Michael Saylor To Trish: Bitcoin Will Hit $13 Million in THIS Day
Trish Regan · 2024-10-27 · 44m · View on YouTube →
Bitcoin all right
Bitcoin now before you guys are like all
I just wanted to you know there there's
I want to go to Donald Trump talking
about Bitcoin and then I want to go to
my Michael sailor interview because he
is just he's like the Elon Musk okay of
Bitcoin or or the Donald Trump of
Bitcoin if you would he's really out in
front of this issue and he says some
remarkable stuff including his belief
that it's going to 13 million by the
year 2045 so we're going to get to that
but first you know you think about
Bitcoin and you think about the US
dollar and the concern about the dollar
and I have concerns I have concerns that
if we don't Embrace some kind of digital
cash that actually works that you know
what everybody else will and then the US
is Left Behind and we don't enjoy the
kind of hegemonic status that we've had
it's very complicated Michael sailor
refers to it as the perfect money we'll
talk about it in a second but first
watch Donald Trump here talking Bitcoin
as part of our effort to provide
regulatory Clarity we will create a
framework to enable the safe responsible
expansion of staple stable
coins allowing us to extend the
dominance of the US dollar to New
Frontiers all around the world America
will be richer the world will be better
and there will be billions and billions
of people brought into crypto economy
and storing their Savings in Bitcoin
those who say that Bitcoin is a threat
to the dollar have the story exactly
backwards I believe it is exactly
backwards Bitcoin is not threatening the
dollar the behavior of the current US
government is really threatening the
dollar the danger to our financial
future does not come from crypto it
comes from Washington
DC yeah I think there's something to
that right go back to the Mt money
supply anyway I'm I'm really excited to
show you this I sat down yesterday
afternoon with Michael sailor he's like
as big a deal as you're going to get in
the Bitcoin community and I was blown
away absolutely positively Blown Away by
what I heard and I want to
share I'm really thrilled to welcome our
next guest on the program today none
other than Michael sailor who is I would
say you know you you've kind of become
like the Godfather of the Bitcoin
industry you sort of single-handedly
have made this something very real and
something that's going to move us into
the future and and you just have an
incredible background I just want to
point out for those that don't know
Michael he was at MIT had a double
degree in none other than Aeronautics
and astronautics as well as science
technology and society and uh in his
free time he managed to play guitar in a
rock band and fly gliders so truly a
real Renaissance person uh he happened
to be there as well on a full Air Force
Reserve officer training Corp
scholarship there at MIT you're the
whole package and now you've taken your
company to levels that I think people
probably never dreamed of you were one
of those folks back in the day that
thought Bitcoin was nothing was some
kind of pipe dream
nonsense and now you're betting your
whole future and your company's future
on it so tell us tell us a a little bit
about why you made that decision in
summer of
2020 you know one of the rules of
Bitcoin is that uh bitcoin's on a need
to know basis H you have to need to know
about Bitcoin before you'll open your
mind to it it's a paradigm shift and and
um I would refer to it as digital energy
but if you think about it uh the first
time we figured out how to channel
energy and
cyberspace uh it's just as profound as
if you went to somebody in 1800 and said
you know one day we're going to have
this clean silent electricity and you're
not going to be able to see it or touch
it but it's going to power every single
machine in your factory and it's going
to power everything in your house and
you would think you know I don't get it
I don't need it and until someone shows
you what it can do and until you get to
the point where you do need it you're
not going to be you're not going to
embrace a new form of energy so micro
strategy didn't really need Bitcoin
until
2020 and then during the covid lockdown
crisis we realized that all of our
Capital was a kind of a melting Ice Cube
we had a lot of money that was
generating 0% interest losing 15 to 20%
of its value a year so we had a need to
know and then we started thinking maybe
there's something else we can invest
this money in and we discovered Bitcoin
which I think is digital capital I mean
the most powerful application of digital
energy is capital so we needed it we
found it uh we embraced it and uh we
become the largest public holder of
