buy

0:26:30

a dominant

0:26:32

network according to metcalf's law

0:26:34

that's won the market

0:26:35

the mobile network the information

0:26:37

network the video network the social

0:26:39

network

0:26:40

i just named apple google youtube

0:26:44

facebook the you know commercial very

0:26:46

simple

0:26:47

buy the dominant network and wait while

0:26:49

all the naysayers on wall street

0:26:52

and all the talking heads and all the

0:26:54

people that know better

0:26:55

tell you why you you know hedge

0:26:58

i hate the word hedge like like

0:27:02

like uh you know i can tell you wall

0:27:05

street

0:27:05

luminaries in 2012 would lecture me on

0:27:08

they would say you know you shouldn't

0:27:10

buy too much apple stock

0:27:11

we've got a we've got a mutual fund and

0:27:13

what we do is if your apple stock gets

0:27:15

to be too much of your

0:27:17

computer portfolio we sell it and buy hp

0:27:19

and ibm to diversify you

0:27:22

you know and i said well guys don't you

0:27:23

realize that eventually apple's going to

0:27:25

eat them all

0:27:26

and there won't be a need for hp or ibm

0:27:28

or anybody and what happens when apple

0:27:30

is 150

0:27:31

of all the profit in the entire tech

0:27:33

industry industry right

0:27:35

well we don't see it that way okay

0:27:37

that's what they thought

0:27:38

and then they go well you know we're

0:27:40

gonna protect you

0:27:41

if uh if your share of your portfolio is

0:27:43

too much technology

0:27:45

we're gonna sell technology and we're

0:27:47

gonna buy all these other assets

0:27:49

and i was like but guys what happens

0:27:52

when technology eats everything and

0:27:54

there aren't any other assets

0:27:56

okay in my opinion and i'm gonna be

0:27:58

snarky here

0:27:59

i think an ignorant investor thinks that

0:28:02

technology companies are a part of

0:28:06

of the index or they're a part of the

0:28:09

industry

0:28:10

in my opinion as a science historian

0:28:14

john d rockefeller was running a

0:28:16

technology company if you study the

0:28:18

history of standard oil

0:28:20

he did everything that jeff bezos did a

0:28:22

hundred years earlier

0:28:23

and if you study general electric once

0:28:26

upon a time electricity was pretty

0:28:28

technically interesting and if you've

0:28:30

actually been to the hershey's factory

0:28:32

in pennsylvania

0:28:34

not a one of these investors could build

0:28:36

the damn thing hershey's factory

0:28:38

is a computer built in steel welded

0:28:41

which is the most

0:28:42

majestic majestic creation of mankind

0:28:46

you could possibly imagine

0:28:48

imagine writing a computer program and

0:28:51

billions of dollars of steel and moving

0:28:53

parts that spits out

0:28:54

a hundred thousand candy bars an hour

0:28:57

you know without contaminating them you

0:29:01

it's you think it's not technology or

0:29:04

or craft you know i create ketchup

0:29:08

the technology was i had clean room

0:29:10

technology

0:29:11

i had to take the tomatoes manufacture

0:29:14

the ketchup

0:29:15

put in a seal container without any

0:29:17

bacteria in it so that it didn't rot

0:29:20

over the course of the next year okay

0:29:23

clean room technology no different than

0:29:25

intel semiconductor chips

0:29:27

so when these people think oh well we're

0:29:30

buying a technology company it's like

0:29:32

every company that ever succeeded was a

0:29:35

technology company and the only reason

0:29:36

it grew

0:29:38

was it had technology superior to

0:29:40

everybody else

0:29:41

so i i happen to you know back to 2012 i

0:29:45

thought

0:29:45

my investment thesis is you buy

0:29:47

technology companies that have a

0:29:49

dominant

0:29:50

place in their industry that are going

0:29:51

to eat everything and then you just wait

0:29:54

while all the people that don't really

0:29:56

think hard about this

0:29:58

short you or diversify out of you and

0:30:01

eventually

0:30:02

some 80 year old investor that's got

0:30:05

more money than god

0:30:06

will discover that apple computer is not

0:30:10

some newfangled you know uh gimmick

0:30:13

right eventually and he will buy it at

0:30:16

10x what you bought it for

0:30:18

and and but and then it will double

0:30:20

again right and he will make some money

0:30:24

and you will have made some money but

0:30:26

you'll have to be beat to death by

0:30:28

well well-educated well-intentioned

0:30:31

diversifying experts

0:30:33

while you wait for that to happen and

0:30:34

they're going to say things like

0:30:36

we're going to hedge you out of this or

0:30:38

we don't want to

0:30:39

don't want to take too much risk on

0:30:41

apple don't want to take too much risk

0:30:43

on google

0:30:44

what if you had diversified your google

0:30:46

search engine into every other search

0:30:48

engine for the last

0:30:50

20 years you know one of the things i've

0:30:51

talked about many times is

0:30:53

there's a lot of people who want to

0:30:54

trade they think trading makes money

0:30:57

when you look at people who built real

0:30:58

wealth it's basically one bet

0:31:01

you know bill gates is who he is because

0:31:03

he didn't sell his stock

0:31:04

essentially you know and that's the same

0:31:07

people take one

0:31:09

clear bet filter out all of the noise

0:31:11

and just pursue it

0:31:14

we're all you know i listened to to uh

0:31:17

your phrase irresponsibly long

0:31:21

right but but you know it's really

0:31:23

tongue-in-cheek

0:31:25

you're not irresponsibly

0:31:28

long you're you're just

0:31:32

you're just uh unfortunately

0:31:35

rational like maybe the word is

0:31:39

is uh is like uh

0:31:42

maybe uh some slightly early being

0:31:46

rational

0:31:47

like you're making a rational decision

0:31:49

uh no

0:31:50

i'm on what's the word for unpopular

0:31:52

you're rational and

0:31:54

unpopular exclu exclusively

0:31:58

rational maybe that's the word

0:32:00

exclusively rational

0:32:02

so once you understand what's going to

0:32:05

happen

0:32:07

you kind of got to do it i i bought a

0:32:09

lot of bitcoin

0:32:11

recently like over the past before that

0:32:14

why the hell did you have so much cash

0:32:20

you know that was the question i was

0:32:20

thinking okay great you bought bitcoin

0:32:22

how come you had so much cash aren't you

0:32:24

supposed to make cash if you're in

0:32:25

business you're supposed to make money

0:32:27

but what do you do with it it's just

0:32:28

sitting in the business

0:32:30

okay well this takes me back uh back to

0:32:34

where

0:32:34

we went off on my little tangent which

0:32:37

i was minding my own business running

0:32:40

microstrategy

0:32:42

where you know running the p l i was a

0:32:45

wage earner you know you go and you make

0:32:47

a salary and you spend less money than

0:32:49

you make it's like

0:32:50

it's a 20th century idea my dad taught

0:32:52

me that

0:32:53

like depression error economics spend

0:32:56

less than you make

0:32:58

so we're making money spending less than

0:33:00

we're making putting cash in the bank

0:33:02

and we're struggling to compete against

0:33:05

you know

0:33:06

my competitors are ibm oracle sap

0:33:10

you know microsoft they're all 100 times

0:33:13

bigger than us

0:33:14

we're the independent we're the you know

0:33:16

the switzerland so we're doing that that

0:33:18

kind of takes up a lot of your attention

0:33:20

and i'm not really paying attention to

0:33:21

macroeconomics

0:33:23

i don't you know my my investment thesis

0:33:26

as i said was

0:33:27

buy tech stocks but like you can't buy

0:33:29

tech stocks as a public company ceo

0:33:31

and put the treasury into tech stocks

0:33:33

and you certainly couldn't do it near

0:33:36

you might do in your personal portfolio

0:33:38

but but the

0:33:39

the conventional wisdom if you're

0:33:42

running a corporate treasury is

0:33:45

you're going to buy you're going to put

0:33:46

cash and you're going to buy short-term

0:33:48

treasuries short-term t-bills and

0:33:52

i happen to believe before the financial

0:33:54

crisis

0:33:55

you know i remember the time when you

0:33:57

can make five and a half percent

0:33:58

interest on overnight money we're

0:34:01

getting five

0:34:03

five and a half percent yield you have

0:34:05

500 million dollars you're getting paid

0:34:07

30 million dollars

0:34:08

finally i happen to remember when

0:34:10

savings accounts paid six percent

0:34:12

interest

0:34:13

it's like and by the way we didn't think

0:34:15

we were getting a good deal from the

0:34:17

bank we thought that was totally

0:34:18

reasonable

0:34:20

and every conventional wisdom was

0:34:23

the risk-free cost of capital

0:34:26

is six to eight percent and then you get

0:34:29

attack on a risk premium of four percent

0:34:32

so your real cost to capital is 12 to do

0:34:34

anything and that's the old day

0:34:36

so that that's the way i thought about

0:34:38

the treasury

0:34:39

and then i thought and then there were

0:34:41

other people what else can i do with the

0:34:43

money

0:34:43

you can buy your own stock back or you

0:34:47

can buy another company

0:34:48

now i teach a course in uh management

0:34:51

theory to all

0:34:52

my managers and my number one question

0:34:55

how do you wreck a software company in

0:34:58

my history and by

0:34:59

rao i'm like the longest presiding

0:35:02

public company ceo in the enterprise

0:35:05

software industry

0:35:06

nobody has been ceo of a public

0:35:08

enterprise software company longer than

0:35:10

me 22

0:35:11

years 88 quarters i count them

0:35:15

one at a time everybody came and gone

0:35:18

okay how do you wreck a software company

0:35:21

you know you have an answer for me what

0:35:23

do you think

0:35:24

number one way to wreck it i'm assuming

0:35:27

it's going to be acquire somebody else

0:35:29

make a acquisition make a bad

0:35:31

acquisition okay bingo

0:35:33

the ceo of sap comes in he lasts for

0:35:36

nine months he buys autonomy

0:35:38

they take an 11 billion dollar write-off

0:35:41

it's pretty impressive to burn 11

0:35:43

billion dollars

0:35:45

in 11 months on one transaction that you

0:35:48

probably spend

0:35:49

i don't know a few hours on i mean

0:35:52

like how many lifetimes how many

0:35:56

a million lifetimes to make 11 billion

0:35:58

dollars

0:35:59

so um the number one way to kill a

0:36:01

company is make a bad acquisition

0:36:03

so i got all this cash do i go buy

0:36:05

something i i have lived long enough to

0:36:08

90 percent yeah how about microsoft

0:36:11

buying nokia that was a good idea

0:36:13

right uh by the way you could have seen

0:36:17

that one coming a mile away that was the

0:36:18

most awful idea

0:36:20

you could imagine uh you want to count

0:36:23

the number

0:36:24

90 of all acquisitions end awfully

0:36:27

right and and there's a few accretive

0:36:30

if you buy a small company pump it

0:36:33

through a massive distribution channel

0:36:35

jack it up by a factor of 10 with no

0:36:37

variable cost

0:36:38

you know maybe it works but acquisitions

0:36:41

are bad so

0:36:41

i'm not going to buy a company so what

0:36:43

else do you do with the cash

0:36:45

you buy your own stock back okay how

0:36:48

how many companies have gone toys r us

0:36:51

gone bankrupt

0:36:53

because they bought that you know they

0:36:54

lever up they issue a massive dividend

0:36:58

they drain the capital right drain all

0:37:00

the capital out of the company they're

0:37:02

running on

0:37:03

um what happened if you were actually

0:37:05

running

0:37:06

on uh on vapor when covid hit

0:37:10

yeah it's all over everybody is

0:37:12

insolvent

0:37:13

they're all out of business overnight

0:37:16

okay so that's another way to kill the

0:37:18

company you drain all your capital

0:37:22

so so what's left

0:37:25

what what the heck is left okay steve

0:37:28

jobs is my hero

0:37:30

steve jobs had a near a near-death

0:37:32

experience with this company apple

0:37:34

computer was almost you know

0:37:36

there was a point when michael dell told

0:37:38

apple they should just give the money

0:37:40

back to the shareholders and shut down

0:37:42

right that's a tweet you probably don't

0:37:45

like coming back

0:37:47

okay so steve jobs kept all that cash

0:37:50

you know until the day he died and they

0:37:52

accumulate they didn't buy back the

0:37:54

stock

0:37:54

i would you know i thought maybe i would

0:37:56

like microstrategy to not

0:37:58

die and so i was going to keep the

0:37:59

capital and

0:38:01

by the way so i can serve the customers

0:38:04

yeah you have nightmares of your cfo the

0:38:07

nightmare is

0:38:08

you let a customer down right like some

0:38:12

when someone actually invests 10 million

0:38:14

dollars in my company

0:38:15

software and then they build something

0:38:18

with it and they deploy it

0:38:20

you know like you're going to go tell

0:38:22

them oh we decided not to update the

0:38:24

software

0:38:25

let me put it differently how would you

0:38:27

feel if you put 100 million dollars into

0:38:28

bitcoin

0:38:29

and then the miner said we're turning

0:38:31

off the rigs and the developers said

0:38:33

we're not going to patch the bug or

0:38:35

upgrade and so it's just going to stop

0:38:37

working right so you have a you have an

0:38:41

ethical moral obligation to your

0:38:43

customers and a lot of times these ceos

0:38:45

they kind of they kind of get cute

0:38:47

this is the problem with the the lbo

0:38:50

we're going to get cute we're going to

0:38:52

buy it i'm going to buy marvel comics

0:38:55

i'm going to leverage it up drain the

0:38:57

capital out of it and bankrupt marvel

0:39:00

right happened right sad

0:39:03

happen right so don't want to do that

0:39:07

so what can i do i just leave the cash

0:39:09

in the bank and i'm buying the stock

0:39:11

back at some rate and then along comes

0:39:15

covid and and covet is this

0:39:19

transformational experience

0:39:22

thomas kuhn and the structure of

0:39:24

scientific revolutions which is the

0:39:26

seminal work on the history of science

0:39:28

he wrote when the paradigm shift comes

0:39:30

along

0:39:31

write the old guard you know when we

0:39:33

invent uh

0:39:35

antibiotics or or the science of

0:39:37

sterilization or

0:39:39

or nuclear energy or whatever it is we

0:39:41

invent

0:39:42

the old guard rejects it no one accepts

0:39:44

it until they're dead

0:39:46

unless there's a war

0:39:50

and the one thing that'll get people to

0:39:52

change their mind is when they die and

0:39:53

their kids take over

0:39:55

that changes some minds right and

0:39:58

and the other thing that gets people to

0:39:59

change their mind is a war

0:40:02

you know world war ii it you know and as

0:40:04

as trotsky said you may not be

0:40:06

interested in war

0:40:08

but war is interested in you and

0:40:11

when the war arrives you all of a sudden

0:40:13

get interested in stuff

0:40:15

that you were able to ignore because it

0:40:19

of an academic interest to people

0:40:22

somewhere else

0:40:23

so this year we got two wars

0:40:27

we got a war on covid and it and it and

0:40:30

by the way what's the warren kovac done

0:40:33

i would have fired you rau if you told

0:40:35

me you wanted to work from somewhere

0:40:37

other than my office

0:40:39

i you know i would have said you don't

0:40:41

show up to my office you're not sitting

0:40:43

next to me you don't have a job here

0:40:46

last year i was firing people that

0:40:49

didn't want to come to work

0:40:52

let me tell you what happens next covet

0:40:55

lockdown hits i'm like

0:40:58

i'm hating that idea then i gotta have a

0:41:01

meeting

0:41:02

and at nine a.m in the morning we got a

0:41:05

meeting and we're on

0:41:07

on video conferencing technology a which

0:41:10

i will not mention

0:41:12

and the line drops the sound doesn't

0:41:15

there's a war ball i blow throw a little

0:41:18

hissy fit

0:41:21

all my it people scramble by 11 a.m

0:41:25

we're on video conferencing technology

0:41:28

2 and i got 12 executives and we're

0:41:31

talking blah blah blah blah blah and two

0:41:34

of the executives freeze

0:41:35

and one of them doesn't work and i throw

0:41:38

a second hissy fit

0:41:40

by 1pm they're like well you know mike

0:41:43

we've got this thing called

0:41:45

zoom and we haven't tried it yet but we

0:41:47

thought we might try that i said

0:41:49

hook it up by 2 p.m we're using zoom

0:41:54

it's working well like you and i are

0:41:57

working well

0:41:58

by 4 p.m email goes out from the ceo to

0:42:01

the entire company

0:42:02

zoom is now the corporate standard we

0:42:04

will discontinue all

0:42:06

other uses of video conferencing

0:42:08

everybody in the company will be

0:42:09

certified on zoom zoom webinar

0:42:11

zoom video recordings you know a stipend

0:42:14

to purchase your own

0:42:16

home microphone

0:42:19

will go out to everybody buy green

0:42:22

screens if you need to

0:42:24

i expect it to be done no more meetings

0:42:27

other than zoom by a.m the next morning

0:42:31

500 people have turned left okay that's

0:42:34

what war will do to you

0:42:36

okay in a hurry it's like because you

0:42:38

got to

0:42:39

now the first war was the coveted war

0:42:43

and that changed everybody's p l

0:42:47

and that's half the business i have a

0:42:48

500 million dollar

0:42:50

operating business and we sell

0:42:51

enterprise software and

0:42:53

and in a matter of weeks we needed to

0:42:55

figure out how to sell that stuff

0:42:56

virtually and how to deliver

0:42:58

service virtually and 500 consultants

0:43:00

went from being on site

0:43:02

to being uh to being remote and you know

0:43:05

like the war hit rel and we started

0:43:07

worrying about what's going to happen to

0:43:09

our business

0:43:10

nobody knows four weeks later 500 people

0:43:13

had gone

0:43:14

had gone remote and i was waiting to see

0:43:17

like whether a meteorite was going to

0:43:19

hit me on the head and you know

0:43:22

whether whether that was going to be

0:43:23

mass destruction would the revenues

0:43:25

crumple

0:43:27

would customers go ballistic crazy okay

0:43:30

and then here's what happened

0:43:33

we stopped spending five million dollars

0:43:35

a quarter on

0:43:36

on running around on flying around in

0:43:38

hotels

0:43:40

our next 15 million dollars worth of

0:43:43

marketing events

0:43:44

trade shows got cancelled on us

0:43:52

then we realized we couldn't stage 150

0:43:52

000 symposiums even we wanted to

0:43:56

and then we realized that every

0:43:58

expensive sales and marketing and

0:44:00

services activity we had previously

0:44:02

heretofore engaged in

0:44:04

was no longer appropriate

0:44:07

or practical or possible or relevant or

0:44:10

necessary

0:44:12

well like i think i just made 40 million

0:44:16

dollars a year

0:44:18

and about 40 million dollars a year on a

0:44:22

million dollar a year revenue stream i

0:44:24

got kicked

0:44:29

i got kicked in the ass with a golden

0:44:29

horseshoe

0:44:30

[Laughter]

