Synopsis of The Saylor Series with Michael Saylor (WiM221)
Robert Breedlove · 2022-10-06 · 1h 17m · View on YouTube →
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[Music]
welcome to the waters Morning Show I am
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hey everybody Welcome to the Sailor
series book release Twitter space
uh this is actually the first Twitter
space I've ever hosted so thank you for
joining us
and we have our esteemed guest Mr
Michael Saylor who just joined
hey thanks for having me
thanks for joining us Michael and so
we as many of you may know uh sailor and
I recorded a long series together
um 17 episodes in total
which was the inaugural series for my my
show the what is money show
we released this started releasing this
in late 2020 on both YouTube and the
podcast feed
uh I think the total content comes to
about 25 hours
across the 17 episodes
and today
um and more recently we've released a
book which is uh basically a transcript
of our conversation with some summary
bullet points at the end of each chapter
and today we're going to kind of go
through a highlight reel uh of that
conversation and the book itself
uh which is now available on Amazon
and I think just for starters
um
I'd like to say that the feedback from
this Series has been overwhelming
um it you know I was walking through my
neighborhood in Nashville Tennessee
about a week ago and
some guy in his 60s that was cutting his
grass you know stops the lawnmower and
like runs across the street and
introduces himself
and was you know thanking me profusely
for for this particular Series so
um it's been a bit strange to see how
far the reach has been
given that you know my initial question
to Michael was just you know what is
money let's talk about it for a long
time and see where it goes
and so I personally was very excited
that people have found this thing
valuable and uh the reach and longevity
of it has been quite impressive as well
um Michael I wonder if you've had any
particular feedback or comments you'd
like to share on from our conversation
yeah my thought was um
I never really thought much about uh
what is money until you asked me
and uh then we sat down for this podcast
I thought it'd be a couple of hours and
it it turned out to be like 18 hours or
something like that and then we
eventually did 25 hours
and um
everything we did in those sessions uh
was pretty much based upon an outline
that I just quickly reeled off in the
first hour I just created an outline of
of a bunch of things I wanted to cover
and then and then the rest is just
extemporaneous so it's kind of
interesting what comes out actually I'm
poor and when I looked at the transcript
or this this book you put together is
400 pages long and I thought that's a
lot of words
a lot of words
but um a fascinating subject right what
is money
the highest form of energy that humans
can channel right money is energy a
monetary system is an energy system and
as soon as you start thinking about
money as an energy system if you're an
engineer the next thing that pops up is
you start thinking about
about every other Energy System
hydraulic Energy Systems water
electricity
thermodynamic Energy Systems mechanical
energy systems and the like and there
are so many
lessons to learn from all those other
energy systems that um that just
Justice starting with the observation
that money is energy and a monetary
system is an energy transfer system to
move energy through time and space
and or to vibrate energy on a given
frequency
or to program energy redirect energy
once you get that idea right you think
about pulley systems and you know and
what a pulley system allows one person
to haul a weight which is 10x more than
they could to pick up without that
pulley system so mechanical advantage
and block and tackle and Leverage
and uh and then you know what are the
techniques for redirecting energy I'm
going to pull down but I want I want the
energy Vector uh to move and out from me
right how do I do that
um that's that's a a subject that
Engineers deal with all the time right
mechanical engineers
civil engineers
nuclear Engineers aeronautical Engineers
ocean engineers
they're always dealing with energy and
materials and they study it with a great
deal of discipline and there are right
and wrong answers right the mathematics
matters and there are laws of physics
and and you can't cheat
um you know there's always the you know
the laws of thermodynamics right you
know energy can neither be created nor
destroyed you can only transform
it transformed the nature of it and and
once you accept that
right you realize that the I mean the
number one rule of thermodynamics is you
can't cheat
right you just cannot cheat and uh
Engineers know this and they design all
their systems with that in mind there's
no shortcuts there is no such thing as a
free launch
as Heinlein would say in his books
um and every aeronautical engineer knows
you want the plane to go further then
you're gonna have to give up some
payload or you're going to have to
change the material and you want it to
to go faster then you're going to give
up you know some degree of safety and
making it go faster
so Engineers live in this world but um
economists don't and money has
traditionally been the province of
economists or at least in our modern
world economists and politicians you
know we have we have lawyers in charge
of the money supply you know economists
lawyers politicians are considered to be
qualified to run the monetary system the
bat you know the banking system the
money system and the money supply but
if you actually just accepted the idea
that money is energy in a monetary
system is an energy Network then you
would actually think that I ought to put
an engineer in charge of that
bitcoin's the first time when anybody
figured out how to engineer a monetary
system and Satoshi is a is an engineer
right I mean a multi-faceted engineer
that had a pretty good familiarity not
just with economics and politics but had
a good familiarity with mechanical
engineering and electrical engineering
and computer science and cybernetic
systems and Servo mechanisms and
stability and feedback and
you know for first order stability is
something that you that you absolutely
have to understand if you're an
