SaylorCorpus

Michael Saylor on Bitcoin Principles (SLP536)

Stephan Livera · 2023-12-22 · 2h 50m · View on YouTube →

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so that that's what Bitcoin means to me

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right it it is a rational foundation for

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economics for the human race this is

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Stefan laa podcast a show about Bitcoin

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and Austrian economics brought to you by

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swann.com today rejoining me is Michael

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sailor he is the executive chairman and

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founder of micro strategy known for

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being a big Bitcoin Advocate and today

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we're talking about Bitcoin principles

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and Michael's view on this we maybe zoom

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out a little bit from some of the

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controversies of the day and really look

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at things on a longer term time Horizon

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what does that mean for Bitcoin and what

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are the ways to assess bitcoin's value

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proposition and what kind of changes

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should be made to bitcoin if any at all

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so I'm hoping you will enjoy this

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discussion with

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Michael welcome back to the show and uh

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congratulations on Surviving the bare

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Market yeah thanks for having me we all

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we all survived

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together well yeah I think it's uh great

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to see um you know obviously a lot of

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people can very easily get shaken out

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and it was uh great to see that you you

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huddled on and you're you're stacking

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all the way through so that's great to

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see um and today we're going to be

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chatting a little bit about this idea of

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Bitcoin principles and uh so do you want

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to just set some of the context like why

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are we talking about this now and what

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are what are we hoping to achieve

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here you know um I thought it was a

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pretty useful conversation to have

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because there's there's always a lot of

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um back and forth on um X Twitter about

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is this good for Bitcoin is this bad for

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Bitcoin there's there's very colorful

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conversations about um protocol

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proposals uh about uh software proposals

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about developer initiatives about

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applications the latest is you know all

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the debate around ordinals inscriptions

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brc2 tokens but you've always got

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covenants and drive chains and and uh

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you know if we look back right the uh

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probably the most formative period in

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the history of Bitcoin was the blocksize

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wars and uh that really did um it it did

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Define uh the network and Define Bitcoin

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uh in a very strong fashion but I I

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think that if we look forward another

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decade or two or three and certainly

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over the course of a hundred years there

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going to be more and more of these

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issues that'll pop up there'll be more

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constituents that will get involved in

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the discussion and um I don't really

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think uh having a debate in 240

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characters or less on Twitter is

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terribly constructive for you know a a a

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topic which requires a lot of nuance and

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subtlety and um I also I also think that

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it's important to be principles based in

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the way we discuss these things I think

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if we all focus upon what are our

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assumptions what are our principles then

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I think there'll be less confrontational

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uh and less combative and more

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constructive right in the community so I

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thought it would be useful to have kind

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of a constructive dialogue about Bitcoin

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philosophy Bitcoin principles Frameworks

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analysis uh so there's a basis for

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whatever comes

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next right and as you point out I think

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the blocksize wars of 2015 16 17 was

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sort of a battle for the soul of Bitcoin

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and maybe some people have discussed

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about you know what really is Bitcoin

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what are we what are we doing here and

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you know what kind of changes are

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acceptable and I guess people can

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disagree on what kinds of you know

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changes there like as an example some

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people might say h it proved that the

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block size should never increase and

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other people might say no actually it's

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more like not now not in this way and

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maybe in the future you know and that's

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just one example on the Block side so

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let's talk a little bit I think we'll

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bring it to this idea of you know

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Bitcoin as a protocol and so do you want

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to just spell out some of your thoughts

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there like what if we're thinking about

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the Bitcoin protocol and what are the

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pieces of that that should remain right

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what are those fundamental pieces that

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remain yeah I mean like I would hate for

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someone to Define me based upon one

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tweet response on one issue or or six

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response on six issues I think that uh I

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think that when we all start to

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understand each other's principles and

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philosophies and how we how we think

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about these things I think it lays the

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framework for us to come to agreement or

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at least a constructive cheerful

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consensus so you know starting with the

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basic on bitcoin and this is my this is

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how I view it right everybody has the

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ability and has the right to view

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Bitcoin through their own lens and they

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have their own uh their own view of what

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is it what is it for and why are they

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attracted to it so so I you know I'm not

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here to tell everybody else you know

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what to think I'm here just to

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articulate one view of Bitcoin that I

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have that I've formed over the course of

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my life so i' I'd start with this

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observation I'd say Bitcoin it's an

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asset circulating on a network governed

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by a protocol based on or rooted in an

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ideology and it provides Humanity with a

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rational scientifically sound economic

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foundation for the first time so that

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that's what Bitcoin means to me right it

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it is a rational foundation for

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economics for the human race and um you

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know Bitcoin with a small B is the

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asset and we've created a digital asset

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and we did it with the protocol and uh

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the asset's no value it is of no value

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unless there's a network for it to

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circulate on so when I when I think

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about the

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protocol this is the way I look at it I

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think Bitcoin uh it has three core

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protocols that are critical to the

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entire system working the first protocol

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is a monetary protocol the second

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protocol is a transaction protocol and

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the third protocol is what I what I'm

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going to call a power protocol it's it's

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sort of it's near term realtime security

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it's not security of the network over a

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100 years but it's security over the

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network over 100 days or 100 minutes

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it's it's the here and now so that's

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based on power who has the power over

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the network so when I think about

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Bitcoin in general well there's lots of

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Bitcoin nodes and Bitcoin applications

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out there anybody can create a version

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of Bitcoin that runs on an iPhone an

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Android phone it runs on Linux it runs

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on a different type of computer etc for

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them to be part of the network they kind

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of have to share these three protocols

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they're going to differ in lots of other

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functions right there are other aspects

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of software for example uh compatibility

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is it compatible with this version of

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Unix uh there's usability right does it

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does it run on the iOS and does it

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support like uh you know touch or not

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you know there's compliance uh the

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version of of of a Bitcoin wallet that

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runs in the United States you know by a

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publicly traded company you know will

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have kyc AML restrictions for the state

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of New York which will be dictated by

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New York and by the US so there's com

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there's there's differences in the

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software that have to do with

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compliance uh there's going to be

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security differences and these this is

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cyber security um so there there'll be

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lots of Bitcoin uh nodes and they will

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all be different in different countries

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in different jurisdictions for different

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platforms but the thing they all have to

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share and common is this common monetary

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protocol transaction protocol and power

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protocol so the monetary protocol is is

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the asint totically approaching 21

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million right there will never be more

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than 21 million and there's a lot of

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there's been a lot of focus upon you

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know the blocks of 50 and then 25 and

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then 12 a half and 6.25 and the having

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Etc but the truth is I I think about

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this not over the course of 10 years or

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the last 10 years I'm not even sure the

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last 10 or 15 years matter right we're

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approaching the 15year anniversary but

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for the sake of our discussion let's

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just say I accept Bitcoin as it is today

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you know through all of its twists and

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turns uh the blocksize wars you know Etc

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and I look out over the next 100 years

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is my short time frame and a thousand

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years is a reasonable time frame so I'm

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looking at this as as is this uh a

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rational scientific economic framework

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for the human race for the next many

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many centuries okay and when you look at

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it like that it's very clarifying and

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it's simplifying for example once you

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look out you know a thousand years

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you're like well what is the monetary

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policy it's 21 million it's 21 million

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Bitcoin uh is the most it's ever going

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to be and some of them will be lost and

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that's the only thing you really need to

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understand about that someone wants to

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create a a software programmer a node

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that has a different policy than 21

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million they're breaking Bitcoin right

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they've corrupted the monetary

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protocol um and of course you can have

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infinite monetary protocols you could

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have 5% inflation a year you could have

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five you know five five million Dogecoin

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a year you could have all sorts of

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things if you wanted

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um it you can create uh a crypto asset

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or a digital commodity that has a

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monetary protocol which is inflationary

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or inflationary for a hundred years and

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stops right all sorts of things but in

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this particular case bitcoin's monetary

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protocol has gotten to be very simple

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we're around 19 A5 million Bitcoin but

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we're going to cap out at 21 million so

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so to the truth is to debate all of the

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nuances of of how you get to 21 million

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is almost like second or third order at

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this point maybe it was second order for

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the last four years it's becoming third

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order it certainly is less than third

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order by 2035 when 99% of all the

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Bitcoin has been issued and you've got

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one% to be issued over the next 100 plus

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years you realize that 1% is divided by

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a 100 years is pretty Dem Minimus so so

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the monetary protocol is is a hard cap

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scarcity the transaction protocol is the

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4 megabyte blocks every 10 minutes which

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works out to you know Max you're going

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to get to Seven transactions a second or

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seven a half 4,500 transactions in a

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block is pretty packed and so when you

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work back into it you think well like a

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slow network is 100 million transactions

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a year and a a fast full network is 200

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million transactions a year and uh and

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the bandwidth is scarce right and the

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transaction

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protocol changed a little bit more over

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the last 15 years than the monetary

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protocol the monetary protocol is is

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pretty much pristine since you know

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Satoshi defined it the transaction

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protocol you know jerked a little bit or

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or or adjusted with

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segwit and uh tap rot sort of adjust it

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because they they changed the

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theoretical bandwidth and the the itical

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nature of transactions what kind of

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transactions will the network process

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and how much bandwidth can it process

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the third protocol is the power protocol

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and in this particular case it's not

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electrical power it's computing power

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but but what kind of computer power

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digital power you can Define all sorts

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of power protocols to control a network

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for example democracy is a protocol one

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person one vote you know aristocracy one

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rich family one vote you know violence

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one gun one bullet one vote right the

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world's full of power protocols that you

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know the the deer with the antlers have

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their power protocol um the power

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protocol for the Bitcoin network is Shaw

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256 hashen right and um it could have

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been any other right it could be a proof

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of stake protocol it could be all sorts

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of all sorts of other interesting power

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protocols but the question is who at the

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end of the day gets to to create the

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block every 10 minutes and what kind of

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power do they have to project in order

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to create the block and you know if I if

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I had an algorithm which was a CPU

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friendly algorithm right it's a a

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non-gpu a non- Asic friendly CPU well

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then um then you're allowing any general

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purpose computer to participate and

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generate that computing power if you had

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an algorithm that didn't include

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computing power at all it's just

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electricity but of course electricity

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isn't terribly scarce and computing

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power isn't terribly scarce so the idea

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of Shaw 256 hashing creates a very

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unique digital power protocol it's

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something where you can create custom

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silicon so you have custom as6 that are

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generating lots of Shaw 256 hashes and

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now we're we just crossed 500 x a hash

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that's a lot of power but what's what's

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really critical I think about the the

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power protocol is that it allows you to

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construct a silicon machine with a

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massive mechanical advantage like a a a

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custom as custom silicon gives you a

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100000x or 2000x advantage over a

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general purpose CPU and what that means

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is that what we have here is three

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interacting protocols which create four

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types of scarc it the first level of

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scarcity is asset scarcity the second

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level of scarcity is bandwidth scarcity

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there's a third type of scarcity which

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is power scarcity Shaw 256 hashes are

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very scarce form of power right they and

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they can only be created by Bitcoin

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mining equipment and so there's a fourth

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type of scarcity which is technical

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scarcity technology scarcity the the

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ability to design

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you know a high

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performance semiconductor chip that does

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Shaw 256 hashing right what bit main has

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as as a core

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competency right if you can create that

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so in order to guarantee the asset

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scarcity you have to have bandwidth

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scarcity and in order to guarantee the

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bandwidth scarcity you have to have

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power scarcity and in order to guarantee

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the power scarcity you need technology

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scarcity and so you really looking at

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like four harmonics or or you know four

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uh types of scarcity and they come

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together and they create a a they create

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a Network that has integrity and

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efficiency right I need I need the

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efficiency like like what's efficient uh

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here's an efficient power protocol I

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have a gun I'm in a room with 100 other

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people one person with a gun that cost

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$300 has the ability to secure a billion

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dollars in a room of hundred other

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people it's a very efficient way to

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secure the money right Whoever has the

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gun the gun now now take away the gun

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put the billion dollars in the middle of

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the room and now your new power protocol

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is your

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fist now you can imagine now you've got

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20 people punching 30 other people right

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now now the the outcome becomes very

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ineffective uh another Power protocol is

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I'm going to secure the billion dollar

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with $100 million of staked money you

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can see that the issue with that is in a

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staked economy I have to actually

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allocate 10 or 20% of the capital to to

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protect the rest of the capital that

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doesn't scale very well so when you

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actually get to the point where you're

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creating machines whether it's a

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construction crane or whether it's a gun

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or whether it's a semiconductor chip you

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have you have inserted knoow in order to

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channel energy in order to actually uh

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exert power and when I talk about you

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know scarcity of power well the Bitcoin

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miners own all the shaw 256 Asic chips

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so you know on any given day if every

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Power Company or electricity company in

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the world wakes up and decides to attack

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the Bitcoin Network they can't really do

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it because the computing power the

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digital power is scarce and they don't

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have it any government wants to attack

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the network they can't do it because

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they don't have the power the the actual

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silicon machine is in the hands of the

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network operators so that creates a

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certain type of efficiency and

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stability and you can't really build a

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civilization without it I mean it's the

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same kind of efficiency you get when you

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build a dam right you you Dam a lake and

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all of a sudden you're generating Hydro

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power uh or the same efficiency you get

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when you have a construction crane and a

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150 pound person can LIF 20 tons in air

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a th000 feet right it's it's clear

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you're not going to do it without having

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a machine so I look at the entire

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network and I think it's it's a pretty

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beautiful set of uh integrated

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protocols um because the power protocol

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protects the the transactions every 10

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minutes and the transactional protocol

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is is a market driven protocol where

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people are bidding to put their

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transactions into the block space so as

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as the the ecosystem grows the bid for

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transactions grows in a in a classic

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market economy fashion um and what you

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have is Austrian economics dictating

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which transactions will get implemented

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based upon subjective value of all the

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participants in the

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ecosystem the miners over the course of

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a thousand years it's quite obvious

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right the minors are paid by transaction

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the um the block rewards were a

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bootstrap or an initial subsidy in the

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first 20 years of the network but as far

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as I can see by the year 2035 the block

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rewards just looked am minimouse 1% of

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all the Bitcoin comes out over 100 years

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after that so block rewards don't really

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matter they fall away over the long time

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toward Infinity what matters is is uh

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transaction

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revenues and and over time uh I think we

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can expect the transaction revenues will

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grow to far outstrip the block rewards

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and and then if you look at uh Bitcoin

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miners they're really Bitcoin power

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producers or digital power centers that

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are defending the network they're the

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first line of defense in the network in

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the sense that anybody that wants to

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hack or or interrupt the blocks in the

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next 10 minutes they have to get through

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that hash wall they're also the second

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line of defense of the network because

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the Bitcoin miners all have invested

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millions or tens of millions or hundred

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millions or billions of capital that

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they can't recoup in in less than four

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to eight years and perhaps longer some

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cases because they have to recoup their

0:20:47

capital investment they form corporate

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entities in every single nation state

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and every jurisdiction and then they

0:20:53

become active engaged lobbyists uh for

0:20:56

pro Bitcoin policy everywhere in on

0:20:59

Earth where they operate so so you

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really could think of uh the Bitcoin

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miners you know kind of as all of the

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The Citadel on the wall that are

0:21:12

defending what is bitcoin and they

0:21:15

they're they are in essence the defense

0:21:17

uh the defense arm of Bitcoin in the uh

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in the shortterm in the midterm so that

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being the case once you adapt accept the

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fact that you've got these three

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protocols and then you you ask yourself

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well how should I look at the network

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and proposals to change the protocols

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well I think there are a lot of models

0:21:39

you can adopt you know one is the New

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York model the New York model is New

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York City is sitting on top of granite

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for 200 million years so Bitcoin is the

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granite Bitcoin is 21 million blocks of

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granite underneath New York City now

