SaylorCorpus

Michael Saylor To Trish: Bitcoin Will Hit $13 Million in THIS Day

Trish Regan · 2024-10-27 · 44m · View on YouTube →

0:02

Bitcoin all right

0:02

Bitcoin now before you guys are like all

0:05

I just wanted to you know there there's

0:07

I want to go to Donald Trump talking

0:09

about Bitcoin and then I want to go to

0:10

my Michael sailor interview because he

0:12

is just he's like the Elon Musk okay of

0:15

Bitcoin or or the Donald Trump of

0:17

Bitcoin if you would he's really out in

0:20

front of this issue and he says some

0:23

remarkable stuff including his belief

0:25

that it's going to 13 million by the

0:26

year 2045 so we're going to get to that

0:29

but first you know you think about

0:30

Bitcoin and you think about the US

0:32

dollar and the concern about the dollar

0:34

and I have concerns I have concerns that

0:37

if we don't Embrace some kind of digital

0:41

cash that actually works that you know

0:45

what everybody else will and then the US

0:47

is Left Behind and we don't enjoy the

0:49

kind of hegemonic status that we've had

0:52

it's very complicated Michael sailor

0:54

refers to it as the perfect money we'll

0:56

talk about it in a second but first

0:58

watch Donald Trump here talking Bitcoin

1:01

as part of our effort to provide

1:02

regulatory Clarity we will create a

1:05

framework to enable the safe responsible

1:08

expansion of staple stable

1:12

coins allowing us to extend the

1:15

dominance of the US dollar to New

1:17

Frontiers all around the world America

1:20

will be richer the world will be better

1:23

and there will be billions and billions

1:25

of people brought into crypto economy

1:27

and storing their Savings in Bitcoin

1:30

those who say that Bitcoin is a threat

1:32

to the dollar have the story exactly

1:34

backwards I believe it is exactly

1:36

backwards Bitcoin is not threatening the

1:39

dollar the behavior of the current US

1:42

government is really threatening the

1:50

dollar the danger to our financial

1:50

future does not come from crypto it

1:53

comes from Washington

1:55

DC yeah I think there's something to

1:58

that right go back to the Mt money

2:00

supply anyway I'm I'm really excited to

2:02

show you this I sat down yesterday

2:04

afternoon with Michael sailor he's like

2:07

as big a deal as you're going to get in

2:09

the Bitcoin community and I was blown

2:12

away absolutely positively Blown Away by

2:16

what I heard and I want to

2:18

share I'm really thrilled to welcome our

2:21

next guest on the program today none

2:23

other than Michael sailor who is I would

2:26

say you know you you've kind of become

2:28

like the Godfather of the Bitcoin

2:30

industry you sort of single-handedly

2:32

have made this something very real and

2:36

something that's going to move us into

2:37

the future and and you just have an

2:40

incredible background I just want to

2:42

point out for those that don't know

2:44

Michael he was at MIT had a double

2:47

degree in none other than Aeronautics

2:50

and astronautics as well as science

2:52

technology and society and uh in his

2:54

free time he managed to play guitar in a

2:56

rock band and fly gliders so truly a

2:59

real Renaissance person uh he happened

3:02

to be there as well on a full Air Force

3:05

Reserve officer training Corp

3:07

scholarship there at MIT you're the

3:09

whole package and now you've taken your

3:11

company to levels that I think people

3:13

probably never dreamed of you were one

3:16

of those folks back in the day that

3:18

thought Bitcoin was nothing was some

3:21

kind of pipe dream

3:23

nonsense and now you're betting your

3:26

whole future and your company's future

3:27

on it so tell us tell us a a little bit

3:30

about why you made that decision in

3:32

summer of

3:34

2020 you know one of the rules of

3:36

Bitcoin is that uh bitcoin's on a need

3:39

to know basis H you have to need to know

3:43

about Bitcoin before you'll open your

3:45

mind to it it's a paradigm shift and and

3:49

um I would refer to it as digital energy

3:52

but if you think about it uh the first

3:54

time we figured out how to channel

3:56

energy and

3:58

cyberspace uh it's just as profound as

4:01

if you went to somebody in 1800 and said

4:04

you know one day we're going to have

4:05

this clean silent electricity and you're

4:08

not going to be able to see it or touch

4:10

it but it's going to power every single

4:13

machine in your factory and it's going

4:15

to power everything in your house and

4:18

you would think you know I don't get it

4:21

I don't need it and until someone shows

4:24

you what it can do and until you get to

4:27

the point where you do need it you're

4:29

not going to be you're not going to

4:31

embrace a new form of energy so micro

4:34

strategy didn't really need Bitcoin

4:36

until

4:37

2020 and then during the covid lockdown

4:41

crisis we realized that all of our

4:44

Capital was a kind of a melting Ice Cube

4:47

we had a lot of money that was

4:48

generating 0% interest losing 15 to 20%

4:51

of its value a year so we had a need to

4:54

know and then we started thinking maybe

4:57

there's something else we can invest

4:59

this money in and we discovered Bitcoin

5:01

which I think is digital capital I mean

5:05

the most powerful application of digital

5:07

energy is capital so we needed it we

5:11

found it uh we embraced it and uh we

5:15

become the largest public holder of

5:17

Bitcoin I know you tweeted out something

5:20

years earlier saying you know this is