0:44:32

all right i don't want to make light of

0:44:34

it because a lot of people are suffering

0:44:36

a lot of pain

0:44:37

okay and there's a you know someone's

0:44:39

one person's

0:44:40

state cost savings is another person's

0:44:42

revenue right so if you look at the

0:44:44

other point of view there's a lot of

0:44:45

people

0:44:46

in the events industry the hotel

0:44:47

industry the airline industry

0:44:49

et cetera and they're suffering right

0:44:52

i'm the ceo i have to be the fiduciary

0:44:54

for my shareholders and for my customers

0:44:57

at the end of the day what happened at

0:44:59

the p l is we realized we were going to

0:45:01

be much more profitable and be much more

0:45:03

efficient

0:45:04

after this despite the ceo

0:45:08

kicking and screaming being dragged into

0:45:11

the virtual age

0:45:12

right right so that that's me i had an

0:45:15

opinion

0:45:16

i was wrong war hit me bang

0:45:19

on the head okay i see it differently

0:45:22

today

0:45:23

and by the way at that point i saw what

0:45:25

everybody else

0:45:27

in the virtual world had been seeing so

0:45:29

clearly

0:45:30

three years before me four years before

0:45:32

me but i had to go through three

0:45:35

different vendors

0:45:36

and i had by i had to change my

0:45:38

technology my customers had to be forced

0:45:41

to take my technology my employees had

0:45:43

to be forced if i had walked in and i

0:45:45

said to the

0:45:45

cios that i deal with i'm not going to

0:45:48

meet with you face to face i want you to

0:45:49

zoom to me

0:45:51

12 months ago they would have told me to

0:45:53

you know go pound sand

0:45:55

so what happened really was the war

0:45:56

changed everybody's behavior

0:45:59

right and and uh so we got uh

0:46:03

now i'm gonna pick it's a let in quote

0:46:05

right i mean there are decades where

0:46:06

nothing happens

0:46:08

and there are weeks when decades happen

0:46:11

right

0:46:11

and so the war didn't change me the war

0:46:14

changed everybody

0:46:16

and so my p l is different my operating

0:46:18

income is different

0:46:19

and now that takes us back to the ballot

0:46:21

sheet the balance sheet which was an

0:46:23

afterthought i got a bunch of money

0:46:25

i'm buying some stock back our stock you

0:46:28

know got hammered

0:46:29

through the floor and then what happens

0:46:32

so i'm watching the market

0:46:36

and and i'm living the pain of main

0:46:40

street

0:46:41

and i'm watching that all of these

0:46:43

operating businesses are getting

0:46:44

destroyed

0:46:46

getting destroyed and it's just the most

0:46:48

horrific

0:46:49

awful thing of my career horror

0:46:52

right it's like i i i have no words for

0:46:56

it i'm not even going to articulate the

0:46:58

words for it except for this

0:46:59

to say i watched and felt with a

0:47:03

horrifying

0:47:04

pain the dismantling of

0:47:08

my entire world view

0:47:12

of which not a big fan

0:47:15

okay now having watched that

0:47:18

change then i watched a v-shaped

0:47:22

recovery with

0:47:24

talking heads on msnbc and i just

0:47:27

watched the market

0:47:29

go like that and i watched every equity

0:47:32

go through the roof

0:47:33

you know apple stock goes it doubles

0:47:36

even though any rational persons how can

0:47:39

apple be worth

0:47:40

twice as much when half of the world's

0:47:43

economy just got

0:47:44

wrecked and when

0:47:47

when their revenues and their earnings

0:47:50

are looking constant

0:47:52

so that the earnings multiples blow

0:47:54

through the roof

0:47:56

right it's like and then i watch

0:47:59

but this is one that blows my mind ralph

0:48:02

if you told me if you're a bond salesman

0:48:04

and you said to me mike i have an idea

0:48:06

for you

0:48:07

i want you to buy 30-year 30-year

0:48:09

government

0:48:10

bonds that are going to yield two

0:48:12

percent interest for the rest of your

0:48:15

i said are you out of your mind

0:48:19

are you you must be crazy to sell me

0:48:23

these bonds

0:48:25

those bonds had a 22

0:48:28

gain in 12 weeks so you would have made

0:48:33

gain on the long bond index i might and

0:48:36

i feel like an

0:48:37

idiot like i would have made money

0:48:40

buying

0:48:40

bonds a two percent yield for the rest

0:48:42

of my life

0:48:43

i would have made money buying leveraged

0:48:46

equity

0:48:47

of everything as the world is going

0:48:49

through the floor

0:48:51

and i'm holding my little bucket of cash

0:48:54

as this is happening and that takes me

0:48:58

to my second war

0:48:59

but the first war is the warren covet

0:49:01

the second war is the war on currency

0:49:03

but like people say there's a currency

0:49:07

i heard it i didn't understand it i

0:49:09

thought currency war

0:49:11

by the way i don't even know if

0:49:12

everybody agrees or even under

0:49:13

interprets it the way i do

0:49:15

i thought currency war was

0:49:18

was the us wants to weaken its currency

0:49:22

so that our exports are more affordable

0:49:24

in europe

0:49:25

i thought well that's kind of cool uh

0:49:27

you know when the uh when the currency

0:49:29

weakens

0:49:30

all of my revenues in europe denominated

0:49:32

in the euros go up by 20 percent and my

0:49:34

revenues and dollars go up by 20 percent

0:49:37

and it's good for my stock in dollars

0:49:39

it's like that's kind of

0:49:41

that's kind of cute that's our currency

0:49:43

adjustment we get that every quarter

0:49:45

and if the us dollar is weak we feel

0:49:47

good about it when the us dollar is

0:49:48

strong we have currency headwinds

0:49:51

okay that's second order currency war

0:49:54

okay the first order currency war is

0:49:59

every every buddy in the world declared

0:50:02

war on

0:50:03

currency and

0:50:06

your hundred million dollars in the bank

0:50:09

that bought

0:50:09

a bond that you know maybe i

0:50:13

i buy a bond for a million bucks that

0:50:15

yields 50

0:50:16

000 a year okay that's an asset that's

0:50:19

interesting to me

0:50:20

i want to retire i buy a million dollar

0:50:22

bond yielding 5

0:50:24

interest and i get 50 000 a year

0:50:27

when the currency war hits now that bond

0:50:30

trades up to two million dollars and it

0:50:32

deals 20

0:50:33

50 000 a year but is two and a half

0:50:35

percent yield

0:50:36

so what happened was the bonds shoot

0:50:40

through the roof and they appreciate by

0:50:41

a hundred percent

0:50:43

what really happened in the past 12

0:50:46

weeks

0:50:47

is assets we saw asset inflation of 25

0:50:52

to 40 percent

0:50:54

okay cpi is such a misnomer right like

0:50:59

people talk about inflation like it's

0:51:01

cpi well

0:51:02

you can measure the inflation rate of of

0:51:05

consumer

0:51:06

products and services yeah i buy a

0:51:09

domino's pizza and i buy netflix and i

0:51:11

buy youtube

0:51:12

those aren't inflating when i measure

0:51:16

the market basket of consumer assets

0:51:19

it's like my retired dad would like to

0:51:22

buy a million dollar bond that yields

0:51:23

fifty thousand dollars a year in

0:51:25

interest

0:51:26

when i measure that you're talking about

0:51:30

you know six seven eight percent in a

0:51:32

normal year as the money supply

0:51:34

increases

0:51:35

all of the things that i want to buy

0:51:38

i'm being snarky all the things i want

0:51:40

to buy are going up eight percent a year

0:51:42

in a good year

0:51:42

all the things that are being given away

0:51:44

for me that are manufactured by machines

0:51:47

there's also a function of this and just

0:51:49

listen to you just clarified a thought

0:51:51

for me

0:51:51

right the function of inflation is

0:51:53

generally driven by demand

0:51:55

right i i don't believe it's necessarily

0:51:57

fully a monetary phenomenon maybe demand

0:51:59

is passed but demographics

0:52:00

plays a big part right the largest

0:52:02

demographic wave

0:52:04

of all time are the baby boomers

0:52:07

those guys guess what they want to buy

0:52:09

retirement assets

0:52:15

you know and so you know that you know

0:52:15

there's a perceived value in that so

0:52:17

it's kind of crowded within certain

0:52:21

things

0:52:23

and it's created this enormous bubble in

0:52:24

it and that's that's where my dispute

0:52:27

is with with all the entire

0:52:30

media fixation on inflation as cpi

0:52:34

it's like do i want to buy a million

0:52:37

dollars worth of domino pizzas

0:52:39

and do i want to buy a million dollars

0:52:40

worth of netflix or a million dollars

0:52:42

worth of consumable products

0:52:44

or do i want to buy a million dollars

0:52:45

worth of assets that let me not work for

0:52:48

the rest of my life

0:52:50

well that they're measuring the things

0:52:53

that are easy to manufacture with a

0:52:55

robot

0:52:56

or a factory they're not measuring the

0:52:59

things that i want

0:53:01

that because the things that i want are

0:53:03

scarce assets that have a yield and

0:53:05

you know let's take a share of apple

0:53:07

stock well you wanted a share of apple

0:53:10

stock

0:53:11

when it was a quarter of what it costs

0:53:14

today

0:53:15

yeah okay it now costs four times as

0:53:18

how can you say inflation is two percent

0:53:20

if the

0:53:21

uh if the thing i wanted to buy went up

0:53:24

by 400

0:53:25

and without the underlying business

0:53:27

changing without the underlying business

0:53:29

changing

0:53:30

so now we come back to a currency one

0:53:32

the wars on the currency

0:53:34

and and the result is

0:53:37

25 inflation on cur if you're holding

0:53:40

currency and you want

0:53:41

and what do you what can you convert

0:53:43

treasury assets to

0:53:44

you can convert them into other assets

0:53:47

okay i'm not going to buy domino's

0:53:49

pizzas

0:53:51

with treasury assets i'm going to i'm

0:53:53

going to eventually buy

0:53:54

a stock that has a dividend

0:53:58

or i'm a stream of cash flows or i'm

0:54:01

going to buy a bond

0:54:02

that is a stream of cash flows and right

0:54:06

the bond that i can buy is going to

0:54:08

yield 1.3

0:54:10

interest for the rest of my life so

0:54:13

now you start thinking i i didn't have

0:54:16

to really think about it

0:54:17

until i got hit in the head with the 2x4

0:54:20

of this currency war

0:54:22

and and then if i wasn't paying

0:54:24

attention

0:54:26

the internet explodes msnbc explodes

0:54:29

if if you haven't noticed it now right i

0:54:32

mean you must be

0:54:33

living under a rock somewhere right

0:54:36

it it's pretty noticeable so then i

0:54:39

start getting introduced to the concept

0:54:41

i always knew nominal interest rates

0:54:43

were low

0:54:44

yeah that i get but then i started

0:54:46

thinking about real interest rates

0:54:48

but every system oh the real interest

0:54:49

rate on a 10-year bond is like well

0:54:51

minus one percent

0:54:53

well no it's not i mean

0:54:57

it's only minus one percent if you buy

0:54:59

into the notion that cpi

0:55:01

is is inflation but if you actually

0:55:05

start thinking in terms of

0:55:07

of inflation is a vector based upon

0:55:10

what you want to acquire with the cash

0:55:12

then you realize the rate at which

0:55:14

tech equity has been inflating is a lot

0:55:17

faster than

0:55:18

like what's the what's the rate at which

0:55:21

apple stock has been going up

0:55:23

is that it's cpi right is that 10 is

0:55:26

that 50

0:55:27

so now if i look at asset inflation i

0:55:30

start thinking you know

0:55:33

at at that point the real yield

0:55:36

on my cash yeah but there is a cap

0:55:39

but the bonds had a capital gains as you

0:55:41

pointed out before

0:55:43

so the net offset of bonds over the

0:55:46

course of this year bonds versus nasdaq

0:55:48

it's been a pretty close run yeah you're

0:55:50

you're right i think we're doing well

0:55:52

if you were smart enough

0:55:58

it's totally counter to my thinking how

0:55:58

could a

0:55:59

person rationally lock up its com his

0:56:02

company's capital for the next 30 years

0:56:04

for two percent interest

0:56:05

see if if i'm the ceo and you said no

0:56:08

you you'd

0:56:09

invest it back in the business at the

0:56:10

very least if not you're saying your

0:56:11

business cannot generate

