SaylorCorpus

📯Michael Saylor - CEO, Microstrategy Keynote Speech

Wave Digital Assets · 2020-11-21 · 38m · View on YouTube →

0:16

hi everyone

0:16

as david seymour again i'm joined in a

0:18

second with michael saylor

0:19

ceo of michael microstrategy we're

0:21

really honored to have with us

0:23

for those that don't know microstrategy

0:25

is the largest independent you know

0:26

business intelligence and mobile

0:27

software

0:28

based firm uh michael founded the

0:30

company in 1989

0:32

michael's been a pretty outspoken crypto

0:34

bowl for quite some time and is widely

0:36

credited with starting a kind of a new

0:38

trend of public companies

0:39

allocating a portion of their treasury

0:41

assets to this asset class which has

0:43

been pretty great for our

0:44

sector uh microstrategy famously

0:46

purchased about 425 million at btc

0:49

several months ago uh it's one of the

0:50

largest single bitcoin purchases in

0:52

history

0:53

uh michael will be sharing his crypto

0:55

perspectives with us

0:56

now he's be i said he's become one of

0:58

the biggest uh most vocal

0:59

bitcoin maximalists in the press and on

1:01

twitter and the clarity and forcefulness

1:04

of his bitcoin theses

1:05

you know are really going to rapidly

1:06

creating a lot of other converts to the

1:08

currency

1:09

uh so i turn over to michael in one

1:11

second i'll be back in about 30 minutes

1:14

do the next keynote with brad

1:15

garlinghouse of ripple next

1:17

so with that please welcome michael

1:19

saylor to the floor thank you

1:21

thanks david i'm uh i'm grateful to have

1:24

the opportunity to speak with everybody

1:25

today

1:27

um i thought um that

1:30

i would uh share

1:34

my thoughts on how we can all

1:37

collectively work together

1:38

to grow the crypto ecosystem

1:42

i think the big picture here is there's

1:45

250 trillion dollars worth of

1:47

assets in the asset ocean people have

1:51

huge amounts of monetary energy sitting

1:54

in bonds sitting in stocks

1:56

sitting in real estate sitting in

1:59

derivatives

2:00

and cash and uh the entire crypto

2:05

ecosystem which i you know i think of it

2:07

as crypto pond

2:08

versus an asset ocean the crypto pond is

2:11

maybe 400 billion

2:13

350 to 400 billion dollars now

2:16

how do we grow that crypto pond into a

2:20

crypto lake

2:21

of many many trillions of dollars and

2:23

then a crypto bay

2:25

of 50 trillion dollars and then a crypto

2:28

ocean of

2:28

hundreds of trillions of dollars

2:32

and uh i think there are some just you

2:34

know basic

2:35

basic ideas here that make a lot of

2:37

sense and

2:39

let me start with uh

2:42

the basic premise we need to make the

2:45

regulators comfortable

2:47

and we need to make the investors

2:49

comfortable and we need to make the

2:51

people that have all the money

2:52

comfortable

2:53

99.9 percent of the monetary energy in

2:56

the world

2:57

is not sitting in the crypto pond so how

3:00

do they think

3:01

i've spent uh most of my life around

3:04

them

3:04

and thinking about them as a public

3:06

company ceo i think about

3:08

regulators a lot and and as a technology

3:12

investor and investor in general i

3:15

think about how investors think and i

3:17

think that um

3:19

when you put all that together there are

3:20

some themes that come out so first of

3:22

all let's talk about

3:23

uh good ideas um

3:27

if we're going to grow anything in the

3:28

cryptos it's crypto ecosystem good ideas

3:31

technology when you talk about having a

3:34

better technology to do something

3:36

doing something a million times faster

3:37

or a million times cheaper

3:39

a million times easier uh

3:42

everybody can get behind that um

3:46

much better by the way much better to

3:48

have

3:50

technology partnerships big technology

3:53

partnerships or a good thing

3:55

um much better to to do

3:58

just one small thing and plug it into

4:02

apple or google

4:04

and then to do an entire stack of things

4:06

in its own ecosystem

4:07

that are disconnected from apple or

4:10

google

4:11

so so uh if i could come up with just

4:14

the smallest elegant functionality but

4:17

it got plugged into amazon apple google

4:19

or facebook

4:20

it's a screaming home run for crypto

4:23

we don't have to boil the ocean

4:26

top all the world we just need to come

4:28

up with that one elegant useful thing

4:30

that gets integrated so big tech

4:32

partnerships always a good idea paypal

4:34

good idea

4:35

square good idea being embedded in robin

4:38

a good idea

4:39

even if they only embed a small piece

4:43

the full stack of crypto functionality

4:45

let's say

4:46

the full stack of bitcoin functionality

4:48

it doesn't make it into the paypal app

4:51

but doesn't need to if even one tenth

4:54

of the stack of functionality makes it

4:56

in the paypal app it grows the crypto

4:58

ecosystem and it's good for everybody

5:01

um on the day that uh

5:04

that apple pay lets you move

5:07

any crypto asset around

5:10

massively good for everybody even if

5:13

it's

5:13

not the perfect way even if it's subject

5:16

to kyc

5:17

or some other regulation and may even if

5:20

you can only do it like apple pay was

5:22

only useful in the us

5:23

first okay that's the negative but if

5:25

you if you're able to use

