SaylorCorpus

Video - The Bitcoin Bull Bull Bull with Michael Saylor

What Bitcoin Did · 2020-10-18 · 1h 38m · View on YouTube →

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all right i think uh i think i want to

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dig into some of your ideas now thoughts

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around bitcoin

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um okay so

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we talked about a few things the other

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day before we spoke before we've

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recorded sorry

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you you're talk to me about your bitcoin

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value proposition and the size of the

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opportunity

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i i think if i was talking to an

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investor

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i would say bitcoin is the ideal

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treasury reserve

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asset and it's the ideal treasury

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reserve

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asset because for the first time in

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human history

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humans have figured out how to create

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a digital monetary network

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which is conservative in nature it

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conserves

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the energy you put into it it's closed

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system

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there's 21 million coins in the system

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and i don't i

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wouldn't bother with the discussion of

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the havings and

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and the block subsidies going down i

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just don't think it matters

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there's 21 million coins that are going

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to be in this system

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the only thing that can happen is

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it heats up or it cools down if people

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are buying into this system

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at a price greater than the moving

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200-day average a 200

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week average it's heating up and if

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they're if they're selling

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it's cooling down so

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bitcoin is is is um a digital gold

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and it achieves what what gold bugs

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wanted to achieve

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it creates a perfectly scarce

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asset there is no inflation

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to speak of if you took the the extra

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1.5 million coins that are coming divide

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by 100 years you're like

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0.1 inflation a year if you want to

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compare it

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to something in essence there's no

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inflation

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compared to gold gold is going to debase

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two to three percent

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under the best case which means you're

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going to lose 88

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of your wealth in a gold system you're

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going to lose

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none of that in a bitcoin system in a

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fiat system you're going to lose 99

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of your wealth because of at a 7

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debasement rate and

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if you're looking at stores of value

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if you put all your if you put your

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value into big tech

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then it's a crowded trade and you're

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taking all the counterparty risk the

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execution risk the competitive risk

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the regulatory risk that all of these

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large companies hold

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and the the likelihood that um

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that's going to last for 100 years it's

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pretty low

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um they're they're it's a crowded trade

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it's a known trade

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people are already in it it's not an

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asymmetric risk-reward trade-off

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it might go up it might go down there's

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not a lot of people that think that

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apple computer is going to go up by a

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factor of 10

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from here or by a factor of 100 from

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10 years ago if you wanted a good

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investment idea buying facebook amazon

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apple and google when they were

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unpopular

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but dominant was a good idea right

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if you're a tech investor you buy a

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dominant technical network when they're

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dominant and by dominant means 100

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billion dollars they crushed everybody

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and they're 90 of the market but they're

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unpopular

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when when uh the rest of wall street

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doesn't quite get it

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when warren buffett hasn't bought it

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right it's unpopular that's that's your

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opportunity because

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you could have bought amazon and got 20

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at your money

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you could you could have bought amazon

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for 300 bucks a share in 2012

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2013 2014. it was obvious they they were

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already

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10 years into beating everybody that

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there was no

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retailer in the world that was going to

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displace them by then

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but they were still massively

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undervalued

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so if you're if you're thinking about uh

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equity as a store of value the problem

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is it's a crowded trade and um

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and you're not beating everybody in the

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market unless you manage to pick the one

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the zoom company that's about to go

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through the roof but you had to have

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bought zoom in

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january or february or or last december

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i mean once 350 million people know

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about them they're trading at 100 times

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revenue or 200 times revenue and then

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you've just kind of missed that boat

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that's the problem with equity the

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problem with with

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debt is that with interest rates at zero

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the only way debt goes up is

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interest rates have to go negative and

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and the wheels fall off the wagon in so

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many ways

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it's a challenge and the pro and that

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leaves you gold

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and the problem with gold is the

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counterparty risk is 95 likely to strip

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it all from your hands

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over a long long term but forgetting

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about that

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the debasement risk is stripping 88

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percent of it from your hands

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and then forgetting about that let's say

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you're a short term

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you're only going to hold goal for three

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four years five years ten years

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the problem with that is that and and i

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thought about this peter

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i thought about buying gold and i

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thought the real problem with buying

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50 gold and 50 bitcoin is the same exact

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people

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that are running toward gold are gonna

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run toward bitcoin

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and when they realize that bitcoin is a

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thousand times better than gold

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all the money that chased into a safe

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haven of gold

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is going to move and chase into bitcoin

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you're getting screwed two ways

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intelligent people

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are gonna mind more gold when the price

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goes up and they're

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and you're gonna you're gonna get hurt

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by that and then intelligent investors

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are going to flee gold into bitcoin

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as the price goes up and also as they

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understand and get more educated

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so do you really want to bet on people

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staying

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stupid and ignorant for long periods of

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if you're entrusting your life energy

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and i mean the answer is no

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finally that's why warren buffett didn't

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buy gold

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the real problem with buying gold is

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you're betting against human

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ingenuity you're betting

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that people are just too stupid and lazy

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to make more gold

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when the price goes up and that's always

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an awful bet

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that's why if you really believe in gold

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you buy the gold miners

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because at least the gold miners

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have the ability to make more gold and

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there's a competitive dynamic there

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but you know having said it all

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and i think bitcoin is digital gold and

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it's the hardest

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smartest fastest you know

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strongest treasury asset you're gonna

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that's why you should buy it it's the

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ultimate long duration asset

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okay so why is it you see

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bitcoin as digital gold i think

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i think it's important for people to

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realize that

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that uh bitcoin is a virtual

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manifestation of gold

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so what do people want in gold they want

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it to be hard

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and bitcoin is harder than gold because

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you can't mine

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more that you can't mine two percent a

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year you can mine 0.1

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a year and so it's totally capped and

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that's what makes it harder

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but there's another way that it's harder

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because

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bitcoin is a living creature the miners

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are changing

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the nodes are changing the software is

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changing they're all upgrading over time

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and and the ecosystem has exchanges on

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the front end

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servers on the back and clients on the

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front end so

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as all of that software upgrades

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that makes it harder it's anti-fragile

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in that way

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because bitcoin will um

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react to threats and adapt and

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and fight back um and uh

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and so we when we think about goal we

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think well it's been hard and the same

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for a million years but

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but bitcoin is virtual gold and it's not

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going to be the same for the next 100

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years it's going to literally

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get harder more secure

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in in many ways as the software and the

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hardware gets better

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and so that's that's an anti-fragile

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component

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i i think that one of the key themes

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with all technology networks

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uh and the reason for the success of

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apple google and facebook

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and amazon and the like is when you

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de-materialize a product or a service

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into software you can make it smarter

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you can make it faster you can make it

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stronger the um

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the camera on apple's iphone

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is smarter stronger faster

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than the best camera produced before

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apple came along

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and we all have lots of examples of the

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way that it's smarter faster and

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stronger

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and youtube is smarter faster and

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video than any video network that came

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along before

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and there are lots of examples and

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people get this intuitively

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when you dematerialize something so when

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you dematerialize

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gold you don't just make it harder to

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make it smarter faster and stronger and

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the smarter is

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i put a million dollars of gold in

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bitcoin

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and then i write some software and the

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software does a million things

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while i'm sleeping with that asset that

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that i wouldn't have done and couldn't

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have done if um

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if it's exchange writes an application

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that lets 10 million people post that

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they want to borrow

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against their bitcoin and they post the

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price and then 10 000 people post they

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want a loan

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against bitcoin as collateral and they

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post the price

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the market clears and you created like

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an ebay

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uh crypto bank and and that'll run

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all the time that's never gonna happen

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with gold

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you can't do it with gold and yet not

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only can you do it with bitcoin

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it's gonna get better every year forever

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when you do a bitcoin

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and that's that's why it's smarter i

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mean a bar

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gold never crawled out from under your

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bed to go and earn interest for you

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while you're sleeping and then crawl

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back in bed with you

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it's just not going to happen and if you

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think about it being

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faster when you took the you take the

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mass out of something it could move at

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the speed of light

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in this particular case

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you want to move 100 million dollars a

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goal from new york to tokyo it's going

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to cost you 250 000 dollars it's a 3 000

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pound block of gold you'd have to

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charter a global express pay 10 000

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an hour put a bunch of guns on a thing

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quarter of a million dollars when you

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a hundred million dollars of bitcoin

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it's five bucks

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and i'm always amused right all these

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guys in the crypto community

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they complain about transaction fees

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and what they completely miss is the

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transaction fee to move gold is 250

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000 and the transaction fee to move the

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bitcoin is five

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dollars and they're they're thinking

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about a world where transaction means

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buy pizza and buy coffee

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and that's thinking small what they

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ought to be doing is thinking about a

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world where i wanted to move 100 million

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or billion dollars at a time and and

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once they thought about that world

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they would realize the transaction cost

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and speed

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bitcoin in essence is infinitely fast

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infinitely cheap to move

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like ridiculously cheap and fast to move

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you're just moving the wrong quantity of

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and that that has consequences to the

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business in a way

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and that's why it's faster but what does

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that mean

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that means that i could actually move it

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to turkey loan 10 million dollars of it

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to somebody for four days and move it

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and and the and the cost of movement is

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five dollars this way in that way and it

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moves the speed of light

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and it's even faster than you know

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people say it's 10 minutes or 30 minutes

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to get the confirmations

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the point is it's a better instrument

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and i can prove that i have it and you

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can prove that you have it and so the

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software can

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can operate in 100 milliseconds and so

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we're not talking about 10 times faster

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than gold

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we're talking about 10 million times

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faster than gold

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and that takes me to strong and the

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strong element is

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you're getting a full audit every 10

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minutes of the entire supply everywhere

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in the world

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transparently and there's no security

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and there is no asset on the planet

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where you have have a full audit every

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10 minutes

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and you've got a bid on it

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every second of the day 24 7 365 in

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every currency

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which means that you could actually mark

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to market

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someone's 3 800 bitcoin

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every second in every currency in real

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and that's god's gift to a banker right

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because what you want is perfectly

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transparent

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collateral and you can mark the market

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if if i can do those two things

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then that means we're really reaching

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we're bordering on a world where money

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never sleeps

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right truly we're gonna we're gonna

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achieve the cliche of money never sleeps

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and if you wanna see it in full view

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all you do is pull up a crypto exchange

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on a saturday night or a sunday morning

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and just watch the ticker scroll and

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literally

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it's the only thing in the world that is

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you've got a bid on nothing else and

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uh so you put those three together and

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you say

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i created a bar of gold i virtualized it

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it moves at the speed of light

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a million times a second and i've got

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computers that think a billion times

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faster than i think

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talking to other computers that are

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thinking a billion times faster than i

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think

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and then you try to value that

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and is that worth 10 more than a gold

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no it's it's worth

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what's the value of rand mcnally when

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they put it they printed a physical map

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and i wrote about this in the mobile

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ways like the the entire map company was

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worth 50 million 100 million dollars

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what's the value of google maps 50

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billion

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a hundred billion dollars you had a map

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company worth some millions and you had

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you had a an intelligent smarter faster

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stronger and boy how smart are faster

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stronger

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google creates the map that tells you

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how to drive

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how to get there lets you duck the

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traffic

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shows you the restaurant tells you it's

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open and then tells you don't bother

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going because everybody hates this

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restaurant

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that's a smart fast strong

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map and you create 100 billion dollar

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businesses

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on those things when a billion people

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start to rely on them

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that's the part of of digital gold i

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think investors

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people don't get and if they got that

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there's no way you would say to me i

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guess i'll put 50

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in gold 50 in gold and 50

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in bitcoin is like saying in the year

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i'm going to put 50 of my money in canon

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and kodak and the other 50 in apple

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and it's like a laughable point it's

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like yeah that was really smart of you

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it it reminds me peter of all the wall

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street hedge fund guys

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back in 2011 2012 and

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i used to talk to them because i wrote

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this book called the mobile wave and i

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was a big bowl on apple

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and i and i said well they said to me

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why do you like apple and i said well

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apple is going to de-materialize

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everything you can hold in your hand

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every book every camera

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every recorder a wallet you know

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a television every device is going to

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dematerialize on the apple network and

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every wealthy person that i know has one

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of these

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which means that 90 of the wealth on the

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planet is going to be getting everything

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they can hold

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off of apple and they're going to have a

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trillion dollar

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mobile network okay and they said

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this is classic well this is well and

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good but if you invest your money with

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we provide you a service and whenever

