Michael Saylor on Bitcoin Principles (SLP536)
Stephan Livera · 2023-12-22 · 2h 50m · View on YouTube →
so that that's what Bitcoin means to me
right it it is a rational foundation for
economics for the human race this is
Stefan laa podcast a show about Bitcoin
and Austrian economics brought to you by
swann.com today rejoining me is Michael
sailor he is the executive chairman and
founder of micro strategy known for
being a big Bitcoin Advocate and today
we're talking about Bitcoin principles
and Michael's view on this we maybe zoom
out a little bit from some of the
controversies of the day and really look
at things on a longer term time Horizon
what does that mean for Bitcoin and what
are the ways to assess bitcoin's value
proposition and what kind of changes
should be made to bitcoin if any at all
so I'm hoping you will enjoy this
discussion with
Michael welcome back to the show and uh
congratulations on Surviving the bare
Market yeah thanks for having me we all
we all survived
together well yeah I think it's uh great
to see um you know obviously a lot of
people can very easily get shaken out
and it was uh great to see that you you
huddled on and you're you're stacking
all the way through so that's great to
see um and today we're going to be
chatting a little bit about this idea of
Bitcoin principles and uh so do you want
to just set some of the context like why
are we talking about this now and what
are what are we hoping to achieve
here you know um I thought it was a
pretty useful conversation to have
because there's there's always a lot of
um back and forth on um X Twitter about
is this good for Bitcoin is this bad for
Bitcoin there's there's very colorful
conversations about um protocol
proposals uh about uh software proposals
about developer initiatives about
applications the latest is you know all
the debate around ordinals inscriptions
brc2 tokens but you've always got
covenants and drive chains and and uh
you know if we look back right the uh
probably the most formative period in
the history of Bitcoin was the blocksize
wars and uh that really did um it it did
Define uh the network and Define Bitcoin
uh in a very strong fashion but I I
think that if we look forward another
decade or two or three and certainly
over the course of a hundred years there
going to be more and more of these
issues that'll pop up there'll be more
constituents that will get involved in
the discussion and um I don't really
think uh having a debate in 240
characters or less on Twitter is
terribly constructive for you know a a a
topic which requires a lot of nuance and
subtlety and um I also I also think that
it's important to be principles based in
the way we discuss these things I think
if we all focus upon what are our
assumptions what are our principles then
I think there'll be less confrontational
uh and less combative and more
constructive right in the community so I
thought it would be useful to have kind
of a constructive dialogue about Bitcoin
philosophy Bitcoin principles Frameworks
of
analysis uh so there's a basis for
whatever comes
next right and as you point out I think
the blocksize wars of 2015 16 17 was
sort of a battle for the soul of Bitcoin
and maybe some people have discussed
about you know what really is Bitcoin
what are we what are we doing here and
you know what kind of changes are
acceptable and I guess people can
disagree on what kinds of you know
changes there like as an example some
people might say h it proved that the
block size should never increase and
other people might say no actually it's
more like not now not in this way and
maybe in the future you know and that's
just one example on the Block side so
let's talk a little bit I think we'll
bring it to this idea of you know
Bitcoin as a protocol and so do you want
to just spell out some of your thoughts
there like what if we're thinking about
the Bitcoin protocol and what are the
pieces of that that should remain right
what are those fundamental pieces that
must
remain yeah I mean like I would hate for
someone to Define me based upon one
tweet response on one issue or or six
response on six issues I think that uh I
think that when we all start to
understand each other's principles and
philosophies and how we how we think
about these things I think it lays the
framework for us to come to agreement or
at least a constructive cheerful
consensus so you know starting with the
basic on bitcoin and this is my this is
how I view it right everybody has the
ability and has the right to view
Bitcoin through their own lens and they
have their own uh their own view of what
is it what is it for and why are they
attracted to it so so I you know I'm not
here to tell everybody else you know
what to think I'm here just to
articulate one view of Bitcoin that I
have that I've formed over the course of
my life so i' I'd start with this
observation I'd say Bitcoin it's an
asset circulating on a network governed
by a protocol based on or rooted in an
ideology and it provides Humanity with a
rational scientifically sound economic
foundation for the first time so that
that's what Bitcoin means to me right it
it is a rational foundation for
economics for the human race and um you
know Bitcoin with a small B is the
asset and we've created a digital asset
and we did it with the protocol and uh
the asset's no value it is of no value
unless there's a network for it to
circulate on so when I when I think
about the
protocol this is the way I look at it I
think Bitcoin uh it has three core
protocols that are critical to the
entire system working the first protocol
is a monetary protocol the second
protocol is a transaction protocol and
the third protocol is what I what I'm
going to call a power protocol it's it's
sort of it's near term realtime security
it's not security of the network over a
100 years but it's security over the
network over 100 days or 100 minutes
it's it's the here and now so that's
based on power who has the power over
the network so when I think about
Bitcoin in general well there's lots of
Bitcoin nodes and Bitcoin applications
out there anybody can create a version
of Bitcoin that runs on an iPhone an
Android phone it runs on Linux it runs
on a different type of computer etc for
them to be part of the network they kind
of have to share these three protocols
they're going to differ in lots of other
functions right there are other aspects
of software for example uh compatibility
is it compatible with this version of
Unix uh there's usability right does it
does it run on the iOS and does it
support like uh you know touch or not
you know there's compliance uh the
version of of of a Bitcoin wallet that
runs in the United States you know by a
publicly traded company you know will
have kyc AML restrictions for the state
of New York which will be dictated by
New York and by the US so there's com
there's there's differences in the
software that have to do with
compliance uh there's going to be
security differences and these this is
cyber security um so there there'll be
lots of Bitcoin uh nodes and they will
all be different in different countries
in different jurisdictions for different
platforms but the thing they all have to
share and common is this common monetary
protocol transaction protocol and power
protocol so the monetary protocol is is
the asint totically approaching 21
million right there will never be more
than 21 million and there's a lot of
there's been a lot of focus upon you
know the blocks of 50 and then 25 and
then 12 a half and 6.25 and the having
Etc but the truth is I I think about
this not over the course of 10 years or
the last 10 years I'm not even sure the
last 10 or 15 years matter right we're
approaching the 15year anniversary but
for the sake of our discussion let's
just say I accept Bitcoin as it is today
you know through all of its twists and
turns uh the blocksize wars you know Etc
and I look out over the next 100 years
is my short time frame and a thousand
years is a reasonable time frame so I'm
looking at this as as is this uh a
rational scientific economic framework
for the human race for the next many
many centuries okay and when you look at
it like that it's very clarifying and
it's simplifying for example once you
look out you know a thousand years
you're like well what is the monetary
policy it's 21 million it's 21 million
Bitcoin uh is the most it's ever going
to be and some of them will be lost and
that's the only thing you really need to
understand about that someone wants to
create a a software programmer a node
that has a different policy than 21
million they're breaking Bitcoin right
they've corrupted the monetary
protocol um and of course you can have
infinite monetary protocols you could
have 5% inflation a year you could have
five you know five five million Dogecoin
a year you could have all sorts of
things if you wanted
um it you can create uh a crypto asset
or a digital commodity that has a
monetary protocol which is inflationary
or inflationary for a hundred years and
stops right all sorts of things but in
this particular case bitcoin's monetary
protocol has gotten to be very simple
we're around 19 A5 million Bitcoin but
we're going to cap out at 21 million so
so to the truth is to debate all of the
nuances of of how you get to 21 million
is almost like second or third order at
this point maybe it was second order for
the last four years it's becoming third
order it certainly is less than third
order by 2035 when 99% of all the
Bitcoin has been issued and you've got
one% to be issued over the next 100 plus
years you realize that 1% is divided by
a 100 years is pretty Dem Minimus so so
the monetary protocol is is a hard cap
scarcity the transaction protocol is the
4 megabyte blocks every 10 minutes which
works out to you know Max you're going
to get to Seven transactions a second or
seven a half 4,500 transactions in a
block is pretty packed and so when you
work back into it you think well like a
slow network is 100 million transactions
a year and a a fast full network is 200
million transactions a year and uh and
the bandwidth is scarce right and the
transaction
protocol changed a little bit more over
the last 15 years than the monetary
protocol the monetary protocol is is
pretty much pristine since you know
Satoshi defined it the transaction
protocol you know jerked a little bit or
or or adjusted with
segwit and uh tap rot sort of adjust it
because they they changed the
theoretical bandwidth and the the itical
nature of transactions what kind of
transactions will the network process
and how much bandwidth can it process
the third protocol is the power protocol
and in this particular case it's not
electrical power it's computing power
but but what kind of computer power
digital power you can Define all sorts
of power protocols to control a network
for example democracy is a protocol one
person one vote you know aristocracy one
rich family one vote you know violence
one gun one bullet one vote right the
world's full of power protocols that you
know the the deer with the antlers have
their power protocol um the power
protocol for the Bitcoin network is Shaw
256 hashen right and um it could have
been any other right it could be a proof
of stake protocol it could be all sorts
of all sorts of other interesting power
protocols but the question is who at the
end of the day gets to to create the
block every 10 minutes and what kind of
power do they have to project in order
to create the block and you know if I if
I had an algorithm which was a CPU
friendly algorithm right it's a a
non-gpu a non- Asic friendly CPU well
then um then you're allowing any general
purpose computer to participate and
generate that computing power if you had
an algorithm that didn't include
computing power at all it's just
electricity but of course electricity
isn't terribly scarce and computing
power isn't terribly scarce so the idea
of Shaw 256 hashing creates a very
unique digital power protocol it's
something where you can create custom
silicon so you have custom as6 that are
generating lots of Shaw 256 hashes and
now we're we just crossed 500 x a hash
that's a lot of power but what's what's
really critical I think about the the
power protocol is that it allows you to
construct a silicon machine with a
massive mechanical advantage like a a a
custom as custom silicon gives you a
100000x or 2000x advantage over a
general purpose CPU and what that means
is that what we have here is three
interacting protocols which create four
types of scarc it the first level of
scarcity is asset scarcity the second
level of scarcity is bandwidth scarcity
there's a third type of scarcity which
is power scarcity Shaw 256 hashes are
very scarce form of power right they and
they can only be created by Bitcoin
mining equipment and so there's a fourth
type of scarcity which is technical
scarcity technology scarcity the the
ability to design
you know a high
performance semiconductor chip that does
Shaw 256 hashing right what bit main has
as as a core
competency right if you can create that
so in order to guarantee the asset
scarcity you have to have bandwidth
scarcity and in order to guarantee the
bandwidth scarcity you have to have
power scarcity and in order to guarantee
the power scarcity you need technology
scarcity and so you really looking at
like four harmonics or or you know four
uh types of scarcity and they come
together and they create a a they create
a Network that has integrity and
efficiency right I need I need the
efficiency like like what's efficient uh
here's an efficient power protocol I
have a gun I'm in a room with 100 other
people one person with a gun that cost
$300 has the ability to secure a billion
dollars in a room of hundred other
people it's a very efficient way to
secure the money right Whoever has the
gun the gun now now take away the gun
put the billion dollars in the middle of
the room and now your new power protocol
is your
fist now you can imagine now you've got
20 people punching 30 other people right
now now the the outcome becomes very
ineffective uh another Power protocol is
I'm going to secure the billion dollar
with $100 million of staked money you
can see that the issue with that is in a
staked economy I have to actually
allocate 10 or 20% of the capital to to
protect the rest of the capital that
doesn't scale very well so when you
actually get to the point where you're
creating machines whether it's a
construction crane or whether it's a gun
or whether it's a semiconductor chip you
have you have inserted knoow in order to
channel energy in order to actually uh
exert power and when I talk about you
know scarcity of power well the Bitcoin
miners own all the shaw 256 Asic chips
so you know on any given day if every
Power Company or electricity company in
the world wakes up and decides to attack
the Bitcoin Network they can't really do
it because the computing power the
digital power is scarce and they don't
have it any government wants to attack
the network they can't do it because
they don't have the power the the actual
silicon machine is in the hands of the
network operators so that creates a
certain type of efficiency and
stability and you can't really build a
civilization without it I mean it's the
same kind of efficiency you get when you
build a dam right you you Dam a lake and
all of a sudden you're generating Hydro
power uh or the same efficiency you get
when you have a construction crane and a
150 pound person can LIF 20 tons in air
a th000 feet right it's it's clear
you're not going to do it without having
a machine so I look at the entire
network and I think it's it's a pretty
beautiful set of uh integrated
protocols um because the power protocol
protects the the transactions every 10
minutes and the transactional protocol
is is a market driven protocol where
people are bidding to put their
transactions into the block space so as
as the the ecosystem grows the bid for
transactions grows in a in a classic
market economy fashion um and what you
have is Austrian economics dictating
which transactions will get implemented
based upon subjective value of all the
participants in the
ecosystem the miners over the course of
a thousand years it's quite obvious
right the minors are paid by transaction
fees
the um the block rewards were a
bootstrap or an initial subsidy in the
first 20 years of the network but as far
as I can see by the year 2035 the block
rewards just looked am minimouse 1% of
all the Bitcoin comes out over 100 years
after that so block rewards don't really
matter they fall away over the long time
toward Infinity what matters is is uh
transaction
revenues and and over time uh I think we
can expect the transaction revenues will
grow to far outstrip the block rewards
and and then if you look at uh Bitcoin
miners they're really Bitcoin power
producers or digital power centers that
are defending the network they're the
first line of defense in the network in
the sense that anybody that wants to
hack or or interrupt the blocks in the
next 10 minutes they have to get through
that hash wall they're also the second
line of defense of the network because
the Bitcoin miners all have invested
millions or tens of millions or hundred
millions or billions of capital that
they can't recoup in in less than four
to eight years and perhaps longer some
cases because they have to recoup their
capital investment they form corporate
entities in every single nation state
and every jurisdiction and then they
become active engaged lobbyists uh for
pro Bitcoin policy everywhere in on
Earth where they operate so so you
really could think of uh the Bitcoin
miners you know kind of as all of the
The Citadel on the wall that are
defending what is bitcoin and they
they're they are in essence the defense
uh the defense arm of Bitcoin in the uh
in the shortterm in the midterm so that
being the case once you adapt accept the
fact that you've got these three
protocols and then you you ask yourself
well how should I look at the network
and proposals to change the protocols
well I think there are a lot of models
you can adopt you know one is the New
York model the New York model is New
York City is sitting on top of granite
for 200 million years so Bitcoin is the
granite Bitcoin is 21 million blocks of
granite underneath New York City now
over the course of thousands of years
you've got had different nation states
you had 100 Indian tribes then you had
the Dutch then you had the British then
