SaylorCorpus

Michael Saylor: 'I Expect Bitcoin Will Appreciate 30% a Year for the Next 20 Years'

CoinDesk · 2025-12-19 · 44m · View on YouTube →

0:02

I expect Bitcoin it will appreciate

0:02

about 30% a year for the next 20 years.

0:05

And I think that if you look at it as an

0:08

asset, the volatility is going to click

0:10

down. It's gone from 80 to 70 to 60 to

0:13

50. The V is going to go from 50 to 45

0:16

to 40 to 35 to 30 to 25. It's going to

0:20

grind down towards something which is

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50% more volatile than the VIX.

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0:52

Hey everyone, you're watching Coindesk

0:54

and I'm Jen Sassy. Coindes 2025 most

0:57

influential list is officially out and

0:59

our next guest defined the year by

1:01

turning the Bitcoin treasury from a

1:03

niche idea into a global phenomenon.

1:05

We're joined now by Micro Strategies

1:07

Michael Sailor. Michael, great to have

1:09

you on.

1:10

>> Yeah, happy to be here.

1:11

>> I got to stop saying Micro Strategy. It

1:13

is strategy, but congratulations anyways

1:15

on making CoinDesk's most influential

1:19

list. Let's just start here. I mean,

1:21

just a few years ago, people were

1:23

calling you crazy for uh building the

1:27

largest Bitcoin treasury in the world.

1:29

From where we're sitting now, I mean,

1:31

just reflect on those last few years for

1:33

me.

1:34

>> Yeah, I think uh you know, when I

1:37

started on this journey, I was looking

1:39

for digital gold. I was looking for a

1:42

digital capital network and it looked

1:44

like Bitcoin was that network. But of

1:46

course uh five years ago not everyone in

1:49

the world agreed with me and uh and we

1:53

saw it as the best idea and so we just

1:55

kept investing. I think we acquired

1:57

Bitcoin more than 87 times and you know

2:00

we rode it up and then down and then up

2:03

and then down and then up again. I think

2:06

we uh we saw some nice breakthroughs in

2:09

2024 with the approval of the ETF in

2:11

January and then in the November

2:14

election cycle. We got a very pro-

2:16

crypto and pro- Bitcoin administration.

2:19

And then uh in January of this year, we

2:22

got an upgrade to the accounting for all

2:24

digital assets. And uh now we're moving

2:27

in the in the phase of banking

2:29

acceptance and we're starting to get

2:30

banks that are willing to extend credit

2:32

on the ETFs like IBIT. And now there

2:35

many like Schwab and City have announced

2:37

they're going to start to custody crypto

2:39

assets like Bitcoin. And so I I think

2:42

the last five years have been quite the

2:44

journey, but and I couldn't have

2:47

predicted everything that would have

2:48

happened along the way, but I'm pleased

2:50

with the outcome so far.

2:52

>> You know, Michael, it really does seem

2:54

like the space is making a lot of

2:55

progress for a lot of the reasons you

2:56

just mentioned. But folks maybe who have

2:59

gotten into Bitcoin in the last few

3:01

years, a lot of them are asking me,

3:03

they're wondering, you know, there's

3:05

such institutional support, there's such

3:07

support at a regulatory level, but yet

3:09

Bitcoin is still such a volatile asset.

3:11

What would you say to those folks?

3:13

>> You know, when I got involved, yeah, I I

3:16

started paying attention in March of

3:17

2020, and if you remember what happened

3:19

in March of 2020, I think Bitcoin traded

3:21

from 10,000 down to 4,000 in one day. It

3:25

was terrifying, but all the markets were

3:28

terrifying. And at that point, I think

3:31

looking back, Bitcoin had a history of

3:33

more than a 100 V and more than 100%

3:36

ARR.

3:37

And uh later that year, it was sort of

3:39

an 80 v asset with an 80% ARR. And then

3:43

every year for the past five years, it's

3:45

gone it sort of decelerated. It was a 70

3:48

V, 70 AR, and then 60 60. And then uh

3:52

and then after about 5 years it looks

3:54

like about 50 V 50 ARR

3:58

and uh so 50 V is still very volatile.

4:02

It's still three times the S&P

4:03

volatility but uh believe it or not it

4:07

is actually seasoning and it is

4:09

institutionalizing

4:12

at a reasonable rate if you just click

4:14

off the volatilities in in 10%

4:16

increments.

4:18

You know, a lot of the people who are

4:20

starting their Bitcoin treasuries have

4:22

told me in interviews like this one that

4:24

they talk to you. It's not a competitive

4:26

thing that they get advice from you.

4:29

When you're talking to CEOs and CFOs

4:32

from companies who are considering

4:33

Bitcoin Treasury strategies,

4:36

what kinds of questions are they asking?

4:38

How has the conversation shifted over

4:40

the last few years?

4:41

>> Well, you know, early on, uh, there was

4:43

the question of, you know, accounting,

4:46

right? we had indefinite and tangible

4:47

accounting. So, so what are the

4:49

accounting issues? What are the legal

4:51

issues? Uh what are the regulatory

4:53

issues? Can I take the company public?

