SaylorCorpus

Michael Saylor: The Power of 21 | BTC Prague 2025 Keynote Speech

Bitcoin Magazine · 2025-07-07 · 47m · View on YouTube →

0:03

Wow, a full house. If you're coming into

0:03

the room, come and grab a seat. You are

0:05

in for a treat because the following

0:07

speaker, of course, needs no

0:09

introduction.

0:11

But we're going to have some fun

0:12

together doing it anyway.

0:15

First off, please could you help me

0:17

finish these phrases? I'll say the start

0:19

of the phrase and you will finish it.

0:21

Number one, stay humble. Stack.

0:25

We want more noise, more volume. Number

0:28

two, don't trust

0:31

beautiful. That's better. Number three,

0:33

cipher punks write

0:36

code. Good, because there's a reason for

0:39

this. The following speaker is so well

0:41

known, he has established his own memes,

0:44

his own mantras. A podcast discussion

0:47

between Mr. Sailor and Crypto

0:50

Rashin led to this meme. Help me finish

0:53

the phrase. It's going up forever.

0:56

Beautiful. Well, this is the energy we

0:57

want. This is the energy we want.

0:59

Indeed, Michael will go out to bat for

1:01

Bitcoin on any TV show, podcast, or

1:04

legacy news station. It is phenomenal

1:07

proof of work. Next phrase. Are you all

1:11

in on the

1:14

chair? Surely, are you all in on the

1:16

chair? No one. Okay. I mean, I just

1:19

learned backstage that Michael was so

1:21

good at selling all of his chairs, all

1:23

of the company's chairs, all of the

1:25

family's chairs, even the deck chairs on

1:27

his yacht to buy Bitcoin that that's why

1:30

he was promoted from CEO of Micro

1:33

Strategy to Strategies executive

1:37

chairman.

1:39

I'm sorry, I couldn't resist just one

1:40

joke. Just one joke. Oh, one person

1:43

applauded. Beautiful. Okay, final

1:45

phrase. You can really shout this one

1:47

out. There is no second.

1:51

Beautiful. Beautiful. Because the

1:53

following speaker has orange pill more

1:55

people than FTX, Celsius, and Luna

1:58

crashes combined. He holds more Bitcoin

2:02

than every country on the planet. He is

2:05

the patron saint of corporate Bitcoin

2:08

treasuries. He is simply the most

2:12

bullish Bitcoin billionaire.

2:14

Ladies,

2:16

gentlemen,

2:19

ladies and gentlemen, you know what to

2:22

do. Prague, make some noise, get on your

2:24

feet, and give it up for the one, the

2:27

only Michael J. Sailor.

2:31

[Applause]

2:34

Love it.

2:41

[Music]

2:45

Thank you.

2:54

It's like it's lovely to see the group.

2:54

I had the opportunity to take selfies

2:56

with about 400 of you

2:59

this afternoon.

3:08

and uh and it was a it was an honor. I

3:08

appreciate it. Thank you for coming

3:10

here. Um, today I'm very excited to

3:13

present.

3:25

I'm very excited to present the power of

3:25

21. Uh, my topic today is Bitcoin

3:29

time and the engineering of generational

3:34

wealth.

3:36

Um, for those of you who are in

3:38

Nashville last July,

3:40

I presented a few slides and I want to

3:43

take you back 11 months.

3:47

So, this was the status of the macro

3:50

economy in July. Bitcoin was

3:53

appreciating 55%.

3:55

It was uh trouncing the NASDAQ and the

3:57

S&P. Gold was a lagard.

4:01

Silver was lame.

4:03

Bonds were losers.

4:08

Bitcoin was a trillion dollar asset

4:08

class. Um it was just uh

4:13

point less than.1%

4:17

of the wealth in the world. But we could

4:19

see that something was going to change.

4:29

I presented a forecast in July

4:29

and I said um I really think

4:32

my base case is Bitcoin is going to grow

4:34

29% a year for the next 21 years and uh

4:39

that's going to cause it to appreciate

4:41

to $13 million of Bitcoin.

4:50

We had a macro forecast

4:50

and that meant that Bitcoin was growing

4:52

to be 7% of of all global assets

5:01

and it was growing to be it its own

5:01

asset class and you can see here

5:05

$280 trillion

5:08

but

5:09

the preeminent monetary asset in the

5:12

world.

5:15

So all of that was last July.

5:18

Bitcoin was $65,000.

5:27

What happened since

5:27

11 months?

5:34

Okay, this is extraordinary. I was uh as

5:34

Joe said uh I was bullish last July.

5:40

I've always been bullish, but when

5:41

Bitcoin

5:43

dipped to $16,000 during crypto winter,

5:47

I was bullish.

5:49

Um,

5:51

but stuff that's happened in the past 11

5:53

months has been extraordinary.

