SaylorCorpus

Michael Saylor On The Blockchain Interviews with Dan Weiskopf

Tidal Financial Group · 2021-08-20 · 40m · View on YouTube →

0:01

[Music]

0:01

you're watching the blockchain

0:03

interviews hosted by dan weiskong

0:07

each episode features interviews with

0:09

leading industry experts so that viewers

0:11

can have a deeper understanding of

0:13

today's quickly evolving blockchain

0:15

marketplace

0:16

[Music]

0:22

i'm delighted to have michael saylor

0:24

chairman ceo founder

0:26

of microstrategies on as our guest for

0:30

the blockchain interview series today

0:33

i'm not sure michael saylor really needs

0:35

a traditional introduction

0:37

but for those few

0:39

who aren't on twitter

0:41

aren't technology experts

0:43

and didn't graduate from mit with the

0:46

highest of honors

0:48

michael saylor's been

0:50

a ceo for 30 years at microstrategies

0:54

and

0:56

you know two years ago took the bitcoin

0:58

market

1:00

um by storm um

1:02

and and so michael thank you very much

1:04

for all that you do for bitcoin and and

1:07

what you do for your shareholders

1:10

thanks dan happy to be here

1:14

we were early investors in

1:16

microstrategies fortunately

1:19

um and and and i don't know why i ever

1:22

had a hundred thousand

1:24

bitcoin as a number in my head

1:27

to be clear you've always been very

1:29

transparent but you've never projected

1:31

out

1:32

a specific number

1:34

now you're 105 000

1:37

bitcoin

1:38

on your balance sheet at microstrategies

1:41

is there a target that you have in mind

1:44

uh no just buy as many as we can

1:52

more is better more is better and and

1:52

along the same lines um frankly i don't

1:55

think sometimes you get enough credit

1:56

for

1:57

um tapping the capital markets as you

2:00

have i mean you were really smart in

2:03

recognizing

2:04

you know how the convert market

2:06

was was trending

2:08

and and you know how do you go about as

2:12

an entrepreneur

2:14

um using the capital markets in the

2:16

decision process

2:17

um and and managing risk versus

2:20

opportunity

2:23

you know well i mean i think if we look

2:25

at the last decade bitcoin's up about

2:26

120 a year on average for 10 years it's

2:29

up about 250 percent for the past 12

2:33

months

2:34

um over any last four year time frame i

2:38

don't think anybody's ever lost money

2:39

holding it for four years

2:42

so a pretty simple rule of thumb would

2:44

be if i could borrow money for less than

2:46

the expected return and if it comes due

2:49

more than four years out

2:52

then i think i'm pretty safe so if

2:54

you're gonna loan me money at six

2:55

percent interest um

2:58

for six days and i bought bitcoin might

3:01

be some risk

3:03

six months maybe somewhere six years

3:06

well i took a survey on twitter of all

3:09

my followers and i said um

3:11

you know over the course of seven years

3:13

do you think bitcoin will go up on

3:15

average six and eight percent interest

3:17

or more it turns out that was our last

3:20

secure debt financing we borrowed money

3:22

at six and eight percent interest

3:25

so it's like 90 percent of them said yes

3:28

okay so if you're long bitcoin you think

3:30

it's going gonna go up more than six

3:32

percent a year

3:33

then would you borrow money at six

3:36

percent

3:37

sure would you borrow money at two

3:39

i mean the truth of the matter is if you

3:41

went to anybody in any business in the

3:43

world

3:46

you asked them would you borrow a

3:48

billion dollars at zero percent interest

3:51

to invest in the business you're in

3:54

if the answer is no

3:57

then they must not believe in the bit

4:00

they probably should get out of the

4:01

business right if you're not willing to

4:03

invest a billion dollars at zero percent

4:06

interest in the business that you're

4:08

currently in

4:09

you're short

4:11

right you're short to business right so

4:13

in that case the right answer is you

4:15

ought to borrow the billion dollars and

4:17

short

4:18

the thing right but if you don't have an

4:21

opinion one way or the other you

4:22

probably shouldn't be in that business

4:24

and there's 10 000 businesses dan i

4:27

don't have an opinion on like you know

4:30

biomechanical engineering or nuclear

4:33

engineering i don't really know i don't

4:35

purport to be an expert in the 99.9

4:39

of the things in the world that i'm not

4:40

an expert in i just feel like you should

4:43

focus upon the thing that you're going

4:45

to work on if you if you know that thing

4:47

and someone is willing to give you

4:49

favorable financing

4:51

and if you have a use of the proceeds

4:54

look there's a lot of if i'm running a

4:56

um a diner down the street and it's a

4:59

nice diner and i got six employees and

5:01

i'm really good at i love it and you

5:03

offered me a billion dollars maybe i

5:06

don't need a billion dollars of capital

5:08

to upgrade my diner is not capital

5:10