0:56:13

a two percent roi okay here's my

0:56:17

my problem is moral hazard if i took

0:56:20

500 million dollars and i put it into

0:56:24

a 30-year bond yielding 2 interest

0:56:28

and if any if if any

0:56:32

rational economist took over the fed

0:56:35

you would think the interest rate's

0:56:37

gonna go to four percent

0:56:38

or five percent the inter everybody

0:56:41

knows

0:56:42

that the economy cannot function with a

0:56:44

zero percent

0:56:45

interest forever right interest rate is

0:56:48

the value of time

0:56:51

we're in a war with time we want to stop

0:56:54

yeah will you give me everything that

0:56:56

you own will you give it to me

0:56:58

for the rest of your life if i return

0:57:00

one third of it to you when you're dead

0:57:03

right that's what one percent interest

0:57:06

is well

0:57:07

right right give me everything you own

0:57:10

i will give you one percent of it back

0:57:13

each year

0:57:13

for the next 30 years and when you're

0:57:17

you will get 30 your heirs will get 30

0:57:20

of what you gave me now

0:57:23

so here's here's the moral hazard

0:57:27

i well that or the dilemma for me as a

0:57:31

if i invest the 500 million in the

0:57:33

30-year t-bills at 2

0:57:36

i'm taking the risk i'm i'm making the

0:57:38

bet that no

0:57:39

rational actor will ever fix the problem

0:57:43

in in in in the fed right i'm

0:57:46

like i have to bet all my company's

0:57:49

treasury

0:57:50

that the world will stay irrationally

0:57:52

priced everything

0:57:53

it kind of it was the right bet for a

0:57:54

japanese ceo to have made

0:57:56

it's like by the way you know if ray

0:57:58

dalio says cash is trash right like um

0:58:01

i don't know if he says it the trolls

0:58:03

say he says it but uh

0:58:05

like i'm gonna wait for 30 years and see

0:58:08

whether

0:58:09

whether the government has inflated the

0:58:11

cash and then you're going to give me

0:58:12

back the 500 million in 30

0:58:15

30 years it's like i that doesn't make

0:58:18

any sense

0:58:19

because i pretty much bet i i can't but

0:58:22

i can't construct a rational argument

0:58:25

whereby 30 years from now

0:58:27

i will have made money on it but here's

0:58:30

here's what i would think any rational

0:58:32

person would think that you lock up 500

0:58:34

million dollars for 30 years at 2

0:58:36

interest when the interest rate goes to

0:58:38

4 percent

0:58:40

your bonds are going to trade down by 30

0:58:42

or 40 and you're going to lose the 200

0:58:44

million dollars right

0:58:45

so what i'm looking at i'm thinking you

0:58:47

know that's the craziest thing ever

0:58:49

right

0:58:50

i can't imagine that so if you're a

0:58:52

shorter term trader

0:58:54

i'm like okay have at it buy the 30-year

0:58:57

long bond index you're gonna but no one

0:58:59

seems to be thinking they're gonna hold

0:59:00

it for 30 years

0:59:01

so but i i can't get that so so on one

0:59:04

hand i look at that it's just massive

0:59:06

hazard moral hazard craziness

0:59:09

and on the other hand i look at all

0:59:11

these of the equities i'm like well

0:59:13

i can't just buy individual equities i

0:59:17

there's too much equity risk there and

0:59:20

then meantime

0:59:21

i just watch you know i watch the

0:59:23

talking heads we get beat to death

0:59:25

with this issue of real return

0:59:28

and i start to go to school on that and

0:59:31

i realized that

0:59:32

you can calculate a real yield if if

0:59:35

your real yield is take the asset

0:59:38

inflation rate and subtract that

0:59:41

from the the nominal yield

0:59:44

then the conclusion you come to pretty

0:59:46

quickly

0:59:47

is that the real yield on cash

0:59:52

this year is minus 30

0:59:55

minus 25 right if you were holding the

0:59:59

if you were holding a 30-year bond you

1:00:00

broke even or may you know or maybe

1:00:03

you're okay

1:00:03

but i but i'm not if you're holding a

1:00:05

two-three four-year instrument the real

1:00:07

yield

1:00:08

is obscenely bad it's minus 10 20

1:00:12

15 20 30 depends upon how you see that

1:00:15

the real yield on on

1:00:18

on uh anything i was holding is bad now

1:00:22

the question is

1:00:23

how do i get a positive yield like i

1:00:27

i i use this phrase i said you know

1:00:31

i come to the horrifying conclusion that

1:00:33

i'm sitting on a 500 million dollar ice

1:00:37

that's melting it's it's melting

1:00:40

at six percent in a good year and

1:00:43

for the last decade it's been melting at

1:00:45

six percent

1:00:47

okay i i was there but i could ignore it

1:00:49

in good times you ignore the six percent

1:00:53

but then when you have to actually get

1:00:55

educated on macroeconomics you realize

1:00:57

it's been melting at six percent

1:00:58

and then you realize that this year it's

1:01:01

melting 25 percent

1:01:03

and then you have to look out over the

1:01:05

next three years and ask the question

1:01:07

is it going to continue to melt at 20

1:01:08

percent a year for the next

1:01:10

three years is going to melt at 15 or 10

1:01:13

percent

1:01:15

you know and uh but if you think about

1:01:17

your terms because basically

1:01:19

part of your construct is that

1:01:21

opportunity cost

1:01:22

is is your negative yield essentially

1:01:26

right

1:01:27

now let's say you're a corporate

1:01:28

treasurer and you've got 500

1:01:30

with the ceo you've got 500 million

1:01:32

dollars as you said

1:01:33

you could choose to make an acquisition

1:01:35

well guess what 40

1:01:37

more expensive now in in the sector that

1:01:38

you want to acquire so as you say your

1:01:40

opportunity cost

1:01:42

has been incredibly expensive by setting

1:01:45

in cash

1:01:46

so to offset that which i guess is what

1:01:48

your mentality is you need an asset that

1:01:50

can offset that opportunity cost

1:01:52

without overpaying for the asset you

1:01:55

know raleigh

1:01:55

and you say you say a wise thing that an

1:01:58

investor gets

1:01:59

i was ceo i didn't get it i like i

1:02:02

didn't get some things until

1:02:04

i got it okay until this year i would go

1:02:07

to my investors and i said well we got a

1:02:08

great company we got 500 million 600

1:02:10

million in cash a great bulletproof

1:02:11

balance sheet

1:02:12

and they looked at me like like we're

1:02:15

not going to value the cash

1:02:17

like they didn't value my cash they

1:02:18

thought you know they thought it was

1:02:19

like worth nothing

1:02:21

and you know i kind of took offense to

1:02:23

that like they don't get it like

1:02:25

the cash means that we're indestructible

1:02:27

we're going to live forever and we can

1:02:28

do the right thing by our employees our

1:02:30

shareholders

1:02:31

and by our customers right and why why

1:02:34

is it i'm being punished for being

1:02:35

virtuous

1:02:36

for saving my money and for being

1:02:38

responsible and conservative

1:02:40

and i was kind of you know angry you

1:02:42

know not angry irritated a little bit

1:02:44

like they don't get it

1:02:45

and then i realized they kind of do get

1:02:48

it they had a different perspective i

1:02:49

just didn't understand what they were

1:02:51

trying to tell me

1:02:52

and their perspective is i mean there's

1:02:55

no rational investor that would raise a

1:02:57

billion dollars and say

1:02:58

my plan is to put it in cash and wait

1:03:01

right you can't go raise

1:03:02

that money so their perspective was

1:03:06

assets are inflating at six percent or

1:03:08

seven percent a year in a good year

1:03:10

if i'm not beating seven percent i can't

1:03:12

stay in this business

1:03:14

so that takes you to this this notion

1:03:16

that the asset inflation rate

1:03:18

is actually just the cost of capital

1:03:21

okay and okay bingo

1:03:25

your cost to capital if you're the ceo

1:03:27

of a publicly traded company in a good

1:03:28

year in a normal year is six percent or

1:03:30

seven percent

1:03:32

you better actually generate more than

1:03:34

seven percent with it or

1:03:35

you got to give it back to the

1:03:37

shareholders i mean down to

1:03:40

the razor thin margin now now

1:03:43

there's a certain elegance to that um

1:03:46

why didn't we actually

1:03:47

do that well it used to be we're

1:03:50

thinking

1:03:51

i i've got a bunch of capital we're

1:03:53

buying our stock back

1:03:54

at a at a measured rate you know and uh

1:03:58

we were very friendly traded so if i

1:04:00

bought 20 of the stock back in the

1:04:02

windows

1:04:03

without moving the market it takes me

1:04:04

like seven years

1:04:06

you know it takes me some number of

1:04:07

years to buy it all back you know it's

1:04:09

very frustrating and if i like

1:04:11

if i and i can't go any faster than that

1:04:14

you know without doing a tender offer of

1:04:16

the light

1:04:16

so we're we're doing a bit of that and

1:04:18

then along comes

1:04:20

the pandemic and everybody gets kicked

1:04:22

into high gear and

1:04:24

the opera the p l gets kicked into high

1:04:26

gear and we're transforming

1:04:28

and then this macroeconomic change takes

1:04:31

place and the cost capital now row

1:04:34

it's not six percent anymore the cost of

1:04:36

capital just spiked

1:04:38

and so the fascinating thing here is if

1:04:40

you're a corporate treasurer

1:04:41

your cost of capital was six percent

1:04:44

this year your cost capital is 25

1:04:47

and then all the assets that you could

1:04:49

buy go through the roof and now that

1:04:51

this is a problem like do i go buy a

1:04:53

company

1:04:54

90 likely i burn the business

1:04:57

i destroy the if i buy a bad acquisition

1:05:00

then i probably make a mistake that's a

1:05:02

that's a peril

1:05:04

do i go by um the s p 500

1:05:08

after it spiked up today the most

1:05:11

crowded trade right they're saying the

1:05:12

most crowded trade is

1:05:14

also the future expected returns are

1:05:16

basically negative by

1:05:17

most people's assessment for the next 10

1:05:19

years so you're basically locking into a

1:05:21

it feel it could very well be a lost

1:05:23

decade

1:05:24

uh for for equities so but

1:05:32

i watched television for the past like

1:05:32

four months

1:05:33

and it's just it's amazing to me that

1:05:36

that um

1:05:37

the equity commentators managed to find

1:05:40

something positive to say

1:05:41

every single day you know

1:05:44

every single day it's amazing so yeah

1:05:48

that doesn't it doesn't really work for

1:05:50

me so

1:05:52

my cost capital spikes i get i get

1:05:55

sensitized to the issue

1:05:56

we start thinking we got to do something

1:05:59

okay so now you put yourself in my

1:06:01

situation

1:06:02

you have 500 million in cash

1:06:09

cost capital went through the roof and

1:06:09

and every central banker wants to print

1:06:11

more money

1:06:13

and every intelligent investor is

1:06:15

telling you that cash is trash

1:06:18

what would you do if you're me i i came

1:06:21

to the same conclusion you did

1:06:22

i mean it's basically is you need to

1:06:25

look for an asset

1:06:26

that's going to protect you in a number

1:06:28

of scenarios that has a high expected

1:06:31

upside

1:06:32

that beats the cost of capital and so

1:06:35

that's the only thing i can think of and

1:06:36

so it to me it came down to

1:06:39

golden golden bitcoin so so we tick

1:06:41

through these

1:06:42

so what what can i buy i'm not going to

1:06:45

buy an individual equity i'm not going

1:06:46

to buy another company

1:06:47

can i buy a portfolio of commercial real

1:06:50

estate oops

1:06:51

half commercial real estate's impaired

1:06:53

the other you know

1:06:55

the other half is overinflated and

1:06:58

who's going to sell me 500 million

1:06:59

dollars worth of commercial real estate

1:07:01

at a fair price that's not impaired

1:07:03

this year right that's not going to work

1:07:06

so now i'm down to uh can i buy an index

1:07:09

of stock

1:07:10

well anything you want to buy company

1:07:11

wise that's cheap

1:07:13

is basically insolvent and comes with a

1:07:15

bunch of debts

1:07:16

anything that doesn't cover the bunch of

1:07:17

debts is crazy ludicrously expensive

1:07:20

okay you're right i get it and and so

1:07:24

