How Bitcoin Changes Everything | The Saylor Series | Episode 17 (WiM065)
WiM Media · 2021-10-27 · 1h 29m · View on YouTube →
[Music]
so that that's mobile
payments and then retail banks if you go
to commercial banking
well with commercial banks you've got um
treasury services for
companies
and you've got credit lines so
corporations like an individual in a way
i've got a bunch of cash i want to i
want to generate yield on it call that
treasury services
or i have a lot of assets i want to
generate yield on them
and i also
want to borrow against my assets
and so i need a commercial grade bank to
do that
i tend to have slightly different
requirements and i'm going to move in
greater scale and i may have
different accounting issues but the
commercial banking
application and the retail banking are
pretty similar
um exchanges are another application of
bitcoin and
and uh
there people want to trade assets
against each other and and trade
derivatives against each other
and uh you can imagine infinite assets
and infinite derivatives
um they will be compliance heavy
right do you need to comply with the
cftc or the sec or or who knows what and
that gets very complicated
but
it's a big business
[Music]
i mean the next big area of applications
would be corporations
and uh here
any company that simply buys bitcoin
becomes an application of bitcoin
and this is not a technical application
if we take microstrategy as an example
when microstrategy buys bitcoin
then microstrategy stock
becomes a derivative of bitcoin
and now microstrategy stock is trading
on a nasdaq a regulated exchange
so what you did is you took one asset
sitting on the blockchain and you used
it to back another asset and equity
that's trading on the nasdaq and then
you back a third
asset calls and puts and leaps
that are trading on a on a futures
exchange like the cme or something
and you may have even issued debt
that trades
privately over the counter
through a set of broker dealers
each of those are applications of
bitcoin
well how big are they they could be a
billion they could be 10 billion you
could have 100 billion dollars worth of
these applications
[Music]
why do they exist
because people want them
right because there are a lot of people
that want to trade stocks on nasdaq they
don't want to trade bitcoin
on coinbase
why don't they want to because they took
a decade to raise 100 billion dollars
and they promised a bunch of pension
funds that they would only trade
equities on nasdaq and now it would take
them another five years to reset
expectations with the pension funds
[Music]
maybe they want that because
they like there are companies that do
convertible arbitrage they have 10
billion dollars
they raised it from pension funds and
endowments and they do convertible
arbitrage that's their strategy
and that means they have to be able to
buy the convertible debt and short the
stock
and try to generate a yield
and they've got billions of dollars to
do that thing so they get up that's what
they want to buy
there's a phrase on wall street
when the ducks are quacking feed the
ducks
the ducks want to buy convertible debt
give them convertible debt if they want
to buy equity give them equity if they
wanted to buy bitcoin then they would
buy the bitcoin right but um but these
applications meet different needs
if you're a consumer
you know you're a consumer you want to
download square cash app and you want to
smash buy 37 dollars worth of bitcoin
and you want to do it in two clicks
you don't really want you know a super
complicated trading console with like 16
bloomberg screens
you know with futures and options and 3
700 trading pairs
that's not what you want
you want to smash by 37
so sometimes simplicity is is the right
thing sometimes you want simpler than
that
sometimes you know you've been doing
business with the same private wealth or
client advisor you want to call them on
the phone
yeah you know and you want to say buy
ten thousand dollars worth of that
bitcoin
and you want them to kind of buy a
bitcoin etf
and you know
the the pure bitcoin maximus will say
you're crazy
you should store 10 000 in your own
hardware wallet okay well i'm 82 years
old and i'm a wheelchair and
my hands shake
and i don't use computers how am i
supposed to store this in a hardware
wallet
like i'm just buying it you know as an
investment instead of buying gold
yeah and i've got five seconds okay so
you have five seconds and you talk to a
guy bill that you've been doing business
with from merrill lynch you know merrill
lynch you know was a company of its own
before it was bought by bank of america
so i talked to my guy bill for i've been
talking for 30 years
i have five seconds
and i want to buy 10 000 worth of
bitcoin
okay does that application matter
sure it does
what if i want to buy 10 million dollars
worth of bitcoin
does that matter sure it does
what if i want to buy a hundred million
worth of bitcoin it's the same dude
with the same five seconds
okay so
do applications scale the bitcoin
network yeah absolutely right you know
would it be helpful to have more
they're all handles they're they're a
handle i'm grabbing on to bitcoin people
handle it different ways do i
if i have paypal it's installed on my
machine and it works and i can click on
a button in one second and buy bitcoin i
prefer that
to downloading a better application that
takes 37 clicks and takes two days to
get authenticated right right and so so
at the end of the day
these applications make a big difference
and what what you have going on here is
the creation of financial applications
being wound into other exchanges and
other platforms
and then and the platforms are
everything
right
and uh they take it like for example a
corporation on the new york stock
exchange takes you to the new york stock
exchange platform a corporation on the
nasdaq takes you to the nasdaq
platform a corporation in japan you know
takes you to the to the nikkei
you know trading platforms so as bitcoin
spreads on the balance sheets of
different companies and different
governments
it spreads onto different platforms and
it morphs
into different derivatives and different
flavors
i think this is um
sorry i just wanted to say that i think
this is a very useful framing
actually that if we i've said that money
is kind of the base layer
protocol for human interaction you know
we've had gold
functioning for a long time we could
arguably say that a lot of these
institutions
technologies government currencies these
are all applications on top of gold
effectively
and so now bitcoin's kind of like a new
base layer it's a new base layer
protocol
replacing gold and enabling lots of
other applications
uh to flourish on top of it
yeah i would agree i mean it's it's the
base
it's the base property protocol or the
base monetary protocol if what you want
to do
is
is to build something on a stable
monetary base or a stable value base
then you
you need digital
money
digital property
and that's a little bit different than
digital currency right
if you want a good digital currency
you're best to make base it on a good
digital money right currency is an
application of money i think it's a
great way currency is an application of
money yes
and if you if you understand it that way
like money is is the base layer the the
end-all be-all source of all value and
virtue
and everything else is an application on
top of it
i mean i don't
i don't need a hundred percent of
everything i am to be in my currency i
only need one percent of everything i
own to be in the currency i and then 99
of what i am i need to be in the money
yeah and in fact if if the if the money
has integrity
the currency doesn't need to
right
which is a pretty important point yeah
if i had 99 of my wealth and the money
and if the economy was growing or my
assets were growing at four percent a
year and if one percent was in the
currency and the currency was devaluing
10 a year it wouldn't matter yeah
because on the margin right 10 basis
points to you yeah i'm getting wealthier
faster than i'm dissipating energy right
yes yeah
and it's it's just you know it's the
same with a lot of things in life it's
like the five dollar bill that falls out
of my pocket on a saturday night
[Music]
isn't going to impoverish me right
and on the margin you could say well
you're kind of crazy to carry cash to a
bar on a saturday night
[Music]
i know but i'll take the risk
for the convenience yeah
each of these things right is putting
value at risk for example if you have a
billion dollars in a company right you
you know the you have the counterparty
risk of the billion dollars in the
company if the company fails you know
the company's defrauded then a billion
disappears but it doesn't imperil the
entire blockchain
so
and a publicly traded company that files
quarterly results
is a lot more trustworthy counterparty
if like microstrategy is able to issue
debt
backed by bitcoin but we're a public
company if you were a private company
and you also wanted to issue debt backed
by bitcoin it would either be harder
impossible or you might pay a higher
interest rate
and if you were if you were an entity an
individual that nobody trusted
and you went you tried to sell the same