5:56

The White House

5:58

has embraced Bitcoin. This is an

6:00

extraordinary development. We didn't

6:02

anticipate this. We we hoped that we

6:05

would get a favorable admin

6:07

administration and we hope we get

6:09

support and we had this inkwing but uh

6:12

November 5th brought a sea change in

6:14

politics and and although we thought we

6:18

might have a uh pro- Bitcoin president,

6:21

we didn't think we get a strategic

6:23

Bitcoin reserve. We didn't think that

6:25

the president would say America will be

6:29

the Bitcoin superpower of the world.

6:32

This is an amazing development.

6:35

The new administration,

6:38

JD Vance, pro- Bitcoin. Robert F.

6:41

Kennedy, pro Bitcoin. Tulsi Gabbard, pro

6:44

Bitcoin. Kelly Laughler, pro Bitcoin.

6:47

Paul Atkins, pro Bitcoin. Brian Contez,

6:50

pro- Bitcoin. Scott Benissant,

6:54

pro Bitcoin.

6:56

David Saxs, a new position, cabinet

6:59

level position.

7:01

Not just pro Bitcoin,

7:03

a cabinet member that would go on

7:05

television and say Bitcoin is the one

7:07

decentralized crypto network in the

7:10

world. It is special.

7:12

It is the digital commodity.

7:15

Right? The one thing that we've all

7:17

known, but a cabinet member in the

7:20

United States government says it. He

7:22

said it in March of this year. Howard

7:26

Lutnik, pro Bitcoin. Cash Patel, pro

7:29

Bitcoin.

7:31

Every one of these cabinet members

7:33

flipped from 12 months earlier where

7:37

there would have been no one that would

7:39

have been as bullish on Bitcoin as what

7:41

we saw here.

7:44

Wall Street embraced Bitcoin.

7:47

$150 billion of capital,

7:51

1.4 million Bitcoin. This entire dynamic

7:54

started in January of last year, but it

7:57

accelerated after July.

8:04

public companies. My company was the

8:04

first public company to adopt Bitcoin.

8:07

People thought we were crazy. I thought

8:10

we were late.

8:20

Like some of you, I kept thinking that I

8:23

got it right in 2013. Like why did

8:26

stupid? Why didn't I buy in 2013? In

8:29

2020, I thought I was late. But what

8:33

happened next is the second company, the

8:36

third, then 130.

8:39

Then then companies like Trump Media and

8:42

GameStop and 21.

8:45

And now companies are racing racing to

8:49

get into the Bitcoin 100. Used to be we

8:52

thought, oh, it'd be great. There's 10

8:53

Bitcoin companies and 20. Now there's a

8:56

hundred. Now there's more than a

8:58

hundred. Now we're all going to compete

9:00

to move up the leaderboard. Yeah. Let

9:03

the games begin.

9:14

Bitcoin wasn't an institutional asset.

9:16

It wasn't cool on Wall Street. People

9:20

thought it might be toxic. Well, now I

9:23

have a whole set of equity analysts that

9:26

write research and publish their

9:29

research to investors and they put a

9:32

price target on Bitcoin. So now you have

9:35

the entire equity capital markets

9:37

embracing the asset class,

9:40

writing about it, opining on it. You

9:43

know, we went from went from an oddity,

9:48

tulip bulbs maybe going away to

9:53

an entire array of analyst and

9:57

investment banks starting to have an

10:00

opinion. And of course, if you look at

10:02

all the prices up there, their opinion

10:04

is all positive. It's all bullish.

10:08

Technology in investors have embraced

10:13

What you see there is the Bank of

10:15

America investment analyst equating

10:18

Bitcoin to something as profound as the

10:21

light bulb, the Model T of the worldwide

10:25

web.

10:26

Right? That's a very important rotation.

10:29

Bitcoin is a technology.

10:31

Bitcoin is not a speculation.

10:34

Bitcoin is not uh is not an oddity. Uh

10:38

Bitcoin is not anarchy. Bitcoin is just

10:41

the next great technology.

10:44

Financial regulators embrace Bitcoin.

10:46

This you never believe. The head of the

10:48

OC says banks should use they should

10:51

support Bitcoin. The Fed says it's okay

10:53

for banks. They should get on and and

10:55

start supporting Bitcoin. The

10:57

accountants say you need you need to

10:59

provide fair accounting for Bitcoin. The

11:02

SEC says it's okay to create ETFs of

11:10

Capitol Hill embraced Bitcoin. The

11:13

House, the Senate, the Cabinet. You've

11:16

got three bills, the Clarity Act, the

11:18

Genius Act, the Bitcoin Act, all moving

11:21

through Congress right now.

11:24

This is something nobody guessed. No one

11:27

conceived of a year ago.

11:30

States in the United States are

11:31

embracing Bitcoin. governors, right?

11:34

There's legislation working its way

11:36

through state legislative branches

11:38

everywhere.

11:39

You know, Bitcoin is money for

11:41

everybody. Bitcoin is for everybody and

11:44

everybody is getting interested in it.

