Video - The Bitcoin Bull Bull Bull with Michael Saylor
What Bitcoin Did · 2020-10-18 · 1h 38m · View on YouTube →
all right i think uh i think i want to
dig into some of your ideas now thoughts
around bitcoin
um okay so
we talked about a few things the other
day before we spoke before we've
recorded sorry
you you're talk to me about your bitcoin
value proposition and the size of the
opportunity
i i think if i was talking to an
investor
i would say bitcoin is the ideal
treasury reserve
asset and it's the ideal treasury
reserve
asset because for the first time in
human history
humans have figured out how to create
a digital monetary network
which is conservative in nature it
conserves
the energy you put into it it's closed
system
there's 21 million coins in the system
and i don't i
wouldn't bother with the discussion of
the havings and
and the block subsidies going down i
just don't think it matters
there's 21 million coins that are going
to be in this system
the only thing that can happen is
it heats up or it cools down if people
are buying into this system
at a price greater than the moving
200-day average a 200
week average it's heating up and if
they're if they're selling
it's cooling down so
bitcoin is is is um a digital gold
and it achieves what what gold bugs
wanted to achieve
it creates a perfectly scarce
asset there is no inflation
to speak of if you took the the extra
1.5 million coins that are coming divide
by 100 years you're like
0.1 inflation a year if you want to
compare it
to something in essence there's no
inflation
compared to gold gold is going to debase
two to three percent
under the best case which means you're
going to lose 88
of your wealth in a gold system you're
going to lose
none of that in a bitcoin system in a
fiat system you're going to lose 99
of your wealth because of at a 7
debasement rate and
if you're looking at stores of value
if you put all your if you put your
value into big tech
then it's a crowded trade and you're
taking all the counterparty risk the
execution risk the competitive risk
the regulatory risk that all of these
large companies hold
and the the likelihood that um
that's going to last for 100 years it's
pretty low
um they're they're it's a crowded trade
it's a known trade
people are already in it it's not an
asymmetric risk-reward trade-off
it might go up it might go down there's
not a lot of people that think that
apple computer is going to go up by a
factor of 10
from here or by a factor of 100 from
here
10 years ago if you wanted a good
investment idea buying facebook amazon
apple and google when they were
unpopular
but dominant was a good idea right
if you're a tech investor you buy a
dominant technical network when they're
dominant and by dominant means 100
billion dollars they crushed everybody
and they're 90 of the market but they're
unpopular
when when uh the rest of wall street
doesn't quite get it
when warren buffett hasn't bought it
right it's unpopular that's that's your
opportunity because
you could have bought amazon and got 20
at your money
you could you could have bought amazon
for 300 bucks a share in 2012
2013 2014. it was obvious they they were
already
10 years into beating everybody that
there was no
retailer in the world that was going to
displace them by then
but they were still massively
undervalued
so if you're if you're thinking about uh
equity as a store of value the problem
is it's a crowded trade and um
and you're not beating everybody in the
market unless you manage to pick the one
the zoom company that's about to go
through the roof but you had to have
bought zoom in
january or february or or last december
i mean once 350 million people know
about them they're trading at 100 times
revenue or 200 times revenue and then
you've just kind of missed that boat
that's the problem with equity the
problem with with
debt is that with interest rates at zero
the only way debt goes up is
interest rates have to go negative and
and the wheels fall off the wagon in so
many ways
it's a challenge and the pro and that
leaves you gold
and the problem with gold is the
counterparty risk is 95 likely to strip
it all from your hands
over a long long term but forgetting
about that
the debasement risk is stripping 88
percent of it from your hands
and then forgetting about that let's say
you're a short term
you're only going to hold goal for three
four years five years ten years
the problem with that is that and and i
thought about this peter
i thought about buying gold and i
thought the real problem with buying
50 gold and 50 bitcoin is the same exact
people
that are running toward gold are gonna
run toward bitcoin
and when they realize that bitcoin is a
thousand times better than gold
all the money that chased into a safe
haven of gold
is going to move and chase into bitcoin
so
you're getting screwed two ways
intelligent people
are gonna mind more gold when the price
goes up and they're
and you're gonna you're gonna get hurt
by that and then intelligent investors
are going to flee gold into bitcoin
as the price goes up and also as they
understand and get more educated
so do you really want to bet on people
staying
stupid and ignorant for long periods of
time
if you're entrusting your life energy
and i mean the answer is no
finally that's why warren buffett didn't
buy gold
the real problem with buying gold is
you're betting against human
ingenuity you're betting
that people are just too stupid and lazy
to make more gold
when the price goes up and that's always
an awful bet
that's why if you really believe in gold
you buy the gold miners
because at least the gold miners
have the ability to make more gold and
there's a competitive dynamic there
but you know having said it all
and i think bitcoin is digital gold and
it's the hardest
smartest fastest you know
strongest treasury asset you're gonna
get
that's why you should buy it it's the
ultimate long duration asset
okay so why is it you see
bitcoin as digital gold i think
i think it's important for people to
realize that
that uh bitcoin is a virtual
manifestation of gold
so what do people want in gold they want
it to be hard
and bitcoin is harder than gold because
you can't mine
more that you can't mine two percent a
year you can mine 0.1
a year and so it's totally capped and
that's what makes it harder
but there's another way that it's harder
because
bitcoin is a living creature the miners
are changing
the nodes are changing the software is
changing they're all upgrading over time
and and the ecosystem has exchanges on
the front end
servers on the back and clients on the
front end so
as all of that software upgrades
that makes it harder it's anti-fragile
in that way
because bitcoin will um
react to threats and adapt and
and fight back um and uh
and so we when we think about goal we
think well it's been hard and the same
for a million years but
but bitcoin is virtual gold and it's not
going to be the same for the next 100
years it's going to literally
get harder more secure
in in many ways as the software and the
hardware gets better
and so that's that's an anti-fragile
component
i i think that one of the key themes
with all technology networks
uh and the reason for the success of
apple google and facebook
and amazon and the like is when you
de-materialize a product or a service
into software you can make it smarter
you can make it faster you can make it
stronger the um
the camera on apple's iphone
is smarter stronger faster
than the best camera produced before
apple came along
and we all have lots of examples of the
way that it's smarter faster and
stronger
and youtube is smarter faster and
video than any video network that came
along before
and there are lots of examples and
people get this intuitively
when you dematerialize something so when
you dematerialize
gold you don't just make it harder to
make it smarter faster and stronger and
the smarter is
i put a million dollars of gold in
bitcoin
and then i write some software and the
software does a million things
while i'm sleeping with that asset that
that i wouldn't have done and couldn't
have done if um
if it's exchange writes an application
that lets 10 million people post that
they want to borrow
against their bitcoin and they post the
price and then 10 000 people post they
want a loan
against bitcoin as collateral and they
post the price
the market clears and you created like
an ebay
uh crypto bank and and that'll run
all the time that's never gonna happen
with gold
you can't do it with gold and yet not
only can you do it with bitcoin
it's gonna get better every year forever
when you do a bitcoin
and that's that's why it's smarter i
mean a bar
gold never crawled out from under your
bed to go and earn interest for you
while you're sleeping and then crawl
back in bed with you
it's just not going to happen and if you
think about it being
faster when you took the you take the
mass out of something it could move at
the speed of light
in this particular case
you want to move 100 million dollars a
goal from new york to tokyo it's going
to cost you 250 000 dollars it's a 3 000
pound block of gold you'd have to
charter a global express pay 10 000
an hour put a bunch of guns on a thing
quarter of a million dollars when you
move
a hundred million dollars of bitcoin
it's five bucks
and i'm always amused right all these
guys in the crypto community
they complain about transaction fees
and what they completely miss is the
transaction fee to move gold is 250
000 and the transaction fee to move the
bitcoin is five
dollars and they're they're thinking
about a world where transaction means
buy pizza and buy coffee
and that's thinking small what they
ought to be doing is thinking about a
world where i wanted to move 100 million
or billion dollars at a time and and
once they thought about that world
they would realize the transaction cost
and speed
bitcoin in essence is infinitely fast
infinitely cheap to move
like ridiculously cheap and fast to move
you're just moving the wrong quantity of
it
and that that has consequences to the
business in a way
and that's why it's faster but what does
that mean
that means that i could actually move it
to turkey loan 10 million dollars of it
to somebody for four days and move it
back
and and the and the cost of movement is
five dollars this way in that way and it
moves the speed of light
and it's even faster than you know
people say it's 10 minutes or 30 minutes
to get the confirmations
the point is it's a better instrument