4:56

Uh what should I how do I deal with

4:58

investors? And so those were those were

5:02

challenging issues. But I think in the

5:04

last 12 months, we've now had 200 plus

5:08

companies uh put some kind of Bitcoin on

5:11

their balance sheet and probably were

5:12

300 plus with some crypto asset on their

5:14

balance sheet. So we've gone from it

5:17

being just a handful of companies to

5:19

being hundreds of companies and and so

5:22

now we're really evolving not not uh

5:26

we're not dealing with the question of

5:27

can I actually hold a digital asset or

5:30

is Bitcoin capital can I hold it but

5:33

rather what should I do with the capital

5:36

once I get it? What what do I do if I

5:38

have a billion dollars worth of Bitcoin?

5:40

How do I create value with the billion

5:42

dollars of Bitcoin other than just

5:43

holding it? And that ushers in the

5:45

entire digital credit conversation. I

5:48

mean there are a lot of things you can

5:49

do with capital to to uh generate

5:51

shareholder value. But but we become big

5:54

enthusiasts into digital credit. So most

5:57

of my conversations discuss how do you

5:59

create digital credit uh collateralized

6:02

by digital capital.

6:04

>> Well talk to me a little bit about

6:05

digital credit for our audience that's

6:07

watching. What does that mean

6:09

practically?

6:10

So if you look at Bitcoin, you're like,

6:13

okay, this is a 50 V asset and it's got

6:16

50% ARR returns annual over five years.

6:21

And everybody kind of knows if you're

6:23

going to own that, you need to hold it

6:24

for more than four years. And I would

6:26

say uh the natural duration is 10 years.

6:30

So, Bitcoin represents a financial

6:33

solution to someone that's going to hold

6:36

the product for 10 years and endure a 50

6:39

volatility roller coaster in order to

6:41

get really good returns. The world's

6:44

full of investors that if if I was

6:46

selling a product like a car and I said,

6:49

"This is a electrolying hover car uh and

6:52

you have to buy it now, but you don't

6:53

get to use it for 10 years." It wouldn't

6:56

be an easy consumer product. I have this

6:59

can of Coca-Cola. It's going to taste

7:00

really good, but you got to put it in

7:01

your refrigerator for four years and

7:03

then you can take it out and drink it.

7:05

Well, I mean, there's a lot of people

7:06

that want instant gratification. It's

7:08

like, give me the car that drives now.

7:09

Give me give me the fa fast food, right?

7:13

So, how do you actually strip the

7:15

volatility, strip the duration, and and

7:18

compress the performance into something

7:21

that a mere mortal can appreciate? And

7:24

so the idea of digital credit is most

7:27

people they don't want to wait 10 years

7:29

uh you know to get an insanely good

7:31

return. What they want is say a bank

7:34

account that pays 10%. Without the

7:37

volatility like I put my money in the

7:39

bank they pay me 10% that's better than

7:41

2% or 1% or 4%.

7:45

So in order to in order to create

7:47

something which is which has got the

7:49

volatility stripped off of it and got

7:52

the risk stripped off of it and it's got

7:55

the yield uh distilled and you convert

7:58

it into the currency of choice like I

8:01

live in Japan. I want 8% I want a bank

8:04

account that pays me 8% and yen with a

8:07

stable value. that would be a digital

8:10

credit instrument in Japan and that's

8:13

something like say a MetPanet could

8:15

create and what we've created is

8:18

products like STRC which is a treasury

8:21

credit instrument in US dollars and um

8:25

if I have $10 billion of capital Bitcoin

8:29

then that's going to be very volatile

8:30

you're going to live on that roller

8:32

coaster and you got to hold it for four

8:33

years or longer and again ideally 10

8:35

years but I can take $1 billion dollar

8:38

of my capital structure.

8:41

I can create some credit instrument

8:43

which is 10x over collateralized

8:45

and I can sell that in the market and I

8:48

can offer say 10% dividend yield and I'm

8:52

going to fund the dividend yield with

8:53

the first 10% of the return of the

8:57

Bitcoin. So I sell the billion dollars

9:00

of credit, I buy a billion dollars of

9:02

Bitcoin. Bitcoin is going to do this. is

9:06

going to be a roller coaster for 10

9:07

years. The credit investor doesn't want

9:10

that. The retiree doesn't want that, but

9:13

the equity investor and the company can

9:15

absorb that. We we would like to collect

9:18

uh 30% and pay 10. And we're willing to

9:22

stomach days where we're down a lot or

9:24

we're up a lot and smooth it over a over

9:26

a decade. and uh the credit investor is

9:29

like a 20some in grad school or they're

9:32

retiree or they're a fixed income

9:34

investor. So uh what we're doing as a

9:38

treasury company is we are swapping uh

9:41

stability and yield in dollars or it

9:46

could be in euros. We just we just

9:48

created a digital credit instrument that

9:49

pays uh yield in euros. we're swapping

9:53

that in order to get the capital uh to

9:57

buy Bitcoin, which is digital capital.

9:59

And and so and at the end of the day,

10:02

what you do is you create an equity

10:06

instrument for equity investors that

10:08

want amplified Bitcoin that they want

10:11

more volatility and they want more

10:12

performance. And then you create credit

10:15

for credit investors that want damped

10:18

Bitcoin. They want uh you know they want

10:21

if I'm 10x over collateralized I've

10:23

stripped 90% of the risk away right?

10:25

Bitcoin has to fall by 90% and I'm still

10:28

collateralized. So I've stripped 90% of

10:30

the risk away. I've stripped 90% of the

10:33

volatility away. I'm not giving you the

10:35

30%. I'm giving you the 10%.

