Michael Saylor on BTC at $100K and the Future of MicroStrategy
Galaxy · 2024-12-11 · 1h 42m · View on YouTube →
[Music]
I guess I just want to start with the
fact that Bitcoin broke
$100,000 is this your first interview
since this Milestone yes it is and I
said this to Tucker cross and on
television I said I'm going to be buying
the top forever it it's okay now
everybody's got to do their thing the
shorts got to be short the Longs got to
be long the Traders got to trade the
haters got to hate this is a global
monetary asset it is worthy of attention
if it's not going to zero it's going to
a million Y and that's where we find
ourselves today welcome to Galaxy brains
an infinite amount of cash I'm your host
Alex Thor the US banking system is sound
and resilient Bitcoin made a new
all-time high if you're not long if
you're not long you're short satachi is
going to come on there laugh
hysterically go quiet all bitcoin's
going to be erased Bitcoin Bitcoin is
the best crypto user Bitcoin is going to
zero welcome back to Galaxy brains as
always I'm Alex Thorne head of firmwide
research at Galaxy Bitcoin not zero and
we have a great episode for you today
Michael sailor founder and chairman of
micro strategy is our guest we flew down
to Miami to interview Michael the day
that Bitcoin hit 100,000 for the first
time and this 90-minute interview is the
first long form interview with Michael
since that epic Milestone micro strategy
is the largest single entity holder of
Bitcoin in the world its stock is the
best performing this year year in the
world and we get into it deep with
Michael about his thoughts for the
Bitcoin strategic Reserve nation state
game theory for dollar dominance and
Bitcoin we talked with Michael about
micro strategies uh treasury operations
both now and its plans for the future as
well as some Bitcoin native topics like
proof of reserves Bitcoin development
and much more it's a fascinating
interview I know you will enjoy but
before we get to it I need to remind you
to please refer to the link to
disclaimer in the podcast notes and note
that none of the information in this
podcast constitutes investment advice or
an offer recommendation or solicitation
by Galaxy or any of its Affiliates to
buy or sell any Securities this is a
great episode Michael was on fire we
were uh down there the first day after
Bitcoin hit 100K and I know you'll enjoy
this interview Bim net is off this week
we'll catch up with him next week so
let's get right into it with Michael
sailor Michael sailor uh founder and
chairman of micro strategy thank you so
much for coming on Galaxy brins yeah
thanks for having me it's great to be
here Michael and I guess I just want to
start with the fact that Bitcoin broke
$100,000 I think this is is this your
first interview since uh this Milestone
yes it is do you feel uh Vindicated
what's your take is is it an important
Milestone I think uh it's an important
Milestone because when you get to the
100 to the six figure level I think it
sends the message to people that Bitcoin
is here to stay I think uh there's been
uh multiple stages of Bitcoin right
there there were the early years when it
wasn't clear what it was or whether
would
survive then there were the blocksize
War years when there was the big fight
over the identity of Bitcoin and what
was what was Bitcoin and what wasn't
Bitcoin and then I think from 2020 to
2024 I would say those were the crazy
years but there was a big the big
question was is Bitcoin an Institutional
great asset will it be embraced by
governments by corporations by
institutions by traditional Capital
markets and there was back and forth and
there was a lot of skepticism and you
know some people said it's too good to
be true some people said it's so good
they'll ban it some people said well
there'll be a little bit but it won't be
much and uh and then there's a big fight
over is it a currency or is it capital
and I think that um since November 5th
right we've seen kind of a surge from
like 68 67 all the way through
100 I think the answer that's been
question that the the question that's
been answered is is Bitcoin here to stay
is it an Institutional great asset will
it be
embraced by the wealth and the power of
the world and I think think busting
through 100,000 is is a numeric
punctuation uh to the emphatic answer to
that question which is yes yeah it will
be embraced a resounding yes you've
never been more right in your strategy
than at this very moment with Bitcoin at
$113,000
um what's the ride been like I mean i' I
think you know not just Bitcoin but
Micro strategy is maybe the most
important and biggest story in global
markets this year certainly from a stock
it's the best performing stock in the
world um what's that ride been like this
year uh it's been uh
exhilarating uh and uh it's full of
highs and lows I
think in the middle of 2020 it started
with um an act uh out of uh frustration
and
Desperation it was like we're going to
take a we're going to take a strategic
move because the alternative is a slow
death or quick death and once you get to
the point where your back is against the
wall you know you're going to do
something so at that point we're a bit
frustrated and we took our first Bitcoin
position then Bitcoin began to rally and
when Bitcoin rallied back toward the
all-time high at the time was just
heading toward
19,000 uh we moved into an opportunistic
phase and we were we opportunistically
found we could uh raise money in the
convertible bond market for less than 1%
interest and it's like what what if
someone wants to give you billions of
dollars for free to pursue your business
strategy right what CEO wouldn't take
the money for free right and so yeah we
did that and then we moved into sort of
a a what is it the the terrorized Zone
I think Bitcoin sorted up then it
crashed on the Chinese yeah the China
ban first the China ban and that the
then there was the environmental ESG
fund right Elon discovered that it used
electricity all of a sudden yeah we and
we fought our way through that and then
it surged back up again and then we went
into the crypto winter and we we fell
from 66,000 to
16,000 and so that 80% draw down I I
think that was uh you know the big test
because it shook out it shook out the
tourists and it also shook out everyone
that didn't know how to manage a capital
structure so you know the poorly
capitalized uh you know entities that
had lots of credit risk and and had L
had unhealthy leverage got taken out and
there was a lot of uh forced liquid and
panic selling of Bitcoin that took us to
the 16
66,000 and uh you just had to grit your
teeth and get through that and I would
say you know that was sort of the low
point right around the point where
silvergate Bank failed or like q1 2023
from from FTX to silvergate bank uh and
it was also sad I mean it was I mean a
lot of poorly run companies
uh failed because they were poorly run
but then there were a lot of good
companies I thought you know signature
silvergate were forced out of business
to no fault of their own they just uh
they were caught in choke point 2.0 and
that was somewhere between tragic and
coordinated even distasteful yeah
silvergate in particular to me because
they didn't go bankrupt they orderly it
was an orderly windown they didn't lose
any anybody's money um neither did
signature I know signature is like
almost like an assassination I would say
they're both political yeah yeah you are
you optimistic that that's that's going
to change under the new Administration I
am yeah I think we crawled out of the
Valley of the crypto winter and and we
crawled uh you know recovered back into
the 30s or the the 40s and then I think
we got into 2024 and I think in
2024 you know there's we started with
some uh
cautious
optimism Bitcoin grinding up a lot of
questions about the rest of the digital
assets economy but Bitcoin you know
recovering from the bottom on its own
without help from
anybody and then we got the approval of
the spot Bitcoin
ETFs and uh then we had the having and
the consequences the having were were a
number of things one there was a big
secular rotation of of capital from a
bunch of Bitcoin miners to micro
strategy the options market and Bitcoin
moved from the miners to micro strategy
so all of a sudden micro strategy uh
emerged as you know a leading volatility
liquidity trade in the crypto
ecosystem and we became aware of that
and I think the second thing is 450
Bitcoin a day which is $45 million a day
of sell got taken out of the market and
so the supply tightened and the natural
Supply Titan the market
matured the ETFs
legitimized uh the asset class and we
went into the summer and it was a big
summer uh the Summer where the Trump
campaign first of all you know caught a
huge amount of electricity in the
greater political economy and then Trump
embraced Bitcoin and embraced crypto
and the crypto community and the Bitcoin
Community embraced Trump uh that took us
into the November 5th elections and uh
and two things kind of happened uh
around that time frame on October
30th uh micro micro strategy announced
our 2121 plan we had basically gone and
done one convert a second convert a
third convert a fourth convert and a few
billion dollars of ATM is so we had
raised quite a bit of capital but we
were doing it peace meal quarter by
quarter and we decided it was time for
us to be more strategic so we announced
a $21 billion uh Equity shelf
registration and a $21 billion fixed
income plan over three years that was
the biggest uh Equity uh shelf
registration in the history of capital
markets so no one ever sold $21 billion
of equity like that ever right and and
that kind of flies past some people
because it's like what I'm saying is
like out of every company ever right
never done before the Bitcoin demand and
the Bitcoin company did it yeah one
Bitcoin company did it and of course
it's we did it because we have the
world's best use of proceeds right uh
the first time in in human history you
have a commodity that returns higher
higher than the S&P with higher
volatility than the S&P so you have 60
Vol 60 AR on bitcoin
going for many years versus 1515 for the
S&P now you had a commodity high allall
high performance you can put 100% on
your balance sheet well that means in
theory you can issue infinite Equity
right I mean as long as you can return
more than the S&P every other commodity
I mean real estate art gold it's 10v 10
AR SV 7 AR five five
so everything other than Bitcoin was
always less than the cost of capital
micro strategy you know we kind of
discovered we discovered a crypto
reactor that could be fueled by Bitcoin
and we put a re crypto reactor in the
middle of our company it's kind of like