and i can prove that i have it and you
can prove that you have it and so the
software can
can operate in 100 milliseconds and so
we're not talking about 10 times faster
than gold
we're talking about 10 million times
faster than gold
and that takes me to strong and the
strong element is
you're getting a full audit every 10
minutes of the entire supply everywhere
in the world
transparently and there's no security
and there is no asset on the planet
where you have have a full audit every
10 minutes
and you've got a bid on it
every second of the day 24 7 365 in
every currency
which means that you could actually mark
to market
someone's 3 800 bitcoin
every second in every currency in real
time
and that's god's gift to a banker right
because what you want is perfectly
transparent
collateral and you can mark the market
if if i can do those two things
then that means we're really reaching
we're bordering on a world where money
never sleeps
right truly we're gonna we're gonna
achieve the cliche of money never sleeps
and if you wanna see it in full view
all you do is pull up a crypto exchange
on a saturday night or a sunday morning
and just watch the ticker scroll and
literally
it's the only thing in the world that is
that
you've got a bid on nothing else and
uh so you put those three together and
you say
i created a bar of gold i virtualized it
it moves at the speed of light
a million times a second and i've got
computers that think a billion times
faster than i think
talking to other computers that are
thinking a billion times faster than i
think
and then you try to value that
and is that worth 10 more than a gold
bar
no it's it's worth
what's the value of rand mcnally when
they put it they printed a physical map
and i wrote about this in the mobile
ways like the the entire map company was
worth 50 million 100 million dollars
what's the value of google maps 50
billion
a hundred billion dollars you had a map
company worth some millions and you had
a
you had a an intelligent smarter faster
stronger and boy how smart are faster
stronger
google creates the map that tells you
how to drive
how to get there lets you duck the
traffic
shows you the restaurant tells you it's
open and then tells you don't bother
going because everybody hates this
restaurant
that's a smart fast strong
map and you create 100 billion dollar
businesses
on those things when a billion people
start to rely on them
that's the part of of digital gold i
think investors
people don't get and if they got that
there's no way you would say to me i
guess i'll put 50
in gold 50 in gold and 50
in bitcoin is like saying in the year
2010
i'm going to put 50 of my money in canon
and kodak and the other 50 in apple
and it's like a laughable point it's
like yeah that was really smart of you
it it reminds me peter of all the wall
street hedge fund guys
back in 2011 2012 and
i used to talk to them because i wrote
this book called the mobile wave and i
was a big bowl on apple
and i and i said well they said to me
why do you like apple and i said well
apple is going to de-materialize
everything you can hold in your hand
every book every camera
every recorder a wallet you know
a television every device is going to
dematerialize on the apple network and
every wealthy person that i know has one
of these
which means that 90 of the wealth on the
planet is going to be getting everything
they can hold
off of apple and they're going to have a
trillion dollar
mobile network okay and they said
this is classic well this is well and
good but if you invest your money with
us
we provide you a service and whenever
apple stock goes up
we'll sell it and diversify it into all
the other computer companies
so that you don't have too much exposure
to apple because it's kind of risky to
have all your money in one stock
and i said well you're going to buy all
the desktop computer companies that are
going to zero
when apple eats them all and they said
we don't see it that way and i said
well technology is dematerializing all
these products and services
the you know it doesn't make any sense
to me and they said
well you know when when your technology
portfolio gets too high
our service to you is we're going to
sell your tech stocks like amazon and
google and apple and facebook
and we're going to buy cyclical non-tech
stocks to diversify your portfolio to
protect you and hedge you
and i said well isn't it the case that
technology is going to eat everybody
and there's not going to be any
non-technology companies eventually
they'll all be gone every newspaper
every television station everybody is
going to be dematerialized and eaten
and they said we don't see it that way
and i and i would say as a hist as a
student of history
and especially science and you want to
you want an interesting read
go read the history of john d
rockefeller and then read the history of
andrew carnegie and then read the
history of henry ford and then read the
history of hershey
and then go to the craft craft factories
and what you'll conclude is
every successful business in in modern
history was a technology company
there was no success general electric
electricity was technology
automotive was technology the idea that
investors don't buy technology is a
is a silly notion and once you
understand that
you realize that the only issue is is
the technology at the beginning of the s
curve
or is it toward the end of the s-curve
and the beginning of the s-curve
is when it when it works and everybody
can see it's going to work
but most of the old school still doesn't
understand it
and the end of the s curve is when it
works
and everybody sees it and all of the old
school
understands that they're not going to
vanquish it and they all rely
on it and then the politicians start to
regulate it
at the point that people decide it's a
it's a human right
everyone has a right to this is a
utilitarian
right and then they start to they start
to put uh
price controls on it or they start to
they start to mandate
uh universal access to it or regulate it
it's utility and one last point on this
the richest person in the world
shouldn't be a jeff bezos it it ought to
be
the person that delivers your
electricity to you because if i really
wanted to wreck your life
i would just turn off the power right
there are a lot of things that people
rely upon that are more important than
facebook google amazon apple
i mean they're important but electricity
is more important you would
you would kill a million people in new
york city you've turned up the
electricity
and then after that water but if i
turned off the water
we'd all be dead in three days maybe two
days
and yet name me a water billionaire and
named me
electrical billionaire we had them
we had them when everybody disagreed
with the need for it right and then as
soon as everybody agree we need water
and electricity
it's not so good in investment anymore
and that that really changes your
dynamic here so
that's why i think bitcoin as digital
gold
is so compelling and that's why i think
that once people understand it
they're not going to buy they're not
going to want to buy one percent of it
they're not gonna because they're
holding 99
stuff that's like getting hammered to
death by it and the question is how
hammered
but so explain to me how these
explain to me how people think you know
wealthy people think
um because it's not a world i live in
right so multi-millionaire people worth
hundreds of millions billions
like how do they tend to invest and
especially a time like now
you know well with mid pademic
uh the fed is printing unlimited amounts
of money
you know that how do people tend to
invest and what are the hurdles you
think some of these bigger investors are
having
or the hurdles that they're in their way
to adopting bitcoin
yeah let's just take through the list of
things that keep people from buying
bitcoin
um number one uh
reputation the mainstream media
characterizes it as uh casino gambling
money for hackers money for criminals
scary you know using it to evade
currency control or something so
then the the narrative of
of uh it's for uh contrarians
and um and the like will scare away
um an insurance company right or a big
bank it's going to scare away
institutional investors so
so flipping that narrative is important
i think the next narrative is
uh this is uh unregulated cyber vegas
that doesn't help right i think i think
uh
i think that all of the unregulated
cyber vegas although it appeals to
someone who is a
libertarian cyberpunk
genius hacker they might like that um
but it's not going to appeal to someone
that has lots of money that they've got
in t-bills and
and nasdaq stocks they're going to think
i don't they don't want to go to vegas
and gamble
right they definitely don't be anywhere
regulatory off grounds
um what they want
is to put their money in the world's the
world's safest vault if the narrative
was
it's a vault of encrypted energy it's a
crypto vault or it's it's the world's
safest savings and loan the savings
alone at the end of the universe
you know as marketed by douglas adams
the world's safest most technically
advanced savings and loan
protected by the strongest wall of
encrypted energy
and it's impossible for him to get
through it your money is safe here
safer than fort knox safer than any bank
you know it can't be destroyed by a bank
it can't be stolen by a criminal it
can't be
destroyed by a government right that's
that's an appealing narrative
um i think that the crypto industry
it uh it repeats some tropes that are
that are
uh counterproductive that don't help it
for example
people always apologize for uh for
bitcoin being volatile
oh it's as you know it's volatile don't
put more than the amount you can lose in
it
okay well if you look at it over the
past four months
it has been no more volatile than any of
the big tech companies i mean when i
check it it's
apple computers more volatile than
bitcoin for the past four months
apple computer is the is the is on the
dow it's a
the blue is the blue chip stocks owned
by
an octogenarian warren buffett
and it's more volatile than bitcoin and
it's 10 times bigger than
bitcoin and it's an establishment stock
so why apologize people on bitcoin ought
to say
it used to be volatile it's a lot less
volatile now
and in fact of late the other day i
looked and and uh it was a
it was a bad day in the market the
30-year treasury
was more volatile than bitcoin the
10-year treasury is more volatile than
bitcoin
