Bitcoin vs Gold: The Great Debate with Michael Saylor and Frank Giustra
Stansberry Research · 2021-04-22 · 1h 56m · View on YouTube →
hello everyone i am daniela cambone and
welcome to the great bitcoin versus gold
debate
on stansberry research featuring michael
saylor and frank giustra
i'm honored to be moderating this
historic event
in the bitcoin corner we have michael
saylor he is the ceo of microstrategy
and has become the flag bearer for the
community
after making a bold move and becoming
the first ceo of a publicly listed
company
to convert a part of his company's cash
reserves into the cryptocurrency
he has publicly said that his mission
with this debate is to convince his
opponent frank giustra
to sell his gold and buy bitcoin on the
gold side we have frank giustra
early in his career frank transformed
yorkton securities into a
global powerhouse of mining finance and
was behind the creation of some of the
world's leading mining companies frank
is considered by many to be a modern
renaissance man having founded lions
gate entertainment
modern farmer dominica fiore and a long
list of other ventures today
he dedicates most of his time to his
philanthropic work he most recently
launched
the million gardens movement alongside
kimball musk frank has publicly stated
he was coming into this debate with an
open mind but wanted to challenge
michael on statements he has made on
gold
and bitcoin today michael and frank will
be
battling it out in perhaps the most
important debate ever to be held
on this subject of gold versus bitcoin
cyber hornets argue that bitcoin
represents a powerful digital network
that will thrive a quasi
technology stock without profits or co
but with near perfect security
and distribution gold bugs on the other
hand say gold
is the ultimate and timeless store of
value that it is an asset that the
financial system
will turn to time and time again
whenever there's a storm
but i'll leave it to the debaters to
battle this out i'm gonna go over the
format
and the ground rules now this debate
will cover six
topics along with an open and a closing
statement from each debater
they will each have five minutes per
topic except for the close where
they will have six minutes each once
they have made their points in the five
minutes the other side
will have a one minute rebuttal i will
be acting as moderator and hence there
will be no follow-up questions from me
but we will be moving on to the next
topic all right well welcome frank
giustra
joins us from los angeles and we have
michael saylor in miami gentlemen i have
eagerly been
awaiting this day so welcome welcome
frank and welcome michael
thank you great to be here thanks for
having us
awesome so as i stated at in the opening
uh we're going to start
with opening statements you'll have five
minutes each year
we decided ahead of the debate and
michael will kick things off for us
uh this will be five minutes of
uninterrupted time uh please consider it
your blank canvas in a sense to set um
the statements you'd like to make during
this debate michael please kick things
off for us here
thanks danielle so the debate is uh
bitcoin versus gold
i think that all gold holders and all
bitcoin holders agree on sound money
principles and the real debate is which
is the best
monetary system in order to pursue the
ideals of sound money
so i think we start with some basic
ideas
first of all human civilization rises
through channeling energy
we invented fire that's capturing
chemical energy
uh then we build our cities next to
rivers we're capturing
water and we're channeling gravitational
energy the aqueducts were critical to
the
roman civilization when we compress air
in a canister we're channeling
uh pressure uh electric systems and
batteries are channeling energy
lasers or channeling photons if we want
to
better the human condition we need to be
able to capture store and channel that
energy
money is energy money's a store of value
and it's also a technology allows us to
trade
that energy over time and space so if we
look at the history of money we've gone
from commodity money
to coinage of those commodities to notes
represented by that money to fiat
currency
and now we have cryptography as a basis
of money
now what's the sometimes gold gold
advocates say the gold is the ideal
money
well really the ideal money if
if god came down and god waved
his or her hand and created the ideal
it would be based upon luca pacioli's
modern accounting principles of double
entry accounting
and if you had godlike power and you
could implement
a double entry ledger like patrolling
introduced in 1494
and you could perhaps you could define
21 million units that are infinitely
subdividable trillions and trillions of
times
each you could maintain that in magic
space
and then you could settle everybody's
trades
instantly everywhere on earth everywhere
in the universe
in a fair and equitable fashion that
would be a good money
we could call that god coin and god coin
is like perfect instant transactions
never losing any information
well the next best thing that we've
invented is as humans is bitcoin
so bitcoin's the most efficient monetary
system we've yet to implement
successfully it's 21 quadrillion
satoshis
350 000 transactions a day it cost about
10
basis points of the monetary network to
clear those
transactions and to secure the network
and it stores the value and provides
security to everybody on the network
effectively for free after those
transaction fees
bitcoin's the most disruptive force in
the century in 12 years
it grew to 12 to 1 trillion dollars in
in
monetary value that beats google
facebook amazon apple
and the like that's the market sending
us a message
it's the next chapter in the mobile wave
we digitized our photos we digitized our
videos now we're going to digitize our
money and our currency and assets are
going to flow to billions of people
money is collapsing we've got a massive
inflation
problem we're losing one percent of our
value and currencies every single month
humanity without an effective strong
money is like
a type 1 diabetic without insulin you
can't store
energy you can't create fat you're going
to starve to death
without delivering effective money to
the human race
everybody's going to either economically
freeze or starve to death
violence and misery are going to follow
gold's not a solution it's not practical
to distribute
gold in small quantities to 5 billion
people
bitcoin is a solution it is spreading at
more than 200 percent a year
uh we're adding 3 million users a week
it's accelerating
if i wanted to give knowledge music
and money to the world in the 19th
century you did it with books
pianos and gold they're now antiques
for the elite in the 21st century
you're going to use the internet
platform in bitcoin and you're going to
provide
ibooks and google and youtube you're
going to provide
apple music and amazon music and spotify
to everybody
and you're gonna provide bitcoin as an
asset
for everybody uh gold used to be the
best solution
it isn't anymore the time has come to
pass the torch
from gold to bitcoin bitcoins humanity's
first
effective engineered monetary
system it's as profound as our rail
networks
our road networks our electrical
networks our telephone networks and the
internet
uh bitcoin can and will deliver the
virtues of strong money
the gold idealists have long hoped for
michael thank you for your opening
statements now we'll go to frank giustra
uh with your opening remarks please five
minutes daniella interrupted time
thank you thank you and and and michael
thanks for for agreeing to this debate
um uh and congratulations on your
bitcoin position that's you've done very
well and i'm looking forward to
exploring the facts
okay so as i've said a number of times
recently
um i don't have a problem with bitcoin
um
i think it's here to stay in some form
or
some value for some purpose i'm not sure
what
that purpose is yet i do have quite a
few issues
with the way you and others have made
certain claims about
bitcoin and i want to point out the
risks
that exist but but are never addressed
and i want to defend some of the um
statements that you've made about gold
uh and in doing all that i'm hoping to
draw a distinction
between what bitcoin is what it isn't
what maybe it aspires to be
understanding that distinction is very
important because
you need to assess that distinction to
assess its risk profile and therefore
where it fits in any given portfolio
i think our viewers deserve to know that
risk
and they need to know how that
distinction happens between
gold and and and and bitcoin
um you know i don't think
bitcoin is a safe haven asset yet
um i don't think i think there's a very
good chance it never will be
i think it may aspire to be but aspiring
to be something
doesn't make it so and you know
sometimes i dance around the living room
in my
uh underwear but doesn't make me madonna
so
um as far as your claims on gold
i'm not really sure what you're trying
to achieve by disparaging gold
i mean i do have a theory and you're
welcome to correct me if you think i'm
wrong but i think
um you're trying to create a narrative
for a higher price for bitcoin
and in order to do that you need to
convince everyone out there
that gold is worthless and all of that
value that currency currently resides in
gold
will be all transferred all 12 trillion
dollars of it will be transferred
to bitcoin um and that in that way
you can justify a 500 000 bitcoin price
or a million dollar
bitcoin price um otherwise why would
anybody
buddy pay sixty thousand dollars today
uh without that target in mind
i can't see any other way where you can
make the kind of claims that you're
making about
where the price where bitcoin is going i
think it's a really clever approach
and i take my hat off to you you've been
very effective
and and in many ways i think it's sad
because i think bitcoin believers and
gold believers
agree on 90 of everything and we fall
apart on this 10
last 10 percent of which one is better
and i think it's all
part and parcel of this binary attitude
that exists
in you know the discourse in americans
in america today you know you're either
on one side or the other
there's no middle ground um
but i see it as a strategy of
um your strategy where the stakes are
kind of do or die
um sort of a game of thrones per se
but the truth is we're only in the first
season and there are a lot of risks that
lie ahead of us
and the question you have to ask is will
you still be alive in season eight
and uh i just don't
think you are presenting the risks that
face
bitcoin in order to get there and
survive
um you you'd like to pretend those risks
don't exist and you gloss over them
because i think you're in a race to win
and
and i think that's kind of sad but
pretending that
bitcoin is a risk-free asset
is just i think naive
because if you fail to subsume the
entire value of gold
what are you left with you're left with
hoping that a greater fool is going to
come in and pay a higher price
i think the threats are real and i think
the biggest threats are going to come
from government
and central banks history has shown the
governments go to extreme
lengths to protect their monopoly on
currency
and they will not to tolerate a global
decentralized currency
it's just not going to happen and
especially if we
have say a dollar crisis which i think
we can all assume is coming somewhere
down the road uh and your claims that
bitcoin is
untouchable unstoppable are simply
not true uh and by the way you don't
have to kill
bitcoin with a death blow you can
severely damage or kill it with multiple
cuts
so you've been very effective pretending
that there aren't risks and i think i'm
going to spend
the rest most of this conversation just
pointing out where the risk is
where the risks exist and i just
think telling your viewers
that bitcoin is going to double every
six months
is i i find i get i have a lot of
trouble with that
so whatever the outcome is on this this
is on you
but perhaps you'll change my mind and so
let's get on to it
all right let's get on with it fantastic
opening remarks um
from you both thank you for that now
let's get into the meat of it we're
going to start with our first topic it
is asset
comparisons um michael i'll begin with
you we'll kick things off here
it's been said that in an ideal store of
value will have these eight attributes
it's durable
portable fungible verifiable divisible
scarce it has an established history and
it's censorship
resistance so my question to you is when
you're doing an asset comparison of
bitcoin versus gold
how do you make the case for bitcoin as
the better asset
you'll have five minutes of
uninterrupted time and frank will have
a one-minute rebuttal okay
if we think about the elements that
drive uh humanity forward if we think of
it from an engineer's point of view
you've got stone
you've got iron you've got concrete
you've got steel you've got aluminum
you've got silicon
you can't build a computer without
silicon you can't build a skyscraper
without steel
you're not going to survive if you don't
pick the right element
crypto is the steel of the 21st century
financial economy
an engineer would say you have to choose
wisely there's a right answer
there's a wrong answer so gold is
element
79 it's an ideal ornamental metal it's
indestructible malleable
it's attractive we love these things it
makes great jewelry it makes a great
ornament
it's just not a perfect monetary asset
because you can inflate gold you can
confiscate gold
it's immobile it's not easily divisible
and you can counterfeit it
uh it shows up in uh in the economy in a
heterogeneous fashion lots of different
types of gold coins
lots of different types of gold bars
lots of different types of gold jewelry
and the paper gold itself is is
sometimes trading at a hundred to one
versus the underlying physical gold and
there's no
trusted protocol to guarantee the
integrity or the synchronicity between
paper gold and
actual gold if we compare that to
bitcoin
uh bitcoin is not just an asset it's a
network and it's protocol
people would say it's the world's first
global self-settled
real-time clearing bearer instrument
it is all those things you mentioned
it's decentralized permissionless global
immutable scarce auditable
instantly transferable not seasonable
highly divisible
mostly everything that gold can't do
the asset itself secure easily divisible
is deflationary people might lose some
bitcoin they're never going to add more
than 21 million
you can transfer it around the planet
it's transparent
everybody running a node you can
authenticate it instantly
from a hundred dollar smartphone um
that's that's uh makes it the perfected
monetary asset of the human race we've
never actually had an asset that
clean it's synthetic gold without the
defects of monetary gold
now the network itself it's global it's
open
anybody can run a security node or a
validating node on the network
it's empowering to billions and billions
of people
it's it's vital because it's being
continuously upgraded in the software
layer and the hardware layer
and it's viral it's spreading at a rapid
rate
companies countries individuals are
adopting this and that makes it
as nicholas celeb would say anti-fragile
uh it just keeps getting better
um the protocol is the third element of
the asset which makes bitcoin superior
and what's special about that is it's a
protocol for synchronizing financial
applications with integrity
to the underlying bitcoin asset it's
been adopted
by built into square it was built into
uh and uh and why what does that mean
well that means that
bitcoin applications there bitcoin is
harder
it's smarter it's faster and it's
stronger
than the gold that came before it harder
meaning gold has a
half-life of 30 years you make 2 more
every year
bitcoin has a half-life of forever it's
it's effectively immortal and it's
organically
evolving it's only going to be better in
100 years than it is now
it's smarter because the applications
running on bitcoin are driven by modern
software and modern
modern cpus and modern servers they keep
getting
smarter and faster with moore's law you
can make a 100 million
calculations a second around the world
across
hundreds of thousands of different
servers on bitcoin applications you
can't do that with gold
it's faster you can do billions of
transactions
at the speed of light on these
applications you can run them 24 7 365.