intensive so there are some businesses

5:13

where you can't use the capital

5:15

but um bitcoin is a business where you

5:19

can use the capital it's either going up

5:22

or it's going down if it's if it works

5:25

it's going up and if it's going up then

5:27

you would like to own as much of it as

5:29

you can possibly own so my view of the

5:32

capital markets is if you can if you can

5:34

acquire capital at a reasonable cost to

5:36

funds

5:37

under the right conditions without

5:39

onerous covenants

5:42

then yeah you should go ahead and

5:44

acquire that capital and i think you've

5:46

also made the decision not to loan your

5:48

bitcoin out

5:50

can you walk me through why that

5:53

decision is the right decision because

5:55

arguably you could loan it out take a

5:58

yield and and maybe pay a dividend

6:02

okay well there's a couple of issues

6:05

with it first of all as a publicly

6:07

traded company

6:08

it takes the typical publicly traded

6:10

company three to six months to get

6:12

through the compliance and the

6:14

regulatory and the accounting

6:16

and the due diligence issues to simply

6:19

trust the counter parties to acquire in

6:22

custody bitcoin

6:24

okay so that's a big deal and what do

6:26

you get for that well

6:28

the last decade you got 120 annualized

6:31

return

6:32

in the last year you got 250 annualized

6:35

so i i would say you get a pretty good

6:39

return by going through the motions of

6:42

acquiring and holding the bitcoin

6:44

the offers with regard to yield or four

6:47

percent

6:48

five percent

6:50

eight percent okay so you're talking

6:52

about an order of magnitude less

6:56

and you're at least going to double

6:59

the amount of effort but you've got

7:02

counterparty risk so

7:04

you know

7:05

what if you

7:06

what if you loan out a billion dollars

7:08

of the bitcoin and somebody loses it all

7:10

right

7:12

uh i think the counterparty risk is

7:15

large there's already complexity right

7:17

there's there's defy complexity am i

7:19

going to do a defy well that that's got

7:21

a regulatory overhang

7:23

right maybe it's illegal

7:25

maybe it's a secure you know security

7:27

problem so no not gonna do that there's

7:30

a security problem so what if i put it

7:32

on a

7:33

on a d5 block chain and there's a rug

7:36

pull and you lose it all okay

7:39

so there's security issue there's a

7:41

regulatory issue there's an audit and

7:44

there's a legal and accounting issue

7:45

okay so well what if i do c5

7:48

well you know what if i put it with you

7:51

know one of the yield generating c5 uh

7:55

players block fi etc well there's

7:58

regulatory overhang there too there's a

8:00

question of

8:03

compliance

8:05

my auditors would have to get

8:06

comfortable with their auditors

8:09

right my lawyers have to get comfortable

8:12

that i've gone through the due diligence

8:14

okay how does one go through the due

8:16

diligence process of trusting a

8:18

counterparty right now okay so i think

8:21

the right way to think of it dan is like

8:24

we're in year one or year two of

8:27

commercial bitcoin banking

8:30

okay

8:31

we haven't even like what's the date

8:34

it's like the early part of august you

8:36

know our first our first bitcoin

8:38

acquisition was august 11th or something

8:40

like that so we're not even one year

8:43

into it

8:44

and i think when you get to three to

8:46

five years into the world of bitcoin

8:49

banking

8:50

the security issues the regulatory

8:53

issues the due diligence issues

8:55

can you show me a bitcoin bank that's

8:57

taken a billion dollars of bitcoin and

8:59

generated yield consistently for 10

9:01

years in a row without

9:03

any kind of

9:05

mishap

9:11

how about three years

9:11

sounds like somebody with experience

9:13

right you've been on both sides right so

9:15

i get it yeah um so the point really is

9:18

you're taking a hundred times as much

9:20

risk and it's ten times as complicated

9:24

to get five percent more

9:28

so let me turn it around a different way

9:31

if i'm going to go ahead like like i

9:33

wouldn't take 100 x more risk

9:35

okay to start with right that like as a

9:37

fiduciary that doesn't make sense let's

9:40

assume that it wasn't any risk it was

9:42

just 10 times harder

9:44

well why would i divert the time of my

9:48

legal team and my finance team to go

9:50

jump through 10 times as many

9:52

compliance accounting security

9:55

regulatory and process hoops

9:58

when i have other things i could do at

9:59

the time why don't i just go and raise

10:01

another billion dollars and buy bitcoin

10:03

that's been yielding 120 a year for a

10:05

decade wouldn't it make a lot more sense

10:09

to leverage up or to acquire more of the

10:12

thing that's going up 120 percent a year

10:17

than it is to divert everybody in order

10:20

to get it to go up 123 a year with a

10:24

hundred times as much risk and ten times

10:26

much complexity is that so it's a quiet

