SaylorCorpus

Michael Saylor, The Bitcoin Strategy for a New Financial System, Economic Club of Miami

The Economic Club of Miami · 2025-12-17 · 1h 09m · View on YouTube →

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Welcome, welcome here to the Moore

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building and for our uh winter event for

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our holiday holiday event. Um I'd like

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to uh my name is Jeremy Schwarz. I'm the

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board chair for the Economic Club of

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Miami and one of the C co-founders. I I

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just want to extend to all of you a a

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warm and generous uh thank you for

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joining and for being part of this club.

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Um when people talk about what it really

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makes up the Miami miracle, well, you

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guys are it. You really make Miami uh

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what it is. It's the people, the talent,

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the energy. So, we're very grateful for

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you joining us tonight. Um, we're also

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grateful for all of our partners and

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we're of course very grateful to our

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speaker Michael Sailor for joining us uh

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for an important discussion. Uh,

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again, obviously in the holiday spirit,

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we have Hanukkah and Christmas coming

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up. Um, so this is especially

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appropriate now. Um 2026 offers to be a

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very exciting year and so we thought

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this would be a wonderful event for all

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of you to listen to what Michael has to

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say to ask questions and for all of us

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to learn to grow and to exchange ideas

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with one another. So a big thank you for

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all of your gracious uh hosting and

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presence. And uh just so you know um

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this area we still have access um back

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over in the uh the bar area and

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obviously at the other uh entry points.

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I would like to turn this over to our

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executive director and a dynamo in the

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social media space Francisco Gonzalez to

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sort of run this out. Okay.

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>> Thank you Jeremy. And thank you Jeremy

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for uh having the great idea to be one

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of the co-founders of this club four

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years ago. Uh putting Miami even more on

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the map globally. Um so yes, as you

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mentioned, I'm Francisco Gonzalez,

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executive director of the Economic Club

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of Miami. Um we've really been growing

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like crazy as you can see. Um you know,

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we just can't even fit people in the

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room anymore. We're going to have to get

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bigger rooms. Um but I did want to make

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a mention. We're now we now have over

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340 active members of the Economic Club

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of Miami.

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And there's many people here tonight

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that this is their first um event as a

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member. So if that's you, I'd like you

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to please stand. And I know there's some

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already standing, but thank you.

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Well, welcome.

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>> Okay, now down in front from the

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cameras. Um also uh yeah we have just a

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great event tonight and it wouldn't be

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possible again without the support of

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our members but also uh some of our

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sponsors. Uh so first uh we have an

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amazing sponsor host of of this place

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here of Oshaka Mama here at the Moore

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and that is William Seing and I'm going

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to bring up William to give you a nice

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welcome as well.

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>> Hi how are you? Uh welcome to the more

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building. Um, our objective here is to

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build a platform for entrepreneurship,

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a plat a platform for Miami to compete

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against the big cities of the world that

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are Dubai, Abu Dhabi, New York, etc. I

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think that we're doing an amazing job. I

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think that we have a bright future and I

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like I always say, it's time to shine.

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Time to shine for Miami. So, thank you

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for coming. Thank you, Michael and um,

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uh, Francisco. We have been

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collaborating with the economics club

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for a long time. It's a great community

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and enjoy the evening and welcome to the

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more building.

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>> Thank you, William. Again, thank you

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again for supporting this event. Um, so

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now I also want to say thank you to one

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of our members, Craig O Sullivan, who's

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up here. And Craig will be uh will be

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interviewing um our featured guest

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tonight, Michael Sailor, who probably

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doesn't need any introduction, but I'm

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going to do so anyway. Um, we do have

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people on YouTube eventually. So, um,

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Michael Sailor is an American

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entrepreneur, executive inventor,

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author, and philanthropist. He's the

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founder and executive chairman of

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Strategy, a publicly traded business

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intelligence firm that he founded in

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1989. Dang, I think there I was playing

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Nintendo then. Um,

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and it wasn't connected to the internet,

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whatever that one is. uh which holds 3%

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of the total 21 million Bitcoin supply,

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making it one of the top five global

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investors in Bitcoin. Uh Michael's also

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become one of the biggest ambassadors of

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Bitcoin on the planet. He's also the

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founder of Alarm.com, named inventor um

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uh on 80, I'm sorry, on 48 plus patents.

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We'll get you to 80 soon. And author of

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the book The Mobile Wave. He founded the

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Sailor Academy, a nonprofit that has

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provided free education to over two

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million students. He's an advocate for

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the Bitcoin Standard. Uh you can find

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that at hope.com with dual degrees from

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MIT in aerospace engineering and history

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of science. Um he posts his views on

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Xailor s a y l and his website

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michael.com. His four-hour interview

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with Lex Freriedman summarizes his

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thoughts on Bitcoin inflation and the

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future of money with 11 million views on

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YouTube. We'll try to get you a few more

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views tonight. And now I'll turn it over

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to Craig Sullivan. I agree. Thanks,

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Francisco. Well, welcome to the Economic

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Club of Miami, Michael. We're delighted

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to have you. I know this has been a long

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time coming, but um we're definitely

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appreciative of your time and the fact

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that you're willing to meet us here in

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this rather small and intimate setting.

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Certainly, you're used to to the larger

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conferences, so we appreciate your

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versatility. So, on Friday, NASDAQ

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announced that MSTR would remain in the

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benchmark NASDAQ 100 index. So,

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congratulations on that news. Your

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response on X was that Bitcoin hoarding

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will continue until the the complaining

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stops.

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Can you uh explain um a little bit of

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the backdrop on on why you posted that?

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Uh there was just a a snarky headline in

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Reuters where they said Bitcoin hoarder

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strategy remains in the NASDAQ 100 and

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it was like fake news because there was

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never any intention of removing us from

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the NASDAQ 100 and it's kind of like a

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it's a backwards kind of insult to

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suggest that the company just hoards

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something and

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>> just reminds me of uh of uh you know the

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what is the insult of of people doing

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anything intelligent that you don't

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understand you just call them hoarders

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like the people that hoard food when

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everybody else is starving to death or

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whatever they think you might need it

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but uh yeah we're not a hoarder what

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we're what we are capitalists so so the

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the most fundamental premise is Bitcoin

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is digital capital and uh a lot of the

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traditional finance establishment

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doesn't understand capital and so they

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don't recognize a capital asset when and

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they see it. So, we're acquiring Bitcoin

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as capital the same way that you might

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acquire 3% of Manhattan.

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So, say you believed in Manhattan and

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you go and you buy up 3% of all the raw

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land in Manhattan, right? They would

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call you a Manhattan real estate

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hoarder. But it was never our intention

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to hoard the real estate in Manhattan.

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It was the intention of people that

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bought at Manhattan to develop a great

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city. And eventually you build buildings

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on that real estate and the buildings

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have cash flows and that those are

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credit instruments. So our company uh

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believes Bitcoin is cyber Manhattan,

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right? It's a place that one day

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everybody on earth will want to put some

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of their money. We think it's the

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greatest city in cyerspace. It's the

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greatest digital property. Um just like

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if you go to Manhattan, you ask people

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that live in Manhattan, they think that

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their city is the greatest city not just

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in America. They think they think it's

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the greatest city on earth. And people

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have been buying Manhattan real estate

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since

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every decade for 300 years and they keep

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paying more than the previous decade

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paid. And it's never been a bad idea to

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buy Manhattan because it is the greatest

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city. So uh but no one ever called a

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Manhattan real estate developer a land

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hoarder. I don't think uh maybe they

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did. I don't know. But but uh you know

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we think that Bitcoin represents the

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apex human the apex property of the

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human race digital property and um and

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our our

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rationale is

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if it is the apex property in cyerspace

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it rec it represents economic spectrum.

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It's like um you know once upon a time

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people bought up all of the radio

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broadcast rights over the United States

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and yeah you might have called them you

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know spectrum hoarders but you know

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without the spectrum there would be no

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AT&T or Verizon you can't have mobile

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phones so you need the spectrum and so

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we view Bitcoin as like economic

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spectrum

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uh and uh we think it's just going to

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get more scarce and more valuable over

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time because there's a lot money in the

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world. And as people want to move their

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money in cyerspace, either through

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cyberspace or into cyerspace, they're

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going to want to buy up that spectrum.

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And so our company's been accumulating

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it uh with an eye toward developing it.

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And there are a lot of ways to develop

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capital. If you if you had $50 billion

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of capital, you could use it to launch a

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commodities exchange. You could trade

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derivatives. You could use it to

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underwrite insurance. Insurance

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companies have capital. You could turn

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it into a bank and you could use it to

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buy consumer loans or you could buy

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commercial loans. We have chosen to use

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it to create and sell credit.

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Another way to say it, you've heard of

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annuity companies, companies that

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actually create annuities. You can buy

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an annuity, they'll pay you 7% or 8% or

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6%. We're in we're in essence creating

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annuities. And uh the most famous one is

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STRC and it basically is a digital

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credit instrument that right now pays

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10.75%

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dividend yield monthly in cash.

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And the way we do it is we invest that

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capital into into Bitcoin which is

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appreciating faster and we scrape off

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the first 10.75%.

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We pass it through the credit investors

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and because our we are the capital

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investors we hold the capital. We take

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the long view. And if you have enough

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capital and you have a long enough view,

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you can strip the volatility and the

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risk off of the instrument and off of

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the credit investor.

