SaylorCorpus

Why Bitcoin Now: Michael Saylor on the Best Way for Companies to Buy Bitcoin - Ep.209

Unchained · 2021-01-26 · 1h 38m · View on YouTube →

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hi everyone

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welcome to unchained your no hype

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resource for all things crypto

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i'm your host laura shin a journalist

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with over two decades of experience

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i started covering crypto five years ago

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and is a senior editor at forbes was the

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first mainstream media reporter to cover

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cryptocurrency full-time

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subscribe to unchained on youtube where

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you can watch the videos of me and my

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guests

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go to youtube.com c unchained podcast

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and subscribe today

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today's guest is michael saylor founder

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and ceo of microstrategy

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welcome michael thanks for having me

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since events and bitcoin move so quickly

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i want to let the audience know that

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we're recording on the afternoon of

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friday

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january 22nd this morning microstrategy

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announced it announced it had purchased

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another 10 million

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worth of bitcoin quote in accordance

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with its treasury reserve policy

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micros microstrategy already has 1.1

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or had already purchased 1.1 billion

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dollars worth of bitcoin in 2020 that

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is now worth about 2.3 billion dollars

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is the treasury reserve policy

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simply to allocate any excess cash to

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bitcoin

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yes um we keep a certain amount of

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working capital in u.s dollars

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or in the local countries in yen and

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juan and euros where we need it

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and generally we target about 50 million

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dollars and then anything we generate

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from the business

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uh in excess of that we work to sweep

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into our treasury and then

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as soon as practicable we convert it

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into bitcoin

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and why did you decide to do that that's

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you know obviously quite a different

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switch

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from how pretty much any other company

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out there works

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so why did we adopt bitcoin as a

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treasury reserve asset you know i think

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that if uh

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if the u.s dollar was debasing

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at the rate of five percent or less a

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year at two percent

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my perception laura by the way was the

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us dollar was pr

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was debasing at two percent a year you

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know the inflation rate is two percent

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people preach

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we will not allow inflation to be more

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than two percent so

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if you just listen that you think well i

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guess cash is maybe losing two percent

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of its value or one percent of its value

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you know jerome powell says we can't get

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inflation we don't have any inflation

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yet so

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the average person would maybe think

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that the u.s dollar didn't lose

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two percent of its value this year and

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that was my perception for a decade

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and i think um the jarring k-shape

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recovery that started in march

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caused me to question all of my premises

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and all of my beliefs about

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macroeconomics i mean

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i mean let's be honest right you run a

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software company

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you're not really a macro economist

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right you're not really thinking about

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macroeconomics asset classes currency

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trading currency devaluation monetary

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inflation

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i didn't know what i couldn't have told

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you the difference between m1 and m2

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money supplies or the rate of monetary

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expansion

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in february of this year it just i could

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have preached to you all day long about

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apple watch i could have told you what i

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thought about

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the the transformation of mobile devices

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and wearables and

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phones and how it's going to change

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politics and sociology i care about tech

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i didn't really pay attention to money

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so i think that

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march was a jarring wake-up call and

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what i

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well you know somewhere along the line i

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started reading macroeconomics and i

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discovered safety's book the bitcoin

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standard and then i started looking at

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the rate of monetary expansion then i

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realized it was about five and a half

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percent for the last decade

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and then i realized the asset inflation

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rate was five and a half percent the

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cost of capital was five and a half

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percent

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and everything clicked and then i

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realized that the cost of capital jumped

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to 25

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this year and everything double clicked

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and then i realized the cost of capital

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was going to stay at 15

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or more and then i realized that

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if we didn't do something we were

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screwed yeah

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so uh you know then despair sets in or

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despondency and

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and um you know if if everybody had

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confidence in the currency and they have

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confidence in their asset strategy

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there's no need to do anything different

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when you have a crisis of confidence

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you have a crisis of confidence in a

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country you leave the country right i

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mean if you had all your money in

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argentine pesos at some point you lose

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confidence

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if you lost confidence in venezuelan

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boulevards at some point

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you realize you got to leave i think

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this was a crisis of confidence when we

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saw the k-shape recovery

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and at that point

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i realized i either needed to invest the

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money wisely

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or i needed to give it back to the

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shareholders and uh

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the giving it back to the shareholders

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is like it's a it's a nice flippant

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thing to do but you know then you

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decapitalize the company and then you

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have no assets

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and if you run into if you run into a

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business

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crisis you become insolvent and you're

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bankrupt and

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then things get really bad so we decided

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we had to

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come up with a treasury strategy

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we were forced to by monetary

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circumstances

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and bitcoin uh looked to me

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and to the company to be the most

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rational highest quality

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technically most perfected asset if your

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is to hedge yourself against monetary

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inflation and is this money then that

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you don't

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imagine that you'll need to tap at any

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time soon

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because so i know um bitcoin can be

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volatile

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in both directions but let's say it was

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a bear market

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then it's like that kind of like

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long-term investment money that you just

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don't feel like you're gonna need to

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touch

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yeah the decision was made easier for us

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because we're about a 500 million dollar

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company and we were generating

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25 to 30 million in free cash flow in

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per year in february but when we went

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through the lockdowns

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and and the transformation to what i'll

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call the virtual wave

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all of our all of our marketing sales

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and services dematerialized

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virtually and we started doing things

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via zoom

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online our microstrategy world

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cost three and a half million dollars

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last year

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and this year i couldn't spend the money

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even if i wanted to spend the money

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that's your annual conference yeah

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yeah it costs three and a half million

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dollars to collect 2500 people in a room

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now think about how much you spend to

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collect 2500

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people in a room well um

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here's a good factoid for you are our

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business

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travel and entertainment expenses year

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over year

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it decreased by what percentage do you

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think

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99 98

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98 okay it's a lot of money so

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so to make a long story short the uh

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the company's cost structure compressed

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our cash flows

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expanded and all of a sudden we realized

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we're going to generate not 25 million a

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year probably more like 75 million a

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and so we we're cash positive

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what's the second observation you can't

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use you can't throw people at the

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problem anymore

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hiring 10 000 people to knock on doors

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doesn't work if there's nobody behind

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the door they're not going to answer the

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right you can't throw money at the

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problem the

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you know you don't throw money at the

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problem you throw intellect

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and acumen the world wants to see the

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entertaining musician the most

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intelligent analyst

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the most charismatic articulate

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communicator

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they you know and that's what moves so

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um we realized that we weren't going to

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spend that much money we couldn't spend

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that much money

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if the company's going to be successful

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it's because the software works and

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people want to buy it

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and you better do everything you can to

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make it less

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friction free right more friction free

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brute force strategies that involve

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money and manual labor

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stop working we have a lot of money we

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have 500 million dollars in cash

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we have the at the expectation of

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generating another 500 million dollars

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in cash

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so there's a billion dollars in cash and

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cash flow

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and you know i guess the you know good

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news bad news is i give you a billion

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dollars and the bad news is it's not

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going to be worth anything in

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five years or ten years it won't buy

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anything houses went up twelve percent

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year over year

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so you have to make 12 more to buy the

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same thing you could have bought last

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so why do we adopt this strategy well

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well we have cash we're gonna have cash

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you can't use cash to grow the company

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anymore

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what can you do with the cash you can

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either buy the stock back

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you can dividend it back to the

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shareholders or you can invest it

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what are you going to invest it in well

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how about uh an asset

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inflation hedge that you you can't make

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any more of

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pure monetary energy now did we actually

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consider buying the stock

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sure we did we actually uh tendered to

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buy back 250 million dollars worth of

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stock uh at the same time as we

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bought the bitcoin uh it was the 250

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million dollar acquisition of bitcoin in

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a 250 million dollar

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tender offer and the idea was give every

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shareholder that disagreed with the

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strategy of investing in bitcoin the

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opportunity to exit

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their equity position at a profit was a

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dutch auction

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with the premium so uh some people did

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most didn't we took the excess cash we

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invested in bitcoin you know and if

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bitcoin was trading at 10 000

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right now we would have 500 million

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dollars of bitcoin and be waiting to see

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how the strategy works out but bitcoin

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traded up

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and it's more than that and so now we've

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we're i mean our treasury now is uh

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up 1 billion 300 million

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dollars the stock is up

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we have we now have a balance sheet

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which is in excess of like 2.3 billion

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dollars a bitcoin

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and now the question is what happens

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with bitcoin right i mean a business is

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two pieces

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uh your right hand your left hand the

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right hand is your p l

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your left hand is your balance sheet

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okay so

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you can grow the business by growing the

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p l twenty percent a year or thirty or

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fifty or a hundred percent a year if

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you're genius

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that's that's hard but i mean you can do

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it that way

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you can also accumulate shareholder

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value by growing the balance sheet by 10

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20 30 a year if you told me bitcoin was

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going to grow by 20

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a year i would think well if you're

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a year and you have 2 billion on your

0:11:24

balance sheet then you're going to

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generate 400 million dollars

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in in investment income or or

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uh or shareholder wealth in the 12

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months

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that's a lot easier than doubling well

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if we doubled the revenue of the company

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we still couldn't do that right right

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we would have to increase the revenue

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company by a factor of five

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yeah okay so you know there

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you can compete that way or compete the

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other way i mean some people

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you know some people kind of get irked

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like it's like you're cheating

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by making money an easy way well

0:11:59

everybody on wall street's making money

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that way and

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every financial company on earth is like

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making money by

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by holding or trading assets or using

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their balance sheet

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every bank does right so we simply

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adopted a strategy

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that would allow us to create

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shareholder value which is

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good for the employees good for the

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shareholders

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good for the brand good for the product

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nobody wants to buy

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software from a company where the stock

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is going to zero

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nobody wants to work for that company

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either right

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well one thing that's so curious to me

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is so you

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heard about bitcoin quite a long time

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ago and famously tweeted back in 2013

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quote bitcoin's days are numbered it

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seems just like a matter of time before

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it suffers the same fate as online

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gambling so i'm so curious because

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you know i just feel like a lot of

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people have this story where they start

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out as critical and then suddenly they

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kind of have a light bulb moment

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and i was wondering what was it that

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someone said to you or what was it and

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how they explain it to you that finally

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made you a convert was it literally just

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the pandemic

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or was there something else i don't

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think we'd be here if it wasn't for the

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pandemic

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it's the events of march of 2020 i think

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there was a catalytic month

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the k-shape recovery the lockdown of

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main street

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and the rapid recovery of wall street

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forced everyone to review their

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assumptions

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about the way economy works and the way

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you create shareholder value

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and uh so that was uh that was critical

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i think the the economic response of

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um of the bankers was kind of critical

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right i mean if the cost of capital goes

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from 5

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to 15 that's a catalytic event

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i it's very difficult to generate

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shareholder value when the hurdle rate

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5 the risk premium is 4 percent

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you have to get an eight percent yield

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or an eight percent increase in cash

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every year in order to create

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shareholder value

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and if you can't get eight percent or

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cash flow growth what can you do you can

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leverage up

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you can borrow a billion dollars buy

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back half your stock

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and you can take a four percent cash

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flow growth company and make it look

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like eight percent

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and so you can almost make that work

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from 2010 to 2020 right and so you look

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at every publicly traded company or

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every company you

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you can imagine how you know how do you

0:14:38

make stocks hold value you leverage up

0:14:40

how do you make real estate whole value

0:14:42

you refinance which is leveraging up

0:14:45

how do you make bonds hold value you

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refinance them how you do that you keep

0:14:49

lowering interest rates

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if you can lobby in order to get the

0:14:53

bankers to lower the interest rate from

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five percent to four and a half to four

0:14:57

to three and a half to three to two and

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a half

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you're leveraging up the bonds as you're

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leveraging up the real estate and then

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you're leveraging up the companies

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and you can use that to take a five

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percent grower and make it look like a

0:15:10

10 or 15 percent grower

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arguably apple did that in the last few

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years if you look at

0:15:16

apple's apple's revenues are flat for

0:15:18

three years its stock has doubled

0:15:20

right its uh cash flows were fairly flat

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but it was buying back its shares

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so that's one way to be successful the

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other way to be successful is to be

0:15:30

google or facebook or amazon

0:15:32

what they did is they grew 20 top line

0:15:35

and 20 bottom line so if you're growing

0:15:38

20 percent top line and bottom line

0:15:40

in an environment where the cost capital

0:15:44

that works right you hold that stock you

0:15:46

made money

0:15:47

that was a good trade now what happens

0:15:49

to every stock where you can't leverage

0:15:51

up and you can't grow more than the cost

0:15:53

capital

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they don't hold value okay so it's