it's stronger you can channel high
frequency energy
i could flash 10 000 loans for three
days
each across a hundred jurisdictions
between ten thousand different companies
and fetch them back with laser-like
precision
so in short bitcoin it's more than just
a monetary network
it's a trust network allowing millions
of applications
to serve billions of people
and it's going to accelerate global
commerce
in the 21st century and it's critical
for allowing for safe and efficient
operations in cyberspace
that's why the asset is superior to gold
thank you michael uh frank you'll now
have a one minute rebuttal
to that yeah yeah thank you michael you
know
it is a great technology and i'll give
you that uh and
i'm not going to argue the technology
and how innovative it is and
and all the things that you say that it
does um
but so far it's completely unproven that
this is going to be effective as a
a payment method it's far too slow it's
too volatile
and it has no history so i don't think
that
uh i don't see a way where it's going to
be a method of payment so
the ability to transfer bitcoin around
the world at the speed of light as
you like to talk about is you know
what's the point if it's if the only
thing you have to hang your head on is
store of value
what you say about gold and paper gold
and physical gold is is true
i prefer physical gold i i stay away
from the gold etfs
for many many reasons uh i like my goal
to have no counter
party risks much like bitcoin doesn't um
so um as far as it's
you claiming that it's secure i i will
debate you on that i don't think it's as
secure as you like to make it believe
especially if it becomes a threat thank
you frank
i will toss the question now to you
frank same topic
asset comparison when you're doing the
asset comparisons of gold versus bitcoin
make the case of why you think gold wins
here and under which conditions it
performs better than bitcoin
okay so listen i'll give the you know
one minute commercial
here that everybody's heard before gold
is eternal
and it's almost indestructible the gold
that you may be wearing in your jewelry
today might have been a piece of jewelry
two thousand years ago
it has been deeply woven
into the uh cultural fabric around the
world and into the global monetary
system
and if you believe you're about to
dislodge gold
in places like india and china which are
the world's largest buyers of gold
and where it's deeply ingrained in the
culture
i think you don't know a lot about india
and china
so in terms of its status as money
listen i'm sure if the us could roll
back the clock
um they they would probably do away with
gold
because the u.s relies on its status as
a
having the premier reserve currency and
it abuses that status to achieve its
goals by you know again printing lots
and lots of money
i can't see how bitcoin is going to be
recognized by
as money in every country in the world
in the way that gold is
its stability as a store of value is
vital to managing the central bank
reserve currencies and it's viewed as
protections against other fiat
currencies
central banks own 33 000 tons
of gold which is 20 of all the gold ever
mined and they're furiously buying it
year after year after year uh and
there's a reason for it and i can't say
the same for bitcoin
uh it's not owned by any of the central
banks it's
extremely unlikely it ever will be
um and i think bitcoin makes a much
easier target than gold
if it becomes a threat um and
the central banks are never going to
destroy gold to be akin to shooting
themselves in the foot
bitcoin they have no allegiance to so
they can go after that
in spades um and gold
you know one of the other misconceptions
and i think where people get mixed up
with the bitcoin
uh comparison is that gold is not
designed
to moonshot through the roof like some
tech darling
it's designed as a store value against
inflation
the devaluation of currencies and sharp
equity downturns
it's been tested time and time again
throughout history
bitcoin has never been tested especially
in a financial crisis because
bitcoin was introduced after the 2008
crisis in the meantime gold has doubled
since then
gold benefits in times of crisis and in
certain times of economic expansion
because of its
dual purpose of use in jewelry and
industry
if god forbid there were ever a war i
would prefer to have
my money stored in gold which is going
to be safe from cyber attacks on both
the internet and the power grids
now to be fair and i think also that
any time that there's a currency crisis
and this is what i'm afraid of
people will always flee to gold it
happens every every time
so but to be fair i think it's
it's good to point out that central
banks do try and manipulate
in my opinion they try and manipulate
and manage the gold price because the
gold
price is in a sense the canary in the
coal mine
as to a nation's fiscal health so any
spike in the gold price
yeah the central banks will try and
manage that but they're never going to
try and kill its value
because again they'd be shooting
themselves in the foot
they don't it's a necessary evil
um the us alone 77
of its reserves foreign reserves are in
gold that's four percent of all the gold
in the world
um and china is only declared three
percent but
again they're the largest producers of
gold in the world and the largest
importers of gold in the world
world and they're accumulating at a very
rapid rate
and no one really believes that what
they've declared is truly what they own
they come out every couple of years and
surprise the market with
increased reserves in gold but it
here's the thing it's in its respect
with the u.s dollar that i've
a real problem with michael's approach
to promoting bitcoin
because he tries to have it both ways on
the one hand
he is panicking people and to buy
buying bitcoin bitcoin as a protection
against this incredible m2 money growth
which he calculates at 20
a year and going forever 22
20 a year um
if he's right and i don't disagree that
that's the direction the dollar is going
in terms of money growth that would have
inc creates severe problems for the us
dollar
it would obviously devalue the dollar
over time because you would bring in a
lot of inflation
and so on the other hand he
claims that bitcoin is not a threat to
the us dollar and i think
in that sense he's talking out of both
sides of his mouth and i can only
assume that his the reason is he doesn't
want to
draw the ire or the attention of the us
government
because it's easier to go after gold the
authorities are never going to come to
gold's defense
and actually in a way he may be doing
them a favor by disparaging gold
but again he can't have it both ways you
can't
make that claim that bitcoin is going to
go to the moon and subsume all the value
of every us asset class and not be a
threat to the us dollar
and i think he's probably a bit late
because now it's squarely on the radar
of a lot of the
makers a lot of the pundits and they're
talking about the threat
to the us dollar by bitcoin um and it's
going to be monetary very closely
uh as the asset value goes goes up in
price
um you know bitcoin
advocates what's frank okay i'm sorry
okay so listen
there's a lot to be said about the way
that bitcoin is being
uh pitched as a decentralized
currency um
but it's idealistic to think that
that government's going to allow that
kind of anarchy you know i'm a lover of
history and
and and politics i'm actually very
deeply immersed in
geopolitics and i come from the
machiavellian school of thought when it
comes to politics and power
and i'm a realist and and
you may want things to be a certain way
but you have to see the ways
things truly are and anarchism has never
worked throughout history thank you and
you just have to look
okay i i've got so much more to say
you'll get
into it but i gotta give i gotta give
michael because you said a lot of big
statements there
and i have to give michael uh his one
minute
rebuttal so michael please well
frank says um bitcoin is not an
effective payment network
uh but method but the point really is
paypal and square
and venmo are providing billion
transaction
instant speed of light throughput on top
of bitcoin's network and so
the payments are going to come from the
application layer the layer 2 or the
lightning network
uh frank says it's not as secure as i
think
well i think crypto keys are holding the
keys
to uh to a cryptocurrency is the highest
property right
that the human race has ever invented to
date we can't have stronger property
rights than
holding a hundred million dollars with
password keys in your head or
multi-signature keys
uh everything else is a weaker property
right
um i i think that the way the world's
gonna end up
everybody's going to have a selection of
currencies in their mobile wallet and
assets in their mobile wallet
and they're going to be the top 10
currencies the dollar will be the king
currency and they're going to use it as
a medium of exchange
and instant payment on the network and
then they'll be strong assets the
strongest will be bitcoin people will
have other assets
and bitcoin doesn't have to be a
currency to be successful
the world and as long as there are
successful countries
they will maintain their currency i
think the losers will be the weak assets
and the weak currencies and this is not
a currency war with
bitcoin this is an asset war and that's
why
considering whether i want to put my
money in gold or bitcoin is appropriate
thank you michael we're going to move on
to the second topic now which is risk
factors frank i'll begin with you in
december jp morgan published a report
pointing to the grayscale bitcoin trust
which saw inflows
of almost 2 billion compared with
outflows of
7 billion for etfs backed by gold this
was for the period of october
to december of 2020. jp morgan predicts
the trend will continue
with gold suffering at the hands of
bitcoin my question to you is this
if jp's morgan's calculations are
correct it suggests
that bitcoin only accounts for point 18
