SaylorCorpus

Michael Saylor (CEO Microstrategy) x Mark Böschen (manager magazine) at BLOCKCHANCE 2021

BLOCKCHANCE · 2022-01-06 · 48m · View on YouTube →

0:12

mark will be moderating the chat with

0:12

co-founder and ceo of software company

0:14

microstrategy michael saylor i will ask

0:17

mark to introduce us to michael but

0:19

first please help me welcome to this

0:22

stage mark bushin

0:24

[Applause]

0:28

well hello

0:33

so um

0:33

i hope michael will be joining us

0:35

shortly i cannot see him here on the

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monitor there he is hello michael good

0:39

to have you with us here

0:45

as far as i understand you cannot see

0:45

the room we've got several hundred

0:46

people here uh it's packed uh at least

0:49

as many as this morning and then we had

0:51

singing and dancing so expectations

0:54

clearly are high for our fireside shed

0:56

here now i think most of you will have

0:59

heard a lot from michael saylor for the

1:01

past 12 months because he's been

1:03

laying out his vision for bitcoin quite

1:06

vocally

1:09

but michael you've also founded a

1:11

software company microstrategy would you

1:14

just briefly for start tell us what

1:17

microstrategy does

1:19

sure

1:20

uh microstrategy is a multinational

1:23

business intelligence software company

1:27

we sell

1:29

enterprise software to large

1:31

organizations government agencies banks

1:34

corporations everywhere in the world

1:38

can whoever is managing the sound uh i'm

1:41

getting feedback in my line so

1:44

i'm not sure if anything you can do

1:45

about it but

1:47

i've got like a feedback issue i'll try

1:49

to work through it but it's a little bit

1:50

odd

1:52

um anyway so that's what microstrategy

1:55

does

1:56

enterprise software big agencies 27

1:59

different countries

2:00

yeah talking about that is better thank

2:02

you thanks talking about feedback and if

2:04

it's okay with you i would just after 30

2:06

minutes look into the room and open up

2:08

the discussion for questions from the

2:10

audience is it okay with you michael

2:12

yeah that's fine all right

2:15

you founded microstrategy already in

2:17

1998 and

2:19

in the dot-com boom you wrote that big

2:22

wave like many other companies and then

2:25

of course in 2000 it started to become a

2:27

lot tougher then you had the financial

2:29

crisis that you

2:31

steered your company through so these

2:34

experiences these events

2:37

how did that change the way you think

2:39

about money and markets and about how

2:41

you make sure that your company

2:43

does not run out of capital

2:46

yeah well i've been in business since

2:48

1989 and we've been a public company

2:51

since 1998 so

2:53

we had a lot of experience operating

2:57

i think what i realized is that in an

3:00

environment where the money supply is

3:02

expanding

3:05

sorry i just have feedback

3:07

i'm

3:09

trying to figure this out

3:11

so whoever's managing sound on your side

3:14

i think they're they're feeding back

3:15

into my system someone's got an extra

3:17

microphone open so it's a little bit

3:19

tricky for me

3:29

i think what i learned in business is

3:29

that if the money supply is expanding

3:31

too rapidly

3:33

then there's no point in saving money

3:35

because the money that you're saving in

3:37

your treasury is debasing faster than

3:40

the rate of of inflation or sorry it's

3:43

debating it's debasing faster than your

3:45

rate of operating income

3:47

so i think by uh

3:49

by 2020 we had about 10 years experience

3:53

where we'd seen that

3:55

cap

4:03

reason cash is a liability is that if

4:03

the money supply is expanding at seven

4:05

percent a year and you're getting one

4:07

percent or two percent yield on your

4:09

cash then you're losing five percent of

4:12

your value every single year now in 2020

4:15

what happened was the interest rates

4:16

went to zero and the monetary inflation

4:18

rate went to 20 to 25

4:21

so the negative real yield on cash and

4:23

credit instruments became minus 25

4:26

for a publicly traded company

4:28

and that means that if you're holding a

4:30

billion dollars of cash you're going to

4:31

lose 500 million dollars of shareholder

4:33

value in 36 months

4:35

so i i think that uh

4:38

what was uh the conventional treasury

4:41

strategy of a company is to convert all

4:43

your cash flows into crap into credit

4:46

and cash

4:47

i think that conventional treasury

4:49

strategy broke

4:51

in march of 2020

4:53

and now

4:54

you just have to assume that anything

4:56

you're carrying on your balance sheet is

4:58

debasing in value at something on the

5:03

range of

5:04

it's at least 15 a year if you're you

5:07

know and it may be as much as 20 to 25 a

5:09

year depending on where you are

5:12

certainly in

5:13

in nations like turkey and argentina

5:15

they've got currency collapses underway

5:18

and i think it's a multinational we've

5:20

lived through that i lived through a

5:21

currency collapse in argentina where our

5:24

money was forcibly converted from

5:26

dollars to pesos and devalued by 90

5:29

overnight in the bank

5:31

and uh in argentina right now where we

5:33

do business uh the peso is 20 pesos to

5:36

the dollar

5:37

36 months ago

5:38

the official exchange rates 100 pesos to

5:41

the dollar but the actual rate is 200

5:44

pesos to the dollar so the currency

5:46

again has collapsed by 90 percent in 36

5:49

months

5:49

it's collapsing in front of our eyes in

5:51

turkey this week

5:53

um in the western world like western

5:55

europe and the united states the

5:56

currency is collapsing at about 15 to 20

5:58

percent a year you could even make an

6:00

argument 25

6:02

based upon the s p index

6:06

i think the short of it is

6:10

what i learned after 30 years of

6:12

struggling is it's really hard to hold

6:15

shareholder value with any kind of

6:17

treasury assets

6:19

and

6:20

and the monetary inflation rate tripled

6:22

in march of 2020 and when it tripled uh

6:26

it went from being difficult to being

6:27

hopeless

6:29

and that's what actually shocked me out

6:31

of my conventional strategy and we

6:33

decided

6:34

that we needed to adopt a property

6:36

