What Is Money? Michael Saylor Tells Us!
The RO Show · 2023-09-16 · 21m · View on YouTube →
the separation of property from Earth is
a very important very important topic
and you know then we have to ask these
existential questions what is money what
is energy what is
security and they all the roads seem to
lead to
bitcoin what please add to that Michael
you know I never thought about what
money was until um the co lockdown
pounds and then uh the Federal Reserve
lowered the interest rate to zero and I
had a lot of money in the bank
generating zero and then it occurred to
me that the prices were going to go up
quite a lot and I started thinking about
a couple of Concepts one is what is
money and the second is what is
inflation and um and then the third is
you know what what is wealth and how do
you preserve wealth well a simple answer
to what is money is money is money is
economic
energy money is um you know you have a
certain amount of wealth uh and economic
energy could be viewed as capital could
be viewed as wealth um and
uh we often times store our economic
energy in different assets we could
store it in a currency like the dollar
we could store it in a bar of gold we
could store it in diamonds we could
store it in a Ferrari we could store it
in a house in a building in a warehouse
or we could buy a share of stock these
are all different ways to store our
wealth our economic energy and they all
serve as sort of money now the question
is which of those assets is the best
money now um I think the the thing to
keep there in mind there is um is if
money is energy the energy dissipates
with a certain time frame so for example
if um if you had um a 100,000
in the year
1930 you could have bought a very very
nice house in Miami Beach I know because
I own a house built in 1930 and the deed
of sale is for
$100,000 on two acres and the middle of
Miami
Beach that house was appraised at $46
million in uh about 90 years later okay
so if you actually are good at math you
can calculate that what that means is
approximately a
99.8% loss in the purchasing power of
the dollar over 90 years or if you do
exponential math in your head I I can
tell you the answer it's 7% inflation
rate the inflation rate of real estate
in Miami Beach over the last century is
7% a year now the
politicians and the government agenc
gencies will tell you the inflation
Target is only 2% well they'll tell you
CPI is 2% but in fact the inflation rate
of consumer goods that are manufactured
like I don't know like cardboard boxes
of milk or cardboard boxes of water or
drywall or Netflix videos or uh or
biscuits coming out of an assembly line
or chocolate bars that come out you know
a million an hour yeah those things are
going up in price but they're but
they're not going up at 7% a year
because technology and capital
investment and human Ingenuity is
actually making it cheaper right uh you
can reasonably conclude that we're
better at manufacturing things today
than a hundred years ago so of course
things that are manufactured get a
little bit cheaper but what can't you
manufacture more of that's like
beachfront property in
Miami okay so if you actually calculate
the inflation rate of scarce desirable
assets like beachfront property it isn't
2% it's seven or 8% the same is true of
real estate in London Paris La any place
desirable it turns out the inflation
rate of the S&P index of a scarce
desirable company one of the 500 bestr
run companies in the United States
that's also
7% right the um the government would
tell you that's not inflation that's
just uh investment appre that's asset
appreciation they'll say you know know
good for you homeowners values of their
homes went up 7% this year and the value
of your stock went up by 7% this year
but what they're missing is that the
average person's salary isn't going up
by 7% so it gets harder and harder and
harder for people to buy scarce
desirable
things I think once I got into this
business I realized that that uh the
dollar is not a good uh monetary
instrument because it loses 7% of its
purchasing power a year but foreign
currencies the like the peso or or the
ler or something they lose 14% or more
of their purchasing power every year
they're even
worse now if you're an engineer you
think in terms of halflife the question
is what's the halflife of your money
like what's the halflife of your
economic
energy when uh the inflation rate of the
dollar is 7% it means that every 10
years you lose half your
wealth when the inflation rate is 14% it
means every five years you lose half
your
wealth gold has an inflation rate of 2%
it turns out the gold miners create 2%
more gold every year that means every 35
years you lose half your
wealth so the halflife of money in each
of those instruments each of those
assets ranges from a couple of years in
a commodity to 10 years in the world
Reserve currency to 35 years in the
dollar now what's the halflife of money
in Bitcoin see Bitcoin is designed to go
ASM totically to 21 million so in fact
the inflation rate of Bitcoin over the
next hundred years is effectively
nothing like we've got 19 and a half
million Bitcoin uh now and we'll have 21
million in a 100 years so you're going
to get another few percent over the
course of a hundred years and then
you're going to get nothing more for all
of eternity so if you think about it
like that you realize that the half-life
of your money in in the right crypto
asset in this Bitcoin network is in e in
essence
infinite which makes the money
Immortal
now think about the implications of
having a halflife of a 100,000 years or
a million years or forever when uh the
halflife is forever the money is
Immortal that means your economic energy
doesn't
dissipate now you want an analogy um the