you then you had the New York colony
then you had uh you know the United
States and a thousand years from now you
may have another nation state on
Manhattan but here's what changes right
the granite doesn't change but the roads
and the sewers and the the City layout
changes and the parks
change and and the buildings change and
the people come and go and the PO itions
come and go and the rules and and the
political regimes come and go and the
businesses come and go and customs and
fads come and go and markets come and go
and those are all the things that you
can build on the island of Manhattan
because you have the granite and so if
you look at it that way you start to
think well Bitcoin is layer one it's the
granite what's important is I know I
need to know it's going to be here in a
million years that's what you know at
the very least I build a building I need
to know it's going to be here in a
hundred years but if you told someone
you know my building's good for a 100
years well 50 years from now they're not
going to want to buy the building from
you you really want to know the building
the land that the building is built on
is good for a thousand years if I if I
forecast a sinkhole in the middle of a
acre of of Manhattan in 37 years it
wrecks Havoc with the economy you know
in that jurisdiction so it's very
important that you have uh that kind of
of uh Outlook and stability uh the layer
twos the layer 3es the layer fours and
the layer fives and the layer sixes can
all have very high frequency Evolution
and there's not that much to risk
whether lightning and an open
permissionless Layer Two will compete
with other open permissionless layer
twos you can have competition we don't
have to agree on which one is the right
one you can have layer threes you can
have Bitcoin moving from cash app to
coinbase you know across somebody else's
mobile app and the layer threes can come
and go you can have layer fours and
layer fives applications and services
and derivatives you know you can have
this this ETF and it could be replaced
by that ETF they can come and go as well
and and then there'll be people that
will actually create derivatives of
derivatives I've got an ETF I trade
options on it and then I create an ETF
to trade the options on the ETF and you
know you could thinkwell these are
stupid things right maybe they are right
art in New York City will come and go
the art of 1700 is different than the
Arts of 1,00 BC is different than the
art of 2000 ad I mean they'll change all
these things so if you look at Bitcoin
you know all these things on the Bitcoin
base layer whether it's art or property
or applications or or lightning channels
and layer 2 all of these things are
going to change with what's going to
look like a very high frequency if if
you were a creature and your lifespan
was 10,000 years th think about how you
would perceive Bitcoin and all these
things that people are doing on Twitter
and talking about and developing you
know you would blink every 10 years and
then another 10 years go by and your
view would be very different and and in
that particular case you would have a
good feeling of granite underneath
Manhattan you know everything else would
change and then you would think these
mere mortals are debating you know this
and that like gramy Park the use of it
yeah that's been significant for a
hundred years but over a thousand years
insignificant and so I I think that the
New York model is kind of helpful I
think that um if if you take another
view of a protocol that's helpful you
know Bitcoin is our un ival econ
rational economic protocol well English
math fire electricity and gold those are
five other protocols English is a
protocol that you know has been around
about a thousand years it's changed a
bit you know there there's a lot of
debates but for example there are
certain things you can't say in with the
English language in certain
countries and yet we speak English right
so you're three-year-old probably can't
use the English language the way you use
the English language and if you were in
a court you wouldn't use the English
language the same way and if you were in
a foreign country you know you might not
use the language the same way so the
protocol will be used many different
ways but at the end of the day the
threat to the protocol is is to redefine
the word good to be bad and redefine the
word bad to be good and that starts to
create chaos right and I think you know
if you look at math it's a similar thing
like base 10 math is a very specific
protocol we didn't always have it the
way that we use math and and certainly
Bas 10 math isn't isn't that old but
it's used across nationalities good
people use it evil people use it people
debate how to use it some people are
really good at using it some people are
awful at using it and yet and yet the
protocol uh contributes something of
value to the human race and and
civilization benefits from having that
protocol I think that you know fire is
the same thing I mean you're not let
eight-year-olds use fire the way that
you would let uh an aeronautical
engineer use Fire or the way you would
let um you know even your campfire
instructor you know or your survival
training instructor use fire so they're
all different and gold gold is a
monetary protocol formed over thousands
of years you know and it was used across
lots of different different nations and
lots of different
cultures um some Nations use it better
than others right the Aztecs the Incas
didn't use gold so much as a monetary
protocol the Spaniards did they thought
they were winning when they used it they
had lots of chaos and the way that they
used it there are people that have used
the protocol
effectively uh but there are ways that
uh you know the protocol has been
Twisted I think the one the one takeaway
from all of this though is is uh these
Protocols are much more
powerful to the the extent that you you
believe they'll maintain their integrity
over long periods of time and at the
point that people start to lose faith in
the protocol if if if the number two
means four and the number four means
eight think about the chaos like think
about how many machines and how many
computer programs break if someone
redefines four to be two or plus to be
minus or or certain rules right and uh I
think um when when Bitcoin is seen as
that as that long-term protocol we can
create economic machines and and there's
this debate in the community but most of
the community debate is is Bitcoin
developers that actually want to change
uh that want to change the core
protocols they have ideas for how to
make it more functional and more more uh
more
performant but really I think that
Bitcoin is already offered us the
ability to create a 100 trillion economy
without changing any of the protocol and
you have this interesting tradeoff which
is the more you screw with the
underlying protocol the more you
interfere with the rest of the economy
and all of you know layer two layer
three layer four layer five so let me
change subjects to one other point which
is I think there's a lot of debate
because of people's vision of what
Bitcoin should be for for example crypto
currency has saddled the entire industry
with so much baggage because if you
believe that Bitcoin is a digital
currency you immediately put yourself in
opposition to nation states Banks
political currencies governments laws
Etc and and you're by necessity a
rebel because to be able to use Bitcoin
as a currency you have to actively break
laws or topple regimes and that's a very
uh a very combative view of the world if
you actually conceptualize Bitcoin as
property you know or money if if money
is collateral that backs the currency
then you actually have a very peaceful
resolution to this problem I'm going to
hold um hold my my money as a store of
wealth and Bitcoin competes with
property or gold as a store of wealth or
it competes with stock portfolio as a
store of wealth and I'm going to make
that my savings account or my savings
portfolio and then my checking account
my medium of exchange is going to be the
currency dictated by the regime where I
live whether it's Venezuela or Argentina
or the us or China or whatever and when
you just divide those two and you say
Bitcoin is money but it's not
currency then all of a sudden you
realize that you're competing against
other stores of value and and really
your Crusade every day is to convince
people to store their wealth in in
Bitcoin instead of art real estate gold
S&P uh indexes bond funds
Etc and you can have a completely uh
neutral view toward tax law legal tender
political uh laws Customs tariffs
Capital controls price controls trade
controls Wars ideologies
religions right politicians right the
entire work so I I I definitely think
it's so much more constructive to think
of it as property than currency and I
think the The Twist there is if I take
property and I make it fungible and
liquid then it really is money and it's
Capital right so bitco if you think of
Bitcoin is digital Capital digital money
or digital property held for the long
term as collateral
against uh against uh a local currency
and then you say as a citizen of the
world I'm going to swap into whatever
currency I need to spend wherever I am
then you found uh a peaceful resolution
to the question of do we have you know
do we have to be martyrs or can we be
winners and I I've said a lot I'd Rather
Be A Winner than a martyr and I instead
of saying we have to use Bitcoin as a
currency and therefore you have to
repeal all your tax laws and change your
legal tender laws much easier to say
we're going to use it as uh money or as
uh as a property and then we will move
peacefully and in a compliant fashion
through every single regime and then
we're going to convert every company
every government every politician every
institution into Bitcoin supporters
because it's not inconsistent with their
worldview either everybody would like to
store their value
forever um I think
uh you know the future if you look at
the future uh the future contains
property art money currency equity and
credit all those things are going to
exist there'll be thou there's currently
a 100 million companies as long as there
are 100 million companies there's going
to be equity in the companies whether
it's Apple stock or Amazon stock right
and and there are always going to be
companies
because if you look at economics it's
always going to be more efficient for a
certain group of people to do something
for you than for you to do it yourself
you know if you if you roll the clock
back to say you know 14th century
Florence you know in the textile
industry they need like 36 different
Specialists with 36 different machines
just to weave a a piece of cloth so the
good old days of we're just going to do
everything ourself you know on a
homestead they never existed I you know
I think I think that you know I I read
uh the other day about finding a axe
Factory a stone axe Factory that's more
than a million years old you know so
they find this like Neolithic you know
paleolitic whatever axe Factory and
there's hundreds of axes in the axe
Factory and what that's telling you is a
million years ago a bunch of human
beings organized a society that was
sophisticated enough that they could
dedicate one group of of the society to
do nothing other than create Stone axes
and trade those Stone axes for food
clothing shelter Services Etc so there's
never been a time in human history when
people weren't
specialized we're going to have
companies and if you're going to have
companies you're going to have Equity
the question is do we monetize the
equity or does the equity trade at its
fair value based upon the cash flows
that the corporation can generate and
there's and credit's not going away you
canot like bonds but the end of the day
you know you're always going to want to
be able to borrow some money from
somebody a company will want to be able
to borrow money governments will borrow
money and there will be creditors that
will want to loan the money and the real
issue is will it be a fair cost of
capital will I get a fair rate for the
money or not and you know currencies
will exist as long as there are
government
right and and uh when when uh nation
states break down and there's Anarchy uh
then you then you resort to Stone Age
barter and maybe you barter gold and
maybe you barter food and maybe you
barter bullets or maybe you'll barter
Bitcoin as as the most you know tradable
money in the future but at the end of
the day you know you don't really want
to live in a war zone because you know
if you study the history of War zones
the 30 Years War in Germany
well when it's done onethird of the
people are dead on the battlefield you
know and everybody has lost everything
and civil been ripped down to zero it's
it's not you know a desirable situation
so human beings are generally going to
run from war zones so you you know
you're not going to make currencies go
away as long as there governments you're
not going to make equities go away as
long as they are companies you won't
make credit go away and you won't make
art go away right the debate right now
is over inscriptions good or bad or nft
is good or bad well you know here's
here's a story for you Velasquez the
greatest artist in the Spanish Court who
painted the the Spanish Kings he after a
lifetime of service was spent on a he
was sent on a mission to Italy to
acquire art for the king of Spain with
the king of Spain's you know checkbook
and it was a reward to him so this is
about 15 I know
1650 so he goes to Italy and he searches
around and he can't find any art because
nobody wants to sell it all the good
stuff is not available for sale right
and the footnote in the history book is
millionaires in you know post
Renaissance Italy were using art as a as
a a hedge against inflation and a store
of value that's 300 years ago 400 years
ago hundreds of years people you know
people have been doing this and at the
same time there have been r Dart
auctions you know there there have been
you know art the entire art business is
its own Insider game and people will
establish one Artist as being special
and there'll be collectors and there's a
massive debate about whether or not the
art is worth what it's worth well that
debate's been going on for hundreds of
years and today that debate goes on not
just with art but it goes on with uh
with um you know luxury cars sports cars
it goes on with Rolex watches and luxury
watches it goes on with nfts it'll go on
with inscriptions and ordinals it will
just continue to go on and you know when
I when I hear that someone is a
collector of like rare whatever fill-in
the blank I'm like well I would never
buy that like I I don't want to store my
money in you know in someone's $500,000
sports car but somebody does it right
and and uh and it will continue so if
you think about this again New York
right in the city of New York you'll
have the art and you'll have the
businesses and you'll have the credit
you'll have the bankers and you'll have
the
politicians it'll always go on and what
you're going to want is the granite not
to
shift and uh and if you were the the the
granite and you just looked up you would
say all these silly human beings you
know they're doing silly things I would
never put a bakery there I would never
buy that piece of art what are they
thinking and maybe be right maybe be
wrong
but it is The Human Condition and uh and
that's the market economy so if we
actually humbly submit to the market
economy and we say we just want a
protocol to allow Humanity to pursue its
million different aims with high
frequency every minute hour day week
year decade right um then uh it kind of
gives us a a really nice framework for
thinking about Bitcoin and I I think
when I look at it I just say bitcoin's a
global Dynamic cyber economy and we want
it to be open transparent permissionless
Timeless immutable fair and Satoshi got
pretty damn close with the first
iteration and you could say there are
some second order tweaks to it over the
next 15 years through segwit and route
but at this point it feels to me like
we've achieved that and and on the
margin there have been hundreds of
attempts that failed you could you could
almost argue not hundreds but thousands
tens of thousands or hundreds of
thousands of attempts that have failed
we have one that is succeeding and uh it
takes me you know to the you know to the
next part of our discussion which is you
know under what circumstances should we
entertain proposals to change the
protocol back to the show in a moment
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yeah um so let's yeah so I think I I can
agree with a lot of what you're saying
there around uh the New York the New
York City analogy this idea of a a solid
base that everybody can build up on top
of we can use it as our digital property
our store of value and as you said some
of these things will still exist
obviously Equity will still exist
there'll still be debt and credit now
maybe the form would be different the
artwork will still exist but you know
the form may change uh but there'll be
people who are doing this because
they've done it for thousands of years
before and they'll do it for thousands
of years into the future and so I think
it might be useful then to talk a little
bit about the purpose of Bitcoin because
I think that's that's where some of the
disagreement lies now I think I broadly
you know when it comes to let's say the
controversy of the day right the ordinal
inscriptions blc2 Etc I think basically
it's a matter of just wait it out right
like I'm I'm not interested in that
stuff but you know I'm not really trying
to because if you look at what some of
the protocol developers are saying
they're saying fundamentally you can't
really stop people finding ways to hack
and store data on on the chain per se
but they're paying a price for that and
fundamentally they I believe that will
be outcompeted over time with high value
monetary transactions now whether that's
high value you know people are trading
for property or to sell business or to
open and close the lightning channels
and all these kinds of things over time
those uses will get competed away so
bringing you back to the the
conversation around how should we think
about changes to the protocol I think it
it comes back to what people see as the
purpose of Bitcoin so as an example
there's a big debate I mean this is kind