strategy where we converted our cash and

6:38

credit

6:39

into a high quality property that would

6:41

appreciate in value faster than the rate

6:43

at which the money supply expanded and

6:46

that's how we discovered bitcoin now

6:48

since you've been doing this so since

6:51

2020 really um

6:53

well you also borrowed to buy more

6:55

bitcoin and

6:57

your share price really exploded

6:59

following that right i mean it went up

7:02

10 times at some point and now i think

7:04

it's still up six times compared to

7:07

before you announced your bitcoin

7:09

strategy

7:10

um how did this bitcoin strategy change

7:13

things at the company operationally how

7:15

is it different now

7:17

to be there working there

7:19

um you know the bitcoin strategy has

7:21

improved everything our brand has

7:23

exploded by a factor of 100x

7:26

our shareholder morale is not has never

7:28

our shareholders have never been happier

7:30

we generated billions

7:33

nearly 10 billion dollars in enterprise

7:35

value in 12 months

7:37

and uh

7:38

many many billions of dollars of

7:39

shareholder returns

7:42

we were able to issue a convertible bond

7:44

uh that doubled and nearly tripled in

7:47

value over the course of six months it's

7:49

the most uh it's the best performing

7:51

bond in the world last year

7:53

so our creditors are happy our

7:55

shareholders are happy

7:57

uh our employees are happy

7:59

all of our employees are either direct

8:01

or indirect shareholders in the company

8:03

and so

8:04

the stock had been stuck in a rut for a

8:07

decade and it had gone up and down fifty

8:09

dollars and wasn't going to move and

8:12

then when covid hit when the lockdowns

8:14

hit our stock at 90 a share and the

8:16

company was valued at half of revenue

8:19

plus its cash

8:21

and um

8:22

and we just been forsaken by wall street

8:25

uh when we announced the bitcoin

8:27

strategy the stock was 120 a share

8:30

in order to make it an easier decision

8:32

for our shareholders we offered to buy

8:34

them all out with a dutch auction and so

8:36

we offered to buy out 250 million

8:38

dollars worth of shares which was a

8:39

quarter of the company

8:41

at uh at a premium

8:43

we had some shares tender but most

8:45

people stuck with us and the stock

8:47

proceeded to go into the 200s the 300s

8:49

the 400s the 500s the 600s the 700s and

8:53

and of course now the stock is at a

8:54

20-year high

8:56

and it's uh and it's moving north so

8:58

it's been good for the employees good

9:00

for the sheriff's it's even good for the

9:01

customers because

9:03

now everybody hears about us

9:05

you know if uh if the ceo of uh sap or

9:09

the c if the ceo of sap went on cnbc

9:12

they would get five or ten thousand

9:13

views on twitter if the ceo of microsoft

9:16

goes on to cnbc they get 20 000 views

9:19

when i go on cnbc i get 400 or 500 000

9:23

views

9:24

so clearly this is uh it's an idea

9:27

that's captivating for hundreds of

9:28

millions of people around the world

9:31

bitcoin transcends a simple treasury

9:34

strategy it's an economic imperative for

9:36

anybody with money on the planet that

9:38

doesn't want to lose their money

9:40

it's a

9:41

you know it's a moral imperative if you

9:43

don't have a bank for billions of people

9:45

in the in the developing world

9:47

and it's a technology imperative because

9:49

it's pretty clear that 8 billion people

9:51

are going to move money at the speed of

9:53

light on their mobile phones in the next

9:55

10 years and this is the way they're

9:57

going to do it

9:58

so i i feel like we really touched a

10:01

nerve

10:02

we've used the phrase bitcoin as hope

10:05

and actually if you go to my website

10:07

hope.com you'll see everything about

10:08

bitcoin

10:10

and i think bitcoin uh bitcoin took us

10:12

from a hopeless situation to a hopeful

10:14

situation

10:16

one last point

10:17

the road to serfdom is working

10:19

exponentially harder for a currency

10:21

growing exponentially weaker

10:23

so if you're working in uh argentina

10:26

venezuela or turkey right now and the

10:28

currency is collapsing it's not going to

10:30

help you to get a 10 raise every year

10:33

when the currency is collapsing 40 a

10:35

year

10:35

if you're working in europe or the

10:37

united states and you've noticed the

10:40

prices are going up 15 a year or 10 a

10:43

year or 20 a year

10:45

i think the case-shiller index in the

10:46

u.s is up like 27

10:49

if you're a dentist or a doctor or a

10:51

laborer and your wages are going up two

10:53

percent a year or three percent a year

10:55

and the cost of assets like stocks and

10:59

properties

11:00

and and luxury assets or or aspirational

11:03

assets is going up faster then you can

11:05

work your entire life going backwards

11:08

and you'll never make it it's impossible

11:11

what i realized that microstrategy was 2

11:14

000 people doing a hundred thousand

11:16

things right every every day uh and

11:20

doing it for an entire year could make

11:22

about 75 million dollars in cash flow

11:25

and we were losing 100 to 150 million

11:28

dollars in shareholder value on our

11:29

balance sheet by doing nothing with that

11:32

with the assets

11:34

and uh and it became clear that life was

11:36

hopeless and there's no point in going

11:38

to work

11:39

and doing anything if you don't have the

11:41

right investment strategy so

11:44

i think when we switched from holding

11:47

cash and short dated treasuries to

11:49

holding bitcoin

11:51

all of a sudden our time horizon went

11:53

from very short being very being a short

11:55

time horizon of being a long time

11:57

horizon because

11:58

now we had an endowment

12:00

like today as we sit here instead of

12:02

having

12:03

you know 500 million dollars or a few

12:06

hundred million dollars of crumbling

12:08

cash and credit which is going to zero

12:10

we now have seven billion to eight

12:13

billion dollars

12:14

worth of assets that are appreciating in

12:16

value a hundred to two hundred percent a

12:19

year

12:20

so it's like being a well-endowed

12:22

university or a well-endowed family or a

12:24

well-endowed company we can now take a

12:27

breath and focus on the long term and we