0:21:55

over the course of thousands of years

0:21:57

you've got had different nation states

0:21:59

you had 100 Indian tribes then you had

0:22:02

the Dutch then you had the British then

0:22:04

you then you had the New York colony

0:22:06

then you had uh you know the United

0:22:08

States and a thousand years from now you

0:22:10

may have another nation state on

0:22:12

Manhattan but here's what changes right

0:22:15

the granite doesn't change but the roads

0:22:17

and the sewers and the the City layout

0:22:20

changes and the parks

0:22:22

change and and the buildings change and

0:22:25

the people come and go and the PO itions

0:22:28

come and go and the rules and and the

0:22:32

political regimes come and go and the

0:22:34

businesses come and go and customs and

0:22:37

fads come and go and markets come and go

0:22:41

and those are all the things that you

0:22:43

can build on the island of Manhattan

0:22:45

because you have the granite and so if

0:22:48

you look at it that way you start to

0:22:50

think well Bitcoin is layer one it's the

0:22:53

granite what's important is I know I

0:22:55

need to know it's going to be here in a

0:22:56

million years that's what you know at

0:22:59

the very least I build a building I need

0:23:01

to know it's going to be here in a

0:23:02

hundred years but if you told someone

0:23:05

you know my building's good for a 100

0:23:07

years well 50 years from now they're not

0:23:09

going to want to buy the building from

0:23:10

you you really want to know the building

0:23:12

the land that the building is built on

0:23:14

is good for a thousand years if I if I

0:23:17

forecast a sinkhole in the middle of a

0:23:20

acre of of Manhattan in 37 years it

0:23:24

wrecks Havoc with the economy you know

0:23:27

in that jurisdiction so it's very

0:23:29

important that you have uh that kind of

0:23:32

of uh Outlook and stability uh the layer

0:23:35

twos the layer 3es the layer fours and

0:23:38

the layer fives and the layer sixes can

0:23:40

all have very high frequency Evolution

0:23:43

and there's not that much to risk

0:23:44

whether lightning and an open

0:23:46

permissionless Layer Two will compete

0:23:49

with other open permissionless layer

0:23:50

twos you can have competition we don't

0:23:53

have to agree on which one is the right

0:23:55

one you can have layer threes you can

0:23:57

have Bitcoin moving from cash app to

0:24:00

coinbase you know across somebody else's

0:24:03

mobile app and the layer threes can come

0:24:05

and go you can have layer fours and

0:24:07

layer fives applications and services

0:24:09

and derivatives you know you can have

0:24:12

this this ETF and it could be replaced

0:24:14

by that ETF they can come and go as well

0:24:17

and and then there'll be people that

0:24:18

will actually create derivatives of

0:24:20

derivatives I've got an ETF I trade

0:24:23

options on it and then I create an ETF

0:24:25

to trade the options on the ETF and you

0:24:28

know you could thinkwell these are

0:24:30

stupid things right maybe they are right

0:24:33

art in New York City will come and go

0:24:35

the art of 1700 is different than the

0:24:37

Arts of 1,00 BC is different than the

0:24:40

art of 2000 ad I mean they'll change all

0:24:44

these things so if you look at Bitcoin

0:24:47

you know all these things on the Bitcoin

0:24:49

base layer whether it's art or property

0:24:51

or applications or or lightning channels

0:24:55

and layer 2 all of these things are

0:24:57

going to change with what's going to

0:25:00

look like a very high frequency if if

0:25:03

you were a creature and your lifespan

0:25:06

was 10,000 years th think about how you

0:25:10

would perceive Bitcoin and all these

0:25:12

things that people are doing on Twitter

0:25:14

and talking about and developing you

0:25:16

know you would blink every 10 years and

0:25:18

then another 10 years go by and your

0:25:21

view would be very different and and in

0:25:23

that particular case you would have a

0:25:26

good feeling of granite underneath

0:25:28

Manhattan you know everything else would

0:25:30

change and then you would think these

0:25:32

mere mortals are debating you know this

0:25:34

and that like gramy Park the use of it

0:25:38

yeah that's been significant for a

0:25:39

hundred years but over a thousand years

0:25:41

insignificant and so I I think that the

0:25:45

New York model is kind of helpful I

0:25:48

think that um if if you take another

0:25:52

view of a protocol that's helpful you

0:25:55

know Bitcoin is our un ival econ

0:25:58

rational economic protocol well English

0:26:01

math fire electricity and gold those are

0:26:04

five other protocols English is a

0:26:06

protocol that you know has been around

0:26:09

about a thousand years it's changed a

0:26:11

bit you know there there's a lot of

0:26:12

debates but for example there are

0:26:14

certain things you can't say in with the

0:26:16

English language in certain

0:26:18

countries and yet we speak English right

0:26:21

so you're three-year-old probably can't

0:26:24

use the English language the way you use

0:26:26

the English language and if you were in

0:26:27

a court you wouldn't use the English

0:26:29

language the same way and if you were in

0:26:31

a foreign country you know you might not

0:26:33

use the language the same way so the

0:26:35

protocol will be used many different

0:26:37

ways but at the end of the day the

0:26:40

threat to the protocol is is to redefine

0:26:43

the word good to be bad and redefine the

0:26:45

word bad to be good and that starts to

0:26:47

create chaos right and I think you know

0:26:50

if you look at math it's a similar thing

0:26:52

like base 10 math is a very specific

0:26:55

protocol we didn't always have it the

0:26:57

way that we use math and and certainly

0:26:59

Bas 10 math isn't isn't that old but

0:27:02

it's used across nationalities good

0:27:05

people use it evil people use it people

0:27:07

debate how to use it some people are

0:27:09

really good at using it some people are

0:27:11

awful at using it and yet and yet the

0:27:15

protocol uh contributes something of

0:27:18

value to the human race and and

0:27:20

civilization benefits from having that

0:27:23

protocol I think that you know fire is

0:27:25

the same thing I mean you're not let

0:27:27

eight-year-olds use fire the way that

0:27:29

you would let uh an aeronautical

0:27:31

engineer use Fire or the way you would

0:27:34

let um you know even your campfire

0:27:37

instructor you know or your survival

0:27:39

training instructor use fire so they're

0:27:41

all different and gold gold is a

0:27:44

monetary protocol formed over thousands

0:27:47

of years you know and it was used across

0:27:50

lots of different different nations and

0:27:53

lots of different

0:27:54

cultures um some Nations use it better

0:27:57

than others right the Aztecs the Incas

0:27:59

didn't use gold so much as a monetary

0:28:01

protocol the Spaniards did they thought

0:28:03

they were winning when they used it they

0:28:05

had lots of chaos and the way that they

0:28:08

used it there are people that have used

0:28:10

the protocol

0:28:12

effectively uh but there are ways that

0:28:14

uh you know the protocol has been

0:28:16

Twisted I think the one the one takeaway

0:28:19

from all of this though is is uh these

0:28:24

Protocols are much more

0:28:26

powerful to the the extent that you you

0:28:28

believe they'll maintain their integrity

0:28:31

over long periods of time and at the

0:28:34

point that people start to lose faith in

0:28:37

the protocol if if if the number two

0:28:40

means four and the number four means

0:28:42

eight think about the chaos like think

0:28:45

about how many machines and how many

0:28:47

computer programs break if someone

0:28:50

redefines four to be two or plus to be

0:28:53

minus or or certain rules right and uh I

0:28:56

think um when when Bitcoin is seen as

0:28:58

that as that long-term protocol we can

0:29:01

create economic machines and and there's

0:29:03

this debate in the community but most of

0:29:05

the community debate is is Bitcoin

0:29:08

developers that actually want to change

0:29:10

uh that want to change the core

0:29:13

protocols they have ideas for how to

0:29:16

make it more functional and more more uh

0:29:20

performant but really I think that

0:29:24

Bitcoin is already offered us the

0:29:26

ability to create a 100 trillion economy

0:29:30

without changing any of the protocol and

0:29:33

you have this interesting tradeoff which

0:29:36

is the more you screw with the

0:29:38

underlying protocol the more you

0:29:41

interfere with the rest of the economy

0:29:44

and all of you know layer two layer

0:29:46

three layer four layer five so let me

0:29:49

change subjects to one other point which

0:29:50

is I think there's a lot of debate

0:29:52

because of people's vision of what

0:29:54

Bitcoin should be for for example crypto

0:29:57

currency has saddled the entire industry

0:30:00

with so much baggage because if you

0:30:03

believe that Bitcoin is a digital

0:30:05

currency you immediately put yourself in

0:30:08

opposition to nation states Banks

0:30:11

political currencies governments laws

0:30:15

Etc and and you're by necessity a

0:30:19

rebel because to be able to use Bitcoin

0:30:22

as a currency you have to actively break

0:30:24

laws or topple regimes and that's a very

0:30:28

uh a very combative view of the world if

0:30:31

you actually conceptualize Bitcoin as

0:30:34

property you know or money if if money

0:30:37

is collateral that backs the currency

0:30:40

then you actually have a very peaceful

0:30:42

resolution to this problem I'm going to

0:30:46

hold um hold my my money as a store of

0:30:49

wealth and Bitcoin competes with

0:30:52

property or gold as a store of wealth or

0:30:55

it competes with stock portfolio as a

0:30:56

store of wealth and I'm going to make

0:30:58

that my savings account or my savings

0:31:01

portfolio and then my checking account

0:31:03

my medium of exchange is going to be the

0:31:06

currency dictated by the regime where I

0:31:09

live whether it's Venezuela or Argentina

0:31:11

or the us or China or whatever and when

0:31:15

you just divide those two and you say

0:31:16

Bitcoin is money but it's not

0:31:20

currency then all of a sudden you

0:31:23

realize that you're competing against

0:31:24

other stores of value and and really

0:31:27

your Crusade every day is to convince

0:31:29

people to store their wealth in in

0:31:31

Bitcoin instead of art real estate gold

0:31:36

S&P uh indexes bond funds

0:31:41

Etc and you can have a completely uh

0:31:44

neutral view toward tax law legal tender

0:31:49

political uh laws Customs tariffs

0:31:52

Capital controls price controls trade

0:31:55

controls Wars ideologies

0:31:58

religions right politicians right the

0:32:02

entire work so I I I definitely think

0:32:06

it's so much more constructive to think

0:32:08

of it as property than currency and I

0:32:11

think the The Twist there is if I take

0:32:13

property and I make it fungible and

0:32:15

liquid then it really is money and it's

0:32:18

Capital right so bitco if you think of

0:32:20

Bitcoin is digital Capital digital money

0:32:23

or digital property held for the long

0:32:26

term as collateral

0:32:28

against uh against uh a local currency

0:32:31

and then you say as a citizen of the

0:32:33

world I'm going to swap into whatever

0:32:34

currency I need to spend wherever I am

0:32:38

then you found uh a peaceful resolution

0:32:42

to the question of do we have you know

0:32:45

do we have to be martyrs or can we be

0:32:47

winners and I I've said a lot I'd Rather

0:32:49

Be A Winner than a martyr and I instead

0:32:52

of saying we have to use Bitcoin as a

0:32:55

currency and therefore you have to

0:32:56

repeal all your tax laws and change your

0:32:58

legal tender laws much easier to say

0:33:02

we're going to use it as uh money or as

0:33:05

uh as a property and then we will move

0:33:08

peacefully and in a compliant fashion

0:33:11

through every single regime and then

0:33:13

we're going to convert every company

0:33:17

every government every politician every

0:33:20

institution into Bitcoin supporters

0:33:23

because it's not inconsistent with their

0:33:24

worldview either everybody would like to

0:33:27

store their value

0:33:29

forever um I think

0:33:32

uh you know the future if you look at

0:33:35

the future uh the future contains

0:33:38

property art money currency equity and

0:33:41

credit all those things are going to

0:33:43

exist there'll be thou there's currently

0:33:45

a 100 million companies as long as there

0:33:47

are 100 million companies there's going

0:33:49

to be equity in the companies whether

0:33:51

it's Apple stock or Amazon stock right

0:33:54

and and there are always going to be

0:33:56

companies

0:33:57

because if you look at economics it's

0:34:00

always going to be more efficient for a

0:34:02

certain group of people to do something

0:34:04

for you than for you to do it yourself

0:34:06

you know if you if you roll the clock

0:34:08

back to say you know 14th century

0:34:11

Florence you know in the textile

0:34:14

industry they need like 36 different

0:34:16

Specialists with 36 different machines

0:34:19

just to weave a a piece of cloth so the

0:34:21

good old days of we're just going to do

0:34:23

everything ourself you know on a

0:34:25

homestead they never existed I you know

0:34:29

I think I think that you know I I read

0:34:32

uh the other day about finding a axe

0:34:35

Factory a stone axe Factory that's more

0:34:38

than a million years old you know so

0:34:40

they find this like Neolithic you know

0:34:44

paleolitic whatever axe Factory and

0:34:46

there's hundreds of axes in the axe

0:34:48

Factory and what that's telling you is a

0:34:52

million years ago a bunch of human

0:34:54

beings organized a society that was

0:34:57

sophisticated enough that they could

0:34:59

dedicate one group of of the society to

0:35:02

do nothing other than create Stone axes

0:35:05

and trade those Stone axes for food

0:35:07

clothing shelter Services Etc so there's

0:35:13

never been a time in human history when

0:35:15

people weren't

0:35:16

specialized we're going to have

0:35:18

companies and if you're going to have

0:35:19

companies you're going to have Equity

0:35:20

the question is do we monetize the

0:35:22

equity or does the equity trade at its

0:35:25

fair value based upon the cash flows

0:35:28

that the corporation can generate and

0:35:30

there's and credit's not going away you

0:35:32

canot like bonds but the end of the day

0:35:34

you know you're always going to want to

0:35:36

be able to borrow some money from

0:35:37

somebody a company will want to be able

0:35:39

to borrow money governments will borrow

0:35:40

money and there will be creditors that

0:35:43

will want to loan the money and the real

0:35:45

issue is will it be a fair cost of

0:35:48

capital will I get a fair rate for the

0:35:51

money or not and you know currencies

0:35:54

will exist as long as there are

0:35:56

government

0:35:57

right and and uh when when uh nation

0:36:01

states break down and there's Anarchy uh

0:36:04

then you then you resort to Stone Age

0:36:06

barter and maybe you barter gold and

0:36:08

maybe you barter food and maybe you

0:36:10

barter bullets or maybe you'll barter

0:36:13

Bitcoin as as the most you know tradable

0:36:16

money in the future but at the end of

0:36:18

the day you know you don't really want

0:36:19

to live in a war zone because you know

0:36:23

if you study the history of War zones

0:36:25

the 30 Years War in Germany

0:36:27

well when it's done onethird of the

0:36:29

people are dead on the battlefield you

0:36:31

know and everybody has lost everything

0:36:33

and civil been ripped down to zero it's

0:36:36

it's not you know a desirable situation

0:36:39

so human beings are generally going to

0:36:40

run from war zones so you you know

0:36:45

you're not going to make currencies go

0:36:46

away as long as there governments you're

0:36:47

not going to make equities go away as

0:36:49

long as they are companies you won't

0:36:50

make credit go away and you won't make

0:36:52

art go away right the debate right now

0:36:55

is over inscriptions good or bad or nft

0:36:57

is good or bad well you know here's

0:37:00

here's a story for you Velasquez the

0:37:03

greatest artist in the Spanish Court who

0:37:05

painted the the Spanish Kings he after a

0:37:08

lifetime of service was spent on a he

0:37:11

was sent on a mission to Italy to

0:37:14

acquire art for the king of Spain with

0:37:17

the king of Spain's you know checkbook

0:37:20

and it was a reward to him so this is

0:37:22

about 15 I know

0:37:25

1650 so he goes to Italy and he searches

0:37:28

around and he can't find any art because

0:37:32

nobody wants to sell it all the good

0:37:34

stuff is not available for sale right

0:37:36

and the footnote in the history book is

0:37:39

millionaires in you know post

0:37:41

Renaissance Italy were using art as a as

0:37:44

a a hedge against inflation and a store

0:37:46

of value that's 300 years ago 400 years

0:37:50

ago hundreds of years people you know

0:37:53

people have been doing this and at the

0:37:55

same time there have been r Dart

0:37:57

auctions you know there there have been

0:38:00

you know art the entire art business is

0:38:02

its own Insider game and people will

0:38:04

establish one Artist as being special

0:38:06

and there'll be collectors and there's a

0:38:08

massive debate about whether or not the

0:38:11

art is worth what it's worth well that

0:38:13

debate's been going on for hundreds of

0:38:15

years and today that debate goes on not

0:38:17

just with art but it goes on with uh

0:38:20

with um you know luxury cars sports cars

0:38:24

it goes on with Rolex watches and luxury

0:38:28

watches it goes on with nfts it'll go on

0:38:30

with inscriptions and ordinals it will

0:38:33

just continue to go on and you know when

0:38:36

I when I hear that someone is a

0:38:38

collector of like rare whatever fill-in

0:38:41

the blank I'm like well I would never

0:38:42

buy that like I I don't want to store my

0:38:44

money in you know in someone's $500,000

0:38:48

sports car but somebody does it right

0:38:51

and and uh and it will continue so if

0:38:54

you think about this again New York

0:38:56

right in the city of New York you'll

0:38:58

have the art and you'll have the

0:39:00

businesses and you'll have the credit

0:39:01

you'll have the bankers and you'll have

0:39:04

politicians it'll always go on and what

0:39:08

you're going to want is the granite not

0:39:10

shift and uh and if you were the the the

0:39:13

granite and you just looked up you would

0:39:15

say all these silly human beings you

0:39:17

know they're doing silly things I would

0:39:19

never put a bakery there I would never

0:39:21

buy that piece of art what are they

0:39:23

thinking and maybe be right maybe be

0:39:26

wrong

0:39:27

but it is The Human Condition and uh and

0:39:30

that's the market economy so if we

0:39:33

actually humbly submit to the market

0:39:35

economy and we say we just want a

0:39:37

protocol to allow Humanity to pursue its

0:39:40

million different aims with high

0:39:43

frequency every minute hour day week

0:39:47

year decade right um then uh it kind of

0:39:52

gives us a a really nice framework for

0:39:56

thinking about Bitcoin and I I think

0:39:59

when I look at it I just say bitcoin's a

0:40:02

global Dynamic cyber economy and we want

0:40:07

it to be open transparent permissionless

0:40:10

Timeless immutable fair and Satoshi got

0:40:15

pretty damn close with the first

0:40:18

iteration and you could say there are

0:40:21

some second order tweaks to it over the

0:40:23

next 15 years through segwit and route

0:40:27

but at this point it feels to me like

0:40:30

we've achieved that and and on the

0:40:34

margin there have been hundreds of

0:40:36

attempts that failed you could you could

0:40:38

almost argue not hundreds but thousands

0:40:40

tens of thousands or hundreds of

0:40:42

thousands of attempts that have failed

0:40:44

we have one that is succeeding and uh it

0:40:47

takes me you know to the you know to the

0:40:51

next part of our discussion which is you

0:40:54

know under what circumstances should we

0:40:56

entertain proposals to change the

0:40:59

protocol back to the show in a moment

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tap signer are some great examples of

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Hardware devices that you can use to