Bitcoin I know you tweeted out something
years earlier saying you know this is
this is really nothing to to write home
about and and you thought it was just
kind of a scheme and all of a sudden you
realized maybe because of 2020 right
that this actually was the future you
know what what what I say is everybody's
against Bitcoin before they're for it
and your first reaction is always to be
skeptical and after an hour you're not
quite sure but after 10 hours you think
maybe there's an asset there but you
don't know how you feel about it and
after about a 100 hours you start
thinking this is like a a digital
monetary Network this is like Facebook
for money and so I would say I started
skeptical and then uh because I had a
need to figure it out I became a
Believer you you talked about it as a
digital asset so where is its real value
I mean sort of you know there there's a
lot of philosophical takes on this but
how is it that it comes to have real
value well so first of all what Satoshi
discovered was how I send something of
value between two two uh two different
individuals without a trusted
intermediary so that's known as solving
the double spend problem but if I want
to send a million dollars from me to you
without a bank Satoshi solved that but
inadvertently when Satoshi solved that
problem Satoshi figured out not just how
to send a million dollars from New York
to Tokyo without an intermediary but how
to send a million dollars forward in
time 30 years without an intermediary if
you can if you can uh transfer something
without an intermediary then you can
store something without an intermediary
so the killer app of Bitcoin is the
store of value in cyers space and what's
that worth there's about $900 trillion
dollars worth of wealth in the world and
about half of it is used uh for its
utility value people buy assets for
their utility they buy houses and
buildings and and boats and planes and
and pieces of art because they want to
use them look at them but the other half
of that wealth is is assets that are
purchased as a long-term capital
investment or as a store of value so$
450 trillion doll of the world is
long-term capital and so when I want to
if I take you and I drop you in Africa
and I say here take a hundred million
doll buy anything you want anywhere in
Africa but you got to keep it for 30
years and uh you know then I say
or you could have the same hundred
million invested in the US most people
would say well that's a no-brainer I'm
GNA keep the money in the US there's
nothing I want in Africa that's as
valuable as property in the US um but
what if you can't have property in the
US then what if your choice is I can
have 100 million worth of bitcoin in
cyberspace if I I can have 100 million
worth of digital property or I can have
a 100 million worth of land in any
country in Africa or any building or any
company or any bond or any currency in
Africa and the answer when you think
about it is there's nothing you want in
Africa that that's better than having
digital property in cyberspace and
there's certainly no place where you're
going to trust your money or your assets
for 30 years much less a hundred years
much less a thousand years so when you
start to ask the question where do the
eight billion people on the planet and
what are the 300 million corporations on
the planet where are they going to store
their capital if they don't have
recourse to the United States and you
know property on the Upper East Side the
conclusion you come to is I'm going to
put my money in cyberspace and so
bitcoin's real use is it's digital
property in cyber space it is cyber
Manhattan it is uh a place where you can
store your capital and give it to your
great-grandchildren and you know that
you're not going to be taking risk
against a bank as a counterparty or
another company or country or currency
or culture when you don't want to take
risk when you don't want to make an
investment uh when you don't want to bet
on the direction of the Commodities
Market when you just want to store some
money for a hundred years and forget
about it well you put it in the safest
Bank in the universe quick reminder to
go over to 76 research our financial
website where you can get a whole lot of
information about financial markets and
what stocks we like to invest in lots of
different content there just a quick
look at our top Financial pick up 24%
utility up 24% real estate up 23% you
get the picture it's important to put
yourself and your financial future first
you can do that at 76 research just a
dollar it costs just a dollar with code
word dollar a dollar a month for the
first two months 76 research.com
I'll see you there and Bitcoin is okay
you sa C I have to jump in with the
