Michael Saylor: 'I Expect Bitcoin Will Appreciate 30% a Year for the Next 20 Years'
CoinDesk · 2025-12-19 · 44m · View on YouTube →
I expect Bitcoin it will appreciate
about 30% a year for the next 20 years.
And I think that if you look at it as an
asset, the volatility is going to click
down. It's gone from 80 to 70 to 60 to
50. The V is going to go from 50 to 45
to 40 to 35 to 30 to 25. It's going to
grind down towards something which is
50% more volatile than the VIX.
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Hey everyone, you're watching Coindesk
and I'm Jen Sassy. Coindes 2025 most
influential list is officially out and
our next guest defined the year by
turning the Bitcoin treasury from a
niche idea into a global phenomenon.
We're joined now by Micro Strategies
Michael Sailor. Michael, great to have
you on.
>> Yeah, happy to be here.
>> I got to stop saying Micro Strategy. It
is strategy, but congratulations anyways
on making CoinDesk's most influential
list. Let's just start here. I mean,
just a few years ago, people were
calling you crazy for uh building the
largest Bitcoin treasury in the world.
From where we're sitting now, I mean,
just reflect on those last few years for
me.
>> Yeah, I think uh you know, when I
started on this journey, I was looking
for digital gold. I was looking for a
digital capital network and it looked
like Bitcoin was that network. But of
course uh five years ago not everyone in
the world agreed with me and uh and we
saw it as the best idea and so we just
kept investing. I think we acquired
Bitcoin more than 87 times and you know
we rode it up and then down and then up
and then down and then up again. I think
we uh we saw some nice breakthroughs in
2024 with the approval of the ETF in
January and then in the November
election cycle. We got a very pro-
crypto and pro- Bitcoin administration.
And then uh in January of this year, we
got an upgrade to the accounting for all
digital assets. And uh now we're moving
in the in the phase of banking
acceptance and we're starting to get
banks that are willing to extend credit
on the ETFs like IBIT. And now there
many like Schwab and City have announced
they're going to start to custody crypto
assets like Bitcoin. And so I I think
the last five years have been quite the
journey, but and I couldn't have
predicted everything that would have
happened along the way, but I'm pleased
with the outcome so far.
>> You know, Michael, it really does seem
like the space is making a lot of
progress for a lot of the reasons you
just mentioned. But folks maybe who have
gotten into Bitcoin in the last few
years, a lot of them are asking me,
they're wondering, you know, there's
such institutional support, there's such
support at a regulatory level, but yet
Bitcoin is still such a volatile asset.
What would you say to those folks?
>> You know, when I got involved, yeah, I I
started paying attention in March of
2020, and if you remember what happened
in March of 2020, I think Bitcoin traded
from 10,000 down to 4,000 in one day. It
was terrifying, but all the markets were
terrifying. And at that point, I think
looking back, Bitcoin had a history of
more than a 100 V and more than 100%
ARR.
And uh later that year, it was sort of
an 80 v asset with an 80% ARR. And then
every year for the past five years, it's
gone it sort of decelerated. It was a 70
V, 70 AR, and then 60 60. And then uh
and then after about 5 years it looks
like about 50 V 50 ARR
and uh so 50 V is still very volatile.
It's still three times the S&P
volatility but uh believe it or not it
is actually seasoning and it is
institutionalizing
at a reasonable rate if you just click
off the volatilities in in 10%
increments.
You know, a lot of the people who are
starting their Bitcoin treasuries have
told me in interviews like this one that
they talk to you. It's not a competitive
thing that they get advice from you.
When you're talking to CEOs and CFOs
from companies who are considering
Bitcoin Treasury strategies,
what kinds of questions are they asking?
How has the conversation shifted over
the last few years?
>> Well, you know, early on, uh, there was
the question of, you know, accounting,
right? we had indefinite and tangible
accounting. So, so what are the
accounting issues? What are the legal
issues? Uh what are the regulatory
issues? Can I take the company public?
