LIVE: CNBC chats with MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor and Blockstream CSO Samson Mow — 11/11/21
CNBC Television · 2021-11-11 · 29m · View on YouTube →
good morning everyone i'm deirdre boza
in san francisco i'm thrilled to be
joined this morning bye
i think they're going to come up there
he is michael saylor the man and samson
mao it is such a pleasure to have both
of you i think that this is one of our
most popular live streams before it's
even kicked off a lot of anticipation
how are you both
awesome
happy bitcoin great happy bitcoin day
although coming up a little bit from
those all-time highs um let's jump right
into it michael last time you were on
cnbc you said
that bitcoin would go up forever i want
you to clarify those comments does
anything go up forever do you stand
behind that
yeah my point is that bitcoin's never
going to be more than 21 million bitcoin
so it's a very fixed supply it's the
only scarcity that anybody can invest in
the world every other asset that you can
buy as an inflation hedge like real
estate or stocks or gold or commodities
all of those things have a supply that's
going to increase as the price goes up
but you can't increase the supply of
bitcoin so if you look at the world
currencies they're inflating at 10 10 or
more a year for the past 30 years maybe
as much as 14 a year you can expect
they'll keep inflating for the next 30
years and so bitcoin measured in
currencies of the world and in currency
derivatives it's just going to keep
going up with volatility albeit
sure but forever samson nothing goes up
forever you don't you have a fixed
supply of gold as well i mean this
sounds like something someone might say
at the peak you could argue gold is not
fixed deirdre right gold is increasing
in supply at two percent a year in the
physical regime and
bankers can re-hypothecate gold and they
can print 100 ounces of paper gold for
every real ounce of gold and so
bitcoin is the dominant digital monetary
network and because it's dominant and
because it's fixed it means that it's
the it's the most reliable highest
integrity scarcest thing in the
financial universe it's going up does it
go forever
i'm i'm stuck on this point i want to
hear both of you say or not say that
it's going to go up forever samson go
ahead it's going up forever deirdre
forever
i mean
michael do you agree with that you're
going to stand behind that comment going
up forever bitcoin is going up forever
deirdre forever come on
something someone would say at the peak
no i mean
michael didn't you say before it would
hit 5 million 5 million is not infinity
deirdre in argentina the dollar used to
trade at a dollar per peso and now the
dollar is approaching 200
pesos the dollar is going up forever
against the peso the dollar has gone up
forever against against the venezuelan
bolivar
so a strong asset is going to go up
against a weak asset forever and since
we know that nobody in the universe can
create any more bitcoin and since we
know that everybody every political
nation state is going to create more
currency
it isn't
it isn't really that much of a stretch
to say that measured in the currencies
of nation states bitcoin is just going
to continue to appreciate
the only reason it would stop going up
forever is if central banks stop
printing money and that's not something
they can do the only thing they can do
is print money at a slower pace but
they're still going to print money
thereby bitcoin is going up forever and
let me let me move away from i'll make
one other point if you're trying to
model the price of bitcoin the price of
bitcoin is a function of inflation right
if i double the amount currency then
you've got a natural boost against a
scarce asset it's also a function of
technology right we're building bitcoin
into every iphone and android phone on
the planet like in el salvador they
delivered it to three million people in
three weeks so as the utility of the
asset increases that drives adoption
and so if you increase the number of
users by a factor of 10 if you bring 10
billionaires with a billion dollars of
capital each on the network right as you
bring corporations on the network and as
you improve the utility the price just
keeps appreciating for all those reasons
even if we stopped printing any money
and we had zero inflation rate the
utility of digital property that moves
at the speed of light that can be
programmed a million times a second is
clearly higher than gold or higher than
any other monetary asset you can hold
both of you have talked about bitcoin as
sort of an asset class a store of value
but you know we've already got some
comments from our viewers that says that
perhaps bitcoin doesn't have the kind of
technological usefulness as an ether how
would you respond to that samson
[Laughter]
well ether and ethereum is completely
mutable they can change the rules at any
time
so a few months ago they changed their
monetary policy to be deflationary so
they're trying to burn ethers to
prop up the price but to me that's just
like any central bank fiat money someone
or some group of people they're able to
manipulate the supply they're if they're
able to make it more scarce they're able
to make it more abundant it's just
whoever wants to change at any given
time they can
change it had this hard fork um back
when they were hacked with the dao that
was when they actually rewrote the whole
rule set and
basically took the money back from the
hacker saying you can't steal from us
we're going to change the rule this sort
of thing can't happen with bitcoin
bitcoin is actually immutable and when
you're trying to be money
you don't want to be mutable you don't
want to be changed because we have this
like this is in human history for scarce
hundreds of years more abundant it's