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apple stock goes up

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we'll sell it and diversify it into all

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the other computer companies

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so that you don't have too much exposure

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to apple because it's kind of risky to

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have all your money in one stock

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and i said well you're going to buy all

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the desktop computer companies that are

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going to zero

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when apple eats them all and they said

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we don't see it that way and i said

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well technology is dematerializing all

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these products and services

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the you know it doesn't make any sense

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to me and they said

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well you know when when your technology

0:17:24

portfolio gets too high

0:17:26

our service to you is we're going to

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sell your tech stocks like amazon and

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google and apple and facebook

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and we're going to buy cyclical non-tech

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stocks to diversify your portfolio to

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protect you and hedge you

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and i said well isn't it the case that

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technology is going to eat everybody

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and there's not going to be any

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non-technology companies eventually

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they'll all be gone every newspaper

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every television station everybody is

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going to be dematerialized and eaten

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and they said we don't see it that way

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and i and i would say as a hist as a

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student of history

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and especially science and you want to

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you want an interesting read

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go read the history of john d

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rockefeller and then read the history of

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andrew carnegie and then read the

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history of henry ford and then read the

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history of hershey

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and then go to the craft craft factories

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and what you'll conclude is

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every successful business in in modern

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history was a technology company

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there was no success general electric

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electricity was technology

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automotive was technology the idea that

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investors don't buy technology is a

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is a silly notion and once you

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understand that

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you realize that the only issue is is

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the technology at the beginning of the s

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curve

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or is it toward the end of the s-curve

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and the beginning of the s-curve

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is when it when it works and everybody

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can see it's going to work

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but most of the old school still doesn't

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understand it

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and the end of the s curve is when it

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works

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and everybody sees it and all of the old

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school

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understands that they're not going to

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vanquish it and they all rely

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on it and then the politicians start to

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regulate it

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at the point that people decide it's a

