ICR Conference 2025 Keynote - Michael Saylor
ICR · 2025-01-21 · 53m · View on YouTube →
thank you very much we'd like everyone
to take their seats and I know uh people
are like grabbing lunch and they'll be
kind of coming in uh over the next few
minutes but uh Michael sailor is the
founder and executive chairman of micro
strategy which as most of you know is a
publicly traded uh business intelligent
firm and the holder as of today of
450,000 Bitcoin at an average cost of
approximately 62,000 per coin the
company has allocated over 28 billion to
their Bitcoin treasury
strategy Michael's also the founder of
alarm.com he's a named inventor on over
48 patents and the author of the book
The Mobile wave he founded the Sailor
Academy a nonprofit that has provided
free education to over 2 million
students and as we all know he's one of
the world's leading advocates for the
Bitcoin standard with dual degrees from
MIT in Aerospace Engineering in the
history of science Michael posts his
views on X as sailor and on his website
michael.com if you want more information
and we're very fortunate that he's
agreed to speak with us today how about
a warm welcome for Michael
[Applause]
sailor thank you uh thanks for
coming uh I know I took you away from
probably a nonbox lunch
but I'll try to make it worth your while
[Music]
um everybody in the world every investor
every executive is facing an economic
and a technology
challenge you could specify the economic
challenges it's very difficult to
outperform monetary inflation when you
look at the rate at which the currency
Supply is
expanding um most Investments don't
outperform it you know that the S&P 500
is to a certain degree the cost of
capital but all of the safer investment
and asset classes underperform and even
though you're getting wealthier nominal
terms and real terms you're really
not and if you're a company executive
and your company isn't growing
organically 15% a year or more
institutional investors tend to lose
interest in you 15% is a hurdle rate and
uh and when they lose interest your
liquidity and your stock dries up and
then the options Market dries up and
that's a challenge you become in in many
ways you could be a zombie company my
company was a zombie company um we got
to the point where the stock traded $2
million a day there was no options
Market uh we were dead money nobody
tuned into our earnings calls and it
wasn't clear how we were going to to get
ahead and and I would say half of the
Russell 2000 are stuck in that same spot
if not 90% of all
companies and here's one of the reasons
why um the winners in the 21st century
they're all digital monopolies if you
have an Investment Portfolio and it
doesn't include apple and Amazon or
Facebook or Google or Nvidia or the like
you're probably not winning it's very
hard to see how you could be a
successful investor without some
exposure to those
companies and if you look at the rest of
the S&P normally the S&P is the 500
Greatest companies in the United
States 493 of them are fairly boring how
do you how do you actually compete
against a digital Monopoly when someone
has I think Facebook has two billion
users a day or of a billion customers um
and when you can ship a product to a
billion people overnight with a A Punch
of a button that's an enormous
Advantage so all of us we struggling
with this issue how how do you how are
you going to be a winner when you're not
one of the seven
winners um the technology challenge is
very intertwined with this which is you
can't win if you miss the next
technology wave
you know that there was personal
Computing and there was the internet and
there was mobile Computing and now
there's artificial
intelligence and I'm here to say that I
think everybody in the world understands
artificial intelligence is the next
technology wave but I think very very
few people not so many really appreciate
there's another technology wave taking
place and it's it's a digital
transformation of capital it's the it's
digital Capital it's it's happening
right in front of people's faces but
because it's unexpected and it's a
paradigm shift and it's an inversion of
everyone's world view they tend to
dismiss it as
something random unlikely unlucky
scary and um I'm here to talk about
Bitcoin and so bitcoin's the solution to
the problem it's the solution to the
economic problem how do you win when
there's only seven companies that can
win and it's a solution to the
technology question how do you get on
the next technology wave and how do you
exploit it to the benefit of your
investors your family your company your
customers now how do I know Bitcoin is
the next wave why should you think it's
the next wave well here's a chart of the
top 10 largest assets in the world right
now and so if you look at the 10 uh
bitcoin's number seven it is the seventh
largest asset in the world goals number
one then you've got these Magnificent
Seven companies Nvidia Apple Microsoft
Amazon alphabet
meta and you got Saudia
ramco and you got a little bit of
silver but of them the fastest growing
of these is Bitcoin Bitcoin is growing
three times faster than Microsoft why is
it why is it the next wave well it's not
just the fastest growing asset in the
world it's the most popular asset in the
world it's literally the most popular
