SaylorCorpus

Michael Saylor: Bitcoin has no existential threats and will dominate 21st century (Pt. 1/2)

Kitco NEWS · 2021-05-05 · 26m · View on YouTube →

0:04

hello i'm michelle macquarie

0:04

and this is kirco news joining me now is

0:07

a legend

0:08

in the crypto world a pioneer in

0:10

institutional investment in bitcoin

0:13

michael saylor is the chairman ceo and

0:15

co-founder of microstrategy

0:18

he is also a prolific inventor

0:21

best-selling author and one of the

0:23

biggest proponents of bitcoin advocating

0:26

for the bitcoin standard and micro

0:29

strategy was the

0:30

first public company to actually adopt

0:32

bitcoin as a safe haven asset

0:34

and is leading the way in getting large

0:36

corporations like tesla

0:38

to add bitcoin to their financial

0:40

toolboxes michael it is so great

0:42

to have you with us thanks for inviting

0:45

me michelle

0:46

all right michael before we get into

0:48

everything bitcoin

0:49

i want to start off with the world's

0:52

second

0:52

biggest crypto asset ethereum because

0:55

big news of the week is that ethereum

0:57

has been reaching new record highs

0:59

market cap or value of the ethereum

1:01

network is now bigger than that of major

1:03

companies like proctory gamble

1:05

bank of america and paypal just to name

1:07

a few

1:08

so michael what is your position on

1:11

ethereum now are you bullish are you

1:13

bearish what's your outlook

1:15

i think you can divide the entire crypto

1:18

world into crypto assets and crypto

1:20

applications

1:21

uh and so crypto asset networks are

1:23

meant to store along

1:25

a long duration safe haven asset for a

1:28

decade a century

1:29

a millennium and bitcoin is of course

1:31

the leader in that space

1:33

i think crypto application networks are

1:35

meant to do lots of different things

1:38

maybe d5 might be nft it might be

1:41

operate stable coins or provide very

1:43

flexible application rails

1:45

ethereum clearly is the leader in that

1:47

space

1:48

um i i think that there's a whole set of

1:52

investors that are interested in

1:53

investing in applications

1:56

that would be different than the class

1:57

of investors that are looking for an

1:59

asset

2:00

for example corporate treasurers or

2:03

widows and orphans

2:05

insurance funds they just want to store

2:08

their money for 100 years

2:10

and they don't want complications but

2:12

you know the world's full of

2:13

tech investors and venture capital

2:15

investors that are always looking for

2:17

the latest greatest cool thing

2:19

i i think that um yeah from my point of

2:22

view the application

2:24

space is it's going to be uh it's going

2:27

to be a bit riskier because of

2:29

more centralization more complexity and

2:31

more competition in the space

2:33

but you know that means that they'll be

2:35

higher highs lower lows

2:37

and a lot more fireworks along the way

2:40

so you you still

2:41

clearly maintain your position that

2:42

there's no comparable

2:44

asset to bitcoin that ethereum is in a

2:46

whole other category

2:48

as you just stated again it's the

2:50

unicorn categories you refer to it

2:51

before but are you at all interested

2:54

in getting in to the unicorn application

2:57

category is that something that you

2:59

would personally invest in or

3:01

use uh microstrategy cash to invest in

3:05

i don't think it's appropriate for a

3:07

corporate treasury and it's not really

3:09

appropriate for us

3:10

our our business is uh to acquire and

3:14

and to hold bitcoin i think that uh

3:17

crypto applications would be appropriate

3:19

for crypto venture funds and

3:21

and crypto specific technology investors

3:25

do you have a position though on where

3:27

you see the price of ethereum going

3:30

i really don't uh i i prefer not to

3:33

opine on things that i am not an expert

3:36

and uh i i have a lot of very strong

3:39

opinions about

3:41

crypto asset networks and uh

3:44

and the right architecture for a crypto

3:46

asset network for example

3:47

i think that a a proof of work

3:50

architecture

3:51

is appropriate if not if not critical

3:54

for a good crypto asset network

3:56

i don't have strong opinions about