aeronautical engineer when you design an
airplane if it's stable it means when
the plane tilts 10 degrees to the left
the um the lift on the wing builds up to
bring the airplane back to Center and if
it's stable it'll tend to fly true and
and upright and if it's unstable when it
tilts 10 degrees to the left it'll tend
to tilt 20 degrees more to the left and
then it'll just flip and go into a
spiral and death spiral and crash into
the ground you'll die
and so lack of stability typically means
the plane crashes and burns and then uh
in Ocean engineering when you build a
ship you want stability so that when the
ship you know pitches you know 10
degrees to the to one side it tends to
want to come back and you know to
stability to to a neutral buoyant stable
Point uh and if it does that right then
it's going to not capsize but if it's
unstable the you know if you get the
center of gravity too high
or the center of mass too high in the
ship you know you tilt 20 degrees to the
laughter or or something like that you
get a roll uh and the thing just rolls
over so um not not Engineering Systems
with stability is a death sentence
in the engineering world but uh in the
monetary world not getting the stability
right is political inconvenience and you
just kicked hand on the road leave it to
the next person
ultimately the result is the monetary
system collapses but if it takes 10 or
20 or 30 years you're not there and you
can just blame it on something else
so I think the question really
had a big impact on me as you can tell
and
um and the result was whatever 25 hours
of content and
400 pages of stuff and last I checked on
YouTube it looks like we have 250 000
people viewed it so that was uh quite
surprising
yeah it's been uh quite tremendous and I
I find it interesting that this just a
relatively simple question about
something that we all use and think
through every day
takes you straight into the you know
some of the most primordial substances
we're talking about time and space and
energy
feedback systems Etc
and I you know I really appreciated the
framing we were talking about Bitcoin
moving us from politically run money to
a appropriately engineered monetary
system
you know I guess the central theme if
there is one of the Sailor series is
that right it's how human beings Channel
Energy across space and time toward the
achievement of their goals
and you did a really good job starting
in the beginning I don't know how much
more first principles we can get you you
know you started in the Stone Age and
basically uh built your thesis all the
way into the digital age
and in terms of how humans have
channeled energy historically you
initially focus on three Technologies
and you focused on fire as an energy
technology you focus on missiles and you
focused on hydraulics
as a means of channeling gravitational
could you give us just like a brief
overview of the significance of uh fire
missiles and hydraulics
I started thinking about money as an
energy system
and and money as as a economic
socio-political economic form of energy
then it just led me to ask the question
what what were the formative energy
systems of the human race and the
Paleolithic era so I went back a hundred
thousand years and I said you know what
what elevated humanity and uh it's not
not that hard right you know it's like
fire we've got we've got Prometheus and
our mythology and the whole point of
fire is is harnessing and channeling
chemical energy
and uh converting a log into heat or
into light is a pretty good trick and
and cooking food or pre-digesting food
using a wooden log is another pretty
good trick and I was focused on that
because it's it's so inter intricately
interrelated with our evolutionary
biology and there's so many people with
the thesis that Humanity would never
have
would never have um emerged if we didn't
actually Master fire because we couldn't
we couldn't uh digest enough food and do
it quick enough in order to divert
energy to our brains
and so you know if you if you don't have
fire you know you're a horse or
something or a cow and you're just
eating all day long but you're never
going to get that smart because so much
of your energy is diverted to your
digestive tract so it doesn't take much
much consideration to realize that
without you know fire is a means of
protection and a means of not freezing
death a means of digestion a means of
signaling a means of information
uh Gathering and maintenance you know
not to mention the fact that you you
don't just cook food right you you cook
Terracotta clay or you cook materials
you can create construction materials
you you can work
stones and and you can Harden you know
the tip of the spear right you can smoke
food to preserve it my fire fire turns
out to be pretty useful uh in so many
different ways
you can scare away something bigger than
you that would otherwise eat you
so it's it's
um it's defensive it's offensive it's uh
constructive
uh it's useful and uh you know the the
missiles thing is just like
you start thinking about converting
potential energy to kinetic energy right
a bow I draw the string of a bow back I
put an arrow in it and I send the arrow
100 feet or 200 feet or a thousand feet
or however long I'm gonna fling it and
if not that I do it with a sling
I I think the
the the critical idea there is that it's
just very difficult for us to rise above
you know any creature that um
that has sharper fangs than us and if if
someone's got if someone's bigger or
stronger or tougher than us you have to
stand off from a distance in order to
beat them so whoever Masters missiles
wins
got I think that's a long reach not only
can you actually stand back a hundred
feet and blast something but you can
also stand up 30 feet on a cliff and
blast them so
so uh it's a pretty good evolutionary
trait to master the ability uh to direct
an energy weapon uh in a distance and
it's pretty obvious today right I mean
someone's someone's got a gun and you've
got a knife you're going to lose and if
they've got a rifle and you've got a
pistol you're going to lose and if
they've got artillery and you've got a
rifle you're going to lose
ultimately someone that can drop
something from 50 000 feet above you on
your head is going to win
so missiles turn out to be uh pretty
critical to advance as well