bond right maybe you wouldn't get it
because people are taking counterparty
risk
and they're trying to figure out whether
they trust the counterparty
[Music]
but now here you see the beauty of
bitcoin which is
everybody can have an application so the
question is
which exchange is going to embrace
bitcoin most effectively which mobile
app is going to embrace bitcoin most
effectively
which commercial bank will embrace
bitcoin most effectively which
corporation will embrace bitcoin most
effectively which government
you know like any any governing
municipality could you know could issue
a billion dollars of municipal bonds a
two percent interest they could buy a
billion dollars a bitcoin that has a 100
yield
they could scrape the arbitrage and they
could generate a billion dollars
a year
right
in appreciation
you play the game right in theory you
could just issue a bunch of debt buy the
bitcoin eliminate taxes forever
now
you're like well that sounds too good to
be true
well everybody can't do it
if you're last
it doesn't work that well it works if
for example
mark zuckerberg was first to own
facebook stock so he's rich forever yeah
you can't get rich forever by buying
facebook stock now what's the difference
between you and mark zuckerberg the
difference is
he was first
yeah and you were last
and the same is true with jeff bezos
so if you're the first city
and you move you move early
yeah then as everybody else enters then
it's like
if you came to america first and you got
a thousand miles of farmland right or
lord baltimore
right
you get a better deal than if you show
up nine generations late
so
with this
you've got a market dynamic where the
first government the first city the
first state you know the first country
they can all seize an advantage and
they're competing
you know like
i talked to an energy company the other
day i said well you know you're an
energy company but you know what you
could
you can um you can either sell your
energy to bitcoin miners you could pay
two two cents a kilowatt hour
and you could sell your excess energy
small idea right
or you can become a bitcoin miner and
you could mine all your with all your
excess energy and make 40 cents a
kilowatt hour yep
better idea
or
you can go big and you can buy a bunch
of bitcoin miners and or mine it and
then you can go and issue billions of
dollars of debt at two percent interest
and buy the bitcoin
and then make billions and billions of
dollars right if you if you want to make
five billion dollars and you're an
energy company
buy five billion worth of bitcoin issue
a press release
and then wait 90 days and you will
probably make five to five to ten
billion dollars right do you want to
bend over and do that i mean now that's
a bigger idea
but the biggest
idea is you do all those things you
reposition your company and your your
revenue multiple doubles or triples
because now you're not a sleepy
regulated entity you're a high-tech
company
you know um these big energy companies
that you know you could have 20 30 40
billion in revenue and trade at 40
billion dollar market cap
well it's likely that a two billion
dollar bitcoin miner will trade with a
40 billion dollar market cap
so i think what if the bitcoin miners
started buying the energy companies
right it happened with uunet and
worldcom you know
back in the day where you actually saw
the internet companies buying the baby
bells
yeah buying the telcos
and um yeah and maybe they don't
but um
the bigger idea is the utility companies
are in competition with the tech
companies and they're in competition
with the financiers and the hedge funds
and the traders and the governments
bitcoin doesn't care right
and at every level there's this game
theoretic incentive to move first
benefit disproportionate to later
adopters because to your point wealth is
hierarchical right if you're there first
and you're right
you're going to benefit the most this is
true in bitcoin as well if you're early
to bitcoin you benefit
more than later adopters and this is
also i think the problem with fiat in a
way
is that this central bank has kind of
irrigated itself
to always be first right it always gets
to allocate itself new shares of
currency
um so it's it's it's kind of uh hijacked
the hierarchy of wealth if you will in
fiat
yeah and bitcoin
the courageous
the courageous with clarity a vision
get to make themselves first
it's it's private market and money yeah
and with fiat
it's uh it's those that are politically
connected
stay first right exactly
right so it's public money
and um
so it's worthwhile to say you know all
of those organizations are competing
but we have um we have other types of
derivatives that are very interesting or
other application bitcoin like let's
take insurance
if you're an insurance company
um
then every insurance policy you issue or
annuity that you sell
based on bitcoin becomes a bitcoin
derivative
so
if i want to sell your life insurance
policy that pays off
a million dollars when you die
and i'm going to charge you
x premium right i got to charge you
enough premiums and invest them to pay
off the million dollars
so
if i charge you those premiums and i
invest them at two percent yield or
three percent yield it's kind of hard to
pay off the million i have to charge you
a high premium
whereas if i
charge you premiums and invest them in
bitcoin i can lower the premium or i can
raise the payout
or i can make the payout variable
so now you've got an insurance company
that's created a differentiated
insurance product and you can either do
it explicitly
you can do it explicitly by by offering
the policy backed by bitcoin
or you can do it implicitly on your
balance sheet
you could just take 50 billion dollars
of your balance sheet that are your
collected annuities or premiums and you
could buy bitcoin with it and use it
collectively to back all your policies
at the corporate
and of course insurance companies have
long long durations they have to look
out 30 40 years
they're in business forever
they have huge balance sheets
and their traditional funding vehicle is
bonds and bonds are broken and so you
need a you need a better
type of
annuity generating asset or a better
appreciating asset and that's where
bitcoin comes in
and that's where investment firms come
in
i mean
my next application you get an
investment firm and you sell mutual
funds or you sell investment funds and
people invest with you so
if you create the fund based on bitcoin
and then you sell that
that becomes an instrument that's
interesting to corporate investors
family offices individual investors
there's a lot of people that will want
to buy that fund and there's a there's
an entire industry that sells those
funds
there's also an interesting hybrid twist
on that
like
if you look at fidelity fidelity sells
all sorts of fixed income funds
municipal bond funds sovereign debt
funds corporate bond funds junk bond
funds
they all have a low yield and they've
got a negative real yield
well you can juice them
by
by blending them with bitcoin
[Music]
so if i want to if i have an instrument
or you know an asset that's been going
up 100 a year and i blend it in to an
asset that's been paying 3 interest
now i created a hybrid instrument that's
got
downside protection of bonds but upside
opportunity of something
right not as much
kind of a barbell
like sucralose is a powerful sweetener
you put it in anything
it's an artificial sweetener or it's a
booster it's a sugar if you will
so for an investment fund you can blend
various types of funds what if you're 50
bitcoin and then you
the other 50 is bitcoin derivatives call
and and future caller options maybe you
call or the bitcoin
or maybe
maybe you're 50 bitcoin and then you're
selling covered calls out of the money
to generate yield so you're creating a
bitcoin yield fine it doesn't have the
same upside as bitcoin but it's got a
guaranteed
you know at some point you know downside
protection upside yield you're blending
the thing and you're selling it to
someone that wants to buy that
are there people who want to buy it sure
like in a way microstrategy issues a
bond
six and eight percent interest
and uh we buy bitcoin with it if you
swap the two
you've given up the upside of bitcoin in
return for getting the guarantee of six
and eight percent interest and why do
you do that well because the
government's paying you one percent
interest
like because the because the spread is
500 basis points over solver and debt
and because the spread over over
investment grade corporate debt is 400
basis points
so you want the yield
yeah
right who wants the yield well somebody
that actually sold 100 billion dollars
of a high yield fund to an endowment
that's who wants the healed right right
right so there are structures in the
financial universe they exist
they don't you don't just snap your
fingers and change those structures in a
day or a week or a month or a year
in some cases those structures have
formed over 30 years
40 years
10 years 10 years is a short period of
time in the finance world
so
what you have here is investment firms
that are able to create all their own
financial products
with with any mixture and blend of risk
and volatility
and they can hybridize them with