11:46

International governments embrace

11:48

Bitcoin. spokespeople for the UK, for

11:52

Ireland, for Pakistan, for Bhutan, for

11:55

El Salvador,

11:57

for Russia,

11:59

in China, in Hong Kong, in Europe,

12:04

everywhere,

12:05

right? They all have an opinion. Their

12:08

opinion is this is very important. This

12:11

is an extraordinary movement.

12:14

The crypto industry,

12:17

the crypto industry has embraced

12:19

Bitcoin. There was, and this is

12:22

extraordinary. You should all give

12:24

yourself a hand because you've won.

12:35

These are all public statements from the

12:38

last 12 months. And let me tell you how

12:40

I interpret this. This is everybody in

12:43

the crypto ecosystem acknowledging that

12:46

Bitcoin is the foundation of the crypto

12:50

economy.

12:52

Bitcoin is the reserve currency of the

12:55

crypto economy. Bitcoin is the one

13:00

central certain unshakable

13:03

uh unshakable protocol and the fulcrum

13:08

the focal point of the entire industry.

13:12

Everything else is built on top of it.

13:15

uh there's been an unprecedented

13:23

uh coalition that's come together in

13:23

support of Bitcoin and I think a

13:25

realization that uh the entire industry

13:30

needs Bitcoin as their ethically sound,

13:34

economically sound, technically sound

13:38

foundation if they're to have any

13:40

future. And uh and I think you guys

13:44

should be very very proud of that

13:46

development.

13:49

12 months. What's going on? Bitcoin is

13:51

still running hard, running harder than

13:53

it has been, up 61%.

13:56

The Magnificent 7 and the S&P are

13:58

underperforming.

14:00

They're struggling. The tariff wars, the

14:03

trade wars have been a challenge for

14:05

them. Uh there's been a there's been a

14:09

general mainstream

14:11

uh lagging of confidence and that's

14:14

caused a surge in gold, but Bitcoin is

14:17

running much harder than gold. Real

14:20

estate soldiers on and bonds continue to

14:23

fail.

14:29

Bitcoin's outperforming all asset

14:29

classes this decade, too. So it

14:32

continues with what you would expect,

14:34

56% on average ARR for the past nearly 5

14:39

years,

14:40

more than double the MAG 7.

14:43

That's more than double about double the

14:46

S&P.

14:48

You've got gold, a little bit of a

14:50

surge, starting to catch up, but gold's

14:52

still underperforming the S&P and real

14:55

estate less. This is an important chart.

14:58

Here's what this chart is telling you.

15:00

The cost of equity is uh 13%.

15:07

That means that if a company's

15:07

capitalized on gold, real estate, bonds,

15:11

soybeans, oil, any other commodity, it

15:14

can't it can't beat the cost of equity.

15:17

You cannot sell equity to buy real

15:20

estate. It's dilutive. There is only one

15:23

asset that a a company in the world can

15:26

hold that you can capitalize on that is

15:30

higher than the cost of equity and that

15:33

is Bitcoin. And so you see this the

15:35

explosion in Bitcoin treasury companies

15:38

is because now that the world's

15:41

recognized a digital commodity,

15:44

they also recognize it beats the cost of

15:47

equity. That means that every public

15:50

company in theory should recapitalize on

15:53

Bitcoin because when they sell equity,

15:56

they're actually generating profits.

15:58

They're creating an accretive

15:59

transaction for their shareholders,

16:01

right? That the world is waking up to

16:04

this. You see that hint since h since

16:06

you see or hint you see an explosion

16:10

you know in the shares of metaplanet and

16:13

smarter web and h100 and blockchain

16:17

group right uh this is going to continue

16:20

there these companies are going to catch

16:21

fire everywhere in the world in every

16:24

capital market for one simple reason

16:27

investors can see that 56% is more than

16:31

13%.

16:33

It's just that simple.

16:36

And this is a it's a very powerful

16:39

dynamic.

16:42

And yet, Bitcoin is just 20 basis points

16:45

of global wealth.

16:47

So, here's an interesting thing.

16:51

We are now at an inflection point.

16:55

We have all the information to know

16:59

Bitcoin is winning. And yet the

17:02

majority, 99.8%

17:10

of the capital in the world still

17:10

pretends and acts like it isn't. Most is

17:14

still oblivious. You know something the

17:17

rest of the world has not yet

17:18

acknowledged. And yet it couldn't be

17:20

clearer uh to all of us in this room.

17:24

There's a monetary revolution a foot,

17:27

a revolution in economic thinking.

17:30

It's spreading everywhere in the world.

17:33

It's fueled by the digital

17:36

transformation of the capital markets

17:39

that you see manifested in all of these

17:41

companies and all of these securities

17:43

and all of this Bitcoin activity and

17:46

it's going to be accelerated by

17:48

explosive financial innovation. That

17:51

innovation is surging now. Uh you can

17:54

you can see it everywhere around us.