Uh what should I how do I deal with
investors? And so those were those were
challenging issues. But I think in the
last 12 months, we've now had 200 plus
companies uh put some kind of Bitcoin on
their balance sheet and probably were
300 plus with some crypto asset on their
balance sheet. So we've gone from it
being just a handful of companies to
being hundreds of companies and and so
now we're really evolving not not uh
we're not dealing with the question of
can I actually hold a digital asset or
is Bitcoin capital can I hold it but
rather what should I do with the capital
once I get it? What what do I do if I
have a billion dollars worth of Bitcoin?
How do I create value with the billion
dollars of Bitcoin other than just
holding it? And that ushers in the
entire digital credit conversation. I
mean there are a lot of things you can
do with capital to to uh generate
shareholder value. But but we become big
enthusiasts into digital credit. So most
of my conversations discuss how do you
create digital credit uh collateralized
by digital capital.
>> Well talk to me a little bit about
digital credit for our audience that's
watching. What does that mean
practically?
So if you look at Bitcoin, you're like,
okay, this is a 50 V asset and it's got
50% ARR returns annual over five years.
And everybody kind of knows if you're
going to own that, you need to hold it
for more than four years. And I would
say uh the natural duration is 10 years.
So, Bitcoin represents a financial
solution to someone that's going to hold
the product for 10 years and endure a 50
volatility roller coaster in order to
get really good returns. The world's
full of investors that if if I was
selling a product like a car and I said,
"This is a electrolying hover car uh and
you have to buy it now, but you don't
get to use it for 10 years." It wouldn't
be an easy consumer product. I have this
can of Coca-Cola. It's going to taste
really good, but you got to put it in
your refrigerator for four years and
then you can take it out and drink it.
Well, I mean, there's a lot of people
that want instant gratification. It's
like, give me the car that drives now.
Give me give me the fa fast food, right?
So, how do you actually strip the
volatility, strip the duration, and and
compress the performance into something
that a mere mortal can appreciate? And
so the idea of digital credit is most
people they don't want to wait 10 years
uh you know to get an insanely good
return. What they want is say a bank
account that pays 10%. Without the
volatility like I put my money in the
bank they pay me 10% that's better than
2% or 1% or 4%.
So in order to in order to create
something which is which has got the
volatility stripped off of it and got
the risk stripped off of it and it's got
the yield uh distilled and you convert
it into the currency of choice like I
live in Japan. I want 8% I want a bank
account that pays me 8% and yen with a
stable value. that would be a digital
credit instrument in Japan and that's
something like say a MetPanet could
create and what we've created is
products like STRC which is a treasury
credit instrument in US dollars and um
if I have $10 billion of capital Bitcoin
then that's going to be very volatile
you're going to live on that roller
coaster and you got to hold it for four
years or longer and again ideally 10
years but I can take $1 billion dollar
of my capital structure.
I can create some credit instrument
which is 10x over collateralized
and I can sell that in the market and I
can offer say 10% dividend yield and I'm
going to fund the dividend yield with
the first 10% of the return of the
Bitcoin. So I sell the billion dollars
of credit, I buy a billion dollars of
Bitcoin. Bitcoin is going to do this. is
going to be a roller coaster for 10
years. The credit investor doesn't want
that. The retiree doesn't want that, but
the equity investor and the company can
absorb that. We we would like to collect
uh 30% and pay 10. And we're willing to
stomach days where we're down a lot or
we're up a lot and smooth it over a over
a decade. and uh the credit investor is
like a 20some in grad school or they're
retiree or they're a fixed income
investor. So uh what we're doing as a
treasury company is we are swapping uh
stability and yield in dollars or it
could be in euros. We just we just
created a digital credit instrument that
pays uh yield in euros. we're swapping
that in order to get the capital uh to
buy Bitcoin, which is digital capital.
And and so and at the end of the day,
what you do is you create an equity
instrument for equity investors that
want amplified Bitcoin that they want
more volatility and they want more
performance. And then you create credit
for credit investors that want damped
Bitcoin. They want uh you know they want
if I'm 10x over collateralized I've
stripped 90% of the risk away right?
Bitcoin has to fall by 90% and I'm still
collateralized. So I've stripped 90% of
the risk away. I've stripped 90% of the
volatility away. I'm not giving you the
30%. I'm giving you the 10%.