asset in the world everyone wants to
talk about it it's the most
interesting it's the most digital asset
in the world right you you you can't
digitally transform you can't move um
these other assets at the speed of light
a million times a second between 8
billion computers the way you can with
Bitcoin it's the most useful asset in
the world if you need a billion dollars
in five minutes on a Saturday afternoon
this is the only asset you can
liquidate right it is it is useful to
every company on Earth to every person
on Earth it is global you know these
other things aren't Global assets with
the exception of gold so in essence
Bitcoin is the digit digal gold but but
you know you can't beam gold between 8
billion iPhones and gold is a 5,000 year
old idea and Bitcoin is that idea
reinvented for the 21st
century and now I'm going to give you a
set of suggestions or or a set of
indicators as to why maybe this is
something big why it's not just
random this is Bitcoin versus that asset
allocation chart and you can see that
that um it looks hard to find a solution
when you don't include Bitcoin and when
you put Bitcoin on the chart it renders
every other solution
irrelevant it's like it's pretty clear
there's one thing that's interesting and
everything else is just more of the same
Bitcoin punches a hole into the chart
60% over the past four
years and
um if we zoom into that a little bit
closer this is as set performance uh
since micro strategy adopted the Bitcoin
standard the S&P is uh returning 13% a
year real estate's 10% a year gold 7% a
year bonds are minus 5% a year as you
can see the cost of capital the hurdle
rate there is 13 the only thing that's
beating it that's conventional is the
Magnificent 7 which is a bit more than
doubling it and then Bitcoin is doubling
the Magnificent s so one of these things
things is is is really an
overwhelming uh winner Bitcoin more than
four times conventional performance
let's look out over 14 years it's the
winter in 11 of 14 years so it's not
just it's up over the last four years
it's up more over 10 years 8 years 12
years here's another slice you can look
at everything in the world trying to
find
something which is more compelling but
Bitcoin is showing a annualized
performance of 147% from
2011 but again you know after Bitcoin
you just fall to like your best growth
stock
idea and
uh it's not just it's the best
performing asset it's the best
performing uncorrelated asset it's got
the highest sharp ratio it's also got
the lowest correlation these are these
are Fidelity numbers so the entire ire
world is looking for an investment idea
that's uncorrelated to risk assets you
know we have entire conferences
alternative investment conferences and
we talk about should it be real estate
should it be natural gas rights should
it be intellectual property well Bitcoin
is the global fungible liquid
alternative
asset and uh you don't have to believe
me or look you don't have to understand
the fundamentals even if you even if you
don't want to spend a thousand hours
studying it you can just look at the
chart published by Fidelity it gives you
the same
answer Black Rock announ they launched a
Bitcoin ETF a year
ago uh that
ETF um leaped above
1,100 ETFs that they sell to be number
13 in 12 months so that just shows you
how fast it's
moving you know blowing past a thousand
other ETFs but it's more than that um
that ETF is the most successful ETF
launch in the history of ETFs and I
would say if you look at Wall Street
over 40 years the last big innovation in
Wall Street was the ETF the idea that
you could buy spy or you could buy uh a
portfolio a
QQQ uh or a diversified portfolio of
assets that was the big
idea uh big enough to attract trillions
of dollars of capital
and the most successful example of that
big idea is
ibit Right which has just been a
screaming home
run not only is it run past nearly all
of the Black Rock ETFs and all the other
ETFs it's actually outstripped black
Rock's gold fund which is around forever
I and it did it in 12
months right digital gold is better than
gold uh just like digital photos are
better than physical photos and digital
videos are better than your you know
then your VHS cassettes right it's it's
not a complicated idea I digitally
transform something it's a million times
smarter a million times faster a million
times more ubiquitous a million times
you know lighter than the thing that it
replaced in 2024 10 of the top 20 ETFs
launch were all based on
bitcoin right so everybody's cool ideas
right it's based on bitcoin or some
derivative of
Bitcoin uh those spot Bitcoin ETFs they
are um they're they're compliance
gateways or or wrappers if I want to buy
Bitcoin then I have to solve the
compliance problem the compatibility
problem the convenience problem and in
January of 2024 the first ETFs got
approved in the US to do this this is
the list of them uh in that 12 months
they siphoned up $ 109 billion of
AUM so it gives you a sense of just how
fast they
moved um they were a solution to a
problem right but it's not just a US
phenomena uh ETFs that are backing
Bitcoin coin or or a back by Bitcoin are
popping up every country in the world
and so you can see they're in Canada
they're in Sweden they're in Germany
they're in Singapore they're in
Switzerland they're in
