Why Bitcoin Now: Michael Saylor on the Best Way for Companies to Buy Bitcoin - Ep.209
Unchained · 2021-01-26 · 1h 38m · View on YouTube →
hi everyone
welcome to unchained your no hype
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i'm your host laura shin a journalist
with over two decades of experience
i started covering crypto five years ago
and is a senior editor at forbes was the
first mainstream media reporter to cover
cryptocurrency full-time
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today's guest is michael saylor founder
and ceo of microstrategy
welcome michael thanks for having me
since events and bitcoin move so quickly
i want to let the audience know that
we're recording on the afternoon of
friday
january 22nd this morning microstrategy
announced it announced it had purchased
another 10 million
worth of bitcoin quote in accordance
with its treasury reserve policy
micros microstrategy already has 1.1
or had already purchased 1.1 billion
dollars worth of bitcoin in 2020 that
is now worth about 2.3 billion dollars
is the treasury reserve policy
simply to allocate any excess cash to
bitcoin
yes um we keep a certain amount of
working capital in u.s dollars
or in the local countries in yen and
juan and euros where we need it
and generally we target about 50 million
dollars and then anything we generate
from the business
uh in excess of that we work to sweep
into our treasury and then
as soon as practicable we convert it
into bitcoin
and why did you decide to do that that's
you know obviously quite a different
switch
from how pretty much any other company
out there works
so why did we adopt bitcoin as a
treasury reserve asset you know i think
that if uh
if the u.s dollar was debasing
at the rate of five percent or less a
year at two percent
my perception laura by the way was the
us dollar was pr
was debasing at two percent a year you
know the inflation rate is two percent
people preach
we will not allow inflation to be more
than two percent so
if you just listen that you think well i
guess cash is maybe losing two percent
of its value or one percent of its value
or
you know jerome powell says we can't get
inflation we don't have any inflation
yet so
the average person would maybe think
that the u.s dollar didn't lose
two percent of its value this year and
that was my perception for a decade
and i think um the jarring k-shape
recovery that started in march
caused me to question all of my premises
and all of my beliefs about
macroeconomics i mean
i mean let's be honest right you run a
software company
you're not really a macro economist
right you're not really thinking about
macroeconomics asset classes currency
trading currency devaluation monetary
inflation
i didn't know what i couldn't have told
you the difference between m1 and m2
money supplies or the rate of monetary
expansion
in february of this year it just i could
have preached to you all day long about
apple watch i could have told you what i
thought about
the the transformation of mobile devices
and wearables and
phones and how it's going to change
politics and sociology i care about tech
i didn't really pay attention to money
so i think that
march was a jarring wake-up call and
what i
well you know somewhere along the line i
started reading macroeconomics and i
discovered safety's book the bitcoin
standard and then i started looking at
the rate of monetary expansion then i
realized it was about five and a half
percent for the last decade
and then i realized the asset inflation
rate was five and a half percent the
cost of capital was five and a half
percent
and everything clicked and then i
realized that the cost of capital jumped
to 25
this year and everything double clicked
and then i realized the cost of capital
was going to stay at 15
or more and then i realized that
if we didn't do something we were
screwed yeah
so uh you know then despair sets in or
despondency and
and um you know if if everybody had
confidence in the currency and they have
confidence in their asset strategy
there's no need to do anything different
when you have a crisis of confidence
you have a crisis of confidence in a
country you leave the country right i
mean if you had all your money in
argentine pesos at some point you lose
confidence
if you lost confidence in venezuelan
boulevards at some point
you realize you got to leave i think
this was a crisis of confidence when we
saw the k-shape recovery
and at that point
i realized i either needed to invest the
money wisely
or i needed to give it back to the
shareholders and uh
the giving it back to the shareholders
is like it's a it's a nice flippant
thing to do but you know then you
decapitalize the company and then you
have no assets
and if you run into if you run into a
business
crisis you become insolvent and you're
bankrupt and
then things get really bad so we decided
we had to
come up with a treasury strategy
we were forced to by monetary
circumstances
and bitcoin uh looked to me
and to the company to be the most
rational highest quality
technically most perfected asset if your
goal
is to hedge yourself against monetary
inflation and is this money then that
you don't
imagine that you'll need to tap at any
time soon
because so i know um bitcoin can be
volatile
in both directions but let's say it was
a bear market
then it's like that kind of like
long-term investment money that you just
don't feel like you're gonna need to
touch
yeah the decision was made easier for us
because we're about a 500 million dollar
company and we were generating
25 to 30 million in free cash flow in
feb
per year in february but when we went
through the lockdowns
and and the transformation to what i'll
call the virtual wave
all of our all of our marketing sales
and services dematerialized
virtually and we started doing things
via zoom
online our microstrategy world
cost three and a half million dollars
last year
and this year i couldn't spend the money
even if i wanted to spend the money
that's your annual conference yeah
yeah it costs three and a half million
dollars to collect 2500 people in a room
now think about how much you spend to
collect 2500
people in a room well um
here's a good factoid for you are our
business
travel and entertainment expenses year
over year
it decreased by what percentage do you
think
99 98
98 okay it's a lot of money so
so to make a long story short the uh
the company's cost structure compressed
our cash flows
expanded and all of a sudden we realized
we're going to generate not 25 million a
year probably more like 75 million a
year
and so we we're cash positive
what's the second observation you can't
use you can't throw people at the
problem anymore
hiring 10 000 people to knock on doors
doesn't work if there's nobody behind
the door they're not going to answer the
door
right you can't throw money at the
problem the
you know you don't throw money at the
problem you throw intellect
and acumen the world wants to see the
most
entertaining musician the most
intelligent analyst
the most charismatic articulate
communicator
they you know and that's what moves so
um we realized that we weren't going to
spend that much money we couldn't spend
that much money
if the company's going to be successful
it's because the software works and
people want to buy it
and you better do everything you can to
make it less
friction free right more friction free
so
brute force strategies that involve
money and manual labor
stop working we have a lot of money we
have 500 million dollars in cash
we have the at the expectation of
generating another 500 million dollars
in cash
so there's a billion dollars in cash and
cash flow
and you know i guess the you know good
news bad news is i give you a billion
dollars and the bad news is it's not
going to be worth anything in
five years or ten years it won't buy
anything houses went up twelve percent
year over year
so you have to make 12 more to buy the
same thing you could have bought last
year
so why do we adopt this strategy well
well we have cash we're gonna have cash
you can't use cash to grow the company
anymore
what can you do with the cash you can
either buy the stock back
you can dividend it back to the
shareholders or you can invest it
what are you going to invest it in well
how about uh an asset
inflation hedge that you you can't make
any more of
pure monetary energy now did we actually
consider buying the stock
sure we did we actually uh tendered to
buy back 250 million dollars worth of
stock uh at the same time as we
bought the bitcoin uh it was the 250
million dollar acquisition of bitcoin in
a 250 million dollar
tender offer and the idea was give every
shareholder that disagreed with the
strategy of investing in bitcoin the
opportunity to exit
their equity position at a profit was a
dutch auction
with the premium so uh some people did
most didn't we took the excess cash we
invested in bitcoin you know and if
bitcoin was trading at 10 000
right now we would have 500 million
dollars of bitcoin and be waiting to see
how the strategy works out but bitcoin
traded up
and it's more than that and so now we've
we're i mean our treasury now is uh
up 1 billion 300 million
dollars the stock is up
we have we now have a balance sheet
which is in excess of like 2.3 billion
dollars a bitcoin
and now the question is what happens
with bitcoin right i mean a business is
two pieces
uh your right hand your left hand the
right hand is your p l
your left hand is your balance sheet
okay so
you can grow the business by growing the
p l twenty percent a year or thirty or
fifty or a hundred percent a year if
you're genius
that's that's hard but i mean you can do
it that way
you can also accumulate shareholder
value by growing the balance sheet by 10
20 30 a year if you told me bitcoin was
going to grow by 20
a year i would think well if you're
a year and you have 2 billion on your
balance sheet then you're going to
generate 400 million dollars
in in investment income or or
uh or shareholder wealth in the 12
months
that's a lot easier than doubling well
if we doubled the revenue of the company
we still couldn't do that right right
like
we would have to increase the revenue
company by a factor of five
yeah okay so you know there
you can compete that way or compete the
other way i mean some people
you know some people kind of get irked
like it's like you're cheating
by making money an easy way well
everybody on wall street's making money
that way and
every financial company on earth is like
making money by
by holding or trading assets or using
their balance sheet
every bank does right so we simply