5:26

move crypto around in the us it would be

5:30

a screaming home run compared to not

5:32

being able to do it at all

5:34

um so technology is a good idea tech

5:37

partnerships are a good idea

5:39

what else is a good idea uh innovation

5:42

uh any new approach that is going to

5:47

it's gonna create productivity in the

5:48

economy good idea

5:51

um trade

5:54

trade's a good idea now how what's the

5:57

positive way to do it

5:59

we've created a crypto network in order

6:01

to facilitate

6:02

trade across states cross borders cross

6:05

domains

6:06

across companies across across time

6:09

good things what's the wrong way to do

6:12

it regulatory arbitrage

6:15

you know avoiding pesky rules

6:19

anything that looks like an arbitrage uh

6:22

or or avoidance is a bad approach

6:26

anything that looks like

6:27

facilitating trade and innovation is a

6:31

good idea agility a good idea

6:35

we're providing agility to our crypto

6:37

network

6:38

agility for what for anything right

6:42

um if you're going to actually

6:45

offer somebody the ability to do

6:47

anything anytime without permission

6:49

better to say i'm facilitating trade

6:52

and agility than saying i'm doing

6:55

something without permission or or i'm

6:57

giving you the ability to uh

6:59

to uh duck a regulation or a rule

7:02

um emphasizing consumer protection

7:07

if a crypto asset is empowering the

7:09

consumer

7:10

whether they're a consumer in the

7:12

western world or consumer in the

7:13

developing world i think it's a good

7:14

thing uh

7:16

regulators are not going to resist

7:19

empowering

7:20

consumers with consumer protection

7:23

consumer reports

7:24

right the aspect of bitcoin

7:28

i can hold my own keys well i can

7:31

articulate it as a consumer protection

7:33

to the benefit of the consumer

7:35

or i could articulate it as

7:38

as a crypto anarchist libertarian

7:42

i don't have to i don't have to pay

7:44

taxes or i don't have to bow to the

7:46

government

7:46

well you know one narrative is going to

7:50

generate massive amounts of pushback the

7:52

other narrative is going to

7:53

elicit claps from the gallery so

7:57

thinking about how you say things i

7:59

think is very important

8:02

um institutions and big investors

8:04

they're going to want

8:06

transparency so with all of these yield

8:09

offerings and you know the crypto

8:11

banking

8:12

um if you want someone to put billions

8:15

and billions of dollars into your

8:17

network

8:18

then emphasizing opacity and

8:21

and mystery and enigma is not going to

8:25

help

8:26

uh they're going to want transparency

8:29

what's really going on here if somebody

8:32

says to me

8:33

we're going to take your money and loan

8:35

it to this person seven percent and

8:37

we're gonna pay you three percent and

8:40

there's a two percent

8:41

risk and we're going to create insurance

8:43

for the two percent risk

8:44

and we're gonna keep two percent i might

8:47

listen to that story and

8:49

and nod and think okay that's good i'll

8:51

take that but when they just tell me

8:53

they're doing

8:54

something with smoke and mirrors and i'm

8:56

going to get some percentage

8:58

i'm not so short and i would rather take

9:01

three percent with transparency than 30

9:04

with opacity it's too good to be true

9:08

uh gamblers will take the 30 you know in

9:11

a casino it's like i pull

9:13

i pull the um the slot machine handle

9:17

and maybe some money comes up but that's

9:18

called gambling when you make money

9:20

without knowing why without deserving

9:22

it if you actually understand

9:25

why it works and it's transparent

9:28

then you're more likely to trust your

9:30

life

9:31

with that thing stability is another

9:35

part of that right i need it to be

9:36

transparent before i put

9:38

hundreds of millions of dollars into

9:39

your crypto or into your idea

9:42

i need it i need to know why it works i

9:44

need to

9:45

understand that it respects the laws of

9:47

physics that it's not

9:49

that it's not too good to be true um

9:52

that it's creating rational value for

9:54

somebody somewhere

9:55

that makes sense uh for me to be on one

9:58

side of a transaction

10:00

i need to imagine myself being on the

10:03

other side of the transaction

10:05

and if i can see it being rational fair

10:07

and reasonable to be on either side of

10:09

the transaction

10:11

then i'll probably take the trade but if

10:14

one side the transaction looks great the

10:16

other side of the transaction looks

10:17

awful

10:18

then i think somebody's not telling me

10:20

something and i

10:21

won't invest or put my money behind

10:23

until i know

10:24

why it's too good to be true so that

10:27

that equity

10:28

uh equity and transparency and rationale

10:31

makes

10:31

is very important stability is important

10:33

because i need it to

10:35

i need uh to see that the markets

10:38

function the same way for a long period

10:39

of time

10:40

right nobody's going to trust the bank

10:43

in business for 12 weeks

10:45

12 months since yesterday three years

10:48

three years is it about at the point

10:50

where you start to think maybe i trust

10:53

yeah if you've got a crypto network or a

10:55

crypto offering or something

10:57

i'd like to hear you tell me that you