Australia right um they solve a
fundamental issue right uh in some cases
it solves the issue of reporting tax
compliance it may solve the issue of
capital
controls right you know you're seeing
ETFs popping up in Hong Kong eventually
the Chinese will let you own Bitcoin but
they're more likely to let you own it if
it's custody in a bank in
Shanghai right me many uh many countries
they're not cons they're not trying to
keep their citizens or their companies
from getting
rich they're simply trying to keep the
capital from flowing out of the company
or the country so is so it's it's
totally fine for a billion people to
make an investment that makes them money
as long as they keep it in the country
in question and so these ETFs in many
cases they're handles or they're
wrappers but they're um they're also
just solving the problem of how do you
be politically
correct and how do you be harmonious
with all the with all of The Regulators
around the
world wealthy families they're always
looking for how to diversify their
assets it's like uh I own a bunch of
real estate or I own Diversified
portfolio stocks or I want some all
other alternative assets well there's 60
Global billionaires that we know
publicly are invested in Bitcoin I give
you a short list but uh the more
important point is Bitcoin is the
fastest growing alternative investment
for high net High net worth individuals
in the world and it's
a it's a it's a very straightforward
powerful
idea you know I'm going to buy a
building that's that's buying property
to diversify myself and get away from
risk exposure that's great but buildings
are liquid and they're not
fungible uh what if I could buy a
digital building and I could buy it $200
at a time or $200 million at a time or2
billion doar at a time and what if it
offered the same economic property
rights if it offered the same
characteristics whether you bought $200
or $200 million
of it that's a powerful idea it's a
fungible idea it's a global idea it's an
idea people can remember right and it's
not likely that you can buy the same
physical assets that Elon Musk and Mark
Zuckerberg own but you can buy the same
Bitcoin they own and you've got the same
rights per pursue to
them there's s 70 public companies that
are capitalizing on bitcoin right now
you're starting to see this
explode uh companies like simler
companies like Mara and Riot and and CER
you know all of them are realizing that
if they recapitalize on bitcoin they go
from investing in uh a bond that loses
10% of its value a year to a Bitcoin
that gains 40% more value a year it's
simply flipping of a light switch this
is a virtuous economic Dynamic it's
spreading
you see 70 companies then it'll be 700
then it'll be 7,000 then it'll be 7,000
there's 400 million companies in the
world who doesn't want
money um those Bitcoin ETFs are
outperforming all the commodity ETFs so
I show you every commodity ETF what you
see is bitcoin's crushing
Everything Gold is second best
the rest are just trading
Vehicles right you can buy some gold and
you'll get an average performance you
can buy Bitcoin and get good performance
everything else is just a trade all
other Commodities are pretty awful to
hold for more than a few years you're
not going to invest your family's life
savings and natural gas or soybeans for
100 years and you can probably figure
out
why um Bitcoins those ETFs are also
outperforming the bond portfolios as you
can see if you're thinking Bitcoin
versus bonds well you know bonds are all
fairly lame
boring
um right now you're starting to see a
movement to 1 to 3% allocation you know
the 6040 Bond portfolio that that's
going to change right that's not going
to last much longer uh that 1 to 3% uh
allocation to bitcoin will eventually
become a 5 to 10% allocation to bitcoin
when you start to see conventional
portfolios with just 1 two 3% allocation
you know the price of Bitcoin skyrockets
but when it gets to 5 to 10% allocation
it's definitely going to be in the
millions and so if I put Bitcoin up
against every other ETF what you can see
is that it's you know it's still
outperforming them all it's the fastest
horse in the
race you can see where black Rock's ibit
sits on the leaderboard right now but
you can also see that at the rate that
it's growing ibit may very well be the
largest ETF in the world within 10 years
I I would think it's more likely than
not based upon the performance
characteristics of the
industry uh bitcoin's beating your
favorite hedge
fund right uh it is The
Benchmark um it was up 121% in the last
year but again when I when I look I'm
looking at out and I'm saying well we're
getting 60% a year from Bitcoin like
show me a hedge fund that's going to
give me 60% a year over four years you
know show me someone that's going to
promise me 30% a year for the next 20
years and not charge me a
fee right and give me complete liquidity
and Redemption it's not easy so you see
the world's inverting you know
um and that takes us to the question of
what is bitcoin well Bitcoin just
requires a return to First principles
it's a it's a new form of Technology it
is it is economic technology I think of
it as digital
energy
but you know if you started with this
Trope and you said what did Satoshi do
Satoshi discovered a method to transfer
value uh without a trusted