10:29

let me offer a different example it's

10:31

like do you want to buy a hundred

10:32

thousand acres in vegas and just own it

10:34

and you could do it overnight

10:37

or do you want to carefully huddle with

10:39

a hundred architects and plan a hundred

10:42

and fifty hotels and the septic systems

10:45

and all the traffic light systems and

10:47

all the elevator systems of all the

10:48

casinos and hotels and restaurants in

10:50

vegas

11:00

complicated and risky and distracting

11:00

and deluded

11:01

we get asked the question so i figured

11:03

i'd just throw it at you and and asked

11:06

as somebody once said to me asked and

11:09

answered i totally understand

11:11

um so

11:12

turning things around a little bit

11:14

you've got two businesses right um

11:17

is the software business now

11:19

you know growing in terms of of being

11:22

able to hire

11:24

maybe better people or are people more

11:26

excited as a result of

11:29

what you're doing with bitcoin i wrote a

11:31

piece about how cisco should be doing a

11:33

little bit more like what you're doing

11:35

and i just wonder if you're fostering

11:38

innovation

11:39

and showing that you're willing to take

11:41

risk in in your bitcoin endeavors for

11:43

the software you know i think the the

11:45

bitcoin decision increased our brand

11:48

awareness by a factor of a hundred

11:51

okay so

11:52

that helps us enormously with recruiting

11:54

it helps us enormously with retention it

11:57

helps us enormously

11:59

if we go to a cfo or a ceo

12:02

and we're showing microstrategy software

12:04

now they know who we are

12:06

right i mean i think i've got 20 25

12:08

million youtube views

12:10

so people have heard of us now so it's

12:13

always useful if people know who you are

12:16

and of course

12:19

bitcoin is

12:20

one of the most if not the most

12:22

disruptive technology of the decade and

12:25

it's it's disrupting the energy industry

12:27

it's disrupting the investment community

12:29

it's disrupting the technology community

12:33

that means it's uh it's something it's

12:35

disrupting politics and economics in

12:38

general it's disrupting

12:41

the definition of assets and property

12:44

rights

12:45

so that being the case

12:47

uh it gets people's attention

12:49

and it gets

12:50

and it's progressive and it gets people

12:52

focused so i think it's been great for

12:54

morale it's been great for retention

12:57

it's been great for acquisition of new

12:59

employees and it's helping us to deliver

13:02

our our corporate message

13:04

microstrategy

13:06

uh microstrategy software business was

13:09

up 10 in the first quarter year over

13:11

year our business is up 13

13:14

in the second quarter

13:15

so when you get to double digit growth

13:18

that's that's a good thing and and we've

13:20

been seeing strengthening of that

13:23

business subsequent to our decision to

13:25

embrace bitcoin

13:27

yeah um do you expect

13:30

that some of your software projects

13:32

would be

13:33

targeted or focused in on the blockchain

13:37

you know we talked about uh pursuing

13:39

good ideas like dan i don't regret

13:42

any bad idea i ever pursued because i

13:45

never pursued a bad idea

13:47

i regret all the good ideas i pursued

13:50

because they were diluted to the great

13:52

ideas so here's a good idea why don't we

13:55

get some yield on our billion dollars of

13:56

bitcoin it's a good idea it's

13:58

distracting dilutive and potentially

14:01

gonna create problems here's another

14:03

good idea why don't we use our software

14:06

expertise to build something cool in the

14:08

bitcoin blockchain world

14:11

yeah

14:11

yeah we could

14:13

but what

14:14

we've got a 500 million dollar business

14:17

which is very profitable and we're the

14:20

best in the world and we've got 30 years

14:22

of experience in it and we know that

14:24

there's nobody better than us

14:26

we can keep doing that and grow that and

14:28

cultivate that or we can look for a new

14:31

application of software

14:33

but you know if i you know if i had a

14:34

bitcoin for every time somebody came up

14:36

to me and said i have an idea for a new

14:39

i mean there's a hundred thousand ideas

14:42

for a new app they all require software

14:44

i got plenty of ideas

14:47

i think um

14:48

the one thing i learned in business over

14:50

my 30 years is

14:52

it's a lot easier um

14:55

it's a lot easier to acquire something

15:02

you can but you can acquire or you can

15:02

create a piece of software or you can

15:04

buy a business that's really easy

15:07

it's much harder to be competitive in

15:09

the business can you can you actually

15:12

launch something and be the best in the

15:13

world at it

15:15

that's harder

15:17

and then it's really really hard to

15:19

commercialize something so the standard

15:21

of commercializing something is

15:24

i have to ship the product be the best

15:27

in the world at it and then i have to be