of humanity over creatures and then
eventually the most sophisticated tribe
that mastered the most sophisticated
missiles dominates the less
sophisticated tribe and that's continued
to this day with icbms and and uh and
even even the Star Wars initiative that
we credit for toppling the Soviet Empire
was was um either mastering the ability
missile or mastering the ability to
knock a missile out of the sky that
someone else flung at you
I mean the last subject Hydraulics
really is just water power right I mean
water water is one of the most effective
ways to channel gravitational energy and
you know ancient peoples took water and
uh they created Mills and they created
machines and they and they um did work
and you know if you um if you have a
waterfall and it'll do the work of a
hundred people
then uh you know that could be pretty
useful to you right especially if you're
one person
you get the mill working and you can
relax while the water does the work so
so I think the significance of all these
is they're early they're Paleolithic
Energy Systems with a different purpose
if you mastered them you built a
civilization
and if you didn't Master them the best
case is you run around with the animals
and you know better off than the
chimpanzees or the worst case is you
don't Master them and the tribe that's
adjacent to you Masters them and they
just murder you and you're done right
and and uh
you get squeezed out of the entire
ecosystem
so I I think when we started
consider those that the big idea is the
civilization that channels energy most
effectively wins
and uh and and I think that was kind of
the theme for the rest of the entire
series of podcasts
yeah great elaboration there I and
so the civilization that channels the
most energy the most intelligently wins
um obviously these are primitive forms
of energy but they're very instrumental
to building a civilization
but to your original answer to the
question like money would be the highest
form of energy that a human can Channel
if then that energy Network
that we call money is monopolized as it
has been
throughout history what is that doing to
this highest capability that humans have
where we can
yeah use money to coordinate the actions
of one another what is the the
monopolization how is it actually
disruptive to that energy Network that
we call money you know I mean
fundamentally difference between uh
monetary networks and um
and sanitation you know water Networks
or or
um missile networks or you know
fire furnaces
is is that you can't cheat Mother Nature
so if you create a um if you create an
aqueduct system and you put a leak in it
then eventually you get half as much
water and if the Loop's enough you get
no water and if you can't move the water
the city of 50 000 people has enough
water for five thousand people and forty
five thousand people die and that's it
and the people figure out that the mayor
of the Town screwed up the aqueduct when
they all can't drink anything and they
die right and the same is true you screw
up your furnace and it burns your house
down or you screw up your furnace in the
and the fire goes out and you freeze to
death right no cheating on that right
it's it's pretty obvious and and it's
not a political issue like nobody says
it's not fair that the fire went out or
it's not fair that the cistern didn't
capture water and they don't you know
when someone shoots you in the face with
a missile or throws a bullet you know at
you from a sling and you're there
bleeding you know no one says you know
that's not fair right I mean the truth
is the lead bullet flies through the
atmosphere and they either hit you or
they don't
um so those are engineered systems
controlled by the laws of physics and
they might be brutal but you cannot
cheat them you you cannot elect a new
mayor that just passes a law that says
the bullets don't work anymore and use
that to save yourself from the enemy
coming over the ridge
the money is different money is
socio-political energy and so when it
works perfectly it is economic energy
but when it is captured by a political
uh a political organization or
centralized and when it is corrupted it
becomes imperfect energy and and so if
we look at at uh at money through
history right we've got lydian coins and
you know we write about them but but you
know that they the history that you read
is 10 000 incidences of one people
conquer another people they sack their
City they lay seeds in their City they
kill all the people and they take all
the money they melt down all the old
coins and they recap and they re-coin
new coins so you know it's the Spartans
fighting with the Athenians fighting
with the lydians fighting with the
Persians fighting with the you know fill
in the blank the Romans and the
Phoenicians and the carthaginians and
and uh they've all got their own system
of coinage and you can literally find
thousands and thousands of them they all
have gold in them generally what happens
is you start out you know you start out
as a as a young virtuous people
the Romans you're young and you're
hungry and you conquer the Etruscans you
take all their gold you take all their
property you build your own coinage and
then um and that coinage is high gold
content traditionally if if it was on a
gold standard and then you use that uh
to build a free economy and the economy
as trade and people create ships and
they create Wagon Wheels and they create
buildings and they create weapons and
they hire mercenaries or they pay
soldiers and then you defend yourself
and over time
uh you expand as long as uh the as long
as the society is not corrupt
when the political system is not
corrupted when the monetary system is
not corrupted and everybody feels it's
fair and equitable
that's an incentive for people to fight
to defend their home because they
because they appreciate it and they love
it and it's an incentive for business
people to work hard because they know
they'll be fairly rewarded so the uh the
city or the city state grows
and it keeps expanding until eventually
the son or the grandson or the or the
13th successor to The Virtuous King
takes over
gets lazy debases the money cuts the
amount of gold in the coinage by 30
percent and then by 50 percent and as
they cut the and debase the currency