0:15:56

interesting until 2020 but in march of

0:15:58

2020 it became

0:16:00

um untenable right because whatever you

0:16:03

think you might have done

0:16:04

at five percent cost of capital when it

0:16:06

goes to 15

0:16:08

or 20 percent cost to capital and you're

0:16:10

fully leveraged up and the interest rate

0:16:12

is at near zero

0:16:14

at that point how many companies are

0:16:16

there in the world how many companies in

0:16:17

the s p 500

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can grow their cash flows and their

0:16:21

revenues

0:16:23

25 like it from from now

0:16:26

from this point right right i mean it's

0:16:29

it just is impossible right

0:16:31

one percent five percent last year maybe

0:16:33

it was like zoom

0:16:35

nine ninety percent can't so coming back

0:16:38

to my

0:16:39

observation right when do people

0:16:41

discover new ideas when you're faced

0:16:42

when you're

0:16:43

forced into a corner when your back is

0:16:45

in a corner

0:16:46

when do people make paradigm shifts in a

0:16:50

when they die or when there's a war

0:16:52

right when the old generation dies and

0:16:55

that you know peter schiff's son likes

0:16:57

right bill miller's son likes bitcoin

0:17:00

right when

0:17:01

when the new millennials the pair a new

0:17:04

generation comes along

0:17:05

they might get it otherwise you need a

0:17:08

and uh you know what was the war the

0:17:11

currency war

0:17:12

when i actually crank up the inflation

0:17:15

rate of money by

0:17:17

a factor of three or four then you can't

0:17:20

ignore it so

0:17:22

what do i think in 2013 look i didn't

0:17:24

have a problem

0:17:25

i was you know my i had a solution the

0:17:28

solution was buy amazon buy apple buy

0:17:30

facebook by google

0:17:32

that was the investment solution and in

0:17:35

business

0:17:36

i had a business i was going to sell

0:17:37

enterprise software and i had to

0:17:39

i had a conservative treasury and we

0:17:41

invested our money in

0:17:43

in t bills and cash and you know laura i

0:17:46

remember when you could get five percent

0:17:48

interest on it on

0:17:49

overnight money five and a half percent

0:17:51

on uh

0:17:52

on repos no duration risk no credit risk

0:17:56

investment grade okay so that i mean

0:17:59

there was a time

0:18:00

when it would be rational and

0:18:01

responsible for a public company's ceo

0:18:04

to invest their cash in uh

0:18:07

in in those treasury assets and then if

0:18:09

you have excess cash you gradually buy

0:18:11

the stock back and we did

0:18:13

we bought back 300 million dollars with

0:18:15

the stock like large sums and then you

0:18:17

do your best to compete with microsoft

0:18:18

oracle sap ibm

0:18:20

and that's what you do well uh i think

0:18:24

what happened is a the inflation rate

0:18:28

went from five to fifteen percent

0:18:30

b we saw a k-shape recovery uh extreme

0:18:35

screaming success all the financial

0:18:37

companies are doing great this year

0:18:39

all of the you know service companies

0:18:42

and main street companies you know are

0:18:44

struggling

0:18:46

if you happen to have a stock on wall

0:18:48

street maybe you're getting a pass but

0:18:50

if you're a private cash flow business

0:18:52

and you're not financiable you can't get

0:18:53

cheap money

0:18:55

you're not right they're struggling so

0:18:57

so you have that on one hand

0:18:59

and on the other hand bitcoin matured i

0:19:03

bitcoin was one two three years old

0:19:07

you have to check the box will the irs

0:19:09

give it property treatment

0:19:11

uh will the sec deem it property that's

0:19:14

a pretty big deal being property and not

0:19:15

a security right you saw what happens

0:19:17

with ripple when you're a security

0:19:19

right it's illegal for cynthia alumnus

0:19:22

to promote a security in congress

0:19:26

whereas promoting property ownership in

0:19:29

congress

0:19:29

is the american way and so so that

0:19:32

decision is it property or is it a

0:19:34

security is pretty critical

0:19:36

i think if you look forward you say

0:19:39

bitcoin's been de-risked will it be

0:19:41

forced well it was and we know what

0:19:42

happened

0:19:43

will it be hacked it wasn't will it be

0:19:45

banned it hasn't been banned

0:19:47

is there any rhetoric to suggest they'll

0:19:48

ban it no except in china but you know

0:19:51

you know what else china

0:19:52

banned they ban google twitter facebook

0:19:55

okay how how those trades do in the last

0:19:59

decade

0:20:00

so china is totally consistent they

0:20:03

banned the information network

0:20:04

they ban the mobile network they they

0:20:07

banned the speech network

0:20:09

and they're going to ban the monetary

0:20:11

network and bitcoin's the monetary

0:20:13

network and that just means in the

0:20:14

western world in europe and the us

0:20:17

bitcoin is going to be the predominant

0:20:19

digital monetary network and then

0:20:22

it'll be it'll have rails on it be right

0:20:25

regulated in the same way that stocks

0:20:26

and bonds are

0:20:28

and when it is all the crypto anarchists

0:20:31

will be freaked out that there's some

0:20:32

regulation

0:20:33

and all the people at black rock and

0:20:36

pemco and fidelity

0:20:37

that have more money than god will say

0:20:39

okay well it's safe now we might as well

0:20:41

buy a hundred billion

0:20:43

right you know what i say to the crypto

0:20:45

anarchist is

0:20:47

why don't you just get along with the

0:20:49

institutions and the corporations for

0:20:51

now hold your nose and when you've made

0:20:53

billions of dollars or tens of billions

0:20:55

take all your money buy an island start

0:20:57

your own country and do it your way

0:20:59

just take but take the money first right

0:21:02

like because there'll be

0:21:03

time to do it your you could have an

0:21:05

island with no taxes and

0:21:07

and no and all privacy you do it exactly

0:21:10

how you want it but wouldn't you be

0:21:11

better

0:21:12

i mean to get the hundred billion

0:21:14

dollars first

0:21:16

and then start the country then to have

0:21:19

your privacy

0:21:20

and then have no regulation and then and

0:21:22

your bitcoin is worth like 42 dollars

0:21:25

right it's like it's it's not that i

0:21:28

don't believe

0:21:29

i look i believe the ethos i'm a

0:21:31

libertarian i'm all in favor of all of

0:21:33

these

0:21:34

all of these uh you know individual

0:21:36

sovereignty

0:21:37

and and the like i just i think there's

0:21:40

a certain order to go about these things

0:21:43

and the first order is make the monetary

0:21:46

network successful

0:21:47

yeah and then after that figure out what

0:21:50

you're going to do

0:21:51

and don't hate on square and paypal

0:21:54

because they put some rails

0:21:56

on on some part of the network it's like

0:21:58

it's still going to benefit you

0:22:00

as the hodler yeah right i mean

0:22:03

grayscale is benefiting every hodler

0:22:05

even though

0:22:06

you know that's anathema you know it's

0:22:08

not your keys it's not your coin but

0:22:11

arguably grayscale is doing more for the

0:22:13

bitcoin ecosystem than anybody because

0:22:15

they're

0:22:16

channeling huge amounts of institutional

0:22:18

money into it

0:22:19

right to the benefit of everybody um

0:22:22

earlier you

0:22:23

were talking about these kind of like

0:22:25

pivotal moments where the paradigm

0:22:27

uh changes and um

0:22:30

so when i heard the news that

0:22:32

microstrategy had first

0:22:34

bought bitcoin the name was familiar to

0:22:37

and then i remembered how i knew it and

0:22:40

you may

0:22:41

um know what i'm going to ask you about

0:22:43

but you know i knew microstrategy as

0:22:45

the high-flying stock back in the

0:22:48

dot-com era

0:22:49

was a total tech darling and then it had

0:22:52

this epic downfall that i was

0:22:54

watching you know every day in the news

0:22:57

seeing the stock price plummet you know

0:22:59

after these accounting or regulatory

0:23:01

irregularities were revealed actually by

0:23:04

forbes which is

0:23:05

um my former employer but at the time i

0:23:07

was following this i was working the

0:23:08

wall street journal

0:23:09

and so i'll just recap for

0:23:13

the audience it appears microstrategy

0:23:15

and you can feel free to correct

0:23:17

you know anything was booking revenue

0:23:20

deals that had just been inked uh but

0:23:23

booking that revenue on its quarterly

0:23:25

earnings to show a profit

0:23:26

or sometimes at least the sec said even

0:23:29

leaving contracts unsigned until after

0:23:31

the quarter ended and then choosing

0:23:33

which ones to sign to meet

0:23:34

revenue targets and so after this was

0:23:37

revealed and microstrategy redid the

0:23:38

accounting it showed that the company

0:23:40

had actually been losing money for the

0:23:42

previous

0:23:42

three years and so this was just in the

0:23:45

news and

0:23:46

i mean you were also quite the character

0:23:48

like there was a profile of you in the

0:23:49

new yorker and you know i remember

0:23:52

uh yeah just uh you know you seemed like

0:23:54

this larger than life figure

0:23:57

and um at the end of that year

0:23:59

microstrategy and the sec reached a

0:24:01

settlement

0:24:02

after the sec accused you of fraud and

0:24:05

so frankly when i realized this was the

0:24:08

company and person that i'd followed all

0:24:10

the way back then i was i was really

0:24:12

amazed that also that you had stayed ceo

0:24:14

so i wondered what was your takeaway

0:24:16

from that experience

0:24:19

well you know what they say about

0:24:20

experience it's what you get when you

0:24:22

didn't get what you wanted

0:24:28

look that the restatement was a low

0:24:28

point uh

0:24:29

in the history of the company uh i'm not

0:24:33

proud of it i learned a lot from it

0:24:35

and uh i'm still here you know and uh

0:24:39

i i think that uh it's probably not that

0:24:42

much more

0:24:43

i care to say about it it was 20 odd

0:24:46

years ago

0:24:47

was there anything about that experience

0:24:49

that you think

0:24:51

or do you think there's any link between

0:24:53

what happened then and then your

0:24:55

decision now to go all in on bitcoin

0:24:59

uh no i don't think so um i i think that

0:25:03

at all points in time for the last 30

0:25:05

years the company has grown

0:25:07

by harnessing technology trends and we

0:25:10

wouldn't have uh

0:25:11

we wouldn't have become a public company

0:25:13

if we hadn't actually harnessed uh open

0:25:15

systems and relational databases and

0:25:18

that was a new trend and we wouldn't

0:25:20

have grown if we hadn't

0:25:21

tapped into the power of the internet

0:25:23

and that was a trend

0:25:24

uh i launched a bunch of companies along

0:25:27

the way like alarm.com

0:25:29

and that was like a home automation

0:25:31

trend alarm.com is a multi-billion

0:25:33

dollar publicly traded company today

0:25:35

uh like it was it was uh yeah it was

0:25:39

all the home automation things that

0:25:42

google

0:25:42

and amazon are doing but it was 20 years

0:25:44

early

0:25:45

we launched a company called angel which

0:25:47

is like surrey

0:25:49

and alexa it was another thing

0:25:55

at every single point right if you don't

0:25:55

embrace a new technology when the mobile

0:25:57

wave came along we launched a bunch of

0:25:59

new mobile software

0:26:01

and that was how we grew and uh

0:26:04

and so today there's a monetary network

0:26:07

and if you want to grow you have to tap

0:26:08

into the monetary network they're all

0:26:10

just different

0:26:11

waves of technology and paradigm shifts

0:26:15

if anything uh you know what i what i

0:26:17

learned from my experiences back in 2000

0:26:21

be very careful right be very careful

0:26:25

you know it was difficult times right um

0:26:28

99 of the companies that we competed

0:26:31

with are gone

0:26:32

99 of the ceos that i competed with

0:26:36

are gone it's a 99 mortality rate

0:26:39

and uh you know i learned a lot i did

0:26:42

some i did a financing at one point

0:26:44

didn't work out well the stock gyrated i

0:26:47

learned to be careful about that i

0:26:48

learned to be careful about many things

0:26:50

but you can't quit uh thinking

0:26:53

about the world and you and you can't um

0:26:57

you can't allow your past to keep you

0:27:01

charting the right future and uh

0:27:04

i'm i'm quite sure this is the right

0:27:07

thing to do

0:27:08

i think the rest of the world will in

0:27:10

time agree with me

0:27:12

but laura at the end of the day uh

0:27:15

public companies are required to take

0:27:17

risks

0:27:18

to grow the business right so so there

0:27:21

are thousands and thousands of public

0:27:22

companies

0:27:23