percent
of family office assets compared with
3.8 percent for gold etf so tilting the
needle
from gold to bitcoin would involve the
transfer of billions
of dollars how do you make a case
against this risk
well okay and that's easy and you have
five minutes
first of all i i they're not going to
have to talk fast here but um
i i think i don't ever listen to what
wall street
anybody on wall street has to say about
things they're
more often wrong than they are right but
assuming the bitcoin is going to
continue to be accumulated at the rate
that it was and measuring that over a
period of a few months
you might as well be throwing darts
that's just not that's just
making that kind of assumption doesn't
make any sense but
i think assessing and quantifying risk
is the biggest issue facing bitcoin i've
said that earlier
and it's one thing that michael likes to
sidestep or gloss over
he doesn't feel it's necessary to worry
about those risks
brushing them off as black swan events
that will never happen but these risks
are real
and they're predictable they're not
unpredictable and it
should be taken into account um before
buying bitcoin and again i don't think
that
it should prevent people from buying
bitcoin but they need to give some
waiting to that risk
and as i said the biggest risk is going
to come from central bank and
governments
when and if bitcoin becomes large or
popular enough
to be perceived as a threat to currency
and
um and especially the us dollar and they
will go
work very hard and this has been proven
throughout history to try and squash
that opportunity or severely damage it
governments need to control their
currency
they need to have that monopoly and
i i just don't see because they need to
manage
both their fiscal and monetary policy
and in order to do that they have to
control their currency
so for whether you like it or not that's
the way it is
and i think that they also need
to control taxation and that's both
taxation that's direct and indirect and
taxation by inflation which
is their current preferred method means
that
they can monetize all this tremendous
amount of debt that they're
producing um and you the consumer are
paying
the tax through inflation does he
actually believe does michael and here's
the question does he actually believe
that the government is going to stand by
and allow bitcoin to subsume all the
value
of gold and maybe the and he's also
suggested the entire value of the bond
market
i just don't know in what universe he
thinks
that governments will allow that to
happen i i think it's sheer insanity
just aft you have to ask yourself this
every time you look at you know
this sort of a movement is what happens
when
the interests of the powerful with the
law on their side are pitted against
anarchists and in this case the
anarchists are the bitcoin
i just don't see how they're gonna let
that happen and again they don't need to
deal
bitcoin or death flow they can do it
with multiple cuts
and what that might not take bitcoin out
but it will sure
change its investment proposition and
therefore its performance
and the attacks can come in any form
okay and i think the easiest
is legislation um and simply
banning uh bitcoin making a contraband
or making it illegal for uh
ex bitcoin exchanges to accept fiat for
bitcoin
would wipe out all the institutional
buying
most sophisticated investors and drive
bitcoin underground
um and it would certainly take a lot of
the air out of the bitcoin price
uh if if it were banned and the fbi
requested records from the exchanges
they would give them up
all exchanges are tied to all points of
connections and exchanges are tied to
the us dollar system
so it's very difficult to escape tracing
or
or monitoring and who's going to take
the risk if there's prison time
uh is the penalty to leave a trace on
their computer i just don't see why
anybody would take that risk so there's
that's one approach the other one is
more direct you know they can hack
and i know that they can certainly do
sustained hacking
on the on and off ramps into in into
bitcoin trading
uh and if if you think about it if if
the u.s
defense network can be hacked with
backdoor secret
back doors built into the hardware who's
to say can't happen
with with bitcoin and i think again you
have to take those risks into
consideration
uh that they're real and they exist now
i've heard the argument and this is how
the argument comes back from all the
bitcoin people is that
oh yeah there's a handful of senators
that are bitcoin friendly and
are going to provide cover for the
bitcoin investors
and you know that's going to matter just
as much as those handful of
politicians that are pushing proposing
legislation to
make gold and silver money in order to
avoid tax
that's never going to happen either so i
just i just don't
i don't get it how they're going to let
this let
let this happen and they will always
usually excuse the government that is
that the needs of the many outweigh the
needs of the future so i don't think
that
you're going to get the kind of
protection that that that you're hoping
for
and governance governments will use any
excuse
knowing that the real reason is going to
be to
protect their monopoly on currency
and keep their ability to execute
monetary and fiscal policy
but they'll use other excuses if they
want to go after bitcoin
crime consumer protection
the environment you know they can say
you know you know bitcoin produces more
co2 emissions than in a billion cars
um uh money laundering
and the catch-all phrase national
security
and if they can use national security to
renegotiate bilateral trade ideals
don't think don't think that they can't
use it
if bitcoin becomes a threat to the
currency
central banks again i go by the golden
rule they own the gold they make the
rule they have seven trillion dollars
worth of
gold they're not about to allow some
other asset class to to be a store value
to subs
to subsume that that that value it's
just not going to happen
um thank you frank wrapping comments
please okay well i just think that
um i have other points with respect to
countries central banks creating their
own digital currencies
they're all everybody's looking into
china is the most advanced and they're
not going to want the competition
and if bitcoin gets big enough they will
go after it
and eliminate it and that's just the way
the world works
thank you frank uh michael you will now
have a
one minute rebuttal to that
central banks don't own a bitcoin as
soon as one country
starts to buy bitcoin for their central
bank the price is going to rip
first point second um
us dollar is going to be the big winner
from the spread of bitcoin five billion
people are going to have a mobile wallet
on their phone they're going to have a
currency layer
running on lightning rails or running on
a compliant payment rate we'll have the
us dollar might have the euro
the big losers are going to be the
bottom 50 countries they're going to
lose their currency privileges
all the collapsing economies in africa
south america
and asia they won't keep their
currencies people will
will switch over to the dollar bitcoin
is critical to us
technology supremacy and the us dollar
supremacy and one day five billion
people will use the us dollar as a
currency
i don't think the government's going to
fight it i think the government's going
to embrace it
and will the government stand by and let
bitcoin grab
gold's uh capital share and part of the
bond market
well they allowed the the growth of the
vanguard 500 the s p
500 and etfs and bond mutual funds and
gold etfs
i think that as long as the assets sit
and regulated banks and custodians
they won't have a problem with insurance
companies and investors investing in
bitcoin
rather than an s p 500 index fund
finally uh will will there be a
political pushback well there's two to
three million people a week
that are buying into bitcoin around the
world coinbase added a million a week
in the first quarter just on their
platform bitcoin's the most popular
investment asset in the history of the
world it's the most popular asset in the
world it's spreading like wildfire
by the end of this year more than half
of the us voters are going to own it
i think it'll be politically popular
thank you michael and you'll get a
chance to speak
uh more about this because i'm sticking
to this topic here
under our risks in your question
paypal co-founder peter thiel has said
that bitcoin could be used as a
financial weapon against the us and that
it
threatens uh you know fiat money but it
especially threatens
the us dollar so you know if it is a
real
threat why isn't it conceivable why
couldn't we see the fed
and other central banks stop bitcoin you
have five minutes to continue
uh your point i think peel theo's
comments were misinterpreted what he was
saying is it's going to be the base
layer for the 21st century fentech
economy
the lieutenant governor of the china
central bank just embraced it as an
asset
not as a currency and said in under
proper regulatory regimes would be
appropriate for an investor to own
bitcoin
so i think the sentiment is evolving
amongst uh
leading politicians risk factors
here's my thought about risk factors
gold
invites violence alexander
con you know gallivant around the world
to seize gold liby tells the story of
one thousand roman sieges
in order to steal the gold caesar
sacked gaul to take their gold
kublai khan sees the gold pizarra sees
gold from the incas cortez
sees gold from the aztecs charles the
first seized the gold
from all the british nobles depression
seized gold from the french in 1871
and world war one everybody sees the
gold linen seized gold from the church
in 1922
roosevelt seized everybody's gold in
1933
stalin seized the goal of the spaniards
in 36
churchill took everybody's gold in 1940
at the onset of the war
at bretton woods the united states
seized the world's gold
and then you know took it hostage and
then nixon killed all the hostages in
1971.