question that you know everybody worries
about right what if it gets hacked and
and I know I know before everybody jumps
on me like it's pretty much not hackable
but you know we're we're living in
different times and there's all kinds of
crazy AI productivity
gains is it is it really and
truly
safe well um the question that you're
asking is the same question that I had
to ask ask is the fiduciary responsible
for $500 million of my shareholders
money back in 2020 I said before I
invest in this is uh is it going to be
hacked is it going to be banned is it
going to be copied those are the big
three questions and it's hard to know
that in the first year of the network
but we're now approaching year 16 it'll
be the 16th anniversary of the network
on Halloween that's the 16th anniversary
the white paper that is and um by the
way not everybody knows that but you
know Satoshi basically came up with this
we don't really know if Satoshi was a
real person I'd be curious to get your
thoughts on that um or whether it was a
group of people but amazing amazing
obviously Discovery
continue so after 16 years it has been
copied 10,000 times they all failed it's
the winner right it's the network that
all the smart rich people in the world
chose it's the bank in cyers space if
you show up in a city and there's 10,000
Banks and you have a bunch of money and
the question is which bank should you
put your money in you go find every
smart rich person that you know in the
city and you say hey where do you put
your money and if they all put their
money in One Bank you're probably not
going to put your money in a bank that's
a million times smaller than them that
only has poor stupid people you know so
so it was copied it's the winner it's it
is the bank that's of choice of the of
the smart money in the world and uh will
it be banned you couldn't know that for
15 years but the IRS legitimized it its
property in
2014 uh the SEC approved a host of
Bitcoin ETFs in January of
2024 today it's held by nearly a 100
publicly traded companies every major uh
regulator has has uh certified it as a
commodity not a security that was a
judgment by the the former head of the
SEC under Trump and that's the Judgment
of the current head of the SEC Gary
gendler so you know it's not getting
banned and that takes us to the third
question is will it be hacked and uh
satoshi's got about 70 billion dollar
and a bunch of wallets that any hacker
could have if they could crack the code
and it's been there for 16 years and
nobody's cracked the code uh it hasn't
been hacked and the reason it hasn't
been hacked is because it's defended by
a wall of digital energy about 730 ex
aash that's more computer power than all
of the computers at Amazon or Microsoft
or apple could you know working jointly
together could generate so it is the
strongest the strongest uh wall of
computer power in the world stronger
than any nation state can muster
stronger than any company can muster and
that computing power combined with the
fact that
there's approximately $800 billion
dollars of actual money deposited in
this bank over the past 15 years
combined with hundreds of millions of
holders combined with um about almost 20
gigawatts of electricity which is like
20 full-on nuclear reactors 20 gaws is
more electrical energy or or more uh
pure energy than drives the entire US
Navy that's how much power it is so
bitcoin's really defended by power a lot
of power in political economic digital
and electrical form and there's no way
to finesse it you can't kind of spoof it
or trick it you just need 10 times as
much computing power as exists on the
surface of the Earth in order to crack
it that's why no one's cracking it how
how do you think I mean you you know a
lot more about this than I I've ever
dreamed of knowing I I'm fascinated by
it I've been fascinated by it since it
first emerged and I remember reporting
on it it was 10 bucks but and now you
know you're looking at 60 some odd
thousand these
days how do you think it got started I
mean do you believe the whole Satoshi
Nakamoto as being one person multiple
people and how do you get yourself
comfortable around it not really
understanding for sure its
Origins there's a dream throughout the
history of the human race of sound money
of money within
something you could trust something that
you could store your life savings in and
not have debased or destroyed or stolen
from you and that sound money took the
form of gold after about 5,000 years and
uh throughout human history you know the
better the better civilizations have
stood on the gold standard and
economists have have always tried to
create the perfect money gold was the
closest thing to perfect money but it
was always imperfect because you could