0:42:28

help secure your coins this is

0:42:29

especially valuable if you're storing

0:42:31

amounts larger than what you would keep

0:42:33

on a phone wallet as an example now the

0:42:36

cold card is a great device and you can

0:42:37

use it easily by plugging it in with a

0:42:40

USBC cable and you can plug that into

0:42:42

your desktop or your laptop and use that

0:42:44

easily with software such as Sparrow

0:42:46

wallet Spectre desktop electrum or if

0:42:49

you want to use it with a phone wallet

0:42:51

you can use it with nunchuk as an

0:42:52

example the cold card is a very secure

0:42:54

device it has multiple secure elements

0:42:56

it has all kinds of paranoid security

0:42:59

elements that you can employ as part of

0:43:01

your Bitcoin security whether that is a

0:43:03

jurus pin a pass phrase or if you want

0:43:06

to use your cold card as part of a

0:43:08

multi- signature setup the cold card

0:43:10

supports a range of options now I have

0:43:12

cold cards in various setups I use it

0:43:14

some in single signature mode I have

0:43:15

some in multi- signature mode I have a

0:43:17

various um setups with that I really

0:43:19

enjoy using the cold card it's very

0:43:21

reliable and it it is my cold card it is

0:43:24

my Hardware device of choice so if you

0:43:27

want to get yours go to coin kite.com

0:43:29

use code laa for a discount on your cold

0:43:31

cards and now back to the show right

0:43:34

yeah um so let's yeah so I think I I can

0:43:37

agree with a lot of what you're saying

0:43:38

there around uh the New York the New

0:43:40

York City analogy this idea of a a solid

0:43:43

base that everybody can build up on top

0:43:45

of we can use it as our digital property

0:43:48

our store of value and as you said some

0:43:51

of these things will still exist

0:43:52

obviously Equity will still exist

0:43:54

there'll still be debt and credit now

0:43:55

maybe the form would be different the

0:43:57

artwork will still exist but you know

0:43:59

the form may change uh but there'll be

0:44:01

people who are doing this because

0:44:03

they've done it for thousands of years

0:44:04

before and they'll do it for thousands

0:44:05

of years into the future and so I think

0:44:08

it might be useful then to talk a little

0:44:10

bit about the purpose of Bitcoin because

0:44:13

I think that's that's where some of the

0:44:14

disagreement lies now I think I broadly

0:44:17

you know when it comes to let's say the

0:44:18

controversy of the day right the ordinal

0:44:20

inscriptions blc2 Etc I think basically

0:44:23

it's a matter of just wait it out right

0:44:25

like I'm I'm not interested in that

0:44:26

stuff but you know I'm not really trying

0:44:28

to because if you look at what some of

0:44:30

the protocol developers are saying

0:44:31

they're saying fundamentally you can't

0:44:34

really stop people finding ways to hack

0:44:36

and store data on on the chain per se

0:44:40

but they're paying a price for that and

0:44:43

fundamentally they I believe that will

0:44:45

be outcompeted over time with high value

0:44:49

monetary transactions now whether that's

0:44:51

high value you know people are trading

0:44:53

for property or to sell business or to

0:44:55

open and close the lightning channels

0:44:57

and all these kinds of things over time

0:44:59

those uses will get competed away so

0:45:02

bringing you back to the the

0:45:03

conversation around how should we think

0:45:06

about changes to the protocol I think it

0:45:09

it comes back to what people see as the

0:45:12

purpose of Bitcoin so as an example

0:45:14

there's a big debate I mean this is kind

0:45:15

of one of those things where people look

0:45:16

at the white paper and they say oh look

0:45:18

look at the white paper it's Bitcoin a

0:45:21

peer-to-peer electronic cash system

0:45:22

right and of course that's where some

0:45:24

you know bcer big blocker types will

0:45:26

sort of say a see you can't use it as

0:45:28

cash anymore and then maybe somebody

0:45:30

else might counter to that and say well

0:45:32

actually we what we mean by cash is

0:45:34

final settlement and by that we're sort

0:45:36

of something thinking closer to this

0:45:38

idea of as you said digital property

0:45:41

digital money um and so do you want to

0:45:44

just spell out some of your ideas on

0:45:46

bitcoin principles as they relate to you

0:45:49

know what the purpose of Bitcoin is and

0:45:51

what what sorts of changes if any should

0:45:54

considered yeah I mean I I think that um

0:45:58

you got to start by saying you know bit

0:46:01

bitcoin's primary role is to serve as an

0:46:06

economically sound technically sound

0:46:09

ethically sound foundation for the

0:46:13

future digital economy it it it is in

0:46:16

essence sound digital property or sound

0:46:20

digital money I've described it as

0:46:22

digital energy but you could think of it

0:46:24

as digital material how do we manifest a

0:46:28

hundred trillion dollars of real value

0:46:32

in cyberspace right H how do we do that

0:46:35

and make that stable right um before

0:46:38

Bitcoin all money uh you know all all uh

0:46:42

Financial transactions in cyberspace are

0:46:45

based on credit right there is no

0:46:47

digital money there's only Digital

0:46:49

Credit in the world before Bitcoin so I

0:46:51

send you a billion dollars or a million

0:46:53

dollars it's a credit on Visa Network or

0:46:56

on a banking Network and if the if the

0:46:59

uh the analog real world institution

0:47:02

chooses to honor the credit then the

0:47:05

money changes hands but you know we

0:47:07

we've talked about the problem with that

0:47:10

before like I I want to send um a

0:47:12

million dollars 40 times and every time

0:47:15

I lose two and a half% and it takes one

0:47:18

month and so it takes four years to move

0:47:20

the money 40 times and I lose all the

0:47:22

money right in essence after 40

0:47:26

vibrations of the money it's gone so so

0:47:29

um the world of credit money isn't uh it

0:47:33

isn't a foundation to build anything

0:47:35

lasting or functional in cyberspace so

0:47:39

bitcoin's primary role is to serve as a

0:47:43

digital monetary foundation for the

0:47:45

future of humanity and if there's $900

0:47:48

trillion dollars worth of stuff

0:47:50

circulating right now 0.1% of that is

0:47:53

digital money as we understand it withs

0:47:55

Bitcoin if we want to actually move into

0:47:58

the 21st century into the Cyber economy

0:48:01

you could imagine that we should be

0:48:02

getting to 100 200 300 500 trillion

0:48:06

dollars worth of monetary value

0:48:08

circulating digitally so it's the

0:48:11

foundation in the same way that the

0:48:13

granite is the foundation of Manhattan

0:48:16

but it's not the applications it's not

0:48:18

the buildings it's not the businesses

0:48:20

it's not the political

0:48:22

systems and uh so so to think it's that

0:48:25

it's currency is a mistake it's it's not

0:48:28

meant to replace Equity it's not meant

0:48:30

to replace currency it's not meant to be

0:48:33

a medium of exchange it's meant to be

0:48:36

the underlying um conservative

0:48:39

foundation of the entire economy now

0:48:43

that being the case it's I I think that

0:48:46

uh yeah it's a people that they they

0:48:49

they live for digital currency they just

0:48:52

waste all their time chasing after the

0:48:55

wrong thing and debating the wrong thing

0:48:57

currency is not even that valuable I

0:48:59

mean if if if you look at the entire

0:49:01

world economy and you ask what portion

0:49:04

of the economy is in currency used as a

0:49:07

medium of

0:49:09

exchange is that is that like one

0:49:12

123% like what percentage of of the

0:49:16

wealth of any wealthy person would be

0:49:18

currency they use as a medium of

0:49:20

exchange it you'd be luy to see it

0:49:23

1% so only % of the economy is anything

0:49:27

related to currency to so to to focus

0:49:29

upon Bitcoin needing to be a currency to

0:49:31

create value is missing 99% of the

0:49:34

opportunity the the real um value of

0:49:38

Bitcoin is if I put the other 900

0:49:42

trillion dollar into the digital

0:49:45

ecosystem I can defeat inflation which

0:49:48

which is decimating 10% of all the

0:49:51

wealth in the world every year right

0:49:53

that's a that's a big idea or

0:49:56

I can move the money a million times a

0:49:59

second instead of one time a month so so

0:50:04

what we're talking about is a high

0:50:06

fidelity high frequency method the

0:50:09

ability to to move money uh based on a

0:50:12

computer program a million times faster

0:50:16

a million times cheaper and the ability

0:50:19

to to uh manifest capital in digital

0:50:22

form such that it last a million times

0:50:24

longer right that's the Breakthrough

0:50:27

right a million times a million times a

0:50:29

million right it's it's a lot better

0:50:32

right it's and so I think that uh the

0:50:35

purpose of Bitcoin is that it's to

0:50:37

basically manifest the economy in

0:50:41

digital space it's the digital

0:50:44

transformation of capital if there's 900

0:50:47

trillion doll of capital what if half of

0:50:50

it could be transformed digitally and

0:50:52

you move $450 trillion into cyberspace

0:50:56

and well you would say well why would I

0:50:58

want to do that the answer is so it'll

0:51:00

last forever that it's it's Immortal so

0:51:03

it's indestructible check number two and

0:51:06

so it moves at the speed of light check

0:51:09

number three and so I can uh I can

0:51:13

vibrate it at the speed of a

0:51:16

computer so if the computer thinks a

0:51:19

billion times faster than you and is a

0:51:21

billion times smarter than you and I can

0:51:23

move the capital a billion times faster

0:51:25

and let the computer use it a billion

0:51:27

times more intelligently and if it's

0:51:29

indestructible and

0:51:31

Immortal then it's kind of the it's the

0:51:34

difference between relying upon animal

0:51:39

power and electrical power to drive the

0:51:42

civilization forward right you can heat

0:51:45

your home with a bunch of donkeys in

0:51:47

your living room or you can heat your

0:51:49

home home with electricity clean

0:51:52

electricity it's right it's it's

0:51:55

it's It's tricky to find powerful enough

0:51:58

metaphors but but that's an example of a

0:52:01

metaphor right electricity versus donkey

0:52:03

power in order to move the human race

0:52:06

forward so that being the case then I

0:52:10

guess somebody makes a suggestion let's

0:52:13

change the protocol I have a very simple

0:52:16

checklist you know is it

0:52:19

ethical uh and you know is it good

0:52:22

engineering and is it economically sound

0:52:26

right so is it technically sound is it

0:52:27

ethically sound is it economically sound

0:52:30

and um and I you know I think you know

0:52:35

if we could start with an observation

0:52:37

before I go too much further which is

0:52:40

the hypocritic oath starts with the the

0:52:43

phrase Do no harm right generally if you

0:52:47

have a healthy a healthy human being you

0:52:49

want to start by doing no harm right and

0:52:52

so here are the principles I think apply

0:52:54

with regard to bitcoin point it's

0:52:55

already a healthy Network it's already

0:52:57

gone from nothing to $850 billion dollar

0:53:00

in economic energy it's on a course to

0:53:02

10x that and 10x that again with no

0:53:04

change to the protocol as far as I can

0:53:07

see it seems seems quite evident to me

0:53:09

that we the the next stop should be 100x

0:53:12

where we are with all of the Innovation

0:53:15

taking place on layers two through five

0:53:18

so when you come to me and you say oh I

0:53:20

think there's a problem with Bitcoin

0:53:22

right it's like I just heard about

0:53:23

Bitcoin I'm here to fix it that's the

0:53:25

meme everybody keeps coming up with this

0:53:28

idea to fix Bitcoin they've all been

0:53:30

wrong generally so far and there'll be

0:53:32

another

0:53:34

100,000 you only get to play God once

0:53:37

and Satoshi played God and you could say

0:53:40

well Satoshi got to do it why can't I

0:53:42

well the answer is Satoshi did it the

0:53:44

reason we're talking about Satoshi is

0:53:45

because the other 100,000 would be

0:53:47

Satoshi failed if you read the history

0:53:50

of the world work your way through

0:53:53

10,000 pages of Western history

0:53:55

there will be thousands and thousands

0:53:58

and thousands of

0:54:00

episodes of alpha male thinks he was put

0:54:04

on this Earth You know to change

0:54:07

everything full of hubris and decides

0:54:10

that he's going to conquer his own

0:54:12

country then he's got to conquer the

0:54:14

next one then he's got to conquer

0:54:15

everything in his way and then he's you

0:54:18

know he's got to he's got to do more

0:54:20

change more Etc and that's the story of

0:54:23

juliia Caesar that's the the story of

0:54:25

Alexander the Great that's the story of

0:54:27

gas Khan that's the story of Napoleon

0:54:30

right that's the story of Hitler that's

0:54:32

the story of every King you know and

0:54:36

most leaders I could give you 10,000 of

0:54:38

them but William the Conqueror but the

0:54:41

story always ends the same way which is

0:54:44

they start the underdog they get a few

0:54:46

victories then their head gets too big

0:54:48

for them then they decide to go conquer

0:54:51

the next thing and then pretty soon

0:54:53

they're losing their entire Army in

0:54:55

Egypt or in Russia or wherever and you

0:54:59

know and if they manage to conquer

0:55:01

everything they die in the and the

0:55:03

entire Empire falls apart immediately

0:55:05

like with Alexander the Great or they

0:55:08

die and within one generation the Empire

0:55:10

falls apart which is what happened to

0:55:12

gas Khan or you know they end up with

0:55:15

with no Sons so they murder everyone so

0:55:17

they can have a son in their Civil War

0:55:19

or they end up with 19 sons and the 19

0:55:21

Sons murder each other and there's a

0:55:23

civil war or they have a UND sons and

0:55:26

one of them murders the first 20 and

0:55:27

there's 100 Civil Wars but at the end of

0:55:30

the day it's always it's always an

0:55:33

example of someone that thinks that God

0:55:35

told them it's their Manifest Destiny to

0:55:39

go and Conquer something

0:55:41

else and

0:55:43

and there's this there's this basic

0:55:46

stoic principle I think which is really

0:55:48

important which is

0:55:51

uh it's it's you may be able to acquire

0:55:54

the thing but it's 10 times harder to

0:55:57

maintain the thing and it's a 100 times

0:55:59

harder to prosper or enjoy the thing so

0:56:03

in business that means you can buy the

0:56:05

you can buy the business or launch the

0:56:07

product but can you make a profit

0:56:09

probably not but if you can make a

0:56:11

profit can you actually continuously

0:56:13

grow the business forever such that you

0:56:15

can compete for the next hundred years

0:56:17

and prosper that's a 100 times harder so

0:56:20

the world is full of people that think

0:56:22

that they can start a business but 99%

0:56:25

of the time they fail because they

0:56:26

underestimate the cost to compete and

0:56:28

the cost to prosper the world's full of

0:56:31

people that that they uh thought they

0:56:33

could acquire that thing but they can't

0:56:35

afford to maintain it and then they

0:56:37

acquire too much and they realize that

0:56:39

it's dilutive and they can't enjoy the

0:56:42

things they've Acquired and history is

0:56:44

riddled with examples of Empires where

0:56:47

Empire Builders they they overx extend

0:56:49

and then they realize that they can't

0:56:51

maintain the Empire at all collapses you

0:56:54

know in a

0:56:56

catastrophe and it's it's always pred

0:56:58

it's highly predictable it always

0:57:00

happens it if I were to give you a 100

0:57:03

examples I would have only given 1% of

0:57:06

the examples because it just happens

0:57:09

over and over and over and over again

0:57:11

so so when you think about all this you

0:57:14

know beware men with God

0:57:18

complexes you only get to play God once

0:57:22

and you

0:57:23

know most most medicine and most law is

0:57:28

iatrogenic it's it's kind of amusing you

0:57:32

know I there's so many examples in

0:57:34

history where where uh the historian

0:57:37

studies history

0:57:39

and this has been said in 500 BC in 100

0:57:43

AD in 700 AD in 1200 ad and 1500 ad

0:57:47

modern times but the basically what's

0:57:49

said is doctors multiply the ailments

0:57:52

with their cures and the lawyers

0:57:54

multiply the disagreements with their

0:57:56

laws the doctors want to prescribe and

0:57:59

operate the lawyers want to legislate

0:58:01

and litigate that's what they do and so

0:58:04

when you think about bitcoin's protocol

0:58:07

Bitcoin core developers or or protocol

0:58:10

developers they want to fix something or

0:58:13

they want to make a contribution because

0:58:15

it's in their DNA but

0:58:17

developers are just the lawyers of

0:58:20

cyberspace when the lawyer shows up at

0:58:22

the capital they've got to make a law

0:58:25

to save you from yourself and the more

0:58:27

laws they make the more they the

0:58:30

economy until eventually there's so many

0:58:32

laws that the entire civilization

0:58:34

collapses under its own weight and when

0:58:37

developers show up and they're invited

0:58:39

to opine on the protocol they want to

0:58:41

actually introduce a piece of code to

0:58:43

make it better and each you know and

0:58:45

it's always well I can speculate a

0:58:47

circumstance under which we might need

0:58:49

this or I can speculate you know if we

0:58:51

don't do this we're going to have a

0:58:53

failure but you know in the history of

0:58:56

mankind people that preach doomsday that

0:58:59

predicted the you know the end of

0:59:01

humanity they have 100% failure

0:59:04

rate and yet every single demagogue

0:59:09

every politician every Empire Builder

0:59:12

has always preached this right I got to

0:59:15

start my own religion because you're all

0:59:18

going to hell and the world's going to

0:59:20

end and it's happened to say hundreds of

0:59:23

times in understatement hundreds of

0:59:25

thousands of times most likely it's just

0:59:27

that we only managed to record about 10

0:59:29

or 20,000 of the

0:59:30

incidences but it's happened as many

0:59:33

times as there are leaders born and it's

0:59:35

continually happening

0:59:38

so I mean think you know you have a you

0:59:41

have a proposal whatever it is my first

0:59:43

start is if it's not a global consensus

0:59:46

to be a fatal defect and if we don't if

0:59:49

we all universally think it's a fatal

0:59:51

defect is going to destroy the network

0:59:53

then I think we should carefully

0:59:54

considerate I'm not saying we should we

0:59:57

could all be wrong by the way every time

0:59:59

every civilization has concluded that

1:00:01

the end is near they've always been

1:00:03

wrong right in the history of the world

1:00:06

they've always been wrong so if there

1:00:08

was Universal consensus of a fatal

1:00:10

defect that's going to destroy us all we

1:00:13

simply ought to talk about it and maybe

1:00:16

maybe we should do something but it

1:00:18

doesn't mean we should do something we

1:00:19

should really think hard about it when I

1:00:22

when I look at as an engineer um and I

1:00:25

spent my career in engineering Stefan

1:00:28

like for 30 years I ran a software

1:00:30

company

1:00:32

so thousands and thousands of man years

1:00:35

engineering conclusion code is a

1:00:38

liability not an asset just like laws

1:00:41

are a liability not an asset right the

1:00:44

president of of Argentina is looking to

1:00:47

repeal 380,000 different

1:00:51

rules right um so complex

1:00:55

in the protocol creates new attack

1:00:57

surfaces every time you introduce a new

1:01:00

a new Co piece of code is an attack

1:01:02

surface it's something to break given

1:01:04

the fact that we're already winning and

1:01:06

we're on a path to winning like and this

1:01:09

is this is where it's you're an optimist

1:01:11

or you're a pessimist for example do you

1:01:13

think the universe is going to work with

1:01:14

or without human beings if the universe

1:01:17

is going to go on for another billion

1:01:19

years then who needs you to F with the

1:01:21

laws of

1:01:22

physics right it's it's going to work

1:01:24

fine without you right so you have your

1:01:26

little God complex but probably you'll

1:01:28

be wrong the universe will be right so

1:01:31

if if you actually have some respect for

1:01:34

natural law and if you have respect for

1:01:36

Bitcoin the network if you think it's

1:01:37

already

1:01:39

working then every piece of complexity

1:01:42

introduces a way for it to break every

1:01:44

complexity is a new failure mode a new

1:01:46

attack surface a new maintenance

1:01:48

obligation I created a new piece of code

1:01:51

okay well now we have to test it against

1:01:53

every other piece of code every time we

1:01:55

update any piece of the software okay so

1:01:58

100,000 different permutations of things

1:02:01

to worry about testing and if one of

1:02:02

them breaks were

1:02:05

doomed and on the other hand uh what's

1:02:10

the usefulness of the new feature right

1:02:13

that a new feature encourages feature

1:02:16

competition so every time you add a new

1:02:17

feature you encourage someone else to

1:02:19

propose their feature and then you

1:02:21

create confusion it's like okay well

1:02:24

there a new feature so now everybody in

1:02:26

the world has to figure out how that

1:02:28

affects everything that they've done or

1:02:29

everything they're going to do and that

1:02:32

creates a an arms race or a feature race

1:02:34

and that creates uncertainty and that

1:02:37

undermines trust and

1:02:39

ultimately all of the confusion

1:02:42