12:29

know that we're going to have the

12:30

financial means to do whatever we want

12:32

to do in the business and and to treat

12:35

our customers our employees and our

12:37

shareholders well well michael you just

12:41

explained why you think it's great for

12:42

the company for the employees and for

12:44

cnbc by the way

12:46

so that what you did to buy bitcoin with

12:48

the company now i might be an investor

12:52

who wants to buy a company let's say and

12:54

i'm interested in the company maybe i

12:56

also have a lot of bitcoin that i

12:58

invested in so isn't it a bit of an

13:01

issue that

13:02

if i now want to buy that company i also

13:04

buy a lot of bitcoin on top of that even

13:07

though i might not want to buy much more

13:09

bitcoin so isn't that a bit of a of a

13:11

problem that you have this mix-up of a

13:13

company with bitcoin right now why

13:15

should an investor have to buy the

13:17

package without being able to buy either

13:20

bitcoin directly without buying a

13:22

company or just saying i love this

13:23

company i want to buy a certain company

13:27

yeah well i mean there are thousands and

13:29

thousands of publicly traded companies

13:31

and so investors can choose which

13:33

companies they want to invest in

13:35

our approach with shareholder relations

13:39

we telegraphed that we were considering

13:41

doing this and then when we did it we

13:43

paired it with a dutch auction so that

13:45

any investor that didn't want to be

13:46

invested in a company where the bitcoin

13:48

strategy could sell their shares at a

13:50

profit

13:51

and so by the time we finished that

13:52

dutch auction we had rotated our

13:54

shareholder base to shareholders that

13:57

were long bitcoin that wanted the

13:59

exposure

14:00

there are trillions and trillions of

14:02

dollars uh locked up in public

14:05

investment vehicles where they need to

14:06

invest in securities and they can't

14:08

invest in property so we actually

14:11

provide a pretty a pretty important use

14:14

a utility for all those companies it

14:17

would take them

14:19

one to three to ten years before they

14:21

could ever buy the bitcoin but they can

14:23

buy microstrategy stock and get bitcoin

14:26

exposure in a matter of minutes uh with

14:29

security so so microstrategy is actually

14:32

a vehicle

14:34

for companies that want to own or and

14:36

investors that want to own bitcoin

14:38

you know as for as for it being an

14:40

option

14:41

look if if you were running a company in

14:43

zimbabwe

14:45

or in venezuela right now

14:47

and uh and well and you're an investor

14:50

in one of those companies and the ceo

14:53

said we've decided to keep all of our

14:55

profits in the bolivar and you said well

14:58

the boulevard is losing 98 of its value

15:00

this year

15:02

you wouldn't want to be invested in that

15:03

company anyway like

15:06

destroying your company or committing

15:08

economic suicide is not a good strategy

15:12

for keeping your shareholders happy

15:15

and so right now any company that's a

15:17

value stock

15:19

that's a low growth high cash flow

15:21

generating equity is in essence a

15:24

currency derivative

15:26

because you're like a bond you're valued

15:28

based upon fixed cash flows so

15:31

if your growth rate is slower than the

15:33

rate of economic expansion you can't

15:35

hold shareholder value

15:37

the stock price is going to deteriorate

15:40

as the inflation rate increases

15:43

and so so for any any investor that

15:46

understands this they would want the

15:48

company to convert its cash flows from a

15:52

depreciating currency into an

15:54

appreciating property

15:57

so we we think we're just acting

15:58

rationally and of course our

16:01

shareholders think the same way

16:03

and uh

16:04

everybody doesn't have to choose to

16:06

invest we're a public company right you

16:07

can choose what kind of companies you

16:09

want to be invested in it just turns out

16:11

that that every single year there's an

16:13

increasing number of investors that

16:15

realize they want to hold a

16:16

non-sovereign store of value and

16:18

again if i give you the example of

16:20

turkey or argentina it becomes pretty

16:21

obvious why you don't want to be

16:23

invested in value stocks that are

16:25

generating turkish lira or generating

16:27

pesos right now because the currency is

16:30

collapsing the balance sheets collapsing

16:32

your stock is going to collapse

16:34

many people in europe and the us they

16:37

think that their currency is stable but

16:39

if you look at the s p index this year

16:41

the s p index is up 25

16:44

or more the s p index is generally up 10

16:48

in the last 100 years it's obvious that

16:50

there's an extra 15 inflation in the

16:53

money supply on top of

16:56

the traditional inflation rate and the

16:57

traditional inflation rate was about 7

17:00

so if i add 7 to 15 percent you've got a

17:04

collapse in the purchasing power of the

17:07

currency and that means that every value

17:09

stock that isn't growing its cash flows

17:12

at 22 or more

17:14

is uh is actually diluting your

17:16

shareholder value well you know that's

17:18

that's also just innovation

17:20

those companies public company that's

17:22

why we make public uh announcements and

17:24

we're transparent about it but

17:26

but if you happen to be an investor and

17:29

you want that kind of exposure and you

17:31

understand uh the benefit of a

17:33

non-sovereign store of value and and the

17:36

reason

17:37

that bitcoin is appreciating 10 times

17:39

faster than equities

17:41

then of course it's the best thing that

17:42

the management team could have done for

17:44

people can choose between companies like

17:46

you said they can also choose which um

17:49

yeah crypto assets they buy now ethereum

17:53

already has half the market cap of

17:54

bitcoin um

17:57

the latest bitcoin a network update

17:59

increased in

18:01

introduced smart contracts to the

18:02

network well ethereum has been there for

18:05

some time now and with 1 500

18:08

projects software projects on the on the

18:10

network at least and bitcoin

18:13

probably a lot less so um isn't that

18:16