gold's always getting ceased the problem
is you can't secure
gold the cost to secure it goes up with
the number of nodes or caches of gold
the value of the gold in the cash
it's regulated you have to secure it
with guns
people steal concrete
carbon it doesn't scale if you want to
stress test it you ask yourself the
question
when i give this thing to 5 billion
people
how much is going to cost me so gold
transportation costs don't scale because
the more transactions the more the value
the transactions the more jurisdictions
you know brings more cost and more
regulation
and you need guns people vehicles and
carbon is too expensive for most
transactions
gold audit won't scale because the more
nodes the more transactions the more
value the more
cost and the regulators get involved is
very people intensive it's infrequent
slow it's unreliable it's a risk factor
gold security transport and audit are
regulated by every nodal jurisdiction
they're corruptible they're
uncompetitive they're antiquated they're
elitist
they're ineffective and they're out of
reach for 99.9
of the population the gold applications
what we call paper gold they have they
don't have any technical
protocol with integrity so they're all
corrupted by hypothecation regulation
and inflation
bitcoin security transport and audit are
pretty effectively free
they're effective they're unregulated
they're egalitarian
everybody has the same rights a person
with 100 of bitcoin has the same
security as someone with a billion
dollars a bitcoin
there's competition to continually
improve the services
they're decentralized the security nodes
are decentralized
and they're protecting the interest of
the holders from local violence
local regulation and local corruption is
the bitcoin miner in iceland or the
north pole or siberia or
china protecting the interest of
somebody in manhattan or ontario and
it's a beautiful thing
gold's physicality and indestructible
nature they invite malefactors to kill
you and take your property
bitcoin safely stores your property in
cyberspace
where it can't be seized by force and
that encourages
peaceful negotiations rather than
coercion
thank you ver thank you michael uh frank
you will now have a
one minute rebuttal for that yeah you're
right you know
there have been a lot of wars a lot of
blood and treasury spent on protecting
gold over the century and that's why
you know it's you're making my case that
gold has real value
uh people have fought very hard for it
and they're not about to give it up
easily
and so i'm not sure that that that makes
sense
um and again i prefer physical gold you
keep coming back to the paper gold i
agree
in some ways about paper gold so i but i
don't think
those issues apply to physical gold um
the cost to secure it but listen
again you're you're not accepting the
fact that as
bitcoin if it achieves the value of gold
as you're suggesting
it's a sitting duck it's sitting out in
the open and can be easily attacked i
would
rather have my money in the safety of my
gold in a safety deposit box
than out in the open where once it's a
threat to the currency and you can't
deny that
it's not going to be a threat when you
you know you said the u.s dollar is
going to benefit from this
i don't know how you can possibly say
that when you're talking about 20
money growth every year now and forever
that's how you destroy a currency the
u.s dollar is not going to benefit from
this
and bitcoin is not if bitcoin pretends
that it's going to provide the solution
they will kill it it's that simple
thank you frank thank you for your
rebuttal we will move on
to our next topic now which is
historical performance
michael i'll begin with you bitcoin is
appreciating at 200 a year and you have
said we cannot expect it to expand any
faster so one of bitcoin's biggest
strength is clearly its price
performance
but could it also not present its
biggest risk the higher
bitcoin gets the more fear of missing
out trade catches fire
if this risk-taking behavior continues
isn't it causing a risk in
and of itself since the price may be
based purely
on speculation you have five minutes on
this topic
well i think bitcoin's uh getting much
less risky
and i'm going to start with a review of
the history here
in the last one year bitcoin's up 693
percent
versus 4.66 for gold
its sharp ratios 4.7 versus 0.43
for for gold over five years
a dollar invested in gold would yield a
dollar 33 a dollar invested in bitcoin
gives you 132 dollars for a bitcoin
if you actually chose gold instead of
bitcoin you lost
99 of your wealth it's devastating
over a decade bitcoin's running about
190 percent
on average every year versus 1.65
percent for gold
and again the sharp ratios 4x as much
let's take a century well people know
that uh gold was twenty dollars a
ounce and now it's seventeen hundred
dollars an
ounce and so you could say well it's
like up almost like factor of eighty or
ninety
but when you actually risk adjust it you
realize there's nobody that actually got
that return over the course of the
century
95 of the gold was confiscated
in the last hundred years so maybe
theoretically the united states
government might have got that gain
but everybody in russia china every
country in europe everybody in south
america
and asia they all lost their gold so if
you do a risk-adjusted calculation
you find that you invest a dollar it
should be worth a hundred dollars but
you lost it not all of it ninety-five
percent of the time you got five bucks
and so the real risk adjusted return
over a century is
1.5 percent per year it's
not any better than the last decade is
devastating over a millennium
gold you know 2 000 years ago gold was
like 80 percent of money
goal was money and then it slid from 80
percent to 40 percent
you know and in the middle ages by the
time we got 1940 it's 40
and then 30 and then 20 and today the
the
monetary value of gold is maybe 5
trillion half of the gold supply and
and the total store of value in the
economy is 250 trillion
so you divide 5 trillion and 250
trillion and gold is 2
of all money over that time period
you know it came with thousands if not
millions of massacres and seizures
people talk about bitcoin being volatile
but
in the year where bitcoin went up 693
percent
in 12 months here are the maximum
drawdowns if you look at the
at the end of day closing price on
binance
13 10 14
11 17 11
25 that was the worst on 2 2
126 21 16
and 12 so in fact in order to get a max
drawdown at 25
to get a 693 advance is pretty historic
performance bitcoin liquidity has
increased by a factor of
three well by a factor of 10 versus
normal days over the past six months
you know we had 6.9 billion trade on
binance two days ago or a day ago so
you're talking about 10 billion dollars
a day in the spot market
gold peaked august 10th around the time
that microstrategy announced that we
bought 250 million worth of bitcoin
and i came to this with a completely
objective clean slate i said i got to
buy gold or i got to buy bitcoin
but my my my conclusion was if bitcoin
works gold probably won't
and if gold works bitcoin won't so
what's the difference well
if i chosen gold i would be minus
four billion dollars today over eight
months versus bitcoin it's a four
billion dollar choice one is right
one is wrong as as everybody says
gold has a long history of manipulation
by governments banks and miners
jim rickards the new case of gold he
says the paper market could easily be
100 times the size of the physical
market
quote there's no doubt we're seeing
price suppression through the paper
rigging futures is child's play i
respect his comment
bitcoin's first decade was marked by
legendary volatility there's no doubt
but the assets matured the network has
spread
it's entering its second decade it's
like lebron james at age 19.
the best player is always the most
volatile player
if you look forward what you see is an
extraordinary asset
on an extraordinary network that solves
the problem
better than gold can solve the problem
that's why i think it's the right choice
and there's consequence to making the
wrong one
michael uh thank you for that some
incredible statements being made here uh
frank you'll have a one-minute rebuttal
now
all right well i i've real trouble with
the way you calculate um
what is happening at any given time
between bitcoin and gold
and i've heard you say this before you
know last year uh
gold showed that it didn't perform uh
versus bitcoin listen if i chose one
year periods
in bitcoin over the last four years it
would look a lot worse
so you cannot define
what the value of gold is based on six
months or a year of trading you have to
look at
over much longer time period that's
number one
number two i have real trouble with how
you calculate your 190 percent
compounded annual growth on on bitcoin
i'll get into that later but
again i i think it's a it's a always a
function of garbage
in and garbage out and how you calculate
your returns
um
maybe gold isn't used as money today but
it certainly uses a store of value
and it's never failed on that and again
i will get into that in a moment
um in in your
claim that listen you made all these
billions on on bitcoin versus
gold over a one year period you have to
understand
that what dynamics drove the bitcoin
price up and why gold did not go up and
i think that that's
again i will get into that in a moment
but uh
that in itself does not tell you
or demonstrate that bitcoin is a store
of value
thank you frank and you will have time
to expand here uh
because it's your turn now for your
question
in august of 2020 we've said it gold
made new highs of 2075
dollars per ounce gold was up 36 for the
year
the m2 money supply continued its
unstoppable right up and the dollar kept
falling with the stimulus measures the
trillions dollars of debt
and the fed doing more easing gold
didn't continue on the path of higher
highs instead here we are
and having corrected chiroka 12 percent
year-to-date so
the most common reason i hear is that
bitcoin has now replaced it as the asset
of choice
economists have even said that gold
without bitcoin without competition from
bitcoin pardon
would increase in value by 13 each year
for the next
decade so the question is this did
gold's 3 000 year reign as the ultimate
currency
officially end in august of 2020 frank
well the short answer is no absolutely
not um
and listen you have to understand what
gold is and this is and again there are
a lot of misconceptions about
what the utility of gold is for
investors and first we need to clarify
one big misconception
it's not the gold price that you need to
be looking at you need to be looking at
how it's measured against certain
currencies at certain
points in history and let me give you an
example because it makes a huge
difference in into the reason why you
need to own gold
so let's take the argentine peso which
michael loves to use
as a means of demonstrating which what
what happens to currencies when they get
into trouble when they're mismanaged
much like what the us dollar is
experiencing today
the argentine peso gold in argentine
peso terms has gone up 28 fold
in the last 10 years take a more recent
example the turkish
lira which is experiencing its own
currency crisis at the moment
it's gone up four-fold in the period
gold measured in lyric terms has gone up
four-fold
in a period of four years that's how you
measure the true value of gold
also you need to understand what
happens during periods of high inflation
that's when gold performs really well
the last time we experienced that here
in north america was in the 1970s
and when gold went from 35 dollars to
850 that's 25 fold
because we had high inflation now we
haven't seen in this current cycle
high cpi inflation yet all of the
inflation has gone into assets
and that's why we have all of these acid
bubbles happening which
one could claim bitcoin as an acid
bubble um
and uh and so you really have to
understand that part of it because
it that's when it's going to become
evident uh
now just a little fun fact traditionally
and when we talk about what happened
with gold last year when gold that has a
big down dip
central banks and jewelers come in and
and buy on the downtip and they buy big
and we saw this
recently uh with both the jewelry buyers
out of india buying record amounts this
last month
and with the central banks declaring
that on the down dip they continue to
buy at a furious pays
now contrast that with bitcoin
and so when you talk about performance
with respect to bitcoin it's not an
appropriate term
bitcoin has not been around long enough
to
to be able to determine its utility as a
store of value
and i don't buy the argument that a mean
a mere 10 years of
history is going to be enough to
indicate what the future performs is
going to be it's just silly
it's never been properly tested um
so is bitcoin impacting the price of
gold i think partially yes i think
and i think i have a good friend of mine
who's an economist who
recently did a regression analysis on
attributing what factors affected
gold and why gold turned down it was
about 40 was attributed
to higher bond yields uh 36 percent was
uh to a higher us dollar which was
temporary
and 24 was uh attributed to bitcoin so
bitcoin is having an impact and i and i
can't deny but i
actually think this is more of a north
american perspective than it is a global
perspective in turn
in terms of this rush into bitcoin um
it's worth noting that the us dollar is
still benefiting from its reserve
premier reserve currency status um but
as
the world starts to fragment the glo
the global monetary system starts to
fragment and you have countries like
china
russia and iran all looking to decouple
from the u.s dollar
for a whole number of reasons um as that
fragmentation takes place
and less unless trading is done with u.s
dollars
the dollar will come under pressure and
especially with this money growth that
we're talking about
now most americans will only
know see that when it happens to the us
dollar they will only see the value of
gold
when it's measured against u.s dollars
americans have a very funny way of
seeing everything in us dollar terms
on the volatility side i mean you know
people have very short memories
sure bitcoin has done very well the last
couple of years but
if you take points throughout the last
10 years it's had stomach churning
roller coaster ride and that's
and there's no reason why that won't
continue and so i can't see why anybody
would invest
in bitcoin if the objective was to
preserve
value now on a personal note michael i
think you're fighting the wrong fight
gold is the least of your worries you
need to keep your eye on central banks
and governments
because they're going to be the ones
that you need to look out for
and um i know that jerome powell has
been dismissing bitcoin as he dismisses
gold as both
speculation vehicles and he's doing the
same thing that every other
one of his predecessors did disparages
gold now it's bitcoin
um while they're in office you know alan
greenspan was a gold bug before that a
go back after but