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it's a human right

0:19:17

everyone has a right to this is a

0:19:20

utilitarian

0:19:21

right and then they start to they start

0:19:24

to put uh

0:19:25

price controls on it or they start to

0:19:28

they start to mandate

0:19:29

uh universal access to it or regulate it

0:19:33

it's utility and one last point on this

0:19:38

the richest person in the world

0:19:41

shouldn't be a jeff bezos it it ought to

0:19:45

the person that delivers your

0:19:46

electricity to you because if i really

0:19:49

wanted to wreck your life

0:19:51

i would just turn off the power right

0:19:53

there are a lot of things that people

0:19:55

rely upon that are more important than

0:19:56

facebook google amazon apple

0:19:58

i mean they're important but electricity

0:20:00

is more important you would

0:20:02

you would kill a million people in new

0:20:04

york city you've turned up the

0:20:05

electricity

0:20:06

and then after that water but if i

0:20:08

turned off the water

0:20:09

we'd all be dead in three days maybe two

0:20:12

and yet name me a water billionaire and

0:20:15

named me

0:20:16

electrical billionaire we had them

0:20:20

we had them when everybody disagreed

0:20:21

with the need for it right and then as

0:20:23

soon as everybody agree we need water

0:20:24

and electricity

0:20:26

it's not so good in investment anymore

0:20:29

and that that really changes your

0:20:30

dynamic here so

0:20:32

that's why i think bitcoin as digital

0:20:36

is so compelling and that's why i think

0:20:37

that once people understand it

0:20:39

they're not going to buy they're not

0:20:40

going to want to buy one percent of it

0:20:42

they're not gonna because they're

0:20:43

holding 99

0:20:44

stuff that's like getting hammered to

0:20:46

death by it and the question is how

0:20:48

hammered

0:20:49

but so explain to me how these

0:20:53

explain to me how people think you know

0:20:54

wealthy people think

0:20:56

um because it's not a world i live in

0:20:58

right so multi-millionaire people worth

0:21:00

hundreds of millions billions

0:21:02

like how do they tend to invest and

0:21:04

especially a time like now

0:21:05

you know well with mid pademic

0:21:08

uh the fed is printing unlimited amounts

0:21:11

of money

0:21:12

you know that how do people tend to

0:21:14

invest and what are the hurdles you

0:21:16

think some of these bigger investors are

0:21:18

having

0:21:19

or the hurdles that they're in their way

0:21:21

to adopting bitcoin

0:21:24

yeah let's just take through the list of

0:21:26

things that keep people from buying

0:21:27

bitcoin

0:21:28

um number one uh

0:21:32

reputation the mainstream media

0:21:35

characterizes it as uh casino gambling

0:21:39

money for hackers money for criminals

0:21:42

scary you know using it to evade

0:21:44

currency control or something so

0:21:47

then the the narrative of

0:21:50

of uh it's for uh contrarians

0:21:54

and um and the like will scare away

0:21:59

um an insurance company right or a big

0:22:03

bank it's going to scare away

0:22:04

institutional investors so

0:22:05

so flipping that narrative is important

0:22:08

i think the next narrative is

0:22:10

uh this is uh unregulated cyber vegas

0:22:13

that doesn't help right i think i think

0:22:17

i think that all of the unregulated

0:22:20

cyber vegas although it appeals to

0:22:22

someone who is a

0:22:24

libertarian cyberpunk

0:22:29

genius hacker they might like that um

0:22:32

but it's not going to appeal to someone

0:22:34

that has lots of money that they've got

0:22:36

in t-bills and

0:22:37

and nasdaq stocks they're going to think

0:22:39

i don't they don't want to go to vegas

0:22:41

and gamble

0:22:42

right they definitely don't be anywhere

0:22:44

regulatory off grounds

0:22:46

um what they want

0:22:49

is to put their money in the world's the

0:22:51

world's safest vault if the narrative

0:22:55

it's a vault of encrypted energy it's a

0:22:57

crypto vault or it's it's the world's

0:23:00

safest savings and loan the savings

0:23:03

alone at the end of the universe

0:23:05

you know as marketed by douglas adams

0:23:09

the world's safest most technically

0:23:11

advanced savings and loan

0:23:13

protected by the strongest wall of

0:23:16

encrypted energy

0:23:17

and it's impossible for him to get

0:23:19

through it your money is safe here

0:23:21

safer than fort knox safer than any bank

0:23:24

you know it can't be destroyed by a bank

0:23:27

it can't be stolen by a criminal it

0:23:28

can't be

0:23:29

destroyed by a government right that's

0:23:31

that's an appealing narrative

0:23:34

um i think that the crypto industry

0:23:37

it uh it repeats some tropes that are

0:23:40

that are

0:23:40

uh counterproductive that don't help it

0:23:43

for example

0:23:45

people always apologize for uh for

0:23:47

bitcoin being volatile

0:23:49

oh it's as you know it's volatile don't

0:23:51

put more than the amount you can lose in

0:23:53

okay well if you look at it over the

0:23:55

past four months

0:23:57

it has been no more volatile than any of

0:23:59

the big tech companies i mean when i

0:24:01

check it it's

0:24:02

apple computers more volatile than

0:24:04

bitcoin for the past four months

0:24:06

apple computer is the is the is on the

0:24:08

dow it's a

0:24:09

the blue is the blue chip stocks owned

0:24:12

an octogenarian warren buffett

0:24:16

and it's more volatile than bitcoin and

0:24:18

it's 10 times bigger than

0:24:19

bitcoin and it's an establishment stock

0:24:23

so why apologize people on bitcoin ought

0:24:26

to say

0:24:26

it used to be volatile it's a lot less

0:24:29

volatile now

0:24:30

and in fact of late the other day i

0:24:33

looked and and uh it was a

0:24:35

it was a bad day in the market the

0:24:37

30-year treasury

0:24:39

was more volatile than bitcoin the

0:24:40

10-year treasury is more volatile than

0:24:42

bitcoin

0:24:43

every big tech company is more volatile

0:24:45

than bitcoin the nasdaq was more

0:24:47

volatile than bitcoin

0:24:48

silver and gold were more volatile than

0:24:50

bitcoin and i scratched my head

0:24:51

and i was like why is the bitcoiners

0:24:54

keep telling everybody they're volatile

0:24:56

why don't they just say there's stuff

0:24:59

that's volatile

0:25:00

our volatility used to be legendary but

0:25:03

it's a lot less volatile now well maybe

0:25:05

maybe

0:25:06

you know what if people like square keep

0:25:07

putting money and we could uh

0:25:09

we could go through another one of these

0:25:10

crazy ball runs where it does look

0:25:12

volatile again

0:25:14

it i guess it'd be nice it was volatile

0:25:16

to the upside

0:25:17

but but um but when you're apologizing

0:25:21

for volatility and and you're

0:25:25

um warning people that this might be too

0:25:27

volatile for you

0:25:29

you're you're sending the message that

0:25:32

this is a crazy unregulated casino where

0:25:34

you can make fortunes or lose fortunes

0:25:36

that's not what people want i think if

0:25:39

you just said

0:25:40

you can put your bitcoin in and it's

0:25:43

highly unlikely you'll lose it

0:25:45

i think that's enough yeah there's a lot

0:25:47

of people that would be happy just not

0:25:49

to lose their stuff

0:25:51

and so a lot of people in the crypto

0:25:53

community feel a need to reach for yield

0:25:56

and they and they feel a need to

0:25:58

apologize for past volatility

0:26:00

and if if they simply said here's a

0:26:03

stable treasury asset

0:26:05

it should have a positive real yield

0:26:08

over time because we're not printing

0:26:09

more of it

0:26:12

then they could stop there's another

0:26:14

narrative which which hurts which is um

0:26:17

everybody's number one pushback as they

0:26:19

think about it is

0:26:20

after they get past the is this uh for

0:26:23

criminals and

0:26:24

casino gamblers i have to get that then

0:26:27

the next pushback is

0:26:28

well it's not really scarce because i

0:26:31

can copy the code and create my own coin

0:26:34

and the the proper answer to that

0:26:37

and by the way somebody forked it you

0:26:39

know and bitcoin there'll be another

0:26:41

fork and another fork and another four

0:26:43

the proper answer to that is

0:26:46

bitcoin is the winner of the crypto wars

0:26:50

and has risen

0:26:51

above the thousands of other crypto

0:26:54

networks to be the one and only

0:26:56

true winning dominant crypto

0:26:59

and if you stack the other crypto

0:27:02

networks that are designed to be

0:27:04

asset networks a crypto asset network to

0:27:07

store your value

0:27:09

bitcoin's 94 of it and the next one is

0:27:12

50 times smaller

0:27:13

call bitcoin cash and the next one is is

0:27:16

60 times smaller

0:27:17

and then we can't remember the number

0:27:19

four and so

0:27:20

you're buying the category killer of the

0:27:23

crypto asset network

0:27:25

and it has been attacked a thousand

0:27:27

times and they have all failed

0:27:29

and yes you could make your own but

0:27:31

you're not going to get the 200 billion

0:27:34

dollars

0:27:35

worth of fanatic maximalist who will

0:27:37

fight to the death to defend

0:27:39

this one and so why would you create one

0:27:42

which is identical to this one which is

0:27:45

10 years behind and 200 billion dollars

0:27:47

behind

0:27:48

that you know bitcoin is the facebook of

0:27:51

monetary networks and you could

0:27:54

duplicate facebook

0:27:55

too but you won't because

0:27:59

none of your friends are going to switch

0:28:01

over to the yoyo book

0:28:03

and and i think everybody understands

0:28:06

that once they've used fake it's why

0:28:10

it's why you're not going to switch from

0:28:11

twitter or youtube or facebook

0:28:14

or apple because there's a massive

0:28:17

barrier to switching the network is

0:28:20

dominant

0:28:21

and so if if the crypto people just said

0:28:24

if this segment in the market said

0:28:26

bitcoin is the dominant crypto asset

0:28:28

network

0:28:29

done you might carve a channel

0:28:33

and pull tens of trillions of dollars of

0:28:35

money into the crypto space

0:28:39

right i when i look at crypto i say it's

0:28:41

a 300 billion dollar

0:28:43

pond on a beach next to a 300 trillion

0:28:46

dollar

0:28:47

ocean crypto

0:28:54

crypto the crypto i'm going to get to

0:28:54

the point

0:28:54

yeah the or pond is 300 billion

0:28:57

dollars and bitcoin is 200 billion of it

0:29:01

and now the entire crypto community

0:29:04

spends a lot of time talking about alt

0:29:07

coins versus bitcoin

0:29:08

and bickering between those two but what

0:29:11

they ought to be doing

0:29:12

is talking about alt assets versus

0:29:16

bitcoin

0:29:17

and they ought to be saying bitcoin's

0:29:20

volatility compared to silver or

0:29:22

gold is trending down or bitcoin's

0:29:25

volatility compared to apple stock

0:29:27

is trending down i can actually find

0:29:30

metrics of bitcoin's volatility versus

0:29:32

tron but that's it's kind of a joke

0:29:36

because the 300 trillion dollars is not

0:29:38

choosing between

0:29:39

tron and bitcoin the 300 trillion

0:29:42

dollars

0:29:43

by the way which is 99.9 of all the

0:29:47

wealth and power in the world

0:29:49

so all the money all the power is not in

0:29:52

the pawn

0:29:53

if you want to make this business this

0:29:55

entire industry successful

0:29:57

even if you believe even if you're an

0:29:59

ethereum person

0:30:01

if you're tron ethereum eos chain link

0:30:05

tether it doesn't matter you know ripple

0:30:08

whatever you are

0:30:09

every one of them has a vested interest

0:30:12

carving a channel between the crypto

0:30:15

and the the asset ocean and then getting

0:30:19

10 trillion dollars to flow into that

0:30:23

and if that and the the gateway to that

0:30:26

is going to be bitcoin the only way

0:30:29

someone's going to move money from

0:30:31

gold silver equity indexes

0:30:34

bonds real estate into crypto

0:30:38

is first through bitcoin

0:30:41

and then once it's in bitcoin then you

0:30:44

you can go at this issue of can i

0:30:47

generate yield on it can i wrap it

0:30:49

can i do other stuff the other part of

0:30:52

the crypto market is going to be

0:30:54

crypto applications crypto currencies

0:30:58

crypto other types of crypto assets

0:31:01

could thrive

0:31:03

i can conceptualize them but none of

0:31:05

them i think have a chance of thriving

0:31:07

unless bitcoin emerges to be the digital

0:31:11

of the 21st century and uh and that's

0:31:15

what i think people miss

0:31:16

in their narrative and one last point

0:31:20

they've got a very pernicious number

0:31:22

it's an awful number

0:31:23

the number is uh dominance they should

0:31:26

not be saying

0:31:27

bitcoin is 59 dominance and then listing

0:31:31

25 other cryptos on you know on their

0:31:33

exchange

0:31:34

pages what they should be doing like any

0:31:37

good venture capitalist or any good

0:31:39

executive is they should segment the

0:31:41

market and divide and conquer

0:31:43

they should say a currency a

0:31:46

cryptocurrency is a stable coin

0:31:48

running on a decentralized network that

0:31:50

holds a stable value

0:31:52

against the euro or the dollar that's a

0:31:54

currency

0:31:55

and then an application is a world

0:31:58

computer that will run a complicated

0:32:00

smart contract or some application in

0:32:02

exchange or what have you

0:32:03

and ethereum is is targeted to be that

0:32:06

and ethereum is 60

0:32:07

of the applications market i if i was

0:32:10

ethereum

0:32:11

i'd a lot i'd like rather be 70

0:32:14

of the crypto application market than be

0:32:18

of the crypto market right why would you

0:32:21

pick a fight with somebody you can't

0:32:23

beat with every disadvantage when you

0:32:26

could be 70

0:32:28

of the market where maybe you have a

0:32:30

chance

0:32:31

and then you would say crypto assets

0:32:34

that's people that want to be digital

0:32:37

and and that's that's bitcoin now what

0:32:40

happens next

0:32:41

what happens next is somebody with a

0:32:43

billion dollars

0:32:44

and they've got their money here and

0:32:45

there they've got like half an hour and

0:32:47

they say what is this thing and you say

0:32:49

well there are applications assets and