adopted a strategy
that would allow us to create
shareholder value which is
good for the employees good for the
shareholders
good for the brand good for the product
nobody wants to buy
software from a company where the stock
is going to zero
nobody wants to work for that company
either right
well one thing that's so curious to me
is so you
heard about bitcoin quite a long time
ago and famously tweeted back in 2013
quote bitcoin's days are numbered it
seems just like a matter of time before
it suffers the same fate as online
gambling so i'm so curious because
you know i just feel like a lot of
people have this story where they start
out as critical and then suddenly they
kind of have a light bulb moment
and i was wondering what was it that
someone said to you or what was it and
how they explain it to you that finally
made you a convert was it literally just
the pandemic
or was there something else i don't
think we'd be here if it wasn't for the
pandemic
it's the events of march of 2020 i think
there was a catalytic month
the k-shape recovery the lockdown of
main street
and the rapid recovery of wall street
forced everyone to review their
assumptions
about the way economy works and the way
you create shareholder value
and uh so that was uh that was critical
i think the the economic response of
um of the bankers was kind of critical
right i mean if the cost of capital goes
from 5
to 15 that's a catalytic event
i it's very difficult to generate
shareholder value when the hurdle rate
is
5 the risk premium is 4 percent
you have to get an eight percent yield
or an eight percent increase in cash
flow
every year in order to create
shareholder value
and if you can't get eight percent or
more
cash flow growth what can you do you can
leverage up
you can borrow a billion dollars buy
back half your stock
and you can take a four percent cash
flow growth company and make it look
like eight percent
and so you can almost make that work
from 2010 to 2020 right and so you look
at every publicly traded company or
every company you
you can imagine how you know how do you
make stocks hold value you leverage up
how do you make real estate whole value
you refinance which is leveraging up
how do you make bonds hold value you
refinance them how you do that you keep
lowering interest rates
if you can lobby in order to get the
bankers to lower the interest rate from
five percent to four and a half to four
to three and a half to three to two and
a half
you're leveraging up the bonds as you're
leveraging up the real estate and then
you're leveraging up the companies
and you can use that to take a five
percent grower and make it look like a
10 or 15 percent grower
arguably apple did that in the last few
years if you look at
apple's apple's revenues are flat for
three years its stock has doubled
right its uh cash flows were fairly flat
but it was buying back its shares
so that's one way to be successful the
other way to be successful is to be
google or facebook or amazon
what they did is they grew 20 top line
and 20 bottom line so if you're growing
20 percent top line and bottom line
in an environment where the cost capital
is 5
that works right you hold that stock you
made money
that was a good trade now what happens
to every stock where you can't leverage
up and you can't grow more than the cost
capital
they don't hold value okay so it's
interesting until 2020 but in march of
2020 it became
um untenable right because whatever you
think you might have done
at five percent cost of capital when it
goes to 15
or 20 percent cost to capital and you're
fully leveraged up and the interest rate
is at near zero
at that point how many companies are
there in the world how many companies in
the s p 500
can grow their cash flows and their
revenues
25 like it from from now
from this point right right i mean it's
it just is impossible right
one percent five percent last year maybe
it was like zoom
nine ninety percent can't so coming back
to my
observation right when do people
discover new ideas when you're faced
when you're
forced into a corner when your back is
in a corner
when do people make paradigm shifts in a
war
when they die or when there's a war
right when the old generation dies and
that you know peter schiff's son likes
gold
right bill miller's son likes bitcoin
right when
when the new millennials the pair a new
generation comes along
they might get it otherwise you need a
war
and uh you know what was the war the
currency war
when i actually crank up the inflation
rate of money by
a factor of three or four then you can't
ignore it so
what do i think in 2013 look i didn't
have a problem
i was you know my i had a solution the
solution was buy amazon buy apple buy
facebook by google
that was the investment solution and in
business
i had a business i was going to sell
enterprise software and i had to
i had a conservative treasury and we
invested our money in
in t bills and cash and you know laura i
remember when you could get five percent
interest on it on
overnight money five and a half percent
on uh
on repos no duration risk no credit risk
investment grade okay so that i mean
there was a time
when it would be rational and
responsible for a public company's ceo
to invest their cash in uh
in in those treasury assets and then if
you have excess cash you gradually buy
the stock back and we did
we bought back 300 million dollars with
the stock like large sums and then you
do your best to compete with microsoft
oracle sap ibm
and that's what you do well uh i think
what happened is a the inflation rate
went from five to fifteen percent
b we saw a k-shape recovery uh extreme
screaming success all the financial
companies are doing great this year
all of the you know service companies
and main street companies you know are
struggling
if you happen to have a stock on wall
street maybe you're getting a pass but
if you're a private cash flow business
and you're not financiable you can't get
cheap money
you're not right they're struggling so
so you have that on one hand
and on the other hand bitcoin matured i
mean
bitcoin was one two three years old
you have to check the box will the irs
give it property treatment
uh will the sec deem it property that's
a pretty big deal being property and not
a security right you saw what happens
with ripple when you're a security
right it's illegal for cynthia alumnus
to promote a security in congress
whereas promoting property ownership in
congress
is the american way and so so that
decision is it property or is it a
security is pretty critical
i think if you look forward you say
bitcoin's been de-risked will it be
forced well it was and we know what
happened
will it be hacked it wasn't will it be
banned it hasn't been banned
is there any rhetoric to suggest they'll
ban it no except in china but you know
you know what else china
banned they ban google twitter facebook
okay how how those trades do in the last
decade
so china is totally consistent they
banned the information network
they ban the mobile network they they
banned the speech network
and they're going to ban the monetary
network and bitcoin's the monetary
network and that just means in the
western world in europe and the us
bitcoin is going to be the predominant
digital monetary network and then
it'll be it'll have rails on it be right
regulated in the same way that stocks
and bonds are
and when it is all the crypto anarchists
will be freaked out that there's some
regulation
and all the people at black rock and
pemco and fidelity
that have more money than god will say
okay well it's safe now we might as well
buy a hundred billion
right you know what i say to the crypto
anarchist is
why don't you just get along with the
institutions and the corporations for
now hold your nose and when you've made
billions of dollars or tens of billions
take all your money buy an island start
your own country and do it your way
just take but take the money first right
like because there'll be
time to do it your you could have an
island with no taxes and
and no and all privacy you do it exactly
how you want it but wouldn't you be
better
i mean to get the hundred billion
dollars first
and then start the country then to have
your privacy
and then have no regulation and then and
your bitcoin is worth like 42 dollars
right it's like it's it's not that i
don't believe
i look i believe the ethos i'm a
libertarian i'm all in favor of all of
these
all of these uh you know individual
sovereignty
and and the like i just i think there's
a certain order to go about these things
and the first order is make the monetary
network successful
yeah and then after that figure out what
you're going to do
and don't hate on square and paypal
because they put some rails
on on some part of the network it's like
it's still going to benefit you
as the hodler yeah right i mean
grayscale is benefiting every hodler
even though
you know that's anathema you know it's
not your keys it's not your coin but
arguably grayscale is doing more for the
bitcoin ecosystem than anybody because
they're
channeling huge amounts of institutional
money into it
right to the benefit of everybody um
earlier you
were talking about these kind of like
pivotal moments where the paradigm
uh changes and um
so when i heard the news that
microstrategy had first
bought bitcoin the name was familiar to
me
and then i remembered how i knew it and
you may
um know what i'm going to ask you about
but you know i knew microstrategy as
the high-flying stock back in the
dot-com era
was a total tech darling and then it had
this epic downfall that i was
watching you know every day in the news
seeing the stock price plummet you know
after these accounting or regulatory
irregularities were revealed actually by
forbes which is
um my former employer but at the time i
was following this i was working the
wall street journal
and so i'll just recap for
the audience it appears microstrategy
and you can feel free to correct
you know anything was booking revenue
from
deals that had just been inked uh but
booking that revenue on its quarterly
earnings to show a profit
or sometimes at least the sec said even
leaving contracts unsigned until after
the quarter ended and then choosing
which ones to sign to meet
revenue targets and so after this was
revealed and microstrategy redid the
accounting it showed that the company
had actually been losing money for the
previous
three years and so this was just in the
news and
i mean you were also quite the character
like there was a profile of you in the
new yorker and you know i remember
uh yeah just uh you know you seemed like