5:22

this is really nothing to to write home

5:24

about and and you thought it was just

5:26

kind of a scheme and all of a sudden you

5:28

realized maybe because of 2020 right

5:32

that this actually was the future you

5:35

know what what what I say is everybody's

5:38

against Bitcoin before they're for it

5:41

and your first reaction is always to be

5:43

skeptical and after an hour you're not

5:47

quite sure but after 10 hours you think

5:49

maybe there's an asset there but you

5:51

don't know how you feel about it and

5:53

after about a 100 hours you start

5:55

thinking this is like a a digital

5:58

monetary Network this is like Facebook

6:00

for money and so I would say I started

6:03

skeptical and then uh because I had a

6:06

need to figure it out I became a

6:08

Believer you you talked about it as a

6:10

digital asset so where is its real value

6:14

I mean sort of you know there there's a

6:15

lot of philosophical takes on this but

6:18

how is it that it comes to have real

6:23

value well so first of all what Satoshi

6:26

discovered was how I send something of

6:28

value between two two uh two different

6:31

individuals without a trusted

6:33

intermediary so that's known as solving

6:36

the double spend problem but if I want

6:38

to send a million dollars from me to you

6:41

without a bank Satoshi solved that but

6:44

inadvertently when Satoshi solved that

6:47

problem Satoshi figured out not just how

6:49

to send a million dollars from New York

6:52

to Tokyo without an intermediary but how

6:55

to send a million dollars forward in

6:57

time 30 years without an intermediary if

7:01

you can if you can uh transfer something

7:04

without an intermediary then you can

7:06

store something without an intermediary

7:09

so the killer app of Bitcoin is the

7:12

store of value in cyers space and what's

7:15

that worth there's about $900 trillion

7:18

dollars worth of wealth in the world and

7:20

about half of it is used uh for its

7:23

utility value people buy assets for

7:25

their utility they buy houses and

7:27

buildings and and boats and planes and

7:30

and pieces of art because they want to

7:33

use them look at them but the other half

7:35

of that wealth is is assets that are

7:38

purchased as a long-term capital

7:40

investment or as a store of value so$

7:44

450 trillion doll of the world is

7:46

long-term capital and so when I want to

7:49

if I take you and I drop you in Africa

7:51

and I say here take a hundred million

7:52

doll buy anything you want anywhere in

7:54

Africa but you got to keep it for 30

7:56

years and uh you know then I say

8:00

or you could have the same hundred

8:03

million invested in the US most people

8:06

would say well that's a no-brainer I'm

8:08

GNA keep the money in the US there's

8:09

nothing I want in Africa that's as

8:11

valuable as property in the US um but

8:14

what if you can't have property in the

8:16

US then what if your choice is I can

8:18

have 100 million worth of bitcoin in

8:21

cyberspace if I I can have 100 million

8:23

worth of digital property or I can have

8:25

a 100 million worth of land in any

8:27

country in Africa or any building or any

8:29

company or any bond or any currency in

8:31

Africa and the answer when you think

8:33

about it is there's nothing you want in

8:36

Africa that that's better than having

8:38

digital property in cyberspace and

8:41

there's certainly no place where you're

8:43

going to trust your money or your assets

8:45

for 30 years much less a hundred years

8:47

much less a thousand years so when you

8:50

start to ask the question where do the

8:52

eight billion people on the planet and

8:54

what are the 300 million corporations on

8:55

the planet where are they going to store

8:58

their capital if they don't have

9:01

recourse to the United States and you

9:05

know property on the Upper East Side the

9:08

conclusion you come to is I'm going to

9:10

put my money in cyberspace and so

9:12

bitcoin's real use is it's digital

9:15

property in cyber space it is cyber

9:18

Manhattan it is uh a place where you can

9:22

store your capital and give it to your

9:23

great-grandchildren and you know that

9:26

you're not going to be taking risk

9:29

against a bank as a counterparty or

9:32

another company or country or currency

9:35

or culture when you don't want to take

9:38

risk when you don't want to make an

9:40

investment uh when you don't want to bet

9:43

on the direction of the Commodities

9:45

Market when you just want to store some

9:47

money for a hundred years and forget

9:49

about it well you put it in the safest

9:52

Bank in the universe quick reminder to

9:54

go over to 76 research our financial

9:58

website where you can get a whole lot of

10:00

information about financial markets and

10:03

what stocks we like to invest in lots of

10:06

different content there just a quick

10:07

look at our top Financial pick up 24%

10:10

utility up 24% real estate up 23% you

10:14

get the picture it's important to put

10:17

yourself and your financial future first

10:20

you can do that at 76 research just a

10:23

dollar it costs just a dollar with code

10:25

word dollar a dollar a month for the

10:26

first two months 76 research.com

10:29

I'll see you there and Bitcoin is okay

10:31

you sa C I have to jump in with the

10:35

question that you know everybody worries

10:36

about right what if it gets hacked and

10:38

and I know I know before everybody jumps

10:40

on me like it's pretty much not hackable