uncertainty and undermining of the trust

1:02:45

undermines the efficiency of everybody

1:02:48

else in the ecosystem so all the layer

1:02:50

two layer three layer four layer five

1:02:52

and layer six it's let let me me say it

1:02:54

this way I'm playing God and I'm just

1:02:57

going to routinely zap four acres of

1:03:00

granite in New York City in the next 10

1:03:03

years and I'll wipe them out and put a

1:03:06

sinkhole underneath that goes down to

1:03:07

the Center of the Earth because I feel

1:03:08

like I need to do that to save the world

1:03:11

and you live in New York and you run a

1:03:13

business in New York and you're the

1:03:15

mayor of New York you see the chaos that

1:03:17

creates it's like do I have to pass a

1:03:20

law to to inspect every acre of New York

1:03:22

every month for the next forever to

1:03:24

figure out whether school kids will drop

1:03:26

into the sinkhole it's like yeah you

1:03:29

think you're doing good it's like well I

1:03:31

speculate the global warming will end

1:03:33

the world and so I got to do this it's

1:03:36

like my speculation so please let me do

1:03:38

it but what you're doing is creating an

1:03:42

obscene amount of inefficiency in the

1:03:46

rest of the economy that you're we call

1:03:49

this strategic incompetence you're

1:03:52

blissfully ignorant and you're so

1:03:54

incompetent that you can't imagine what

1:03:56

kind of chaos you will create for all

1:03:59

the other people not in the room with

1:04:00

you right now and that's what gives you

1:04:03

the confidence to go and mess with the

1:04:06

world right because you've got that big

1:04:08

an ego and uh I think if you have

1:04:11

humility and you say well I know I know

1:04:14

one human being worth of stuff and

1:04:17

there's a hundred million other human

1:04:18

beings that are affected and maybe I

1:04:21

don't know the other

1:04:23

99 99 million human beings worth of

1:04:26

stuff then you would go much more

1:04:29

carefully from an engineering point of

1:04:32

view you know that the model I would

1:04:35

give you here too is the 737 Max are you

1:04:38

familiar with the 737 Max and the

1:04:40

debacle that introduced yeah I heard of

1:04:43

this story but go on for the listeners

1:04:45

so I'm an aeronautical engineer and uh

1:04:48

and so I I know something about building

1:04:50

aircraft and and the short of it is

1:04:53

Aeronautical Engineering is is a systems

1:04:55

discipline so when you change the

1:04:57

payload of the aircraft and you change

1:05:00

the wing of the aircraft or the fuselage

1:05:01

of the aircraft or the or the mission of

1:05:04

the aircraft or the specs of the

1:05:06

aircraft or the furniture in the

1:05:07

aircraft or the electronics in the

1:05:08

aircraft you have to you have to

1:05:10

consider whether or not You' broken

1:05:12

anything and you could introduce a new

1:05:15

couch and destabilize the aircraft under

1:05:19

certain circumstances and crash the

1:05:20

thing and kill everybody which is why

1:05:23

you know you're careful about playing

1:05:25

God on the aircraft it's not like

1:05:27

shuffling the furniture in your living

1:05:29

room the 737 was designed in the

1:05:33

1960s it's one of the most successful

1:05:35

aircraft designs in the history of the

1:05:38

world uh we were flying it in the 70s we

1:05:41

flew in the 80s the 90s with for 50

1:05:43

years we created this we flew this

1:05:45

aircraft and we made incremental

1:05:47

adjustments to the to the airframe we

1:05:50

stretched it a little bit longer but we

1:05:52

didn't change the shape of the fuchal

1:05:54

and we kept most of the components and

1:05:57

it was very successful and it was flown

1:05:59

by pilots very successfully and then

1:06:01

Along come some some well-to-do

1:06:03

well-meaning Engineers that want to fix

1:06:06

it or make it better it wasn't broken

1:06:08

it's the most successful you know

1:06:10

airliner in the history of the world but

1:06:12

but someone always wants to make it

1:06:14

better probably someone that graduated

1:06:16

from computer science program and they

1:06:18

learned about new techniques and so they

1:06:21

decided to upgrade the control system

1:06:24

and the autopilot system in the aircraft

1:06:27

in the cockpit we have to migrate to

1:06:29

electronic cockpit and and so when they

1:06:33

did it they introduced code into uh in

1:06:36

into the auto throttles and and into the

1:06:39

control system there was supposed to be

1:06:41

a fail safe to keep the plane from

1:06:43

crashing so it overrode the pilot under

1:06:46

certain

1:06:48

circumstances and and they introduced a

1:06:51

bug into the into the code and the way

1:06:54

that the software interacted with the

1:06:56

sensors on the

1:06:58

aircraft you know in a system systemic

1:07:01

fashion was such that under certain

1:07:03

circumstances the um the software took

1:07:06

over control of the

1:07:07

cockpit and stalled out the airplane and

1:07:10

crashed it and killed everybody and it

1:07:11

just kept happening you know and and if

1:07:14

you're the pilot in the

1:07:15

airplane you you get murdered by the

1:07:18

software and the software kills you and

1:07:21

kills all the passengers and they were

1:07:24

killed by the

1:07:25

upgrade and so as an example of if they

1:07:27

had done

1:07:29

nothing we'd all be better off right and

1:07:33

and it was a massive hubris because

1:07:37

there's this arrogance of thinking that

1:07:39

no matter what I do I won't make things

1:07:41

worse and I can introduce as much

1:07:43

complexity as I

1:07:45

want and the answer is no you can't you

1:07:49

can't introduce much complexity right

1:07:52

since you're not God and you don't

1:07:55

understand all circumstances and and all

1:07:59

all parts of the functional envelope you

1:08:02

C you know you can't possibly see the

1:08:04

full implications but what we do know is

1:08:07

uh you know a bunch of very enthusiastic

1:08:10

Engineers made an upgrade to actually

1:08:13

make the plane

1:08:15

unsafe and yeah you always have to be

1:08:19

concerned about that and uh and there

1:08:21

tends to be lots of examples of that in

1:08:24

the world is happening all the time yeah

1:08:26

so one point I just want to bring up

1:08:28

here just to get your response on this

1:08:30

because there is certainly and I'm sure

1:08:33

you recognize this also a role for

1:08:34

maintenance right there's there's always

1:08:36

a need for maintenance Bitcoin itself

1:08:39

doesn't exist in a vacuum right it it

1:08:41

has to connect to the internet and you

1:08:43

know there are other aspects of code or

1:08:46

applications that Bitcoin has to connect

1:08:49

with so I presume then you know that's

1:08:52

you would contrast that from the RO for

1:08:54

maintenance of the protocol so that

1:08:56

people can still use Bitcoin wouldn't

1:08:59

you yeah I I think that uh one way to

1:09:02

think about this is there's a

1:09:04

kernel like if you look at the database

1:09:06

industry like there is the kernel the

1:09:08

relational database kernel Oracle and

1:09:10

Oracle was ported to lots of different

1:09:12

computer platforms and so there would be

1:09:15

the version of Oracle on a Mainframe and

1:09:17

the version of Oracle on a on an IBM uh

1:09:20

PC and the version of Oracle on an Apple

1:09:22

computer and the version of Oracle that

1:09:24

might run on a mobile handset or an

1:09:26

Android phone but the kernel stays the

1:09:28

same and the way it processes SQL and

1:09:30

the way that the engine works the

1:09:32

protocol doesn't change um the ports are

1:09:36

various instances right it it might very

1:09:39

well be that they have different

1:09:42

functionality and they have to be

1:09:43

maintained and upgraded with the

1:09:45

operating systems as they change and

1:09:46

there's a role for that but good

1:09:49

software engineering is such that you

1:09:52

would always want to have a situation

1:09:54

where if the system crashes it crashes

1:09:56

on the client but it doesn't corrupt the

1:09:58

data or corrupt the network so you you

1:10:02

know you don't want a client you know

1:10:05

anywhere on the network that would

1:10:06

corrupt the network or or or corrupt the

1:10:08

underlying data and so there's a

1:10:10

question of how does it crash right how

1:10:12

does it fail does it fail gracefully or

1:10:15

does it fail in such a way that it it

1:10:17

corrupts all of the data right or or or

1:10:20

the worst case would be it crashes and

1:10:22

it and it uh

1:10:24

crashes other people's devices as well

1:10:26

so I think that the that there is a lot

1:10:29

of software engineering to be done

1:10:31

around Bitcoin I mean the engineering of

1:10:34

the signing devices the engineering of

1:10:36

the node clients the engineering of the

1:10:38

mining rigs the engineering of of the

1:10:42

mining pools right the engineering of

1:10:44

the layer two of the wallets the

1:10:46

engineering of the layer 3 apps and and

1:10:49

the light the engineering of lightning

1:10:51

channels these are all parts of of the

1:10:54

ecosystem but I would say

1:10:57

philosophically you want the majority of

1:11:00

risk to sit with the you want the risk

1:11:02

to always be with the client you want

1:11:04

you want the risk on the edge of the

1:11:05

network you want the risk to be ideally

1:11:08

with the application and the

1:11:11

corporation right like like if if you're

1:11:14

a custodian you're going to lose

1:11:15

something you want the corporation to be

1:11:17

on the hook for it um if if you're going

1:11:21

to destroy an entity you want to destroy

1:11:24

the company or the individual or the

1:11:26

client device or the individual minor

1:11:30

you don't want a fatality of the network

1:11:33

right we we can't afford to have the

1:11:34

protocol corrupted right that's that's

1:11:37

kind of like if you're if you're

1:11:38

screwing with stuff in your factory

1:11:41

you're not allowed to use uh Planet

1:11:44

busting nuclear fusion weapons because

1:11:46

if you mess that up you blow up the

1:11:48

planet right so don't let people burn

1:11:51

down the entire city don't let them burn

1:11:53

down the entire network uh with regard

1:11:56

to you know everything else look you

1:12:00

Bitcoin can survive the failure of any

1:12:03

um layer three application or custodial

1:12:06

application it can survive the failure

1:12:08

of any holder and it can survive the

1:12:11

failure even of um a layer two protocol

1:12:14

a lightning protocol the entire protocol

1:12:16

could fail Bitcoin will survive right

1:12:19

and uh it can survive a a failure of a

1:12:21

lightning channel right so there are of

1:12:23

components that it can survive just like

1:12:26

New York City can survive the collapse

1:12:29

of any building any business any

1:12:31

government any mayor any Administration

1:12:34

and any culture but it can't survive you

1:12:38

know a 100 thermonuclear Warheads that

1:12:42

plow uh a one mile crater over all of

1:12:46

Manhattan such that the ocean covers it

1:12:49

right and swallows it you don't want a

1:12:51

Atlantis situation where the entire

1:12:54

thing sinks under the Atlantic so so you

1:12:57

got to consider the risk and I think

1:13:00

that um there's no point in trying to

1:13:02

get involved in all of the software

1:13:05

engineering of the layers above the

1:13:07

foundation because they're all high

1:13:10

frequency High complexity my my general

1:13:13

view is just if you're a brilliant

1:13:14

engineer if you're the Mark Zuckerberg

1:13:16

type and you want to create something

1:13:18

that's that you think is worth hundreds

1:13:19

of billions of dollars create it as an

1:13:22

application on bitcoin and go take it

1:13:24

public and raise capital and Market it

1:13:26

to the world and maybe you just created

1:13:28

the next Facebook or created the next

1:13:30

Microsoft and maybe you know if you're

1:13:32

right and if you're wrong okay your

1:13:35

investors will go bankrupt and your code

1:13:37

will be you know scrubbed off the

1:13:39

network in time you know history shows

1:13:43

99.999% of the time you're wrong right

1:13:46

there's only like a dozen people that

1:13:47

were ever like Mark Zuckerberg and there

1:13:49

was a million people that wanted to be

1:13:52

so history suggest you'll probably be

1:13:54

wrong but you know everybody has their

1:13:55

right to take their shot and you should

1:13:58

and and you should go ahead and risk

1:14:00

your time your Capital your code and if

1:14:03

you're successful maybe your cash app

1:14:06

and you'll have 50 million users on the

1:14:07

network and you get to control how those

1:14:09

50 million people interact with Bitcoin

1:14:11

right and maybe you'll have 500 million

1:14:13

people on the network maybe you'll be

1:14:14

Microsoft and you'll have a billion

1:14:16

people on the network and you'll get to

1:14:17

control how your billion customers inter

1:14:19

wck Bitcoin and maybe you'll have a

1:14:21

trillion dollars of Bitcoin in the

1:14:22

network and that's okay but at the end

1:14:24

of the day you're going to be an attack

1:14:26

surface you're going to be a corporation

1:14:28

you'll be subject to a subpoena you'll

1:14:30

be centralized and maybe you'll be

1:14:32

successful in the US but maybe you'll be

1:14:34

like apple I mean think about the

1:14:36

problems that Apple Google and Facebook

1:14:38

have in China right now right there they

1:14:41

all have very much political headaches

1:14:43

so all of these layer 3es are going to

1:14:45

have political headaches but but you

1:14:47

can't be little the ability to do good

1:14:50

the truth is you know Microsoft and

1:14:52

Apple and Google have a accomplish

1:14:53

things in their own way that you could

1:14:56

never accomplish with an open protocol

1:14:59

or with you know a layer one protocol

1:15:02

and so it's silly to try to do what they

1:15:05

do in layer three and the layer one but

1:15:07

it's silly for them to not take

1:15:09

advantage of the layer one so that's

1:15:11

what I think about general maintenance

1:15:15

of different types one other area that I

1:15:17

think some people may be interested to

1:15:19

hear your view here when we're talking

1:15:20

about engineering what of things like

1:15:24

non-consensus changes right so for

1:15:25

example the big ticket things that

1:15:27

people talk about are typically the soft

1:15:29

Forks right so segwit Tapo and so on but

1:15:32

there are a whole host of other changes

1:15:34

that are just happening as an example

1:15:35

with new releases of Bitcoin core so for

1:15:38

an example the V2 transport protocol or

1:15:41

other things that are that they are

1:15:43

changing you know as we speak right

1:15:46

every six months there's a new on

1:15:48

average there's a new release and so

1:15:49

some of these changes are already

1:15:51

occurring so what are you what are you

1:15:54

saying in respect to those changes that

1:15:56

are not these kind of big headline soft

1:15:58

fors or consensus changes well I I think

1:16:01

the core protocol the monetary protocol

1:16:04

the transaction protocol the power

1:16:06

protocol the things that's the essence

1:16:08

of Bitcoin that needs to be defended in

1:16:11

a very conservative fashion a as the

1:16:14

foundation of the entire Bitcoin economy

1:16:17

I think that when you look Beyond it at

1:16:20

at various extensions of those protocols

1:16:24

that are optional right S soft Forks if

1:16:27

you will maybe Backward Compatible

1:16:29

extensions that may or may not be

1:16:31

adopted I think that people can pursue

1:16:34

whatever they want to pursue and the

1:16:36

market will decide for example if you

1:16:38

came up with a Bitcoin node that ran on

1:16:40

an iPhone you know may would I download

1:16:43

it might you add some iPhone features

1:16:45

would it be successful would it not be

1:16:47

successful people have different

1:16:48

opinions about it you know uh maybe it's

1:16:51

a good idea maybe it's not a good idea I

1:16:54

mean people will make arguments about

1:16:56

why it shouldn't be part of the Apple

1:16:57

Store you know subject to Apple approval

1:17:00

and someone also say why don't we just

1:17:02

let it go you know I think everybody's

1:17:04

free to come up with their own uh

1:17:06

software it's either Layer Two I'll

1:17:09

characterize Layer Two is it's

1:17:11

consistent it's it's consistent with the

1:17:13

core protocol of Bitcoin the layer one

1:17:16

protocol the foundational protocol but

1:17:18

it's optional and it's open source

1:17:20

that's like lightning it could be 100

1:17:23

flavors of lightning and and you know

1:17:25

there's there's Bitcoin core but people

1:17:27

can create 100 competitors that are

1:17:29

different ports to run on different

1:17:32

devices you know my version has a

1:17:34

different way to sync and it syncs in

1:17:36

one minute you know on your Android

1:17:39

phone or it syncs you know and it's it

1:17:41

runs differently and people will debate

1:17:43

it they can debate it or not and uh

1:17:46

maybe it'll evolve maybe it won't evolve

1:17:48

I think that as long as it's not

1:17:50

screwing with the power protocol the

1:17:52

monetary prot protocol the transaction

1:17:54

protocol then probably the market will

1:17:57

work it out and I think many of them

1:18:00

morph into a layer three because there's

1:18:02

a custodian or there's a company or a

1:18:04

group of people a centralized group most

1:18:07

will because if you want to do something

1:18:09

which has got a lot of uh fun Rich

1:18:12

functionality or Rich performance or

1:18:14

anything different any other bells and

1:18:16

whistles if you want to add usability if

1:18:18

you want to add compatibility if you

1:18:20

want to add compliance you're going to

1:18:21

have to have

1:18:23

an organized software engineering team

1:18:25

to do it I think that's it's obvious we

1:18:27

need those right if you want to you know

1:18:30

run Bitcoin in a certain regulatory

1:18:33

environment and the and the politicians

1:18:35

there say you have to comply with this

1:18:37

rule or else it's illegal then someone

1:18:39

will pop up to build that kind of

1:18:41

compliance software and that'll be a

1:18:43

company and it's almost certain that the

1:18:45

company that does that won't be

1:18:47

compliant in other jurisdictions and so

1:18:49

I I I think that that's just part of a

1:18:51

vibrant economy like a vibrant Bitcoin

1:18:54

economy and uh many many ideas will be

1:18:57

tried and uh some of them will be great

1:19:01

ideas but not economically viable and

1:19:03

some will be great ideas but will be be

1:19:06

smashed by regulators and some will be

1:19:10

great ideas but people just won't care

1:19:12

you live long enough and you invent I've

1:19:14

said this before it's like I invented a

1:19:16

hundred things not many of them were

1:19:19

commercially successful it's easy to

1:19:21

it's easy to create the mobile app on

1:19:23

the iPhone that happened 100 thousand

1:19:25

times but you can count on two hands the

1:19:28

number of mobile apps that got to a

1:19:30

billion users on an iPhone so there

1:19:33

should be a vibrant economy and people

1:19:35

should be always trying new things and

1:19:37

and the real issue is you know is it um

1:19:41

an open layer two type protocol or is it

1:19:43

layer three or is it something different

1:19:45

entirely I I tend to think every time an

1:19:48

engineer has a good idea and they

1:19:50

saywell Bitcoin really needs this I

1:19:53

think well why don't you implement it in

1:19:55

your version of Bitcoin or in your you

1:19:59

know in some kind of Layer Two fashion

1:20:02

and Implement a special lightning node

1:20:05

that has that functionality and let's

1:20:07

see whether or not 100 million people

1:20:09

adopt it because they like it there and

1:20:11

and then after 100 million people use it

1:20:14

maybe there'll be a view that it ought

1:20:15

to be put back into the core base

1:20:17

protocol because it's useful and then on

1:20:20

the other hand maybe 100 million people

1:20:22

will use it

1:20:23

and we'll conclude we don't need to put

1:20:24

in the base protocol because it's

1:20:25

already been successful right why would

1:20:28

you risk the genetic code of the entire

1:20:30

human race right when uh when you don't

1:20:34

need to so right I I guess and coming

1:20:38

back to the subject of just my filters

1:20:40

like the first thing I always think is

1:20:43

well what kind of engineering risk does

1:20:44

this Implement and given the fact that

1:20:47

Bitcoin I'm of the view that Bitcoin is

1:20:49

already going to be 100x more successful

1:20:52

than it is is you got to show me

1:20:54

something that makes it a million times

1:20:55

better that has no risk before it

1:21:00

becomes interesting on my radar

1:21:02

otherwise I just think 737 Max you know

1:21:05

it's like you know great idea lots of

1:21:07

people are dead and you set back you

1:21:09

nearly bankrupted the entire company

1:21:12

lost 20 30 40 billion dollars trying to

1:21:16

do good and you killed a lot of innocent

1:21:17

people so good for you right maybe maybe

1:21:20

we don't need to do that um I also look

1:21:23

at I think the economic constraints are

1:21:25

really important when you introduce new

1:21:27

functionality in the base protocol you

1:21:29

undermine and impair all the application

1:21:31

development on the on the above layers

1:21:34

so you're you know you're robbing the

1:21:36

rest of the economy of the opportunity

1:21:39

to do it in a layer two or layer three

1:21:40

or a layer four because you want to

1:21:42

shove it into layer one so whatever your

1:21:44

good idea was why don't you start a

1:21:46

company to do it and make billions and

1:21:49

if you're going to rob me of the ability

1:21:50