intermediary and people often times
repeat that but that's the small idea
it's not the big idea
yes we transfer a billion dollars from
point A to point B without a
bank the big idea is in order to
transfer value without an intermediary
you have to store the value without an
intermediary the big idea is I put the
billion dollars into
cyberspace
forever money and order the big idea is
we launched a payload into orbit when
you launch a payload into a ballis
trajectory it comes back to earth when
you launch it into orbit it orbits
forever right when you get to escape
velocity maybe it's never coming back so
imagine the idea that I could put a
billion dollars into a bank in
cyberspace that would stay there
untarnished not
corroding right without being debased
forever like forever is such a powerful
idea right it's frictionless it's
superconducting
the big idea is store value without an
intermediary it means you transcend
Banks you transcend physical laws right
it this represents a digital
transformation a capital from financial
and physical assets to digital pure
digital like how how much does a book
weigh if it's the encyclopedia Botanica
how much does it weigh when is a digital
encyclopedia branica one of them is a
billion trillion times
lighter than the other it's the
fundamental phase shift and now what's
that worth well Global wealth is divided
across a bunch of assets here's a $900
trillion wealth
chart people own half those things for
utility they own buildings to to live in
or work in and they own cars to drive
and they own companies to operate but
the other half of the assets are just
held as a long-term store of capital you
bought it because you had money and you
needed to put the money to work so you
bought the you have a land bank you
bought a bunch of land you bought a
bunch of commercial real estate you
bought a bunch of
bonds half of everything is just
long-term
capital so if that's what half of
everything is what's the problem well
the problem is when you put your money
your 450 trillion into that long-term
capto investment you get hit with taxes
income tax you get hit with wage control
price controls
regulations there's a fire in California
there's a
hurricane in Florida there's a war in
Russia and Ukraine there's a currency
collapse in Egypt there's a bank failure
in
Lebanon right these are all the things
that cause you to lose money if you're
an investor and you've lived long enough
you can probably give me 30 40 50 ways
you lost money most 10ks have 30 40
pages of risk factors of just ways you
can lose money there's a lot of ways you
can lose in the world that's I'm going
to call it entropy I'm going to call it
chaos I'm going to call it the passage
of time your Warehouse just gets older
it was a good warehouse and 40 years
later it's not a good Warehouse you have
to rebuild
it what's that cost well that cost about
$1 trillion a year it's 3% of 450
trillion right it's costing us money to
store you know I'm going to put a
billion dollars in your hands and you
got to go buy up everything you want in
Asia and hold it a 100 years then play
all these out and you realize there's
going to be an entropic lapse there's
going to be an inefficiency
there well Bitcoin is an asset without
that Financial Risk of the currency the
stock or the bond you're going to buy
and it doesn't have the physical risk of
real estate or property because you put
it in cyberspace it is an orbit it is
outside of the political domain outside
of the physical domain outside of a
currency
domain and that is and that is a a
solution to long-term capital so what
you see is you see smart money
everywhere in the world smart PE here's
the big idea of Bitcoin you get to keep
your
money that's the idea
who cares people that live in China and
Russia and Africa and South America and
Asia and Europe that want to keep their
money and so the money is
Flowing from those long-term capital
assets from that warehouse from that uh
currency from that South American
bond from that bar of
gold is flowing into
Bitcoin Bitcoin is digital Capital so I
would I would submit to you I think the
greatest digital transformation of the
21st century more important than digital
music or digital books or digital video
or digital education or digital Fillin
the blank is the digital transformation
of capital Bitcoin is digital capital
and if it's digital Capital it's going
to transform the capital markets
so imagine your $100 million building I
give you a $100 million and you own a
building in
La okay or put it in Miami or put it in
any city in the world in
Istanbul and now digitally transform it
what happens when you digitally
transform the100 million building well
you get rid of all the things that are
liabilities you get rid of the tax the
traffic the tenants the torts the
trouble the weather the corrosion the
regulator this the
the the um fact that you can't move it
and then you add all the things that
make something more valuable right how
do you make the building more valuable
you make it invisible indestructible
Immortal teleport programmable divisible
you make it fungible configurable you
make it volatile these things make the
building more valuable the other things
make the building less valuable Bitcoin
is in essence just that digital