mark that off the list so so now i i

1:07:27

what have i got precious metals and

1:07:28

bitcoin

1:07:29

so i look at two things that i

1:07:31

completely dismissed was oblivious to

1:07:33

my entire life rel right like

1:07:37

and so all of a sudden you get hit in

1:07:39

the head with a two by four

1:07:41

and you cross off your list and every

1:07:44

door is shut to you

1:07:46

but these two other random doors and so

1:07:48

you got to open up the doors and start

1:07:49

to look

1:07:50

and so now i go down the rabbit hole and

1:07:52

i start studying

1:07:54

and you know you can learn anything on

1:07:56

the internet

1:07:57

so all of a sudden you get discovered by

1:08:01

pomp gets discovered by me i ha i have

1:08:05

this friend

1:08:05

eric weiss who's who's uh

1:08:09

runs a crypto hedge fund and a couple

1:08:12

years ago he told me about bitcoin i

1:08:14

thought well that's crazy

1:08:16

i i kind of dismissed it out of him like

1:08:18

like well i mean couldn't someone else

1:08:20

create a bitcoin

1:08:21

cryptocurrency and then all the money

1:08:23

will drain away and

1:08:25

maybe you know how how do you know it's

1:08:27

going to work and so i just don't even

1:08:28

look at it don't even think about it

1:08:30

you know and um when all the other doors

1:08:34

shut this one opens and now i

1:08:35

now i have a problem right if someone

1:08:39

500 million dollars out of your bank put

1:08:41

it in your backyard

1:08:42

open the back gate and then every month

1:08:45

someone came in and they burned two

1:08:47

percent of your money

1:08:50

you know it's like you go from thinking

1:08:52

your money is safe to having

1:08:54

extreme anxiety extreme

1:08:58

so now i got a problem assault i i first

1:09:00

had to solve the p

1:09:01

l problem now we switch to the balance

1:09:03

sheet

1:09:04

and uh so what do we do well take this

1:09:08

first i go and i start you know i study

1:09:10

the stuff and i get to introduce the

1:09:11

stock to flow right now

1:09:13

all of a sudden i'm looking at plan b

1:09:14

and what is stock to flow

1:09:16

okay two percent you know two percent of

1:09:19

the gold supply gets inflated every year

1:09:22

and then i start doing the math and i

1:09:24

start thinking about it i'm thinking

1:09:25

well two percent minus you know whatever

1:09:30

it's better and then i start looking at

1:09:32

crypto and i look at bitcoin

1:09:34

and then i realized this is what i and

1:09:36

then i start

1:09:37

with all the concerns about bitcoin

1:09:39

right what if it gets

1:09:40

forked right i mean you know there's

1:09:42

nothing more anxiety inducing than when

1:09:44

someone puts eight pages

1:09:46

in front of you of what happens to your

1:09:48

crypto if it gets a hard fork or a soft

1:09:50

fork and you're studying it

1:09:52

so i started studying it but but then i

1:09:55

realized

1:09:57

here's what i realized in short order

1:09:59

bitcoin's the 200 billion dollar asset

1:10:02

bitcoin is a hive of cybernetic

1:10:05

hornets doing the bidding of mother

1:10:08

nature

1:10:09

protected by by a

1:10:12

a wall of encrypted energy

1:10:16

right that's what i saw once i started

1:10:19

to dig it it's

1:10:19

it's a it's a living cybernetic harm

1:10:23

hive creature with a wall of encrypted

1:10:26

energy

1:10:27

and and lord help the guy that tries to

1:10:31

shove his hand into that hornet's nest

1:10:34

and steal

1:10:34

from it right it's and i thought that's

1:10:37

interesting

1:10:38

and then i studied aetherium that's the

1:10:41

number two and then i realized

1:10:44

ethereum is is something totally

1:10:46

different a world computer and they're

1:10:47

still chasing after functionality

1:10:50

uh you know all sorts of functionality

1:10:51

and like more power to them

1:10:53

decentralized finance it's interesting

1:10:56

it's experimental there

1:10:58

it might be something that micro

1:10:59

strategies build something on in the

1:11:01

future

1:11:02

for ethereum yeah i mean i guess i guess

1:11:04

what i'd say is

1:11:05

is um i saw all that stuff

1:11:09

but it's there's still a question of of

1:11:12

will it work it has to be proven and

1:11:13

there are centralized competitors to it

1:11:16

and they're not done with the functional

1:11:18

architecture i mean

1:11:20

if you understand proof of work then

1:11:22

when the founder

1:11:24

says well we think we're going to switch

1:11:25

it to proof of stake because we don't

1:11:26

think proof of work will work for us

1:11:28

then you know you realize there's

1:11:30

there's a fundamental dogmatic

1:11:32

set of assumptions and there's an

1:11:34

existential debate going on there

1:11:37

sure you know fast forward to the

1:11:38

conclusion which is

1:11:40

if you look at all the proof-of-work

1:11:42

crypto networks bitcoin is 92 percent of

1:11:45

them all

1:11:45

the next competitor is two percent the

1:11:48

next competitor is one and a half

1:11:50

percent

1:11:50

the next competitor is less than one

1:11:52

percent it's the market screaming to you

1:11:55

that there's a winner

1:11:57

right so when everybody says well you

1:11:58

know there might be another one

1:12:00

no they wouldn't be well this might be

1:12:03

myspace well no if you knew anything

1:12:07

about the history

1:12:08

of myspace you would know that myspace

1:12:10

flamed out at a billion dollars

1:12:13

you know it flamed out when it was

1:12:17

less than one percent of what bitcoin

1:12:20

you know bitcoin was never myspace

1:12:24

you know bitcoin is the facebook of of

1:12:28

closed digital monetary networks

1:12:31

and it's already crushed everything and

1:12:33

it's eating it's software

1:12:35

eating the world right software eating

1:12:37

money

1:12:38

and it's only going to get more powerful

1:12:42

now we're back to my issue i know i got

1:12:44

to buy hard assets

1:12:47

it's a question of silver gold bitcoin

1:12:50

and now i start thinking about it you

1:12:53

know and

1:12:53

here's what i'm thinking row it's like i

1:12:55

think everybody's too short-term on this

1:12:57

stuff

1:12:58

you want to really understand it step

1:13:00

back from the noise look at the big

1:13:01

picture

1:13:03

how does this feel across time and space

1:13:08

i'm gonna take a hundred million dollars

1:13:11

and i'm going to give it

1:13:12

to my successor in a hundred years

1:13:16

okay you want to send something to your

1:13:18

grandchildren or your

1:13:19

great-grandchildren if you want to endow

1:13:21

anything of value

1:13:22

a park a company an institution

1:13:26

a foundation a family or whatever

1:13:29

whatever you're a religion you a

1:13:31

political system i don't care what it is

1:13:33

if you believe in it and you want it to

1:13:35

be here a hundred years from now

1:13:37

you got some money how are you going to

1:13:40

convey

1:13:41

the hundred million dollars across a

1:13:43

hundred years

1:13:44

without losing it would you invest in

1:13:47

apple stock

1:13:48

apple might not be around would you

1:13:50

invest it in dollars traditionally

1:13:52

traditionally real estate's been that

1:13:53

answer but even that's risky

1:13:55

okay so you want to buy a hundred

1:13:57

million dollars of real estate in

1:13:59

california

1:14:01

yeah no okay do you know what the

1:14:03

property tax rate is in florida

1:14:06

that's true i forget about u.s property

1:14:07

taxes yeah i know it's two percent

1:14:10

if you take a hundred million dollars

1:14:12

and you buy florida real estate it's two

1:14:14

million dollars a year

1:14:15

and by the way it gets appraised up

1:14:17

every year which means that

1:14:19

over 30 years you'll lose it all the

1:14:22

property tax rate on anything

1:14:24

in the real world is going to drain it

1:14:26

from you you can't buy real estate

1:14:28

if you look at all assets you can buy

1:14:30

the clock you buy a stock you buy an

1:14:33

equity

1:14:34

you've got a property tax you've got an

1:14:36

income tax

1:14:37

you've got you've got employee payroll

1:14:40

taxes

1:14:40

you've got regulation you've got customs

1:14:42

you've got trade you've got tariff

1:14:45

now i'm going to come back to you with a

1:14:46

question how are you going to convey

1:14:48

your family's wealth across the

1:14:50

generations for

1:14:51

100 years and if you're not i'll just

1:14:54

stop right there how are you going to do

1:14:56

it you tell me well the only thing

1:14:59

is and gold is not easy because

1:15:02

where do you store it and how do you

1:15:04

pass that along okay so let me stop you

1:15:06

there and tell me what the

1:15:07

i'm going to tell you what the problem

1:15:08

is the goal i thought about

1:15:10

take your 100 million dollars and put it

1:15:13

in gold

1:15:14

in a vault gold miners are going to

1:15:17

print

1:15:17

2 million 2 percent more every year

1:15:21

okay if if gold miners produce if you

1:15:24

own the entire supply of gold in the

1:15:27

world

1:15:27

and if it was pure right for london

1:15:29

delivery gold bars and it isn't right

1:15:31

but if it was and if you were sure you

1:15:33

owned it all

1:15:35

if gold miners create two percent more

1:15:37

every year the rule of 70 says every 35

1:15:40

years the goal supply doubles

1:15:42

which means that you would own half the

1:15:44

gold supply in 35 years a quarter of the

1:15:46

gold supply

1:15:47

in in another 35 years and in a hundred

1:15:51

years

1:15:51

you're going to own about 15 percent

1:15:54

maybe even 12

1:15:56

of the goal supply so here you'll like

1:15:59

so i was thinking through something

1:16:01

similar in a different way

1:16:02

i just wanted to look at the fed balance

1:16:04

sheet growth over the last

1:16:07

whatever period i wanted to choose and i

1:16:09

looked at every asset against it

1:16:11

the fed balance sheet outperformed

1:16:13

everything outbound goal by 50

1:16:16

so gold's done a bloody lousy job it's

1:16:18

better than many things

1:16:20

there's only one asset only one asset

1:16:23

that did it

1:16:24

and it killed it was bitcoin okay and

1:16:27

by the way and i know why now and and

1:16:30

i'll tell you what i think it is in a

1:16:32

second

1:16:33

um i thought i was going to buy gold and

1:16:35

a very smart guy that

1:16:37

that works for me my consolidaire he

1:16:39

said he said mike i remember

1:16:41

you know gold back in the 70s and the

1:16:43

80s was 600

1:16:45

600 and then it traded down and

1:16:48

and it's gone nowhere for a decade and i

1:16:51

can i'm like

1:16:52

everybody says gold's the ultimate hard

1:16:54

money what's the problem what am i

1:16:55

missing in this picture

1:16:57

and then here's what i realized

1:17:00

goals got an inflation rate of two

1:17:02

percent over time that means a hundred

1:17:05

million dollars is going to be worth

1:17:06

twelve and a half million dollars at two

1:17:08

percent

1:17:09

you're going to lose 80 85

1:17:12

or 87 percent of your wealth if it

1:17:14

inflates at two percent but it's worse

1:17:16

than that

1:17:17

because gold's not pure half the goal

1:17:19

supplies floating around

1:17:21

right it's not all stamped good delivery

1:17:24

bars in london

1:17:25

yeah that's the second problem the third

1:17:27

problem is if gold

1:17:28

price goes up every miner is your enemy

1:17:32

they're going to print more

1:17:33

they're going to mine more gold they're

1:17:35

going to ship more gold they're going to

1:17:37

capital invest in more gold

1:17:39

this is the dilemma of every commodity

1:17:41

business and i used to work for

1:17:42

commodities of dupont

1:17:44

the dilemma is if the price of the

1:17:46

commodity or

1:17:48

let's go back to oil fracking

1:17:51

we fought wars over oil rail we went and

1:17:53

fought wars over

1:17:55

oil to protect our oil what happened

1:17:57

when the price of oil went to a hundred

1:17:59

dollars a barrel

1:18:00

fracking we invented a new technology

1:18:04

to and by the way what happened the us

1:18:06

produced so much oil

1:18:08

it became a world crisis we doubled and

1:18:11

we we produced five million barrels of

1:18:12

water a day and now we produce 10

1:18:14

million bills of oil a day and then 11

1:18:16

and 12.