to start a company and make billions

1:21:52

then how are you helping me it's it's an

1:21:54

example of a government that wants to

1:21:57

insert wage controls and price controls

1:21:59

and nationalize every major part of the

1:22:02

economy it's like like when the you know

1:22:05

when the westerners go to Africa and we

1:22:06

give away free medical care and we

1:22:09

bankrupt all the African doctors and the

1:22:11

African hospitals so like destroying the

1:22:15

native farmers in Africa and destroying

1:22:17

the native doctors in Africa because we

1:22:19

want to give away food and give away

1:22:20

medical care and we think some that

1:22:23

we're morally superior but what we

1:22:25

really did was we wrecked the economy

1:22:27

and so I think that you got to you got

1:22:29

to be saying am I going to wreck the

1:22:31

economy of the rest of the layers by

1:22:33

trying to introduce this in this base

1:22:35

layer I think performance undermines

1:22:38

transaction fees and application

1:22:40

development so so you know when you're

1:22:44

introducing performance improvements in

1:22:46

the base protocol you're stealing from

1:22:48

the miners and when you're introducing

1:22:51

functionality in improvements to the

1:22:53

base protocol you're stealing from the

1:22:55

application developers you're you know

1:22:57

you're destroying their business either

1:22:59

you're stealing you're destroying or

1:23:02

stealing their existing property or

1:23:04

you're stealing their future cash flows

1:23:07

on this point I think there's maybe some

1:23:09

people may disagree on this point just

1:23:12

and some of this has parallels even with

1:23:14

the block size Force because there was

1:23:15

this kind of idea of oh let's get segwit

1:23:17

because we're going to get lightning and

1:23:18

then there was kind of this question of

1:23:20

oh but are the miners losing out because

1:23:22

now they're going to lose out on

1:23:23

transaction fees in this in this example

1:23:25

and so there was there was some fighting

1:23:27

about that and some people were coming

1:23:29

back with the argument of oh well see

1:23:31

we're growing the overall ecosystem the

1:23:33

overall number of people who are going

1:23:34

to be doing even lightning Channel open

1:23:36

and close transactions on the Bas layer

1:23:39

such that the miners are not going to

1:23:40

lose out but other people were saying no

1:23:42

you're you're taking from the miners

1:23:43

it's you know the famous uh saying uh

1:23:46

from uh one individual uh Jihan Wu was

1:23:49

that the transaction fees would be quite

1:23:50

unquote unfairly cheap so that that's

1:23:53

perhaps an example of this kind of

1:23:55

conflict that can arise when there are

1:23:57

upgrades to

1:23:59

bitcoin yeah I think I think if you look

1:24:02

back at Wars a lot of evil is done in

1:24:05

wars on both sides and a lot of innocent

1:24:07

people were hurt and that that's the

1:24:10

case of every war the 30-year War the

1:24:13

Civil War every single War right so and

1:24:16

the block siiz war is a lot of people

1:24:18

were hurt by the war now I would start

1:24:21

with my observ that we're here right now

1:24:23

the war has been fought I mean I can't

1:24:25

undo what happened I don't condone

1:24:28

Warfare right there are a lot of there

1:24:29

are a lot of Bitcoin miners that are

1:24:31

bankrupt today because of segwit and a

1:24:34

lot and the transaction fees did go

1:24:36

through the floor and they would have

1:24:38

been higher if the block space had been

1:24:41

uh more scarce and so there you know you

1:24:44

can say the network survived and we are

1:24:48

where we are and I think that Bitcoin

1:24:50

with tap rout and Bitcoin was segment is

1:24:53

a healthy Network and we have enough

1:24:55

functionality to 100x from here but I do

1:24:59

think every if you look forward I mean

1:25:01

looking backwards people were hurt right

1:25:04

like in the in the German Civil War

1:25:06

right in the 30 Years War like onethird

1:25:09

of the people got murdered okay there's

1:25:12

no you know there's no good guys there

1:25:14

wasn't a good side right both sides

1:25:16

murdered millions of innocent people in

1:25:19

the war every war is like that every

1:25:23

single war in human history the the

1:25:25

winners murdered a bunch of innocent

1:25:27

people the losers murdered a bunch of

1:25:30

innocent people war is hell and so one

1:25:33

should hope maybe I'll say it a

1:25:35

different way if you didn't have to have

1:25:38

a civil war and if you could grow if you

1:25:41

could if you were in charge of a nation

1:25:43

and you had the choice shall we engage

1:25:46

in a civil war or shall we live

1:25:48

peacefully together with the status quo

1:25:51

I think the answer is we should should

1:25:52

live peacefully together with the status

1:25:55

quo and every time a strong world leader

1:25:57

comes along and says God told me that

1:26:01

the status quo will result in all of us

1:26:03

plunging to hell in the end of the Earth

1:26:04

and therefore I have to murder 25% of

1:26:07

the population it's like the Catholics

1:26:09

versus the hugenots in France like they

1:26:13

they started a war rent for like 35 or

1:26:15

40 years with the Catholics murdering

1:26:17

the hugenots and the hugenots murdering

1:26:18

the Catholics it wasn't good for France

1:26:21

and eventually the leaders that we like

1:26:23

better were the leaders that you know

1:26:25

after the Edict of not said okay well

1:26:28

Calvinists and H hugenots and Catholics

1:26:30

are both allowed to live in the country

1:26:32

without us murdering each other

1:26:34

so if I look

1:26:36

forward I you know I I don't have a lot

1:26:40

of patience or I don't have a lot of

1:26:42

sympathy for a developer that thinks we

1:26:44

should have a civil war and destroy the

1:26:46

property rights you know economically

1:26:48

murder the miners or economically murder

1:26:51

an application developer or or

1:26:53

economically murder a Bitcoin holder

1:26:55

just because they think God told them

1:26:58

that the world would be better if they

1:27:00

got their way right that's an example of

1:27:03

you know radical

1:27:05

fundamentalism where you know a minority

1:27:08

wants to plunge the entire nation into a

1:27:10

civil war just to get their way because

1:27:12

they think God told them they're right

1:27:14

and they're appointed um and I I think

1:27:18

economically if you're proposing to

1:27:20

basically put functionality in the base

1:27:22

layer then you're robbing you're you're

1:27:25

impairing the assets and robbing the

1:27:28

application layers above you and if

1:27:31

you're proposing to expand the

1:27:33

transaction bandwidth you're robbing uh

1:27:36

the Bitcoin Miners and you're depleting

1:27:39

you're stealing their property from them

1:27:42

you know without due

1:27:44

process and all the upgrades that are

1:27:47

proposed to the Bas layer they're

1:27:48

imposing a cost on all the network

1:27:51

network participants a cost on the

1:27:52

miners a cost on the Node Runners a cost

1:27:55

on the application in order to stay

1:27:56

compliant and and in order to avoid you

1:28:01

know uh being at a disadvantage so so

1:28:04

when you when you write code for the Bas

1:28:06

layer you're just a lawyer showing up at

1:28:08

the capital writing a new law and the

1:28:11

law is daylight savings time we've

1:28:14

decided that people shouldn't work after

1:28:16

4:00 in the afternoon because there are

1:28:18

Shadows on the trees and we don't think

1:28:20

people should be able to do it and if

1:28:21

you do it we're putting you in jail and

1:28:23

I'm doing it because God told me that we

1:28:25

can't have people working when there are

1:28:27

Shadows on the trees right or you know

1:28:30

fill in the blank right there are

1:28:31

100,000 of those laws some person with

1:28:36

some moral or philosophical or religious

1:28:39

argument makes it and then they write a

1:28:43

law on the books and the law is a

1:28:45

Restraint of trade and the result is

1:28:48

someone has their property rights

1:28:50

devalued right and someone else benefits

1:28:53

right I I get rich because you have to

1:28:56

use windmills and you can't use nuclear

1:28:58

power and it's like the the dude that

1:29:00

doesn't have the nuclear power plant

1:29:03

gets rich and the person that owns the

1:29:04

power plant gets poor and I did it to

1:29:07

save Humanity with the law and I think

1:29:10

that there's always going to be a

1:29:12

NeverEnding supply of them the more of

1:29:14

them you entertain if one developer gets

1:29:17

their way the next one will want to have

1:29:19

their way and then you introduce this

1:29:22

moral hazard because now now an economic

1:29:26

actor decides that it's in their best

1:29:28

interest to campaign for a change in the

1:29:30

protocol that will help their business

1:29:32

or help their interest either they want

1:29:35

to be famous or they want to be rich or

1:29:37

they want to be powerful and if if I

1:29:41

knew that I could show up in the capital

1:29:45

and pay somebody $5,000 to get a law

1:29:47

passed making it illegal to bake bread

1:29:50

within City Limits unless your last name

1:29:53

Sailor then I would do that right I mean

1:29:55

that the entire history of economic

1:29:59

chaos is monopolies handed out by

1:30:02

authoritarians to their cronies always

1:30:06

Justified for the good of the people

1:30:09

right and any code change to the

1:30:10

protocol is some kind of benefit to to

1:30:14

one class to the detriment of everybody

1:30:17

else in the world and everybody that's

1:30:20

ever going to come the future so from

1:30:23

now to the end of time every human being

1:30:26

that's ever going to live is going to be

1:30:28

impaired by some constraint that's in

1:30:31

introduced by some enthusiastic

1:30:34

political actor that thinks that they

1:30:36

were you know given a mission from God

1:30:39

to make the network better and generally

1:30:42

they're not right yeah and so one other

1:30:45

area I think people want to hear your

1:30:46

answer on is what about in the case of

1:30:50

upgrades that are opt in only so as an

1:30:52

example if it was a particular you know

1:30:55

op code that uh an existing node Runner

1:30:57

doesn't have to care about and it's only

1:30:59

you know if if it could be let's say for

1:31:01

the sake of argument it could be shown

1:31:03

that there's no impact to existing users

1:31:05

you can just keep using Bitcoin exactly

1:31:06

as it is but there's this new opt-in OP

1:31:09

code as an example that people can opt

1:31:12

into and only use that if they choose to

1:31:15

what's your do you have any view on that

1:31:16

kind of idea I generally think that um

1:31:21

if it's if it's marketed as an

1:31:23

application by a corporation like when

1:31:27

block wants to create cash app

1:31:29

functionality and build it into Cash app

1:31:32

and people get it and it's and it's

1:31:34

otherwise compatible with the rest of

1:31:35

network then I think that there's not a

1:31:38

lot of moral hazard there but I think

1:31:40

that um when you get to the point where

1:31:42

you have two Waring camps with two

1:31:45

different versions of a Bitcoin node and

1:31:47

one of them has different functionality

1:31:48

than the other ones right now you're

1:31:50

entering into a a religious war and if

1:31:53

they're incompatible uh who knows if if

1:31:56

one is a superet of the other one right

1:31:59

probably probably if it's a superet of

1:32:01

the other one it's it's probably less of

1:32:04

of a hazard when it becomes uh when it

1:32:07

introduces something which is

1:32:08

incompatible comom more of a hazard I I

1:32:11

hesitate to give you a black and white

1:32:13

answer because I'd have to see it but I

1:32:15

do think I do think it's a slippery

1:32:18

slope and as a general rule develop

1:32:21

velers aut to focus like don't f with

1:32:26

the network like I I just generally

1:32:28

think people shouldn't screw with the

1:32:30

network and they shouldn't screw with

1:32:32

the core protocol it works fine if you

1:32:35

want to introduce a thousand new ideas

1:32:37

introduce them in lightning create for

1:32:41

example I don't have a problem creating

1:32:43

your own implementation of lightning

1:32:44

which is a superet of somebody else's

1:32:46

you know implementation of lightning

1:32:49

right so I think you can create

1:32:50

different implementations of things at

1:32:52

Layer Two and at layer three uh creating

1:32:55

different uh uh different uh Bitcoin

1:32:58

nodes with different functionality I

1:33:00

mean obviously I don't really have a big

1:33:02

concern about like uh

1:33:05

usability uh upgrades if you want to

1:33:08

create a graphical user interface on top

1:33:10

of Bitcoin which is animated and

1:33:12

beautiful I mean that those don't

1:33:13

represent so much risk I think that when

1:33:16

you're introducing changes to the

1:33:18

underlying monetary protocol or

1:33:20

transaction protocol if you if you

1:33:23

introduce something which changes

1:33:24

transactional bandwidth which would have

1:33:26

an impact on bitcoin transaction fees I

1:33:29

think that that's a problem anything

1:33:32

that if you change the transaction

1:33:35

bandwidth then you're stealing you're

1:33:37

you're robbing uh the miners of cash

1:33:40

flow and if you're if you're stealing

1:33:43

revenues from the miners you're putting

1:33:45

the mining Network at risk over the long

1:33:48

term and that puts the power at risk

1:33:51

right so you're changing the power

1:33:52

dynamics and that puts the stability of

1:33:56

the entire network over the course of

1:33:57

the long-term at risk so so I think um I

1:34:02

I'm fairly

1:34:03

conservative like I I'm not in favor of

1:34:06

anybody you know deciding who can own

1:34:10

Bitcoin I don't think you should muck

1:34:12

with the asset with the monetary

1:34:14

protocol I don't think you should muck

1:34:15

with the transaction protocol I don't

1:34:16

think you should muck with the power

1:34:18

protocol right it's it works fine

1:34:22

why break it right if it's not broke

1:34:23

don't break it right you could break it

1:34:26

and plunge the entire world into a

1:34:27

thousand years of the Dark Ages right

1:34:30

good for you right what what's worth

1:34:34

that what what's worth taking the risk

1:34:36

of that right I so I would tend to be

1:34:39

very conservative with regard to

1:34:41

anything that that affects the balance

1:34:44

of power between the asset you know and

1:34:48

the transaction bandwidth and the power

1:34:51

you you know scarcity yeah just like

1:34:53

someone would say well I you know I

1:34:56

think we should change sha Shaw 256 to

1:34:58

Shaw 512 okay great so you invalidate

1:35:01

all the technology that every Shaw 256

1:35:04

Bitcoin equipment manufacturers

1:35:06

developed over the last decade and then

1:35:08

you introduce your own little piece of

1:35:10

equipment and you want to and you

1:35:12

basically obliterate or nuke $25 billion

1:35:14

dollar worth of capital investment by

1:35:16

miners right you can see why doesn't

1:35:19

make a lot of sense right it's like it's

1:35:22

all all those things represent moral

1:35:24

hazard and and they create they create

1:35:28

dysfunctional political incentive like

1:35:30

do do you really want people to be

1:35:33

continually campaigning to

1:35:36

confuse Bitcoin operators like like why

1:35:40

would you want to create a market in

1:35:41

introducing fear uncertainty doubt and

1:35:45

confusion into the base layer like we're

1:35:49

back to this issue of let's let's take

1:35:52

the New York model again you have 10

1:35:54

acres of granite and you ask me Mike is

1:35:57

it okay if I like you know put

1:35:59

radioactive charges under my 10 acres of

1:36:02

granite that will just kill anybody that

1:36:04

wants to plant a palm tree for all of

1:36:06

eternity I'm like I don't think you

1:36:09

should mess with the granite you know

1:36:11

like I what if I want to put an easeman

1:36:14

on the property for all of eternity that

1:36:16

makes it impossible to use it for

1:36:18

residential housing I I I don't think

1:36:21

you should do that right I think it's

1:36:22

Granite you should if you're going to

1:36:24

actually build a funky building that's

1:36:26

okay we can tear down the building but I

1:36:29

don't think you should write checks you

1:36:31

can't cash

1:36:32

so don't build things that would

1:36:36

potentially impair destroy or change the

1:36:39

nature of a Bitcoin between now and

1:36:41

10,000 years from now once you're dead

1:36:43

and once your company's dead right once

1:36:45

you're gone don't mess with the network

1:36:48

right leave leave the fundamental

1:36:52

alone and uh it's kind it's it's kind of

1:36:55

simple it's like when a dude comes to a

1:36:57

Manhattan and the guy says hey I have

1:37:00

this idea I'm going to set off a

1:37:01

thermonuclear Warhead but it's only

1:37:03

going to go off for 20 blocks in every

1:37:06

direction and I own the blocks you know

1:37:09

don't you think you're just like hey

1:37:10

just stop

1:37:11

it like you don't need to be messing

1:37:14

with that right we don't need that kind

1:37:16

of behavior it's like I don't care how

1:37:17

smart you are right you just don't need

1:37:20

to be messing with quiet enjoyment of

1:37:22

everybody else in the city like just

1:37:25

leave the 21 million blocks alone and

1:37:29

and again it's like the moral hazard is

1:37:32

if you encourage people to do this then

1:37:34

you'll have 10,000 people lined up to do

1:37:37

it then you're going to have 10,000

1:37:39

companies that will will basically

1:37:41

invest a million dollars each to try to

1:37:45

change the protocol okay and now you're

1:37:47

just going to have War right and and you

1:37:50

don't really want that kind of War at

1:37:52

the protocol level because I I guess

1:37:55

fundamentally the issue is there's

1:37:57

nothing wrong with building a city on a

1:38:00

bunch of granite

1:38:02

blocks right there's just there's

1:38:04

nothing wrong with it and you've got

1:38:05

plenty of room to

1:38:07

innovate on layer two layer three layer

1:38:10

four layer five and layer six and it's

1:38:14

what happens to bitcoin when all of us

1:38:16

spend all of our time debating a hundred

1:38:18

different Bitcoin Improvement proposals

1:38:20

and each one requires a thousand hours

1:38:23

so now you've introduced like thousand

1:38:26

hundreds of thousands of hours of debate

1:38:29

you know and can you think of an example

1:38:32

where that happens it's like yeah the

1:38:34

modern modern political systems right

1:38:37

where pretty soon 20% of all the

1:38:40

citizens in the country are lawyers

1:38:42

fighting with each other and then and

1:38:44

I'm I'm reminded of is it Aristophanes

1:38:46

in his play where where he says first

1:38:49

thing we do is we kill all the lawyers

1:38:51

right might have been Shakespeare too

1:38:53

but who knows it's like at some point

1:38:57

you know the question really is if you

1:39:01

have the ability to create code why

1:39:03

don't you create code on the network and

1:39:06

not try to change the network right it's

1:39:09

it's much more constructive

1:39:11

channeling of human endeavor yeah so I

1:39:15

guess we we've covered then the Bitcoin

1:39:16

uh principles aspect is there anything

1:39:18

around uh Bitcoin dynamic that you'd

1:39:21

like to discuss yeah yeah I mean I think

1:39:24

it's worthwhile to touch on that right I

1:39:27

mean the real key with the network is if

1:39:30

we want the network to be a basis of a

1:39:32

cyber economy we need to be interested

1:39:35

in the na the natural harmonics of the

1:39:37

network and the natural frequency of the

1:39:39

network because the frequency of the

1:39:42

network is key to the stability the

1:39:44

security and the success of the network

1:39:47

have you ever seen that picture of the

1:39:49

veriso neros bridge where they

1:39:51

engineered the bridge with a natural

1:39:53

frequency which resonated with the wind

1:39:57

the wind blew over the bridge and shook

1:39:59

the bridge apart because it it it

1:40:01

resonated on the wrong frequency and the

1:40:03

bridge fell apart literally destroyed

1:40:05

the structure so if you're a good civil

1:40:07

engineer you have to ask the question am

1:40:09

I designing a structure that is not

1:40:10

going to shake itself apart so if you

1:40:13

look at the Dynamics of the network that

1:40:16

one of the reasons that Bitcoin is

1:40:17

winning is because it has a very long

1:40:21

natural

1:40:23

frequency at its base layer the

1:40:26

transaction frequency is uh 10 minutes

1:40:29

and you know in a growing Network right

1:40:32

we'll we'll process blocks 9 minutes 30

1:40:34

seconds or 9 minutes 40 seconds or

1:40:36

something because you're always biased

1:40:38

you know to be F to be growing and a

1:40:41

Contracting a bare Market if you're

1:40:43

shutting down hash power will process

1:40:45

box a little bit slower but generally

1:40:48

you'll be around 10 minutes plus or

1:40:49

minus a bit and and if you get way off

1:40:52

then after two weeks the difficulty

1:40:54

adjustment kicks in and you get

1:40:56

basically tuned back to that 10-minute

1:40:59

Center I think that's that's an

1:41:00

important part of the frequency of the

1:41:02

network but it's but it's um probably

1:41:04

not not the thing that makes it most

1:41:07

successful what's more important is the

1:41:09

mining Dynamics and the Machinery

1:41:11

Dynamics so the question really is how

1:41:14

long does it take to bring on a Bitcoin

1:41:16

mining center it's like I I put a100

1:41:19

million in front of you and you invest

1:41:21

it in Bitcoin so it takes you six months