3:58

what's the appropriate architecture

4:00

and then what's the what's the likely

4:03

outlook in the crypto application space

4:06

i think there are too many variables

4:08

it's again as i said it's

4:10

it's much much more complicated

4:13

okay well you certainly have a very

4:15

strong opinions

4:16

on bitcoin and that is clear and you've

4:19

been advocating for the so-called

4:21

bitcoin standard what do you mean by

4:24

that

4:30

i think that um there's 500 trillion

4:30

dollars of

4:31

monetary assets uh in the world

4:35

split between currencies uh bonds

4:39

real estate instruments equities

4:43

precious metals that are being held as

4:45

money etc

4:47

most of those are fiat derivatives and

4:50

so they derive their value in part

4:53

or in whole from the expectation of

4:55

future fiat cash flows

4:57

and i think right now in in the world

5:00

you have

5:01

a set of strong currencies losing one

5:03

percent or more of their value a month

5:06

that'd be the us dollar and the euro and

5:07

everything pegged to the dollar in the

5:09

euro i think you've got a set of weaker

5:11

currencies losing two percent of their

5:12

value a month

5:14

and then you've got a set of currencies

5:15

that are collapsing they're losing

5:17

three to four percent of their value a

5:19

month um all of the companies and the

5:21

bonds and the commercial real estate in

5:24

those uh those economies

5:28

are of course losing their monetary

5:29

value because

5:31

the currency that they're valued based

5:34

upon is weakening

5:35

so the bitcoin standard is all about

5:39

converting your long-term treasury

5:41

assets

5:42

that is your savings account from a fiat

5:46

derivative

5:47

asset to a non-fiat derivative a

5:51

non-sovereign store of value that

5:53

doesn't derive its value from cash flows

5:55

in the future

5:56

and you know the the 19th century

5:59

solution was the gold standard

6:01

and the 21st century solution is the

6:03

bitcoin standard

6:05

and so that's what i mean when i say

6:08

adopt a bitcoin standard

6:09

well bitcoin has of course uh generated

6:13

a lot of attention and a lot of

6:15

animosity recently

6:17

everyone from bill maher to charlie

6:18

munger is attacking it very viciously

6:20

and very vocally

6:21

let's start off with the monger who of

6:23

course is the berkshire hathaway vice

6:25

chairman and at the latest annual

6:27

meeting michael

6:28

he called bitcoin and i quote disgusting

6:31

and contrary to the interests of

6:33

civilization i want to play this clip

6:35

for you

6:36

and get your thoughts on the other side

6:37

let's watch i don't

6:39

welcome a currency that's so useful and

6:42

to kidnappers and extortionists and so

6:44

forth

6:45

nor do i like just shuffling out a few

6:47

extra

6:52

billions and billions and billions of

6:52

dollars to somebody who just invented a

6:53

new

6:54

financial product out of thin air

7:02

i think i should say modestly that i

7:03

think the whole

7:03

damn development is disgusting and

7:06

contrary to the interests of

7:08

civilization contrary to the interests

7:10

of civilization now michael it doesn't

7:12

look like mongers any in any hurry to

7:14

adopt the bitcoin standard

7:16

what do you say to that i think they're

7:20

baiting a 97 year old man and uh it's

7:23

colorful the mainstream media wanted to

7:25

comment

7:26

they didn't ask him about tick tock

7:28

netflix amazon

7:29

apple facebook google microsoft

7:32

they didn't ask him about any of a

7:34

hundred other new technologies

7:36

if you want to understand bitcoin you

7:39

you reasonably

7:40

scratch the surface in 10 hours you

7:42

start to understand it in 100 hours

7:45

i don't think charlie munger has spent

7:47

100 hours studying bitcoin

7:49

so i think it's kind of unfair to poke

7:51

him

7:52

with the question but i mean i'll state

7:55

for the record i mean

7:56

isn't isn't berkshire hathaway a

7:59

generation behind

8:00

all technology despite the fact that

8:02

warren buffett is best friends with bill

8:04

gates

8:05

warren buffett never invested in

8:06

microsoft and microsoft was founded in

8:08

1976.