existing conventional assets
like what if you what if you had a fun
which was half gold half bitcoin right
you know for people that like gold but
they can't bear to give up
yeah or they like bitcoin but they can't
bear to give up their gold right
you know it's like an alloy right an
alloy right yeah yeah the i was just
what's coming to mind here is that you
could almost put in your parameters and
just back into the right blend
customized for you right using bitcoin
to kind of augment your risk profile and
volatility and such
yeah and there's
there's a lot of people
uh
that would give up the ability to get a
100 return in a year
in return for
a downside protection
yep
right
you know if you went to every
conventional investor and said
are you willing to give up
more than 30
upside a year in return for all these
downside protections
yeah there is a lot
and they and uh big banks sell these all
the time they're very lucrative products
yeah like i charge you a two percent fee
to give you a structured product
it gives you some mixture of downside
protection and upside that we've
tailored
you know to your needs
so those are just other applications
moving on let's talk about trust and
endowments you've got a family trust is
supposed to last a hundred years
fund it with bitcoin
the rockefeller foundation right if you
have um
any kind of endowment every university
every non-profit has an endowment they
all have the same funding problem
which is
where you put your money
where last 100 years
and here
this is an interesting
it's a digital transformation of money
managers
i can either put a hundred million
dollars into an endowment and have like
ten money managers and they charge me
two percent fee or one percent fee a
year to manage the money
or i can just put the money into bitcoin
and i've de-materialized the money
managers
we talked about the complete digital
transformation or de-materialize it
dematerializing the fiat banking system
in our early sessions
in this particular case you're just
dematerializing money managers
but
there's an application the application
would be
i need a certain type of reporting and
compliance
like what what if you did run a
non-profit foundation and you wanted to
be a custodian of 12 million dollars
you want to flip into bitcoin and now
you now you want to spend one hour a
year
monitoring your position
filing the appropriate forms with the
irs
and then you need to make disbursements
so you're an endowment what you'd
probably want is a credit line so you
can borrow some money to pay your
disbursements your fees on an ongoing
basis
and then you want the principal to be
protected
normally you have that you would have to
reinvest it well what what's the closest
thing to bitcoin
probably the vanguard 500
or the like
and if you look at vanguard you look at
fidelity and look what they do one big
business for them is this like endowment
management or
you know donor assisted funds and they
just run these funds where you put your
money into this stuff and you put it on
autopilot and people look at it once
every 90 days
and that's that's a big business
right now
a hundred trillion dollars of it is
broken
because a hundred trillion dollars of it
is bonds
and so you've got massive amounts of
fixed income bonds and other assets that
are broken
and those are traditionally the things
that are easy to manage and if you can't
do if you can't do 100 trillion of bonds
you have to go into equity but there's
not enough equity
right so
if the equity markets in the us were 35
trillion and they get 100 trillion in
bonds that are broken
you can't just jam
50 trillion dollars into equity right
well you can
so what are the consequences right you
overvalue the equity right right which
is happening
which i mean i can't imagine any of
those examples right i mean
yeah lots of examples we overvalue the
equity as we jam the money into it
and people are waking up and they're
looking for that alternate asset class
yes
and the beauty of bitcoin is bitcoin can
never get overvalued because bitcoin's
bank is cyberspace
if you jam 50 trillion into it
the price would go up by 50 trillion
and it would be worth 50 trillion more
and and this is the crazy thing about
bitcoin too i guess money more generally
is that it's a veblen good right so
actually the more expensive bitcoin gets
the more de-risked it is
as money
so therefore it's almost like a
self-catalyzing feedback loop in a way
the more money you jam into it the more
likely it is to eat all the other money
in the world
the more uh value you would expect to be
placed on it
yeah i mean it's the ideal solution to
the problem
now i talked about a bunch of financial
applications and and and i'm always
thinking about corporations and
governments as
as platforms but
we should also talk about hardware
applications so you know there's a lot
of hardware applications of bitcoin
there's the miners there's the nodes
there's the wallet
any device that exists
could have bitcoins protocol built into
it
and the question is do you want to do
you want to build the wallet protocols
you can build lightning and you can
build bitcoin wallet right into any
mobile device you could build it into
jewelry right you could build
multi-signature protocols into your
watches your jewelry
your phones your desks
your appliances
and that's a differentiating business
it's just it's not on you know people
build bluetooth into stuff
right
this is more important than bluetooth
a bit more important than bluetooth
right you can you can build
you can also build nodes and node
capabilities right into devices
and you can build mining into devices
right you could
you could uh integrate
these capabilities right into firmware
into hardware and there and why would
you do it
because it's differentiating
if apple creates if they build bitcoin
support into face id or touch id
and the icloud
if the icloud was like a multi-signature
multi-factor
you know bitcoin cloud
then you've got
a trillion dollars worth of bitcoin that
can flow into the icloud
[Music]
that differentiates icloud yeah you can
do it with google you could google cloud
you could do it in microsoft
right you could do it in facebook
um
and so
apple's interesting because it crosses
hardware and software and network areas
but you know if you go into the software
you've got windows and ios and android
and these are all operating systems
you know and to a certain extent things
like chrome are like their own little
mini operating system
you can build bitcoin right into those
things i mean
google built password managers into
chrome yeah
right
uh and uh if the operating system has
native support for the monetary protocol
then either that's a reason to use the
operating system
or um you can pass on those primitives
and that functionality to the
applications running on the operating
system yeah
like for example apple
lets banking applications use face id
for authentication mm-hmm right
and that makes the banking applications
better and so
so if you want to compete in hardware
and devices or in software os's
then putting the monetary protocol into
it is just like building tcpip
i mean i'm old enough to remember when
tcpip wasn't built into every computer
right
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i've seen recently too that
[Music]
the lighting network can actually
augment authentication or you can you
can authenticate through the lightning
node as well so it can be an alternative
to password management at some point
yeah i mean there's there's
really fascinating decentralized
applications like decentralized
that
is probably like outside the scope of
our conversation here it's like an
entirely other world yes yeah
um
but with hardware and software that
leads you to cloud right because cloud's
another application aws azure and google
cloud and the like are all general
purpose containerized corporate
platforms
for spinning up massive applications
and so to the extent that they have
support for bitcoin or lightning and
certain other monetary protocols
then it makes it easier for their
clients
like zoom
you know zooms assume went from nothing
to 400 million users during covid
because they were sitting
on top of cloud platforms from you know
an azure or an aws and if they weren't
they couldn't have scaled
so when they're scaling they need to be
able to access these underlying services
monetary services are are destined to be
built into every application
um and they would be differentiator
now now if we go to another really
interesting application take social
networks
um twitter facebook instagram tick talk
well one of the killer applications for
social networks
is is verification and credit worthiness
or another way to say it is to put skin
in the game
right now there's no cost for malicious
behavior
so if i open up my instagram direct
messages 99 of them are bots they're not
really people
and when i look at my twitter comments a
lot of times 90 of them will be bots or
malicious actors
so you've got a bot war people have
computers spinning up fake twitter
accounts and then twitter has computers
taking them down as fast as they can
and in the first hour after i post i
just see a bunch of garbage and then