0:32:51

currencies

0:32:53

and they're like okay so this is digital

0:32:54

gold okay well it's not getting a copy

0:32:57

well no it's 94 percent of the market

0:32:58

and a thousand things have failed

0:33:01

they're like okay that's that's the

0:33:03

apple computer of digital gold right

0:33:05

yeah i could buy that that's the

0:33:07

facebook of digital gold

0:33:09

i could buy that okay give me 50 million

0:33:12

of that and then go the next thing and

0:33:14

well the next thing is crypto

0:33:15

applications what's this ethereum

0:33:17

what are they doing uh decentralized

0:33:19

exchanges and

0:33:20

well that's competing against this and

0:33:23

that well is that risky not risky

0:33:25

maybe our venture capital fund will put

0:33:28

10 million into that

0:33:29

we got venture capital for that's a bit

0:33:30

riskier what's this next thing

0:33:32

currency okay what's that what's that

0:33:34

going to yield me well that's

0:33:36

you know that's just stable coin not

0:33:38

that much but

0:33:39

they're like well i got i got some money

0:33:41

market something okay

0:33:42

just park 3 million in that just in case

0:33:45

people simple metaphors and let them

0:33:49

put their buckets of money into those

0:33:50

things and don't

0:33:52

and don't try to co-mingle a casino

0:33:56

you know with uh with a gray market

0:33:59

with a savings alone because that

0:34:02

doesn't help anybody and when

0:34:04

when they go to the ethereum or ripping

0:34:06

down bitcoin

0:34:07

it just reminds me of um there might be

0:34:09

a bunch of crabs

0:34:10

in a pot and you're you're you're

0:34:13

cooking the crabs

0:34:14

and one crab tries to crawl out and the

0:34:16

other crabs just dragging it back in

0:34:19

you're just like all the crap you guys

0:34:21

are in a point

0:34:22

one percent of the market you ought to

0:34:25

cooperate with each other

0:34:27

you think point one percent you think so

0:34:30

that says to me you're not

0:34:33

are you maximalist or do you do you have

0:34:35

an interest in

0:34:37

other networks where are you at with

0:34:40

my view on this is is

0:34:48

the idea of a crypto network is

0:34:48

i'm going to form a decentralized set of

0:34:51

nodes

0:34:53

they use a consensus mechanism ideally

0:34:56

with a very difficult you know a very

0:34:58

stable

0:34:59

mechanism like proof of work so it's

0:35:01

very difficult for someone to hijack it

0:35:04

i'm sold on proof of work and i'm pru

0:35:07

i'm sold on that idea and then from

0:35:10

there

0:35:11

i'm going to provide someone

0:35:15

with uh immortal sovereignty on

0:35:17

something

0:35:19

so why would i go to the trouble of a

0:35:21

proof-of-white work network because i

0:35:23

wanted it to transcend

0:35:24

uh any company or country right

0:35:28

i need to get over counterparty risk so

0:35:30

what's important enough to want to do

0:35:32

well like all my life force

0:35:35

like money is energy all the money in

0:35:38

the world is all the energy in the world

0:35:40

so all of my life force from now to

0:35:43

eternity

0:35:44

that's probably worth protecting so

0:35:47

protecting my money

0:35:48

that's a useful application now

0:35:52

are there other applications that you

0:35:54

could

0:35:55

run on that network like the idea of a

0:35:58

smart contract

0:35:59

tied into the bitcoin network

0:36:01

interesting to me i don't think it's

0:36:03

been proven to be commercially viable

0:36:05

but there are other things that i might

0:36:06

want immortal sovereignty for

0:36:08

or or long duration like for example

0:36:12

let's take a trust i want to leave money

0:36:14

to my

0:36:15

children's children's children okay well

0:36:18

people use human constructs

0:36:20

to implement a trust right now it's a

0:36:23

it's a foundation of people

0:36:24

and i'm trusting the people if i could

0:36:26

create uh

0:36:28

you know some application that would run

0:36:29

for 30 or 40 or 50 years that

0:36:32

would give my granddaughter you know

0:36:35

an amount of money to get through

0:36:36

college or get a house or something

0:36:38

then maybe i would actually do that on a

0:36:41

crypto network

0:36:42

maybe i would jack it in i'd probably

0:36:44

power it up with bitcoin

0:36:47

but i wouldn't say to a bitcoin core

0:36:49

developer

0:36:50

can you please add a bunch of

0:36:52

complicated code

0:36:53

to deliver flowers to my granddaughter

0:36:56

on her 21st birthday

0:36:57

i just don't think it's worth the

0:36:58

trouble right i i wouldn't risk the core

0:37:02

network for

0:37:03

complications they break

0:37:06

but i think that um maybe you want to

0:37:10

publish your last will and testament in

0:37:12

an immutable fashion

0:37:14

that uh that will last for 100 years so

0:37:16

no one can mess with it

0:37:18

is there a place to publish something

0:37:20

forever or to to

0:37:22

to how about to transfer title or keys

0:37:25

or rights or license or

0:37:28

or to prove provenance all these things

0:37:32

might be

0:37:32

interesting on a long duration crypto

0:37:35

network they're not proven

0:37:37

right they're not proven but they're

0:37:39

interesting uh on decentralized networks

0:37:42

the number one use of the decentralized

0:37:44

exchange is like regulatory arbitrage

0:37:46

and the number two you know so the

0:37:49

number two use maybe is

0:37:50

um is uh in a

0:37:54

innovation acro cross domain innovation

0:37:58

and by that i mean if i'm being slowed

0:38:01

down by the lowest common denominator of

0:38:04

100 jurisdictions i do business in such

0:38:06

that i

0:38:07

i can't do this because there's one

0:38:09

place out of 100 places that would shut

0:38:10

me down

0:38:12

if that's the case and innovation is

0:38:14

crippled

0:38:15

then a decentralized solution might

0:38:18

actually

0:38:19

allow innovation to accelerate and so i

0:38:22

could imagine

0:38:24

a legal ethical basis for a

0:38:26

decentralized application network

0:38:29

i can also imagine a lot of a lot of uh

0:38:33

non-compliant you know uses if i'm using

0:38:36

an application network to evade currency

0:38:38

controls

0:38:39

eventually it's going to get shut down

0:38:41

in the country where it operates and

0:38:43

and so those are short duration

0:38:46

projects if if all you're doing is

0:38:49

getting around

0:38:50

uh uh like running an exchange without

0:38:53

operating eventually you're gonna get

0:38:54

shut down right like we see that

0:38:56

happening

0:38:57

so it's no good for that and i think

0:39:00

that maximalists have

0:39:01

a reasonable argument in saying that

0:39:02

nobody's proven

0:39:04

that this is going to work for anything

0:39:06

other than money and bitcoin is the

0:39:08

money so

0:39:09

yeah now i but i think

0:39:12

theoretically it's possible to imagine

0:39:15

an application

0:39:17

on a decentralized network other than

0:39:21

bitcoin

0:39:22

that would uh have value to someone and

0:39:24

i think that people should

0:39:26

try those things and and we'll see what

0:39:28

happens and

0:39:29

and all of them i think that um

0:39:33

the the most magical things that will

0:39:35

happen will likely be

0:39:37

combinations of bitcoin as a

0:39:39

decentralized

0:39:41

monetary power network powering

0:39:44

centralized and digital applications

0:39:48

in the future like for example if i want

0:39:50

to give

0:39:51

flowers to my daughter every year for

0:39:55

50 years after i'm dead i kind of want

0:39:58

to plug amazon into bitcoin right

0:40:01

and then maybe 35 years from now when

0:40:03

amazon stops

0:40:05

delivering flowers i want one human

0:40:07

being

0:40:08

to be able to plug in flowers on

0:40:11

into my bitcoin account and my bitcoin

0:40:14

account will pay

0:40:16

for the flowers to get delivered and i

0:40:18

i'm not really concerned about

0:40:20

you know that the fact that amazon will

0:40:22

stop the flower business or maybe

0:40:25

a country will fail because i got the

0:40:27

money

0:40:28

i've got the power jacked in on a

0:40:31

decentralized network

0:40:32

and i'm gonna will i actually use a

0:40:35

decentralized

0:40:37

flower delivery app versus a centralized

0:40:41

flower delivery app i i kind of think

0:40:43

that it's just not going to be important

0:40:44

enough

0:40:45

to develop a crypto to deliver flowers

0:40:48

but i

0:40:49

but i won't say that there's nothing

0:40:51

that i could imagine

0:40:52

that would be important enough to

0:40:53

develop a purposeful crypto network for

0:40:56

and then we get in this area of hybrid

0:40:59

networks where

0:41:00

maybe they develop it but they're

0:41:01

jacking into bitcoin security

0:41:04

and bitcoin you know bitcoin rights or

0:41:07

keys in order to

0:41:08

provide the security to run the other

0:41:10

thing and that's interesting to me

0:41:12

but you're not going to use it for the

0:41:14

flower thing really because that's

0:41:15

turning bitcoin then into a

0:41:18

like a small you know low

0:41:21

ticket purchase medium of exchange which

0:41:24

you're kind of against really you don't

0:41:26

think that's a real use case for bitcoin

0:41:29

yeah what what i'm gonna do is i'm gonna

0:41:32

leave my bitcoin and my will to my

0:41:34

non-profit foundation in order to power

0:41:36

the foundation for 100 years to pursue

0:41:38

its interest

0:41:40

right for example one of my interests is

0:41:44

uh make education free for everybody

0:41:45

forever okay

0:41:47

and i have a website sailor.org and it

0:41:49

does that it gives away free education

0:41:51

we have 500 000 students

0:41:54

and um when i'm dead

0:41:58

i have you know i have no errors and so

0:42:01

my uh my money will flow into that

0:42:04

foundation

0:42:05

and someone's got to pay the bills so

0:42:07

will it actually pay the bills via

0:42:08

transactions

0:42:09

every hour no it'll probably uh

0:42:13

deposit x dollars worth of bitcoin

0:42:16

and converted to fiat currency every

0:42:18

quarter or every year

0:42:20

and do that forever or until the money

0:42:23

runs out right

0:42:24

maybe the money will never run out i

0:42:27

how johnny rockefeller did this a

0:42:29

hundred years ago yeah you

0:42:31

have a lot of money you form the

0:42:33

rockefeller foundation

0:42:34

you appoint a board of directors of five

0:42:37

or ten wise people

0:42:39

when one retires in 20 years there's

0:42:41

another board

0:42:42

the foundation takes all the money they

0:42:44

invested in a portfolio of stocks

0:42:47

or real estate or other assets and

0:42:49

hopefully

0:42:50

that keeps up with uh the inflation rate

0:42:53

and then every year they make grants

0:42:55

and that's that's that that's the

0:42:57

traditional 20th century way

0:42:59

of endowing a foundation to

0:43:03

see out your life's work whatever that

0:43:05

might be

0:43:06

would you therefore say that in some

0:43:10

the crypto industry as an industry which

0:43:12

haven't has bitcoin in it is quite

0:43:14

misleading to people because uh outside

0:43:17

of the fact of

0:43:18

yes these other networks use a

0:43:20

blockchain and yes they talk about

0:43:22

decentralization

0:43:23

really they're not very similar at all

0:43:25

it's bitcoin is money and they are just

0:43:28

applications doing other things and is

0:43:30

that unfairly confusing

0:43:32

to potential investors and the reason i

0:43:34

ask is like stefan navarro

0:43:36

you were on his show he he often says

0:43:39

bitcoin not crypto he's very much of the

0:43:42

idea that we should separate bitcoin for

0:43:44

the rest of crypto

0:43:46

do you kind of feel the same

0:43:53

yeah i do i mean i like if i'm bitcoin i

0:43:53

would say bitcoin is digital gold

0:43:55

based on cryptographic technology

0:43:59

and blockchain and a bunch of other

0:44:00

things i i think that's one

0:44:03

that's one narrative if if you're a

0:44:05

bitcoiner you just point out bitcoin is

0:44:07

digital gold

0:44:08

and you should buy it because it's

0:44:09

better than gold and

0:44:12

there's a hundred trillion dollars worth

0:44:14

of assets

0:44:15

that are considering gold but you know

0:44:18

all the big banks

0:44:20

in april were saying that you should put

0:44:21

25 of all your assets in gold

0:44:24

like i have my stock broker calling me

0:44:26

saying

0:44:27

move 25 senior assets in gold that's the

0:44:29

call of

0:44:30

50 000 private wealth advisors

0:44:33

and i and i said well i like bitcoin i

0:44:35

said we can't sell it to you

0:44:37

so so the conventional that's so funny

0:44:46

is uh bitcoin is digital gold if you're

0:44:46

considering

0:44:47

uh putting your portfolio into something

0:44:49

that's going to be an inflation hedge

0:44:51

and a store of value this is the most

0:44:53

precious

0:44:54

virtual metal and been in history in the

0:44:56

world and um

0:44:58

the way you communicate that is you show

0:45:00

the dominance of bitcoin

0:45:02

and you compare bitcoin and you show the

0:45:04

market cap of bitcoin

0:45:06

and you uh laid arrest people concerned

0:45:08

about the

0:45:09

concerns about the forks of bitcoin and

0:45:11

you point out that

0:45:12

there's an army of fanatic maximalists

0:45:15

that will defend

0:45:16

the bitcoin network and bitcoin is not

0:45:20

going to go away

0:45:21

any more than facebook or twitter or

0:45:23

apple or google are going to go away

0:45:25

it's on the firmament it's done and they

0:45:29

and then if they hear about volatility

0:45:31

say here's the chart of volatility of

0:45:33

bitcoin

0:45:34

versus silver gold apple stock amazon

0:45:37

stock t-bills are like

0:45:39

see it's not that bad and by you don't

0:45:41

show volatility over the last decade

0:45:43

and you don't say well you know it could

0:45:45

go down by 10 by a factor of 10 because

0:45:47

it did

0:45:47

back in 2013. it's not 2013 you would

0:45:51

this is what it's doing this year a lot

0:45:54

of people are discovering

0:45:55

bitcoin this year especially since march

0:45:58

this is how it compares to all your

0:46:00

other assets if you want to buy

0:46:02

the facebook of digital gold here it is

0:46:06

and you stop and if you want to scare

0:46:08

them away then you start talking about