But that's totally fine because if you
walk down the street and you ask a 100
people uh do you want to buy a really
killer complicated digital capital asset
you got to hold for a decade uh to get
you know insane returns or do you want
to buy a bank account that gives you 10%
without that volatility. Most people
want the 10% bank account powered by
digital capital rather than the 30% ARR
on the volatility roller coaster. And so
we're what the digital credit idea is
you serve you serve all constituencies.
But by the way, there's three. If you
don't trust anybody, if you just want to
own the crypto asset, the commodity, you
buy Bitcoin. And then if you're an
equity investor and you want to buy a
company that that's on rocket, it's a
rocket ship or the jet engine on, you
know, or the roller coaster, then you
buy the equity. And if you're the credit
investor and you want a comfortable
retirement and social security,
then you buy the credit and that way
everybody's getting what they want out
of this trade.
Michael, I want to I want to look to
2026 and maybe even beyond with you. I
mean, how does the Bitcoin Treasury
company evolve? And I don't mean just
yours, but you know, we're seeing more
and more corporates look at holding
Bitcoin on their balance sheet. Is this
just going to be something that every
company does to diversify or is there
more of a strategy there? Are we going
to see some kind of consolidation?
What's that future you're building
towards? I I think the most excit There
are a lot of ways you can create value
from capital. For example, banks use
their capital to create consumer credit
and commercial credit. Insurance
companies use capital to create
innovative insurance, you know, life
insurance, health insurance, car
insurance, reinsurance, different and
different types of insurance programs.
But a treasury company like a a Bitcoin
treasury company or a digital uh
treasury company,
the most compelling thing is to create
digital credit. And right now you've got
three companies that have been leading
the way. Our company has created uh five
digital credit instruments and probably
the flagship is stretch uh a variable
rate monthly preferred credit. Think of
it as treasury credit or a high yield
bank account.
Strive uh created a product called SATA
SATA which is uh sort of similar to
stretch. It is also a treasury credit
instrument that pays uh that pays these
dividends. Uh they're rock dividends,
return of capital dividends just like uh
stretch pays these return of capital
dividends. Um and return of capital
dividends are very cool because they're
tax deferred. You get paid the dividend.
there's no there's no capital gains tax
or income tax on it. You just reduce the
basis in the instrument and uh so you're
getting a huge amount of cash flow. And
then there's a third company,
MetaPlanet. And MetaPlanet just uh
created a digital credit instrument
called Mercury, which was convertible
preferred. It's very similar to what
what we did first called Strike STRK.
and Metapanet announced Mars uh
Metaplanet adjustable rate security that
will be a treasury credit instrument in
yen. So you have those three examples of
companies that are creating adjustable
rate digital credit instruments,
treasury credit instruments, all powered
by Bitcoin. They're all going to pay
much higher dividend yields than your
money market or your bank account could.
uh they all work well for the treasury
company because if you're a digital
treasury company, you want to generate
BTC yield for your equity investors. So
what what is the motor to create
shareholder value if you're the treasury
company, right? And the motor is to sell
digital credit. When you, you know, when
you sell $100 million of digital credit
and you buy $100 million worth of
Bitcoin,
you're uh creating a $100 million
Bitcoin gain for the equity investors
upfront without any shareholder
dilution. And then you're creating a
high yield bank account uh for the
credit investor via that swap. And
you're using the digital capital as the
collateral in order to strip the risk
and the volatility off of the credit
which then makes it appealing to the
riskadverse credit investor who would
never ever want to buy the underlying
commodity. They just couldn't handle the
volatility and there's you know there's
no yield in Bitcoin and there's a lot of
V in Bitcoin and the world's full of
investors that don't want the V and they
do want the yield. So, I think um I'm
not going to tell you what every
treasury company or what every digital
asset holder should do because in theory
you could accumulate $10 billion of of
Bitcoin and you could write insurance
policies with it or you could be, you
know, you could also loan out the
Bitcoin, you know, to another
counterparty. So there are there is a
banking model, there's an insurance
model, but I I personally believe the
most compelling business model is the
treasury model. And the treasury model
is I raise capital and then I uh create
credit and I sell the credit. I sell
public credit. I I sell an STRK or an
STRC via an IPO, a NASDAQ. It's publicly
listed. It trades like STRC is trading
hundreds of millions of dollars a day
and it's a global credit instrument that
provides liquidity and yield and lower
volatility and less risk to a different
set of of uh customers. And I think I
think uh not to wax philosophical on
this but if you're asking if you think
what's the perfect product, what you
know is the iPhone the perfect product?