of one of those things where people look
at the white paper and they say oh look
look at the white paper it's Bitcoin a
peer-to-peer electronic cash system
right and of course that's where some
you know bcer big blocker types will
sort of say a see you can't use it as
cash anymore and then maybe somebody
else might counter to that and say well
actually we what we mean by cash is
final settlement and by that we're sort
of something thinking closer to this
idea of as you said digital property
digital money um and so do you want to
just spell out some of your ideas on
bitcoin principles as they relate to you
know what the purpose of Bitcoin is and
what what sorts of changes if any should
be
considered yeah I mean I I think that um
you got to start by saying you know bit
bitcoin's primary role is to serve as an
economically sound technically sound
ethically sound foundation for the
future digital economy it it it is in
essence sound digital property or sound
digital money I've described it as
digital energy but you could think of it
as digital material how do we manifest a
hundred trillion dollars of real value
in cyberspace right H how do we do that
and make that stable right um before
Bitcoin all money uh you know all all uh
Financial transactions in cyberspace are
based on credit right there is no
digital money there's only Digital
Credit in the world before Bitcoin so I
send you a billion dollars or a million
dollars it's a credit on Visa Network or
on a banking Network and if the if the
uh the analog real world institution
chooses to honor the credit then the
money changes hands but you know we
we've talked about the problem with that
before like I I want to send um a
million dollars 40 times and every time
I lose two and a half% and it takes one
month and so it takes four years to move
the money 40 times and I lose all the
money right in essence after 40
vibrations of the money it's gone so so
um the world of credit money isn't uh it
isn't a foundation to build anything
lasting or functional in cyberspace so
bitcoin's primary role is to serve as a
digital monetary foundation for the
future of humanity and if there's $900
trillion dollars worth of stuff
circulating right now 0.1% of that is
digital money as we understand it withs
Bitcoin if we want to actually move into
the 21st century into the Cyber economy
you could imagine that we should be
getting to 100 200 300 500 trillion
dollars worth of monetary value
circulating digitally so it's the
foundation in the same way that the
granite is the foundation of Manhattan
but it's not the applications it's not
the buildings it's not the businesses
it's not the political
systems and uh so so to think it's that
it's currency is a mistake it's it's not
meant to replace Equity it's not meant
to replace currency it's not meant to be
a medium of exchange it's meant to be
the underlying um conservative
foundation of the entire economy now
that being the case it's I I think that
uh yeah it's a people that they they
they live for digital currency they just
waste all their time chasing after the
wrong thing and debating the wrong thing
currency is not even that valuable I
mean if if if you look at the entire
world economy and you ask what portion
of the economy is in currency used as a
medium of
exchange is that is that like one
123% like what percentage of of the
wealth of any wealthy person would be
currency they use as a medium of
exchange it you'd be luy to see it
1% so only % of the economy is anything
related to currency to so to to focus
upon Bitcoin needing to be a currency to
create value is missing 99% of the
opportunity the the real um value of
Bitcoin is if I put the other 900
trillion dollar into the digital
ecosystem I can defeat inflation which
which is decimating 10% of all the
wealth in the world every year right
that's a that's a big idea or
I can move the money a million times a
second instead of one time a month so so
what we're talking about is a high
fidelity high frequency method the
ability to to move money uh based on a
computer program a million times faster
a million times cheaper and the ability
to to uh manifest capital in digital
form such that it last a million times
longer right that's the Breakthrough
right a million times a million times a
million right it's it's a lot better
right it's and so I think that uh the
purpose of Bitcoin is that it's to
basically manifest the economy in
digital space it's the digital
transformation of capital if there's 900
trillion doll of capital what if half of
it could be transformed digitally and
you move $450 trillion into cyberspace
and well you would say well why would I
want to do that the answer is so it'll
last forever that it's it's Immortal so
it's indestructible check number two and
so it moves at the speed of light check
number three and so I can uh I can
vibrate it at the speed of a
computer so if the computer thinks a
billion times faster than you and is a
billion times smarter than you and I can
move the capital a billion times faster
and let the computer use it a billion
times more intelligently and if it's
indestructible and
Immortal then it's kind of the it's the
difference between relying upon animal
power and electrical power to drive the
civilization forward right you can heat
your home with a bunch of donkeys in
your living room or you can heat your
home home with electricity clean
electricity it's right it's it's
it's It's tricky to find powerful enough
metaphors but but that's an example of a
metaphor right electricity versus donkey
power in order to move the human race
forward so that being the case then I
guess somebody makes a suggestion let's
change the protocol I have a very simple
checklist you know is it
ethical uh and you know is it good
engineering and is it economically sound
right so is it technically sound is it
ethically sound is it economically sound
and um and I you know I think you know
if we could start with an observation
before I go too much further which is
the hypocritic oath starts with the the
phrase Do no harm right generally if you
have a healthy a healthy human being you
want to start by doing no harm right and
so here are the principles I think apply
with regard to bitcoin point it's
already a healthy Network it's already
gone from nothing to $850 billion dollar
in economic energy it's on a course to
10x that and 10x that again with no
change to the protocol as far as I can
see it seems seems quite evident to me
that we the the next stop should be 100x
where we are with all of the Innovation
taking place on layers two through five
so when you come to me and you say oh I
think there's a problem with Bitcoin
right it's like I just heard about
Bitcoin I'm here to fix it that's the
meme everybody keeps coming up with this
idea to fix Bitcoin they've all been
wrong generally so far and there'll be
another
100,000 you only get to play God once
and Satoshi played God and you could say
well Satoshi got to do it why can't I
well the answer is Satoshi did it the
reason we're talking about Satoshi is
because the other 100,000 would be
Satoshi failed if you read the history
of the world work your way through
10,000 pages of Western history
there will be thousands and thousands
and thousands of
episodes of alpha male thinks he was put
on this Earth You know to change
everything full of hubris and decides
that he's going to conquer his own
country then he's got to conquer the
next one then he's got to conquer
everything in his way and then he's you
know he's got to he's got to do more
change more Etc and that's the story of
juliia Caesar that's the the story of
Alexander the Great that's the story of
gas Khan that's the story of Napoleon
right that's the story of Hitler that's
the story of every King you know and
most leaders I could give you 10,000 of
them but William the Conqueror but the
story always ends the same way which is
they start the underdog they get a few
victories then their head gets too big
for them then they decide to go conquer
the next thing and then pretty soon
they're losing their entire Army in
Egypt or in Russia or wherever and you
know and if they manage to conquer
everything they die in the and the
entire Empire falls apart immediately
like with Alexander the Great or they
die and within one generation the Empire
falls apart which is what happened to
gas Khan or you know they end up with
with no Sons so they murder everyone so
they can have a son in their Civil War
or they end up with 19 sons and the 19
Sons murder each other and there's a
civil war or they have a UND sons and
one of them murders the first 20 and
there's 100 Civil Wars but at the end of
the day it's always it's always an
example of someone that thinks that God
told them it's their Manifest Destiny to
go and Conquer something
else and
and there's this there's this basic
stoic principle I think which is really
important which is
uh it's it's you may be able to acquire
the thing but it's 10 times harder to
maintain the thing and it's a 100 times
harder to prosper or enjoy the thing so
in business that means you can buy the
you can buy the business or launch the
product but can you make a profit
probably not but if you can make a
profit can you actually continuously
grow the business forever such that you
can compete for the next hundred years
and prosper that's a 100 times harder so
the world is full of people that think
that they can start a business but 99%
of the time they fail because they
underestimate the cost to compete and
the cost to prosper the world's full of
people that that they uh thought they
could acquire that thing but they can't
afford to maintain it and then they
acquire too much and they realize that
it's dilutive and they can't enjoy the
things they've Acquired and history is
riddled with examples of Empires where
Empire Builders they they overx extend
and then they realize that they can't
maintain the Empire at all collapses you
know in a
catastrophe and it's it's always pred
it's highly predictable it always
happens it if I were to give you a 100
examples I would have only given 1% of
the examples because it just happens
over and over and over and over again
so so when you think about all this you
know beware men with God
complexes you only get to play God once
and you
know most most medicine and most law is
iatrogenic it's it's kind of amusing you
know I there's so many examples in
history where where uh the historian
studies history
and this has been said in 500 BC in 100
AD in 700 AD in 1200 ad and 1500 ad
modern times but the basically what's
said is doctors multiply the ailments
with their cures and the lawyers
multiply the disagreements with their
laws the doctors want to prescribe and
operate the lawyers want to legislate
and litigate that's what they do and so
when you think about bitcoin's protocol
Bitcoin core developers or or protocol
developers they want to fix something or
they want to make a contribution because
it's in their DNA but
developers are just the lawyers of
cyberspace when the lawyer shows up at
the capital they've got to make a law
to save you from yourself and the more
laws they make the more they the
economy until eventually there's so many
laws that the entire civilization
collapses under its own weight and when
developers show up and they're invited
to opine on the protocol they want to
actually introduce a piece of code to
make it better and each you know and
it's always well I can speculate a
circumstance under which we might need
this or I can speculate you know if we
don't do this we're going to have a
failure but you know in the history of
mankind people that preach doomsday that
predicted the you know the end of
humanity they have 100% failure
rate and yet every single demagogue
every politician every Empire Builder
has always preached this right I got to
start my own religion because you're all
going to hell and the world's going to
end and it's happened to say hundreds of
times in understatement hundreds of
thousands of times most likely it's just
that we only managed to record about 10
or 20,000 of the
incidences but it's happened as many
times as there are leaders born and it's
continually happening
so I mean think you know you have a you
have a proposal whatever it is my first
start is if it's not a global consensus
to be a fatal defect and if we don't if
we all universally think it's a fatal
defect is going to destroy the network
then I think we should carefully
considerate I'm not saying we should we
could all be wrong by the way every time
every civilization has concluded that
the end is near they've always been
wrong right in the history of the world
they've always been wrong so if there
was Universal consensus of a fatal
defect that's going to destroy us all we
simply ought to talk about it and maybe
maybe we should do something but it
doesn't mean we should do something we
should really think hard about it when I
when I look at as an engineer um and I
spent my career in engineering Stefan
like for 30 years I ran a software
company
so thousands and thousands of man years
of
engineering conclusion code is a
liability not an asset just like laws
are a liability not an asset right the
president of of Argentina is looking to
repeal 380,000 different
rules right um so complex
in the protocol creates new attack
surfaces every time you introduce a new
a new Co piece of code is an attack
surface it's something to break given
the fact that we're already winning and
we're on a path to winning like and this
is this is where it's you're an optimist
or you're a pessimist for example do you
think the universe is going to work with
or without human beings if the universe
is going to go on for another billion
years then who needs you to F with the
laws of
physics right it's it's going to work
fine without you right so you have your
little God complex but probably you'll
be wrong the universe will be right so
if if you actually have some respect for
natural law and if you have respect for
Bitcoin the network if you think it's
already
working then every piece of complexity
introduces a way for it to break every
complexity is a new failure mode a new
attack surface a new maintenance
obligation I created a new piece of code
okay well now we have to test it against
every other piece of code every time we
update any piece of the software okay so
100,000 different permutations of things
to worry about testing and if one of
them breaks were
doomed and on the other hand uh what's
the usefulness of the new feature right
that a new feature encourages feature
competition so every time you add a new
feature you encourage someone else to
propose their feature and then you
create confusion it's like okay well
there a new feature so now everybody in
the world has to figure out how that
affects everything that they've done or
everything they're going to do and that
creates a an arms race or a feature race
and that creates uncertainty and that
undermines trust and
ultimately all of the confusion
uncertainty and undermining of the trust
undermines the efficiency of everybody
else in the ecosystem so all the layer
two layer three layer four layer five
and layer six it's let let me me say it
this way I'm playing God and I'm just
going to routinely zap four acres of
granite in New York City in the next 10
years and I'll wipe them out and put a
sinkhole underneath that goes down to
the Center of the Earth because I feel
like I need to do that to save the world
and you live in New York and you run a
business in New York and you're the
mayor of New York you see the chaos that
creates it's like do I have to pass a
law to to inspect every acre of New York
every month for the next forever to
figure out whether school kids will drop
into the sinkhole it's like yeah you
think you're doing good it's like well I
speculate the global warming will end
the world and so I got to do this it's
like my speculation so please let me do
it but what you're doing is creating an
obscene amount of inefficiency in the
rest of the economy that you're we call
this strategic incompetence you're
blissfully ignorant and you're so
incompetent that you can't imagine what
kind of chaos you will create for all
the other people not in the room with
you right now and that's what gives you
the confidence to go and mess with the
world right because you've got that big
an ego and uh I think if you have
humility and you say well I know I know
one human being worth of stuff and
there's a hundred million other human
beings that are affected and maybe I
don't know the other
99 99 million human beings worth of
stuff then you would go much more
carefully from an engineering point of
view you know that the model I would
give you here too is the 737 Max are you
familiar with the 737 Max and the
debacle that introduced yeah I heard of
this story but go on for the listeners
so I'm an aeronautical engineer and uh
and so I I know something about building
aircraft and and the short of it is
Aeronautical Engineering is is a systems
discipline so when you change the
payload of the aircraft and you change
the wing of the aircraft or the fuselage
of the aircraft or the or the mission of
the aircraft or the specs of the
aircraft or the furniture in the
aircraft or the electronics in the
aircraft you have to you have to
consider whether or not You' broken
anything and you could introduce a new
couch and destabilize the aircraft under
certain circumstances and crash the
thing and kill everybody which is why
you know you're careful about playing
God on the aircraft it's not like
shuffling the furniture in your living
room the 737 was designed in the
1960s it's one of the most successful
aircraft designs in the history of the
world uh we were flying it in the 70s we
flew in the 80s the 90s with for 50
years we created this we flew this
aircraft and we made incremental
adjustments to the to the airframe we
stretched it a little bit longer but we
didn't change the shape of the fuchal
and we kept most of the components and
it was very successful and it was flown
by pilots very successfully and then
Along come some some well-to-do
well-meaning Engineers that want to fix
it or make it better it wasn't broken
it's the most successful you know
airliner in the history of the world but
but someone always wants to make it
better probably someone that graduated
from computer science program and they
learned about new techniques and so they
decided to upgrade the control system