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80 or 90% less risk, 80 or 90% less

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volatility and you can extract the

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dividend or or or the annuity stream

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they want. The remainder goes to the

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equity investor. And you know, generally

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if you were in the business of creating

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annuities for people, you wouldn't just

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call a company a Bitcoin hoarder, right?

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Any more than you call, you know, the

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related company a land hoarder. That's

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not what they do, right? Where they're

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creating buildings for people to live

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in. And

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>> but you're a hobbit for sure.

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>> Yeah. Um uh we're just believers. Again,

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just like if you ever met someone in

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Manhattan, you ask them if they're ever

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going to sell their apartment, they're

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like, "For sell it for what?"

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Like literally, people that have a nice

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piece of real estate in Manhattan will

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say, "I'm giving it to my to my heirs."

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And they'll give it to their heirs.

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It'll be in the family for the next

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hundred years because every place on

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earth is a step down. And all you got to

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do is go talk to someone that's a big

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New Yorker. You'll hear that over and

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over again. So our view is, yeah, this

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is the apex property, so we're going to

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develop it and we're going to enhance it

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over time, but no, we're not really

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looking to sell.

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>> So today you announced another

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acquisition, another purchase. I think

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it was about 10,600 Bitcoin.

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when you announced on a Monday though,

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that doesn't mean you that you bought it

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Monday. That means it could have been

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from the last week or so. Correct. Yeah,

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we we normally announce those things uh

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over the course of a week. So on Monday

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morning we'll announce what we did in

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the previous week. This week we

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announced, you know, something like what

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960 million worth of purchases, but a

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week ago we also announced about 950 or

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960 million purchases. So about a

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billion a week for the past two weeks.

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So this this announcement was everything

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we did Monday through Friday of last

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week.

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So, what factors do you consider when

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making these purchases?

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>> Um, we buy Bitcoin whenever we have

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money.

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>> I I would say tongue and cheek, I only

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buy Bitcoin with the money you can't

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afford to lose. So, uh, this is the 90th

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purchase. And, uh, and so we've done it

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90 times. Uh, it's a very simple way to

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think of it. So, Bitcoin's been going up

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about 45% a year for the past uh five

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years.

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I expect it to go up 30% on average for

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the next 20 years. It was going up 80%

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on average 5 years ago. So, it's

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decelerating from 80 to 70 to 60 to 50

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to 40. And it should continue to

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decelerate, you know, towards something

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like 1.5x the S&P.

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And so that's it's not hard to get to a

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forecast of about 30% over over 20

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years. But that being the case, the way

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I think about Bitcoin is it's a digital

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monopoly on capital. It's the world

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reserve capital Network that's growing

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30% a year that you can purchase at one

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times revenue. So if you're the CEO of a

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company and I came to you and said, I

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have a monopoly that's growing 30% a

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year for the next 20 years and you can

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buy it at one times revenue. The

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question is, would you do the deal? And

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of course, the answer is everybody would

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do the deal. Right? If anybody ever

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said, I have a company growing 30% a

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year for the next 20 years, and they'll

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sell themselves to you at one times

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revenue. You're like, well, why are they

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so stupid? Like, no one's ever that

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stupid. The last time Google bought a

0:14:38

high growth company, they paid 27 times,

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30 times revenue, 10 times revenue.

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Normally, you pay 10, 20, 30 times

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revenue for a high growth company. So a

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high growth company that'll sell itself

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at one times revenue is pretty

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extraordinary deal. Now for us though

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it's a much simpler decision. It's not

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just a monopoly growing 30% a year for

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the next 20 years that we can grow buy

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at one times revenue. We can buy it

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risk-f free. Okay. Well, why can I buy

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it risk- free?

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Because my company is constructed uh for

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Bitcoin maximalist. The only people that

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buy my equity are people that believe

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Bitcoin is going to win and is going to

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grow 30% a year. If you didn't think

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Bitcoin was going to grow faster than

0:15:23

the S&P index, there's no way you would

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buy MSTR.

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Okay? If you thought, you know, that

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might have been a debate back in 2020,

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but but after the company bought Bitcoin

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89 times in a row, if you're still

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holding the equity, you have to believe

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in Bitcoin. So when when we buy Bitcoin,

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we've already stripped the existential

0:15:45

risk off of the investment. You know,

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what matters is not whether anybody else

0:15:50

in the world thinks Bitcoin is risky.

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What matters is do my equity investors

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think Bitcoin is risky. And so I'm doing

0:15:58

an acquisition which is by definition a

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creative without risk and I'm getting

0:16:03

the deal at one times revenue, right?

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and and we're we're creating a very

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transparent credit profile, a very

0:16:12

transparent performance profile, and

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that means that our hurdle rate is 30%

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risk-free.

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So, you know, any if you were to pitch

0:16:21

me anything, if you said I have the best

0:16:23

startup idea ever, I guarantee you 40% a

0:16:25

year for the next decade, I would think

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that's not as good as the deal I have

0:16:30

buying Bitcoin. You could promise me 50%

0:16:33

a year for the next 20 years. we

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wouldn't do the deal because I would

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have to convince a hundred outside

0:16:41

equity investors that your deal is

0:16:44

better than Bitcoin and I wouldn't be

0:16:45

able to convince them. Number one, but

0:16:47

number two, it would be a dilutive

0:16:49

distraction. So, we have a very simple

0:16:52

business model. It's just we just buy

0:16:54

Bitcoin. We expect 30%. We know it'll be

0:16:58

volatile. It'll be 30% with 30 V over 20

0:17:01

years. And right now it's 4050 V. And um

0:17:05

and if you have the ability to just keep

0:17:07

doing the same trade over and over

0:17:09

again, it makes sense. You could think

0:17:11

of it as, you know, maybe one of the the

0:17:14

all-time great rollups

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where you're just rolling up uh you

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know, a a digital asset with a limited

0:17:25

supply

0:17:26

and every time you buy a bit more,

0:17:28

there's that much less supply in the

0:17:30

market. The scarcity goes up. the risk

0:17:33

doesn't go up because let's face it, if

0:17:36

Bitcoin goes to zero tomorrow, it

0:17:38

doesn't matter whether I own 1% of it or

0:17:41

2% or 3% of it or half a percent of it.

0:17:44

It's it's irrelevant, right? I mean,

0:17:46

it's kind of like back to back to the

0:17:48

Manhattan example. If you've decided you

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believe in Manhattan and you bought 1%

0:17:52

of Manhattan, you might as well buy two

0:17:54

or four because if Manhattan sinks under

0:17:56

the ocean, you're going to be bankrupt

0:17:59

regardless, right? there's nothing you

0:18:01

can do if Manhattan sinks, you know,

0:18:04

beneath the earth. But, you know, once

0:18:06

you've accepted that as the system

0:18:09

systemic existential risk and your

0:18:11

opinion is Manhattan is not sinking

0:18:13

beneath the ocean, then you know, you've

0:18:15

already got a basis, you know, in the

0:18:17

city. You've already managed the rest

0:18:19

and and the least risky, most decreative

0:18:22

thing you can do is just continue on

0:18:24

your strategy.

0:18:27

At the Caner Crypto Conference held here

0:18:29

in Miami last month, you mentioned that

0:18:31

there are two important days in

0:18:33

everyone's life. The day they're born

0:18:35

and the day they realize why they're

0:18:37

here. When did you uh determine your

0:18:41

calling and how are you certain that it

0:18:43

was your existential purpose?

0:18:46

You know what's interesting is what you

0:18:48

discovered Bitcoin during the COVID

0:18:50

lockdowns when the world turned upside

0:18:52

down and uh interest rates went to zero.

0:18:56

And I would liken it to say you own $500

0:19:00

million of real estate in a city and and

0:19:02

there was a pandemic and the mayor took

0:19:04

over and the mayor decided to reduce all

0:19:06

rents to zero forever for the public

0:19:09

good and then just sent you a memo

0:19:11

saying we expect you to accept zero

0:19:13

rents on your building forever because

0:19:15

otherwise you're a bad citizen.

0:19:17

And if if that happened to you and if

0:19:20

the building was still worth 500

0:19:21

million, you might think, I'm going to

0:19:23

sell the building and move to another

0:19:25

city where I get respected a bit more

0:19:27

because this is offensive, right? Or or

0:19:30

you could stay in the city and accept

0:19:32

zero forever and go bankrupt

0:19:34

>> and then people will just ridicule you

0:19:37

uh for being stupid and you went

0:19:39

bankrupt and you probably deserved it.

0:19:41

So we got to that point and I thought,

0:19:43

well, you know, the cost of capital went

0:19:45

to zero. the Jerome Pal literally said,

0:19:48

"We're lowering interest rates to zero.

0:19:50

I'm not even thinking about thinking

0:19:51

about raising interest rates for four

0:19:52

years." Like you go see the press

0:19:54

conference. So at that point, I had 500

0:19:57

million. And I thought, it's either a

0:19:58

fast death or a slow death or we're

0:20:01

going to have to move, take a risk.