turning on a nuclear reactor or putting
an internal combustion engine in a
Horseless
Carriage and it you know that's what we
learned in 2024 and we came in October
30th and we said this is what we're
going to do and that was very well
received by the capital markets that was
a big success yeah and the day after we
did that our stock outperformed every
magnificent 7 company and our stock
outperformed every Bitcoin company and
outperformed Bitcoin and that was a very
important signal to the market which is
the capital Market's going to line up
behind an operating company to pursue a
Bitcoin treasury strategy in size yeah
in size so we were ready to go the
market kind of started to take off and
then we get to November 5th and at 8:00
p.m. on November 5th Bitcoin is high 60s
and nobody knows whether it's going to
be a blue sweep or a red sweep or a red
and white and blue or right a split and
really the the timeline is if you get a
Blue
Wave bitcoin's going to grind up 20 to
40% a year against resistance the rest
of the digital assets industry is going
to trade sideways under Onslaught you
know gradually you know and who knows
hoping just fighting on could be bad
yeah yeah it could be bad but with the
red wave and by 8 am the next morning we
knew there was a red sweep of Congress
the Senate the house and the White House
at that point Bitcoin is going to Surge
up 40 60
80% the digital assets industry has a
new lease on life now you're going to
get a digital assets framework going to
get an end to the war in crypto we don't
know what it means but we know that the
alternative was fight on a Guerilla War
that's very painful a war of attrition
yeah and now what you've got is a
favorable tax regime a favorable you
know a low regulation regime a pro
crypto regime a pro Bitcoin you know
regime and also the Domino start to fall
Bitcoin surges up
and uh you know it goes from 69 to today
we're plus 100 so I don't have to say
the implication of that to everybody
right right it's pretty obvious the
impact of that on 20 million Bitcoins
right you
create eight 700 billion dollar yeah
since the election 700 billion dollars
in weeks but the other thing that
happened was micro strategy had we took
30 years to culate 500 million in
capital which we invested by September
October of 2020 we took four years
grinding away through the crypto winter
to find another $10 billion of capital
to invest in Bitcoin and then the next
four weeks of November we raised 13.5
billion dollars of
capital so and in November we bought
nearly like 150,000 Bitcoin it was your
biggest slug of Bitcoin ever at it there
were 15,000 Bitcoin mined in the month
of November right about 10 times that
when you start to work through the math
of what's going on here you can
see uh the political landscape changed
the headwinds became Tailwinds the
capital markets aligned they align
they're aligning behind the ETF
providers I mean Black Rock has had
record flow incredible yeah right and
micro strategy as record flows our
option interest surged to like hundred
billion do right and our liquidity
surged the point where we're the number
three stock after Nvidia and you know
and after Tesla and so the capital
markets discovered and supported Bitcoin
uh the political system did and now
we're starting to see The Dominoes fall
I mean the favorable comments by Jerome
pal not a surprise right his mark I mean
and everybody else it's you you can see
at this point the consensus is building
this is a global monetary asset it is
worthy of attention if it's not going to
zero it's going to a million yep and
that's where we find oursel today can I
ask you about the 2121 plan which was
Absol you're you're absolutely right
Earth shattering in Earth shaking in
capital markets I think and then proving
the demand in fact so much demand that I
think the latest convert that you guys
did at a 0% interest rate right zero
coupon up 55 points and we started to
looking to raise 1.75 billion which is
twice as big as our previous largest
convert we started twice as big and it
became $3 billion by the time we
finished and you've already raised 13
out of the
42 uh that's 30% over 3 years though
aren't you ahead of schedule like or
what you know what what is your pacing
going to look like you think yeah we are
had a schedule but you know there are a
lot of
unknowns on October 30th uh we weren't
sure how enthusiastically the capital
markets would Embrace us you've got
you've got the convertible investors
you've also got the equity investors
you've also got the options Traders so
so we have many many constituencies so
we had to see how they would react and
that was a big thumbs up from all of
them M and then we didn't really know
the outcome of the election and and I I
really do think the red sweep on
November 5th is probably the single most
important thing that's happened maybe to
the entire crypto economy in the history
of the economy do you think there might
ever be interest uh in those Capital
markets for like a minus 50 bips coupon
cuz you're you found a way to turn free
money into Bitcoin basically what about
making them pay you okay well I I I
think the most important point to to
make here is we're not really limited to
the convertible bond market right
convertible bonds just happen to be one
form of fixed income we've experimented
with all sorts of fixed income we've
tried asset-backed financing we've tried
senior debt there's junk bonds there's
also preferred stock uh and there and
there are various flavors of that and
Structured Products um in October 30 we
laid out our treasury strategy and our
treasury strategy is it looks like this
it's you've got a crypto commodity
called Bitcoin which is 60
AR 60 volatility okay
6060
okay the uh the performance the 60r
that's a form of
energy and then the volatil is another
form of energy it's it's kind of like uh
potential in kinetic energy or you could
think of it as a you know you got a
train moving 60 miles an hour and you
got a Flywheel spinning 60 RPM on the
train and that's your energy okay so
that's what's coming out of the crypto
economy the macro economy there's a
drive shaft and that's being driven into
the spot ETFs and if you wrap it with
ibit or fbtc you can buy
6060 right in the form of uh security
or you can buy
6060 in the form of a
commodity micro strategy as an operating
company what we're doing is is we're
stepping that up and we're stepping that
down right so some people want 15 what
they want is 25% of the return of
Bitcoin and you would think well you're
crazy well they'd rather have 15 ARR
five vol
no risk or or be 10x over collateralized
right uh just give me 15% but tell me
there's a very very small chance I you
know I don't get my principal back some
people want 15 15 by the way the entire
S&P index is people buying 15 15 right
right all you got to do is take 75% of
Bitcoin away and you can create 155
which is A1 trillion dollar right market
right now so one for of of fixed income
or one form of investors is to Target
that you can Target that in an in a a
fixed instrument where you're giving
people a Cash
coupon or you can Target it in a um in a
structured instrument where you're
giving them a capital gain over time a
convertible instrument but you could
just Target 25% of Bitcoin and I'll give
you 15 15 or maybe I'll give you 15 AR
five vol and people would lose their
minds right because that's like 3x the
sharp ratio of the S&P so you can create
that you can create 3030 you can
basically give I'm going to give you
half Bitcoin I'm gonna take the other
I'm GNA take half of the performance and
I'm going to take half I'm going to take
all the volatility away and half the
performance and I'll give you the other
half do you want as a coupon or do you
want it in a conversion and then I can
give you 75% of it
um and then I can give you you know so
when we did that convert well we did a
convertible Bond at zero coupon up 55
but it's um it's a 144a offering so it's
an O it's something you sell to
qualified institutional buyers but you
can't sell it to retail and it doesn't
trade like on a four-letter ticker right
so that that's a market and a pool of
capital but there are all these other
pools of capital right so if you sell
something which is just the same
performance as the S&P but less risky I
mean how big is that pool of capital
massive Market or I'll give you another
idea what if I gave you the performance
of the ETFs with downside protection
what if I give you the upside of Bitcoin
but no downside that sounds pretty good
doesn't it yeah that's what our bonds do
our bonds are actually more than the
performance like convertible bonds and
micro strategy are more than the
performance Bitcoin more than the
performance of Bitcoin
but with the downside protection they're
a bond and so if you think about that
the thing an operating company can do is
we can strip the volatility strip the
performance strip the risk we can embed
something the senior 10% tranch of the
capital structure and we spit out one
type of
returns but by the way some people hate
volatility right the mainstream normies
yeah they do they hate it yeah
but if you go to
Susana and you said we're going to strip
the volatility from micro micro strategy
we wouldn't have a hundred billion doll
95 billion open interest do you know you
know what happens when you strip the
volatility from a company our size I
know because
I I have another company that I started
and the other company is twice as big as
micro strategy and revenue and twice as
big in EIT dah and it's
well-run and it's it's just a great
company the open interest is $5 million
wow we're
98 billion as I'm speaking to right now
so stripping the volatility out of the
business is like uh spraying the fire
with a fire extinguisher or literally
you're not pouring gas on the flame
you're you're pouring water on the flame
and
tionally right whereas what we're doing
is pouring gasoline on the flame if you
ever study a you know study an internal
combustion engine and look at how it
works the point is to channel and you
know and compress you know
supercharge the supercharge turbocharge
the fire and direct it not put it out
right right so so there's a big Market a
$300 trillion market for you know fixed
income coupon generating principal
protected low volatility instruments
there's another massive market100
trillion do market for Equity like SNP
spy Vanguard 500
QQQ that kind of in something that gives
you 15 just beat the S&P performance and
if you beat the and if you do it with
less ball or less risk then why don't I
just give you trillions of that so
there's that market
then there's the Bitcoin Market which is
I'll take I I want Bitcoin upside and of