iPhone's pretty good product. that made
Apple a trillion dollar company. But I
think the perfect product is I give you
a treasury credit instrument that pays
you 8% more than the risk-free rate in
the currency that uh that your expenses
or your obligations come in. So if I
give you 8% in yen or 10% in euros or
10% or 12% in dollars, then I'm giving
you this massive high yield bank
account. You know, you don't need to be
able to read. You know, a three-year-old
would get value from it. An 80 year old
would get value from it. If you're in a
coma, you would get value from it,
right? Your unborn children will get
value from it. The trustees, the
foundation, it it pretty much is the
gift that keeps giving, right? It's such
a good product. There's that the
reaction of anybody would be, well,
what's the catch, right? And the catch
is well you need a dynamo to power the
the dividend and that's digital capital
Bitcoin. And then you need to you you
need to trust the creditworthiness of
the issuer. So you want to create a
digital treasury company that's got very
transparent credit that's got a lot of
collateral
that is understandable that acts in a
very uh a very predictable transparent
consistent fashion over time. And that's
what makes you credit worthy. And that
that is I think the the digital credit
revolution.
I want to talk about strategy
specifically now about the operating
company. I know you said on X recently
that it is an operating company with a
$500 million software business. I know
when S&P Global gave strategy its rating
this year, it said that the company had
a relatively small software business. So
I want to give you the chance to respond
to that and ask you if there are plans
to grow the software business as we head
into the new year.
>> You know the software business is
healthy and it's cash cow but it's not a
it's not a fast grower. It's not a
hyperrowth company. The part of the
business that that is actually the hyper
growth operating business is the digital
credit operation. So, we sold uh about
$7 billion
worth of digital credit this year. So,
we invented this product. What is the
product? The product is digital credit.
Uh it went from 0 to7 billion a year in
10 months. And so, how many companies do
you know that created a product that
sells 7 billion a year and without in
less than 12 months? So, so that's the
business, right? We sell credit and and
what's the market for that? Well,
there's $30 trillion of digital of
treasury [snorts] credit demand in the
US alone. And so when we did stretch, we
did five IPOs this year and each IPO was
a new product, a new treasury credit, a
new credit product being launched. And
the and the fourth of them was stretch.
That was the biggest IPO in 2025 of any
public company. was two and a half 2
bill521
million.
And you would think, okay, that's pretty
big, but that is 1/100th
of 1% of the treasury market in the US.
And so when you think about the market
we're targeting, we're targeting the
money market, the the market where
someone's got a bunch of cash and
they're going to get four 400 basis
points of yield and we're offering 10%
and we're offering 10% as a tax deferred
dividend instead of 4% taxable.
If you live in New York, then that's the
that's like a bank account that pays you
22%
instead of four. So, you know, you're a
retail investor and or you're a normal
person or a normal business. You're
living in New York and the bank says
we'll give you 20% instead of 4%. You
would think, well, that's a cool bank.
