SaylorCorpus

Bitcoin vs Gold: The Great Debate with Michael Saylor and Frank Giustra

Stansberry Research · 2021-04-22 · 1h 56m · View on YouTube →

0:00:02

hello everyone i am daniela cambone and

0:00:02

welcome to the great bitcoin versus gold

0:00:05

debate

0:00:05

on stansberry research featuring michael

0:00:07

saylor and frank giustra

0:00:09

i'm honored to be moderating this

0:00:11

historic event

0:00:12

in the bitcoin corner we have michael

0:00:14

saylor he is the ceo of microstrategy

0:00:17

and has become the flag bearer for the

0:00:19

community

0:00:19

after making a bold move and becoming

0:00:21

the first ceo of a publicly listed

0:00:23

company

0:00:24

to convert a part of his company's cash

0:00:26

reserves into the cryptocurrency

0:00:29

he has publicly said that his mission

0:00:30

with this debate is to convince his

0:00:32

opponent frank giustra

0:00:34

to sell his gold and buy bitcoin on the

0:00:37

gold side we have frank giustra

0:00:39

early in his career frank transformed

0:00:41

yorkton securities into a

0:00:42

global powerhouse of mining finance and

0:00:45

was behind the creation of some of the

0:00:46

world's leading mining companies frank

0:00:48

is considered by many to be a modern

0:00:50

renaissance man having founded lions

0:00:52

gate entertainment

0:00:53

modern farmer dominica fiore and a long

0:00:56

list of other ventures today

0:00:57

he dedicates most of his time to his

0:00:59

philanthropic work he most recently

0:01:01

launched

0:01:01

the million gardens movement alongside

0:01:03

kimball musk frank has publicly stated

0:01:06

he was coming into this debate with an

0:01:07

open mind but wanted to challenge

0:01:10

michael on statements he has made on

0:01:12

and bitcoin today michael and frank will

0:01:16

battling it out in perhaps the most

0:01:17

important debate ever to be held

0:01:19

on this subject of gold versus bitcoin

0:01:22

cyber hornets argue that bitcoin

0:01:24

represents a powerful digital network

0:01:26

that will thrive a quasi

0:01:28

technology stock without profits or co

0:01:30

but with near perfect security

0:01:32

and distribution gold bugs on the other

0:01:34

hand say gold

0:01:36

is the ultimate and timeless store of

0:01:37

value that it is an asset that the

0:01:39

financial system

0:01:40

will turn to time and time again

0:01:42

whenever there's a storm

0:01:43

but i'll leave it to the debaters to

0:01:45

battle this out i'm gonna go over the

0:01:47

format

0:01:47

and the ground rules now this debate

0:01:50

will cover six

0:01:51

topics along with an open and a closing

0:01:52

statement from each debater

0:01:54

they will each have five minutes per

0:01:56

topic except for the close where

0:01:58

they will have six minutes each once

0:02:00

they have made their points in the five

0:02:02

minutes the other side

0:02:03

will have a one minute rebuttal i will

0:02:06

be acting as moderator and hence there

0:02:07

will be no follow-up questions from me

0:02:09

but we will be moving on to the next

0:02:11

topic all right well welcome frank

0:02:13

giustra

0:02:14

joins us from los angeles and we have

0:02:16

michael saylor in miami gentlemen i have

0:02:18

eagerly been

0:02:19

awaiting this day so welcome welcome

0:02:22

frank and welcome michael

0:02:23

thank you great to be here thanks for

0:02:26

having us

0:02:27

awesome so as i stated at in the opening

0:02:29

uh we're going to start

0:02:30

with opening statements you'll have five

0:02:32

minutes each year

0:02:33

we decided ahead of the debate and

0:02:35

michael will kick things off for us

0:02:38

uh this will be five minutes of

0:02:39

uninterrupted time uh please consider it

0:02:42

your blank canvas in a sense to set um

0:02:45

the statements you'd like to make during

0:02:47

this debate michael please kick things

0:02:48

off for us here

0:02:50

thanks danielle so the debate is uh

0:02:53

bitcoin versus gold

0:02:55

i think that all gold holders and all

0:02:58

bitcoin holders agree on sound money

0:03:00

principles and the real debate is which

0:03:02

is the best

0:03:03

monetary system in order to pursue the

0:03:05

ideals of sound money

0:03:07

so i think we start with some basic

0:03:10

ideas

0:03:11

first of all human civilization rises

0:03:14

through channeling energy

0:03:17

we invented fire that's capturing

0:03:19

chemical energy

0:03:20

uh then we build our cities next to

0:03:22

rivers we're capturing

0:03:24

water and we're channeling gravitational

0:03:26

energy the aqueducts were critical to

0:03:29

roman civilization when we compress air

0:03:32

in a canister we're channeling

0:03:34

uh pressure uh electric systems and

0:03:37

batteries are channeling energy

0:03:39

lasers or channeling photons if we want

0:03:43

better the human condition we need to be

0:03:45

able to capture store and channel that

0:03:47

energy

0:03:48

money is energy money's a store of value

0:03:52

and it's also a technology allows us to

0:03:54

trade

0:03:55

that energy over time and space so if we

0:03:58

look at the history of money we've gone

0:04:00

from commodity money

0:04:01

to coinage of those commodities to notes

0:04:06

represented by that money to fiat

0:04:08

currency

0:04:09

and now we have cryptography as a basis

0:04:12

of money

0:04:13

now what's the sometimes gold gold

0:04:15

advocates say the gold is the ideal

0:04:17

money

0:04:18

well really the ideal money if

0:04:21

if god came down and god waved

0:04:25

his or her hand and created the ideal

0:04:28

it would be based upon luca pacioli's

0:04:32

modern accounting principles of double

0:04:34

entry accounting

0:04:36

and if you had godlike power and you

0:04:38

could implement

0:04:39

a double entry ledger like patrolling

0:04:41

introduced in 1494

0:04:44

and you could perhaps you could define

0:04:47

21 million units that are infinitely

0:04:51

subdividable trillions and trillions of

0:04:53

times

0:04:53

each you could maintain that in magic

0:04:57

space

0:04:58

and then you could settle everybody's

0:05:00

trades

0:05:01

instantly everywhere on earth everywhere

0:05:03

in the universe

0:05:05

in a fair and equitable fashion that

0:05:08

would be a good money

0:05:09

we could call that god coin and god coin

0:05:12

is like perfect instant transactions

0:05:14

never losing any information

0:05:16

well the next best thing that we've

0:05:19

invented is as humans is bitcoin

0:05:22

so bitcoin's the most efficient monetary

0:05:24

system we've yet to implement

0:05:26

successfully it's 21 quadrillion

0:05:28

satoshis

0:05:29

350 000 transactions a day it cost about

0:05:33

basis points of the monetary network to

0:05:36

clear those

0:05:37

transactions and to secure the network

0:05:39

and it stores the value and provides

0:05:41

security to everybody on the network

0:05:43

effectively for free after those

0:05:44

transaction fees

0:05:47

bitcoin's the most disruptive force in

0:05:49

the century in 12 years

0:05:50

it grew to 12 to 1 trillion dollars in

0:05:54

monetary value that beats google

0:05:55

facebook amazon apple

0:05:57

and the like that's the market sending

0:05:59

us a message

0:06:00

it's the next chapter in the mobile wave

0:06:03

we digitized our photos we digitized our

0:06:05

videos now we're going to digitize our

0:06:07

money and our currency and assets are

0:06:09

going to flow to billions of people

0:06:12

money is collapsing we've got a massive

0:06:15

inflation

0:06:15

problem we're losing one percent of our

0:06:18

value and currencies every single month

0:06:21

humanity without an effective strong

0:06:24

money is like

0:06:25

a type 1 diabetic without insulin you

0:06:28

can't store

0:06:29

energy you can't create fat you're going

0:06:31

to starve to death

0:06:33

without delivering effective money to

0:06:35

the human race

0:06:37

everybody's going to either economically

0:06:39

freeze or starve to death

0:06:41

violence and misery are going to follow

0:06:44

gold's not a solution it's not practical

0:06:47

to distribute

0:06:48

gold in small quantities to 5 billion

0:06:51

people

0:06:52

bitcoin is a solution it is spreading at

0:06:55

more than 200 percent a year

0:06:57

uh we're adding 3 million users a week

0:07:00

it's accelerating

0:07:02

if i wanted to give knowledge music

0:07:05

and money to the world in the 19th

0:07:08

century you did it with books

0:07:10

pianos and gold they're now antiques

0:07:13

for the elite in the 21st century

0:07:16

you're going to use the internet

0:07:18

platform in bitcoin and you're going to

0:07:20

provide

0:07:21

ibooks and google and youtube you're

0:07:24

going to provide

0:07:25

apple music and amazon music and spotify

0:07:28

to everybody

0:07:29

and you're gonna provide bitcoin as an

0:07:32

asset

0:07:32

for everybody uh gold used to be the

0:07:35

best solution

0:07:36

it isn't anymore the time has come to

0:07:39

pass the torch

0:07:41

from gold to bitcoin bitcoins humanity's

0:07:44

first

0:07:44

effective engineered monetary

0:07:47

system it's as profound as our rail

0:07:50

networks

0:07:51

our road networks our electrical

0:07:53

networks our telephone networks and the

0:07:55

internet

0:07:56

uh bitcoin can and will deliver the

0:07:59

virtues of strong money

0:08:01

the gold idealists have long hoped for

0:08:05

michael thank you for your opening

0:08:06

statements now we'll go to frank giustra

0:08:09

uh with your opening remarks please five

0:08:11

minutes daniella interrupted time

0:08:13

thank you thank you and and and michael

0:08:15

thanks for for agreeing to this debate

0:08:17

um uh and congratulations on your

0:08:20

bitcoin position that's you've done very

0:08:22

well and i'm looking forward to

0:08:23

exploring the facts

0:08:25

okay so as i've said a number of times

0:08:28

recently

0:08:29

um i don't have a problem with bitcoin

0:08:32

i think it's here to stay in some form

0:08:36

some value for some purpose i'm not sure

0:08:39

that purpose is yet i do have quite a

0:08:41

few issues

0:08:42

with the way you and others have made

0:08:45

certain claims about

0:08:46

bitcoin and i want to point out the

0:08:49

risks

0:08:49

that exist but but are never addressed

0:08:54

and i want to defend some of the um

0:08:57

statements that you've made about gold

0:08:59

uh and in doing all that i'm hoping to

0:09:01

draw a distinction

0:09:02

between what bitcoin is what it isn't

0:09:05

what maybe it aspires to be

0:09:07

understanding that distinction is very

0:09:11

important because

0:09:13

you need to assess that distinction to

0:09:16

assess its risk profile and therefore

0:09:18

where it fits in any given portfolio

0:09:21

i think our viewers deserve to know that

0:09:25

and they need to know how that

0:09:26

distinction happens between

0:09:29

gold and and and and bitcoin

0:09:32

um you know i don't think

0:09:35

bitcoin is a safe haven asset yet

0:09:38

um i don't think i think there's a very

0:09:41

good chance it never will be

0:09:43

i think it may aspire to be but aspiring

0:09:45

to be something

0:09:46

doesn't make it so and you know

0:09:48

sometimes i dance around the living room

0:09:50

in my

0:09:51

uh underwear but doesn't make me madonna

0:09:54

um as far as your claims on gold

0:09:57

i'm not really sure what you're trying

0:09:59

to achieve by disparaging gold

0:10:01

i mean i do have a theory and you're

0:10:03

welcome to correct me if you think i'm

0:10:05

wrong but i think

0:10:06

um you're trying to create a narrative

0:10:09

for a higher price for bitcoin

0:10:11

and in order to do that you need to

0:10:13

convince everyone out there

0:10:15

that gold is worthless and all of that

0:10:18

value that currency currently resides in

0:10:20

will be all transferred all 12 trillion

0:10:22

dollars of it will be transferred

0:10:24

to bitcoin um and that in that way

0:10:27

you can justify a 500 000 bitcoin price

0:10:31

or a million dollar

0:10:32

bitcoin price um otherwise why would

0:10:35

anybody

0:10:35

buddy pay sixty thousand dollars today

0:10:38

uh without that target in mind

0:10:42

i can't see any other way where you can

0:10:45

make the kind of claims that you're

0:10:46

making about

0:10:47

where the price where bitcoin is going i

0:10:49

think it's a really clever approach

0:10:51

and i take my hat off to you you've been

0:10:54

very effective

0:10:55

and and in many ways i think it's sad

0:10:57

because i think bitcoin believers and

0:10:59

gold believers

0:11:00

agree on 90 of everything and we fall

0:11:03

apart on this 10

0:11:04

last 10 percent of which one is better

0:11:06

and i think it's all

0:11:08

part and parcel of this binary attitude

0:11:10

that exists

0:11:11

in you know the discourse in americans

0:11:14

in america today you know you're either

0:11:15

on one side or the other

0:11:16

there's no middle ground um

0:11:19

but i see it as a strategy of

0:11:23

um your strategy where the stakes are

0:11:26

kind of do or die

0:11:28

um sort of a game of thrones per se

0:11:31

but the truth is we're only in the first

0:11:33

season and there are a lot of risks that

0:11:36

lie ahead of us

0:11:37

and the question you have to ask is will

0:11:39

you still be alive in season eight

0:11:41

and uh i just don't

0:11:44

think you are presenting the risks that

0:11:48

bitcoin in order to get there and

0:11:51

survive

0:11:52

um you you'd like to pretend those risks

0:11:54

don't exist and you gloss over them

0:11:56

because i think you're in a race to win

0:11:59

and i think that's kind of sad but

0:12:01

pretending that

0:12:03

bitcoin is a risk-free asset

0:12:06

is just i think naive

0:12:09

because if you fail to subsume the

0:12:11

entire value of gold

0:12:13

what are you left with you're left with

0:12:14

hoping that a greater fool is going to

0:12:16

come in and pay a higher price

0:12:18

i think the threats are real and i think

0:12:20

the biggest threats are going to come

0:12:22

from government

0:12:23

and central banks history has shown the

0:12:26

governments go to extreme

0:12:27

lengths to protect their monopoly on

0:12:29

currency

0:12:31

and they will not to tolerate a global

0:12:33

decentralized currency

0:12:35

it's just not going to happen and

0:12:37

especially if we

0:12:39

have say a dollar crisis which i think

0:12:41

we can all assume is coming somewhere

0:12:43

down the road uh and your claims that

0:12:46

bitcoin is

0:12:47

untouchable unstoppable are simply

0:12:50

not true uh and by the way you don't

0:12:53

have to kill

0:12:54

bitcoin with a death blow you can

0:12:57

severely damage or kill it with multiple

0:13:01

so you've been very effective pretending

0:13:03

that there aren't risks and i think i'm

0:13:05

going to spend

0:13:06

the rest most of this conversation just

0:13:08

pointing out where the risk is

0:13:10

where the risks exist and i just

0:13:13

think telling your viewers

0:13:17

that bitcoin is going to double every

0:13:19

six months

0:13:20

is i i find i get i have a lot of

0:13:23

trouble with that

0:13:24

so whatever the outcome is on this this

0:13:27

is on you

0:13:28

but perhaps you'll change my mind and so

0:13:31

let's get on to it

0:13:32

all right let's get on with it fantastic

0:13:35

opening remarks um

0:13:37

from you both thank you for that now

0:13:39

let's get into the meat of it we're

0:13:40

going to start with our first topic it

0:13:42

is asset

0:13:43

comparisons um michael i'll begin with

0:13:46

you we'll kick things off here

0:13:47

it's been said that in an ideal store of

0:13:50

value will have these eight attributes

0:13:52

it's durable

0:13:53

portable fungible verifiable divisible

0:13:56

scarce it has an established history and

0:13:59

it's censorship

0:14:00

resistance so my question to you is when

0:14:02

you're doing an asset comparison of

0:14:04

bitcoin versus gold

0:14:06

how do you make the case for bitcoin as

0:14:08

the better asset

0:14:11

you'll have five minutes of

0:14:13

uninterrupted time and frank will have

0:14:15

a one-minute rebuttal okay

0:14:19

if we think about the elements that

0:14:20

drive uh humanity forward if we think of

0:14:23

it from an engineer's point of view

0:14:24

you've got stone

0:14:25

you've got iron you've got concrete

0:14:27

you've got steel you've got aluminum

0:14:29

you've got silicon

0:14:31

you can't build a computer without

0:14:33

silicon you can't build a skyscraper

0:14:35

without steel

0:14:36

you're not going to survive if you don't

0:14:39

pick the right element

0:14:41

crypto is the steel of the 21st century

0:14:44

financial economy

0:14:46

an engineer would say you have to choose

0:14:48

wisely there's a right answer

0:14:50

there's a wrong answer so gold is

0:14:53

element

0:14:53

79 it's an ideal ornamental metal it's

0:14:56

indestructible malleable

0:14:58

it's attractive we love these things it

0:15:00

makes great jewelry it makes a great

0:15:02

ornament

0:15:03

it's just not a perfect monetary asset

0:15:06

because you can inflate gold you can

0:15:08

confiscate gold

0:15:10

it's immobile it's not easily divisible

0:15:12

and you can counterfeit it

0:15:14

uh it shows up in uh in the economy in a

0:15:18

heterogeneous fashion lots of different

0:15:20

types of gold coins

0:15:21

lots of different types of gold bars

0:15:23

lots of different types of gold jewelry

0:15:26

and the paper gold itself is is

0:15:28

sometimes trading at a hundred to one

0:15:30

versus the underlying physical gold and

0:15:32

there's no

0:15:33

trusted protocol to guarantee the

0:15:35

integrity or the synchronicity between

0:15:37

paper gold and

0:15:39

actual gold if we compare that to

0:15:41

bitcoin

0:15:42

uh bitcoin is not just an asset it's a

0:15:45

network and it's protocol

0:15:48

people would say it's the world's first

0:15:50

global self-settled

0:15:52

real-time clearing bearer instrument

0:15:55

it is all those things you mentioned

0:15:57

it's decentralized permissionless global

0:15:59

immutable scarce auditable

0:16:01

instantly transferable not seasonable

0:16:03

highly divisible

0:16:05

mostly everything that gold can't do

0:16:08

the asset itself secure easily divisible

0:16:12

is deflationary people might lose some

0:16:14

bitcoin they're never going to add more

0:16:15

than 21 million

0:16:17

you can transfer it around the planet

0:16:19

it's transparent

0:16:21

everybody running a node you can

0:16:22

authenticate it instantly

0:16:24

from a hundred dollar smartphone um

0:16:28

that's that's uh makes it the perfected

0:16:31

monetary asset of the human race we've

0:16:34

never actually had an asset that

0:16:36

clean it's synthetic gold without the

0:16:39

defects of monetary gold

0:16:42

now the network itself it's global it's

0:16:45

anybody can run a security node or a

0:16:48

validating node on the network

0:16:50

it's empowering to billions and billions

0:16:53

of people

0:16:54

it's it's vital because it's being

0:16:56

continuously upgraded in the software

0:16:58

layer and the hardware layer

0:17:00

and it's viral it's spreading at a rapid

0:17:03

companies countries individuals are

0:17:06

adopting this and that makes it

0:17:08

as nicholas celeb would say anti-fragile

0:17:11

uh it just keeps getting better

0:17:13

um the protocol is the third element of

0:17:15

the asset which makes bitcoin superior

0:17:18

and what's special about that is it's a

0:17:19

protocol for synchronizing financial

0:17:22

applications with integrity

0:17:24

to the underlying bitcoin asset it's

0:17:27

been adopted

0:17:27

by built into square it was built into

0:17:31

uh and uh and why what does that mean

0:17:34

well that means that

0:17:36

bitcoin applications there bitcoin is

0:17:39

harder

0:17:40

it's smarter it's faster and it's

0:17:42

stronger

0:17:44

than the gold that came before it harder

0:17:47

meaning gold has a

0:17:48

half-life of 30 years you make 2 more

0:17:51

every year

0:17:52

bitcoin has a half-life of forever it's

0:17:55

it's effectively immortal and it's

0:17:56

organically

0:17:57

evolving it's only going to be better in

0:18:00

100 years than it is now

0:18:02

it's smarter because the applications

0:18:04

running on bitcoin are driven by modern

0:18:06

software and modern

0:18:07

modern cpus and modern servers they keep

0:18:10

getting

0:18:11

smarter and faster with moore's law you

0:18:14

can make a 100 million

0:18:15

calculations a second around the world

0:18:18

across

0:18:19

hundreds of thousands of different

0:18:20

servers on bitcoin applications you

0:18:23

can't do that with gold

0:18:25

it's faster you can do billions of

0:18:27

transactions

0:18:28

at the speed of light on these

0:18:29

applications you can run them 24 7 365.