17:57

Every single company is thinking how do

17:59

I integrate? What am I going to do? So,

18:02

the revolution is a foot. The world is

18:05

bullish on Bitcoin. It's being adopted

18:08

faster

18:09

and more aggressively by governments, by

18:12

banks, by corporations,

18:15

by investors than nearly all of us

18:18

thought a year ago, right? We were

18:20

bullish a year ago, but certainly I I'm

18:25

hearing now BVVA is supporting Bitcoin.

18:27

And I'm seeing the secretary of the

18:29

treasury saying it's okay for banks to

18:32

Bitcoin. We've uh we've seen the

18:34

explosion of all these Bitcoin treasury

18:37

companies. I didn't think they would go

18:38

so fast. I didn't think Smarter Web

18:41

would go from 4 million pounds to a

18:44

billion pounds in two months. Let's give

18:47

them a hand. That's amazing.

18:56

you know, MetaPlanet goes from 10

18:59

million to a billion and I was ready to

19:01

declare victory. I thought that's great.

19:03

That's 100x and then they surge to 8

19:06

billion. Let's give Metaplanet a hand.

19:08

It's it's amazing.

19:16

So, of course, you're bullish. I'm

19:17

bullish. But the point is the governor

19:19

of Texas is bullish. The point is the

19:22

president of the United States is

19:23

bullish. The point is people you don't

19:26

know in places you've never been

19:29

are bullish.

19:31

This is extraordinary.

19:34

And I take a moment

19:37

I take a moment to go back to someone

19:39

that was bullish when none of us were

19:41

here, when none of us had this

19:43

information. January 10th, 2009,

19:48

the network launched technically January

19:50

3rd, but it was kind of clicking away by

19:52

January 9th. And the next day, the next

19:56

day, a certain genius

19:59

estimates that Bitcoin could be $10

20:01

million a coin. And this is so humbling.

20:06

It took the rest of us

20:10

16 years, $2 trillion

20:13

in order to come to a conclusion that

20:16

yeah, this is going to happen.

20:19

Thank you. How

20:35

inflection point, ignition point, escape

20:35

velocity.

20:42

When a nuclear reactor comes online,

20:42

when the chain reaction starts up, we

20:45

call that criticality.

20:47

Bitcoin's reached criticality.

20:50

The network has come to life. The work's

20:53

done.

20:56

The power's flowing.

20:59

And there's no off switch.

21:06

Satoshi's fire is now unstoppable.

21:06

Right. The network is unstoppable.

21:25

Satoshi's point is the shelling point

21:25

of global money.

21:28

We can now see, you can see, I can see

21:32

the rest of the world is beginning to

21:35

that in fact there is an inversion and

21:38

there's a transformation. This network

21:41

doesn't need me anymore. This network

21:43

doesn't need anyone anymore. It's going

21:46

to continue to grow

21:49

and um and no one can stop it.

21:53

And so with that,

21:55

with the help of all that information,

21:57

I'm going to now share my Bitcoin

21:58

prophecy.

22:12

I think we're going to be $21 million

22:12

in 21 years.

22:16

It's a very special time in the network.

22:20

Maybe the one time in the history of the

22:22

network where you look out 21 years and

22:24

you see 21 million. Specifically,

22:28

I expect 21 million coins at a $21

22:31

million price in 21 years. And people

22:34

ask, "How's the network going to grow?"

22:36

It's going to be growing at 21% in 21

22:41

years. The volatility is going to be 21.

22:46

This is all the only number you need to

22:48

remember is the number 21.

23:02

And what does that look like?

23:02

Well, that looks like 28.5%

23:04

from here. Not that different. Slightly

23:07

less than 29% ARR.

23:11

But the path the path to 21 million is

23:13

not going to be simple.

23:16

It's going to be volatile.

23:19

And so you're going to you're going to

23:20

see a volatility and it's going it's

23:22

going to damp over time, but you got to

23:24

be prepared for the volatility, for the

23:26

surges and the draw downs, the good

23:28

days, the bad days. This is Bitcoin's

23:32

annualized return looking back a decade,

23:35

looking forward two decades, and you can

23:38

see that the network was growing faster

23:40

when it's small. That's totally

23:42

rational.

23:44

It's now in the mid50s.

23:47

What do I expect? I expect it will

23:49

continue to grow exponentially, but as

23:52

it approaches hundreds of trillions of

23:54

dollars, it will decelerate to the point

23:58

where it's growing about 21% a year.

24:02

Now, how does that compare to the S&P?

24:04

It'll be growing faster in 20 years.

24:07

It's still going to be the best idea.

24:10

It's still going to be the most

24:12

lucrative capital asset a company can

24:15

hold. It's still going to be uh durable,

24:19

vital. There will not be a better

24:22

investment in the year 2046.