8:10

and uh and so they never invested in

8:13

apple until 40 years later and then it

8:15

was a person that worked for them

8:16

that invested in apple and they didn't

8:18

invest in google when it came public and

8:20

they passed on it every year since so

8:23

so uh i think that uh the

8:26

this many controversy is just because

8:27

bitcoin

8:29

is the fastest growing most disruptive

8:32

force in the world right now

8:34

objectively speaking it went from zero

8:36

to a trillion dollars in 12 years

8:38

that makes it the most disruptive

8:40

technology in your lifetime

8:42

in my lifetime more disruptive than

8:44

amazon apple facebook and google

8:46

more disruptive than anything in our

8:48

lifetime maybe we went back to the

8:51

automobile and henry ford in 1910

8:55

we might find something that changed the

8:57

world

8:58

in a decade but not you know that

9:01

doesn't come along

9:02

often so all these people are getting

9:04

poked and asked their opinion

9:07

when i'm 97 if you stand me if i'm still

9:10

working

9:11

if i'm lucky enough to still be alive

9:12

and still working if you ask me about

9:15

the latest greatest

9:16

hologram simulation technology startup

9:20

that's taking the world by storm that's

9:23

used by my grandchildren

9:25

and i don't quite get it i you know i

9:29

i wouldn't expect to get it so i i mean

9:32

isn't charlie monger old enough to be

9:34

your

9:35

great grandfather michelle like i mean

9:38

do you go to your great

9:39

grandfather for investment advice on new

9:42

technologies

9:43

so i like them i like i like warren

9:45

buffett they've been successful

9:47

but they haven't been successful

9:49

technology investors

9:50

this century and i would just leave it

9:53

at that

9:54

all right well i'm not an aegis michael

9:57

i did not necessarily determine

9:59

someone's level of knowledge by their

10:01

age either to the younger or older side

10:03

but i get your point that berkshire

10:05

hathaway

10:05

has been very much a late adopter and

10:08

not exactly

10:09

early on the technology adoption curve

10:12

but i want to focus a little bit on this

10:14

comment that he said that it's used to

10:17

that it's useful to kidnappers and

10:19

extortionists and so forth

10:21

and the reason i want to focus on that

10:23

is because

10:24

it does seem to be an angle

10:28

that other people may take in order to

10:31

force some kind of harsher regulation

10:34

on bitcoin we've seen uh janet yellen

10:36

for example say that she's concerned

10:38

that bitcoin will be used to finance

10:40

terrorism or used in money laundering

10:42

and then

10:43

turkey central bank has banned the use

10:45

of cryptocurrencies for payments

10:47

turkey has now added crypto asset

10:50

service providers

10:51

to companies affected under anti-money

10:54

laundering and terrorism funding laws

10:56

so do you think that that aspect or

10:59

viewpoint whether

11:00

it's correct or incorrect could be used

11:03

as a premise for a crackdown on bitcoin

11:07

or regulation

11:10

um well i mean let me characterize my

11:12

comments again

11:14

i don't think that charlie monger is not

11:16

qualified to opine on bitcoin because

11:18

he's

11:19

97. i think he's not qualified to opine

11:21

on bitcoin because he hasn't spent

11:23

the time and the energy to understand

11:25

how crypto asset networks work

11:28

and nor do i i don't think he prepped

11:30

for 100 hours on the subject with an

11:32

open mind

11:33

and i i think that it's a mistake to

11:35

think that any investor that's been

11:37

successful in

11:38

a particular field is thereby an expert

11:41

in every other field

11:43

that we can imagine there's there's a

11:45

thousand fields that i'm not an expert

11:47

in so

11:48

i i don't know why people would if you

11:50

ask me my

11:51

opinion on on something in biometrics or

11:55

in medicine i wouldn't opine on that

11:57

either it's just it's inappropriate

11:59

with regard to privacy um

12:03

bitcoin is is not nearly as private as

12:06

many other crypto currency networks

12:10

like zcash and monero and the like

12:13

and we've seen just in the past few

12:16

weeks that law enforcement is able to

12:18

trace back transactions all the way

12:20

through a decade

12:21

the entire blockchain is completely

12:22

transparent immutable

12:24

and every transaction never took place

12:26

is traceable

12:27

so if anything uh i think there's a

12:31

consensus that's forming

12:33

amongst regulators and law enforcement

12:36

that bitcoin is

12:37

probably the the safest and

12:41

the most um the most manageable of the