every big tech company is more volatile
than bitcoin the nasdaq was more
volatile than bitcoin
silver and gold were more volatile than
bitcoin and i scratched my head
and i was like why is the bitcoiners
keep telling everybody they're volatile
why don't they just say there's stuff
that's volatile
our volatility used to be legendary but
it's a lot less volatile now well maybe
maybe
you know what if people like square keep
putting money and we could uh
we could go through another one of these
crazy ball runs where it does look
volatile again
it i guess it'd be nice it was volatile
to the upside
but but um but when you're apologizing
for volatility and and you're
um warning people that this might be too
volatile for you
you're you're sending the message that
this is a crazy unregulated casino where
you can make fortunes or lose fortunes
that's not what people want i think if
you just said
you can put your bitcoin in and it's
highly unlikely you'll lose it
i think that's enough yeah there's a lot
of people that would be happy just not
to lose their stuff
and so a lot of people in the crypto
community feel a need to reach for yield
and they and they feel a need to
apologize for past volatility
and if if they simply said here's a
stable treasury asset
it should have a positive real yield
over time because we're not printing
more of it
then they could stop there's another
narrative which which hurts which is um
everybody's number one pushback as they
think about it is
after they get past the is this uh for
criminals and
casino gamblers i have to get that then
the next pushback is
well it's not really scarce because i
can copy the code and create my own coin
and the the proper answer to that
and by the way somebody forked it you
know and bitcoin there'll be another
fork and another fork and another four
the proper answer to that is
bitcoin is the winner of the crypto wars
and has risen
above the thousands of other crypto
networks to be the one and only
true winning dominant crypto
and if you stack the other crypto
networks that are designed to be
asset networks a crypto asset network to
store your value
bitcoin's 94 of it and the next one is
50 times smaller
call bitcoin cash and the next one is is
60 times smaller
and then we can't remember the number
four and so
you're buying the category killer of the
crypto asset network
and it has been attacked a thousand
times and they have all failed
and yes you could make your own but
you're not going to get the 200 billion
dollars
worth of fanatic maximalist who will
fight to the death to defend
this one and so why would you create one
which is identical to this one which is
10 years behind and 200 billion dollars
behind
that you know bitcoin is the facebook of
monetary networks and you could
duplicate facebook
too but you won't because
none of your friends are going to switch
over to the yoyo book
and and i think everybody understands
that once they've used fake it's why
it's why you're not going to switch from
twitter or youtube or facebook
or apple because there's a massive
barrier to switching the network is
dominant
and so if if the crypto people just said
if this segment in the market said
bitcoin is the dominant crypto asset
network
done you might carve a channel
and pull tens of trillions of dollars of
money into the crypto space
right i when i look at crypto i say it's
a 300 billion dollar
pond on a beach next to a 300 trillion
dollar
ocean crypto
crypto the crypto i'm going to get to
the point
yeah the or pond is 300 billion
dollars and bitcoin is 200 billion of it
and now the entire crypto community
spends a lot of time talking about alt
coins versus bitcoin
and bickering between those two but what
they ought to be doing
is talking about alt assets versus
bitcoin
and they ought to be saying bitcoin's
volatility compared to silver or
gold is trending down or bitcoin's
volatility compared to apple stock
is trending down i can actually find
metrics of bitcoin's volatility versus
tron but that's it's kind of a joke
because the 300 trillion dollars is not
choosing between
tron and bitcoin the 300 trillion
dollars
by the way which is 99.9 of all the
wealth and power in the world
so all the money all the power is not in
the pawn
if you want to make this business this
entire industry successful
even if you believe even if you're an
ethereum person
if you're tron ethereum eos chain link
tether it doesn't matter you know ripple
whatever you are
every one of them has a vested interest
in
carving a channel between the crypto
pond
and the the asset ocean and then getting
10 trillion dollars to flow into that
and if that and the the gateway to that
is going to be bitcoin the only way
someone's going to move money from
gold silver equity indexes
bonds real estate into crypto
is first through bitcoin
and then once it's in bitcoin then you
can
you can go at this issue of can i
generate yield on it can i wrap it
can i do other stuff the other part of
the crypto market is going to be
crypto applications crypto currencies
crypto other types of crypto assets
could thrive
i can conceptualize them but none of
them i think have a chance of thriving
unless bitcoin emerges to be the digital
gold
of the 21st century and uh and that's
what i think people miss
in their narrative and one last point
they've got a very pernicious number
it's an awful number
the number is uh dominance they should
not be saying
bitcoin is 59 dominance and then listing
25 other cryptos on you know on their
exchange
pages what they should be doing like any
good venture capitalist or any good
executive is they should segment the
market and divide and conquer
they should say a currency a
cryptocurrency is a stable coin
running on a decentralized network that
holds a stable value
against the euro or the dollar that's a
currency
and then an application is a world
computer that will run a complicated
smart contract or some application in
exchange or what have you
and ethereum is is targeted to be that
and ethereum is 60
of the applications market i if i was
ethereum
i'd a lot i'd like rather be 70
of the crypto application market than be
20
of the crypto market right why would you
pick a fight with somebody you can't
beat with every disadvantage when you
could be 70
of the market where maybe you have a
chance
and then you would say crypto assets
that's people that want to be digital
gold
and and that's that's bitcoin now what
happens next
what happens next is somebody with a
billion dollars
and they've got their money here and
there they've got like half an hour and
they say what is this thing and you say
well there are applications assets and
currencies
and they're like okay so this is digital
gold okay well it's not getting a copy
well no it's 94 percent of the market
and a thousand things have failed
they're like okay that's that's the
apple computer of digital gold right
yeah i could buy that that's the
facebook of digital gold
i could buy that okay give me 50 million
of that and then go the next thing and
say
well the next thing is crypto
applications what's this ethereum
what are they doing uh decentralized
exchanges and
well that's competing against this and
that well is that risky not risky
maybe our venture capital fund will put
10 million into that
we got venture capital for that's a bit
riskier what's this next thing
currency okay what's that what's that
going to yield me well that's
you know that's just stable coin not
that much but
they're like well i got i got some money
market something okay
just park 3 million in that just in case
give
people simple metaphors and let them
put their buckets of money into those
things and don't
and don't try to co-mingle a casino
you know with uh with a gray market
with a savings alone because that
doesn't help anybody and when
when they go to the ethereum or ripping
down bitcoin
it just reminds me of um there might be
a bunch of crabs
in a pot and you're you're you're
cooking the crabs
and one crab tries to crawl out and the
other crabs just dragging it back in
you're just like all the crap you guys
are in a point
one percent of the market you ought to
cooperate with each other
you think point one percent you think so
that says to me you're not
are you maximalist or do you do you have
an interest in
other networks where are you at with
that
my view on this is is
the idea of a crypto network is
i'm going to form a decentralized set of
nodes
they use a consensus mechanism ideally
with a very difficult you know a very
stable
mechanism like proof of work so it's
very difficult for someone to hijack it
i'm sold on proof of work and i'm pru
i'm sold on that idea and then from
there
i'm going to provide someone
with uh immortal sovereignty on
something
so why would i go to the trouble of a
proof-of-white work network because i
wanted it to transcend
uh any company or country right
i need to get over counterparty risk so
what's important enough to want to do
that
well like all my life force
like money is energy all the money in
the world is all the energy in the world
so all of my life force from now to
eternity
that's probably worth protecting so
protecting my money
that's a useful application now
are there other applications that you
could
run on that network like the idea of a
smart contract
tied into the bitcoin network
interesting to me i don't think it's
been proven to be commercially viable
but
but there are other things that i might
want immortal sovereignty for
or or long duration like for example
let's take a trust i want to leave money
to my
children's children's children okay well
people use human constructs
to implement a trust right now it's a
it's a foundation of people
and i'm trusting the people if i could
create uh
you know some application that would run
for 30 or 40 or 50 years that
would give my granddaughter you know
an amount of money to get through
college or get a house or something
then maybe i would actually do that on a
crypto network
maybe i would jack it in i'd probably
power it up with bitcoin
but i wouldn't say to a bitcoin core
developer
can you please add a bunch of
complicated code
to deliver flowers to my granddaughter
on her 21st birthday
i just don't think it's worth the
trouble right i i wouldn't risk the core
network for
complications they break
but i think that um maybe you want to
publish your last will and testament in
an immutable fashion
that uh that will last for 100 years so
no one can mess with it
is there a place to publish something