1:18:17

and everybody was like hold it you're

1:18:18

going to produce too much oil

1:18:20

okay and then you realize opec

1:18:24

the secret to making money in oil is a

1:18:26

cartel

1:18:28

john d rockefeller understood it a

1:18:31

anything that humans can produce with

1:18:34

with their brains

1:18:35

and with capital is going to get over

1:18:37

produced

1:18:38

and that's this and that's the problem

1:18:41

uh with using um a commodity

1:18:45

as a money because ultimately if

1:18:49

if gold is successful then intelligent

1:18:52

people are going to produce more

1:18:54

gold and you're going to double triple

1:18:55

quadruple the supply of it

1:18:57

anything with a supernormal return gets

1:18:59

arbitraged away

1:19:00

so those returns are only available for

1:19:02

a period of time everybody gets into the

1:19:04

the margins collapse i mean it's

1:19:05

everywhere i mean that that's capitalism

1:19:07

and and so

1:19:09

people that think they're buying hard

1:19:10

gold the problem by

1:19:12

by the way i we could have another cast

1:19:14

i could talk with you for two

1:19:16

hours about about um the

1:19:19

technical problems with gold you know

1:19:21

and but i don't want to get derailed by

1:19:23

um i want to i want to basically start

1:19:26

with a simple premise

1:19:29

if i look at bitcoin there's a lot of

1:19:32

people at bitcoin community talk about

1:19:34

stock to flow and how it's going down

1:19:36

and and i appreciate it and i and i

1:19:38

think it's a good contribution but i

1:19:40

have a different take on that as a

1:19:41

public company ceo

1:19:43

which is this every time i print my

1:19:45

share count

1:19:46

there's only one number that matters i

1:19:48

print fully deluded share

1:19:50

count no one ever asked me well how many

1:19:53

shares do you have this minute

1:19:54

nobody ever asked me how many shares are

1:19:56

going to vest with employees next month

1:19:58

or next year

1:19:59

they just ask me one question what's

1:20:02

your fully diluted share account

1:20:03

we take your earnings we divide by that

1:20:05

we're done take your revenue divide by

1:20:07

that we're done

1:20:08

the fully deluded bitcoin count is 21

1:20:11

million

1:20:12

done the fact that it's going to trickle

1:20:14

out about it

1:20:15

i don't care fully diluted bitcoin count

1:20:18

21 million

1:20:20

instead of saying it's the heart stock

1:20:22

to flow is higher

1:20:23

now stock to flow is exponentially going

1:20:26

to infinity

1:20:28

stock to flow is infinite which means

1:20:30

it's infinitely hard because a rational

1:20:32

actor

1:20:33

and i consider myself a rational actor i

1:20:36

didn't buy bitcoin expecting i was

1:20:38

buying

1:20:39

you know this much bitcoin divided by 18

1:20:42

million

1:20:42

500 000 i bought the bitcoin thinking i

1:20:45

was buying that share of 21 million

1:20:48

and i knew that and i and so now we're

1:20:50

back this very

1:20:51

simple thing you take your 100 million

1:20:53

dollars and you hold it for a year in

1:20:55

fiat currency you're going to have

1:20:57

one percent or half a percent of it left

1:21:00

you're going to lose 99

1:21:01

of your money in a hundred years by the

1:21:04

way wrong

1:21:05

i know that to be the case i have a

1:21:07

house in florida

1:21:08

a nice house in florida it would cost

1:21:11

you 15 million dollars to buy that house

1:21:14

20 million today i have the sale

1:21:17

deed for that house in 1930 you know

1:21:20

what the number is on it

1:21:22

a hundred thousand a hundred thousand

1:21:25

dollars in nineteen

1:21:26

thirty count the number of years between

1:21:30

and the year 2020 and figure out what

1:21:34

uh depreciation rate was on fiat

1:21:37

currency in the us dollar

1:21:38

i it's it's you're going to lose 99 of

1:21:41

your money if you put it in cash okay so

1:21:43

we all agree on that

1:21:45

okay this is the thing that people don't

1:21:46

say you're gonna lose

1:21:49

for sure 85 of your money if you put it

1:21:52

in gold

1:21:53

you're gonna for sure by the way and

1:21:57

you're you're assuming that nobody

1:21:59

invents a better chemistry for gold

1:22:01

we don't find gold anywhere else nobody

1:22:04

invests any more money in gold mining

1:22:06

nobody gets any smarter and the gold

1:22:08

price doesn't go up too much

1:22:10

and if all those things are true and

1:22:12

people still use gold

1:22:13

you're going to lose 85 of your money

1:22:15

but if human ingenuity kicks in gold's a

1:22:18

commodity you're going to lose

1:22:19

90 of your money in gold now if you put

1:22:22

your money in bitcoin

1:22:24

you're keeping it all you're not losing

1:22:27

anything once

1:22:29

if you don't believe in fully deluded

1:22:30

bitcoin count you have a 15

1:22:33

loss in 100 years but if you do believe

1:22:35

in it there's no loss

1:22:37

now let me give you another analogy

1:22:40

you want to cross the atlantic

1:22:43

if you cross the atlantic in a vessel

1:22:46

made of fiat currency it's like

1:22:48

stitching together a bunch of inflatable

1:22:50

rafts

1:22:51

your crop by the way you're crossing the

1:22:53

atlantic and in an inflatable

1:22:55

boat with a leak in it or

1:22:59

you want to cross the atlantic and in a

1:23:02

gold vessel

1:23:03

you're across the atlantic in a wooden

1:23:04

ship oh it's

1:23:06

sort of good but it's rotting you know

1:23:09

it's a wooden ship

1:23:10

it's better than inflatable it doesn't

1:23:12

have a leak in it

1:23:13

but it's wood and it's going to decay

1:23:15

it's decaying two three percent

1:23:17

a year you're crossing the atlantic in

1:23:20

bitcoin

1:23:21

it's a steelhole freighter the thing

1:23:24

about steel

1:23:25

you know like i say to the guys that say

1:23:27

well why do i want to steal

1:23:28

boat they go well because

1:23:31

steel is indestructible and the welds

1:23:35

are harder than the original steel if

1:23:37

you put a hole in steel

1:23:39

and you weld it the weld is stronger

1:23:42

than the original material

1:23:43

steel will last as long as you maintain

1:23:47

will last forever okay so rubber boat

1:23:50

wooden boat steel vessel and now here's

1:23:53

an epiphany

1:23:54

right i mean if that's not enough right

1:23:56

i mean

1:23:57

like there's no comparison between

1:24:00

losing 80 to 90 percent of your money

1:24:02

versus not losing any of your money

1:24:04

there's no comparison

1:24:05

but here's another epiphany i'm an

1:24:07

aeronautical engineer

1:24:09

from mit i studied i studied spaceship

1:24:12

design

1:24:13

i studied aircraft design i studied

1:24:16

building design

1:24:19

you know the entire science of civil

1:24:21

engineering requires one element you

1:24:23

know what the element is

1:24:25

steel think about it for a second i

1:24:28

build a building with

1:24:30

with wood you can build a two-story

1:24:32

building

1:24:33

you ever see a five-story wooden

1:24:36

i built you know that's that's fiat i

1:24:40

build a building

1:24:41

of stone you know and masonry

1:24:44

look at all of europe all of beautiful

1:24:46

europe every building in europe

1:24:48

five stories six stories that's as far

1:24:51

as you go

1:24:52

you know with brick what happens when i

1:24:56

invent steel

1:24:59

i build a 50-story building you think

1:25:02

steel is twice as good as bricks

1:25:05

yeah you you can build a hundred story

1:25:07

building right

1:25:08

steel steel is is elemental to or

1:25:12

instrumental to new york city there is

1:25:14

no new york city without steel

1:25:15

you know there is no skyscraper there's

1:25:17

no science of civil engineering until

1:25:19

you invent steel

1:25:20

right you could say iron maybe if you

1:25:22

want but into but without the element

1:25:25

without the element of steel there's no

1:25:27

civil engineering

1:25:28

now flip to air space you know aerospace

1:25:32

you ever see a plane made of steel

1:25:35

no they don't fly steel is the perfect

1:25:38

element except for the fact it's too

1:25:40

heavy to fly

1:25:42

that's why we use aluminum no aluminum

1:25:46

no airplanes no industry nothing

1:25:49

take away aluminum the entire aviation

1:25:52

industry goes to zero

1:25:55

right andrew mellon made his money on

1:25:57

aluminum

1:25:59

andrew carnegie made his money on steel

1:26:02

right these are fundamental things these

1:26:04

were technologists

1:26:05

the entire industry is based on it now

1:26:08

the gold standard good idea in the 19th

1:26:12

century

1:26:13

right the best idea you could have in

1:26:15

the 19th century

1:26:17

but i mean just like wooden ships pretty

1:26:20

good idea to have wooden ships if you're

1:26:22

the british empire if that's the best

1:26:24

you can have

1:26:25

you know now along comes bitcoin

1:26:28

cryptocurrency it's

1:26:32

it's when i say it's harder than gold

1:26:36

i mean it's not just 10 times harder

1:26:39

because it goes

1:26:40

it goes 100 years without losing any of

1:26:43

its value

1:26:44

i say it's harder because it's an

1:26:46

organic

1:26:47

nest of cybernetic hornets

1:26:50

feeding off of encrypted energy

1:26:54

it's a living thing which means that the

1:26:56

miners are going to keep upgrading their

1:26:58

equipment the developer's going to keep

1:26:59

upgrading their development the nodes

1:27:01

are going to change

1:27:02

everybody the ecosystem is going to

1:27:03

change and they're changing

1:27:05

in this terrifying darwinian

1:27:09

capitalistic libertarian aggressive

1:27:13

winner take all hold no bars

1:27:17

you know no you know no one company

1:27:21

country companies holding like that like

1:27:24

i've been

1:27:25

ceo i thought i was right

1:27:28

i was wrong you could be the most

1:27:31

brilliant ceo

1:27:32

at all you know anything that's

1:27:34

controlled by a ceo is crippled

1:27:36

controlled by a state is crippled

1:27:38

controlled by a country it's crippled

1:27:40

this entire thing is its own ecosystem

1:27:44

you know gold is not going to get a

1:27:46

million times smarter in the next 10

1:27:48

years

1:27:49

it's not thinking at all it's a lump of

1:27:51

metal lying there

1:27:53

right what's you know nicholas taleb

1:27:57

wrote anti-fragile

1:27:58

i think taleb is brilliant you know i

1:28:00

love all of his books read every one of

1:28:02

them twice

1:28:03

right uh bitcoin is an anti-fragile

1:28:07

evolving

1:28:09

evolving thing

1:28:12

it's the heart it's hardest currency

1:28:14

because it's getting continually

1:28:16

exponentially harder

1:28:18

it's getting harder but it's also

1:28:21

smarter stronger and faster

1:28:24

than gold right it's smarter because

1:28:27

these com

1:28:28

i i can create a computer program i can

1:28:30

put on a machine behind that

1:28:32

bar and i can have it make a million

1:28:34

trades with your crypto every night

1:28:36