there are some companies that don't wish

0:27:25

to be software companies they think

0:27:26

that's too risky

0:27:27

there are some companies that won't be

0:27:29

real estate companies i think it's too

0:27:30

risky

0:27:31

right the responsibility of a company is

0:27:34

chart a strategy communicate it

0:27:36

transparently and then let people decide

0:27:38

whether or not they want to buy from the

0:27:40

company or they want to invest in the

0:27:41

company

0:27:42

and i think that we're very transparent

0:27:44

about what we're doing and

0:27:46

it may not be for everybody some people

0:27:48

may not like

0:27:49

the idea of bitcoin they may not believe

0:27:52

it's a digital monetary network

0:27:54

they may think that maybe gold's a

0:27:56

better investment or maybe the us dollar

0:27:59

is a better

0:28:00

investment right they all

0:28:03

are entitled to their opinion and

0:28:05

they'll invest in

0:28:07

companies and assets that uh are

0:28:09

suitable

0:28:10

for their outlook on the world

0:28:13

all right so in a moment we're going to

0:28:14

talk about kind of what happened after

0:28:16

you made the decision that you wanted to

0:28:18

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0:29:26

back to my conversation with michael

0:29:28

saylor so

0:29:30

you uh have your light bulb moment with

0:29:33

bitcoin

0:29:34

and you decide that this is what you

0:29:36

want to do or where you want to put the

0:29:37

company's

0:29:38

excess cash when you proposed it to

0:29:41

the board members and the company

0:29:43

officers what was the reaction

0:29:45

they were open-minded they wanted to get

0:29:47

educated

0:29:49

so first we started with an education

0:29:52

process

0:29:53

and it takes a while

0:29:56

to to understand it and after the

0:29:58

education process

0:30:00

there was a consensus building process a

0:30:03

lot of meetings a lot of discussions

0:30:05

and then we developed a set of projects

0:30:07

and we assigned some work for everybody

0:30:09

to do and the cfo had his work and

0:30:11

the general counsel had a different set

0:30:13

of tasks and we considered all of the

0:30:15

legal

0:30:15

regulatory and operational and

0:30:18

technical implications then we came back

0:30:21

and met again

0:30:23

then we formed a consensus that we were

0:30:26

going to pursue

0:30:27

in essence a dual strategy right the

0:30:29

first part of the strategy was

0:30:32

invest in bitcoin and the other part of

0:30:34

the strategy was do a tender offer

0:30:37

and then we executed that and so

0:30:40

we didn't know how that would that would

0:30:43

evolve

0:30:43

right i mean when you have if you have

0:30:45

publicly traded company it's not like

0:30:47

you could just meet with the three

0:30:48

shareholders you can't even meet with

0:30:49

the 10

0:30:50

you can't meet with shareholders because

0:30:53

they're changing every minute of the day

0:30:55

from 9 30 to 4. so what we did

0:30:58

was was we we announced the strategy

0:31:02

telegraphed it

0:31:03

allowed the market to digest it then we

0:31:05

started to execute the strategy

0:31:07

we had a 20-day tender period that was

0:31:09

20 days for the market to digest it

0:31:11

again

0:31:13

you're in a dance with the shareholders

0:31:14

right because they could have tender 250

0:31:16

million dollars or they could have

0:31:18

tendered

0:31:19

none or they could have tendered some at

0:31:21

different prices we don't know what will

0:31:23

happen

0:31:24

so after the tender offer was complete

0:31:26

then we had better information

0:31:28

and uh we knew we had 175 million

0:31:31

dollars of extra

0:31:32

cash we also had rotated the shareholder

0:31:35

base we had a different shareholder base

0:31:37

everyone that

0:31:38

thought this was an awful strategy had

0:31:40

either sold

0:31:41

during the tender period or sold into

0:31:44

the tender

0:31:44

and those that stayed in the stock and

0:31:48

presumably actually a lot of companies

0:31:50

bought into

0:31:51

the public float based upon the strategy

0:31:55

right so you have a different

0:31:55

shareholder base and you have a

0:31:57

different capital

0:31:58

balance sheet situation so at that point

0:32:02

we announced uh that we were we were

0:32:04

going to expand our

0:32:06

scope and we are going to make bitcoin

0:32:08

the primary treasury reserve asset

0:32:10

without a cap right and that's that's a

0:32:13

another

0:32:15

important development then we move

0:32:17

forward to acquire additional bitcoin

0:32:20

with a new uh with a new shareholder

0:32:23

and from that point forward things

0:32:25

evolved

0:32:26

right we don't know how that the stock

0:32:29

price evolves the bitcoin

0:32:31

market evolves new things new

0:32:34

developments present themselves and then

0:32:36

we act accordingly and rationally

0:32:38

yeah i mean in hindsight we can say your

0:32:40

timing was extraordinarily good

0:32:42

um but one thing that i was wondering is

0:32:44

so that moment where you decided to

0:32:47

not cap the amount you know like kind of

0:32:49

a traditional

0:32:50

way of looking at a portfolio is oh you

0:32:53

would

0:32:53

invest some percent like you know

0:32:57

one percent two percent five percent ten

0:32:58

percent in to

0:33:00

uh uh what they would call a speculative

0:33:02

asset like bitcoin

0:33:04

and so what was that moment where you

0:33:06

said okay it's not going to be like a

0:33:08

percentage it's just like everything

0:33:10

that we don't really need right at this

0:33:12

moment

0:33:14

um at the and i mean i know you kind of

0:33:16

already answered it but is it literally

0:33:17

just what you were saying about

0:33:19

how cash is depreciating or was there

0:33:22

any talk about

0:33:23

trying to diversify or at the end of the

0:33:26

tender offer

0:33:27

i mean when we finished the tender offer

0:33:29

and we knew the result of that we had a

0:33:31

board meeting we made that decision

0:33:33

and uh i i guess i would um

0:33:37

i would take issue with your

0:33:38

characterization that bitcoin is a

0:33:40

speculative asset

0:33:42

that's yeah i mean right that that's a

0:33:43

value judgment or that's

0:33:45

that's a that's a particular

0:33:46

characterization it's a speculative

0:33:49

asset if you think it is but

0:33:52

if you think that you're going to lose

0:33:54

75 percent of your purchasing power by

0:33:56

holding the dollar

0:33:58

and bitcoin is the soundest money in the

0:34:01

world

0:34:02

and is going up 200 a year every year on

0:34:04

average for a decade

0:34:06

a rational person could conclude that in

0:34:09

fact it's the least speculative thing

0:34:11

you could do

0:34:12

right so it just comes down to your

0:34:14

point of view

0:34:16

as for and and this this is a

0:34:18

fundamental

0:34:19

uh issue too for example if you were in

0:34:23

argentina

0:34:24

and you had all of your treasury and

0:34:26

argentine pesos

0:34:29

and i was on your board and you walked

0:34:30

in and said mike the argentine peso is

0:34:33

10 pesos to the dollar but i think it's

0:34:35

going to slide to 20 pesos to the dollar

0:34:38

right and i think perhaps we should uh

0:34:40

take our pesos and convert them into

0:34:42

dollars

0:34:43

before that happens or convert them into

0:34:45

something else

0:34:47

is that speculation i mean is that are

0:34:49

you risking the company's balance sheet

0:34:51

and then if you came if i said no just

0:34:53

do half and you said

0:34:55

but we're gonna lose the rest

0:34:58

right i mean is it is it prudent

0:35:01

and risk adverse to only do half what if

0:35:04

i told you the peso was going to go from

0:35:06

one peso to the dollar

0:35:07

to 140 pesos to the dollar which is what

0:35:11

happened

0:35:12

okay that's what happened are you gonna

0:35:15

sit and debate

0:35:16

with how would you feel if i'm on your

0:35:18

board and i say to you well laura

0:35:20

you know i really don't think it's safe

0:35:22

for you to convert half of your

0:35:24

or 75 of your balance sheet to dollars i

0:35:27

really think that's unsafe

0:35:29

and you say but you know we're going to

0:35:30

lose 99 of our wealth of our shareholder

0:35:32

value

0:35:34

i don't know it's a speculative well and

0:35:35

now you're going to say well the

0:35:36

dollar's not speculative

0:35:39

well it kind of is speculative because

0:35:42

i've had a company in argentina

0:35:44

and let me tell you what happened when i

0:35:45

did exactly that i converted the pesos

0:35:47

to dollars and the government passed the

0:35:49

law converting the dollars back into

0:35:51

pesos devalued them ten to one i lost

0:35:53

all my money

0:35:53

right okay so it was speculative to

0:35:56

convert pesos to

0:35:58

dollars right so any decision you make

0:36:01

with the treasury has some risk in

0:36:03

hindsight

0:36:05

the least risky thing i could have done

0:36:07

was convert the money to bitcoin

0:36:10

if i had actually converted the pesos to

0:36:13

bitcoin

0:36:13

and not converted the pesos to dollars

0:36:17

right then i actually would have kept

0:36:20

the value and

0:36:21

we could go on to other assets right

0:36:23

maybe i should have bought gold with it

0:36:24

or bought

0:36:25

forest land with it or something but but

0:36:28

um this idea that it's a speculation is

0:36:32

is based upon i don't know some

0:36:35

it's some premise that people have in

0:36:37

their head they think that it's

0:36:39

it's therefore risky but if something's

0:36:42

going up 200

0:36:43

a year on average for 12 years in a row

0:36:47

at what point do you conclude that it's

0:36:51

no longer riskier to hold it than

0:36:54

to not hold it yeah i feel like you're

0:36:57

um one of the first people

0:37:00

in the hyper bitcoinization wave where

0:37:03

you know you

0:37:04

think in bitcoin it's like andreas or

0:37:07

other you know i've had olof carlson we

0:37:10

founder and ceo of pollington capital he

0:37:12

used to

0:37:13

just do all his money in bitcoin as well

0:37:16

um so one thing i was curious about so

0:37:19

when you went to buy the bitcoin what

0:37:20

were the most difficult points in the

0:37:22

buying process

0:37:23

you know what parts of the bitcoin

0:37:25

industry do you think could need to

0:37:27

kind of advance further to serve

0:37:30

corporate investors well

0:37:32

the two challenges that uh any

0:37:35

institution

0:37:36

or a company has when they're buying

0:37:39

bitcoin or

0:37:40

who do i trade with and then where do i

0:37:42

store

0:37:44

and that's somewhat related to the other

0:37:46

decision you have to make which is am i

0:37:48

going to buy the underlying asset

0:37:51

and take custody of it or hold custody

0:37:53

of bitcoin itself

0:37:55

or am i going to buy into a fund

0:37:58

i guess do i buy the bitcoin on exchange

0:38:00

or do i buy grayscale

0:38:01

or or an equivalent as a fund where i

0:38:04

have the economic interest but in fact

0:38:06

the fund manager

0:38:08

has responsibility for trading and

0:38:10

custody

0:38:12

so um i there are different pros and

0:38:15

with regard to those decisions and

0:38:18

different companies will make different

0:38:19

decisions based upon

0:38:21

their own circumstances i think you just

0:38:24

have to find the institutional grade

0:38:26

funds

0:38:26

or custodians and exchanges

0:38:30

we're actually hosting a bitcoin for

0:38:32

corporations conference and we're going

0:38:33

to have 10

0:38:35

of those institutional grade vendors

0:38:37

there and i'll be speaking

0:38:38

you know either with the ceos or with

0:38:41

their heads of institutional sales

0:38:44

and the simple question is what do you

0:38:45

offer for institutions

0:38:47

what's the customer journey what kind of

0:38:49

companies do business with you

0:38:52

right what what advice would you have

0:38:53

for them

0:38:55

i think you know the growth of regulated

0:38:58

entities is clearly a big plus

0:39:01

right when fidelity came on board i mean

0:39:03

all of the

0:39:05

companies getting uh licensed by new

0:39:08

state et cetera that's been the

0:39:10

financial authority that's been a good

0:39:12

thing

0:39:13

and uh as as uh

0:39:16

more and more publicly traded companies

0:39:18

and large multi-billion dollar

0:39:19

institutions get involved

0:39:21

they'll be interested in um in

0:39:24

doing business with custodians or funds

0:39:27

that that pass

0:39:28

their accounting criteria

0:39:31

where you're going to want to have your

0:39:33

sock your sarbanes-oxley opinions and

0:39:36

and your sarbanes-oxley controls sock ii

0:39:39

findings

0:39:41

uh and they have to incorporate

0:39:44

the fund or the custodians um

0:39:48

annual report uh accounting control

0:39:51