during his time as chairman of the fed
he was disparaging gold and they do that
because
it is a threat and especially if he
becomes too popular
um so i think investors really
really need to ask themselves if they're
looking to store value which one's
better gold
or bitcoin thank you i'm choosing gold
unless you have some way to change my
mind i still choose gold
thank you frank for that michael uh one
minute response please
you know you can't achieve the gold
performance as an individual
due to the seizure risk gold bugs
for a decade have been viewing cpi and
waiting for cpi
inflation and they haven't got it the
inflation
came over the last 10 years and it came
to the assets not to the consumer goods
because of technology and other
dynamics all the monies flowing
into stocks bonds and other assets it's
not flowing into gold so
gold doesn't turn out to be a monetary
inflation hedge
uh gold is better in a collapsing
currency
but locals can't easily get it and they
can't easily use it like bitcoin
bitcoins the egalitarian solution with
more utility
you can put it on a fifty dollar android
phone and you can buy it with plus or
minus one percent markup
finally among central bankers is a
growing consensus the bitcoins a digital
asset not a digital currency that's been
articulated by the chinese central bank
by the u.s by jerome powell at the
federal reserve
by christina lagarde at the eu central
bank
and it's it has the merit of being true
it is a digital asset you don't buy it
to use as a medium in exchange
you buy it to hold for long periods of
time
thank you michael we're going to move on
to our next topic now which is supply
dynamics frank michael has said that as
the price of gold goes higher
so does the incentive to mine and
prospect it which leads to increased
supply he has also said quote
ultimately you have to find something
which you can't print more of that
doesn't have
its fundamental underpinnings tied to a
fiat currency
and the only thing i can find right now
is bitcoin
so while gold can be labeled scarce how
do you defend the fact that in theory it
does not have a ceiling to supply
you have five minutes frank all right
well um from listening to michael in the
past
uh when he talks about gold supply it's
it's it's clear to me that he
doesn't have a real understanding of the
gold mining industry
um just before i talk about supply let
me just clarify on demand so about 50
of gold demand comes from jewelry mostly
from india
where it has deep cultural ties about 20
25
comes from central banks and they've
been buying furiously over the last 10
years
and the other 20 25 percent comes from
from investment
these numbers fluctuate a bit but
they've been pretty steady over the
years so
that's the demand side on the supply
side i think
michael has made some very erroneous
assumptions about
gold and gold production i've spent my
entire
adult life financing gold uh development
and exploration around the world
and i can tell you even when you find it
it's not easy to mine
the average period between discovery and
production
is 10 to 20 years and sometimes longer
and the grades are getting lower and
lower
and it's becoming very expensive and
time consuming to find find these
deposits
no world-class discovery has been made
in the last 30 years all the gold
discovered in the last 10 years
is less than half of the amount of gold
that was discovered in just one year
in 1990 when gold was under 400 an ounce
the gold mining industry is facing an
existential crisis when it comes to its
reserves they're depleting
and they can't replace them over the
last eight years
the reserves held by major mining
companies have dropped
40 percent over the last eight years and
uh as i said the grades are getting
lower which means you have to move a lot
more debt
which raises the cost exponentially so i
there is one big problem and the truth
about
mind supply that's going to really help
michael here because i i i don't think
he really understands
how price does and doesn't affect gold
in 1971 when gold was 35 dollars an
ounce
the global production of gold by mining
companies was 1500 tons
scroll forward 50 years gold's gone up
50 fold six thousand percent
that number has only doubled to 3 000
tons
a year which averages out to one and a
half percent
uh growth per year which is about the
same you see
in terms of population growth now
comparing it to bitcoin yes but michaels
our bitcoin supply is
capped but there's still a supply
of three to four percent inflation a
year which is obviously declining
uh over a period of time but i see a lot
of risks in bitcoin
before you reach that zero inflation
rate so i see both
gold and bitcoin have inflation
rates and supply and you can argue that
both
supplies are declining so i asked
michael
as the gold price continues to go up
where is all this extra gold going to
come from i've heard you talk about
asteroids i've heard you talk about some
new alchemy
process and uh if you seriously believe
that
bring it on but i suggest you don't go
there because i
i just that that just doesn't make any
sense
the fact of the matter is that for both
bitcoin and gold it's not the newly
mined supply that you need to be
concerned with
it's the existing stock and the question
you need to ask is whether
it sticks as the price goes up and i've
got a lot to say about that
um so you got to stop saying that
there's an infinite supply of gold if
the gold price goes up it's just simply
not true
frank giustra thank you for that michael
uh you'll have one minute to uh rebuttal
that
i would say that this conflict of
interest between people that make their
living in the gold mining business
versus people to make their make their
living or or pen their hopes on gold
holding
they're they're actually naturally
enemies and so frank's uh life as a gold
miner
i think colors his view of gold
um newmont mining and barrick gold are
the two largest gold miners in the world
i could find i read both their annual
reports to get ready for this
newmont mined or sold 5.8 million ounces
last year and they reported 94.2
million ounces in reserves almost you
know
18 to 1 18 years worth of reserves
and barrick mined 4.76 million ounces
and reported 68 million ounces in
reserves
you know that they found 10 15 20 years
worth of reserves they don't have an
interest in reporting more but they
don't seem like they're anywhere close
to running out
thank you michael and now we'll go to
your supply question
with a total limit of 21 million
issuable coins
the rate of increase in available
bitcoins is not keeping pace with the
number of people keen to buy them
so the price of a bitcoin keeps
increasing because its price increases
people feel reluctant to use them as
currency
by spending them so with bitcoin supply
constrained and falling short of demand
do the supply-side dynamics prevent
bitcoin from
functioning as a currency
yeah so my view here is is
bitcoin's the ideal architecture to be a
currency and gold
isn't i started my career modeling
commodities
and the history of commodities is as the
price goes up
the demand decreases the supply
increases
gold is a commodity bitcoin is a
scarcity
as the price goes up the supply is
constant
historically all commodity businesses
they need a cartel
to be stable john d rockefeller farm to
cartel opecus cartel the debeer
diamonds cartel is the same if you look
at
you know just about everything in the
world you have to have some kind of
restraint of trade if you can't get it
legally through patents or technically
through some special sauce then you have
to get it another way
to make the price go up otherwise price
doesn't go up
if we build a dynamic model of gold it
works like this
the price goes up the miners increase
output
jewelry demand decreases scrap and
jewelry get recycled at increased rates
bankers and finance here sell more gold
derivatives short and they're more
aggressive about it
investors fund more mining development
and mining expansion
miners come online capacity comes online
miners sell more gold eventually the
price goes high enough the government
stops buying gold
they start selling gold or they short
the gold the price comes down
that's the problem with having 90
kilotons worth of gold as jewelry and
and so many tons of gold sitting in
central banks
it's a damping feature when the price
goes up by a factor of 20 everybody on
earth is trying to make the price come
down and they have a lot of tools to do
it
especially because there's no click link
or tight link between paper gold
and physical gold if you look at the
dynamic model of bitcoin
uh the demand goes up the price goes up
mining stocks go
up miners stop selling bitcoin miners
start buying bitcoin with equity and
debt which keeps going up
investors buy bitcoin companies buy
bitcoin with equity and debt like my
company which borrowed 1.7 billion
dollars at nearly zero interest to buy
bitcoin
banks can't short the bitcoin
governments don't have the reserves to
sell to short the bitcoin
the government has less motive and less
capability to manipulate the price down
because they don't have it
they can't sell it short the banks the
mutual funds the insurance companies
integrate and they market the bitcoin
big tech eventually apple google and
facebook integrate and they market the
bitcoin
and investors buy the bitcoin then they
get more investors to buy the bitcoin
the bitcoin price goes up the investors
the companies
and the countries buy the bitcoin gold
mining requires
a hundred billion dollars a year in
fossil fuels labor chemicals and
environmental
damage and the never-ending struggle to
inflate
the gold supply and undermine the price
it's providing zero security transport
or audit
service and that would cost tens of
billions more
i've watched a hundred interviews by
david lynn and i feel bad for him he
keeps waiting for gold price to go up
and he says on 3
15 of this year he says uh in a
rhetorical question musing
what if miners stopped mining gold and
he knows the answer which is if the
miners stopped mining gold gold would be
a good investment
and every gold investor knows this
bitcoin mining
requires 2 billion a year in electricity
2 billion a year in hardware to provide
full security transport and audit
service
for the entire network worldwide it
scales to hundreds of trillions of
dollars of assets and annual transfers
it'll support billions of users billions
of nodes 100 million transactions a year
and it provides the base layer for tens
of billions of instant transactions per
day on the application layer
i.e bitcoin mining is a good use of
energy
gold mining is a destructive use of
energy if
you're a gold holder versus a bitcoin
holder
thank you michael uh frank you'll have
uh one minute
okay so again michael you're ignoring
what i just told you in my last segment
that the fact is that history has shown
that
even when the gold price goes up 50-fold
over 50 years we've only seen a double
in the amount of gold mines so you keep
ignoring that but that's just
a fact certainly there are uh
as with any commodity including bitcoin
there's always going to be supply
when the price moves up and you know
this concept that a higher price just
drives in more buying
works to a point it sounds to me more
like a bubble environment
than what it's been uh suggested it
should be as a store of value so i just
i'm
still not buying that you're going to
have obviously jewelry scrap
sold into rising prices but the as i
said earlier the jewelry
jewelry demand has been steady year
after year after year
it represents 50 percent of the demand
for for
for for gold um and now
listen you can't you know if you're
going to attack gold on
environment and energy i mean you can't
even go there i mean the amount of
energy consumption
that bitcoin uses today is the entire
population of nigeria 90 million people
it's estimated soon it's going to be the
entire energy consumption of japan
and as far as the environment i mean
most of that hash rate is coming out of
china where there's a lot of coal
including it's got hydro but a lot of
coal
and and there are co2 emissions
that are getting dangerously high
and are going to be looked at by the
environmentalists so i you know i don't
think you want to go
compare environmental damage between
gold and bitcoins i think you're going
to lose that battle
thank you frank we are going to move on
to our next topic of discussion which is
ownership
structure michael there's a common
perception that when it
comes to bitcoin ownership there are
some primary risks
you've already you we've already brought
up some before but someone could get
access to your private key
and take your bitcoins you could lose
your private key um
you know and that basically
cryptocurrency is a technology based
which leaves this investment open to
cyber attacks so if you are speaking to
your friend your best friend how would
you
present the risk of bitcoin ownership
yeah i think when we look at the
ownership structure bitcoin versus gold
what you have is a dichotomy
uh gold owners tend to be a bit cynical
more conventional less technical more
traditional
they rely upon metrics like cpi and
conventional
sovereign interest rates they tend to be
diversified
they're traders sometimes they're
speculators bitcoin
holders generally are maximalist and
they're and they're believers in the
technology
as a force of progress to elevate the
entire civilization
and it's not a speculation it's not a
trade they're not hedging
um i'm going to give some quotes jim
rickards in the new case of gold
quote gold's an attractive part of
portfolio still it's always prudent to
diversify i've consistently recommended
a modest allocation 10 percent of your
investable assets
my advice to investors is simply to get
gold but not too much
uh frank you said what i do best is
create and build mining companies ten
percent of your portfolio should be in
gold
gold won't keep going up forever and
rotate out of gold following the panic
by
he said that on stansberry december 2020
and then the famous peter schiff said
quote
i don't own much gold i own more gold
stocks
at salt vegas 2019 and a lot of gold
companies don't even have gold they're
exploration companies trying to find it
their speculations newmont mining
11 billion dollars in revenue has 5.5
billion in cash
ebitda of 5.7 billion last year
paid a massive dividend 1.45
they actually mine gold at 750 to 1 000
an ounce they've returned 2.7 billion to
their shareholders
they paid and four million in taxes
they're dividing it out forty to sixty
percent of the free cash flow above
twelve hundred dollars an ounce they
have
effectively zero net debt and yet they
borrowed a billion 985 million dollars
at 225 basis points last year
they could borrow 5 to 10 billion more
what does this mean
it means they're mining gold as fast as
they can so that they can buy
cash they don't even think it's worth
they they could buy 10 billion dollars
of gold for two and a half percent
interest
they don't think the gold is going up
they think the gold is going back to
1200.