and the autopilot system in the aircraft
in the cockpit we have to migrate to
electronic cockpit and and so when they
did it they introduced code into uh in
into the auto throttles and and into the
control system there was supposed to be
a fail safe to keep the plane from
crashing so it overrode the pilot under
certain
circumstances and and they introduced a
bug into the into the code and the way
that the software interacted with the
sensors on the
aircraft you know in a system systemic
fashion was such that under certain
circumstances the um the software took
over control of the
cockpit and stalled out the airplane and
crashed it and killed everybody and it
just kept happening you know and and if
you're the pilot in the
airplane you you get murdered by the
software and the software kills you and
kills all the passengers and they were
killed by the
upgrade and so as an example of if they
had done
nothing we'd all be better off right and
and it was a massive hubris because
there's this arrogance of thinking that
no matter what I do I won't make things
worse and I can introduce as much
complexity as I
want and the answer is no you can't you
can't introduce much complexity right
since you're not God and you don't
understand all circumstances and and all
all parts of the functional envelope you
C you know you can't possibly see the
full implications but what we do know is
uh you know a bunch of very enthusiastic
Engineers made an upgrade to actually
make the plane
unsafe and yeah you always have to be
concerned about that and uh and there
tends to be lots of examples of that in
the world is happening all the time yeah
so one point I just want to bring up
here just to get your response on this
because there is certainly and I'm sure
you recognize this also a role for
maintenance right there's there's always
a need for maintenance Bitcoin itself
doesn't exist in a vacuum right it it
has to connect to the internet and you
know there are other aspects of code or
applications that Bitcoin has to connect
with so I presume then you know that's
you would contrast that from the RO for
maintenance of the protocol so that
people can still use Bitcoin wouldn't
you yeah I I think that uh one way to
think about this is there's a
kernel like if you look at the database
industry like there is the kernel the
relational database kernel Oracle and
Oracle was ported to lots of different
computer platforms and so there would be
the version of Oracle on a Mainframe and
the version of Oracle on a on an IBM uh
PC and the version of Oracle on an Apple
computer and the version of Oracle that
might run on a mobile handset or an
Android phone but the kernel stays the
same and the way it processes SQL and
the way that the engine works the
protocol doesn't change um the ports are
various instances right it it might very
well be that they have different
functionality and they have to be
maintained and upgraded with the
operating systems as they change and
there's a role for that but good
software engineering is such that you
would always want to have a situation
where if the system crashes it crashes
on the client but it doesn't corrupt the
data or corrupt the network so you you
know you don't want a client you know
anywhere on the network that would
corrupt the network or or or corrupt the
underlying data and so there's a
question of how does it crash right how
does it fail does it fail gracefully or
does it fail in such a way that it it
corrupts all of the data right or or or
the worst case would be it crashes and
it and it uh
crashes other people's devices as well
so I think that the that there is a lot
of software engineering to be done
around Bitcoin I mean the engineering of
the signing devices the engineering of
the node clients the engineering of the
mining rigs the engineering of of the
mining pools right the engineering of
the layer two of the wallets the
engineering of the layer 3 apps and and
the light the engineering of lightning
channels these are all parts of of the
ecosystem but I would say
philosophically you want the majority of
risk to sit with the you want the risk
to always be with the client you want
you want the risk on the edge of the
network you want the risk to be ideally
with the application and the
corporation right like like if if you're
a custodian you're going to lose
something you want the corporation to be
on the hook for it um if if you're going
to destroy an entity you want to destroy
the company or the individual or the
client device or the individual minor
you don't want a fatality of the network
right we we can't afford to have the
protocol corrupted right that's that's
kind of like if you're if you're
screwing with stuff in your factory
you're not allowed to use uh Planet
busting nuclear fusion weapons because
if you mess that up you blow up the
planet right so don't let people burn
down the entire city don't let them burn
down the entire network uh with regard
to you know everything else look you
Bitcoin can survive the failure of any
um layer three application or custodial
application it can survive the failure
of any holder and it can survive the
failure even of um a layer two protocol
a lightning protocol the entire protocol
could fail Bitcoin will survive right
and uh it can survive a a failure of a
lightning channel right so there are of
components that it can survive just like
New York City can survive the collapse
of any building any business any
government any mayor any Administration
and any culture but it can't survive you
know a 100 thermonuclear Warheads that
plow uh a one mile crater over all of
Manhattan such that the ocean covers it
right and swallows it you don't want a
Atlantis situation where the entire
thing sinks under the Atlantic so so you
got to consider the risk and I think
that um there's no point in trying to
get involved in all of the software
engineering of the layers above the
foundation because they're all high
frequency High complexity my my general
view is just if you're a brilliant
engineer if you're the Mark Zuckerberg
type and you want to create something
that's that you think is worth hundreds
of billions of dollars create it as an
application on bitcoin and go take it
public and raise capital and Market it
to the world and maybe you just created
the next Facebook or created the next
Microsoft and maybe you know if you're
right and if you're wrong okay your
investors will go bankrupt and your code
will be you know scrubbed off the
network in time you know history shows
that
99.999% of the time you're wrong right
there's only like a dozen people that
were ever like Mark Zuckerberg and there
was a million people that wanted to be
so history suggest you'll probably be
wrong but you know everybody has their
right to take their shot and you should
and and you should go ahead and risk
your time your Capital your code and if
you're successful maybe your cash app
and you'll have 50 million users on the
network and you get to control how those
50 million people interact with Bitcoin
right and maybe you'll have 500 million
people on the network maybe you'll be
Microsoft and you'll have a billion
people on the network and you'll get to
control how your billion customers inter
wck Bitcoin and maybe you'll have a
trillion dollars of Bitcoin in the
network and that's okay but at the end
of the day you're going to be an attack
surface you're going to be a corporation
you'll be subject to a subpoena you'll
be centralized and maybe you'll be
successful in the US but maybe you'll be
like apple I mean think about the
problems that Apple Google and Facebook
have in China right now right there they
all have very much political headaches
so all of these layer 3es are going to
have political headaches but but you
can't be little the ability to do good
the truth is you know Microsoft and
Apple and Google have a accomplish
things in their own way that you could
never accomplish with an open protocol
or with you know a layer one protocol
and so it's silly to try to do what they
do in layer three and the layer one but
it's silly for them to not take
advantage of the layer one so that's
what I think about general maintenance
of different types one other area that I
think some people may be interested to
hear your view here when we're talking
about engineering what of things like
non-consensus changes right so for
example the big ticket things that
people talk about are typically the soft
Forks right so segwit Tapo and so on but
there are a whole host of other changes
that are just happening as an example
with new releases of Bitcoin core so for
an example the V2 transport protocol or
other things that are that they are
changing you know as we speak right
every six months there's a new on
average there's a new release and so
some of these changes are already
occurring so what are you what are you
saying in respect to those changes that
are not these kind of big headline soft
fors or consensus changes well I I think
the core protocol the monetary protocol
the transaction protocol the power
protocol the things that's the essence
of Bitcoin that needs to be defended in
a very conservative fashion a as the
foundation of the entire Bitcoin economy
I think that when you look Beyond it at
at various extensions of those protocols
that are optional right S soft Forks if
you will maybe Backward Compatible
extensions that may or may not be
adopted I think that people can pursue
whatever they want to pursue and the
market will decide for example if you
came up with a Bitcoin node that ran on
an iPhone you know may would I download
it might you add some iPhone features
would it be successful would it not be
successful people have different
opinions about it you know uh maybe it's
a good idea maybe it's not a good idea I
mean people will make arguments about
why it shouldn't be part of the Apple
Store you know subject to Apple approval
and someone also say why don't we just
let it go you know I think everybody's
free to come up with their own uh
software it's either Layer Two I'll
characterize Layer Two is it's
consistent it's it's consistent with the
core protocol of Bitcoin the layer one
protocol the foundational protocol but
it's optional and it's open source
that's like lightning it could be 100
flavors of lightning and and you know
there's there's Bitcoin core but people
can create 100 competitors that are
different ports to run on different
devices you know my version has a
different way to sync and it syncs in
one minute you know on your Android
phone or it syncs you know and it's it
runs differently and people will debate
it they can debate it or not and uh
maybe it'll evolve maybe it won't evolve
I think that as long as it's not
screwing with the power protocol the
monetary prot protocol the transaction
protocol then probably the market will
work it out and I think many of them
morph into a layer three because there's
a custodian or there's a company or a
group of people a centralized group most
will because if you want to do something
which has got a lot of uh fun Rich
functionality or Rich performance or
anything different any other bells and
whistles if you want to add usability if
you want to add compatibility if you
want to add compliance you're going to
have to have
an organized software engineering team
to do it I think that's it's obvious we
need those right if you want to you know
run Bitcoin in a certain regulatory
environment and the and the politicians
there say you have to comply with this
rule or else it's illegal then someone
will pop up to build that kind of
compliance software and that'll be a
company and it's almost certain that the
company that does that won't be
compliant in other jurisdictions and so
I I I think that that's just part of a
vibrant economy like a vibrant Bitcoin
economy and uh many many ideas will be
tried and uh some of them will be great
ideas but not economically viable and
some will be great ideas but will be be
smashed by regulators and some will be
great ideas but people just won't care
you live long enough and you invent I've
said this before it's like I invented a
hundred things not many of them were
commercially successful it's easy to
it's easy to create the mobile app on
the iPhone that happened 100 thousand
times but you can count on two hands the
number of mobile apps that got to a
billion users on an iPhone so there
should be a vibrant economy and people
should be always trying new things and
and the real issue is you know is it um
an open layer two type protocol or is it
layer three or is it something different
entirely I I tend to think every time an
engineer has a good idea and they
saywell Bitcoin really needs this I
think well why don't you implement it in
your version of Bitcoin or in your you
know in some kind of Layer Two fashion
and Implement a special lightning node
that has that functionality and let's
see whether or not 100 million people
adopt it because they like it there and
and then after 100 million people use it
maybe there'll be a view that it ought
to be put back into the core base
protocol because it's useful and then on
the other hand maybe 100 million people
will use it
and we'll conclude we don't need to put
in the base protocol because it's
already been successful right why would
you risk the genetic code of the entire
human race right when uh when you don't
need to so right I I guess and coming
back to the subject of just my filters
like the first thing I always think is
well what kind of engineering risk does
this Implement and given the fact that
Bitcoin I'm of the view that Bitcoin is
already going to be 100x more successful
than it is is you got to show me
something that makes it a million times
better that has no risk before it
becomes interesting on my radar
otherwise I just think 737 Max you know
it's like you know great idea lots of
people are dead and you set back you
nearly bankrupted the entire company
lost 20 30 40 billion dollars trying to
do good and you killed a lot of innocent
people so good for you right maybe maybe
we don't need to do that um I also look
at I think the economic constraints are
really important when you introduce new
functionality in the base protocol you
undermine and impair all the application
development on the on the above layers
so you're you know you're robbing the
rest of the economy of the opportunity
to do it in a layer two or layer three
or a layer four because you want to
shove it into layer one so whatever your
good idea was why don't you start a
company to do it and make billions and
if you're going to rob me of the ability
to start a company and make billions
then how are you helping me it's it's an
example of a government that wants to
insert wage controls and price controls
and nationalize every major part of the
economy it's like like when the you know
when the westerners go to Africa and we
give away free medical care and we
bankrupt all the African doctors and the
African hospitals so like destroying the
native farmers in Africa and destroying
the native doctors in Africa because we
want to give away food and give away
medical care and we think some that
we're morally superior but what we
really did was we wrecked the economy
and so I think that you got to you got
to be saying am I going to wreck the
economy of the rest of the layers by
trying to introduce this in this base
layer I think performance undermines
transaction fees and application
development so so you know when you're
introducing performance improvements in
the base protocol you're stealing from
the miners and when you're introducing
functionality in improvements to the
base protocol you're stealing from the
application developers you're you know
you're destroying their business either
you're stealing you're destroying or
stealing their existing property or
you're stealing their future cash flows
on this point I think there's maybe some
people may disagree on this point just
and some of this has parallels even with
the block size Force because there was
this kind of idea of oh let's get segwit
because we're going to get lightning and
then there was kind of this question of
oh but are the miners losing out because
now they're going to lose out on
transaction fees in this in this example
and so there was there was some fighting
about that and some people were coming
back with the argument of oh well see
we're growing the overall ecosystem the
overall number of people who are going
to be doing even lightning Channel open
and close transactions on the Bas layer
such that the miners are not going to
lose out but other people were saying no
you're you're taking from the miners
it's you know the famous uh saying uh
from uh one individual uh Jihan Wu was
that the transaction fees would be quite
unquote unfairly cheap so that that's
perhaps an example of this kind of
conflict that can arise when there are
upgrades to
bitcoin yeah I think I think if you look
back at Wars a lot of evil is done in
wars on both sides and a lot of innocent
people were hurt and that that's the
case of every war the 30-year War the
Civil War every single War right so and
the block siiz war is a lot of people
were hurt by the war now I would start
with my observ that we're here right now
the war has been fought I mean I can't
undo what happened I don't condone
Warfare right there are a lot of there
are a lot of Bitcoin miners that are
bankrupt today because of segwit and a
lot and the transaction fees did go
through the floor and they would have
been higher if the block space had been
uh more scarce and so there you know you
can say the network survived and we are
where we are and I think that Bitcoin
with tap rout and Bitcoin was segment is
a healthy Network and we have enough
functionality to 100x from here but I do
think every if you look forward I mean
looking backwards people were hurt right
like in the in the German Civil War
right in the 30 Years War like onethird
of the people got murdered okay there's
no you know there's no good guys there
wasn't a good side right both sides
murdered millions of innocent people in
the war every war is like that every
single war in human history the the
winners murdered a bunch of innocent
people the losers murdered a bunch of
innocent people war is hell and so one
should hope maybe I'll say it a
different way if you didn't have to have
a civil war and if you could grow if you
could if you were in charge of a nation
and you had the choice shall we engage