10:38

But that's totally fine because if you

10:40

walk down the street and you ask a 100

10:42

people uh do you want to buy a really

10:45

killer complicated digital capital asset

10:47

you got to hold for a decade uh to get

10:51

you know insane returns or do you want

10:53

to buy a bank account that gives you 10%

10:57

without that volatility. Most people

10:59

want the 10% bank account powered by

11:02

digital capital rather than the 30% ARR

11:07

on the volatility roller coaster. And so

11:10

we're what the digital credit idea is

11:13

you serve you serve all constituencies.

11:17

But by the way, there's three. If you

11:18

don't trust anybody, if you just want to

11:20

own the crypto asset, the commodity, you

11:22

buy Bitcoin. And then if you're an

11:24

equity investor and you want to buy a

11:26

company that that's on rocket, it's a

11:28

rocket ship or the jet engine on, you

11:31

know, or the roller coaster, then you

11:34

buy the equity. And if you're the credit

11:37

investor and you want a comfortable

11:38

retirement and social security,

11:42

then you buy the credit and that way

11:45

everybody's getting what they want out

11:47

of this trade.

11:49

Michael, I want to I want to look to

11:51

2026 and maybe even beyond with you. I

11:54

mean, how does the Bitcoin Treasury

11:57

company evolve? And I don't mean just

11:59

yours, but you know, we're seeing more

12:02

and more corporates look at holding

12:04

Bitcoin on their balance sheet. Is this

12:06

just going to be something that every

12:07

company does to diversify or is there

12:10

more of a strategy there? Are we going

12:11

to see some kind of consolidation?

12:13

What's that future you're building

12:14

towards? I I think the most excit There

12:17

are a lot of ways you can create value

12:19

from capital. For example, banks use

12:21

their capital to create consumer credit

12:23

and commercial credit. Insurance

12:25

companies use capital to create

12:27

innovative insurance, you know, life

12:29

insurance, health insurance, car

12:31

insurance, reinsurance, different and

12:34

different types of insurance programs.

12:36

But a treasury company like a a Bitcoin

12:38

treasury company or a digital uh

12:40

treasury company,

12:42

the most compelling thing is to create

12:44

digital credit. And right now you've got

12:47

three companies that have been leading

12:49

the way. Our company has created uh five

12:53

digital credit instruments and probably

12:55

the flagship is stretch uh a variable

12:57

rate monthly preferred credit. Think of

13:00

it as treasury credit or a high yield

13:02

bank account.

13:03

Strive uh created a product called SATA

13:07

SATA which is uh sort of similar to

13:11

stretch. It is also a treasury credit

13:13

instrument that pays uh that pays these

13:16

dividends. Uh they're rock dividends,

13:19

return of capital dividends just like uh

13:21

stretch pays these return of capital

13:23

dividends. Um and return of capital

13:25

dividends are very cool because they're

13:27

tax deferred. You get paid the dividend.

13:30

there's no there's no capital gains tax

13:32

or income tax on it. You just reduce the

13:35

basis in the instrument and uh so you're

13:38

getting a huge amount of cash flow. And

13:40

then there's a third company,

13:41

MetaPlanet. And MetaPlanet just uh

13:44

created a digital credit instrument

13:46

called Mercury, which was convertible

13:48

preferred. It's very similar to what

13:49

what we did first called Strike STRK.

13:53

and Metapanet announced Mars uh

13:56

Metaplanet adjustable rate security that

13:58

will be a treasury credit instrument in

14:01

yen. So you have those three examples of

14:05

companies that are creating adjustable

14:09

rate digital credit instruments,

14:12

treasury credit instruments, all powered

14:14

by Bitcoin. They're all going to pay

14:17

much higher dividend yields than your

14:18

money market or your bank account could.

14:21

uh they all work well for the treasury

14:24

company because if you're a digital

14:26

treasury company, you want to generate

14:28

BTC yield for your equity investors. So

14:32

what what is the motor to create

14:34

shareholder value if you're the treasury

14:37

company, right? And the motor is to sell

14:41

digital credit. When you, you know, when

14:43

you sell $100 million of digital credit

14:47

and you buy $100 million worth of

14:49

Bitcoin,

14:51

you're uh creating a $100 million

14:53

Bitcoin gain for the equity investors

14:56

upfront without any shareholder

14:57

dilution. And then you're creating a

15:01

high yield bank account uh for the

15:03

credit investor via that swap. And

15:06

you're using the digital capital as the

15:10

collateral in order to strip the risk

15:12

and the volatility off of the credit

15:14

which then makes it appealing to the

15:16

riskadverse credit investor who would

15:18

never ever want to buy the underlying

15:20

commodity. They just couldn't handle the

15:22

volatility and there's you know there's

15:24

no yield in Bitcoin and there's a lot of

15:26

V in Bitcoin and the world's full of

15:28

investors that don't want the V and they

15:30

do want the yield. So, I think um I'm

15:35

not going to tell you what every

15:36

treasury company or what every digital

15:38

asset holder should do because in theory

15:41

you could accumulate $10 billion of of

15:43

Bitcoin and you could write insurance

15:45

policies with it or you could be, you

15:47

know, you could also loan out the

15:49

Bitcoin, you know, to another

15:52

counterparty. So there are there is a

15:54

banking model, there's an insurance

15:56

model, but I I personally believe the

16:00

most compelling business model is the

16:03

treasury model. And the treasury model

16:06

is I raise capital and then I uh create

16:10

credit and I sell the credit. I sell

16:12

public credit. I I sell an STRK or an

16:15

STRC via an IPO, a NASDAQ. It's publicly

16:19

listed. It trades like STRC is trading

16:22

hundreds of millions of dollars a day

16:25

and it's a global credit instrument that

16:28

provides liquidity and yield and lower

16:32

volatility and less risk to a different

16:35

set of of uh customers. And I think I

16:39

think uh not to wax philosophical on

16:42

this but if you're asking if you think

16:44

what's the perfect product, what you

16:46

know is the iPhone the perfect product?