15:29

able to upgrade it continuously forever

15:32

for less money than my customers are

15:34

willing to pay me to use it

15:37

so can you actually profit continuously

15:40

from something while growing it

15:43

because if you can't

15:45

keep making a profit while you grow the

15:48

thing

15:49

then even if you're the best in the

15:50

world now you won't be the best in the

15:52

world in a decade you'll get squeezed

15:54

out by somebody else

15:56

so i think when you look at all these

15:58

businesses

15:59

you know the standard of can i come up

16:01

with something cool to build that's very

16:03

low i can come up with a hundred

16:04

thousand good ideas of things to build

16:08

can i be the best in the world at it

16:11

i don't know i mean i won't know until

16:13

i've done it for three to five years and

16:15

then can i grow it continuously against

16:18

the person that is the best in the world

16:20

at it

16:21

right the decision to compete

16:23

is the decision to be the best in the

16:25

world continuously forever at a profit

16:28

at something

16:30

okay that when you think about it that

16:32

way it gives you laser eyes

16:34

right it gives you focus because you

16:36

realize that

16:38

it's it's like you can go into any any

16:40

city in the world to start a restaurant

16:43

can you make money

16:44

you'll know in 36 months will you be

16:46

there in a hundred years

16:49

will you be there in a decade

16:51

like that that's very hard it's it's

16:53

probably 10 000 times harder

16:56

than the than the the first stage of

16:59

just launching the thing or doing the

17:01

thing that's why there's a 99.9 percent

17:04

failure rate on mobile apps or new ideas

17:09

or websites

17:10

in fact i i think most people

17:12

underestimate the true failure rate of

17:15

all these business ideas i mean to say

17:17

that 99 of them fail is to understate

17:20

the issue it's more than 99 failure and

17:24

you got to really find a way to bring a

17:26

massive asset to bear in such a way that

17:29

you know you'll be the best in the world

17:31

and then you have to be ready to fend

17:34

all comers

17:36

over the course of the next decade if

17:38

you really want to go for that if you

17:40

don't

17:41

then the problem dan is is dilutive

17:44

like because the the 27 engineers that i

17:47

put on this thing are getting pulled off

17:49

something else the capital i put under

17:52

this thing are getting pulled off of

17:53

something else

17:55

right so

17:56

they're the world's full of people that

17:58

are diluting their capital and diluting

18:00

their bandwidth

18:01

and diluting their brand

18:03

pursuing good ideas

18:06

so i think you you kind of answered

18:09

a question that i wanted to ask when i

18:11

first got into the business around the

18:14

time frankly when you were launching

18:16

microstrategies

18:18

um i was i was focused on venture

18:20

capital

18:21

but that's not going to be your thing

18:23

because i

18:25

can envision you getting at least a

18:27

hundred ideas sent to you or somebody

18:30

who you would um dedicate to venture

18:33

capital but that's not that's not your

18:35

your vision for micro strategies it's

18:37

not your vision for micro for for

18:39

michael saylor

18:42

if you spent 20 years of your life doing

18:45

vc venture capital

18:47

if you have a pool of billions of

18:49

dollars of capital

18:51

that you raised from limited partners

18:53

and they gave you the money and you

18:55

agreed to a contract that you would

18:57

invest it in venture capital

19:01

and then you're staring at the crypto

19:02

world

19:04

then that might make sense right you

19:05

have a strategic pool of capital and you

19:08

have a strategic

19:09

capability to invest in early-stage

19:12

companies you know you should

19:18

if you you know if you just have the

19:18

idea that you'd like to be a venture

19:20

capitalist

19:22

what's the here's the problem dan

19:24

i have a billion dollars of capital but

19:26

it's not limited partner capital

19:29

strategically committed to venture

19:31

capital

19:32

okay so i could just buy bitcoin with it

19:36

right so if i were to buy if i were to

19:38

invest in 10 10 companies

19:41

that's 10 companies out of 100 000

19:44

companies what's the success rate

19:47

there's a hundred thousand companies

19:48

that might that might plug into bitcoin

19:51

i would rather just own the bitcoin

19:53

instead of expressing a directional

19:56

exposure or an opinion about which of

19:58

those companies i mean don't you have to

20:00

analyze all 100 000 companies to know

20:03

that your 10 are going to be the ones

20:04

that win and so my problem with that is

20:08

i don't want to be in the business of of

20:10

choosing winners and losers

20:13

in that space nor do i want to manage

20:15

the early stage vc process i would be

20:19

distracting myself my management

20:21

bandwidth