really something that's that's going

18:18

strong for ethereum a big advantage this

18:20

all this developer activity and ethereum

18:23

it's already been around for a couple of

18:25

years too so until now it's stable um

18:28

isn't that yeah how do you see the

18:29

competition between different crypto

18:31

assets for example bitcoin and ethereum

18:35

i think that the entire crypto universe

18:37

could be divided into two

18:39

classifications

18:40

you have uh bitcoin

18:42

which is a universally acknowledged

18:45

common property it's an institutional

18:47

great asset

18:49

it's not controlled by any entity

18:51

and is not regulated by the sec as a

18:54

security and because it's common

18:57

property it makes a digital property and

19:00

you can build a multi a hundred trillion

19:02

dollar or multi hundred trillion dollar

19:04

economy on top of that one token

19:07

that is an innovation and that's

19:10

universally acknowledged as property

19:12

and if you're a public official

19:15

it would be unethical

19:16

to promote a security and may be illegal

19:19

to unpromote a security so a public

19:22

investor a public official in a public

19:24

company can't safely legally and

19:27

ethically

19:28

engage with anything other than a

19:31

property if you're if you're

19:34

pursuing true

19:36

digital economy strategy so bitcoin is

19:39

the safe haven

19:41

and there are thousands of things you

19:42

can do with it but the obvious use cases

19:45

store a value and a digital asset

19:49

the rest of the crypto economy all of

19:51

those tokens are very uncertain very

19:53

competitive

19:55

uh very insecure

19:57

and i think that if you look at the

20:00

testimony and all of the

20:03

publications coming out of the uh

20:06

regulators in the us out of the white

20:08

house administration from treasury from

20:11

the sec from the cftc

20:13

if you look at the testimony of the

20:15

chair of the sec uh in front of congress

20:18

and and public speeches even as late as

20:22

just yesterday

20:23

when gensler was talking to jay clayton

20:27

what they've made clear is

20:30

there might be a handful of other

20:33

properties or commodity tokens in the

20:35

crypto world but just about everything

20:37

else is a security

20:39

so that means the stable coins are

20:41

securities and they're going to be

20:43

regulated and they need to be issued by

20:45

fdic-insured banks

20:47

it means that most tokens are security

20:49

tokens which means they're being issued

20:51

without proper disclosures

20:54

and that would make it unethical for a

20:56

public figure to support them or promote

20:58

them and may be illegal

21:00

and i think most decentralized finance

21:03

is all uh not compliant with either

21:07

treasury guidelines anti-money lawn

21:09

laundering guidelines cft guidelines or

21:12

securities exchange guidelines

21:15

ethereum is used primarily as a

21:17

decentralized finance

21:18

you know exchange and also it's a it's a

21:22

token which is probably a security so

21:24

i i don't really

21:26

if you're a venture capitalist or a

21:28

speculator

21:29

and you're not concerned about those

21:31

things and if you can move rapidly

21:33

then perhaps you can invest in this but

21:37

i think it's quite it's pretty obvious

21:39

that they're nearly all securities and

21:41

if they're all securities none of them

21:43

are compliant with the public policy

21:45

framework of the western world which

21:47

means

21:48

in most of the crypto industry there's

21:51

going to be a lot of uncertainty there's

21:53

going to be regulatory crackdowns

21:55

there's going to be a massive shakeout

21:58

and uh and if you're a speculator maybe

22:00

you can figure that out but i think it's

22:02

a massive distraction

22:05

gary gensler was asked point blank in

22:07

congressional testimony and he's the

22:09

chair of the sec he was asked point

22:11

blank

22:12

by a congressman

22:14

his ethereum of property

22:17

he refused to answer

22:19

he immediately said

22:20

if a token is issued pursuant to an ico

22:25

probably a security

22:27

ethereum was issued pursuant to an ico

22:30

so i think that i think it's pretty

22:32

clear what they're trying to tell you so

22:34

bitcoin

22:36

is property

22:37

everything else is a is a venture

22:40

capital speculation

22:42

it's pretty obvious that ship coin

22:44

and dogecoin elon musk coin

22:48

and sailor moon coin are speculative

22:51

entities

22:52

and so if you're a speculator a gambler

22:54

or a venture capitalist and you want to

22:56

delve in that area you probably can

23:00

but uh the only real safe haven for

23:02

institutional investor is bitcoin now

23:05

there were a lot of news here for people

23:08

in this room at this conference who

23:09

might like ethereum or decentralized

23:12

finance you basically say what you hear

23:14

from gary gensler and other regulators

23:17

in the us that it's maybe becoming a lot

23:19

tougher if you issue a security you have

23:22

to have a security prospectus a lot of

23:24

lawyers involved

23:25

and i mean what do you think this means

23:27

for the centralist finance we had this

23:30

defy summer with this big boom of

23:32

development of decentralized exchanges

23:35

do you really think all of this will

23:36

have to be closed down or is there a way

23:38

to make this compliant with what you've

23:41

just been describing this regulatory

23:43

push

23:44

the the chair of the sec has said on no

23:47

less than five occasions in

23:50

congressional testimony and public

23:52

speech that decentralized finance for

23:54

the most part is decentralized in name

23:56

only

23:58

and he uses quotes it's not

23:59

decentralized

24:01

yesterday

24:02

to jay clayton the existing chair of the

24:05

sec said to the former chair of the sec

24:09

he said

24:10

there are components of every

24:12

decentralized finance exchange that are

24:13

actually centralized and they're doing

24:16

the same thing as centralized exchanges

24:18

they need to be regulated the same way

24:21

the caroline crenshaw memo

24:23

was issued about a week and a half ago

24:26

it's online it's online

24:28

you can actually read it i tweeted it if

24:30