forever or to to
to how about to transfer title or keys
or rights or license or
or to prove provenance all these things
might be
interesting on a long duration crypto
network they're not proven
right they're not proven but they're
interesting uh on decentralized networks
the number one use of the decentralized
exchange is like regulatory arbitrage
and the number two you know so the
number two use maybe is
um is uh in a
innovation acro cross domain innovation
and by that i mean if i'm being slowed
down by the lowest common denominator of
100 jurisdictions i do business in such
that i
i can't do this because there's one
place out of 100 places that would shut
me down
if that's the case and innovation is
crippled
then a decentralized solution might
actually
allow innovation to accelerate and so i
could imagine
a legal ethical basis for a
decentralized application network
i can also imagine a lot of a lot of uh
non-compliant you know uses if i'm using
an application network to evade currency
controls
eventually it's going to get shut down
in the country where it operates and
and so those are short duration
projects if if all you're doing is
getting around
uh uh like running an exchange without
kyc
operating eventually you're gonna get
shut down right like we see that
happening
so it's no good for that and i think
that maximalists have
a reasonable argument in saying that
nobody's proven
that this is going to work for anything
other than money and bitcoin is the
money so
yeah now i but i think
theoretically it's possible to imagine
an application
on a decentralized network other than
bitcoin
that would uh have value to someone and
i think that people should
try those things and and we'll see what
happens and
and all of them i think that um
the the most magical things that will
happen will likely be
combinations of bitcoin as a
decentralized
monetary power network powering
centralized and digital applications
in the future like for example if i want
to give
flowers to my daughter every year for
50 years after i'm dead i kind of want
to plug amazon into bitcoin right
and then maybe 35 years from now when
amazon stops
delivering flowers i want one human
being
to be able to plug in flowers on
into my bitcoin account and my bitcoin
account will pay
for the flowers to get delivered and i
i'm not really concerned about
you know that the fact that amazon will
stop the flower business or maybe
a country will fail because i got the
money
i've got the power jacked in on a
decentralized network
and i'm gonna will i actually use a
decentralized
flower delivery app versus a centralized
flower delivery app i i kind of think
that it's just not going to be important
enough
to develop a crypto to deliver flowers
but i
but i won't say that there's nothing
that i could imagine
that would be important enough to
develop a purposeful crypto network for
and then we get in this area of hybrid
networks where
maybe they develop it but they're
jacking into bitcoin security
and bitcoin you know bitcoin rights or
keys in order to
provide the security to run the other
thing and that's interesting to me
but you're not going to use it for the
flower thing really because that's
turning bitcoin then into a
like a small you know low
ticket purchase medium of exchange which
you're kind of against really you don't
think that's a real use case for bitcoin
yeah what what i'm gonna do is i'm gonna
leave my bitcoin and my will to my
non-profit foundation in order to power
the foundation for 100 years to pursue
its interest
right for example one of my interests is
uh make education free for everybody
forever okay
and i have a website sailor.org and it
does that it gives away free education
we have 500 000 students
and um when i'm dead
i have you know i have no errors and so
my uh my money will flow into that
foundation
and someone's got to pay the bills so
will it actually pay the bills via
transactions
every hour no it'll probably uh
deposit x dollars worth of bitcoin
and converted to fiat currency every
quarter or every year
and do that forever or until the money
runs out right
maybe the money will never run out i
mean
how johnny rockefeller did this a
hundred years ago yeah you
have a lot of money you form the
rockefeller foundation
you appoint a board of directors of five
or ten wise people
when one retires in 20 years there's
another board
the foundation takes all the money they
invested in a portfolio of stocks
or real estate or other assets and
hopefully
that keeps up with uh the inflation rate
and then every year they make grants
and that's that's that that's the
traditional 20th century way
of endowing a foundation to
see out your life's work whatever that
might be
would you therefore say that in some
ways
the crypto industry as an industry which
haven't has bitcoin in it is quite
misleading to people because uh outside
of the fact of
yes these other networks use a
blockchain and yes they talk about
decentralization
really they're not very similar at all
it's bitcoin is money and they are just
applications doing other things and is
that unfairly confusing
to potential investors and the reason i
ask is like stefan navarro
you were on his show he he often says
bitcoin not crypto he's very much of the
idea that we should separate bitcoin for
the rest of crypto
do you kind of feel the same
yeah i do i mean i like if i'm bitcoin i
would say bitcoin is digital gold
based on cryptographic technology
and blockchain and a bunch of other
things i i think that's one
that's one narrative if if you're a
bitcoiner you just point out bitcoin is
digital gold
and you should buy it because it's
better than gold and
there's a hundred trillion dollars worth
of assets
that are considering gold but you know
all the big banks
in april were saying that you should put
25 of all your assets in gold
like i have my stock broker calling me
saying
move 25 senior assets in gold that's the
call of
50 000 private wealth advisors
and i and i said well i like bitcoin i
said we can't sell it to you
so so the conventional that's so funny
is uh bitcoin is digital gold if you're
considering
uh putting your portfolio into something
that's going to be an inflation hedge
and a store of value this is the most
precious
virtual metal and been in history in the
world and um
the way you communicate that is you show
the dominance of bitcoin
and you compare bitcoin and you show the
market cap of bitcoin
and you uh laid arrest people concerned
about the
concerns about the forks of bitcoin and
you point out that
there's an army of fanatic maximalists
that will defend
the bitcoin network and bitcoin is not
going to go away
any more than facebook or twitter or
apple or google are going to go away
it's on the firmament it's done and they
and then if they hear about volatility
say here's the chart of volatility of
bitcoin
versus silver gold apple stock amazon
stock t-bills are like
see it's not that bad and by you don't
show volatility over the last decade
and you don't say well you know it could
go down by 10 by a factor of 10 because
it did
back in 2013. it's not 2013 you would
say
this is what it's doing this year a lot
of people are discovering
bitcoin this year especially since march
this is how it compares to all your
other assets if you want to buy
the facebook of digital gold here it is
and you stop and if you want to scare
them away then you start talking about
every altcoin and you start talking
about ethereum
and you start all over bitcoin
and talking about transactions are
expensive it is not scalable and
these are all the things that the rest
of the crypto community does the crypto
crabs
right that is and there and by and there
and they think
they think that the world is .1 and that
they want to just get bitcoins amount of
it and it's a foolish notion
because the world is a thousand times
bigger than the crypto pond
and if they're smart what they would do
is
say what the lightning network is doing
we're gonna we're going to make bitcoin
better
you know we're or if i'm going to build
a smart contract anchored
into a bitcoin security model
build your stuff linked into it
harmonious with it and and
if you're going to do your you know the
ideal thing is you want to actually tap
into
the world's most secure blockchain
network which clearly is the bitcoin
shot 256
network that's really what you want if
you could
just the key for example if you just had
the keys
so you ever see like a lock box
on a house and the big house and there's
this little lock box and the keys are in
the lock box and you go up and you go
and you take out the keys and you get in
the house if the bitcoin network just
was the lock box and it held the keys
to activate a hundred other applications
they could be centralized or
decentralized it doesn't matter
i think i think the religion of
decentralization
it only makes sense for something that
requires
immortal sovereignty and bitcoin does
that the immortal life is worth it i get
it
but for other things i think people are
missing the point
like for example bitcoin cash
you don't need a high speed transaction
network to buy a cup of coffee
because no crypto network with a proof
of work or proof of stake or any
decentralization is ever going to be
competitive with apple pay
it's not going to be competitive with
apple pay for two reasons
one reason because apple has a monopoly
on the damn phone
and they own a billion devices and
they're going to be able to get between
the customer
and the wallet one step closer than you
you will never get that close
and that's a pretty compelling reason
they can build it into the chip
they can build it into touch id they can
build it into face id they can build it
into speech response
you're not going to get that close to a
consumer transaction
and the second reason is because it's a
billion times more computationally
expensive to use a proof of work not
work to do it
and so it's always going to be a billion
times
more expensive and it's always going to
be
one step or two-step removed from
google apple facebook amazon
they own the customer so that it makes
no sense to do that what makes sense is
you store 95 of your wealth or your
power in the crypto network
and you take four percent and you move
it into your
your mobile account and then you use the
existing
standard digital network which runs a
billion times faster a billion times
better
and you risk one percent of your assets
while you use it
and the entire universe is quite
comfortable