just whoever wants to change at any
given time they can
change it had this hard fork um back
when they were hacked with the dao that
was when they actually rewrote the whole
rule set and
basically took the money back from the
hacker saying you can't steal from us
we're going to change the rule this sort
of thing can't happen with bitcoin
bitcoin is actually immutable and when
you're trying to be money sam so i think
you're feeding back through this just
one of the changes yeah
you're that's really weird
i just i was very confused also you
might have your twitter open or
something and you're feeding back for
our
have stream oh you know what i actually
it was me i'm admitting it i'm sorry
guys
okay
just feeding back
i want to take a shot at this
but i
there's so much to get to though michael
also i i also want you to talk about you
mentioned you know its uses
if it goes into iphones etc we have that
comment from tim cook saying that he
personally you know holds some
cryptocurrencies but he kind of threw
cold water on the idea of apple ever
having it in its reserves where does it
do you think for like major ceos and
your perfect person to ask on this
michael does it go from sort of a
personal interest to actually being on
the balance sheet of multi-billion
dollar trillion dollar companies
i think the most interesting thing in
this year is that every public figure
every public ceo every politician is
being forced whether they're going to
integrate bitcoin into their nation
state and to their currency into their
company into their technology that's the
story no one's asking whether they're
going to integrate gold or integrate
silver or integrate silicon chips right
bitcoin is the story i think that over
time more and more companies are going
to integrate bitcoin into their balance
sheet and they're more and more
companies going to integrate bitcoin
into their products and their services
and their technology what's that
inflection point i mean from it to take
a specific example tim cook thinking
about it personally to thinking about it
in terms of his company like when does
that happen i think we've got a we had a
big inflection point in march of 2020
with covid and that accelerated the
adoption of the institutional adoption
of bitcoin because it gave companies
like mine a reason to buy billions of
dollars of it and i think the second
inflection point is the past month
where it's very clear to every
institutional investor and every
mainstream company
that the administration supports bitcoin
the senate supports bitcoin congress
supports bitcoin the treasury department
supports bitcoin it's digital property
you can hold it it's going to come into
the normal regulatory regimes
and so i think a lot of people are
waiting for that
with a caveat i mean
yeah they're thinking about it but this
maybe moves us on to another topic too
of regulation right a lot of that
has is remained to be seen and we have
this infrastructure bill with the crypto
provision that a lot in the ecosystem
did not like but that went through
samson you know what does that tell you
well it just tells me that
the regulators are going to try to
regulate and
maybe it is for
the goal of protecting people
i think also if we want to talk about
etfs i think the sec is worried about
approving a spot bitcoin etf because
they don't want to
accidentally pump the price of bitcoin
to a million dollars a coin i think if a
spot etf went through tomorrow that
would probably happen and that's why
they're testing the waters first with a
futures etf a bit more watered down but
uh i think the concern is really that
they don't want to
accidentally pump bitcoin to the moon
okay and maybe michael can you speak to
the provision and the infrastructure
bill what does that mean for the
community is that a setback
i think that there's two ways to see the
world there's the crypto world the
crypto world would like to issue their
own securities and create their own
banks and create their own stock
exchanges
and not be subject to the cftc the sec
or the treasury department and uh they
would just like to recreate the world
anew there's the bitcoin view of the
world which is we've got digital
property
all we need to do is plug it into every
existing insurance company existing
finance company existing bank existing
country existing technology so bitcoin
is the solution for apple to make a
trillion dollars whereas in the crypto
world they want to rip apple to zero and
reinvent everything and so
i think that the bill is actually going
to expand
michael which i kind of see that as sort
of the evangelist believer right in
crypto they want to rip apart everything
we have and rebuild it new in a
decentralized way look my view is that
bitcoin can be paired with jp morgan and
make jp morgan a better bank it can be
paired with the us dollar and make the
us dollar a better currency it could be
bitcoin can be paired with the existing
power structure and the existing world
as we know it today and make everything
better you don't need to rip everything
down and rebuild it so i think that
there's a schism here the crypto world
is about rebuilding everything we don't
we don't want regulation we don't want
taxation we don't want government and
there's another way to see the world
which is let's just fix the capital
structure or fix the underlying
foundation of the world economy with the
digital asset which is bitcoin and then
let the world evolve to something better
samson does that make michael a true
believer i mean a core tenant of the
crypto ethos is that everything is
decentralized and you cannot do this
through existing traditional
institutions where
many people have you know historically
gotten a bad deal isn't crypto supposed
to fix that well
bitcoin is the only crypto that is
decentralized and i think it's not