1:41:24

to a year to acquire the equipment

1:41:26

another year to engineer the mining

1:41:27

Center so it's like a two or three-year

1:41:29

exercise to bring it online and then the

1:41:32

question then is well what's the payback

1:41:35

time and that's probably another two

1:41:37

three four five years so when you're a

1:41:40

minor you're looking at making an

1:41:42

investment and getting paid back six

1:41:45

years after the initial decision

1:41:48

probably four years minimum at this

1:41:51

stage it could be as long as 10 years

1:41:52

four to 10 years so the natural

1:41:55

frequency of the miners is is four to

1:41:59

eight years and that means that if

1:42:02

you're not profitable you're not just

1:42:04

going to shut down the mining uh

1:42:07

operation in a month or two months or

1:42:09

four months you've actually got to stick

1:42:11

it out for four to eight years and one

1:42:14

of the other Dynamics here is because

1:42:16

the miners are running digital power

1:42:19

centers and the digital power is Shaw

1:42:21

256 hashing that means that if a minor

1:42:25

goes bankrupt if if you look at at how

1:42:28

the Bitcoin Network fails it fails very

1:42:30

gracefully if not at all all of that

1:42:33

hash power the 500 x aash it is being

1:42:36

run by a network of Miners and in hard

1:42:40

times when uh the price of Bitcoin Falls

1:42:43

and the transaction revenues fall the

1:42:45

first thing to fail is the equity and at

1:42:49

some point the equity holders will go

1:42:51

bankrupt at that point um the mining

1:42:55

equipment is owned and run by the

1:42:57

creditors so then the junior creditors

1:42:59

will will fail and then the senior

1:43:01

creditors will own the equipment then

1:43:04

when the senior creditors fail the the

1:43:07

energy companies that actually provide

1:43:09

the electricity will own the equipment

1:43:11

and when the Energy company fail the

1:43:14

government or the nation state that

1:43:16

actually that actually owns the power

1:43:18

source will own the equipment so so it's

1:43:21

another way of saying that um a a

1:43:24

Bitcoin mining rig is never getting

1:43:26

turned off it it might temporarily get

1:43:29

sold from one bankrupt entity to another

1:43:33

it might get idle for a moment but at

1:43:36

the end of the line here there are

1:43:39

nation states and there are there are a

1:43:42

public energy providers and they have

1:43:45

electricity which has a marginal cost of

1:43:48

zero they have energy that is zero cost

1:43:51

or they have negative costing energy

1:43:54

where actually they would pay you money

1:43:56

to take it a remediation situation or

1:43:59

curtailment situation or I I've got a

1:44:02

natural gas field I've got1 billion of

1:44:04

natural gas fields and the regulator is

1:44:07

gonna make me write them off and shut

1:44:09

them in if I don't find a use of the

1:44:11

natural gas so I would lose money

1:44:13

operating a Bitcoin mining rig to avoid

1:44:15

taking A10 billion write

1:44:18

off I would lose money to remediate the

1:44:21

methane and then I've you know I've got

1:44:23

the three gorgeous Dam that's got 10 gaw

1:44:26

of extra power and it's got a value of

1:44:28

zero right now and so if I'm the Chinese

1:44:31

government and I see somebody's Bitcoin

1:44:33

mining operation I just take the

1:44:35

equipment I plug it into my free

1:44:37

electricity and I generate billions of

1:44:39

dollars a year of Revenue by monetizing

1:44:42

free electricity so what you can see

1:44:45

there is is the Brilliance of the power

1:44:49

protocol is it's it's

1:44:51

Unique and once you've actually taken

1:44:54

$10 billion of capital fundable capital

1:44:58

and converted it into10 billion do worth

1:45:01

of Bitcoin mining rigs it's a one-way

1:45:04

transformation you can't transform the

1:45:06

capital back it's sunk Capital the only

1:45:09

thing you can do with it is power the

1:45:12

Bitcoin

1:45:13

Network and it doesn't really matter

1:45:17

whether any individual Bitcoin miner

1:45:20

succeed or fails the Bitcoin network is

1:45:23

going to remain powered and that's why

1:45:26

with just a few

1:45:28

exceptions you're generally going to see

1:45:30

hash rate just continue to move

1:45:33

up for that reason that's that's one

1:45:36

very powerful

1:45:37

ratchet um and the second powerful

1:45:40

ratchet is the Machinery Dynamics

1:45:43

because the Machinery Dynamic is how

1:45:46

much time and capital has a Bitcoin

1:45:49

power rig

1:45:51

equipment manufacturer put into their

1:45:53

semiconductor designs so if we look at

1:45:56

bit M or what's minor or Canan right how

1:45:59

much time have they spent you might

1:46:01

spend four years you know developing a

1:46:04

design and now you sell the rig and you

1:46:06

sell the you sell uh ones that have uh

1:46:10

30 Jews per terahash and then they get

1:46:12

to 21 Jews per terahash and you're going

1:46:14

for 15 Jewels per Tera hash or whatever

1:46:17

you just keep creating more more

1:46:19

efficient rigs

1:46:21

the the most efficient rig cost the

1:46:23

$10,000 a machine and then in the bare

1:46:27

bull market in the bare Market it goes

1:46:29

down to $1,500 a

1:46:30

machine and the question really is at

1:46:34

what price is the equipment manufacturer

1:46:36

going to sell the equipment and the

1:46:38

answer is they're going to sell it at

1:46:40

their variable cost plus a minor markup

1:46:43

and the question is how much equipment

1:46:46

are they going to sell and the answer is

1:46:47

they're going to sell as much as they

1:46:49

possibly can

1:46:51

and that means that that um when 80% of

1:46:56

the profit has been or 80% of the

1:46:58

revenue has been squeezed out of a

1:46:59

Bitcoin mining operation the mining will

1:47:02

continue and when 80% of the revenue has

1:47:05

been squeezed out of the equipment

1:47:07

business the equipment business will

1:47:09

still

1:47:10

continue because you're always going to

1:47:13

have actors with sunk Capital that are

1:47:17

going to want to recover a return on

1:47:20

their sunk capital and that is the

1:47:23

reason why you can buy a 386 chip for a

1:47:27

dollar right that's why semiconductors

1:47:30

will continue to collapse in in uh price

1:47:34

performance forever because they're

1:47:37

putting all of the money up front and

1:47:39

then they're they're just selling the

1:47:42

semiconductor for whatever the market

1:47:43

will bear and if that's what you do if

1:47:46

you're a Bitcoin equipment manufacturer

1:47:48

all you know how to do is sell Bitcoin

1:47:51

mining equipment so you're going to

1:47:52

continue it so if you take all these

1:47:55

things together right and you say what's

1:47:57

happened well really Bitcoin is uh

1:48:02

is uh a network with an 8 to 12year

1:48:07

natural

1:48:09

frequency like if you were to say Mike

1:48:12

what happens when will the hash rate

1:48:17

growing after Bitcoin mining is no

1:48:19

longer profitable I would say it might

1:48:22

very well be it might keep growing for a

1:48:24

decade I mean for a decade after Bitcoin

1:48:27

mining is no longer economically

1:48:29

rational for a standalone minor the

1:48:32

hashr will keep going up because there

1:48:35

are plenty of actors that have negative

1:48:39

cost electricity or free electricity and

1:48:42

it'll be profitable for them and you've

1:48:44

got an equipment manufacturer that can

1:48:46

sell the equipment at a 90% markdown and

1:48:49

at some point point it's kind of like

1:48:52

asking you know will nation states ever

1:48:54

stop buying

1:48:56

Munitions you notice how cheap a gun

1:48:59

is like there you can buy guns that'll

1:49:01

kill people for 50 bucks

1:49:04

$100 right so it's so you're like well

1:49:06

it doesn't seem like it's a very

1:49:07

profitable business why do people keep

1:49:09

doing it there are a lot of people that

1:49:12

don't really care right that whether the

1:49:14

gun is profitable right there they have

1:49:16

another motive involved here and so I

1:49:20

think the same is true with uh with

1:49:22

Bitcoin Power Equipment like isn't it

1:49:25

quite possible that at some point a

1:49:27

nation state that has stranded energy or

1:49:30

stranded Capital re requires the

1:49:34

production of Bitcoin mining rigs at a

1:49:36

loss or produces them at a loss just so

1:49:39

they can run the network for other

1:49:42

reasons so so I think you know that the

1:49:46

real important Point here is uh a unique

1:49:52

a unique Uh custom proof of work system

1:49:54

a Shaw 256 proof of work system has a

1:49:57

huge ends up with a hundred billion

1:50:00

dollars of sunk capital for security

1:50:02

built into it that's one way that has a

1:50:06

useful life of six to 10 years you know

1:50:10

and and people could say Well it burns

1:50:12

out after eight years that doesn't

1:50:14

matter because the machine that you

1:50:16

bought for $99,500 that burned out after

1:50:19

7 years will be replaced with a machine

1:50:22

equally powerful for 12th you know for

1:50:27

$500 instead of

1:50:28

$10,000 in six years right like it's

1:50:32

it's like lamenting will we ever run out

1:50:34

of computing power well people can buy

1:50:38

38646 chips for like nothing right

1:50:40

they're they're putting computers into

1:50:42

greeting cards to play songs for you

1:50:45

that have all the power of the Space

1:50:47

Shuttle so Mo's law is going to continue

1:50:51

to drive the security of the network and

1:50:54

that means that you have to contrast

1:50:56

that to a proof of stake Network for

1:50:58

example you want to understand how to

1:51:00

make a protocol defective here's how I'd

1:51:02

make it defective I would say well it's

1:51:05

not going to be Asic friendly I'm gonna

1:51:08

actually force it I'm gonna create a you

1:51:11

know some kind of um shifting protocol

1:51:14

that has to be run on a

1:51:16

CPU so that makes the power much less

1:51:19

scarce and much more unstable and then

1:51:22

the other the other thing I would do is

1:51:24

I would if I was using proof of stake

1:51:26

and I was saying want you SC and stake

1:51:28

$10 billion of capital well the problem

1:51:31

with 1010 billion of capital is I can

1:51:33

convert this the 1010 billion of tokens

1:51:35

into 10 billion dollars of US Dollars

1:51:38

into10 billion of Apple stock you know

1:51:41

and I can borrow the 10 billion so

1:51:43

capital is not scarce at all and it's

1:51:44

not sunk you know and so how do I make

1:51:47

it sunk Capital you know it used to be

1:51:49

you could could like stake you remember

1:51:51

the Tera Luna

1:51:53

meltdown well people were staking their

1:51:56

Luna to provide security okay but you

1:51:59

could withdraw the Luna in like a day or

1:52:01

two days so if you have a staking thing

1:52:04

and you can withdraw your your stake

1:52:06

token in one day then the price crashes

1:52:08

in one day and the second day all the

1:52:10

security leaves the network because

1:52:11

everybody withdraws their tokens to sell

1:52:13

their token and then you've got no

1:52:15

security if you have a 30-day protocol

1:52:19

okay well 60 days the security of the

1:52:21

network evaporates right then okay so

1:52:25

you're going to have a seven-year

1:52:26

protocol where you have to stake your

1:52:27

capital for seven years there's two

1:52:30

problems with that one problem you just

1:52:32

created the textbook definition of a

1:52:34

security you're regulated by the SEC

1:52:37

because you've you you've forced people

1:52:39

to make an investment of money right

1:52:43

depending upon the efforts of others in

1:52:45

pursuit of a profit right it's just it's

1:52:47

passes the hoe test right I mean that by

1:52:50

that's the case even if you stake for a

1:52:51

day for that matter but the second thing

1:52:54

is you've created a centralized attack

1:52:56

surface and you've got like five

1:52:57

developers that control the protocol and

1:53:00

you're going to end up with the all

1:53:01

these massive questions about what's the

1:53:04

machine that controls the throttling of

1:53:06

the capital flowing in and out of the

1:53:07

network and what happens if you hack the

1:53:09

machines and so you've created something

1:53:12

which is thousands of times more

1:53:15

complicated than

1:53:16

using uh energy and the of

1:53:20

physics you know you're basically

1:53:23

imposing computer science over physical

1:53:25

science and if it doesn't break the

1:53:27

regul you know the regulatory guidelines

1:53:30

and you basically created a you know an

1:53:32

equity token by doing it then you've

1:53:34

created an unstable virtual reality

1:53:38

system that you know one single bug in

1:53:41

one line of a million lines of code and

1:53:44

your entire system goes unstable and you

1:53:46

got a Boeing 737 Max problem one line of

1:53:50

code and it just wrecks the crashes the

1:53:52

entire network so so the the real beauty

1:53:55

of Bitcoin is it is that natural

1:53:59

frequency and and and that's by way and

1:54:02

that's what um protects the network or

1:54:06

provides a network security in what I'll

1:54:07

call a tactical Sense on on any given

1:54:11

day you have to go through that wall of

1:54:15

digital

1:54:17

power and you you don't have and all the

1:54:21

power is controlled by the network

1:54:23

operators not by you so that's a

1:54:25

tactical the the Tactical uh defense

1:54:28

system for Bitcoin the Strategic

1:54:31

security or the long-term security and

1:54:33

here I mean security over 100 years over

1:54:35

a century the security that keeps

1:54:38

Bitcoin from being

1:54:40

banned or keeps or keeps a government

1:54:43

from seizing all of the Bitcoin miners

1:54:48

Etc that comes from a combination of

1:54:52

economic power electrical power

1:54:54

computing power and political power so

1:54:58

so the Bitcoin miners they're channeling

1:55:01

electrical power and computing power

1:55:04

right so so they're the the physical

1:55:06

part but but the political power comes

1:55:08

from the hundreds of millions of people

1:55:10

that that own something that's a

1:55:12

derivative of Bitcoin whether you own

1:55:15

micro strategy stock or whether you own

1:55:17

a Bitcoin spot ETF or whether you own

1:55:21

stock in block or stock in coinbase or

1:55:24

whether you own the Bitcoin itself I

1:55:26

mean all of these things you know put

1:55:29

you into the political community and

1:55:31

you're going to use your political power

1:55:33

to lobby and

1:55:36

then the other thing that really secures

1:55:38

Bitcoin is economic power and I think

1:55:41

that it's worthwhile to point this out

1:55:43

because this is a this is an artifact of

1:55:46

satoshi's Brilliance Satoshi created an

1:55:49

immaculate conception and we had a fair

1:55:51

launch and those million Satoshi coins

1:55:54

never moved and there was no pre-mine

1:55:57

and that means that the only way you

1:55:58

have Bitcoin right now is you spend a

1:56:00

huge amount of money on equipment and

1:56:03

electricity to mine it and capital to

1:56:05

create mining centers or you bought it

1:56:07

with real

1:56:08

cash and and you know we can back

1:56:12

calculate how much money's gone into

1:56:14

mining but I mean I don't think it's

1:56:15

unreasonable to suggest 20 to 40 billion

1:56:17

dollar has gone into the mining

1:56:20

ecosystem I mean you can trace billions

1:56:22

of dollars of capital just to individual

1:56:24

companies like Marathon so 10 between 10

1:56:28

and 100 billion is how much has gone

1:56:30

into mining but if we look at um how

1:56:33

much fiat currency has gone into the

1:56:36

other side of the equation let's take

1:56:38

micro

1:56:39

strategy you know as as of now you know

1:56:43

I personally am aware of having put more

1:56:46

than5 billion dollar into the network

1:56:49

and I'm not 1% and uh if you look at

1:56:52

there are a lot of other ways to get at

1:56:54

it but if you look at the four-year

1:56:55

simple moving average of Bitcoin and

1:56:57

assume that that was a reasonable

1:56:58

surrogate you can kind of arrive at a

1:57:01

conclusion that nearly $600 billion

1:57:03

dollar of real Capital has been put into

1:57:07

this network so $600 billion of real

1:57:11

capital from who from Fidelity from

1:57:15

Black Rock from from every Institutional

1:57:18

Investor in the US from every

1:57:20

Institutional Investor in Europe from

1:57:22

millions of individuals from you know

1:57:24

representing Pension funds retirement

1:57:26

funds Etc so you can trace a huge amount

1:57:30

of capital that's been put into this

1:57:33

network and ultimately the security

1:57:35

network is going to come from the

1:57:37

actions of the people as voters and the

1:57:42

actions of the economic actors at the

1:57:44

capitalist and then also from all the

1:57:48

businesses you know the application

1:57:50

companies like cash app or coinbase you

1:57:53

know have an impact and then the miners

1:57:56

have an impact and they all have lawyers

1:57:59

and CEOs and lobbyists and employees and

1:58:02

they have Nexus and they pay taxes and

1:58:05

therefore they have supportive Mayors

1:58:07

Governors Senators Etc now this is an

1:58:11

interesting framework I I'd invite you

1:58:13

if you want to analyze any competing

1:58:15

Network put any competing Network any

1:58:18

other crypto Network on the same

1:58:19

framework and ask how many dollars of

1:58:21

real Capital have been invested and how

1:58:24

how much real electricity is running it

1:58:27

and how much digital power is behind it

1:58:30

and then how many people hold it you

1:58:34

know you go to the next one ethereum for

1:58:36

example right you realize after the

1:58:39

after the the merge and the proof of

1:58:40

State conversion no electricity is

1:58:43

backing it no digital Powers behind it

1:58:46

right so you you pretty much took out

1:58:48

two of the the four legs 500 xash versus

1:58:52

nothing you know and and uh 15 gaws

1:58:56

versus diminum is nothing and then the

1:58:59

the next question is well how much

1:59:00

economic power well if 70% of of eth was

1:59:04

pre-mined name one person in the world

1:59:06

that will admit to invest in100 million

1:59:08

an e I've never heard of anybody like

1:59:12

when I announced that I'd personally put

1:59:14

175 million into Bitcoin there's nobody

1:59:17

in any crypto token for the next five

1:59:21

million tokens right after Bitcoin go to

1:59:24

eth and then go to every other token you

1:59:26

won't find a single person to my

1:59:29

knowledge that ever admitted to

1:59:32

investing $100 million of cash in any of

1:59:34

them much less a billion much less five

1:59:37

billion right so so you know if I had to

1:59:42

guess right how much how much real

1:59:44

money's been put into ethereum a few

1:59:46

billion dollars like the difference is

1:59:48

600 billion in Bitcoin if you were to

1:59:51

say 6 billion I would say you might be

1:59:53

stretching it right like we're talking

1:59:55

about a factor of 100 difference yeah I

1:59:58

don't think you can really get to a

1:59:59

number that's more than a few billion

2:00:01

right so I think that

2:00:03

99% of all the real Capital has been put

2:00:06

into this one network so if all the

2:00:09

economic capital is in one network if

2:00:11

all of the electricity is on one network

2:00:14

if all of the digital power is running

2:00:16

one network the only thing you've got

2:00:18

left is left is political power and the

2:00:21

truth is there I mean there are a lot of

2:00:22

crypto token holders right there a lot

2:00:24

of eth holders so so really those

2:00:27

networks are primarily secured by

2:00:29

political power and and the voice of the

2:00:32

people much more so than the actual you

2:00:35

know physical power or economic power

2:00:38

that's behind Bitcoin and I think that

2:00:40

that changes it changes the long-term

2:00:43

security Outlook but it also has an

2:00:45

impact on natural frequencies and

2:00:47

stability when you're your natural

2:00:49

frequency is a month right if you have a

2:00:51

staking a proof of stake Network where

2:00:53

you can unstake in a month you just need

2:00:55

a price crash for like six weeks or

2:00:58

eight weeks the network goes unstable it

2:01:00

becomes unsecure right topples over and

2:01:02

collapses and you know you want to see

2:01:04

examples of networks that just collapsed

2:01:06

right look at what happened to Ft look

2:01:08

at what happened to Luna look what

2:01:09

happened to all these other tokens many

2:01:11

of them you know they had these staking

2:01:13

frequencies of one hour one day one week

2:01:17

one month and the truth is if you're

2:01:20

designing a system to last you really

2:01:23

want to design a system where if I put a

2:01:27

first of all you have to put billions of

2:01:29

dollars into the network and then it's a

2:01:31

one-way function and you're stuck with

2:01:33

them with the capital in the network for

2:01:35

a decade and you know I guess I guess

2:01:38

then then you're invited to calculate if

2:01:42

if Bitcoin miners have invested

2:01:44

somewhere between 20 and 50 billion

2:01:47

dollars in permanent capital for digital

2:01:50

power what percentage of all the digital

2:01:52

power capital or digital Capital does

2:01:55

that represent of all cryptos in the

2:01:57

world 95% would be probably the minimum

2:02:02

number you could conclude it's a number

2:02:04

between 95 and 99% I think right which

2:02:07

is which is why you come back to the

2:02:08

conclusion that you have one thing which

2:02:11

is a digital property a digital

2:02:13

commodity a digital monetary system and

2:02:16

is you know is perfect for this and then

2:02:20

everything else is just a speculation

2:02:22

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accelerator and now back to the show