10:42

but you know we're we're living in

10:44

different times and there's all kinds of

10:46

crazy AI productivity

10:48

gains is it is it really and

10:51

truly

10:54

safe well um the question that you're

10:57

asking is the same question that I had

10:58

to ask ask is the fiduciary responsible

11:01

for $500 million of my shareholders

11:04

money back in 2020 I said before I

11:07

invest in this is uh is it going to be

11:10

hacked is it going to be banned is it

11:12

going to be copied those are the big

11:15

three questions and it's hard to know

11:17

that in the first year of the network

11:19

but we're now approaching year 16 it'll

11:21

be the 16th anniversary of the network

11:23

on Halloween that's the 16th anniversary

11:25

the white paper that is and um by the

11:29

way not everybody knows that but you

11:31

know Satoshi basically came up with this

11:34

we don't really know if Satoshi was a

11:35

real person I'd be curious to get your

11:37

thoughts on that um or whether it was a

11:39

group of people but amazing amazing

11:42

obviously Discovery

11:44

continue so after 16 years it has been

11:48

copied 10,000 times they all failed it's

11:50

the winner right it's the network that

11:52

all the smart rich people in the world

11:55

chose it's the bank in cyers space if

11:58

you show up in a city and there's 10,000

12:00

Banks and you have a bunch of money and

12:03

the question is which bank should you

12:04

put your money in you go find every

12:06

smart rich person that you know in the

12:08

city and you say hey where do you put

12:09

your money and if they all put their

12:12

money in One Bank you're probably not

12:14

going to put your money in a bank that's

12:16

a million times smaller than them that

12:17

only has poor stupid people you know so

12:20

so it was copied it's the winner it's it

12:24

is the bank that's of choice of the of

12:27

the smart money in the world and uh will

12:30

it be banned you couldn't know that for

12:33

15 years but the IRS legitimized it its

12:35

property in

12:37

2014 uh the SEC approved a host of

12:40

Bitcoin ETFs in January of

12:43

2024 today it's held by nearly a 100

12:46

publicly traded companies every major uh

12:50

regulator has has uh certified it as a

12:54

commodity not a security that was a

12:57

judgment by the the former head of the

12:59

SEC under Trump and that's the Judgment

13:01

of the current head of the SEC Gary

13:04

gendler so you know it's not getting

13:06

banned and that takes us to the third

13:08

question is will it be hacked and uh

13:11

satoshi's got about 70 billion dollar

13:14

and a bunch of wallets that any hacker

13:17

could have if they could crack the code

13:19

and it's been there for 16 years and

13:20

nobody's cracked the code uh it hasn't

13:23

been hacked and the reason it hasn't

13:25

been hacked is because it's defended by

13:28

a wall of digital energy about 730 ex

13:32

aash that's more computer power than all

13:35

of the computers at Amazon or Microsoft

13:37

or apple could you know working jointly

13:40

together could generate so it is the

13:44

strongest the strongest uh wall of

13:47

computer power in the world stronger

13:49

than any nation state can muster

13:52

stronger than any company can muster and

13:54

that computing power combined with the

13:58

fact that

13:59

there's approximately $800 billion

14:01

dollars of actual money deposited in

14:04

this bank over the past 15 years

14:07

combined with hundreds of millions of

14:09

holders combined with um about almost 20

14:13

gigawatts of electricity which is like

14:15

20 full-on nuclear reactors 20 gaws is

14:18

more electrical energy or or more uh

14:21

pure energy than drives the entire US

14:24

Navy that's how much power it is so

14:27

bitcoin's really defended by power a lot

14:30

of power in political economic digital

14:33

and electrical form and there's no way

14:35

to finesse it you can't kind of spoof it

14:38

or trick it you just need 10 times as

14:41

much computing power as exists on the

14:44

surface of the Earth in order to crack

14:45

it that's why no one's cracking it how

14:48

how do you think I mean you you know a

14:50

lot more about this than I I've ever

14:53

dreamed of knowing I I'm fascinated by

14:54

it I've been fascinated by it since it

14:57

first emerged and I remember reporting

14:58

on it it was 10 bucks but and now you

15:01

know you're looking at 60 some odd

15:03

thousand these

15:04

days how do you think it got started I

15:07

mean do you believe the whole Satoshi

15:10

Nakamoto as being one person multiple

15:12

people and how do you get yourself

15:15

comfortable around it not really

15:18

understanding for sure its

15:22

Origins there's a dream throughout the

15:24

history of the human race of sound money

15:27

of money within

15:29

something you could trust something that

15:31

you could store your life savings in and

15:33

not have debased or destroyed or stolen

15:38

from you and that sound money took the

15:42

form of gold after about 5,000 years and

15:46

uh throughout human history you know the

15:48

better the better civilizations have

15:50

stood on the gold standard and

15:52

economists have have always tried to

15:54

create the perfect money gold was the

15:56

closest thing to perfect money but it

15:59

was always imperfect because you could

16:00

mine more gold and it's centralized it

16:03

was easy to steal gold and it was very

16:06

slow to move it would take a year to