barrick gold the same story they paid uh
1.3 billion dollars in
tax last year at a 27 rate
they're over mining the gold they're
returning capital to their shoulders as
fast as possible
750 million this year massive dividends
these gold miners don't believe in gold
they don't have any gold on their
balance sheet
they could borrow 20 billion dollars at
3
interest and buy gold if they believed
in it they don't believe in it
by talk about hating gold they could
actually cut their sales of gold back
and eliminate
all their taxes that's two billion
dollars in tax those two companies paid
they could take it to zero not only did
they
overmind the gold sell the gold drive
the price of the gold down
they also paid off in one case 12
billion dollars of debt
barrick did over the past 10 years
they won't borrow money and they're
actually double taxing
the gold by paying the dividend they
first pay the income tax rate and then
they
force their shoulders take the dividend
rate and the message is
we don't actually believe gold is money
we don't know what is money
we'll let our shareholders figure it out
after we
basically drive the price of gold down
and pay 50 60
tax to dividend the money back it makes
no sense
gold miners are maximizing the gold
supply to the detriment of everybody in
the gold industry
on the other hand i ran some polls 75
percent of bitcoiners intend to recruit
three more people to bitcoin's cause
this year
43 are going to recruit 11 or more
84 percent would rather mortgage their
home to buy bitcoin
right not gold miners but the bitcoiners
do
51 of bitcoiners believe that have more
than 51
of their allocation to bitcoin and
the equivalent is 84 percent of people
that answer my gold poll
have 10 or less in gold and they only
half of them answered so
the when you look at ownership structure
you have bitcoin maximalist the view
bitcoin is money
they're optimistic they're all in they
think the numbers going up they think
freedom is going up they believe in the
bitcoin standard
it's viral they have laser eyes it's
technology
there's a master plan make the world a
better place through technology they're
more passionate than any of the gold
bugs
any other investor group i've ever seen
gold holders on the other side
of the equation uh they're a bit
skeptical they've been burned they're a
bit cynical and even the advocates
aren't really willing to commit
more than 10 of their portfolio and it
leaves you with the last question which
is
if you're only going to invest 10 of
your portfolio on gold what are you
going to invest the other 90 percent in
michael saylor thank you for that and uh
unfortunately mark bristow was not here
because i would have loved to hear his
his rebuttal but frank you'll have a
minute here
okay well first of all uh in terms of
the portfolio
allocation and again this is where
michael is confusing
what a store of value safe haven asset
what its purpose is and this is how
we're going to differentiate between
what
gold is and what bitcoin is and he's
made a very strong case
for for why i think you should own gold
yes only own 10 to 20 percent of your
portfolio in gold it's your hedge it's
your insurance
it has the inverse correlation with
other asset classes
and it's how you store your wealth what
michael is describing is a speculation
you know the buyers coming in
just simply because the price is going
up okay
and the idea that you would put all of
your money
into bitcoin because there are no other
proper asset classes to invest in is
simply ludicrous
that's asking for trouble that's you
know that's how people get wiped out
as far as gold mining companies yes
they're in they're not in the business
of owning gold
and uh several companies did try it in
the past shareholders
because it's a public company want to
see
earnings and then it's up to the
shareholder to take his profit from the
mining companies or his dividends
and invest it in gold if they so choose
that's an individual decision
um the way you just described how
bitcoiners are recruiting new recruits
three pre i can't remember what you said
three per year three per month
this sounds to me like a pyramid scheme
it's just it
it it gives me all the reasons why i
don't want to own bitcoin okay
and as far as freedom is concerned and
that their freedom is going up
this is just fantasy
it's it's it you we don't live in a
world where anarchy will be allowed
and so they can have all these
idealistic ambitions
it's just not going to work in the real
world thank you frank you'll have more
time to elaborate on this because i am
asking you the question now
you've already alluded to some of it but
what is it truly about the ownership
structure of bitcoin that makes it hard
for you to accept compared to gold
five minutes yeah yeah it's hard for me
to determine whether the bitcoin market
is a real market or not
um it's or whether it's truly
representative of
a real market and we have the so-called
whales
and their level of ownership i think is
a big factor
in the price trajectory of bitcoin um
last i heard and correct me if i'm wrong
these numbers might have changed a bit
but the last i heard
two percent of owners own ninety five
percent
of all the value of bitcoin one thousand
individuals control
forty percent of the market let me
repeat that
two percent of the bitcoin owners
own 95 of the value
that to me is reminiscent of a penny
stock promotion where you have a group
of people coming in early
buying large large positions in a
tightly held
deal and then getting out there and
promoting the daylights out of it
with wild claims about what it can do
and about creating riches and i just
think that that is a very very dangerous
thing
tightly held deals are easy to
manipulate
that's just a fact are we to believe
that bitcoin
is the only asset class that is not
manipulated
every other asset class is and that's
why we have regulators
bitcoin doesn't have regulators that's
why it's
potentially very attractive to
manipulators
and there are many ways to manipulate a
tightly held d
painting the tape and up ticking are
common methods
but we'll never know and it should be a
concern to us
that the price of bitcoin has been
manipulated that's number one okay
um as far as the recent buyers i think
it's important to take a closer look
we need to differentiate between wall
street
hedge funds and the traditional longer
term institutional buyers
okay and let me start with wall street
which
bitcoin folks are touting as an
important step in the validation of
bitcoin
i don't take much comfort the wall
street jumps into anything
they will jump on anything that is going
to make them money
and whatever the flavor of the month is
whether it's mortgage-backed securities
tech stocks backs emerging markets
and when things blow up as they
sometimes do
they just move on to the next thing if
you look at
jamie dimon of jp morgan he hates
bitcoin
can't stand it but it certainly allows
this firm to find business angles to
make money out of it
because business is business hedge funds
and this is where people get really
confused and i hear names like gun latch
druckenmiller paul tudor jones as all
being bitcoin buyers
and therefore lending credibility to
bitcoin
um you have to understand what a hedge
fund is designed to do which is very
different
than traditional institutions they're
designed to look for momentum
and higher and take higher risks for
higher returns
if the price starts to underperform they
move on
to other things right now bitcoin is
giving them momentum in spades
so they're all over it but if it were to
start underperforming
they're they're in the business of
moving out of that and finding something
else
and they're certainly not buying into
michael's buy
and hold forever that's just not the way
they operate
as far as the institutions um
and i think you know another good
example of that is that you know
it's very similar to how say warren
buffett
who was a gold hater for a long long
time bought
a large position in barrick gold and all
the gold guys got all excited about it
here and
he's a believer he's a believer sure he
bought it and then he turned around and
sold it
when he had made a profit and i'd see
bitcoin with respect to hedge funds as
being the exact
same scenario traditional institutions
my good friend larry fink just came out
and he manages blackrock
the largest money manager in the world
nine trillion dollars under management
came out with last week and said he
doesn't see any real institutional
buying
in bitcoin yet what worries me are the
millions of robin hook robin hood type
buyers
that are investing and looking to get
rich quick
because when they pile into bitcoin if
something were to go wrong
they're the ones that usually are left
holding the bag
because they're not sophisticated they
don't know how to assess risk
so i just think that you really have to
understand
who the buyers are to determine
what validation is being assigned to
bitcoin thank you frank
uh one minute for you michael
um you know people think bitcoins are
speculation if they don't understand how
the technology works but once you
understand the technology is superior
it's not a speculation
as for a pyramid scheme you know like
objecting to something because everybody
else thinks it's a good idea it doesn't
seem
you know appropriate technology spreads
virally because
it is a better idea uber what's up
iphone
youtube netflix they all spread virally
people tell their friends because
it's a good idea uh as for the
two percent of the owners and i've seen
the value i don't think that's true
that's probably based upon looking at
wallets on the blockchain
most of the accounts are concentrated in
custodial wallets controlled by the
exchanges so for example
binance has 56 million accounts it's
probably got just a handful of wallets
that are reflecting those 56 million
accounts
so no i don't think there's there's any
truth to the idea that
the value is concentrated with two
percent of the owners i think that's
just uh
a misconception um worrying about the
millions of people
that are buying bitcoin uh
i think it ignores the observation that
everything else they could buy is
riskier
and so if you dissuade them from buying
bitcoin you're encouraging them to do
something which is riskier
there's no zero you know there's no
simple answer here it's a zero-sum game
you either buy the thing that's less
risky or buy the thing that's more risky
they got to do something
thank you michael we're going to move on
to our final topic before our closing
statements now it is market forces
frank michael said that if god designed
gold with no imperfections he would have
designed
bitcoin that it is thermodynamically
perfectly sound money
he even said in an interview with me
quote there will be a lot of pushback
and it will be natural but it's not
going to change the inevitable the world
needs
a digital monetary network it's a two
three four trillion dollar problem
and you're not going to be able to stop
it so how do you respond to this market
force frank that seems inevitable
well i think you might be right that
they had god designed it
it might have been bitcoin but i i think
you know that it doesn't look like he
did
much like god did not design a world of
eternal peace
no competition between nation states uh
no lust for power
no greed and we're all sitting around
the campfire holding hands singing
kumbaya
that's not the world we live in we live
in a very real world of competition and
this i think this is where gold plays a
very important role
um in balancing you know balancing that
competition
i think again in assessing the market
forces
there are two areas that michael
continues to use to make his case first
is how he calculates
his compounded annual growth rates
and the second is what i think is is
lack of understanding of
correlations between asset classes and
how that
reflects upon bitcoin as a store of
value okay
first let's let's deal with a compound
or annual growth
what i've heard from him over and over
again is
in all the interviews he he claims that
bitcoin has 196 percent annual
compounded growth
and then he frames it that that is going
to be achievable
each and every year going forward
uh until bitcoin reaches a million or
i've even heard five million from him