course there's 100 billion dollars now I
guess in that market right now but you
know at micro strategy and then there's
a convertible
arbitragers right and the convertible
arbitragers they're like I'm going to
buy 50 million of your of your paper I'm
going to short 40 million or 35 million
of your stock and then as the stock
moves around I'm going to adjust the
short right and I'm extracting that
premium
risk-free and that's their thing and
that's what they do when I meet with
them by the way I'm like you know I see
you I see you guys every you know few
weeks or every quarter nice to see you
again by the way that thing that you
shorted tripled like my advice what I
say to them they don't take my advice
nobody it's okay nobody no it it's okay
now everybody's got to do their thing
the shorts got to be short the Long's
got to be long the Traders got got to
trade right the haters got to hate the
Maxis are going to Maxi everybody's
going to do their thing that's fine but
what I say to them is you know this is
bit this is like 75% Bitcoin upside
actually it's it's like 70% micro
strategy upside it's 100% Bitcoin upside
no downside right like that is to say a
Bitcoin crashed 90% tomorrow you're
still getting
paid the could go about 95% tomorrow and
stay there for five years you're still
getting paid it's like why are you
you're already hedged you're already 10x
over
collateralized why are you hedging it
again yeah it's interesting right and
but there are some people that do they
double hedge it so there's a group of
people that buy that convert and they
they just buy the convert they're
already hedged and they outperform
Bitcoin without the risk there's other
people that by way that's one type of
view there are other people they don't
want to take the risk for an
hour like literally the afternoon
they're buying the bond there I mean
when the Stock's moving around they're
buying 50 million shorting 40 million
minute by minute they don't even want to
take an afternoon of risk but that's
okay so I think that it's a long-winded
answer to your question but it's we're
just going to provide Securities to to
every pool of Capital if if what you
want is that instrument if we think it's
good for our common stock shareholders
we'll sell it I mean ultimately there's
a lot of instruments we could create
that are kind of dilutive to us so we're
not going to but you know there's the
dude that wants investment grade fixed
income guaranteed coupon 10x over
collateralize with a bit of boost past
that we're going to give them their
thing there's someone else that wants
20% coupon yield you know outperform
private credit and they want lots of
cash we'll give them their thing there's
somebody else that wants Bitcoin upside
but they want principal protection and
less volatility and we'll give them
their thing right and as we do each of
those things there's a certain uh
economic spread that we capture and when
we're doing it for example if if I sell
a fixed income instrument deep in the
capital structure and 10 10x over
collateralized I have $40 billion of
capital and I sell a billion or two
billion dollars of this senior strip and
I give you I give you
25% of the gain of
Bitcoin okay when you work that out in
your head you realize at a minimum 75%
of the economics goes to the common
stock right but it's better than that
because we also get the float yep but
it's better than that because we also
get the volatility yeah so most people
don't have the math but if you're a
Quant right model the value of selling a
fixed income instrument where what I
gave you was a guaranteed coupon and I
gave you over collateralization and
principal security but in return I took
the float I took the ball FR I'm getting
a billion dollars from you and it's
going to trade with a 60 ball right
anybody you it's like a billion dollar
flywheel spending 60 RPM there's energy
in it right yeah so when I get the
billion dollars and and it's spending 60
vol
I can probably sell the volatility for a
100 million a year right so you hand
yeah you hand it to me absolutely I'm
making a 100 million a year holding it
then it's going up 30 to 60% I'm getting
that yeah and then I've also got another
float which is another intangible I'm
holding the capital in the Fiat economy
and that provides collateral for
something else when you put it all
together that means that really the C
the spread is like 85% 80 880 it could
be easily 80 to 85% yeah okay well that
means you sell 10 billion doar of that
instrument you capture eight to eight
and a half billion dollars of
Bitcoin that that you stack on top of
your existing Equity that's the leverage
and the common okay so so the strategy
we pursue is we strip away the risk and
the volatility of the people that hate
it and we just give them something which
is just better than everything else
right it's better than all the bank
preferreds and it's better than all the
real estate preferreds and it's better
than corporate investment grades and
it's better than junk and it's better
than private credit and it's better than
you know better than the S&P it might be
better than a Bitcoin ETF we just give
you something how much better 20% better
30%
better but but then we keep the rest and
the rest goes into
MST MST then does one and a you know our
Target was 1 and a2x Bitcoin but the
truth is we got the 2x yeah so it's just
and then all of that compounds on itself
and well when we're running at 2x
Bitcoin and 2x VA like we have a vault
Bitcoin ball is is 60 we're 120
140 plug that into black
shs right what that means by the way is
if you sell the if you look at the call
rate if I sell a an at the market call
30 days out on ibit you generate 100%
interest if you sell the same call 30
days out on mstr you generate
220% and it's insane that is insane 200%
right you sell that same call on
spy
15% right and then you go and try to
sell that call on B and D on the bond or
on vnq the real estate or on gold good
luck right there's no Mark like there's
no Vault there's no Market nobody wants
to even make a market in that right and
you basically hold the dollar okay well
you get 30 days suur you get
480 basis points so so us Levering our
our permanent Capital gets us to more V
and then the UNC the fact that we're an
operating company means I can sell
Equity at a premium but I don't have to
I can do a convertible Bond but I don't
have to I can issue preferred I don't
have to right you don't know what we're
going to do we could buy our stock back
we don't have to so the uncertainty plus
the permanent capital P the plus the the
There's No Redemption right like right
right like you know black rock or
someone else I envy them because they
have more Capital but it's it's
overnight deposits right okay so you
could have what would you rather have a
hundred billion dollars in overnight
deposits in your bank or $50
billion that you have forever that no
one gets back right so we have the
permanent capital
we can lever it we have the option to
lever it the combination of those things
means that we would even if we weren't
levered I think we would trade at
130% of Bitcoin ball yeah because just
of the uncertainty right but when you
layer a little bit of Leverage on top
maybe you get to to 2X and maybe you
could get to more than twox you might
get to 3x if you do that gives you all
this not no pun tenant all this
optionality right you mean okay and now
we're back to the turbocharger the
supercharger right what we do is we
compress this Capital we put leverage on
it and then we feed it right back into
the engine because we we can issue
convertible bonds that are actually
boosted by MST right that's how the bond
the bond could be half you know we could
sell a bond theoretically that zero
coupon up 100 right and if mstr is 2x
Bitcoin the bond is 1x Bitcoin coin
right but the bond is still got
theoretically 50 to
65% spread in it or economic boost to
the common stock so if you understand
the float to spread the volatility when
you when you plug everything into
everything we basically use the common
to go back even we could use the common
to pay the Cash coupon to pay a cash
dividend but when we're paying the cash
dividend we wouldn't be paying
6% in cash we would be raising the cash
by selling equity which is valued three
to four to five to 10x the underlying
assets so our effective cost of capital
isn't six it's two yeah or one right and
then you're like well where's the
premium comp from because we're actually
getting an 80% boost on the Strip that
we sold the fixed income and we're
feeding it back into the common so we're
in the business of creating this Capital
amplifier y triple amplifier you know
we're we're boosting The Leverage on the
common we're we're boosting the return
on all of these other instruments
because we're using the common and then
we're feeding it back into the Bitcoin
Network which is driving up the price of
Bitcoin right you know which is helping
everybody
else which is bringing more companies so
so it's a very virtuous cycle with about
three or four very powerful positive
feedback loops that are all engineered
yeah and then one last point which
is you you got to be 100%
Bitcoin like the reason we can do
it is because we are we are $40 billion
of Bitcoin
Capital 60 or $50 million of USD MH and
nothing yeah of anything else no real
estate right no other coin no other no
other good idea the thing that I try to
get across to people with the laser eyes
and the focus is is sometimes the least
risky thing is not to diversify right
when you've got an engineering solution
when you're building an airplane and
someone says aluminum is the right metal
diversifying into copper bronze steel
and aluminum doesn't make the plane less
risky right right if the you don't need
it's it's not like this everybody's got
to have their turn we got to we got to
like use a little bit of Art and a
little bit of real estate and a little
bit of gold a little bit of Bitcoin and
a little bit of what Nvidia stock right
it's that doesn't work it breaks the
machine right it's the homogeneity of
the of the fuel right we don't put 16
different types of radioactive elements
into the you know yeah pick the thing
engineer the reactor for the thing you
know you put dirty fuel into the into
the yacht the engine fouls you put dirty
gasoline into the car it fouls right so
you have to engineer the reactor in the
right way and it's you know it's like
the austrians would say about money any
amount will do
you just have to
pick the money right right right bu
metalism silver and gold is a recipe to
disaster yeah pick one focus on it so
what we've done is we've focused on
bitcoin we've created a Bitcoin treasury