24:26

And I think it's very important to

24:27

understand that

24:30

um Bitcoin's trending toward

24:34

the performance of the best capital

24:38

assets in the world in the conventional

24:40

world, which are like, you know, mag

24:42

seven digital monopolies mixed into an

24:44

index. It's trending toward it, but it

24:46

will never reach it and it will never

24:49

perform at that level because it's

24:51

always going to be better. It's always

24:53

going to be more useful. It's always

24:55

going to be less risky. It's always

24:57

going to have the counterparty risk of a

24:58

company stripped away. There's never

25:00

going to be a CEO to subpoena. There's

25:03

never going to be a labor force. There's

25:05

never going to be the challenge of a

25:07

supply chain. It's never going to have a

25:08

tariff on it. It's going to be pure

25:12

digital energy. pure economic energy. By

25:17

then, it will be moving at the speed of

25:19

light on layer 2s, on layer 3es. It'll

25:23

be moving 10 million times a second.

25:26

It'll be trading between billions and

25:28

billions of nodes and billions of other

25:30

nodes. There's going to be nothing else

25:32

to compete with it. It will be the most

25:36

valuable thing performing the best.

25:38

You're not going to want to sell it in

25:40

21 years. You're just going to wish that

25:44

you had acquired more of it.

25:47

And here's the volatility.

25:49

Looking back, volatility. Okay, it's 80,

25:52

90 vol, 100 vol. Today it's the mid50s,

25:55

the the mid40s. What do I expect? Well,

25:58

this is kind of very straightforward.

26:00

The volatility is going to also dampen

26:04

as the asset class grows, as the

26:07

structure matures, as the options

26:09

markets come on, as the bank when the

26:11

banks embrace Bitcoin and they'll give

26:13

you a loan, the volatility will damp.

26:16

When it's fully banked, when it's fully

26:18

optioned, when the when the mainstream

26:20

investors are are invested in it, the

26:22

volatility will damp. But the volatility

26:26

of the S&P is the VIX. It's 16.

26:29

Bitcoin's going to be 21. Bitcoin's

26:32

always going to be more volatile because

26:35

it's more useful, because it's more

26:37

pure, right? And that's and because it's

26:39

more leverable, because you'll have more

26:42

capabilities and you'll be able to do

26:44

more with it everywhere in the world.

26:47

Um, it will be raw economic energy. And

26:50

that's that's okay. Volatility is

26:53

vitality.

26:55

So now you have a future $21 million

27:00

21 AR 21 V.

27:04

This is the important part of the

27:06

presentation.

27:08

What will you do?

27:18

First of all, you have a 21-year head

27:18

start. You know something? 99.8%

27:23

8% of the capital in the world does not

27:26

yet know, right? You know that this

27:29

thing is unstoppable. You know that

27:31

everybody needs it and very few people

27:34

understand it. That's the most valuable

27:36

information in the world. If I told you

27:39

Bitcoin was going to 21 million

27:41

tomorrow,

27:42

that's not useful.

27:44

It's too late. I'm giving you something

27:47

much more valuable. I'm giving you 21

27:49

years to leverage that information while

27:53

everybody else is oblivious, while

27:56

everybody else is afraid, while

27:58

everybody else is distracted.

28:06

You can do something. If you build the

28:06

right machine, build a moneymaking

28:09

machine for yourself.

28:13

If you build the right machine and you

28:16

plug it into the Bitcoin network, it

28:18

will grow stronger every day,

28:21

it will grow stronger every year. It

28:24

will compound

28:26

extraordinary

28:30

Extraordinary wealth.

28:33

And you will change your world. You have

28:37

a once- ina-lifetime opportunity to

28:40

change the destiny of everybody in your

28:42

bloodline, to change the destiny of your

28:45

community, everything you hold dear, to

28:48

change the political course of human

28:50

history.

28:52

You can do it. You have the opportunity

28:54

because you have the most valuable

28:56

information in the world. And the

28:58

question is,

29:00

how are you going to do it? What is your

29:03

Bitcoin strategy?

29:06

You need a 21-year plan.

29:09

Right? If you have the vision, but you

29:12

don't have a plan, you're just dreaming,

29:15

right? You're not going to get there by

29:17

talking about it. You need clarity. You

29:19

need to know what's going to happen.

29:22

You need courage.

29:25

You need to be willing to take a risk.

29:27

You need to put your own economic

29:30

interest at risk.

29:32

You're going to need to take a

29:33

courageous step and then you need to

29:36

take action.

29:37

Clarity, courage, action.

29:40

People that understand Bitcoin buy

29:42

Bitcoin. People that don't understand

29:44

Bitcoin talk about Bitcoin.

29:48

So, what are you going to do? You're

29:49

going to build a long-term plan

29:53

based on disciplined work, responsible

29:57

finance,

29:58

sound engineering,

30:01

and Bitcoin. So, I'm going to lay out a

30:04

few possible options for you here, and

30:08

then you can decide what you want to do

30:10

and how aggressively you want to do it.

30:13

Let's start with this one. DCA, dollar

30:16

cost averaging.