in a civil war or shall we live
peacefully together with the status quo
I think the answer is we should should
live peacefully together with the status
quo and every time a strong world leader
comes along and says God told me that
the status quo will result in all of us
plunging to hell in the end of the Earth
and therefore I have to murder 25% of
the population it's like the Catholics
versus the hugenots in France like they
they started a war rent for like 35 or
40 years with the Catholics murdering
the hugenots and the hugenots murdering
the Catholics it wasn't good for France
and eventually the leaders that we like
better were the leaders that you know
after the Edict of not said okay well
Calvinists and H hugenots and Catholics
are both allowed to live in the country
without us murdering each other
so if I look
forward I you know I I don't have a lot
of patience or I don't have a lot of
sympathy for a developer that thinks we
should have a civil war and destroy the
property rights you know economically
murder the miners or economically murder
an application developer or or
economically murder a Bitcoin holder
just because they think God told them
that the world would be better if they
got their way right that's an example of
you know radical
fundamentalism where you know a minority
wants to plunge the entire nation into a
civil war just to get their way because
they think God told them they're right
and they're appointed um and I I think
economically if you're proposing to
basically put functionality in the base
layer then you're robbing you're you're
impairing the assets and robbing the
application layers above you and if
you're proposing to expand the
transaction bandwidth you're robbing uh
the Bitcoin Miners and you're depleting
you're stealing their property from them
you know without due
process and all the upgrades that are
proposed to the Bas layer they're
imposing a cost on all the network
network participants a cost on the
miners a cost on the Node Runners a cost
on the application in order to stay
compliant and and in order to avoid you
know uh being at a disadvantage so so
when you when you write code for the Bas
layer you're just a lawyer showing up at
the capital writing a new law and the
law is daylight savings time we've
decided that people shouldn't work after
4:00 in the afternoon because there are
Shadows on the trees and we don't think
people should be able to do it and if
you do it we're putting you in jail and
I'm doing it because God told me that we
can't have people working when there are
Shadows on the trees right or you know
fill in the blank right there are
100,000 of those laws some person with
some moral or philosophical or religious
argument makes it and then they write a
law on the books and the law is a
Restraint of trade and the result is
someone has their property rights
devalued right and someone else benefits
right I I get rich because you have to
use windmills and you can't use nuclear
power and it's like the the dude that
doesn't have the nuclear power plant
gets rich and the person that owns the
power plant gets poor and I did it to
save Humanity with the law and I think
that there's always going to be a
NeverEnding supply of them the more of
them you entertain if one developer gets
their way the next one will want to have
their way and then you introduce this
moral hazard because now now an economic
actor decides that it's in their best
interest to campaign for a change in the
protocol that will help their business
or help their interest either they want
to be famous or they want to be rich or
they want to be powerful and if if I
knew that I could show up in the capital
and pay somebody $5,000 to get a law
passed making it illegal to bake bread
within City Limits unless your last name
is
Sailor then I would do that right I mean
that the entire history of economic
chaos is monopolies handed out by
authoritarians to their cronies always
Justified for the good of the people
right and any code change to the
protocol is some kind of benefit to to
one class to the detriment of everybody
else in the world and everybody that's
ever going to come the future so from
now to the end of time every human being
that's ever going to live is going to be
impaired by some constraint that's in
introduced by some enthusiastic
political actor that thinks that they
were you know given a mission from God
to make the network better and generally
they're not right yeah and so one other
area I think people want to hear your
answer on is what about in the case of
upgrades that are opt in only so as an
example if it was a particular you know
op code that uh an existing node Runner
doesn't have to care about and it's only
you know if if it could be let's say for
the sake of argument it could be shown
that there's no impact to existing users
you can just keep using Bitcoin exactly
as it is but there's this new opt-in OP
code as an example that people can opt
into and only use that if they choose to
what's your do you have any view on that
kind of idea I generally think that um
if it's if it's marketed as an
application by a corporation like when
block wants to create cash app
functionality and build it into Cash app
and people get it and it's and it's
otherwise compatible with the rest of
network then I think that there's not a
lot of moral hazard there but I think
that um when you get to the point where
you have two Waring camps with two
different versions of a Bitcoin node and
one of them has different functionality
than the other ones right now you're
entering into a a religious war and if
they're incompatible uh who knows if if
one is a superet of the other one right
probably probably if it's a superet of
the other one it's it's probably less of
of a hazard when it becomes uh when it
introduces something which is
incompatible comom more of a hazard I I
hesitate to give you a black and white
answer because I'd have to see it but I
do think I do think it's a slippery
slope and as a general rule develop
velers aut to focus like don't f with
the network like I I just generally
think people shouldn't screw with the
network and they shouldn't screw with
the core protocol it works fine if you
want to introduce a thousand new ideas
introduce them in lightning create for
example I don't have a problem creating
your own implementation of lightning
which is a superet of somebody else's
you know implementation of lightning
right so I think you can create
different implementations of things at
Layer Two and at layer three uh creating
different uh uh different uh Bitcoin
nodes with different functionality I
mean obviously I don't really have a big
concern about like uh
usability uh upgrades if you want to
create a graphical user interface on top
of Bitcoin which is animated and
beautiful I mean that those don't
represent so much risk I think that when
you're introducing changes to the
underlying monetary protocol or
transaction protocol if you if you
introduce something which changes
transactional bandwidth which would have
an impact on bitcoin transaction fees I
think that that's a problem anything
that if you change the transaction
bandwidth then you're stealing you're
you're robbing uh the miners of cash
flow and if you're if you're stealing
revenues from the miners you're putting
the mining Network at risk over the long
term and that puts the power at risk
right so you're changing the power
dynamics and that puts the stability of
the entire network over the course of
the long-term at risk so so I think um I
I'm fairly
conservative like I I'm not in favor of
anybody you know deciding who can own
Bitcoin I don't think you should muck
with the asset with the monetary
protocol I don't think you should muck
with the transaction protocol I don't
think you should muck with the power
protocol right it's it works fine
why break it right if it's not broke
don't break it right you could break it
and plunge the entire world into a
thousand years of the Dark Ages right
good for you right what what's worth
that what what's worth taking the risk
of that right I so I would tend to be
very conservative with regard to
anything that that affects the balance
of power between the asset you know and
the transaction bandwidth and the power
you you know scarcity yeah just like
someone would say well I you know I
think we should change sha Shaw 256 to
Shaw 512 okay great so you invalidate
all the technology that every Shaw 256
Bitcoin equipment manufacturers
developed over the last decade and then
you introduce your own little piece of
equipment and you want to and you
basically obliterate or nuke $25 billion
dollar worth of capital investment by
miners right you can see why doesn't
make a lot of sense right it's like it's
all all those things represent moral
hazard and and they create they create
dysfunctional political incentive like
do do you really want people to be
continually campaigning to
confuse Bitcoin operators like like why
would you want to create a market in
introducing fear uncertainty doubt and
confusion into the base layer like we're
back to this issue of let's let's take
the New York model again you have 10
acres of granite and you ask me Mike is
it okay if I like you know put
radioactive charges under my 10 acres of
granite that will just kill anybody that
wants to plant a palm tree for all of
eternity I'm like I don't think you
should mess with the granite you know
like I what if I want to put an easeman
on the property for all of eternity that
makes it impossible to use it for
residential housing I I I don't think
you should do that right I think it's
Granite you should if you're going to
actually build a funky building that's
okay we can tear down the building but I
don't think you should write checks you
can't cash
so don't build things that would
potentially impair destroy or change the
nature of a Bitcoin between now and
10,000 years from now once you're dead
and once your company's dead right once
you're gone don't mess with the network
right leave leave the fundamental
alone and uh it's kind it's it's kind of
simple it's like when a dude comes to a
Manhattan and the guy says hey I have
this idea I'm going to set off a
thermonuclear Warhead but it's only
going to go off for 20 blocks in every
direction and I own the blocks you know
don't you think you're just like hey
just stop
it like you don't need to be messing
with that right we don't need that kind
of behavior it's like I don't care how
smart you are right you just don't need
to be messing with quiet enjoyment of
everybody else in the city like just
leave the 21 million blocks alone and
and again it's like the moral hazard is
if you encourage people to do this then
you'll have 10,000 people lined up to do
it then you're going to have 10,000
companies that will will basically
invest a million dollars each to try to
change the protocol okay and now you're
just going to have War right and and you
don't really want that kind of War at
the protocol level because I I guess
fundamentally the issue is there's
nothing wrong with building a city on a
bunch of granite
blocks right there's just there's
nothing wrong with it and you've got
plenty of room to
innovate on layer two layer three layer
four layer five and layer six and it's
what happens to bitcoin when all of us
spend all of our time debating a hundred
different Bitcoin Improvement proposals
and each one requires a thousand hours
so now you've introduced like thousand
hundreds of thousands of hours of debate
you know and can you think of an example
where that happens it's like yeah the
modern modern political systems right
where pretty soon 20% of all the
citizens in the country are lawyers
fighting with each other and then and
I'm I'm reminded of is it Aristophanes
in his play where where he says first
thing we do is we kill all the lawyers
right might have been Shakespeare too
but who knows it's like at some point
you know the question really is if you
have the ability to create code why
don't you create code on the network and
not try to change the network right it's
it's much more constructive
channeling of human endeavor yeah so I
guess we we've covered then the Bitcoin
uh principles aspect is there anything
around uh Bitcoin dynamic that you'd
like to discuss yeah yeah I mean I think
it's worthwhile to touch on that right I
mean the real key with the network is if
we want the network to be a basis of a
cyber economy we need to be interested
in the na the natural harmonics of the
network and the natural frequency of the
network because the frequency of the
network is key to the stability the
security and the success of the network
have you ever seen that picture of the
veriso neros bridge where they
engineered the bridge with a natural
frequency which resonated with the wind
the wind blew over the bridge and shook
the bridge apart because it it it
resonated on the wrong frequency and the
bridge fell apart literally destroyed
the structure so if you're a good civil
engineer you have to ask the question am
I designing a structure that is not
going to shake itself apart so if you
look at the Dynamics of the network that
one of the reasons that Bitcoin is
winning is because it has a very long
natural
frequency at its base layer the
transaction frequency is uh 10 minutes
and you know in a growing Network right
we'll we'll process blocks 9 minutes 30
seconds or 9 minutes 40 seconds or
something because you're always biased
you know to be F to be growing and a
Contracting a bare Market if you're
shutting down hash power will process
box a little bit slower but generally
you'll be around 10 minutes plus or
minus a bit and and if you get way off
then after two weeks the difficulty
adjustment kicks in and you get
basically tuned back to that 10-minute
Center I think that's that's an
important part of the frequency of the
network but it's but it's um probably
not not the thing that makes it most
successful what's more important is the
mining Dynamics and the Machinery
Dynamics so the question really is how
long does it take to bring on a Bitcoin
mining center it's like I I put a100
million in front of you and you invest
it in Bitcoin so it takes you six months
to a year to acquire the equipment
another year to engineer the mining
Center so it's like a two or three-year
exercise to bring it online and then the
question then is well what's the payback
time and that's probably another two
three four five years so when you're a
minor you're looking at making an
investment and getting paid back six
years after the initial decision
probably four years minimum at this
stage it could be as long as 10 years
four to 10 years so the natural
frequency of the miners is is four to
eight years and that means that if
you're not profitable you're not just
going to shut down the mining uh
operation in a month or two months or
four months you've actually got to stick
it out for four to eight years and one
of the other Dynamics here is because
the miners are running digital power
centers and the digital power is Shaw
256 hashing that means that if a minor
goes bankrupt if if you look at at how
the Bitcoin Network fails it fails very
gracefully if not at all all of that
hash power the 500 x aash it is being
run by a network of Miners and in hard
times when uh the price of Bitcoin Falls
and the transaction revenues fall the
first thing to fail is the equity and at
some point the equity holders will go
bankrupt at that point um the mining
equipment is owned and run by the
creditors so then the junior creditors
will will fail and then the senior
creditors will own the equipment then
when the senior creditors fail the the
energy companies that actually provide
the electricity will own the equipment
and when the Energy company fail the
government or the nation state that
actually that actually owns the power
source will own the equipment so so it's
another way of saying that um a a
Bitcoin mining rig is never getting
turned off it it might temporarily get
sold from one bankrupt entity to another
it might get idle for a moment but at
the end of the line here there are
nation states and there are there are a
public energy providers and they have
electricity which has a marginal cost of
zero they have energy that is zero cost
or they have negative costing energy
where actually they would pay you money
to take it a remediation situation or
curtailment situation or I I've got a
natural gas field I've got1 billion of
natural gas fields and the regulator is
gonna make me write them off and shut
them in if I don't find a use of the
natural gas so I would lose money
operating a Bitcoin mining rig to avoid
taking A10 billion write
off I would lose money to remediate the
methane and then I've you know I've got
the three gorgeous Dam that's got 10 gaw
of extra power and it's got a value of
zero right now and so if I'm the Chinese
government and I see somebody's Bitcoin
mining operation I just take the
equipment I plug it into my free
electricity and I generate billions of
dollars a year of Revenue by monetizing
free electricity so what you can see
there is is the Brilliance of the power
protocol is it's it's
Unique and once you've actually taken
$10 billion of capital fundable capital
and converted it into10 billion do worth
of Bitcoin mining rigs it's a one-way
transformation you can't transform the
capital back it's sunk Capital the only
thing you can do with it is power the
Bitcoin
Network and it doesn't really matter
whether any individual Bitcoin miner
succeed or fails the Bitcoin network is
going to remain powered and that's why
with just a few
exceptions you're generally going to see
hash rate just continue to move
up for that reason that's that's one
very powerful
ratchet um and the second powerful
ratchet is the Machinery Dynamics
because the Machinery Dynamic is how
much time and capital has a Bitcoin
power rig
equipment manufacturer put into their
semiconductor designs so if we look at
bit M or what's minor or Canan right how
much time have they spent you might
spend four years you know developing a
design and now you sell the rig and you
sell the you sell uh ones that have uh
30 Jews per terahash and then they get
to 21 Jews per terahash and you're going
for 15 Jewels per Tera hash or whatever
you just keep creating more more
efficient rigs
the the most efficient rig cost the
$10,000 a machine and then in the bare
bull market in the bare Market it goes
down to $1,500 a
machine and the question really is at