company it's a crypto Reactor with
Bitcoin is the fuel because we do that
we can give our converts the highest
performance of any convertible bonds and
we can give our f fixed income the
highest performance of any fixed income
and we can give homogeneous credit and
transparency and here's the other point
I make a lot of times people come and
they're like I want to do the Bitcoin
standard thing but but I think I should
I'm GNA hedge I'm gonna I'm gonna put in
this put hedge thing or maybe I should
do some of this and some of that you
know I'm like no that's not the engine
no yeah no don't you know you don't
hedge you don't want to
be 72% Bitcoin with 30% Hedges on to
generate guarantee
yield you want to be
150% Bitcoin no Hedges on but but but
yeah because you're robbing the investor
of their opportunity when you put your
Hedges on there's a there's a concept in
System Dynamics and political economy
the shifting of the burden to the
intervener yeah okay it's like because
you you chose to do it I don't have to
okay so when I give you a
150%
Bitcoin company and I don't hedge it and
I tell you I'm not going to hedge it you
don't believe me for a while you're
going to you're going to rug pull me
you're going to take profits you're
going to right it takes a long time for
people to trust you right but your best
chance to get people to trust you is if
you're laser like focused and committed
and transparent and you never break
Faith with them they're like this is by
the way this is tough love when Bitcoin
trades down 80% and you wanted me to
bail out I didn't I'm sorry you know all
those Bond holders they came to me when
when the bonds the bonds were trading 30
cents and 40 and they wanted me to issue
Equity to buy them back
back said no we're keeping our position
they said well this is a big opportunity
for you you could buy these bonds back
below par I said no this is a big
opportunity for
you you're the convertible Bond investor
you have to buy bonds with your capital
for a living that's your opportunity my
job is to issue the Securities and stay
and stay long Bitcoin buy Bitcoin hold
the Bitcoin manage the structure don't
get liquidated that's my job your job is
to buy the equity or if you don't want
to buy the equity buy the bonds the
short story is the bonds went from 30 to
300 right like they were they were
screaming home runs the most lucrative
thing you could have done the simplest
most brainless thing imaginable was at
the bottom of the crypto winter you
could have bought all of these micro
strategy convertible bonds at 50% 60%
below par they were and the joke of
course is they were guaranteed to pay at
par right I was like I would have bought
them guys if my lawyers would let me buy
these I would have bought them they were
guaranteed to pay off right and yet what
you the only thing you had to know to
make that money was you just had to do
the research and figure out the Bitcoin
was something real once you figured that
out it was very
straightforward so coming back to this
point it's when you hedge and when and
when you're
heterogeneous you rob the rest of the
market of their opportunity the
opportunity for the convertible
Arbitrage is they get to ARB that
instrument the options Traders get to
trade the options the the haters get to
short and they get a great short
opportunity the guys that are long get
to go long the degenerate Traders they
get their thing everybody can go take
their Bloomberg and they build a little
model and like you know well the the the
$800 call strikes two years out are
mispriced versus the one year out $700
call strikes I'm going to sell one and
buy the other one and lock the
difference yeah everybody's got to have
their thing and so the point is if
you're thinking as a public company that
you're going to take a Bloomberg and
trade you're a fool
because what you can do that they can't
do buy Bitcoin hold the Bitcoin issue
the Securities that they need you to do
that Y and what they what they can do is
is Buy trade Arbitrage short go long and
you want them to do that so when you
start to to move into the territory of
your partners and you take their
opportunity like like if if I was like
could you imagine if I put on a press
release yeah bitcoin's zoomed above
100,000 we decided to take money off the
table we locked in our
gains everybody would go ballistic yeah
yeah and then they would never trust us
ever again yeah I mean for all of those
people and I'm like you don't understand
like the world doesn't give a they don't
care that you're the world's most
brilliant Trader and you do like 187
opaque things to make a billion dollars
if you show me a hedge fund that makes a
billion dollars in an opaque way I don't
want to invest a dime in
you like not not like what how would I
Val I'm not going to why would I you're
like some smart guy that makes some
money in a way I don't know how but
maybe you won't next year good for you
but I don't I can't bet on that yeah I
would rather invest in a guy that loses
a billion dollars in a way that I
understand it's like oh Bitcoin traded
down five ,000 oh yeah you just lost a
billion do you know Bitcoin when Bitcoin
moves like 2 ,500 down we lose a billion
yeah but now I can go you know I go buy
that yeah and you and everyone knows
exactly why yeah it's like the world's
got infinite Capital they want they want
the security so the real key here if
you're running a public company is pick
a strategy solve a problem for the
market be consistent reliable
trustworthy and you know if the market
move trades down
90% you know the most lucrative trade in
the world was like to buy micro strategy
stock at the bottom of the crypto winter
right yeah absolutely right I mean I
think our stock got down to $13 a share
1 you know not that long ago $13 a share
you're up over 400 right now yeah and so
and so for us to unwind the trade would
have
Unwound like I think
literally it's a98 billion
mistake yeah to basically Flinch yeah at
the bottom of the market and by the way
it never occurred to me like why would
we had a strategy of course I'm not
going to it's just the conventional rest
of the world they were all asking they
were like you definitely should I'm like
you guys out of your mind I saw stories
that were like Michael sailor bet big on
bitcoin and lost I think it was like a
four was the headline in the wall yeah
it's like um let me ask you Michael you
talked about other companies you you I
was um I was at your Bitcoin for
Corporation conference in Las Vegas
early earlier this year yeah um you gave
a great presentation there you just gave
a presentation to the Microsoft board of
directors uh which had a lot of the
slides from your uh talk in Las Vegas um
they have like 80 billion in cash on
their balance sheet like you're talking
about not how it's not efficient it
messes up the engine if you in in this
pot whether it's your operating business
or on your balance you have all this
other stuff of course they have a lot of
stuff what's the pitch exact like
broadly speaking for an operating
company not for a a micro strategy or
metap planet where where it's a Bitcoin
engine company at this point but for
like a Microsoft like like should they
be doing 2% like or should they be
plowing a lot more in right I mean I've
seen this the talk I think 2% is silly I
think I think traditional financial
advisors that want to talk work Bitcoin
into their talk script so they sound
cool and adding one or two can improve
the sharp and what that's buying an
insurance
policy right that's like me pitching you
on life insurance just in case I I mean
it's not a way to live it's not a you
know you're not going to you know live
joyfully forever and put your family you
know you're not going to provide
generational wealth for your family and
put your kids through college and get a
yacht and a third vacation yeah home and
be universally idolized because you
bought flood
insurance right so uh yeah I'm not
against buying insurance or auto
insurance I just think think uh not that
interesting um here's my view on
Microsoft and this the same for pretty
much every company certainly The
Magnificent Seven you have a good
company you're generating cash flow a
lot of cash investors invested their
money in you so now your choice is you
can invest in the core business to grow
the business you can but but let's
assume you're investing as much as you
can come up with and then the cash flow
you've got that's excess you just don't
know how to grow the p&l anymore well
then you either hold it as Bonds on your
balance sheet you pay it out as a
dividend you buy your stock back or you
go and you do a merger and you pay cash
for the
merger and so we tick those off uh doing
mergers and Acquisitions 90% to 95%
failure rate right I mean HP did a
disastrous acquisition I mean the number
of disastrous Acquisitions where the
companies overvalued by 2 to 10 yeah
most like to if I were to say 5% of the
Acquisitions are
successful
economically I think I might be
overstating the case but I'd be very
optimistic but I I'm sure 90 to 95% are
um a disaster and you don't really know
whether they're a disaster for like
three two to four years so you can
embark on that course which is
statistically you know a bad outcome and
it's a slow outcome it's costly just to
effect and how how many of these big
mergers they're still fighting uh in
litigation over the merger to get
approval or whatever a year after they
announce it it takes forever it's very
dilutive it's
distracting and most of the time it
destroys shareholder value yep um so
that's not great yeah so the next thing
is I pay a dividend yeah okay well so
that's the CEO of the company saying you
know I'm abdicating my responsibility on
invest your money I don't know how to
invest the money in fact I'm so confused
about how to invest the money I'm just
going to pay 40% of it in tax to the US
government and give you the remainder
and then tell you to go figure it out
which is kind of rude to the shareholder
isn't it I think it's I think it's so
it's awful it's a especially for uh I I
think it's awful for a bunch of reasons
one they bought a stock they wanted this
they wanted a capital gain in the stock
they want the stock to go up in value
and so you're converting a capital gain
you're forcibly converting a capital
gain into a taxable distribution for an
equity investor if they wanted a a
taxable distribution they should be a
fixed income investor if you're going to
do that my view is issue a preferred
stock or issue a bond and pay it to
someone who's a willing recipient I
think actually jamming a dividend on an
equity investor it converts your company
from a growth company and a tax