0:20:03

We're going to have to transform oursel

0:20:05

uh and fight our way out of this. So we

0:20:08

decided to take our 500 million and buy

0:20:10

something that where it wasn't rent

0:20:12

controlled to zero. And we started

0:20:14

looking for a capital asset that was not

0:20:17

already highly appreciated. And what I

0:20:20

wanted was something like gold, a cross

0:20:23

between gold and a monopoly

0:20:27

on uh a digital monopoly. So I wanted

0:20:30

like the Facebook of of money or I

0:20:33

wanted Google for money or Microsoft for

0:20:36

money. the the best investment ideas

0:20:38

have been these um the fang stocks now

0:20:41

mag seven stocks but fang Google Apple

0:20:43

Facebook Amazon I thought can I actually

0:20:46

buy a digital monopoly

0:20:49

on capital and and Bitcoin looked like

0:20:52

the best aspects of Google or Apple and

0:20:55

it looked like the best aspects of gold

0:20:57

and non you know a non-s sovereign store

0:20:59

of value bearer instrument and I thought

0:21:02

I kind of like the idea that of you have

0:21:04

portable capital you I give you a

0:21:06

billion dollar. I drop you in Africa and

0:21:08

I say, "Buy anything you want. You got

0:21:09

to hold it for 30 years." There's not a

0:21:11

single thing you would buy in Africa.

0:21:13

Not a company, not an index, not a

0:21:15

credit instrument, not a currency,

0:21:17

nothing. And you wouldn't buy a billion

0:21:18

of gold because they wouldn't let you

0:21:20

out of Africa. They'd steal the gold,

0:21:22

right? And and so the issue is what are

0:21:24

you going to buy where you need to move

0:21:27

the capital asset, right? In the Middle

0:21:30

Ages of the Renaissance, people bought

0:21:32

uh art. you know, they bought very very

0:21:35

valuable art from the Italian masters

0:21:37

and uh and they bought it so they could

0:21:39

run for their life when they had to flee

0:21:41

the city state when they were the

0:21:43

minority. Uh so the the struggle for

0:21:46

portable property goes back, you know,

0:21:48

thousands and thousands of years. It's

0:21:50

always been a human problem. So we

0:21:53

thought, you know, Bitcoin looks like

0:21:54

portable property, but it was digital.

0:21:57

And if it's did, you know, if I if I had

0:21:59

gold and I and gold was like portable

0:22:02

capital for thousands of years, like

0:22:05

everybody agreed that gold was capital

0:22:07

for thousands of years. Even people that

0:22:08

wanted to kill each other and hate each

0:22:09

other and they couldn't agree on

0:22:11

anything else, they could agree that

0:22:13

they wanted to kill you for your gold,

0:22:14

which by the way is it's a big deal

0:22:16

because, you know, in South America when

0:22:18

the Spaniards show up, you know, the

0:22:20

Aztecs thing because they didn't

0:22:21

actually think of gold was money. the

0:22:24

Spaniards did and they brought the gold

0:22:26

back to Europe where everybody the

0:22:27

Spaniards wanted to kill also agreed it

0:22:29

was money. And so it was a big deal that

0:22:32

people agreed the gold was money. But if

0:22:35

you if you had a genie and three wishes

0:22:37

and you said, "How do you make gold

0:22:38

better?" You would say, "Well, you know,

0:22:41

first I want to make it impossible to

0:22:42

mine any more gold and cap it at 21

0:22:44

million gold coins." And then you would

0:22:46

say, "I want it to be weightless,

0:22:48

invisible, and I want to be able to

0:22:50

teleport it." And then the third ask

0:22:52

would be I want to make it programmable

0:22:54

so the billion AIs can transform it a

0:22:57

billion times an hour and send it to

0:22:59

another billion computers and I can put

0:23:00

it on 8 billion iPhones and Android

0:23:03

phones because because that way

0:23:05

everybody is going to have this uh

0:23:08

powerful thing and maybe it'll you know

0:23:10

maybe it'll transform itself in 3700

0:23:13

iterations over the weekend and make you

0:23:15

a lot of money. That's not going to

0:23:17

happen with gold. It's not going to

0:23:18

happen with real estate. It's not going

0:23:19

to happen with soybeans. It's not going

0:23:21

to happen with art. It's not going to

0:23:22

happen with with uh credit portfolios

0:23:25

and security portfolios. So, I thought,

0:23:27

you know, digital a digital monopoly on

0:23:30

capital asset. We're going to take our

0:23:31

500 million. We're going to buy it.

0:23:34

And uh it was first

0:23:36

first we were uh I would say it was out

0:23:40

of desperation and frustration.

0:23:42

It's like someone told you you're going

0:23:43

to die and you're like, "Okay, I guess I

0:23:46

will flee for my life with whatever I

0:23:48

can take." And then it became

0:23:50

opportunistic because the stock tripled,

0:23:53

volatility went through the roof, and we

0:23:54

could borrow money for free. And if

0:23:56

someone were to give you a billion

0:23:57

dollars for free for five years to, you

0:23:59

know, invest in your business, would you

0:24:01

take the money?

0:24:02

>> Yeah. I was like, after we were just

0:24:04

about to go, you know, out of business

0:24:06

six months earlier, we thought, okay,

0:24:08

now someone's going to give us a billion

0:24:09

dollars for free. We're going to go buy

0:24:10

Bitcoin with this money. So then we

0:24:12

became the biggest issue of convertible

0:24:14

bonds in the world. and and uh we issued

0:24:17

like you know 101 12 billion dollars of

0:24:19

them and we worked that but but

0:24:22

ultimately uh I would say that was the

0:24:24

opportunistic phase and and in that

0:24:26

phase the product was the equity and

0:24:29

then the tactic was the credit

0:24:32

but we went through these iterations

0:24:33

challenge and response and necessity is

0:24:35

the mother of invention and so when we

0:24:38

we barred senior debt we had IBID doc

0:24:41

covenants that choked us to death and so

0:24:42

we couldn't do that anymore and then we

0:24:43

did asset back finance ing where we

0:24:45

pledged the bitcoin and then the bank

0:24:47

failed and the bitcoin crashed and that

0:24:49

created hysteria so we couldn't do that

0:24:50

anymore. So then we did the $10 billion

0:24:53

convertible bonds and then we maxed out

0:24:55

the convertible bond market and uh all

0:24:58

the convertible bond buyers ran out of

0:25:00

money and they literally didn't have any

0:25:02

more money. We' just taken you know too

0:25:04

much of the market and uh along the way

0:25:07

I learned a lot. I got a PhD in leverage

0:25:09

and what I learned

0:25:12

I became very you know when when you

0:25:14

borrow money and your bank fails you

0:25:16

know you you learn a lot um by the way

0:25:19

it's much better that way than if you

0:25:21

get margin called by a bank that's

0:25:22

collapsed that's much better than

0:25:25

getting margin called when the bank is

0:25:27

healthy because we got to buy the loan

0:25:28

back at a big discount

0:25:31

but um

0:25:33

but I became very disenchanted with uh

0:25:36

corporate bonds and 144A offerings. For

0:25:40

those of you who don't know much about

0:25:41

it, a 144A offering is an

0:25:44

over-the-counter bond issue when you

0:25:45

sell it to a bunch of institutions. And

0:25:48

it's a really fancy term and they make

0:25:49

it sound good, but here's what it is.

0:25:51

It's like one dude in a back alley

0:25:53

trading between 37 guys baseball cards.

0:25:58

It's an awful market. Okay, so

0:26:01

over-the-counter bonds mean yeah, you

0:26:03

you can sell 500 million of bonds.

0:26:06

They're are liquid. the bid ass spread

0:26:08

is 3% and they trade 30% cheaper than

0:26:12

their fair value. And so I learned I

0:26:16

didn't know anything about this before I

0:26:17

got started, but we worked our way

0:26:19

through and I just realized that that

0:26:21

you're not going to grow the business

0:26:24

and there's no future if you're selling

0:26:26

bonds over the counter through the

0:26:29

convertible bond market or even the junk

0:26:31

bond market.

0:26:32

uh the credit uh and then I became more

0:26:35

of a you know first I didn't understand

0:26:37

capital until you know a near-death

0:26:39

experience and I had to think about

0:26:41

money then I didn't really understand

0:26:43

bonds until we had worked our way

0:26:45

through every part of the bond market

0:26:47

and then I just became very critical of

0:26:48

the bond market I just realized it was

0:26:50

crippled and it occurred to me that most

0:26:52

corporate issuers or bonds

0:26:55

are issuing crippled instruments for the

0:26:57

that tactically

0:26:59

uh in order to fund a project, but the

0:27:03

but the credit itself is not good. It's

0:27:06

not good to own it. Like, it's an awful

0:27:09

If you had a bond that was worth $100

0:27:11

and it traded at $52 and it was illquid

0:27:13

and only traded one day a week, that's

0:27:15

not good for you, right? And uh so we

0:27:19

decided that we needed something more

0:27:21

scalable and we went to to the preferred

0:27:24

equity market and we created a preferred

0:27:26

equity instrument to raise money with

0:27:30

the idea that we were going to put

0:27:31

together every good idea we'd seen and

0:27:33

we're going to duck the bad ideas. And

0:27:35

the good ideas are take the take the

0:27:38

credit instrument public, give it a

0:27:40

happy four-letter ticker, give it a

0:27:41

name, let the retail uh investors and

0:27:45

the public investors buy it. The

0:27:47

difference between over-the-counter

0:27:50

and IPO.