this larger than life figure
and um at the end of that year
microstrategy and the sec reached a
settlement
after the sec accused you of fraud and
so frankly when i realized this was the
same
company and person that i'd followed all
the way back then i was i was really
amazed that also that you had stayed ceo
so i wondered what was your takeaway
from that experience
well you know what they say about
experience it's what you get when you
didn't get what you wanted
look that the restatement was a low
point uh
in the history of the company uh i'm not
proud of it i learned a lot from it
and uh i'm still here you know and uh
i i think that uh it's probably not that
much more
i care to say about it it was 20 odd
years ago
was there anything about that experience
that you think
or do you think there's any link between
what happened then and then your
decision now to go all in on bitcoin
uh no i don't think so um i i think that
at all points in time for the last 30
years the company has grown
by harnessing technology trends and we
wouldn't have uh
we wouldn't have become a public company
if we hadn't actually harnessed uh open
systems and relational databases and
that was a new trend and we wouldn't
have grown if we hadn't
tapped into the power of the internet
and that was a trend
uh i launched a bunch of companies along
the way like alarm.com
and that was like a home automation
trend alarm.com is a multi-billion
dollar publicly traded company today
uh like it was it was uh yeah it was
like
all the home automation things that
and amazon are doing but it was 20 years
early
we launched a company called angel which
is like surrey
and alexa it was another thing
at every single point right if you don't
embrace a new technology when the mobile
wave came along we launched a bunch of
new mobile software
and that was how we grew and uh
and so today there's a monetary network
and if you want to grow you have to tap
into the monetary network they're all
just different
waves of technology and paradigm shifts
if anything uh you know what i what i
learned from my experiences back in 2000
was
be very careful right be very careful
but
you know it was difficult times right um
99 of the companies that we competed
with are gone
99 of the ceos that i competed with
are gone it's a 99 mortality rate
and uh you know i learned a lot i did
some i did a financing at one point
didn't work out well the stock gyrated i
learned to be careful about that i
learned to be careful about many things
but
but you can't quit uh thinking
about the world and you and you can't um
you can't allow your past to keep you
from
charting the right future and uh
i'm i'm quite sure this is the right
thing to do
i think the rest of the world will in
time agree with me
but laura at the end of the day uh
public companies are required to take
risks
to grow the business right so so there
are thousands and thousands of public
companies
there are some companies that don't wish
to be software companies they think
that's too risky
there are some companies that won't be
real estate companies i think it's too
risky
right the responsibility of a company is
to
chart a strategy communicate it
transparently and then let people decide
whether or not they want to buy from the
company or they want to invest in the
company
and i think that we're very transparent
about what we're doing and
it may not be for everybody some people
may not like
the idea of bitcoin they may not believe
it's a digital monetary network
they may think that maybe gold's a
better investment or maybe the us dollar
is a better
investment right they all
are entitled to their opinion and
they'll invest in
companies and assets that uh are
suitable
for their outlook on the world
all right so in a moment we're going to
talk about kind of what happened after
you made the decision that you wanted to
allocate your capital to bitcoin but
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back to my conversation with michael
saylor so
you uh have your light bulb moment with
bitcoin
and you decide that this is what you
want to do or where you want to put the
company's
excess cash when you proposed it to
the board members and the company
officers what was the reaction
they were open-minded they wanted to get
educated
so first we started with an education
process
and it takes a while
to to understand it and after the
education process
there was a consensus building process a
lot of meetings a lot of discussions
and then we developed a set of projects
and we assigned some work for everybody
to do and the cfo had his work and
the general counsel had a different set
of tasks and we considered all of the
legal
regulatory and operational and
technical implications then we came back
and met again
then we formed a consensus that we were
going to pursue
in essence a dual strategy right the
first part of the strategy was
invest in bitcoin and the other part of
the strategy was do a tender offer
and then we executed that and so
we didn't know how that would that would
evolve
right i mean when you have if you have
publicly traded company it's not like
you could just meet with the three
shareholders you can't even meet with
the 10
you can't meet with shareholders because
they're changing every minute of the day
from 9 30 to 4. so what we did
was was we we announced the strategy
telegraphed it
allowed the market to digest it then we
started to execute the strategy
we had a 20-day tender period that was
20 days for the market to digest it
again
you're in a dance with the shareholders
right because they could have tender 250
million dollars or they could have
tendered
none or they could have tendered some at
different prices we don't know what will
happen
so after the tender offer was complete
then we had better information
and uh we knew we had 175 million
dollars of extra
cash we also had rotated the shareholder
base we had a different shareholder base
everyone that
thought this was an awful strategy had
either sold
during the tender period or sold into
the tender
and those that stayed in the stock and
presumably actually a lot of companies
bought into
the public float based upon the strategy
right so you have a different
shareholder base and you have a
different capital
balance sheet situation so at that point
we announced uh that we were we were
going to expand our
scope and we are going to make bitcoin
the primary treasury reserve asset
without a cap right and that's that's a
another
important development then we move
forward to acquire additional bitcoin
with a new uh with a new shareholder
base
and from that point forward things
evolved
right we don't know how that the stock
price evolves the bitcoin
market evolves new things new
developments present themselves and then
we act accordingly and rationally
yeah i mean in hindsight we can say your
timing was extraordinarily good
um but one thing that i was wondering is
so that moment where you decided to
not cap the amount you know like kind of
a traditional
way of looking at a portfolio is oh you
would
invest some percent like you know
one percent two percent five percent ten
percent in to
uh uh what they would call a speculative
asset like bitcoin
and so what was that moment where you
said okay it's not going to be like a
percentage it's just like everything
that we don't really need right at this
moment
um at the and i mean i know you kind of
already answered it but is it literally
just what you were saying about
how cash is depreciating or was there
any talk about
trying to diversify or at the end of the
tender offer
i mean when we finished the tender offer
and we knew the result of that we had a
board meeting we made that decision
and uh i i guess i would um
i would take issue with your
characterization that bitcoin is a
speculative asset
that's yeah i mean right that that's a
value judgment or that's
that's a that's a particular
characterization it's a speculative
asset if you think it is but
if you think that you're going to lose
75 percent of your purchasing power by
holding the dollar
and bitcoin is the soundest money in the
world
and is going up 200 a year every year on
average for a decade
a rational person could conclude that in
fact it's the least speculative thing
you could do
right so it just comes down to your
point of view
as for and and this this is a
fundamental
uh issue too for example if you were in
argentina
and you had all of your treasury and
argentine pesos
and i was on your board and you walked
in and said mike the argentine peso is
10 pesos to the dollar but i think it's
going to slide to 20 pesos to the dollar
right and i think perhaps we should uh
take our pesos and convert them into
dollars
before that happens or convert them into
something else
is that speculation i mean is that are
you risking the company's balance sheet
and then if you came if i said no just
do half and you said
but we're gonna lose the rest
right i mean is it is it prudent
and risk adverse to only do half what if
i told you the peso was going to go from
one peso to the dollar
to 140 pesos to the dollar which is what
happened
okay that's what happened are you gonna
sit and debate
with how would you feel if i'm on your
board and i say to you well laura
you know i really don't think it's safe
for you to convert half of your
or 75 of your balance sheet to dollars i
really think that's unsafe
and you say but you know we're going to
lose 99 of our wealth of our shareholder
value
i don't know it's a speculative well and
now you're going to say well the
dollar's not speculative
well it kind of is speculative because
i've had a company in argentina
and let me tell you what happened when i
did exactly that i converted the pesos
to dollars and the government passed the
law converting the dollars back into
pesos devalued them ten to one i lost
all my money
right okay so it was speculative to
convert pesos to
dollars right so any decision you make
with the treasury has some risk in
hindsight
the least risky thing i could have done
was convert the money to bitcoin
if i had actually converted the pesos to
bitcoin
and not converted the pesos to dollars
right then i actually would have kept
the value and
we could go on to other assets right
maybe i should have bought gold with it
or bought
forest land with it or something but but
um this idea that it's a speculation is
is based upon i don't know some
it's some premise that people have in
their head they think that it's
it's therefore risky but if something's
going up 200
a year on average for 12 years in a row
at what point do you conclude that it's
no longer riskier to hold it than