transformation if you had your1 million
building in
Ukraine or you had it in Syria or you
had it in fill in the blank Venezuela or
Cuba or
LA or you had it in the in the path of
whatever storm or you had it in
Moscow what's it worth now right and and
how does it degrade
digital capital is global
Capital right this idea of a building
right it's like we can debate whether or
not you want your building in New York
or Miami or LA or San
Francisco but if I took a if I gave you
a billion dollars and I dropped you in
Africa and I said to you okay I want you
to go buy a mixture of African uh assets
worth a billion dollars buy anything you
want buy it in any country buy land buy
The Bu buy the buildings buy the
companies buy your favorite African
currency buy the Egyptian pound buy the
naira buy the krugger
Rand buy a concession on a whatever
Safari buy tents buy mineral rights buy
it all the catches you have to hold it
for 100 years in
Africa what are you going to buy
and now here's the second question if I
gave you a choice you can either buy all
that stuff and be locked in that in that
investment for a 100 years or you can
buy digital capital on the Bitcoin
Network that all the other smart rich
people own and that you can carry with
you uh in your pocket or you can zap it
out of the you know Out of
Africa and it's in cyers space and it's
not subject to African political
jurisdiction and no Warlord AFC is going
to take it you don't have to trust an
African
bank and you you can live in Africa as
long as you want until you decide you
want to move so is it even a I mean is
it even a difficult
question let me play the question a
different way I'm going to take all your
money right now I'm gonna I'm gonna uh
cast a spell and I'm going to teleport
it all and I'm going to spread it
equally across a mixture of Market
Basket of assets Ina afca and I'm going
to say hey I played a magic trick on you
I moved all of your assets into the
middle of all these countries in Africa
and now I'm going to give you a a green
button you can hit the green button and
move it all
back or I'm going to give you an orange
button you can move it to cyberspace or
you can leave it there and and so when
people wonder like why is money flowing
into Bitcoin why is the price going up
it's not going up randomly it's it's
going up in the same same way that water
flows downhill and it's it's going in
the same way that that capital is always
fleeing from a less secure situation to
a more secure
situation because it's just a natural
human
behavior you have a billion dollars in
Nigeria you can buy a billion in Bitcoin
but you you cannot buy a billion dollars
of real estate in New York City and you
cannot put your billion dollars into JP
Morgan and so you see on a relative
basis there's a certain appeal here and
then here we we can see Bitcoin is
um it's a revolutionary advance in
capital preservation everything you own
in this world probably has a useful life
of 10 to 100
years so what if I give you something
with a useful life of a thousand
years like when gold inflates a 2% a
year that means it's got a halflife of
35 years your capital and gold as a 30 5
year halflife when something inflates at
0% a year your capital on that thing has
a half life of
forever there's a the difference between
2% and 0% is I live 35 years I live for
a billion
years it's a pretty big difference when
you compound
it so this thing we call Bitcoin it's a
network it's secured by energy it's by
electrical energy by computer power by
political Power by economic power it's
simply put it's the most powerful crypto
Network in the world has the most
popular support it has more computer
power than Amazon or Microsoft could
muster if they wanted to people say
What's it back by it's just backed by
power a lot of power right the political
power to topple or tip an election which
is what just happened in the US right
the computer power that that is is such
a dense hash wall that every computer on
Earth turned against it wouldn't Dent
it um let me switch gears to a 21-year
Outlook of Bitcoin what do I think's
going to happen well I've got an open
source model it's called Bitcoin 24 you
can Google it it's on GitHub you can
download this you can plug in all your
assumptions and create your own
forecast but I think looking out over
the next 21 years you know I just I I
think the money supply the currency
Supply will continue to grow you're
going to you're going to continue to see
Innovation you're going to see equities
continue to grow gold will gradually
underperform of course bitcoin's going
to overperform equities will overperform
because of AI and
technology and this is a simple a simple
view I put fourth in Nashville in July
and I haven't really changed from it I
expect the bitcoin's going to go from
60% AR decelerating to 20% for a blended
rate of
29% I think the volatility of Bitcoin
will go from 60 Vol decelerating to 20
Vol for a blended Vol of whatever the
same and I think that you know if you
look out 20 years it's still going to be
growing faster than the S&P a bit 50%
more it's still going to be 50% more
volatile than the
S&P but you want a simple view of the
market you just think here's something
which is 29% AR for the next 21 years
targeting $13 million a
coin and if you look at that against our