0:27:53

Over-the-counter means it's illegal for

0:27:55

you to buy this instrument. The regul

0:27:57

the securities law make it illegal for a

0:27:59

normal person to buy it. You have to

0:28:01

have a hund00 million. And let's say you

0:28:03

had a billion dollars. You still can't

0:28:05

buy it unless you actually have an

0:28:06

account with the bank that's selling it.

0:28:09

Okay? So, if I wanted to make it

0:28:11

insanely difficult to buy something, I

0:28:13

would do it that way. Um, public means

0:28:16

that 200 million people can buy it in 10

0:28:19

seconds. Okay? So, it's not like one is

0:28:23

a little bit better than the other one.

0:28:25

One is good, the other is awful. So, we

0:28:27

decided we were going to sell a credit

0:28:29

instrument to the public. We're going to

0:28:31

IPO it. We're going to put it on NASDAQ.

0:28:34

But then you think, well, I can't have a

0:28:35

five-year bond that I take public

0:28:37

because in two years or three years, the

0:28:39

duration won't be long enough to make it

0:28:41

useful. There's not enough liquidity.

0:28:44

So, we wanted to make it public. We

0:28:46

wanted to be perpetual. We wanted to put

0:28:47

a shelf registration on it so we could

0:28:49

sell it. There are days when we would

0:28:51

sell $45 million worth of this credit

0:28:54

instrument in a few hours. We just

0:28:55

liquid sell it. We could sell five 50

0:28:58

million a day, hundred million a day,

0:29:00

whatever. You can't do that with an OTC

0:29:02

bond. So, we put a shelf registration

0:29:05

together with a preferred equity, took

0:29:07

it public, backed it with a digital

0:29:09

capital asset called Bitcoin. And um you

0:29:13

know, and then we discovered, oh, we

0:29:15

didn't want to pay the money back,

0:29:17

right? Because if you're going to borrow

0:29:18

the money to invest forever, you don't

0:29:19

want to pay the money back. So, so it

0:29:22

turns out that credit investors like to

0:29:24

be paid back, and if you don't pay them

0:29:26

the money back, they require a higher

0:29:27

credit spread. So, we ended up, you

0:29:29

know, uh, selling these things and say

0:29:32

offering a 10% dividend at part. And I

0:29:35

thought 10% was a lot. And then I

0:29:37

thought about it and I realized, well,

0:29:38

we're collecting 30%.

0:29:41

10%, you know, if we pay 10 and we

0:29:44

collect 30. If you work out the math

0:29:46

over 10 years, it works out to the to

0:29:49

90% of the economics go to the common

0:29:51

equity investors and 10% goes to the

0:29:53

credit investor. And that's a pretty

0:29:55

good deal for the equity. So we paid a

0:29:58

bit more

0:30:00

and the bug became the feature and then

0:30:03

we discovered that we had inadvertently

0:30:05

created the world's best credit

0:30:06

instrument and the product is not the

0:30:09

equity the product is the credit because

0:30:13

the product we created is a you know is

0:30:16

a thing you can buy online like STRC

0:30:19

that'll pay you 10 or 10 say it's 10%

0:30:22

dividend it pays you a 10% dividend and

0:30:25

it's a return of capital so It's tax

0:30:26

deferred. So that if you're a New

0:30:29

Yorker, it's like a bank account that

0:30:31

pays you 22%. If you live in Miami, it's

0:30:34

like a bank account that pays you 18%.

0:30:37

And of course, who wants a bank account

0:30:39

that pays them 18%. Like, yeah, right.

0:30:43

Of course, we all do, right? Because

0:30:45

currently the money markets pay you 370

0:30:47

basis points and it's taxable. And

0:30:50

that's the best it's ever going to get

0:30:51

for you. Because if you go to Europe,

0:30:52

it's 150 basis points and if you go to

0:30:55

Japan, it's 50 basis points. And if you

0:30:57

go to Switzerland, it's minus 50 basis

0:30:59

points. So now we get to the final

0:31:01

punchline, like why are we here? Well,

0:31:04

well, here's what we realized is um we

0:31:08

can create digital credit and we can

0:31:10

strip 80 to 90% of the volatility off of

0:31:13

Bitcoin. We can strip somewhere between

0:31:16

80 and 90% of the risk off the

0:31:19

instrument. We can pass through 10% or 9

0:31:23

or 11 or 12% uh return and we can make

0:31:27

it tax deferred

0:31:31

there's a $300 trillion credit market

0:31:33

and that digital credit pays you two to

0:31:35

four times more than every other type of

0:31:38

credit.

0:31:39

So if we do that, we could no reason why

0:31:43

you can't just digitally transform 5% of

0:31:45

the market and 5% of 300 trillion

0:31:48

dollars now is 15 trillion. It's a lot

0:31:52

of money, but by the time we get there,

0:31:53

presumably the market's doubled and it's

0:31:55

$30 trillion. So So it's insane. And

0:31:58

then I I'll make one more point and I'll

0:32:00

and I'll stop for your next question,

0:32:02

which is

0:32:04

I first realized that Bitcoin was

0:32:05

digital capital,

0:32:08

but you know, digital capital is like um

0:32:11

it's like you got a three-year-old kid

0:32:13

and you give them a million dollars

0:32:15

worth of real estate in the middle of

0:32:17

Bickl. It's dirt, no cash flows.

0:32:21

And in 30 years, maybe it'll be worth a

0:32:23

lot of money. And if you want to get

0:32:25

cash flows out of it, you got to form a

0:32:26

real estate development company. You got

0:32:28

to design a building, get a construction

0:32:30

loan, build the building, market the

0:32:32

building, rent out the building, deal

0:32:33

with all the politics and the

0:32:35

maintenance, and then maybe you get some

0:32:36

cash flows. But not easy for a

0:32:37

three-year-old kid. Not easy for most 30

0:32:40

years old. So if you go to the same kid

0:32:42

and you say or the parent, you say,

0:32:44

"I'll just give you a credit instrument.

0:32:45

It pays you $10,000 a month forever

0:32:47

starting now."

0:32:49

Okay. Well, how many people would prefer

0:32:51

to have the credit? Right? By the way,

0:32:54

the world is bu even if the capital

0:32:56

assets going up 30% a year. The better

0:32:59

deal is take the capital asset, but most

0:33:01

of the people like they can't wait 20

0:33:03

years or 30 years with no cash flow.

0:33:06

They want the money. So it turns out

0:33:08

that converting capital into credit that

0:33:13

is the mission of the company in the

0:33:14

same way that a real estate developer

0:33:17

takes a bunch of raw land and turns it

0:33:20

into a building and either the people

0:33:23

are living in the building or the person

0:33:25

that's collecting the rents is getting

0:33:26

paid some steady income. um we realize

0:33:31

that we're kind of put here uh to create

0:33:33

that digital credit and that digital

0:33:36

credit is then the stepping stone to the

0:33:39

final thing and the final thing is

0:33:41

digital money and the idea of digital

0:33:43

money is not 10% dividend yield with a

0:33:47

10va it's eight or 7% yield with a zero

0:33:52

vault right what if I give you a bank

0:33:55

account that pays you seven or 8% with

0:33:57

zero volt put $99.71

0:34:00

in, you get $99.71

0:34:03

out, but until you take the money out,

0:34:06

you get 4% more than the risk-free rate

0:34:08

and the currency that you live in.

0:34:10

Right? That is the perfect product. I

0:34:14

submit to you, why I used to think the

0:34:16

iPhone was the perfect product, but the

0:34:18

iPhone, you got to actually be able to

0:34:19

hold it and look at it, and you got to

0:34:21

be awake or maybe be able to hear or be

0:34:23

able to see. But you know a bank account

0:34:26

that pays you 8% or 7%

0:34:30

you could be deaf, dumb, blind in a coma

0:34:32

unborn child. You still want that. You

0:34:35

want that for your heirs not born for 20

0:34:38

years, right? So So what is it that

0:34:40

everybody on earth wants, right? And and

0:34:43

you know in the English language there's

0:34:45

a word for what everybody in the on

0:34:47

earth wants for universal utility and

0:34:49

the word is money, right? You want

0:34:52

money. Okay? When I give you a bank

0:34:54

account that pays you double what sofur

0:34:57

pays you. If I give you double the money

0:34:59

market or if I give you you live in

0:35:01

Japan and I give you 6% or 8% in yen,

0:35:04

I'm literally just giving you free

0:35:07

money. Okay, I know it sounds difficult.

0:35:10

It is difficult. It's like building

0:35:12

nuclear reactors in order to give you

0:35:14

free electricity or one penny a kilowatt

0:35:16

hour electric. It's hard, right? You you

0:35:19

basically have to create a layer of

0:35:20

digital capital. Not our doing.

0:35:23

Then you have to create a layer of

0:35:25

digital credit. It takes a lot of equity

0:35:27

capital, right? We have 60 billion now.