while you're sleeping and move it around

1:28:39

right

1:28:40

but i can't do it with gold if i want to

1:28:42

move a hundred million dollars of gold i

1:28:44

got to put it on a jet fly it around the

1:28:46

world it's 250 000 dollars to

1:28:48

physically deliver 100 million dollars

1:28:50

worth of gold i can physically deliver

1:28:52

100 million

1:28:53

worth of bitcoin in five bucks right

1:28:55

five dollars and

1:28:57

and 30 minutes you know depending upon

1:28:59

how risk-averse you are

1:29:01

but if i if i want to move it i can put

1:29:03

a piece of software on it

1:29:05

by the way ralph you know when i move a

1:29:08

hundred million dollars into a crypto

1:29:10

exchange to buy crypto

1:29:11

i got to talk to like three bankers on

1:29:13

the phone and they're asking me

1:29:16

they're asking me for my birthday ralph

1:29:19

you can go on google

1:29:20

and you can google michael saylor and do

1:29:23

you know what the

1:29:24

i you don't have to click do you know

1:29:26

what google puts

1:29:27

underneath the google for my birthday my

1:29:30

birthday

1:29:31

you know so the banking system is

1:29:33

running about a million times

1:29:35

slower and less secure to move this

1:29:37

stuff around

1:29:39

um when i put it in when i put this this

1:29:41

elemental energy into bitcoin

1:29:44

it's smart because it's getting smart as

1:29:46

fast as the smartest crypto bank can

1:29:49

program something intelligent

1:29:50

and i am in awe of how of how many of

1:29:53

these uh these things are going on so

1:29:56

d5 and c5 right it's not clear to me

1:29:59

whether you're going to use d5

1:30:00

or c5 doesn't matter whatever is going

1:30:02

to work is going to work

1:30:04

it's all happening yeah it's faster

1:30:06

because it's dematerialized gold

1:30:09

i look at all my employees and i say

1:30:10

we're in the virtual wave guys

1:30:12

you can now move at the speed of light

1:30:14

and bend time and space

1:30:16

what are you going to do with it right

1:30:19

if i can actually take your 100 million

1:30:21

dollars worth of gold dematerialize it

1:30:24

chop it into 10 million pieces and move

1:30:26

it around the world 100 times a second

1:30:29

something new is going to happen and

1:30:31

then it's

1:30:32

and it's stronger it's stronger because

1:30:36

you can liquidate a hundred million

1:30:38

dollars with the bitcoin on a saturday

1:30:40

afternoon

1:30:41

in a foreign country in a foreign

1:30:44

currency

1:30:46

and you know you can do this and maybe

1:30:48

you might take a three percent haircut

1:30:50

you know you might like oh holy crap

1:30:52

it's volatile it moved down

1:30:54

300 bucks well three percent haircut to

1:30:58

liquidate 100 million dollars of gold on

1:31:00

a saturday afternoon try

1:31:02

doing that in in istanbul

1:31:05

try liquidating 100 million dollars

1:31:07

sitting in a vault in new york city

1:31:09

in tokyo on an afternoon on a weekend

1:31:13

right so the issue is

1:31:16

gold's going to be audited once every by

1:31:19

the way

1:31:20

i apologize for digressing but you can't

1:31:22

make this stuff up it's really hilarious

1:31:24

when i borrow 100 million dollars from a

1:31:26

conventional bank

1:31:29

you know how they verify my collateral

1:31:33

they ask me to have my accountant

1:31:35

prepare a financial statement

1:31:37

as of the end of last fiscal year and so

1:31:41

i actually deliver a statement that has

1:31:44

all of my assets on it

1:31:45

and if i'm borrowing money on

1:31:48

june 30th i'm giving you a january first

1:31:51

financial statement

1:31:53

and and by and i'm asserting that i have

1:31:57

not double pledged the collateral or

1:31:59

committed bank fraud

1:32:01

and my accountant is asserting it and

1:32:02

that's a pretty serious thing

1:32:04

but you know i'm saying it

1:32:05

tongue-in-cheek right yeah that's

1:32:07

ridiculous

1:32:08

why why do people care about publicly

1:32:10

traded companies well

1:32:11

you know public you know a public

1:32:14

company has more credibility than a

1:32:16

private company and

1:32:17

has a lot more pred credibility than a

1:32:20

private individual and here's one reason

1:32:23

i and my cfo sign

1:32:27

uh sarbanes-oxley statements financial

1:32:30

reports and every quarter i signed my

1:32:32

financial report

1:32:33

if i lie to you ralph it's a crime

1:32:37

right i go to jail right if a public

1:32:40

company officer

1:32:41

mis uh misrepresents the state of the

1:32:44

balance sheet the state of the business

1:32:46

uh you asked me like how's the future of

1:32:48

the business i'm going to equivocate

1:32:51

i think we're you know the future of the

1:32:53

business will be the future of the

1:32:54

business and we're just really excited

1:32:56

about

1:32:56

working on the future of the business

1:32:58

it's because it's a crime for me to

1:33:00

mislead

1:33:01

okay so so the way that we actually

1:33:04

certify collateral is is via

1:33:08

regulations and criminal statutes and

1:33:11

that's why

1:33:12

the most credible entities in the world

1:33:14

are american

1:33:15

publicly traded companies right because

1:33:18

everybody knows

1:33:19

that if you trade on the nasdaq or the

1:33:21

new york stock exchange

1:33:23

and you're a ceo or a cfo of an america

1:33:27

it if i heard a guy that worked for a

1:33:29

guy that worked for a guy that worked

1:33:30

for a guy that worked for me in a

1:33:31

foreign country

1:33:33

was actually doing something sloppy i'm

1:33:36

thinking well foreign corrupt practices

1:33:38

act makes me criminally liable

1:33:39

for that and that person gets chopped

1:33:41

off okay

1:33:43

so so that's the way that you actually

1:33:46

pledge collateral

1:33:47

normally with bitcoin we've totally

1:33:50

turned his head

1:33:51

anybody can inspect the fact that i own

1:33:53

the bitcoin in one second

1:33:55

yeah and and uh every 10 minutes you

1:33:58

could take a complete audit of

1:33:59

everything i mean i wrote that article

1:34:01

about it being the world's most pristine

1:34:02

collateral i mean

1:34:03

it's perfect for the struck the

1:34:05

foundation stone of everything

1:34:07

as you were talking about you know it's

1:34:09

the steel

1:34:10

of an entire new financial system is

1:34:12

this i i think what you've said is

1:34:14

brilliant

1:34:14

but i don't think it's understood when

1:34:16

you say it's the world's best

1:34:18

collateral the world is operating on

1:34:21

like gold is collateral it gets audited

1:34:23

every seven years

1:34:24

or every three years it might be there

1:34:26

it's impossible to move

1:34:28

and it's impossible because of

1:34:30

rehypothecation

1:34:32

and the reuse of assets right it's not

1:34:34

clear bitcoin

1:34:35

ownership is guaranteed so it's so

1:34:39

pristine the only thing we haven't got

1:34:41

is a yield curve so your third

1:34:42

yes you've got it implicitly in the fact

1:34:45

that it's got a limited supply

1:34:47

but eventually there will be a market

1:34:49

for you to lend out your

1:34:51

your bitcoin and it's going to trade at

1:34:53

a premium

1:34:54

to bonds us bonds because it's like you

1:34:57

lending out a piece of art

1:34:59

well [ __ ] it if somebody's going to

1:35:00

borrow your piece of art they're going

1:35:01

to pay you for it

1:35:02

i totally agree and i i think the yield

1:35:05

curve is coming and when i look at the

1:35:07

forward contracts it's very fascinating

1:35:09

to me

1:35:10

but yeah summary of my entire meandering

1:35:13

analysis is

1:35:16

bitcoin if it's not a hundred times

1:35:20

better than gold

1:35:21

it's a million times better than gold

1:35:23

and there's nothing close

1:35:24

to it and and most people they're

1:35:27

focused upon

1:35:28

stock to flow is better and what they

1:35:30

haven't they haven't factored in

1:35:32

is it the smarter faster stronger makes

1:35:36

million times better and it's steel to

1:35:39

masonry

1:35:40

for the firmament of the 21st century

1:35:42

financial ecosystems

1:35:44

love that analogy so here's another

1:35:46

question for you so you make

1:35:47

the brave decision to do this

1:35:50

it doesn't seem brave to you because it

1:35:52

sounds it feels like the most

1:35:53

intelligent rational decision you can

1:35:54

make right

1:35:55

but yeah everybody else oh my god what's

1:35:58

he doing

1:35:59

so you go to your cfo and go okay

1:36:02

i've got bitcoin currently it's marked

1:36:04

as an intangible we can't we don't get

1:36:05

any appreciation of the value of it

1:36:08

and gap accounting doesn't work how the

1:36:10

hell did you get through that

1:36:12

all that [ __ ] to put it on the balance

1:36:14

sheet and

1:36:15

yeah so not to be marked where you

1:36:17

bought it all

1:36:18

the time so now we shift to the subject

1:36:20

of how do you build consensus

1:36:22

in a in an institution or a publicly

1:36:25

traded company

1:36:26

yeah because yeah it's one thing uh for

1:36:29

me to believe it but

1:36:30

there's a lot of other fiduciaries and

1:36:32

they have to understand it and they have

1:36:34

to assess all the risks

1:36:35

so what happened next is um

1:36:38

i started cheerfully assigning homework

1:36:42

to all the officers and all the

1:36:44

directors of the company right

1:36:45

you know and you can imagine some of

1:36:49

your podcasts got linked to them

1:36:51

a lot of uh pomp's podcast got sent to

1:36:56

um eric voorhees debate

1:36:59

famous epic debate with peter schiff

1:37:01

over the future of

1:37:02

of fiat versus bitcoin as the world's

1:37:05

best currency got sent to them

1:37:07

the bitcoin standard uh the bitcoin

1:37:10

center lynn

1:37:11

alden's paper on three reasons i'm now

1:37:14

bullish on bitcoin got sent to them

1:37:17

right um uh andreas antonopoulos is

1:37:21

you know what is bitcoin got sent to

1:37:25

you know lots of so lots of compulsory

1:37:28

youtube watching

1:37:30

guys i'm gonna need you to watch these

1:37:32

things on youtube

1:37:34

then i'm going to need you to read this

1:37:36

then lots of individual meetings

1:37:38

meet everybody i'm going to meet you

1:37:41

i'm lucky i've got a very intelligent

1:37:45

board i've got a very engaged board i've

1:37:48

got a very

1:37:49

a very entire you know i'm out with i

1:37:51

met with my general counsel

1:37:53

and uh and i said i was worried you know

1:37:55

like general counsel is going to tell

1:37:56

you a million reasons you can't do

1:37:58

something i said

1:37:58

well you know i think we should be

1:38:00

thinking about bitcoin and i you know

1:38:01

and this and this and this and this and

1:38:03

this and this

1:38:03

uh you know and i waited for him to tell

1:38:05

me no way in heck can we ever do this

1:38:09

and he goes yeah that's a very

1:38:11

interesting thesis um

1:38:13

you know i i bought bitcoin two years

1:38:16

[Laughter]