30:18

What is the strategy? The strategy is

30:21

work carefully

30:24

for the next 21 years. Buy

30:27

$50,000 US worth of Bitcoin each year.

30:33

Increase your savings by 5% a year and

30:37

then hold the Bitcoin. That's a

30:41

strategy. What happens if you do that?

30:45

Okay. Well, you can see your

30:47

investment's going to gradually

30:49

increment by the 5%. Over the 21 years,

30:53

you'll end up putting $2 million of cash

30:57

in into this investment. And what's your

31:00

outcome? You're going to end up with 1.9

31:03

Bitcoin. It's going to be worth $40

31:06

million.

31:08

Okay? $40 million.

31:11

How does that compare to other

31:13

strategies?

31:14

Well, if you take the same money and you

31:16

put it into the 6040 portfolio, if

31:19

you're conventional investor, if you

31:21

take the advice of your financial

31:23

advisor,

31:25

you will have $4 million

31:29

if you put it in the S&P index. Don't

31:32

don't diversify out of that. you're

31:33

gonna have six million

31:36

if you actually invest in Bitcoin, but

31:38

then every time Bitcoin doubles, you you

31:40

kind of you rebalance the portfolio.

31:45

If you're responsible and you engage in

31:47

that rebalancing,

31:49

you'll have 15 million. If you let

31:51

Bitcoin run by a factor of 10 and then

31:53

you take money off the top

31:57

and you rebalance that way, you'll have

31:59

28 million.

32:01

And if you just buy the Bitcoin and

32:03

don't think about the rest, you have 40.

32:05

So the difference between conventional

32:08

and Bitcoin

32:10

is a factor of 10x.

32:13

That's the DCA strategy.

32:17

What's the next strategy? Leverage.

32:21

Borrow a million dollars up front. Pay

32:23

less than 10% interest if you can.

32:26

You're leveraging your future. You're

32:29

going to tap your underutilized assets.

32:31

If you got to sell your chairs, sell

32:32

your chairs. Mortgage your house.

32:36

Use capital intelligently. Ask your

32:38

family for a loan. A approach your

32:41

grandfather, your grandmother, your

32:43

father, your sister, your uncle, your

32:45

brother.

32:47

Ask your friends next.

32:50

Don't pay off your student loans.

32:52

Definitely don't pay off your mortgage.

32:56

Okay. What happens? Well, that's a

32:58

single jolt of energy one time.

33:02

It's worth $190 million to you. Okay,

33:07

it's a Okay, that's actually the payoff

33:11

of courage,

33:13

taking a risk.

33:15

What happens if you combine the two

33:17

together?

33:18

You basically borrow the money up front,

33:21

you DCA, and then every year you

33:24

leverage 5% of your existing Bitcoin

33:27

stack into Bitcoin. Again, this is what

33:31

the outlook or the outcome looks like.

33:34

You're going to end up with $260 million

33:38

of US value. You end up with

33:41

approximately 14 Bitcoin. And you can

33:44

see the the recycling of the leverage is

33:49

a very powerful powerful technique here.

33:54

What about a financial strategy? Let's

33:56

just take that a little bit further.

33:57

What if I just recycle 15% leverage

34:02

not 5% 15%. You can still survive an 80%

34:06

70% draw down. What happens this? you'll

34:12

be up to $370 million.

34:16

And then here's a business strategy. I

34:18

form a company.

34:21

I maintain 10% leverage.

34:24

I issue 5% equity every year at a

34:28

multiple of NAV of two. 5% dilution a

34:31

year on a business. Okay. What happens

34:35

there? Well, you're going to generate

34:37

$760 million of wealth by issuing equity

34:42

and by staying a little bit levered. And

34:46

so you can see it when you consider

34:47

these comparisons,

34:50

right? DCA is work hard, invest in

34:54

Bitcoin. Leverage is use some financial

34:57

engineering.

34:59

The DCA plus leverage takes you much

35:02

further. The financial strategy of

35:04

course is almost 10 times a DCA

35:09

and then the business strategy of course

35:11

is extraordinary almost 20x. Now

35:16

let's talk about tradecraft.

35:19

How do you do this without getting

35:20

liquidated?

35:22

How do you do this in an intelligent

35:24

fashion? So this is a credit matrix.

35:29

On the y ais is the interest rate you're

35:31

paying. on the x- axis is the duration

35:35

of the credit instrument. If you're

35:37

borrowing money for less than five

35:39

years, four years, you're a gambler.

35:42

When you're when you're borrowing

35:44

short-term money, you may get

35:46

liquidated, especially when you're

35:47

borrowing money for four weeks or 4 days

35:49

or 4 hours. This is this is a little bit

35:53

of a risky zone. When you're borrowing

35:55

money that cost you 20 or 30% interest

35:58

in short duration, you are a lone shark

36:01

victim. Okay? This is suicidal. You're

36:04

going to get your legs broken. Do not do

36:07

that.

36:09

When you borrow money at expensive rates

36:11

for long periods of time, you are an

36:13

indentured servant. You're a debt slave.