0:35:31

We'll probably have the most digital

0:35:33

equity capital in the world forever at

0:35:35

this point because no one's going to

0:35:36

catch us on this network. And if you

0:35:39

have that credit layer, the last layer,

0:35:42

digital money, can be created by

0:35:44

partnering with a bank or a money

0:35:47

manager. like you just basically go to a

0:35:49

large bank or Black Rockck or a Vanguard

0:35:52

or the likes and then you create 80%

0:35:56

credit 20% cash equivalents put a 10%

0:35:59

buffer of currency reserves on top of it

0:36:02

to strip the last ball each day and you

0:36:06

have just put shock absorbers on the

0:36:09

credit and the credit is of course sort

0:36:11

of like damped volatility stripped

0:36:15

riskstripped capital, right? And that's

0:36:19

the three-step process. So,

0:36:22

what the day I realized why I was here

0:36:24

is I realized we're here to fix the

0:36:26

money, right? We're here to give a

0:36:28

billion people a bank account that pays

0:36:30

them 8%.

0:36:32

When the rest of the world wants them to

0:36:34

take nothing, right? In Switzerland,

0:36:37

nothing. Right? In Japan, nothing. In

0:36:39

Europe, 1% and the US about to be 2 and

0:36:42

a.5%. When the Fed lowers sofur to a two

0:36:46

handle or something, you will be getting

0:36:48

2%. And and the actual increase in the

0:36:52

monetary monetary system is like 7% a

0:36:55

year for 100 years. So if you don't beat

0:36:57

7%, you're just getting poorer in

0:36:59

relative basis. And right now, the only

0:37:02

way for the average person to beat that

0:37:04

is to gamble. You have to gamble on

0:37:07

equity. You have to guess. And I'm of

0:37:11

the opinion when you're a 70 year old

0:37:13

retiree, you shouldn't have to gamble.

0:37:16

You shouldn't have to gamble on equity.

0:37:18

It's not right. Right. The entire world

0:37:21

somehow decided that e that that capital

0:37:24

was buying the S&P index, right? You

0:37:26

have to buy a portfolio of equities and

0:37:29

and what about just giving people a

0:37:31

savings account that actually preserves

0:37:33

their wealth and they don't have to

0:37:35

gamble on equities or the like. And so

0:37:39

that's what we're here for, right? We're

0:37:41

we're digitally transforming the credit

0:37:43

markets, but the big idea is fix the

0:37:46

money in the world and fix the money

0:37:48

with technology.

0:38:01

>> Yeah, that's great. And you you've

0:38:01

already discussed some of this, but

0:38:03

maybe you can expound upon it uh for the

0:38:05

next question. Last week when you were

0:38:07

in Abu Dhabi for Bitcoin Mana, you

0:38:09

mentioned um Satoshi Nakamoto's uh idea

0:38:14

that the future is corporations holding

0:38:17

Bitcoin to create high-powered digital

0:38:20

money. Um can you explain the playbook

0:38:23

that a bank or a nation state should

0:38:26

follow to achieve this?

0:38:29

>> Yeah. Um,

0:38:31

so and this was uh this is an

0:38:35

observation we first got to when we

0:38:37

created stretch. It was like a Bitcoin

0:38:39

back T- bill, like a one-mon T bill. And

0:38:43

the idea was we modify the dividend rate

0:38:45

to strip the maximum volatility off it.

0:38:48

And it looks like right now we can

0:38:50

probably get that instrument to

0:38:51

somewhere between a five and a 10 volt.

0:38:54

like it's probably going to move between

0:38:56

97 and 100 or 98 or 99 and 100, but

0:38:59

we're never going to get it to zero

0:39:01

vault by ourself at the credit layer.

0:39:04

So, and we pay a monthly dividend.

0:39:07

Well, the ideal thing would be

0:39:10

would be we pass it through to a bank,

0:39:13

first Bank of Abu Dhabi or Emirates Bank

0:39:16

or Bank of Bahrain or could you could do

0:39:18

it with Morgan Stanley or JP Morgan, you

0:39:20

do it with any bank. uh and

0:39:23

the bank strips the last 10 points or

0:39:27

five points of volatility off it by

0:39:30

putting uh a small currency reserve on

0:39:33

top and then you can draw down the

0:39:35

reserve. If it if stretch is trading 99,

0:39:37

you just draw down 10% of a of a

0:39:39

reserve. If it's trading 98, you draw

0:39:41

down 20%. When it bounces back, you

0:39:43

replenish the reserve, you take some of

0:39:45

the dividends, you put them into the

0:39:47

reserve, and you just keep this reserve

0:39:49

buffer. It's like a shock absorber on a

0:39:51

car. Like how do you get a car to like

0:39:53

roll smoothly over a bumpy road? You

0:39:56

need some kind of shocks on it. So

0:39:59

that's one thing that you do, but you

0:40:00

need a partner to do it. You need the

0:40:02

counterparty. You can't do it yourself.

0:40:03

The other thing the bank does is you

0:40:06

convert monthly dividends into daily,

0:40:08

right? So you create you create a daily

0:40:10

dividend stream. The third thing you do

0:40:13

is you deal with liquidity fluctuations.

0:40:15

So maybe you make it, you could make it

0:40:18

50% credit, 50% currency equivalence or

0:40:21

80% credit, 20% currency equivalence,

0:40:24

but you actively manage the currency

0:40:26

layer. And by currency equivalence, I

0:40:28

mean like one month treasury bills. You

0:40:30

put that in. And so if you get hit with

0:40:32

a you get a billion dollar fund and you

0:40:34

get hit with a hund00 million of

0:40:36

redemptions in a single day, you sell

0:40:38

the currency. You don't sell the credit

0:40:41

because the currency is a thousand times

0:40:43

more liquid, 10,000 times more liquid

0:40:46

than the credit is. So you sell the

0:40:48

currency in order to avoid uh pushing

0:40:51

the NAV up and down. And um so the

0:40:55

currency is a liquidity buffer, you

0:40:59

know, and then that reserve is the

0:41:01

volatility buffer and through active

0:41:03

management you convert a monthly to a

0:41:05

daily thing.

0:41:07

Then you put it on a platform, rebrand

0:41:09

it, and then the last value add it is

0:41:12

get the regulator to approve the thing

0:41:15

to greenlight it. Right? And so what I'm

0:41:18

describing is digital money. If you you

0:41:20

can create it in the form of a of a

0:41:23

coin, by the way, you can create um a

0:41:26

stable coin type instrument that pays

0:41:29

8%, but you would need a digital assets

0:41:32

regulator to approve that.

0:41:34

You know, imagine stable coins that paid

0:41:36

8% backed by Bitcoin, right? That would

0:41:38

just eat the world, right? Uh if you do

0:41:41

it in a fund like an ETF like Black

0:41:44

Rockck or Vanguard do all the time that

0:41:46

you even JP Morgan has money market ETF

0:41:49

funds, if you do it in a fund, you need

0:41:51

a securities regulator to approve it.

0:41:54

And then if you do it in a bank account,

0:41:56

you would want the banking regulator to

0:41:58

approve it. So if you want to create

0:42:01

high-powered digital money, right, the

0:42:03

idea is it's perfectly pegged to the

0:42:05

dollar or, you know, you could do it in

0:42:07

the yen or the euro too if you want to

0:42:09

peg it to those. But at the end of the

0:42:10

day, some somewhere in the range of it

0:42:14

could be as low as 60 as high as 80% of

0:42:17

all the capital in the world really

0:42:19

wants to be in the dollar, right? So

0:42:20

that's the big kahuna here. So you peg

0:42:23

it to the dollar, you put it on the

0:42:26

platform,

0:42:28

you actively manage it

0:42:31

and then you reduce

0:42:33

you reduce that um uh that last

0:42:37

volatility uh level to zero. At that

0:42:41

point, you know, you've got the

0:42:42

platform, you got the sales force, you

0:42:44

know, everybody's got a, you know, all

0:42:46

the big banks in the world, they have

0:42:48

they either have a big sales force or

0:42:50

they have a big platform that they can

0:42:51

move it on. And I think the real the

0:42:56

real um challenge, it isn't going to be

0:42:59

technical at all. It all comes down to

0:43:02

regulation. And the and the countries

0:43:04

that are most advanced are either going

0:43:05

to be UAE, Bahrain, or the USA. I think

0:43:09

that uh the Swiss are way too slow. Uh

0:43:12

Singapore's lost its nerve. They're not

0:43:14

going to do this. The Chinese are too

0:43:17

more interested in control than they are

0:43:18

in innovation. Uh the Europeans more

0:43:22

interested in control than innovation.

0:43:24

The Canadians, the Australians, they'll

0:43:26

wait. So the the um competition to

0:43:32

create the world's greatest digital

0:43:34

money, the first digital bank that

0:43:36

offers a digital money account that pays

0:43:40

400 basis points more than the risk-free

0:43:43

rate that will be determined somewhere

0:43:46

between the Middle East and here

0:43:47

depending upon uh the conviction right

0:43:51

and the clarity and the ambition of the

0:43:54

individual actors. And I obviously I

0:43:58

don't think everybody will do it at the

0:43:59

same time. I think someone will do it,

0:44:01

right? And and what's the play?

0:44:04

Like you know what I said uh to all the

0:44:07

and I met with a bunch of banks, all the

0:44:09

sovereigns in the Middle East. I said

0:44:11

the $200 billion idea is you take your

0:44:14

sovereign wealth fund and you either buy

0:44:15

digital capital, digital credit or

0:44:17

digital equity. If you don't trust

0:44:19

anybody, you buy digital capital. Right?