12:44

crypto asset networks

12:46

and if there's any risk with regard to

12:48

regulation in this regard

12:51

it's probably on some of the other

12:53

crypto application and crypto asset

12:56

networks because

12:57

they actually have a much greater um

13:00

intent to promulgate privacy

13:04

applications i think that uh the

13:07

bitcoins

13:09

bitcoin's mission is to be a crypto

13:10

asset network the idea is not to move

13:13

money fast and privately the idea of

13:16

bitcoin

13:17

is to store a billion dollars for a

13:19

hundred years

13:21

securely and um the network and the

13:24

architecture has been designed with that

13:25

in mind

13:26

so as interest and of course this is

13:30

something that you would know if you

13:32

sat through 40 hours of lectures on

13:35

crypto economics and crypto technology

13:38

but again i don't think that charlie

13:40

munger did

13:41

i have and many other people in the

13:43

crypto industry have

13:45

so as as regulators become more

13:48

interested in privacy

13:50

i think it's going to be a net benefit

13:51

to bitcoin because what you

13:53

determine is bitcoin is the crypto asset

13:55

network that you want

13:57

to support that you can build a 21st

14:00

century economy on

14:02

that that does fit well within the

14:04

regulatory framework and law enforcement

14:06

frameworks of the western world

14:08

well i i guess the the bigger point that

14:11

i'm trying to get

14:12

to michael is that bitcoin to some

14:15

degree has to be

14:16

some kind of a threat to central banks

14:18

to governments to treasuries it's not

14:20

likely that they're just going to give

14:22

control over their currencies and there

14:25

is this notion

14:26

that they'll use this angle of uh

14:29

anti-money laundering terrorism funding

14:32

laws as a way to crack down on it we saw

14:34

turkey central bank

14:36

banning the use of cryptocurrencies and

14:38

then

14:39

adding it to the list of companies

14:42

affected under anti-money laundering and

14:43

terrorism funding laws

14:45

and not too recently well not not too

14:47

long ago u.s treasury secretary yellen

14:49

said that

14:50

the misuse of cryptos like bitcoin for

14:52

terrorism is a growing problem

14:54

and that the national defense

14:56

authorization act

14:58

requires uh to be updated with regards

15:01

to money laundering

15:02

and countering the financing of

15:04

terrorism now whether she's put in

15:06

the 40 50 hours of work to really

15:08

understand what's going on or not is

15:10

another matter

15:11

the question is will they use this angle

15:14

as a way to potentially crack down on

15:17

bitcoin

15:19

i think the people that spend a few

15:21

hours uh poking around in cryptocurrency

15:24

they often times

15:26

come forward with this observation that

15:28

the cryptocurrency is a threat to

15:30

central bank and they've privacy

15:32

concerns and the like but it's generally

15:34

only those that are spending a few hours

15:36

if you spend 100 hours or enough time to

15:39

understand

15:40

the situation then uh

15:43

then you start to embrace a more

15:45

sophisticated model which is money can

15:47

decomposed into a currency component and

15:49

an asset component

15:51

and these aren't really cryptocurrencies

15:54

they're crypto assets

15:56

and uh bitcoin is a crypto asset it's

15:58

not a cryptocurrency

15:59

currency is defined in the law as

16:03

um as something you can exchange

16:06

as a medium of exchange or in a

16:08

transaction without incurring a tax

16:10

obligation so bitcoin hasn't been a

16:12

currency by law in the united states

16:14

since 2014 when the irs determined it to

16:17

be property

16:18

and that's well understood by the

16:19

regulators and i think that

16:21

if you look at comments public

16:23

commentary by jerome powell by christina

16:25

lagarde by the deputy

16:27

governor of the china central bank

16:30

by gary gensler they've all

16:33

commented that this is a digital asset

16:37

it's not a digital currency and um

16:40

and if you read the 140 page of

16:42

testimony by janet yellen you'll see

16:44

she's a very progressive informed

16:46

regulator that understands that

16:48

that crypto assets or digital assets

16:51

like bitcoin

16:52

are a cornerstone for a 21st century

16:56

economy

16:57

and a force of good and can be used as a

16:59

force of good

17:01

and all regulators will will say state

17:05

as a matter of fact and and because it's

17:08

appropriate

17:09

that of course we have to make sure they

17:10

fit into a regulatory environment

17:12