36:16

You're going to work your entire life.

36:18

You're going to have nothing to show for

36:19

it. That does not make sense.

36:22

What you want to do is borrow money for

36:25

10 years or longer and you'd like to get

36:29

the interest rate below 10%. So 10ear

36:31

duration less than 10%. If you get to a

36:35

30-year loan with 3 or 4% interest,

36:37

you're a financial genius. You know what

36:40

that is? That's mortgaging your house 2

36:42

years ago to buy Bitcoin, right? That's

36:45

the thing that all the non-coiners made

36:47

fun of us for. If you were smart enough

36:50

to take a 30-year or 20-year mortgage at

36:52

3 or 4% and buy Bitcoin, you are

36:54

financial genius. Not not complicated.

36:58

You're swapping 3 or 4% cost of capital

37:02

for a 29% return on the capital. What

37:06

about equity? Okay, so you have a

37:09

company.

37:11

If you sell 90% of the company at three

37:15

times NAV, you just cashed out. You made

37:17

a you made a lot of money. You're

37:19

retired. You're going to sit in a rocket

37:21

chair rocking chair. You're rich.

37:23

Congratulations. Right? That that is

37:25

your exit strategy. If you basically

37:28

sold 50 60% of your company at three,

37:32

four, five times nav, you're a

37:34

racehorse. You're going to be racing.

37:37

You'll have a jockey. That's good.

37:39

You're in business with other people. If

37:42

you manage to sell 20%

37:44

at seven times nav, you're looking like

37:46

a unicorn. People are going to write

37:49

books about you. You're going to be the

37:50

cover of magazines.

37:53

And if you can actually sell less than

37:55

10% of your company at a 78, n times

38:00

nav, you're Pegasus. Okay? You're a

38:03

superstar, a shooting star,

38:06

right? They're going to write entire

38:09

books and teach courses about you.

38:11

Right. So that red line, that red line

38:14

is the no-go line. If you're selling

38:16

equity below one times NAV, you're

38:19

deluding your own shareholders, right?

38:21

That's that's awful. And so you got to

38:23

stay above that. Now, some common

38:26

objections.

38:28

You're going to hear these objections.

38:29

You're going to hear more of them from

38:31

all of your, you know, wealthy financial

38:34

advisors or or wealthy friends that are

38:37

no coiners. And they're going to say

38:39

things like, "H, it's too late. It's too

38:42

late. You know, you did it, but you

38:44

know, if I done it back in 2013 or done

38:47

it in 20120 or done it whenever, it's

38:49

too late." But here's what I have to

38:51

say. Um, Henry Ford decided to harness

38:55

fire a million years after human beings

38:59

discovered fire. It was not too late.

39:02

It's not too late to use the wheel.

39:07

It's not too late to master explosives.

39:11

It's not too late. If you need a gun and

39:14

someone invented a gun 500 years ago,

39:16

you're not going to say, "Well, I guess

39:17

it's too late for me." Or how about

39:20

English? Someone learned English before

39:23

you. It's too late. It's an old

39:24

language. I guess it's not that useful

39:27

anymore. Or to fly. I'm not the first

39:29

person to fly.

39:32

There's another company in my town. They

39:34

installed electricity. It's too late for

39:36

my company. After all, someone else

39:39

installed electricity first. I don't

39:41

really need electricity. It's too late.

39:44

Or the mobile phone.

39:47

Too late to use a computer. Too late to

39:50

get on the internet.

39:52

Too late to go to space. It's too late

39:55

to buy a Bitcoin. Here's what they're

39:58

missing.

39:59

Bitcoin's technology. It's not a

40:02

speculation. It's the ignorant

40:05

speculators that think it's too late

40:08

because they don't understand that it's

40:10

digital energy. It's digital technology.

40:14

It's never too late to master

40:17

technology.

40:20

And I would leave you with the thought,

40:21

it's never too late to do the right

40:23

thing. I mean, it's very simple. Second

40:27

big objection. Oh, it's a Ponzi scheme.

40:29

It's tulip bulbs. Blah blah blah. It

40:33

seems too good to be true.

40:35

The four most dangerous words in

40:37

finance. This time it's different. John

40:39

Templeton. Well, Sir John Templeton is

40:42

not on the walls of MIT's great court.

40:45

They have Newton and Madame Cury and

40:47

Einstein, you know, and Galileo, but

40:51

they did not put his name up there

40:52

because he's not a scientist or an

40:54

engineer. And the point is this is

40:57

different. Fire is different. Water is

41:00

different. Wind is different. These

41:04

things, guns, germs, when the Spaniards

41:09

show up in the New World and 90% of the

41:11

Native American Indians die because of

41:13

the germs, it was different, right?

41:16

These things are not the same. John D.

41:19

Rockefeller noticed oil was different.

41:22

If you're actually basing your strategy

41:25

on a technology or a paradigm shift,

41:28

then in fact, it is different.