1:38:17

i love it you know like i was like oh i

1:38:20

get my but you know so

1:38:22

it turns out that uh you know i talked

1:38:24

with my with my

1:38:26

board and it turns out that half of them

1:38:28

had already invested in bitcoin

1:38:30

personally so that we went through this

1:38:33

round of

1:38:34

study it think about it evaluate all the

1:38:36

options

1:38:37

meet as a group break after that

1:38:41

you know the cfo went off and he like he

1:38:44

met with our auditors and our

1:38:46

our outside authors and and more

1:38:48

auditors and the nrgc

1:38:50

met with attorneys and more attorneys

1:38:52

and more attorneys than our outside

1:38:53

attorney

1:38:54

and then we started sifting through all

1:38:56

the you know all of the regulatory

1:38:59

filings of everybody

1:39:00

with that you know i went down the

1:39:01

rabbit hole they went down the rabbit

1:39:04

and you know and the board went down a

1:39:06

rabbit hole we all came together and

1:39:09

and i'm just i'm really proud of the

1:39:12

team but uh

1:39:13

but at the same time i'm i i think uh

1:39:17

i think it's it's important to say that

1:39:20

rational people

1:39:21

if they're put if this is put on the

1:39:23

table and if they're given enough time

1:39:25

and the right resources

1:39:27

they all unanimously unanimously come to

1:39:30

the same conclusion

1:39:32

that i come to right no dispute

1:39:35

no dissent everybody's gotta gotta be

1:39:38

part of the process and the

1:39:40

and you got to give everybody time to

1:39:43

absorb it and you got to do your due job

1:39:45

how do you get the order how do you get

1:39:46

the auditors across the line so you read

1:39:48

internal consensus fine okay now you've

1:39:51

got to have the bloody auditors agree

1:39:53

you can do this okay well

1:39:56

the auditors uh give you the feedback on

1:40:00

how you're going to account for it

1:40:02

yeah and that's their position and

1:40:05

they're good at telling you how to do

1:40:07

right and so we take their advice and at

1:40:09

some point we talk to lots of different

1:40:11

auditors

1:40:12

and i i do think that um that we're

1:40:15

um we're leading the way here

1:40:19

like uh clearly in fact it's news that

1:40:22

we did this

1:40:23

it'll be news when we uh when we put out

1:40:26

our 10

1:40:27

qs and if you want to see exactly how it

1:40:29

gets accounted for people be

1:40:31

looking at the 10 cues to figure out

1:40:33

what does that do the balance sheet and

1:40:34

the p

1:40:35

l and that's right but let me but let me

1:40:37

make one point ral which is

1:40:39

you can run your business in order to

1:40:43

in order to make your gap accounting

1:40:45

beautiful

1:40:47

if you did that you would never issue a

1:40:49

stock option and if you look at every

1:40:51

successful tech company

1:40:53

they they have uh stock option expenses

1:40:56

and every screaming success you know

1:40:59

facebook comes public and there's

1:41:01

huge amounts of stock options that

1:41:03

they've issued and they take non-cash

1:41:05

charges for them

1:41:06

so the result is most public companies

1:41:09

have pro

1:41:09

forma results and they have after

1:41:12

adjustments

1:41:13

there are mega adjustments based on

1:41:15

currency fluctuations and all sorts of

1:41:17

non-cash and tangible

1:41:19

things and uh the investment community

1:41:22

looks at those and generally they focus

1:41:24

more on the

1:41:25

as adjusted at you know pro formas you

1:41:28

know as long as you explain what it is

1:41:29

then people don't care

1:41:31

because because gap doesn't necessarily

1:41:33

keep up with the reality of the business

1:41:35

right and like for example if i told you

1:41:38

you know would you buy a company that's

1:41:40

going to go up in value by a factor of

1:41:42

if it had a if it printed a gap loss or

1:41:44

would you not

1:41:45

and also the other thing is as you told

1:41:47

me before that the investors valued your

1:41:49

cash at zero

1:41:51

so what the hell you got to lose if you

1:41:53

say well it's a non-zero asset now

1:41:56

and whether it's whether or whether it's

1:41:58

not including your gap accounting

1:42:00

it's like well he wrote it off to zero

1:42:02

anyway so now you can either value it as

1:42:04

an option or not

1:42:05

yeah let's say if we buy bitcoin and it

1:42:08

gets valued as an intangible

1:42:10

and then we're forced to write it down

1:42:12

to down based upon the volatility you

1:42:15

know it could happen we could buy

1:42:17

uh we could buy a bunch of bitcoin it

1:42:19

could be written down by 50 percent

1:42:21

then you have you have a a gap right

1:42:25

and intangibly as carries an intangible

1:42:27

on your balance sheet

1:42:28

on the other hand if the value of

1:42:30

bitcoin doubles

1:42:31

if you have a billion dollars of bitcoin

1:42:34

right and

1:42:35

the gap the gap accounting says you're

1:42:38

only showing 200 million the investors

1:42:40

are going to look at that they're

1:42:41

rational

1:42:42

yeah i mean they're right by the way

1:42:43

they're the investors are rational

1:42:46

and they normally will they will

1:42:48

understand that you have a billion

1:42:49

dollars worth of something

1:42:50

even though gap accounting doesn't what

1:42:53

let you mark it as a billion dollars but

1:42:56

if the market is

1:42:57

irrational over the long term you sell

1:43:00

some of the bitcoin buy all your stock

1:43:03

right in fact in the extreme if you

1:43:07

if you have ten if your net asset value

1:43:09

is worth more than the value of the

1:43:10

company outstanding you buy your shares

1:43:12

you buy the company at the end of the

1:43:14

day if the bitcoins worth 10 billion

1:43:16

and then and then the accounting says

1:43:18

it's worth zero and if the investors

1:43:20

insist upon looking at the

1:43:22

zero accounting and they value you at

1:43:23

nothing you buy

1:43:25

you buy every single share of the stock

1:43:27

back and you got a private company with

1:43:28

nine billion dollars worth of bitcoin in

1:43:31

right but there's a point to what i'm

1:43:33

saying which is

1:43:34

you can't run a business in order to

1:43:37

to make the gap accounting optically

1:43:39

look perfect

1:43:41

if you did that you wouldn't be in any

1:43:42

business that outstrips the rate of

1:43:45

of accountants that have a 30-year lag

1:43:48

yeah and also just the point being is

1:43:52

is you have a reputation the firm's

1:43:54

resistance for a long time

1:43:55

as long as you can explain to people

1:43:57

what you're doing nobody cares either

1:43:59

like it or they don't that's what

1:44:01

shareholding is

1:44:02

and that's okay i think i think we have

1:44:05

an obligation

1:44:06

to be as clear and articulate

1:44:09

and respectful to our shareholders as we

1:44:12

possibly can be

1:44:13

and if you look at what we've done over

1:44:15

the past three months

1:44:17

we have tried to be extraordinarily

1:44:20

transparent and methodic

1:44:22

you know first we say we think we've got

1:44:24

a you know

1:44:25

a treasury issue and we we need to

1:44:28

either buy our shares back or invest our

1:44:30

shares

1:44:31

or sorry we need to buy our shares back

1:44:32

or invest investor treasury

1:44:34

then we said we've done the analysis and

1:44:37

and we're going to do a 250 million

1:44:39

dollar tender

1:44:40

and we're going to do 250 million dollar

1:44:42

investment or done in bitcoin

1:44:44

then we let the investors decide what

1:44:46

they want to do

1:44:47

that's their choice right and then the

1:44:50

investors decide to tender some of their

1:44:52

shares

1:44:53

and we buy some of those shares and we

1:44:55

have some extra cash

1:44:57

then we take the extra cash well and

1:44:59

then we ta

1:45:00

you know we tell the market it looks

1:45:02

like we have some extra cash

1:45:04

by the way our treasury policy is to

1:45:06

invest in bitcoin

1:45:09

then we invest in bitcoin right and uh

1:45:13

and if anybody if anybody's holding the

1:45:15

stock right this

1:45:16

is very important for them that they

1:45:18

understand what's going on and

1:45:20

i i can't tell you how to think about

1:45:23

right but by the way it's like you know

1:45:25

you would hear rumors like

1:45:26

oh i don't think investor will like it

1:45:28

so we went we met with all the investors

1:45:32

you know it's like 80 of us yeah that's

1:45:34

a probably that's kind of a good idea

1:45:35

you know that's kind of interesting

1:45:37

right right and and uh so and then

1:45:40

they're like they go to me well this one

1:45:42

investor he was kind of concerned about

1:45:44

and he had a problem with it you know i

1:45:46

met with him he goes

1:45:47

well why don't you just like uh buy back

1:45:49

all the stock and

1:45:50

i said um i said well you know the issue

1:45:53

is we would decapitalize the company if

1:45:55

we buy back all the stock we'll have no

1:45:57

treasury assets

1:45:58

and if we have no treasury assets no

1:46:00

capital then

1:46:01

that puts our customers at risk and so

1:46:04

you know i have to be able to

1:46:06

my customers are governments banks

1:46:10

big organizations i need to be able to

1:46:12

represent to them that for the next

1:46:14

30 years they can count on me so i can't

1:46:18

like drain the entire assets of the

1:46:20

company

1:46:21

you know even though you know and and

1:46:23

that's the problem with just buying

1:46:25

with draining and treasury i have to

1:46:26

have a treasury balance

1:46:28

and so then i proceeded to explain the

1:46:30

bitcoin thesis to him

1:46:32

he cuts me off halfway through he goes

1:46:34

oh yeah i get it i own bitcoin

1:46:38

okay so so the point is this is an

1:46:40

example somewhere everybody's really

1:46:42

afraid

1:46:43

everybody says oh that's a really ballsy

1:46:45

risky you know

1:46:47

they're all along themselves they're all

1:46:48

along bitcoin

1:46:50

it's the same in the hedge fund world

1:46:51

paul tudor jones goes you know you're

1:46:53

the paul tudor james of the

1:46:54

of the corporate world paul was the

1:46:55

first guy to stand up and go well i

1:46:57

bought bitcoin in my fun

1:46:58

well guess what every bloody fun manager

1:47:02

i know

1:47:02

owned some bitcoin already and you know

1:47:05

not to beat up on paul tudor jones if

1:47:08

listening but paul like if you believe

1:47:11

in it buying one percent

1:47:13

but one percent is like i go to vegas

1:47:17

and i want to i'm the rich guy that goes

1:47:19

to vegas with my friends

1:47:20

and i want to convince them i'm cool and

1:47:23

i go yeah i really get gambling

1:47:25

i really believe the gaming so i take

1:47:26

out a hundred thousand dollars i put on

1:47:28

a table i

1:47:28

pay blackjack for a few hours and i

1:47:30

impress my

1:47:31

my friends that i'm really cool that's

1:47:34

that's one view

1:47:36

on the other hand if you're really a

1:47:39

baller

1:47:40

you're howard hughes he went to vegas

1:47:44

howard hughes bought vegas right if you

1:47:47

really believe in gambling if you get

1:47:49

gambling you don't gamble a hundred

1:47:52

thousand dollars or one percent of your

1:47:54

wealth in vegas

1:47:55

you buy the casino yep but paul doesn't

1:47:59

he's rich enough so for him and

1:48:02

again whatever he says and does are two

1:48:04

different things

1:48:05

i know him very well from the past and

1:48:08

paul can move his positions on a dime

1:48:11

we've seen him be you know three or four

1:48:14

times levered

1:48:15

you know the guy knows what he's doing

1:48:17

so even if he says one percent that was

1:48:19

that snapshot of that afternoon that he

1:48:21

finished that note

1:48:23

it could be anything okay and you know

1:48:25

and i noticed like the hedge fund guys

1:48:27

they either say the opposite of what

1:48:29

they're doing

1:48:29

or they say or they talk their book and

1:48:33

it's amusing to do that but i mean just

1:48:37

to state what i what i think is pretty

1:48:39

obvious

1:48:40

once you understand bitcoin

1:48:43

right you're you you have anxiety about

1:48:46

being short

1:48:47

once you understand it completely

1:48:50

terrified of being not having enough

1:48:52

and if that's the case then if you're

1:48:55

running 10 billion dollars of money

1:48:58

you go take one or two billion dollars

1:49:01

of it

1:49:02

or three or you just buy it all

1:49:06

like i mean don't you sit around i sit

1:49:08

around and think

1:49:09

i i'm trading this bitcoin row and and

1:49:13

to buy this much you can't buy it in a

1:49:15

minute or an hour

1:49:16

you can't even buy it a day i'm when i'm

1:49:19

in the market i'm buying bitcoin

1:49:21

four days in a row every minute are you

1:49:24

doing it yourself

1:49:25

well i haven't given it to anybody else

1:49:27

i gotta i i control

1:49:29

it all but you know yeah i i yeah

1:49:32

take if it's worth doing do it yourself

1:49:35

so here's i wanna ask you two questions

1:49:37

yeah questions

1:49:38

the practicalities right so there is the

1:49:42

the terrifying moment when you transfer

1:49:45

your bitcoin

1:49:46

from the exchange to your hard wallet

1:49:50

and you're like [ __ ] i hope i put in the

1:49:52

right numbers

1:49:53

because there is nobody i can call up at

1:49:55

the bank say oh i made a mistake in the

1:49:57

transfer

1:49:58

did you not get the terror of doing that

1:50:01

and how do you store it

1:50:03