20:23

i'd be moving away from running

20:24

microstrategy and managing bitcoin

20:27

i would be running into the vc world

20:29

and i'd be diluting my capital because a

20:32

billion dollars invested in bc is a

20:35

billion dollars not invested

20:37

in bitcoin

20:39

when i talk to all these bitcoin

20:40

companies that their vc finance they're

20:42

like oh i just raised 100 billion i said

20:44

well how much bitcoin do you have they

20:46

say like they look their head down like

20:48

they won't let me invest in bitcoin i'm

20:50

like well that's pretty foolish why

20:52

don't you take the 100 million and put

20:54

80 million of it into bitcoin because if

20:56

the business fails you'll probably still

20:58

succeed

20:59

and if the business succeeds then you'll

21:02

still succeed

21:04

and on the other hand if bitcoin fails

21:07

you're not going to succeed no matter

21:08

what you do

21:09

right there's no point in being the

21:11

world's best bitcoin something or other

21:13

if bitcoin goes to zero so the problem i

21:16

think with uh with the vc is you're just

21:20

you're um

21:22

taking capital that could be invested in

21:24

bitcoin

21:25

and you're investing it downstream one

21:27

two three or four

21:29

you know layers away from bitcoin and

21:32

you're taking all of that execution risk

21:35

and competitive risk

21:37

when you could just own the underlying

21:39

asset

21:42

let's let's let's let's talk about that

21:44

a little bit and then i i understand

21:45

where you're coming from and you know

21:47

that's why we're involved in your stock

21:49

um but they're going to be a lot of

21:51

winners too right you know there's a

21:52

whole discussion or or narrative around

21:55

ethereum right but you're focused on

21:57

bitcoin specifically so we run a

21:59

portfolio of between 40 and 60 names

22:03

and are constantly screening through

22:06

about 200 different companies that are

22:08

going to be involved in the blockchain

22:09

and credit space

22:13

but but you're you understand

22:14

you raise the money and your charter is

22:17

you're required to to take a diversified

22:19

interest in a and a market basket of

22:21

securities right right that's your

22:23

charter that exactly is the mandate what

22:26

if you took all the money invested in

22:28

one company

22:29

are you allowed to i'd be fired so you

22:32

understand

22:34

right absolutely

22:35

because your investors wanted to buy a

22:38

diversified portfolio of securities i

22:41

assume yes right

22:43

you probably can't even buy the

22:44

underlying can you buy corn or oil

22:47

rights or land or the underlying bitcoin

22:50

no no because you have a charter correct

22:53

okay so it's totally legitimate but you

22:55

understand you raised you raised all

22:58

your capital with a strategy to invest

23:01

in a diversified portfolio of securities

23:04

and maybe you've got a tighter strategy

23:06

maybe your focus is on the crypto world

23:08

or the whatever world right

23:11

well my strategy is

23:13

to run an enterprise software company

23:15

that builds the world's best business

23:17

intelligence software

23:19

and my second strategy is to acquire and

23:22

hold bitcoin

23:24

and that's the first two paragraphs or

23:26

the first paragraph of my 10k if you

23:29

read it and pull it that's what it says

23:32

well that's a very clear disclosure if

23:34

you're investing in mstr

23:37

then that's what you're expecting to get

23:39

my job is not to diversify your

23:42

portfolio to 100 other securities it's

23:45

my job is not to hedge the risk

23:48

in fact

23:49

if you wanted to if you had a hundred

23:52

million dollars and you wanted one

23:54

percent exposure to bitcoin

23:57

you might prefer to own microstrategy

24:00

that says we're going to be 3x leverage

24:03

bitcoin

24:04

then own a bitcoin etf which is one x

24:07

leverage bitcoin

24:09

and you certainly don't want to take

24:10

your one percent and invested in a

24:12

company run by yoyo smith that sometimes

24:16

buys and sometimes sells bitcoin and

24:19

hedges it for you but doesn't tell you

24:20

what they're gonna do and they're not

24:22

predictable

24:23

because if bitcoin goes to zero

24:27

then you're going to lose your one

24:29

percent

24:30

in which case if you're 20 exposed you

24:33

only got 20 of the upside if you're one

24:37

x exposed you got the full upside and if

24:39

you're 3x exposed you got 3x the upside

24:44

so you understand the number one

24:45

question is what exposure am i buying

24:49

i'd rather own the company that's got

24:51

the most exposure and the second is

24:55

do i do i trust them and do i understand

24:58

their strategy

25:00

i don't really want someone that's flaky

25:02

that's going to change their strategy

25:04

and blow with the wind because it makes

25:07

it impossible for me as the portfolio

25:10

manager to construct my portfolio

25:13

rationally if you're in the aluminum