11:00

set it up seven years ago when you've

11:01

been working out

11:02

all the kinks and you're stabilizing i

11:04

don't really want to hear you tell me

11:06

that you started three years ago

11:07

but then you realized it was um all

11:10

messed up and so you just changed it 12

11:12

weeks ago or four weeks ago and now it's

11:13

good

11:14

because that might work for gamblers but

11:18

for investors

11:20

that have large sums of money uh they're

11:23

not going to be able to

11:25

get past the risk of that you won't be

11:27

able to get their fiduciaries to um

11:29

to support it so so longevity and the

11:32

lindy effect

11:34

really matter a lot as the sums of money

11:37

increase

11:38

one of the biggest advantages of bitcoin

11:40

is it's been around more than 10 years

11:43

and so i think that's pretty important

11:45

and and you have to set your

11:46

expectations accordingly and

11:48

and be humble in your approach i think

11:51

consistency

11:52

really is a good thing someone

11:56

is going to give you hundreds of

11:56

millions of dollars they're going to

11:58

want to see

12:00

it's it's a consistent business model a

12:02

consistent technology

12:04

keeps working you know like it was like

12:08

i don't know five years before

12:11

the extreme wealthy and billionaires

12:13

actually trusted the iphone

12:16

before they trust google or youtube or

12:18

iphone

12:19

i mean there's a lot of wealthy people

12:21

that didn't trust amazon for

12:23

10 or 15 years after they started

12:27

it takes a while to build up trust you

12:29

got to you got to have consistency of

12:31

brain and consistency of offering

12:34

you know you can't keep changing the way

12:35

it works at least

12:37

you don't want to change the way it

12:38

works in front of the customer

12:40

you know you can tweak behind the scenes

12:42

to make the algorithm better

12:44

maybe but if if it's jarring to the

12:47

customer

12:48

it's like a clock starts again you're

12:50

resetting the clock

12:51

every time you change something you know

12:54

from

12:55

where if you look at something like

12:58

ethereum on proof of work

13:00

well if it's been sitting there for four

13:02

five six years i think one thing then

13:04

when you change it all the proof of

13:06

stake

13:07

the clock starts again for three more

13:09

years

13:10

three to five years after the

13:12

proof-of-stake switchover

13:14

people will look back and say okay i

13:16

guess i can trust it now but really

13:18

if you change the fundamental

13:20

architecture of the crypto

13:21

or of the offering you've got to say to

13:24

yourself i just restarted the clock

13:26

and i'm going to have to take another

13:27

three to five years

13:29

and i think five years is kind of like

13:32

it is really early for someone to put

13:36

hundreds of millions or billions of

13:38

dollars onto something

13:39

so just be aware when you're tinkering

13:41

with the architecture

13:42

you're starting the the lindy clock

13:45

again

13:46

and uh and that's going to that's going

13:48

to stop

13:49

large sums of money from flowing into

13:51

that new architecture

13:53

from uh risk-averse investors like

13:56

no the the innovators the venture

13:58

capitalists right the gamblers will do

14:00

anything

14:01

the vc will go 10 years early

14:05

maybe 15 years early but uh the

14:08

the huge institutional money is going to

14:11

wait

14:13

until the idea has seasoned

14:16

and it's hardened and it's been tempered

14:19

it's been tested and they've got to view

14:22

it to be reliable

14:23

and dependable so you got to decide what

14:27

you're trying to do what you're trying

14:28

to accomplish

14:30

um but all of those things are going to

14:33

be kind of critical

14:35

if you want to embed something either

14:37

with a

14:38

amount if you want a organization with

14:41

10 billion dollars of capital

14:44

to bet on you other than in a vc you

14:47

know small bc

14:48

side fund then they need to see that if

14:50

you want a 100 billion dollar big tech

14:52

company to really bet on you it needs to

14:55

be rock solid dependable

14:57

so let's talk about bad ideas bad ideas

15:01

experimentation

15:02

you know like nobody wants to hear that

15:05

you're experimenting

15:06

with something which is which is uh

15:10

life support equipment done

15:12

experimenting with my money

15:13

experimenting with providence with

15:15

security

15:16

with with something which is uh

15:20

as important as life so figure out what

15:22

that is

15:23

that makes people nervous they want they

15:25

don't really want to hear that

15:26

rapid mutation rapid mutation scares

15:30

away

15:30

institutional investors it'll scare away

15:32

big tech then you know i don't want

15:35

to bet my life on something which is

15:36

mutating every year

15:38

or every six months or every three

15:40

months those things we normally

15:42

run away from not run toward we want new

15:45

by the way

15:46

new is not a good idea yeah nobody with

15:49

money wants

15:50

new right bitcoin is currently the most

15:54

seasoned crypto asset

15:56

and we're fighting a never-ending war

15:58

with gold

15:59

and the gold bugs talk about 5 000 years

16:01

of history and you've only got 11.