0:18:33

it's stronger you can channel high

0:18:35

frequency energy

0:18:37

i could flash 10 000 loans for three

0:18:40

each across a hundred jurisdictions

0:18:42

between ten thousand different companies

0:18:45

and fetch them back with laser-like

0:18:47

precision

0:18:49

so in short bitcoin it's more than just

0:18:51

a monetary network

0:18:52

it's a trust network allowing millions

0:18:55

of applications

0:18:56

to serve billions of people

0:19:00

and it's going to accelerate global

0:19:02

commerce

0:19:03

in the 21st century and it's critical

0:19:07

for allowing for safe and efficient

0:19:09

operations in cyberspace

0:19:12

that's why the asset is superior to gold

0:19:16

thank you michael uh frank you'll now

0:19:18

have a one minute rebuttal

0:19:20

to that yeah yeah thank you michael you

0:19:24

it is a great technology and i'll give

0:19:26

you that uh and

0:19:27

i'm not going to argue the technology

0:19:29

and how innovative it is and

0:19:30

and all the things that you say that it

0:19:32

does um

0:19:34

but so far it's completely unproven that

0:19:37

this is going to be effective as a

0:19:39

a payment method it's far too slow it's

0:19:42

too volatile

0:19:43

and it has no history so i don't think

0:19:46

uh i don't see a way where it's going to

0:19:48

be a method of payment so

0:19:50

the ability to transfer bitcoin around

0:19:53

the world at the speed of light as

0:19:55

you like to talk about is you know

0:19:57

what's the point if it's if the only

0:19:59

thing you have to hang your head on is

0:20:01

store of value

0:20:03

what you say about gold and paper gold

0:20:05

and physical gold is is true

0:20:08

i prefer physical gold i i stay away

0:20:10

from the gold etfs

0:20:11

for many many reasons uh i like my goal

0:20:14

to have no counter

0:20:15

party risks much like bitcoin doesn't um

0:20:18

so um as far as it's

0:20:22

you claiming that it's secure i i will

0:20:25

debate you on that i don't think it's as

0:20:26

secure as you like to make it believe

0:20:29

especially if it becomes a threat thank

0:20:31

you frank

0:20:32

i will toss the question now to you

0:20:34

frank same topic

0:20:36

asset comparison when you're doing the

0:20:38

asset comparisons of gold versus bitcoin

0:20:40

make the case of why you think gold wins

0:20:42

here and under which conditions it

0:20:44

performs better than bitcoin

0:20:46

okay so listen i'll give the you know

0:20:48

one minute commercial

0:20:49

here that everybody's heard before gold

0:20:52

is eternal

0:20:53

and it's almost indestructible the gold

0:20:55

that you may be wearing in your jewelry

0:20:57

today might have been a piece of jewelry

0:20:58

two thousand years ago

0:20:59

it has been deeply woven

0:21:02

into the uh cultural fabric around the

0:21:05

world and into the global monetary

0:21:07

system

0:21:11

and if you believe you're about to

0:21:11

dislodge gold

0:21:13

in places like india and china which are

0:21:15

the world's largest buyers of gold

0:21:17

and where it's deeply ingrained in the

0:21:18

culture

0:21:23

i think you don't know a lot about india

0:21:23

and china

0:21:24

so in terms of its status as money

0:21:28

listen i'm sure if the us could roll

0:21:30

back the clock

0:21:32

um they they would probably do away with

0:21:35

because the u.s relies on its status as

0:21:39

having the premier reserve currency and

0:21:42

it abuses that status to achieve its

0:21:44

goals by you know again printing lots

0:21:46

and lots of money

0:21:47

i can't see how bitcoin is going to be

0:21:49

recognized by

0:21:50

as money in every country in the world

0:21:52

in the way that gold is

0:21:53

its stability as a store of value is

0:21:56

vital to managing the central bank

0:22:03

reserve currencies and it's viewed as

0:22:03

protections against other fiat

0:22:04

currencies

0:22:06

central banks own 33 000 tons

0:22:09

of gold which is 20 of all the gold ever

0:22:12

mined and they're furiously buying it

0:22:15

year after year after year uh and

0:22:17

there's a reason for it and i can't say

0:22:19

the same for bitcoin

0:22:20

uh it's not owned by any of the central

0:22:23

banks it's

0:22:23

extremely unlikely it ever will be

0:22:26

um and i think bitcoin makes a much

0:22:28

easier target than gold

0:22:30

if it becomes a threat um and

0:22:34

the central banks are never going to

0:22:35

destroy gold to be akin to shooting

0:22:37

themselves in the foot

0:22:38

bitcoin they have no allegiance to so

0:22:40

they can go after that

0:22:42

in spades um and gold

0:22:45

you know one of the other misconceptions

0:22:46

and i think where people get mixed up

0:22:48

with the bitcoin

0:22:49

uh comparison is that gold is not

0:22:52

designed

0:22:53

to moonshot through the roof like some

0:22:55

tech darling

0:22:57

it's designed as a store value against

0:22:59

inflation

0:23:00

the devaluation of currencies and sharp

0:23:03

equity downturns

0:23:08

it's been tested time and time again

0:23:08

throughout history

0:23:09

bitcoin has never been tested especially

0:23:12

in a financial crisis because

0:23:14

bitcoin was introduced after the 2008

0:23:16

crisis in the meantime gold has doubled

0:23:18

since then

0:23:19

gold benefits in times of crisis and in

0:23:21

certain times of economic expansion

0:23:24

because of its

0:23:25

dual purpose of use in jewelry and

0:23:28

industry

0:23:29

if god forbid there were ever a war i

0:23:33

would prefer to have

0:23:33

my money stored in gold which is going

0:23:35

to be safe from cyber attacks on both

0:23:37

the internet and the power grids

0:23:44

now to be fair and i think also that

0:23:44

any time that there's a currency crisis

0:23:46

and this is what i'm afraid of

0:23:48

people will always flee to gold it

0:23:49

happens every every time

0:23:52

so but to be fair i think it's

0:23:55

it's good to point out that central

0:23:56

banks do try and manipulate

0:23:59

in my opinion they try and manipulate

0:24:00

and manage the gold price because the

0:24:03

price is in a sense the canary in the

0:24:06

coal mine

0:24:07

as to a nation's fiscal health so any

0:24:10

spike in the gold price

0:24:11

yeah the central banks will try and

0:24:13

manage that but they're never going to

0:24:15

try and kill its value

0:24:17

because again they'd be shooting

0:24:18

themselves in the foot

0:24:20

they don't it's a necessary evil

0:24:23

um the us alone 77

0:24:27

of its reserves foreign reserves are in

0:24:29

gold that's four percent of all the gold

0:24:31

in the world

0:24:32

um and china is only declared three

0:24:35

percent but

0:24:36

again they're the largest producers of

0:24:37

gold in the world and the largest

0:24:39

importers of gold in the world

0:24:40

world and they're accumulating at a very

0:24:42

rapid rate

0:24:43

and no one really believes that what

0:24:45

they've declared is truly what they own

0:24:47

they come out every couple of years and

0:24:49

surprise the market with

0:24:50

increased reserves in gold but it

0:24:53

here's the thing it's in its respect

0:24:55

with the u.s dollar that i've

0:24:57

a real problem with michael's approach

0:24:59

to promoting bitcoin

0:25:01

because he tries to have it both ways on

0:25:03

the one hand

0:25:05

he is panicking people and to buy

0:25:08

buying bitcoin bitcoin as a protection

0:25:11

against this incredible m2 money growth

0:25:15

which he calculates at 20

0:25:16

a year and going forever 22

0:25:20

20 a year um

0:25:23

if he's right and i don't disagree that

0:25:25

that's the direction the dollar is going

0:25:27

in terms of money growth that would have

0:25:29

inc creates severe problems for the us

0:25:31

dollar

0:25:33

it would obviously devalue the dollar

0:25:35

over time because you would bring in a

0:25:36

lot of inflation

0:25:37

and so on the other hand he

0:25:41

claims that bitcoin is not a threat to

0:25:42

the us dollar and i think

0:25:44

in that sense he's talking out of both

0:25:46

sides of his mouth and i can only

0:25:48

assume that his the reason is he doesn't

0:25:51

want to

0:25:52

draw the ire or the attention of the us

0:25:54

government

0:25:56

because it's easier to go after gold the

0:25:59

authorities are never going to come to

0:26:00

gold's defense

0:26:01

and actually in a way he may be doing

0:26:03

them a favor by disparaging gold

0:26:06

but again he can't have it both ways you

0:26:09

can't

0:26:10

make that claim that bitcoin is going to

0:26:11

go to the moon and subsume all the value

0:26:14

of every us asset class and not be a

0:26:16

threat to the us dollar

0:26:18

and i think he's probably a bit late

0:26:20

because now it's squarely on the radar

0:26:22

of a lot of the

0:26:23

makers a lot of the pundits and they're

0:26:24

talking about the threat

0:26:26

to the us dollar by bitcoin um and it's

0:26:29

going to be monetary very closely

0:26:31

uh as the asset value goes goes up in

0:26:34

price

0:26:35

um you know bitcoin

0:26:42

advocates what's frank okay i'm sorry

0:26:42

okay so listen

0:26:43

there's a lot to be said about the way

0:26:45

that bitcoin is being

0:26:47

uh pitched as a decentralized

0:26:51

currency um

0:26:58

but it's idealistic to think that

0:26:58

that government's going to allow that

0:27:00

kind of anarchy you know i'm a lover of

0:27:02

history and

0:27:03

and and politics i'm actually very

0:27:05

deeply immersed in

0:27:06

geopolitics and i come from the

0:27:08

machiavellian school of thought when it

0:27:10

comes to politics and power

0:27:12

and i'm a realist and and

0:27:15

you may want things to be a certain way

0:27:17

but you have to see the ways

0:27:19

things truly are and anarchism has never

0:27:22

worked throughout history thank you and

0:27:24

you just have to look

0:27:25

okay i i've got so much more to say

0:27:27

you'll get

0:27:28

into it but i gotta give i gotta give

0:27:30

michael because you said a lot of big

0:27:31

statements there

0:27:32

and i have to give michael uh his one

0:27:35

minute

0:27:36

rebuttal so michael please well

0:27:39

frank says um bitcoin is not an

0:27:41

effective payment network

0:27:43

uh but method but the point really is

0:27:45

paypal and square

0:27:46

and venmo are providing billion

0:27:50

transaction

0:27:51

instant speed of light throughput on top

0:27:53

of bitcoin's network and so

0:27:55

the payments are going to come from the

0:27:56

application layer the layer 2 or the

0:27:59

lightning network

0:28:00

uh frank says it's not as secure as i

0:28:03

think

0:28:03

well i think crypto keys are holding the

0:28:07

to uh to a cryptocurrency is the highest

0:28:10

property right

0:28:11

that the human race has ever invented to

0:28:14

date we can't have stronger property

0:28:16

rights than

0:28:17

holding a hundred million dollars with

0:28:19

password keys in your head or

0:28:20

multi-signature keys

0:28:22

uh everything else is a weaker property

0:28:24

right

0:28:25

um i i think that the way the world's

0:28:28

gonna end up

0:28:29

everybody's going to have a selection of

0:28:32

currencies in their mobile wallet and

0:28:34

assets in their mobile wallet

0:28:36

and they're going to be the top 10

0:28:38

currencies the dollar will be the king

0:28:40

currency and they're going to use it as

0:28:41

a medium of exchange

0:28:42

and instant payment on the network and

0:28:44

then they'll be strong assets the

0:28:46

strongest will be bitcoin people will

0:28:48

have other assets

0:28:50

and bitcoin doesn't have to be a

0:28:51

currency to be successful

0:28:53

the world and as long as there are

0:28:55

successful countries

0:28:57

they will maintain their currency i

0:28:59

think the losers will be the weak assets

0:29:01

and the weak currencies and this is not

0:29:03

a currency war with

0:29:05

bitcoin this is an asset war and that's

0:29:09

considering whether i want to put my

0:29:10

money in gold or bitcoin is appropriate

0:29:13

thank you michael we're going to move on

0:29:15

to the second topic now which is risk

0:29:17

factors frank i'll begin with you in

0:29:20

december jp morgan published a report

0:29:22

pointing to the grayscale bitcoin trust

0:29:25

which saw inflows

0:29:26

of almost 2 billion compared with

0:29:29

outflows of

0:29:30

7 billion for etfs backed by gold this

0:29:32

was for the period of october

0:29:34

to december of 2020. jp morgan predicts

0:29:37

the trend will continue

0:29:38

with gold suffering at the hands of

0:29:40

bitcoin my question to you is this

0:29:42

if jp's morgan's calculations are

0:29:45

correct it suggests

0:29:47

that bitcoin only accounts for point 18

0:29:50

percent

0:29:50

of family office assets compared with

0:29:52

3.8 percent for gold etf so tilting the

0:29:55

needle

0:29:56

from gold to bitcoin would involve the

0:29:59

transfer of billions

0:30:00

of dollars how do you make a case

0:30:04

against this risk

0:30:09

well okay and that's easy and you have

0:30:09

five minutes

0:30:10

first of all i i they're not going to

0:30:12

have to talk fast here but um

0:30:13

i i think i don't ever listen to what

0:30:16

wall street

0:30:17

anybody on wall street has to say about

0:30:19

things they're

0:30:20

more often wrong than they are right but

0:30:22

assuming the bitcoin is going to

0:30:24

continue to be accumulated at the rate

0:30:27

that it was and measuring that over a

0:30:29

period of a few months

0:30:30

you might as well be throwing darts

0:30:31

that's just not that's just

0:30:34

making that kind of assumption doesn't

0:30:36

make any sense but

0:30:38

i think assessing and quantifying risk

0:30:40

is the biggest issue facing bitcoin i've

0:30:41

said that earlier

0:30:42

and it's one thing that michael likes to

0:30:44

sidestep or gloss over

0:30:46

he doesn't feel it's necessary to worry

0:30:47

about those risks

0:30:50

brushing them off as black swan events

0:30:51

that will never happen but these risks

0:30:53

are real

0:30:54

and they're predictable they're not

0:30:55

unpredictable and it

0:30:57

should be taken into account um before

0:31:00

buying bitcoin and again i don't think

0:31:01

it should prevent people from buying

0:31:02

bitcoin but they need to give some

0:31:04

waiting to that risk

0:31:06

and as i said the biggest risk is going

0:31:08

to come from central bank and

0:31:09

governments

0:31:10

when and if bitcoin becomes large or

0:31:13

popular enough

0:31:14

to be perceived as a threat to currency

0:31:18

um and especially the us dollar and they

0:31:21

will go

0:31:21

work very hard and this has been proven

0:31:23

throughout history to try and squash

0:31:25

that opportunity or severely damage it

0:31:28

governments need to control their

0:31:31

currency

0:31:32

they need to have that monopoly and

0:31:36

i i just don't see because they need to

0:31:39

manage

0:31:40

both their fiscal and monetary policy

0:31:43

and in order to do that they have to

0:31:44

control their currency

0:31:45

so for whether you like it or not that's

0:31:48

the way it is

0:31:49

and i think that they also need

0:31:52

to control taxation and that's both

0:31:56

taxation that's direct and indirect and

0:31:59

taxation by inflation which

0:32:00

is their current preferred method means

0:32:04

they can monetize all this tremendous

0:32:06

amount of debt that they're

0:32:07

producing um and you the consumer are

0:32:10

paying

0:32:11

the tax through inflation does he

0:32:14

actually believe does michael and here's

0:32:16

the question does he actually believe

0:32:18

that the government is going to stand by

0:32:20

and allow bitcoin to subsume all the

0:32:22

value

0:32:23

of gold and maybe the and he's also

0:32:26

suggested the entire value of the bond

0:32:28

market

0:32:28

i just don't know in what universe he

0:32:31

thinks

0:32:32

that governments will allow that to

0:32:34

happen i i think it's sheer insanity

0:32:36

just aft you have to ask yourself this

0:32:38

every time you look at you know

0:32:40

this sort of a movement is what happens

0:32:44

the interests of the powerful with the

0:32:46

law on their side are pitted against

0:32:48

anarchists and in this case the

0:32:49

anarchists are the bitcoin

0:32:51

i just don't see how they're gonna let

0:32:53

that happen and again they don't need to

0:32:55

bitcoin or death flow they can do it

0:32:57

with multiple cuts

0:32:59

and what that might not take bitcoin out

0:33:01

but it will sure

0:33:02

change its investment proposition and

0:33:04

therefore its performance

0:33:06

and the attacks can come in any form

0:33:08

okay and i think the easiest

0:33:10

is legislation um and simply

0:33:14

banning uh bitcoin making a contraband

0:33:17

or making it illegal for uh

0:33:20

ex bitcoin exchanges to accept fiat for

0:33:23

bitcoin

0:33:24

would wipe out all the institutional

0:33:27

buying

0:33:28

most sophisticated investors and drive

0:33:30

bitcoin underground

0:33:32

um and it would certainly take a lot of

0:33:33

the air out of the bitcoin price

0:33:36

uh if if it were banned and the fbi

0:33:39

requested records from the exchanges

0:33:41

they would give them up

0:33:42

all exchanges are tied to all points of

0:33:45

connections and exchanges are tied to

0:33:46

the us dollar system

0:33:47

so it's very difficult to escape tracing

0:33:51

or monitoring and who's going to take

0:33:52

the risk if there's prison time

0:33:55

uh is the penalty to leave a trace on

0:33:58

their computer i just don't see why

0:34:00

anybody would take that risk so there's

0:34:03

that's one approach the other one is

0:34:04

more direct you know they can hack

0:34:06

and i know that they can certainly do

0:34:08

sustained hacking

0:34:10

on the on and off ramps into in into

0:34:12

bitcoin trading

0:34:13

uh and if if you think about it if if

0:34:16

the u.s

0:34:16

defense network can be hacked with

0:34:18

backdoor secret

0:34:20

back doors built into the hardware who's

0:34:22

to say can't happen

0:34:24

with with bitcoin and i think again you

0:34:27

have to take those risks into

0:34:28

consideration

0:34:30

uh that they're real and they exist now

0:34:32

i've heard the argument and this is how

0:34:34

the argument comes back from all the

0:34:35

bitcoin people is that

0:34:37

oh yeah there's a handful of senators

0:34:39

that are bitcoin friendly and

0:34:41

are going to provide cover for the

0:34:43

bitcoin investors

0:34:45

and you know that's going to matter just

0:34:46

as much as those handful of

0:34:49

politicians that are pushing proposing

0:34:51

legislation to

0:34:53

make gold and silver money in order to

0:34:55

avoid tax

0:34:56

that's never going to happen either so i

0:34:58

just i just don't

0:35:00

i don't get it how they're going to let

0:35:02

this let

0:35:03

let this happen and they will always

0:35:05

usually excuse the government that is

0:35:07

that the needs of the many outweigh the

0:35:08

needs of the future so i don't think

0:35:10

you're going to get the kind of

0:35:10

protection that that that you're hoping

0:35:13

and governance governments will use any

0:35:15

excuse

0:35:20

knowing that the real reason is going to

0:35:20

be to

0:35:21

protect their monopoly on currency

0:35:24

and keep their ability to execute

0:35:28

monetary and fiscal policy

0:35:29

but they'll use other excuses if they

0:35:31

want to go after bitcoin

0:35:33

crime consumer protection

0:35:36

the environment you know they can say

0:35:37

you know you know bitcoin produces more

0:35:39

co2 emissions than in a billion cars

0:35:42

um uh money laundering

0:35:45

and the catch-all phrase national

0:35:47

security

0:35:48

and if they can use national security to

0:35:51

renegotiate bilateral trade ideals

0:35:53

don't think don't think that they can't

0:35:55

use it

0:35:56

if bitcoin becomes a threat to the

0:35:59

currency

0:36:01

central banks again i go by the golden

0:36:04

rule they own the gold they make the

0:36:06

rule they have seven trillion dollars

0:36:07

worth of

0:36:08

gold they're not about to allow some

0:36:11

other asset class to to be a store value

0:36:15

to subs

0:36:15

to subsume that that that value it's

0:36:17

just not going to happen

0:36:19

um thank you frank wrapping comments

0:36:21

please okay well i just think that

0:36:23

um i have other points with respect to

0:36:26

countries central banks creating their

0:36:28

own digital currencies

0:36:30

they're all everybody's looking into

0:36:32

china is the most advanced and they're

0:36:33

not going to want the competition

0:36:35

and if bitcoin gets big enough they will

0:36:38

go after it

0:36:39

and eliminate it and that's just the way

0:36:41

the world works

0:36:42

thank you frank uh michael you will now

0:36:45

have a

0:36:45

one minute rebuttal to that

0:36:49

central banks don't own a bitcoin as

0:36:51

soon as one country

0:36:52

starts to buy bitcoin for their central

0:36:54

bank the price is going to rip

0:36:57

first point second um

0:37:00

us dollar is going to be the big winner

0:37:01

from the spread of bitcoin five billion

0:37:03

people are going to have a mobile wallet

0:37:05

on their phone they're going to have a

0:37:06

currency layer

0:37:08

running on lightning rails or running on

0:37:10

a compliant payment rate we'll have the

0:37:12

us dollar might have the euro

0:37:14

the big losers are going to be the

0:37:15

bottom 50 countries they're going to

0:37:17

lose their currency privileges

0:37:19

all the collapsing economies in africa

0:37:21

south america

0:37:22

and asia they won't keep their

0:37:24

currencies people will

0:37:25

will switch over to the dollar bitcoin

0:37:29

is critical to us

0:37:30

technology supremacy and the us dollar

0:37:33

supremacy and one day five billion

0:37:34

people will use the us dollar as a

0:37:36

currency

0:37:37

i don't think the government's going to

0:37:38

fight it i think the government's going

0:37:39

to embrace it

0:37:41

and will the government stand by and let

0:37:43

bitcoin grab

0:37:44

gold's uh capital share and part of the

0:37:47

bond market

0:37:47

well they allowed the the growth of the

0:37:50

vanguard 500 the s p

0:37:52

500 and etfs and bond mutual funds and

0:37:55

gold etfs

0:37:56

i think that as long as the assets sit

0:37:59

and regulated banks and custodians

0:38:01

they won't have a problem with insurance

0:38:04

companies and investors investing in

0:38:06

bitcoin

0:38:06

rather than an s p 500 index fund

0:38:10

finally uh will will there be a

0:38:13

political pushback well there's two to

0:38:15

three million people a week

0:38:17

that are buying into bitcoin around the

0:38:19

world coinbase added a million a week

0:38:21

in the first quarter just on their

0:38:23

platform bitcoin's the most popular

0:38:26

investment asset in the history of the

0:38:28

world it's the most popular asset in the

0:38:30

world it's spreading like wildfire

0:38:32

by the end of this year more than half

0:38:34

of the us voters are going to own it

0:38:36

i think it'll be politically popular

0:38:38

thank you michael and you'll get a

0:38:39

chance to speak

0:38:40

uh more about this because i'm sticking

0:38:43

to this topic here

0:38:45

under our risks in your question

0:38:48

paypal co-founder peter thiel has said

0:38:51

that bitcoin could be used as a

0:38:52

financial weapon against the us and that

0:38:55

threatens uh you know fiat money but it

0:38:58

especially threatens

0:38:59

the us dollar so you know if it is a

0:39:02

threat why isn't it conceivable why

0:39:05

couldn't we see the fed

0:39:06

and other central banks stop bitcoin you

0:39:08

have five minutes to continue

0:39:09

uh your point i think peel theo's

0:39:12

comments were misinterpreted what he was

0:39:14

saying is it's going to be the base

0:39:15

layer for the 21st century fentech

0:39:17

economy

0:39:18

the lieutenant governor of the china

0:39:20

central bank just embraced it as an

0:39:22

asset

0:39:23

not as a currency and said in under

0:39:26

proper regulatory regimes would be

0:39:28

appropriate for an investor to own

0:39:29

bitcoin

0:39:30

so i think the sentiment is evolving

0:39:32

amongst uh

0:39:33

leading politicians risk factors

0:39:37

here's my thought about risk factors

0:39:40

invites violence alexander

0:39:43

con you know gallivant around the world

0:39:45

to seize gold liby tells the story of

0:39:48

one thousand roman sieges

0:39:50

in order to steal the gold caesar

0:39:53

sacked gaul to take their gold

0:39:56

kublai khan sees the gold pizarra sees

0:39:59

gold from the incas cortez

0:40:01

sees gold from the aztecs charles the

0:40:03

first seized the gold

0:40:05

from all the british nobles depression

0:40:08

seized gold from the french in 1871

0:40:11

and world war one everybody sees the

0:40:13

gold linen seized gold from the church

0:40:16

in 1922

0:40:17

roosevelt seized everybody's gold in

0:40:20

stalin seized the goal of the spaniards

0:40:23

in 36

0:40:23

churchill took everybody's gold in 1940

0:40:26

at the onset of the war

0:40:27

at bretton woods the united states

0:40:29

seized the world's gold

0:40:31

and then you know took it hostage and

0:40:33

then nixon killed all the hostages in

0:40:35

1971.