what price is the equipment manufacturer
going to sell the equipment and the
answer is they're going to sell it at
their variable cost plus a minor markup
and the question is how much equipment
are they going to sell and the answer is
they're going to sell as much as they
possibly can
and that means that that um when 80% of
the profit has been or 80% of the
revenue has been squeezed out of a
Bitcoin mining operation the mining will
continue and when 80% of the revenue has
been squeezed out of the equipment
business the equipment business will
still
continue because you're always going to
have actors with sunk Capital that are
going to want to recover a return on
their sunk capital and that is the
reason why you can buy a 386 chip for a
dollar right that's why semiconductors
will continue to collapse in in uh price
performance forever because they're
putting all of the money up front and
then they're they're just selling the
semiconductor for whatever the market
will bear and if that's what you do if
you're a Bitcoin equipment manufacturer
all you know how to do is sell Bitcoin
mining equipment so you're going to
continue it so if you take all these
things together right and you say what's
happened well really Bitcoin is uh
is uh a network with an 8 to 12year
natural
frequency like if you were to say Mike
what happens when will the hash rate
stop
growing after Bitcoin mining is no
longer profitable I would say it might
very well be it might keep growing for a
decade I mean for a decade after Bitcoin
mining is no longer economically
rational for a standalone minor the
hashr will keep going up because there
are plenty of actors that have negative
cost electricity or free electricity and
it'll be profitable for them and you've
got an equipment manufacturer that can
sell the equipment at a 90% markdown and
at some point point it's kind of like
asking you know will nation states ever
stop buying
Munitions you notice how cheap a gun
is like there you can buy guns that'll
kill people for 50 bucks
$100 right so it's so you're like well
it doesn't seem like it's a very
profitable business why do people keep
doing it there are a lot of people that
don't really care right that whether the
gun is profitable right there they have
another motive involved here and so I
think the same is true with uh with
Bitcoin Power Equipment like isn't it
quite possible that at some point a
nation state that has stranded energy or
stranded Capital re requires the
production of Bitcoin mining rigs at a
loss or produces them at a loss just so
they can run the network for other
reasons so so I think you know that the
real important Point here is uh a unique
a unique Uh custom proof of work system
a Shaw 256 proof of work system has a
huge ends up with a hundred billion
dollars of sunk capital for security
built into it that's one way that has a
useful life of six to 10 years you know
and and people could say Well it burns
out after eight years that doesn't
matter because the machine that you
bought for $99,500 that burned out after
7 years will be replaced with a machine
equally powerful for 12th you know for
$500 instead of
$10,000 in six years right like it's
it's like lamenting will we ever run out
of computing power well people can buy
38646 chips for like nothing right
they're they're putting computers into
greeting cards to play songs for you
that have all the power of the Space
Shuttle so Mo's law is going to continue
to drive the security of the network and
that means that you have to contrast
that to a proof of stake Network for
example you want to understand how to
make a protocol defective here's how I'd
make it defective I would say well it's
not going to be Asic friendly I'm gonna
actually force it I'm gonna create a you
know some kind of um shifting protocol
that has to be run on a
CPU so that makes the power much less
scarce and much more unstable and then
the other the other thing I would do is
I would if I was using proof of stake
and I was saying want you SC and stake
$10 billion of capital well the problem
with 1010 billion of capital is I can
convert this the 1010 billion of tokens
into 10 billion dollars of US Dollars
into10 billion of Apple stock you know
and I can borrow the 10 billion so
capital is not scarce at all and it's
not sunk you know and so how do I make
it sunk Capital you know it used to be
you could could like stake you remember
the Tera Luna
meltdown well people were staking their
Luna to provide security okay but you
could withdraw the Luna in like a day or
two days so if you have a staking thing
and you can withdraw your your stake
token in one day then the price crashes
in one day and the second day all the
security leaves the network because
everybody withdraws their tokens to sell
their token and then you've got no
security if you have a 30-day protocol
okay well 60 days the security of the
network evaporates right then okay so
you're going to have a seven-year
protocol where you have to stake your
capital for seven years there's two
problems with that one problem you just
created the textbook definition of a
security you're regulated by the SEC
because you've you you've forced people
to make an investment of money right
depending upon the efforts of others in
pursuit of a profit right it's just it's
passes the hoe test right I mean that by
that's the case even if you stake for a
day for that matter but the second thing
is you've created a centralized attack
surface and you've got like five
developers that control the protocol and
you're going to end up with the all
these massive questions about what's the
machine that controls the throttling of
the capital flowing in and out of the
network and what happens if you hack the
machines and so you've created something
which is thousands of times more
complicated than
using uh energy and the of
physics you know you're basically
imposing computer science over physical
science and if it doesn't break the
regul you know the regulatory guidelines
and you basically created a you know an
equity token by doing it then you've
created an unstable virtual reality
system that you know one single bug in
one line of a million lines of code and
your entire system goes unstable and you
got a Boeing 737 Max problem one line of
code and it just wrecks the crashes the
entire network so so the the real beauty
of Bitcoin is it is that natural
frequency and and and that's by way and
that's what um protects the network or
provides a network security in what I'll
call a tactical Sense on on any given
day you have to go through that wall of
digital
power and you you don't have and all the
power is controlled by the network
operators not by you so that's a
tactical the the Tactical uh defense
system for Bitcoin the Strategic
security or the long-term security and
here I mean security over 100 years over
a century the security that keeps
Bitcoin from being
banned or keeps or keeps a government
from seizing all of the Bitcoin miners
Etc that comes from a combination of
economic power electrical power
computing power and political power so
so the Bitcoin miners they're channeling
electrical power and computing power
right so so they're the the physical
part but but the political power comes
from the hundreds of millions of people
that that own something that's a
derivative of Bitcoin whether you own
micro strategy stock or whether you own
a Bitcoin spot ETF or whether you own
stock in block or stock in coinbase or
whether you own the Bitcoin itself I
mean all of these things you know put
you into the political community and
you're going to use your political power
to lobby and
then the other thing that really secures
Bitcoin is economic power and I think
that it's worthwhile to point this out
because this is a this is an artifact of
satoshi's Brilliance Satoshi created an
immaculate conception and we had a fair
launch and those million Satoshi coins
never moved and there was no pre-mine
and that means that the only way you
have Bitcoin right now is you spend a
huge amount of money on equipment and
electricity to mine it and capital to
create mining centers or you bought it
with real
cash and and you know we can back
calculate how much money's gone into
mining but I mean I don't think it's
unreasonable to suggest 20 to 40 billion
dollar has gone into the mining
ecosystem I mean you can trace billions
of dollars of capital just to individual
companies like Marathon so 10 between 10
and 100 billion is how much has gone
into mining but if we look at um how
much fiat currency has gone into the
other side of the equation let's take
micro
strategy you know as as of now you know
I personally am aware of having put more
than5 billion dollar into the network
and I'm not 1% and uh if you look at
there are a lot of other ways to get at
it but if you look at the four-year
simple moving average of Bitcoin and
assume that that was a reasonable
surrogate you can kind of arrive at a
conclusion that nearly $600 billion
dollar of real Capital has been put into
this network so $600 billion of real
capital from who from Fidelity from
Black Rock from from every Institutional
Investor in the US from every
Institutional Investor in Europe from
millions of individuals from you know
representing Pension funds retirement
funds Etc so you can trace a huge amount
of capital that's been put into this
network and ultimately the security
network is going to come from the
actions of the people as voters and the
actions of the economic actors at the
capitalist and then also from all the
businesses you know the application
companies like cash app or coinbase you
know have an impact and then the miners
have an impact and they all have lawyers
and CEOs and lobbyists and employees and
they have Nexus and they pay taxes and
therefore they have supportive Mayors
Governors Senators Etc now this is an
interesting framework I I'd invite you
if you want to analyze any competing
Network put any competing Network any
other crypto Network on the same
framework and ask how many dollars of
real Capital have been invested and how
how much real electricity is running it
and how much digital power is behind it
and then how many people hold it you
know you go to the next one ethereum for
example right you realize after the
after the the merge and the proof of
State conversion no electricity is
backing it no digital Powers behind it
right so you you pretty much took out
two of the the four legs 500 xash versus
nothing you know and and uh 15 gaws
versus diminum is nothing and then the
the next question is well how much
economic power well if 70% of of eth was
pre-mined name one person in the world
that will admit to invest in100 million
an e I've never heard of anybody like
when I announced that I'd personally put
175 million into Bitcoin there's nobody
in any crypto token for the next five
million tokens right after Bitcoin go to
eth and then go to every other token you
won't find a single person to my
knowledge that ever admitted to
investing $100 million of cash in any of
them much less a billion much less five
billion right so so you know if I had to
guess right how much how much real
money's been put into ethereum a few
billion dollars like the difference is
600 billion in Bitcoin if you were to
say 6 billion I would say you might be
stretching it right like we're talking
about a factor of 100 difference yeah I
don't think you can really get to a
number that's more than a few billion
right so I think that
99% of all the real Capital has been put
into this one network so if all the
economic capital is in one network if
all of the electricity is on one network
if all of the digital power is running
one network the only thing you've got
left is left is political power and the
truth is there I mean there are a lot of
crypto token holders right there a lot
of eth holders so so really those
networks are primarily secured by
political power and and the voice of the
people much more so than the actual you
know physical power or economic power
that's behind Bitcoin and I think that
that changes it changes the long-term
security Outlook but it also has an
impact on natural frequencies and
stability when you're your natural
frequency is a month right if you have a
staking a proof of stake Network where
you can unstake in a month you just need
a price crash for like six weeks or
eight weeks the network goes unstable it
becomes unsecure right topples over and
collapses and you know you want to see
examples of networks that just collapsed
right look at what happened to Ft look
at what happened to Luna look what
happened to all these other tokens many
of them you know they had these staking
frequencies of one hour one day one week
one month and the truth is if you're
designing a system to last you really
want to design a system where if I put a
first of all you have to put billions of
dollars into the network and then it's a
one-way function and you're stuck with
them with the capital in the network for
a decade and you know I guess I guess
then then you're invited to calculate if
if Bitcoin miners have invested
somewhere between 20 and 50 billion
dollars in permanent capital for digital
power what percentage of all the digital
power capital or digital Capital does
that represent of all cryptos in the
world 95% would be probably the minimum
number you could conclude it's a number
between 95 and 99% I think right which
is which is why you come back to the
conclusion that you have one thing which
is a digital property a digital
commodity a digital monetary system and
is you know is perfect for this and then
everything else is just a speculation
back to the show in a moment mle dospace
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accelerator and now back to the show
right and one other area that might be
interesting to hear your comment is even
the hodler dynamic right like you look
at the the number of utxos what's the
stat might be 70% or 80% of coins have
not moved in more than one year so
that's maybe another example where
Bitcoin just has these extremely
hardened hodlers and uh the M fact that
these people are willing to hold for
that long it shows a certain level of
conviction economic power political
power as well it's a good point and and
here's the way I would say it the
difference between
money and and speculation is if it's
money then the largest holders are
buying more and if it's speculation the
largest holders are selling so the real
issue is are you are the hodlers buying
or are they selling I'll give you
example of great asset classes that are
money um Apple stock is money apple is
buying more and a lot of people that own
Apple stock will buy more um New York
City real estate or London real estate
or Palm Beach real estate luxury real
estate is money because if you look at
wealthy people they're not selling
there's no one bragging about how they
sold all their nice places and Palm
Beach New York and London they're buying
more right uh if you if you've ever met
a rich family that has real estate
holdings they don't sit around saying
yeah we're going to diversify and we're
going to sell next year we're going to
get rid of the entire portfolio at a
huge profit over 10 years what they say
is I'm looking forward to the next deal
where we're going to acquire this
building or we're gonna we're gonna buy
this other thing right they buy and they
hold and they typically Buy and Hold to
give to their children's children
right the same is true with uh with art
if it's good art collectors you know
Frick Andrew melon they didn't buy art
to flip the art right they're not
specular I bought a Picasso so I could
sell the Picasso right they wanted to
buy them all that's why they call them
collectors so if something is deemed to
be really valuable you bought a billion
dollars of it and your goal is to buy
another billion dollars of it and so if
you think about all these things which
thing in the crypto ecosystem is that
right Bitcoin is that right I bought a
bunch of Bitcoin my goal is to buy more
Bitcoin right it's a it's just a very
simple assd test do you have an exit
strategy or is that the exit strategy
Andrew melon's you know Andrew melon's
exit strategy was I'm going to buy all
the great art I can get my hands on I'm
going to build a beautiful building in
Washington DC and I'm going to endow
National Gallery with the art as a gift
to the people of the country that was
the exit strategy and you get the idea
it wasn't a
speculation and
um so so Bitcoin is the one thing that
qualifies as money because it's going to
appreciate in value over time the
world's full of Investments that are
speculations or trades Commodities of
course are not money every single
commodity other than Bitcoin is going to
lose value over time starting with gold
but certainly silver soybeans oil
natural gas you can't really invest in
them you can invest in property under
you could you could buy like all the
mineral rights for 10,000 acres that
might be an investment that might go up
in value maybe but but generally it's
it's super scarce desirable
art it's it's desirable property it's
Bitcoin and maybe it's like unregulated
digital monopolies you know the
Magnificent seven but even then you know
your time Horizon on that stuff is 10
years it's not 100 years I can show you
people that will say I own some New York
real estate that I hope to hold for
hundred years right I mean I I can find
property people that would say yeah I
got a 100e life on that like if I if I
offered you all the mineral rights for
the entire state of Pennsylvania you
know might you keep it in the family for
a few hundred years if I offered you the
middle of Tokyo or the middle of London
might you keep it in the family for 300
years yeah maybe if you could afford to
pay the taxes so so I I think that
that's a that this hodler Dynamic is
important but really it's indicative of
the fact that Bitcoin is money and it's
a it's a very simple asset test find EV
you know look at every crypto
billionaire that holds something other
than Bitcoin and then check to see
whether they bought a 100 million more
worth of that stuff and when you find
one you might pay attention but I
haven't seen one right I don't I just
don't think I don't think you're going
to see it because everything else is is
really uh commodity losing value over
time Bitcoin is the money gaining value
over time I do think that does lead us
maybe to the last interesting topic