risking one percent of their assets to
use an apple iphone
if they weren't no one would have an
iphone and they would all be
living in shacks with rocks
in the middle of the wilderness and they
would not rely upon modern electricity
or modern corporate comforts and they
would never get in a car
and trust the auto company to build the
car for them
it's it's just called civilization
people don't have a problem
trusting five percent of their wealth
or one percent and so a lot of
experiments in crypto
they're chasing after digital
applications where the problem's been
solved by square or apple or
amazon or by the way square is a heroic
achievement
the fact that square can be a payment
wallet
while they're while they're competing
with google
and apple is amazing right
because google owns android and apple
owns ios
and so you've got square which is
competing against
the two 800 800-pound gorillas and apple
has more money than god
and google has more money than god and
one of them has a billion and a half
loyal users the other has five billion
oil users
and jack dorsey is actually making
headway against them
with square it's hard he's got 80
100 billion dollars in capital so
you think the crypto industry is going
to out square square
and out square android or out payment
apple
and beat paypal it's a silly notion to
pursue wow
and it's con what about what about what
about let me throw something in here for
you what about
that's for convenience day-to-day
convenience um
yep in a coffee shop down the pub in a
restaurant doing my shopping whatever
yeah i've moved to i i was reluctant to
use appleway for a long time
and i was like hold on this is just so
much easier than getting out my
debit card just double click done
um so i get the convenience thing but
what about those people where
convenience isn't the
number one requirement can they want to
buy something
illicit or something our government
wouldn't look too kindly upon or they
just want general privacy
uh yeah and that's not just in places
like the uk or or the us you know maybe
in
people living in authoritarian regimes
what about that scenario we still need
to think about
those people right um
if you're a refugee fleeing a war zone
then ten thousand dollars in bitcoin
might save your life
it'll be a one-time transaction and
you're not going to care whether it
takes 22 minutes
and whether it costs five dollars in
transactions so
if it really is a life-changing
transaction across jurisdictions
then it it can go in 30 minutes and you
can pay three bucks
you don't need to change bitcoin and and
and bitcoin cash
or some other lightning fast thing isn't
going to be relevant it doesn't matter
on the other hand if somebody wants
privacy
and they really feel strongly about it
then there's a place
to build some kind of application
ideally
the thing that's probably going to work
is going to be like a lightning wallet
with privacy tapped into bitcoin where
you move money into a small wallet and
all your transactions on that wallet are
private
and you you can probably do it with a a
second chain or
a off-chain solution
which might be centralized and might be
decentralized and
maybe you need a monaro or you need
something like that and if so
the market will determine that let me
tell you what i think i think that
there's a 50 trillion dollar requirement
to store your money in a way that you
don't lose it all
and i think that there is a much smaller
requirement to store money in a privacy
wallet
for like i'm not going to judge people
on how they spend their money
but what i'm going to say is if bitcoin
diverted all of their energy to make
itself
private and became known as a network of
complete and utter privacy it probably
is counter
productive to its own interest because
you don't really want
you don't want the united states
government to say bitcoin is completely
private because now it becomes the
perfect tool for a money laundering now
it becomes the enemy now they're going
to shut it down right
okay so we're better off to actually
have other
off-chain solutions that solve that
problem
there's no way you're going to get a
hundred trillion dollars to flow into
bitcoin
if it's use case is directly
against the the interest of a government
that is within right so
you don't want to be that good i think
most politicians
and most reasonable people will say
oh you wanted to create a better version
of gold
because gold is heavy and ancient
and uh and bleeding energy three percent
a year i get it
okay i think they're okay with that
i i think that when you go beyond that
you're you're getting into another
regime and now now i'll make a point
which is i
like uh they're people that are really
they're really passionate about
bitcoin is to bank the unbanked
okay well if bank to the unbanked means
let someone flee their country and save
their life
with a life-changing transaction then
yeah
good yeah but if the bank means some
dude in the sedan needs to do 37 bitcoin
transactions a day to buy
coffee at a dollar a transaction it's
silly yeah yeah
that's not what that guy needs and and
by the way
that the problem with that would be
if if you wreck the network like right
for example if we all abandon bitcoin to
go to bitcoin cash so that it does
transactions a little bit faster for the
dude on the bicycle in sudan who wants
to buy a cup of coffee
right then what about the dude
that wants to actually send 100 million
dollars from new york to tokyo
and not lose it what about that you just
gave up 50x security
i mean that that guy is not going to
sacrifice 50 x security
because he wants to save three bucks
so they're they're different ideas
i i think that um the reason apple won
and uh and not android and the reason
everybody's got crushed was because
although apple didn't have 80 in the
market share apple had
80 of the wealth share if you look at
the money
in the world and you if you lined up 100
wealthy people
in a room 90 of them would have an
iphone
or an ipad and at the point that you saw
that
you knew that apple's revenues on their
application store
and their profits were going to be
insane at one point i think they said
apple had 150 of all of the profits
in the mobile phone business wow
which mean that everybody else was
losing money to compete with them
insane why because they had the wealthy
customers
now that it was important to sell luxury
devices
it's a thousand x as important
if you're selling financial services for
example
like the biggest bank in the world is
not the bank with a billion customers
because the first 10 million customers
have 80 of the money in the world
right i could build a bank with one
million customers that would be a
thousand times as big
as a bank with a billion customers
because they don't all
the value and use of the financial
product
scales with the amount of money you put
into it not the number of heads
so if if you're creating a crypto
network
to to move a dollar around
and if all you can imagine is people
with 37 that are irritated that they're
they couldn't buy coffee
with their their crypto right then
you're building a bank
for people with no money this is a
snarky observation
but it's a music like you're building a
bank for people with no money
you know there's another bank
building a bank for warren buffett and
warren buffett one decision
right we'll put more money in your bank
than the bottom five billion people on
the planet that are happy with the
product so
so you have to you have to be thinking
what am i trying to build here
and by the way i i get the fact that
it's a humanitarian thing right i mean
jack cited it in his twitter today and
and i believe it too like i actually am
passionate
like like it makes me angry that that
people in argentina
turkey africa like have their currencies
collapsing
i care about the about the
human uh the human empowerment and human
rights here
but i think this is an example where
the way to help them is
to make bitcoin a successful monetary
network
as opposed to make it a a a trivial
transaction network
so on the day that warren buffett
buys 10 billion dollars worth of bitcoin
every single person in africa and asia
and every disadvantage the disadvantaged
economic refugee everywhere in the world
is going to be benefited he will have
done more for them
than any amount of tinkering with the
code
to make it quicker and easier to do your
transaction
how how so though how would that
but well for first of all because
if you own one bitcoin when he does it
is going to drive the price of bitcoin
to the sky
and you're all the sudden going to be
the economic beneficiary because the
network's going
the price is going through the roof and
that's a direct benefit
the second benefit is that
if if all of the institutional wealth
in the world starts to see bitcoin as a
safe place
as a digital gold and as a treasury
asset
they're going to use all of their
communication skills and political
skills in order to legitimize it and
protect it
and you're going to have you're going
gonna have people protecting the crypto
rails and and the uh the the
functionality of it
you know in the corridors of power in
london and paris and new york
and dc and moscow right
because beijing because that matters
what what's different right now wealthy
powerful people use
apple stock as a store of value
right that's what's going on and amazon
that they're basically using big tech
for a while they use bonds but now
they're using big tech and
and they're they're tinkering with gold
but let's think this through
somebody in africa can't buy a thousand
dollars worth of apple stock
maybe they can't buy it at all right
full stop
if they did buy it there's no way they
can wire it to their sister across
borders to get her home safely
that you know there's no way they can
hold it from
seizure from a hostile government and so
if apple stock or big tech or nasdaq
stocks are store of value
and if all of the wealth and power on
earth is supporting them
that's not going to trickle to the other
billion people that are in the countries
where the currencies are collapsing it
doesn't help them at all
they don't have people talk about they
talk about the inability to get dollars
right if you're
if you're one of the the quote unquote
unbanked
you can't get dollars you certainly
can't get stock
you can't get gold if you got gold
someone will club you over the head and
take your gold
right so what what can you get
you can get a mobile phone and i wrote
about this in the mobile way where