mine more gold and it's centralized it
was easy to steal gold and it was very
slow to move it would take a year to
move gold so there was this dream in the
economic Community uh of perfect money
and it was impossible to create perfect
money or clean sound money until the
invis of the internet combined with the
invention of public private key
cryptography combined with the invention
of
semiconductors and so Bitcoin represents
the engineering of perfect perfectly
sound
money and it it was only possible once
those three Technologies Advanced and
there was a group of Cipher punks that
were playing with cryptography playing
with the internet and they saw the
development of uh of uh hashing
algorithms like Shaw
256 and the ability to build that into
an application specific
semiconductor and when and they probably
tried this 40 times there were products
like hash cash and digital gold and and
uh bit gold and things like that and the
first 30 or 40 of them failed and then
after about 40 some Bitcoin came along
and Bitcoin learned from the failures of
the 40 before it and it was the first
truly
decentralized uh crypto monetary Network
and it it it was lucky because it just
had the right monetary policy which is
absolute scarcity 21 million and it had
the right frequency a block every 10
minutes the right bandwidth the right
protocols and you know when it was
launched in January 3rd of 2009 did we
know it was perfect no nobody knew it
was perfect in fact it tra it didn't
trade for a year and a half almost and
the first time it was used for
transactions was pizza day around May of
2010 where somebody bought two pieces
with 10,000 Bitcoin so so at that point
you know 10,000 Bitcoin $700 Million
worth of bitcoin was traded for two pizz
yeah and then people thought well maybe
it's something but it's still kind of a
hobby and it took another uh you know
another decade before it wasn't a hobby
well crypto now it comes to life sure
and and you had people going to jail um
you had you know a lot of concern about
the regulation around it uh because you
were able to sort of trade if you would
on that deep dark web and and it was a
currency quote unquote currency used
there and that got some people in a lot
of trouble and then eventually I think
it just kind of kept catching on and
catching on and catching on and it's
something right when you have black rock
and Larry Fink coming out saying I like
this and I'm creating an ETF for it I
mean some people
that are sort of dieh hard Bitcoin folks
might look at that and say I don't want
government involved I don't want
financial markets involved I look at it
and I say I welcome that right because I
want some structure around it I want
some regulation I want to be able to
easily invest in it and not have to go
find a hard wallet somewhere um although
nothing wrong with that too but in other
words that liquidity that say an ETF or
investing in your company and micro
strategy might represent that's worth
something to people
you know I think if you look at it like
fire a lot of people got burned when
they played with fire if you look at it
like electricity a lot of people got
shocked before they figure out how to
handle electricity if you look at the
early automobile people were terrified
of them and then all the sudden in about
15 years everyone loved them even though
a lot of people die on roads every year
driving cars so all of these are new
technologies that are
transformational Bitcoin right now is
spreading very rapidly as digital
capital and it's digitally transforming
the capital markets uh and black rock is
an example of one form micro strategy is
another company digitally transforming
the capital markets and yet still 95% of
the Bitcoin is held in self- custody by
bitcoiners and it's not in in those
traditional fascinating areas so this is
a this is network is spreading
everywhere in the world different it
gets me to your valuation so you got a
pretty a pretty high valuation walk us
through it 13 million a coin is is that
I want to make sure I'm quoting you
right and in the year
20145 walk us through why you think
there's so much appreciation
coming yeah we we created a model which
we uploaded to GitHub it's in the open
source Community it's called Bitcoin 24
you can just Google it and go grab it
it's a Excel spreadsheet and it has
macroeconomic models for the next 21
years a bit coin forecast for 21 years
and then micro models for corporations
and individuals and institutions and
even nation states and once you download
that model you can plug in your own
assumptions about what you think is
going to happen and you can come to your
own conclusions but my assumptions are
uh the US dollar supply is going to
continue to expand about 7% a year and