map of wealth it's not that radically
different um just Bitcoin becomes the
global monetary index a $280 trillion
asset class equities will still be
bigger real estate will still be bigger
bonds will still be bigger it's just you
know if you want to get rich you're not
getting rich investing in
gold right if you want to stay Rich you
can probably hold a diversified
portfolio of real estate and Equity if
you want to outperform you're going to
need
Bitcoin we're entering the era of
institutional adoption now this 10 years
this is the Gold Rush
era right in 24 Bitcoin emerged as a
viable alternative to bonds and a in a
corporate portfolio that was the first
year now you see all these public
entities that that are holding Bitcoin
115 different ones so this is
spreading as I said it's a virus it's
going to
accelerate uh there's a wave of
political support for Bitcoin it's
surging you can see the entire cabinet
is pro Bitcoin the White House is pro
Bitcoin the Senate and the house are pro
Bitcoin you know you've got a senator uh
proposing a Bitcoin strategic
Reserve you've got Larry thinkink
advocating for Bitcoin on CNBC and I
just showed you the Black Rock numbers
they're
Stellar you've got Donald Trump never
sell your Bitcoin right it's all you
need to
know you've got Senator lumus I
encourage people to buy and hold I
encourage them to say Bitcoin for their
retirement for their
future you've got Joe Karan debating
with Mohamad a lot of people that are
nodding with you because we can deflate
our way out of some of the step but the
difference between 2% and 3% compounded
for the dollar is devastating and and
you're saying you should buy
Bitcoin um in 2025 with the first year
of the crypto
Renaissance right I think what you're
going to see is um you'll see
improvements to the Wall Street ETFs um
you're going to see fair value
accounting from fby which will be a big
boost uh you've got 250 plus pro crypto
uh Representatives or senators in
congress I think you'll see the repeal
of Sab 121 which allows Banks to enter
the asset class and start to bank
Bitcoin that's going to be a big deal
the end of the war in crypto is just a
big deal and uh I think the arrival of a
digital assets framework and a bunch of
Bitcoin standard companies all of these
things are are in progress process right
now uh a few words on micro strategy
we're powered by digital
Capital what do we do we flipped to the
Bitcoin standard about four years ago we
started buying Bitcoin and we've just
been accumulating every
quarter 46 48 successive announcements
we're up to 450,000 Bitcoin as of this
morning and uh what are we doing what we
do is is we issue Securities debt
Securities like convertible bonds or the
like in order to create Leverage
we raise permanent capital and then we
have an equity which is a bit more
volatile and a bit higher performance
than Bitcoin we generate The Leverage
with fixed income instruments which are
less volatile uh lower performance than
Bitcoin and on top of our Equity is a
very vibrant options market and then uh
and then the fixed income instruments
offer a different
opportunity uh for fixed income
investors you could think of us as like
a Bitcoin Refinery you know crude oil
goes in one side and you have like
kerosene gasoline coming out the other
side um Bitcoin is just crude Capital 60
Vol 60 AR the world's full of people
that that want 15
ARR and 10v they don't want 6060 so
we're just stepping down the Bitcoin and
we're giving people the flavor they want
uh what's happened well we basically
almost doubl the performance of Bitcoin
not quite over the last four years and
you so you can see how uh the phrase I
have and I use often is the only thing
better than Bitcoin is more
Bitcoin it you can't beat 60% ARR you
can't beat that except if you borrow
money at 0% interest and you buy the 60
AR then you can beat it so we borrow
money at 0% or 1% interest with
convertible bonds then we buy something
going up 60% and that's how we beat
Bitcoin and you have to have a public
company with a large permanent Capital
base in order to lever it so we're using
our permanent Bitcoin capital in order
to issue the fixed income securities in
order to create the
leverage and that has allowed us to
outperform every S&P 500 company over
these four years by a large margin um
and of course part of the trick is to be
more volatile we're the most volatile
company out of the S&P
500 okay and volatility is thought to be
a bug we think it's a feature capital is
thought to be toxic we think it's an
asset right and so we pursue the
volatility the volatility gives the
stock options uh value and that gives
the convertible bonds value and that's
how we're able to raise Capital
quickly right and if you look at what's
what volatility has done for us it's
made us one of the the top top 10 uh
biggest options markets in the S&P
universe and we're also one of the top
10 most traded names in the S&P universe
and the thing on the left is interesting
but the thing on the right kind of tells
you the story what's really going on
here we have the largest options open
interest as percentage of market cap in
the entire market and we have the
highest daily trading volume the most
liquidity as percentage of market cap in
Mar in the market another way to say it