people start to lose faith in the ruler
and lose faith in the economic system
and then they start to cheat
and or you know people don't want to
defend it and eventually The Mercenaries
want to be paid more and so
you know taxes have to go up and the
coinage has to get debased and
eventually people lose faith in the
entire system and Along Comes A Younger
hungrier more virtuous uh group of
people that aren't so fat dumb and happy
and uh and they conquer the older fat
dumb and happy corrupt civilization
uh the history book written by the loser
is something like these evil barbarians
came and they and they took our stuff
for no reason whatsoever and isn't that
unfortunate
but the history eventually gets
Rewritten by the winners if they stick
around long enough to be you know the
the civilization that failed was
corrupted the the Romans said the
carthaginians were corrupt you know and
so the winner rewrites the history book
and they just take all the the corrupted
uh property and all the defective
systems are they either destroy them or
melt them down and reform them and the
cycle begins Anew and that's why the
gold it was in the lydian coins probably
made it into Persian coins
Athenian coins Roman coins you know
Venetian coins floor Florentine coins
Spanish coins British coins you know all
through history
we just keep going through this
rise and fall and I think the big idea
here is I can't corrupt
um an aqueduct and I you cannot create a
corrupt airplane you fly a corrupted
airplane like you know Howard Hughes
imposed his will on the Spruce Goose
building a plane too big of materials
not strong enough with a propulsion
system not powerful enough and it flew
for whatever 20 seconds or 30 you know
30 seconds and it didn't fly anymore it
doesn't matter how rich you are or how
egotistical you are or how bad you want
it it just won't fly if you cheat the
laws of physics and in uh in money
well it'll fly and you can do irrational
things if you have raw power for a
period of time
I mean Nero could act like Nero for
about four years and eventually the
economy collapsed and he got murdered
you know and Caligula did the same thing
so in the extreme cases you can be
literally you know crazy
you know nuts and suspend the laws of
everything for anywhere from a number of
months or a number of years but
eventually
the economy collapse at the society
collapses people lose faith in you you
know over the midterm typically 10 to 20
years will do you in
you know Zimbabwe has been getting
driven driven into the ground for about
40 or 50 years I mean you can't do it
for a hundred years without everybody
dying or getting murdered or um or
collapsing the society but but you can
you can certainly uh corrupt a monetary
with uh political meddling you know over
some number of years I guess when you
get a strong enough leader they aren't
they normally crash their money supply
in about 20 years and if you're lucky
you know if you're the world Reserve
currency or the world leader maybe you
lost 100 200 years
before you crash the system
and uh I think the lesson to be learned
there is is
engineering Integrity you know having
physical Integrity linking your system
to the physics of the real world
is the safest thing to do because all
all governments eventually are corrupted
all corporations are corrupted you know
any any system run by mankind will
eventually be corrupted if not in the
first generation and then the second or
the third or the fourth generation and
and it is really inevitable it's it's
almost impossible to avoid because you
know you've got that Meme you know like
hard times make strong men and strong
men make good times and
Good Times make easy or soft men and
soft men make hard times right it's like
it's very difficult if you've been
successful to make sure that your
grandchildren are equally motivated
you know and Genghis Khan learned this
and Alexander the Great learn this and
the Romans learn this eventually
yeah or Lord Acton said right absolute
power crops absolutely and so too much
of anything eventually corrupts you
and uh
Nature has a way of solving the problem
right this you don't see any fat
predators and I look at all the
beautiful birds and I think they're all
beautiful and they're all and they're
all very energetic and chirpy and happy
and they fly why is it that there are no
corrupt fat dumb happy birds and the
answer is because they don't last more
than 48 hours in nature when they get
fat dumb and happy right nature pretty
much will it'll squeeze everything that
is not you know operating at Peak
Performance out of the ecosystem every
every Last Vestige of it is gone so it's
continually cleansing itself
from
irrationality or or sloth
yes
it's interesting that you could almost
say leakage
oh leakage destroys energy networks and
for human systems this corruption is
equivalent to leakage
you know inflation obviously is clearly
a leak of purchasing power clearly
corrupt
and it destroys civilization over time
or eventually because you can't cheat
nature as you're saying so maybe you can
cheat it for some period of time because
it's a socio-political system
but eventually
um the you know proverbial Bill comes
due
and this whole process of leakage or
corruption is really contradictory to
the central tendency of nature
which is energy conservation or you know
to follow the most energy efficient
strategy something we talked a lot about
in the series
you know I that that helps clarify the
importance of Bitcoin
but we've
we've seen this happen time and time
again as you've said right the
compromising of the monetary protocol
through corruption or leakage leading to
the collapse of other protocols
ultimately the political protocols
uh and many other areas of History like
ancient Rome
um are are we seeing that today are we
experiencing that today I mean clearly
the monetary protocol is being
compromised it seems like the world is
is falling apart in a number of ways do
you think we are going through one of
those historic breakdowns today
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yeah I mean I I think that um safety and
did some good research on it and and
before 2020 the U.S was expanding the
money supply by seven percent so we had
seven percent a year leakage annually so
we're basically leaking half the energy