africa leap frogged the us and everybody
just went directly to mobile networks
they never bothered with the land
networks
if i can get a mobile phone and running
android or ios
then i could carry around ten thousand
dollars worth of bitcoin on it and that
would be a fortune for someone in some
countries
that would be enough to start a life and
i could be a thousand it could be a
hundred
it doesn't really matter what it is the
point is
i have a bank now i need it to work
and i i need i need the political
patronage
and i think that um the political
patronage comes
when you have the institutions buying
into this
as a store of value and um there's
there's nothing you can do to help
people more
than than to defend them in the court of
public opinion
and the court of political opinion right
one way or the other what about do you
see any situation
where if if the company's coming too
quickly
that it pushes the price
like a lot of people will miss out on
the opportunity and i know it can always
go on people will say oh we say that
every cycle but
in some ways i kind of want my friends
in before i want the
the companies in i want them to ride the
benefit
of that massive wave
well peter that's why that's why i was
buying it before i was
talking about it yeah i know
i man i reasonable person would buy it
first but uh i don't know what the price
will do i mean
like that's you know who was the
president who said if you see
10 problems driving down the road at you
nine of them will probably drive
themselves into a ditch before they get
you
it might never be a problem it's not it
would be a good problem to have
if you were successful if you're
inconveniently successful i would prefer
that to
the other problem which is not being
successful but i i don't think that'll
happen
i think that um that as this
evolves the ecosystem will grow and more
opportunity will spread to everyone in
the world
um via mobile networks
to the palm of your hand and i i
i think there's zero chance that people
buying gold
is going to cause mobile phones in
africa to help anybody
because you can't program it and i don't
think there's much
chance the people buying sovereign debt
or
equities on regulated stock exchanges
from prime brokerage is going to spread
to the billion people on the planet
because it's if it was going to it would
have right
i don't know will robin hood be out
there gallivanting around is i just i
don't think it's going to happen so
so i think that bitcoin is the best hope
that people have
to make the world a better place through
uh
through providing this sort of um uh
sovereign empowerment
or monitoring what about the
the people and the companies who are
focused on i think i know what you're
gonna say about this but
on the bitcoin circular economy where
they're talking about
you know they've got companies who who
only
use bitcoin as a currency and sorry not
only use bitcoin as a currency for
buying and selling
and they also use bitcoin as uh their
balance sheet they try and run
entirely bitcoin businesses so it's a
good point
a lot of people in the community are
really enthusiastic about
like btc pay and uh and we want to sell
stuff in bitcoin
and we want to pay our employees in
bitcoin and the like
um i with all due respect i
i think it's the wrong model i think a
much
a much better model would be bitcoin is
a crypto asset and you put it on your
treasury on your balance sheet you hold
it
and when you need money you take it out
and convert it to fiat and when you have
access fiat you convert it back into
bitcoin
right that it's uh i think that's the
right model and i think there ought to
be something else called cryptocurrency
and the cryptocurrency is tether or die
a stable coin and that ought to be a
stable coin
in the in the sovereign currency
in the domain where you do business and
uh
i think those two things can thrive but
i don't think bitcoin can be a currency
and i don't think that uh other cryptos
should be an
asset and i'll tell you why i mean i'm
very
a very uh simple reason i think you'll
get challenged on this a bit
hopefully um but let me tell you why i
think it just
it makes sense the irs tax code
in the united states it it uh it
characterizes bitcoin as an as an
asset when you buy it
and you hold it for a decade there's no
tax on it
no tax to hold on it and by the way the
irs
the tax code has extraordinary impact on
the valuation of assets
for example that's a huddle code
yeah it's like a deceptive huddle
that well more than an incentive it
beats you to death if you don't
yeah and i'll get to that if you buy a
million dollars worth of real estate
in florida as an individual
you pay two percent property tax per
year forever
so that means you're going to pay twenty
thousand dollars in tax
every year and in and in 50 years if the
real estate's not reappraised you're
going to lose your house
if you have well it's even worse than
that right you're going to have to come
up with
a million dollars in cash and a million
dollars in
in money to buy the house so the only
way to
hold real estate in florida
is to have twice as much money as the
cost of the real estate
that's an impact if i buy bitcoin
a million dollars worth and i hold it
for 50 years in florida
there is no property tax on bitcoin in
florida there is no property tax on it
at the at the u.s level i will still
have the same bitcoin
and it'll be worth one bitcoin times the
price at the time
on the other hand if a company like mine
buys a million dollars worth of bitcoin
and then we pay you
and i pay you a hundred thousand a year
and the price of bitcoin doubles then i
actually have to pay you
a hundred and thirty thousand a year
because
i i convert the bitcoin to cash pay you
a hundred thousand in cash
and then i owe the irs thirty thousand
dollars because i have to realize the
capital gain
on the bitcoin and by the way i can't
escape this
if you say pay me in bitcoin i give you
a million dollars or give you a hundred
thousand worth of bitcoin
i still have to calculate the price in
dollars
when i transfer it to you and account
for it as if i had sold it
and now i owe the irs thirty thousand
so you can see from my point of view
if i were to put
if i were to put um 500 million into
bitcoin
and then i were to pay 500 million
dollars worth of bills with it
and if the price doubled i would
bankrupt myself
i bankrupt like i'm bankrupt what you're
doing is you're
accelerating the the tax forward 30
years
and one of the cardinal rules of an
investor
in life is you always want to roll over
your investments
tax deferred you never want to pay the
tax
amount what do you think would happen to
your bitcoin if the uk government
passed a law saying you have to pay
unrealized capital gains tax on the on
the bitcoin
at the end of the year if the price goes
up versus where you bought it from
well there's a number of consequences of
that i mean firstly i would leave the
country
okay but secondly right now it puts it
but it puts a selling demand it puts
cell pressure as well
would you say that's a hostile tax code
of course yeah
okay so what i'm saying is the existing
tax code is
hostile to using uh bitcoin as a
currency
right it's it's a hostile tax code
that's
that's why that's why what you want is a
stable coin
the definition of a currency is that
thing that you can buy and sell with
for which the government is not hostile
to you
and so there there's talk about israel
having a law
that deems bitcoin a currency and that
means that you wouldn't get taxed on the
capital gain
but you wouldn't recognize the capital
gain or the loss when you transferred it
that's a friendly tax code but
but the point of course is unless you're
a criminal
and you don't pay taxes right that's a
pr if you don't pay taxes
yeah sure you're a criminal but they all
get busted for
you know al capone and the like they all
get but did
mcafee just got busted for not paying
taxes he did they'll get you on
paying taxes long before they'll get you
on the other stuff you did
so and taxes the bright line so if
you're not a criminal
and you intend to file your tax returns
as a law abiding citizen
then you have to pay taxes and now what
you see
is there's two crippling problems with
using bitcoin
as a as a currency to to buy anything or
sell anything
the first crippling problem is i sell a
hundred thousand things a year
and the prices is different every time i
sell it
i have a hundred thousand different
accounting entries the price of bitcoin
when i sold it and then
i pay a hundred thousand things a year
and i have to calculate the price of
bitcoin
when i paid it and then the question is
which bitcoin did you did you transfer
or did you
sell when you'd sold it because there's
a different
combination and so i have to come up
with all of these combinations and it's
an accounting nightmare
well the software does it for you now i
mean i still think it's an accounting
nightmare even with the software but at
least there's software
that does that for you now you know
recommends which coins
etc let me go on to the next point
it took me a decade to install the
software that i run my company on
it takes 10 years and i'm running that
software
in japan korea australia
everywhere in europe rio it's in a
different currency it's
27 countries 27 well not 27 currencies
but 15 currencies
every single place we're selling in
local fiat
we're buying in local fiat we're paying
taxes in local
fiat we're transacting we're keeping a
ledger in local fiat
then we're converting into usd then
we're calculating corporate taxes
then we're sweeping into treasury now
by the way we're not a big company i
mean 500 million is a mid-sized company
a lot of companies are bigger than us it
would take us
three years to rebuild our accounting
systems to do what you've described
that we want to do in bitcoin and then
at the end of the three years
and 30 people to do it the reward that i
would get
is probably about 30 million dollars a
year in excess taxes
so why am i why and point
one percent of the people in the world
have bitcoin so why
in the world would i incur
by the way if i generate 50 million in
operating income it's a pretty good year
why would i give two-thirds of my
operating income
in taxes to the federal government for
the privilege of bragging
that i'm doing business and bitcoin by
the way
half my finance support would probably
quit right and
and the software would break and if i
went to my software
if i went to my provider you know how