16:07

move gold so there was this dream in the

16:11

economic Community uh of perfect money

16:15

and it was impossible to create perfect

16:17

money or clean sound money until the

16:21

invis of the internet combined with the

16:24

invention of public private key

16:26

cryptography combined with the invention

16:29

semiconductors and so Bitcoin represents

16:32

the engineering of perfect perfectly

16:35

sound

16:37

money and it it was only possible once

16:40

those three Technologies Advanced and

16:42

there was a group of Cipher punks that

16:44

were playing with cryptography playing

16:47

with the internet and they saw the

16:49

development of uh of uh hashing

16:52

algorithms like Shaw

16:54

256 and the ability to build that into

16:57

an application specific

16:59

semiconductor and when and they probably

17:02

tried this 40 times there were products

17:04

like hash cash and digital gold and and

17:08

uh bit gold and things like that and the

17:11

first 30 or 40 of them failed and then

17:14

after about 40 some Bitcoin came along

17:17

and Bitcoin learned from the failures of

17:20

the 40 before it and it was the first

17:23

truly

17:24

decentralized uh crypto monetary Network

17:29

and it it it was lucky because it just

17:31

had the right monetary policy which is

17:33

absolute scarcity 21 million and it had

17:36

the right frequency a block every 10

17:39

minutes the right bandwidth the right

17:42

protocols and you know when it was

17:45

launched in January 3rd of 2009 did we

17:47

know it was perfect no nobody knew it

17:49

was perfect in fact it tra it didn't

17:51

trade for a year and a half almost and

17:54

the first time it was used for

17:56

transactions was pizza day around May of

18:00

2010 where somebody bought two pieces

18:03

with 10,000 Bitcoin so so at that point

18:08

you know 10,000 Bitcoin $700 Million

18:11

worth of bitcoin was traded for two pizz

18:15

yeah and then people thought well maybe

18:17

it's something but it's still kind of a

18:19

hobby and it took another uh you know

18:21

another decade before it wasn't a hobby

18:24

well crypto now it comes to life sure

18:27

and and you had people going to jail um

18:29

you had you know a lot of concern about

18:32

the regulation around it uh because you

18:36

were able to sort of trade if you would

18:38

on that deep dark web and and it was a

18:41

currency quote unquote currency used

18:43

there and that got some people in a lot

18:45

of trouble and then eventually I think

18:47

it just kind of kept catching on and

18:49

catching on and catching on and it's

18:51

something right when you have black rock

18:53

and Larry Fink coming out saying I like

18:55

this and I'm creating an ETF for it I

18:57

mean some people

18:59

that are sort of dieh hard Bitcoin folks

19:02

might look at that and say I don't want

19:03

government involved I don't want

19:05

financial markets involved I look at it

19:07

and I say I welcome that right because I

19:09

want some structure around it I want

19:11

some regulation I want to be able to

19:12

easily invest in it and not have to go

19:14

find a hard wallet somewhere um although

19:17

nothing wrong with that too but in other

19:18

words that liquidity that say an ETF or

19:22

investing in your company and micro

19:23

strategy might represent that's worth

19:26

something to people

19:29

you know I think if you look at it like

19:31

fire a lot of people got burned when

19:33

they played with fire if you look at it

19:35

like electricity a lot of people got

19:37

shocked before they figure out how to

19:38

handle electricity if you look at the

19:41

early automobile people were terrified

19:43

of them and then all the sudden in about

19:44

15 years everyone loved them even though

19:47

a lot of people die on roads every year

19:49

driving cars so all of these are new

19:52

technologies that are

19:54

transformational Bitcoin right now is

19:56

spreading very rapidly as digital

19:58

capital and it's digitally transforming

20:00

the capital markets uh and black rock is

20:04

an example of one form micro strategy is

20:06

another company digitally transforming

20:08

the capital markets and yet still 95% of

20:12

the Bitcoin is held in self- custody by

20:16

bitcoiners and it's not in in those

20:18

traditional fascinating areas so this is

20:22

a this is network is spreading

20:24

everywhere in the world different it

20:26

gets me to your valuation so you got a

20:28

pretty a pretty high valuation walk us

20:30

through it 13 million a coin is is that

20:33

I want to make sure I'm quoting you

20:34

right and in the year

20:37

20145 walk us through why you think

20:39

there's so much appreciation

20:42

coming yeah we we created a model which

20:46

we uploaded to GitHub it's in the open

20:48

source Community it's called Bitcoin 24

20:50

you can just Google it and go grab it

20:52

it's a Excel spreadsheet and it has

20:54

macroeconomic models for the next 21

20:57

years a bit coin forecast for 21 years

21:01

and then micro models for corporations

21:03

and individuals and institutions and

21:05

even nation states and once you download

21:07

that model you can plug in your own

21:09

assumptions about what you think is

21:10

going to happen and you can come to your

21:11

own conclusions but my assumptions are

21:16

uh the US dollar supply is going to

21:18

continue to expand about 7% a year and

21:20

that is the historic rate of expansion

21:23

of dollars for the past hundred years