to not hold it yeah i feel like you're
like
um one of the first people
in the hyper bitcoinization wave where
you know you
think in bitcoin it's like andreas or
like
other you know i've had olof carlson we
the
founder and ceo of pollington capital he
used to
just do all his money in bitcoin as well
um so one thing i was curious about so
when you went to buy the bitcoin what
were the most difficult points in the
buying process
you know what parts of the bitcoin
industry do you think could need to
kind of advance further to serve
corporate investors well
the two challenges that uh any
institution
or a company has when they're buying
bitcoin or
who do i trade with and then where do i
store
and that's somewhat related to the other
decision you have to make which is am i
going to buy the underlying asset
and take custody of it or hold custody
of bitcoin itself
or am i going to buy into a fund
i guess do i buy the bitcoin on exchange
or do i buy grayscale
or or an equivalent as a fund where i
have the economic interest but in fact
the fund manager
has responsibility for trading and
custody
so um i there are different pros and
cons
with regard to those decisions and
different companies will make different
decisions based upon
their own circumstances i think you just
have to find the institutional grade
funds
or custodians and exchanges
we're actually hosting a bitcoin for
corporations conference and we're going
to have 10
of those institutional grade vendors
there and i'll be speaking
you know either with the ceos or with
their heads of institutional sales
and the simple question is what do you
offer for institutions
what's the customer journey what kind of
companies do business with you
right what what advice would you have
for them
i think you know the growth of regulated
entities is clearly a big plus
right when fidelity came on board i mean
all of the
companies getting uh licensed by new
york
state et cetera that's been the
financial authority that's been a good
thing
and uh as as uh
more and more publicly traded companies
and large multi-billion dollar
institutions get involved
they'll be interested in um in
doing business with custodians or funds
that that pass
their accounting criteria
where you're going to want to have your
sock your sarbanes-oxley opinions and
your
and your sarbanes-oxley controls sock ii
findings
uh and they have to incorporate
the fund or the custodians um
annual report uh accounting control
filings into their own 10ks
or or their own annual report so so that
development of
a regulated audited normalized
set of institutional vendors i think is
pretty critical to the industry and it's
been very helpful
i don't think it wasn't there in 2013
obviously
it wasn't in 2015. it's not even clear
if it was there in 2018 i think
really in 2019 and 2020 most of these
things started coming online
yeah so a microstrategy
average purchase price was a little less
than 16
000 and um right now you know the price
is
about 33 000 so you've more than doubled
your investment
and most likely by the end of the year
we're probably going to be in some kind
of bubble i imagine
so the return will be even higher and
you've said that you didn't buy the
bitcoin to sell it um but would
microstrategy ever take some off the
table when you sense the market is at a
top
and then just buy in later when there's
another correction
or do you just plan to huddle through
all the cycles
you know and whether those you know
whatever 80
down turns when the crypto markets are
in a bear market
yeah again i i just disagree with your
characterization i don't expect an 80
downturn i don't think it's a
speculative asset and i don't think
you can you can quote unquote take money
off the table
you know you're speaking like a crypto
trader right now right
yeah i mean maybe you'd be maybe you're
doing it
just to represent their interest
but um i don't see the world that way
i think that bitcoin is sound money
it's the technically superior asset
class
compared to the dollar the euro the peso
the bolivar
compared to a stock index compared to
gold compared to silver compared to
everything you can conceivably buy
it is technically thermodynamically
superior as an
asset so when you say things like that
to me and maybe you just do it just to
just to see what i'll say back i just
imagine you preaching to me in argentina
while you're asking me if i'm going to
sell the dollars and buy pesos back
again as the pesos leads from 20
to the dollar to 40 to the dollar to 80
to the dollar or if we're in
you know venezuela i mean you think a
venezuelan
company is going to like quote unquote
take some money off the table
by selling their their u.s stocks and
their u.s
dollars to buy back into local
currencies so then you know in zimbabwe
you think they would take
money off the table right like the point
is if
if you have the superior asset it's
going up forever laura
forever right i mean right but i mean we
can all look
bitcoin sort of as numerous investors
have talked about it kind of like
breathes you know
after having the next like year and a
half after it tends to go up and then
aft
you know after it reaches some kind of
bubble it kind of
size a little bit and then then after
the next having we see it go up but you
know so it's
it's this kind of like up and down cycle
but the overall trajectory is up
so and it's not you know i these aren't
like
on twitter people were asking me to ask
you this as well i think it's a
perfectly
you know natural question to ask i think
um i don't think bitcoin is volatile if
you're an
investor if you're a hodler if you're if
your time horizon is one year
or if it's one year you're a short-term
investor
you can find like two or three times in
the last decade when
it wasn't great but it wasn't awful if
your time horizon is four years
you can't find a time when it wasn't
working
so i i think i mean just a normal
ordinary responsible investor with a
four year time horizon looking to say
this is very boring
right it's exciting if you're a trader
or a journalist and if you're on twitter
and if you want the news to change every
day
like people and i feel like on twitter
we've got a hyperinflammatory
hyper like a high speed short time
preference like i have to have an
opinion every day or every week or every
month
and that means everybody's always
generating news and there are
like if i if i take anybody on the world
and if i take a micro
uh with a microscope and i zoom in
and i'm a magnifying glass and i i i
zoom in by a factor of a thousand i'll
eventually find a blemish
like if you if you look at bitcoin
trading
every week you'll find a blemish if you
look at it every day you'll find more if
you look at it every hour you'll find
more if you look at it every minute
you'll find plenty
but if you zoom out to a decade or five
years
then you'll have a different view i i
really take
issue with every everybody that attempts
to apply
some statistical model i i'm not a
trader
i i i by the way to be clear trading is
is speculation and traders see the world
in short-term moves and they're alway
and and maybe traders love volatility
and traders love
controversy and you know traders love
this debate because it creates that
volatility
but this is an engineering issue for me
this is the year is 1910 people are
wiring their houses with electricity
and you're asking me at what point i'm
going to turn my electricity off or
or you're telling me how eventually
people are getting tired of electricity
and then you're telling me that wouldn't
i really want to convert back to horse
and buggy
and manual labor to take some off the
table
because electricity is a scary
speculative thing and i'm like
no it's running water it's electricity
it's automobiles
it's not a fad it's the future it's
it's not a bubble it's it's capital flow
when all the money is leaving the peso
going to the dollar
that's not a bubble in the dollar that's
capital flight
from a collapsing asset or collapsing
currency that people have lost
confidence in just like the stampede to
the internet
like would you ask a company when are
you gonna stop using the internet this
you know are you gonna stop using it in
a quarter because you've used too much
electricity and internet
can i say right and you're like well you
know i noticed that your facebook or
your
your twitter hits were going down or
they weren't as high so you just have to
turn off your thing
my and my view is is this is all just
short
term uh technicality and by the way
i don't think there's a single trader
with all the data in the world that can
predict the future
like for example you're going to go and
pull
every line of data of every second if
you know every trade of bitcoin
since 2010 to today
how would that be a better indicator of
the future
if the future is based upon things that
are changing it's like
this is the thing i said to keith
mccullough
keith wanted to like talk about quad
models and
correlating bitcoin performance to the
cpi
and inflation and deflation and these
crunching numbers
and just like the fibonacci retracement
is not going to determine the future of
bitcoin any more than the fibonacci
retracement is not determining the
future of electricity
right okay and inflation is not going to
determine the future of running water
and if it's stock if the economy stops
inflating or if the cpi goes up by three
or goes down by two
it is not going to stop a tidal wave
from blowing into your beach if you're
standing on the beach
and there's a tidal wave coming the
first order
issue is that's a tidal wave and you're
going to tell me
well you know in the last decade all of
our statistical models didn't predict
the tidal wave and there's
or something it's like it's irrelevant
because it's an
engineering phenomenon so
a traitor that wants to preach to me
about what they think
should happen based upon 2017
in my opinion is irrelevant right for
and let's come back to the key point
if ten billionaires choose to buy
five billion dollars or a billion or two
billion dollars worth of bitcoin
each all of your models are irrelevant
all of your history is irrelevant it's
like everything you
like you think you know how things are
going to work out
and like how about all the statistics of
new york city for the past decade how
relevant are they to predict what
happens in new york city
right this month right not relevant at
all
so so traders i can't predict the future
the only way trading is not a way to
make money by the way in my opinion the
people that make all the money are
people that predict the future
henry ford right john d rockefeller