0:44:23

If you think the credit markets are

0:44:24

broken because 3% or 4% isn't really

0:44:27

enough, then you buy digital credit,

0:44:29

right?

0:44:31

You know, and then

0:44:34

and then if you believe in digital

0:44:35

credit, you could buy the digital

0:44:36

equity. That would be like my common

0:44:38

equity, MSTR, or the equity in another

0:44:40

Bitcoin treasury company creating

0:44:42

credit. And there's two others right

0:44:43

now. There's MetaPlanet and there's

0:44:45

Strive. They're also creating digital

0:44:47

credit. But that's the big idea. The

0:44:50

bigger idea is you have your bank start

0:44:52

to custody Bitcoin

0:44:55

and then there's $2 trillion worth of

0:44:58

digital capital out there and is

0:45:00

unbanked and so you'll have hundreds of

0:45:02

billions and eventually trillions of

0:45:04

dollars and that's like a$ two trillion

0:45:06

dollar idea. You create the digital

0:45:07

credit by extending credit on on the

0:45:10

underlying capital and that's a bigger

0:45:12

idea. But the biggest idea is ironically

0:45:15

the simplest idea. Like a lot of people

0:45:19

don't want a nuclear reactor in their

0:45:20

backyard, but they want free unlimited

0:45:22

electricity.

0:45:23

And if I give you if I said, "Hey, my

0:45:25

state has free unlimited electricity."

0:45:28

You know, not one in a hundred people

0:45:30

would say, "Well, how did you get free

0:45:32

unlimited electricity?" They would just

0:45:35

show up for the free unlimited food.

0:45:37

Free unlimit. I mean free unlimited

0:45:40

generally is a very good marketing point

0:45:43

and people very

0:45:45

they very seldom say how did you make it

0:45:49

free and unlimited but they think that

0:45:51

free and unlimited is good. So no one

0:45:53

would complain about the nuclear reactor

0:45:55

in the desert if you gave free unlimited

0:45:57

electricity. And so in this case,

0:46:01

the crypto world oftentimes, you know,

0:46:05

they want they want you to learn to do

0:46:07

very complicated things. And in the

0:46:08

Bitcoin world, we would say you got to

0:46:10

study it for a 100 hours and you got to

0:46:12

rethink economics and rethink politics

0:46:14

and rethink monetary theory. And

0:46:16

somewhere between a 100 hours and a thou

0:46:18

thousand hours, you get it. But the

0:46:20

average person doesn't want to spend a

0:46:21

100 hours or a thousand hours. They just

0:46:23

want something quick and easy and free.

0:46:26

Okay? So

0:46:28

the $20 trillion idea very simple is we

0:46:31

have a bank in the UAE and the bank has

0:46:33

a digital bank account. If you want to

0:46:35

put your money in a conventional bank

0:46:36

account, we pay you three and a half%.

0:46:38

And if you and if you want to put it in

0:46:40

a digital bank account, we'll pay you

0:46:44

Okay, what's the catch? Well, you have

0:46:45

to believe in digital assets,

0:46:48

right? You have to believe in digital

0:46:50

capital and digital credit.

0:46:53

You're like, well, I don't know. I mean,

0:46:54

is it uh is it safe? Well, let me let me

0:46:56

get a different analogy. Conventional

0:46:58

money markets are like trains,

0:47:01

right? You move a lot of stuff over over

0:47:03

a train track, you know, and it's steel

0:47:06

rails.

0:47:09

And uh digital uh digital money is like

0:47:12

airplanes. It's like airlines. They're

0:47:15

made of aluminum. They shake a little

0:47:17

bit, make a little bit of noise. They go

0:47:21

up, they come down. there's two pilots,

0:47:26

you know, people worry about it, you

0:47:28

know, it's like and and uh you know,

0:47:30

it's not for everybody. You carry a lot

0:47:32

you'll move a lot more freight on a

0:47:34

train or maybe a container ship if you

0:47:36

like. There's slow, there's faster,

0:47:39

there's fast, but in time enough people

0:47:42

fly around on airplanes and we get

0:47:44

comfortable with airplanes. And you

0:47:45

know, there are advantages to airplanes

0:47:47

like we can go from here to Singapore

0:47:49

and it's hard to get there on a train,

0:47:52

right?

0:47:53

are, you know, it's like people used to

0:47:55

go the safe way to travel was on a ship

0:47:57

to Europe,

0:47:59

you know, it's like, well, that's the

0:48:00

conventional way, but at some point,

0:48:03

right, I mean, you got to move on to the

0:48:05

new thing. And so, so the digital idea

0:48:08

is you just, you know, if you go through

0:48:11

the process of create the digital fund,

0:48:13

put it in a digital bank, that's very

0:48:16

simple. There's $200 trillion dollar

0:48:18

worth of bank credit, money market

0:48:20

credit. Like why do people buy corporate

0:48:23

bonds or junk bonds? Not because they

0:48:25

want the bond. It's just they don't want

0:48:26

to get paid nothing, right? People are

0:48:29

people take credit risk for yield.

0:48:32

People take dur Why do people buy a 10

0:48:34

or 20 year bond not because they want to

0:48:36

wait 20 years to see if they get their

0:48:38

money back. They buy it because it pays

0:48:39

more than the one-month bond. If I if I

0:48:42

didn't have to take duration risk and if

0:48:43

I didn't have to take credit risk and I

0:48:45

just got paid double, you know, junk

0:48:47

bonds only pay you 5% in Europe, right?

0:48:51

The credit spread between investment

0:48:52

grade bonds and sovereign debt is 70

0:48:54

basis points. It's it's what they call

0:48:58

returnfree risk,

0:49:02

right?

0:49:04

Another way to say it's all garbage.

0:49:07

Okay? Like most conventional credit,

0:49:09

it's all gar. It's illquid. It's got

0:49:13

it's got no return. It's got a huge

0:49:15

amount of risk. People don't really want

0:49:17

it. It's just there's nothing better. So

0:49:21

you give someone a bank account that

0:49:23

pays 8% backed by digital capital. What

0:49:26

happens? You slurp 20 trillion dollars

0:49:29

into your bank. But by the way, that

0:49:32

second idea, you know, have the bank

0:49:34

custody Bitcoin. That's a good idea for

0:49:36

crypto billionaires. The crypto

0:49:38

billionaires send their money to UAE

0:49:40

because now they can get a loan at sofur

0:49:42

plus 50 basis points on their Bitcoin.

0:49:45

That's a good idea for crypto

0:49:46

billionaires. The third idea, digital

0:49:49

money, account that pays 8%. That's

0:49:51

every billionaire, right? That's that's

0:49:54

just everybody, you know, even the

0:49:56

people that hate Bitcoin. Even the

0:49:57

people that don't know what it is.

0:49:59

Everybody with money, small, midsize,

0:50:02

large. It's a bank account that pays you

0:50:05

8%. What do I do? I'm just going to wire

0:50:07

you billions and billions of dollars of

0:50:09

actual dollars from Australia and Canada

0:50:12

and Singapore. And if the Chinese would

0:50:14

let me, I would wire it out of China,

0:50:16

but they won't let me. But it will it

0:50:18

will flow from every market where there

0:50:20

is an account control into the bank.

0:50:24

And so what did I tell them? I told

0:50:25

them, you want to be the Switzerland of

0:50:27

the 21st century. Switzerland's not

0:50:29

going to be the Switzerland of the 21st

0:50:30

century. They've already missed it,

0:50:32

right? if you want to be the the banking

0:50:35

capital of the world in the 20th century

0:50:37

and and draw tens of trillions or

0:50:40

hundreds of trillions of dollars

0:50:42

eventually into your country. And I

0:50:44

said, "You don't want the people, you

0:50:46

just want the money, right? Like, think

0:50:49

about this for a second, right? If you

0:50:53

could just have all the money of a

0:50:54

billion people come to your country and

0:50:57

the people left behind, you're better

0:50:58

off." That's the idea, right?

0:51:02

Don't draw the human capital, just draw

0:51:05

the capital. And the way to draw the

0:51:08

crypto capital is you create crypto

0:51:10

credit. You custody Bitcoin. The way to

0:51:12

draw all the capital is create digital

0:51:15

money,

0:51:17

right? It's like,

0:51:19

you know, how to operate airplanes. I'm

0:51:21

afraid of them. You know, there's a fire

0:51:23

in the jet engine, right? It's, you

0:51:25

know, it's a it's a fire. You know how

0:51:27

to operate nuclear reactors. No one

0:51:30

really

0:51:31

no one really un they don't care that

0:51:35

they don't know how to refine crude oil

0:51:38

or create explosives or build airplanes.

0:51:41

They don't care. All they know is the

0:51:42

United States is the most powerful

0:51:44

country on earth. And so therefore they

0:51:46

trust us with their money. And so this

0:51:49

is an arms race for the future of money.

0:51:52

I don't really know who will win it, but

0:51:54

my money is somewhere between the UAE

0:51:56

and the USA. Believe it or not, the USA

0:51:59

was was behind regressive and getting

0:52:02

worse 15 months ago and we have flipped.