maybe after a day they've cleaned it up
and there's like real comments
but what that means is there's a two
three four five hour delay between when
i do something and when i don't have
garbage in the feed
how do you solve it
well
the logical way to solve it is
i put a hundred thousand satoshi's
on a lightning wallet
and then i make a security deposit
to twitter
or security deposit to
instagram or security deposit to youtube
and if you deposit that's like 40 bucks
right pick a number it doesn't matter
what the number is some something less
than a lot but more than nothing
i deposit a hundred thousand satoshi's
and that gives me
and then people on twitter can say i
only want people
with an orange check
that are credit worthy
or lightning certified
to be able to post comments on my tweets
and i only want to receive uh direct
messages from people that are lightning
certified
or verified or i
follow one of those three
and if you're not an orange check we'll
call it
then you can't message me and you can't
comment
so what happens
well
first of all if i just if i just turned
my entire feed to only orange check and
blue check all the bots disappear
everything disappears right you know um
cz does this on binance a different way
he basically blocks anybody but people
that he follows from being able to post
on his twitter comments
but the problem with that is that if you
only follow a thousand people
you know you're you're living in this
hermetically sealed world of only a
thousand people can comment right what
you want
is you want a hundred million people to
be able to comment but you want them
to comment with
safe and sub and civility or at least
you want them to be human beings
so if a hundred million people post
thirty dollars
then you've got three billion dollars
worth of bitcoin posted as a security
deposit on the twitter network
[Music]
now everybody that comments is a real
person well let's say 98 of them are
and if someone wants to spin up uh 29
michael seller bots
well they can do that but they're not
orange checked and so i'll never see
them and no one will ever see them
right or if they want to get the orange
check then they have to post
100 000 satoshi's 29 times
and if it turns out that they were
imitating somebody
maybe they get a fine of a thousand
satoshis or maybe they just lose their
orange check and they forfeit the
security deposit
it's like if you trash somebody's house
when you're renting it
whenever you
whenever you rent a house or whenever
you cross public property you either
have to have uh
you have to have insurance like uh like
car insurance
or you have to be bonded if you're a
worker or you have to post a security
deposit
and if you have that concept that you
have to be bonded or have to be credit
worthy
then what that means is that every time
a bot attacks you it costs them thirty
dollars
and you're monetizing maliciousness
if someone's stupid enough to be
malicious
right it's it's not that the platforms
don't have rules they do have rules like
they they take people down and kick them
off and put them in the penalty box all
the time but the rules have no
consequences
if you have a computer that generates 87
million fake michael sailor accounts
every day
what the heck do you care about the
rules the rules don't hurt robots
there has to be a price or a cost to
maliciousness
and so
what you have here is
is
you have a bitcoin lightning network
that allows a billion people to post
twenty dollars each
and then you could have micro payments
and um
when that happens
if i go on amazon i look at the um
at the
opinion surveys i don't have to worry
that someone hire someone created fake
bots to fill in the survey
because if you get caught faking it you
get a fine
and uh if i go on youtube and someone's
running a scam video
and they have to have a the right green
check and then when they get
we report scam videos every every two
hours robert
every two hours someone spends up a scam
video on youtube which fakes something
and we report them as fast as they spin
up
but there's no cost right
or there's minimal cost the denial of
service accounts
denial of service attacks there's no
cost to spamming there's no cost to
hostility online
there's no cost to in to being an
imposter there's there's no cost to
spending up 97 000 fake accounts that
actually try to create the appearance of
a panic when it doesn't exist right
cyber warfare
so
what's the solution the solution is
in the real world you have skin in the
game if you walk up to to women on the
street and you and you and you insult
them you take the risk that the person
next to them or they punch you in the
face
right
right and if you drive your car and you
get in a wreck you get fined and then
you've got an insurance claim and
there's consequence and if you go rent
someone's house for the summer and you
trash the house
and you have a security deposit they
take it or if you if you rent an
apartment the security deposit you trash
it they take it so there's skin in the
game and that causes people to act with
some degree of civility
there's no civility in cyberspace
because there's no skin in the game why
not
well because if you use credit cards
it's two and a half percent fee it takes
two days to clear and two billion people
don't have credit cards
among other things
right you do it to the app store well i
mean you could try to do the app store
as a 30 percent cut
how do you move a thousand satoshis for
one satoshi in a split second right
right so having a value network
becomes a credit network and so for all
these social networks you can actually
inject the quality of credit worthiness
and you could do it
you could do a different scales for
example
you could post a hundred thousand
satoshi's to get a small check you could
post uh a bitcoin to get a green check
you could post 10 bitcoin to get a
purple check
and if i'm gonna go ahead and scalp
tickets
or i'm going to book a flight from
someone online i want them to have a
purple check because i want recourse
against them if they lied to me or
defrauded me
yeah this makes
a ton of sense because the original
purpose of proof-of-work itself was a
counter-measure to spam
so it only makes sense
yeah it would be applied at other levels
that was adam back's idea proof of work
to fight spam
well
we're living in a world 30 years later
and
we still have spam
yeah
like we're we're running two levels of
spam filters at my company
90 of my email is spam
i'm getting spammed on linkedin i'm
getting spammed on facebook i'm getting
spammed on instagram i'm getting spammed
on twitter
all of the news feeds are getting
spammed and it's worse than spam there
are hostile malicious actors that are
fake bots
that are that are waging a psychological
psyops warfare to destroy people and
ideas and demoralize them
and they do it for economic reasons they
do it for political reasons etc and
there is no way to stop that in the
absence of
some kind of value network
so the killer application for bitcoin
with social networks is is credit
worthiness leading to cyber security
safety
and civility in cyberspace
now if you think about where you can
apply this idea
of just a security deposit
which is the same as a cyber bond if you
will
or a cyber passport but the beauty by
was you don't have to disclose your
identity
you could spin it up and spin it down
and it's it's it's lightning fast and
dirt cheap so it's open to everybody
but once you spin up this idea it works
across every social network
it cleans up
all of the
the feeds the news feeds
et cetera it also works for all the
communication networks
so you've got what's up and signal and
imessage and zoom and you've got gmail
you know every other mail office 365
all of these things have spam imposter
malicious accounts
that the phishing attacks are ridiculous
right
right so if you're a corporation and you
want to send something you know maybe
you ought to post
if someone sent me a mail message
and i knew they'd posted a thousand
bitcoin security deposit
and if they had it all at risk and if
they could lose it instantly on the
platform i would i would probably trust
them more
like like it's all it's all about cyber
reputation if you really want me to do
something risky
what do you have at risk what's your
value at risk
[Music]
now what's interesting about this is is
you're picking up all these security
deposits the platforms could use the
money to float to do something if they
wanted yeah yeah
and uh it's generally good for bitcoin
because it locks up the bitcoin on the
platforms
yeah
and so and the sky's the limit once
you've done that
you're not that far from from say
implementing fees you could say look you
want to send me a message pay me a
thousand sets
you know you can have micro payments you
can have streaming payments
you can tie services to credit
worthiness
look if you're if you go to a bank and
you put
a bunch of money in the bank they'll
give you a higher level of service right
than if you put a small amount of money
in the bank
so if you want to distinguish services
whatever they might be it might be more
bandwidth on spaces or more bandwidth or
something yeah or it might be
it might be some other functionality
but
everybody eventually can be they can