2:03:25

right and one other area that might be

2:03:27

interesting to hear your comment is even

2:03:29

the hodler dynamic right like you look

2:03:31

at the the number of utxos what's the

2:03:33

stat might be 70% or 80% of coins have

2:03:35

not moved in more than one year so

2:03:38

that's maybe another example where

2:03:41

Bitcoin just has these extremely

2:03:44

hardened hodlers and uh the M fact that

2:03:48

these people are willing to hold for

2:03:49

that long it shows a certain level of

2:03:52

conviction economic power political

2:03:54

power as well it's a good point and and

2:03:57

here's the way I would say it the

2:04:00

difference between

2:04:02

money and and speculation is if it's

2:04:07

money then the largest holders are

2:04:09

buying more and if it's speculation the

2:04:13

largest holders are selling so the real

2:04:16

issue is are you are the hodlers buying

2:04:20

or are they selling I'll give you

2:04:22

example of great asset classes that are

2:04:24

money um Apple stock is money apple is

2:04:29

buying more and a lot of people that own

2:04:31

Apple stock will buy more um New York

2:04:34

City real estate or London real estate

2:04:37

or Palm Beach real estate luxury real

2:04:40

estate is money because if you look at

2:04:42

wealthy people they're not selling

2:04:45

there's no one bragging about how they

2:04:47

sold all their nice places and Palm

2:04:49

Beach New York and London they're buying

2:04:52

more right uh if you if you've ever met

2:04:54

a rich family that has real estate

2:04:57

holdings they don't sit around saying

2:04:59

yeah we're going to diversify and we're

2:05:00

going to sell next year we're going to

2:05:02

get rid of the entire portfolio at a

2:05:03

huge profit over 10 years what they say

2:05:06

is I'm looking forward to the next deal

2:05:08

where we're going to acquire this

2:05:09

building or we're gonna we're gonna buy

2:05:11

this other thing right they buy and they

2:05:13

hold and they typically Buy and Hold to

2:05:16

give to their children's children

2:05:19

right the same is true with uh with art

2:05:22

if it's good art collectors you know

2:05:26

Frick Andrew melon they didn't buy art

2:05:29

to flip the art right they're not

2:05:31

specular I bought a Picasso so I could

2:05:33

sell the Picasso right they wanted to

2:05:36

buy them all that's why they call them

2:05:38

collectors so if something is deemed to

2:05:41

be really valuable you bought a billion

2:05:44

dollars of it and your goal is to buy

2:05:46

another billion dollars of it and so if

2:05:49

you think about all these things which

2:05:50

thing in the crypto ecosystem is that

2:05:53

right Bitcoin is that right I bought a

2:05:56

bunch of Bitcoin my goal is to buy more

2:05:59

Bitcoin right it's a it's just a very

2:06:01

simple assd test do you have an exit

2:06:04

strategy or is that the exit strategy

2:06:07

Andrew melon's you know Andrew melon's

2:06:10

exit strategy was I'm going to buy all

2:06:12

the great art I can get my hands on I'm

2:06:15

going to build a beautiful building in

2:06:16

Washington DC and I'm going to endow

2:06:18

National Gallery with the art as a gift

2:06:20

to the people of the country that was

2:06:22

the exit strategy and you get the idea

2:06:25

it wasn't a

2:06:26

speculation and

2:06:28

um so so Bitcoin is the one thing that

2:06:31

qualifies as money because it's going to

2:06:35

appreciate in value over time the

2:06:37

world's full of Investments that are

2:06:39

speculations or trades Commodities of

2:06:42

course are not money every single

2:06:44

commodity other than Bitcoin is going to

2:06:46

lose value over time starting with gold

2:06:49

but certainly silver soybeans oil

2:06:51

natural gas you can't really invest in

2:06:54

them you can invest in property under

2:06:57

you could you could buy like all the

2:06:59

mineral rights for 10,000 acres that

2:07:02

might be an investment that might go up

2:07:03

in value maybe but but generally it's

2:07:06

it's super scarce desirable

2:07:09

art it's it's desirable property it's

2:07:13

Bitcoin and maybe it's like unregulated

2:07:16

digital monopolies you know the

2:07:17

Magnificent seven but even then you know

2:07:20

your time Horizon on that stuff is 10

2:07:23

years it's not 100 years I can show you

2:07:25

people that will say I own some New York

2:07:27

real estate that I hope to hold for

2:07:28

hundred years right I mean I I can find

2:07:30

property people that would say yeah I

2:07:32

got a 100e life on that like if I if I

2:07:36

offered you all the mineral rights for

2:07:38

the entire state of Pennsylvania you

2:07:40

know might you keep it in the family for

2:07:42

a few hundred years if I offered you the

2:07:44

middle of Tokyo or the middle of London

2:07:47

might you keep it in the family for 300

2:07:49

years yeah maybe if you could afford to

2:07:50

pay the taxes so so I I think that

2:07:54

that's a that this hodler Dynamic is

2:07:56

important but really it's indicative of

2:07:57

the fact that Bitcoin is money and it's

2:08:00

a it's a very simple asset test find EV

2:08:03

you know look at every crypto

2:08:06

billionaire that holds something other

2:08:08

than Bitcoin and then check to see

2:08:11

whether they bought a 100 million more

2:08:12

worth of that stuff and when you find

2:08:15

one you might pay attention but I

2:08:16

haven't seen one right I don't I just

2:08:18

don't think I don't think you're going

2:08:20

to see it because everything else is is

2:08:23

really uh commodity losing value over

2:08:26

time Bitcoin is the money gaining value

2:08:29

over time I do think that does lead us

2:08:32

maybe to the last interesting topic

2:08:34

which is just Politics the politics of

2:08:39

ecosystem and you know if if you only

2:08:43

see the world as Bitcoin node holders

2:08:47

individuals and min

2:08:49

developers and a couple of whales if

2:08:52

that's your view of the universe then

2:08:54

you tend to get into these polarized

2:08:55

debates about you know transaction fees

2:08:58

or polarized debates over the protocol

2:09:01

but here's a different way to see the

2:09:03

world there's 8 billion people in the

2:09:05

world there's millions and millions of

2:09:10

Corporations there's thousands and

2:09:13

thousands of material governments

2:09:15

there's tens of thousands of

2:09:17

applications there's thousands of

2:09:20

ideologies and bitcoin's a solution for

2:09:23

everybody and one day everyone's going

2:09:25

to use this and so if you see a if if

2:09:28

you see a network with millions of

2:09:30

companies and billions of users and

2:09:33

hundreds of countries and thousands and

2:09:36

thousands of municipalities and

2:09:38

governments right and hundreds of

2:09:40

religions and ideologies then you have

2:09:43

to and cultures you have to allow that

2:09:46

there's going to be a great diversity in

2:09:48

the way that Bitcoin is used so I I

2:09:52

think that you know when you're

2:09:54

considering you know the network the

2:09:56

future of the network you got to

2:09:58

consider the impact of this uh on all

2:10:00

political constituencies so I think of

2:10:03

the hold the hodlers or the holders

2:10:05

that's one constituency the miners are

2:10:07

another constituency there's node

2:10:09

Runners another group and developers

2:10:12

another group but but those are kind of

2:10:14

technical definitions like for example a

2:10:16

node is not a node is not node coinbase

2:10:19

runs a node and and cash app runs a node

2:10:23

and if cash app clears 100,000 Bitcoin

2:10:26

transactions a day their node is a

2:10:29

little bit more important than my node I

2:10:31

could run a node but if I'm not

2:10:33

approving and maybe more of the point

2:10:35

denying

2:10:36

transactions at the point where I

2:10:38

basically take a hundred million do

2:10:40

wired into my uh Corporation and then I

2:10:44

refus to deliver the Bitcoin because my

2:10:46

node says it wasn't a good transaction

2:10:48

ction I'm a I'm an important node so not

2:10:52

all miners are created equal I mean ones

2:10:55

with more hash rate are more equal not

2:10:57

all nodes are created equal if you have

2:10:59

economic velocity $100 million a day of

2:11:03

economic velocity through your node then

2:11:06

that's more equal than someone that

2:11:08

clears one transaction for $20 once a

2:11:10

year through their node so you you have

2:11:13

to kind of consider the weightings not

2:11:15

all hodlers are equal right someone

2:11:17

that's holding a billion dollars of

2:11:19

Bitcoin will probably hire 20 lawyers

2:11:22

and you know and go litigate over you

2:11:25

know the issue of you know is somebody

2:11:27

Satoshi or not right or Bitcoin positive

2:11:31

things whereas someone that has $100 of

2:11:33

Bitcoin can't afford to hire the lawyers

2:11:35

and they're not going to litigate and

2:11:36

they're you know and so they're not GNA

2:11:38

have the same amount of

2:11:40

influence not all developers are equal

2:11:43

the developers that work for coinbase

2:11:46

can decide to put lightning into coin

2:11:48

base or not right the developers of

2:11:50

binance the developers of cash app right

2:11:53

they they have more influence you know

2:11:55

to adopt certain you know protocol

2:11:58

adjustments and do things at Layer Two

2:12:00

you know Layer Two Etc you know

2:12:03

introduce the universal you know

2:12:06

monetary you know codes Etc so you have

2:12:11

to consider that and I I think that the

2:12:14

the political system of the future

2:12:16

you're going to have Bitcoin energy

2:12:18

companies companies that provide

2:12:20

electricity to fire to to power Bitcoin

2:12:23

miners they have an influence you have

2:12:25

Bitcoin Banks uh that is corporations

2:12:28

that are moving layer one and Layer Two

2:12:30

and layer three Bitcoin around high

2:12:32

frequency likecoin base like cash app

2:12:35

like Fidelity you're going have Bitcoin

2:12:37

devices like the signing apps the cold

2:12:39

cards right the bit keys of the world

2:12:42

the ledgers of the world you're going to

2:12:44

have um

2:12:46

applications right and inscriptions and

2:12:49

ordinals they're like the first of a

2:12:51

thousand there'll be thousands of

2:12:53

applications and some will succeed and

2:12:55

some will fail in the market will decide

2:12:57

and um you're gonna have derivatives

2:13:00

like you know you've got 12 Bitcoin spot

2:13:04

ETFs coming but then you've got someone

2:13:06

that wants to do an 80% Bitcoin 20% ESG

2:13:09

carbon credit derivative someone can

2:13:12

create a derivative a derivative you can

2:13:14

create something to sell volatility on

2:13:16

top of the spot ETFs you know micro

2:13:18

strategy holds Bitcoin our stock you

2:13:20

know is a security back by Bitcoin right

2:13:23

to a certain degree you know any company

2:13:26

that owns Bitcoin you know what and in

2:13:29

whatever way becomes another way to play

2:13:32

it then you've got corporations and

2:13:33

institutions right that are aligned with

2:13:36

Bitcoin they all have an interest

2:13:38

whether it's a human rights Foundation

2:13:39

or whether it's a

2:13:41

nonprofit or whether you know at some

2:13:44

point Google and Microsoft and Apple I

2:13:47

mean Apple has has a influence right now

2:13:49

I mean right if you know Apple basically

2:13:51

denies wallet of Satoshi you know

2:13:54

certain privileges right they have an

2:13:56

influence and so corporations are going

2:13:58

to have influences and then you've got

2:14:00

um Fiat Banks and that and the banks are

2:14:04

the bridge between the fiat currency and

2:14:07

the Bitcoin ecosystem and so they do

2:14:09

have an impact right you know if they're

2:14:12

silvergate or signature and they're shut

2:14:14

down you can see what happens but on the

2:14:16

other hand uh

2:14:18

what you see right now is more and more

2:14:19

Fiat banks are are coming online so you

2:14:23

know when banko Santander or deuts bank

2:14:26

or or a Swiss bank or or another bank

2:14:28

you know gets involved I don't think

2:14:30

it's it's not a cause for us to regret

2:14:32

we should be we should welcome all of

2:14:34

them because ultimately the countries

2:14:37

and the Fiat currencies aren't going

2:14:39

away they benefit from joining the

2:14:42

network bitcoiners benefit from them

2:14:45

joining the network they have

2:14:47

constraints

2:14:49

there are certain things Banks can't do

2:14:50

like the latest guidance was no more

2:14:52

than 2% of your Capital could be crypto

2:14:55

related okay well there are laws there

2:14:58

there are restrictions they have kyc AML

2:15:01

banking laws there are certain things

2:15:02

corporations can't do right that that's

2:15:05

why a corporate a corporate custodian uh

2:15:08

can't give you certain Bitcoin

2:15:09

transactions in New York City or you

2:15:12

can't do a Bitcoin transaction without

2:15:14

doing a kyc or AML you know

2:15:16

Authentication certain apps well

2:15:19

corporations can't do that in certain

2:15:21

countries in another country they might

2:15:23

be able to do that non-c companies might

2:15:25

be able to do that who knows so so they

2:15:28

have their own constraints they'll be

2:15:30

financial service

2:15:31

providers like uh Fidelity like Black

2:15:35

Rock we shouldn't fear them we should

2:15:38

welcome

2:15:39

them they will they will bring new

2:15:41

levels of service right there there's a

2:15:44

bunch of people

2:15:46

retirees that um they've got one

2:15:49

relationship they'll pick up the phone

2:15:50

talk to the financial adviser and say

2:15:52

get me get 5% of me into the Bitcoin or

2:15:54

I want 1% of my assets to be Bitcoin

2:15:56

it'll be a 15-second phone call it'll

2:16:00

happen because there's hundreds of

2:16:01

thousands or millions of financial

2:16:02

advisers doing business with black rock

2:16:04

and Fidelity and Franklin

2:16:08

Templeton um those people can't get it

2:16:12

any other way and so these financial

2:16:15

service providers will be part of the

2:16:17

ecosystem

2:16:18

there'll be

2:16:19

Regulators every type of regulator every

2:16:22

in every country State Regulators City

2:16:25

Regulators there's treasury Regulators

2:16:28

there's security Regulators commodity

2:16:29

Regulators there's there's everything

2:16:31

under the sun right tax Regulators

2:16:34

they're going to change all the time

2:16:37

there'll be politicians some will have a

2:16:39

positive opinion some will have a

2:16:41

negative opinion they're going to

2:16:43

continue to act and then there's so many

2:16:45

different types of government agencies

2:16:47

you know you couldn't count them all

2:16:49

right so what do I see I see a world

2:16:53

where you know if if everybody's not

2:16:56

using Bitcoin then let's say

2:16:59

half you know take half of eight billion

2:17:02

people take half of 100 million

2:17:04

companies take half of thousands and

2:17:07

thousands of ideologies take half of a

2:17:09

million politicians so lots and lots of

2:17:13

of people are going to get involved

2:17:15

they're all going to get involved in a

2:17:16

different way and you know when we think

2:17:19

about Bitcoin it's better for us to say

2:17:21

bitcoin's a solution to everybody's

2:17:23

problem let us show you know where the

2:17:25

universal sweetener or the universal

2:17:28

benefit the question is which

2:17:31

nationality and which ideology benefits

2:17:34

mathematics all of them okay which ones

2:17:37

do you agree with some of them which

2:17:41

companies benefit from mathematics all

2:17:44

of them which companies would you buy

2:17:45

from some of them right we're all going

2:17:49

to disagree about everything

2:17:52

else right we're we're all going to

2:17:54

disagree about ideology and religion and

2:17:57

and and regulations and uh and that

2:18:00

means that you're going to see so many

2:18:02

different implementations of Bitcoin

2:18:05

you'll see as many imple implementations

2:18:07

of Bitcoin as like you will see books

2:18:10

written in in English right they're all

2:18:13

written in English but they don't all

2:18:15

say the same thing right somebody writes

2:18:18

Communist Manifesto in English and

2:18:20

somebody writes in defense of capitalism

2:18:22

in English and they both used English

2:18:25

and it was beneficial to both of them to

2:18:26

use English and I don't that's why we

2:18:29

don't want to be

2:18:31

censors it's like oh I heard that some

2:18:33

people in a place I don't like are using

2:18:36

my language the truth is it's beneficial

2:18:40

to say the Western World when our

2:18:42

enemies use English it's beneficial to

2:18:45

America when our enemies use dollars

2:18:47

it's beneficial to the human race when

2:18:51

your enemy uses

2:18:52

mathematics right it's it's beneficial

2:18:55

to everybody in the Bitcoin ecosystem

2:18:57

when everybody uses Bitcoin whether

2:18:58

they're your enemy or your friend and

2:19:01

you'll see crippled

2:19:03

implementations but they won't all be

2:19:05

crippled and the most important point

2:19:08

is is that the layer twos can fail the

2:19:12

layer threes can fail the layer fours

2:19:14

can fail the ecosystem has to survive we

2:19:18

we have to basically make Bitcoin

2:19:21

successful even I may not be successful

2:19:24

my company may not be successful my

2:19:27

ideology may not be successful but the

2:19:29

world is a better place that Bitcoin is

2:19:31

successful so oftentimes I see I see a

2:19:35

lot of people in the community and they

2:19:37

kind of get this thing turned on its

2:19:39

head like uh they feel like they have to

2:19:42

topple a government or or attack a

2:19:45

politician or attack a

2:19:48

policy in order for Bitcoin to succeed

2:19:51

but the truth is they could just say

2:19:52

bitcoin's good yeah the likelihood that

2:19:55

you're going to win the other 100

2:19:56

debates zero the other 100 debates will

2:20:00

continue and all you're going to do is

2:20:03

make 100 different sets of enemies and

2:20:05

on the other hand you could just say

2:20:08

Bitcoin is like the universal money to

2:20:12

benefit everybody the individual the

2:20:15

family the small comp

2:20:18

the midsize company the big company the

2:20:20

regulated company the Monopoly the city

2:20:23

the state the country the good countries

2:20:25

the bad countries the good religions the

2:20:27

bad religions the good people the bad

2:20:28

people the everybody right there's this

2:20:31

there there really isn't any

2:20:32

circumstance where you don't see a

2:20:35

benefit and now if we come back to

2:20:36

security again bitcoin's a lot more

2:20:39

secure after Black Rock rolls out a spot

2:20:42

ETF like we shouldn't say oh yeah

2:20:45

they're bad for Bitcoin they're great

2:20:46

for Bitcoin now you've actually got you

2:20:49

I don't know if you've noticed like all

2:20:51

of a sudden the mainstream narrative has

2:20:52

turned from you know Bitcoin bad to well

2:20:55

maybe there's some benefits to bitcoin

2:20:58

all of these newspapers that that start

2:21:00

writing they look and they say well if

2:21:03

the SEC had 25 meetings to review

2:21:07

Bitcoin spot ETF approvals then when

2:21:10

you're a journalist writing for the

2:21:12

financial times or for the Wall Street

2:21:14

Journal or the New York Times and then

2:21:16

when person one one senator says I think

2:21:20

bitcoin's bad or one executive says

2:21:22

Bitcoin bad you look at that and then

2:21:24

you also look at the fact that the most

2:21:26

important Securities regulator has just

2:21:28

devoted thousands of hours to approving

2:21:30

this thing and they think it's good and

2:21:32

then you say to yourself I'm G to be out

2:21:34

of consensus if I criticize this because

2:21:37

it's pretty clear that a bunch of smart

2:21:39

lawyers and smart Regulators smarter

2:21:42

than me that have more power than me

2:21:44

that have done this for their career

2:21:46

endorse this

2:21:48

and so at the end of the day

2:21:51

it's easy come easy go it's it's very

2:21:55

difficult to get thousands of attorneys

2:21:59

spend uh thousands of of lawyer years to

2:22:03

figure out how to do these things it's

2:22:05

very difficult but once they do it then

2:22:09

all the mainstream politicians

2:22:11

mainstream investors mainstream

2:22:13

journalists mainstream academics say I

2:22:15

guess it's not tulip bulbs you think the

2:22:17

SEC is going to have 25 meetings to

2:22:20

discuss an ETF backed by tulip bulbs not

2:22:24

likely so you for example May believe in

2:22:27

self- custody and hold your own keys and

2:22:30

hodling and you may think I will never

2:22:32

ever buy the spot ETF good for you like

2:22:35

that's that's just fine we need you but

2:22:39

uh these other people acting in a

2:22:41

different way to create this other

2:22:43

Bitcoin back product they're also going

2:22:45

to help you they're not your enemy

2:22:47

they're ultimately your friend because

2:22:50

they're going to drive up the scarcity

2:22:53

of your asset maybe they'll store it in

2:22:57

a custodial fashion in a way that you

2:22:58

hate but the end of the day they will be

2:23:01

funneling billions and then tens of

2:23:03

billions and then hundreds of billions

2:23:04

of dollars of economic power to the

2:23:07

network which is going to drive up your

2:23:09

asset which will give you more economic

2:23:11

power and more freedom and then you can

2:23:13

choose you know when your bitcoin's

2:23:15

worth 10 million of Bitcoin you can set

2:23:17

up your own Citadel and your own

2:23:19

Township and live the way you want and

2:23:21

engineer your own rocket ship and go to

2:23:23

your own Planet you know and and set up

2:23:26

the government the way you want to set

2:23:27

it up but but first get the money right

2:23:30

first thing if you look at how progress

2:23:33

make takes place in

2:23:35

Civilization it it takes place because

2:23:38

you have economic actors with the

2:23:40

economic power to do something and uh

2:23:43

and and I could give you hundreds of

2:23:44

examples in history but generally

2:23:47

whenever you see a revolution that was

2:23:49

to the benefit of the people it wasn't

2:23:52

the poor plebs that did it it was a

2:23:54

wealthy person that actually supported

2:23:56

the ple and the result was benefit to

2:24:00

everybody but there was always an

2:24:02

economic actor involved to support it so

2:24:06

so I think when you look at all these

2:24:08

things you wouldn't want to have a

2:24:09

protocol change to discourage anybody

2:24:11

from joining the network and um and you

2:24:16

you kind of don't want to pick battles

2:24:19

unnecessarily that you don't need to

2:24:21

pick like may maybe you hate Banks maybe

2:24:24

you think everybody should be their own

2:24:25

bank but you know if Warren Buffett and

2:24:28

Charlie you know Monger had decided I

2:24:32

mean Berkshire hathway bought $30

2:24:34

billion with the Apple stock and it

2:24:36

became worth 150 billion and they made

2:24:38

$120 billion on the trade and that was

2:24:42

more profitable than everything

2:24:43

Berkshire hathway did in the entire

2:24:45

history of the company and that was a

2:24:47

decision made by someone that works for

2:24:49

Warren

2:24:49

Buffett and so when they decide to buy

2:24:53

$30 billion of Bitcoin and you don't

2:24:56

really like big corporations and when

2:24:57

they custody it with JP Morgan when

2:25:01

Warren Buffett says to JP Morgan I want

2:25:03

$30 billion of Bitcoin I want you to

2:25:05

hold it Jamie Diamond would say okay

2:25:08

well I guess maybe it isn't just for

2:25:09

criminals because Warren Buffett wants

2:25:12

it or Bill Gates wants it and then he

2:25:15

picks up the phone and calls someone and

2:25:17

in his bank and they decide to open up a

2:25:18

custody operation and then the price of

2:25:21

Bitcoin

2:25:23

triples and you know you'll be sitting

2:25:25

there saying damn it the stupid

2:25:27

Burkshire hathway people they just made

2:25:28

a hundred billion dollars in like three

2:25:31

months it doesn't seem fair but on the

2:25:33

other hand everybody else in the Bitcoin

2:25:35

ecosystem will make trillions and

2:25:37

trillions of dollars at the same time

2:25:39

and so there's a certain degree of

2:25:41

fairness to it I mean a rising tide

2:25:43

lifts all boats and what you'll what

2:25:45

you'll say is I guess all these people

2:25:47

weren't really against me after all they

2:25:49

just didn't understand right and and if

2:25:52

you look at it that way if you say this

2:25:54

is electricity they're afraid of

2:25:56

something they don't know they grew up

2:25:59

without it they're used to horse and

2:26:01

Buggies they have steam you know they

2:26:04

have steam power in the middle of their

2:26:07

building you know and and they're not

2:26:10

really ready for this if you just say

2:26:12

that and and you're patient then you're

2:26:14

like I don't have to Define Bitcoin as

2:26:16

being against

2:26:17

anybody you know it's it's it's not when

2:26:20

you actually have to repudiate someone

2:26:23

personally or repudiate their business

2:26:25

right then you just make it

2:26:25

unnecessarily confrontational you know

2:26:28

anybody says to me well what do you

2:26:29