um using statements like it's gonna
double every six months
that's a gross oversimplification
and dangerous if you rely on it to make
your investment decisions
calculating compounded annual growth is
very sensitive
to your entry starting points and ending
points in the period that you're
measuring
it's garbage in garbage out and to
arrive at his 196
number he starts at a dollar
per bitcoin a dollar in 2011
takes it all the way to 60 thousand
dollars
and which includes the fact that most of
that return
was front end loaded into that
into the early years from a dollar and
up
and i have several problems with that
approach when bitcoin was a dollar
it was not a real investment it was a
novelty it was a
liquid it was tightly held
i'm not sure where you would start the
measurement but it's certainly not a
dollar i think it's in the several
thousands of dollars maybe you can look
at
when bitcoin crashed in 2017
settled around seven thousand dollars um
and that's when the real market started
and certainly i think the real investors
have only come in
in the last couple of years um
but i i think that uh
if you really uh allow me just give you
a couple of examples
uh because what he does again is and
i've seen it a lot
when i'm being pitched by wealth
managers if i were trying to pitch you
on buying gold i would say to you well
listen if you bought gold in 1971 at 35
dollars an
ounce and you held it 50 years
it would have gone up five fifty fold
that's six thousand percent
which is works out to about eight
percent a year of compounded annual
growth which is
slightly better than the s p in that
same period it's pretty good right
if i wanted to underscore the extreme i
would say to you hey listen if you
bought
gold in 1971 and you held it for nine
years which is roughly the amount of
time we were measuring in bitcoin
you would have had a 42 compounded
annual growth
and i think that that's where
you know you have to always be aware
garbage in garbage out
now again as i said earlier he keeps
pointing to
last year golden perform and that's a
certainty
that it's not you know it's not going to
survive as a store of value but and like
i said you can pick any one of the last
number of years for bitcoin
and i can paint you a much worse picture
um
so so that's the one part of it the
other part of it is
how he characterizes store of value
or safe haven asset with respect to
what it correlates with bitcoin that is
and what
it doesn't correlate with and i think
that it's really important to understand
that
to know again where bitcoin fits in a
portfolio
gold has had a pretty consistent
negative correlation
with equities and the us dollar that's a
given
and that's what's given it's it's safe
haven value
um and it's an important portfolio
diversifier
in the event of sharp equity downturns
by way of example and this is where i
will
demonstrate how the correlation works in
march of 2020 when the markets crashed
covet hit markets crashed
gold went down 8 percent initially in
that month and then recovered to break
even it did
much much better in emerging markets
because there was a flight to liquidity
which usually has a temporary
lifting of of of the us dollar if i look
at bitcoin in that same month it went
down 40 percent
peak to trough ending the month down 25
um bitcoin only really took off in
october of 2020
when it looked like the economy was
about to recover
so it was risk on gold under the other
hand did
really well in the spring and summer of
2020
when the markets had crashed qe had
begun
and it was risk off and that's i think
is the very big difference that you have
to pay attention to
um if you like myself believe that
equities are in a bubble then
i think there's a lot of built-in
downside with bitcoin at the moment
because it really does behave like a
growth stock
i think we have to wait and see if
there's a major market correction
and when gold establishes its inverse
correlation
with bitcoin that to me will be the
evidence
uh that it is a store of value and we
have never seen bitcoin tested in a
financial crisis
so that again us dollar crisis financial
credits any crisis
that's where you'll see the true test to
bitcoin as a store of value
the real the other test is inflation
gold performs really well in pairs of
high inflation
and i know michael is suggesting that
we're not going to see high inflation
in the cpi and i think he is dead wrong
you only have to watch the commodity
prices going up in price food prices
going up in price
inflation will hit the cpi
there's no doubt about that um but if
you look at the 1970s for instance which
is the last time we experienced
high inflation gold went up thank you 25
fold over a period of
nine years thank you frank i'm gonna
have to give michael his one minute
rebuttal here
um yeah frank says i i'm claiming that
bitcoin will go up 195
a year that's not true i've never given
any precise estimates for future growth
rates i don't know i have no crystal
ball
i just think it will perform better than
the alternatives based upon the laws of
physics and the technology dynamics
with regard to time frames you don't
need the 10-year time frame i think the
one
and five-year time frame analysis for
bitcoin are also definitive
and um is bitcoin a store of value
i mean it's people keep saying it isn't
it seems pretty obvious that something
that keeps going up in price and up in
value is a better store of value than
something which
is stably not going up
thank you michael i will get to your
your comments now regards
to market forces my question for you is
this the macroeconomic setup for hard
currency is setting up to be excellent
we have abandoned almost any monetary or
financial rectitude and the fed
has ruled in favor of inflation and
hitting the print button
on the money machine so the question is
this with the easy money policy make the
case
of why you'd rather be in bitcoin than
gold
yeah i look at the market forces and
as i look forward bitcoins creating
a global markets in energy and money
and in finance that operate across all
borders and jurisdictions
24 7 365 and they're open to everyone to
participate
and we look at the global energy market
if you take the latest generation of s19
grade bitcoin miners you can generate
one
exahash with 30 megawatts of power
at the current prices that means that
energy is is worth 45 to 50 cents a
kilowatt hour
sold to the bitcoin energy grid that
compares to 13 cents kilowatt hour for
typical residential use or 11 cents
kilowatt hour for
typical commercial use you can use that
to drive down the cost of electricity
everywhere on earth
you can rescue stranded energy
everywhere on earth you can
commercialize renewable energy anywhere
on earth
and you can actually create safe clean
income
in the developing world wherever you
find an energy source
selling the energy at 45 cents an hour
kilowatt hour which is more than you
would get in manhattan
it's a pretty extraordinary thing it's
never happened before in history
um billions are flowing into this mining
sector and i think that uh the billions
are flowing in the sector are going to
create
uh an incredible global renaissance
and disruption in the energy business to
the good of the world
um the global money market uh bitcoin's
crediting global money market
uh you can actually trade on exchanges
in singapore or hong kong and for a
while the contango gets to 40
that means 40 is the risk-free overnight
rate on bitcoin money compared to a
risk-free overnight rate of like 20
basis points
and more regulated markets the
derivatives market
the yield curve development they're all
going to explode
on the open exchanges from you know the
innovators at ftx and binance and
and every other exchange on the world
they can all plug into the open bitcoin
network
there are rules but there are no rulers
um
even though you might not be able to
capture this 40 percent contango in
alabama as a hodler
you could just buy the bitcoin and wait
and then hundreds of billions of dollars
of capital will find
an exchange run by an appropriate
entrepreneur
offering the right sort of derivatives
in order to
build out that yield curve and drive
asset appreciation
that's a benefit to everybody on the
network you know if you own a billion
dollars worth of real estate in
california
nothing that happens in singapore is
going to cause your asset to appreciate
and if you own assets that are highly
regulated on certain stock exchanges in
certain countries
then no innovation in other countries is
going to drive
up the value of your asset uh this
global money market's uh exploding spot
liquidity has gone from a billion a day
to 10 billion a day
over the course of the last six months
the future drop and
interest is exploding and uh it's truly
disruptive
the third major market is global finance
market and this is bitcoin-backed
payments
credit insurance and and funds
big tech is entering this space paypal
venmo square robin hood
uh finance companies fidelity
morgan stanley all the major banks
the ones that were skeptical a year or
two years ago aren't so skeptical
anymore
the significance is any finance
insurance or mutual fund company can 10x
the value of their traditional offering
by injecting bitcoin into it
and then any big tech company can become
a bank
um how explosive is this well
i think we'll see 150 new holders this
year
i think you'll see 500 billion dollars
of assets flow under the network this
paypal square and coinbase alone have a
500 billion dollar market cap and if you
look at their market cap over the last
12 months they're all
exploding morgan stanley goldman sachs
jpmorgan citigroup fidelity
facebook apple amazon google microsoft
these are
major drivers contrast that to the gold
market forces the gold industry
continues to market the myth
the gold is money while engaging
in activities to elevate the u.s dollar
is money
and they're mining in an expensive dirty
dangerous fashion they're using 20 times
as much energy
as the bitcoin mark mining network
and manufacturing marketing and selling
yellow yellow metal is expensive
the next trillion dollars that's spent
on gold mining
is going to make gold less valuable
whereas
in the year 2035 99 of the bitcoin is
done
bitcoin mining is over uh the miners are
effectively going to be buying bitcoin
the stock flow goes to infinity the
stock to flow goes negative
and all of the money spent on bitcoin
mining is to secure the network
provide billions of people with a better
store of value
to improve energy efficiency to make the
world a cleaner
better more efficient place so the
market force i think clearly favors
bitcoin
michael saylor thank you for the
comments frank one minute rebuttal
please
yeah first of all i have real trouble
with you denying
uh your ongoing uh
claims that that bitcoin has performed
has an annual compound a growth rate of
196 percent
and you use that to extrapolate its
future performance you have said it time
and time again
i will actually tweet your words right
back at you after this is done because
that is absolutely not true
um i think your idealistic view of the
world is really
just so off the mark we live in a very
we live in a world which where the world
order
is fragmented and it's getting worse and
worse you're not going to get this
global cooperation to get behind bitcoin
and with all of the energy assumptions
that you're making it's just not going
to happen that's not
the real world we're living in and
and again i will go back if you look at
how the governments and central banks
will perceive a high bitcoin price
it's going to be a threat they will see
it as a flight of capital
and they will deal with it the same way
that you've seen uh current capital
controls
in countries like pre-war germany
pre-thatcher britain
where you could only export 2500 pounds
a year greece into
2015 south africa in 2003
when governments see a threat to
their currency because there's a flight
to something to get
out of that currency they will go after
it and i think you continue to ignore
that risk thank you frank thank you
frank we're going to get to our closing
remarks now
there will be no rebuttals again this is
a blank
canvas to drive your points home here we
have
six minutes each michael bring it home
gold investors
share the same macroeconomic view as