long i've been using the same
uh the same software to do my accounting
peter
you know when i installed it you're
going to tell me like 20 years or
something on you
1996 1996
24 years ago jesus i was still at school
dude
okay and you know what would happen if
you came in my office and you suggested
to me that i rip it out and replace it
with something different
everything will collapse i mean i would
go nowhere i mean maybe you could play
chuckle
by the way and the bigger players are
people like sap
and people spend 300 million dollars to
install this software
and they take three years to five years
and then they don't change it for 30
years so
the first problem is accounting even if
i wanted to
it's it's rewiring the dna of these
multinationals
not going to happen the second problem
is tax
you would have to be a to want to
pay
hundreds of millions of dollars is a tax
on the volatility
of the asset you're holding electively
for no reason once all whatsoever right
why would anybody want to accelerate
taxes forward 30 years and pay them
today with money they don't have
what would happen by the way is that
bitcoin would become a volatility engine
like if if you had to pay tax on bitcoin
based upon the closing price each month
and you had to pay it to the uk
government
your bitcoin would shrink to nothing
because you'd have to keep selling your
bitcoin to pay the taxes
right because if the tax you can't get
the refund
you know you don't get the refund when
it does goes the other way so the
problem really is
the tax code defines what the asset can
be
you can buy it and hold it for 20 years
and but the last point is if you really
want to be successful as an investor
and a treasury your plan is to buy
something you can hold forever
never sell it and
if you if you ever need cash you're
going to borrow against it pledging it
as collateral
right people pledge their real estate as
collateral people pledge their stock as
collateral
for example peter if you have 10 million
dollars worth of apple stock
do you know what the bar what the
lending rate is for apple stock is you
know you can do with that
no idea tell me it's just for short
sellers
you can walk into a bank you can pick up
the phone call call your bank and you
can
borrow five million dollars maybe eight
million dollars against the 10 million
in apple stock
and libor plus 50 basis points
which means 0.62 interest right now
okay and do you know what the tax
treatment is on that
like what's your tax bill tell me there
is no tax bill
okay so for example if you if you had
a million dollars worth of stock and if
you needed a hundred thousand dollars to
live
if you sell a hundred thousand worth of
stock then you pay
25 30 35 40 taxes up to 50
taxes so you would sell a hundred
thousand but have fifty thousand so you
have to sell
a hundred and seventy five thousand and
now you've only got
eight hundred thousand worth of stock
left and you do that five years in a row
and you have no stock left
so if you're selling your asset
you uh you have no assets and and by
year six you're poor
okay so what do you do you have a
million dollars worth of stock
you borrow a hundred thousand dollars
against the stock
and you pay one percent interest and so
you had to borrow a hundred and one
thousand dollars against the stock
and there's no tax on it you didn't you
had no income
you have no capital gains
how long can you do that peter
not very long forever forever what sorry
you can do that forever if the asset
goes
up okay 10 of course yes yes yes sorry
i i was yes i was reading the inverse
yeah so for example if i have a million
dollars worth of the stock and it's
gonna go up ten percent a year and i
borrow
let's let's say i borrow eighty thousand
a year again yeah
i can borrow against it forever okay
where does that happen with real estate
in new york city
i own a city block it goes up by eight
percent a year
my family never sells it we gift it
to each other i need some money 82
years after my grandfather bought the
real estate
what do i do i go to the bank and i
you ever heard the phrase refinance yeah
of course
i refinanced the real estate which means
when my grandfather bought it was worth
10 million but today it's worth 187
million
and we've got 120 million in debt on it
so we
change it to 140 million in debt and i
take 20 million dollars of debt
against an asset and i don't have a
capital gain
because i didn't sell anything and i
have no income because i've got an
asset i've got a liability to offset my
asset hold on
is this uh is this what donald trump's
been doing
this is what every real estate investor
has been doing for a hundred years and
and he is included
yeah that would explain it for example
like what could be sweeter than this
peter i find
a billion dollar building a billion
dollars with the real estate
i have a hundred million dollars i
i pledge a hundred million in equity i
borrow 900
or i borrow 900 million and so
i've got 900 million in debt i got a
little bit of equity
and then the fed prints some money and
all assets inflate by 20
and now my building is worth 1.2 billion
and i have 900 million in debt on it 100
million in equity but i have 200 million
in unrealized capital gain
you wouldn't sell the building because
you'd have to pay tax on the 200 million
of course you would refinance the
building and you would take another
200 million out of the building and now
you and then you pay off the equity
maybe i borrowed the equity from
somebody else my cousin
i pay them off and i've got 100 million
free and clear
and i hope that someone prints some more
money so the building goes up by eight
percent next year
and if it goes up by seven percent a
year for four years running i'll have a
two billion dollar building
and i'll have 900 million in debt
against it
and i'll refinance it again and i'll
take out 500 million dollars
and i'll pay zero percent tax on it and
i'll go buy another building
and i'll go borrow borrow money against
that so i'll leverage that up
and pretty soon you have lots of things
that have debt on them
and you never made any money your entire
life and you never paid any tax your
entire life
and what do you need you need two things
you need low interest rate loans
you need uh bankers you know you need
good banking relationships
you need to get along with the bankers
and then you need uh
for the monetary supply to expand so
that asset prices expand
and if you have those three things you
use
leverage to acquire assets and then you
borrowed against your assets
and by the way this is my my point
really is
you don't really want to be generating
income
right this is what kayasaki says right
you don't want to generate income and
pay tax
you want to own something which
appreciates
without being taxed with the ideal
holding period
of forever right warren buffett says it
just won't hold it forever
and and uh that's why that's my answer
to like
all the people in the bitcoin community
that are desperately trying to actually
get it to be a
you know a way to pay employees or sell
things
it's a really difficult heroic task but
it's too hard
a much better idea is to buy and say if
you want the benefits of crypto
buy and sell it in a cryptocurrency like
uh tether
or die if you're if you really want
cheap fast
transactions run a stable coin on a fast
network either centralized or
decentralized and then convert your
bitcoin
into stable and then move that back and
forth because there's no tax bill
and the accounting is simple okay
okay i'm just conscious of time we've
done three hours but i do have
i mean there's a bunch we could have
done another three hours there is
one other thing that i specifically
would be interested in your view on
in that you mentioned towards the start
you've
become to understand essentially the
different sex
factions within bitcoin uh yeah we have
the austrian economics
uh economists and the libertarians but
actually that's a it's a very
strong group of bitcoiners who want to
see an end of the fed
you know they want to see many want to
see the end of the government they want
to defund the government and
and hopefully bitcoin can do that and
where are you with all that side of
things
i i think i'll live with the government
okay
you statist
i think that um to the extent that
bitcoin
bitcoin uh gets affiliated with um
hostility toward local governments
that's not going to be good for bitcoin
right for obvious reasons um i think
that um
bitcoin the if you dig a bit deeper
i i'm not a complete anarchist so for
example
i do i do acknowledge that there's a
that
that um there is a
a place for government so so there's two
phrases that pop up
you know inflation is theft and taxation
is theft
i agree with the first i don't agree
with the second okay i agree
inflation is theft that when you print
money you're stealing
money from you're stealing energy and
purchasing power
and wealth from disadvantaged people i
agree with that
i think that um taxation is not theft i
think taxation is
it can be inconvenient and sometimes it
can be
obsessed oppressive right
like too much on the other end there's a
place for highways and there's a
i don't have a problem with the
government providing security and clean
water
and hygiene and uh
schools and public utilities
and uh the libertarians debate back and
forth over
the role of government and there are
arguments that
you know these could be these things can
all be accomplished by
um private entities and
i'm not so sure but i i would say
clearly i'm in favor of the camp of
less government yeah i'm on i like
ronald reagan like if i
i like the guy that said you know
less less government is better and uh
let's see
what we need to do i don't think it's
very practical to go to zero government
instantly right that that creates
another set of problems and i don't
think that's
destructive no i know i agree with that
like the big red button would just lead
to
chaos because people are
institutionalized with government
um but i've brought it up so many times
but i did an interview with eric
voorhees who
you obviously mentioned his uh debate
with peter schiff
and i i kind of asked him about that
because i was like i just don't see it
working he said
i'd look i don't want that right now
let's not start at that point let's just
start with
one percent less government or five
percent you know five percent uh a
smaller budget
each year let's just try and reduce
government and i've kind of always liked
that idea of