0:46:10

every altcoin and you start talking

0:46:13

about ethereum

0:46:14

and you start all over bitcoin

0:46:16

and talking about transactions are

0:46:18

expensive it is not scalable and

0:46:20

these are all the things that the rest

0:46:21

of the crypto community does the crypto

0:46:23

crabs

0:46:24

right that is and there and by and there

0:46:27

and they think

0:46:28

they think that the world is .1 and that

0:46:32

they want to just get bitcoins amount of

0:46:33

it and it's a foolish notion

0:46:35

because the world is a thousand times

0:46:37

bigger than the crypto pond

0:46:40

and if they're smart what they would do

0:46:43

say what the lightning network is doing

0:46:45

we're gonna we're going to make bitcoin

0:46:47

better

0:46:49

you know we're or if i'm going to build

0:46:50

a smart contract anchored

0:46:52

into a bitcoin security model

0:46:55

build your stuff linked into it

0:46:58

harmonious with it and and

0:47:02

if you're going to do your you know the

0:47:04

ideal thing is you want to actually tap

0:47:07

the world's most secure blockchain

0:47:10

network which clearly is the bitcoin

0:47:11

shot 256

0:47:13

network that's really what you want if

0:47:15

you could

0:47:17

just the key for example if you just had

0:47:20

the keys

0:47:21

so you ever see like a lock box

0:47:24

on a house and the big house and there's

0:47:27

this little lock box and the keys are in

0:47:29

the lock box and you go up and you go

0:47:31

and you take out the keys and you get in

0:47:33

the house if the bitcoin network just

0:47:36

was the lock box and it held the keys

0:47:39

to activate a hundred other applications

0:47:42

they could be centralized or

0:47:44

decentralized it doesn't matter

0:47:46

i think i think the religion of

0:47:48

decentralization

0:47:51

it only makes sense for something that

0:47:53

requires

0:47:54

immortal sovereignty and bitcoin does

0:47:58

that the immortal life is worth it i get

0:48:01

but for other things i think people are

0:48:05

missing the point

0:48:06

like for example bitcoin cash

0:48:14

you don't need a high speed transaction

0:48:14

network to buy a cup of coffee

0:48:16

because no crypto network with a proof

0:48:19

of work or proof of stake or any

0:48:21

decentralization is ever going to be

0:48:23

competitive with apple pay

0:48:25

it's not going to be competitive with

0:48:26

apple pay for two reasons

0:48:29

one reason because apple has a monopoly

0:48:31

on the damn phone

0:48:33

and they own a billion devices and

0:48:35

they're going to be able to get between

0:48:37

the customer

0:48:39

and the wallet one step closer than you

0:48:42

you will never get that close

0:48:44

and that's a pretty compelling reason

0:48:45

they can build it into the chip

0:48:47

they can build it into touch id they can

0:48:49

build it into face id they can build it

0:48:51

into speech response

0:48:52

you're not going to get that close to a

0:48:55

consumer transaction

0:48:57

and the second reason is because it's a

0:48:59

billion times more computationally

0:49:01

expensive to use a proof of work not

0:49:03

work to do it

0:49:04

and so it's always going to be a billion

0:49:06

times

0:49:07

more expensive and it's always going to

0:49:11

one step or two-step removed from

0:49:15

google apple facebook amazon

0:49:18

they own the customer so that it makes

0:49:22

no sense to do that what makes sense is

0:49:26

you store 95 of your wealth or your

0:49:29

power in the crypto network

0:49:31

and you take four percent and you move

0:49:33

it into your

0:49:34

your mobile account and then you use the

0:49:38

existing

0:49:39

standard digital network which runs a

0:49:41

billion times faster a billion times

0:49:43

better

0:49:44

and you risk one percent of your assets

0:49:46

while you use it

0:49:47

and the entire universe is quite

0:49:50

comfortable

0:49:51

risking one percent of their assets to

0:49:53

use an apple iphone

0:49:54

if they weren't no one would have an

0:49:56

iphone and they would all be

0:49:58

living in shacks with rocks

0:50:01

in the middle of the wilderness and they

0:50:03

would not rely upon modern electricity

0:50:06

or modern corporate comforts and they

0:50:08

would never get in a car

0:50:09

and trust the auto company to build the

0:50:11

car for them

0:50:13

it's it's just called civilization

0:50:14

people don't have a problem

0:50:16

trusting five percent of their wealth

0:50:19

or one percent and so a lot of

0:50:22

experiments in crypto

0:50:24

they're chasing after digital

0:50:26

applications where the problem's been

0:50:27

solved by square or apple or

0:50:30

amazon or by the way square is a heroic

0:50:34

achievement

0:50:35

the fact that square can be a payment

0:50:37

wallet

0:50:39

while they're while they're competing

0:50:41

with google

0:50:42

and apple is amazing right

0:50:45

because google owns android and apple

0:50:47

owns ios

0:50:48

and so you've got square which is

0:50:50

competing against

0:50:52

the two 800 800-pound gorillas and apple

0:50:55

has more money than god

0:50:56

and google has more money than god and

0:50:58

one of them has a billion and a half

0:51:00

loyal users the other has five billion

0:51:02

oil users

0:51:03

and jack dorsey is actually making

0:51:06

headway against them

0:51:08

with square it's hard he's got 80

0:51:11

100 billion dollars in capital so

0:51:14

you think the crypto industry is going

0:51:16

to out square square

0:51:18

and out square android or out payment

0:51:21

apple

0:51:22

and beat paypal it's a silly notion to

0:51:24

pursue wow

0:51:25

and it's con what about what about what

0:51:28

about let me throw something in here for

0:51:29

you what about

0:51:31

that's for convenience day-to-day

0:51:32

convenience um

0:51:34

yep in a coffee shop down the pub in a

0:51:37

restaurant doing my shopping whatever

0:51:39

yeah i've moved to i i was reluctant to

0:51:41

use appleway for a long time

0:51:43

and i was like hold on this is just so

0:51:44

much easier than getting out my

0:51:46

debit card just double click done

0:51:49

um so i get the convenience thing but

0:51:51

what about those people where

0:51:52

convenience isn't the

0:51:54

number one requirement can they want to

0:51:56

buy something

0:51:57

illicit or something our government

0:52:01

wouldn't look too kindly upon or they

0:52:02

just want general privacy

0:52:04

uh yeah and that's not just in places

0:52:06

like the uk or or the us you know maybe

0:52:09

people living in authoritarian regimes

0:52:11

what about that scenario we still need

0:52:13

to think about

0:52:14

those people right um

0:52:24

if you're a refugee fleeing a war zone

0:52:24

then ten thousand dollars in bitcoin

0:52:28

might save your life

0:52:30

it'll be a one-time transaction and

0:52:33

you're not going to care whether it

0:52:34

takes 22 minutes

0:52:36

and whether it costs five dollars in

0:52:37

transactions so

0:52:39

if it really is a life-changing

0:52:42

transaction across jurisdictions

0:52:45

then it it can go in 30 minutes and you

0:52:47

can pay three bucks

0:52:49

you don't need to change bitcoin and and

0:52:51

and bitcoin cash

0:52:53

or some other lightning fast thing isn't

0:52:56

going to be relevant it doesn't matter

0:52:59

on the other hand if somebody wants

0:53:02

privacy

0:53:04

and they really feel strongly about it

0:53:06

then there's a place

0:53:09

to build some kind of application

0:53:11

ideally

0:53:12

the thing that's probably going to work

0:53:14

is going to be like a lightning wallet

0:53:17

with privacy tapped into bitcoin where

0:53:19

you move money into a small wallet and

0:53:22

all your transactions on that wallet are

0:53:24

private

0:53:25

and you you can probably do it with a a

0:53:27

second chain or

0:53:29

a off-chain solution

0:53:32

which might be centralized and might be

0:53:34

decentralized and

0:53:35

maybe you need a monaro or you need

0:53:37

something like that and if so

0:53:40

the market will determine that let me

0:53:42

tell you what i think i think that

0:53:44

there's a 50 trillion dollar requirement

0:53:47

to store your money in a way that you

0:53:49

don't lose it all

0:53:50

and i think that there is a much smaller

0:53:53

requirement to store money in a privacy

0:53:55

wallet

0:53:56

for like i'm not going to judge people

0:53:58

on how they spend their money

0:54:00

but what i'm going to say is if bitcoin

0:54:04

diverted all of their energy to make

0:54:07

itself

0:54:07

private and became known as a network of

0:54:10

complete and utter privacy it probably

0:54:12

is counter

0:54:13

productive to its own interest because

0:54:16

you don't really want

0:54:18

you don't want the united states

0:54:19

government to say bitcoin is completely

0:54:21

private because now it becomes the

0:54:23

perfect tool for a money laundering now

0:54:24

it becomes the enemy now they're going

0:54:26

to shut it down right

0:54:27

okay so we're better off to actually

0:54:29

have other

0:54:30

off-chain solutions that solve that

0:54:33

problem

0:54:35

there's no way you're going to get a

0:54:36

hundred trillion dollars to flow into

0:54:38

bitcoin

0:54:40

if it's use case is directly

0:54:43

against the the interest of a government

0:54:46

that is within right so

0:54:47

you don't want to be that good i think

0:54:49

most politicians

0:54:51

and most reasonable people will say

0:54:54

oh you wanted to create a better version

0:54:56

of gold

0:54:57

because gold is heavy and ancient

0:55:00

and uh and bleeding energy three percent

0:55:03

a year i get it

0:55:04

okay i think they're okay with that

0:55:07

i i think that when you go beyond that

0:55:09

you're you're getting into another

0:55:11

regime and now now i'll make a point

0:55:13

which is i

0:55:15

like uh they're people that are really

0:55:17

they're really passionate about

0:55:19

bitcoin is to bank the unbanked

0:55:22

okay well if bank to the unbanked means

0:55:25

let someone flee their country and save

0:55:28

their life

0:55:29

with a life-changing transaction then

0:55:32

good yeah but if the bank means some

0:55:35

dude in the sedan needs to do 37 bitcoin

0:55:38

transactions a day to buy

0:55:39

coffee at a dollar a transaction it's

0:55:42

silly yeah yeah

0:55:43

that's not what that guy needs and and

0:55:46

by the way

0:55:47

that the problem with that would be

0:55:51

if if you wreck the network like right

0:55:53

for example if we all abandon bitcoin to

0:55:55

go to bitcoin cash so that it does

0:55:57

transactions a little bit faster for the

0:55:58

dude on the bicycle in sudan who wants

0:56:00

to buy a cup of coffee

0:56:02

right then what about the dude

0:56:05

that wants to actually send 100 million

0:56:08

dollars from new york to tokyo

0:56:09

and not lose it what about that you just

0:56:12

gave up 50x security

0:56:14

i mean that that guy is not going to

0:56:16

sacrifice 50 x security

0:56:18

because he wants to save three bucks

0:56:22

so they're they're different ideas

0:56:25

i i think that um the reason apple won

0:56:30

and uh and not android and the reason

0:56:33

everybody's got crushed was because

0:56:34

although apple didn't have 80 in the

0:56:36

market share apple had

0:56:38

80 of the wealth share if you look at

0:56:41

the money

0:56:42

in the world and you if you lined up 100

0:56:44

wealthy people

0:56:45

in a room 90 of them would have an

0:56:47

iphone

0:56:49

or an ipad and at the point that you saw

0:56:52

you knew that apple's revenues on their

0:56:54

application store

0:56:56

and their profits were going to be

0:56:57

insane at one point i think they said

0:56:59

apple had 150 of all of the profits

0:57:03

in the mobile phone business wow

0:57:06

which mean that everybody else was

0:57:08

losing money to compete with them

0:57:09

insane why because they had the wealthy

0:57:13

customers

0:57:14

now that it was important to sell luxury

0:57:17

devices

0:57:19

it's a thousand x as important

0:57:22

if you're selling financial services for

0:57:25

example

0:57:26

like the biggest bank in the world is

0:57:28

not the bank with a billion customers

0:57:31

because the first 10 million customers

0:57:35

have 80 of the money in the world

0:57:38

right i could build a bank with one

0:57:40

million customers that would be a

0:57:42

thousand times as big

0:57:43

as a bank with a billion customers

0:57:45

because they don't all

0:57:47

the value and use of the financial

0:57:50

product

0:57:50

scales with the amount of money you put

0:57:52

into it not the number of heads

0:57:54

so if if you're creating a crypto

0:57:57

network

0:57:59

to to move a dollar around

0:58:02

and if all you can imagine is people

0:58:06

with 37 that are irritated that they're

0:58:09

they couldn't buy coffee

0:58:10

with their their crypto right then

0:58:13

you're building a bank

0:58:15

for people with no money this is a

0:58:18

snarky observation

0:58:19

but it's a music like you're building a

0:58:22

bank for people with no money

0:58:24

you know there's another bank

0:58:27

building a bank for warren buffett and

0:58:30

warren buffett one decision

0:58:33

right we'll put more money in your bank

0:58:36

than the bottom five billion people on

0:58:39

the planet that are happy with the

0:58:40

product so

0:58:41

so you have to you have to be thinking

0:58:43

what am i trying to build here

0:58:45

and by the way i i get the fact that

0:58:47

it's a humanitarian thing right i mean

0:58:50

jack cited it in his twitter today and

0:58:53

and i believe it too like i actually am

0:58:56

passionate

0:58:56

like like it makes me angry that that

0:58:59

people in argentina

0:59:01

turkey africa like have their currencies

0:59:04

collapsing

0:59:05

i care about the about the

0:59:09

human uh the human empowerment and human

0:59:11

rights here

0:59:12

but i think this is an example where

0:59:16

the way to help them is

0:59:19

to make bitcoin a successful monetary

0:59:21

network

0:59:22

as opposed to make it a a a trivial

0:59:25

transaction network

0:59:28

so on the day that warren buffett

0:59:32

buys 10 billion dollars worth of bitcoin

0:59:35

every single person in africa and asia

0:59:39