25:15

business i want you to do aluminum and

25:17

if you're going to be in the timber

25:19

business i want you to buy timber and if

25:22

you're in the bitcoin business i want

25:23

you to buy bitcoin

25:25

and the one thing i don't want to read

25:29

is well the company may or may not buy

25:31

it and they may hedge it if they get

25:33

worried about it and and they you know

25:36

they're not quite sure right because

25:39

i mean if i wanted an

25:40

uncertain you know

25:43

security or an uncertain outcome there's

25:45

a lot of ways to get an uncertain

25:47

outcome

25:49

i i want to know what i'm buying that's

25:51

why you put it up front and i think

25:54

from an investor relations point of view

25:56

our job is to have a strategy and

25:58

execute the strategy with clarity and

26:01

and consistency

26:03

and uh and i think from a securities

26:05

point of view that's definitely the

26:07

safest

26:08

and most uh responsible way to go about

26:10

it right if you're if you're

26:12

unpredictable

26:13

you know that creates complications down

26:16

the road i i totally agree with what

26:18

you're saying and and and sometimes

26:20

we're going to go after different types

26:22

of companies that maybe are

26:23

conglomerates but to your point we know

26:26

they're conglomerates in your case we

26:28

know exactly what we're getting and we

26:30

appreciate that so we always try and

26:33

conclude these calls with two wild card

26:36

questions okay

26:40

the first question i have is what is the

26:42

one thing investors in the blockchain

26:45

are not paying attention

26:47

to today

26:49

in your judgment

26:52

i think everybody underestimates

26:56

the success and the value of bitcoin and

26:59

they overestimate everything else

27:02

i mean bitcoin is 10 years old

27:04

successful proof-of-work system

27:07

it's not clear to me

27:09

like you've only got two things in the

27:11

blockchain that have been deemed as

27:14

property or commodity bitcoin and

27:16

ethereum there's only two but there's

27:18

only one of them that has a consistent

27:21

strategy for the next decade and a

27:23

consistent pass for the last decade and

27:25

that's bitcoin

27:27

right so i i think it's pretty important

27:29

to understand that the bitcoin is pretty

27:31

much the most uh predictable

27:34

thing in the entire blockchain universe

27:37

everything else is uncertain there's

27:39

massive technical uncertainty security

27:41

uncertainty legal uncertainty execution

27:44

uncertainty

27:45

and i think and so i think people

27:48

overestimate

27:49

right

27:50

the the

27:52

certainty or the value of everything

27:53

else i think they underestimate

27:56

the uh the value of bitcoin

27:59

people ask me if i'm you know are you

28:01

going to diversify and my point is

28:04

the most diversified strategy you could

28:06

take is own all the bitcoin

28:08

every single time you buy something

28:10

other than bitcoin in the blockchain

28:12

system

28:13

you're actually you're actually assuming

28:15

a whole basket of new risks

28:18

that you didn't even know you assumed

28:20

and you're and you're losing

28:23

diversification

28:24

against the traditional conventional

28:27

economy

28:28

you've got 500 trillion dollars worth of

28:30

assets in the world every bank every big

28:33

tech company every government on earth

28:36

every one of them would solve their

28:38

problems by buying bitcoin

28:41

buying

28:42

if apple google and facebook build

28:44

bitcoin into their application they

28:46

improve their business

28:48

if el salvador or cuba or turkey or or

28:52

japan or russia or the us or the uk or

28:56

france buy bitcoin they fix their

28:58

balance sheet every company on earth if

29:01

they buy bitcoin they fix their balance

29:02

sheet so bitcoin is the solution to

29:05

hundreds of thousands of entities

29:08

and if you don't own it

29:09

you're not exposed to each of those

29:12

entities

29:13

right um everything else in the world is

29:16

not you're not going to buy a random

29:18

mobile app

29:19

in order to fix your balance sheet of

29:21

your turkey and you're not going to buy

29:23

another crypto

29:24

right that there isn't there isn't a

29:27

proof of work digital property which is

29:30

stable that you can use to fix your city

29:33

fix your state fix your country fix your

29:35

business

29:36

fix your technology so i think people

29:39

underestimate bitcoin i think they

29:42

overestimate everything else

29:45

and um

29:47

you know you're either going to invest

29:49

in conventional equities and

29:50

conventional equities have equity risk

29:53

and they have all sorts of a stack of

29:56

employment risk tariff risk transport

29:59

risk execution risk competitive risk etc

30:02

there's a ton of risk there

30:04

and i think that when you get into the

30:06

blockchain area there's just a huge

30:08

stack of risks so i think people

30:10