16:48

iPhone's pretty good product. that made

16:50

Apple a trillion dollar company. But I

16:52

think the perfect product is I give you

16:54

a treasury credit instrument that pays

16:55

you 8% more than the risk-free rate in

17:01

the currency that uh that your expenses

17:04

or your obligations come in. So if I

17:06

give you 8% in yen or 10% in euros or

17:10

10% or 12% in dollars, then I'm giving

17:15

you this massive high yield bank

17:16

account. You know, you don't need to be

17:19

able to read. You know, a three-year-old

17:21

would get value from it. An 80 year old

17:23

would get value from it. If you're in a

17:25

coma, you would get value from it,

17:27

right? Your unborn children will get

17:29

value from it. The trustees, the

17:31

foundation, it it pretty much is the

17:33

gift that keeps giving, right? It's such

17:36

a good product. There's that the

17:38

reaction of anybody would be, well,

17:40

what's the catch, right? And the catch

17:42

is well you need a dynamo to power the

17:45

the dividend and that's digital capital

17:48

Bitcoin. And then you need to you you

17:50

need to trust the creditworthiness of

17:52

the issuer. So you want to create a

17:55

digital treasury company that's got very

17:57

transparent credit that's got a lot of

17:59

collateral

18:00

that is understandable that acts in a

18:03

very uh a very predictable transparent

18:07

consistent fashion over time. And that's

18:10

what makes you credit worthy. And that

18:12

that is I think the the digital credit

18:15

revolution.

18:48

I want to talk about strategy

18:48

specifically now about the operating

18:50

company. I know you said on X recently

18:52

that it is an operating company with a

18:54

$500 million software business. I know

18:57

when S&P Global gave strategy its rating

18:59

this year, it said that the company had

19:00

a relatively small software business. So

19:03

I want to give you the chance to respond

19:04

to that and ask you if there are plans

19:06

to grow the software business as we head

19:08

into the new year.

19:10

>> You know the software business is

19:12

healthy and it's cash cow but it's not a

19:15

it's not a fast grower. It's not a

19:16

hyperrowth company. The part of the

19:19

business that that is actually the hyper

19:22

growth operating business is the digital

19:24

credit operation. So, we sold uh about

19:29

$7 billion

19:31

worth of digital credit this year. So,

19:34

we invented this product. What is the

19:36

product? The product is digital credit.

19:38

Uh it went from 0 to7 billion a year in

19:43

10 months. And so, how many companies do

19:46

you know that created a product that

19:48

sells 7 billion a year and without in

19:51

less than 12 months? So, so that's the

19:54

business, right? We sell credit and and

19:58

what's the market for that? Well,

20:00

there's $30 trillion of digital of

20:03

treasury [snorts] credit demand in the

20:05

US alone. And so when we did stretch, we

20:09

did five IPOs this year and each IPO was

20:12

a new product, a new treasury credit, a

20:14

new credit product being launched. And

20:16

the and the fourth of them was stretch.

20:19

That was the biggest IPO in 2025 of any

20:22

public company. was two and a half 2

20:25

bill521

20:27

million.

20:28

And you would think, okay, that's pretty

20:30

big, but that is 1/100th

20:34

of 1% of the treasury market in the US.

20:39

And so when you think about the market

20:40

we're targeting, we're targeting the

20:43

money market, the the market where

20:45

someone's got a bunch of cash and

20:46

they're going to get four 400 basis

20:48

points of yield and we're offering 10%

20:53

and we're offering 10% as a tax deferred

20:56

dividend instead of 4% taxable.

20:59

If you live in New York, then that's the

21:02

that's like a bank account that pays you

21:06

instead of four. So, you know, you're a

21:09

retail investor and or you're a normal

21:12

person or a normal business. You're

21:13

living in New York and the bank says

21:14

we'll give you 20% instead of 4%. You

21:17

would think, well, that's a cool bank.