bitcoin investors
but i think they tend to lack one key
insight
money is technology and bitcoin's
superior monetary technology
with powerful network effect i've
watched
hundreds of interviews of gold advocates
and they almost never addressed the
technology issue
i found a reference by mike maloney 10
years ago
but for the most part they're they're
not thinking about
technology diversification
makes no sense when there's a correct
answer
to an engineering problem you would
never diversify the metal in an aircraft
wing or the answer to a math problem
or the shape of a ship's hull or the
oxygen content
in a scuba tank when the cabin
depressurizes
you don't place an oxygen mask on 10 of
your family
um money is a winner take all
competition there is an
answer choosing the wrong answer has
dire consequences
if we contrast the golden knight with
the bitcoin dragon
the golden knight's got a 30-year life
it's plotting
stupid heavy predictable and stagnant
up against the bitcoin dragon the dragon
is immortal
teleporting dematerializing
hyper-intelligent
rapidly evolving moves at the speed of
light
which one of these two is going to win
the fight
goldbugs say put 10 percent of phys
into physical gold to protect against
the bank crash what about the other 90
they're not really providing a solution
they're suggesting a hedge
bitcoin is the solution
um mike maloney he says quote
the greatest wall transfer in history is
therefore the greatest opportunity
in the history of mankind well yeah
if you actually pick the winner in the
well transfer
if you pick the loser then you miss out
it would be a shame to actually know
this is coming and then miss out the
gold standard
fails because gold doesn't provide it
doesn't sufficiently empower people
to control their own property
governments and banks can tax or
confiscate those rights the gold
industry can inflate away that property
gold coins were too inflexible in the
16th century they don't represent a
solution in the 21st century
in 1914 at the beginning of world war
one the gold standard was thrown
overboard within two weekends
that's lips from gold wars the genoa
conference in 1922 and bretton woods in
1944
show the world will at best create a foe
gold standard than corrupt it
if we have gold standards we are going
to get scammed again
quote michael maloney bitcoin addresses
this issue by shifting power into the
hands of individuals via cryptography
and implementing a decentralized
security protocol via proof of work
and therefore it's protecting money from
taxation inflation and confiscation
billions of individuals can take control
of their money via mobile technology and
trade with each other at the speed of
light
via currency of their choice hayek said
i don't believe we'll ever have good
money again before we take the thing out
of the hands of government
that is we can't take them violently out
all we can do is by some sly roundabout
way introduce something that can't stop
bitcoin's a money virus nobody's ever
defended anything successfully there is
only attack and attack and attack some
more that's patent
gold is defense bitcoin is an offense
it's spreading at 200 percent a year
it's going to be the 250 million people
by
this year next stop is a billion next
stop is everybody
the network is worth 25 trillion a year
to solve the
strong money problem the protocol is
already
recruited finance coinbase fidelity
paypal
microstrategy tesla we heard venmo
joined
next will come apple google facebook and
microsoft
bitcoin's an economic imperative it's a
technical imperative
it's a moral imperative economically
there's 250 trillion dollars
of currency derivatives that are
debasing at least 10 percent a year
that's a 25 trillion
a year problem every investor needs to
store value to survive the currency
flood
technically this is the greatest mobile
application
uh this will be the greatest mobile
application uh
mobile wallets holding digital currency
and digital assets
is going to allow five billion people to
trade with each other and protect their
life force
bitcoin is the protocol that
synchronizes a hundred thousand
financial applications in cyberspace
it'll be the king maker and it's going
to tip the balance of power
in favor of whichever big tech company
firmly and
firm embraces it the most it's a moral
imperative
it's the best hope the human race has
for life liberty and property for the 8
billion people struggling under the
weight of excessive regulation
corrupt politicians and collapsing
currencies and dangerous physical
environments
it is an instrument of economic
empowerment it can be delivered to
everybody
so if you believe in sound money life
liberty
property and the pursuit of happiness
it's time to abandon gold and move on to
bitcoin
this century we've digitally transformed
messages books photos videos
meetings newspapers payments and
relationships now it's time to transform
money
bitcoin is hope for a better world
michael saylor thank you for your
closing remarks uh
this is uh your time now frank your
final six minutes to make your case
for gold over bitcoin all right well i
think i've made my case already as to
what bitcoin is and bitcoin isn't
with respect to gold okay um i pointed
out the risks that michael
never seems to want to acknowledge so
now at least people
can look into that a little bit more
carefully um
the idea that rewards come without risk
in this world is
is you can't gloss over that stuff and
yeah and i would just
want people to understand the risk of
what they're getting into
um so you can't keep on selling this
as a guaranteed winning lottery ticket
and and as a cure-all for all the
world's ills
you know some utopian fantasy that
you're selling here
this isn't snake oil and you should stop
selling it in that fashion
i know that bitcoin followers a lot of
them not not all of them
are real idealists um and michael is
promising you that that
world will be delivered to you i just
don't see it that's not the world we
live in we live in a very very
competitive
ugly world and i just don't see he's
going to achieve that sort of global
utopian vision that bitcoin is going to
answer
the problems to everything in this world
the idea that bitcoin can go up by a
factor of 10 times
consume all the value of gold and then
consume all the value of bonds 3 400
trillion dollars
i i just don't see what world that could
possibly happen
in uh it's just in in michael's world
all you own is bitcoin that's the only
asset class you own and i
that's not that's not the way that
you're going
it's just never going to happen in in in
the real world
it's sheer fantasy um and i think that
maybe the way you're promoting it you
know
if you only promoted like 10 20 growth
you wouldn't get all of this massive
speculation that's going into bitcoin
which i think is very very dangerous
but i guess it's easier to promise a 20
bag or 100 bagger
but the higher it goes the more
outrageous your claims have to become
about what bitcoin
is and and and to me that's very
reminiscent
of a lot of the research reports i used
to read during the dot-com bubble back
in 1997 to 99
where they were they had to justify the
price and
and to justify the price of some of
these crazy assets
they had to make some outrageous
assumptions and this is what i'm seeing
here in
in bitcoin now i i don't want to get
personal here but i just find your style
of promotion
as misleading and filled with hype okay
and the one thing that caught my
attention and the reason that
the catalyst to why i wanted this debate
is when i heard you say time and time
again that
people should buy bitcoin hold it
forever
and if they need any cash they should
borrow against their car
their house their businesses that is
such a
reckless and irresponsible thing to
suggest um
i will bet that 90 of your 700 000
twitter followers
are not millionaires never mind
billionaires like yourself
and we have if these guys are levered up
and we have an 80 correction or a 50
correction in bitcoin that lasts a few
years you're going to wipe out
a lot of small investors and that should
really concern you i also don't like the
style in which
social media is being used to bully
critics
um using slogans and
and campaign the camp the gimmicks and
slogans like the laser eyes and
cyber hornets and have fun staying poor
all this stuff
to me it smells like a cult it's cult
behavior
uh it's not serious and i think if you
had more confidence
in the value of bitcoin you wouldn't
have to use
that kind of language um so
here's the bottom line where i'm at with
bitcoin i think that
we live in very uncertain times i don't
think any one of us
has experienced an investment climate
like the one we're seeing today not
certainly not in many many generations
and i unlike you don't have a crystal
ball i don't have that benefit
so what i like to do is
diversify you never put your eggs in one
basket that is about the dumbest
investment
advice anybody could give so my
suggestion
to investors is diversified portfolio
skewed toward hard assets because i
think that's the environment and that
includes real estate
gold art and bitcoin if you like okay
um so buy bitcoin knock yourself out
it's probably going to go higher i've
said that before but the best strategy
might be
if you're going to buy bitcoin hedge it
with gold because that is gold's
purpose so if when and if the markets
crash
and they will crash again because we are
in a bible environment
you want to you be doing your
michael you're doing your your followers
a disservice
by telling them to sell their gold sure
go ahead and tell them to buy bitcoin
and if they want to believe everything
you're saying about
go for it but to sell their gold is the
worst thing they could be doing because
they will need it
as a portfolio diversifier because it's
inversely correlated
with what i think bitcoin is and what
equities are
so i'm just asking you to stop with all
the hyperbole i mean you're selling
this utopian fantasy that is going to
probably hurt a lot of people
and i just honestly believe buy bitcoin
fine
but you have to own gold as your
insurance and i rest my case
wow i have definitely felt the heat in
this debate thank you
both so much for your your remarks here
and if i can just um
add something uh you know regardless of
whichever side you're on i'm sure we can
all come to the consensus this was an
incredible debate
perhaps the best ever to be held on the
topic of gold
versus bitcoin and i am honored to have
moderated it
and thank you for choosing stansberry
research as the platform
and if i can just speak uh for myself
and for the audience for the folks back
home
i just want to say this you are both
titans
in your respective fields you have
nothing to prove you are both
billionaires and you are both
very busy and you did not have to do
this debate
so i thank you for taking the time to
educate us thank you
it was it was a lot of fun and i think
we both got our points across so michael
thank you for agreeing to do this and
danielle
you're always as usual the greatest host
on the planet thank you
thank you frank thank you danielle
thanks for hosting i appreciate it
tremendously i guess
my question is because i know michael
had tweeted that he was looking to
convince frank and i said it at the
start
uh to buy some some some bitcoin
transferring some of his
his gold for bitcoin frank did he
convince you on this
not yet not yet i i think that um maybe
there might be a time if bitcoin
corrects
which i think has had an incredible run
it's due for a correction
uh and it might be a very big correction
yeah i might buy some
because i think it would go higher and
i'll speculate to
to have a position in bitcoin but as a
store of value absolutely not
not yet frank nice to meet you if you
buy bitcoin i'll buy a case of your
olive oil
[Laughter]
you've done your research i'm sure we
can all meet at a
beautiful cocktail lounge or bar one day
in the future
and continue this discussion and we
could all be friends
so i'm going to keep cheerfully after
frank
thank you bo thank you so much and thank
you for watching the great gold versus
bitcoin debate here on stansberry
research i am honored
to have uh moderated this incredible
debate that will go down in history i am
sure thank you for watching
i'm daniela camboni