right andrew mellon what did they do
they invented aluminum
they invented oil they brought us
cars you know they brought us
electricity
andrew carnegie brought us steel mark
zuckerberg
not studying some statistical model how
did he get rich he kept facebook stock
he didn't sell it jeff bezos he kept his
stock
so at the end of the day none of this
statistics matters none of the trading
matters
none of the volatility matters these you
know people that are living
in their little world studying their
fibonacci retracements and and
preaching with like incredible
conviction about the the upcoming
expected 60
retracement or 80 retracement they're
overlooking this fundamental issue which
is
if bitcoin is a digital monetary network
and if enough people with money and
power decide to adopt it
it's going to go up and increase by a
factor of 100 or a thousand and there's
nothing you can do to stop it
and its past is completely irrelevant
to its future right so looking back
makes no sense
the only question you got to ask
yourself laura is and here's the
question you got to ask
how much bitcoin is square cash going to
sell in 2021
on the mobile app that's the question
right how much is paypal
because paypal and square are going to
obliterate
everybody else's opinion about what they
think should happen
right yeah and so like i i think that
too many people in this industry have
been around too long
and they're captured by their past and
they and everybody wants to draw on
their past because they own it
well no it is true though that um even
when you look at
certain of the analytics right now it's
uh you know
we're in uncharted territory um one
thing i wanted to ask you about was
uh this was just something i didn't
understand so according to the gap
accounting rules
um your company needs to use the lowest
value of bitcoin in any quarter as the
price
and if it fall falls below the price at
which you acquired it you have to impair
the asset and write that value on your
balance sheet
so i didn't understand like does that
help you or hurt you in terms of
your bottom line or like the taxes are i
didn't really understand the
implications of that
the implications of of accounting are if
it's if it's accounted for as an
intangible asset
you can't write it up on a gap balance
sheet you must impair
it uh to the lowest price that it traded
at in the period in question so
what that means is that your gaap asset
balance sheet is not going to be as high
as if you were carrying it as an
investment asset
that's why uh that's why in some cases
it'll be more interesting for some
companies to
invest in it as a fund instead of buying
the underlying
asset right because you and even then i
can't really speak for how every company
will account for it because
every company has its own accounting
treatments and they all have their own
facts and circumstances and the facts
and circumstances get pretty complicated
okay so actually so that element um it
sounds like that
it can at times be negative for
for microstrategy i wouldn't
characterize one way or the other
okay it probably just sort of depends
what happens in that quarter
like i don't know what you're getting at
that like it
it isn't always 100 negative or 100
positive
define negative
i guess if you didn't like if you could
just use the actual
the price at the time of you know of at
the quarter ends
do you know what i'm saying like it like
if we were to just use that price as
opposed to
having to use the lowest price you know
i'd rather not engage in a discussion of
accounting with you
like i can't i can't see what the upside
is
of that yeah i was just trying to figure
it out
but you're right okay let's talk about
something maybe
more fun which is um i was just curious
how has your life changed
after it became public that
microstrategy about bitcoin
i engage in a bit more communication now
so i i communicate on twitter and i
communicate
on youtube and i communicate on
television more often because i think
it's important to
uh to be uh an advocate for the industry
and to explain what's going on i think
a lot of people don't understand uh
what bitcoin really is and they don't
understand the bitcoin network and the
emergence of a monetary network and i
think it's important
to communicate and educate the world on
that so
i'm more engaged in outbound
communication and education
uh than i was before
and i wondered so when city downgraded
the microstrategy stock
stock to sell it also indicated that
senior management had been selling
microstrategy stock
and they wrote quote we are also
concerned that the company could be
losing focus on execution with ceo
sailors disproportionate focus on
bitcoin
versus running the business and signs of
deterior deteriorating employee
sentiment
what do you have to say to that well i
don't agree
i think uh i think employee morale is
good i think the company is executing
fine and uh i i think the shareholders
would disagree
with the opinion as well but everyone's
entitled to their opinion
there are some people that don't choose
to own bitcoin and there are certain
banks and there are certain
entities that are more positive on it
than others so i think everybody's
entitled to their opinion
and what did you think when it was
revealed that renaissance technologies
was the third largest buyer of
microstrategy stocks since the summer
we have uh various institutions that
take positions in the company from time
to time
and that's changing almost every quarter
so uh we're flattered by
uh by the support from any any uh
reputable investor and they're all
pretty reputable so
i don't i don't play favorites i mean
we've got a lot of really good investors
that have that have invested in the
company and
and uh we appreciate them all so
your stock price has gone from 123 the
day before the announcement
to roughly 575 today what do you think
will happen
to your stock in a crypto bear market or
bitcoin bear market
i don't know i can't speculate i mean i
think what happens to the stocks
is is up to the marketplace the market
decides
again i think that that uh you have this
model
that you think that bitcoin is a
cyclical thing like a sine wave and
and and that's it's an implicit
assumption and the question
what happens in a crypto bear market but
if i had a model
that we're going to wire the world for
electricity
at what point between the year 1900 and
the year 1950
did the world unwire its electricity or
roll back its running water
or roll back its automobiles i i view
bitcoin as a monetary network that is
spreading
right it's a bear market in automobiles
and what year was that bear market you
know from the point that ford and
general motors started
right so it's like if you don't believe
it's an industrial network right was
when was the bear market in google and
you know since the company was founded
right
right it's more like if stocks are
reported on a quarterly schedule
i mean i understand what you're saying
because of course from a long
uh from you know a long time if we're
looking at a
long enough time scale then of course
what you're saying is is true it's just
obviously
you know the rhythm of stocks and
quarterly reporting and all that
is is really different well again
speculators and traders manage to
manage to speculate about volatility and
and focus upon
it but investors and industrialists are
more focused upon
upon building something for the long
term and the fundamental critical issue
to understand is
bitcoin is the most the technically
superior
asset in the world right now and it's
running on
the dominant digital monetary network
and that digital monitoring network
is growing and is spreading and there's
no reason i think it's not going to
continue to spread
was there a bear market in the internet
like like
at what point did it make sense for the
company to worry about a bear market in
the internet like if you were given a
interview to jeff bezos in the year 2000
he said are you worried about the bear
market the internet
and his answer would be i'm building a
great
online retailer and we believe in the
future
so i believe in the future of bitcoin i
believe the future of a digital monetary
network and i think it's just as
important to humanity as electricity and
running water in the automobile and
steel
and communications and the internet
and it's going to grow over time
and maybe there'll be good days and bad
days but
you know we don't do things based upon
whether or not we'll be up or down by
the hour by the day or by the week we do
things because they're the right thing
to do so
if you believe that the world will
benefit from a thermodynamically sound
monetary network
then you're going to invest in bitcoin
you're going to build bitcoin into your
balance sheet you're going to build it
into your p
l you're going to evangelize it educate
the world
and you're going to you're going to look
forward to the journey
and if you don't then you won't
i i think it's a mistake by the way for
all the for any
crypto traders or speculators to to
fixate upon speculating and trading this
thing
it's going to be like trading apple
stock in the year 2010
it's like you might like buy it for a
dollar fifteen and sell it for a dollar
twenty seven and brag to your friends or
or shorted at a dollar forty two and
cover your short at a dollar thirteen
but ultimately you're going to look
silly if
ten years later it's trading at a
hundred and twenty dollars a share and
someone's gotta say so you were doing
what you were making nickels when you
could have actually
made a hundred x or a thousand x that
much money by actually investing in it
you right you know you think the people
that are
all the wasted time and energy yeah i
mean people
shorting and trading and speculating in
the in the short term direction of
general electric or general motors or
you know or standard oil they're not the
ones that you remember you're reading
about the people that are actually you
know
henry flagler andrew mellon
you know the industrialist j you know
andrew carnegie you're reading about the
people that actually invested in the
future believed in the future
fought through the difficult time
periods and and held out for the long
run so
you could call it hodling but i don't
how about
just commitment commitment conviction
and conviction over the long term right
and not being caught up in the near term
i mean that's the strategy and i i can't
imagine that anybody
no employee wants to work for a ceo
without conviction
no customer wants to buy from a company
that's not committed
right no no vendors or counterparties or