you go to my twitter sailor s-a-y-l-o-r

24:33

you'll see it

24:34

caroline crenshaw is a commissioner of

24:37

the sec in the u.s she wrote a fairly

24:40

detailed piece and published it

24:42

the summary of the piece is nothing

24:45

nothing in the d5 area is compliant with

24:48

existing law

24:49

all the d5 exchange projects need to

24:52

come talk to the sec

24:54

fin hub is waiting for them to call

24:56

that fin hub which is which is managing

24:59

this it has never denied a meeting

25:02

and uh and they're expressing a bit of

25:04

surprise that the d5 projects have not

25:07

yet consulted with them

25:09

and they're noting that uh

25:11

that there are probably all sorts of

25:13

ethical and moral and regulatory

25:16

quandaries that are brought up by the

25:17

existence of define its present form

25:20

so i think it's pretty clear

25:22

and i think that regulators are trying

25:24

to say it's pretty clear defy can't go

25:27

on in his current form

25:35

as well as certain trading restrictions

25:35

on securities tokens

25:37

probably as well as other other

25:39

restrictions anything that's a staking

25:41

token that's generating yield is a

25:44

security

25:45

and that means it falls under the

25:47

guidance of the regulator so so i i

25:49

think that if i was in the d5 space it's

25:52

a hundred percent certain that there's

25:54

regulation coming it's it's reasonably

25:57

certain that it will not continue in its

25:59

present form

26:00

and they're going to be a lot of rails

26:02

and a lot of constraints put on it

26:06

you know

26:07

use that information as you like i

26:09

wouldn't invest in it but again if

26:11

you're a speculator or a venture

26:13

capitalist a lot of people are making a

26:15

lot of money right now in the market

26:16

doing it right right that's true

26:19

message is quite clear which is they

26:20

think it's non-compliant and it needs to

26:22

end all those guys who are making 300

26:25

percent on their pancake spot now might

26:28

think okay it's just michael sailor he

26:29

loves bitcoin but you know this week the

26:32

new crypto team bank of america

26:35

published a note saying stable coins are

26:37

the wild west and now the sheriff is

26:39

coming

26:40

so that fits that chimes in with what

26:43

you've been saying about stable coins

26:44

too so what's what's the view on stable

26:47

coins how's that going to develop with

26:49

the sheriff coming in and maybe saying

26:51

to teva it's not enough to just publish

26:53

something with stuff that you supposedly

26:56

own without even naming your banks that

26:58

you do business with so what's going to

27:01

happen there and how is it going to

27:02

change stable coins

27:04

well i mean first why does the world

27:06

want stable coins right we we need them

27:08

to run a 24 7 365 crypto economy with

27:12

with high speed low friction

27:14

but the world also wants stable coins in

27:16

places like lebanon and turkey and

27:19

argentina and afghanistan where in

27:22

africa where the banks are either

27:23

seizing the dollars

27:25

or the banks don't offer dollars

27:28

or you don't trust the banks to not to

27:31

not freeze your assets

27:34

stable coins are are pretty useful i

27:37

think they're critical to the future of

27:39

the economy

27:41

i think the regulatory view

27:43

and this is expressed in the president's

27:45

working

27:47

group report there was a report on

27:49

stable coins that came out about a month

27:50

ago and it was jointly authored by the

27:52

sec the cftc treasury with uh with the

27:57

cooperation of the justice department

27:58

the irs and other parts of the white

28:01

house it's it was pretty cross

28:03

departmental

28:05

what they said was

28:07

stable coins have a use in the economy

28:10

but the but the present situation is

28:13

such that

28:14

the organization's issuing them are not

28:16

transparent and they're not sure they're

28:18

backed one-to-one and they don't comply

28:20

with current aml kyc

28:22

anti-terrorism and i'm under a money

28:25

laundering act

28:26

so if it's going to continue it needs to

28:29

come into that public policy framework

28:31

what they did was say

28:33

they pretty much said congress and

28:35

senate should pass a law

28:37

that mandate that banks that are fdic

28:40

insured issue stable coins and if you're

28:43

going to issue a stable coin you need to

28:45

uh you need to comply with aml kyc rules

28:50

and then you need to be an fdic insured

28:53

institution

28:54

and then they said until congress passes

28:56

that law they're going to regulate

28:59

stable coins as at that same standard

29:04

conclusion

29:05

um that the industry is moving from an

29:08

entrepreneurial state to an

29:10

institutional state the first decade

29:12

were entrepreneurs they were moving very

29:15

fast

29:15

and they didn't have the licenses

29:17

they're not public companies they're not

29:19

public banks they're not fdic insured

29:22

institutions they're not in the public

29:23

policy framework they're not regulated

29:26

and in that world tether circle and

29:29

others they reached about 30 billion in

29:32

stable coins a year ago and then demand

29:34

exploded and now they're 130 billion

29:37

but having said it all you know they're

29:39

not in the public policy framework i

29:41

think the regulators realize that stable

29:43

coins are either going to 10 trillion or

29:45

they're going to zero

29:47

and if stable coins or the stable us

29:49

dollar is going to go to 10 trillion we

29:51

need to actually rotate from

29:54

entrepreneurs to institutions

29:56

so this is a crossing of the chasm and a

29:59

maturing of the asset class

30:01

all of the companies that are currently

30:04

issuing stable coins will either need to

30:06

become banks or publicly traded

30:08

companies or regulated exchanges

30:11

or they're going to get squeezed out of

30:13

the market

30:14

and i think the regulators were kind of

30:17

saying two things they were saying if

30:18

you're in the business you need to

30:19

become regulated and transparent and you

30:22

need to back your stable coins one for

30:24

one for one you can't like put fifty

30:26

percent of the assets into