Maybe I want to put my money in that
bank. And so so our product is digital
credit. The operating business is
generating I think we generated 12
billion of BTC gains last year and I
think 12 billion of gains you know more
than 12 billion this year to date. The
gains come from selling the securities
in order to buy the commodity and doing
it in an advantageous way. When we when
we sell the securities at a premium to
the underlying asset, there's an
immediate gain. And when we pay a 10%
dividend and invest in an asset that's
appreciating 50% a year, which is what
Bitcoin's been doing, then there's a
consistent annual gain. And so the
company gets gets extreme leverage and
creates shareholder value by selling
those credit instruments to buy Bitcoin,
which is digital capital. And you know
you if you were a holding company, okay,
well, so you have $60 billion worth of
Bitcoin, you're an ETF. What are you
doing? Nothing. Okay, that's a holding
company. That's a if you're an ETF,
that's what you are. If you're a
closedin trust,
uh then you have 60 billion, but you
can't redeem it. And there's no way to
even uh you can't even arb the the
security to get to NAB because you don't
have the ability uh to trade. When
you're an operating company, you can
create convertible bonds, senior bonds,
asset back securities, you can create
preferred stocks, you can do IPOs, you
can sell the credit, you can buy the
credit, you can sell the equity, you can
buy the equity, you can sell derivatives
on the equity, you can sell derivatives
on the commodities, right? you can sell
the commodities. So operating companies
have a lot of financial flexibility. And
maybe the most important point to make
is if I want to create an instrument
where I strip 90% of the risk and 90% of
the volatility off of the Bitcoin and
give someone 10% yield in dollars. You
can't do that with a closed interest.
You can't do that with a private fund.
You can't do that with an ETF. You
literally have to have a publicly traded
operating company. In our case, a
well-known seasoned issuer. And that
that means a company that can create a
public security,
file the registration statements with
the SEC and take it public and list it
on the NASDAQ.
And if you look at STRC right now, STRC
is trading more than hund00 million a
day. uh that is a hundred times more
than the average preferred stock. That
is a thousand times more liquidity than
the typical over-the-counter
preferred stock issued by a public
company. And of course, nobody private
credit you've never heard of because
it's private. That's the that's the
whole point. So, so our company is
creating public global digital credit
backed by digital capital. And how big
is that business?
10 billion a year growing 20 30%.
We could issue 10 billion next year, 20
billion in a few years, 40 billion in a
few years, 100 billion later. uh and and
you cannot create you cannot create
digital credit without a public
operating company anymore. You can't
create an insurance policy unless you
have an operating company that has
capital that will underwrite the policy.
And you can't create credit cards or or
mortgages or commercial loans unless
you're a bank with capital and you can
actually create those credit
instruments. So So we are a finance a
structured finance company. We use the
capital uh we take advantage of our
public status and I would say because
it's an invention like really the
business model really just formed in the
past 12 months and because all of these
credit instruments we IPOed this year in
2025 this is all very new and anyone
that learned finance in the last 40
years has never seen this before in
their entire career. Right? So you can't
blame them for not expecting it, not
appreciating it, not necessarily
understanding it. It is literally a
totally new thing that is made possible
by the emergence of Bitcoin as digital
capital.
And if you combine digital capital, the
innovation with an IPO of a preferred
stock, the second innovation, and if you
combine that with uh at the market shelf
registration, a third innovation, and if
you combine that with the digital
treasury company uh that uses uh
security issuance or or return of
capital to pay the dividend, the fourth
innovation, if you put all those things
together, you have this revolutionary
digital credit product which pays two to
four times more fixed income than every
other credit instrument in the world.
But I can honestly say even six months
ago, it wasn't very clear to us that we
would stumble on this business or this
new asset class. So it's serendipitous
discovery.
I think it's revolutionary to the credit
markets, but but you know, when you're
going faster than the speed of sound,
there's going to be shock waves. There's
gonna gonna be a lot of sound and fury,
you know, and a lot of confusion. And
our job is to explain what we're doing,
why we're doing it, why it benefits all
classes of investors, and and how it's
good for the world.
>> I mean, you think about those shock
waves. If you look at 2025, I can't
imagine it's just been smooth sailing.
What was the biggest shock wave while uh
bringing this new product to market?
You know, I I I think when we started
down this path, um the entire asset
class of preferred stocks was Morabund.
The average preferred stock pays 6%
dividend. It's issued by one of 5,000
regional banks. It trades $100,000 a day
over the counter. It has a QIP number.
People can't find it. You know, uh it's
illquid.
The spreads are wide. Um, it used to be
baby bonds had a par value of $25.
Okay. And then institutional inst and
those were like baby preferreds. And
then institutional preferred had a par
value of $1,000.