that is the historic rate of expansion
of dollars for the past hundred years
that's how I arrive at that that's just
how fast the money supply is expanding
if you if you look at
M2 and I think that there'll be
Innovation from AI so some things like
equities will probably grow a little bit
faster because because AI is going to
have a boost to equities I think over
time gradually um technolog is going to
demonetize gold and some of the other
stores of value assets that were used in
the 20th and the 19th century but the
21st century we're going to digitally
transform property and transform gold
into digit
property digital gold okay and uh when
you when you look at uh uh bitcoin's uh
growth over the past 15 years you know
it's it's been growing more than a 100%
a year for the first decade or so and
for the last four years it's been
appreciating about 50% a year in
ARR I think um it's 50% a year in ARR
and it's 50 50 Vol which is like three
and a half three times the volatility of
the S&P and three times the performance
of the S&P index over the next 21 years
I think it will grow it will grow faster
than the S&P and it's going to grow to
the point where it's about 7% of the
world's assets right now it's about 0.1%
of the world's assets and I think that
it will gradually approach but it will
never be as big as the S&P index or
equities it won't never be as big as
real estate but in that world where it
decelerates from 50% down to 20
perish uh it will appreciate from 65 or
70,000 up to 13 million a coin in my
base case and um that uh amounts to
about a 29% ARR on average over the 21
years um and you know when it's half the
size of the S&P it'll still be twice as
volatile probably performing 50% %
better because it's a
247365 asset it's it's subject to Global
chaos and Global Capital flows and it
doesn't have all the risk factors of
property or the risk factors of uh
Equity to hold it
back one of the things that I struggle
with is trying to understand how it is
sort of a safe haven because the way
you're defining it it really is
something that's a store of value that
you can count on through thick and thin
Through Time effectively and yet it's
super volatile and I get like the
Traders love it right because volatility
is your friend but if you're just you
know Mom and Pop investor at home and
you're thinking about all right I have a
little bit and you know I want to be
careful because I you know I'm not
anybody's investment adviser but I and
and I think you got to be cautious and
thoughtful about what you're doing but
if you're like I'm going to try this I'm
going to try this you got to also be
willing to I guess stomach the ups and
downs and my question is at what point
do those ups and downs stop if you're
going to get all the way to 13
million yeah well I mean first of all
bitcoin's like 50 Vol 50 ARR and the S&P
is more like 12 to 14
ARR 14 Vol so if you want 12 Vol 12 AR
you would just buy a diversified Equity
index you'll get 1/4 the return you'll
get 1 14th the
volatility and some people like that if
uh if you're going to buy a Vol asset
first of all you shouldn't buy it unless
you're going to hold it for the long
term like a short period of time to hold
it is four years a middle period of time
is 10 years the Righttime Horizon is the
rest of your life if you if you have
money that you need to give to your
children in four weeks don't buy Bitcoin
with it if you have money you want to
give to your children in 40 years
definitely buy Bitcoin with it in 40
years Bitcoin is going to be worth a lot
more uh in four weeks there's no telling
what'll be worth so think in terms of of
zero to four years is very safe
conventional assets think in terms of
four to 10 years is more like investment
things and think Beyond 10 years is
that's uh that's something I'm buying to
give to my great granddaughter that it's
going to be in the family for ever it's
like the center of London it's been
passed by the royal family of London
down from family to family for thousand
years that you know if you think of it
like that then you'll go into it with
your eyes wide open it's a the
volatility is a feature it's not a bug
the reason it's volatile is because on
Saturday night if you panic and you
needed to raise a million dollars by
selling a million dollars or something
you own it's literally the only thing
you can sell you can't sell anything you
can't sell your real estate you can't
sell your Apple stock you can't sell
your car true nothing else you can sell
so if can't sell it then by definition
it's not going to be volatile because
it's useless so things that are
nonvolatile are useless the volatility
is what attracts uh the Bloomberg jockey
to put up$ 20 billion of capital in