out of the system every 10 years on the
world Reserve currency from since 1971
uh certainly and I think probably since
1914 or so
so that's about as that's about a seven
percent leakage per year but it was
about a fourteen percent leakage per
year in the in the developing world
so you know the money uh energy has a
half-life or money has a half-life of 10
years
and uh strong currencies and has a
half-life of five years and the weak
currencies
and that was the status quo till 2020
and and the way that kind of reflects
itself is in Weak Nations the currency
collapses about every 20 25 years and we
saw a currency collapses uh Financial
collapses in Russia there was one in 96
we saw currency collapses in Argentina
about every 20 25 years so weak
countries in Africa weak countries in
South America weak countries in Asia
they keep losing their currency system
collapses every 20 to 30 years
and then the strong currency it's going
to last about a hundred years or 50
years or so 50 to 100 years
that all got accelerated in March of
2020 when I think the the uh the rate of
monetary inflation in the U.S dollar it
doubled the triple you know it sort of
went somewhere in the range of 20 a year
15 to 20 a year I think we I think we've
spent the money supply 20 each of the
next two years and so a 40 debasement of
the currency in the world Reserve
currency over 24 months but um if we
look at the other
um currencies
and uh what's going on with them I think
it's um
it's kind of even more disturbing if you
look at
currencies against the dollar in the
last 12 months the Japanese yen is down
23 percent the Polish a lot he's down
almost 19 percent South African rand is
down 17 Great British pounds down 16
percent
wands down 15 the Euro's down 15. and uh
even the Chinese currency which they
control is down about eight percent year
over year so what we see is that uh the
strongest currency the dollar is losing
something at this point like 15 or more
of its purchasing power a year like how
do I know that well what the CPI and the
PPI and dollars are clocking about eight
and a half percent right now to nine
percent but CPI and PPI are are
manipulated distorted metrics of of true
monetary inflation because we cherry
pick a subset of products and services
and we choose to measure them in a in a
managed fashion so a reasonable
conclusion is they certainly understate
the extent of monetary inflation
probably by they probably understated by
half you know scarce desirable assets
aren't included uh we know American
single-family homes are up 40 percent in
24 months and yet the inflation would
indicate that they should only be up 12
or something so
so overall the fiat currency system
is uh is bleeding energy at a more rapid
rate at a at a 15 you know percent
monetary inflation rate money has a
half-life of less than five years four
and uh you know money in Gold if you had
a perfect gold standard and gold inflate
to two percent a year money has a
half-life of 35 years
so the best you could get to is a
half-life of 35 years and in a in a free
market economy that's growing at two
percent a year in real terms if you own
a perfect gold standard and money has a
half-life of 35 years you'll get price
stability because the money will lose
two percent of its value a year but the
supply of goods and services will
increase by two percent a year and they
offset each other so that's the uh
that's the uh ideal Golden Age gold
standard with an economy with minimal
meddling now if you have an economy with
tons of public policy if you have
foreign policy medical policy trade
policies energy policies you know work
labor policies education policies
communication policies uh that all
interfere with the free market then of
course the supply of goods and services
is dramatically decreased versus the
theoretical output of a free market
without all those policies and then if
you combine that with a monetary policy
that expands the money supply by 40
percent right you're going to get
extreme inflation in certain areas
the way you um and of course in in areas
what you really got is three tiers I
think in the world you've got uh the U.S
the U.S economy and the U.S currency
which is the strongest it's the world
Reserve currency you've got Europe and
Poland and our allies in Korea and Japan
and they're weaker they're kind of
pegged to us but they're but they're
losing 10 to 20 percent of their value
against our currency and you've got the
the third tier developing World
currencies like the peso and the Turkish
lira and of course they're collapsing at
50 a year or more
and uh what you see is uh of course
chaos in Lebanon you see chaos in Sri
Lanka where the government will
literally collapse or you know in
Lebanon right people like someone
holding hostages in a bank in order to
get their own money back which is sad a
sad meme for the time
well I think all of this is indicative
of the structural problem with Fiat or
political currency and political money
um and it's gotten you know worse right
so however bad it was from 1971 it's
almost like you could you could divide
periods right 1870 to 1914 gold standard
may be reasonably stable not perfect
it was perfect it would have been a
Bitcoin standard in those years and then
the money would have gained two or three
percent value every year instead of just
holding constant but I mean it was uh
the closest approximate the closest
mechanical approximation it's like a
mechanical watch versus a digital watch
the digital watch is always more
accurate but but really good mechanical
watches are pretty good plus or minus a
few seconds so we had a good mechanical
solution
you know in that time period Then I
think we went to the gold Reserve
standard from 18 1914 to you know
Bretton Woods uh you know based upon the
Treaty of Genoa and there the money
started losing more of its uh of its uh
value and we saw crises like the
depression that came out of it and
eventually World War II
and then Brett Woods moved us to a um
more of a gold Reserve standard but with
the U.S as the only counterparty and all
the gold and Fort Knox and I think then
we started inflating the currency
certainly faster right we we had a faux
gold Reserve standard but but I don't
think we observed it
and uh and we were definitely growing