16:03

so 11 months that's not gonna fly very

16:06

well

16:07

so rapidly evolving new

16:10

untested untested

16:14

like did you pack your own parachute

16:16

yeah somebody walks in and says i got no

16:18

scuba equipment or i got a new parachute

16:20

and i just kind of tinkered with it and

16:21

changed everything about it is 10 times

16:23

better

16:24

and i'm asking the question well when

16:26

did you put that in the market but the

16:27

answer is like this quarter

16:30

you know my thought is why don't you

16:31

come back to me in a decade

16:33

and five years and 10 years um

16:37

when something is mission critical you

16:39

know i've been on aircraft carriers

16:42

aircraft carriers uh 50 years

16:45

after world war ii ended and they still

16:48

have three people down

16:50

below the flight deck looking at a

16:52

closed circuit camera counting the

16:53

number of times a tail hook landing took

16:55

place

16:56

and when they get to 100 they both mark

16:59

their clipboards and then one person

17:01

pulls a crank which rotates the tail

17:03

hook and that's

17:04

50 years after world war ii and it's 20

17:07

years after computers

17:08

came along and i said to the commanding

17:09

officer why do you guys count tail hook

17:12

landings why don't you use a computer

17:13

for that

17:14

well the people are reliable the

17:16

computers fail sometimes and if we fail

17:18

on this one

17:19

we're going to lose a 40 million dollar

17:21

aircraft and someone's going to die

17:23

so when your life depends on it or 40

17:25

million dollars depends on it people

17:27

might

17:27

you know the navy takes 50 years or 75

17:30

years

17:30

to upgrade technology you know think

17:33

about that next time

17:34

you want to you know juggle 50 million

17:37

dollars worth of somebody's money

17:38

or 500 millions with somebody's money

17:41

um another bad idea excessive leverage i

17:46

look i think 125 to 150 to 120 to 1

17:49

these are awful ideas in the crypto

17:51

marketplace

17:52

i mean you might feel good about talking

17:54

about them but but

17:56

blowing up your customers with excessive

17:58

leverage

17:59

you know is is is like

18:03

drug dealers lacing their their um

18:07

you know drugs with fentanyl you know

18:09

like

18:10

it might have sounded like a good idea

18:12

but you start killing all your

18:14

patients and when you kill your patients

18:15

it attracts the police and then they

18:17

shut you down

18:18

so lacing your your let your uh

18:22

offering with excessive leverage such

18:25

that

18:25

someone can you're attracting the

18:27

junkies and the and the gambleholics

18:30

who want to get rich and then you're

18:31

blowing them up right and left it's it's

18:33

got a bunch of problems one

18:35

you kill all your customers two

18:38

two is you get a bad reputation for

18:41

addicting people to leverage

18:43

right that is legal and three you

18:46

attract

18:47

regulators that are going to come and

18:49

shut you down

18:51

and four you create massive volatility

18:55

in the price of your crypto asset

18:57

you know when when bitmex went offline

19:00

you could actually see bitcoin

19:01

volatility dramatically dropped

19:04

traumatic i i actually watched it like

19:07

the amount of trading was cut in half

19:09

and the volatility dramatically dropped

19:11

you think anybody wants to go put a

19:13

hundred million dollars into your crypto

19:15

if the price jumps ten percent in five

19:18

minutes and the next morning it's fallen

19:19

by twenty percent

19:21

no one's going to touch that and and the

19:23

culprits

19:24

are these unregulated exchanges running

19:27

like a casino gambling mindset

19:31

so get rich quick is a bad idea gambling

19:34

is a bad idea right you want to give

19:37

somebody leverage

19:38

two to one leverage you know like maybe

19:41

i'll let you borrow up to

19:43

50 loan to value 60s when you get to 80

19:47

loan to value that's 5x leverage you

19:49

know

19:50

anything beyond that is like again it's

19:53

just

19:54

it's just like lacing drugs with

19:55

fentanyl you're just going to kill your

19:57

patients

19:58

um kill your customers um so

20:01

other things that are bad ideas

20:04

positioning is the entire name

20:06

cryptocurrency i wish we could just make

20:08

it all go away

20:09

cryptocurrency is a bad idea we ought to

20:11

call them crypto assets

20:14

currency is the provenance of

20:16

governments

20:17

governments own currency they have a

20:19

monopoly on currency they have laws and

20:21

they have police forces and they have

20:23

and they have regulatory operators to

20:25

protect their currency

20:26

so attempting to thumb your nose at

20:28

governments and steal their currency

20:31

yeah it's that takes you through a you

20:33

know a dangerous place

20:35

i think privacy is a is a you know

20:39

it's not a great idea like probably a

20:42

bad idea

20:43

private currency put those two together

20:45

that's like waving a red flag at a bull

20:47

you might as well put a bullseye on your

20:48

forehead

20:49

[Music]