Singapore and that person will loan you
a billion dollars for five minutes on
Saturday night at 100x leverage if your
life depended on it and you can imagine
that is that a feature or is that a bug
it's just a lot lot of economic power
and the fact that there's that much
economic power in the network means that
it attracts all of the Traders and it
attracts anybody that wants to either
buy or sell with leverage at any time
anywhere in the world once you Embrace
that idea you realize that if you wanted
to buy it knowing what it would be worth
next Tuesday you're a fool but if you
wanted to buy it thinking this is the
most powerful digital Capital Network in
the world for the next 100 years and
I've got a long time Horizon and I just
want to get rich and I'm going to hold
on to it then it's uh it's a pretty wise
thing to put in your portfolio you never
sell do you at MST I this brings me to
mstr because I'm looking at your stock
price and it's multiples of where
Bitcoin is in other words we've seen
Bitcoin trading higher and higher even
just over the last six weeks or so but
mstr is trading that much more higher
explain to me why it is that your
company is is trading ahead of Bitcoin
and and what it is that you guys are
doing that is attracting so many
investors in the
community you know I mean when you have
trophy assets you never sell them right
Bernard rno never sells any of the
brands of lvmh right when you own the
New England Patriots you don't sell it
you try to gift it to your great great
grandchildren if you can solve the tax
issue uh the royal family of England
doesn't sell the middle of London or
Kensington Palace or Buckingham Palace
or the like so you don't sell things
that are scarce and desirable that
everybody in the human race is going to
want you buy and you hold them forever
micro strategy uh is a Bitcoin treasury
company um what we do is we raise
Capital via cash flows from the business
from Equity uh by issuing debt by doing
fixed income financings and then we buy
Bitcoin with it and um the people that
buy our Equity want high performance
Bitcoin and high volatility Bitcoin so
we give them more volatility and more
performance and then other people that
buy our fixed income instruments they
might buy a convertible Bond they want
more security they want risk protection
they want less volatility they want some
of the upside but they would rather have
downside protection and give up some of
the upside and they can't really buy the
equity and then of course there's some
people uh you know that are option
Trader they want 10x the volatility so
some people want extreme leverage
extreme volatility other people want
um very little leverage they want a lot
of risk protection so micro strategy
splits uh it splits the capital or it
refines the capital such that we provide
one set of investors with a lower lower
volatility lower risk way to participate
and then another set of investors with
high
voltage methods to
participate do you see yourself in
competition with ETFs at all what do you
think about all the ETFs that have come
out and what do you say to investors
that are like gosh like I'm just blown
away I need to go back and rewatch this
five times to to digest it all I mean
people say well I I can't get my head
around it I don't I don't understand who
Satoshi Nakamoto is I don't understand
what this is um do you think that that
needs to more needs to be done in terms
of educating the public or you know you
build it and they will come well uh as
the first question now we don't compete
with the ETFs they basically sell spot
Bitcoin exposure if you want 50 AR 50
Vol 100% upside and downside as a as a
simple uh digital property instrument
you would buy the ET and they're and
they're perfectly fine Investments I
mean very straightforward uh if you want
high performance Equity or optionality
you would want our Equity or or the
options that trade above our equity and
if you want Bitcoin back bonds or some
kind of Bitcoin fixed income instrument
you would buy something that we were
selling so we're very complimentary to
them and of course both both Investments
work well because at the end of the day
all the money invested in any of these
instruments is used to buy
Bitcoin and there's only 450 Bitcoin
available for sale every day by the
Bitcoin minor so when that Bitcoin gets
purchased you have to take the price up
in order to find another willing buyer
at a higher price level so that's a very
that's a very virtuous competitive cycle
there and we're very complimentary with
regard to you know my suggestions for
potential investors or people that are
interested in Bitcoin I would say you
know before you before you put money
into Bitcoin put time into Bitcoin uh if
you go to hope.