almost like uh i mean you've got a
software company so you
you will know about a b testing right i
almost see a
we need to wean ourselves off the
government and a b test what works and
what doesn't you know
or what can go first or what do we need
um i i know security and
and border protection are one of the
things that are like a very important
and
you know in the uk the nhs is seen as
very important and the highways are seen
as important but what are the one of the
stupid bits we could definitely get rid
of and
if you were for if the government was
forced to stick to a budget where would
it where would it cut itself first
yeah i think i think the political
conversation is ongoing and there are
lots of different views on it
i think it's i don't think it's very
constructive and i think it's even
counterproductive
to allow that to dominate the narrative
of the bitcoin community
it would be an example of the perfect
being being the enemy of the good
like uh even if you believed that
even if you had a very strong view on
government
uh i believe that it's counterproductive
to the interest of bitcoin
a much more constructive thing to do
would
would be to incrementally improve the
world
and i think that if all you did was keep
people losing their money
by getting taken advantage of by gold
merchants
the world's a better place and we gave
them
if we gave people a simple savings and
loan that yielded five percent interest
where they weren't going to get ripped
off
i think you could be proud of that i
mean there's how many billion people on
the planet don't have any any safe place
to put their money right now
right you don't have to topple every
government to make bitcoins say a safe
place to put your money right
so if you get seven and a half billion
people a safe place to put their money
the point would be a better place
and then if you gave them a little bit
of individual sovereignty or a little
bit of control
it'd be even better and so i think make
the world a better place is a logical
place to start i
there aren't that many people that are
going to say
i disagree with you about that making
the world a better place thing
i mean a lot of people can come together
on that but on the other hand
if we get down into prescriptive actions
about what the government should or
should not do
i think you're going to have huge
amounts of inflammation and pushback
and bona fide debates and of course it
it distracts from the matter at hand
because what's what is more important
than anything
is that we go from 20 million people
that use bitcoin
to a billion people that use bitcoin and
we go from
a narrative where people are afraid of
it don't trust it
or are worried that there's some
negative connotation to a world where
they say
oh bitcoin it's just like facebook for
gold
it's facebook for digital gold or it's
or it's apple for digital gold
and by the way when apple and facebook
and twitter and google
got big enough that they're all like
trillion dollar companies politicians
started worrying about them a bit
and there's a debate about you know
twitter and facebook and
apple and what they should or shouldn't
do why don't we just leave that debate
for about another decade about whether
it
people are worried that google works too
well
or the twitter works too well or that
apple works too well
why don't we wait until bitcoin is a
hundred times bigger than it is
and then people are worrying that it
works too well and then we can engage in
politics because right now
this is a this is a much simpler
discussion all you got to do is say we
reinvented gold and made a digital gold
it's 100 times better than gold and then
you've got
a hundred thousand stock brokers
stampeding millions of people
into gold and you could just say hey
we're just we're that but better
and then everything else that everybody
wants whatever their hopes their
aspirations are
are 100x more likely to be realized if
bitcoin is successful
as a digital gold and there's
no reason to fight these other battles
now whatever they might be
i mean i i don't disagree other people
will
naturally i don't disagree i certainly
don't
i certainly think there is a secondary
benefit though
to more people having the ability to
store
money in bitcoin and have it uh seizure
seizure resistance resistant in that it
does
reduce the you get to a kind of tipping
point where
it will reduce the effectiveness of the
government they maybe have to
uh consider their budgets but that that
said we've seen plenty of
states fail um currencies fail and
um it's not like we've always seen like
a positive revolution that's come out
afterward venezuela zimbabwe like
we're not even seeing much progress in
lebanon right now so
um i'm nervous about a collapse of the
state i
i understand the utopian goal i'm just
nervous about it i
you know civilization has progressed
over hundreds of years
are we really in that bad estate that we
want to tear all down and
start again i don't honestly know the
answer um
but uh yeah oh
man we've done a long time are you
feeling all right
yeah i probably gonna like 10 20 minutes
with me but
we can take a break right now well you
know what that's uh that's a record
length interview now
we've hit a good point i think we should
i've got a
couple of things i want to close out on
um
because there's a couple other rebels we
could go go down we could do this
another time
so listen look you're uh you've made
your big bet
you're in you're in you're in the world
of bitcoin
but there's other people who are still
on the sidelines
you know and you've given some great
articulate and eloquent answers but
i really want your elevator pitch now
for bitcoin like for all these people
think about should i be in
whether it's company treasuries whether
it's personal wealth what would you say
to them
i would say in our current macroeconomic
environment
implies that we're going to see 10 to 15
expansion of the monetary supply every
year for the next three to five years
assets are going to inflate
bitcoin is digital gold it's going to
have the highest real yield
because you can't make any more of it
all the other investments are crowded
trades
bonds are well understood stocks are
well understood
gold is well understood they all have
they have the same upside as downside at
this point
and and there's no way if you get an
edge
bitcoin has an asymmetric proposition
you can get an
edge here because it has a history
which uh which has scared some people
away and so
it hasn't been embraced by the
institutional community if you are the
first
then you'll have an edge as it's been
traditionally difficult to buy and a lot
of people
they can't pick up the phone and buy it
and so if you go to the trouble to
figure out how to acquire it
that will give you an edge and
it has all of the technology upside of
apple google facebook and amazon
from a decade ago and you saw what data
did over the past decade
bitcoin is the is the first successful
digital monetary network
and so if you come into it right now
you're coming into it with a 200 billion
dollar market cap
and and it's gotten to this point
without
the institutional interest that it's
currently gleaning
so it makes sense to be early to this
trend
as the price goes up the value
of the offering goes up because the
liquidity
is the value proposition so this is an
example of
of something where the higher the price
goes the more value
that bullet gets the more people want to
have it and the more
robust it gets that's not true
with a stock if the price of the stock
goes up
it delaminates from its cash flows and
its pde goes from 20 to 30 to 40 to 50
to 80 to 100
and so with with many things as the
price goes up
the risk gets higher but with with
bitcoin
the price goes up the risk probably gets
lower and it's such a simple thing
it doesn't have all the execution risk
and regulatory risk and
competitive risk that so many other
things have
because it is so very simple it's just
21 million
gold coins in cyberspace buy one
and as the and as people adopt the
network
the value proposition increases as
technology gets better
the economy works people productive
they'll buy a network they'll they'll
sweep more cash flows into it the value
for
proposition increases and as the central
bankers print more money
the value proposition will increase
that's my pitch listen to that amazing
right well look if people want to follow
any of your work
so there's a couple of things i think
you should point them towards point them
towards
um the your own personal kind of twitter
um also the you talked about the
education resource
and then anything else anything else you
want to point people towards i think
three things
to go check out check check me out on
twitter michael saylor
with underscore after michael and then
also you can go to
microstrategy.com and we actually have a
bunch of stuff on our
own business and also we have a bitcoin
section and it's a curated bitcoin
section with
with videos articles books and
regulatory filings that would be
interesting to someone
and then if you're interested in free
education or you know anybody that wants
a free college degree
go to sailor.org we're trying to give it
away
it's not easy to give stuff away but if
you want to
if you want to promote free education
for everybody's go to sale.org anybody
can get an account everything is free
it's all creative commons open source
license
and the ideas is anybody in the world
can get a computer science degree and
make a living
and so you want to check that out feel
free amazing well listen look
amazing work congratulations on uh
everything you've achieved so far
um like it's you've you've come through
bitcoin like a steam train this last
uh you know a couple of months or a few
weeks and it's been fascinating to watch
um it's great to get to know you uh
great to talk to you a couple of times
i expect well i hope and then if it's
possible expect we'll do this every
maybe six months to a year we'll have a
catch up we'll do another one of these
hopefully in person at some point we'll
actually sit down and
do this in person and maybe go grab some
food but anything you ever need from me
you know you can reach out to me you got
my number and everything now and
look i wish you the best i obviously
hope your investment is uh
uh super successful because they'll be
great for me as well so uh
all the best and take care thanks for
having me on your show peter i've
learned a lot and i always
i always enjoy our conversations