0:40:37

gold's always getting ceased the problem

0:40:39

is you can't secure

0:40:41

gold the cost to secure it goes up with

0:40:44

the number of nodes or caches of gold

0:40:46

the value of the gold in the cash

0:40:49

it's regulated you have to secure it

0:40:51

with guns

0:40:52

people steal concrete

0:40:56

carbon it doesn't scale if you want to

0:40:59

stress test it you ask yourself the

0:41:01

question

0:41:02

when i give this thing to 5 billion

0:41:04

people

0:41:05

how much is going to cost me so gold

0:41:08

transportation costs don't scale because

0:41:10

the more transactions the more the value

0:41:12

the transactions the more jurisdictions

0:41:15

you know brings more cost and more

0:41:17

regulation

0:41:18

and you need guns people vehicles and

0:41:20

carbon is too expensive for most

0:41:22

transactions

0:41:24

gold audit won't scale because the more

0:41:27

nodes the more transactions the more

0:41:29

value the more

0:41:30

cost and the regulators get involved is

0:41:32

very people intensive it's infrequent

0:41:34

slow it's unreliable it's a risk factor

0:41:37

gold security transport and audit are

0:41:40

regulated by every nodal jurisdiction

0:41:43

they're corruptible they're

0:41:44

uncompetitive they're antiquated they're

0:41:46

elitist

0:41:46

they're ineffective and they're out of

0:41:48

reach for 99.9

0:41:51

of the population the gold applications

0:41:54

what we call paper gold they have they

0:41:56

don't have any technical

0:41:58

protocol with integrity so they're all

0:42:00

corrupted by hypothecation regulation

0:42:02

and inflation

0:42:04

bitcoin security transport and audit are

0:42:07

pretty effectively free

0:42:08

they're effective they're unregulated

0:42:11

they're egalitarian

0:42:12

everybody has the same rights a person

0:42:16

with 100 of bitcoin has the same

0:42:18

security as someone with a billion

0:42:19

dollars a bitcoin

0:42:21

there's competition to continually

0:42:22

improve the services

0:42:24

they're decentralized the security nodes

0:42:27

are decentralized

0:42:29

and they're protecting the interest of

0:42:30

the holders from local violence

0:42:33

local regulation and local corruption is

0:42:35

the bitcoin miner in iceland or the

0:42:37

north pole or siberia or

0:42:39

china protecting the interest of

0:42:40

somebody in manhattan or ontario and

0:42:43

it's a beautiful thing

0:42:45

gold's physicality and indestructible

0:42:47

nature they invite malefactors to kill

0:42:50

you and take your property

0:42:51

bitcoin safely stores your property in

0:42:54

cyberspace

0:42:56

where it can't be seized by force and

0:42:58

that encourages

0:42:59

peaceful negotiations rather than

0:43:01

coercion

0:43:06

thank you ver thank you michael uh frank

0:43:07

you will now have a

0:43:07

one minute rebuttal for that yeah you're

0:43:10

right you know

0:43:11

there have been a lot of wars a lot of

0:43:12

blood and treasury spent on protecting

0:43:14

gold over the century and that's why

0:43:16

you know it's you're making my case that

0:43:18

gold has real value

0:43:19

uh people have fought very hard for it

0:43:21

and they're not about to give it up

0:43:22

easily

0:43:23

and so i'm not sure that that that makes

0:43:25

sense

0:43:26

um and again i prefer physical gold you

0:43:29

keep coming back to the paper gold i

0:43:30

agree

0:43:31

in some ways about paper gold so i but i

0:43:33

don't think

0:43:34

those issues apply to physical gold um

0:43:37

the cost to secure it but listen

0:43:40

again you're you're not accepting the

0:43:43

fact that as

0:43:44

bitcoin if it achieves the value of gold

0:43:48

as you're suggesting

0:43:50

it's a sitting duck it's sitting out in

0:43:52

the open and can be easily attacked i

0:43:53

would

0:43:54

rather have my money in the safety of my

0:43:56

gold in a safety deposit box

0:43:58

than out in the open where once it's a

0:44:00

threat to the currency and you can't

0:44:02

deny that

0:44:03

it's not going to be a threat when you

0:44:05

you know you said the u.s dollar is

0:44:06

going to benefit from this

0:44:08

i don't know how you can possibly say

0:44:09

that when you're talking about 20

0:44:12

money growth every year now and forever

0:44:15

that's how you destroy a currency the

0:44:17

u.s dollar is not going to benefit from

0:44:20

and bitcoin is not if bitcoin pretends

0:44:23

that it's going to provide the solution

0:44:25

they will kill it it's that simple

0:44:29

thank you frank thank you for your

0:44:30

rebuttal we will move on

0:44:32

to our next topic now which is

0:44:33

historical performance

0:44:36

michael i'll begin with you bitcoin is

0:44:39

appreciating at 200 a year and you have

0:44:43

said we cannot expect it to expand any

0:44:45

faster so one of bitcoin's biggest

0:44:48

strength is clearly its price

0:44:49

performance

0:44:50

but could it also not present its

0:44:52

biggest risk the higher

0:44:53

bitcoin gets the more fear of missing

0:44:55

out trade catches fire

0:44:57

if this risk-taking behavior continues

0:45:00

isn't it causing a risk in

0:45:02

and of itself since the price may be

0:45:03

based purely

0:45:05

on speculation you have five minutes on

0:45:07

this topic

0:45:08

well i think bitcoin's uh getting much

0:45:11

less risky

0:45:12

and i'm going to start with a review of

0:45:14

the history here

0:45:15

in the last one year bitcoin's up 693

0:45:18

percent

0:45:19

versus 4.66 for gold

0:45:22

its sharp ratios 4.7 versus 0.43

0:45:27

for for gold over five years

0:45:30

a dollar invested in gold would yield a

0:45:32

dollar 33 a dollar invested in bitcoin

0:45:35

gives you 132 dollars for a bitcoin

0:45:38

if you actually chose gold instead of

0:45:40

bitcoin you lost

0:45:41

99 of your wealth it's devastating

0:45:46

over a decade bitcoin's running about

0:45:48

190 percent

0:45:49

on average every year versus 1.65

0:45:52

percent for gold

0:45:53

and again the sharp ratios 4x as much

0:45:57

let's take a century well people know

0:45:59

that uh gold was twenty dollars a

0:46:01

ounce and now it's seventeen hundred

0:46:04

dollars an

0:46:04

ounce and so you could say well it's

0:46:06

like up almost like factor of eighty or

0:46:08

ninety

0:46:09

but when you actually risk adjust it you

0:46:11

realize there's nobody that actually got

0:46:14

that return over the course of the

0:46:16

century

0:46:17

95 of the gold was confiscated

0:46:20

in the last hundred years so maybe

0:46:24

theoretically the united states

0:46:25

government might have got that gain

0:46:28

but everybody in russia china every

0:46:30

country in europe everybody in south

0:46:32

america

0:46:33

and asia they all lost their gold so if

0:46:36

you do a risk-adjusted calculation

0:46:38

you find that you invest a dollar it

0:46:40

should be worth a hundred dollars but

0:46:42

you lost it not all of it ninety-five

0:46:44

percent of the time you got five bucks

0:46:45

and so the real risk adjusted return

0:46:47

over a century is

0:46:49

1.5 percent per year it's

0:46:52

not any better than the last decade is

0:46:54

devastating over a millennium

0:46:57

gold you know 2 000 years ago gold was

0:46:59

like 80 percent of money

0:47:01

goal was money and then it slid from 80

0:47:05

percent to 40 percent

0:47:06

you know and in the middle ages by the

0:47:08

time we got 1940 it's 40

0:47:10

and then 30 and then 20 and today the

0:47:13

monetary value of gold is maybe 5

0:47:15

trillion half of the gold supply and

0:47:17

and the total store of value in the

0:47:19

economy is 250 trillion

0:47:21

so you divide 5 trillion and 250

0:47:23

trillion and gold is 2

0:47:24

of all money over that time period

0:47:28

you know it came with thousands if not

0:47:30

millions of massacres and seizures

0:47:33

people talk about bitcoin being volatile

0:47:36

in the year where bitcoin went up 693

0:47:39

percent

0:47:40

in 12 months here are the maximum

0:47:43

drawdowns if you look at the

0:47:44

at the end of day closing price on

0:47:47

binance

0:47:49

13 10 14

0:47:52

11 17 11

0:47:55

25 that was the worst on 2 2

0:47:59

126 21 16

0:48:02

and 12 so in fact in order to get a max

0:48:06

drawdown at 25

0:48:07

to get a 693 advance is pretty historic

0:48:11

performance bitcoin liquidity has

0:48:13

increased by a factor of

0:48:15

three well by a factor of 10 versus

0:48:18

normal days over the past six months

0:48:20

you know we had 6.9 billion trade on

0:48:22

binance two days ago or a day ago so

0:48:25

you're talking about 10 billion dollars

0:48:26

a day in the spot market

0:48:28

gold peaked august 10th around the time

0:48:31

that microstrategy announced that we

0:48:33

bought 250 million worth of bitcoin

0:48:35

and i came to this with a completely

0:48:37

objective clean slate i said i got to

0:48:39

buy gold or i got to buy bitcoin

0:48:41

but my my my conclusion was if bitcoin

0:48:44

works gold probably won't

0:48:46

and if gold works bitcoin won't so

0:48:49

what's the difference well

0:48:51

if i chosen gold i would be minus

0:48:54

four billion dollars today over eight

0:48:57

months versus bitcoin it's a four

0:48:59

billion dollar choice one is right

0:49:02

one is wrong as as everybody says

0:49:06

gold has a long history of manipulation

0:49:08

by governments banks and miners

0:49:10

jim rickards the new case of gold he

0:49:12

says the paper market could easily be

0:49:14

100 times the size of the physical

0:49:16

market

0:49:17

quote there's no doubt we're seeing

0:49:18

price suppression through the paper

0:49:21

rigging futures is child's play i

0:49:23

respect his comment

0:49:25

bitcoin's first decade was marked by

0:49:29

legendary volatility there's no doubt

0:49:31

but the assets matured the network has

0:49:33

spread

0:49:35

it's entering its second decade it's

0:49:37

like lebron james at age 19.