efficient Equity it converts you into a
hybrid where you're kind of half fixed
income half Equity you're basically
telling the world you're not a Growth
Company
anymore you're not sure how to
grow and you really would like to find a
lot of risk adverse investors that don't
even believe in growth right that are
happy to pay tax you know excessive
taxes so that strikes me as you've lost
you've lost focus on your investors
you're trifurcating or bifurcating the
investor Community you're incurring an
unnecessary tax bill you're signaling
weakness insecurity
confusion and you're waiting for a bunch
of retirees who are risk adverse and
terrified of losing their money you're
you're waiting for them to figure out
how to reinvest the
dividend right right and so I I I can't
see that that makes a lot of strategic
sense and so then that leaves you with
the buyback yeah okay you got a company
and you don't know how to grow the
company with your cash so you're just
going to buy your own stock back it
sounds kind of good but you're
surrendering the capital you're
surrendering the capital so if the
company had you know it had uh hundred
billion dollar of cash well you know the
company's worth at least 100 billion
but when you buy back 10% of the stock
the company has zero or a billion in
cash or you know a razor thin layer of
working capital now the stock trades up
10% maybe but the company has lost 95%
of its tangible assets how is that not
riskier what you're doing is you're
Levering up the company on forward
expectations y so if we come back to
Microsoft Microsoft
um the entire Enterprise Value is B is
95 sometimes 97 to
98% between 98 and 95% of it is based on
just forward expectations nothing
tangible like it's it's it's you're
going to generate x billion dollars of
income this quarter I multiply it by
144 Lord help you if you're a billion
short right that's 144 billion if you
actually change the guidance right these
stocks basically that people this is the
irony conventional wisdom is well um
it's responsible to pay out the dividend
and buy back the
stock but you realize you're literally
creating 144 to1 lever on your next
quarter of result or 150 or 200 to one
and you're asking the market to Value
the company B based on future
expectations so we come back to
Microsoft Microsoft is just valued on
expectations right now if there's an
Anti-Trust ruling or a neg negative
regulatory thing a competitive
development a management failing right I
mean half of the market cap can just go
away now how do you solve the problem
well the conventional solution if you
live in a US dollar standard world and
you're buying your stock back and
dividing your stock back or dividing the
cash flows out and you're holding a very
razor thin amount of um of uh
treasuries then the way that you drisk
the Share the shareholder dilemma is you
require your customers to sign
three-year agreements Enterprise
agreements then you bundle into the
Enterprise agreement 16
products and then you build in
escalators every year and it becomes uh
you try to turn it into a real estate
rental project a rental company and now
the now the co customers got to buy
everything you sell and how they how do
they not renew right that's that is the
software as a service model that wants
to be a long-term
lease and it's it sounds kind of good by
the way I lived that I was a CEO of that
company I'm like it sounds kind of good
and that's the Mantra of software
companies and that's the you know
everybody wants to be I sell three-year
agreements with CPI plus 3% escalators
and then I just bundle another thing uh
and so now what do you got you got
Harvard B School CFO and he's like I
stripped the volatility off the balance
sheet by getting rid of everything other
than t- bills oh about I got rid of the
long the 10y year and the 30-year t-
bills I just have 30-day treasuries yeah
good for you check and I stripped the
volatility off of the p&l because every
Co every customer has to buy our
software on three-year renewable
contracts with a price escalator and and
you know good for you how do you think
the customers feel about that how do you
think the competitors feel about that
you just bundle the competitor's product
into your Enterprise agreement so what
do they do they go to The Regulators
they sue you for antitrust so the
conventional strategy for Microsoft
which is the conventional strategy for
every software company and I don't know
how many companies go down this path
that can you know Apple service Revenue
we're just going to have apple Prime and
you're going to buy you know everything
put all in the one device you got to
carry what's your monthly fee on that
you're G to cancel you know did you buy
the gaming thing that you don't use you
get the iCloud data storage yeah okay
okay you just forgot to pay your bill
and of course all your memories
disappear and your friends and your
photos yeah it's it's a hostage
situation okay
so that's a conventional strategy I view
that as a road to Surf them for the
company because the this is the Fiat
strategy right you're going down this
strategy of I have no assets I have no
Capital therefore I only live on
expectations therefore I make my
Executives work harder my employees work
harder my customers have to sign into
this program eventually you get this
customer Revolt or competitor Vault you
have to choose between one constituency
or the shareholder someone is going to
be
out so how do you fix it there's a
there's a path to prosperity and the
path to Prosperity is Bitcoin you adopt
a different capital structure you
recapitalize on BTC instead of
USD and if you if you start thinking
differently BTC is 60% AR 60 Vol instead
of z00 yep okay okay when you
recapitalize on BTC now let's take that
excess cash if Microsoft takes their
excess cash and buys Bitcoin they add
$150 a share and a trillion dollars to
the market cap they don't even have to
change the dividend right or the
BuyBacks you just make a trillion
dollars and you and you crank 150 bucks
or more into the business because now
you're investing in uh something that's
uh that beats the cost of capital now
there's a little chart you should have
in your head
the S&P index is the cost of capital
it's plus 15 for the last four years if
you normalize that then Bitcoin is up
48% over that yeah Microsoft stock is up
4% and bonds are minus
19% so when you have a hundred billion
do of capital if you put into Bitcoin
you're getting 10 times the ARR you get
from just buying your own stock back
while you
drisk right the difference over 10
years choosing to buy your stock back
with that that cash instead of buying
Bitcoin is minus
97% destruction of the capital choosing
to put that money into the bond is minus
99.7% destruction of the capital so it's
blood curdling and what and so you
follow that to its conclusion it's like
convert the cash you make a
trillion convert the divid in you make
another trillion out another $150 a
share convert to BuyBacks you make
another trillion it's another $150 a
share take all that borrow money at
4% Microsoft could borrow money at 3%
yeah you know 10% loan to value at 3%
invested at 30 to 60% make another
trillion and so literally using the
balance sheet doubles the value of the
company instead of being valued 95% on
expectation
you could get it down to 50% on
expectations and the other 50% is
tangible assets appreciating in the
worst case 20% a year right so that's
the logic of a Bitcoin strategy and of
course it's not a 2% insurance policy no
it's a policy to increase the growth
rate of the company by 50 to
100% and decrease the risk by a factor
of 10 it's a very powerful pitch um
I got some other questions by the way I
recommend everybody check out that three
minutes uh pitch are you g to go back by
the way I heard maybe you're going to go
back and present again i' probably go
back and do it in 30 minutes because
there's a lot of subtlety there that you
don't get through in 180 seconds totally
totally but you did a good job
compressing that um you know I had
people have this question they ask me
this I don't I don't know the answer
you've talked a bit about it you've got
400,000 Bitcoin micro strategy does um
it's about 2% of the Bitcoin
Supply how much is enough when does that
step do you like how much Bitcoin will
micro strategy have I you know I laugh
you know Dave poroy complains about
buying it at 10 and panic selling it and
then he's like oh I bought it at 40 oh I
I hit the wrong button you know you know
all these things and now it's 100,000
and what I've said and I said this to
Tucker crosson on television I said I'm
going to be buying the top forever I
mean here's what I tell you when
bitcoin's a million dollars a coin I bet
you
I will probably buy a billion dollars of
it at a million of coin probably in one
day
yep and when it's 2 million I will
probably be doing it again in one day
and when it's 10 million I will be doing
a billion dollar or more in one day
right and so we're not
stopping the big idea here is there's
$450 trillion of Assets in Equity Real
Estate fixed income that store value
Assets in the 20th century
economy there's two
trillion in Bitcoin in the 21st century
economy we're the bridge we're going to
continue to create Bitcoin back
Securities to channel that capital from
an
inefficient an inefficient uh energy
form to a more efficient structure when
you if I give you a billion and you
invest in a diversified portfolio of
African real estate companies and Equity
Investments that's a very inefficient
portfolio if I take the same billion and
I pull it into Bitcoin and I eliminate
your counterparty risk to every country
in Africa and every company and every
currency in
Africa that's a much more efficient
thing that gives off energy so I don't
see why we wouldn't just keep growing
every year forever there'll be a point
when Bitcoin is a three four 500
trillion dollar asset
class and maybe there's you know if it
if I don't know if it'll ever equalize
we'll see but I mean this could be this
will probably be a th000 trillion and
this will be 500 trillion and there's
still going to be normies there's still
going to be people that're like I'd
rather buy my government bonds or the
government told me I had to capitalize
my bank on the bonds or I want to buy
this there's still going to be that
there's there's always going to be in my
opinion there's going to be a spread
between say the
S&P uh if the S&P is
155 and Bitcoin is 60 to 60 I think the
Bitcoin is tracking toward the S&P and
the S&P is going to track up because the
S&P companies will flip the whole
Bitcoin y but there's always going to be
this risk premium which you know
theoretically is up to