21:24

that's how I arrive at that that's just

21:26

how fast the money supply is expanding

21:29

if you if you look at

21:30

M2 and I think that there'll be

21:32

Innovation from AI so some things like

21:35

equities will probably grow a little bit

21:37

faster because because AI is going to

21:39

have a boost to equities I think over

21:42

time gradually um technolog is going to

21:45

demonetize gold and some of the other

21:48

stores of value assets that were used in

21:50

the 20th and the 19th century but the

21:52

21st century we're going to digitally

21:55

transform property and transform gold

21:58

into digit

21:59

property digital gold okay and uh when

22:03

you when you look at uh uh bitcoin's uh

22:06

growth over the past 15 years you know

22:09

it's it's been growing more than a 100%

22:11

a year for the first decade or so and

22:14

for the last four years it's been

22:15

appreciating about 50% a year in

22:19

ARR I think um it's 50% a year in ARR

22:23

and it's 50 50 Vol which is like three

22:28

and a half three times the volatility of

22:31

the S&P and three times the performance

22:33

of the S&P index over the next 21 years

22:37

I think it will grow it will grow faster

22:40

than the S&P and it's going to grow to

22:42

the point where it's about 7% of the

22:45

world's assets right now it's about 0.1%

22:48

of the world's assets and I think that

22:51

it will gradually approach but it will

22:52

never be as big as the S&P index or

22:55

equities it won't never be as big as

22:56

real estate but in that world where it

22:59

decelerates from 50% down to 20

23:03

perish uh it will appreciate from 65 or

23:07

70,000 up to 13 million a coin in my

23:10

base case and um that uh amounts to

23:13

about a 29% ARR on average over the 21

23:19

years um and you know when it's half the

23:23

size of the S&P it'll still be twice as

23:25

volatile probably performing 50% %

23:28

better because it's a

23:31

247365 asset it's it's subject to Global

23:35

chaos and Global Capital flows and it

23:39

doesn't have all the risk factors of

23:41

property or the risk factors of uh

23:44

Equity to hold it

23:46

back one of the things that I struggle

23:48

with is trying to understand how it is

23:50

sort of a safe haven because the way

23:52

you're defining it it really is

23:54

something that's a store of value that

23:55

you can count on through thick and thin

23:57

Through Time effectively and yet it's

24:01

super volatile and I get like the

24:02

Traders love it right because volatility

24:04

is your friend but if you're just you

24:06

know Mom and Pop investor at home and

24:08

you're thinking about all right I have a

24:09

little bit and you know I want to be

24:11

careful because I you know I'm not

24:13

anybody's investment adviser but I and

24:15

and I think you got to be cautious and

24:16

thoughtful about what you're doing but

24:18

if you're like I'm going to try this I'm

24:19

going to try this you got to also be

24:22

willing to I guess stomach the ups and

24:24

downs and my question is at what point

24:27

do those ups and downs stop if you're

24:29

going to get all the way to 13

24:31

million yeah well I mean first of all

24:34

bitcoin's like 50 Vol 50 ARR and the S&P

24:38

is more like 12 to 14

24:40

ARR 14 Vol so if you want 12 Vol 12 AR

24:46

you would just buy a diversified Equity

24:49

index you'll get 1/4 the return you'll

24:51

get 1 14th the

24:53

volatility and some people like that if

24:57

uh if you're going to buy a Vol asset

24:59

first of all you shouldn't buy it unless

25:02

you're going to hold it for the long

25:03

term like a short period of time to hold

25:05

it is four years a middle period of time

25:08

is 10 years the Righttime Horizon is the

25:11

rest of your life if you if you have

25:13

money that you need to give to your

25:15

children in four weeks don't buy Bitcoin

25:18

with it if you have money you want to

25:21

give to your children in 40 years

25:24

definitely buy Bitcoin with it in 40

25:26

years Bitcoin is going to be worth a lot

25:29

more uh in four weeks there's no telling

25:31

what'll be worth so think in terms of of

25:35

zero to four years is very safe

25:38

conventional assets think in terms of

25:40

four to 10 years is more like investment

25:43

things and think Beyond 10 years is

25:45

that's uh that's something I'm buying to

25:47

give to my great granddaughter that it's

25:50

going to be in the family for ever it's

25:53

like the center of London it's been

25:54

passed by the royal family of London

25:56

down from family to family for thousand

25:58

years that you know if you think of it

26:00

like that then you'll go into it with

26:03

your eyes wide open it's a the

26:06

volatility is a feature it's not a bug

26:08

the reason it's volatile is because on

26:10

Saturday night if you panic and you

26:12

needed to raise a million dollars by

26:14

selling a million dollars or something

26:15

you own it's literally the only thing

26:18

you can sell you can't sell anything you

26:21

can't sell your real estate you can't

26:23

sell your Apple stock you can't sell

26:25

your car true nothing else you can sell

26:27

so if can't sell it then by definition

26:30

it's not going to be volatile because

26:32

it's useless so things that are

26:35

nonvolatile are useless the volatility

26:39

is what attracts uh the Bloomberg jockey

26:42

to put up$ 20 billion of capital in

26:44

Singapore and that person will loan you