uh remember Bitcoin is hope you can find
lots of courses on bitcoin lots of books
on bitcoin lots of videos on bitcoin
lots of research papers and resources on
bitcoin uh you know you could just go
and Google you know Google me on YouTube
and you'll find lots or michael.com
videos you got michael.com yeah go to
michael.com go to hope.com read the
Bitcoin standard the the big idea with
Bitcoin I just got the book by the way
and I got it because I knew that that
was very influential for you and I
wanted to read it ahead of talking to
you amazing book really interesting and
for people who are very interested in
sound money as I know so many of my
listeners and viewers are Michael it's a
really worthwhile book because you know
it's getting into the the gold standard
and the dangers of money Printing and
central banks
Etc yeah the great thing about studying
Bitcoin is is you won't really
understand money until you understand
until you've seen perfect money so
Bitcoin takes you down this this path of
the theory of money and then you start
to understand what's bad money and why
it's bad and what's good money and why
it's good and then that'll take you into
the theory of investment like when you
actually buy a bunch of corporate stocks
to save your money you're not saving
you're investing you're you're making a
bet on the stock and so you start to
understand the difference between saving
your money and investing your money and
then once you understand the theory of
investing you start to understand the
theory of assets what's the difference
between a commodity and a security and
why is a commodity normally a crappy
investment unless it's Bitcoin in which
case it's a good investment and then you
start to understand Commodities versus
scarcity so so all of the investment
Theory economic theory and monetary
theory that comes about when you
understand Bitcoin will cause you to
realize Bitcoin is just a better idea
and it will also help you make your
investment decisions and make your
savings decisions and and navigate
geopolitical currency markets and
understand why does one government Crash
and Burn and why does hyperinflation
take place one place and not another
place and how can you insulate yourself
and your family from that final question
to you the dollar you know a lot of
people are watching their dollars just
evaporate in terms of purchasing power
and it's one of the reasons why they're
looking one of the reasons why you guys
were looking for Alterna Alives as we go
increasingly into this complex
geopolitical situation and you know you
get Putin over there entertaining
everybody saying okay well you can't use
dollars and you can't use credit cards
um and there's this jockeying for who's
going to be the currency of the world so
to speak and the dollar comes Under
Pressure I is Bitcoin the answer do you
think is that the currency of the world
for the future and does it under or
threaten the hegemonic power of the
United
States yeah I don't think Bitcoin uh
threatens the US I think Bitcoin is
strengthening the US um I think that if
you look at all the currencies in the
world the strongest currency in the
world is the dollar and so everybody in
the world is either got a weaker
currency which is collapsing or they're
on the dollar standard like the euro is
pretty much pegged to the dollar the
Singapore the the you know know the drom
most of the quote unquote good
currencies you know the Swiss frank Etc
they're pretty much pegged to the dollar
and then the bad currencies you know the
weak currencies the peso the Nar
Egyptian pounds Lebanese pounds Turkish
L they're collapsing against the dollar
so it seems pretty clear that the dollar
will um continue to spread um but there
is an inflation problem the inflation
rate in dollars is not the CP Pi it's
not two or 3% the the best uh the best
way to think about monetary debasement
is to look at the um the S&P index if
the S&P is advancing 12% a year that's
the rate at which the money supply is
expanding in dollars so your hurdle
rates the the rate at which you have to
generate an investment gain in dollars
in order to get notet poorer is probably
the S&P index that's the cost of capital
and that's a pretty good surrogate for
the rate of expansion of the US dollar
M2 money supply so over the last 100
years the S&P index generally expands
about the same rate that the dollar
expands in money supply um so if someone
gives you an idea to generate 3% after
tax you know buying bonds at 5% that are
3% after tax that's kind of like
underperforming the cost of capital by
9% you're getting 9% poorer every year
so so anything that isn't beating the
S&P index is making you poorer in dollar
terms what's beating it well I mean the
S&P when you invest in the S&P and your
money goes up 10% a year with the S&P
you think you're getting richer no
you're just staying Rich you're staying
as wealthy as you are the Magnificent
Seven's beating it so over the last four
years maybe the S&P is up 13 14% the
Magnificent 7's up 25 26% it's D buing
it this is not this is a no-brainer it's
obvious right uh you know Nvidia and
Apple and Google and Microsoft and meta
those are monstrous stocks and everybody
knows are the most powerful companies in
the world so they
outperform everybody else in the S&P
underperforms so 1% of the companies
generate most of the gains the other 98
99% don't really generate much gain
bitcoin's doubling The Magnificent Seven
so in terms of what is bitcoin the