0:49:40

the best player is always the most

0:49:42

volatile player

0:49:44

if you look forward what you see is an

0:49:47

extraordinary asset

0:49:48

on an extraordinary network that solves

0:49:50

the problem

0:49:52

better than gold can solve the problem

0:49:55

that's why i think it's the right choice

0:49:57

and there's consequence to making the

0:49:59

wrong one

0:50:03

michael uh thank you for that some

0:50:03

incredible statements being made here uh

0:50:05

frank you'll have a one-minute rebuttal

0:50:08

all right well i i've real trouble with

0:50:10

the way you calculate um

0:50:12

what is happening at any given time

0:50:14

between bitcoin and gold

0:50:16

and i've heard you say this before you

0:50:18

know last year uh

0:50:20

gold showed that it didn't perform uh

0:50:22

versus bitcoin listen if i chose one

0:50:24

year periods

0:50:26

in bitcoin over the last four years it

0:50:28

would look a lot worse

0:50:29

so you cannot define

0:50:33

what the value of gold is based on six

0:50:36

months or a year of trading you have to

0:50:38

look at

0:50:38

over much longer time period that's

0:50:40

number one

0:50:41

number two i have real trouble with how

0:50:43

you calculate your 190 percent

0:50:46

compounded annual growth on on bitcoin

0:50:49

i'll get into that later but

0:50:50

again i i think it's a it's a always a

0:50:53

function of garbage

0:50:54

in and garbage out and how you calculate

0:50:55

your returns

0:51:02

maybe gold isn't used as money today but

0:51:02

it certainly uses a store of value

0:51:04

and it's never failed on that and again

0:51:06

i will get into that in a moment

0:51:08

um in in your

0:51:11

claim that listen you made all these

0:51:13

billions on on bitcoin versus

0:51:15

gold over a one year period you have to

0:51:18

understand

0:51:19

that what dynamics drove the bitcoin

0:51:22

price up and why gold did not go up and

0:51:24

i think that that's

0:51:25

again i will get into that in a moment

0:51:27

but uh

0:51:28

that in itself does not tell you

0:51:31

or demonstrate that bitcoin is a store

0:51:34

of value

0:51:35

thank you frank and you will have time

0:51:37

to expand here uh

0:51:38

because it's your turn now for your

0:51:41

question

0:51:42

in august of 2020 we've said it gold

0:51:44

made new highs of 2075

0:51:47

dollars per ounce gold was up 36 for the

0:51:50

the m2 money supply continued its

0:51:52

unstoppable right up and the dollar kept

0:51:54

falling with the stimulus measures the

0:51:57

trillions dollars of debt

0:51:58

and the fed doing more easing gold

0:52:01

didn't continue on the path of higher

0:52:03

highs instead here we are

0:52:04

and having corrected chiroka 12 percent

0:52:06

year-to-date so

0:52:07

the most common reason i hear is that

0:52:10

bitcoin has now replaced it as the asset

0:52:12

of choice

0:52:13

economists have even said that gold

0:52:15

without bitcoin without competition from

0:52:17

bitcoin pardon

0:52:18

would increase in value by 13 each year

0:52:20

for the next

0:52:21

decade so the question is this did

0:52:23

gold's 3 000 year reign as the ultimate

0:52:26

currency

0:52:26

officially end in august of 2020 frank

0:52:30

well the short answer is no absolutely

0:52:32

not um

0:52:33

and listen you have to understand what

0:52:35

gold is and this is and again there are

0:52:37

a lot of misconceptions about

0:52:39

what the utility of gold is for

0:52:41

investors and first we need to clarify

0:52:43

one big misconception

0:52:45

it's not the gold price that you need to

0:52:47

be looking at you need to be looking at

0:52:50

how it's measured against certain

0:52:52

currencies at certain

0:52:54

points in history and let me give you an

0:52:57

example because it makes a huge

0:52:59

difference in into the reason why you

0:53:02

need to own gold

0:53:04

so let's take the argentine peso which

0:53:07

michael loves to use

0:53:08

as a means of demonstrating which what

0:53:12

what happens to currencies when they get

0:53:13

into trouble when they're mismanaged

0:53:14

much like what the us dollar is

0:53:16

experiencing today

0:53:18

the argentine peso gold in argentine

0:53:21

peso terms has gone up 28 fold

0:53:23

in the last 10 years take a more recent

0:53:27

example the turkish

0:53:28

lira which is experiencing its own

0:53:30

currency crisis at the moment

0:53:31

it's gone up four-fold in the period

0:53:35

gold measured in lyric terms has gone up

0:53:37

four-fold

0:53:38

in a period of four years that's how you

0:53:40

measure the true value of gold

0:53:43

also you need to understand what

0:53:47

happens during periods of high inflation

0:53:49

that's when gold performs really well

0:53:51

the last time we experienced that here

0:53:53

in north america was in the 1970s

0:53:55

and when gold went from 35 dollars to

0:53:57

850 that's 25 fold

0:54:00

because we had high inflation now we

0:54:03

haven't seen in this current cycle

0:54:05

high cpi inflation yet all of the

0:54:07

inflation has gone into assets

0:54:09

and that's why we have all of these acid

0:54:11

bubbles happening which

0:54:13

one could claim bitcoin as an acid

0:54:14

bubble um

0:54:16

and uh and so you really have to

0:54:20

understand that part of it because

0:54:22

it that's when it's going to become

0:54:23

evident uh

0:54:25

now just a little fun fact traditionally

0:54:28

and when we talk about what happened

0:54:29

with gold last year when gold that has a

0:54:31

big down dip

0:54:32

central banks and jewelers come in and

0:54:35

and buy on the downtip and they buy big

0:54:37

and we saw this

0:54:37

recently uh with both the jewelry buyers

0:54:40

out of india buying record amounts this

0:54:41

last month

0:54:42

and with the central banks declaring

0:54:44

that on the down dip they continue to

0:54:46

buy at a furious pays

0:54:47

now contrast that with bitcoin

0:54:51

and so when you talk about performance

0:54:55

with respect to bitcoin it's not an

0:54:57

appropriate term

0:54:58

bitcoin has not been around long enough

0:55:02

to be able to determine its utility as a

0:55:04

store of value

0:55:06

and i don't buy the argument that a mean

0:55:08

a mere 10 years of

0:55:10

history is going to be enough to

0:55:12

indicate what the future performs is

0:55:13

going to be it's just silly

0:55:14

it's never been properly tested um

0:55:18

so is bitcoin impacting the price of

0:55:19

gold i think partially yes i think

0:55:22

and i think i have a good friend of mine

0:55:24

who's an economist who

0:55:25

recently did a regression analysis on

0:55:29

attributing what factors affected

0:55:33

gold and why gold turned down it was

0:55:34

about 40 was attributed

0:55:36

to higher bond yields uh 36 percent was

0:55:40

uh to a higher us dollar which was

0:55:42

temporary

0:55:43

and 24 was uh attributed to bitcoin so

0:55:47

bitcoin is having an impact and i and i

0:55:50

can't deny but i

0:55:50

actually think this is more of a north

0:55:52

american perspective than it is a global

0:55:54

perspective in turn

0:55:55

in terms of this rush into bitcoin um

0:55:58

it's worth noting that the us dollar is

0:56:00

still benefiting from its reserve

0:56:02

premier reserve currency status um but

0:56:05

the world starts to fragment the glo

0:56:09

the global monetary system starts to

0:56:10

fragment and you have countries like

0:56:12

china

0:56:12

russia and iran all looking to decouple

0:56:15

from the u.s dollar

0:56:17

for a whole number of reasons um as that

0:56:21

fragmentation takes place

0:56:23

and less unless trading is done with u.s

0:56:25

dollars

0:56:27

the dollar will come under pressure and

0:56:29

especially with this money growth that

0:56:30

we're talking about

0:56:31

now most americans will only

0:56:35

know see that when it happens to the us

0:56:37

dollar they will only see the value of

0:56:40

when it's measured against u.s dollars

0:56:42

americans have a very funny way of

0:56:43

seeing everything in us dollar terms

0:56:47

on the volatility side i mean you know

0:56:49

people have very short memories

0:56:51

sure bitcoin has done very well the last

0:56:53

couple of years but

0:56:55

if you take points throughout the last

0:56:57

10 years it's had stomach churning

0:56:59

roller coaster ride and that's

0:57:03

and there's no reason why that won't

0:57:04

continue and so i can't see why anybody

0:57:07

would invest

0:57:09

in bitcoin if the objective was to

0:57:12

preserve

0:57:12

value now on a personal note michael i

0:57:15

think you're fighting the wrong fight

0:57:17

gold is the least of your worries you

0:57:19

need to keep your eye on central banks

0:57:21

and governments

0:57:22

because they're going to be the ones

0:57:25

that you need to look out for

0:57:27

and um i know that jerome powell has

0:57:29

been dismissing bitcoin as he dismisses

0:57:31

gold as both

0:57:32

speculation vehicles and he's doing the

0:57:35

same thing that every other

0:57:36

one of his predecessors did disparages

0:57:39

gold now it's bitcoin

0:57:41

um while they're in office you know alan

0:57:43

greenspan was a gold bug before that a

0:57:45

go back after but

0:57:46

during his time as chairman of the fed

0:57:49

he was disparaging gold and they do that

0:57:50

because

0:57:51

it is a threat and especially if he

0:57:55

becomes too popular

0:57:56

um so i think investors really

0:57:59

really need to ask themselves if they're

0:58:03

looking to store value which one's

0:58:05

better gold

0:58:07

or bitcoin thank you i'm choosing gold

0:58:09

unless you have some way to change my

0:58:10

mind i still choose gold

0:58:12

thank you frank for that michael uh one

0:58:14

minute response please

0:58:17

you know you can't achieve the gold

0:58:18

performance as an individual

0:58:21

due to the seizure risk gold bugs

0:58:24

for a decade have been viewing cpi and

0:58:28

waiting for cpi

0:58:29

inflation and they haven't got it the

0:58:32

inflation

0:58:33

came over the last 10 years and it came

0:58:35

to the assets not to the consumer goods

0:58:38

because of technology and other

0:58:40

dynamics all the monies flowing

0:58:44

into stocks bonds and other assets it's

0:58:46

not flowing into gold so

0:58:48

gold doesn't turn out to be a monetary

0:58:50

inflation hedge

0:58:52

uh gold is better in a collapsing

0:58:54

currency

0:58:55

but locals can't easily get it and they

0:58:57

can't easily use it like bitcoin

0:59:00

bitcoins the egalitarian solution with

0:59:02

more utility

0:59:04

you can put it on a fifty dollar android

0:59:06

phone and you can buy it with plus or

0:59:07

minus one percent markup

0:59:09

finally among central bankers is a

0:59:11

growing consensus the bitcoins a digital

0:59:13

asset not a digital currency that's been

0:59:17

articulated by the chinese central bank

0:59:19

by the u.s by jerome powell at the

0:59:22

federal reserve

0:59:23

by christina lagarde at the eu central

0:59:27

and it's it has the merit of being true

0:59:30

it is a digital asset you don't buy it

0:59:33

to use as a medium in exchange

0:59:35

you buy it to hold for long periods of

0:59:38

thank you michael we're going to move on

0:59:40

to our next topic now which is supply

0:59:42

dynamics frank michael has said that as

0:59:45

the price of gold goes higher

0:59:47

so does the incentive to mine and

0:59:49

prospect it which leads to increased

0:59:51

supply he has also said quote

0:59:53

ultimately you have to find something

0:59:55

which you can't print more of that

0:59:56

doesn't have

0:59:57

its fundamental underpinnings tied to a

0:59:59

fiat currency

1:00:00

and the only thing i can find right now

1:00:02

is bitcoin

1:00:03

so while gold can be labeled scarce how

1:00:06

do you defend the fact that in theory it

1:00:08

does not have a ceiling to supply

1:00:10

you have five minutes frank all right

1:00:12

well um from listening to michael in the

1:00:15

uh when he talks about gold supply it's

1:00:17

it's it's clear to me that he

1:00:19

doesn't have a real understanding of the

1:00:21

gold mining industry

1:00:22

um just before i talk about supply let

1:00:23

me just clarify on demand so about 50

1:00:26

of gold demand comes from jewelry mostly

1:00:29

from india

1:00:29

where it has deep cultural ties about 20

1:00:32

comes from central banks and they've

1:00:34

been buying furiously over the last 10

1:00:36

years

1:00:36

and the other 20 25 percent comes from

1:00:38

from investment

1:00:40

these numbers fluctuate a bit but

1:00:41

they've been pretty steady over the

1:00:42

years so

1:00:43

that's the demand side on the supply

1:00:45

side i think

1:00:46

michael has made some very erroneous

1:00:48

assumptions about

1:00:49

gold and gold production i've spent my

1:00:52

entire

1:00:53

adult life financing gold uh development

1:00:56

and exploration around the world

1:00:58

and i can tell you even when you find it

1:01:00

it's not easy to mine

1:01:02

the average period between discovery and

1:01:04

production

1:01:05

is 10 to 20 years and sometimes longer

1:01:08

and the grades are getting lower and

1:01:09

lower

1:01:10

and it's becoming very expensive and

1:01:12

time consuming to find find these

1:01:14

deposits

1:01:16

no world-class discovery has been made

1:01:19

in the last 30 years all the gold

1:01:23

discovered in the last 10 years

1:01:25

is less than half of the amount of gold

1:01:28

that was discovered in just one year

1:01:30

in 1990 when gold was under 400 an ounce

1:01:34

the gold mining industry is facing an

1:01:35

existential crisis when it comes to its

1:01:37

reserves they're depleting

1:01:39

and they can't replace them over the

1:01:41

last eight years

1:01:43

the reserves held by major mining

1:01:46

companies have dropped

1:01:47

40 percent over the last eight years and

1:01:51

uh as i said the grades are getting

1:01:52

lower which means you have to move a lot

1:01:54

more debt

1:01:55

which raises the cost exponentially so i

1:01:59

there is one big problem and the truth

1:02:02