21:19

Maybe I want to put my money in that

21:20

bank. And so so our product is digital

21:24

credit. The operating business is

21:27

generating I think we generated 12

21:30

billion of BTC gains last year and I

21:33

think 12 billion of gains you know more

21:36

than 12 billion this year to date. The

21:38

gains come from selling the securities

21:42

in order to buy the commodity and doing

21:45

it in an advantageous way. When we when

21:48

we sell the securities at a premium to

21:50

the underlying asset, there's an

21:51

immediate gain. And when we pay a 10%

21:54

dividend and invest in an asset that's

21:57

appreciating 50% a year, which is what

21:59

Bitcoin's been doing, then there's a

22:01

consistent annual gain. And so the

22:04

company gets gets extreme leverage and

22:07

creates shareholder value by selling

22:10

those credit instruments to buy Bitcoin,

22:13

which is digital capital. And you know

22:17

you if you were a holding company, okay,

22:21

well, so you have $60 billion worth of

22:23

Bitcoin, you're an ETF. What are you

22:25

doing? Nothing. Okay, that's a holding

22:27

company. That's a if you're an ETF,

22:29

that's what you are. If you're a

22:30

closedin trust,

22:33

uh then you have 60 billion, but you

22:36

can't redeem it. And there's no way to

22:38

even uh you can't even arb the the

22:42

security to get to NAB because you don't

22:44

have the ability uh to trade. When

22:47

you're an operating company, you can

22:49

create convertible bonds, senior bonds,

22:52

asset back securities, you can create

22:54

preferred stocks, you can do IPOs, you

22:57

can sell the credit, you can buy the

22:58

credit, you can sell the equity, you can

23:00

buy the equity, you can sell derivatives

23:02

on the equity, you can sell derivatives

23:04

on the commodities, right? you can sell

23:07

the commodities. So operating companies

23:10

have a lot of financial flexibility. And

23:13

maybe the most important point to make

23:15

is if I want to create an instrument

23:18

where I strip 90% of the risk and 90% of

23:20

the volatility off of the Bitcoin and

23:22

give someone 10% yield in dollars. You

23:26

can't do that with a closed interest.

23:28

You can't do that with a private fund.

23:30

You can't do that with an ETF. You

23:32

literally have to have a publicly traded

23:36

operating company. In our case, a

23:39

well-known seasoned issuer. And that

23:41

that means a company that can create a

23:44

public security,

23:47

file the registration statements with

23:48

the SEC and take it public and list it

23:51

on the NASDAQ.

23:53

And if you look at STRC right now, STRC

23:56

is trading more than hund00 million a

23:58

day. uh that is a hundred times more

24:01

than the average preferred stock. That

24:04

is a thousand times more liquidity than

24:07

the typical over-the-counter

24:10

preferred stock issued by a public

24:12

company. And of course, nobody private

24:15

credit you've never heard of because

24:17

it's private. That's the that's the

24:19

whole point. So, so our company is

24:23

creating public global digital credit

24:27

backed by digital capital. And how big

24:30

is that business?

24:32

10 billion a year growing 20 30%.

24:36

We could issue 10 billion next year, 20

24:38

billion in a few years, 40 billion in a

24:40

few years, 100 billion later. uh and and

24:44

you cannot create you cannot create

24:47

digital credit without a public

24:48

operating company anymore. You can't

24:51

create an insurance policy unless you

24:53

have an operating company that has

24:54

capital that will underwrite the policy.

24:57

And you can't create credit cards or or

24:59

mortgages or commercial loans unless

25:03

you're a bank with capital and you can

25:05

actually create those credit

25:07

instruments. So So we are a finance a

25:10

structured finance company. We use the

25:13

capital uh we take advantage of our

25:15

public status and I would say because

25:18

it's an invention like really the

25:21

business model really just formed in the

25:23

past 12 months and because all of these

25:26

credit instruments we IPOed this year in

25:29

2025 this is all very new and anyone

25:32

that learned finance in the last 40

25:35

years has never seen this before in

25:37

their entire career. Right? So you can't

25:39

blame them for not expecting it, not

25:43

appreciating it, not necessarily

25:45

understanding it. It is literally a

25:48

totally new thing that is made possible

25:51

by the emergence of Bitcoin as digital

25:53

capital.

25:55

And if you combine digital capital, the

25:57

innovation with an IPO of a preferred

26:01

stock, the second innovation, and if you

26:03

combine that with uh at the market shelf

26:06

registration, a third innovation, and if

26:09

you combine that with the digital

26:11

treasury company uh that uses uh

26:14

security issuance or or return of

26:16

capital to pay the dividend, the fourth

26:18

innovation, if you put all those things

26:20

together, you have this revolutionary

26:22

digital credit product which pays two to

26:25

four times more fixed income than every

26:27

other credit instrument in the world.

26:30

But I can honestly say even six months

26:32

ago, it wasn't very clear to us that we

26:35

would stumble on this business or this

26:37

new asset class. So it's serendipitous

26:40

discovery.

26:42

I think it's revolutionary to the credit

26:44

markets, but but you know, when you're

26:47

going faster than the speed of sound,

26:49

there's going to be shock waves. There's

26:51

gonna gonna be a lot of sound and fury,

26:54

you know, and a lot of confusion. And

26:57

our job is to explain what we're doing,

27:01

why we're doing it, why it benefits all

27:05

classes of investors, and and how it's

27:07

good for the world.

27:08

>> I mean, you think about those shock

27:10

waves. If you look at 2025, I can't

27:12

imagine it's just been smooth sailing.

27:14

What was the biggest shock wave while uh

27:17

bringing this new product to market?

27:20

You know, I I I think when we started

27:22

down this path, um the entire asset

27:25

class of preferred stocks was Morabund.

27:28

The average preferred stock pays 6%

27:30

dividend. It's issued by one of 5,000

27:32

regional banks. It trades $100,000 a day

27:36

over the counter. It has a QIP number.

27:38

People can't find it. You know, uh it's

27:42

illquid.

27:43

The spreads are wide. Um, it used to be

27:46

baby bonds had a par value of $25.

27:51

Okay. And then institutional inst and

27:53

those were like baby preferreds. And

27:55

then institutional preferred had a par

27:56

value of $1,000.