analogy is um uh what if I just bled a
pint of your blood every time uh the day
before you ran a track
race and if I just did it you know every
week you run a race and just before the
race I just take a pint of your blood
and I send you out to race the mile
maybe you don't run quite as fast and
then and then one day someone comes
along and saysi have a new idea what if
we didn't bleed our
Racers you know and you know the gift I
give you is I stop bleeding you at
before your athletic competition I mean
obviously you'll probably do better
right you feel a lot better about it
when the money is being debased you're
in essence draining the economic energy
out of the currency you're bleeding
every company
now if I raise uh the supply of dollars
7% a year
for a hundred
years any Corporation that's valued
based on cash flows has to grow its cash
flows more than 7% a year in order to
maintain its value
constant if you're growing at 3% a year
and the money supply is growing at 7 and
a half per a
year over the course of a hundred years
a million company is only worth
$30,000 see see you're you're getting
destroyed because you have at a
negative3 and a half% real yield if you
actually have a stock and you want the
stock to hold value and your value based
on cash flows your cash flows have to
grow faster than the monetary inflation
rate now bear with me what happens when
the monetary inflation rate goes to
14% you have to grow at 20% what happens
when it grows to 20% you have to grow at
30% how many companies can grow their
cash flows 20% a year for 20 years in a
row
well uh since the beginning of the
year the S&P 500 is up about
11% seven companies in the S&P 500
account for 52% of uh 52% gain every
other company is zero zero% gain 493
companies have
zero one and a half perc of all the
companies are all the gain and that's
because if you're not a digital Monopoly
right if you're not a monopoly with the
ability to create a product with no
variable
cost you can't keep up with the
inflation rate now which Co which
companies can actually create products
with no variable cost or monopolies
right big Tech right so they sort of do
Okay now what's the other organization
that can create money with no variable
cost it's a
monopoly the central
Bank the Federal Reserve right they can
create a trillion dollars of dollars
that cost nothing that are worth the
trillion dollars now they they sell that
into $50 trillion dollar economy so they
kind of in you know they debase
Everybody by 2% or something right but
you know that means that they created a
trillion dollars that are worth
99% of what a trillion dollars were
worth a year ago it's pretty good
business for them if you have the world
Reserve currency
but what this means in the economy is
the only companies that will actually
last for
Generations are companies where the
majority of the balance sheet is
denominated as scarce desirable
property right so if you think about all
the rich families the ones whose
grandfather bought city blocks in the
middle of Manhattan or they own
buildings in London
right or they own the New England
Patriots if you own a piece of
intellectual property or real estate
property if you own a billion dollars
worth of buildings on January 1st and
the bankers are going to print 10% more
money or 10% more currency to be precise
then you can expect that your billion
dollar building will be worth 1.1
billion at the end of the year with you
doing
nothing and if you have a company which
generates a billion dollar of cash flow
by being a restaurant or a hotel chain
or dry cleaner or sweeping the streets
or manufacturing plastic straws or
operating cruise
ships that company is going to have to
generate 10% more cash flow a100 million
additional cash flow in order to be
worth the same amount as they were on
the first day of the year so you see how
pernicious this is right it's very
unfair to property poor operations rich
like The workingclass suffers whether
it's a workingclass company or just a
workingclass
person the doctor that makes $200,000 a
year has to make 10% more after tax next
year to be worth the same as they were
last year so the workingclass suffers
the workingclass company suffer the
property
class they sort of benefit if you just
own stuff right Wall Street you just own
things you don't do anything you just
own stuff and then the question of how
well you do is a function of the quality
of the stuff you own so if you own
scarce desirable property the best is
probably real high quality luxury real
estate or or commercial real estate that
everybody wants you kind of keep up with
inflation you might get one or two% more
than inflation maybe if you own the S&P
index you just kind of keep up with
inflation it's the same 7% inflation 7%
S&P
return if you own Bond portfolios you
know you're going to lose half your
stuff right your your yield is negative
-3% a year you lose you lose 3% of
everything you own every year at best
maybe
faster so
Bitcoin represents something special
because it's sound money which means you
know if you have sound
money you actually don't have to grow
your cash flows faster than the rate of
inflation to to actually live happily
ever after for example that that doctor
that's making $200,000 a year if they
sweep their excess savings into Bitcoin
and Bitcoin has been going up 40% a year
but let's say over time it goes up about
14% a year versus the 7% of the in
inflation rate and 7% of the S&P
index a company with a low growth rate
but holding a balance sheet that's got a
high growth rate is a well-endowed
institution right you can grow your
salary by 3% but your balance sheet will
grow by 14% And the inflation rate only
is 7% so you actually get ahead of the
curve by investing in something which is
a higher quality asset than all the