6% because of the counterparty risk of
you've got an attack surface you've got
a company you've got a currency you've
got management risk Etc all this and as
long as that that uh risk exists there's
always going to be some kind of
Arbitrage
opportunity I think it's super
interesting stick with this longer term
Vision let's say you call it a five it
could be 500 trillion I don't know pick
the most bullish utopian outcome for BTC
in general like maybe it's the does
become the global Reserve currency look
I would just focus people on my 21-year
forecast is it goes up 29% AR on average
which means it's
60% grinding down to 20% over 21 years
and it grows to 13 million of coin and
it grows to 280 million in the asset and
of course there's plus or minus rails
there's the bare case and then there's
the bull case it could go faster it
could go less by the way you did put out
a great model which is on GitHub but yes
it's Bitcoin 24 you can download it you
can plug in your own assumptions about
everything come up with your own model
but you know like I'm focused on the 21
years because I think that's as much as
any politician any business executive
any normal investor can manage and and
I'm sure that if I'm lucky enough to be
in good health yeah
you know I will come Trot out in 21
years and I will give you the next 21y
year model and that will be a much a
much better articulated more nuanced one
that'll take into account the the8
billion robot flying cars yeah you know
and all the other stuff the telepathic
DNA nanobot you know inlays we have but
right now I think that that's enough and
you can you can imagine and build any
kind of business and chart a strategy
for your family your business or your
country based upon that model which I
think is beneficial to most people I
think that makes a lot of sense um yeah
thinking a 100 years in a I don't think
anyone can really do that in any case
not much it's not realistic yeah a lot
will change and I think 21 months is too
short yeah yeah I think a lot of people
fall into 21 week 21 day 21 month trap
and that paralyzes them it's like it's
like Dave well I miss Bitcoin he missed
Bitcoin at 20,000 40,000 100,000 and my
response is Dave you could still buy it
for less than a million yeah what the
heck you what's your issue it's
currently trading at you're getting a
90% discount to a million I'll be buying
a billion at a million so why just can't
you man
up buy $100,000 Bitcoin and stop quit
your whining I love it um right you know
uh a couple other questions that are
interesting here what about you know uh
FDR executive order 6102 tried well made
the private banned the private ownership
of gold doesn't feel certainly right now
like there's a risk of that for Bitcoin
but is that something that you worry
about at all with
M Community is really just just wrapped
around the axle on this issue and I
think it started 15 years ago with
someone saying this is a cryptocurrency
and then someone else said there has to
be a currency and look what happened
with the and and it's like the reserve
currency and look what happened to gold
and so that'll happen to us I think what
they're missing is it's not a currency
it's
capital I think that's the fundamental
issue you just have to come to grips
with it it is not digital currency it is
not cryptocurrency it is digital Capital
it is crypto capital and if you think
deeply about this you realize that money
money it bifurcates into a medium
exchange legal tender which is a
currency and store of value investment
asset which is capital and once you get
to that point where you embrace the idea
it's Capital not currency it frees you
from this pernicious notion that it's
got to replace the dollar it's got to
compete with the dollar it's got to
compete with other currencies that the
truth is the cryptocurrency the digital
currency is
tether and circle it's it's a stable
coin us do that is the digital currency
and if you want to fixate on it that's
the one and the debate is whether or not
that's going to go to 10 trillion
dollars or a 100 billion and it's and
it's all about the regulatory regime
yeah now if we come back to digital
capital and you know and I like for
kicks I read history I read monetary
history I read Murray rothbart's history
Austrian you know history of economic
thought from an Austrian perspective I
read his money in banking in the US I'm
I read his Great Depression I read the
history of the Roth Charles I read will
and Durant's history of the world I have
read like monetary
histories you know from 17 different
directions every
philosophy and you know there are these
there are these ideas that are tropes
that just aren't really true it's like
oh yeah the Fiat era that's 1971 well no
the truth is we've had debased currency
like in every Century 42 times for the
past 4,000 years the Romans alone like
debased and rebased their their currency
multiple times yeah and so and so
hyperinflation pops up everywhere Credit
Credit dollars pop up everywhere bank
failures pop Fiat currencies pop up
everywhere you know it you
know the the US government in the
Revolutionary War issued the Continental
you know and and they they de debased it
200 to one like
99.5% collapse Y and they're like but
every state issued Their Own Credit at
the same time they all collaps and
defaulted and that's sort of interesting
but it happened again in the Civil War
multiple times then it happened a few
more times but if you go back to the
Massachusetts Bay Colony you'll find
that the Puritans did it in 1620 1667
like every 40 years it happened in in
Massachusetts before we even had a
country yeah like you know why they
wanted to issue paper currency to go
fight Wars they wanted to invade Canada
but but the point is like you're to
you're telling the story about hyper
inflating a currency and defaulting on
it it happens all the time so now let's
go to you know Franklin Roosevelt yeah
what happened there well the dollar was
we we were on a gold a gold exchange
standard we weren't on a gold standard
we went on we we by the way everybody
like when we had the goal standard well
we had the goal standard for like four
years sort of here and it flitted in and
it flitted out and like you find a few
years in every Century going back 2,000
years when you find some go standard and
then you get on the you know the random
debased coin token buy metal standard
and then you go back and then the Empire
collops you do it again right yeah so
you know everybody was off the latest
gold standard in World War to and then
they debased all their currencies and
then the Treaty of Genoa we sort of went
on a Gold Exchange standard but that was
really the it was really the dollar
standard and the pound was based on the
dollar and the dollar was based on gold
and everything else was based on dollars
or pounds and then everybody def
inflated that and officially the dollar
exchange for you know $20 to an ounce of
gold and Franklin Rosevelt wanted a
loose money policy and they already
basically took PE they took gold coins
away away so individuals couldn't
exchange and then and then they went to
a gold bullon standard and and they were
never backed one to one they were never
back they were probably not even back 20
to one who knows and and you get to a
point where you know countries can
exchange their dollars for bullon and I
think the French is that the warship or
whatever the French wanted to exchange
their their pounds for gold with England
and England didn't have the gold and
there was a deal this is like back in
the late 20s and eventually the US said
well you know we'll give you the gold
and they stepped in and at some point
the US realized they couldn't keep doing
it and Roosevelt wanted to Deval devalue
the dollar so the way to devalue the
dollar was I mean closed the goal they
closed the goal window then they then
they devalued the dollar to 35 or
something you know and uh and then they
still froze the wind there was no
settlement Network right right right you
know uh it was still basically you can
have some dollars or you can have some
pounds and they played with that and
then they see you know and by you know
World War II they basically put all the
gold in s Fort Knox and then Britton
woods they just kind of seized it
forever yeah and then we kept debasing
and at some point when the French wanted
it again uh we went completely off it
but here's the
point the US is not on the Bitcoin
standard the US is not pegged you know
if the US said you know
$100,000 equal you know equals Bitcoin
and we will not print any more currency
than that they would be stray jacketing
the US currency and then there would be
some political Dynamic there when I want
to inflate the currency and fight a war
or pay a bill then I have to get off the
Bitcoin standard but the point is it
never went on the Bitcoin standard
when're not on the Bitcoin stand
standard number one number two it's not
currency Jerome pal literal the reason
Bitcoin rallied past 100,000 is because
Jerome pal on stage said to the world
Bitcoin does not compete with the dollar
it competes with gold guess what gold is
not currency you don't buy coffee with
gold you can't settle with gold yeah
right I mean the point is once you
realize gold is a capital asset gold is
a capital asset that's like 77 ball 7
AR7 ball or something it's a it's a
garbagey one you're better off to use
the S&P index as a 155 ball Capital
asset but Bitcoin is a 6060 Capital
asset so Jerome pal underscored that I
think the you know if you thought about
you know I've got a phrase you did not
sell your
Bitcoin right and there are a lot of you
know again Maxis are like no we want it
to be a currency we want be able to pay
for coffee with Bitcoin pay me in
Bitcoin want to and it's like pay me in
Gold it's like pay me in a building it's
pay me with a slice of your professional
sports team pay me with the Picasso yeah
it's you know the point is a Picasso and
a sports team and a building are better
Investments than the dollar or the peso
but if you could just open up your world
view and say the dollar is better than
the peso the dollar is a perfectly fine
Capital asset if you're in a hyperin
lating economy if the if the local
currency is going to zero in 36 months
and you switch to and you recapitalize
on dollars you're going to get rich so
this is all like a frame of
reference right and once you understand
the frame of reference that this thing
is minus
20% to a dude to a dude that's got minus
25% Capital if you offer minus 7%
Capital it looks like a plus 15 you know
yeah percent you don't need to go to
plus 60% Capital so you know what I
would say is you just really have to
understand Bitcoin is digital Capital if