uh and a framework so they're used for

17:15

good and and not by male factors

17:17

so all of these um all of these

17:21

conversations are oftentimes just cherry

17:23

picked comments

17:24

uh neither the head of the eu central

17:27

bank nor

17:27

the head of the us central bank nor the

17:29

head of the chinese central bank has

17:31

actually suggested that uh

17:34

people should be banned from owning the

17:36

asset and in fact

17:38

in the example of turkey you named what

17:41

they said was

17:42

they didn't want people to use it as a

17:44

currency

17:46

that's no different what the irs said in

17:47

2014 in the u.s when they actually taxed

17:51

on transfer they also effectively said

17:53

you can't use it as currency

17:55

so so basically stating that we don't

17:57

want something to be used as a currency

18:00

because it threatens our currency is not

18:02

the same as the private people of an

18:04

asset and even the turkish central bank

18:07

hasn't deprived

18:08

or hasn't limited turkish citizens from

18:11

owning the asset

18:12

so i think that um it's very very

18:15

important to understand that the future

18:17

of the world is people uh eight billion

18:19

people with mobile wallets

18:20

with a currency layer and an asset layer

18:23

and the currency is going to be the

18:24

dollar and the euro

18:26

or the chinese view on and the asset

18:29

layer is going to be bitcoin and then

18:30

whatever other assets you chose to

18:32

hold in them and um and

18:35

uh the government's providence or the

18:38

government

18:38

will will of course demand control of

18:41

the currencies

18:42

and where you have strong governments

18:44

like the eu

18:45

and china and the us they will have a

18:48

strong currency and those currencies

18:50

will be successful

18:51

and where you have weak governments like

18:54

in venezuela

18:55

or zimbabwe you will see the currencies

18:58

collapse

18:59

they will lose their currency privileges

19:02

the citizens in those countries

19:04

will download stable coins that will

19:06

either be the u.s dollar

19:08

or the the chinese uh remember

19:12

and uh and the underlying asset

19:15

framework or asset protocol and network

19:17

that we use to synchronize all those

19:18

wallets

19:19

is going to be bitcoin all right so

19:21

you're saying that as long as

19:23

bitcoin is viewed as an asset and not as

19:26

a currency

19:27

you're not ultimately concerned that

19:29

governments or central banks

19:31

will intervene crack down on it outlaw

19:34

or in any other way try to eliminate it

19:38

i would say that you know scanning every

19:40

utterance of every regulator in the

19:42

world

19:42

i haven't seen in the any indication

19:45

that they view it as anything other than

19:46

an asset

19:47

jerome powell two weeks ago said hey

19:49

it's digital gold like gold

19:51

christina lagarde said yeah it's a

19:53

speculative asset people speculate with

19:55

it's not like a currency

19:57

they're going to be concerned about

19:59

stable coins

20:00

like the ability to move billions of

20:02

dollars of euros on a crypto rail

20:04

or the ability to move billions of

20:06

dollars of u.s dollars on a crypto rail

20:09

that's going to draw the interest of the

20:12

banks

20:13

because currency is the providence

20:16

of the bankers and and the government

20:19

and they're going to be concerned about

20:20

controlling their currency

20:22

that's why you can expect aml and kyc

20:25

regulations on the custodians that allow

20:28

you to move large sums of those digital

20:30

currencies

20:31

but i think that the most common

20:33

misconception people in the world have

20:35

is cryptocurrency is the right word it's

20:38

not the right word

20:39

in fact you know if you roll the clock

20:42

back number of years

20:43

lots of very intelligent people and i

20:46

could probably think of

20:47

six regulators that are currently

20:48

running the world

20:50

have all said it should be deemed a

20:52

crypto asset

20:53

mark carney uh actually said two more

20:56

than two years ago

20:57

it's a crypto asset and so once you

21:00

understand it to be a crypto

21:02

asset then you understand it's not

21:04

competing with the dollar and the euro

21:06

it's competing with gold

21:07

and silver and and etfs

21:10

and stocks and gamestop and derivatives

21:14

and and to a certain degree perhaps

21:16

savings accounts that are used as

21:19

long-term store of value

21:20

and in in kyc

21:24

custodians all right so then you're not

21:27

concerned

21:28

about governments viewing it as

21:29