But no one in the public market ever
thought to create a a security which had
a targeted value of $100, [snorts]
for example. And typically if you think
about credit markets, most companies
issue credit tactically in order to
support some other strategy or some
other product like Apple is selling
credit for a tax reason or I'm selling
credit to invest in a data center or
product or a service or Boeing is
selling credit to build airplanes.
We actually sold credit um in order to
buy capital and the credit became the
product. And so so generally well-run
companies uh don't think of the credit
as the product. They they actually want
the credit that pays the lowest amount
of yield to the investor and they
it by putting in call options.
And so we had this idea that we would
like, have you ever heard of a bond sold
by a bank where they put an at the
market shelf registration on it and they
continuously sold $5 million more of the
bond every day? It's like it's just not
done. In fact, you you almost can't do
it with a bond. I mean, it's it's you
need to do it with a perpetual preferred
type security. So, what we were doing
was introducing
something new into the traditional
finance system.
We wanted our credit to trade publicly.
We wanted a four-letter ticker. We
wanted to put a shelf registration on
it. We wanted we didn't want to optimize
it to maximize the size of the issuance
the week we sold the the issue. We
wanted to optimize it to maximize the
amount of credit that was purchased in
the decade after. like like I might sell
you 500 million this week but I really
want to sell 500 million a quarter or a
month for the next 20 years. So that
means it can't come due in five years.
That means I can't it. So, so
the most challenging thing about this
this uh year is is basically going
against the grain in the credit markets
creating we created strike and it has um
a perpetual call option. No one ever
sells a a call option good for 100 years
like no one ever does that. Uh and it
has a perpetual dividend. We'll pay you
a 8% or a 10% dividend forever. No one
ever does that. People like, "Are you
crazy paying a 10% dividend forever?"
Well, if you're investing in a warehouse
or in an iPhone or something, you if the
CFO of Apple or Microsoft said, "Um, we
have a 10% uh dividend obligation on
this preferred, their board of directors
say, why don't you actually retire that
and replace it with uh corporate debt
that pays 5% on a 5year or seven-year
rolling basis?" And and they would do it
because that's conventional finance. But
what we discovered is we would rather
pay a dividend of 10% forever
than pay 5% for five years. If I
actually issued five five-year bonds
that paid 5% the after tax um uh the
after tax yield to the investor is like
three or three and a half%. But if I pay
10% rock dividend, the after tax cash
yield is 10%. So, we're giving the
investor three times more money,
which is good for them. And for us, we
would rather never pay back the
principal ever because we want to invest
the money forever in the crypto economy.
So, we're going to take the billion and
we're going to give it to the Bitcoin
network forever or the crypto economy
forever. And so, so I think, you know,
all this year we've been bumping up
against conventional wisdom, which is,
well, no one's ever done it that way
before. Like when we went to Europe, we
sold a a preferred stock that pays a 10%
dividend in euros. And the banker said,
"No one does that. They all sell hybrid
bonds in Europe because they want to be
able to deduct the interest and they're
all bonds." And we said, "Well, that
will ruin the tax treatment and also we
don't want it to be a bond. It'll
actually screw up the capital
structure." So, I think we've made uh
we've we've made a lot of headway. We we
introduced the first really compelling
public preferred credit instrument in
Europe. We introduced the first
convertible preferred instrument based
upon uh a digital capital asset in the
US. We created that first you know
perpetual fixed income instrument like
strife. Then we created the first um
treasury credit instrument like stretch.
Uh when we did stretch you know I
designed all these with AI you know I
couldn't have done it myself. I I
literally sat and I used artificial
intelligence and I and I went back and
forth with the AI for a few hours. And
>> so you were just on chat GPT just like
the rest of us figuring out how to
design these different offerings
>> and arguing with it and saying can I do
this, can I do that? And at some point I
said well I want a monthly preferred and
I want it to be stable at 100. It says
well you can do this and this and this.
I said has anybody ever done this? and
it say and it scans for 10 minutes says
no one in the history of the world has
ever done this but it's totally legal
and it's totally reasonable to do it
it's just no one ever had a reason to do
it and so I I think 2025 is very
exciting because you have a new asset
class digital capital and if you put it
together with a new capability digital
intelligence and if you put it together
with some ideas like uh ATMs and public
listings you can create digital credit
and and if you're willing to disagree
with the lawyers and the bankers and the
conventional investors or just say, "I
know you've never done it before, but
it's a good idea, don't you think?"