it's digital Capital you know Jerome pal
is totally right it is competing with
gold you should sell your gold gold is
going to get demonetized it's it's gold
is a crappy settlement Network
how do you move 1010 billion of gold in
an hour from here to Tokyo like warships
it's a by by the way as an
aside two things the Spanish Empire
peaked in the 16th Symphony 16th C
Century two
reasons the gold settlement Network
failed they wanted to send gold from
Spain to the Netherlands to pay the
Spanish Army to fight to hold the
Netherlands for this for the Spanish
King
and the fleet carrying the gold got
washed into a port and Queen Elizabeth
stole the gold it just it collapsed into
the ocean and they they picked it no no
Queen Elizabeth stole oh they had to
dock there and she just they SW into a
British port a harbor and she stole it
she's like I'm not sending it you're my
enemy so the settlement Network failed
and she inter she intercepted all the
money and she bankrupted the Spanish
Army in the Netherlands and that's why
the Netherlands is Protestant today
instead of Catholic okay that's the
first point go was never an effective
settlement Network second
point the Spanish had hyperinflation in
the 16th century why because they
brought back too much gold yeah right
they they discovered all this gold great
well what does that mean bam every
single local economy collapsed prices
went through the roof and this and the
Spanish Empire peaked
when they found the goal so
takeaway goal's not that good as money
everybody you know like the austrians
they wrote the book and everybody's
looking back to sound
money goal was just the least crappy
money yeah right the real story of
civilization
is copper tokens and glass beads and
Tomahawk arrow heads and giant Stone
coin of the Yap people and bales of
tobacco and and silver and you know gold
they were you know and and clippable
gold coins versus better gold coins they
were all just attempts to flee from
Dirty you know imperfect money or dirty
defect dirty defective money and we're
you know and we're getting to the point
where we just had you know heavy not
good money and then Bitcoin comes along
and the entire 20th century is okay
there's some gold there but I don't
think for a hundred years there was
anything looking like any gold
parody and so I I don't think it's
rational and it's not even constructive
to just fixate over and over again on
what happened to gold and how gold got
demonetized gold was demonetized in the
16th century right I mean if you study
any Empire like
the
Rothchilds like they traded bearer bonds
they were bonds they were pieces of
paper they occasionally used gold at
points in times but the entire 19th
century economy was moving on you know
on sovereign debt issued by the French
government and the UK government the the
Rothchilds didn't get rich because they
were gold dealers right and so there's a
certain fiction or a myth that somehow
there was this point when we had perfect
settlement of gold didn't happen in any
Century I'm aware of there's there's
always been a credit layer Y and and and
Bitcoin is it's property it's Capital
it's going to compete with the S&P it's
going to compete with bonds it's going
to compete with gold it's a better
settlement
network if you live in Cuba if you live
if your country goes
communist you should fear for it and
when the politics turn so socialist with
wealth taxes and unrealized capital
gains taxes and last yeah will will the
Socialist expropriate your property yeah
okay so if you if you believe in
property rights you should agitate
against socialism
expropriation fascism State control of
of things and
communism but Bitcoin is still the best
settlement Network we've had for a
capital in the history of the world it's
the best Capital it is emerging as the
world's Reserve Capital
Network and it's a lot more constructive
use of your time just to tell the US
government or any government just buy it
let me ask you about the Strategic
Reserve idea because it's it's very
interesting as you point out it's not a
it's not a Bitcoin standard there's been
many versions of of proposals obviously
Senator Cynthia lum's Bitcoin Act is one
you said people should sell their gold
to buy Bitcoin that's what the ACT
proposes right and there's a bunch of
other varieties how how should the
government be thinking about this in
your view gold is a shiny dead
Rock sell it all like you really W to if
you want to elevate uh Us's economic
leadership in the world there there are
two very simple
strategies almost three but to dump the
gold and buy Bitcoin because you
simultaneously demonetize the asset held
by your enemies who owns the goal right
you just sell it all and demonetize gold
once and for all put a stake in its
heart and buy Bitcoin and you get 20 25%
of the Bitcoin Network for
free but it's better right you could
just print the money and buy Bitcoin and
keep the gold but it's so much more
intelligent to
demonetize the your enemy's Network and
everybody else's Network networ you
might as well drive gold from a$ 20
trillion asset to A4 trillion asset
devalue the assets of gold held by every
non us
entity Drive Bitcoin to the roof and
then have 25% of the Bitcoin Network
forever uh and so that's a very
straightforward thing the second my
second observation is they ought to just
create a normal regime to issue digital
currency back by us treasuries
like I mean the US ought to have a
framework so tether relocates to New
York City right that's what you want
right and then you ought to basically
have a free-for-all where JP Morgan or
Goldman Sachs can issue their own stable
coin you know people you know if you
want to be non-constructive you can fix
dat in oh yeah the US is G you the the
bitcoin's going to demonetize bonds not
really that's not the constructive thing
I would focus upon the fact that Bitcoin
is going to demonetize the S&P index all
your real estate all your gold right and
other random store of value assets us
bonds are still going to stick around
because Banks need to hold them the
regulated entities need to hold them
they're the safe haven everybody outside
the US would give their left arm to be
capitalized on us bonds right
so what's really going to happen here my
strategy would
be and I really think it's Evil Genius
strategy right if it's like it's so good
right that our Ally our enemies would
hate us but our allies would complain
too and the US would make a hundred
trillion dollars in a heartbeat right
here's the strategy you dump gold
demonetize the entire gold Network you
buy Bitcoin you buy five million or six
million Bitcoin you monetize the Bitcoin
Network all the capital in the world
sitting in Siberian real estate or
Chinese natural gas or every other
currency derivative that's help is a
long-term store of value Europeans
Africans South Americans
Asians they you know they all just dump
their crappy property and their crappy
Capital assets and they buy Bitcoin the
price of Bitcoin goes to the moon the US
is the big beneficiary us companies are
the big
beneficiary and while you're doing that
you uh you normalize and and and support
digital currency and you just Define
digital currency is the US dollar backed
by US dollar equivalence in a regulated
us custodian that's audited what happens
next $150 billion dollar of stable coin
goes to a trillion
248 and probably somewhere between eight
and 16 trillion dollars and you create
six 10 to 20 trillion dollars of demand
for us sovereign debt and so you're like
while you're taking away a little bit of
the demand because the capital asset of
Bitcoin grows you're adding back the
demand to back the stable coin where
ises the where does the digital currency
goes it replaces the CNY the ruble it
replaces every African currency it
replaces every South American currency
it replaces the
Euro I mean if you really if you really
believe in US World Reserve currency and
US
values every single currency in the
world will actually just merge into the
US dollar if it was freely available
there isn't a stronger currency no there
isn't there's only there's only
currencies pegged to the dollar uh
explicitly like a
drom or the CNY yeah literally pled to
the dollar explicitly then there's
implicitly pegged to the dollar like the
Euro and then there's currencies
collapsing against the
dollar and like you know so what were we
on you know after World War II during
World War I we're on the dollar standard
after World War I the dollar standard
Treaty of Genoa the dollar standard
Bretton Woods the dollar standard that
it's like we're like oh we just
discovered the dollar standard 1971
we've been on the dollar standard since
we financed World War I for the Brits
right and we took over the world
financial System since then you want to
stay on the dollar standard you really
need to release 10 trillion dollar of
digital currency and then you'll be on
the dollar standard but what I just
described basically replaces every
currency in the world with dollar yeah
which the US controls right
and it siphons off hundreds of trillions
of dollars of 20th century Capital
assets and half of the capital in the
rest of the world and most 75% of the
capital of our enemies get siphoned into
Bitcoin and the big beneficiary is the
US government and after that every us
company because we're the ones that own
and run it yeah and so what I'm
describing there you can do for
free snap your fingers all you got to do
is make the observation the goal failed
as a as a money and a monetary Network
in the 16th century for the Spanish like
you're not going to save it yeah and
given the fact it's failed let's just
eliminate the
fiction demonetize it go to digital
gold sell the past own the future easy I
love it very it is I love you described
as Evil Genius almost a couple questions
Michael um have you thought about either
your uh either qualify custodians or in
general if micro strategy would perform
a cryptographic proof of reserves is
there interest in that um because in
addition to being the world's best
settlement Network and best asset it's
also the most trans transparent asset
right you yeah well we're we're
continually
auditing our custodians and we're
continually auditing our reserves and
there's an auditor there's an auditor
backing up the auditor there's a finance
team backing that up and there's another
process backing that up uh the question
of what we disclose is is a more
complicated situation because you know
there there there's certain practices
for a regulated entity in the United
States like like for example right JP
Morgan's not going to disclose to you
where they keep the computers that run
your bank accounts in order to create