become a bank
and uh you know that takes us like
entertainment news
i mean that they have um
similar opportunities they they either
sell
they sell access via these micro
payments
or
they curate the response they they
create safer forms and safer spaces
by requiring that you be credit worthy
in order to engage or they certify
their news
by posting some credit worthiness
there's a lot of news circulating around
so if you're trying to separate fake
news from real news
then you could use this to certify
um it's interesting you've also got
service providers like uber and open
table and airbnb
and uh and for them the idea of
creditworthiness also matters it matters
when you're pairing
restaurants with customers like like can
i trust the customer to show up to the
restaurant will they forfeit their
deposit can i trust the driver can i
trust the passenger can i trust the
person that's going to come into my
airbnb
they try to do that with reputation but
there is no more important metric i
think than the creditworthiness if if
someone says you know i'll post 10
million dollars in order to drive your
car for the weekend
yes it's highly unlikely that they're
going to trash your car
yeah right and and one way or the other
it's just an example of insurance policy
or a bond
i mean
if you if you have the uh the recourse
you know to the bond in cyber space then
it creates
it creates accelerated commerce and that
means that
that millions of people can trade with
millions of people
without the impedance of quote unquote
getting to know each other yes yes
yeah accelerated
commerce and higher quality
right so again the skin and the game
term keep going around but it's this
balancing of incentives and
disincentives that uh facilitates
quality discourse among people there's
not a day that goes by robert you know
that you don't hear about someone
getting hit with a denial of service
attack
if you have an open website you know
there are there are hostile actors in
eastern europe and they'll unleash an
army of machines or an array of machines
and they'll just start hammering your
website to take it down
and uh it happens all the time
it's it's like spamming except it's
worse right and
and that's because there's no cost for
denial of service yeah but um you know
half a a lot of the you know the proof
of work you know and a lot of the
bitcoin protocol was to protect
the underlying
the underlying bitcoin mining network
from denial of service attacks
right
but this actually solves the problem
if you if you have
a web service and you require someone
have an orange check
you could actually filter on the orange
check and and you could then prevent the
denial of service attack
or you could protect yourself from it
again like having you know like having a
credit rating
in cyberspace
and since it's open to everybody in the
world
anybody can have one
and uh and
it causes 98
of the malicious behavior to be
non-economic anymore doesn't make any
sense
so
i i didn't spend much time on retail but
clearly retail is another
example of
of a layer three application of bitcoin
and it's either
again it's either buying selling trading
security deposits or credit checks or
the like
as you're doing business if i'm selling
something to someone and i trust them
and i trust their credit rating then
maybe
you can do business with with
retailers friction free that don't know
you and you don't know them
right and it it definitely is the case
that if i'm if i'm amazon or
or i'm i'm setting up
a retail operation people are coming at
me
that i don't know very well
and so what i want to do is find a way
to accelerate
the transactional speed and i do that
with some type of
lightning security deposit and or
lightning payment
we didn't really touch on the elephant
in the room here which is
the visa master code network costs two
and a half percent
right and so just just the the general
payments network in general and
remittance network yeah is another
killer application just
just money movement around the planet
because the existing systems
either bank wires
the existing way to move large sums of
money as bank wires
and small sums of money is credit cards
and you have knockout periods they don't
move on the weekends they don't move
from certain jurisdictions to others you
can't program them they're not automated
so you've got a heterogeneous expensive
manual patchwork cloth quilt
of payment options
and you can't scale that
and so the you know lightning
lightning helps you scale it at the
transaction level and then bitcoin is
the core settlement network so
if you want to plug 100 000
businesses into each other and move
blocks of money a million to 100 million
or a billion at a time you do it on the
bitcoin network
and then when you want to plug the
millions and tens and hundreds of
millions of
people into each other you got to do it
on these other platforms but it won't be
one i mean lightning i think will be
very successful
but i think that um you know square and
paypal and apple pay and google and
facebook they will all build their own
proprietary networks
and they will have additional
functionality built into it or
compliance built into it or performance
built into it
or just convenience
right it's like it's it's so subtle
like if i bought an insurance policy a
decade ago
and if the insurance company just buys
bitcoin for their balance sheet
i now own a bitcoin derivative insurance
policy and i did nothing
right so there are certain subtleties
where the corporation or the actor
can do something that provides a benefit
to millions of people without them doing
anything and that's how you really scale
in a big way like if you're a country
and all of a sudden you start buying
bitcoin
your currency in circulation with 11
million people using it has become a
bitcoin derivative and it just happened
because someone in the back office
started buying bitcoin right yeah
so the beauty of all this is
there's a lot of ways to scale bitcoin
and there's a lot of applications
there's hundreds of thousands of
applications millions of applications
there'll be lots of platforms lots of
tools
they'll be you know
if twitter creates the orange check and
they plug it in the lightning
network then who's to say that twitter
couldn't open up the api
and let
google and facebook and apple and medium
and reddit
and discourse discord and inherit
the orange check right right now twitter
becomes a platform for cyber security
and you carry your twitter reputation or
credit rating
to all these other places and that's
what google tries with their google
login and apple has login with apple
right
they're carrying authentication around
the network
but there's uh
there's no end
to the type of opportunities that there
are there and you're only limited by
human creativity
hey everybody so that was episode 17
of the sailor series
and in this episode we got into
uh the how of bitcoin how it changes uh
a lot of
things and so
let's start out i think
this is a point we've reiterated a lot
but i think it's worth
touching on again
as it really points to the inevitability
of bitcoin
and that's the simple fact that
every
individual and organization
is essentially
forced to buy bitcoin
out of self-interest at some point
and so the reasoning behind this
one useful way to think about it in my
opinion is that money is the prime mover
of human action so
you know there's this old saying that
show me the incentives and i'll show you
the outcome
and as i've said a few times i actually
view incentives as
the soil from which human action springs
so people tend
not always clearly it's not perfect but
on average
people tend to follow the
pathways of their incentives
and
in
the world of economics there's no more
powerful material incentive than money
itself which explains a lot of what we
talk about on the show
and in that way you can kind of consider
it um you know the base layer
protocol of human action
or perhaps even the most powerful
incentive in the world you know it's
as an emblem for freedom for power for
human time
uh this instrument that we call money is
is clearly something that's very
alluring to a lot of people
and so
when you come to look at money that way
when it it's like the base layer
operating system to use a software
analogy
come to see social institutions
organizations all the things we build
uh as really just applications of money
ultimately
um and this is very clear with the
business right that the business is
based on its p l
if it's not performing in a true
capitalist society uh it would liquidate
it would it would go bankrupt in the
capital that constitute constituted that
business
would be put back into the marketplace
and put to higher and better use
based on the wishes of consumers
and
you know you could say the same of any
other social institution as well
including the state right the state is a
business as well it has a bottom line it
has revenues
uh its purpose is to grow to increase
its revenues
uh and to increase its power frankly and
it has wielded its monopoly position on
violence and coercion historically
always really to manipulate money and to
monopolize money because again money is
is such a powerful tool
so
say that makes this great point that