typically they underestimate all the

30:12

risks of not buying bitcoin

30:20

and uh they're underexposed i

30:20

i think that's what that's the number

30:21

one thing that i think people don't have

30:23

right now they should be more exposed to

30:25

bitcoin less exposed to everything else

30:27

in the world

30:28

the second wild card question is

30:31

which industry will be most affected by

30:34

blockchain

30:40

that's a toss-up between conventional

30:42

finance and big tech

30:44

like every conventional bank every you

30:47

know goldman sachs jp morgan citigroup

30:50

you know fidelity

30:52

blackstone blackrock

30:54

that they're affected right if you if

30:57

you're taking a hundred trillion dollars

30:59

of bonds with a negative yield and you

31:01

swap the hundred trillion dollars of

31:03

bonds into bitcoin which is appreciating

31:06

i mean there's no way to describe those

31:08

anything other than a multi-trillion

31:10

dollar

31:11

uh transformation digital transformation

31:14

of bonds to bitcoin

31:16

and you know if you look at traditional

31:17

finance

31:19

there are massive businesses that are

31:21

all built around wrapping fixed income

31:23

instruments and bond instruments and

31:25

providing management

31:27

services so i think that that clearly

31:30

that's going to be affected

31:32

but the other the other uh side of this

31:35

is big tech

31:37

bitcoin is worth a trillion dollars to

31:39

apple

31:41

facebook

31:43

if facebook facebook is a trillion

31:45

dollar company and what's in the app

31:47

your

31:49

digital relationships and digital photos

31:52

and digital videos are in the app

31:54

well what if digital property is in the

31:56

app what happens when facebook has a

31:59

trillion dollars worth of money on

32:01

deposit in the app from a billion people

32:05

so google facebook amazon apple i mean

32:09

all of those companies especially google

32:12

facebook and apple they're the obvious

32:14

candidates to become trillion dollar

32:17

big tech banks fintech bank so this is

32:21

pretty compelling to them because

32:23

you know how many analysts are walking

32:25

around with the next idea for how how

32:28

apple adds one or two or three trillion

32:30

dollars to its market cap

32:33

right i mean well like not many other

32:35

ideas

32:37

well you know i wrote about how apple

32:39

should be a buyer of bitcoin maybe six

32:41

months ago

32:43

i mean they've got 200 billion dollars

32:45

of capital on their balance sheet how

32:47

can they spend all that money they

32:49

should

32:50

create more innovation inspire people

32:52

buy bitcoin

32:54

do what you're doing you know and and i

32:57

get that by the way and i i agree with

32:59

that but that's a strategy that anybody

33:01

with capital can pursue so

33:03

if you want to make 10 billion dollars

33:05

you just buy 10 billion bitcoin and wait

33:07

for it to double right it's a very

33:09

simple strategy

33:11

and as large institutions get

33:13

comfortable with bitcoin as an asset

33:16

class then they're going to pursue that

33:17

strategy right

33:20

my my idea or my thought with apple is

33:28

we will get to a point in this world

33:28

where eight billion people will have a

33:29

mobile phone

33:31

those guys i guess six billion now five

33:33

to six billion

33:34

and those mobile phones will be

33:35

controlled probably by either the ios or

33:38

the android operating system so you're

33:41

you're staring at who are the big mobile

33:43

players it's google and apple

33:45

split the world between them and then

33:47

facebook is that compelling app on top

33:51

of them so those are the big three

33:54

we will get to the world where everybody

33:56

wants to carry their property on their

33:58

phone

33:59

and so if if you're if i give you a

34:02

million dollars and i say to you i say

34:06

to you invested in something that you

34:08

can give to your grandchildren or your

34:10

great-grandchildren in a hundred years

34:13

you know a building land gold silver a

34:17

stock

34:18

you know a bond

34:20

you know what is that something well i

34:21

don't want to take any of that risk i

34:23

just want the pure money and the answer

34:25

is okay put a million dollars of bitcoin

34:28

on the thing

34:29

and how are you going to handle that a

34:30

mobile device

34:32

and how are you going to secure it you

34:33

know it's going to be some combination

34:36

face id multi-signature face id or or

34:41

biometrics across multiple mobile

34:43

devices with multi-factor authentication

34:46

and that's how you're going to move it

34:47

and that's how you're going to custody

34:49

it and that means that the icloud what's

34:52

what's in the icloud now

34:54

right your videos your photos your

34:56

documents and your communications

34:59

what's not in the icloud now

35:01

your money

35:03

what happens when a hundred trillion

35:05

dollars gets slurped out of 20th century

35:09