answer yeah sure if you want to beat the
S&P index uh you need something better
than a typical good company a well-run
company will at best keep up with
monetary inflation you need a monstrous
digital Monopoly like the Magnificent 7
to outdo it but the greatest digital
Monopoly in the world Trish is the
digital Monopoly of money I mean the
greatest digital Network in the world is
Bitcoin Bitcoin is Facebook for money
right it's Google for money if all the
smart rich people in the world decide
that they want to store their money in a
bank and cyber space that will never be
debased and hold it for the next hundred
years right isn't that the best
investment by definition because every
other company has some kind of crack in
its armor some kind of attack surface
all the other companies get taxed they
have employees they have headquarters
they get hit with tariffs and fines and
Etc so find me a big Tech Monopoly that
is global that that sells a product that
everybody wants nobody can stop it's you
and nobody understands no it's Bitcoin
TR Bitcoin Bitcoin Bitcoin party there
and we've talked about this you and I
off camera but I mean how do you nobody
else can kind of get in at this point
right it's very hard I should say you've
kind of got some dominance in this space
you were the first to really Embrace
this so you know theoretically speaking
assuming assuming this all plays out I I
guess mstr is is well positioned well so
I just framing this right Bitcoin is
digital Capital going from 1.4 trillion
to 14 trillion to 140 trillion that's
the asset class that's the big idea
that's the
groundbreaking transformation micro
strategy is a Bitcoin treasury company
what we're doing is securitizing Bitcoin
we're offering fixed income instruments
or high performance Equity or high
leverage
derivatives that appeal to all of the
capital markets participants since there
are lots of people with pools of money
they have to trade options they have to
trade convertible bonds they have to buy
Equity they want fixed income so micro
strategy is is converting what you'll
call crude Capital into refined capital
Capital think think crude oil goes in
one side of the refinery and gasoline
and kerosene and toline and 27
petrochemicals come out the other side
of the
refinery and so we're we're happy to do
our part but the big invention is crude
oil right we discovered Infinite Energy
you know in liquid form micro strategy
is a company commercializing crude
capital and crude capital is
just higher higher performance than you
know than the thing it replaced which
was like you know digital capital is
better than analog capital and will be
yeah that fascinating oh by the way we
got an election coming up doesn't matter
does it matter to the price of Bitcoin
who
wins uh bitcoin's been universally
accepted as a digital commodity H you
know as an asset without an issuer and
it is the is you know the reserve asset
of the entire crypto economy and it is
the most widely held Global investment
asset in the world so it wins no matter
what you know either either outcome will
be good for
Bitcoin uh it's uh it's going to
continue to move up that's an
interesting aspect to it too because you
know as you try and gauge what's going
to happen economically depending
depending on who's there or who's not
there you want to find an asset that can
hopefully manage through through thick
and thin so this is just fascinating
absolutely fascinating Michael I I hope
you come back I hope you come back and
and we can talk some more because you
know look I I could talk to you all day
about this stuff I just think it's
really interesting and and you're on The
Cutting Edge of just big big things to
come so we appreciate you taking the
time today well thank you Trish I
enjoyed our time together good
stuff so cool so cool so cool we had a
plug for 76 research I may have gotten
out of that too too quickly but 76
research.com that is my company you know
that I started and we've written a lot
on bitcoin a lot on bitcoin so there's a
lot of information there's free
information there's some uh that you pay
a dollar a month for so you can sign up
it's just a dollar a month for the first
two months then goes to 9.95 we also
have model portfolios there you know
everything the model portfolio is
designed not to be as as volatile
obviously as as Bitcoin is but the model
portfolios have done great I've shown
you guys the chart we're up some
10.6% um so we're not Bitcoin levels
right but you know we don't have the the
the ups and downs if you would right I I
just find that whole thing so
fascinating but this is 76 research and
yes the median stock which Billy I think
was pointing out during the chat is up
10.8% versus &p up 5.9% for the 3 months
ending 930
2024 I started that of course with a
very dear friend who spent decades on
Wall Street ran billions of dollars and
my whole thought on that one is you know
what we we need to bring this more
directly to the people as opposed to all
the research getting traded internally
right with within the these various
hedge funds Etc so that's part of the
methodology behind 76 research but
anyway my thanks to to Michael I I
really could talk to him all day and you
know you guys are probably like I don't
know if I can I can handle it all day
but you can you can go back and listen
to that in pieces especially if you're
looking at Bitcoin possibly as an
investment in the future it's something
that really is is something for the long
long long uh Long View