about

1:02:03

mind supply that's going to really help

1:02:05

michael here because i i i don't think

1:02:07

he really understands

1:02:09

how price does and doesn't affect gold

1:02:13

in 1971 when gold was 35 dollars an

1:02:16

ounce

1:02:22

the global production of gold by mining

1:02:22

companies was 1500 tons

1:02:25

scroll forward 50 years gold's gone up

1:02:28

50 fold six thousand percent

1:02:31

that number has only doubled to 3 000

1:02:34

a year which averages out to one and a

1:02:36

half percent

1:02:37

uh growth per year which is about the

1:02:40

same you see

1:02:41

in terms of population growth now

1:02:44

comparing it to bitcoin yes but michaels

1:02:47

our bitcoin supply is

1:02:48

capped but there's still a supply

1:02:52

of three to four percent inflation a

1:02:54

year which is obviously declining

1:02:56

uh over a period of time but i see a lot

1:02:59

of risks in bitcoin

1:03:00

before you reach that zero inflation

1:03:02

rate so i see both

1:03:05

gold and bitcoin have inflation

1:03:08

rates and supply and you can argue that

1:03:11

supplies are declining so i asked

1:03:13

michael

1:03:15

as the gold price continues to go up

1:03:18

where is all this extra gold going to

1:03:20

come from i've heard you talk about

1:03:22

asteroids i've heard you talk about some

1:03:24

new alchemy

1:03:25

process and uh if you seriously believe

1:03:29

bring it on but i suggest you don't go

1:03:31

there because i

1:03:32

i just that that just doesn't make any

1:03:35

sense

1:03:36

the fact of the matter is that for both

1:03:37

bitcoin and gold it's not the newly

1:03:39

mined supply that you need to be

1:03:41

concerned with

1:03:42

it's the existing stock and the question

1:03:45

you need to ask is whether

1:03:46

it sticks as the price goes up and i've

1:03:49

got a lot to say about that

1:03:50

um so you got to stop saying that

1:03:53

there's an infinite supply of gold if

1:03:54

the gold price goes up it's just simply

1:03:56

not true

1:03:57

frank giustra thank you for that michael

1:04:00

uh you'll have one minute to uh rebuttal

1:04:04

i would say that this conflict of

1:04:06

interest between people that make their

1:04:08

living in the gold mining business

1:04:10

versus people to make their make their

1:04:12

living or or pen their hopes on gold

1:04:14

holding

1:04:15

they're they're actually naturally

1:04:19

enemies and so frank's uh life as a gold

1:04:23

miner

1:04:23

i think colors his view of gold

1:04:26

um newmont mining and barrick gold are

1:04:30

the two largest gold miners in the world

1:04:32

i could find i read both their annual

1:04:34

reports to get ready for this

1:04:36

newmont mined or sold 5.8 million ounces

1:04:41

last year and they reported 94.2

1:04:44

million ounces in reserves almost you

1:04:48

18 to 1 18 years worth of reserves

1:04:51

and barrick mined 4.76 million ounces

1:04:55

and reported 68 million ounces in

1:04:57

reserves

1:04:58

you know that they found 10 15 20 years

1:05:00

worth of reserves they don't have an

1:05:02

interest in reporting more but they

1:05:04

don't seem like they're anywhere close

1:05:05

to running out

1:05:08

thank you michael and now we'll go to

1:05:10

your supply question

1:05:11

with a total limit of 21 million

1:05:13

issuable coins

1:05:15

the rate of increase in available

1:05:16

bitcoins is not keeping pace with the

1:05:18

number of people keen to buy them

1:05:20

so the price of a bitcoin keeps

1:05:22

increasing because its price increases

1:05:24

people feel reluctant to use them as

1:05:26

currency

1:05:27

by spending them so with bitcoin supply

1:05:29

constrained and falling short of demand

1:05:31

do the supply-side dynamics prevent

1:05:34

bitcoin from

1:05:34

functioning as a currency

1:05:38

yeah so my view here is is

1:05:41

bitcoin's the ideal architecture to be a

1:05:44

currency and gold

1:05:45

isn't i started my career modeling

1:05:48

commodities

1:05:49

and the history of commodities is as the

1:05:53

price goes up

1:05:54

the demand decreases the supply

1:05:57

increases

1:05:59

gold is a commodity bitcoin is a

1:06:01

scarcity

1:06:02

as the price goes up the supply is

1:06:05

constant

1:06:07

historically all commodity businesses

1:06:09

they need a cartel

1:06:10

to be stable john d rockefeller farm to

1:06:13

cartel opecus cartel the debeer

1:06:16

diamonds cartel is the same if you look

1:06:20

you know just about everything in the

1:06:21

world you have to have some kind of

1:06:24

restraint of trade if you can't get it

1:06:26

legally through patents or technically

1:06:29

through some special sauce then you have

1:06:32

to get it another way

1:06:34

to make the price go up otherwise price

1:06:36

doesn't go up

1:06:38

if we build a dynamic model of gold it

1:06:40

works like this

1:06:41

the price goes up the miners increase

1:06:43

output

1:06:44

jewelry demand decreases scrap and

1:06:47

jewelry get recycled at increased rates

1:06:50

bankers and finance here sell more gold

1:06:52

derivatives short and they're more

1:06:54

aggressive about it

1:06:56

investors fund more mining development

1:06:58

and mining expansion

1:07:01

miners come online capacity comes online

1:07:04

miners sell more gold eventually the

1:07:07

price goes high enough the government

1:07:08

stops buying gold

1:07:10

they start selling gold or they short

1:07:12

the gold the price comes down

1:07:14

that's the problem with having 90

1:07:17

kilotons worth of gold as jewelry and

1:07:20

and so many tons of gold sitting in

1:07:23

central banks

1:07:24

it's a damping feature when the price

1:07:27

goes up by a factor of 20 everybody on

1:07:29

earth is trying to make the price come

1:07:30

down and they have a lot of tools to do

1:07:33

especially because there's no click link

1:07:35

or tight link between paper gold

1:07:38

and physical gold if you look at the

1:07:41

dynamic model of bitcoin

1:07:42

uh the demand goes up the price goes up

1:07:45

mining stocks go

1:07:46

up miners stop selling bitcoin miners

1:07:49

start buying bitcoin with equity and

1:07:51

debt which keeps going up

1:07:53

investors buy bitcoin companies buy

1:07:55

bitcoin with equity and debt like my

1:07:57

company which borrowed 1.7 billion

1:07:59

dollars at nearly zero interest to buy

1:08:01

bitcoin

1:08:02

banks can't short the bitcoin

1:08:04

governments don't have the reserves to

1:08:05

sell to short the bitcoin

1:08:07

the government has less motive and less

1:08:09

capability to manipulate the price down

1:08:11

because they don't have it

1:08:12

they can't sell it short the banks the

1:08:14

mutual funds the insurance companies

1:08:16

integrate and they market the bitcoin

1:08:18

big tech eventually apple google and

1:08:21

facebook integrate and they market the

1:08:22

bitcoin

1:08:23

and investors buy the bitcoin then they

1:08:25

get more investors to buy the bitcoin

1:08:27

the bitcoin price goes up the investors

1:08:29

the companies

1:08:30

and the countries buy the bitcoin gold

1:08:33

mining requires

1:08:34

a hundred billion dollars a year in

1:08:37

fossil fuels labor chemicals and

1:08:39

environmental

1:08:40

damage and the never-ending struggle to

1:08:42

inflate

1:08:43

the gold supply and undermine the price

1:08:46

it's providing zero security transport

1:08:49

or audit

1:08:50

service and that would cost tens of

1:08:52

billions more

1:08:53

i've watched a hundred interviews by

1:08:55

david lynn and i feel bad for him he

1:08:58

keeps waiting for gold price to go up

1:09:00

and he says on 3

1:09:01

15 of this year he says uh in a

1:09:04

rhetorical question musing

1:09:06

what if miners stopped mining gold and

1:09:09

he knows the answer which is if the

1:09:11

miners stopped mining gold gold would be

1:09:13

a good investment

1:09:14

and every gold investor knows this

1:09:17

bitcoin mining

1:09:18

requires 2 billion a year in electricity

1:09:20

2 billion a year in hardware to provide

1:09:22

full security transport and audit

1:09:24

service

1:09:25

for the entire network worldwide it

1:09:27

scales to hundreds of trillions of

1:09:29

dollars of assets and annual transfers

1:09:32

it'll support billions of users billions

1:09:34

of nodes 100 million transactions a year

1:09:37

and it provides the base layer for tens

1:09:39

of billions of instant transactions per

1:09:41

day on the application layer

1:09:43

i.e bitcoin mining is a good use of

1:09:45

energy

1:09:46

gold mining is a destructive use of

1:09:48

energy if

1:09:50

you're a gold holder versus a bitcoin

1:09:53

holder

1:09:54

thank you michael uh frank you'll have

1:09:57

uh one minute

1:09:59

okay so again michael you're ignoring

1:10:01

what i just told you in my last segment

1:10:03

that the fact is that history has shown

1:10:07

even when the gold price goes up 50-fold

1:10:10

over 50 years we've only seen a double

1:10:12

in the amount of gold mines so you keep

1:10:14

ignoring that but that's just

1:10:15

a fact certainly there are uh

1:10:19

as with any commodity including bitcoin

1:10:23

there's always going to be supply

1:10:25

when the price moves up and you know

1:10:28

this concept that a higher price just

1:10:31

drives in more buying

1:10:33

works to a point it sounds to me more

1:10:36

like a bubble environment

1:10:38

than what it's been uh suggested it

1:10:42

should be as a store of value so i just

1:10:44

still not buying that you're going to

1:10:45

have obviously jewelry scrap

1:10:48

sold into rising prices but the as i

1:10:51

said earlier the jewelry

1:10:52

jewelry demand has been steady year

1:10:55

after year after year

1:10:57

it represents 50 percent of the demand

1:10:59

for for

1:11:00

for for gold um and now

1:11:03

listen you can't you know if you're

1:11:05

going to attack gold on

1:11:06

environment and energy i mean you can't

1:11:08

even go there i mean the amount of

1:11:10

energy consumption

1:11:12

that bitcoin uses today is the entire

1:11:15

population of nigeria 90 million people

1:11:17

it's estimated soon it's going to be the

1:11:18

entire energy consumption of japan

1:11:21

and as far as the environment i mean

1:11:23

most of that hash rate is coming out of

1:11:24

china where there's a lot of coal

1:11:26

including it's got hydro but a lot of

1:11:28

and and there are co2 emissions

1:11:32

that are getting dangerously high

1:11:35

and are going to be looked at by the

1:11:36

environmentalists so i you know i don't

1:11:38

think you want to go

1:11:40

compare environmental damage between

1:11:43

gold and bitcoins i think you're going

1:11:44

to lose that battle

1:11:45

thank you frank we are going to move on

1:11:47

to our next topic of discussion which is

1:11:49

ownership

1:11:50

structure michael there's a common

1:11:53

perception that when it

1:11:54

comes to bitcoin ownership there are

1:11:57

some primary risks

1:11:58

you've already you we've already brought

1:12:00

up some before but someone could get

1:12:01

access to your private key

1:12:03

and take your bitcoins you could lose

1:12:04

your private key um

1:12:06

you know and that basically

1:12:08

cryptocurrency is a technology based

1:12:09

which leaves this investment open to

1:12:11

cyber attacks so if you are speaking to

1:12:13

your friend your best friend how would

1:12:16

present the risk of bitcoin ownership

1:12:22

yeah i think when we look at the

1:12:22

ownership structure bitcoin versus gold

1:12:24

what you have is a dichotomy

1:12:26

uh gold owners tend to be a bit cynical

1:12:30

more conventional less technical more

1:12:33

traditional

1:12:33

they rely upon metrics like cpi and

1:12:37

conventional

1:12:37

sovereign interest rates they tend to be

1:12:40

diversified

1:12:41

they're traders sometimes they're

1:12:43

speculators bitcoin

1:12:45

holders generally are maximalist and

1:12:48

they're and they're believers in the

1:12:49

technology

1:12:50

as a force of progress to elevate the

1:12:52

entire civilization

1:12:53

and it's not a speculation it's not a

1:12:55

trade they're not hedging

1:12:57

um i'm going to give some quotes jim

1:12:59

rickards in the new case of gold

1:13:01

quote gold's an attractive part of

1:13:03

portfolio still it's always prudent to

1:13:06

diversify i've consistently recommended

1:13:09

a modest allocation 10 percent of your

1:13:12

investable assets

1:13:14

my advice to investors is simply to get

1:13:16

gold but not too much

1:13:18

uh frank you said what i do best is

1:13:21

create and build mining companies ten

1:13:23

percent of your portfolio should be in

1:13:25

gold won't keep going up forever and

1:13:28

rotate out of gold following the panic

1:13:31

he said that on stansberry december 2020

1:13:34

and then the famous peter schiff said

1:13:37

quote

1:13:37

i don't own much gold i own more gold

1:13:40

stocks

1:13:41

at salt vegas 2019 and a lot of gold

1:13:44

companies don't even have gold they're

1:13:45

exploration companies trying to find it

1:13:47

their speculations newmont mining

1:13:51

11 billion dollars in revenue has 5.5

1:13:55

billion in cash

1:13:57

ebitda of 5.7 billion last year

1:14:01

paid a massive dividend 1.45

1:14:04

they actually mine gold at 750 to 1 000

1:14:08

an ounce they've returned 2.7 billion to

1:14:10

their shareholders

1:14:11

they paid and four million in taxes

1:14:15

they're dividing it out forty to sixty

1:14:17

percent of the free cash flow above

1:14:19

twelve hundred dollars an ounce they

1:14:22

effectively zero net debt and yet they

1:14:24

borrowed a billion 985 million dollars

1:14:27

at 225 basis points last year

1:14:30

they could borrow 5 to 10 billion more

1:14:33

what does this mean

1:14:34

it means they're mining gold as fast as

1:14:36

they can so that they can buy

1:14:37

cash they don't even think it's worth

1:14:41

they they could buy 10 billion dollars

1:14:43

of gold for two and a half percent

1:14:44

interest

1:14:45

they don't think the gold is going up

1:14:47

they think the gold is going back to

1:14:49

1200.