think about this comments I say Well

2:26:31

they're going to love it one day you

2:26:33

know if Warren Buffett doesn't buy it

2:26:34

his Port the guy that bought apple is

2:26:36

goingon to buy $30 billion of Bitcoin

2:26:37

and he's gonna make a hundred billion

2:26:39

doll he's could take Victory laps and

2:26:42

they'll take credit for being brilliant

2:26:44

and it it's just going to happen and it

2:26:46

and it won't happen because of you know

2:26:48

10,000 hours of screaming it'll happen

2:26:51

because there'll be one guy that'll look

2:26:53

and say okay I guess I get it I mean if

2:26:54

it's good enough for Black Rock and

2:26:55

Fidelity I guess we should like have a

2:26:57

little bit and they'll make a little bit

2:26:58

more and then someone else will say whoa

2:27:01

I guess we should do it and you know and

2:27:03

and and eventually it'll be the same

2:27:04

with all the

2:27:06

banks you know it's it's it's it's going

2:27:09

to get rolled out just like electricity

2:27:12

just like steel and skyscrapers just

2:27:15

like automob s running on gasoline just

2:27:19

like jet

2:27:20

airplanes you know like we say

2:27:22

everybody's against it before they're

2:27:25

it so right now um I think that uh I

2:27:30

think that if you take an expansive view

2:27:32

of Bitcoin the ecosystem you say

2:27:34

bitcoin's for everybody every type of

2:27:37

organization and there's only there's

2:27:39

only two types of of people in the world

2:27:42

those that understand the benefit of

2:27:44

Bitcoin and are trying to get more

2:27:46

integrated with it and those that don't

2:27:49

understand it yet but they will I mean

2:27:50

that that's kind of the way the world

2:27:52

divides and maybe it takes 30 years or

2:27:53

40 years for everybody to go from a

2:27:57

skeptic or ignorant to I embrace the

2:28:01

technology but it will happen and uh and

2:28:05

it's beneficial for us just to be

2:28:07

cheerful and constructive and everybody

2:28:09

you meet if someone says I hate Bitcoin

2:28:11

is for criminals you say you got to

2:28:13

smile and say it's just a protocol that

2:28:16

can make your life better and make the

2:28:17

life of your citizens better and make

2:28:19

your shareholders happy and make your

2:28:20

customers happy and Delight everybody I

2:28:23

just need to show you how I I apologize

2:28:26

I have not yet found a way to show you

2:28:29

how you can benefit your family your

2:28:31

friends your shareholders your employees

2:28:33

and your citizens but I'm confident that

2:28:36

once you understand it you'll see that

2:28:38

this is a benefit to you and your

2:28:41

constituents please be patient with us

2:28:43

we're new it's novel I tell you one

2:28:45

funny last funny anecdote on this

2:28:47

subject uh for a thousand years people

2:28:51

did after galin people didn't understand

2:28:53

how blood flowed through the body and it

2:28:55

was Harvey that finally figured out that

2:28:59

the heart pumps blood through the

2:29:00

arteries and recirculates it back

2:29:02

through the veins and it was the biggest

2:29:04

uh breakthrough in medicine in a

2:29:06

thousand years and this is when Harvey

2:29:09

said you know the blood the heart

2:29:11

actually pumps the blood through the

2:29:13

body people couldn't believe it and and

2:29:15

Harvey's famous statement is he said you

2:29:18

know no doctor over the age of 40 will

2:29:21

ever believe me nobody over the age of

2:29:24

40 will ever believe that the heart

2:29:26

pumps blood you know and and and that's

2:29:29

just you got a paradigm shift a new idea

2:29:33

and it takes people time and I think

2:29:35

that's where we are with Bitcoin I think

2:29:37

I think we're first and foremost

2:29:39

Educators so I guess coming back to the

2:29:41

the the the point of this podcast talk

2:29:43

about principles I I guess my big idea

2:29:46

aide is this uh Bitcoin is successful

2:29:50

because it represents scarcity of assets

2:29:53

scar scarcity of money scarcity of

2:29:55

bandwidth scarcity of power scarcity of

2:29:59

Technology it

2:30:01

represents the conservation of these

2:30:03

things it's the ultimate conservative

2:30:06

Network and because it's conservative

2:30:09

with regard to all these attributes it

2:30:12

conserves your life force it conserves

2:30:14

the energy in cyberspace and we should

2:30:18

approach it with a conservative mindset

2:30:21

which is it works it's a brilliant

2:30:25

beautiful living organism spreading in a

2:30:27

viral fashion last I checked it's

2:30:30

growing 45% compounded annual growth and

2:30:33

in the 40 months that micro strategy has

2:30:35

uh been in the Bitcoin business since

2:30:37

August of 2020 bitcoin's up 45%

2:30:40

compounded that's how fast it's growing

2:30:43

and it's growing four 5x faster than

2:30:45

anything else right and so you have

2:30:47

something which is extraordinary

2:30:49

successful and we're about to break into

2:30:52

a year where it's being embraced by the

2:30:54

Wall Street establishment and I said I

2:30:57

said biggest it's the biggest

2:30:58

development in 30 years right the last

2:31:00

time something big happened was in

2:31:03

1993 the S&P 500 Index was was uh

2:31:07

converted into an ETF called spy by

2:31:10

State Street and they allowed you to in

2:31:13

one click buy 500 stocks in the S&P P

2:31:16

500 Index that ETF has

2:31:20

$440 billion of capital in it right now

2:31:23

just that one ticker and of course if

2:31:25

you put them all together there must be

2:31:27

a trillion dollars or more of capital so

2:31:30

that was a big breakthrough and we

2:31:32

monetized corporate Equity as money for

2:31:35

the last 30 years that's how you save

2:31:36

your money and so 30 years have gone by

2:31:39

we're about to now have Bitcoin in uh in

2:31:42

ETFs available from all major providers

2:31:46

major breakthrough Bitcoin is winning

2:31:49

Bitcoin you know I've already

2:31:50

established right it's got the economic

2:31:52

support it's got the political support

2:31:53

it's got the technical support it's

2:31:55

winning it's stable it's well

2:31:58

engineered there are a 100,000

2:32:01

businesses that can be built on top of

2:32:03

it right that being the case when we

2:32:06

think about uh any changes to the base

2:32:09

layer we should be hyper hyper

2:32:12

conservative we should we should be the

2:32:14

same way you know a doctor would be you

2:32:16

know you've got a beautiful child

2:32:18

they're healthy you know you don't want

2:32:20

the doctor doing elective surgeries on

2:32:23

them to make them just 1% better by

2:32:26

cutting them open because human human

2:32:30

biases we always overestimate the

2:32:32

benefit we'll bring and we always

2:32:34

underestimate the unattended

2:32:36

consequences and it's it you know at

2:32:39

some point you've got some kind of

2:32:40

medical cure that's

2:32:42

99.9% effective against a hypothetical

2:32:46

problem that happens one in a million

2:32:47

times and you mandate it to a million

2:32:50

people and what happens is you save one

2:32:52

person you kill 999 innocent people and

2:32:56

you waste the time of the other million

2:32:58

people and that's what happens with you

2:33:01

know excessive enthusiastic intervention

2:33:05

in a healthy economy or a healthy

2:33:08

organic

2:33:09

ecosystem so I think I think we should

2:33:14

just be very very thoughtful and we

2:33:16

should try to channel energy cheerfully

2:33:20

constructively at either building

2:33:23

functionality in the layers above the

2:33:25

base layer because there's lots of stuff

2:33:28

to be built go get Apple and Google to

2:33:31

build Bitcoin into their products get

2:33:33

Microsoft to build Bitcoin and their

2:33:34

products build something to compete with

2:33:36

them there's a I could give you a

2:33:37

100,000 ideas of something to do every

2:33:40

company on Earth could basically flip

2:33:43

their treasury to bitcoin get every

2:33:45

single single company millions of them

2:33:48

to to convert to the Bitcoin standard

2:33:50

right so that you can rework everything

2:33:52

on the sun there's a a lot of stuff to

2:33:54

do that constructive that's uh that

2:33:57

expands the ecosystem that will improve

2:34:00

our odds of of success and improve the

2:34:03

rate of of adoption without putting the

2:34:06

base layer at risk and so I'd say focus

2:34:08

upon that and uh and with regard to the

2:34:12

community you know the the internal

2:34:14

Bitcoin Community I don't think we

2:34:16

should fight amongst ourself over you

2:34:19

know trivial things like there's a lot

2:34:21

of fighting over are you enough of a

2:34:24

carnivore right are you enough of a

2:34:27

whatever I and and ultimately like

2:34:29

bitcoiner on bitcoin or violence is is a

2:34:33

waste of time because we agree on 99

2:34:36

point it's like we agree on 99.9% of the

2:34:39

stuff in the world and someone disagrees

2:34:41

about how to do multisig and what

2:34:43

signing device and we hate each other so

2:34:46

I think that uh we should keep that you

2:34:49

know it should be thought of in the

2:34:51

context of it's social but but you know

2:34:54

we should back off on getting distracted

2:34:57

and I think that um we shouldn't really

2:35:00

Define uh Bitcoin as against the

2:35:03

currency against the nation against the

2:35:06

banking against the status quo we don't

2:35:08

need uh to topple the status quo you

2:35:12

know we' be better off just to say

2:35:15

Bitcoin

2:35:16

is digital property that can be that can

2:35:19

and will be integrated into everything

2:35:21

on Earth to the benefit of everybody

2:35:23

we're here to bring you you know

2:35:27

something to make your life better

2:35:28

Better Living Through Bitcoin right

2:35:30

that's the motto everybody's good right

2:35:34

we don't have time to make more enemies

2:35:36

right we should just evangelize and and

2:35:39

and either make friends or we should

2:35:41

show people that are indifferent why

2:35:43

they should be our friend and you know

2:35:46

know work around people that are just

2:35:48

hostile without giving them that much

2:35:51

AirPlay right like yeah you can go and

2:35:54

find the one person out of a million

2:35:55

that disagrees with you and protest in

2:35:57

front of their house every day or you

2:35:59

could just say well that person's not

2:36:01

going to adopt Bitcoin this decade let's

2:36:03

just go next door and knock on the next

2:36:05

door right and and move forward and and

2:36:08

above all like don't break the network

2:36:13

there's only one real fatal error right

2:36:15

bitcoin's winning right now if we do

2:36:17

nothing right so the fatal error would

2:36:20

be to to get worked up into some kind of

2:36:24

mass psychosis where we all decided that

2:36:27

Bitcoin was going to fail unless we

2:36:28

changed the base layer protocol

2:36:30

radically and then we basically depower

2:36:33

the network right I mean look at the you

2:36:35

know ethereum had 20 billion dollars

2:36:37

worth of ethereum miners that would have

2:36:39

fought to the death to protect ethereum

2:36:41

and they basically turned them off and

2:36:43

they ran them all away right so so what

2:36:46

we don't want to do is destroy something

2:36:49

that's working you could destroy the

2:36:52

power protocol you could destroy the

2:36:54

transaction protocol it's like you know

2:36:57

you could destroy the monetary protocol

2:36:59

you know with these you know with these

2:37:01

brilliant ideas you know we like we need

2:37:04

to tail emissions to fund developers

2:37:07

like what happens if you have a budget

2:37:09

for developers you end up with a 10year

2:37:11

road map with the spurge The Purge The

2:37:13

Verge The Surge the something and then

2:37:16

you end up with a hundred more hard

2:37:18

Forks right and it's like the truth is

2:37:23

the world's full of people that need

2:37:25

something to do I would say we the the

2:37:27

real key to wisdom Channel your energy

2:37:30

constructively if you're going to do

2:37:32

something improve lightning build an

2:37:36

application persuade someone to adopt

2:37:40

Bitcoin as a as a reserve asset educate

2:37:44

someone these are all constructive

2:37:45

things destructive delu distractive

2:37:49

things are fight with random people

2:37:53

because they want to fight with

2:37:54

you attack the attack the core Network

2:37:58

and and and make it confusing and

2:38:00

introduce anxiety and confusion and fear

2:38:04

uncertainty and doubt into the base

2:38:07

layer right and then attempt to imprint

2:38:10

your ego you know on on the Bas protocol

2:38:15

you know

2:38:16

we I I got to in I got to introduce this

2:38:19

so that my name will go down in history

2:38:21

forever and I I think that real humility

2:38:25

it's like you you remember all those

2:38:27

people but generally what they did is

2:38:29

you remember them because they blew up

2:38:30

the Empire and murdered 10 to 100

2:38:33

million people and they got assassinated

2:38:35

that's why you remember them and maybe

2:38:38

maybe some humility would suggest that

2:38:40

you might just want all your friends and

2:38:42

family and the people that love you to

2:38:44

live happily ever after

2:38:46

and you don't need to be remembered for

2:38:48

having broke everything you know or or

2:38:52

stood the world on its head so that's

2:38:55

the end of my monologue thank you for

2:38:59

listening yeah so I guess closing out

2:39:01

then uh is there anything else you want

2:39:04

to discuss in terms of um you know

2:39:06

Bitcoin philosophy is there anything you

2:39:08

want to add to that I would just say my

2:39:10

last points are you know Bitcoin

2:39:12

represents I said it was rooted in an

2:39:14

ideology right it's it's an asset on a

2:39:17

network you know that um how do I say it

2:39:20

it's like a it's an asset on a network

2:39:22

based on a protocol rooted in an

2:39:24

ideology and the ideology is a choice of

2:39:27

natural law versus human law I we prefer

2:39:31

natural law over human law we prefer um

2:39:35

physical sciences over Computer Sciences

2:39:39

and a choice to favor the universe over

2:39:42

the metaverse you know it's like Elon

2:39:44

Musk joked he said you know like like

2:39:46

the laws of physics you know are

2:39:49

non-negotiable right whereas the laws of

2:39:52

man are are suggestions and uh and and

2:39:56

Bitcoin is is really that that

2:39:58

submission to natural law there's a

2:40:00

humility to it and most if we look at

2:40:03

Austrian economics if we look at

2:40:05

capitalism if we look at Liberty and

2:40:08

freedom and and most of the more

2:40:10

positive ideologies in the world they're

2:40:13

all rooted in natural law and natural

2:40:15

rights and when you start to try to

2:40:18

superimpose artificiality or artificial

2:40:22

edicts it's like humans will come up

2:40:24

with a 100,000 laws that say you can't

2:40:27

bake bread and you have to go to sleep

2:40:28

at a certain time and you know you can't

2:40:32

think this and you can't say that and

2:40:35

these things get taken to the extreme

2:40:37

and what they do is they destroy the

2:40:40

society you know it's just too

2:40:42

artificial and in computer science one

2:40:45

of the one of the things about Bitcoin

2:40:46

is it's it's not a big code base right

2:40:49

Satoshi didn't set out to like impress

2:40:51

people by writing as much code as

2:40:53

possible the whole idea was to make it

2:40:56

the minimum amount of code I mean the

2:40:59

the real goal of great design right is

2:41:03

is the least do you see that little

2:41:06

video that circulates on YouTube where

2:41:09

it shows the guy with the 10 can and has

2:41:11

got eight different or six different

2:41:13

templates and he's got eight different

2:41:14

types of blocks and he and he's got a

2:41:17

triangle block and he shows it goes into

2:41:19

the square hole and he's got a circular

2:41:21

block and it goes in the square hole and

2:41:23

he's got a rectangular block that goes

2:41:25

in the square hole and and what he shows

2:41:27

is people oftentimes they overthink and

2:41:30

they overdesign I want to create eight

2:41:32

different ways to do eight different

2:41:34

things when in fact I can do everything

2:41:38

one way and great designers they don't

2:41:41

come up with 187 buttons you know like

2:41:46

this has got a lot of buttons on it but

2:41:49

the iPhone doesn't have but like one

2:41:50

button or zero buttons right it's like

2:41:54

the ideal interface is like simple

2:41:56

simple simple simple and so in computer

2:42:00

science when you code all this stuff you

2:42:02

need millions and millions of lines of

2:42:03

code to simulate think about how many

2:42:06

lines of code you need to simulate the

2:42:07

way water flows down a hill you know I

2:42:10

give you a simple Hill I drop a pot of

2:42:13

water I write a computer software and

2:42:14

you it's like you're GNA write so much

2:42:16

software to simulate that well how much

2:42:18

code does nature need to make the water

2:42:20

flow the right way just the water just

2:42:22

goes right just it's not hard uh for

2:42:26

nature to do these things so so what you

2:42:28

want is something simple and

2:42:31

elegant and and subject to Natural laws

2:42:34

the cons conservation of energy right

2:42:38

there is a speed of light there is a

2:42:40

speed of sound right there is the there

2:42:43

are the laws of

2:42:44

gravitation right there there is

2:42:46

conservation of energy you can't destroy

2:42:49

matter you can convert matter to energy

2:42:51

energy to matter you can convert energy

2:42:53

from light to heat to acoustic energy to

2:42:57

kinetic energy but at the end of the day

2:42:59

the energy is conservative it's there

2:43:02

and so the philosophy of Bitcoin is

2:43:04

rooted in physics and it's rooted in

2:43:06

engineering and it's rooted in a humble

2:43:09

submission to Nature and and that is the

2:43:12

same as the market logic of Austrian

2:43:14

econom

2:43:15

it's like let the market decide let the

2:43:19

people do what they're going to do don't

2:43:21

attempt to tell everyone in the universe

2:43:24

how to behave right leave them alone so

2:43:27

I say leave Bitcoin alone it's a living

2:43:30

organic life form just leave it alone

2:43:34

right you happen to think that the world

2:43:37

could benefit from X do it yourself on

2:43:40

your own application risk your own

2:43:42

Capital risk you know if you want to

2:43:44

introduce

2:43:46

a protocol and give it to the world

2:43:48

that's that's fine you can introduce any

2:43:50

number of open protocols lenux is open

2:43:52

protocol HTTP is open protocol you know

2:43:56

you can have your own lightning protocol

2:43:58

you know create a competing lightning

2:44:00

protocol you can do all those things but

2:44:04

ultimately respect nature right and and

2:44:08

uh and respect the fact that

2:44:10

Satoshi managed to engineer this genetic

2:44:14

life form

2:44:15

Satoshi created a crypto life form

2:44:18

released it into cyers space and it

2:44:21

lived and everybody before created

2:44:24

something and it died and so after

2:44:27

hundreds and hundreds of experiments

2:44:29

they all died and millions of things

2:44:30

that died after it here's the one thing

2:44:33

that lived and we should be in awe that

2:44:36

that thing lived and we should you know

2:44:38

our our job is to help people adopt it

2:44:44

help it grow grow and succeed but uh but

2:44:48

you know you're about as likely to

2:44:51

improve the genetic code of Bitcoin as

2:44:53

you are to improve the genetic code of a

2:44:55

cockroach or uh a

2:44:59

virus or a rabbit it's like like the

2:45:04

leave the things and and let them reach

2:45:06

their full potential because you know

2:45:09

bitcoin's 850 billion right now there's

2:45:11

no reason why we can't reach hundreds of

2:45:13

trillions of dollars of an economy

2:45:15

without

2:45:16

changing you know any of the the

2:45:19

fundamental genetic protocols materially

2:45:21

they're they're pretty good and and they

2:45:23

seem to work fine so so I think um

2:45:26

bottom line with the philosophy is you

2:45:29

know the lesson of stoicism is just

2:45:32

because you can do a thing doesn't mean

2:45:35

you should do a

2:45:36

thing and go forward with humility and

2:45:39

Grace and when you've won the lottery

2:45:43

have the wisdom to know that you've won

2:45:45

the lottery and don't like gamble it all

2:45:49

double or nothing 10 more times and lose

2:45:51

it all like William the Conqueror won

2:45:54

the lottery he was a bastard orphan and

2:45:57

he man and everybody wanted to kill him

2:45:59

and he managed to rise up and become the

2:46:01

Duke of Normandy and then he managed to

2:46:04

get the perfect wife and four sons and

2:46:07

that's everything he then proceeded to

2:46:09

cross the English Channel conquer the UK

2:46:12

his family fell apart the Nation fell

2:46:15

into Civil War and he died fighting with

2:46:18

his own son and after he was dead his

2:46:20

sons fought with each other and that's

2:46:22

an example of snatching defeat from the

2:46:24

jaws of Victory Napoleon did the same

2:46:27

thing Julius Caesar did the same thing

2:46:30

Alexander the Great did the same thing

2:46:33

like the world's just full of these

2:46:34

people that you you're the king of the

2:46:38

entire nation and everybody's happy and

2:46:40

at peace with each other and they got to

2:46:42

go and mess it up right

2:46:45

somehow and so Bitcoin is it's the

2:46:49

winner and it's working out well and

2:46:51

it's growing 45% a year and there's a

2:46:56

million things that will grow from it I

2:46:59

think we're just so fortunate to have

2:47:00

this as an

2:47:01

opportunity I would focus upon the 99%

2:47:04

of the people that don't fully

2:47:06

understand it I would educate them and

2:47:08

I'd help them on board and I wouldn't

2:47:11

spend a lot of time infighting over

2:47:13

whether or not you know you're allowed

2:47:15

to own an ETF versus self- custody

2:47:18

versus have Bitcoin with Fidelity versus

2:47:21

do business with a

2:47:23

corporation you know it's like these are

2:47:26

all second order things and a hundred

2:47:29

years from now we'll still be

2:47:32

disagreeing about politics and we'll

2:47:35

still be disagreeing about you know

2:47:37

custody relationships and we'll disagree

2:47:40

about a lot of

2:47:41

nuances the real question is you know

2:47:44

does Bitcoin grow 40% a year or 20% a

2:47:47

year or 10% a year or 5% a year you know

2:47:51

and and uh I think we're just better off

2:47:53

to this is why I say put the laser eyes

2:47:56

on the significance of laser eyes is

2:47:59

you've got the single most important

2:48:01

thing you could do with your life that

2:48:02

can make Humanity better and you're not

2:48:05

going to solve every problem of humanity

2:48:07

but you could like solve half of them or

2:48:09

you could provide a solution to

2:48:11

everybody that makes their life

2:48:13

better so focus upon the thing that you

2:48:17

can save focus upon the the benefit you

2:48:21

can bring to the world don't let

2:48:23

yourself get drawn into a h hundred side

2:48:27

struggles and you know Regional

2:48:31

Wars over things that people have been

2:48:33

fighting over for hundreds of years and

2:48:35

they'll be fighting about for another

2:48:37

hundred years because it's like we

2:48:39

didn't end political struggle after

2:48:43

electricity but we sure did did make

2:48:45

life a lot better for humans right we

2:48:47

didn't end religious struggle but you

2:48:50

know two out of every five you know

2:48:52

children died in childbirth you know in

2:48:56

1600 and you know a combination of of

2:49:00

good medical technology and electricity

2:49:02

and light you know changed that number

2:49:06

from 40% infant mortality to less than

2:49:09

1% infant mortality some very very low

2:49:11

number so I think we focus upon

2:49:13

spreading the good cheer of technology

2:49:15

Better Living Through Bitcoin and uh

2:49:19

everything else it's like I used to joke

2:49:21

it's like all my good ideas were

2:49:23

dilutive distractions I I will say this

2:49:26

like bitcoin's my best idea and the only

2:49:28

reason I was able to do anything with

2:49:29

Bitcoin is I had a few other good ideas

2:49:31

but ultimately I never pursued a bad

2:49:35

idea Stefan I never pursued a bad one I

2:49:38

pursued good ideas that I thought were

2:49:42

great but they ended up being

2:49:44

distractions and delive to my success at

2:49:47

the great idea and so so I I think that

2:49:51

that's that's how I would end this thing

2:49:53

do the right thing for Bitcoin right

2:49:55

yeah and I guess uh let's see what

2:49:57

everyone has to think about uh Bitcoin

2:50:01

principles uh it's been a enlightening

2:50:03

chat and uh thank you for joining me

2:50:06

Michael and hope to chat again soon yeah

2:50:08

thanks for having me all right I hope

2:50:10

you enjoyed the show with Michael make

2:50:12

sure to subscribe press like on the show

2:50:14

and I will put the show notes all at

2:50:17

Stefan l.com 536 thanks for listening

2:50:21

and I'll see you in the

2:50:23

citadels

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