really about tearing things down it's
about how do we
live together like the regulation
it seems very
heavy-handed a bit poorly thought out
and i think that's just endemic to the
legacy system and you know speaking as
the the the michael sailors
crypto people i don't think that uh we
want to tear things down but
bitcoin cannot uh comply
with all of these regulations
and and backwards schools of thought
right now like it's more likely that
nation states and institutions and
governments are going to bend to
bitcoin's will and comply with bitcoin's
consensus rules more than anything else
and even there you see banks
capitulating uh you see nation state
adoption uh it's just on the precipice
we have el salvador already and there
are going to be more it's not going to
be the other way around because bitcoin
can't negotiate you cannot negotiate
with bitcoin
yeah i guess on the other side though
you've seen you know places like china
and india really crack down michael do
you think that when we talk about
regulation and who's who's writing it
who's looking at it do you think that
the people on the u.s side in the
administration like gary gensler the
chair of the sec is the right person
to be
looking at it to be making regulation do
you think that he has a good enough
understanding of the market and what it
needs to flourish or be safe i think
i think
i think the administration is quite
qualified and i think when they look at
the world what they see is
bitcoin is property
and
it should be uh it should be treated as
property i think they look at stable
coins and they think that stablecoin
should be issued by banks and be treated
as money markets in cyberspace
and it should be subject to banking
rules i think they look at security
tokens and they think they should be
treated as securities and i think they
look at uh at the trading and they think
if you're going to trade derivatives or
securities they should come under
existing commodities and securities laws
and if they do all those things if
that's the way the world looks at this
then
the entire
the entire ecosystem is going to grow
stable coins are 130 billion dollars
right now and if if jp morgan and
citigroup start issuing stable coins
we're going to go to a trillion dollars
and then 10 trillion dollars and then
100 trillion dollars so so i i don't i'm
not at all concerned about what's going
on i actually think it's going to
accelerate
the adoption of bitcoin as the world's
reserve asset i think it's going to i
think it's also going to provide a
foundation for the 21st century economy
that's for the good of everybody i'm not
troubled by uh by what's happening uh if
you're an entrepreneur and you want to
be a bank and you don't want to get a
banking license and you don't want to
comply with existing
treasury cftc and sec rules then you
might be concerned about them having an
interest in you but on the other hand we
have 500 trillion dollars of stuff in
the existing system and i think it's i
think it's more important that the
existing banks the existing companies
the existing countries adopt the digital
uh the digital asset economy than it is
that uh
that they stay out of that system right
so you're talking about working within
the existing framework samsung this is
you know a fascinating point for you if
banks become
the predominant stablecoin issuers what
happens to the existing ones
like tether and usdc
damn it i had a bet with uh stuart and
apollo it took us 16.
they didn't want to take my bet they
didn't want to take the bet they said
that it's going to be mentioned i could
have won like a bitcoin each from them
but anyways um
uh
i think it's a question of how
a a central bank or a bank issued
stablecoin is going to function the the
reason why the u.s dollar has this
hegemony in the world is because it's a
very free money a nation another nation
state can adopt the u.s dollar as its
own national currency
um it's used around the world it's moved
freely around the world there's no
restrictions
but if you look at uh let's just take
central bank digital currencies as an
example
the the government of canada they issued
they posted a job posting to hire a
developer to work on a canadian central
bank digital currency and in the job
posting they're basically saying we want
it to be cash but not too much like cash
so
the question really is how freely
moving will a bank issued stablecoin be
is it going to be able to be used
anywhere in the world is it going to be
transactable by anybody in the world are
people going to be able to extend it
with new technologies like the lightning
network or whatever
but if you if you look at just like the
history like it doesn't bode well for
that they're going to add a lot of
restrictions it's going to be
uh very difficult but as you say
history doesn't bode well but as you and
both michael and many others would say
we are very very early and michael you
seem to allude to the idea that the
regulators know what they're doing and
they want sort of a more legit stable
coin that operates like a money market
fund that's right
dear dr i'm an optimist and i actually
believe that bitcoin can fix everything
and that technology makes the world a
better place i'm an optimist gary genser
taught a class at mit on blockchain and
money right nobody in the administration
understands digital technology better
than him
and and we've got two possible views
right one view is wouldn't it be nice if
stable coins were used for international
remittances by global multinationals by
what if the us dollar was used by eight
billion people on the planet
in a friction-free fashion right and
what if the entire world economy of a
hundred million companies and eight
billion people all evolved to something
better but if we're gonna evolve as
something better then governments need