1:14:50

barrick gold the same story they paid uh

1:14:54

1.3 billion dollars in

1:14:57

tax last year at a 27 rate

1:15:00

they're over mining the gold they're

1:15:03

returning capital to their shoulders as

1:15:05

fast as possible

1:15:07

750 million this year massive dividends

1:15:11

these gold miners don't believe in gold

1:15:13

they don't have any gold on their

1:15:14

balance sheet

1:15:15

they could borrow 20 billion dollars at

1:15:18

interest and buy gold if they believed

1:15:20

in it they don't believe in it

1:15:22

by talk about hating gold they could

1:15:25

actually cut their sales of gold back

1:15:28

and eliminate

1:15:28

all their taxes that's two billion

1:15:30

dollars in tax those two companies paid

1:15:33

they could take it to zero not only did

1:15:36

overmind the gold sell the gold drive

1:15:39

the price of the gold down

1:15:41

they also paid off in one case 12

1:15:43

billion dollars of debt

1:15:45

barrick did over the past 10 years

1:15:48

they won't borrow money and they're

1:15:51

actually double taxing

1:15:52

the gold by paying the dividend they

1:15:54

first pay the income tax rate and then

1:15:56

force their shoulders take the dividend

1:15:58

rate and the message is

1:16:00

we don't actually believe gold is money

1:16:02

we don't know what is money

1:16:04

we'll let our shareholders figure it out

1:16:06

after we

1:16:07

basically drive the price of gold down

1:16:09

and pay 50 60

1:16:10

tax to dividend the money back it makes

1:16:13

no sense

1:16:14

gold miners are maximizing the gold

1:16:17

supply to the detriment of everybody in

1:16:19

the gold industry

1:16:20

on the other hand i ran some polls 75

1:16:23

percent of bitcoiners intend to recruit

1:16:25

three more people to bitcoin's cause

1:16:28

this year

1:16:29

43 are going to recruit 11 or more

1:16:32

84 percent would rather mortgage their

1:16:34

home to buy bitcoin

1:16:36

right not gold miners but the bitcoiners

1:16:39

51 of bitcoiners believe that have more

1:16:42

than 51

1:16:43

of their allocation to bitcoin and

1:16:47

the equivalent is 84 percent of people

1:16:49

that answer my gold poll

1:16:50

have 10 or less in gold and they only

1:16:53

half of them answered so

1:16:55

the when you look at ownership structure

1:16:56

you have bitcoin maximalist the view

1:16:58

bitcoin is money

1:16:59

they're optimistic they're all in they

1:17:01

think the numbers going up they think

1:17:03

freedom is going up they believe in the

1:17:05

bitcoin standard

1:17:06

it's viral they have laser eyes it's

1:17:09

technology

1:17:10

there's a master plan make the world a

1:17:12

better place through technology they're

1:17:14

more passionate than any of the gold

1:17:17

any other investor group i've ever seen

1:17:20

gold holders on the other side

1:17:22

of the equation uh they're a bit

1:17:25

skeptical they've been burned they're a

1:17:27

bit cynical and even the advocates

1:17:29

aren't really willing to commit

1:17:31

more than 10 of their portfolio and it

1:17:34

leaves you with the last question which

1:17:35

if you're only going to invest 10 of

1:17:37

your portfolio on gold what are you

1:17:38

going to invest the other 90 percent in

1:17:45

michael saylor thank you for that and uh

1:17:45

unfortunately mark bristow was not here

1:17:46

because i would have loved to hear his

1:17:48

his rebuttal but frank you'll have a

1:17:50

minute here

1:17:51

okay well first of all uh in terms of

1:17:54

the portfolio

1:17:55

allocation and again this is where

1:17:57

michael is confusing

1:17:58

what a store of value safe haven asset

1:18:02

what its purpose is and this is how

1:18:05

we're going to differentiate between

1:18:07

gold is and what bitcoin is and he's

1:18:09

made a very strong case

1:18:11

for for why i think you should own gold

1:18:14

yes only own 10 to 20 percent of your

1:18:17

portfolio in gold it's your hedge it's

1:18:21

your insurance

1:18:22

it has the inverse correlation with

1:18:24

other asset classes

1:18:26

and it's how you store your wealth what

1:18:29

michael is describing is a speculation

1:18:32

you know the buyers coming in

1:18:34

just simply because the price is going

1:18:36

up okay

1:18:37

and the idea that you would put all of

1:18:39

your money

1:18:41

into bitcoin because there are no other

1:18:44

proper asset classes to invest in is

1:18:46

simply ludicrous

1:18:48

that's asking for trouble that's you

1:18:50

know that's how people get wiped out

1:18:53

as far as gold mining companies yes

1:18:56

they're in they're not in the business

1:18:57

of owning gold

1:18:58

and uh several companies did try it in

1:19:00

the past shareholders

1:19:01

because it's a public company want to

1:19:04

earnings and then it's up to the

1:19:06

shareholder to take his profit from the

1:19:09

mining companies or his dividends

1:19:10

and invest it in gold if they so choose

1:19:13

that's an individual decision

1:19:14

um the way you just described how

1:19:18

bitcoiners are recruiting new recruits

1:19:22

three pre i can't remember what you said

1:19:24

three per year three per month

1:19:27

this sounds to me like a pyramid scheme

1:19:28

it's just it

1:19:30

it it gives me all the reasons why i

1:19:32

don't want to own bitcoin okay

1:19:35

and as far as freedom is concerned and

1:19:37

that their freedom is going up

1:19:38

this is just fantasy

1:19:41

it's it's it you we don't live in a

1:19:44

world where anarchy will be allowed

1:19:47

and so they can have all these

1:19:48

idealistic ambitions

1:19:50

it's just not going to work in the real

1:19:52

world thank you frank you'll have more

1:19:54

time to elaborate on this because i am

1:19:55

asking you the question now

1:19:57

you've already alluded to some of it but

1:19:58

what is it truly about the ownership

1:20:00

structure of bitcoin that makes it hard

1:20:03

for you to accept compared to gold

1:20:05

five minutes yeah yeah it's hard for me

1:20:07

to determine whether the bitcoin market

1:20:09

is a real market or not

1:20:11

um it's or whether it's truly

1:20:13

representative of

1:20:14

a real market and we have the so-called

1:20:17

whales

1:20:18

and their level of ownership i think is

1:20:21

a big factor

1:20:22

in the price trajectory of bitcoin um

1:20:26

last i heard and correct me if i'm wrong

1:20:28

these numbers might have changed a bit

1:20:29

but the last i heard

1:20:31

two percent of owners own ninety five

1:20:33

percent

1:20:34

of all the value of bitcoin one thousand

1:20:36

individuals control

1:20:38

forty percent of the market let me

1:20:40

repeat that

1:20:41

two percent of the bitcoin owners

1:20:44

own 95 of the value

1:20:47

that to me is reminiscent of a penny

1:20:51

stock promotion where you have a group

1:20:52

of people coming in early

1:20:54

buying large large positions in a

1:20:56

tightly held

1:20:57

deal and then getting out there and

1:21:00

promoting the daylights out of it

1:21:02

with wild claims about what it can do

1:21:05

and about creating riches and i just

1:21:08

think that that is a very very dangerous

1:21:09

thing

1:21:11

tightly held deals are easy to

1:21:14

manipulate

1:21:15

that's just a fact are we to believe

1:21:17

that bitcoin

1:21:18

is the only asset class that is not

1:21:21

manipulated

1:21:22

every other asset class is and that's

1:21:24

why we have regulators

1:21:26

bitcoin doesn't have regulators that's

1:21:29

why it's

1:21:30

potentially very attractive to

1:21:32

manipulators

1:21:33

and there are many ways to manipulate a

1:21:36

tightly held d

1:21:37

painting the tape and up ticking are

1:21:39

common methods

1:21:41

but we'll never know and it should be a

1:21:43

concern to us

1:21:44

that the price of bitcoin has been

1:21:46

manipulated that's number one okay

1:21:49

um as far as the recent buyers i think

1:21:52

it's important to take a closer look

1:21:54

we need to differentiate between wall

1:21:57

street

1:21:58

hedge funds and the traditional longer

1:22:00

term institutional buyers

1:22:02

okay and let me start with wall street

1:22:05

which

1:22:05

bitcoin folks are touting as an

1:22:08

important step in the validation of

1:22:09

bitcoin

1:22:10

i don't take much comfort the wall

1:22:12

street jumps into anything

1:22:14

they will jump on anything that is going

1:22:16

to make them money

1:22:17

and whatever the flavor of the month is

1:22:19

whether it's mortgage-backed securities

1:22:21

tech stocks backs emerging markets

1:22:25

and when things blow up as they

1:22:27

sometimes do

1:22:28

they just move on to the next thing if

1:22:31

you look at

1:22:32

jamie dimon of jp morgan he hates

1:22:35

bitcoin

1:22:36

can't stand it but it certainly allows

1:22:38

this firm to find business angles to

1:22:40

make money out of it

1:22:41

because business is business hedge funds

1:22:44

and this is where people get really

1:22:46

confused and i hear names like gun latch

1:22:49

druckenmiller paul tudor jones as all

1:22:52

being bitcoin buyers

1:22:54

and therefore lending credibility to

1:22:56

bitcoin

1:22:57

um you have to understand what a hedge

1:22:59

fund is designed to do which is very

1:23:01

different

1:23:01

than traditional institutions they're

1:23:03

designed to look for momentum

1:23:06

and higher and take higher risks for

1:23:08

higher returns

1:23:09

if the price starts to underperform they

1:23:12

move on

1:23:14

to other things right now bitcoin is

1:23:15

giving them momentum in spades

1:23:17

so they're all over it but if it were to

1:23:19

start underperforming

1:23:21

they're they're in the business of

1:23:22

moving out of that and finding something

1:23:24

and they're certainly not buying into

1:23:26

michael's buy

1:23:27

and hold forever that's just not the way

1:23:29

they operate

1:23:30

as far as the institutions um

1:23:34

and i think you know another good

1:23:35

example of that is that you know

1:23:37

it's very similar to how say warren

1:23:40

buffett

1:23:41

who was a gold hater for a long long

1:23:43

time bought

1:23:44

a large position in barrick gold and all

1:23:47

the gold guys got all excited about it

1:23:49

here and

1:23:49

he's a believer he's a believer sure he

1:23:51

bought it and then he turned around and

1:23:52

sold it

1:23:53

when he had made a profit and i'd see

1:23:55

bitcoin with respect to hedge funds as

1:23:57

being the exact

1:23:58

same scenario traditional institutions

1:24:01

my good friend larry fink just came out

1:24:04

and he manages blackrock

1:24:06

the largest money manager in the world

1:24:08

nine trillion dollars under management

1:24:09

came out with last week and said he

1:24:11

doesn't see any real institutional

1:24:14

buying

1:24:14

in bitcoin yet what worries me are the

1:24:18

millions of robin hook robin hood type

1:24:22

buyers

1:24:23

that are investing and looking to get

1:24:26

rich quick

1:24:27

because when they pile into bitcoin if

1:24:30

something were to go wrong

1:24:31

they're the ones that usually are left

1:24:34

holding the bag

1:24:36

because they're not sophisticated they

1:24:38

don't know how to assess risk

1:24:41

so i just think that you really have to

1:24:43

understand

1:24:44

who the buyers are to determine

1:24:48

what validation is being assigned to

1:24:50

bitcoin thank you frank

1:24:51

uh one minute for you michael

1:24:55

um you know people think bitcoins are

1:24:57

speculation if they don't understand how

1:24:59

the technology works but once you

1:25:00

understand the technology is superior

1:25:02

it's not a speculation

1:25:04

as for a pyramid scheme you know like

1:25:07

objecting to something because everybody

1:25:09

else thinks it's a good idea it doesn't

1:25:12

you know appropriate technology spreads

1:25:15

virally because

1:25:16

it is a better idea uber what's up

1:25:19

iphone

1:25:20

youtube netflix they all spread virally

1:25:22

people tell their friends because

1:25:24

it's a good idea uh as for the

1:25:27

two percent of the owners and i've seen

1:25:29

the value i don't think that's true

1:25:30

that's probably based upon looking at

1:25:32

wallets on the blockchain

1:25:34

most of the accounts are concentrated in

1:25:37

custodial wallets controlled by the

1:25:38

exchanges so for example

1:25:41

binance has 56 million accounts it's

1:25:44

probably got just a handful of wallets

1:25:46

that are reflecting those 56 million

1:25:48

accounts

1:25:49

so no i don't think there's there's any

1:25:51

truth to the idea that

1:25:53

the value is concentrated with two

1:25:54

percent of the owners i think that's

1:25:56

just uh

1:25:57

a misconception um worrying about the

1:26:00

millions of people

1:26:01

that are buying bitcoin uh

1:26:05

i think it ignores the observation that

1:26:07

everything else they could buy is

1:26:09

riskier

1:26:10

and so if you dissuade them from buying

1:26:12

bitcoin you're encouraging them to do

1:26:13

something which is riskier

1:26:15

there's no zero you know there's no

1:26:17

simple answer here it's a zero-sum game

1:26:19

you either buy the thing that's less

1:26:20

risky or buy the thing that's more risky

1:26:22

they got to do something

1:26:25

thank you michael we're going to move on

1:26:26

to our final topic before our closing

1:26:28

statements now it is market forces

1:26:31

frank michael said that if god designed

1:26:34

gold with no imperfections he would have

1:26:35

designed

1:26:36

bitcoin that it is thermodynamically

1:26:38

perfectly sound money

1:26:40

he even said in an interview with me

1:26:42

quote there will be a lot of pushback

1:26:44

and it will be natural but it's not

1:26:45

going to change the inevitable the world

1:26:47

needs

1:26:47

a digital monetary network it's a two

1:26:49

three four trillion dollar problem

1:26:51

and you're not going to be able to stop

1:26:52

it so how do you respond to this market

1:26:55

force frank that seems inevitable

1:26:58

well i think you might be right that

1:27:00

they had god designed it

1:27:02

it might have been bitcoin but i i think

1:27:04

you know that it doesn't look like he

1:27:07

much like god did not design a world of

1:27:10

eternal peace

1:27:11

no competition between nation states uh

1:27:14

no lust for power

1:27:16

no greed and we're all sitting around

1:27:18

the campfire holding hands singing

1:27:19

kumbaya

1:27:20

that's not the world we live in we live

1:27:23

in a very real world of competition and

1:27:25

this i think this is where gold plays a

1:27:26

very important role

1:27:28

um in balancing you know balancing that

1:27:31

competition

1:27:32

i think again in assessing the market

1:27:35

forces

1:27:36

there are two areas that michael

1:27:39

continues to use to make his case first

1:27:41

is how he calculates

1:27:42

his compounded annual growth rates

1:27:46

and the second is what i think is is

1:27:49

lack of understanding of

1:27:50

correlations between asset classes and

1:27:53

how that

1:27:54

reflects upon bitcoin as a store of

1:27:56

value okay

1:27:58

first let's let's deal with a compound

1:28:00

or annual growth

1:28:01

what i've heard from him over and over

1:28:03

again is

1:28:04

in all the interviews he he claims that

1:28:07

bitcoin has 196 percent annual

1:28:10

compounded growth

1:28:12

and then he frames it that that is going

1:28:14

to be achievable

1:28:15

each and every year going forward

1:28:19

uh until bitcoin reaches a million or

1:28:21

i've even heard five million from him

1:28:23

um using statements like it's gonna