which is just Politics the politics of
the
ecosystem and you know if if you only
see the world as Bitcoin node holders
individuals and min
and
developers and a couple of whales if
that's your view of the universe then
you tend to get into these polarized
debates about you know transaction fees
or polarized debates over the protocol
but here's a different way to see the
world there's 8 billion people in the
world there's millions and millions of
Corporations there's thousands and
thousands of material governments
there's tens of thousands of
applications there's thousands of
ideologies and bitcoin's a solution for
everybody and one day everyone's going
to use this and so if you see a if if
you see a network with millions of
companies and billions of users and
hundreds of countries and thousands and
thousands of municipalities and
governments right and hundreds of
religions and ideologies then you have
to and cultures you have to allow that
there's going to be a great diversity in
the way that Bitcoin is used so I I
think that you know when you're
considering you know the network the
future of the network you got to
consider the impact of this uh on all
political constituencies so I think of
the hold the hodlers or the holders
that's one constituency the miners are
another constituency there's node
Runners another group and developers
another group but but those are kind of
technical definitions like for example a
node is not a node is not node coinbase
runs a node and and cash app runs a node
and if cash app clears 100,000 Bitcoin
transactions a day their node is a
little bit more important than my node I
could run a node but if I'm not
approving and maybe more of the point
denying
transactions at the point where I
basically take a hundred million do
wired into my uh Corporation and then I
refus to deliver the Bitcoin because my
node says it wasn't a good transaction
ction I'm a I'm an important node so not
all miners are created equal I mean ones
with more hash rate are more equal not
all nodes are created equal if you have
economic velocity $100 million a day of
economic velocity through your node then
that's more equal than someone that
clears one transaction for $20 once a
year through their node so you you have
to kind of consider the weightings not
all hodlers are equal right someone
that's holding a billion dollars of
Bitcoin will probably hire 20 lawyers
and you know and go litigate over you
know the issue of you know is somebody
Satoshi or not right or Bitcoin positive
things whereas someone that has $100 of
Bitcoin can't afford to hire the lawyers
and they're not going to litigate and
they're you know and so they're not GNA
have the same amount of
influence not all developers are equal
the developers that work for coinbase
can decide to put lightning into coin
base or not right the developers of
binance the developers of cash app right
they they have more influence you know
to adopt certain you know protocol
adjustments and do things at Layer Two
you know Layer Two Etc you know
introduce the universal you know
monetary you know codes Etc so you have
to consider that and I I think that the
the political system of the future
you're going to have Bitcoin energy
companies companies that provide
electricity to fire to to power Bitcoin
miners they have an influence you have
Bitcoin Banks uh that is corporations
that are moving layer one and Layer Two
and layer three Bitcoin around high
frequency likecoin base like cash app
like Fidelity you're going have Bitcoin
devices like the signing apps the cold
cards right the bit keys of the world
the ledgers of the world you're going to
have um
applications right and inscriptions and
ordinals they're like the first of a
thousand there'll be thousands of
applications and some will succeed and
some will fail in the market will decide
and um you're gonna have derivatives
like you know you've got 12 Bitcoin spot
ETFs coming but then you've got someone
that wants to do an 80% Bitcoin 20% ESG
carbon credit derivative someone can
create a derivative a derivative you can
create something to sell volatility on
top of the spot ETFs you know micro
strategy holds Bitcoin our stock you
know is a security back by Bitcoin right
to a certain degree you know any company
that owns Bitcoin you know what and in
whatever way becomes another way to play
it then you've got corporations and
institutions right that are aligned with
Bitcoin they all have an interest
whether it's a human rights Foundation
or whether it's a
nonprofit or whether you know at some
point Google and Microsoft and Apple I
mean Apple has has a influence right now
I mean right if you know Apple basically
denies wallet of Satoshi you know
certain privileges right they have an
influence and so corporations are going
to have influences and then you've got
um Fiat Banks and that and the banks are
the bridge between the fiat currency and
the Bitcoin ecosystem and so they do
have an impact right you know if they're
silvergate or signature and they're shut
down you can see what happens but on the
other hand uh
what you see right now is more and more
Fiat banks are are coming online so you
know when banko Santander or deuts bank
or or a Swiss bank or or another bank
you know gets involved I don't think
it's it's not a cause for us to regret
we should be we should welcome all of
them because ultimately the countries
and the Fiat currencies aren't going
away they benefit from joining the
network bitcoiners benefit from them
joining the network they have
constraints
there are certain things Banks can't do
like the latest guidance was no more
than 2% of your Capital could be crypto
related okay well there are laws there
there are restrictions they have kyc AML
banking laws there are certain things
corporations can't do right that that's
why a corporate a corporate custodian uh
can't give you certain Bitcoin
transactions in New York City or you
can't do a Bitcoin transaction without
doing a kyc or AML you know
Authentication certain apps well
corporations can't do that in certain
countries in another country they might
be able to do that non-c companies might
be able to do that who knows so so they
have their own constraints they'll be
financial service
providers like uh Fidelity like Black
Rock we shouldn't fear them we should
welcome
them they will they will bring new
levels of service right there there's a
bunch of people
retirees that um they've got one
relationship they'll pick up the phone
talk to the financial adviser and say
get me get 5% of me into the Bitcoin or
I want 1% of my assets to be Bitcoin
it'll be a 15-second phone call it'll
happen because there's hundreds of
thousands or millions of financial
advisers doing business with black rock
and Fidelity and Franklin
Templeton um those people can't get it
any other way and so these financial
service providers will be part of the
ecosystem
there'll be
Regulators every type of regulator every
in every country State Regulators City
Regulators there's treasury Regulators
there's security Regulators commodity
Regulators there's there's everything
under the sun right tax Regulators
they're going to change all the time
there'll be politicians some will have a
positive opinion some will have a
negative opinion they're going to
continue to act and then there's so many
different types of government agencies
you know you couldn't count them all
right so what do I see I see a world
where you know if if everybody's not
using Bitcoin then let's say
half you know take half of eight billion
people take half of 100 million
companies take half of thousands and
thousands of ideologies take half of a
million politicians so lots and lots of
of people are going to get involved
they're all going to get involved in a
different way and you know when we think
about Bitcoin it's better for us to say
bitcoin's a solution to everybody's
problem let us show you know where the
universal sweetener or the universal
benefit the question is which
nationality and which ideology benefits
from
mathematics all of them okay which ones
do you agree with some of them which
companies benefit from mathematics all
of them which companies would you buy
from some of them right we're all going
to disagree about everything
else right we're we're all going to
disagree about ideology and religion and
and and regulations and uh and that
means that you're going to see so many
different implementations of Bitcoin
you'll see as many imple implementations
of Bitcoin as like you will see books
written in in English right they're all
written in English but they don't all
say the same thing right somebody writes
Communist Manifesto in English and
somebody writes in defense of capitalism
in English and they both used English
and it was beneficial to both of them to
use English and I don't that's why we
don't want to be
censors it's like oh I heard that some
people in a place I don't like are using
my language the truth is it's beneficial
to say the Western World when our
enemies use English it's beneficial to
America when our enemies use dollars
it's beneficial to the human race when
your enemy uses
mathematics right it's it's beneficial
to everybody in the Bitcoin ecosystem
when everybody uses Bitcoin whether
they're your enemy or your friend and
you'll see crippled
implementations but they won't all be
crippled and the most important point
is is that the layer twos can fail the
layer threes can fail the layer fours
can fail the ecosystem has to survive we
we have to basically make Bitcoin
successful even I may not be successful
my company may not be successful my
ideology may not be successful but the
world is a better place that Bitcoin is
successful so oftentimes I see I see a
lot of people in the community and they
kind of get this thing turned on its
head like uh they feel like they have to
topple a government or or attack a
politician or attack a
policy in order for Bitcoin to succeed
but the truth is they could just say
bitcoin's good yeah the likelihood that
you're going to win the other 100
debates zero the other 100 debates will
continue and all you're going to do is
make 100 different sets of enemies and
on the other hand you could just say
Bitcoin is like the universal money to
benefit everybody the individual the
family the small comp
the midsize company the big company the
regulated company the Monopoly the city
the state the country the good countries
the bad countries the good religions the
bad religions the good people the bad
people the everybody right there's this
there there really isn't any
circumstance where you don't see a
benefit and now if we come back to
security again bitcoin's a lot more
secure after Black Rock rolls out a spot
ETF like we shouldn't say oh yeah
they're bad for Bitcoin they're great
for Bitcoin now you've actually got you
I don't know if you've noticed like all
of a sudden the mainstream narrative has
turned from you know Bitcoin bad to well
maybe there's some benefits to bitcoin
all of these newspapers that that start
writing they look and they say well if
the SEC had 25 meetings to review
Bitcoin spot ETF approvals then when
you're a journalist writing for the
financial times or for the Wall Street
Journal or the New York Times and then
when person one one senator says I think
bitcoin's bad or one executive says
Bitcoin bad you look at that and then
you also look at the fact that the most
important Securities regulator has just
devoted thousands of hours to approving
this thing and they think it's good and
then you say to yourself I'm G to be out
of consensus if I criticize this because
it's pretty clear that a bunch of smart
lawyers and smart Regulators smarter
than me that have more power than me
that have done this for their career
endorse this
and so at the end of the day
it's easy come easy go it's it's very
difficult to get thousands of attorneys
to
spend uh thousands of of lawyer years to
figure out how to do these things it's
very difficult but once they do it then
all the mainstream politicians
mainstream investors mainstream
journalists mainstream academics say I
guess it's not tulip bulbs you think the
SEC is going to have 25 meetings to
discuss an ETF backed by tulip bulbs not
likely so you for example May believe in
self- custody and hold your own keys and
hodling and you may think I will never
ever buy the spot ETF good for you like
that's that's just fine we need you but
uh these other people acting in a
different way to create this other
Bitcoin back product they're also going
to help you they're not your enemy
they're ultimately your friend because
they're going to drive up the scarcity
of your asset maybe they'll store it in
a custodial fashion in a way that you
hate but the end of the day they will be
funneling billions and then tens of
billions and then hundreds of billions
of dollars of economic power to the
network which is going to drive up your
asset which will give you more economic
power and more freedom and then you can
choose you know when your bitcoin's
worth 10 million of Bitcoin you can set
up your own Citadel and your own
Township and live the way you want and
engineer your own rocket ship and go to
your own Planet you know and and set up
the government the way you want to set
it up but but first get the money right
first thing if you look at how progress
make takes place in
Civilization it it takes place because
you have economic actors with the
economic power to do something and uh
and and I could give you hundreds of
examples in history but generally
whenever you see a revolution that was
to the benefit of the people it wasn't
the poor plebs that did it it was a
wealthy person that actually supported
the ple and the result was benefit to
everybody but there was always an
economic actor involved to support it so
so I think when you look at all these
things you wouldn't want to have a
protocol change to discourage anybody
from joining the network and um and you
you kind of don't want to pick battles
unnecessarily that you don't need to
pick like may maybe you hate Banks maybe
you think everybody should be their own
bank but you know if Warren Buffett and
Charlie you know Monger had decided I
mean Berkshire hathway bought $30
billion with the Apple stock and it
became worth 150 billion and they made
$120 billion on the trade and that was
more profitable than everything
Berkshire hathway did in the entire
history of the company and that was a
decision made by someone that works for
Warren
Buffett and so when they decide to buy
$30 billion of Bitcoin and you don't
really like big corporations and when
they custody it with JP Morgan when
Warren Buffett says to JP Morgan I want
$30 billion of Bitcoin I want you to
hold it Jamie Diamond would say okay
well I guess maybe it isn't just for
criminals because Warren Buffett wants
it or Bill Gates wants it and then he
picks up the phone and calls someone and
in his bank and they decide to open up a
custody operation and then the price of
Bitcoin
triples and you know you'll be sitting
there saying damn it the stupid
Burkshire hathway people they just made
a hundred billion dollars in like three
months it doesn't seem fair but on the
other hand everybody else in the Bitcoin
ecosystem will make trillions and
trillions of dollars at the same time
and so there's a certain degree of
fairness to it I mean a rising tide
lifts all boats and what you'll what
you'll say is I guess all these people
weren't really against me after all they
just didn't understand right and and if
you look at it that way if you say this
is electricity they're afraid of
something they don't know they grew up
without it they're used to horse and
Buggies they have steam you know they
have steam power in the middle of their
building you know and and they're not
really ready for this if you just say
that and and you're patient then you're
like I don't have to Define Bitcoin as
being against
anybody you know it's it's it's not when
you actually have to repudiate someone
personally or repudiate their business
right then you just make it
unnecessarily confrontational you know
anybody says to me well what do you
think about this comments I say Well
they're going to love it one day you
know if Warren Buffett doesn't buy it
his Port the guy that bought apple is
goingon to buy $30 billion of Bitcoin
and he's gonna make a hundred billion
doll he's could take Victory laps and
they'll take credit for being brilliant
and it it's just going to happen and it
and it won't happen because of you know
10,000 hours of screaming it'll happen
because there'll be one guy that'll look
and say okay I guess I get it I mean if
it's good enough for Black Rock and
Fidelity I guess we should like have a
little bit and they'll make a little bit
more and then someone else will say whoa
I guess we should do it and you know and
and and eventually it'll be the same
with all the
banks you know it's it's it's it's going
to get rolled out just like electricity
just like steel and skyscrapers just
like automob s running on gasoline just
like jet
airplanes you know like we say
everybody's against it before they're
for
it so right now um I think that uh I
think that if you take an expansive view
of Bitcoin the ecosystem you say
bitcoin's for everybody every type of
organization and there's only there's
only two types of of people in the world
those that understand the benefit of
Bitcoin and are trying to get more
integrated with it and those that don't
understand it yet but they will I mean
that that's kind of the way the world
divides and maybe it takes 30 years or
40 years for everybody to go from a
skeptic or ignorant to I embrace the
technology but it will happen and uh and
it's beneficial for us just to be
cheerful and constructive and everybody
you meet if someone says I hate Bitcoin
is for criminals you say you got to
smile and say it's just a protocol that
can make your life better and make the
life of your citizens better and make
your shareholders happy and make your
customers happy and Delight everybody I
just need to show you how I I apologize
I have not yet found a way to show you
how you can benefit your family your
friends your shareholders your employees
and your citizens but I'm confident that
once you understand it you'll see that
this is a benefit to you and your
constituents please be patient with us
we're new it's novel I tell you one
funny last funny anecdote on this
subject uh for a thousand years people
did after galin people didn't understand