30:29

unknown credit instruments that we don't

30:31

understand and you you can't be private

30:34

offshore they were saying that the

30:36

second thing they're saying is they're

30:37

giving a green light to jp morgan and

30:40

citigroup and bank of america to issue a

30:42

trillion dollars worth of stable coins

30:44

each

30:45

and so i think

30:46

if you look at the industry right what

30:48

you have is 500 trillion dollars of

30:50

money in the hands of public companies

30:53

public banks

30:54

chartered banks and public investors

30:57

and they're staring at the crypto

30:59

economy and they're afraid to come in

31:01

because they're not sure

31:02

whether stable coins are are kosher to

31:05

issue if it's okay to issue them and

31:07

whether and whether uh crypto is

31:10

property or it's a security that's why

31:12

they didn't want to come in you've got

31:14

the entrepreneurs that are under no such

31:17

compunction they're going fast and

31:19

breaking things because they're making

31:21

billions or tens of billions or hundreds

31:22

of billions of dollars there's a lot of

31:24

money there

31:25

they've been moving rapidly

31:27

now you've got uh the regulators led by

31:31

the sec

31:32

and and chair gensler and gensler is

31:35

probably the most informed regulator on

31:37

crypto in the world he said he he

31:39

studied it and he taught it for three

31:41

years at mit he knows it he knows crypto

31:45

probably better than any of the crypto

31:46

entrepreneurs

31:48

and he also knows the law and he also uh

31:51

knows trade finance and

31:53

and uh and banking financing he

31:55

understands commodities and securities

31:57

probably better than anybody in the

31:58

industry so what he's saying is

32:01

it's time for the industry to grow up

32:03

and bitcoin is good

32:06

digital property is good if it was

32:07

issued fairly

32:09

right satoshi's innovation was to create

32:11

a token

32:13

with no pre mine that traded for a year

32:15

without any market price where there is

32:18

no central control that is fair and

32:21

equitable and decentralized that's the

32:23

end that's the innovation

32:25

she says if you've got digital property

32:28

that's a common property and it's fair

32:32

then that's an innovation

32:33

and stable coins that are issued by

32:37

banks

32:38

that could that can move currency at the

32:40

speed of light for free 24 7 365 that's

32:44

useful

32:45

and if those two things come into the

32:47

public policy framework then we can grow

32:49

the industry from a two trillion dollar

32:51

industry to a 200 trillion dollar

32:53

industry

32:55

but if those things stay outside of the

32:57

public policy framework

32:59

if you try to move security tokens

33:01

around with 100x leverage with no kyc

33:05

offshore

33:06

then you're tripping over

33:08

treasury restrictions commodities

33:10

restrictions securities restrictions

33:12

that's not going to last

33:14

they're going to shut it down

33:16

and what what they said yesterday and

33:19

what they've been saying and testimony

33:21

but i hear it i hear it getting more

33:23

intense

33:24

what they said is is if these security

33:27

tokens and these defy exchanges don't

33:29

come into the sec and come into

33:31

compliance they're going to launch

33:33

enforcement actions and they're going to

33:35

begin to use enforcement as a tool more

33:37

uh more generally there are already a

33:39

lot of enforcement cases but there'll be

33:41

more yeah michael let's let's go

33:44

it's a good thing for the world

33:46

uh if if your goal is you want to see

33:49

the industry grow by a factor of 100

33:51

but it's going to put more regulatory

33:53

constraints on people in the industry if

33:56

they want to actually issue these tokens

33:57

and move them around

33:59

yeah i mean you describe a lot of

34:01

changes coming to the whole crypto

34:03

environment

34:05

so um from now on if anybody would like

34:07

to ask a question

34:09

please go ahead raise your arm and

34:10

somebody is going to come to you with a

34:12

microphone we have a gentleman here in

34:14

the front

34:19

would like to ask a question to michael

34:19

sailor here over here over here

34:22

okay coming up the microphone

34:28

could you please state your your name

34:28

and uh and your question

34:29

yes hi my name is marty faryan

34:32

i'm a fan of yours and my question is

34:35

you are a genius in

34:37

corporate finance among other

34:39

areas and you have been advising

34:43

mainly

34:44

on mainstream

34:47

other

34:49

publicly listed companies to also follow

34:52

your strategy

34:55

what do you would advise

34:58

on another level

35:00

to other companies like you or like

35:02

yourself

35:04

in regard to the

35:05

step that

35:07

mr zuckerberg did

35:09

in rebranding his company to enter the

35:12

metaverse

35:13

potential

35:15

and how would you

35:16

either for yourself or for other

35:18

companies or for other companies that

35:20

are not in your same

35:22

bracket

35:23

how would you do such a great marketing

35:26

rebranding

35:28

step

35:29

to combine bitcoin and the

35:32

publicly listed companies and

35:35

grabbing the monopoly there

35:37

thanks

35:38

um you know i think every company's got

35:41

a balance sheet strategy and they've got

35:44

an operating strategy

35:46

so your operating strategy is whatever

35:48

you generate revenue with and generate

35:50

cash flows and profits with

35:53

and your balance sheet strategy is is

35:55

how much capital you hold on your

35:57

balance sheet how you invested

36:00

i think that the easiest thing any

36:02

company can do

36:04

is simply adopt a bitcoin standard where

36:06

instead of holding capital on their

36:09

balance sheet in euros or dollars or in

36:11

in sovereign debt

36:14

uh which means they're holding credit uh

36:16

they're they're holding credit or cash

36:18

or currency derivatives

36:21

um they should just switch to a bitcoin

36:23

standard where they start holding

36:24

bitcoin as the primary treasury reserve

36:26

asset because if you're holding

36:29

sovereign debt or cash on your balance

36:32

sheet in the current environment you

36:33