1:28:25

double every six months

1:28:27

that's a gross oversimplification

1:28:30

and dangerous if you rely on it to make

1:28:32

your investment decisions

1:28:34

calculating compounded annual growth is

1:28:37

very sensitive

1:28:38

to your entry starting points and ending

1:28:41

points in the period that you're

1:28:42

measuring

1:28:43

it's garbage in garbage out and to

1:28:46

arrive at his 196

1:28:48

number he starts at a dollar

1:28:51

per bitcoin a dollar in 2011

1:28:55

takes it all the way to 60 thousand

1:28:57

dollars

1:28:58

and which includes the fact that most of

1:29:00

that return

1:29:01

was front end loaded into that

1:29:05

into the early years from a dollar and

1:29:09

and i have several problems with that

1:29:10

approach when bitcoin was a dollar

1:29:13

it was not a real investment it was a

1:29:15

novelty it was a

1:29:16

liquid it was tightly held

1:29:19

i'm not sure where you would start the

1:29:21

measurement but it's certainly not a

1:29:22

dollar i think it's in the several

1:29:23

thousands of dollars maybe you can look

1:29:25

when bitcoin crashed in 2017

1:29:28

settled around seven thousand dollars um

1:29:31

and that's when the real market started

1:29:33

and certainly i think the real investors

1:29:35

have only come in

1:29:36

in the last couple of years um

1:29:44

but i i think that uh

1:29:44

if you really uh allow me just give you

1:29:46

a couple of examples

1:29:47

uh because what he does again is and

1:29:51

i've seen it a lot

1:29:52

when i'm being pitched by wealth

1:29:53

managers if i were trying to pitch you

1:29:56

on buying gold i would say to you well

1:29:59

listen if you bought gold in 1971 at 35

1:30:01

dollars an

1:30:02

ounce and you held it 50 years

1:30:05

it would have gone up five fifty fold

1:30:07

that's six thousand percent

1:30:09

which is works out to about eight

1:30:10

percent a year of compounded annual

1:30:13

growth which is

1:30:14

slightly better than the s p in that

1:30:15

same period it's pretty good right

1:30:17

if i wanted to underscore the extreme i

1:30:20

would say to you hey listen if you

1:30:21

bought

1:30:22

gold in 1971 and you held it for nine

1:30:26

years which is roughly the amount of

1:30:27

time we were measuring in bitcoin

1:30:29

you would have had a 42 compounded

1:30:32

annual growth

1:30:34

and i think that that's where

1:30:37

you know you have to always be aware

1:30:39

garbage in garbage out

1:30:40

now again as i said earlier he keeps

1:30:43

pointing to

1:30:44

last year golden perform and that's a

1:30:46

certainty

1:30:47

that it's not you know it's not going to

1:30:51

survive as a store of value but and like

1:30:53

i said you can pick any one of the last

1:30:55

number of years for bitcoin

1:30:56

and i can paint you a much worse picture

1:31:01

so so that's the one part of it the

1:31:03

other part of it is

1:31:05

how he characterizes store of value

1:31:08

or safe haven asset with respect to

1:31:11

what it correlates with bitcoin that is

1:31:14

and what

1:31:15

it doesn't correlate with and i think

1:31:16

that it's really important to understand

1:31:18

to know again where bitcoin fits in a

1:31:20

portfolio

1:31:21

gold has had a pretty consistent

1:31:24

negative correlation

1:31:25

with equities and the us dollar that's a

1:31:28

given

1:31:29

and that's what's given it's it's safe

1:31:31

haven value

1:31:33

um and it's an important portfolio

1:31:35

diversifier

1:31:36

in the event of sharp equity downturns

1:31:39

by way of example and this is where i

1:31:43

demonstrate how the correlation works in

1:31:47

march of 2020 when the markets crashed

1:31:51

covet hit markets crashed

1:31:57

gold went down 8 percent initially in

1:31:57

that month and then recovered to break

1:31:59

even it did

1:32:00

much much better in emerging markets

1:32:02

because there was a flight to liquidity

1:32:04

which usually has a temporary

1:32:06

lifting of of of the us dollar if i look

1:32:10

at bitcoin in that same month it went

1:32:12

down 40 percent

1:32:13

peak to trough ending the month down 25

1:32:18

um bitcoin only really took off in

1:32:23

october of 2020

1:32:24

when it looked like the economy was

1:32:26

about to recover

1:32:28

so it was risk on gold under the other

1:32:31

hand did

1:32:32

really well in the spring and summer of

1:32:36

when the markets had crashed qe had

1:32:39

begun

1:32:40

and it was risk off and that's i think

1:32:44

is the very big difference that you have

1:32:45

to pay attention to

1:32:47

um if you like myself believe that

1:32:51

equities are in a bubble then

1:32:54

i think there's a lot of built-in

1:32:56

downside with bitcoin at the moment

1:32:58

because it really does behave like a

1:33:01

growth stock

1:33:03

i think we have to wait and see if

1:33:04

there's a major market correction

1:33:06

and when gold establishes its inverse

1:33:09

correlation

1:33:10

with bitcoin that to me will be the

1:33:13

evidence

1:33:14

uh that it is a store of value and we

1:33:16

have never seen bitcoin tested in a

1:33:18

financial crisis

1:33:19

so that again us dollar crisis financial

1:33:22

credits any crisis

1:33:24

that's where you'll see the true test to

1:33:26

bitcoin as a store of value

1:33:29

the real the other test is inflation

1:33:34

gold performs really well in pairs of

1:33:36

high inflation

1:33:37

and i know michael is suggesting that

1:33:38

we're not going to see high inflation

1:33:40

in the cpi and i think he is dead wrong

1:33:44

you only have to watch the commodity

1:33:45

prices going up in price food prices

1:33:47

going up in price

1:33:48

inflation will hit the cpi

1:33:52

there's no doubt about that um but if

1:33:54

you look at the 1970s for instance which

1:33:56

is the last time we experienced

1:33:58

high inflation gold went up thank you 25

1:34:00

fold over a period of

1:34:01

nine years thank you frank i'm gonna

1:34:03

have to give michael his one minute

1:34:04

rebuttal here

1:34:06

um yeah frank says i i'm claiming that

1:34:10

bitcoin will go up 195

1:34:12

a year that's not true i've never given

1:34:14

any precise estimates for future growth

1:34:16

rates i don't know i have no crystal

1:34:18

i just think it will perform better than

1:34:20

the alternatives based upon the laws of

1:34:22

physics and the technology dynamics

1:34:25

with regard to time frames you don't

1:34:28

need the 10-year time frame i think the

1:34:30

and five-year time frame analysis for

1:34:32

bitcoin are also definitive

1:34:34

and um is bitcoin a store of value

1:34:37

i mean it's people keep saying it isn't

1:34:39

it seems pretty obvious that something

1:34:41

that keeps going up in price and up in

1:34:43

value is a better store of value than

1:34:45

something which

1:34:46

is stably not going up

1:34:49

thank you michael i will get to your

1:34:51

your comments now regards

1:34:53

to market forces my question for you is

1:34:55

this the macroeconomic setup for hard

1:34:57

currency is setting up to be excellent

1:34:59

we have abandoned almost any monetary or

1:35:02

financial rectitude and the fed

1:35:04

has ruled in favor of inflation and

1:35:06

hitting the print button

1:35:07

on the money machine so the question is

1:35:09

this with the easy money policy make the

1:35:12

of why you'd rather be in bitcoin than

1:35:21

yeah i look at the market forces and

1:35:21

as i look forward bitcoins creating

1:35:24

a global markets in energy and money

1:35:27

and in finance that operate across all

1:35:30

borders and jurisdictions

1:35:32

24 7 365 and they're open to everyone to

1:35:35

participate

1:35:37

and we look at the global energy market

1:35:39

if you take the latest generation of s19

1:35:42

grade bitcoin miners you can generate

1:35:45

exahash with 30 megawatts of power

1:35:49

at the current prices that means that

1:35:50

energy is is worth 45 to 50 cents a

1:35:53

kilowatt hour

1:35:55

sold to the bitcoin energy grid that

1:35:58

compares to 13 cents kilowatt hour for

1:36:00

typical residential use or 11 cents

1:36:02

kilowatt hour for

1:36:04

typical commercial use you can use that

1:36:07

to drive down the cost of electricity

1:36:09

everywhere on earth

1:36:10

you can rescue stranded energy

1:36:12

everywhere on earth you can

1:36:13

commercialize renewable energy anywhere

1:36:15

on earth

1:36:16

and you can actually create safe clean

1:36:19

income

1:36:19

in the developing world wherever you

1:36:21

find an energy source

1:36:23

selling the energy at 45 cents an hour

1:36:25

kilowatt hour which is more than you

1:36:27

would get in manhattan

1:36:28

it's a pretty extraordinary thing it's

1:36:30

never happened before in history

1:36:33

um billions are flowing into this mining

1:36:36

sector and i think that uh the billions

1:36:39

are flowing in the sector are going to

1:36:41

create

1:36:41

uh an incredible global renaissance

1:36:45

and disruption in the energy business to

1:36:47

the good of the world

1:36:49

um the global money market uh bitcoin's

1:36:52

crediting global money market

1:36:54

uh you can actually trade on exchanges

1:36:57

in singapore or hong kong and for a

1:36:58

while the contango gets to 40

1:37:01

that means 40 is the risk-free overnight

1:37:04

rate on bitcoin money compared to a

1:37:06

risk-free overnight rate of like 20

1:37:08

basis points

1:37:09

and more regulated markets the

1:37:12

derivatives market

1:37:13

the yield curve development they're all

1:37:16

going to explode

1:37:17

on the open exchanges from you know the

1:37:20

innovators at ftx and binance and

1:37:23

and every other exchange on the world

1:37:25

they can all plug into the open bitcoin

1:37:27

network

1:37:28

there are rules but there are no rulers

1:37:31

even though you might not be able to

1:37:33

capture this 40 percent contango in

1:37:35

alabama as a hodler

1:37:38

you could just buy the bitcoin and wait

1:37:40

and then hundreds of billions of dollars

1:37:42

of capital will find

1:37:43

an exchange run by an appropriate

1:37:46

entrepreneur

1:37:47

offering the right sort of derivatives

1:37:50

in order to

1:37:51

build out that yield curve and drive

1:37:53

asset appreciation

1:37:55

that's a benefit to everybody on the

1:37:57

network you know if you own a billion

1:37:58

dollars worth of real estate in

1:38:00

california

1:38:01

nothing that happens in singapore is

1:38:03

going to cause your asset to appreciate

1:38:06

and if you own assets that are highly

1:38:08

regulated on certain stock exchanges in

1:38:10

certain countries

1:38:12

then no innovation in other countries is

1:38:15

going to drive

1:38:16

up the value of your asset uh this

1:38:19

global money market's uh exploding spot

1:38:21

liquidity has gone from a billion a day

1:38:24

to 10 billion a day

1:38:25

over the course of the last six months

1:38:28

the future drop and

1:38:29

interest is exploding and uh it's truly

1:38:32

disruptive

1:38:33

the third major market is global finance

1:38:36

market and this is bitcoin-backed

1:38:37

payments

1:38:38

credit insurance and and funds

1:38:41

big tech is entering this space paypal

1:38:45

venmo square robin hood

1:38:48

uh finance companies fidelity

1:38:52

morgan stanley all the major banks

1:38:55

the ones that were skeptical a year or

1:38:57

two years ago aren't so skeptical

1:38:59

anymore

1:39:00

the significance is any finance

1:39:02

insurance or mutual fund company can 10x

1:39:05

the value of their traditional offering

1:39:07

by injecting bitcoin into it

1:39:09

and then any big tech company can become

1:39:11

a bank

1:39:12

um how explosive is this well

1:39:15

i think we'll see 150 new holders this

1:39:19

i think you'll see 500 billion dollars

1:39:21

of assets flow under the network this

1:39:24

paypal square and coinbase alone have a

1:39:26

500 billion dollar market cap and if you

1:39:29

look at their market cap over the last

1:39:30

12 months they're all

1:39:32

exploding morgan stanley goldman sachs

1:39:35

jpmorgan citigroup fidelity

1:39:37

facebook apple amazon google microsoft

1:39:40

these are

1:39:41

major drivers contrast that to the gold

1:39:44

market forces the gold industry

1:39:46

continues to market the myth

1:39:48

the gold is money while engaging

1:39:51

in activities to elevate the u.s dollar

1:39:54

is money

1:39:55

and they're mining in an expensive dirty

1:39:58

dangerous fashion they're using 20 times

1:40:00

as much energy

1:40:01

as the bitcoin mark mining network

1:40:05

and manufacturing marketing and selling

1:40:07

yellow yellow metal is expensive

1:40:09

the next trillion dollars that's spent

1:40:11

on gold mining

1:40:13

is going to make gold less valuable

1:40:15

whereas

1:40:17

in the year 2035 99 of the bitcoin is

1:40:21

bitcoin mining is over uh the miners are

1:40:24

effectively going to be buying bitcoin

1:40:26

the stock flow goes to infinity the

1:40:27

stock to flow goes negative

1:40:29

and all of the money spent on bitcoin

1:40:31

mining is to secure the network

1:40:33

provide billions of people with a better

1:40:36

store of value

1:40:37

to improve energy efficiency to make the

1:40:39

world a cleaner

1:40:40

better more efficient place so the

1:40:44

market force i think clearly favors

1:40:46

bitcoin

1:40:47

michael saylor thank you for the

1:40:49

comments frank one minute rebuttal

1:40:51

please

1:40:52

yeah first of all i have real trouble

1:40:54

with you denying

1:40:56

uh your ongoing uh

1:40:59

claims that that bitcoin has performed

1:41:02

has an annual compound a growth rate of

1:41:04

196 percent

1:41:06

and you use that to extrapolate its

1:41:08

future performance you have said it time

1:41:10

and time again

1:41:11

i will actually tweet your words right

1:41:13

back at you after this is done because

1:41:15

that is absolutely not true

1:41:17

um i think your idealistic view of the

1:41:20

world is really

1:41:22

just so off the mark we live in a very

1:41:26

we live in a world which where the world

1:41:29

order

1:41:29

is fragmented and it's getting worse and

1:41:31

worse you're not going to get this

1:41:34

global cooperation to get behind bitcoin

1:41:37

and with all of the energy assumptions

1:41:39

that you're making it's just not going

1:41:40

to happen that's not

1:41:41

the real world we're living in and

1:41:44

and again i will go back if you look at

1:41:51

how the governments and central banks

1:41:51

will perceive a high bitcoin price

1:41:54

it's going to be a threat they will see

1:41:57

it as a flight of capital

1:41:58

and they will deal with it the same way

1:42:00

that you've seen uh current capital

1:42:02

controls

1:42:03

in countries like pre-war germany

1:42:05

pre-thatcher britain

1:42:07

where you could only export 2500 pounds

1:42:08

a year greece into

1:42:11

2015 south africa in 2003

1:42:15

when governments see a threat to

1:42:18

their currency because there's a flight

1:42:20

to something to get

1:42:22

out of that currency they will go after

1:42:25

it and i think you continue to ignore

1:42:27

that risk thank you frank thank you

1:42:29

frank we're going to get to our closing

1:42:31

remarks now

1:42:32

there will be no rebuttals again this is

1:42:34

a blank

1:42:35

canvas to drive your points home here we

1:42:38

six minutes each michael bring it home

1:42:41

gold investors

1:42:43

share the same macroeconomic view as

1:42:45

bitcoin investors

1:42:46

but i think they tend to lack one key

1:42:48

insight

1:42:50