filings into their own 10ks

0:39:53

or or their own annual report so so that

0:39:56

development of

0:39:58

a regulated audited normalized

0:40:02

set of institutional vendors i think is

0:40:05

pretty critical to the industry and it's

0:40:07

been very helpful

0:40:09

i don't think it wasn't there in 2013

0:40:11

obviously

0:40:12

it wasn't in 2015. it's not even clear

0:40:14

if it was there in 2018 i think

0:40:16

really in 2019 and 2020 most of these

0:40:18

things started coming online

0:40:20

yeah so a microstrategy

0:40:23

average purchase price was a little less

0:40:25

than 16

0:40:26

000 and um right now you know the price

0:40:30

about 33 000 so you've more than doubled

0:40:32

your investment

0:40:33

and most likely by the end of the year

0:40:34

we're probably going to be in some kind

0:40:36

of bubble i imagine

0:40:37

so the return will be even higher and

0:40:40

you've said that you didn't buy the

0:40:41

bitcoin to sell it um but would

0:40:43

microstrategy ever take some off the

0:40:45

table when you sense the market is at a

0:40:47

and then just buy in later when there's

0:40:49

another correction

0:40:51

or do you just plan to huddle through

0:40:53

all the cycles

0:40:55

you know and whether those you know

0:40:57

whatever 80

0:40:58

down turns when the crypto markets are

0:41:01

in a bear market

0:41:02

yeah again i i just disagree with your

0:41:05

characterization i don't expect an 80

0:41:07

downturn i don't think it's a

0:41:09

speculative asset and i don't think

0:41:11

you can you can quote unquote take money

0:41:13

off the table

0:41:14

you know you're speaking like a crypto

0:41:16

trader right now right

0:41:18

yeah i mean maybe you'd be maybe you're

0:41:21

doing it

0:41:23

just to represent their interest

0:41:26

but um i don't see the world that way

0:41:30

i think that bitcoin is sound money

0:41:34

it's the technically superior asset

0:41:37

class

0:41:38

compared to the dollar the euro the peso

0:41:41

the bolivar

0:41:42

compared to a stock index compared to

0:41:44

gold compared to silver compared to

0:41:46

everything you can conceivably buy

0:41:49

it is technically thermodynamically

0:41:51

superior as an

0:41:52

asset so when you say things like that

0:41:55

to me and maybe you just do it just to

0:41:57

just to see what i'll say back i just

0:41:59

imagine you preaching to me in argentina

0:42:02

while you're asking me if i'm going to

0:42:04

sell the dollars and buy pesos back

0:42:06

again as the pesos leads from 20

0:42:08

to the dollar to 40 to the dollar to 80

0:42:10

to the dollar or if we're in

0:42:12

you know venezuela i mean you think a

0:42:15

venezuelan

0:42:16

company is going to like quote unquote

0:42:18

take some money off the table

0:42:19

by selling their their u.s stocks and

0:42:23

their u.s

0:42:23

dollars to buy back into local

0:42:27

currencies so then you know in zimbabwe

0:42:29

you think they would take

0:42:30

money off the table right like the point

0:42:33

is if

0:42:34

if you have the superior asset it's

0:42:36

going up forever laura

0:42:39

forever right i mean right but i mean we

0:42:41

can all look

0:42:42

bitcoin sort of as numerous investors

0:42:46

have talked about it kind of like

0:42:47

breathes you know

0:42:48

after having the next like year and a

0:42:51

half after it tends to go up and then

0:42:53

you know after it reaches some kind of

0:42:55

bubble it kind of

0:42:57

size a little bit and then then after

0:43:00

the next having we see it go up but you

0:43:02

know so it's

0:43:02

it's this kind of like up and down cycle

0:43:04

but the overall trajectory is up

0:43:06

so and it's not you know i these aren't

0:43:11

on twitter people were asking me to ask

0:43:12

you this as well i think it's a

0:43:14

perfectly

0:43:15

you know natural question to ask i think

0:43:18

um i don't think bitcoin is volatile if

0:43:22

you're an

0:43:22

investor if you're a hodler if you're if

0:43:25

your time horizon is one year

0:43:27

or if it's one year you're a short-term

0:43:29

investor

0:43:31

you can find like two or three times in

0:43:33

the last decade when

0:43:34

it wasn't great but it wasn't awful if

0:43:37

your time horizon is four years

0:43:40

you can't find a time when it wasn't

0:43:42

working

0:43:43

so i i think i mean just a normal

0:43:47

ordinary responsible investor with a

0:43:49

four year time horizon looking to say

0:43:51

this is very boring

0:43:53

right it's exciting if you're a trader

0:43:55

or a journalist and if you're on twitter

0:43:57

and if you want the news to change every

0:44:00

like people and i feel like on twitter

0:44:02

we've got a hyperinflammatory

0:44:05

hyper like a high speed short time

0:44:08

preference like i have to have an

0:44:09

opinion every day or every week or every

0:44:12

month

0:44:13

and that means everybody's always

0:44:15

generating news and there are

0:44:17

like if i if i take anybody on the world

0:44:20

and if i take a micro

0:44:21

uh with a microscope and i zoom in

0:44:25

and i'm a magnifying glass and i i i

0:44:28

zoom in by a factor of a thousand i'll

0:44:30

eventually find a blemish

0:44:31

like if you if you look at bitcoin

0:44:34

trading

0:44:35

every week you'll find a blemish if you

0:44:37

look at it every day you'll find more if

0:44:39

you look at it every hour you'll find

0:44:40

more if you look at it every minute

0:44:42

you'll find plenty

0:44:44

but if you zoom out to a decade or five

0:44:47

years

0:44:48

then you'll have a different view i i

0:44:51

really take

0:44:52

issue with every everybody that attempts

0:44:54

to apply

0:44:55

some statistical model i i'm not a

0:44:57

trader

0:44:58

i i i by the way to be clear trading is

0:45:02

is speculation and traders see the world

0:45:05

in short-term moves and they're alway

0:45:09

and and maybe traders love volatility

0:45:11

and traders love

0:45:13

controversy and you know traders love

0:45:17

this debate because it creates that

0:45:18

volatility

0:45:20

but this is an engineering issue for me

0:45:23

this is the year is 1910 people are

0:45:26

wiring their houses with electricity

0:45:29

and you're asking me at what point i'm

0:45:31

going to turn my electricity off or

0:45:33

or you're telling me how eventually

0:45:35

people are getting tired of electricity

0:45:37

and then you're telling me that wouldn't

0:45:38

i really want to convert back to horse

0:45:40

and buggy

0:45:41

and manual labor to take some off the

0:45:43

table

0:45:44

because electricity is a scary

0:45:46

speculative thing and i'm like

0:45:47

no it's running water it's electricity

0:45:49

it's automobiles

0:45:51

it's not a fad it's the future it's

0:45:54

it's not a bubble it's it's capital flow

0:45:57

when all the money is leaving the peso

0:46:01

going to the dollar

0:46:02

that's not a bubble in the dollar that's

0:46:05

capital flight

0:46:06

from a collapsing asset or collapsing

0:46:08

currency that people have lost

0:46:10

confidence in just like the stampede to

0:46:13

the internet

0:46:14

like would you ask a company when are

0:46:16

you gonna stop using the internet this

0:46:18

you know are you gonna stop using it in

0:46:20

a quarter because you've used too much

0:46:21

electricity and internet

0:46:23

can i say right and you're like well you

0:46:25

know i noticed that your facebook or

0:46:27

your twitter hits were going down or

0:46:30

they weren't as high so you just have to

0:46:32

turn off your thing

0:46:34

my and my view is is this is all just

0:46:37

short

0:46:37

term uh technicality and by the way

0:46:41

i don't think there's a single trader

0:46:43

with all the data in the world that can

0:46:45

predict the future

0:46:47

like for example you're going to go and

0:46:50

every line of data of every second if

0:46:53

you know every trade of bitcoin

0:46:55

since 2010 to today

0:46:59

how would that be a better indicator of

0:47:01

the future

0:47:02

if the future is based upon things that

0:47:05

are changing it's like

0:47:06

this is the thing i said to keith

0:47:08

mccullough

0:47:09

keith wanted to like talk about quad

0:47:12

models and

0:47:13

correlating bitcoin performance to the

0:47:16

and inflation and deflation and these

0:47:19

crunching numbers

0:47:20

and just like the fibonacci retracement

0:47:23

is not going to determine the future of

0:47:25

bitcoin any more than the fibonacci

0:47:27

retracement is not determining the

0:47:29

future of electricity

0:47:31

right okay and inflation is not going to

0:47:33

determine the future of running water

0:47:35

and if it's stock if the economy stops

0:47:38

inflating or if the cpi goes up by three

0:47:41

or goes down by two

0:47:42

it is not going to stop a tidal wave

0:47:44

from blowing into your beach if you're

0:47:46

standing on the beach

0:47:48

and there's a tidal wave coming the

0:47:50

first order

0:47:51

issue is that's a tidal wave and you're

0:47:54

going to tell me

0:47:55

well you know in the last decade all of

0:47:57

our statistical models didn't predict

0:47:58

the tidal wave and there's

0:48:00

or something it's like it's irrelevant

0:48:02

because it's an

0:48:03

engineering phenomenon so

0:48:06

a traitor that wants to preach to me

0:48:08

about what they think

0:48:09

should happen based upon 2017

0:48:13

in my opinion is irrelevant right for

0:48:15

and let's come back to the key point

0:48:18

if ten billionaires choose to buy

0:48:22

five billion dollars or a billion or two

0:48:24

billion dollars worth of bitcoin

0:48:25

each all of your models are irrelevant

0:48:29

all of your history is irrelevant it's

0:48:31

like everything you

0:48:32

like you think you know how things are

0:48:35

going to work out

0:48:37

and like how about all the statistics of

0:48:39

new york city for the past decade how

0:48:41

relevant are they to predict what

0:48:42

happens in new york city

0:48:44

right this month right not relevant at

0:48:48

so so traders i can't predict the future

0:48:52

the only way trading is not a way to

0:48:54

make money by the way in my opinion the

0:48:56

people that make all the money are

0:48:57

people that predict the future

0:48:59

henry ford right john d rockefeller

0:49:03

right andrew mellon what did they do

0:49:06

they invented aluminum

0:49:08

they invented oil they brought us

0:49:11

cars you know they brought us

0:49:13

electricity

0:49:14

andrew carnegie brought us steel mark

0:49:17

zuckerberg

0:49:19

not studying some statistical model how

0:49:21

did he get rich he kept facebook stock

0:49:23

he didn't sell it jeff bezos he kept his

0:49:27

stock

0:49:28

so at the end of the day none of this

0:49:32

statistics matters none of the trading

0:49:35

matters

0:49:36

none of the volatility matters these you

0:49:38

know people that are living

0:49:40

in their little world studying their

0:49:41

fibonacci retracements and and

0:49:44

preaching with like incredible

0:49:47

conviction about the the upcoming

0:49:49

expected 60

0:49:51

retracement or 80 retracement they're

0:49:54

overlooking this fundamental issue which

0:49:57

if bitcoin is a digital monetary network

0:50:01

and if enough people with money and

0:50:03

power decide to adopt it

0:50:04

it's going to go up and increase by a

0:50:06

factor of 100 or a thousand and there's

0:50:09

nothing you can do to stop it

0:50:11

and its past is completely irrelevant

0:50:14

to its future right so looking back

0:50:17

makes no sense

0:50:18

the only question you got to ask

0:50:20

yourself laura is and here's the

0:50:22

question you got to ask

0:50:23

how much bitcoin is square cash going to

0:50:25

sell in 2021

0:50:26

on the mobile app that's the question

0:50:30

right how much is paypal

0:50:33

because paypal and square are going to

0:50:36

obliterate

0:50:38

everybody else's opinion about what they

0:50:40

think should happen

0:50:41

right yeah and so like i i think that

0:50:44

too many people in this industry have

0:50:45

been around too long

0:50:47

and they're captured by their past and

0:50:49

they and everybody wants to draw on

0:50:51

their past because they own it

0:50:54

well no it is true though that um even

0:50:56

when you look at

0:50:57

certain of the analytics right now it's

0:51:00

uh you know

0:51:01

we're in uncharted territory um one

0:51:04

thing i wanted to ask you about was

0:51:05

uh this was just something i didn't

0:51:07

understand so according to the gap

0:51:09

accounting rules

0:51:10

um your company needs to use the lowest

0:51:12

value of bitcoin in any quarter as the

0:51:14

price

0:51:15

and if it fall falls below the price at

0:51:17

which you acquired it you have to impair

0:51:18

the asset and write that value on your

0:51:20

balance sheet

0:51:21

so i didn't understand like does that