20:50

telling telling governments everywhere

20:52

in the earth that you're going to steal

20:54

their currency

20:55

and allow the citizens to avoid

20:57

complying with the law

20:58

is kind of a way to attract a lot of

21:01

unnecessary attention and pushback

21:04

so crypto asset not cryptocurrency

21:07

um you know if you privacy is

21:10

experimental thing might it work might

21:12

it might there make sense if

21:14

maybe maybe it's an innovative idea and

21:17

if you're going to do it you're going to

21:18

do it

21:19

wrapped in the mantle of empowerment for

21:22

the disadvantaged in the developing

21:24

world

21:25

that have no choice and maybe the united

21:28

states government will get behind giving

21:30

privacy

21:31

to people in africa and other countries

21:34

they're just not going to get behind

21:35

giving privacy to american citizens so

21:38

you got to keep that in mind um i think

21:42

you know anything that looks like it's

21:43

going to be a tool instrument for tax or

21:45

regulatory avoidance is

21:47

not a good idea uh payment networks i

21:50

don't think payment networks are a great

21:51

idea for crypto i think the crypto is um

21:54

it's not a good technology for payments

21:56

it's a billion times slower than

21:58

centralized

21:59

technology um so leave it to apple pay

22:03

and square and paypal and

22:06

and alipay and uh don't throw yourself

22:09

on that

22:10

sword i mean it's gonna end badly um

22:14

anarchy like anarchy and the zombie

22:17

apocalypse all of the technology to

22:19

support

22:20

yeah i'm okay doing it doing it's

22:23

important to have the ability to custody

22:25

your

22:26

private keys and it's okay to have

22:28

massive mission critical after the

22:30

apocalypse

22:31

fault tolerant technology i love that

22:33

part but really emphasizing it marketing

22:36

it kind of scares away the 99 percent of

22:39

the population

22:41

uh that actually aren't aren't looking

22:43

forward to living in a zombie apocalypse

22:46

so if you want alice walton or

22:49

you know or someone the mark zuckerbergs

22:52

of the world

22:53

and jeff bezos of the world and all of

22:55

the billionaires of the world

22:57

i don't think they're going to be

22:58

attracted by the zombie apocalypse

23:01

anarchy type ideas and so

23:05

um i i get the fact that crypto

23:08

integrity

23:09

is important and it goes to

23:13

you can say it two ways right you can

23:16

you can take custody of your crypto so

23:18

that if the bank screws you over

23:21

then you have an alternative and that's

23:23

consumer protection

23:24

and empowerment of the individual that's

23:26

a positive narrative

23:28

and people will support that the rich

23:31

the powerful the institutions the

23:33

regulators they'll support the idea of

23:34

protecting

23:35

the individual's rights they're not

23:38

going to support the idea of

23:40

having your own currency so that when

23:43

governments fail everywhere in the world

23:45

and there is no taxes left and we're in

23:47

the zombie apocalypse you can still do

23:48

business someone's gotta be excited

23:51

about that

23:51

so sometimes we're on worst enemies by

23:53

getting enthusiastic about that

23:55

uh i would uh i would focus upon the

23:59

incrementalism

24:01

so what what can we do this constructive

24:03

well first of all focus on bitcoin

24:05

like it's not that there aren't other

24:07

crypto ideas that are good ones and

24:09

there are and there's tons of

24:10

integrated uh services and technologies

24:13

that will work well with bitcoin but

24:15

bitcoin is the gateway it's the channel

24:18

to move

24:19

the 250 trillion dollars from the asset

24:21

ocean to the crypto pond

24:24

integrate with bitcoin you know it's a

24:25

lot better idea to integrate with

24:27

bitcoin and say bitcoin doesn't do this

24:29

like

24:29

if i'm doing privacy i'd be saying

24:32

bitcoin doesn't do privacy

24:33

but integrated with our thing we're

24:35

better at privacy and just leave it like

24:37

that

24:37

don't try to destroy a bitcoin protect

24:40

bitcoin

24:41

compliment it secure it and prove it and

24:43

promote it don't attack it

24:45

destroy it undermine it or replace it

24:48

because

24:48

if bitcoin doesn't succeed after 10

24:51

years with 300 billion dollars in it

24:53

there's no way that the next best crypto

24:56

is going to succeed if bitcoin fails the

24:58

entire industry is going to fail

24:59

if bitcoin grows by a factor of 10 you

25:02

can expect the entire rest of the crypto

25:04

industry and every other alt point to

25:06

grow by a factor of 10.