0:52:06

And so, you know, it's not clear to me

0:52:08

that the that one USA bank won't get

0:52:11

there first. You have um a very

0:52:13

supportive head of the SEC. You have a

0:52:15

very supportive head of the CFTC. You

0:52:18

have a very supportive head of the

0:52:19

Treasury and the banking apparatus in

0:52:21

the United States. between those three,

0:52:24

I don't think there have been three more

0:52:25

progressive regulators working for a

0:52:27

more progressive president

0:52:30

in uh in the century, right? Not in a

0:52:32

long time. So, the US definitely has a

0:52:35

fighting chance. But Abu Dhabi's got a

0:52:38

lot of very aggressive people. They like

0:52:40

digital technology.

0:52:43

They like money

0:52:45

and and they know that there's there's

0:52:48

no way. By the way, if you go to if you

0:52:51

go to Abu Dhabi and you go to the top

0:52:53

floor of of Adia and you look down the

0:52:56

sovereign wealth fund and you look down,

0:52:58

they're building Manhattan in the

0:52:59

desert.

0:53:01

Their aspiration is to build Manhattan

0:53:03

in the desert and they know you're not

0:53:04

going to do it without a lot of money

0:53:07

and not without and without taking risk

0:53:09

and being uh progressive. You're not

0:53:12

other places, they don't feel the need.

0:53:15

I I think the Europeans feel like

0:53:17

they've already got it covered. They're

0:53:19

all fine, right? And others don't feel

0:53:23

the need. But in UAE, actually, they

0:53:25

have ambition and they know that they

0:53:27

can't play it safe. They're going to

0:53:28

have to embrace new ideas. I think that

0:53:31

they're the first city talking seriously

0:53:33

about licensing air taxis. Wow. Right. I

0:53:37

mean and so there are a lot of roarshots

0:53:40

test you know that tell you a lot about

0:53:42

a culture and the attitude of the people

0:53:44

and and the way they deal with

0:53:46

technology and whether they think it's

0:53:49

an opportunity or it's a threat tells

0:53:51

you a lot about the society.

0:53:57

So last week, strategy sent a letter to

0:53:57

global index provider MSCI, that's

0:54:00

Morgan Stanley Capital International,

0:54:03

challenging its proposal to exclude

0:54:05

digital asset treasury companies from ex

0:54:08

stock market indexes, which are uh used

0:54:11

as industry benchmarks.

0:54:13

A decision is expected next month. So

0:54:16

can you walk us through some of your uh

0:54:18

concerns and what a successful outcome

0:54:20

would look like?

0:54:22

You know, I just I just make a point to

0:54:24

start though, which is, you know, the

0:54:25

crypto industry struggled against being

0:54:27

debanked, you know, for the entire

0:54:29

history of the industry. This is just uh

0:54:32

you know, it's a a politically driven

0:54:33

action to sort of debank digital assets

0:54:36

companies, but really just just block

0:54:39

them from an index. It's it's uh it's

0:54:42

misguided. It's a little bit politically

0:54:44

motivated. is probably being fed by

0:54:46

short sellers

0:54:48

and but it's not it's a it's a third

0:54:50

order issue. At the end of the day, it

0:54:53

won't matter one way or the other. Uh

0:54:55

because

0:54:57

you know if the index if the index

0:55:00

decided to drop companies with

0:55:02

intellectual property, it wouldn't stop

0:55:04

streaming video and streaming music.

0:55:07

If you look at the entire capital

0:55:09

market, their idea is if you have more

0:55:11

than 50% of your assets in digital

0:55:13

assets, maybe that might be an issue for

0:55:15

them. But every successful company in

0:55:18

the world has more than 50% of their

0:55:20

assets in some kind of asset. You can't

0:55:22

have an airline without airplanes. You

0:55:23

can't have Disney without theme parks.

0:55:25

You can't have streaming music without

0:55:27

streaming music rights. You can't have

0:55:30

Verizon and AT&T without Spectrum. You

0:55:33

literally can't create mobile

0:55:34

communications, right? So, so every one

0:55:37

of the you can't have real estate

0:55:38

companies without real estate assets.

0:55:40

You, you know, you can't have oil and

0:55:42

gas without oil reserves and you can't

0:55:43

have timber without timber reserves. So,

0:55:47

in essence,

0:55:50

you know, the proposal is uh is a bit

0:55:54

confused. I I don't know whether they'll

0:55:56

go through it or not. I mean, I think

0:55:58

we're engaged right now to point out to

0:56:00

them that that it's irrational and uh

0:56:04

it's a little bit prejuditial, right?

0:56:06

What they're really doing is they're is

0:56:08

they're blocking the development of the

0:56:10

digital assets industry,

0:56:13

but it's happened. You know, we've

0:56:15

struggled against this in our industry.

0:56:17

When we first announced we bought

0:56:18

Bitcoin, our insurance company dropped

0:56:20

us, right? We got we got deinsurance. I

0:56:23

actually had to underwrite the DNO

0:56:25

insurance for my own company for four

0:56:27

years and and it took it took in essence

0:56:32

uh I don't know we had to after we made

0:56:34

$50 billion they decided that they would

0:56:37

start insuring us again and now the

0:56:39

insurance companies insurance the banks

0:56:41

didn't bank the industry and that

0:56:43

changed you know uh the accounting

0:56:45

profession had accounting which didn't

0:56:48

allow us to ever make money we could

0:56:49

only lose money it was like it was

0:56:51

literally toxic accounting where you

0:56:53

could take you had to take every loss

0:56:55

but you could never show a gain ever and

0:56:58

that was fixed you know so we've had

0:57:01

hostile tax hostile accounting hostile

0:57:03

banking hostile insurance and and

0:57:07

hostile media coverage you know

0:57:11

we ann this is funny you know I'm not

0:57:13

going to mention the newspaper but you

0:57:15

can guess we announced we bought Bitcoin

0:57:17

our stock quadrupled and the first story

0:57:19

was crazy CEO risks his shareholders

0:57:21

moneym

0:57:23

It's working for now, but we'll see if

0:57:25

it we'll see if it crashes eventually.

0:57:27

Then the stock went up by a factor of 10

0:57:29

and it traded down 40%. And they wrote a

0:57:32

story CEO bet, you know, sailor bet

0:57:35

billions on Bitcoin and lost. Right?

0:57:37

That was the second story. And then the

0:57:39

stock went to 140 billion and then it

0:57:41

traded down to 70 billion. And after we

0:57:42

had actually increased our enterprise

0:57:44

value by a factor of a 100red, the story

0:57:46

was company lost 70 billion over the

0:57:50

past year. So it's three negative

0:57:52

stories in five years

0:57:56

in the time period when the digital

0:57:58

assets when the people that bought

0:58:00

Bitcoin made $2 trillion.

0:58:03

They managed to avoid the $2 trillion

0:58:05

capital gain, the hundred billion dollar

0:58:08

equity gain. And so all of these

0:58:11

industries, they all have a hard time

0:58:13

with the new idea. eventually

0:58:16

they embrace it with um with MSCI. I

0:58:20

don't know. We'll we'll see. I mean,

0:58:22

their their idea is like companies

0:58:24

shouldn't own digital assets. And I I

0:58:26

think that they're studying it right

0:58:27

now. I think they'll get a lot of

0:58:29

feedback from a lot of investors, from a

0:58:31

lot of companies, from a lot of policy

0:58:33

makers, and hopefully they'll uh they'll

0:58:37

take the the rational course forward.

0:58:39

But it doesn't matter at the end of the

0:58:41

day. It's like someone saying, "I heard

0:58:44

that one of the indexes didn't want to

0:58:47

have real estate companies in the

0:58:48

index." It's not going to stop people

0:58:50

from building real estate because the

0:58:52

real estate is necessary. If they

0:58:54

dropped insurance companies from the

0:58:56

index because they had capital, by the

0:58:57

way, you can't have insurance without

0:58:59

capital. If they dropped the banks

0:59:00

because they had capital, it wouldn't

0:59:02

stop banking and it won't stop

0:59:04

insurance. In in our particular case, it

0:59:07

won't stop the advance of digital credit

0:59:10

because at the end of the day, the

0:59:12

problem you're solving is how do you

0:59:13

give someone a bank account that pays 8%

0:59:16

or give them a credit instrument that

0:59:18

pays 10% that's tax deferred, right? And

0:59:21

and that problem digital credit or the

0:59:25

opportunity for digital capital is much

0:59:28

bigger. you know the the index will will

0:59:31

either do the right thing or it will

0:59:33

marginalize itself by doing something

0:59:36

which you know misses the next billion

0:59:39

people's interest.

0:59:45

>> All right, final question. Do you think

0:59:45

Bitcoin's four-year cycle is dead?

0:59:53

>> Yeah, I mean I I think there's this this

0:59:53

is repeated add infinitum and you know

0:59:56

fouryear cycle, four-ear cycle, fourear

0:59:58

cycle. There are certain tropes that

0:59:59

keep getting repeated. Um

1:00:02

I think it has its origins in the fact

1:00:04

that you know Satoshi implemented the

1:00:06

having 50% of all the Bitcoin that will

1:00:09

ever exist was mined in the first four

1:00:12

years and then there was a having and

1:00:14

then 25% came in the next four years and

1:00:17

then there was a having and then 12 a.5%

1:00:20

came. So one can certainly argue for the

1:00:22

first 12 years the it was supply driven

1:00:26

because the amount of Bitcoin being put

1:00:28

on the market was large by the miners

1:00:32

and then each having event cut that

1:00:34

supply in half and then it you know then

1:00:37

it went to six and a quarter sorry it's

1:00:40

whatever and then it went to three and

1:00:42

an eighth or something and so we're at

1:00:44

the point right now where it's become

1:00:47

somewhere in the range of a I would say

1:00:50

a second order to a third order driver.