and every disadvantage the disadvantaged

0:59:42

economic refugee everywhere in the world

0:59:45

is going to be benefited he will have

0:59:47

done more for them

0:59:48

than any amount of tinkering with the

0:59:51

to make it quicker and easier to do your

0:59:55

transaction

0:59:56

how how so though how would that

1:00:00

but well for first of all because

1:00:04

if you own one bitcoin when he does it

1:00:06

is going to drive the price of bitcoin

1:00:08

to the sky

1:00:09

and you're all the sudden going to be

1:00:11

the economic beneficiary because the

1:00:13

network's going

1:00:14

the price is going through the roof and

1:00:16

that's a direct benefit

1:00:17

the second benefit is that

1:00:20

if if all of the institutional wealth

1:00:24

in the world starts to see bitcoin as a

1:00:27

safe place

1:00:28

as a digital gold and as a treasury

1:00:30

asset

1:00:32

they're going to use all of their

1:00:34

communication skills and political

1:00:36

skills in order to legitimize it and

1:00:38

protect it

1:00:39

and you're going to have you're going

1:00:41

gonna have people protecting the crypto

1:00:43

rails and and the uh the the

1:00:45

functionality of it

1:00:47

you know in the corridors of power in

1:00:48

london and paris and new york

1:00:51

and dc and moscow right

1:00:54

because beijing because that matters

1:00:58

what what's different right now wealthy

1:01:01

powerful people use

1:01:02

apple stock as a store of value

1:01:05

right that's what's going on and amazon

1:01:09

that they're basically using big tech

1:01:12

for a while they use bonds but now

1:01:13

they're using big tech and

1:01:15

and they're they're tinkering with gold

1:01:17

but let's think this through

1:01:24

somebody in africa can't buy a thousand

1:01:24

dollars worth of apple stock

1:01:26

maybe they can't buy it at all right

1:01:28

full stop

1:01:29

if they did buy it there's no way they

1:01:32

can wire it to their sister across

1:01:34

borders to get her home safely

1:01:38

that you know there's no way they can

1:01:40

hold it from

1:01:41

seizure from a hostile government and so

1:01:44

if apple stock or big tech or nasdaq

1:01:47

stocks are store of value

1:01:48

and if all of the wealth and power on

1:01:50

earth is supporting them

1:01:52

that's not going to trickle to the other

1:01:55

billion people that are in the countries

1:01:57

where the currencies are collapsing it

1:01:58

doesn't help them at all

1:01:59

they don't have people talk about they

1:02:02

talk about the inability to get dollars

1:02:05

right if you're

1:02:07

if you're one of the the quote unquote

1:02:09

unbanked

1:02:11

you can't get dollars you certainly

1:02:13

can't get stock

1:02:14

you can't get gold if you got gold

1:02:16

someone will club you over the head and

1:02:18

take your gold

1:02:19

right so what what can you get

1:02:23

you can get a mobile phone and i wrote

1:02:25

about this in the mobile way where

1:02:27

africa leap frogged the us and everybody

1:02:29

just went directly to mobile networks

1:02:31

they never bothered with the land

1:02:32

networks

1:02:33

if i can get a mobile phone and running

1:02:35

android or ios

1:02:37

then i could carry around ten thousand

1:02:40

dollars worth of bitcoin on it and that

1:02:42

would be a fortune for someone in some

1:02:44

countries

1:02:45

that would be enough to start a life and

1:02:47

i could be a thousand it could be a

1:02:48

hundred

1:02:49

it doesn't really matter what it is the

1:02:51

point is

1:02:53

i have a bank now i need it to work

1:02:57

and i i need i need the political

1:02:58

patronage

1:03:00

and i think that um the political

1:03:02

patronage comes

1:03:04

when you have the institutions buying

1:03:06

into this

1:03:07

as a store of value and um there's

1:03:11

there's nothing you can do to help

1:03:12

people more

1:03:13

than than to defend them in the court of

1:03:16

public opinion

1:03:17

and the court of political opinion right

1:03:21

one way or the other what about do you

1:03:23

see any situation

1:03:25

where if if the company's coming too

1:03:28

quickly

1:03:29

that it pushes the price

1:03:32

like a lot of people will miss out on

1:03:34

the opportunity and i know it can always

1:03:35

go on people will say oh we say that

1:03:37

every cycle but

1:03:38

in some ways i kind of want my friends

1:03:40

in before i want the

1:03:41

the companies in i want them to ride the

1:03:44

benefit

1:03:45

of that massive wave

1:03:52

well peter that's why that's why i was

1:03:52

buying it before i was

1:03:53

talking about it yeah i know

1:03:57

i man i reasonable person would buy it

1:04:00

first but uh i don't know what the price

1:04:02

will do i mean

1:04:03

like that's you know who was the

1:04:06

president who said if you see

1:04:07

10 problems driving down the road at you

1:04:10

nine of them will probably drive

1:04:12

themselves into a ditch before they get

1:04:14

it might never be a problem it's not it

1:04:17

would be a good problem to have

1:04:19

if you were successful if you're

1:04:21

inconveniently successful i would prefer

1:04:23

that to

1:04:24

the other problem which is not being

1:04:26

successful but i i don't think that'll

1:04:29

happen

1:04:29

i think that um that as this

1:04:33

evolves the ecosystem will grow and more

1:04:36

opportunity will spread to everyone in

1:04:38

the world

1:04:38

um via mobile networks

1:04:42

to the palm of your hand and i i

1:04:45

i think there's zero chance that people

1:04:48

buying gold

1:04:49

is going to cause mobile phones in

1:04:52

africa to help anybody

1:04:54

because you can't program it and i don't

1:04:56

think there's much

1:04:57

chance the people buying sovereign debt

1:05:00

equities on regulated stock exchanges

1:05:04

from prime brokerage is going to spread

1:05:06

to the billion people on the planet

1:05:08

because it's if it was going to it would

1:05:11

have right

1:05:13

i don't know will robin hood be out

1:05:15

there gallivanting around is i just i

1:05:17

don't think it's going to happen so

1:05:18

so i think that bitcoin is the best hope

1:05:21

that people have

1:05:22

to make the world a better place through

1:05:26

through providing this sort of um uh

1:05:29

sovereign empowerment

1:05:30

or monitoring what about the

1:05:33

the people and the companies who are

1:05:35

focused on i think i know what you're

1:05:37

gonna say about this but

1:05:38

on the bitcoin circular economy where

1:05:40

they're talking about

1:05:41

you know they've got companies who who

1:05:44

use bitcoin as a currency and sorry not

1:05:47

only use bitcoin as a currency for

1:05:49

buying and selling

1:05:50

and they also use bitcoin as uh their

1:05:53

balance sheet they try and run

1:05:55

entirely bitcoin businesses so it's a

1:05:57

good point

1:05:59

a lot of people in the community are

1:06:01

really enthusiastic about

1:06:03

like btc pay and uh and we want to sell

1:06:06

stuff in bitcoin

1:06:07

and we want to pay our employees in

1:06:09

bitcoin and the like

1:06:11

um i with all due respect i

1:06:15

i think it's the wrong model i think a

1:06:19

a much better model would be bitcoin is

1:06:22

a crypto asset and you put it on your

1:06:24

treasury on your balance sheet you hold

1:06:26

and when you need money you take it out

1:06:27

and convert it to fiat and when you have

1:06:30

access fiat you convert it back into

1:06:32

bitcoin

1:06:33

right that it's uh i think that's the

1:06:36

right model and i think there ought to

1:06:37

be something else called cryptocurrency

1:06:40

and the cryptocurrency is tether or die

1:06:43

a stable coin and that ought to be a

1:06:45

stable coin

1:06:46

in the in the sovereign currency

1:06:49

in the domain where you do business and

1:06:53

i think those two things can thrive but

1:06:55

i don't think bitcoin can be a currency

1:06:58

and i don't think that uh other cryptos

1:07:00

should be an

1:07:01

asset and i'll tell you why i mean i'm

1:07:05

a very uh simple reason i think you'll

1:07:07

get challenged on this a bit

1:07:10

hopefully um but let me tell you why i

1:07:13

think it just

1:07:15

it makes sense the irs tax code

1:07:18

in the united states it it uh it

1:07:21

characterizes bitcoin as an as an

1:07:24

asset when you buy it

1:07:28

and you hold it for a decade there's no

1:07:30

tax on it

1:07:31

no tax to hold on it and by the way the

1:07:35

the tax code has extraordinary impact on

1:07:38

the valuation of assets

1:07:40

for example that's a huddle code

1:07:43

yeah it's like a deceptive huddle

1:07:46

that well more than an incentive it

1:07:49

beats you to death if you don't

1:07:51

yeah and i'll get to that if you buy a

1:07:54

million dollars worth of real estate

1:07:56

in florida as an individual

1:07:59

you pay two percent property tax per

1:08:01

year forever

1:08:03

so that means you're going to pay twenty

1:08:05

thousand dollars in tax

1:08:07

every year and in and in 50 years if the

1:08:10

real estate's not reappraised you're

1:08:11

going to lose your house

1:08:13

if you have well it's even worse than

1:08:15

that right you're going to have to come

1:08:17

up with

1:08:17

a million dollars in cash and a million

1:08:21

dollars in

1:08:22

in money to buy the house so the only

1:08:25

way to

1:08:25

hold real estate in florida

1:08:28

is to have twice as much money as the

1:08:31

cost of the real estate

1:08:33

that's an impact if i buy bitcoin

1:08:37

a million dollars worth and i hold it

1:08:38

for 50 years in florida

1:08:40

there is no property tax on bitcoin in

1:08:42

florida there is no property tax on it

1:08:45

at the at the u.s level i will still

1:08:48

have the same bitcoin

1:08:50

and it'll be worth one bitcoin times the

1:08:52

price at the time

1:08:58

on the other hand if a company like mine

1:08:58

buys a million dollars worth of bitcoin

1:09:01

and then we pay you

1:09:04

and i pay you a hundred thousand a year

1:09:07

and the price of bitcoin doubles then i

1:09:11

actually have to pay you

1:09:12

a hundred and thirty thousand a year

1:09:15

because

1:09:15

i i convert the bitcoin to cash pay you

1:09:18

a hundred thousand in cash

1:09:20

and then i owe the irs thirty thousand

1:09:22

dollars because i have to realize the

1:09:24

capital gain

1:09:25

on the bitcoin and by the way i can't

1:09:29

escape this

1:09:30

if you say pay me in bitcoin i give you

1:09:32

a million dollars or give you a hundred

1:09:34

thousand worth of bitcoin

1:09:35

i still have to calculate the price in

1:09:38

dollars

1:09:39

when i transfer it to you and account

1:09:41

for it as if i had sold it

1:09:43

and now i owe the irs thirty thousand

1:09:46

so you can see from my point of view

1:09:49

if i were to put

1:09:52

if i were to put um 500 million into

1:09:55

bitcoin

1:09:56

and then i were to pay 500 million

1:09:57

dollars worth of bills with it

1:10:01

and if the price doubled i would

1:10:03

bankrupt myself

1:10:06

i bankrupt like i'm bankrupt what you're

1:10:08

doing is you're

1:10:09

accelerating the the tax forward 30

1:10:12

years

1:10:13

and one of the cardinal rules of an

1:10:15

investor

1:10:16

in life is you always want to roll over

1:10:20

your investments

1:10:21

tax deferred you never want to pay the

1:10:24

amount what do you think would happen to

1:10:26

your bitcoin if the uk government

1:10:28

passed a law saying you have to pay

1:10:32

unrealized capital gains tax on the on

1:10:34

the bitcoin

1:10:35

at the end of the year if the price goes

1:10:37

up versus where you bought it from

1:10:40

well there's a number of consequences of

1:10:41

that i mean firstly i would leave the

1:10:44

country

1:10:45

okay but secondly right now it puts it

1:10:49

but it puts a selling demand it puts

1:10:50

cell pressure as well

1:10:53

would you say that's a hostile tax code

1:10:55

of course yeah

1:10:57

okay so what i'm saying is the existing

1:10:59

tax code is

1:11:00

hostile to using uh bitcoin as a

1:11:04

currency

1:11:05

right it's it's a hostile tax code

1:11:07

that's

1:11:08

that's why that's why what you want is a

1:11:11

stable coin

1:11:13

the definition of a currency is that

1:11:16

thing that you can buy and sell with

1:11:18

for which the government is not hostile

1:11:21

to you

1:11:21

and so there there's talk about israel

1:11:25

having a law

1:11:27

that deems bitcoin a currency and that

1:11:30

means that you wouldn't get taxed on the

1:11:32

capital gain

1:11:33

but you wouldn't recognize the capital

1:11:34

gain or the loss when you transferred it

1:11:37

that's a friendly tax code but

1:11:40

but the point of course is unless you're

1:11:42

a criminal

1:11:43

and you don't pay taxes right that's a

1:11:46

pr if you don't pay taxes

1:11:47

yeah sure you're a criminal but they all

1:11:50

get busted for

1:11:51

you know al capone and the like they all

1:11:52

get but did

1:11:54

mcafee just got busted for not paying

1:11:56

taxes he did they'll get you on

1:11:58

paying taxes long before they'll get you

1:12:00

on the other stuff you did

1:12:02

so and taxes the bright line so if

1:12:05

you're not a criminal

1:12:06

and you intend to file your tax returns

1:12:08

as a law abiding citizen

1:12:10

then you have to pay taxes and now what

1:12:13

you see

1:12:13

is there's two crippling problems with

1:12:16

using bitcoin

1:12:18

as a as a currency to to buy anything or

1:12:21

sell anything

1:12:22

the first crippling problem is i sell a

1:12:25

hundred thousand things a year

1:12:28

and the prices is different every time i

1:12:31

sell it

1:12:32

i have a hundred thousand different

1:12:34

accounting entries the price of bitcoin

1:12:37

when i sold it and then

1:12:41

i pay a hundred thousand things a year

1:12:43

and i have to calculate the price of

1:12:45

bitcoin

1:12:46

when i paid it and then the question is

1:12:50

which bitcoin did you did you transfer

1:12:52

or did you

1:12:53

sell when you'd sold it because there's

1:12:57

a different

1:12:58

combination and so i have to come up

1:13:01

with all of these combinations and it's

1:13:03

an accounting nightmare

1:13:05

well the software does it for you now i

1:13:06

mean i still think it's an accounting

1:13:08