25:08

if bitcoin grows by a factor of 100 you

25:10

can expect all the

25:12

altcoin systems and and all the related

25:15

services to grow by a factor of 100.

25:17

so we all win together rising tide

25:20

lifts all boats by the way

25:24

bitcoin has shortcomings so plug the

25:26

shortcomings but complement it

25:28

right as opposed to criticize it uh

25:31

paypal plus bitcoin has shortcomings we

25:34

know you know instead of saying this is

25:35

awful

25:36

say paypal paypal doesn't allow you to

25:39

take your own keys into custody this

25:41

does

25:42

that's an opportunity for someone else

25:43

paypal doesn't allow this

25:45

we do paypal doesn't let you do this we

25:49

right and just just always think focus

25:52

upon the constructive positives because

25:54

every failing of every combination of

25:56

technologies

25:58

is an opportunity in the ecosystem in

26:00

the market for someone else to rise

26:02

and and ultimately

26:05

ultimately um if you're going to be

26:08

successful

26:09

in business i think the basic rule is uh

26:14

focus humility harmony

26:17

you need to focus on one thing and do

26:20

that one thing

26:21

consistently transparently well don't

26:23

try to be all things to all people

26:26

right when when you try to do a hundred

26:27

things is to it's like juggling razor

26:29

blades too many moving parts you're

26:31

gonna drop something

26:32

so i think focus is really important

26:34

humility is important

26:36

humility meaning that maybe you can't do

26:39

everything just because you could do it

26:40

doesn't mean you should do it and maybe

26:42

you're not quite as good as you think

26:43

you are

26:44

i would much rather you tell me you'll

26:46

get me four percent yield in a

26:48

consistent way than tell me you'll get

26:50

yield in a way that i don't understand

26:52

it's rapidly changing

26:53

just be humble and then harmony harmony

26:57

with nature harmony with the ecosystem

27:00

you have to be in

27:01

harmony with bitcoin to be in crypto you

27:04

have to be in harmony with the local

27:06

government

27:06

that you're that you're operating in

27:08

with their domain

27:10

if you fight the local government then

27:12

you're going to suffer

27:14

so harmony with the government you have

27:15

to be in harmony with apple and google

27:17

and facebook and

27:18

amazon you know and you have to be in

27:21

harmony with

27:23

with the customer in general so

27:26

normally you fail at these things when

27:28

you're too ambitious you try to go too

27:30

fast you try to do too much

27:31

i've been there i've done that as i say

27:34

to people

27:35

i never regretted my bad ideas i regret

27:37

all the good ideas that i pursued when i

27:39

only could really afford to pursue

27:41

one idea and so i think that's the

27:45

summary of my thoughts on crypto i think

27:47

i i am i am a big bitcoin believer

27:51

but it is also true i do think that

27:53

there are other things

27:55

there are other market solutions that

27:57

that crypto

27:59

assets can solve i do think there's a

28:01

place for stable coins i think there's a

28:03

place for crypto

28:05

i think there's a place for crypto

28:06

applications i think there's a place for

28:08

other type of crypto assets

28:10

i think there's the place for crypto

28:13

characteristics but you have to think

28:14

very very hard about the niche

28:18

or the segment the solution you're going

28:20

to bring to market

28:21

and when you try to reach too far

28:24

and you try to replace everything else

28:26

and when you crap over everything else

28:28

in the ecosystem you're just undermining

28:31

yourself

28:32

ultimately it's the evolution of

28:35

a variety of species that are that are

28:38

extremely good at fulfilling their

28:41

particular job in the ecosystem that's

28:44

what makes for a healthy

28:45

ecology you know you don't want to be

28:48

the eagle that envies the dolphin

28:51

that wishes it was a duck and

28:53

occasionally a snake

28:55

it's it's not going to end well you're

28:57

going to have to choose

28:58

what you're going to be and then own

29:00

that thing

29:01

so uh with that uh hey thanks for your

29:04

attention

29:05

and good luck to everybody and i look

29:07

forward to seeing all the wonderful

29:08

things that come

29:09

from this space over time

29:18

uh there you go thank you michael that

29:18

was great really appreciate your

29:20

thoughts

29:21

uh and all the time and whatnot i will

29:23

say i've introduced a lot of people as

29:24

bitcoin maximalists uh over the years

29:26

and i've never had anybody

29:28

almost everyone always kind of walks

29:29

backwards a little bit like you actually

29:30

focus down on a very clarified

29:33

you know almost single use case which is

29:34

you know it's a lot of clarity how you

29:36

think about it which is which is

29:37

impressive

29:38

um but um anyway so i really appreciate

29:41

that thought i mean one question i have

29:43

for you

29:43

just we probably go to the audience you

29:45