have a negative real yield of minus 25

36:37

if you have a hundred billion dollars of

36:39

cash and credit you're losing 25 billion

36:41

dollars a year in shareholder value

36:43

right if you took the same 100 billion

36:45

and you invested in the s p index you

36:47

would have had 125 billion within 12

36:50

months so you see what you're doing is

36:52

you're diluting shareholder value by

36:54

holding any cash any euros

36:57

if you're lucky you're holding uh euros

36:59

and dollars on your balance sheet if

37:01

you're unlucky you're holding argentine

37:04

pesos

37:05

venezuelan boulevards turkish lira and

37:08

if you happen to hold any of those

37:10

weaker currencies on your balance sheet

37:12

you've got a negative real yield of 50

37:15

or minus 60

37:17

so the obvious thing to do for any

37:20

company is simply flip from

37:23

a fiat standard to a bitcoin standard

37:26

for treasury it's easy to do three

37:29

people and your finance department can

37:30

do it

37:32

if apple were to do it

37:34

they would generate

37:35

you know they would generate something

37:37

like 200 billion dollars in shareholder

37:40

value in the following 12 to 24 weeks

37:44

they would probably drive up their stock

37:46

by three 400 billion dollars and over

37:48

time they'd probably generate a trillion

37:50

dollars

37:51

so three people at apple computer could

37:53

generate a 50 billion or 100 billion

37:55

dollar a year benefit to their

37:57

shareholders it's very easy you would

37:59

obviously rebrand the company

38:02

because everybody would know that you're

38:04

on a bitcoin standard and there's 250

38:07

million people

38:08

that are interested in this

38:10

so that's the simple low risk easy thing

38:13

to do

38:14

the harder thing to do is to is to tie

38:17

some of your operations to bitcoin

38:20

if you're uh if you're a finance company

38:22

like fidelity or pimco and you sell

38:25

fixed income funds if you have a you

38:27

know most of bonds in europe have a

38:29

negative real yield so if you're selling

38:32

uh fixed income funds with a one percent

38:34

yield or a zero percent yield if you

38:37

simply put five or ten percent of that

38:39

money into bitcoin

38:41

bitcoin had a 200 percent yield so you

38:44

could put five percent of a bond fund

38:46

and you could allocate five percent of

38:48

your bond fund bitcoin and juice the

38:50

yield and you would end up converting a

38:52

zero percent yield fixed income fund to

38:55

a ten percent yield fixed income fund

38:58

while only risking five percent of the

39:00

overall assets

39:02

and so low volatility high upside

39:05

so finance companies can start issuing

39:08

instruments backed by bitcoin

39:11

if you're a tech company like apple you

39:13

can build bitcoin into the iphone if

39:15

you're google you can build it into

39:17

android's operating system

39:19

if you have hardware you can build it

39:21

into your hardware

39:22

so these are a little bit harder if you

39:24

want to build products and services

39:26

around digital property you can do it

39:29

if you're a bank you should probably

39:31

start to offer digital property custody

39:34

and sale and then banking

39:37

there's a trillion dollars worth of uh

39:39

digital asset in the form of bitcoin

39:41

which is not banked very well

39:43

so if you're a bank and you start to

39:45

take bitcoin as collateral you'll have

39:48

trillion or trillions of dollars coming

39:50

to your bank where people want to

39:51

finance it so i think that there are

39:53

lots of product and service

39:55

opportunities where you can tie your p l

39:57

to the crypto economy but um

40:00

that requires obviously a hundred x or a

40:03

thousand x more effort

40:05

than uh tying your balance sheet

40:07

there are some companies that can't tie

40:09

their p l to the to bitcoin for example

40:12

if you're a restaurant or a cruise line

40:15

or you're an ice cream shop or you're a

40:18

dentist or a doctor i'm not suggesting

40:21

you get into the

40:23

digital property

40:24

what i would say is you ought to focus

40:26

on that business and and generate as

40:28

much cash flow as you can

40:30

you should just convert the cash flow

40:31

into digital property as fast as you can

40:35

because if you're holding it in fiat

40:37

currency or some other form of property

40:39

it's debasing at a much more rapid rate

40:43

so i think that would be the summary

40:44

there yeah great we have another

40:46

question here so also sailor boomcoin is

40:49

the new name of your company right i

40:50

think that was the scoop we got here

40:51

today

40:52

that's what you mentioned earlier right

40:54

so but now the next question

40:56

i have a mic here i'm gonna have to

40:57

speak into my mic

41:02

you have to speak it in my mind okay

41:02

okay uh yeah sorry big respect for your

41:05

decision um my name is vit i'm running a

41:08

small country in balkans we went full in

41:10

bitcoin six years ago it's called

41:12

cleveland my question is i was actually

41:15

in salvador during the announcement of

41:16

bitcoin city and the site announcement

41:19

was bitcoin bond i think it's pretty

41:20

revolutionary it will create similar

41:24

similar effect

41:25

like you're going in fully in bitcoin

41:28

now for the countries they expect it

41:30

will create a fomo among the nation

41:33

states what's your take on on the

41:35

bitcoin bond that was announced by

41:37

salvador

41:39

um i think it's too soon to have any

41:41

comment on it because i don't know the

41:42

details of it and

41:44

i think i'd have to wait until after the

41:46

bond was issued and then if i read the

41:49

details of the bond i'd have an opinion

41:51

my view generally uh with regard to

41:53

bitcoin is whatever you do you should

41:56

focus upon doing that better

41:59

and not get distracted

42:01

and i think that uh that with regard to

42:04

bitcoin financing

42:06

it makes sense to borrow money against

42:08

bitcoin so for example if you're a city

42:11

and you could issue debt issue a billion

42:14

euros of debt and i think the interest

42:16

rate for municipal debt in europe must

42:19

be zero i think the 30-year swap rate

42:21