nobody wants to do business with anybody
that
that changes their opinions and blows
with the wind day by day or week by week
so
i think you know there are some people
that can make money speculating this way
and that
and and trading against bear markets
that's not
the business of a technology
company a technology company needs to
identify new technologies and find a way
to invest in
new paradigm shifting technologies and
if you do it well
you'll grow and the world to be a better
place and if you guess wrong
then you suffer the consequences and
that's the free market
and i also wanted to ask about the
convertible debt offering
which ended up by the end being 650
million dollars
i i wondered how that works for the
purchasers um so they receive
2.5 shares of microstrategy stock per
1 000 principle in in notes so does that
mean that if the price of bitcoin goes
up more than two and a half times
then microstrategy gets a higher return
from these notes than the purchasers
do or i i wasn't you know i
i don't really fully understand this
world so it wasn't true
a convertible bond is structured
as partly bond partly warrants so
if you were to loan me 650 million
dollars
and as a part of a convertible bond the
first question is what interest rate am
i going to pay you
in this case say it's 75 basis points
three quarters of a percent interest
second question is what's the term
in this case it's five years at the end
of five years i either have to
i have to pay you back the 650 million
dollars
or in cash or i need to issue
650 million dollars worth of equity at
the then
current value of the equity assuming
that the equity is
lower than the strike price of the
warrants
so the first component of the bond is
it's a bond and you have downside
protection
the second component is warrants so in
this case
the bond converted at 398 dollars a
share
so that means that if the stock price is
above
398 dollars a share above that strike
then
you have uh the right to convert your
bond
into the share equivalent of 650 million
divided by 398. so that's like 1.6
million
shares so you in essence have 1.6
million warrants
if uh the price of the stock goes above
the strike
and if the price of the stock stays
below the strike
you have a bond which pays you back not
that much interest
less than one percent interest but you
get your principal back so it's a
principle protected way to invest in an
equity
it's not as it's not as much upside as
buying the stock
right you'd you'd be better to take 600
if you've taken 650 million dollars on
the day that bond was struck
you could have bought two and a half
million shares you could have bought
more than the 1.6 million shares of
stock because the
because it struck at a premium right 37
was the premium so if you if you wanted
all the downside and more upside
you could buy the stock but if you don't
want any downside
and you want to accept less upside
then you would buy the bond and so the
bond gives people participation
if bitcoin were to go up by a factor of
10
then they've got participation in that
not as much as the shareholders have
but right it presents an interesting
proposition
if i was an institutional investor i
could buy 650 million worth of bitcoin
or i could buy 650 million worth of
microstrategy stock
or i could buy 650 million worth of a
bond
they by the way and that's assuming
that you had a charter that was flexible
and and by investors have limited
partners they're like public companies
i have to consider what my shareholders
think they have to consider what their
limited partners think
so if you had a if you were high net
worth multi-billionaire
family office and you could do anything
you know by calling the phone
you have those three choices to make but
but as a practical matter what's more
likely is
you either have a fund that invests in
bitcoin and you raise money to invest in
bitcoin and that's what you can do
or you have a fund that invests in
equity
public company equity and uh you can
invest in anything with the ticker on
the nasdaq
you know amazon microstrategy facebook
but you can't buy bitcoin
and you can't buy bonds or you have a
convertible bond
company and sometimes you have
convertible arbitrage funds
where their specific strategy is they
would say well
laura give us your money and we're going
to buy the bond but we're going to
immediately short the equity and
the comment the common equity in the
market so we'll never have
that much equity risk we're just going
to arbitrage this and we're going to get
like 10
yield okay that's a strategy and if you
break that
strategy maybe your limit partners will
be irritated at you right maybe you
can't
but you could also have another fund
which is a convertible bond fund with
the option to go long
or to or to hedge it and and if i bought
your bond and i went long that means i'm
not gonna i'm not gonna immediately
hedge it i'm gonna actually keep the
bond and keep all the upside
down that's that's all of the different
uh situations
everybody's got a pool of capital they
can play with subject to a charter
a strategy and a set of limited partners
and then what happens is people choose
to make an investment based upon
you know their circumstances does that
okay answer your question
yeah that makes sense you kicked off a
trend with
so far only three companies now buying
uh
bitcoin for uh you know allocating their
capital bitcoin which are you
and square and now mass mutual but i'm
sure we can expect many more
and um i you know i couldn't help but
notice of course that you have
had tweeted with elon musk suggesting
that he convert
the tesla balance sheet from usd to
bitcoin did the conversation go any
further than that
you know i couldn't tell you one way or
the other
it would be inappropriate what i can
tell you is um
i think a lot of companies will do this
in the coming 12 months and you'll start
to see more announcements
because it's an idea whose time has come
there's uh
i i've seen a lot of interest and
there's a
a lot of private company ceos reach out
to me and they're
they've already done it they're just not
making announcements
but but this is actually more common at
least a hundred
oh wow at least a hundred that i know of
uh and what size typically like small
private companies or sometimes
billion dollar plus companies i mean
billion multi-billion
500 million 100 million so there's a lot
of companies in that sweet spot and they
you know
generally they they all everybody talks
to everybody right and
and us companies generally or
well i'm more familiar with the us ones
because i just have more connections
here but
and what types of industries it's
limited just to the us i think that in
europe and the far east and
in the middle east i think we're we're
actually seeing people come in
what types of industries do they tend to
be in
everybody's got money well it's just
money right like it's
like the the the amazing thing about
bitcoin is it's just
pure monetary energy so everybody on
earth
that has any wealth to speak of or any
any assets to speak of has the same
problem at the same time and this is the
solution
to everybody's problem it doesn't really
matter what business you're in
nobody's got a monopoly on that i think
that information is traveling a little
bit more in the u.s right now
because just because of the social
networks et cetera but
but it's not limited to that that i can
see um i've had conversations with
people in the far east
hong kong singapore london europe
dubai abu dhabi south america
everywhere in the u.s so there's a
non-stop
continual set of inquiries and i've seen
a lot of them have acted
i think that um we'll see more
public companies they're they're the the
higher hurdle because they have more due
diligence more compliance
more more issues to work with uh or
work through than private companies have
but um i definitely feel uh
i feel that's happening that's going to
happen in 2021 we've got
we'll have a couple thousand people
coming to our bitcoin for corporation
summit
in the first week of february and uh
this massive enthusiastic uh response to
that
everybody wants they just want to they
want to understand how to do it like
what
it would take you six weeks to 12 weeks
to work through the legal the accounting
the compliance
the due diligence and the other issues
if you're a major company with a board
with
auditors with lawyers etc so
what we're really doing is we're
bringing together all those experts and
we're going to open source
all of our all of our documents into the
public domain
in order to accelerate everybody's
journey by about six weeks and save them
half a million or a million dollars each
and then we'll just put we'll put those
top uh those ten companies on this
you know onto the uh the agenda so that
so that a company can come they can
figure out the methodology
they can see what their options are work
through the due diligence issues
understand how a gc
or a cfo thinks understand our auditors
think outside counsel think
decide who they want to do business with
and how
and and we will discuss the accounting
issues so if you want to go deep into
accounting you should come to that event
because we'll have our auditors and our
cfo
going in detail on accounting and
trade-offs and issues and
we'll have our our general counsel with
our outside counsel talking about all
the legal due diligence compliance and
regulatory filing issues
and i think we want to make it as
transparent and as
accessible as we can to the world and
was it all those conversations that you
were having with different
court companies you know officers that
led you to wholeness
yeah we got i mean i had a lot of
conversations i know
everybody from the point you decide you
want to do it if you're an individual
when i said i want to do it it took me
like
eight weeks to get through all the aml
kyc
you know education process as a company
it's about 12 weeks
if you wanted to go as hard as you
possibly could and i have a brilliant
team of finance and legal people and it
was
a small group so what we want to do is
just take
that 12-week process and we want to
we want to make it simpler and more
accessible and more transparent
and cookie-cutter because there's 10 000
companies with exactly the same issue
and they all just need to learn and so
if we can educate the 10 000 companies
then uh we'll we will speed up the
maturation of the market and we will
de-risk it right and and sometimes it's
like
do i want to spend a million dollars on
accounting and legal opinions before i
take this to my board
or what if i could just take it to the
board and spend ten thousand dollars and