if you can get
high integrity
at the monetary layer
then you don't need it at the currency
layer so again to back up a little bit
currency too just like a business just
like a social social institution
currency right this paper note we have
that was redeemable for money
historically like gold
that too is an application of money so
sailors making the point that if you
have high integrity
in the money then you don't actually
need it at the currency layer
so the way i unpack this is to say that
when money is well integrated to its
referent
which again if money currency used to be
redeemable for gold gold was just an
emblem of all these things we just named
right
time energy work power whatever you want
to call it money is kind of an amalgam
of all of these
and when money is integral to that
referent
and in a highly portable form because
money clearly it's it's a tool useful
for expressing value across time and
space so it needs this quality of
portability
then all of a sudden you don't need
promises to money you don't need a
currency actually it becomes unnecessary
the application this application of
money we call currency becomes
unnecessary when the money is integrated
to its referent and it's highly portable
and as you might have guessed that's
exactly what bitcoin is right bitcoin is
perfectly portable money rooted in work
which
is a
superior base layer protocol
to human action you know it's superior
to gold
and that's why it's so
significantly disruptive across all of
these dimensions of human action
and so we could to zero in on
the nation state a bit the size of the
nation state today i would argue
is actually a result of exploiting that
attack vector
on these promissory notes to money we
call currency
right we gold lacked portability gold
was not useful for day-to-day
transactions therefore we needed to
abstract it into a paper currency that
was more portable more transactable
this introduced counterparty risk though
in the form of the custodian which was
the bank which later became the central
bank and
my argument here would be that the the
size of the nation state or the
government today
is a result of exploiting that very
attack surface that need to trust the
issuer or the custodian
um
gave
the most forceful player in the room the
state the ability to extract wealth
essentially add infinitum rights until
the currency hyperinflates and if the
currency hyperinflated historically you
would you would your economy would
transition to the next strongest
currency so
um market actors
at least in the 20th century have just
been kind of forced into the
the best of the worst right whatever the
best fiat currency was
um they were forced to use so
bitcoin
by being this universally accessible
money
you know we again with a bitcoin world
you don't necessarily need
uh
you don't need to custody it with a
warehouse and then issue take a take
receipt of a paper
promissory note to that money which
would be an application of money called
currency you don't need that
um
you can
to conduct bitcoin transactions at high
frequency we can abstract into something
that's more
trust minimized like the lightning
network instead
and
so
bitcoins in a way it's like destroying
the notion of currency in a lot of ways
if you if you define currency as what is
government authorized
um
and so
bitcoin is like this globally accessible
monetary layer
it because it's pure purely digital it
can be integrated to these other layers
to increase its transactability and
whatnot
and i think the thought process i have
here is that
again if all of
the organizations we build all the
institutions we build
in the world
are just applications of money
but money historically was not as
accessible right it was um
largely centralized and controlled by by
banks and and then ultimately the nation
state
then this
impeded the experimentation process in
social institutions and businesses etc
etc is impeded capitalism
in general
so my my thought here is that by having
bitcoin that's a globally accessible
money you'll actually accelerate the
experimentation in social institutions
including government in the state
businesses etc
which leads to more innovation more
quality and lower cost
so
that's another way to view this
transition i think is that
money was something that was really hard
to access you know it was because gold
was so expensive to move we needed this
complex
uh
set of complex interdependent
counterparty relationships you know the
central bank and the prime broker and
the the regional banks and there's just
all this uh this stack of promises
frankly
where bitcoin just sort of slices
through the whole thing so you don't
need promises because the money itself
is highly accessible and highly portable
so you can just have final settlement
right so you have real
truthful signals propagating
uh in the sphere of human action whereas
today there is a lot of opportunity to
obfuscate and manipulate those signals
um
so you know the net outcome of that
would be
a much more honest world built on honest
money
so say and i later got into this
point where you know all monies
and assets more generally as he points
out they exhibit this multi-level
marketing evaluation dynamic so
that is to say
you know sailor gave the example of
amazon and facebook
they were first on the cap table right
they were first to hold that stock
therefore they are rich forever
they were the first to own the
certificate to this company's capital
the capital of which
you know that companies
came to satisfy the wants of billions
around the world in the case of amazon
and facebook
so that
those first movers right the founders
basically benefit disproportionately to
everyone else you can't go buy facebook
or amazon stock today and expect to have
the multiple of return that say bezos or
zuckerberg had
so
i like to point out that this is very
similar to monetization actually and
that
if we consider that a stock certificate
is title to company capital right each
stock certificate represents a share of
that company's capital
you could analogize and say that money
is a title to the global capital stock
because money can be used to redeem
anything effectively
so
when in assets monetizing as we see with
bitcoin the early adopters right the
people that figure out first that hey
money that is resistant to supply
inflation and dilution is better than
all monies that are not
resistant to or not as resistant to
inflation or supply dilution the people
that figure that out first and buy
bitcoin first benefit disproportionately
in anticipation of later adoption
and this also works in reverse right
with fiat currency those that realize
that hey expanding the money supply is
diluting me diluting my interest in the
global capital stock
and
i see that this
supply expansion is being done
arbitrarily and is likely to continue
those that figure out
that game first and exit that game for
something like bitcoin benefit
disproportionately to later uh people
that are that are forced to exit and in
the case of something like
hyperinflation
so
this is just an important point that
wealth the nature of wealth is
hierarchical right whoever builds it
first or gets there first or owns it
first tends to benefit
will actually will benefit
not necessarily at the expense of later
adopters but will benefit in relation to
later adopters
and so this is the game this is the game
of investing it's like who can figure
out where the world is going first
this is the the aim of entrepreneurship
is to
map current production efforts to
anticipated future market data right
where is the world going this is
entrepreneurship in a nutshell
and so
the introduction of bitcoin is
interesting for governments even and
that it actually allows them say that
makes this great point that
it allows them to be a little bit more
entrepreneurial in competing for
citizenship and that a government could
now
adopt bitcoin right or start to acquire
some bitcoin
they could use the
uh the gains that result from
bitcoin's monetization to actually
reduce they would not need to generate
as much tax revenue
to remain a growing concern so they
actually reduce taxes
to attract
citizenship
so you could make this means that
the first mover nation states to adopt
bitcoin could use the wealth they gain
as a result
to decrease taxes and attract the best
and brightest citizens in the world
which is to say draw in more capital
more
business activity
uh more intellectual capital right or
entrepreneurial capital into their
country
as a result of using or adopting bitcoin
early so
that's interesting that's you know the
the state almost
has to play this game now too where if
they want to have a tax base in the
digital age they need to cater to that
tax base and bitcoin's a tool that
really
empowers that aim a lot or the
realization of that aim
and so
just to round off the discussion of
wealth being higher alcohol this is
another good way to think about fiat
actually is that
if all wealth is hierarchical and it's
whoever gets to where everyone else is
going first wins
you could think of fiat currency as a
game
in which a
privileged few right the shareholders of
central banks
and those nearest
the spigot of freshly produced liquidity