0:51:23

help you or hurt you in terms of

0:51:25

your bottom line or like the taxes are i

0:51:28

didn't really understand the

0:51:29

implications of that

0:51:31

the implications of of accounting are if

0:51:34

it's if it's accounted for as an

0:51:35

intangible asset

0:51:37

you can't write it up on a gap balance

0:51:39

sheet you must impair

0:51:41

it uh to the lowest price that it traded

0:51:44

at in the period in question so

0:51:47

what that means is that your gaap asset

0:51:49

balance sheet is not going to be as high

0:51:52

as if you were carrying it as an

0:51:53

investment asset

0:51:55

that's why uh that's why in some cases

0:51:58

it'll be more interesting for some

0:52:00

companies to

0:52:01

invest in it as a fund instead of buying

0:52:04

the underlying

0:52:05

asset right because you and even then i

0:52:08

can't really speak for how every company

0:52:10

will account for it because

0:52:12

every company has its own accounting

0:52:13

treatments and they all have their own

0:52:15

facts and circumstances and the facts

0:52:17

and circumstances get pretty complicated

0:52:20

okay so actually so that element um it

0:52:23

sounds like that

0:52:24

it can at times be negative for

0:52:27

for microstrategy i wouldn't

0:52:30

characterize one way or the other

0:52:33

okay it probably just sort of depends

0:52:36

what happens in that quarter

0:52:37

like i don't know what you're getting at

0:52:40

that like it

0:52:41

it isn't always 100 negative or 100

0:52:44

positive

0:52:46

define negative

0:52:52

i guess if you didn't like if you could

0:52:52

just use the actual

0:52:54

the price at the time of you know of at

0:52:57

the quarter ends

0:52:58

do you know what i'm saying like it like

0:52:59

if we were to just use that price as

0:53:01

opposed to

0:53:03

having to use the lowest price you know

0:53:05

i'd rather not engage in a discussion of

0:53:07

accounting with you

0:53:09

like i can't i can't see what the upside

0:53:14

of that yeah i was just trying to figure

0:53:17

it out

0:53:17

but you're right okay let's talk about

0:53:19

something maybe

0:53:20

more fun which is um i was just curious

0:53:23

how has your life changed

0:53:25

after it became public that

0:53:26

microstrategy about bitcoin

0:53:28

i engage in a bit more communication now

0:53:32

so i i communicate on twitter and i

0:53:36

communicate

0:53:37

on youtube and i communicate on

0:53:40

television more often because i think

0:53:42

it's important to

0:53:43

uh to be uh an advocate for the industry

0:53:47

and to explain what's going on i think

0:53:51

a lot of people don't understand uh

0:53:54

what bitcoin really is and they don't

0:53:56

understand the bitcoin network and the

0:53:58

emergence of a monetary network and i

0:54:00

think it's important

0:54:01

to communicate and educate the world on

0:54:04

that so

0:54:04

i'm more engaged in outbound

0:54:06

communication and education

0:54:08

uh than i was before

0:54:11

and i wondered so when city downgraded

0:54:13

the microstrategy stock

0:54:15

stock to sell it also indicated that

0:54:17

senior management had been selling

0:54:19

microstrategy stock

0:54:20

and they wrote quote we are also

0:54:22

concerned that the company could be

0:54:23

losing focus on execution with ceo

0:54:25

sailors disproportionate focus on

0:54:27

bitcoin

0:54:28

versus running the business and signs of

0:54:29

deterior deteriorating employee

0:54:32

sentiment

0:54:33

what do you have to say to that well i

0:54:35

don't agree

0:54:37

i think uh i think employee morale is

0:54:39

good i think the company is executing

0:54:42

fine and uh i i think the shareholders

0:54:46

would disagree

0:54:47

with the opinion as well but everyone's

0:54:50

entitled to their opinion

0:54:52

there are some people that don't choose

0:54:53

to own bitcoin and there are certain

0:54:56

banks and there are certain

0:54:57

entities that are more positive on it

0:54:59

than others so i think everybody's

0:55:01

entitled to their opinion

0:55:04

and what did you think when it was

0:55:05

revealed that renaissance technologies

0:55:07

was the third largest buyer of

0:55:08

microstrategy stocks since the summer

0:55:11

we have uh various institutions that

0:55:13

take positions in the company from time

0:55:15

to time

0:55:16

and that's changing almost every quarter

0:55:19

so uh we're flattered by

0:55:21

uh by the support from any any uh

0:55:24

reputable investor and they're all

0:55:26

pretty reputable so

0:55:28

i don't i don't play favorites i mean

0:55:30

we've got a lot of really good investors

0:55:31

that have that have invested in the

0:55:33

company and

0:55:34

and uh we appreciate them all so

0:55:37

your stock price has gone from 123 the

0:55:40

day before the announcement

0:55:41

to roughly 575 today what do you think

0:55:45

will happen

0:55:45

to your stock in a crypto bear market or

0:55:47

bitcoin bear market

0:55:50

i don't know i can't speculate i mean i

0:55:52

think what happens to the stocks

0:55:54

is is up to the marketplace the market

0:55:57

decides

0:55:58

again i think that that uh you have this

0:56:02

model

0:56:02

that you think that bitcoin is a

0:56:04

cyclical thing like a sine wave and

0:56:06

and and that's it's an implicit

0:56:09

assumption and the question

0:56:11

what happens in a crypto bear market but

0:56:13

if i had a model

0:56:15

that we're going to wire the world for

0:56:17

electricity

0:56:19

at what point between the year 1900 and

0:56:22

the year 1950

0:56:24

did the world unwire its electricity or

0:56:27

roll back its running water

0:56:29

or roll back its automobiles i i view

0:56:32

bitcoin as a monetary network that is

0:56:34

spreading

0:56:35

right it's a bear market in automobiles

0:56:39

and what year was that bear market you

0:56:41

know from the point that ford and

0:56:42

general motors started

0:56:43

right so it's like if you don't believe

0:56:47

it's an industrial network right was

0:56:50

when was the bear market in google and

0:56:53

you know since the company was founded

0:56:54

right

0:56:55

right it's more like if stocks are

0:56:57

reported on a quarterly schedule

0:56:59

i mean i understand what you're saying

0:57:01

because of course from a long

0:57:02

uh from you know a long time if we're

0:57:05

looking at a

0:57:06

long enough time scale then of course

0:57:08

what you're saying is is true it's just

0:57:10

obviously

0:57:11

you know the rhythm of stocks and

0:57:13

quarterly reporting and all that

0:57:14

is is really different well again

0:57:18

speculators and traders manage to

0:57:22

manage to speculate about volatility and

0:57:25

and focus upon

0:57:26

it but investors and industrialists are

0:57:28

more focused upon

0:57:29

upon building something for the long

0:57:31

term and the fundamental critical issue

0:57:34

to understand is

0:57:37

bitcoin is the most the technically

0:57:40

superior

0:57:41

asset in the world right now and it's

0:57:44

running on

0:57:45

the dominant digital monetary network

0:57:47

and that digital monitoring network

0:57:49

is growing and is spreading and there's

0:57:52

no reason i think it's not going to

0:57:53

continue to spread

0:57:55

was there a bear market in the internet

0:57:57

like like

0:57:58

at what point did it make sense for the

0:58:01

company to worry about a bear market in

0:58:03

the internet like if you were given a

0:58:05

interview to jeff bezos in the year 2000

0:58:08

he said are you worried about the bear

0:58:09

market the internet

0:58:11

and his answer would be i'm building a

0:58:14

great

0:58:14

online retailer and we believe in the

0:58:18

future

0:58:19

so i believe in the future of bitcoin i

0:58:21

believe the future of a digital monetary

0:58:23

network and i think it's just as

0:58:25

important to humanity as electricity and

0:58:27

running water in the automobile and

0:58:29

steel

0:58:30

and communications and the internet

0:58:33

and it's going to grow over time

0:58:36

and maybe there'll be good days and bad

0:58:38

days but

0:58:39

you know we don't do things based upon

0:58:43

whether or not we'll be up or down by

0:58:45

the hour by the day or by the week we do

0:58:47

things because they're the right thing

0:58:49

to do so

0:58:50

if you believe that the world will

0:58:52

benefit from a thermodynamically sound

0:58:55

monetary network

0:58:56

then you're going to invest in bitcoin

0:58:59

you're going to build bitcoin into your

0:59:01

balance sheet you're going to build it

0:59:02

into your p

0:59:03

l you're going to evangelize it educate

0:59:05

the world

0:59:06

and you're going to you're going to look

0:59:09

forward to the journey

0:59:11

and if you don't then you won't

0:59:14

i i think it's a mistake by the way for

0:59:17

all the for any

0:59:18

crypto traders or speculators to to

0:59:21

fixate upon speculating and trading this

0:59:23

thing

0:59:24

it's going to be like trading apple

0:59:26

stock in the year 2010

0:59:29

it's like you might like buy it for a

0:59:31

dollar fifteen and sell it for a dollar

0:59:33

twenty seven and brag to your friends or

0:59:36

or shorted at a dollar forty two and

0:59:38

cover your short at a dollar thirteen

0:59:41

but ultimately you're going to look

0:59:43

silly if

0:59:45

ten years later it's trading at a

0:59:46

hundred and twenty dollars a share and

0:59:48

someone's gotta say so you were doing

0:59:50

what you were making nickels when you

0:59:51

could have actually

0:59:53

made a hundred x or a thousand x that

0:59:55

much money by actually investing in it

0:59:57

you right you know you think the people

1:00:00

that are

1:00:01

all the wasted time and energy yeah i

1:00:03

mean people

1:00:04

shorting and trading and speculating in

1:00:06

the in the short term direction of

1:00:07

general electric or general motors or

1:00:10

you know or standard oil they're not the

1:00:12

ones that you remember you're reading

1:00:14

about the people that are actually you

1:00:16

henry flagler andrew mellon

1:00:19

you know the industrialist j you know

1:00:21

andrew carnegie you're reading about the

1:00:23

people that actually invested in the

1:00:24

future believed in the future

1:00:26

fought through the difficult time

1:00:28

periods and and held out for the long

1:00:30

run so

1:00:31

you could call it hodling but i don't

1:00:34

how about

1:00:34

just commitment commitment conviction

1:00:39

and conviction over the long term right

1:00:41

and not being caught up in the near term

1:00:44

i mean that's the strategy and i i can't

1:00:47

imagine that anybody

1:00:49

no employee wants to work for a ceo

1:00:51

without conviction

1:00:52

no customer wants to buy from a company

1:00:54

that's not committed

1:00:56

right no no vendors or counterparties or

1:00:59

nobody wants to do business with anybody

1:01:01

that changes their opinions and blows

1:01:04

with the wind day by day or week by week

1:01:08

i think you know there are some people

1:01:09

that can make money speculating this way

1:01:12

and that

1:01:12

and and trading against bear markets

1:01:15

that's not

1:01:16

the business of a technology

1:01:19

company a technology company needs to

1:01:22

identify new technologies and find a way

1:01:26

to invest in

1:01:28

new paradigm shifting technologies and

1:01:31

if you do it well

1:01:33

you'll grow and the world to be a better

1:01:35

place and if you guess wrong

1:01:37

then you suffer the consequences and

1:01:39

that's the free market

1:01:41

and i also wanted to ask about the

1:01:43

convertible debt offering

1:01:45

which ended up by the end being 650

1:01:47

million dollars

1:01:48

i i wondered how that works for the

1:01:50

purchasers um so they receive

1:01:52

2.5 shares of microstrategy stock per

1:01:56

1 000 principle in in notes so does that

1:01:58

mean that if the price of bitcoin goes

1:02:00

up more than two and a half times

1:02:02

then microstrategy gets a higher return

1:02:04

from these notes than the purchasers

1:02:06

do or i i wasn't you know i

1:02:09

i don't really fully understand this

1:02:10

world so it wasn't true

1:02:12

a convertible bond is structured

1:02:16

as partly bond partly warrants so

1:02:19

if you were to loan me 650 million

1:02:23

dollars

1:02:25

and as a part of a convertible bond the

1:02:27

first question is what interest rate am

1:02:29

i going to pay you

1:02:30

in this case say it's 75 basis points

1:02:33

three quarters of a percent interest

1:02:35

second question is what's the term

1:02:37

in this case it's five years at the end

1:02:39

of five years i either have to

1:02:41

i have to pay you back the 650 million

1:02:44

dollars

1:02:45

or in cash or i need to issue

1:02:48

650 million dollars worth of equity at