other
assets right and and that means over
time you can sort of just be a
doctor and go about your trade and
you'll or a restaurant owner or
something and you just don't get
squeezed out of existence so I mean
there's something nice about that
um we've normalized some ious ideas in
our civilization one one idea I pointed
out is like your grandchildren will lose
the family farm and they'll be poor
because they can't afford to pay the
property tax on the farm that's we've
normalized it like like somehow we blame
them like they should be like
why because because um they're just who
they are right that's one it's kind of
normalization of theft of of property
from future
Generations just because
the other thing we've normalized is the
idea that if you're a company and you're
not growing 10% a year you're a failure
or if you're if you work at a job as a
nurse or a baker or a doctor and your
salary or your revenues don't go up by
10% a year or more you're a
failure like why why like like if you
went to Harvard University and you said
well you gotta actually train 10% more
students every year or you're a failed
Institution
if you went to a you know to a woman
with three kids and say if you don't
have three kids next year six kids the
year they're after 12 kids the year
thereafter and keep doubling the number
of people in your family you're a
failure right it's like that's silly
what why why do we have this insane
quest for exponentially more output
we're basically just working everybody
to death and and the reason why is the
money is broken
right the societal incentives are
broken so like my you know my 80s
something father he has to be a hedge
fund manager and he has to pick stocks
in order to Lo in order to avoid losing
his life
savings we've normalized this idea you
work your entire life and then if you
store it in the bank well you're losing
it all over the course of 10 years or
less and because of the inflation rate
of the dollar
so why is it why is it I have to pick
stocks why and it's because we keep
printing so much money so the real
promise of Bitcoin
is if you're an
individual you can do whatever you do
best and then you can save your life
savings in a Apex property asset which
will appreciate faster than the rate of
currency debasement no matter where you
live if you're a family you can do the
same if you're a family you can expect
to create generational wealth to give to
your great great great great
grandchildren and you have every reason
to think that it might still be
there if you're a company you can do the
same
thing you don't you don't have to um
risk the company in this insane quest to
try to grow faster than the inflation
rate what the the net result of this
hyperinflation of the currency and even
the dollar it's 7% a year
it's 7% monetary inflation but they say
it's only 2% inflation but the result is
the hurdle rate for companies is
89% so what happens is they either lbo
thems themselves they basically have to
load up on debt and go to negative
working capital like the Toys R rust
situation even Marvel Comics why does
Marvel Comics have to have billions of
dollars of debt like that you know why
do why do we load great companies with
lots of debt it's because because the
common of taxes and inflation makes it
impossible for the equity to work or
hold value and so we have driven so many
companies into debt and so many
companies into
bankruptcy or what happens is companies
go on acquisition binges and they start
buying up company after company after
company because they have to grow their
Top Line more than 7% and the organic
growth of all their divisions is less
than
7% and uh you know it's the result of
all those things is capital destruction
we're destroying people's lives we're
destroying good jobs we're destroying
communities we're uh destroying the
manufacturing base of the
country instead of having a hundred
different healthy companies that will
all give like what happens if like
there's only one University left in the
world you know like instead of having a
100 choices a 100 cities a 100 companies
a 100 colleges a 100 whatever you end up
just having the monopolies left and we
just keep driving all the small midsize
companies out of business and destroying
uh the Vitality of the culture and we're
doing it because we keep we keep uh
inflating the money supply and driving
centralization of power
structures so when you have a a powerful
Central Bank you end up with powerful
fractional Reserve Banks and then you
have with powerful big Tech monopolies
then you have monopolies in every
industry big defense big Pharma big
banking big Tech big government big
Regulators over and over again and it's
the
centralization that creates such an
unhealthy body
politic because you know pretty soon you
can't you got to be careful what you say
online and you can't say certain things
and you can't do certain things and and
everybody you know everybody has to live
concerned about what that organization
thinks because they're just too powerful
and uh we people haven't been aware of
the impact of money on this but money
definitely drives this
centralization the bit the
bitcoiners have uh have done a lot of
work on this and and they point out that
you know World War I World War II all
the wars in the 20th century they were
much more brutal than the 19th century
Wars because governments were just
better at printing money if um if it
hadn't been for going off the gold
standard and printing infinite fiat
currency World War I wouldn't have only
would have only lasted a year he was
would have W to run out of
money but uh when the governments get
really good at uh at uh printing
infinite
currency they can just run those things
forever and the result is sea of human
misery