27:58

But no one in the public market ever

28:00

thought to create a a security which had

28:04

a targeted value of $100, [snorts]

28:06

for example. And typically if you think

28:10

about credit markets, most companies

28:13

issue credit tactically in order to

28:15

support some other strategy or some

28:17

other product like Apple is selling

28:20

credit for a tax reason or I'm selling

28:23

credit to invest in a data center or

28:26

product or a service or Boeing is

28:29

selling credit to build airplanes.

28:32

We actually sold credit um in order to

28:36

buy capital and the credit became the

28:38

product. And so so generally well-run

28:41

companies uh don't think of the credit

28:43

as the product. They they actually want

28:46

the credit that pays the lowest amount

28:48

of yield to the investor and they

28:51

it by putting in call options.

28:54

And so we had this idea that we would

28:57

like, have you ever heard of a bond sold

29:00

by a bank where they put an at the

29:01

market shelf registration on it and they

29:03

continuously sold $5 million more of the

29:05

bond every day? It's like it's just not

29:07

done. In fact, you you almost can't do

29:10

it with a bond. I mean, it's it's you

29:12

need to do it with a perpetual preferred

29:14

type security. So, what we were doing

29:17

was introducing

29:19

something new into the traditional

29:21

finance system.

29:23

We wanted our credit to trade publicly.

29:26

We wanted a four-letter ticker. We

29:28

wanted to put a shelf registration on

29:30

it. We wanted we didn't want to optimize

29:33

it to maximize the size of the issuance

29:35

the week we sold the the issue. We

29:38

wanted to optimize it to maximize the

29:41

amount of credit that was purchased in

29:42

the decade after. like like I might sell

29:46

you 500 million this week but I really

29:48

want to sell 500 million a quarter or a

29:51

month for the next 20 years. So that

29:55

means it can't come due in five years.

29:57

That means I can't it. So, so

30:01

the most challenging thing about this

30:03

this uh year is is basically going

30:07

against the grain in the credit markets

30:10

creating we created strike and it has um

30:13

a perpetual call option. No one ever

30:15

sells a a call option good for 100 years

30:18

like no one ever does that. Uh and it

30:20

has a perpetual dividend. We'll pay you

30:22

a 8% or a 10% dividend forever. No one

30:26

ever does that. People like, "Are you

30:28

crazy paying a 10% dividend forever?"

30:31

Well, if you're investing in a warehouse

30:33

or in an iPhone or something, you if the

30:36

CFO of Apple or Microsoft said, "Um, we

30:39

have a 10% uh dividend obligation on

30:41

this preferred, their board of directors

30:44

say, why don't you actually retire that

30:45

and replace it with uh corporate debt

30:47

that pays 5% on a 5year or seven-year

30:50

rolling basis?" And and they would do it

30:54

because that's conventional finance. But

30:56

what we discovered is we would rather

30:59

pay a dividend of 10% forever

31:02

than pay 5% for five years. If I

31:06

actually issued five five-year bonds

31:08

that paid 5% the after tax um uh the

31:12

after tax yield to the investor is like

31:15

three or three and a half%. But if I pay

31:18

10% rock dividend, the after tax cash

31:21

yield is 10%. So, we're giving the

31:24

investor three times more money,

31:28

which is good for them. And for us, we

31:32

would rather never pay back the

31:33

principal ever because we want to invest

31:35

the money forever in the crypto economy.

31:37

So, we're going to take the billion and

31:38

we're going to give it to the Bitcoin

31:39

network forever or the crypto economy

31:41

forever. And so, so I think, you know,

31:45

all this year we've been bumping up

31:47

against conventional wisdom, which is,

31:49

well, no one's ever done it that way

31:51

before. Like when we went to Europe, we

31:53

sold a a preferred stock that pays a 10%

31:56

dividend in euros. And the banker said,

31:59

"No one does that. They all sell hybrid

32:01

bonds in Europe because they want to be

32:03

able to deduct the interest and they're

32:04

all bonds." And we said, "Well, that

32:06

will ruin the tax treatment and also we

32:08

don't want it to be a bond. It'll

32:09

actually screw up the capital

32:10

structure." So, I think we've made uh

32:14

we've we've made a lot of headway. We we

32:17

introduced the first really compelling

32:18

public preferred credit instrument in

32:20

Europe. We introduced the first

32:22

convertible preferred instrument based

32:24

upon uh a digital capital asset in the

32:27

US. We created that first you know

32:30

perpetual fixed income instrument like

32:32

strife. Then we created the first um

32:35

treasury credit instrument like stretch.

32:38

Uh when we did stretch you know I

32:41

designed all these with AI you know I

32:43

couldn't have done it myself. I I

32:44

literally sat and I used artificial

32:46

intelligence and I and I went back and

32:48

forth with the AI for a few hours. And

32:51

>> so you were just on chat GPT just like

32:53

the rest of us figuring out how to

32:55

design these different offerings

32:57

>> and arguing with it and saying can I do

32:59

this, can I do that? And at some point I

33:01

said well I want a monthly preferred and

33:03

I want it to be stable at 100. It says

33:05

well you can do this and this and this.

33:06

I said has anybody ever done this? and

33:09

it say and it scans for 10 minutes says

33:11

no one in the history of the world has

33:12

ever done this but it's totally legal

33:14

and it's totally reasonable to do it

33:16

it's just no one ever had a reason to do

33:18

it and so I I think 2025 is very

33:23

exciting because you have a new asset

33:25

class digital capital and if you put it

33:28

together with a new capability digital

33:30

intelligence and if you put it together

33:32

with some ideas like uh ATMs and public

33:36

listings you can create digital credit

33:39

and and if you're willing to disagree

33:42

with the lawyers and the bankers and the

33:44

conventional investors or just say, "I

33:47

know you've never done it before, but

33:49

it's a good idea, don't you think?"