spend three days maybe
it would i'm more likely to do it right
so we're lowering the barrier
to entry there by just uh by making the
stuff transparent
and so if you were to put a number on
how many fortune 500 companies you
thought would hold bitcoin by the end of
21 what number would that be
i can't give you a forecast i
i don't know okay more
more will right and so i'm enthusiastic
about what'll happen but uh you know i i
can't give you an exact
forecast the future i don't know so this
already seems like a new
line of revenue for microstrategy and
you've also announced that you're
looking into
developing commercial bitcoin data
products
what kinds of products are you thinking
there
first of all you know we're not doing
this for revenue this is a
it's a free uh summit and uh
we're open sourcing all of our
methodology and giving it away to the
world for free because it's the right
thing to do
um we will benefit and our shareholders
will benefit because
you know as yeah when apple buys 25
billion dollars worth of bitcoin
it will be good for everyone that owns
bitcoin right so
institutional adoption is good for the
entire network
and that's why we're doing it with
regard to
our other thoughts on on uh bitcoin
i think it's really important when
you're considering how
to plug into the network that you
take your strategic assets that you're
committed to
where that you're really good at and
then you plug them in efficiently as
opposed to
chase after new lines of business that
happen to be related to bitcoin where
you're not the
the world leader so for example
we are we're a world leader in business
intelligence and we have
thousands of engineering years invested
in
in software to extract insight from
large sets of data
so um if we can find a way
to to plug that software into
the crypto world or the bitcoin world
and the blockchain in some way that's
constructive
then we'll do that something like
hyperintelligence might be
if we come up with hyper intelligence
and we can apply it
uh in such a way that it improves the
quality
of of the exchanges or improves the
quality of bitcoin or is a convenient
uh a convenience or intel intelligence
boosting thing
for people using this data then we will
we're evaluating all that right now
we don't have any particular product to
announce
i think that um our first order benefit
that we get
from the entire bitcoin strategy is
the notoriety of the company as a brand
has been increased by a factor of a
hundred
and that makes it easier for our
enterprise sales people
to get meetings with senior executives
like now we get call backs from the cio
from the cto
from the c the cfo the treasurer the cio
the cto the head of
now they're more likely to know about us
and half the challenge is just the brand
you know and then and then if they view
your company as being
um on a solid footing and and uh
and of sound finance and if your stock
is working and if
and everybody's talking about you then
they go oh yeah microsoft i remember
them and uh
that makes it easier for you to sell
your existing
products and services it makes it easier
to recruit
big recruiting benefit to become more
famous
it makes it easier to retain employees
people like you know if you're
a company like tesla people like to work
for a company changing the world
if you're changing the world then that's
useful so
it's useful for recruiting it's useful
for marketing it's useful for
for relationship building um ultimately
our software is business intelligence
and hyper intelligence to people that
want to extract
any insight 99 of the world's data is
still not
on the blockchain as the blockchain
grows then probably a lot of these
things will will have an
inside leg but you know i
i'm expecting the great majority of our
revenues will be
in the business intelligence world and
uh that's fine
i don't think there's any any problem
with that
all right so at a certain uh at a few
different points in the conversation you
know obviously we've brought
up uh what's been happening with the us
dollar and
um interest rates and so i just wondered
what do you think will happen to the
global reserve currency status of the us
dollar
i think that um we have um
lost price discovery in stocks and bonds
and commercial real estate
and um that's because of the of the
you know excessive monetary inflation
we're seeing in the past 12 months
i think that bitcoin is going to
grow to be digital gold
and it's going to grow larger than gold
and at some point
that will bring back price discovery to
currencies
to bonds to stocks to uh monetary
indexes
so that you can imagine there's 500
trillion dollars worth of
assets in the traditional system in
bitcoin is irrelevant
and gold is not playing the role of
enforcer of monetary discovery it just
it's not working
we're not on a gold standard gold is not
going to be 20 30 percent of the
monetary energy is not replacing
safe haven it's not replacing cash it's
not replacing bonds as a safe haven
asset
people are using tesla as a safe haven
asset or it's a store of value right now
so gold doesn't work the world needs
um needs a safe haven store of value
that's sound money as bitcoin grows it's
not going to replace the currencies
it's going to be the the central core
it's like granite bedrock you're going
to build new york city
on granite you're going to see bitcoin
become a 10
trillion or 20 or 30 or 50 trillion
dollar thing
people that were buying stock indexes as
a store of value will say i think
bitcoin is a better store of value
instead of taking 15
of the s p why not take 200 in bitcoin
or 100
bitcoin was 280 percent right and smp is
15
in the last 12 months okay so
so why in the world would i ever buy an
s p a spider index
or vanguard 500 index as a store of
value and the answer is
people are afraid fear uncertainty doubt
not you know ignorant or fearful or
something
so as we regularize or normalize
uh bitcoin as an asset class
i think that it's going to demonetize
those indexes and it's going to rob
capital from bank accounts i mean who's
gonna who's gonna put money in a savings
account that yields zero percent
interest
right it's already you know square and
paypal are already siphoning off money
from a savings account right
so what you're gonna see there is
is um bitcoin becomes people have talked
about it they're like it's
what is it it keeps everybody else
honest
it's like it's like the sovereign
enforcer
of integrity in the world right
what if there was one country that
anybody could move to
that was fair and equitable you know
then if another country were to abuse
your rights
you would presumably you know blink and
move to the fair and equitable
country well we can't quite do that but
we've created
um uh cryptocurrency and cyberspace
which is fair and equitable
and if you live in venezuela or nigeria
or south africa or lebanon or turkey or
argentina you have the option to move
your money and it's pretty obvious
like it would be irresponsible to not
it's not a bubble right
you wouldn't describe bitcoin's
appreciation against the
venezuelan boulevard as a bubble you
would describe it as rational capital
flight
as a currency collapses into another
currency that's not collapsing
so i think what will happen is you see
that flight
governments have to respond to that as
that starts to happen with the dollar
and the euro i think that people will
realize that
when price discovery returns then
interest rates will begin to matter
again
let's go back five years right what what
used to be the reason that a country
wouldn't drop their interest rates to
zero
because if i drop my interest rates to
zero everybody attacks my currency
and all the capital flows from the pound
to the dollar
or it flows out of the euro it flows out
of the turkish lira or flows out of the
whatever and so your currency collapses
and so
so the check on irrational behavior is
capital flow and i think that what we're
going to see here
is we're going to see more and the check
on irrational asset pricing
is capital flow why are stocks
overvalued because people have no
alternative why are bonds overvalued
because people have no alternative
if there is an alternative the capital
is going to rationally flow
to the technically superior asset
and it seems pretty clear right if i
have something
which is the reliable that's going to
appreciate it 200
a year that you can't inflate away it
seems technically superior to something
which is yielding one percent interest
that is being inflated
yeah so we'll have to see what happens
to the us dollar
um so on twitter people told me to ask
you and i think this is a great question
what would it take for you to sell any
of the bitcoin
i would have to find something superior
to buy
like bitcoin is the technical it's the
apex asset it's the best
asset in the apex monetary asset
the technically superior monitor asset
if you define
money thermodynamically or
mathematically or based on any
engineering principle
it's you got a bath you got a swimming
pool and it's got a leak in it and 15
of the water drains out of it every year
and the other swimming pool
has no leak in it one of the two
swimming pools is technically superior
as a swimming pool
this is a technically superior asset so
i bought it because i was selling
inferior assets i'm selling the dollar
to buy the bitcoin i'm selling a stock
i'm selling gold you know not not buying
and selling right so
the issue really is like
why would i sell the superior thing to
buy the inferior thing
when you invent something which is
better
and you show it to me and by by the way
it can't be just
better technically right i mean
otherwise
some random bitcoin fork with a small
engineering commodity better
it has to when you show me a better
monetary network that has
more money in it that's more
thermodynamically sound
if you could basically take bitcoin and
if it ran ten times faster and it had
five trillion dollars on it and people
with more money than the bitcoiners were
using that thing
then i would probably throw in the towel
sell bitcoin
and buy that thing i would sell bitcoin
cash to buy bitcoin it's pretty obvious
why
when a hundred people with more money
than me pick something which works
better than my thing
and they anoint that as money then i
will buy that thing
and so that that's why you would sell it
i mean i'm sure i wouldn't sell it
to buy um a fiat currency
that's being debased right
so it i wouldn't i wouldn't buy a 20th
century thing right it's like
let me turn it around to you if you have
a house with electricity and running
water what would convince you to turn