are effectively always the early
adopters they're granting themselves
this perpetual privilege to always be
the first at the pump you know to drink
the freshly produced money and spend it
as they see fit before
the value of it is diminished by
inflation
so i think that's a deep point that all
wealth is hierarchical the problem with
fiat is that
there's no game being played actually
toward the satisfaction of wants it's
just this isolated group of individuals
that have enabled themselves to drink
first always
um and which is a zero-sum game by the
way i should add that you know there's
that's
wealth destructive you're just stealing
from people
you're not creating any new wealth
through trade or innovation as you would
be doing in a hard money society so fiat
currency really perverts
the entire incentive schema which as we
said earlier
if incentives are the soil from which
human characters spring then we really
poison that soil the fiat currency so
it's no wonder that we get
really
bad wicked immoral behavior coming out
of you know state bureaucrats and
central makers
um
so shifting gears a bit we got into you
know cellular laid out a lot of
instances and examples of how different
industry players can use bitcoin to
their advantage
um on the energy company side
he
made this point about bitcoin mining
that
essentially if you're an energy producer
you can
the easy strategy is cell energy the
bitcoin miners
slightly more complex strategy is to
become a miner yourself
um
you could also buy bitcoin and announce
if you're a large energy producer that
would sort of trigger this game
theoretic dynamic we've been describing
or
most aggressively uh you could actually
raise debt right if you're a publicly
traded energy producer you can raise
debt against a company's p l and balance
sheet
use that debt to go out and buy bitcoin
or
uh pay your operating expenditures as a
miner so you could actually
become much more of a holder right you
can kind of do all all the
other um
make all the other maneuvers that sailor
laid out but you could also do it with
borrowed money effectively
so um and this i think you see reflected
in in microstrategy's macro strategy
where they are
really adhering to gresham's law
gresham's law says that
softer money will be spent and borrowed
and hard money will be
saved
and that's exactly what microstrategy's
done right they've um
they've put their liquid assets into
bitcoin they've also taken on leverage
um against the company's p l and balance
sheet
and also use those proceeds to buy
bitcoin so this is the strategy right
this is
the strategy we've seen microstrategy
and something you would expect to see
in energy producers who have the added
benefit that their
operational their operations can uh be
used to produce bitcoin as well right so
if it's
if you can't sell the energy into the
grid you can use it to mine bitcoin so
i think what you'll this leads to
eventually is a consolidation of bitcoin
miners and energy producers and it's
interesting which way that could go
today you would think the producers
would buy the miners
but you know if um miners keep
performing
as they have been and bitcoin keeps
performing and the the multiples and
mining are much higher than
um
energy production you could see miners
ultimately buying energy producers
and sailor walked through some history
on that too and then if you tack on in
that future where energy producers and
bitcoin miners are consolidated if you
just tack on financial services to that
consolidated entity then you have this
potentially this future banking industry
that's like producing energy mining
bitcoin and providing financial services
on top of it
so maybe the energy producers of today
are the banks of tomorrow something like
that
uh sailor went into how
bitcoin can be used to add to different
investment funds
to increase their shop ratio or increase
their uh which is say their risk
adjusted rate of return
um this is really interesting because
then bitcoin becomes just a dial
effectively you know you add
a certain percentage
um
you know assuming it continues to do
what's been doing the past 13 years you
would just add a certain percentage of
bitcoin to augment the risk return
profile of any given mix
of assets or any fund of assets so
it's a way to juice or sweeten
traditional fund returns which i thought
was really interesting and will
very likely be a very large demand
driver for bitcoin
and then uh and this is a big deal
because you know a sailor states very
clearly 100 trillion dollars of bonds
and fixed income assets are broken right
we are
we're now at the zero bound in uh
many parts of the world with government
bonds
and this is not
surprising actually when you study
austrian economics one of the
most mind-blowing insights that i got
from mises was that
all government action
is a misallocation of capital
because
all government action involves coercion
so
if a government
taxes citizens to build a bridge you may
think oh well that's great we have this
new bridge
you know how is that a misallocation of
capital
but what you don't see and this gets
into the scene in the unseen
are is all of the capital investment
that the money would have gone to
had it not been taxed away from citizens
to build the bridge
so
another way to say this is that
all government revenue is via taxation
all taxation is coercion
and coercion creates externalities right
people try to avoid it or evade it they
don't want to pay it
and it costs money to overcome
that resistance
and therefore the the end project funded
by taxation is by definition a
misallocation of capital if the
marketplace wanted a bridge there if
enough
collective market actor preference
wanted a bridge then it would happen the
market would create it enough people
would would vote with their pocketbooks
to make it happen
so
it's no wonder that bond government bond
yields have been collapsing right it's
this is capital they've borrowed
in the market and then they've allocated
to projects but it's all a misallocation
of capital so of course
the misallocation of capital is not
generating enough yield to pay
bondholders over time
and you see this reflected in just
more and more production of money this
is the the debt monetization process we
increase the supply of money use it to
buy government debt
and then the government goes on
misallocating more and more capital in
kind of this vicious circle
but the zero bound on government bond
yields is the inflection point of these
broken store store of values
um stores of value sorry because
psychologically a creditor is not going
to accept the negative interest rate you
know it's one thing to go from eight
percent to five percent
something like that it's an entirely
different thing to go from two percent
to negative one percent
all of a sudden use the creditor
actually paying the borrower which just
makes no sense
so i think as
you see more of these large capital
pools more of these allocators add
bitcoin as if even if nothing else as a
seasoner as we described earlier
that um you're only going to increase
the price of bitcoin which further
de-risk it
and this is one of the craziest things
about bitcoin is that the higher the
price goes
the less risky it is
um
which is to say the higher is likely to
go and this is really unlike this is
something unique to money some people
have described money as the bubble that
never pops
um
which is to say it's the asset that has
the most
marketability
which is the definition of money but so
it's it's held
in anticipation of future exchange and
that anticipation
is largely rooted i mean in all the
properties of money but
primarily rooted in the scarcity how
credible is the scarcity of this asset
and um
you know there's just no
example of that historically
except
the example of an asset being
as it has a higher market value it
actually has more
demand for it right this is contrary to
any other asset except maybe gold you
could argue historically as hard money
was sort of similar and that the higher
it went the more
cemented it was as the monetary standard
so with bitcoin like people that think
they have missed the boat
or they think bitcoin's too expensive at
60 000 or whatever the number is
like you really need to absorb this
point
that
it's actually the higher bitcoin goes in
price
the more secure is its network the more
likely it is to continue out competing
all other monies
typically the more regulatory headspace
it has too because again
the state is incentivized
to um
operate with this thing to try and tax
it to try and draw in business
so
it's actually the opposite is it you
know bitcoin's not like a stock where
it's overvalued it's the higher the
value of bitcoin the higher the values
of it of bitcoin is likely to go in the
future
really interesting um
somewhat simple but hard to accept point
there
finally uh you know sailor went into all
these areas that bitcoin improves
hardware applications operating systems
entertainment news service providers
which
again back to the beginning of the
conversation if we consider that all
human organizations are applications of
money then it's not surprising that
bitcoin's disruptive to gold disruptive
to money it's disruptive to all of these
higher order