is we're we're running very hot we've
created a crypto reactor Bitcoin is the
fuel and conventional wisdom is strip
volatility from the balance sheet strip
volatility from the p&l but when you do
it you destroy the options market and
you destroy your own
liquidity right and of course we are
serving as the institutional Gateway for
you to short Bitcoin or go long Bitcoin
with leverage and we're happy for people
to do either have to be two sides to
every trade so you can see we're about
you know not quite 10 times bigger than
the options market for straight
Bitcoin you should power your company
with Bitcoin this is the speech I gave
to Microsoft I said they should try some
Bitcoin why because it's the highest
performing uncorrelated asset a
corporation can hold on its balance
sheet right Microsoft's 18% a year uh
performance versus Bitcoin
62% bonds minus 5% those are the only
three numbers you need to see now what
look what happens
next if you're Microsoft and you
generate a 100 billion in cash flow and
you sweep your cash flows into your own
stock you underperform Bitcoin by
97% you basically lose 97% of your gains
because you're
buying you're buying a plus 18 instead
of a plus 62
right but look at this one if you're
Microsoft and you put 100 billion
dollars into US treasury bills it's a
minus
99.7% trade it's
horrific the bonds are
toxic now anybody that went to Harvard
Business School knows this but their
solution is the wrong solution the
solution is surrender all the money
throw the money away because the money
is toxic s show me a rich family that
came up with the idea of throw all the
money away to solve their
problems right if you're going to
perform in a superior way you're not
going to do it without digital Capital
there's Microsoft there's Nvidia that's
micro strategy in the same time
period we're not smarter than them and
we don't work harder than them right
we're the people building with steel and
they're building building with
wood I have a gun they have a bow and
arrow it's
technology right look at micro strategy
versus Microsoft here we have
effectively the same size options
market and our stock trades more than
theirs why because they stripped the
volatility from the balance sheet and
they stripped the volatility from the
p&l because that's what Harvard B School
classic Finance tells you to do what
happens when you strip your volatility
you have a 98% collapse in your options
Market you have a 99% collapse in
liquidity and this is masked by the fact
that they're so large but this is not
good for them this is not good for
someone holding 10 billion dollar of
Microsoft stock it's not as good a
collateral and it doesn't generate the
same return this is not what you should
be aspiring to
so every company has a choice to
make cling to the past which is
conventional I buy treasury bonds I do
BuyBacks I pay out dividends or embrace
the future which is I use Bitcoin as
digital capital a different idea Bitcoin
buys instead of stock
BuyBacks the first choice is regression
you're divesting your earnings yearly
you're increasing investor risk and
you're slowing your own growth the
second choice is progression you're
investing your earnings back into your
own business you're decreasing risk and
you're accelerating
growth right this is actually Microsoft
in the past five years they have
surrendered $200 billion of
capital just surrendered it right they
generated 200 billion and and how does
it help the sholders today it doesn't
it's gone they literally gave it
away and what did they do by giving it
away they an these are the risk factors
in Microsoft's
10K not mine theirs they disclose them
they're amplifying their own risk when
you're buying your stock back you're
Levering up your own equity on your own
risk
factors how do you get out of that
vicious cycle right the best way to
escape the cycle is reverse the process
and start to invest in a diversified
uncorrelated highly performing asset so
Bitcoin is the asset without
counterparty risk you don't have risk to
a competitor a country a corporation a
creditor a culture or currency that's
the point get rid of the
risk now now what if you could buy a
digital Monopoly growing at 60% a year
at one times
Revenue and what if that company was
more profitable than your own company
would you do it who wouldn't do
it what if you could keep doing it every
year
forever well that's Bitcoin right
Bitcoin is the universal Perpetual
profitable merger partner right what
you're doing is the transformational
merger but you're doing it with a a
crypto Monopoly so when you evaluate
your options you can plug in that same
model and I did it for Microsoft and I
looked at their business I looked at
their cash
flows right and I looked at what happens
if they convert their existing assets to
bitcoin or if they sweep their dividends
into Bitcoin or they replace their
BuyBacks with Bitcoin or they just
borrow a little bit of money cheap to
buy Bitcoin and what's the result the
result is if they just convert some of
their spare cash that make 155 bucks a
share and if they replace the dividend
they make $362 a
share right and if they get rid of the
BuyBacks
$477 so it's worth anywhere from $100 to
$500 a share do they have to change
their Core Business not at all right the
other catch is they double the value of