the money supply faster than two percent
a year I think probably I think most
likely
seven percent a year on average and then
you get to you know Nixon abandoning the
gold standard and uh and it just chopped
on at seven percent or more
and uh then we got to 2020 where we kind
of threw out all sorts of rules and we
just doubled
maybe tripled triple the monetary
inflation rate in the U.S and maybe you
know so stomp down on it for about two
years and
I think that now 2022 right we're just
going through this massive
massive uh uh transition where I think
politicians realize that inflating the
money supply by 20 a year in the western
world was not sustainable
I think they figured that out and that's
why interest rates are being taken up
and and we're squeezing back and that's
why you have all these risk assets
trading off and and the like but but
what's the conclusion the conclusion is
we've agreed that we're not going to
inflate the money supply by 21 but we're
probably going to inflate it by 14 a
year there's no way we're going back to
seven percent a year inflation so I
think we probably land where we thought
we would land somewhere in the range of
double
for the next four years or something
like that maybe fourteen percent in in
the US but other currencies are worse
right in Japan they're trying to Peg the
10 years the 25 basis points and that's
why their currency is
collapsing against the dollar
I don't the story is not you know
finished here we'll see how it turns out
but but bottom line is
everybody for the last 30 years knew
that the US dollar was not a store of
value over the long term and they all
kind of went to indexes like the s p
index and we used equities as a store of
value or we use real estate property as
a store of value
I think looking at the next 20 years I
think people realize that in an
environment where the monetary inflation
rate is clocking at 15 percent a year
equities don't look like such a great
store of value anymore because they're
buying on cash flows and so now you
gotta you got to think about what is
your property store of value and you're
going to use real estate and if so where
are you going to put that real estate or
are you going to use something like
Bitcoin as your store of value and uh
the the collapse
you know there's that phrase you know
you can if you're gonna boil a frog you
kind of want to crank up the temperature
slowly I you can it turns out you can
boil people at seven percent a year if
you tell them it's two percent a year
and most people will grit their teeth
and they'll fight through it only the
really sensitive sophisticated ones will
realize that they're being boiled at
seven percent a year instead of two
percent a year I mean I I didn't realize
it Robert you know from 2010 to 2020 it
didn't occur to me that the real
monetary inflation rate was seven
percent I thought you know I I bought
the political line as like two percent
or whatever and I just you know blame
myself you know I said I just got to
work harder what's wrong with me
and then uh but the thing is when you
crank up the inflation rate to 25 or 20
in 12 months it's it's a lot more
difficult to ignore it so at that point
a lot more people get sensitized not
everybody maybe one or two percent were
sensitized from 2010 to 2020.
but
and then maybe we got to five percent
sensitized or ten percent sensitized
from 2020 to 2022 and now we're kind of
on this education mission to sensitize
the rest of the world
with you know with the observation that
you know look Ein Rand said 50 years ago
60 years ago she said my mission is to
separate the economy from the state
right and so the ideal logs understood
it then right the Milton Friedman's of
the world understood it right and and
there are there's a Chicago School of
Economics that campaigned for it and and
Von mises and and Frederick Hayak right
but you know they didn't have a
technology to solve the problem so this
was a a philosophy and your only method
to address this was politics
it was it was a problem that had to be
solved in the political realm if you
could get yourself appointed to be head
of the fed or if you could become
president of the United States
you know then maybe or or be Paul
volcker maybe you could take some some
action which represented sound money
and uh and and
natural thermodynamically sound
engineering principles Maybe
maybe you could but you had to be a
politician it wasn't until Satoshi gave
us Bitcoin that you actually had a
technology that was viral that you could
build into a mobile phone
or you could build into a website that
may might actually help you attack this
or address this issue so I you know I
say Bitcoin is hope I think
I think we always had the problem we had
the problem 10 000 years ago we had the
problem under the lydians that you know
we say oh yeah they got conquered by a
superior people well here's a different
interpretation you know they became
corrupt and they were conquered by uh as
yet uncorrupted people at an earlier
stage in their life cycle before that
people got corrupted so so you've got
the rise and fall of Empires over and
over and over again I think Von
schliemann found like when he found
ancient Troy and he dug it up
he found 19 other ancient Troys
underneath the one that he dug up so
people have been building and tearing
down and building and tearing down and
building and tearing down and building
and tearing down right
thousands and thousands and thousands of
years this is The Human Condition
right we could because we you know it
makes you think well we had to build our
houses of clay and it was inevitable
that they would get knocked down by a
storm and we had to keep rebuilding how
many times do you have to rebuild a
house made of wood in the past ten
thousand years on the same spot
right a lot
the problem is not the human
uh the human aspiration humans
have always wanted to build a beautiful
house on a hill the problem is you build
the house on a hill with wood and it
rots and after 50 or 100 years it gets
knocked down or blown down you got to do
it again and you got to do it again you
got to do it again so the lack of a
material with Integrity
that allows you to achieve that ideal
has been the human tragedy
after Bitcoin we now have a material now