26:46

a billion dollars for five minutes on

26:49

Saturday night at 100x leverage if your

26:52

life depended on it and you can imagine

26:55

that is that a feature or is that a bug

26:57

it's just a lot lot of economic power

27:00

and the fact that there's that much

27:02

economic power in the network means that

27:04

it attracts all of the Traders and it

27:07

attracts anybody that wants to either

27:09

buy or sell with leverage at any time

27:13

anywhere in the world once you Embrace

27:16

that idea you realize that if you wanted

27:18

to buy it knowing what it would be worth

27:21

next Tuesday you're a fool but if you

27:23

wanted to buy it thinking this is the

27:25

most powerful digital Capital Network in

27:27

the world for the next 100 years and

27:29

I've got a long time Horizon and I just

27:31

want to get rich and I'm going to hold

27:34

on to it then it's uh it's a pretty wise

27:37

thing to put in your portfolio you never

27:39

sell do you at MST I this brings me to

27:42

mstr because I'm looking at your stock

27:44

price and it's multiples of where

27:47

Bitcoin is in other words we've seen

27:49

Bitcoin trading higher and higher even

27:51

just over the last six weeks or so but

27:54

mstr is trading that much more higher

27:58

explain to me why it is that your

28:00

company is is trading ahead of Bitcoin

28:03

and and what it is that you guys are

28:05

doing that is attracting so many

28:07

investors in the

28:09

community you know I mean when you have

28:11

trophy assets you never sell them right

28:13

Bernard rno never sells any of the

28:16

brands of lvmh right when you own the

28:19

New England Patriots you don't sell it

28:22

you try to gift it to your great great

28:24

grandchildren if you can solve the tax

28:26

issue uh the royal family of England

28:29

doesn't sell the middle of London or

28:31

Kensington Palace or Buckingham Palace

28:34

or the like so you don't sell things

28:36

that are scarce and desirable that

28:38

everybody in the human race is going to

28:39

want you buy and you hold them forever

28:43

micro strategy uh is a Bitcoin treasury

28:46

company um what we do is we raise

28:49

Capital via cash flows from the business

28:52

from Equity uh by issuing debt by doing

28:55

fixed income financings and then we buy

28:58

Bitcoin with it and um the people that

29:02

buy our Equity want high performance

29:03

Bitcoin and high volatility Bitcoin so

29:06

we give them more volatility and more

29:09

performance and then other people that

29:11

buy our fixed income instruments they

29:13

might buy a convertible Bond they want

29:15

more security they want risk protection

29:19

they want less volatility they want some

29:21

of the upside but they would rather have

29:23

downside protection and give up some of

29:25

the upside and they can't really buy the

29:28

equity and then of course there's some

29:30

people uh you know that are option

29:33

Trader they want 10x the volatility so

29:36

some people want extreme leverage

29:39

extreme volatility other people want

29:42

um very little leverage they want a lot

29:45

of risk protection so micro strategy

29:48

splits uh it splits the capital or it

29:52

refines the capital such that we provide

29:55

one set of investors with a lower lower

29:58

volatility lower risk way to participate

30:01

and then another set of investors with

30:04

high

30:05

voltage methods to

30:09

participate do you see yourself in

30:11

competition with ETFs at all what do you

30:13

think about all the ETFs that have come

30:15

out and what do you say to investors

30:18

that are like gosh like I'm just blown

30:21

away I need to go back and rewatch this

30:23

five times to to digest it all I mean

30:26

people say well I I can't get my head

30:27

around it I don't I don't understand who

30:29

Satoshi Nakamoto is I don't understand

30:31

what this is um do you think that that

30:34

needs to more needs to be done in terms

30:36

of educating the public or you know you

30:38

build it and they will come well uh as

30:41

the first question now we don't compete

30:43

with the ETFs they basically sell spot

30:45

Bitcoin exposure if you want 50 AR 50

30:49

Vol 100% upside and downside as a as a

30:53

simple uh digital property instrument

30:57

you would buy the ET and they're and

30:58

they're perfectly fine Investments I

30:59

mean very straightforward uh if you want

31:02

high performance Equity or optionality

31:05

you would want our Equity or or the

31:07

options that trade above our equity and

31:09

if you want Bitcoin back bonds or some

31:12

kind of Bitcoin fixed income instrument

31:14

you would buy something that we were

31:16

selling so we're very complimentary to

31:18

them and of course both both Investments

31:21

work well because at the end of the day

31:23

all the money invested in any of these

31:24

instruments is used to buy

31:26

Bitcoin and there's only 450 Bitcoin

31:29

available for sale every day by the

31:31

Bitcoin minor so when that Bitcoin gets

31:33

purchased you have to take the price up

31:36

in order to find another willing buyer

31:37

at a higher price level so that's a very

31:40

that's a very virtuous competitive cycle

31:43

there and we're very complimentary with

31:45

regard to you know my suggestions for

31:48

potential investors or people that are

31:50

interested in Bitcoin I would say you

31:52

know before you before you put money

31:54

into Bitcoin put time into Bitcoin uh if

31:57

you go to hope.