off your electricity in your running
water
nothing yeah you see it it
comes down to do you see it as a as a
thermodynamically sound monetary network
that's the future of life on earth and
the base layer for 500 trillion dollars
of assets
you know do you see it as a railroad
what would cause you to stop using the
railroad
what would cause you to stop using
airplanes what would cause you to give
up on
on antibiotics when will you give up
your mobile phone
when will you stop using google what
would cause you to stop
using youtube and the answer by the way
is
when something better comes along right
yes yes
i see that if it's i think it all comes
down to a very simple
fundamental question do you view it as
technology
is it a technical network is it a
digital network like google
is it a railroads a network a power
network
is it a communications network is it a
technical engineered network is it
air transit network if you believe it is
your you expect it to grow for the next
10 20 30 40 years because it's it's
technically superior to the thing it
replaced
it's pretty obvious that if i can move a
billion dollars of gold around at the
speed of light
a million times a second everywhere on
earth
that's better than holding a bunch of
gold
right it's like if if i if i you know
like when will the guys in star trek
give up the transporter beam that
transports you at the speed of light
anywhere you want
it's like they're not giving it up until
you come up with something better
so if it's technology it will only be
replaced by better technology and money
is technology right if you if you're a
trader
and unfortunately there's a lot of
people in the crypto business that
they've been around it forever but they
still don't know what they have they
still think they're they're trading
little
coins and tokens and speculating and
they're trying to guess which token will
be up tomorrow the next day
they miss the big picture it's like
we've invented a monetary network the
first in human history
it's probably a million times more
efficient way to move money around
money is half of everything right half
of everything on earth
is an asset you need like your car
like your house like your clothes
like your art that's half and the other
half is just pure
financial energy it's optionality to buy
the stuff that you don't know you need
yet but you know
maybe you want to give the money to your
granddaughter your grandson
or save it for a rainy day so the half
of the monetary energy in the
in the human race is currently
moving around on in 20th century asset
containers called stocks and bonds and
try wiring 100 million dollars of apple
stock on a
saturday afternoon turkey it's like
you can't do it right you can't do it
right i mean this is why i don't get
worked up over crypto regulation it's
like
i can't wire a hundred million dollars
of apple stock to a private wallet in
sub-saharan africa so why would i be so
worried if the treasury wants to know if
i wire
a hundred million dollars worth of
bitcoin to sub-saharan private
wallet it's like yeah they might do it
yeah you might hate it but uh google and
apple
still hold value they're still valuable
even though you can't send them
to sub-saharan africa with privacy you
don't need
to actually have that flexibility so
bitcoin it solves a problem and the
problem is 2 you know 200
trillion dollar problem
we need one monetary network that
everybody agrees on
right and what what what is going to
make it successful i mean
basic technology protocol an open
protocol that is
that supports a deflationary currency
that's one thing
thermodynamically sound mathematically
pure we need it to not be
you know corrupted code then
we need you know a physical network of
hodlers to protect it we need
miners to operate it needs to be
reasonably decentralized
once you've got past that it all comes
down to can you get
institutions corporations you know and
individuals to embrace it
and if they choose to embrace it then it
becomes the network
and if they choose not to embrace it it
isn't so
this is the thing it's a technology
network it's it's probably in my opinion
it's the single biggest technology
advance of our lifetime
you could you could compare it to the
internet i mean andreas wood
the internet was an information network
what happens if i digitize information
and put it on a network
this is digitizing money i saw an
interesting quote somebody said
uh the two greatest um inventions of the
human race are language
and money well the internet is really
all about language
right if information is language so the
internet gave us
digital language moving at the speed of
light
a million times more efficiently than
you know i'm sitting in a library with
books
okay like books right that's the that's
the 19th century quasi-20th century
approach to
language very inefficient you might as
well be sitting in a vault of gold
and i so i think that everything you saw
on the internet that was
that was a digital language
and yeah it was important but digital
money
digital money seems to be more important
least is important we can debate back
and forth
one thing is for sure it's at least 10
to 100 times more important than google
and uh yeah the world needs it you know
when google came out
you know you could either buy google
hold the stock and
believe in it or you could be
perennially asking people about the
google bear market when they're going to
actually take money off the table and
how they're going to trade it and i was
like it's it's
it's just that's just so hard and
exhausting laura to try to figure out
when you when you're going to do that
we're a company
we're trying to make the world a better
place i have some capital
i have some bandwidth you got to decide
what you're going to do with it
so what i tried different things
we invented alarm.com we spun it off
it's a nice company you know we invented
business intelligence we run it we do
good
we have a chance to help commercialize
the bitcoin monetary network the world
needs it
it's probably going to happen with or
without us by the way i
think i wouldn't have done it if i
didn't think it was going to happen
with or without me right it's going to
happen
and probably if we're wrong then we're
wrong
there's 3 499 other publicly traded
companies that'll do something different
and then the human race will go forward
on their shoulders
and not ours if we're right maybe we
help
it along a little bit and the world will
be a better place either
be a better place for the people that
need a currency that have no other
alternative
or maybe it'll be more rational place
because price discovery will return to
stocks and bonds and real estate
or maybe better place because
politicians will treat people better
or maybe a better place because big tech
companies will find a way to move
digital gold around a billion times
faster than the current goal moves
around
and when they move it that fast we're
going to create something magical
that will go on i think um
i think if you have electric uh electric
power network with a short circuit
right people forget there'd be no new
york city there's no human
there's no civilization if i can't get
electricity
to flow over power lines without a leak
right right like people dismiss this
stuff but
new york city wouldn't be here you can't
make a skyscraper work
right there's some fundamental things
about our society right
there's no antibiotics without
refrigeration
or no hospitals right so if you want to
build a civilization you're going to
have to create networks that are
thermodynamically sound
and the railroads the power networks the
oil networks
you know and steel and and metallurgy
and other types of engineering and
automotive networks they're all critical
and i feel just as strongly about the
monetary network
it's it's it you want you know you want
an example
go look at what's going on in venezuela
or argentina right now
right you could spend a million hours
trying to
run a company but if you're running a
company
and you're a genius and the currency is
collapsing
that you're actually doing business and
it's hopeless
yeah it's hope it's it doesn't really
matter what you do
if the currency collapses the currency
is the blood supply and the oxygen
carrier of the body politic and the body
economic
so it's uh you know you could say well
you know
leave that to the politicians but again
name me one successful company in
venezuela right now
like there won't be any right there
won't be
any so so when i talk about it as a
monetary network i think it's important
because it means that
companies and individuals need to plug
into this monetary network the same way
they need to plug into oxygen
when the air and the oxygen gets sucked
out of the atmosphere
you need an oxygen mask otherwise you're
gonna die
and uh you could you can say well i'm
dying
slowly and so may you know it's like you
could you could say
i don't think it'll get any worse but
the point is at 15
a year there's a point at which
you're not going to be able to make it
so i think it's a it's
it's critical for humanity and it's a
critical engineering breakthrough and
if if you understood that when you
understand that
you're not selling right you're not
gonna sell
the only way you know if you have
electricity in your hometown and someone
says let's turn it all off you're gonna
say whoa
before we turn it off we better have
nuclear fusion in the form of a sugar
cube that we can give to everybody so
they can light up their house because
otherwise a lot of people are going to
die
so i think when you've got something
better
then we talk about it but until we've
got something better
the the best thing we can all do is find
a way to spread this monetary network to
the four corners of the earth
all right well this has been um a really
amazing conversation
um where can people learn more about you
and microstrategy and the upcoming
bitcoin for corporations event
they can go to hope.com bitcoin is hope
h-o-p-e
and we have tons of information about
bitcoin on hope
they can follow me on twitter uh michael
underscore sailor
otherwise uh that's probably the best
thing to do
hope go to hope that's where it will be
okay perfect well thanks so much for
coming on unchained
thanks for having me thanks so much for
joining us today to learn more about
michael microstrategy
and the bitcoin for corporations event
check out the show notes for this
episode
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without from anthony yoon daniel ness
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transcription thanks for listening