know i mean obviously a lot of talking

29:47

to spaces between gold and btc

29:49

and you know bitcoin is digital gold and

29:51

whatnot and i think you made a twitter

29:53

post or retweet or something recently

29:55

you're kind of going a different

29:56

direction obviously right now btc

29:58

aspires to look like the market value of

30:00

gold

30:00

um but it you know most people i think

30:02

in our industry kind of think they'll

30:04

live side by side i guess is that your

30:06

opinion or do you think btc

30:07

will end up you know kind of completely

30:09

circumventing the global market

30:11

yeah i think the pro i don't think

30:12

there's any way they live side by side i

30:14

think that the 10 trillion dollars of

30:16

monetary energy that's sitting on gold

30:18

is going to drain off and it's going to

30:20

move on to btc

30:21

and i think that if you buy the one uh

30:24

it's going to be a losing bet

30:25

so so that's the problem with being

30:28

hedged

30:28

50 btc 50 gold because

30:32

if you the reason you bought gold is you

30:35

wanted to safe haven asset that's

30:37

that's not a fiat instrument that's not

30:39

uh it's not

30:40

got its value underpinning underpinned

30:43

to the generation of fiat cash flows

30:46

if if i wanted fiat cash flows i'd buy

30:48

bonds or i buy real estate or i buy

30:50

stocks but if i want to run away from

30:52

them i buy something which doesn't rely

30:54

upon fiat cash flow so i buy gold

30:56

but gold is a defective asset there's a

30:59

lot of

31:00

counterparty risk there's a corruption

31:02

and we keep mining more of it

31:04

and and so bitcoin is synthetic

31:08

pharmaceutical grade gold

31:10

but without without the corruption

31:12

without the counterparty risk

31:14

and all right let's just say it's got

31:16

its crypto secure

31:17

it's you could have counterparty risk

31:19

but the option to take my keys

31:22

means that all the counterparties in the

31:24

crypto space are kept honest in a way

31:26

that

31:26

that the banks that hold your gold are

31:29

not going to be kept

31:30

honest so if i wanted to buy gold

31:34

and i understood bitcoin i would realize

31:36

that bitcoin is better than gold across

31:38

every dimension

31:39

a million times better than gold so the

31:41

only people going to keep gold the ones

31:42

that are ignorant

31:43

of bitcoin and as soon as they're not

31:45

ignorant of it

31:46

by the way and the reason they'll not be

31:48

ignorant of it is when the price goes up

31:49

by another factor of 10

31:51

you know and you know gold is breaking

31:53

down it's not moving bitcoin is moving

31:55

someone scratches their head and some

31:57

journalist says bitcoin

31:59

is gold for people that want something

32:01

better

32:02

than what we found in the earth's crust

32:05

5 000 years ago

32:07

so i i think it's very dangerous to hold

32:09

gold

32:10

um you know the only the only reason to

32:13

hold gold is you just believe the entire

32:15

crypto system is going to collapse under

32:16

its own weight

32:17

and you think a black swan will hit it

32:19

but if you don't think so

32:21

then you could very well find that you

32:23

lose

32:24

most of your monetary investment in gold

32:27

and that

32:28

bitcoin runs by a factor of 100 and that

32:31

would be pretty devastating investment

32:32

strategy for someone

32:33

but it would be awful to have figured

32:35

out that the problem is holding fiat

32:37

instruments

32:38

and then run to the wrong answer right

32:41

gold is the 19th century answer

32:43

bitcoin is 21st century answer it's like

32:47

you want to buy kodak or do you want to

32:49

buy apple because

32:51

you know people buying kodak are taking

32:54

they're taking photos with canon cameras

32:55

and storing them in shoe box in their

32:57

attic

32:58

and then people buying apple are taking

33:00

photos on a camera putting on the

33:01

facebook network and which of the two of

33:03

those trades worked out better

33:05

yeah no it's interesting i mean the last

33:08

kind of thought from what you were

33:09

saying is

33:10

and i read this a while ago that you

33:12

know bitcoin is probably the first

33:13

software ever created where its killer

33:15

feature is actually its lack of ability

33:17

to upgrade

33:18

at least easily um that you know that

33:20

gives incredible stability

33:22

it was obviously pretty well architected

33:23

up front there are some minor tweaks

33:24

that can be made but the governance is

33:26

very challenged

33:27

but it was really interesting thought

33:28

that you know the power of bitcoin is

33:30

that you can't change it

33:32

um from a software world that's probably

33:34

never happened before

33:35

that kind of goes along with a lot of

33:36

your comments around just the stability

33:38

of it the immutability of it

33:40

yeah and i i think it's a pretty big

33:42

idea and i think that a lot of the guys

33:45

the people that are critic the crypto

33:46

critics of bitcoin

33:48

i think they think that the answer is by