nightmare even with the software but at

1:13:09

least there's software

1:13:10

that does that for you now you know

1:13:12

recommends which coins

1:13:13

etc let me go on to the next point

1:13:17

it took me a decade to install the

1:13:19

software that i run my company on

1:13:22

it takes 10 years and i'm running that

1:13:25

software

1:13:26

in japan korea australia

1:13:29

everywhere in europe rio it's in a

1:13:32

different currency it's

1:13:33

27 countries 27 well not 27 currencies

1:13:37

but 15 currencies

1:13:39

every single place we're selling in

1:13:41

local fiat

1:13:42

we're buying in local fiat we're paying

1:13:45

taxes in local

1:13:46

fiat we're transacting we're keeping a

1:13:49

ledger in local fiat

1:13:51

then we're converting into usd then

1:13:54

we're calculating corporate taxes

1:13:56

then we're sweeping into treasury now

1:13:59

by the way we're not a big company i

1:14:02

mean 500 million is a mid-sized company

1:14:05

a lot of companies are bigger than us it

1:14:07

would take us

1:14:09

three years to rebuild our accounting

1:14:11

systems to do what you've described

1:14:13

that we want to do in bitcoin and then

1:14:15

at the end of the three years

1:14:17

and 30 people to do it the reward that i

1:14:21

would get

1:14:21

is probably about 30 million dollars a

1:14:24

year in excess taxes

1:14:26

so why am i why and point

1:14:29

one percent of the people in the world

1:14:31

have bitcoin so why

1:14:32

in the world would i incur

1:14:35

by the way if i generate 50 million in

1:14:38

operating income it's a pretty good year

1:14:40

why would i give two-thirds of my

1:14:42

operating income

1:14:43

in taxes to the federal government for

1:14:45

the privilege of bragging

1:14:47

that i'm doing business and bitcoin by

1:14:50

the way

1:14:50

half my finance support would probably

1:14:52

quit right and

1:14:54

and the software would break and if i

1:14:56

went to my software

1:14:58

if i went to my provider you know how

1:15:01

long i've been using the same

1:15:02

uh the same software to do my accounting

1:15:05

peter

1:15:06

you know when i installed it you're

1:15:07

going to tell me like 20 years or

1:15:08

something on you

1:15:09

1996 1996

1:15:12

24 years ago jesus i was still at school

1:15:16

okay and you know what would happen if

1:15:19

you came in my office and you suggested

1:15:21

to me that i rip it out and replace it

1:15:22

with something different

1:15:23

everything will collapse i mean i would

1:15:27

go nowhere i mean maybe you could play

1:15:29

chuckle

1:15:30

by the way and the bigger players are

1:15:32

people like sap

1:15:33

and people spend 300 million dollars to

1:15:36

install this software

1:15:37

and they take three years to five years

1:15:40

and then they don't change it for 30

1:15:42

years so

1:15:44

the first problem is accounting even if

1:15:47

i wanted to

1:15:49

it's it's rewiring the dna of these

1:15:52

multinationals

1:15:53

not going to happen the second problem

1:15:56

is tax

1:16:02

you would have to be a to want to

1:16:03

hundreds of millions of dollars is a tax

1:16:05

on the volatility

1:16:07

of the asset you're holding electively

1:16:10

for no reason once all whatsoever right

1:16:12

why would anybody want to accelerate

1:16:15

taxes forward 30 years and pay them

1:16:17

today with money they don't have

1:16:19

what would happen by the way is that

1:16:22

bitcoin would become a volatility engine

1:16:25

like if if you had to pay tax on bitcoin

1:16:28

based upon the closing price each month

1:16:30

and you had to pay it to the uk

1:16:31

government

1:16:32

your bitcoin would shrink to nothing

1:16:35

because you'd have to keep selling your

1:16:36

bitcoin to pay the taxes

1:16:43

right because if the tax you can't get

1:16:43

the refund

1:16:44

you know you don't get the refund when

1:16:45

it does goes the other way so the

1:16:48

problem really is

1:16:50

the tax code defines what the asset can

1:16:54

you can buy it and hold it for 20 years

1:16:58

and but the last point is if you really

1:17:01

want to be successful as an investor

1:17:04

and a treasury your plan is to buy

1:17:07

something you can hold forever

1:17:09

never sell it and

1:17:12

if you if you ever need cash you're

1:17:15

going to borrow against it pledging it

1:17:17

as collateral

1:17:19

right people pledge their real estate as

1:17:21

collateral people pledge their stock as

1:17:23

collateral

1:17:24

for example peter if you have 10 million

1:17:28

dollars worth of apple stock

1:17:30

do you know what the bar what the

1:17:32

lending rate is for apple stock is you

1:17:34

know you can do with that

1:17:35

no idea tell me it's just for short

1:17:37

sellers

1:17:39

you can walk into a bank you can pick up

1:17:40

the phone call call your bank and you

1:17:44

borrow five million dollars maybe eight

1:17:46

million dollars against the 10 million

1:17:48

in apple stock

1:17:49

and libor plus 50 basis points

1:17:53

which means 0.62 interest right now

1:17:59

okay and do you know what the tax

1:18:01

treatment is on that

1:18:02

like what's your tax bill tell me there

1:18:05

is no tax bill

1:18:06

okay so for example if you if you had

1:18:10

a million dollars worth of stock and if

1:18:13

you needed a hundred thousand dollars to

1:18:16

if you sell a hundred thousand worth of

1:18:17

stock then you pay

1:18:20

25 30 35 40 taxes up to 50

1:18:23

taxes so you would sell a hundred

1:18:26

thousand but have fifty thousand so you

1:18:27

have to sell

1:18:28

a hundred and seventy five thousand and

1:18:30

now you've only got

1:18:31

eight hundred thousand worth of stock

1:18:33

left and you do that five years in a row

1:18:34

and you have no stock left

1:18:36

so if you're selling your asset

1:18:40

you uh you have no assets and and by

1:18:42

year six you're poor

1:18:44

okay so what do you do you have a

1:18:46

million dollars worth of stock

1:18:48

you borrow a hundred thousand dollars

1:18:50

against the stock

1:18:51

and you pay one percent interest and so

1:18:55

you had to borrow a hundred and one

1:18:57

thousand dollars against the stock

1:18:59

and there's no tax on it you didn't you

1:19:01

had no income

1:19:03

you have no capital gains

1:19:06

how long can you do that peter

1:19:14

not very long forever forever what sorry

1:19:14

you can do that forever if the asset

1:19:17

up okay 10 of course yes yes yes sorry

1:19:20

i i was yes i was reading the inverse

1:19:23

yeah so for example if i have a million

1:19:25

dollars worth of the stock and it's

1:19:27

gonna go up ten percent a year and i

1:19:28

borrow

1:19:29

let's let's say i borrow eighty thousand

1:19:31

a year again yeah

1:19:33

i can borrow against it forever okay

1:19:36

where does that happen with real estate

1:19:38

in new york city

1:19:39

i own a city block it goes up by eight

1:19:42

percent a year

1:19:43

my family never sells it we gift it

1:19:46

to each other i need some money 82

1:19:50

years after my grandfather bought the

1:19:52

real estate

1:19:53

what do i do i go to the bank and i

1:19:56

you ever heard the phrase refinance yeah

1:19:58

of course

1:19:59

i refinanced the real estate which means

1:20:02

when my grandfather bought it was worth

1:20:04

10 million but today it's worth 187

1:20:07

million

1:20:08

and we've got 120 million in debt on it

1:20:11

so we

1:20:11

change it to 140 million in debt and i

1:20:14

take 20 million dollars of debt

1:20:16

against an asset and i don't have a

1:20:19

capital gain

1:20:20

because i didn't sell anything and i

1:20:22

have no income because i've got an

1:20:24

asset i've got a liability to offset my

1:20:26

asset hold on

1:20:27

is this uh is this what donald trump's

1:20:29

been doing

1:20:31

this is what every real estate investor

1:20:34

has been doing for a hundred years and

1:20:37

and he is included

1:20:38

yeah that would explain it for example

1:20:42

like what could be sweeter than this

1:20:44

peter i find

1:20:46

a billion dollar building a billion

1:20:48

dollars with the real estate

1:20:49

i have a hundred million dollars i

1:20:52

i pledge a hundred million in equity i

1:20:55

borrow 900

1:20:57

or i borrow 900 million and so

1:21:00

i've got 900 million in debt i got a

1:21:02

little bit of equity

1:21:04

and then the fed prints some money and

1:21:07

all assets inflate by 20

1:21:09

and now my building is worth 1.2 billion

1:21:12

and i have 900 million in debt on it 100

1:21:15

million in equity but i have 200 million

1:21:17

in unrealized capital gain

1:21:20

you wouldn't sell the building because

1:21:21

you'd have to pay tax on the 200 million

1:21:23

of course you would refinance the

1:21:24

building and you would take another

1:21:26

200 million out of the building and now

1:21:29

you and then you pay off the equity

1:21:31

maybe i borrowed the equity from

1:21:32

somebody else my cousin

1:21:34

i pay them off and i've got 100 million

1:21:37

free and clear

1:21:38

and i hope that someone prints some more

1:21:40

money so the building goes up by eight

1:21:41

percent next year

1:21:43

and if it goes up by seven percent a

1:21:45

year for four years running i'll have a

1:21:46

two billion dollar building

1:21:48

and i'll have 900 million in debt

1:21:51

against it

1:21:52

and i'll refinance it again and i'll

1:21:54

take out 500 million dollars

1:21:56

and i'll pay zero percent tax on it and

1:21:59

i'll go buy another building

1:22:02

and i'll go borrow borrow money against

1:22:03

that so i'll leverage that up

1:22:05

and pretty soon you have lots of things

1:22:07

that have debt on them

1:22:08

and you never made any money your entire

1:22:10

life and you never paid any tax your

1:22:12

entire life

1:22:13

and what do you need you need two things

1:22:15

you need low interest rate loans

1:22:18

you need uh bankers you know you need

1:22:20

good banking relationships

1:22:22

you need to get along with the bankers

1:22:24

and then you need uh

1:22:25

for the monetary supply to expand so

1:22:28

that asset prices expand

1:22:30

and if you have those three things you

1:22:33

leverage to acquire assets and then you

1:22:35

borrowed against your assets

1:22:38

and by the way this is my my point

1:22:41

really is

1:22:42

you don't really want to be generating

1:22:44

income

1:22:46

right this is what kayasaki says right

1:22:48

you don't want to generate income and

1:22:49

pay tax

1:22:50

you want to own something which

1:22:52

appreciates

1:22:54

without being taxed with the ideal

1:22:56

holding period

1:22:57

of forever right warren buffett says it

1:22:59

just won't hold it forever

1:23:02

and and uh that's why that's my answer

1:23:05

to like

1:23:06

all the people in the bitcoin community

1:23:08

that are desperately trying to actually

1:23:10

get it to be a

1:23:11

you know a way to pay employees or sell

1:23:13

things

1:23:14

it's a really difficult heroic task but

1:23:18

it's too hard

1:23:19

a much better idea is to buy and say if

1:23:22

you want the benefits of crypto

1:23:24

buy and sell it in a cryptocurrency like

1:23:27

uh tether

1:23:28

or die if you're if you really want

1:23:30

cheap fast

1:23:31

transactions run a stable coin on a fast

1:23:34

network either centralized or

1:23:36

decentralized and then convert your

1:23:38

bitcoin

1:23:39

into stable and then move that back and

1:23:41

forth because there's no tax bill

1:23:43

and the accounting is simple okay

1:23:47

okay i'm just conscious of time we've

1:23:49

done three hours but i do have

1:23:51

i mean there's a bunch we could have

1:23:52

done another three hours there is

1:23:55

one other thing that i specifically

1:23:57

would be interested in your view on

1:24:00

in that you mentioned towards the start

1:24:03

you've

1:24:03

become to understand essentially the

1:24:05

different sex

1:24:07

factions within bitcoin uh yeah we have

1:24:09

the austrian economics

1:24:11

uh economists and the libertarians but

1:24:13

actually that's a it's a very

1:24:15

strong group of bitcoiners who want to

1:24:17

see an end of the fed

1:24:19

you know they want to see many want to

1:24:21

see the end of the government they want

1:24:22

to defund the government and

1:24:23

and hopefully bitcoin can do that and

1:24:27

where are you with all that side of

1:24:29

things

1:24:31

i i think i'll live with the government

1:24:34

you statist

1:24:41

i think that um to the extent that

1:24:41

bitcoin

1:24:42

bitcoin uh gets affiliated with um

1:24:45

hostility toward local governments

1:24:46

that's not going to be good for bitcoin

1:24:49

right for obvious reasons um i think

1:24:52

that um

1:24:53

bitcoin the if you dig a bit deeper

1:24:57

i i'm not a complete anarchist so for

1:25:00

example

1:25:01

i do i do acknowledge that there's a

1:25:04

that um there is a

1:25:08

a place for government so so there's two

1:25:10

phrases that pop up

1:25:11

you know inflation is theft and taxation

1:25:15

is theft

1:25:16

i agree with the first i don't agree

1:25:18

with the second okay i agree

1:25:19

inflation is theft that when you print

1:25:22

money you're stealing

1:25:24

money from you're stealing energy and

1:25:26

purchasing power

1:25:27

and wealth from disadvantaged people i

1:25:30

agree with that

1:25:31

i think that um taxation is not theft i

1:25:34

think taxation is

1:25:36

it can be inconvenient and sometimes it

1:25:39

can be

1:25:40

obsessed oppressive right

1:25:43

like too much on the other end there's a

1:25:45

place for highways and there's a

1:25:48

i don't have a problem with the

1:25:49

government providing security and clean

1:25:51

water

1:25:52

and hygiene and uh

1:25:55

schools and public utilities

1:25:58

and uh the libertarians debate back and

1:26:00

forth over

1:26:01

the role of government and there are

1:26:03

arguments that

1:26:04

you know these could be these things can

1:26:06

all be accomplished by

1:26:08

um private entities and

1:26:11

i'm not so sure but i i would say

1:26:15

clearly i'm in favor of the camp of

1:26:16

less government yeah i'm on i like

1:26:19

ronald reagan like if i

1:26:21

i like the guy that said you know

1:26:24

less less government is better and uh

1:26:27

let's see

1:26:28