okay well so a couple of points i'll

1:50:06

make one

1:50:07

one point i can't give you too much

1:50:10

details

1:50:11

about about how we do it and how we

1:50:14

handle our crypto just for security

1:50:16

reasons

1:50:16

obviously right i mean in private

1:50:20

off the record we talk about it but in

1:50:22

public i can't

1:50:23

um generally our approach is to work

1:50:26

with institutional grade crypto

1:50:28

exchanges and institutional grade crypto

1:50:30

custodians and and then like handling

1:50:34

nitroglycerin

1:50:35

handle it very carefully right i handle

1:50:37

my crypto very carefully

1:50:39

and that means that before i you know

1:50:41

we're white listing everything every

1:50:43

which way and i'm moving 0.01 bitcoin

1:50:46

before i move

1:50:48

anything material right and you know

1:50:51

you know the first time it took me like

1:50:53

60 minutes or 90 minutes to get it

1:50:55

confirmed man i was like

1:50:57

you know i'm working on but let me make

1:51:00

the next point

1:51:01

which is if you want to if you want to

1:51:03

trade this stuff you need a great team

1:51:05

of of

1:51:06

like over-the-counter uh brokers you

1:51:08

work with and they have to have great

1:51:10

technology because

1:51:11

you're going to buy this thing in 89 000

1:51:15

small bytes of 0.2 bitcoin each

1:51:18

if i'm in the market you don't know i'm

1:51:20

in the market right like i get a

1:51:22

a laugh when i watch people come in and

1:51:24

hammer the price up by a hundred bucks

1:51:26

and and people are thinking is that some

1:51:27

whales is that

1:51:29

well if you wanted to buy a hundred

1:51:31

million dollars of it there's no way

1:51:33

you're chasing it

1:51:34

up 100 bucks so i'm waiting for someone

1:51:38

to panic

1:51:39

at which point i'm going to buy 10

1:51:41

million dollars in one minute why they

1:51:42

think they're getting the better of me

1:51:44

right that's the way you're going to do

1:51:46

that and then my last point

1:51:48

is while i'm sitting there for all those

1:51:51

and i'm trading this stuff and i'm like

1:51:54

day and night right day and night

1:51:56

trading it everybody thinks well

1:51:58

bitcoin's too volatile

1:52:00

when people like me or these other

1:52:02

institutions get into it

1:52:04

we've got computer programs that are

1:52:06

trying to buy it every minute of the day

1:52:08

day and night and pretty soon there'll

1:52:10

be one set of computer programs talking

1:52:12

another set of computer problems

1:52:14

there's no people involved right there's

1:52:17

no people

1:52:17

involved and the volatility is

1:52:19

collapsing right it's already collapsing

1:52:22

anybody that's watched this stuff over

1:52:23

the past three months you would see the

1:52:25

volatility is coming in

1:52:27

the other day i'm watching it bitcoin's

1:52:29

less volatile than apple

1:52:30

it's definitely less volatile than it's

1:52:32

less welded than amazon less volatile

1:52:34

than all the big tech companies

1:52:36

that's a story my last point it's like

1:52:40

who are these people that are selling it

1:52:42

to me like i can't believe

1:52:44

someone is willing to sell it to me but

1:52:46

i'm i'm thanking my lucky stars

1:52:49

like hit me again hit me again hit me

1:52:53

again

1:52:54

right and i see these guys on crypto

1:52:56

twitter and they're like yeah

1:52:58

sailor's gonna buy it and he's gonna

1:53:00

dump it or he's gonna buy it

1:53:01

he's gonna like buy another company with

1:53:03

it i like

1:53:05

he's gonna buy it until he gets like

1:53:06

this profit he's gonna do whatever i'm

1:53:09

they don't really there's a lot of

1:53:10

traders in the market they don't

1:53:12

understand the mindset of longs like

1:53:15

i'm buying it for the dude that's gonna

1:53:18

work for the dude that's gonna get hired

1:53:20

by the guy

1:53:21

that takes over my job in a hundred

1:53:24

years

1:53:25

i'm not selling it right when it goes up

1:53:28

by a factor of 100

1:53:30

i might be borrowing a little a little

1:53:34

to go buy something that i want but this

1:53:38

what am i going to buy with it

1:53:41

right that's better than what i'm buying

1:53:43

right every other treasury asset

1:53:46

and i count 250 trillion dollars worth

1:53:49

of stuff

1:53:50

this is not about gold right gold fixed

1:53:53

income

1:53:54

sovereign debt cash equivalents every

1:53:56

other treasury assets got a negative

1:53:59

yield what am i going to buy with it

1:54:02

no there's no other asset to buy with it

1:54:05

and that's why i got into the

1:54:07

irresponsibly long thing in the end i

1:54:08

just looked at everything and

1:54:09

said right fine you can trade around do

1:54:11

stuff but if there's anything you

1:54:12

actually want to put a real position in

1:54:13

for an extended period of time

1:54:16

that there is only one thing i can

1:54:17

really see you know i've got

1:54:19

gold in a storage vault and i'm like i

1:54:22

can't see the point

1:54:24

you're tipping me over the edge of

1:54:26

saying i can't see the point i like gold

1:54:28

i have no problem with it

1:54:29

you know i'm not going to hold it for

1:54:30

100 years so i don't really care but

1:54:33

i kind of like bitcoin's gonna swallow

1:54:34

the world if i told you gold has a

1:54:37

has a minus it's got a minus three

1:54:41

percent

1:54:41

real yield yeah but you know i don't

1:54:44

mind because

1:54:45

i'm likely to hold gold three years i'm

1:54:47

not you know bitcoin's different for me

1:54:50

but gold for three years through this

1:54:52

particular

1:54:53

transition phase right so maybe it goes

1:54:55

up 100 and i lose 10 percent

1:54:57

in in negative real yield that's okay to

1:55:02

is that time horizon i i think that um

1:55:06

and this is where time horizon matters

1:55:07

so much if your time horizon

1:55:10

is 12 months and you got you you're a

1:55:13

hedge fund guy you're like you know

1:55:14

you're like looking at like the

1:55:16

volatility

1:55:18

curve wave right you guys are trading

1:55:21

gamma and stuff like that which like i

1:55:24

can't even

1:55:25

i got degrees from mit and i can't

1:55:27

figure out gamma yet

1:55:29

so i need a speech on that but you're

1:55:31

living in the world

1:55:32

of like minutes to days to weeks to

1:55:34

months to years

1:55:36

let's say when you go out more than a

1:55:37

decade

1:55:39

if you go out more than a decade all

1:55:41

this stuff all the noise drops away

1:55:43

everything gets really clear

1:55:45

totally great when you come in less than

1:55:48

five years

1:55:49

there's a lot of different options you

1:55:50

got to consider so the real question is

1:55:52

what's your time horizon here

1:55:54

yeah 100 agree and you know and that's

1:55:57

exactly

1:55:57

the conclusion but for me

1:56:01

why i'm so interested now of all time

1:56:04

really intensely focused is across

1:56:07

almost every single time horizon

1:56:09

it now looks superior that won't always

1:56:11

be the case there'll be a time when

1:56:14

whether it's technology stocks or

1:56:15

whatever it is will outperform bitcoin

1:56:17

but when i look at almost every time

1:56:19

horizon you know

1:56:20

going from a month that would be the

1:56:23

shortest i'd look at

1:56:24

a month out to 100 years bitcoin looks

1:56:27

like it's going to be everything for the

1:56:28

time being

1:56:29

great that's a home run opportunity so

1:56:31

rao that makes the decision easy

1:56:33

yeah i need to sell my gold and that's

1:56:36

why i think

1:56:37

if you're really a hedge fund person and

1:56:39

you really get bitcoin

1:56:41

and the decision's so easy are you

1:56:43

really going to tell me you've decided

1:56:45

to take one percent and take a

1:56:47

you know and hedge and try it like if

1:56:49

anybody really gets bitcoin

1:56:51

there's nobody investing one percent of

1:56:53

their portfolio in it

1:56:55

no no exactly

1:56:59

my biggest position by far in a way

1:57:02

and almost you know a very significant

1:57:04

part of my

1:57:06

liquid net assets you know outside my

1:57:08

properties and shareholdings and stuff

1:57:10

you know

1:57:11

in real vision or whatever you know it's

1:57:13

bitcoin is the bet

1:57:15

you know i said the other day i said you

1:57:17

know for this

1:57:19

this is not a speculation nor

1:57:23

is it a hedge this is a deliberate

1:57:26

corporate strategy to adopt the bitcoin

1:57:30

standard that's what we're doing right

1:57:34

and i think that lots of people want to

1:57:36

minimize what's going

1:57:38

on here or they're afraid they're in

1:57:40

fear to actually come out and say what

1:57:42

they believe

1:57:43

mike they don't understand yet people

1:57:46

it's like as you know you suddenly get

1:57:48

to that point where it's like

1:57:50

oh christ i get it now you kind of think

1:57:52

you get it for a while

1:57:53

then you question yourself then you sort

1:57:56

of get it then you realize you know

1:57:57

nothing

1:57:58

and then you come to the epiphany is not

1:58:00

knowing

1:58:01

anything about it apart from one core

1:58:03

set of things that this is superior to

1:58:05

anything else around it

1:58:06

and it could be an entire ecosystem a

1:58:08

whole structure that's all you need to

1:58:10

after that it's like okay i've got hard

1:58:12

money with upside

1:58:13

brilliant and now so now we're sitting

1:58:16

here waiting to see how long it's going

1:58:18

to take for all the other rational

1:58:19

actors in the world

1:58:21

to come to the same conclusion exactly

1:58:23

right and i

1:58:24

you know that's that's the journey you

1:58:26

know we're launching this

1:58:27

crypto channel and real vision it's part

1:58:29

of the same bet i know where this is all

1:58:31

going

1:58:31

and i've been talking about this in 2012

1:58:34

and i knew that macro and crypto were

1:58:36

about to collide and i knew it was going

1:58:37

to happen in the next recession or

1:58:39

i didn't i guess it would and here we

1:58:43

and then what's happened is you've

1:58:44

actually moved it on further

1:58:46

by saying okay it's not just about

1:58:48

markets and

1:58:49

investments everything else we're now

1:58:51

talking about a new standard

1:58:53

that becomes the new gold standard

1:58:56

i.e corporations around the world apple

1:58:59

where their balance sheet and everybody

1:59:01

should think of this as a reserve asset

1:59:03

which was my point

1:59:04

that i've been talking about is this is

1:59:06

the world's most pristine reserve asset

1:59:07

and that's what you're doing

1:59:08

you bought a reserve asset and put it on

1:59:10

your balance sheet

1:59:12

brilliant imagine a ceo of a

1:59:14

construction company that said we

1:59:16

thought we'd start building

1:59:17

buildings with steel this year

1:59:21

and every other construction company is

1:59:22

saying oh what a risky thing

1:59:26

that's too expensive as well and all the

1:59:28

other arguments that you would have had

1:59:30

we've not tested it in earthquakes or

1:59:32

whatever it is i think we've covered a

1:59:34

lot of ground and i think

1:59:35

we'll probably have another conversation

1:59:36

down the track because there's a load of

1:59:38

things i love the philosophical

1:59:40

things that you're thinking about and

1:59:42

just also your you know how you've

1:59:43

observed the tech industry and

1:59:44

everything else so

1:59:45

i'm definitely going to get back in

1:59:47

touch with you again and we'll as your

1:59:49

thinking evolves and that's other

1:59:50

people's thinking evolve it's just nice

1:59:52

because you're outside of the noise of a

1:59:54

lot of the financial market stuff and

1:59:55

you look at it differently

1:59:57

it's brilliant and just let bravo you

1:59:58

that as you said it's a logical

2:00:00

conclusion but most people haven't

2:00:01

reached it yet and

2:00:03

you've done something really inspiring

2:00:04

for a lot of people well i

2:00:06

like i would return a compliment though

2:00:08

and point out that

2:00:10

that i was obsessing over everything

2:00:13

that you published

2:00:14

before we made this decision and so so

2:00:17

the truth is you're more that you and

2:00:20

and the entire crypto community

2:00:22

that went out there especially on

2:00:23

youtube and published everything they're

2:00:26

the inspiration and and

2:00:27

it's a wonderful community and there's

2:00:30

you can learn a lot on youtube

2:00:32

so so if people ever wonder does anybody

2:00:35

listen to the stuff we say

2:00:37

the answer is yeah i listened everybody

2:00:40

every one of my board members listened

2:00:42

all right so you so we wouldn't be here

2:00:45

i wouldn't be here talking to you

2:00:46

nor would i have done anything had you

2:00:49

not said

2:00:50

what you said when you said it that's

2:00:53

very cool

2:00:53

welcome the opportunity in the future

2:00:55

thanks for having me but yes i i loved

2:00:57

it i reached out on twitter i said

2:00:58

listen i'd love to tell your story

2:01:00

you're like and you replied

2:01:01

i love real vision and that's great

2:01:04

we're all doing we're all doing the

2:01:06

right thing spreading the word

2:01:08

mike brilliant to speak to you thank you

2:01:09

ever so much for your time i'm sure

2:01:11

people are going to get a lot out of

2:01:13

thank you ralph thank you for watching

2:01:15

this video now this is just a taste of

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