transparency and so there are certain
disclosures that would actually be
viewed as more risky for a public
regulated company and there are other
disclos measures where where the people
that we work with wouldn't be allowed to
make them either so that's that's a
balance I what I would say is
that that entire uh best practice is
evolving pretty rapidly at this point
because there's so many eyes on it and
there's a lot of people thinking hard
about it and I think it'll continue to
improve interesting um talk about
Bitcoin development a little bit uh we
had a conversation on the sidelines of
the micro strategy conf conference in
Las Vegas about this there is some
momentum building for an upgrade to
bitcoin I think one of the least
controversial and more widely accepted
one is this op Che template verify gives
you some better um encumbrance tools so
you could do like vaults and like other
types of custody uh do you have thoughts
on on that specifically or in general
Bitcoin upgrade sort of philosophy I'm
very conservative on development I think
we I think we should go forward very
carefully very very carefully with
consensus and think hard um I I feel
like I think I will go on the record I
think the biggest threat to bitcoin is
overfunded
enthusiastic
developers that want to do something
cool that want to make it better and I
actually think if you look at the
history of every Empire and the fall of
every
Empire everyone
Rome Greece they always reach a peak and
they collapse from within because a
bunch of overfunded lawyers write laws
to make things better right and I think
in this particular case the developers
are the lawyers and the code they're
writing are the laws and they kind of
look at it and they're like well I
learned how to write code and I want to
be meaningful I want to make my fame I
want to be famous I want to earn my
fortune I want to make a you know you
could be senor
right and say look they're
lobbyists that want to you know it's
like when a guy shows up in DC and says
I have a new idea to protect the snail
daughter fish and improve the
environment and it cost everybody a
million dollars right they're like well
it seems like they're very
self-interested that's the cynical view
the the you
know what is it the more graceful or or
or the more charitable the more itable
view is they learned how to write code
they want to help and make a
contribution right and the world's full
of you know 20s something 30-some males
with a lot of energy that want to make a
contribution right we we get a lot of
our you know one out of a out of a
thousand ideas is a good idea and 99.9%
of the ideas fail and I don't I don't
think there's that much risk what I
would say is if you have all these good
ideas launch a company risk your own
capital and you know risk your own
credibility there's a 99% chance you'll
fail and there's a 0.1% chance you'll be
an Instagram or a meta or Google and
you'll succeed and then there's a 100%
chance that when you succeed in the
aftermath people will criticize you
right I mean think about the great
successes oh yeah think about think
about what people think about Microsoft
Instagram Apple after they've succeeded
right there's always an unintended
Google YouTube there's an unintended
consequence that comes from that great
success and
99.999% of the people that tried to do
that they all failed so my view on this
is it works don't break
it and I I can give you a hundred
examples of how all these all these
ideas go awfully horribly
wrong right and and I think the burden
of proof ought to beond the person if if
someone comes into your life and
proposes they want to forcibly inject
your kids with a 100 vaccines to make
them
better I mean I think the burden of
proof ought to be on the person that
wants to give you the 100 vaccines and
each one of these ideas including all
the covenants they're all they're all
vaccination
you know upgrades boosters to make us
better just in case in order to deal
with something and I and I got to say
you man the global warming thing you
know a lot of a lot of damage has been
done in favor of grand Ambitions to make
the world a better place so I I think
it's inconsistent with the
community to basically
idealistically charge forward
jamming
upgrades because it might make things
better in the future I really think
that's an ethereum thing I think if you
look at the ethereum road map it's like
never saw a good ey dank Shing you know
something I never saw a good idea I
didn't want to get into the protocol and
I have 10 years of good ideas and I
think I think that's kind of like
forcible mutation that leads to
monstrosity right and and so I think
with Bitcoin we should be very
careful and very thoughtful and it's not
that I can't be convinced sure that
there's that there's something we need
to do but but I'm of the
opinion that we should do things we need
to do and I would say also there's a
political Schism here which is which is
you everybody shows up at the capital
and they want to force their politics
it's like my view is that all human
beings should potentially
starve in order to make sure that we
don't chop down a tree you you know yeah
like there are people that will
basically there are people who believe
that well look if you look at every war
right I mean Napoleon drafted every
18year old in France 15 years in a row
and murdered a third of them because he
thought it was very important to to
spread the code of Napoleon but it
turned out to be not that important to
them right so so the world's full of
people that have an agenda right and
maybe your agenda is you you know you
want Bitcoin to work but you don't want
Banks to use it and you don't want the
government to use it you don't want
corporations to use it so so if your
agenda is is true crypto Anarchist then
you're going to want to drive a certain
set of developments into the
protocol but that actually may result in
the failure of your agenda
and the thing that's going to hundreds
of trillions right right clearly right
now my um my view is Bitcoin without
anybody's
help is going to make it to hundreds of
trillions of
dollars right and provide the economic
capital framework for the world without
anybody's help so you're you know all
you can do is break it yeah you don't
want to mess with at this point right
now and so so every every
proposal by by every actor ought to be
viewed with a with a lens of you know is
this essential and but I don't see
anything essential right now yep right
show me that it's essential to avoid the
failure of the
network right yeah I think I mean that's
a reasonable and conservative approach I
I think I think pursuing functionality
for the sake of functionality in all
these domains unleash it opens up a
Pandora's box of unintended consequences
which could with which likely will
perniciously backfire to the detriment
of everybody uh Michael you were once a
skeptic of Bitcoin and and we just were
about to wrap in a moment but you were
once a skeptic of Bitcoin um you've
obviously come around completely you're
now the best performing stock of the
year uh micro strategy is the largest
holder individual entity holder of
Bitcoin in the world um what would you
say to the Perpetual no coiners who
can't reckon with this the people like
the Peter schiffs who've been bearish on
bitcoin for the entire time or people
that called it a tulip bubble five times
in a row since 2013 do they have Bitcoin
derangement syndrome I would just ignore
them you know again Harvey Harvey
determined that your heart
beats you know and it beats blood out
through the arteries and it comes back
via the vein and when he discovered the
circular system and that was a big
breakthrough because for thousands of
years people didn't know what the heart
did and they didn't believe that and
when he rolled it out the medical
establishment everybody rejected it all
the doctors rejected it even though they
could run a simple experiment to
determine it and he said um no physician
no doctor over the age of 40 will ever
believe me I so there's just no point uh
Max plank said uh science advances one
funeral at a
time and so I really think you've got
you've got three
constituencies uh you've got the the old
guard that is successful traditional set
in their ways and they don't need a new
idea they don't want to hear it they
created their reputation and staked it
based on an old idea they will take it
to their grave you're wasting your time
there's no point you just should ignore
them you've got the new generation the
20s something the 30s
somethings the guy wants to get rich he
wants to get famous he's got nothing he
can't afford a house he wants a yacht he
wants
respect okay everything to gain nothing
to lose right those are the people that
pick up guitars and become lead Zeppelin
or the Beatles right I mean it's always
the Young Generation using the new
technology to make their way in the
world that's uh that's the beauty of
life
and and that's not hard you don't have
to work that hard to convince them and
then you've got the the the middle
people that are reasonably open-minded
over time initially they'll be
dismissive and then they'll be less
dismissive and then they'll start to
notice and maybe their daughter or their
son will tell them or maybe they'll run
into a crisis a near-death experience
like I did and they'll have to find a
new idea
or maybe uh they'll be persuaded by
someone they respect and then they will
gradually study it and they will flip
right and and I think you're better off
to to focus your time on that middle
group those who don't haven't really
made up their mind or they have
reasonable open minds and maybe they
have a motive like they they have a mo
like how am I going to
10x my value right the the best run
companies in the world that everybody
loves they probably won't switch first
because they have more to lose than they
have to gain right it's the zombie
companies that are forsaken by the
market that no one cares about that are
competing against Microsoft and against
apple or against
Google that are kind of in a hopeless
situation but not dead
yet you're not dead yet MH I have a
solution for you right and I I think
that's that's the ones that you focus on
it makes a lot of sense um Michael
sailor founder and chairman of micro
strategy thank you so much for coming on
Galaxy brins yeah thanks for having me
that's it for this week's episode of
Galaxy brains thank you to Our Guest
Michael sailor chairman and founder of
micro strategy Bim net will be back next
week and we will also see you next week
so have a safe and happy
weekend thanks for listening to Galaxy
brains the weekly podcast from Galaxy
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