how blood flowed through the body and it
was Harvey that finally figured out that
the heart pumps blood through the
arteries and recirculates it back
through the veins and it was the biggest
uh breakthrough in medicine in a
thousand years and this is when Harvey
said you know the blood the heart
actually pumps the blood through the
body people couldn't believe it and and
Harvey's famous statement is he said you
know no doctor over the age of 40 will
ever believe me nobody over the age of
40 will ever believe that the heart
pumps blood you know and and and that's
just you got a paradigm shift a new idea
and it takes people time and I think
that's where we are with Bitcoin I think
I think we're first and foremost
Educators so I guess coming back to the
the the the point of this podcast talk
about principles I I guess my big idea
aide is this uh Bitcoin is successful
because it represents scarcity of assets
scar scarcity of money scarcity of
bandwidth scarcity of power scarcity of
Technology it
represents the conservation of these
things it's the ultimate conservative
Network and because it's conservative
with regard to all these attributes it
conserves your life force it conserves
the energy in cyberspace and we should
approach it with a conservative mindset
which is it works it's a brilliant
beautiful living organism spreading in a
viral fashion last I checked it's
growing 45% compounded annual growth and
in the 40 months that micro strategy has
uh been in the Bitcoin business since
August of 2020 bitcoin's up 45%
compounded that's how fast it's growing
and it's growing four 5x faster than
anything else right and so you have
something which is extraordinary
successful and we're about to break into
a year where it's being embraced by the
Wall Street establishment and I said I
said biggest it's the biggest
development in 30 years right the last
time something big happened was in
1993 the S&P 500 Index was was uh
converted into an ETF called spy by
State Street and they allowed you to in
one click buy 500 stocks in the S&P P
500 Index that ETF has
$440 billion of capital in it right now
just that one ticker and of course if
you put them all together there must be
a trillion dollars or more of capital so
that was a big breakthrough and we
monetized corporate Equity as money for
the last 30 years that's how you save
your money and so 30 years have gone by
we're about to now have Bitcoin in uh in
ETFs available from all major providers
major breakthrough Bitcoin is winning
Bitcoin you know I've already
established right it's got the economic
support it's got the political support
it's got the technical support it's
winning it's stable it's well
engineered there are a 100,000
businesses that can be built on top of
it right that being the case when we
think about uh any changes to the base
layer we should be hyper hyper
conservative we should we should be the
same way you know a doctor would be you
know you've got a beautiful child
they're healthy you know you don't want
the doctor doing elective surgeries on
them to make them just 1% better by
cutting them open because human human
biases we always overestimate the
benefit we'll bring and we always
underestimate the unattended
consequences and it's it you know at
some point you've got some kind of
medical cure that's
99.9% effective against a hypothetical
problem that happens one in a million
times and you mandate it to a million
people and what happens is you save one
person you kill 999 innocent people and
you waste the time of the other million
people and that's what happens with you
know excessive enthusiastic intervention
in a healthy economy or a healthy
organic
ecosystem so I think I think we should
just be very very thoughtful and we
should try to channel energy cheerfully
and
constructively at either building
functionality in the layers above the
base layer because there's lots of stuff
to be built go get Apple and Google to
build Bitcoin into their products get
Microsoft to build Bitcoin and their
products build something to compete with
them there's a I could give you a
100,000 ideas of something to do every
company on Earth could basically flip
their treasury to bitcoin get every
single single company millions of them
to to convert to the Bitcoin standard
right so that you can rework everything
on the sun there's a a lot of stuff to
do that constructive that's uh that
expands the ecosystem that will improve
our odds of of success and improve the
rate of of adoption without putting the
base layer at risk and so I'd say focus
upon that and uh and with regard to the
community you know the the internal
Bitcoin Community I don't think we
should fight amongst ourself over you
know trivial things like there's a lot
of fighting over are you enough of a
carnivore right are you enough of a
whatever I and and ultimately like
bitcoiner on bitcoin or violence is is a
waste of time because we agree on 99
point it's like we agree on 99.9% of the
stuff in the world and someone disagrees
about how to do multisig and what
signing device and we hate each other so
I think that uh we should keep that you
know it should be thought of in the
context of it's social but but you know
we should back off on getting distracted
and I think that um we shouldn't really
Define uh Bitcoin as against the
currency against the nation against the
banking against the status quo we don't
need uh to topple the status quo you
know we' be better off just to say
Bitcoin
is digital property that can be that can
and will be integrated into everything
on Earth to the benefit of everybody
we're here to bring you you know
something to make your life better
Better Living Through Bitcoin right
that's the motto everybody's good right
we don't have time to make more enemies
right we should just evangelize and and
and either make friends or we should
show people that are indifferent why
they should be our friend and you know
know work around people that are just
hostile without giving them that much
AirPlay right like yeah you can go and
find the one person out of a million
that disagrees with you and protest in
front of their house every day or you
could just say well that person's not
going to adopt Bitcoin this decade let's
just go next door and knock on the next
door right and and move forward and and
above all like don't break the network
there's only one real fatal error right
bitcoin's winning right now if we do
nothing right so the fatal error would
be to to get worked up into some kind of
mass psychosis where we all decided that
Bitcoin was going to fail unless we
changed the base layer protocol
radically and then we basically depower
the network right I mean look at the you
know ethereum had 20 billion dollars
worth of ethereum miners that would have
fought to the death to protect ethereum
and they basically turned them off and
they ran them all away right so so what
we don't want to do is destroy something
that's working you could destroy the
power protocol you could destroy the
transaction protocol it's like you know
you could destroy the monetary protocol
you know with these you know with these
brilliant ideas you know we like we need
to tail emissions to fund developers
like what happens if you have a budget
for developers you end up with a 10year
road map with the spurge The Purge The
Verge The Surge the something and then
you end up with a hundred more hard
Forks right and it's like the truth is
the world's full of people that need
something to do I would say we the the
real key to wisdom Channel your energy
constructively if you're going to do
something improve lightning build an
application persuade someone to adopt
Bitcoin as a as a reserve asset educate
someone these are all constructive
things destructive delu distractive
things are fight with random people
because they want to fight with
you attack the attack the core Network
and and and make it confusing and
introduce anxiety and confusion and fear
uncertainty and doubt into the base
layer right and then attempt to imprint
your ego you know on on the Bas protocol
you know
we I I got to in I got to introduce this
so that my name will go down in history
forever and I I think that real humility
it's like you you remember all those
people but generally what they did is
you remember them because they blew up
the Empire and murdered 10 to 100
million people and they got assassinated
that's why you remember them and maybe
maybe some humility would suggest that
you might just want all your friends and
family and the people that love you to
live happily ever after
and you don't need to be remembered for
having broke everything you know or or
stood the world on its head so that's
the end of my monologue thank you for
listening yeah so I guess closing out
then uh is there anything else you want
to discuss in terms of um you know
Bitcoin philosophy is there anything you
want to add to that I would just say my
last points are you know Bitcoin
represents I said it was rooted in an
ideology right it's it's an asset on a
network you know that um how do I say it
it's like a it's an asset on a network
based on a protocol rooted in an
ideology and the ideology is a choice of
natural law versus human law I we prefer
natural law over human law we prefer um
physical sciences over Computer Sciences
and a choice to favor the universe over
the metaverse you know it's like Elon
Musk joked he said you know like like
the laws of physics you know are
non-negotiable right whereas the laws of
man are are suggestions and uh and and
Bitcoin is is really that that
submission to natural law there's a
humility to it and most if we look at
Austrian economics if we look at
capitalism if we look at Liberty and
freedom and and most of the more
positive ideologies in the world they're
all rooted in natural law and natural
rights and when you start to try to
superimpose artificiality or artificial
edicts it's like humans will come up
with a 100,000 laws that say you can't
bake bread and you have to go to sleep
at a certain time and you know you can't
think this and you can't say that and
these things get taken to the extreme
and what they do is they destroy the
society you know it's just too
artificial and in computer science one
of the one of the things about Bitcoin
is it's it's not a big code base right
Satoshi didn't set out to like impress
people by writing as much code as
possible the whole idea was to make it
the minimum amount of code I mean the
the real goal of great design right is
is the least do you see that little
video that circulates on YouTube where
it shows the guy with the 10 can and has
got eight different or six different
templates and he's got eight different
types of blocks and he and he's got a
triangle block and he shows it goes into
the square hole and he's got a circular
block and it goes in the square hole and
he's got a rectangular block that goes
in the square hole and and what he shows
is people oftentimes they overthink and
they overdesign I want to create eight
different ways to do eight different
things when in fact I can do everything
one way and great designers they don't
come up with 187 buttons you know like
this has got a lot of buttons on it but
the iPhone doesn't have but like one
button or zero buttons right it's like
the ideal interface is like simple
simple simple simple and so in computer
science when you code all this stuff you
need millions and millions of lines of
code to simulate think about how many
lines of code you need to simulate the
way water flows down a hill you know I
give you a simple Hill I drop a pot of
water I write a computer software and
you it's like you're GNA write so much
software to simulate that well how much
code does nature need to make the water
flow the right way just the water just
goes right just it's not hard uh for
nature to do these things so so what you
want is something simple and
elegant and and subject to Natural laws
the cons conservation of energy right
there is a speed of light there is a
speed of sound right there is the there
are the laws of
gravitation right there there is
conservation of energy you can't destroy
matter you can convert matter to energy
energy to matter you can convert energy
from light to heat to acoustic energy to
kinetic energy but at the end of the day
the energy is conservative it's there
and so the philosophy of Bitcoin is
rooted in physics and it's rooted in
engineering and it's rooted in a humble
submission to Nature and and that is the
same as the market logic of Austrian
econom
it's like let the market decide let the
people do what they're going to do don't
attempt to tell everyone in the universe
how to behave right leave them alone so
I say leave Bitcoin alone it's a living
organic life form just leave it alone
right you happen to think that the world
could benefit from X do it yourself on
your own application risk your own
Capital risk you know if you want to
introduce
a protocol and give it to the world
that's that's fine you can introduce any
number of open protocols lenux is open
protocol HTTP is open protocol you know
you can have your own lightning protocol
you know create a competing lightning
protocol you can do all those things but
ultimately respect nature right and and
uh and respect the fact that
Satoshi managed to engineer this genetic
life form
Satoshi created a crypto life form
released it into cyers space and it
lived and everybody before created
something and it died and so after
hundreds and hundreds of experiments
they all died and millions of things
that died after it here's the one thing
that lived and we should be in awe that
that thing lived and we should you know
our our job is to help people adopt it
help it grow grow and succeed but uh but
you know you're about as likely to
improve the genetic code of Bitcoin as
you are to improve the genetic code of a
cockroach or uh a
virus or a rabbit it's like like the
leave the things and and let them reach
their full potential because you know
bitcoin's 850 billion right now there's
no reason why we can't reach hundreds of
trillions of dollars of an economy
without
changing you know any of the the
fundamental genetic protocols materially
they're they're pretty good and and they
seem to work fine so so I think um
bottom line with the philosophy is you
know the lesson of stoicism is just
because you can do a thing doesn't mean
you should do a
thing and go forward with humility and
Grace and when you've won the lottery
have the wisdom to know that you've won
the lottery and don't like gamble it all
double or nothing 10 more times and lose
it all like William the Conqueror won
the lottery he was a bastard orphan and
he man and everybody wanted to kill him
and he managed to rise up and become the
Duke of Normandy and then he managed to
get the perfect wife and four sons and
that's everything he then proceeded to
cross the English Channel conquer the UK
his family fell apart the Nation fell
into Civil War and he died fighting with
his own son and after he was dead his
sons fought with each other and that's
an example of snatching defeat from the
jaws of Victory Napoleon did the same
thing Julius Caesar did the same thing
Alexander the Great did the same thing
like the world's just full of these
people that you you're the king of the
entire nation and everybody's happy and
at peace with each other and they got to
go and mess it up right
somehow and so Bitcoin is it's the
winner and it's working out well and
it's growing 45% a year and there's a
million things that will grow from it I
think we're just so fortunate to have
this as an
opportunity I would focus upon the 99%
of the people that don't fully
understand it I would educate them and
I'd help them on board and I wouldn't
spend a lot of time infighting over
whether or not you know you're allowed
to own an ETF versus self- custody
versus have Bitcoin with Fidelity versus
do business with a
corporation you know it's like these are
all second order things and a hundred
years from now we'll still be
disagreeing about politics and we'll
still be disagreeing about you know
custody relationships and we'll disagree
about a lot of
nuances the real question is you know
does Bitcoin grow 40% a year or 20% a
year or 10% a year or 5% a year you know
and and uh I think we're just better off
to this is why I say put the laser eyes
on the significance of laser eyes is
you've got the single most important
thing you could do with your life that
can make Humanity better and you're not
going to solve every problem of humanity
but you could like solve half of them or
you could provide a solution to
everybody that makes their life
better so focus upon the thing that you
can save focus upon the the benefit you
can bring to the world don't let
yourself get drawn into a h hundred side
struggles and you know Regional
Wars over things that people have been
fighting over for hundreds of years and
they'll be fighting about for another
hundred years because it's like we
didn't end political struggle after
electricity but we sure did did make
life a lot better for humans right we
didn't end religious struggle but you
know two out of every five you know
children died in childbirth you know in
1600 and you know a combination of of
good medical technology and electricity
and light you know changed that number
from 40% infant mortality to less than
1% infant mortality some very very low
number so I think we focus upon
spreading the good cheer of technology
Better Living Through Bitcoin and uh
everything else it's like I used to joke
it's like all my good ideas were
dilutive distractions I I will say this
like bitcoin's my best idea and the only
reason I was able to do anything with
Bitcoin is I had a few other good ideas
but ultimately I never pursued a bad
idea Stefan I never pursued a bad one I
pursued good ideas that I thought were
great but they ended up being
distractions and delive to my success at
the great idea and so so I I think that
that's that's how I would end this thing
do the right thing for Bitcoin right
yeah and I guess uh let's see what
everyone has to think about uh Bitcoin
principles uh it's been a enlightening
chat and uh thank you for joining me
Michael and hope to chat again soon yeah
thanks for having me all right I hope
you enjoyed the show with Michael make
sure to subscribe press like on the show
and I will put the show notes all at
Stefan l.com 536 thanks for listening
and I'll see you in the
citadels