if you combine the ideology with the
material and you build it into a
business uh or build it into a political
you can build it into a currency you can
build it into a company you can build it
into a product or service you can build
it into a family you can build it into a
security right you can build it into
something and you can you can then take
advantage of the superior structure
Integrity of Bitcoin in order to achieve
something which is
how much better if Gold's got a
half-life of 35 years and a fiat
currency run well
has got a half-life of 10 years and a
Fiat currents who run poorly's got a
half-life of five years
well bitcoin's got a half-life of
forever
right it's not not a hundred not two
thousand not a thousand ten thousand a
hundred thousand years so what if I told
you
build a house with wood it'll last 35
and then I said oh oh by the way here's
this new new uh material that'll last A
Thousand Years build a house with that
the entire society would presumably be a
lot richer because you wouldn't have to
keep rebuilding the city every 100 years
or every 50 years right maintenance cost
deteriorates
Right Stuff doesn't break and then you
can redirect the access to human
flourishing and progress
beautifully said um you know this whole
perspective that you've given the world
on money as energy really shows how
closely I think we mirror our systems
um so we could maybe perhaps modify Lord
Acton's phrase to say that corrupt money
corrupts absolutely and you know the
faster the leakage the corruption or the
inflation takes hold the faster the
system will fail right this is
it's one thing that we've seen just
repeatedly and um and I guess the
opposite of leakage or corruption for a
monetary protocol would be
standardization right like a standard
that
that binds everyone
universally is almost by definition an
Incorruptible standard
um you know a universal restriction
something like thermodynamics or gravity
you know rules that we all have to play
Within
and we talked about this a little bit in
the series that there are major
darwinian or competitive advantages
that a society can unlock through
standardization of protocols
and you know focusing on money gold gave
us a proxy for a standardized protocol
as you said you know about two percent
per year but still that was obviously
far from ideal and
gold standard never really worked either
because it was always it always ended up
becoming corrupted by the political
apparatus built on top of it
so how do you view
the potential benefits of a global
standardization
onto an Incorruptible money like Bitcoin
like what type of gains do you expect
Humanity to unlock uh as a result of
this transition
well I mean I think that uh there's just
a a multi-trillion dollar or a year
bleed or you know something like
trillions or 10 trillion dollars of
inefficiency in the economy every year
because uh the monetary system is broken
the unit account is broken
and uh so what do I expect I I expect
economic output would double right it's
um if if you if you've ever run a
company
um what you realize is the challenge in
a company is to build systems that
emulate gravity like the the beauty of
gravity is there eight billion people on
the planet and and up is up for
everybody and down is down and if the
person actually drops something the
thing that they drop immediately goes
down driven by the force of gravity the
gravitational constants are all the same
they're they're not political there's no
appeal no lawyers get into it it doesn't
take six months to determine which way
the thing that you drop should fall it
doesn't take a hundred lawyers to
determine whether it should stop falling
right because gravity is universal and
you know there is a universal constant I
can then uh build a house and build an
elevator and build a car and you know I
can be a gymnast and there's right and
wrong and I can be punished and you know
stuff happens and you don't have to send
a memo to eight billion people to tell
them how to walk across a room or how to
jump up and down or how to play
basketball or tell the ball how to
bounce it just works
and companies you don't have that
situation so you oftentimes when your
CEO you're scratching your head saying
how do I encourage all 2 000 people to
do the right thing if a customer calls
and they're unhappy how do I encourage 2
000 people to do the right thing without
you know asking their bosses bosses
bosses boss what to do
you know um how do I make sure that
um nature that the naturally healthy
phenomena occurs water runs downhill you
don't got to tell water which way to go
right um and so in companies you spend a
lot of time Building Systems standard
systems to tell people how to behave and
you hope to build it into the The Reflex
DNA of the of the company so that it's
healthy but it's really difficult and I
think in Civilization it's the same
thing or a nation or a city how do you
actually build an economy so that
everyone does the right thing for
everybody else rationally naturally
without being told
and uh and this the standard protocol if
it's decentralized
gravity is the decentralized protocol so
is friction but you know uh language and
math kind of are in a way right I mean
there's a certain math and it works you
know anybody can add up two plus two and
equal four and if you say two plus two
equals five and you try to tell that to
your brother and you cheat your brother
he punches you in the face and you learn
that maybe two plus two doesn't equal
five you know and if you cheat in a
business deal by bending math you know
you get punished and if you try to cheat
Nature by pretending that you've
actually got you know four pulleys up
there and there's really only three you
know and the system doesn't work then
you kind of get feedback
so we have these systems physics math
language like the English language is
good I can tell you well Robert I really
like you
and uh you know the words mean something
to you and they mean something to me but
if I actually decided unilaterally to
say Robert I really hate you but I
redefined the word hate to be the word
like but I was the only guy that did it
you would look at me strange and not
want to interact with me because you
still think like means like and you
think hate means the opposite of light