33:51

inventing better technology

33:53

and what they don't realize is that

33:57

no that better technology gives you

34:00

new functionality and different

34:02

functionality but we've already

34:03

perfected the functionality we need

34:06

in the bitcoin network the functionality

34:08

is not

34:09

payment it's not a payment network it's

34:12

not a currency

34:13

it's not an application network it's not

34:16

a privacy network

34:17

the functionality is to store all of the

34:21

monetary energy on earth

34:23

in a simple ledger forever

34:27

without losing any of it it's it's the

34:29

most simple idea

34:30

but there's 250 trillion dollars worth

34:34

of money

34:35

in inferior assets mostly fiat

34:37

instruments and they're not doing a very

34:39

good job

34:40

in the next decade they're going to be

34:41

defective so

34:43

so you've got a use case which is just

34:45

store

34:46

the monetary energy in a simple ledger i

34:49

don't want any more bells and whistles

34:51

on it

34:52

but that's good for the first 250

34:54

trillion dollars david

34:56

like the answer is and and it's not a

34:59

bad thing

35:01

right but by the way if you've got

35:03

something that's got 250 billion dollars

35:05

on it

35:06

and it's good enough to support 250

35:09

trillion dollars on it

35:11

the rational thing for the entire crypto

35:13

community would be to say

35:15

hey you guys ought to sell your bonds

35:17

sell your cash

35:19

sell your stocks sell your gold sell

35:21

your silver sell your commercial real

35:23

estate

35:24

put into bitcoin where it will be

35:26

tokenized

35:27

pure encrypted energy you know in a

35:30

conservative

35:31

a conservative uh software network that

35:34

should last forever

35:35

and now after you've done that here's my

35:37

other idea for you

35:39

i got a d5 network i got a privacy

35:41

network i got a yield network i got i

35:43

got some functionality on top of it

35:45

i'm going to go ahead and create you

35:47

know a crypto

35:49

cross domain network that's going to

35:50

trade this ferociously a million

35:52

times a day and you can make more money

35:56

but if people don't get into the crypto

35:58

market if the assets don't flow

36:02

into crypto you're never going to be

36:04

able to do everything else with them

36:05

that all the other crypto functionality

36:07

offers

36:08

so the the the

36:12

the fight is to convince people that

36:14

would hold money in gold

36:16

to move it to digital gold that's a

36:18

battle that's worth 10 trillion dollars

36:21

and then the next battle is to to you

36:23

know to move

36:25

big tech stock and the next battle is to

36:27

move

36:28

debt and or commercial real estate and

36:31

those are battles worth fighting

36:33

and they're worth winning and you don't

36:34

need any more technology what you need

36:37

is solidarity right but what makes

36:40

bitcoin compelling

36:41

is that 300 billion dollars worth of

36:43

money is agreed to use it as their

36:45

monetary network

36:47

and and people can crap all over that

36:49

and say well the technology is not as

36:50

good

36:51

but the point is what makes facebook

36:53

compelling as a billion people use it

36:55

and the thing that makes twitter

36:56

compelling is a billion you know

36:58

300 million people use it and and

37:02

if you don't appreciate the fact that

37:05

everyone agreeing to do something on the

37:07

same protocol

37:08

is the intrinsic value right then you've

37:11

missed the fundamental issue

37:13

right the intrinsic value is the

37:16

agreement on the protocol

37:18

by the powers that be and that's the

37:21

basis of the roman empire

37:23

that's the basis of railroads it's the

37:25

basis of

37:26

electricity it's like nobody creates a

37:28

better electrical appliance that doesn't

37:30

work

37:30

on the power grid in the u.s even though

37:32

it's better but you know if crypto

37:34

twitter people said we need

37:35

five prongs on our power plugs because

37:37

five is better than

37:38

two or three everybody would say well

37:40

that's stupid it won't work

37:42

right so so i think that the idea is

37:45

it's the protocol

37:46

right and we just have to agree on one

37:49

and after 11 years of back and forth and

37:52

testing

37:52

we found one that works now we can scale

37:56

it up by a factor of 10 or 100 or a

37:58

thousand the sooner we do that the

37:59

sooner everybody else gets to launch

38:01

their own protocol that plugs into this

38:04

tokenized monetary energy it'll be good

38:06

for the entire ecosystem

38:08

okay well that's well said so i think

38:10

we're we're over time already

38:11

so i'm gonna be back so thank you

38:13

michael i'll be back with brad

38:15

garlinghouse in just a moment

38:17

we'll do a little rotation among

38:18

speakers but thank you again michael

38:20

that was a great

38:20

great speech and we'll hopefully talk to

38:22

you soon thank you david

38:24

all the best everybody

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