the
company right what happens to the market
cap of the company well status quo is
nothing
good that little change is worth a
trillion dollar
right if you go to full triple Maxi it's
$5
trillion right you can just be worth
five you know8 trillion instead of three
trillion or whatever what's the downside
no you just get
rich okay this is another way to see
Microsoft 5% of Microsoft's value is
based upon its tangible assets it's it's
actual liquid assets right now 95% is
based upon forward expectations
when you actually start to reinvest in
Bitcoin your stock is valued 41% on on
your assets and only 59% based on
expectations so conventional wisdom says
value the company based on forward
expectations but but you know the
richest people in the world aren't
valued based on expectations of how hard
they're going to work Bernard Arno and
Jeff Bezos and Elon Musk they're not
valued based on how hard they're going
to work they're valued based on what
they own your family's value based so
why wouldn't you want to own something
right Bitcoin is the thing to own so the
snapshot here is you know you can crank
the stock price up improve the ARR you
know the growth rate for the investors
create trillions of dollars of value all
you have to do is manage your balance
sheet differently you're capitalizing on
bitcoin not capitalizing on
bonds and I'll just end with some
observation if it's good for your family
and good for your portfolio and good for
your company it's probably good for your
country why not power your country based
on bitcoin so this is Senator lum's
proposal the idea is to buy some Bitcoin
for the United States actually a million
Bitcoin over the course of five years
why because it's a peaceful Equitable
solution for solving political
differences it'll actually lay in place
a foundation for the US to lead lead
economically and ideologically without
violence in the 21st
century it's because you're harnessing
you're you're assuming economic and
Technology leadership in the world
trillions of dollars of money is going
to flow into this network and you can be
the primary beneficiary if you're the US
and you own it the US already has the
world Reserve currency why wouldn't you
want to own the world's Reserve Capital
Network that's what Bitcoin is the
world's Reserve Capital Network and what
you're doing when you support it is
you're attracting the capital from the
Chinese the Russians the Africans the
South Americans the Europeans into the
network all that capital is going to
flow and we're going to be the
beneficiaries if you plug that Bitcoin
24 model in the lumus bill what it does
is cut the US debt in half over 20 years
but if you think about the
Precedence we bought the Louisiana
Territory for next to nothing $15
million and then we bought California
and Mexico and uh and Texas from in in
the Mexican War and then we bought
Alaska look at all those
purchases when we bought Alaska we
bought a bunch of territory not even
knowing what it was
worth and then a hundred years later
there's a trillion dollars of uh mineral
rights under underneath it they weren't
thinking that in
1867 right and
so we paid I think 40 million do for
three quarters of the United States $40
million if you know where the people are
going if you know the future California
what could they possibly do in
California right we bought California
for 18 million bucks so Bitcoin is
simply cyber Manhattan
all the AIS are going there all the
global capital is going there all we
need to do is buy it it's all going to
arrive so if you think about the
greatest deal of the 21st century it's
just buy 20 25% of cyber space when the
US buys it every company will follow
every country will follow all the
capitalists will follow and we end up
you know in the extreme case the Trump
Max case you make $81 trillion doar just
buying the future what you're doing is
you're tipping you're inverting the
entire world
order uh instead of relying upon 20th
century Capital
assets that 450 trillion will flow into
21st century digital assets if you know
that the world is moving from the 20th
to the 21st century if you believe in
the progression of Technology if you
think that people would rather have a
billion dollars of Bitcoin than a
billion dollars of frozen tundra in
Siberia or natural gas rights in Cuba or
whatever then you can just buy it now
you can buy it for next to nothing and
so that's the logic of the Bitcoin
strategic reserve for the United States
and it works for any country it works
for any company right and and uh I guess
the best thing I can say about Bitcoin
is is is it's happening everybody needs
it nobody can stop it very few people
understand it and it's just volatile
enough to be scary enough that if you
don't do the work and get the conviction
you'll just stare at it and watch it
pass you by but I don't really mind the
volatility because what I say to people
is if Bitcoin appreciated at 60% a year
in a perfect exponential with no
volatility people stupider than me
richer than me would own it all and I
would have no opportunity and so I kind
of like the way it's evolved and um I
want to thank everybody for your time
today and just leave you with the
thought do the right thing for your
family for the country for your
investors and adult Bitcoin