They're like, "Well, yeah, I guess
there's nothing wrong with it. It's just
no one ever does it this way." It's
like, well, that's because in the 20th
century, you had 27,000 private wealth
advisors and over-the-counter banks, and
you didn't have you didn't have, you
know, publicly traded global NASDAQ
stocks, and you didn't have shelf
registrations, you didn't have digital
credit, you didn't have digital capital.
So, the world formed a certain way 30
years ago based upon the assets, the
regulatory environment, and the
technology.
And now the world is different and now
you can do different things with a clean
sheet of paper and you just have to go
in, you know, you have to go in without
these preconceived notions. And then
when someone says, "I've never seen it.
I don't want to do it." You have to say,
"Well, do you not want to do it for a
good reason or you just don't want to do
it because you've never done it before?"
And and they're like, "Well, I'm worried
about this." Like for example, we were
doing this uh we were doing Strife and
we created the instrument. uh it's a
perpetual dividend. It pays 10% forever.
But that means that if the credit of the
company improves, it could trade up to
150 or 140. It could trade above par.
And the conventional view was, well,
there's going to be a fast pay issue
because, you know, it'll become a fast
pay instrument if you sell it above par
and so we can't do it. And so we went
back and forth forever and and and you
know, an army of lawyers couldn't figure
it out. And I went and I certainly
didn't want to sell an instrument where
we could never sell it above 100. That
that's not very good to yourself
like that because we designed it so when
it trades to 200, we could sell billions
of dollars of it at a cost of capital of
5%. So we had this problem that
everybody had for 40 years. And I went
back and I and I said to the AI, I said,
you know, the lawyers say, well, we
can't do this. And they say it's a fast
pay problem. What do you think? And they
go and and the AI goes, "Yeah, the
right's a a fast pay problem." I said,
"How do we solve it?" They said, "Well,
just make it a floating liquidation
preference. You'll be fine." And it's
like, "We added one line to the entire
100page security." And we went back to
the lawyer said, "You know what? If we
just make the liquidation preference
floating and and the lawyers go, yeah,
that'll work." Okay. And so, by the way,
the difference between not and and doing
it is like $3 billion.
one line, $3 billion, right? and and I I
could be on the phone with a
conventional thinker
for a month and not break through. But
this entire journey has been all about
the art of the possible and how do I
find the right way, the responsible way,
the compliant way, the economically
sound way, but the inspirational way to
create something new and different and
better in a world that you know the the
traditional finance world has been doing
the same thing the same way. You c you
can literally find like bank preferred
stocks, they've issued thousands of them
the same way for 40 years. And there has
not been a single innovation.
And now we're out here with a new asset,
new technology, new aspirations. We want
something. It's like what Elon Musk
would say. You don't or the Google guys.
You don't want it to be 10% better. You
want it to be 10 times better or 100
times better. We want something much
better. And so we have to we have to
find a way uh to break through all the
conventional thinking. And this entire
year is just an exercise in in doing
something and having like here's another
example. We did Strife STRF. It's a
cumulative uh senior preferred stock and
if we miss the dividend it pay there are
penalties and we thought well what if we
just strip away the cumulative right and
we strip away the penalty clause and
sell the exact same thing to the market.
Well you're like well that wouldn't be
as good. Why would someone want to buy
that? And the answer is because it would
trade lower and would pay a higher
dividend. And so we created the product
STRD,
the same exact product as STRF, but the
difference is it trades weaker. And that
means that it pays a 400 basis point
higher dividend. And there are a lot of
investors that want to get paid say 15%
instead of 10%.
And we created this instrument and all
we did was strip three paragraphs off of
the off of the 100page security. And
conventional wisdom is that'll never
sell. No one's ever done that. No one's
going to buy that. Why would anybody
ever buy a non-cumulative preferred
stock? And the answer is well because
they want a high dividend and they like
the company. And so we sold it and it
was actually twice as successful as the
fir as Strife was. It was a billion
dollar deal. very successful and and it
met a new need in the market. And a lot
of times it just comes from being
creative and trying something and not
being and not being too conventional.