33:51

They're like, "Well, yeah, I guess

33:52

there's nothing wrong with it. It's just

33:53

no one ever does it this way." It's

33:55

like, well, that's because in the 20th

33:57

century, you had 27,000 private wealth

34:00

advisors and over-the-counter banks, and

34:02

you didn't have you didn't have, you

34:05

know, publicly traded global NASDAQ

34:08

stocks, and you didn't have shelf

34:09

registrations, you didn't have digital

34:11

credit, you didn't have digital capital.

34:13

So, the world formed a certain way 30

34:17

years ago based upon the assets, the

34:20

regulatory environment, and the

34:22

technology.

34:24

And now the world is different and now

34:26

you can do different things with a clean

34:28

sheet of paper and you just have to go

34:30

in, you know, you have to go in without

34:33

these preconceived notions. And then

34:35

when someone says, "I've never seen it.

34:37

I don't want to do it." You have to say,

34:39

"Well, do you not want to do it for a

34:41

good reason or you just don't want to do

34:43

it because you've never done it before?"

34:45

And and they're like, "Well, I'm worried

34:47

about this." Like for example, we were

34:49

doing this uh we were doing Strife and

34:52

we created the instrument. uh it's a

34:54

perpetual dividend. It pays 10% forever.

34:57

But that means that if the credit of the

34:59

company improves, it could trade up to

35:01

150 or 140. It could trade above par.

35:04

And the conventional view was, well,

35:06

there's going to be a fast pay issue

35:08

because, you know, it'll become a fast

35:10

pay instrument if you sell it above par

35:13

and so we can't do it. And so we went

35:15

back and forth forever and and and you

35:18

know, an army of lawyers couldn't figure

35:20

it out. And I went and I certainly

35:23

didn't want to sell an instrument where

35:25

we could never sell it above 100. That

35:27

that's not very good to yourself

35:29

like that because we designed it so when

35:31

it trades to 200, we could sell billions

35:33

of dollars of it at a cost of capital of

35:35

5%. So we had this problem that

35:39

everybody had for 40 years. And I went

35:42

back and I and I said to the AI, I said,

35:44

you know, the lawyers say, well, we

35:46

can't do this. And they say it's a fast

35:48

pay problem. What do you think? And they

35:49

go and and the AI goes, "Yeah, the

35:52

right's a a fast pay problem." I said,

35:54

"How do we solve it?" They said, "Well,

35:56

just make it a floating liquidation

35:57

preference. You'll be fine." And it's

35:59

like, "We added one line to the entire

36:02

100page security." And we went back to

36:04

the lawyer said, "You know what? If we

36:06

just make the liquidation preference

36:07

floating and and the lawyers go, yeah,

36:10

that'll work." Okay. And so, by the way,

36:12

the difference between not and and doing

36:14

it is like $3 billion.

36:18

one line, $3 billion, right? and and I I

36:23

could be on the phone with a

36:25

conventional thinker

36:27

for a month and not break through. But

36:31

this entire journey has been all about

36:33

the art of the possible and how do I

36:36

find the right way, the responsible way,

36:39

the compliant way, the economically

36:42

sound way, but the inspirational way to

36:45

create something new and different and

36:47

better in a world that you know the the

36:50

traditional finance world has been doing

36:51

the same thing the same way. You c you

36:54

can literally find like bank preferred

36:56

stocks, they've issued thousands of them

36:58

the same way for 40 years. And there has

37:01

not been a single innovation.

37:03

And now we're out here with a new asset,

37:05

new technology, new aspirations. We want

37:08

something. It's like what Elon Musk

37:09

would say. You don't or the Google guys.

37:12

You don't want it to be 10% better. You

37:14

want it to be 10 times better or 100

37:17

times better. We want something much

37:19

better. And so we have to we have to

37:22

find a way uh to break through all the

37:26

conventional thinking. And this entire

37:28

year is just an exercise in in doing

37:32

something and having like here's another

37:34

example. We did Strife STRF. It's a

37:37

cumulative uh senior preferred stock and

37:40

if we miss the dividend it pay there are

37:43

penalties and we thought well what if we

37:46

just strip away the cumulative right and

37:47

we strip away the penalty clause and

37:49

sell the exact same thing to the market.

37:52

Well you're like well that wouldn't be

37:53

as good. Why would someone want to buy

37:54

that? And the answer is because it would

37:56

trade lower and would pay a higher

37:57

dividend. And so we created the product

38:00

STRD,

38:01

the same exact product as STRF, but the

38:05

difference is it trades weaker. And that

38:08

means that it pays a 400 basis point

38:11

higher dividend. And there are a lot of

38:13

investors that want to get paid say 15%

38:16

instead of 10%.

38:18

And we created this instrument and all

38:21

we did was strip three paragraphs off of

38:23

the off of the 100page security. And

38:26

conventional wisdom is that'll never

38:28

sell. No one's ever done that. No one's

38:31

going to buy that. Why would anybody

38:32

ever buy a non-cumulative preferred

38:35

stock? And the answer is well because

38:36

they want a high dividend and they like

38:38

the company. And so we sold it and it

38:41

was actually twice as successful as the

38:43

fir as Strife was. It was a billion

38:45

dollar deal. very successful and and it

38:48

met a new need in the market. And a lot

38:51

of times it just comes from being

38:52

creative and trying something and not

38:55

being and not being too conventional.