31:59

uh remember Bitcoin is hope you can find

32:01

lots of courses on bitcoin lots of books

32:04

on bitcoin lots of videos on bitcoin

32:06

lots of research papers and resources on

32:10

bitcoin uh you know you could just go

32:12

and Google you know Google me on YouTube

32:15

and you'll find lots or michael.com

32:17

videos you got michael.com yeah go to

32:21

michael.com go to hope.com read the

32:23

Bitcoin standard the the big idea with

32:26

Bitcoin I just got the book by the way

32:28

and I got it because I knew that that

32:29

was very influential for you and I

32:31

wanted to read it ahead of talking to

32:33

you amazing book really interesting and

32:35

for people who are very interested in

32:37

sound money as I know so many of my

32:39

listeners and viewers are Michael it's a

32:41

really worthwhile book because you know

32:43

it's getting into the the gold standard

32:45

and the dangers of money Printing and

32:46

central banks

32:48

Etc yeah the great thing about studying

32:51

Bitcoin is is you won't really

32:53

understand money until you understand

32:55

until you've seen perfect money so

32:58

Bitcoin takes you down this this path of

33:00

the theory of money and then you start

33:02

to understand what's bad money and why

33:04

it's bad and what's good money and why

33:06

it's good and then that'll take you into

33:08

the theory of investment like when you

33:11

actually buy a bunch of corporate stocks

33:13

to save your money you're not saving

33:15

you're investing you're you're making a

33:17

bet on the stock and so you start to

33:20

understand the difference between saving

33:23

your money and investing your money and

33:26

then once you understand the theory of

33:29

investing you start to understand the

33:30

theory of assets what's the difference

33:32

between a commodity and a security and

33:34

why is a commodity normally a crappy

33:37

investment unless it's Bitcoin in which

33:39

case it's a good investment and then you

33:42

start to understand Commodities versus

33:44

scarcity so so all of the investment

33:47

Theory economic theory and monetary

33:49

theory that comes about when you

33:52

understand Bitcoin will cause you to

33:54

realize Bitcoin is just a better idea

33:57

and it will also help you make your

33:59

investment decisions and make your

34:01

savings decisions and and navigate

34:03

geopolitical currency markets and

34:06

understand why does one government Crash

34:08

and Burn and why does hyperinflation

34:10

take place one place and not another

34:12

place and how can you insulate yourself

34:14

and your family from that final question

34:17

to you the dollar you know a lot of

34:19

people are watching their dollars just

34:22

evaporate in terms of purchasing power

34:23

and it's one of the reasons why they're

34:25

looking one of the reasons why you guys

34:26

were looking for Alterna Alives as we go

34:29

increasingly into this complex

34:32

geopolitical situation and you know you

34:35

get Putin over there entertaining

34:36

everybody saying okay well you can't use

34:38

dollars and you can't use credit cards

34:40

um and there's this jockeying for who's

34:42

going to be the currency of the world so

34:45

to speak and the dollar comes Under

34:48

Pressure I is Bitcoin the answer do you

34:51

think is that the currency of the world

34:55

for the future and does it under or

34:58

threaten the hegemonic power of the

35:01

United

35:03

States yeah I don't think Bitcoin uh

35:05

threatens the US I think Bitcoin is

35:07

strengthening the US um I think that if

35:11

you look at all the currencies in the

35:13

world the strongest currency in the

35:14

world is the dollar and so everybody in

35:17

the world is either got a weaker

35:19

currency which is collapsing or they're

35:21

on the dollar standard like the euro is

35:24

pretty much pegged to the dollar the

35:25

Singapore the the you know know the drom

35:29

most of the quote unquote good

35:30

currencies you know the Swiss frank Etc

35:33

they're pretty much pegged to the dollar

35:35

and then the bad currencies you know the

35:37

weak currencies the peso the Nar

35:39

Egyptian pounds Lebanese pounds Turkish

35:42

L they're collapsing against the dollar

35:46

so it seems pretty clear that the dollar

35:48

will um continue to spread um but there

35:53

is an inflation problem the inflation

35:55

rate in dollars is not the CP Pi it's

35:58

not two or 3% the the best uh the best

36:02

way to think about monetary debasement

36:05

is to look at the um the S&P index if

36:10

the S&P is advancing 12% a year that's

36:14

the rate at which the money supply is

36:15

expanding in dollars so your hurdle

36:18

rates the the rate at which you have to

36:20

generate an investment gain in dollars

36:23

in order to get notet poorer is probably

36:26

the S&P index that's the cost of capital

36:29

and that's a pretty good surrogate for

36:30

the rate of expansion of the US dollar

36:33

M2 money supply so over the last 100

36:37

years the S&P index generally expands

36:40

about the same rate that the dollar

36:42

expands in money supply um so if someone

36:46

gives you an idea to generate 3% after

36:49

tax you know buying bonds at 5% that are

36:52

3% after tax that's kind of like

36:55

underperforming the cost of capital by

36:57

9% you're getting 9% poorer every year

36:59

so so anything that isn't beating the

37:02

S&P index is making you poorer in dollar

37:05

terms what's beating it well I mean the

37:08

S&P when you invest in the S&P and your

37:10

money goes up 10% a year with the S&P

37:12

you think you're getting richer no

37:13

you're just staying Rich you're staying

37:15

as wealthy as you are the Magnificent

37:18

Seven's beating it so over the last four

37:21

years maybe the S&P is up 13 14% the

37:24

Magnificent 7's up 25 26% it's D buing

37:27

it this is not this is a no-brainer it's

37:30

obvious right uh you know Nvidia and

37:33

Apple and Google and Microsoft and meta

37:35

those are monstrous stocks and everybody

37:38

knows are the most powerful companies in

37:39

the world so they

37:41

outperform everybody else in the S&P

37:44

underperforms so 1% of the companies

37:47

generate most of the gains the other 98

37:49

99% don't really generate much gain

37:53

bitcoin's doubling The Magnificent Seven

37:56

so in terms of what is bitcoin the

37:58