41:35

And the point here

41:35

is Bitcoin is different. That's why it

41:38

matters.

41:40

People that tell you it's not different,

41:41

they don't understand it.

41:44

Don't be swayed by them. And now I'm

41:48

going to end with some final thoughts.

41:56

There's a saying in the American West,

41:56

the cowards never started.

41:59

The weak died along the way.

42:03

In this case, to never start means to

42:06

never invest in Bitcoin. If you have

42:09

your money and it's invested in not

42:12

Bitcoin, you never started. You have to

42:14

put your capital into Bitcoin. And then

42:17

the weak dying along the way. Okay.

42:19

Well, you did a stupid deal with a lone

42:21

shark and he broke your legs because you

42:23

borrowed money for four weeks at 37%.

42:26

Okay. Don't do that. Right? It's not an

42:29

easy journey, but neither is getting in

42:31

a wooden ship and sailing across the

42:32

Atlantic an easy journey.

42:35

The best way to predict the future is to

42:39

create it. Everybody in this room can

42:43

watch or await or you can go and create

42:46

the future.

42:48

Metaplanet's creating a future in Japan.

42:50

H1's creating a future in Sweden.

42:54

Smarter Web is creating a future. BTC

42:57

Prague is creating a future. Everybody

42:59

here is creating the future. Build the

43:02

machine. Put energy in it. Turn the

43:05

crank. Harness the energy.

43:12

is the winning hand. You're sitting at a

43:14

blackjack table and you get a king and

43:16

an ace. You can't lose.

43:20

We've got the winning hand. 21 in 21

43:23

years. You know it. There's only one way

43:26

to lose and that's not to play the game.

43:42

Should you magically develop the ability

43:42

to see the future 60 seconds in advance

43:45

and you're sitting at the blackjack

43:47

table and you see blackjack coming,

43:50

bet large,

43:54

right? That's how you win. You have to

43:56

play the game. You have to bet.

43:59

You have a winning hand. Play it.

44:02

Embrace the volatility.

44:04

Volatility is Satoshi's gift to the

44:07

faithful. If Bitcoin was not volatile,

44:10

people with more money than you, more

44:13

power than you would outbid you for the

44:16

Bitcoin you couldn't have it. The only

44:19

reason you have the opportunity, the

44:22

only reason that you have a 21-year head

44:24

start is because it's volatile. At the

44:27

point that it becomes completely

44:28

predictable, Warren Buffett will say,

44:31

"Oh, yeah, we get it. We just bought all

44:33

the Bitcoin. The Bitcoin went to 20

44:36

million a coin. Your opportunity is

44:39

gone. You don't you don't actually get

44:42

rich if this thing doesn't stay

44:44

volatile." In chaos

44:47

lies opportunity.

44:51

It's not the bug, it's the feature.

44:55

Revel in it.

44:57

When you're on a ship tossed by a by a a

45:01

turbulent sea and you get seasick,

45:05

what do they tell you to do? Focus on

45:07

the horizon.

45:09

Look out. What is the horizon? The

45:11

horizon is 21 years. And what's on the

45:13

horizon? $21 million and don't pay

45:17

attention to what's happening in the

45:19

here and now. Look out. It will calm

45:22

you. You won't do something you're going

45:25

to regret later.

45:27

Hodal. What does it mean? It means

45:29

ignore the noise. It means the noise

45:31

dilutes your performance. It distracts

45:34

your attention. It detracts from your

45:36

quality of life.

45:38

The news media, everybody, the everybody

45:42

is constructed to actually generate

45:44

noise, to generate inflammation, to tell

45:48

you, oh, this or that or the other

45:50

thing. And you have to avoid allowing it

45:53

to make you make a mistake or wreck your

45:56

life. Total. Remember, on the horizon,

46:00

4.8 Bitcoin makes you a centaillionaire.

46:04

You'll be 300 times as wealthy as the

46:07

average middle class person at that

46:09

point.

46:15

48 Bitcoin

46:15

makes you a billionaire in 21 years if

46:18

you can get to 48 Bitcoin. And trust me,

46:22

you're going to want to get to 48

46:23

Bitcoin if you can. Why?

46:27

This is the chance to build your legacy,

46:30

right? Thinking beyond yourself. If you

46:32

can do it for your family, do it for

46:34

your children. If you don't do it for

46:36

your children, do it for your community.

46:38

Do it for your way of life. At the end

46:41

of the day,

46:43

do it for everybody in this room. Do it

46:46

for the people that took this journey

46:48

with you, that bled, that sacrificed,

46:52

that took risk, that fought for this

46:55

thing that you have an opportunity to

46:57

share in.

47:00

This is your legacy.

47:02

Leave that. If you don't leave it to

47:04

your children, leave it to the Bitcoin

47:06

community

47:09

and I will see you at 21 million. Be

47:13

there.

47:30

Give it up for Michael Sailor.

47:30

See you at 21 million. Amazing.

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