competition to the currency at least

21:31

major governments because of their view

21:33

that it's an asset so michael what would

21:35

you say

21:36

is the biggest existential threat to

21:38

bitcoin

21:39

if there is one

21:44

i don't think there is i think that

21:44

bitcoin is going to be

21:46

the emergent uh strong money

21:50

store of value asset in the 21st century

21:53

i think it's pretty clear that it has

21:55

won uh

21:56

this space there are eight billion

21:59

people

21:59

that need a strong money are a monetary

22:03

asset if they're going to live a decent

22:05

life

22:06

that asset needs to be digital and needs

22:08

to flow to eight billion mobile wallets

22:12

you need three things you need an asset

22:14

which is deflationary

22:16

you need global network to synchronize

22:18

all those mobile wallets

22:20

and all those applications and then you

22:22

need an open protocol

22:24

so that you uh maintain uh real-time

22:28

settlement and synchronicity

22:29

between all the various layers if you're

22:33

going to maintain the integrity and the

22:35

trust of the network

22:36

and bitcoin has those three things as

22:38

the asset has the network has the

22:39

protocol

22:40

and uh silver doesn't gold doesn't

22:43

can't do with real estate can't do with

22:45

stocks can't deal with bonds can't do it

22:47

with any fiat currency

22:49

if you look at all the other

22:50

cryptocurrencies the proof of stake

22:53

currencies don't offer the security or

22:55

the stability

22:57

uh of a proof of work and of the

23:00

proof-of-work crypto asset network

23:02

bitcoin is 100 times bigger than the

23:03

next best one

23:04

so i think it's it's pretty clear

23:07

bitcoin's the solution

23:09

to you know the economic problem of the

23:11

21st century

23:13

and what would you describe that problem

23:15

as being

23:21

the problem is billions and billions of

23:21

people

23:22

uh need sound money in order to store

23:26

their economic energy

23:28

so if i if i'm

23:31

don't have a bank and if i don't have a

23:34

currency and i don't have access to an

23:37

asset

23:38

then i'm living hand to mouth day by day

23:41

and in the week or in the day when i

23:43

can't get food or can't get money i'm

23:45

going to starve to death

23:48

you could imagine if if i if i take away

23:50

insulin from a type 1 diabetic

23:53

type 1 diabetics they can't they have no

23:55

insulin they can't

23:56

form fat so when they eat they can't

23:59

store

24:00

that excess energy it means that they're

24:02

doomed to a life of

24:04

or like a a fate of starvation

24:07

as they waste away no matter how much

24:10

they eat

24:11

um the problem in the world is

24:14

if you're unbanked and there are a

24:16

billion people that are unbanked

24:18

and if the currency won't hold economic

24:20

energy

24:21

you live in a country with a collapsed

24:23

currency or a or a weakening

24:25

currency then your economic vitality is

24:28

being

24:29

sucked out of you so i would say

24:32

sound money is a human right the

24:35

solution

24:37

to the economic prosperity of 8 billion

24:40

people on the planet

24:41

is to install a thermodynamically

24:45

sound digital asset which will store

24:47

their economic energy

24:50

over time and then allow the

24:52

synchronization of all those wallets

24:54

over

24:55

space so that they actually have the

24:58

ability to

24:59

function that's that's the problem

25:02

like you want to put a value on that

25:04

well i mean for the two or three billion

25:06

people at the bottom of the pyramid the

25:08

value is like life

25:09

that's the value right how you live a

25:11

decent life without

25:12

money and assets but if you want to look

25:15

at it from the top of the pyramid

25:17

the 500 trillion dollars worth of money

25:19

in the world

25:21

is sitting in fiat derivatives

25:23

presumably conservatively losing 10

25:25

percent of its value a year so you've

25:28

something like a 50 trillion dollar

25:31

energy

25:31

drain or or inefficiency in the economic

25:35

battery of the world

25:37

the solution to the problem is install a

25:40

digital monetary network

25:42

that doesn't bleed energy in essence a

25:45

trust network

25:46

that allows hundreds of thousands if not

25:48

millions of

25:49

mid-sized banks and corporations to all

25:52

trade with each other settle with each

25:54

other and store their economic

25:56

energy without corruption and

25:59

without power loss which

26:03

we sometimes call inflation but it's not

26:06

just inflation

26:11

[Music]

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