right now in the euro is 25 basis points

42:25

so if you could issue 30-year debt at 50

42:28

basis points or 75 basis points and then

42:31

buy bitcoin

42:33

the the way i would do it is i would

42:35

issue a billion euros of debt i would

42:37

buy a billion euros of bitcoin and

42:39

bitcoin is appreciating 170 a year for

42:43

the past decade

42:44

so we could debate whether or not

42:46

bitcoin will appreciate 10 or 20 or 100

42:49

percent or 170 percent uh but what's

42:52

clear is it's going to go up it's not

42:54

going to go down and if it appreciates

42:56

100 a year then your city would generate

42:59

a hundred percent real yield tax-free

43:03

on a billion dollars

43:05

so if you wanted to generate a billion

43:07

dollars of value

43:09

for your citizens you issue a billion in

43:12

debt

43:12

you buy a billion in bitcoin you hold it

43:15

in 12 months you'll have 2 billion in

43:17

bitcoin

43:18

then you'll have 4 billion in bitcoin

43:20

right if it keeps doubling you'll have

43:21

10 billion in bitcoin if you really

43:23

wanted to pursue the bitcoin strategy

43:25

the right way to do it is issue a

43:27

billion dollars of debt at low interest

43:30

buy the bitcoin

43:31

and then when you double or triple the

43:33

amount of assets in bitcoin

43:36

issue

43:37

another

43:38

billion dollars of debt if you're a

43:40

municipality generally sovereign debt

43:43

can be issued without much uh collateral

43:46

the beauty of a city or a country is

43:48

they can issue almost infinite debt with

43:50

very little collateral but at the point

43:52

that you need collateral you would

43:54

actually post the bitcoin as collateral

43:57

once i get to four or five billion in

43:59

bitcoin maybe i borrow a billion dollars

44:01

more posting the bitcoin as collateral

44:04

lever it up and then buy more bitcoin

44:07

now microstrategy did that what we did

44:10

is we used 250 million in collateral

44:13

bought bitcoin

44:15

then we did a dutch auction took another

44:17

175 million bought bitcoin the bitcoin

44:20

doubled

44:21

our stock tripled

44:23

we issued more debt in the form of a

44:25

convertible note at 75 basis points at

44:28

six we did 650 million of it we bought

44:31

bitcoin the bitcoin doubled our stock

44:34

doubled again we issued a billion

44:36

dollars of debt at zero percent interest

44:38

the bitcoin

44:40

went down we went and we issued junk

44:42

bonds at six percent interest bought

44:44

bitcoin bitcoin went back up again

44:47

and as we're here today in 14 in about

44:50

12 months

44:51

yeah 12 months

44:53

we've got maybe 14 months

44:55

we basically bought

44:57

three and a half billion dollars of

44:59

bitcoin that of course is more than

45:01

doubled so now we have seven to eight

45:02

billion dollars in assets

45:05

most of it's unpledged

45:07

so in theory we could issue more debt

45:09

where we pledge the asset to issue the

45:12

debt and as long as we're thoughtful

45:14

about how we do it

45:16

we can leverage up forever

45:18

now the most important point to make

45:20

here is bitcoin is capped at 21 million

45:23

which makes it a scarcity in the

45:25

universe everything else that you could

45:27

finance is a commodity

45:29

if you find if you do mortgage-backed

45:31

securities you borrow against equity or

45:33

you borrow against buildings or you

45:35

borrow against oil the problem with

45:38

borrowing against all those other things

45:40

is the world's going to produce more of

45:41

that stuff if the price goes up

45:44

whereas when you're when you're

45:46

borrowing against bitcoin the world

45:48

can't produce more of it no matter what

45:50

the price goes up to

45:52

so if you thought that you know

45:54

financing real estate was a good idea

45:57

bitcoin's a lot better than real estate

45:59

because bitcoin is scarcer and more

46:01

universally desirable than real estate

46:05

that's the way i would pursue it i don't

46:07

think that any sovereign nation has done

46:09

that no municipality has has issued debt

46:13

to buy bitcoin and no country has

46:16

uh and i think that many people

46:18

many people in the crypto world they

46:19

kind of fall into this this trap of

46:22

trying to get something for nothing

46:24

like uh you know they'd rather some

46:27

someone mint an altcoin like a sheep of

46:30

coin or a yo-yo coin and give it to them

46:32

for free

46:33

but the problem with something for

46:35

nothing is their securities

46:37

they're not property and there's an

46:39

ethical quandary you're going to get

46:40

into eventually if it's too good to be

46:43

true like you're a mayor and you'd like

46:45

to have a billion dollars but not

46:47

actually take a billion dollars of risk

46:49

it's an ethical quandary the right way

46:51

to do it is borrow a billion or invest a

46:55

billion of real money

46:56

take the risk on bitcoin and then wait

46:59

for it to appreciate and if you do that

47:02

that's technically sound financially

47:04

sound ethically sound

47:06

the negative is there'll be some

47:08

volatility

47:09

but you know there's volatility in the

47:11

real world if you're going to do things

47:12

with courage and conviction in life

47:15

you have to be prepared for the

47:16

volatility bitcoin's gone up 170 a year

47:20

on average every year for a decade

47:22

not without volatility

47:24

if i eliminate the volatility i have

47:26

gold and gold has gone up zero percent a

47:29

year

47:30

or i have fiat currency the euro and the

47:32

dollar and the and they're go and

47:33

they're losing power so you see

47:36

i can't have my cake and eat it too you

47:38

either have to accept the volatility and

47:40

accept the risk

47:41

and then you'll get a tangible benefit

47:44

that will last forever thanks michael

47:46

michael we've reached the end of our

47:48

time you thanks for sharing your bullish

47:49

vision for bitcoin and also thanks for

47:51

your warnings regarding stable coins um

47:54

unregulated exchanges and some parts of

47:57

defile so yeah great to talk to you

48:00

thank you very much gentlemen let's give

48:02

a round of applause to mark grosham and

48:04

michael taylor

48:07

thank you

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