what we need to do i don't think it's

1:26:30

very practical to go to zero government

1:26:33

instantly right that that creates

1:26:34

another set of problems and i don't

1:26:36

think that's

1:26:37

destructive no i know i agree with that

1:26:39

like the big red button would just lead

1:26:41

chaos because people are

1:26:43

institutionalized with government

1:26:45

um but i've brought it up so many times

1:26:46

but i did an interview with eric

1:26:47

voorhees who

1:26:48

you obviously mentioned his uh debate

1:26:50

with peter schiff

1:26:51

and i i kind of asked him about that

1:26:53

because i was like i just don't see it

1:26:54

working he said

1:26:55

i'd look i don't want that right now

1:26:57

let's not start at that point let's just

1:26:59

start with

1:27:00

one percent less government or five

1:27:02

percent you know five percent uh a

1:27:04

smaller budget

1:27:05

each year let's just try and reduce

1:27:07

government and i've kind of always liked

1:27:08

that idea of

1:27:09

almost like uh i mean you've got a

1:27:11

software company so you

1:27:12

you will know about a b testing right i

1:27:15

almost see a

1:27:15

we need to wean ourselves off the

1:27:17

government and a b test what works and

1:27:19

what doesn't you know

1:27:20

or what can go first or what do we need

1:27:23

um i i know security and

1:27:25

and border protection are one of the

1:27:26

things that are like a very important

1:27:29

you know in the uk the nhs is seen as

1:27:31

very important and the highways are seen

1:27:32

as important but what are the one of the

1:27:34

stupid bits we could definitely get rid

1:27:36

of and

1:27:36

if you were for if the government was

1:27:38

forced to stick to a budget where would

1:27:40

it where would it cut itself first

1:27:46

yeah i think i think the political

1:27:48

conversation is ongoing and there are

1:27:50

lots of different views on it

1:27:52

i think it's i don't think it's very

1:27:54

constructive and i think it's even

1:27:55

counterproductive

1:28:01

to allow that to dominate the narrative

1:28:01

of the bitcoin community

1:28:03

it would be an example of the perfect

1:28:04

being being the enemy of the good

1:28:07

like uh even if you believed that

1:28:10

even if you had a very strong view on

1:28:12

government

1:28:13

uh i believe that it's counterproductive

1:28:16

to the interest of bitcoin

1:28:18

a much more constructive thing to do

1:28:20

would

1:28:21

would be to incrementally improve the

1:28:23

world

1:28:24

and i think that if all you did was keep

1:28:28

people losing their money

1:28:30

by getting taken advantage of by gold

1:28:33

merchants

1:28:34

the world's a better place and we gave

1:28:37

if we gave people a simple savings and

1:28:39

loan that yielded five percent interest

1:28:41

where they weren't going to get ripped

1:28:44

i think you could be proud of that i

1:28:46

mean there's how many billion people on

1:28:48

the planet don't have any any safe place

1:28:50

to put their money right now

1:28:53

right you don't have to topple every

1:28:55

government to make bitcoins say a safe

1:28:57

place to put your money right

1:28:59

so if you get seven and a half billion

1:29:01

people a safe place to put their money

1:29:02

the point would be a better place

1:29:04

and then if you gave them a little bit

1:29:06

of individual sovereignty or a little

1:29:08

bit of control

1:29:09

it'd be even better and so i think make

1:29:11

the world a better place is a logical

1:29:13

place to start i

1:29:15

there aren't that many people that are

1:29:17

going to say

1:29:18

i disagree with you about that making

1:29:20

the world a better place thing

1:29:23

i mean a lot of people can come together

1:29:24

on that but on the other hand

1:29:27

if we get down into prescriptive actions

1:29:30

about what the government should or

1:29:31

should not do

1:29:32

i think you're going to have huge

1:29:33

amounts of inflammation and pushback

1:29:36

and bona fide debates and of course it

1:29:40

it distracts from the matter at hand

1:29:44

because what's what is more important

1:29:46

than anything

1:29:49

is that we go from 20 million people

1:29:52

that use bitcoin

1:29:54

to a billion people that use bitcoin and

1:29:56

we go from

1:29:57

a narrative where people are afraid of

1:30:00

it don't trust it

1:30:01

or are worried that there's some

1:30:03

negative connotation to a world where

1:30:05

they say

1:30:06

oh bitcoin it's just like facebook for

1:30:10

it's facebook for digital gold or it's

1:30:12

or it's apple for digital gold

1:30:14

and by the way when apple and facebook

1:30:17

and twitter and google

1:30:18

got big enough that they're all like

1:30:22

trillion dollar companies politicians

1:30:25

started worrying about them a bit

1:30:27

and there's a debate about you know

1:30:29

twitter and facebook and

1:30:31

apple and what they should or shouldn't

1:30:32

do why don't we just leave that debate

1:30:34

for about another decade about whether

1:30:38

people are worried that google works too

1:30:42

or the twitter works too well or that

1:30:44

apple works too well

1:30:46

why don't we wait until bitcoin is a

1:30:49

hundred times bigger than it is

1:30:51

and then people are worrying that it

1:30:52

works too well and then we can engage in

1:30:55

politics because right now

1:30:57

this is a this is a much simpler

1:30:59

discussion all you got to do is say we

1:31:01

reinvented gold and made a digital gold

1:31:03

it's 100 times better than gold and then

1:31:06

you've got

1:31:07

a hundred thousand stock brokers

1:31:09

stampeding millions of people

1:31:11

into gold and you could just say hey

1:31:13

we're just we're that but better

1:31:16

and then everything else that everybody

1:31:18

wants whatever their hopes their

1:31:20

aspirations are

1:31:22

are 100x more likely to be realized if

1:31:25

bitcoin is successful

1:31:27

as a digital gold and there's

1:31:30

no reason to fight these other battles

1:31:32

now whatever they might be

1:31:35

i mean i i don't disagree other people

1:31:38

naturally i don't disagree i certainly

1:31:40

don't

1:31:41

i certainly think there is a secondary

1:31:44

benefit though

1:31:45

to more people having the ability to

1:31:48

store

1:31:49

money in bitcoin and have it uh seizure

1:31:52

seizure resistance resistant in that it

1:31:55

reduce the you get to a kind of tipping

1:31:57

point where

1:31:58

it will reduce the effectiveness of the

1:32:00

government they maybe have to

1:32:01

uh consider their budgets but that that

1:32:04

said we've seen plenty of

1:32:05

states fail um currencies fail and

1:32:09

um it's not like we've always seen like

1:32:12

a positive revolution that's come out

1:32:13

afterward venezuela zimbabwe like

1:32:16

we're not even seeing much progress in

1:32:17

lebanon right now so

1:32:19

um i'm nervous about a collapse of the

1:32:22

state i

1:32:23

i understand the utopian goal i'm just

1:32:25

nervous about it i

1:32:27

you know civilization has progressed

1:32:29

over hundreds of years

1:32:31

are we really in that bad estate that we

1:32:33

want to tear all down and

1:32:34

start again i don't honestly know the

1:32:36

answer um

1:32:38

but uh yeah oh

1:32:41

man we've done a long time are you

1:32:43

feeling all right

1:32:46

yeah i probably gonna like 10 20 minutes

1:32:48

with me but

1:32:49

we can take a break right now well you

1:32:51

know what that's uh that's a record

1:32:53

length interview now

1:32:55

we've hit a good point i think we should

1:32:57

i've got a

1:32:58

couple of things i want to close out on

1:33:01

because there's a couple other rebels we

1:33:02

could go go down we could do this

1:33:04

another time

1:33:05

so listen look you're uh you've made

1:33:08

your big bet

1:33:09

you're in you're in you're in the world

1:33:11

of bitcoin

1:33:12

but there's other people who are still

1:33:15

on the sidelines

1:33:17

you know and you've given some great

1:33:18

articulate and eloquent answers but

1:33:21

i really want your elevator pitch now

1:33:22

for bitcoin like for all these people

1:33:24

think about should i be in

1:33:26

whether it's company treasuries whether

1:33:28

it's personal wealth what would you say

1:33:30

to them

1:33:35

i would say in our current macroeconomic

1:33:35

environment

1:33:42

implies that we're going to see 10 to 15

1:33:42

expansion of the monetary supply every

1:33:44

year for the next three to five years

1:33:48

assets are going to inflate

1:33:57

bitcoin is digital gold it's going to

1:33:57

have the highest real yield

1:33:59

because you can't make any more of it

1:34:03

all the other investments are crowded

1:34:05

trades

1:34:06

bonds are well understood stocks are

1:34:08

well understood

1:34:09

gold is well understood they all have

1:34:13

they have the same upside as downside at

1:34:15

this point

1:34:16

and and there's no way if you get an

1:34:20

bitcoin has an asymmetric proposition

1:34:23

you can get an

1:34:24

edge here because it has a history

1:34:29

which uh which has scared some people

1:34:31

away and so

1:34:33

it hasn't been embraced by the

1:34:34

institutional community if you are the

1:34:36

first

1:34:37

then you'll have an edge as it's been

1:34:40

traditionally difficult to buy and a lot

1:34:43

of people

1:34:43

they can't pick up the phone and buy it

1:34:45

and so if you go to the trouble to

1:34:47

figure out how to acquire it

1:34:48

that will give you an edge and

1:34:52

it has all of the technology upside of

1:34:54

apple google facebook and amazon

1:34:57

from a decade ago and you saw what data

1:35:00

did over the past decade

1:35:01

bitcoin is the is the first successful

1:35:03

digital monetary network

1:35:05

and so if you come into it right now

1:35:08

you're coming into it with a 200 billion

1:35:09

dollar market cap

1:35:11

and and it's gotten to this point

1:35:14

without

1:35:15

the institutional interest that it's

1:35:18

currently gleaning

1:35:20

so it makes sense to be early to this

1:35:22

trend

1:35:23

as the price goes up the value

1:35:27

of the offering goes up because the

1:35:29

liquidity

1:35:30

is the value proposition so this is an

1:35:33

example of

1:35:34

of something where the higher the price

1:35:36

goes the more value

1:35:37

that bullet gets the more people want to

1:35:39

have it and the more

1:35:41

robust it gets that's not true

1:35:44

with a stock if the price of the stock

1:35:47

goes up

1:35:48

it delaminates from its cash flows and

1:35:50

its pde goes from 20 to 30 to 40 to 50

1:35:53

to 80 to 100

1:35:54

and so with with many things as the

1:35:58

price goes up

1:35:59

the risk gets higher but with with

1:36:01

bitcoin

1:36:03

the price goes up the risk probably gets

1:36:06

lower and it's such a simple thing

1:36:11

it doesn't have all the execution risk

1:36:13

and regulatory risk and

1:36:15

competitive risk that so many other

1:36:18

things have

1:36:19

because it is so very simple it's just

1:36:22

21 million

1:36:23

gold coins in cyberspace buy one

1:36:26

and as the and as people adopt the

1:36:28

network

1:36:29

the value proposition increases as

1:36:31

technology gets better

1:36:36

the economy works people productive

1:36:39

they'll buy a network they'll they'll

1:36:40

sweep more cash flows into it the value

1:36:42

proposition increases and as the central

1:36:45

bankers print more money

1:36:47

the value proposition will increase

1:36:50

that's my pitch listen to that amazing

1:36:54

right well look if people want to follow

1:36:58

any of your work

1:36:59

so there's a couple of things i think

1:37:01

you should point them towards point them

1:37:02

towards

1:37:02

um the your own personal kind of twitter

1:37:07

um also the you talked about the

1:37:09

education resource

1:37:10

and then anything else anything else you

1:37:12

want to point people towards i think

1:37:13

three things

1:37:14

to go check out check check me out on

1:37:16

twitter michael saylor

1:37:18

with underscore after michael and then

1:37:20

also you can go to

1:37:22

microstrategy.com and we actually have a

1:37:24

bunch of stuff on our

1:37:26

own business and also we have a bitcoin

1:37:27

section and it's a curated bitcoin

1:37:30

section with

1:37:31

with videos articles books and

1:37:34

regulatory filings that would be

1:37:35

interesting to someone

1:37:37

and then if you're interested in free

1:37:39

education or you know anybody that wants

1:37:41

a free college degree

1:37:42

go to sailor.org we're trying to give it

1:37:47

it's not easy to give stuff away but if

1:37:49

you want to

1:37:50

if you want to promote free education

1:37:52

for everybody's go to sale.org anybody

1:37:54

can get an account everything is free

1:37:56

it's all creative commons open source

1:37:57

license

1:37:58

and the ideas is anybody in the world

1:38:01

can get a computer science degree and

1:38:02

make a living

1:38:03

and so you want to check that out feel

1:38:05

free amazing well listen look

1:38:07

amazing work congratulations on uh

1:38:10

everything you've achieved so far

1:38:12

um like it's you've you've come through

1:38:15

bitcoin like a steam train this last

1:38:17

uh you know a couple of months or a few

1:38:19

weeks and it's been fascinating to watch

1:38:21

um it's great to get to know you uh

1:38:23

great to talk to you a couple of times

1:38:24

i expect well i hope and then if it's

1:38:27

possible expect we'll do this every

1:38:29

maybe six months to a year we'll have a

1:38:30

catch up we'll do another one of these

1:38:31

hopefully in person at some point we'll

1:38:33

actually sit down and

1:38:34

do this in person and maybe go grab some

1:38:36

food but anything you ever need from me

1:38:38

you know you can reach out to me you got

1:38:39

my number and everything now and

1:38:40

look i wish you the best i obviously

1:38:42

hope your investment is uh

1:38:44

uh super successful because they'll be

1:38:46

great for me as well so uh

1:38:48

all the best and take care thanks for

1:38:50

having me on your show peter i've

1:38:52

learned a lot and i always

1:38:53

i always enjoy our conversations

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