1:02:51

the then

1:02:51

current value of the equity assuming

1:02:54

that the equity is

1:02:55

lower than the strike price of the

1:02:57

warrants

1:02:58

so the first component of the bond is

1:03:00

it's a bond and you have downside

1:03:02

protection

1:03:03

the second component is warrants so in

1:03:06

this case

1:03:07

the bond converted at 398 dollars a

1:03:10

share

1:03:11

so that means that if the stock price is

1:03:14

above

1:03:15

398 dollars a share above that strike

1:03:19

you have uh the right to convert your

1:03:23

into the share equivalent of 650 million

1:03:27

divided by 398. so that's like 1.6

1:03:30

million

1:03:31

shares so you in essence have 1.6

1:03:34

million warrants

1:03:36

if uh the price of the stock goes above

1:03:38

the strike

1:03:39

and if the price of the stock stays

1:03:41

below the strike

1:03:42

you have a bond which pays you back not

1:03:45

that much interest

1:03:46

less than one percent interest but you

1:03:47

get your principal back so it's a

1:03:49

principle protected way to invest in an

1:03:51

equity

1:03:52

it's not as it's not as much upside as

1:03:56

buying the stock

1:03:57

right you'd you'd be better to take 600

1:04:00

if you've taken 650 million dollars on

1:04:02

the day that bond was struck

1:04:05

you could have bought two and a half

1:04:07

million shares you could have bought

1:04:08

more than the 1.6 million shares of

1:04:10

stock because the

1:04:12

because it struck at a premium right 37

1:04:15

was the premium so if you if you wanted

1:04:18

all the downside and more upside

1:04:20

you could buy the stock but if you don't

1:04:22

want any downside

1:04:24

and you want to accept less upside

1:04:27

then you would buy the bond and so the

1:04:29

bond gives people participation

1:04:32

if bitcoin were to go up by a factor of

1:04:35

then they've got participation in that

1:04:38

not as much as the shareholders have

1:04:42

but right it presents an interesting

1:04:45

proposition

1:04:47

if i was an institutional investor i

1:04:49

could buy 650 million worth of bitcoin

1:04:52

or i could buy 650 million worth of

1:04:55

microstrategy stock

1:04:57

or i could buy 650 million worth of a

1:05:00

they by the way and that's assuming

1:05:03

that you had a charter that was flexible

1:05:07

and and by investors have limited

1:05:09

partners they're like public companies

1:05:11

i have to consider what my shareholders

1:05:12

think they have to consider what their

1:05:14

limited partners think

1:05:16

so if you had a if you were high net

1:05:19

worth multi-billionaire

1:05:20

family office and you could do anything

1:05:22

you know by calling the phone

1:05:23

you have those three choices to make but

1:05:26

but as a practical matter what's more

1:05:28

likely is

1:05:29

you either have a fund that invests in

1:05:31

bitcoin and you raise money to invest in

1:05:33

bitcoin and that's what you can do

1:05:35

or you have a fund that invests in

1:05:37

equity

1:05:38

public company equity and uh you can

1:05:42

invest in anything with the ticker on

1:05:43

the nasdaq

1:05:44

you know amazon microstrategy facebook

1:05:47

but you can't buy bitcoin

1:05:49

and you can't buy bonds or you have a

1:05:52

convertible bond

1:05:53

company and sometimes you have

1:05:55

convertible arbitrage funds

1:05:57

where their specific strategy is they

1:05:59

would say well

1:06:00

laura give us your money and we're going

1:06:02

to buy the bond but we're going to

1:06:04

immediately short the equity and

1:06:06

the comment the common equity in the

1:06:08

market so we'll never have

1:06:09

that much equity risk we're just going

1:06:11

to arbitrage this and we're going to get

1:06:12

like 10

1:06:13

yield okay that's a strategy and if you

1:06:17

break that

1:06:18

strategy maybe your limit partners will

1:06:19

be irritated at you right maybe you

1:06:21

can't

1:06:22

but you could also have another fund

1:06:24

which is a convertible bond fund with

1:06:25

the option to go long

1:06:28

or to or to hedge it and and if i bought

1:06:31

your bond and i went long that means i'm

1:06:33

not gonna i'm not gonna immediately

1:06:35

hedge it i'm gonna actually keep the

1:06:36

bond and keep all the upside

1:06:39

down that's that's all of the different

1:06:41

uh situations

1:06:42

everybody's got a pool of capital they

1:06:46

can play with subject to a charter

1:06:48

a strategy and a set of limited partners

1:06:51

and then what happens is people choose

1:06:54

to make an investment based upon

1:06:56

you know their circumstances does that

1:06:58

okay answer your question

1:07:00

yeah that makes sense you kicked off a

1:07:02

trend with

1:07:03

so far only three companies now buying

1:07:06

bitcoin for uh you know allocating their

1:07:09

capital bitcoin which are you

1:07:10

and square and now mass mutual but i'm

1:07:12

sure we can expect many more

1:07:14

and um i you know i couldn't help but

1:07:17

notice of course that you have

1:07:19

had tweeted with elon musk suggesting

1:07:21

that he convert

1:07:22

the tesla balance sheet from usd to

1:07:24

bitcoin did the conversation go any

1:07:26

further than that

1:07:28

you know i couldn't tell you one way or

1:07:29

the other

1:07:31

it would be inappropriate what i can

1:07:34

tell you is um

1:07:36

i think a lot of companies will do this

1:07:38

in the coming 12 months and you'll start

1:07:39

to see more announcements

1:07:41

because it's an idea whose time has come

1:07:44

there's uh

1:07:45

i i've seen a lot of interest and

1:07:47

there's a

1:07:48

a lot of private company ceos reach out

1:07:50

to me and they're

1:07:51

they've already done it they're just not

1:07:52

making announcements

1:07:55

but but this is actually more common at

1:07:58

least a hundred

1:07:59

oh wow at least a hundred that i know of

1:08:01

uh and what size typically like small

1:08:04

private companies or sometimes

1:08:07

billion dollar plus companies i mean

1:08:09

billion multi-billion

1:08:11

500 million 100 million so there's a lot

1:08:14

of companies in that sweet spot and they

1:08:16

you know

1:08:17

generally they they all everybody talks

1:08:19

to everybody right and

1:08:21

and us companies generally or

1:08:25

well i'm more familiar with the us ones

1:08:27

because i just have more connections

1:08:28

here but

1:08:29

and what types of industries it's

1:08:31

limited just to the us i think that in

1:08:33

europe and the far east and

1:08:35

in the middle east i think we're we're

1:08:37

actually seeing people come in

1:08:40

what types of industries do they tend to

1:08:41

be in

1:08:43

everybody's got money well it's just

1:08:46

money right like it's

1:08:48

like the the the amazing thing about

1:08:50

bitcoin is it's just

1:08:52

pure monetary energy so everybody on

1:08:55

earth

1:08:56

that has any wealth to speak of or any

1:08:59

any assets to speak of has the same

1:09:01

problem at the same time and this is the

1:09:03

solution

1:09:04

to everybody's problem it doesn't really

1:09:06

matter what business you're in

1:09:08

nobody's got a monopoly on that i think

1:09:10

that information is traveling a little

1:09:12

bit more in the u.s right now

1:09:14

because just because of the social

1:09:16

networks et cetera but

1:09:18

but it's not limited to that that i can

1:09:20

see um i've had conversations with

1:09:23

people in the far east

1:09:24

hong kong singapore london europe

1:09:27

dubai abu dhabi south america

1:09:32

everywhere in the u.s so there's a

1:09:34

non-stop

1:09:35

continual set of inquiries and i've seen

1:09:37

a lot of them have acted

1:09:40

i think that um we'll see more

1:09:44

public companies they're they're the the

1:09:47

higher hurdle because they have more due

1:09:49

diligence more compliance

1:09:51

more more issues to work with uh or

1:09:54

work through than private companies have

1:09:58

but um i definitely feel uh

1:10:01

i feel that's happening that's going to

1:10:03

happen in 2021 we've got

1:10:05

we'll have a couple thousand people

1:10:07

coming to our bitcoin for corporation

1:10:09

summit

1:10:09

in the first week of february and uh

1:10:13

this massive enthusiastic uh response to

1:10:18

everybody wants they just want to they

1:10:21

want to understand how to do it like

1:10:23

it would take you six weeks to 12 weeks

1:10:25

to work through the legal the accounting

1:10:27

the compliance

1:10:28

the due diligence and the other issues

1:10:31

if you're a major company with a board

1:10:33

auditors with lawyers etc so

1:10:36

what we're really doing is we're

1:10:38

bringing together all those experts and

1:10:39

we're going to open source

1:10:40

all of our all of our documents into the

1:10:43

public domain

1:10:44

in order to accelerate everybody's

1:10:46

journey by about six weeks and save them

1:10:49

half a million or a million dollars each

1:10:51

and then we'll just put we'll put those

1:10:54

top uh those ten companies on this

1:10:56

you know onto the uh the agenda so that

1:10:59

so that a company can come they can

1:11:01

figure out the methodology

1:11:04

they can see what their options are work

1:11:05

through the due diligence issues

1:11:07

understand how a gc

1:11:08

or a cfo thinks understand our auditors

1:11:11

think outside counsel think

1:11:13

decide who they want to do business with

1:11:15

and how

1:11:17

and and we will discuss the accounting

1:11:20

issues so if you want to go deep into

1:11:21

accounting you should come to that event

1:11:23

because we'll have our auditors and our

1:11:26

going in detail on accounting and

1:11:28

trade-offs and issues and

1:11:30

we'll have our our general counsel with

1:11:31

our outside counsel talking about all

1:11:33

the legal due diligence compliance and

1:11:35

regulatory filing issues

1:11:37

and i think we want to make it as

1:11:39

transparent and as

1:11:41

accessible as we can to the world and

1:11:44

was it all those conversations that you

1:11:45

were having with different

1:11:47

court companies you know officers that

1:11:49

led you to wholeness

1:11:51

yeah we got i mean i had a lot of

1:11:53

conversations i know

1:11:55

everybody from the point you decide you

1:11:57

want to do it if you're an individual

1:11:59

when i said i want to do it it took me

1:12:00

eight weeks to get through all the aml

1:12:04

you know education process as a company

1:12:06

it's about 12 weeks

1:12:08

if you wanted to go as hard as you

1:12:09

possibly could and i have a brilliant

1:12:13

team of finance and legal people and it

1:12:16

a small group so what we want to do is

1:12:19

just take

1:12:20

that 12-week process and we want to

1:12:24

we want to make it simpler and more

1:12:26

accessible and more transparent

1:12:28

and cookie-cutter because there's 10 000

1:12:32

companies with exactly the same issue

1:12:35

and they all just need to learn and so

1:12:36

if we can educate the 10 000 companies

1:12:39

then uh we'll we will speed up the

1:12:42

maturation of the market and we will

1:12:46

de-risk it right and and sometimes it's

1:12:50

do i want to spend a million dollars on

1:12:52

accounting and legal opinions before i

1:12:54

take this to my board

1:12:56

or what if i could just take it to the

1:12:58

board and spend ten thousand dollars and

1:12:59

spend three days maybe

1:13:01

it would i'm more likely to do it right

1:13:03

so we're lowering the barrier

1:13:06

to entry there by just uh by making the

1:13:09

stuff transparent

1:13:10

and so if you were to put a number on

1:13:12

how many fortune 500 companies you

1:13:14

thought would hold bitcoin by the end of

1:13:15

21 what number would that be

1:13:18

i can't give you a forecast i

1:13:22

i don't know okay more

1:13:27

more will right and so i'm enthusiastic

1:13:32

about what'll happen but uh you know i i

1:13:35

can't give you an exact

1:13:37

forecast the future i don't know so this

1:13:40

already seems like a new

1:13:42

line of revenue for microstrategy and

1:13:44

you've also announced that you're

1:13:45

looking into

1:13:46

developing commercial bitcoin data

1:13:48

products

1:13:49

what kinds of products are you thinking

1:13:51

there

1:13:52

first of all you know we're not doing

1:13:54

this for revenue this is a

1:13:56

it's a free uh summit and uh

1:13:59

we're open sourcing all of our

1:14:00

methodology and giving it away to the

1:14:02

world for free because it's the right

1:14:04

thing to do

1:14:05

um we will benefit and our shareholders

1:14:08

will benefit because

1:14:09

you know as yeah when apple buys 25

1:14:13

billion dollars worth of bitcoin

1:14:15

it will be good for everyone that owns

1:14:17

bitcoin right so

1:14:18

institutional adoption is good for the

1:14:21

entire network

1:14:22