38:57

And I think that's that's like the

39:00

journey that we've been on all 2025.

39:03

>> Michael, we got to we got to keep it

39:05

moving. And I've been asking all of our

39:06

most influential

39:09

um they're not nominees anymore. All of

39:11

our most influential people these

39:13

questions. you get them all the time,

39:15

but just humor me. Uh, what do you

39:18

anticipate the price of Bitcoin to be by

39:19

the end of the year?

39:21

>> I think that's really hard call right

39:23

now, you know, given the volatility

39:25

we're seeing today. So, I don't think I

39:28

can give you a shortterm answer. It

39:30

could be really anywhere. I can give you

39:33

my my view over the long term, which is

39:36

I expect Bitcoin it will appreciate

39:39

about 30% a year for the next 20 years.

39:42

And I think that if you look at it as an

39:45

asset, the volatility is going to click

39:48

down. It's gone from 80 to 70 to 60 to

39:50

50. The V is going to go from 50 to 45

39:54

to 40 to 35 to 30 to 25. It's going to

39:57

grind down towards something which is

39:59

50% more volatile than the VIX. The ARR

40:02

is going to track the volatility. And so

40:05

when we're 50 ball, we'll be 50 ARR and

40:07

then 45 and then 40 and then 35 and then

40:10

30 and then 25. And the terminal point

40:13

if you look 21 years out is like 20 21%

40:17

ARR 21 V. We're working our way there

40:22

and we're doing it with surges you know

40:25

up 40% and draw downs 30% and that

40:29

serpentine climbing pattern you know as

40:33

we work our way uh toward you know

40:35

global adoption. What's the biggest

40:38

challenge you think the industry still

40:41

has ahead?

40:43

>> I think there's extraordinary

40:45

opportunity and you can rethink uh

40:47

credit. There's $300 trillion of credit.

40:50

You can rethink the credit markets. You

40:51

can rethink the equity markets.

40:54

You can rethink corporate finance. You

40:57

can rethink banking. You can rethink

40:59

insurance. You can rethink a lot of

41:02

conventional finance ideas. You can

41:04

rethink currency and you can rethink

41:06

payments. you can rethink capital

41:08

markets raises

41:10

uh etc. But all of that is new and new

41:15

is confusing and new can be scary. So I

41:18

think the biggest challenge that the

41:20

industry faced is uh to engage in uh

41:25

continuous

41:26

consistent cheerful constructive

41:30

education and advocacy you know

41:33

everywhere in the world you know with

41:36

all types of policy makers with

41:38

investors with politicians with people

41:41

running finance companies with the

41:43

journalists with uh opinion makers you

41:46

know everyone One's got to have an

41:48

opinion, but

41:50

if you know, it's [clears throat] like

41:52

if I invented um an atomic overthruster

41:55

that gave you infinite clean energy

41:58

forever and you could hold it in the

42:00

palm of your hand, there would be so

42:02

much fear and loathing and confusion and

42:06

debate and controversy about whether

42:08

that's good or bad and who wins and who

42:10

loses and should we let people have it

42:12

and should we give it to six-year-olds

42:13

and should we power our cars with it?

42:16

And I think that the world is struggling

42:18

with that new tech and it's it doesn't

42:22

quite know how to process it. And people

42:24

have uh limited attention spans and they

42:27

have a a a body of knowledge and

42:30

prejudices and biases and conventional

42:32

wisdoms they've learned over 30 years in

42:34

their life and they're carrying a lot of

42:35

baggage with them. And we have to go and

42:38

and we have to cheerfully,

42:40

constructively explain to them how their

42:42

life can be better with digital assets,

42:45

digital capital, digital technology,

42:47

digital finance.

42:49

>> Do you think we're going to get market

42:50

structure legislation in the US before

42:52

the end of this year?

42:54

>> No, I don't think we will. I think it's

42:56

slipped. I think I think you know, best

42:59

case end of Q1, more likely case end of

43:02

Q2. I I think if you were to say you

43:04

expect it by the end by the first half

43:06

of next year, I think that's reasonable.

43:08

Uh I think there's a chance that it

43:11

might come sooner. I do think there's

43:13

bipartisan consensus that it needs to be

43:15

a bill. I think it's a very complicated

43:17

bill and I think there's a lot of

43:19

complicated issues to be worked through

43:22

and and you know there's a lot of people

43:25

involved and so it will be a heavy lift.

43:29

What are the top three most attractive

43:31

assets to you as we head into 2026?

43:36

>> Well, I'm clearly most enthusiastic

43:39

about digital capital. I think Bitcoin

43:40

is digital capital

43:43

and uh I'm second most enthusiastic

43:46

about digital credit. So, the credit

43:49

instruments that digital treasury

43:51

companies like Strategy, MetaPlanet, and

43:54

Strive are creating. I and then I'm

43:57

third most interested in digital equity.

43:59

That is the equity in a digital treasury

44:01

company in the business of creating

44:03

digital credit. So it's digital digital

44:06

digital depending on whether you're a

44:08

credit investor, equity investor or

44:10

capital investor.

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>> Michael, thank you so much for your

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time. Thanks for joining me and I'm sure

44:15

we'll see you again soon.

44:16

>> Yeah, looking forward to it. Thank you.

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