property

35:10

which is land real estate gold bonds

35:14

securities what happens when 100

35:16

trillion dollars gets slurped into

35:18

digital property it's got to land in the

35:20

icloud

35:21

or the equivalent of the android cloud

35:24

or in facebook and if none of those

35:26

three step up then

35:28

then it's going to be square and paypal

35:32

and then one day square will be a

35:33

trillion dollar company

35:35

right and

35:36

and it's going to be a little war

35:38

between them and maybe you know they'll

35:40

be maneuvering between the exchanges and

35:43

the apps etc

35:46

but um but that's the opportunity now

35:49

and it's it's big it's the future of big

35:52

tech

35:53

because

35:54

the next yeah the mobile wave has

35:57

chapters right

35:58

mobile photos mobile video mobile or

36:02

digital photos digital video digital

36:04

books digital maps

36:06

digital relationships

36:08

digital education

36:10

digital property digital property is

36:13

that

36:13

last chapter and it's the big chapter

36:16

because digital property is worth

36:18

somewhere between a hundred trillion and

36:20

two or three hundred trillion dollars

36:23

so the question is

36:25

who in the next decade

36:28

is going to control

36:30

manage program the digital property

36:34

and will that be apple or will that be

36:35

facebook or will that be square

36:39

that's the opportunity

36:40

and that dwarfs

36:42

digital maps

36:44

and digital music

36:46

and digital books

36:48

and i don't think any of them quite have

36:49

their heads around it probably the most

36:51

sophisticated entrepreneur in the space

36:53

right now is jack dorsey

36:56

paypal knows they got to do something

36:58

they don't get leap frog

37:00

a lot of the guys in the crypto space

37:02

they're still busy trading cryptos

37:04

but you see

37:06

the value is not in trading 250 or 500

37:09

different crypto coins

37:12

the value

37:14

is in slurping 50 trillion dollars out

37:17

of bonds into bitcoin and slurping 50

37:21

trillion dollars or a hundred trillion

37:23

dollars out of real estate

37:25

here's how you know you've got to the

37:26

right place when the rich 70 year old

37:29

that has a hundred million dollars and

37:31

is thinking about how to give it to his

37:32

grandchildren

37:34

when that person says i guess i should

37:36

put 50 million dollars of it into

37:38

bitcoin because that's a much better

37:40

idea than owning a building in manhattan

37:43

and it is a better idea by the way

37:46

property tax you know in florida is two

37:48

percent interest a year

37:50

if you take a hundred million dollars

37:52

and you buy property or buy a house in

37:54

forty you're paying two million a year

37:56

okay well figure it out in 30 years you

37:58

lose your property

38:00

there's a most property has a high

38:02

maintenance expense

38:04

and so what you want is a low tax load

38:08

low maintenance you can't put 100

38:10

million into a yacht and give it to your

38:11

grandkids costs you know you know the

38:14

the the cost the maintenance cost on a

38:16

yacht is 10 a year what's you know so

38:19

what can i put the money into

38:21

that is low maintenance that's going to

38:24

appreciate

38:25

and the only idea people have right now

38:28

diversified portfolio of securities

38:30

hence the etf boom

38:33

but at the end of the day you're holding

38:34

a diversified portfolio of securities

38:36

you've got

38:37

employment risk tax risk execution risk

38:41

securities risk custody risk

38:43

counterparty risk

38:45

all sorts of things

38:47

and so i i'm not suggesting that bitcoin

38:50

or digital property replaces etfs and

38:53

securities because you're always going

38:55

to want to own a basket of companies

38:58

if you if you are an investor

39:01

but if you are a saver

39:04

and you were thinking about buying land

39:06

or gold

39:07

or or some other very

39:10

scarce asset for 100 years

39:13

digital property in the form of bitcoin

39:15

is by far the best idea we've come up

39:17

with in the century

39:19

and so the the real opportunity here is

39:22

is not keep reinventing bitcoin

39:25

the real opportunity is for apple

39:27

computers simply to sell ten thousand

39:30

dollars of bitcoin to a hundred million

39:32

people

39:34

and and that's a big idea

39:36

and if a hundred million people have ten

39:39

thousand dollars

39:40

sitting in the icloud

39:43

then you just became the world's biggest

39:46

most profitable bank in the history of

39:48

mankind

39:50

right that's just sitting and waiting

39:53

out there for someone to grab

39:56

michael thanks for spending the time

39:58

with me today

39:59

i look forward to seeing your your

40:01

company grow and and see the you know

40:06

bitcoin

40:07

price appreciate

40:09

keep up the good work blocking tackling

40:11

thank you again look forward to staying

40:13

in touch

40:14

thanks for having me

Copied!