to adopt it and get comfortable with it
like the united states government and
the banking sector and the financial
sector and publicly traded companies
need to be able to handle it and i think
the objective of the administration is
to bring this technology into into a
regulatory framework such that the
entire world economy can avail
themselves of the benefits of money
moving at the speed of light
that's what's going on here i don't
think anyone's arguing with the
usefulness of that idea but i guess what
you're talking about michael too is
trust has to be such an important
component of this if you're gonna have a
stable coin that is used for
transactions internationally it's gonna
be pegged to the u.s dollar
you have to be able to trust that stable
coin right samson yeah i i think it's
backing it there's a lot of trust in
tether um
by going back to michael's point like
stable coins are already used for
worldwide commerce i don't think it's as
apparent
to people in north america perhaps but i
was in dubai recently and i was talking
to several um otc traders there and
there is about half a billion dollars of
tether usdt trades every day usdt to
durham and this is like durham's to usdt
uh either in the form of cash or bank
wires etc but there's already a massive
market you could buy a house in dubai or
apartment in dubai with usdt so it is
already happening i think it's just
going to keep accelerating and i think
there is a but it is happening samsung
but you know we're talking about two
very different things here michael's
talking about stable coins becoming more
mainstream being issued by banks and
perhaps
it's central bank you're talking about
the current state of usdt or even you
could choose another one which is being
used not not in the mainstream sense at
all yet
well it depends like i was also in
turkey and you know there are money
changer shops there with the big tether
logo so i think there's a wide degree of
trust behind this and the the fact that
they're at 70 i don't know it keeps
going up every day 74 billion dollars
now of issuances that just speaks
volumes about how much trust i think i
think
the point here is that no one's
questioning the credit worthiness of jp
morgan and bank of america
and citigroup so at the point
that at the point that the regulators
give a green light to major banks in the
world to issue hundreds of billions or
trillions of dollars of digital assets
which happened last week which happened
last week at that point you're you're
beckoning the entire world financial
system to embrace digital technology and
you'll know that we got there when
amazon moves 100 billion dollars back
and forth on digital rails we've we've
been locked in this non-stop debate over
whether tether is reliable for four
years endless debate it's holding the
industry back and we need to get to the
point where people have tens of
trillions of dollars of money moving
around without the debate about whether
or not it's credit worthy or not so
tethers holding the stablecoin industry
back is that what you're saying michael
no i'm not saying that i'm saying that
if tether wants to be tr as trusted as a
bank they should get an fdic license and
they should get an auditor and they
should publish their reports and they
should subject themselves to a regulator
just like every other bank in the
western world does it and then they'll
be treated like every other bank in the
western world and that is what the
administration is saying samsung respond
to that because i also want to let our
viewers know that bitfinex the company
the parent company of tether is a major
investor in your company and i know that
you've defended tether before so yeah
how do you respond to what michael just
said
oh i think the i believe in free markets
and i think the free market has already
spoken and i think tether is very
ubiquitous and you know to pull a quote
michael's saying michael's saying that
it's being held back let me finish let
me finish so to pull a quote from the
social media and the social network you
know when they said uh if you when mark
zuckerberg in the movie said if you
would have been if you invented facebook
you would have invented facebook right
if the if the banks could have done a
stable coin they would have done a
stable coin i don't see them being able
to replicate the network effects of
tether like
they could have done that they could
have banked the unbanked they could have
let people in turkey use a us dollar a
savings account but the fact is you
can't do that so unless they can do that
with their existing system i just don't
see a way they can do it with the news
to michael's point does heather want to
go from what 75 billion market cap to
hundreds of billions to potentially
trillions does it want to be the
mainstream
stable coin is it does it need an audit
does it need a bank charter to be able
to do that
michael's sort of saying that the
company that will do that the stable
coin that is willing to do that is going
to be the one ultimately in the future
that's going to be the one that's mostly
used well i think we differ on opinion
there i think the freest money will win
just like the us dollar
with its strong cash component and
liquidity is a winner i think uh a free
market decided
winner of stable coins is going to win
so samson let me ask you have you seen
tethers reserves yeah i saw them i went
to the big bank vault and paolo dove in
like uh
like
your school around in the dollar bills
but no in all seriousness you have seen
you have seen because they're an
investor in your company i would think
that you would want to see what's sort
of backing it you have seen what kind of
commercial not that you're going to tell
us now but you have personally seen what
kind of commercial paper
what makes up no i haven't but nobody