And I think that's that's like the
journey that we've been on all 2025.
>> Michael, we got to we got to keep it
moving. And I've been asking all of our
most influential
um they're not nominees anymore. All of
our most influential people these
questions. you get them all the time,
but just humor me. Uh, what do you
anticipate the price of Bitcoin to be by
the end of the year?
>> I think that's really hard call right
now, you know, given the volatility
we're seeing today. So, I don't think I
can give you a shortterm answer. It
could be really anywhere. I can give you
my my view over the long term, which is
I expect Bitcoin it will appreciate
about 30% a year for the next 20 years.
And I think that if you look at it as an
asset, the volatility is going to click
down. It's gone from 80 to 70 to 60 to
50. The V is going to go from 50 to 45
to 40 to 35 to 30 to 25. It's going to
grind down towards something which is
50% more volatile than the VIX. The ARR
is going to track the volatility. And so
when we're 50 ball, we'll be 50 ARR and
then 45 and then 40 and then 35 and then
30 and then 25. And the terminal point
if you look 21 years out is like 20 21%
ARR 21 V. We're working our way there
and we're doing it with surges you know
up 40% and draw downs 30% and that
serpentine climbing pattern you know as
we work our way uh toward you know
global adoption. What's the biggest
challenge you think the industry still
has ahead?
>> I think there's extraordinary
opportunity and you can rethink uh
credit. There's $300 trillion of credit.
You can rethink the credit markets. You
can rethink the equity markets.
You can rethink corporate finance. You
can rethink banking. You can rethink
insurance. You can rethink a lot of
conventional finance ideas. You can
rethink currency and you can rethink
payments. you can rethink capital
markets raises
uh etc. But all of that is new and new
is confusing and new can be scary. So I
think the biggest challenge that the
industry faced is uh to engage in uh
continuous
consistent cheerful constructive
education and advocacy you know
everywhere in the world you know with
all types of policy makers with
investors with politicians with people
running finance companies with the
journalists with uh opinion makers you
know everyone One's got to have an
opinion, but
if you know, it's [clears throat] like
if I invented um an atomic overthruster
that gave you infinite clean energy
forever and you could hold it in the
palm of your hand, there would be so
much fear and loathing and confusion and
debate and controversy about whether
that's good or bad and who wins and who
loses and should we let people have it
and should we give it to six-year-olds
and should we power our cars with it?
And I think that the world is struggling
with that new tech and it's it doesn't
quite know how to process it. And people
have uh limited attention spans and they
have a a a body of knowledge and
prejudices and biases and conventional
wisdoms they've learned over 30 years in
their life and they're carrying a lot of
baggage with them. And we have to go and
and we have to cheerfully,
constructively explain to them how their
life can be better with digital assets,
digital capital, digital technology,
digital finance.
>> Do you think we're going to get market
structure legislation in the US before
the end of this year?
>> No, I don't think we will. I think it's
slipped. I think I think you know, best
case end of Q1, more likely case end of
Q2. I I think if you were to say you
expect it by the end by the first half
of next year, I think that's reasonable.
Uh I think there's a chance that it
might come sooner. I do think there's
bipartisan consensus that it needs to be
a bill. I think it's a very complicated
bill and I think there's a lot of
complicated issues to be worked through
and and you know there's a lot of people
involved and so it will be a heavy lift.
What are the top three most attractive
assets to you as we head into 2026?
>> Well, I'm clearly most enthusiastic
about digital capital. I think Bitcoin
is digital capital
and uh I'm second most enthusiastic
about digital credit. So, the credit
instruments that digital treasury
companies like Strategy, MetaPlanet, and
Strive are creating. I and then I'm
third most interested in digital equity.
That is the equity in a digital treasury
company in the business of creating
digital credit. So it's digital digital
digital depending on whether you're a
credit investor, equity investor or
capital investor.
>> Michael, thank you so much for your
time. Thanks for joining me and I'm sure
we'll see you again soon.
>> Yeah, looking forward to it. Thank you.