1:00:54

The actual liquidity in the market, you

1:00:57

know, depending upon your for your

1:01:00

estimates is like 20 billion to50

1:01:03

billion are the estimates of daily spot

1:01:05

liquidity and a hundred billion dollars

1:01:08

of derivatives liquidity a day.

1:01:11

The Bitcoin being mined by the natural

1:01:13

miners is uh 450 Bitcoin a day. So at

1:01:16

current prices, you're talking about $40

1:01:18

million.

1:01:20

So $40 million of supply coming on the

1:01:22

market each day versus between 20

1:01:26

billion to a hundred billion dollars of

1:01:29

trading. It suggests to you that the

1:01:32

that that the supply side is not driving

1:01:35

the market right now.

1:01:38

And if it was if it was um and that's

1:01:42

the only argument for the four-year

1:01:44

cycle really, it's being overwhelmed by

1:01:47

other structural developments when um if

1:01:51

if you think about the annual supply at

1:01:53

450 Bitcoin a day, you know, you're kind

1:01:55

of getting in you're in the 16 billion

1:01:58

to 18 billion dollar worth of natural

1:02:01

Bitcoin from natural sellers available

1:02:03

to sell each year. So every time someone

1:02:05

buys $16 billion worth of Bitcoin,

1:02:08

that's one annual supply.

1:02:11

So my company bought more than that.

1:02:14

Black Rockck's buying more than that. If

1:02:17

JP Morgan turns on credit, they will

1:02:20

issue $16 billion of credit and that'll

1:02:23

be one more turn. And so if you look at

1:02:26

the formation of the credit networks

1:02:28

when um when the SEC took the handcuffs

1:02:32

off of IBIT uh options, they they were

1:02:35

crippling the derivatives market for

1:02:37

IBIT options and on the regulated

1:02:40

markets up until like a few months ago

1:02:43

when they uh when they first of all they

1:02:46

made it illegal to trade options for

1:02:48

four years. Then they turned on the spot

1:02:50

ETFs and the spot ETFs grew to a hundred

1:02:53

billion dollars in like 15 months. Then

1:02:58

the options market got to 10 billion and

1:03:00

then in a couple of weeks it went from

1:03:01

10 billion to 50 billion.

1:03:04

And so structural things like uh

1:03:07

unhandcuffing or normalizing the options

1:03:10

market turning on the CFTC just

1:03:13

greenlighted native uh spot bitcoin

1:03:16

trading on uh the Chicago mercantile

1:03:19

exchange right the CFTC just

1:03:21

greenlighted it for regulated exchange

1:03:23

in the US and then they greenlighted the

1:03:25

use of Bitcoin as collateral for those

1:03:27

transactions that's going to create 10

1:03:30

2050 billion dollars of increase

1:03:33

trading. So, the structural changes by

1:03:36

the regulators and by the banking and

1:03:39

the trading establishment are way

1:03:41

overwhelming

1:03:42

the qu the four-year cycle quote unquote

1:03:45

which is built into the protocol.

1:03:48

And so, at this point, the thing to be

1:03:50

watching is the formation of the credit

1:03:53

networks and the formation of the

1:03:56

capital networks. And those are all

1:03:58

decisions made by the uh commodities

1:04:01

regulators, the securities regulators,

1:04:03

the digital assets regulators, the

1:04:05

banking regulators. And then watch the

1:04:07

action of the big banks like City

1:04:10

announced they're going to start the

1:04:11

custody and issue credit on Bitcoin next

1:04:13

year. Schwab announced they're going to

1:04:14

do it. I think we'll actually see eight

1:04:17

of the 10 largest banks in the US do it

1:04:20

in the next 24 months. when they come

1:04:22

into the space, they're going to create

1:04:25

a hundred billion dollars worth of

1:04:26

credit each.

1:04:29

And so the amount of let me say it a

1:04:32

different way. If you could not get a

1:04:35

loan to buy a house in Miami or an

1:04:38

apartment in Miami, what would the

1:04:40

impact on the price of the real estate

1:04:58

and it's going to be a conforming rate

1:04:58

200 basis points lower. Prices go up

1:05:01

again. And if you recall what happened

1:05:03

when Jerome Powell said we're lowering

1:05:06

interest rates to zero

1:05:08

and that and the Fed regulators said

1:05:10

that the reserve ratio for banks could

1:05:13

go to zero and they could in essence

1:05:15

have unlimited leverage and they said

1:05:16

that in March of 2020

1:05:19

if you recall what happened to real

1:05:20

estate prices.

1:05:23

>> Yeah. So it's the credit networks

1:05:25

forming and normalizing around this

1:05:27

asset which are going to drive the asset

1:05:30

class right now. And uh it so I it's not

1:05:35

the four-year cycle. There are dynamics

1:05:37

but the dynamics have to do with the

1:05:39

credit markets and the actual trading of

1:05:41

it and the formation of derivatives and

1:05:43

how they move.

1:05:46

>> Well, this is great. I think you've even

1:05:47

orange pillow some of our members in the

1:05:49

audience.

1:05:50

Let's give them a round of round of

1:05:52

applause here.

1:05:59

You know, let me just close with a final

1:05:59

thought, which is uh

1:06:03

the big ideas are digital capital and uh

1:06:07

digital credit. And if you have money

1:06:09

you don't need for four years,

1:06:11

you're going to you're going to invest

1:06:13

in some capital asset, whether it's real

1:06:14

estate or private equity or public

1:06:16

equity. And so if you believe in in

1:06:19

digital assets and if you understand

1:06:21

Bitcoin, you'll say, "Well, I'm going to

1:06:23

put some of my long-term capital in the

1:06:24

digital capital. If you don't trust

1:06:27

anybody and you don't want to trust

1:06:29

anybody and you want maximum optionality

1:06:31

to take your money anywhere on Earth to

1:06:33

any custodian any time, and if you want

1:06:36

if you want that capital to be in your

1:06:38

family and pass it forward for a hundred

1:06:40

years, you buy digital capital. It's

1:06:43

digital gold. It's a very simple idea.

1:06:45

You don't have to self-custody it. You

1:06:47

can actually leave it with a custodian,

1:06:49

but you know that if you ever have to

1:06:51

leave Florida and move to Wyoming, you

1:06:53

can move it to Wyoming. And if you ever

1:06:54

have to leave the United States, you can

1:06:56

take it with you and it'll not be a

1:06:57

taxable event. It'll be a bearer

1:06:59

instrument. So, if you want maximum

1:07:01

optionality and you got a long time

1:07:03

frame, buy digital capital. If you

1:07:05

believe in Bitcoin, but you don't have a

1:07:07

long time frame, you need the money in

1:07:09

four months or or a year or four weeks

1:07:12

or you can't stand the volatility, think

1:07:15

about digital credit because digital

1:07:17

credit has a lot of that risk involved

1:07:19

stripped off it. And um you know what

1:07:23

what people decide is really a function

1:07:25

of you know what is what is your view

1:07:28

toward what do you value in life and

1:07:30

what stage are you at your in your life

1:07:32

and what's your investment mandate uh

1:07:35

but what I would say is you have a new

1:07:38

asset class digital capital you have

1:07:40

another new asset class digital credit

1:07:44

most of the world doesn't understand it

1:07:46

the very best investment ideas are

1:07:48

something everybody needs nobody can

1:07:50

stop and nobody understands,

1:07:53

>> right? If everybody agreed that it was a

1:07:55

good idea, it would cost you 10 to 100

1:07:58

times as much money, right? And so what

1:08:00

you have is a set of new ideas.

1:08:04

What this is going to cost you is not

1:08:06

money. It's going to cost you time.

1:08:08

You're going to have to spend 10 hours

1:08:09

or 100 hours to form your own opinion.

1:08:12

And once you form your own opinion of

1:08:14

your credit investor, you can make an

1:08:15

obscene amount of money on these credit

1:08:17

instruments. They're investment grade,

1:08:19

but they pay like double distress debt.

1:08:22

And if you're a capital investor, you

1:08:24

know, you can make a lot of money by

1:08:26

doing the research and buying 10 years

1:08:28

before everybody else tells you it's a

1:08:29

good idea to do the thing. And uh if

1:08:32

you're not comfortable, don't do

1:08:34

anything you're not comfortable with.

1:08:35

But I I I think this is uh it's a market

1:08:38

with profound opportunities for people

1:08:41

that are thoughtful and uh and who are

1:08:44

willing to um uh to consider the matter.

1:08:47

So if you if you want more information,

1:08:49

you can find a ton on hope.com. I think

1:08:51

bitcoin is hope.com.

1:08:55

You can follow me on X. I post pretty

1:08:57

much every day. S A Y L O R my name. And

1:09:01

I appreciate you guys and and thanks for

1:09:04

your indulgence today and all the best.

1:09:06

>> Thank you very much.

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