sees money like the money doesn't really
exist they're just numbers injected into
a spreadsheet so even if tether has
money in the bank we'll do some money
they don't they don't see there's no
bank vault with paper bills right
there's not that much paper i mean
michael would you would you allow
someone to invest or take a piece of
your company when you didn't know what
was backing what was behind that company
no
let me let me make a point here which i
think is constructive you have a you
have uh the crypto economy which has
been entrepreneurial
and has been a bit opaque and and
under-regulated or unregulated for a
decade and it got to a few trillion
dollars
and now you have a struggle between the
past and the future and you've got a set
of institutional investors that have
hundreds of trillions of dollars and
will they come into the space you have a
set of institutional companies like
square and apple and google and paypal
and microstrategy that have
huge amounts of capital and technology
and brand and will they come into the
space and you have countries
like the united states
right like el salvador will they come
into the space and i think that we're
going to move from the first uh decade
which got us to about two to three
trillion if you want to get to 30
trillion you need to get to the point
where like microstrategy buys a billion
dollars we bought
3.1 billion dollars worth of bitcoin
okay you can't find any entrepreneur
that ever put 3.1 billion of capital
into anything in the entire crypto
system and yet we're a small company so
i think the next stage is about laying
the framework such that the ray dalios
of the world will buy five billion in
bitcoin or 10 billion of bitcoin or when
fidelity actually shifts 500 billion
dollars right they got 11 trillion when
they ship they have two trillion dollars
worth of fixed income funds
when 25 of that flows into bitcoin
you're going to see a different world
and you're not going to get there if you
have a never-ending debate about is that
a security
is that backed by real money and and can
is it regulated and i think gensler's
point is we need transparency with
regard to banks that issue digital money
we need transparency with regard to
exchanges that trade securities for the
public we need transparency with regard
to organizations that would issue their
own securities in the crypto economy
and uh and this stuff is it's well
understood
in the mainstream uh the mainstream
community like if you're if you're gonna
sell stock to the public or debt to the
public you have to file your statements
and you have to you have to go through
regulatory compliance
what's happening right now is the entire
crypto world is going to go through
this evolution to become
more compliant and more
institutionalized and it either will
make it through that and grow by a
factor of 10 or it will not make it
through that gate and it will it will
have its uh growth uh impaired
right but the traditional system you
know was built in good faith and people
got
got left behind along the way and
there's that fear that if you use the
traditional systems to you know make
them better that that's going to turn
into the same thing i guess that's the
argument of tear it all down and build
an anew right samson is
what's preventing us from having these
sort of same issues if you're basically
just inserting bitcoin into the legacy
systems and
framework
i think that's probably where michael
sailor and i disagree a bit i don't see
the future as institutional money i see
it as the other you know
seven point something billion people
coming in because bitcoin is money for
the average person institutions you can
have some if you want you know pay
market price but i would rather see
people around the world mining bitcoin
uh transacting in bitcoin earning
bitcoin on a daily basis in this bitcoin
circular economy and we're starting to
see that in el salvador so it's very
interesting but deutsche i have a
question for you so heather tether is
going to publish an audit it's not a
matter of if it's just when and i think
in the coming months so when they
publish their audit will that satiate
you will you say okay tether is fully
backed and will you let that go or is it
always going to be this this point of
doubt for you i'm just questioning no no
it's not a point of doubt for me i don't
really doubt anything i just would love
to see what is actually behind it what's
backing and commercial paper and not
being able to answer certain questions
about where it is i'm just the i'm just
the interviewer i just ask the questions
i don't personally doubt or believe um
but i would love to see an audit and i
welcome
those guys back on when to talk through
it it would be great to have something
to point to i would certainly applaud
that as the short answer all right great
um
guys this has been such a great
discussion um we found some points of
agreement some points of disagreement we
started by both of you saying that
bitcoin is going up forever let me ask
you forever
we agree on that forever forever forever
raising the question of how fast yeah
and how is the rest of the economy going
to revolve around it we'll do let's do
this again let's say a few months from
now or say a year from now one year from
now how about where do you think at 100k
gonna be 100k for you samson we can do
it again when bitcoin hits 100k okay
yeah great michael are you down for that
sure
when does that happen when if we just
you know friendly friendly bet i would
say before q1 or in q1 next year
okay got it michael
soon
soon and there's no price too high that
you wouldn't be buying at right michael
i'll be buying it forever
okay we gotta we got a show to do but
thank you guys so much look forward to
talking to you when bitcoin hits 100k
thank you