and that's why we're doing it with

1:14:24

regard to

1:14:26

our other thoughts on on uh bitcoin

1:14:30

i think it's really important when

1:14:31

you're considering how

1:14:33

to plug into the network that you

1:14:37

take your strategic assets that you're

1:14:40

committed to

1:14:41

where that you're really good at and

1:14:43

then you plug them in efficiently as

1:14:44

opposed to

1:14:47

chase after new lines of business that

1:14:48

happen to be related to bitcoin where

1:14:50

you're not the

1:14:50

the world leader so for example

1:14:54

we are we're a world leader in business

1:14:56

intelligence and we have

1:14:58

thousands of engineering years invested

1:15:02

in software to extract insight from

1:15:04

large sets of data

1:15:07

so um if we can find a way

1:15:10

to to plug that software into

1:15:13

the crypto world or the bitcoin world

1:15:16

and the blockchain in some way that's

1:15:18

constructive

1:15:20

then we'll do that something like

1:15:22

hyperintelligence might be

1:15:24

if we come up with hyper intelligence

1:15:26

and we can apply it

1:15:27

uh in such a way that it improves the

1:15:29

quality

1:15:30

of of the exchanges or improves the

1:15:33

quality of bitcoin or is a convenient

1:15:36

uh a convenience or intel intelligence

1:15:39

boosting thing

1:15:41

for people using this data then we will

1:15:43

we're evaluating all that right now

1:15:47

we don't have any particular product to

1:15:49

announce

1:15:51

i think that um our first order benefit

1:15:54

that we get

1:15:55

from the entire bitcoin strategy is

1:15:58

the notoriety of the company as a brand

1:16:02

has been increased by a factor of a

1:16:04

hundred

1:16:05

and that makes it easier for our

1:16:07

enterprise sales people

1:16:09

to get meetings with senior executives

1:16:12

like now we get call backs from the cio

1:16:14

from the cto

1:16:15

from the c the cfo the treasurer the cio

1:16:19

the cto the head of

1:16:20

now they're more likely to know about us

1:16:23

and half the challenge is just the brand

1:16:25

you know and then and then if they view

1:16:28

your company as being

1:16:29

um on a solid footing and and uh

1:16:33

and of sound finance and if your stock

1:16:36

is working and if

1:16:37

and everybody's talking about you then

1:16:39

they go oh yeah microsoft i remember

1:16:41

them and uh

1:16:42

that makes it easier for you to sell

1:16:44

your existing

1:16:45

products and services it makes it easier

1:16:48

to recruit

1:16:49

big recruiting benefit to become more

1:16:51

famous

1:16:52

it makes it easier to retain employees

1:16:54

people like you know if you're

1:16:56

a company like tesla people like to work

1:16:58

for a company changing the world

1:17:00

if you're changing the world then that's

1:17:02

useful so

1:17:03

it's useful for recruiting it's useful

1:17:04

for marketing it's useful for

1:17:06

for relationship building um ultimately

1:17:09

our software is business intelligence

1:17:12

and hyper intelligence to people that

1:17:13

want to extract

1:17:14

any insight 99 of the world's data is

1:17:18

still not

1:17:19

on the blockchain as the blockchain

1:17:21

grows then probably a lot of these

1:17:23

things will will have an

1:17:24

inside leg but you know i

1:17:27

i'm expecting the great majority of our

1:17:29

revenues will be

1:17:31

in the business intelligence world and

1:17:34

uh that's fine

1:17:35

i don't think there's any any problem

1:17:37

with that

1:17:38

all right so at a certain uh at a few

1:17:41

different points in the conversation you

1:17:43

know obviously we've brought

1:17:44

up uh what's been happening with the us

1:17:46

dollar and

1:17:47

um interest rates and so i just wondered

1:17:50

what do you think will happen to the

1:17:51

global reserve currency status of the us

1:17:53

dollar

1:17:54

i think that um we have um

1:17:58

lost price discovery in stocks and bonds

1:18:01

and commercial real estate

1:18:04

and um that's because of the of the

1:18:08

you know excessive monetary inflation

1:18:10

we're seeing in the past 12 months

1:18:12

i think that bitcoin is going to

1:18:16

grow to be digital gold

1:18:19

and it's going to grow larger than gold

1:18:22

and at some point

1:18:24

that will bring back price discovery to

1:18:27

currencies

1:18:28

to bonds to stocks to uh monetary

1:18:32

indexes

1:18:33

so that you can imagine there's 500

1:18:35

trillion dollars worth of

1:18:37

assets in the traditional system in

1:18:40

bitcoin is irrelevant

1:18:42

and gold is not playing the role of

1:18:44

enforcer of monetary discovery it just

1:18:47

it's not working

1:18:48

we're not on a gold standard gold is not

1:18:51

going to be 20 30 percent of the

1:18:52

monetary energy is not replacing

1:18:54

safe haven it's not replacing cash it's

1:18:57

not replacing bonds as a safe haven

1:18:59

asset

1:18:59

people are using tesla as a safe haven

1:19:01

asset or it's a store of value right now

1:19:03

so gold doesn't work the world needs

1:19:06

um needs a safe haven store of value

1:19:10

that's sound money as bitcoin grows it's

1:19:14

not going to replace the currencies

1:19:16

it's going to be the the central core

1:19:18

it's like granite bedrock you're going

1:19:20

to build new york city

1:19:22

on granite you're going to see bitcoin

1:19:25

become a 10

1:19:25

trillion or 20 or 30 or 50 trillion

1:19:28

dollar thing

1:19:29

people that were buying stock indexes as

1:19:32

a store of value will say i think

1:19:34

bitcoin is a better store of value

1:19:35

instead of taking 15

1:19:37

of the s p why not take 200 in bitcoin

1:19:40

or 100

1:19:41

bitcoin was 280 percent right and smp is

1:19:44

in the last 12 months okay so

1:19:48

so why in the world would i ever buy an

1:19:50

s p a spider index

1:19:51

or vanguard 500 index as a store of

1:19:54

value and the answer is

1:19:55

people are afraid fear uncertainty doubt

1:19:59

not you know ignorant or fearful or

1:20:02

something

1:20:02

so as we regularize or normalize

1:20:07

uh bitcoin as an asset class

1:20:10

i think that it's going to demonetize

1:20:13

those indexes and it's going to rob

1:20:16

capital from bank accounts i mean who's

1:20:18

gonna who's gonna put money in a savings

1:20:19

account that yields zero percent

1:20:21

interest

1:20:22

right it's already you know square and

1:20:24

paypal are already siphoning off money

1:20:26

from a savings account right

1:20:28

so what you're gonna see there is

1:20:32

is um bitcoin becomes people have talked

1:20:35

about it they're like it's

1:20:37

what is it it keeps everybody else

1:20:39

honest

1:20:40

it's like it's like the sovereign

1:20:43

enforcer

1:20:44

of integrity in the world right

1:20:47

what if there was one country that

1:20:50

anybody could move to

1:20:53

that was fair and equitable you know

1:20:56

then if another country were to abuse

1:20:59

your rights

1:21:00

you would presumably you know blink and

1:21:03

move to the fair and equitable

1:21:05

country well we can't quite do that but

1:21:07

we've created

1:21:08

um uh cryptocurrency and cyberspace

1:21:11

which is fair and equitable

1:21:13

and if you live in venezuela or nigeria

1:21:15

or south africa or lebanon or turkey or

1:21:18

argentina you have the option to move

1:21:20

your money and it's pretty obvious

1:21:22

like it would be irresponsible to not

1:21:24

it's not a bubble right

1:21:26

you wouldn't describe bitcoin's

1:21:28

appreciation against the

1:21:30

venezuelan boulevard as a bubble you

1:21:32

would describe it as rational capital

1:21:34

flight

1:21:35

as a currency collapses into another

1:21:37

currency that's not collapsing

1:21:40

so i think what will happen is you see

1:21:43

that flight

1:21:43

governments have to respond to that as

1:21:46

that starts to happen with the dollar

1:21:48

and the euro i think that people will

1:21:50

realize that

1:21:51

when price discovery returns then

1:21:53

interest rates will begin to matter

1:21:55

again

1:21:56

let's go back five years right what what

1:21:59

used to be the reason that a country

1:22:01

wouldn't drop their interest rates to

1:22:03

because if i drop my interest rates to

1:22:05

zero everybody attacks my currency

1:22:07

and all the capital flows from the pound

1:22:10

to the dollar

1:22:11

or it flows out of the euro it flows out

1:22:13

of the turkish lira or flows out of the

1:22:15

whatever and so your currency collapses

1:22:18

and so

1:22:19

so the check on irrational behavior is

1:22:24

capital flow and i think that what we're

1:22:28

going to see here

1:22:29

is we're going to see more and the check

1:22:31

on irrational asset pricing

1:22:34

is capital flow why are stocks

1:22:36

overvalued because people have no

1:22:38

alternative why are bonds overvalued

1:22:41

because people have no alternative

1:22:43

if there is an alternative the capital

1:22:46

is going to rationally flow

1:22:48

to the technically superior asset

1:22:52

and it seems pretty clear right if i

1:22:55

have something

1:22:56

which is the reliable that's going to

1:22:58

appreciate it 200

1:23:00

a year that you can't inflate away it

1:23:02

seems technically superior to something

1:23:05

which is yielding one percent interest

1:23:08

that is being inflated

1:23:10

yeah so we'll have to see what happens

1:23:12

to the us dollar

1:23:13

um so on twitter people told me to ask

1:23:16

you and i think this is a great question

1:23:18

what would it take for you to sell any

1:23:20

of the bitcoin

1:23:22

i would have to find something superior

1:23:25

to buy

1:23:26

like bitcoin is the technical it's the

1:23:28

apex asset it's the best

1:23:30

asset in the apex monetary asset

1:23:34

the technically superior monitor asset

1:23:36

if you define

1:23:37

money thermodynamically or

1:23:38

mathematically or based on any

1:23:40

engineering principle

1:23:43

it's you got a bath you got a swimming

1:23:45

pool and it's got a leak in it and 15

1:23:47

of the water drains out of it every year

1:23:49

and the other swimming pool

1:23:51

has no leak in it one of the two

1:23:53

swimming pools is technically superior

1:23:55

as a swimming pool

1:23:57

this is a technically superior asset so

1:24:00

i bought it because i was selling

1:24:03

inferior assets i'm selling the dollar

1:24:05

to buy the bitcoin i'm selling a stock

1:24:09

i'm selling gold you know not not buying

1:24:12

and selling right so

1:24:14

the issue really is like

1:24:17

why would i sell the superior thing to

1:24:20

buy the inferior thing

1:24:22

when you invent something which is

1:24:24

better

1:24:26

and you show it to me and by by the way

1:24:29

it can't be just

1:24:30

better technically right i mean

1:24:32

otherwise

1:24:33

some random bitcoin fork with a small

1:24:36

engineering commodity better

1:24:37

it has to when you show me a better

1:24:39

monetary network that has

1:24:41

more money in it that's more

1:24:43

thermodynamically sound

1:24:44

if you could basically take bitcoin and

1:24:47

if it ran ten times faster and it had

1:24:49

five trillion dollars on it and people

1:24:52

with more money than the bitcoiners were

1:24:54

using that thing

1:24:56

then i would probably throw in the towel

1:24:58

sell bitcoin

1:25:00

and buy that thing i would sell bitcoin

1:25:02

cash to buy bitcoin it's pretty obvious

1:25:06

when a hundred people with more money

1:25:07

than me pick something which works

1:25:10

better than my thing

1:25:12

and they anoint that as money then i

1:25:14

will buy that thing

1:25:16

and so that that's why you would sell it

1:25:18

i mean i'm sure i wouldn't sell it

1:25:20

to buy um a fiat currency

1:25:24

that's being debased right

1:25:27

so it i wouldn't i wouldn't buy a 20th

1:25:30

century thing right it's like

1:25:32

let me turn it around to you if you have

1:25:33

a house with electricity and running

1:25:35

water what would convince you to turn

1:25:36

off your electricity in your running

1:25:38

water

1:25:45

nothing yeah you see it it

1:25:45

comes down to do you see it as a as a

1:25:47

thermodynamically sound monetary network

1:25:50

that's the future of life on earth and

1:25:52

the base layer for 500 trillion dollars

1:25:55

of assets

1:25:57

you know do you see it as a railroad

1:25:59

what would cause you to stop using the

1:26:00

railroad

1:26:01

what would cause you to stop using

1:26:03

airplanes what would cause you to give

1:26:05

up on

1:26:06

on antibiotics when will you give up

1:26:08

your mobile phone

1:26:09

when will you stop using google what

1:26:11

would cause you to stop

1:26:13

using youtube and the answer by the way

1:26:16

when something better comes along right

1:26:24

yes yes

1:26:24

i see that if it's i think it all comes

1:26:27