money is technology and bitcoin's

1:42:53

superior monetary technology

1:42:55

with powerful network effect i've

1:42:58

watched

1:42:59

hundreds of interviews of gold advocates

1:43:02

and they almost never addressed the

1:43:05

technology issue

1:43:06

i found a reference by mike maloney 10

1:43:08

years ago

1:43:09

but for the most part they're they're

1:43:11

not thinking about

1:43:12

technology diversification

1:43:16

makes no sense when there's a correct

1:43:18

answer

1:43:19

to an engineering problem you would

1:43:21

never diversify the metal in an aircraft

1:43:24

wing or the answer to a math problem

1:43:27

or the shape of a ship's hull or the

1:43:30

oxygen content

1:43:31

in a scuba tank when the cabin

1:43:34

depressurizes

1:43:36

you don't place an oxygen mask on 10 of

1:43:38

your family

1:43:40

um money is a winner take all

1:43:42

competition there is an

1:43:43

answer choosing the wrong answer has

1:43:46

dire consequences

1:43:48

if we contrast the golden knight with

1:43:50

the bitcoin dragon

1:43:51

the golden knight's got a 30-year life

1:43:54

it's plotting

1:43:55

stupid heavy predictable and stagnant

1:43:59

up against the bitcoin dragon the dragon

1:44:01

is immortal

1:44:03

teleporting dematerializing

1:44:05

hyper-intelligent

1:44:07

rapidly evolving moves at the speed of

1:44:09

light

1:44:11

which one of these two is going to win

1:44:13

the fight

1:44:14

goldbugs say put 10 percent of phys

1:44:17

into physical gold to protect against

1:44:19

the bank crash what about the other 90

1:44:23

they're not really providing a solution

1:44:25

they're suggesting a hedge

1:44:27

bitcoin is the solution

1:44:30

um mike maloney he says quote

1:44:34

the greatest wall transfer in history is

1:44:36

therefore the greatest opportunity

1:44:38

in the history of mankind well yeah

1:44:41

if you actually pick the winner in the

1:44:44

well transfer

1:44:46

if you pick the loser then you miss out

1:44:48

it would be a shame to actually know

1:44:50

this is coming and then miss out the

1:44:53

gold standard

1:44:54

fails because gold doesn't provide it

1:44:57

doesn't sufficiently empower people

1:44:59

to control their own property

1:45:01

governments and banks can tax or

1:45:03

confiscate those rights the gold

1:45:05

industry can inflate away that property

1:45:08

gold coins were too inflexible in the

1:45:09

16th century they don't represent a

1:45:11

solution in the 21st century

1:45:14

in 1914 at the beginning of world war

1:45:16

one the gold standard was thrown

1:45:18

overboard within two weekends

1:45:20

that's lips from gold wars the genoa

1:45:23

conference in 1922 and bretton woods in

1:45:27

show the world will at best create a foe

1:45:29

gold standard than corrupt it

1:45:31

if we have gold standards we are going

1:45:33

to get scammed again

1:45:34

quote michael maloney bitcoin addresses

1:45:37

this issue by shifting power into the

1:45:39

hands of individuals via cryptography

1:45:42

and implementing a decentralized

1:45:44

security protocol via proof of work

1:45:46

and therefore it's protecting money from

1:45:48

taxation inflation and confiscation

1:45:51

billions of individuals can take control

1:45:53

of their money via mobile technology and

1:45:55

trade with each other at the speed of

1:45:56

light

1:45:57

via currency of their choice hayek said

1:46:01

i don't believe we'll ever have good

1:46:03

money again before we take the thing out

1:46:05

of the hands of government

1:46:06

that is we can't take them violently out

1:46:09

all we can do is by some sly roundabout

1:46:12

way introduce something that can't stop

1:46:14

bitcoin's a money virus nobody's ever

1:46:17

defended anything successfully there is

1:46:19

only attack and attack and attack some

1:46:21

more that's patent

1:46:23

gold is defense bitcoin is an offense

1:46:27

it's spreading at 200 percent a year

1:46:29

it's going to be the 250 million people

1:46:31

this year next stop is a billion next

1:46:33

stop is everybody

1:46:35

the network is worth 25 trillion a year

1:46:37

to solve the

1:46:38

strong money problem the protocol is

1:46:41

already

1:46:42

recruited finance coinbase fidelity

1:46:44

paypal

1:46:45

microstrategy tesla we heard venmo

1:46:48

joined

1:46:48

next will come apple google facebook and

1:46:50

microsoft

1:46:52

bitcoin's an economic imperative it's a

1:46:55

technical imperative

1:46:56

it's a moral imperative economically

1:46:59

there's 250 trillion dollars

1:47:01

of currency derivatives that are

1:47:03

debasing at least 10 percent a year

1:47:05

that's a 25 trillion

1:47:06

a year problem every investor needs to

1:47:09

store value to survive the currency

1:47:11

flood

1:47:12

technically this is the greatest mobile

1:47:14

application

1:47:15

uh this will be the greatest mobile

1:47:17

application uh

1:47:19

mobile wallets holding digital currency

1:47:22

and digital assets

1:47:23

is going to allow five billion people to

1:47:25

trade with each other and protect their

1:47:27

life force

1:47:28

bitcoin is the protocol that

1:47:30

synchronizes a hundred thousand

1:47:31

financial applications in cyberspace

1:47:34

it'll be the king maker and it's going

1:47:35

to tip the balance of power

1:47:37

in favor of whichever big tech company

1:47:39

firmly and

1:47:40

firm embraces it the most it's a moral

1:47:44

imperative

1:47:45

it's the best hope the human race has

1:47:47

for life liberty and property for the 8

1:47:49

billion people struggling under the

1:47:50

weight of excessive regulation

1:47:52

corrupt politicians and collapsing

1:47:55

currencies and dangerous physical

1:47:57

environments

1:47:58

it is an instrument of economic

1:48:00

empowerment it can be delivered to

1:48:01

everybody

1:48:03

so if you believe in sound money life

1:48:05

liberty

1:48:06

property and the pursuit of happiness

1:48:08

it's time to abandon gold and move on to

1:48:11

bitcoin

1:48:12

this century we've digitally transformed

1:48:15

messages books photos videos

1:48:18

meetings newspapers payments and

1:48:20

relationships now it's time to transform

1:48:22

money

1:48:23

bitcoin is hope for a better world

1:48:27

michael saylor thank you for your

1:48:28

closing remarks uh

1:48:30

this is uh your time now frank your

1:48:33

final six minutes to make your case

1:48:35

for gold over bitcoin all right well i

1:48:39

think i've made my case already as to

1:48:41

what bitcoin is and bitcoin isn't

1:48:43

with respect to gold okay um i pointed

1:48:47

out the risks that michael

1:48:48

never seems to want to acknowledge so

1:48:50

now at least people

1:48:51

can look into that a little bit more

1:48:53

carefully um

1:48:55

the idea that rewards come without risk

1:48:58

in this world is

1:48:59

is you can't gloss over that stuff and

1:49:01

yeah and i would just

1:49:03

want people to understand the risk of

1:49:05

what they're getting into

1:49:07

um so you can't keep on selling this

1:49:10

as a guaranteed winning lottery ticket

1:49:14

and and as a cure-all for all the

1:49:16

world's ills

1:49:17

you know some utopian fantasy that

1:49:19

you're selling here

1:49:21

this isn't snake oil and you should stop

1:49:23

selling it in that fashion

1:49:26

i know that bitcoin followers a lot of

1:49:29

them not not all of them

1:49:30

are real idealists um and michael is

1:49:33

promising you that that

1:49:35

world will be delivered to you i just

1:49:37

don't see it that's not the world we

1:49:39

live in we live in a very very

1:49:41

competitive

1:49:42

ugly world and i just don't see he's

1:49:44

going to achieve that sort of global

1:49:46

utopian vision that bitcoin is going to

1:49:49

answer

1:49:50

the problems to everything in this world

1:49:57

the idea that bitcoin can go up by a

1:49:57

factor of 10 times

1:49:58

consume all the value of gold and then

1:50:02

consume all the value of bonds 3 400

1:50:05

trillion dollars

1:50:06

i i just don't see what world that could

1:50:09

possibly happen

1:50:10

in uh it's just in in michael's world

1:50:15

all you own is bitcoin that's the only

1:50:16

asset class you own and i

1:50:18

that's not that's not the way that

1:50:21

you're going

1:50:22

it's just never going to happen in in in

1:50:24

the real world

1:50:25

it's sheer fantasy um and i think that

1:50:29

maybe the way you're promoting it you

1:50:33

if you only promoted like 10 20 growth

1:50:36

you wouldn't get all of this massive

1:50:39

speculation that's going into bitcoin

1:50:40

which i think is very very dangerous

1:50:42

but i guess it's easier to promise a 20

1:50:44

bag or 100 bagger

1:50:46

but the higher it goes the more

1:50:47

outrageous your claims have to become

1:50:49

about what bitcoin

1:50:50

is and and and to me that's very

1:50:53

reminiscent

1:50:54

of a lot of the research reports i used

1:50:56

to read during the dot-com bubble back

1:50:58

in 1997 to 99

1:51:01

where they were they had to justify the

1:51:03

price and

1:51:04

and to justify the price of some of

1:51:07

these crazy assets

1:51:08

they had to make some outrageous

1:51:09

assumptions and this is what i'm seeing

1:51:11

here in

1:51:12

in bitcoin now i i don't want to get

1:51:15

personal here but i just find your style

1:51:17

of promotion

1:51:19

as misleading and filled with hype okay

1:51:23

and the one thing that caught my

1:51:24

attention and the reason that

1:51:26

the catalyst to why i wanted this debate

1:51:29

is when i heard you say time and time

1:51:31

again that

1:51:32

people should buy bitcoin hold it

1:51:35

forever

1:51:36

and if they need any cash they should

1:51:38

borrow against their car

1:51:40

their house their businesses that is

1:51:43

such a

1:51:44

reckless and irresponsible thing to

1:51:46

suggest um

1:51:48

i will bet that 90 of your 700 000

1:51:51

twitter followers

1:51:52

are not millionaires never mind

1:51:54

billionaires like yourself

1:51:56

and we have if these guys are levered up

1:51:59

and we have an 80 correction or a 50

1:52:03

correction in bitcoin that lasts a few

1:52:05

years you're going to wipe out

1:52:06

a lot of small investors and that should

1:52:10

really concern you i also don't like the

1:52:13

style in which

1:52:15

social media is being used to bully

1:52:17

critics

1:52:18

um using slogans and

1:52:22

and campaign the camp the gimmicks and

1:52:25

slogans like the laser eyes and

1:52:28

cyber hornets and have fun staying poor

1:52:31

all this stuff

1:52:32

to me it smells like a cult it's cult

1:52:34

behavior

1:52:35

uh it's not serious and i think if you

1:52:37

had more confidence

1:52:39

in the value of bitcoin you wouldn't

1:52:42

have to use

1:52:43

that kind of language um so

1:52:46

here's the bottom line where i'm at with

1:52:48

bitcoin i think that

1:52:50

we live in very uncertain times i don't

1:52:52

think any one of us

1:52:53

has experienced an investment climate

1:52:56

like the one we're seeing today not

1:52:58

certainly not in many many generations

1:53:01

and i unlike you don't have a crystal

1:53:04

ball i don't have that benefit

1:53:05

so what i like to do is

1:53:09

diversify you never put your eggs in one

1:53:12

basket that is about the dumbest

1:53:13

investment

1:53:14

advice anybody could give so my

1:53:17

suggestion

1:53:18

to investors is diversified portfolio

1:53:21

skewed toward hard assets because i

1:53:24

think that's the environment and that

1:53:26

includes real estate

1:53:27

gold art and bitcoin if you like okay

1:53:31

um so buy bitcoin knock yourself out

1:53:35

it's probably going to go higher i've

1:53:36

said that before but the best strategy

1:53:38

might be

1:53:39

if you're going to buy bitcoin hedge it

1:53:41

with gold because that is gold's

1:53:43

purpose so if when and if the markets

1:53:47

crash

1:53:48

and they will crash again because we are

1:53:49

in a bible environment

1:53:52

you want to you be doing your

1:53:55

michael you're doing your your followers

1:53:57

a disservice

1:53:58

by telling them to sell their gold sure

1:54:00

go ahead and tell them to buy bitcoin

1:54:01

and if they want to believe everything

1:54:02

you're saying about

1:54:03

go for it but to sell their gold is the

1:54:06

worst thing they could be doing because

1:54:07

they will need it

1:54:08

as a portfolio diversifier because it's

1:54:10

inversely correlated

1:54:11

with what i think bitcoin is and what

1:54:13

equities are

1:54:14

so i'm just asking you to stop with all

1:54:17

the hyperbole i mean you're selling

1:54:19

this utopian fantasy that is going to

1:54:23

probably hurt a lot of people

1:54:24

and i just honestly believe buy bitcoin

1:54:28

but you have to own gold as your

1:54:30

insurance and i rest my case

1:54:33

wow i have definitely felt the heat in

1:54:35

this debate thank you

1:54:36

both so much for your your remarks here

1:54:39

and if i can just um

1:54:40

add something uh you know regardless of

1:54:43

whichever side you're on i'm sure we can

1:54:45

all come to the consensus this was an

1:54:47

incredible debate

1:54:48

perhaps the best ever to be held on the

1:54:50

topic of gold

1:54:51

versus bitcoin and i am honored to have

1:54:54

moderated it

1:54:55

and thank you for choosing stansberry

1:54:57

research as the platform

1:54:59

and if i can just speak uh for myself

1:55:01

and for the audience for the folks back

1:55:03

i just want to say this you are both

1:55:05

titans

1:55:06

in your respective fields you have

1:55:07

nothing to prove you are both

1:55:09

billionaires and you are both

1:55:10

very busy and you did not have to do

1:55:13

this debate

1:55:13

so i thank you for taking the time to

1:55:15

educate us thank you

1:55:17

it was it was a lot of fun and i think

1:55:19

we both got our points across so michael

1:55:21

thank you for agreeing to do this and

1:55:22

danielle

1:55:23

you're always as usual the greatest host

1:55:25

on the planet thank you

1:55:27

thank you frank thank you danielle

1:55:29

thanks for hosting i appreciate it

1:55:31

tremendously i guess

1:55:32

my question is because i know michael

1:55:34

had tweeted that he was looking to

1:55:35

convince frank and i said it at the

1:55:37

start

1:55:37

uh to buy some some some bitcoin

1:55:39

transferring some of his

1:55:41

his gold for bitcoin frank did he

1:55:42

convince you on this

1:55:45

not yet not yet i i think that um maybe

1:55:48

there might be a time if bitcoin

1:55:49

corrects

1:55:50

which i think has had an incredible run

1:55:52

it's due for a correction

1:55:53

uh and it might be a very big correction

1:55:55

yeah i might buy some

1:55:56

because i think it would go higher and

1:55:58

i'll speculate to

1:56:00

to have a position in bitcoin but as a

1:56:02

store of value absolutely not

1:56:04

not yet frank nice to meet you if you

1:56:07

buy bitcoin i'll buy a case of your

1:56:09

olive oil

1:56:09

[Laughter]

1:56:11

you've done your research i'm sure we

1:56:13

can all meet at a

1:56:15

beautiful cocktail lounge or bar one day

1:56:17

in the future

1:56:18

and continue this discussion and we

1:56:20

could all be friends

1:56:22

so i'm going to keep cheerfully after

1:56:24

frank

1:56:27

thank you bo thank you so much and thank

1:56:28

you for watching the great gold versus

1:56:30

bitcoin debate here on stansberry

1:56:32

research i am honored

1:56:33

to have uh moderated this incredible

1:56:35

debate that will go down in history i am

1:56:37

sure thank you for watching

1:56:39

i'm daniela camboni

Copied!