answer yeah sure if you want to beat the

38:00

S&P index uh you need something better

38:04

than a typical good company a well-run

38:06

company will at best keep up with

38:09

monetary inflation you need a monstrous

38:12

digital Monopoly like the Magnificent 7

38:15

to outdo it but the greatest digital

38:17

Monopoly in the world Trish is the

38:20

digital Monopoly of money I mean the

38:23

greatest digital Network in the world is

38:25

Bitcoin Bitcoin is Facebook for money

38:28

right it's Google for money if all the

38:30

smart rich people in the world decide

38:33

that they want to store their money in a

38:34

bank and cyber space that will never be

38:36

debased and hold it for the next hundred

38:38

years right isn't that the best

38:41

investment by definition because every

38:44

other company has some kind of crack in

38:47

its armor some kind of attack surface

38:50

all the other companies get taxed they

38:52

have employees they have headquarters

38:53

they get hit with tariffs and fines and

38:56

Etc so find me a big Tech Monopoly that

39:01

is global that that sells a product that

39:04

everybody wants nobody can stop it's you

39:08

and nobody understands no it's Bitcoin

39:11

TR Bitcoin Bitcoin Bitcoin party there

39:14

and we've talked about this you and I

39:17

off camera but I mean how do you nobody

39:20

else can kind of get in at this point

39:21

right it's very hard I should say you've

39:23

kind of got some dominance in this space

39:25

you were the first to really Embrace

39:28

this so you know theoretically speaking

39:32

assuming assuming this all plays out I I

39:35

guess mstr is is well positioned well so

39:39

I just framing this right Bitcoin is

39:41

digital Capital going from 1.4 trillion

39:44

to 14 trillion to 140 trillion that's

39:47

the asset class that's the big idea

39:49

that's the

39:50

groundbreaking transformation micro

39:53

strategy is a Bitcoin treasury company

39:57

what we're doing is securitizing Bitcoin

39:59

we're offering fixed income instruments

40:02

or high performance Equity or high

40:05

leverage

40:06

derivatives that appeal to all of the

40:09

capital markets participants since there

40:12

are lots of people with pools of money

40:14

they have to trade options they have to

40:15

trade convertible bonds they have to buy

40:17

Equity they want fixed income so micro

40:20

strategy is is converting what you'll

40:23

call crude Capital into refined capital

40:27

Capital think think crude oil goes in

40:29

one side of the refinery and gasoline

40:32

and kerosene and toline and 27

40:36

petrochemicals come out the other side

40:39

of the

40:40

refinery and so we're we're happy to do

40:42

our part but the big invention is crude

40:45

oil right we discovered Infinite Energy

40:48

you know in liquid form micro strategy

40:51

is a company commercializing crude

40:54

capital and crude capital is

40:58

just higher higher performance than you

41:01

know than the thing it replaced which

41:03

was like you know digital capital is

41:05

better than analog capital and will be

41:09

yeah that fascinating oh by the way we

41:10

got an election coming up doesn't matter

41:13

does it matter to the price of Bitcoin

41:17

wins uh bitcoin's been universally

41:20

accepted as a digital commodity H you

41:23

know as an asset without an issuer and

41:25

it is the is you know the reserve asset

41:30

of the entire crypto economy and it is

41:33

the most widely held Global investment

41:38

asset in the world so it wins no matter

41:41

what you know either either outcome will

41:45

be good for

41:46

Bitcoin uh it's uh it's going to

41:49

continue to move up that's an

41:51

interesting aspect to it too because you

41:53

know as you try and gauge what's going

41:55

to happen economically depending

41:57

depending on who's there or who's not

41:59

there you want to find an asset that can

42:02

hopefully manage through through thick

42:04

and thin so this is just fascinating

42:06

absolutely fascinating Michael I I hope

42:09

you come back I hope you come back and

42:11

and we can talk some more because you

42:13

know look I I could talk to you all day

42:15

about this stuff I just think it's

42:16

really interesting and and you're on The

42:18

Cutting Edge of just big big things to

42:21

come so we appreciate you taking the

42:23

time today well thank you Trish I

42:25

enjoyed our time together good

42:29

stuff so cool so cool so cool we had a

42:33

plug for 76 research I may have gotten

42:36

out of that too too quickly but 76

42:38

research.com that is my company you know

42:40

that I started and we've written a lot

42:42

on bitcoin a lot on bitcoin so there's a

42:44

lot of information there's free

42:46

information there's some uh that you pay

42:48

a dollar a month for so you can sign up

42:50

it's just a dollar a month for the first

42:51

two months then goes to 9.95 we also

42:53

have model portfolios there you know

42:56

everything the model portfolio is

42:58

designed not to be as as volatile

43:00

obviously as as Bitcoin is but the model

43:02

portfolios have done great I've shown

43:04

you guys the chart we're up some

43:08

10.6% um so we're not Bitcoin levels

43:10

right but you know we don't have the the

43:13

the ups and downs if you would right I I

43:15

just find that whole thing so

43:16

fascinating but this is 76 research and

43:19

yes the median stock which Billy I think

43:21

was pointing out during the chat is up

43:23

10.8% versus &p up 5.9% for the 3 months

43:28

ending 930

43:30

2024 I started that of course with a

43:32

very dear friend who spent decades on

43:35

Wall Street ran billions of dollars and

43:37

my whole thought on that one is you know

43:39

what we we need to bring this more

43:41

directly to the people as opposed to all

43:43

the research getting traded internally

43:46

right with within the these various

43:48

hedge funds Etc so that's part of the

43:50

methodology behind 76 research but

43:53

anyway my thanks to to Michael I I

43:56

really could talk to him all day and you

43:58

know you guys are probably like I don't

44:00

know if I can I can handle it all day

44:02

but you can you can go back and listen

44:03

to that in pieces especially if you're

44:05

looking at Bitcoin possibly as an

44:08

investment in the future it's something

44:09

that really is is something for the long

44:12

long long uh Long View

Copied!