down to a very simple

1:26:28

fundamental question do you view it as

1:26:31

technology

1:26:32

is it a technical network is it a

1:26:34

digital network like google

1:26:37

is it a railroads a network a power

1:26:39

network

1:26:40

is it a communications network is it a

1:26:43

technical engineered network is it

1:26:45

air transit network if you believe it is

1:26:50

your you expect it to grow for the next

1:26:53

10 20 30 40 years because it's it's

1:26:55

technically superior to the thing it

1:26:57

replaced

1:26:59

it's pretty obvious that if i can move a

1:27:01

billion dollars of gold around at the

1:27:03

speed of light

1:27:04

a million times a second everywhere on

1:27:06

earth

1:27:07

that's better than holding a bunch of

1:27:11

right it's like if if i if i you know

1:27:13

like when will the guys in star trek

1:27:15

give up the transporter beam that

1:27:16

transports you at the speed of light

1:27:18

anywhere you want

1:27:19

it's like they're not giving it up until

1:27:22

you come up with something better

1:27:24

so if it's technology it will only be

1:27:27

replaced by better technology and money

1:27:31

is technology right if you if you're a

1:27:34

trader

1:27:36

and unfortunately there's a lot of

1:27:37

people in the crypto business that

1:27:39

they've been around it forever but they

1:27:40

still don't know what they have they

1:27:41

still think they're they're trading

1:27:43

little

1:27:43

coins and tokens and speculating and

1:27:46

they're trying to guess which token will

1:27:48

be up tomorrow the next day

1:27:51

they miss the big picture it's like

1:27:53

we've invented a monetary network the

1:27:56

first in human history

1:27:58

it's probably a million times more

1:28:00

efficient way to move money around

1:28:02

money is half of everything right half

1:28:04

of everything on earth

1:28:06

is an asset you need like your car

1:28:09

like your house like your clothes

1:28:12

like your art that's half and the other

1:28:15

half is just pure

1:28:16

financial energy it's optionality to buy

1:28:19

the stuff that you don't know you need

1:28:20

yet but you know

1:28:21

maybe you want to give the money to your

1:28:23

granddaughter your grandson

1:28:25

or save it for a rainy day so the half

1:28:28

of the monetary energy in the

1:28:30

in the human race is currently

1:28:33

moving around on in 20th century asset

1:28:36

containers called stocks and bonds and

1:28:39

try wiring 100 million dollars of apple

1:28:41

stock on a

1:28:43

saturday afternoon turkey it's like

1:28:46

you can't do it right you can't do it

1:28:48

right i mean this is why i don't get

1:28:50

worked up over crypto regulation it's

1:28:53

i can't wire a hundred million dollars

1:28:55

of apple stock to a private wallet in

1:28:56

sub-saharan africa so why would i be so

1:28:59

worried if the treasury wants to know if

1:29:01

i wire

1:29:02

a hundred million dollars worth of

1:29:04

bitcoin to sub-saharan private

1:29:07

wallet it's like yeah they might do it

1:29:10

yeah you might hate it but uh google and

1:29:13

apple

1:29:14

still hold value they're still valuable

1:29:16

even though you can't send them

1:29:18

to sub-saharan africa with privacy you

1:29:20

don't need

1:29:22

to actually have that flexibility so

1:29:25

bitcoin it solves a problem and the

1:29:28

problem is 2 you know 200

1:29:30

trillion dollar problem

1:29:34

we need one monetary network that

1:29:36

everybody agrees on

1:29:38

right and what what what is going to

1:29:40

make it successful i mean

1:29:43

basic technology protocol an open

1:29:45

protocol that is

1:29:46

that supports a deflationary currency

1:29:48

that's one thing

1:29:49

thermodynamically sound mathematically

1:29:51

pure we need it to not be

1:29:53

you know corrupted code then

1:29:57

we need you know a physical network of

1:30:00

hodlers to protect it we need

1:30:01

miners to operate it needs to be

1:30:03

reasonably decentralized

1:30:06

once you've got past that it all comes

1:30:08

down to can you get

1:30:09

institutions corporations you know and

1:30:12

individuals to embrace it

1:30:14

and if they choose to embrace it then it

1:30:17

becomes the network

1:30:19

and if they choose not to embrace it it

1:30:21

isn't so

1:30:22

this is the thing it's a technology

1:30:26

network it's it's probably in my opinion

1:30:29

it's the single biggest technology

1:30:31

advance of our lifetime

1:30:33

you could you could compare it to the

1:30:34

internet i mean andreas wood

1:30:37

the internet was an information network

1:30:40

what happens if i digitize information

1:30:42

and put it on a network

1:30:43

this is digitizing money i saw an

1:30:47

interesting quote somebody said

1:30:48

uh the two greatest um inventions of the

1:30:52

human race are language

1:30:54

and money well the internet is really

1:30:57

all about language

1:30:59

right if information is language so the

1:31:01

internet gave us

1:31:02

digital language moving at the speed of

1:31:04

light

1:31:06

a million times more efficiently than

1:31:08

you know i'm sitting in a library with

1:31:10

books

1:31:10

okay like books right that's the that's

1:31:14

the 19th century quasi-20th century

1:31:17

approach to

1:31:18

language very inefficient you might as

1:31:21

well be sitting in a vault of gold

1:31:24

and i so i think that everything you saw

1:31:25

on the internet that was

1:31:27

that was a digital language

1:31:30

and yeah it was important but digital

1:31:33

money

1:31:34

digital money seems to be more important

1:31:38

least is important we can debate back

1:31:40

and forth

1:31:41

one thing is for sure it's at least 10

1:31:44

to 100 times more important than google

1:31:47

and uh yeah the world needs it you know

1:31:50

when google came out

1:31:51

you know you could either buy google

1:31:54

hold the stock and

1:31:55

believe in it or you could be

1:31:57

perennially asking people about the

1:31:59

google bear market when they're going to

1:32:01

actually take money off the table and

1:32:03

how they're going to trade it and i was

1:32:05

like it's it's

1:32:06

it's just that's just so hard and

1:32:08

exhausting laura to try to figure out

1:32:11

when you when you're going to do that

1:32:14

we're a company

1:32:15

we're trying to make the world a better

1:32:16

place i have some capital

1:32:19

i have some bandwidth you got to decide

1:32:21

what you're going to do with it

1:32:22

so what i tried different things

1:32:25

we invented alarm.com we spun it off

1:32:27

it's a nice company you know we invented

1:32:29

business intelligence we run it we do

1:32:32

we have a chance to help commercialize

1:32:34

the bitcoin monetary network the world

1:32:36

needs it

1:32:37

it's probably going to happen with or

1:32:39

without us by the way i

1:32:41

think i wouldn't have done it if i

1:32:43

didn't think it was going to happen

1:32:44

with or without me right it's going to

1:32:47

happen

1:32:48

and probably if we're wrong then we're

1:32:51

wrong

1:32:52

there's 3 499 other publicly traded

1:32:55

companies that'll do something different

1:32:57

and then the human race will go forward

1:32:58

on their shoulders

1:33:00

and not ours if we're right maybe we

1:33:04

it along a little bit and the world will

1:33:06

be a better place either

1:33:08

be a better place for the people that

1:33:09

need a currency that have no other

1:33:11

alternative

1:33:12

or maybe it'll be more rational place

1:33:13

because price discovery will return to

1:33:15

stocks and bonds and real estate

1:33:17

or maybe better place because

1:33:19

politicians will treat people better

1:33:21

or maybe a better place because big tech

1:33:23

companies will find a way to move

1:33:25

digital gold around a billion times

1:33:27

faster than the current goal moves

1:33:28

around

1:33:30

and when they move it that fast we're

1:33:32

going to create something magical

1:33:35

that will go on i think um

1:33:38

i think if you have electric uh electric

1:33:40

power network with a short circuit

1:33:42

right people forget there'd be no new

1:33:45

york city there's no human

1:33:47

there's no civilization if i can't get

1:33:49

electricity

1:33:50

to flow over power lines without a leak

1:33:53

right right like people dismiss this

1:33:55

stuff but

1:33:56

new york city wouldn't be here you can't

1:33:58

make a skyscraper work

1:34:00

right there's some fundamental things

1:34:02

about our society right

1:34:04

there's no antibiotics without

1:34:05

refrigeration

1:34:07

or no hospitals right so if you want to

1:34:10

build a civilization you're going to

1:34:11

have to create networks that are

1:34:13

thermodynamically sound

1:34:15

and the railroads the power networks the

1:34:18

oil networks

1:34:19

you know and steel and and metallurgy

1:34:22

and other types of engineering and

1:34:23

automotive networks they're all critical

1:34:26

and i feel just as strongly about the

1:34:28

monetary network

1:34:30

it's it's it you want you know you want

1:34:32

an example

1:34:33

go look at what's going on in venezuela

1:34:35

or argentina right now

1:34:38

right you could spend a million hours

1:34:40

trying to

1:34:41

run a company but if you're running a

1:34:43

company

1:34:44

and you're a genius and the currency is

1:34:46

collapsing

1:34:47

that you're actually doing business and

1:34:49

it's hopeless

1:34:51

yeah it's hope it's it doesn't really

1:34:53

matter what you do

1:34:55

if the currency collapses the currency

1:34:58

is the blood supply and the oxygen

1:35:00

carrier of the body politic and the body

1:35:04

economic

1:35:05

so it's uh you know you could say well

1:35:09

you know

1:35:09

leave that to the politicians but again

1:35:13

name me one successful company in

1:35:15

venezuela right now

1:35:18

like there won't be any right there

1:35:21

won't be

1:35:22

any so so when i talk about it as a

1:35:24

monetary network i think it's important

1:35:26

because it means that

1:35:27

companies and individuals need to plug

1:35:30

into this monetary network the same way

1:35:32

they need to plug into oxygen

1:35:35

when the air and the oxygen gets sucked

1:35:37

out of the atmosphere

1:35:38

you need an oxygen mask otherwise you're

1:35:41

gonna die

1:35:42

and uh you could you can say well i'm

1:35:45

dying

1:35:45

slowly and so may you know it's like you

1:35:48

could you could say

1:35:50

i don't think it'll get any worse but

1:35:51

the point is at 15

1:35:54

a year there's a point at which

1:35:57

you're not going to be able to make it

1:35:59

so i think it's a it's

1:36:01

it's critical for humanity and it's a

1:36:02

critical engineering breakthrough and

1:36:05

if if you understood that when you

1:36:08

understand that

1:36:11

you're not selling right you're not

1:36:14

gonna sell

1:36:14

the only way you know if you have

1:36:16

electricity in your hometown and someone

1:36:18

says let's turn it all off you're gonna

1:36:20

say whoa

1:36:21

before we turn it off we better have

1:36:23

nuclear fusion in the form of a sugar

1:36:25

cube that we can give to everybody so

1:36:27

they can light up their house because

1:36:29

otherwise a lot of people are going to

1:36:31

so i think when you've got something

1:36:33

better

1:36:35

then we talk about it but until we've

1:36:37

got something better

1:36:39

the the best thing we can all do is find

1:36:41

a way to spread this monetary network to

1:36:44

the four corners of the earth

1:36:46

all right well this has been um a really

1:36:49

amazing conversation

1:36:51

um where can people learn more about you

1:36:53

and microstrategy and the upcoming

1:36:55

bitcoin for corporations event

1:36:57

they can go to hope.com bitcoin is hope

1:37:01

h-o-p-e

1:37:03

and we have tons of information about

1:37:04

bitcoin on hope

1:37:06

they can follow me on twitter uh michael

1:37:08

underscore sailor

1:37:10

otherwise uh that's probably the best

1:37:13

thing to do

1:37:14

hope go to hope that's where it will be

1:37:17

okay perfect well thanks so much for

1:37:20

coming on unchained

1:37:21

thanks for having me thanks so much for

1:37:23

joining us today to learn more about

1:37:25

michael microstrategy

1:37:26

and the bitcoin for corporations event

1:37:29

check out the show notes for this

1:37:30

episode

1:37:30

don't forget you can now watch video

1:37:32

recordings of the shows on the unchained

1:37:33

youtube channel

1:37:34

go to youtube.com c unchained podcast

1:37:37

and subscribe today

1:37:39

unchained is produced by me laura shin

1:37:41

without from anthony yoon daniel ness

1:37:43

bossie baker shashank

1:37:44

josh durham and the team at clk

1:37:46

transcription thanks for listening

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