applications
and he just does a brilliant job of
going through them individually and
describing how that's the case
but you know what i'd like to speak to
here is that the the core of all of this
and you've heard us say it a lot the
core of all these improvements is the
introduction of skin in the game
and this is a really important
concept
uh it's sort of synonymous with
accountability
you could say that those who take
the risk
make decisions relevant to those risks
and partake in the cost benefit of the
of the risk taken
and it's when you remove the costs of
risk-taking
that the system
systems get flooded with risky behavior
not surprising right if you reduce the
cost of
risk taking people take more risk and
um this is you know you could you could
look at this the scamming and spamming
on social media that we walked through
that's a bunch of risky behavior because
there's no cost right these people are
trying to execute these phishing scams
and and whatnot because
there's nothing to lose right it takes a
little bit of time to set up one of
these fake accounts and they send
someone a dm and maybe
once in a thousand
thousand f tries it works but that
that's all you need you just need it to
work once and a thousand because there's
no cost
but if you introduce a cost to the
spamming the phishing the scamming and
all that then it really just goes away
because you can flip that cost benefit
on the would be spammer scammer
and so you know it's not
and this is something we lack in digital
space and really it was the purpose of
proof-of-work originally as we talked
about was to
to be a counter-measure against this
this type of scammy or spammy behavior
but it's no coincidence to me that
digital space has been constructed
without skin in the game actually when
we consider
that fiat currency is similarly
constructed i mean again if if the
internet is just an application
of money and then our you know fiat
currencies is an application of money
but fiat currency has no skin in the
game
then it seems to me
almost intuitive that these systems
would come to mirror one another
and so
to break this down a little bit for
those who may not be familiar if you
look at something like gold
and again skin in the game it's just a
balance of incentives and disincentives
that keeps the system honest and
balanced
and and actors accountable
so with gold
you have the cost of mining the cost and
risk of gold mining
that's the proverbial stick right it
takes sacrifice to procure the gold
and then the market value which you can
sell the gold for on the marketplace
that's the proverbial carrot all right
that's the incentive so
you have this balance of mining cost and
risk as a disincentive balance against
the incentive of gold's market value for
instance
now with fiat
we know the cost of production are near
zero right this is just a database entry
uh in the case of the us at the federal
reserve just a central database someone
presses a key and then bam you've
expanded the money supply 10 trillion
dollars so
there's no stick right there's no
downside for central bank to produce
more money
the market value of
said money you know called the dollar
it's really an expression
if you boil it down of market actor
either ignorance or fearfulness that
people will continue to hold dollars
or maybe inertia too it's like oh well
dollars have always worked so i just
assume they're going to keep working
or
you know under the threat of capital
controls or whatever state measure of
coercion you just choose to hold dollars
um
that that's the the incentive against
the disincentives but clearly it's
much heavily weighted
uh to the incentives and that the
dollars are much more valuable in the
market than they cost to produce
so what does this lead to this leads to
a dynamic
where fiat currencies self-annihilate
and hyperinflation right if you there's
no just like the spamming and scamming
we said there's no cost to spam and scam
in digital space what do you get a flood
of spammers and scammers well there's no
cost to produce fiat currency what do
you get
a flood of fiat currency in the
marketplace which is exactly what we
have today
and it you know historically always gets
to the point
where the money becomes so rapidly
produced the supply has expanded so
rapidly that it ultimately goes into a
hyperinflation event and
um contracts to worthlessness frankly
and
you know these things happen gradually
then suddenly it may be a bitter pill to
swallow
people think that the us dollar could
hyperinflate in fact jack dorsey tweeted
about this recently
and there was an outcry from the
traditional economics
establishment saying oh no it can't
happen there's no inflation but
i mean just
look at the basic supply and demand
economics and draw your own conclusion
that's all i can say um
and i you know i can't
i'd be remiss if i did not share this
nietzsche quote that keeps rattling
around in my head that
everything the state has
is stolen everything it says is a lie so
when they tell you there's no inflation
yet you see the cost of food and gas and
everything else that you buy on a
day-to-day basis going up
you should probably ask yourself a
question um
you know
what are your sources and how do you
trust them
those sources or have you done your own
analysis so
uh
and then to bring it back to bitcoin you
know
again this game in the game it's there
are incentives driving up the cost of
bitcoin production over time so this
this is to say
the cost of production increases this is
creating a more secure network
right which leads to more demand for
bitcoin as a store of value which leads
to a higher market price
which makes bitcoin mining more
profitable because they're paid in
bitcoin
which leads to more investment in mining
which leads to higher production costs
and this is the virtuous cycle
that
uplifts bitcoin's monetization process
and you have that virtual cycle
colliding with the vicious cycle
of fiat currency debasement worldwide
and that
collision is what we call hybrid
bitcoinization it's where bitcoin just
devours all of the failing
monetary technologies worldwide and um
you know it's early days but i think
so far so good everything that
bitcoiners have been saying up until
this point directionally has been true
so
um
and you know this it gets outside of
just money though because i would say
the core problem in the world today is
that our leaders don't have skin in the
game you know they lead from the back if
you will
and this is not the norm you know when
napoleon led his troops to battle he was
in front right he
he had skin in the game he was taking
his troops into
a situation of significant risk but he
himself was bearing those risks
and if his army emerged victorious well
he himself benefited in those rewards
um that's not what we're doing today
though we have people
leaders quote unquote leaders that are
very
uh
separated from the consequences of their
decisions and in fact they can often
make decisions that just
hurt everyone else and don't affect them
at all
you know it's kind of a heads eye when
tells you lose situation
and so i think bitcoin
by
again fundamentally disrupting this
prime mover of human action called money
it's reuniting decision makers with the
costs and benefits of the decisions they
make
this is pretty obvious right like
if you are the decision maker you should
be accountable for that decision if it's
a bad outcome you should incur the loss
if it's a good outcome you should enjoy
the profit i mean this is just very
basic economics
yet in the current model of statism it's
not that way at all it's if the
government makes a bad decision
then they're just going to print more
money or increase taxes to go and
continue making more bad decisions so
everyone else bears the cost
of a few bureaucrats decision making and
this just does not work right we
if we've learned nothing else
historically is that that model of
statism
and systemized coercion it fails
eventually
and um
you know
so skin in the game is what we need we
need skin in the game we need
individuals to be accountable for their
actions and their decision making
clearly
um skin in the game is what makes
systems work skin in the game is
intrinsic to nature right if you
walk off a cliff and you fall 300 feet
to your death well you have skin in the
game you made a decision
and nature says hey
gravity is now going to hold you
accountable for that decision walking
off the cliff
you can't
print money to save yourself or paper
over your bad decisions you you face the
consequences of your actions
and so maybe the most important way to
conceive of bitcoin
is as that it is a permanent
implementation
of the skin in the game
or accountability principle
responsibility principle whatever you
want to call this
into money and money is
the prime mover
the soil from which all of our all human
actions springs directly or indirectly
so
i hope you guys enjoyed that uh sailor
and i are likely going to record some
more episodes but this is it for now
um
really enjoyed this series you know
he
sailer just has this brilliant way of
combining education and humor
that has radically expanded my worldview
i hope you guys enjoyed this one and
i'll see you back here again soon