so I don't get to redefine the English
protocol even if I wish I could you know
even you know it's like the emperor has
no clothes being rich or powerful
doesn't mean that you can
re-uh rewrite your own language uh you
will delaminate from the civilization
so
so money you know the key to money is
you want a standard protocol and and if
you have a defective one like like you
think anything's getting done in
Zimbabwe right now right when when you
know when you've got a currency that's
collapsing in the Weimar Republic right
uh in that case people are so worried
about what happens next week that they
don't have time to think a year in
advance much less a decade in advance
or 100 years in advance
so uh so a standard system that is
incorruptible
that is uh diffuse everywhere is is
reasonably speaking I don't see how you
come to conclusion that the economy
doesn't run at 50 efficiency with the
current monetary system or less like
we're certainly running in second gear
not fourth gear and you can make
arguments that uh the economy runs at 10
efficiency
again coming back to my my point like if
I actually denied you the ability to use
steel and glass in New York City
like could you build it like what did it
looked like
if you go back and you look at um you
look at all the islands in the
Mediterranean you know the island has 50
000 people on it today but in ancient
times it had five thousand people
because that's how much water falls on
the island
so what happens if I take away your
sophisticated Energy System oh well 90
of people die is there any way around it
no no way around it at all right so I
think the energy system is critical
I guess the other organic metaphor is um
you know is uh blood and bleeding for an
athlete
and uh what we know is if you want to be
a top performing athlete and you want to
run win your triathlons your Iron Mans
or whatever it might be or just run top
performance you can't afford to be
bleeding yourself
it takes a month to recover from giving
a pint of blood
so maybe you can give a little bit of
blood once every few months but that's
about the most you can do if I bleed you
every week your athletic performance is
deteriorate is deteriorated uh all the
time if I bleed you every day I'll
probably kill you
right if I boot you fast enough so
what's what's the what's the cost of
losing 20 of your energy a year and how
does that compound
and at what point does it cost system
collapse
right it's like Elementary triage right
uh the most famous phrase and Medicine
stop the bleeding well so you know first
make sure you're breathing
then stop the bleeding
and then deal with the problem
and money
monetary inflation is bleeding and the
society is bleeding it's always been
bleeding
you know always and uh it's bled worse
or better at different times but I I
would say right now we're in a pretty uh
pretty difficult situation where it's
not reasonable to think
that the economy is going to advance in
fact
in fact the bigger idea here is is the
way we measure inflation is defective
CPI is non-inflation because it is a
distorted metric but the way we measure
economic output is also distorted like
the GDP the nominal size of the economy
is distorted if I cut the number of
airline flights in half but I double the
price of a ticket or I increase the
price of a ticket by 110 percent I can
represent to you that the airline
industry is 10 percent larger measured
in dollars
but of course it's half as large
measured in actual flights or or
passenger miles
and so
the real economy has been in recession
compression it's probably shrunk 10 20 a
year
for the past two years but we tell
ourselves that the economy is slightly
growing
you know in all those years where we
grew the money supply seven percent and
the economy grew three percent what was
really happening here think about it
hard the real economy is not growing and
portions yeah the the availability of
goods and services and the and the
delivery time and the convenience of
those Services is deteriorating even
though we can construct a nominal metric
to tell ourselves that the economy is
so so that's the long-winded answered
the question the summary is the economy
has crippled because the money is
defective
you know when when Bitcoin is 10x bigger
or 100x bigger than it is now
80 of the economy will be crippled with
80 defective money so we're going to
have a crippled worldwide economy for a
long time and if you're wondering you
know where the signs that are well just
look at across
the entire world look at what's going on
in Sri Lanka look at the problem in
China
when they blow up to 30 you know the 30
apartment buildings that are empty look
at the problems we have in South America
look at the slums
look at the urban blight look at the
crime
right we have it all around us and these
are all just signs of of corrupt
defective energy systems that just don't
work
thrillingly said uh Mike I want to be
respectful of your time do you have time
for one more question yeah sure let's do
one more okay so what I'm hearing you
saying is you know Bitcoin in many ways
is like the first true Level Playing
Field we've ever really had I mean
besides something like gravity
thermodynamics Etc the first man-made
Level Playing Field let's say
meaning that you know it's rules that
bind us universally they cannot be
corrupted they cannot be broken
um maybe English is a close proxy for
this like an open that's what I'm
thinking right I mean everybody can
learn English and yeah you use the words
I love you anywhere in the world they
mean the same thing and maybe the system
slightly evolves or corrupts over time
but it's it's a decentralized Evolution
that's fair and Equitable to everybody
and uh and just on the periphery we
sometimes we invent new words and we
fight over whether we like the words or
not right yes yes and yeah so it works
right and even though it undergoes
attacks you know certain politicians and
whatnot maybe maybe try to attack
language and change meanings at times
Arabic math is better right like the
meaning of the word one two three four
five six seven eight nine and ten yeah
right and that's been pretty stable and
decentralized for a thousand years or
something
yeah unless you're a post-modernist and
two plus two does not equal four
um but Bitcoin is seems to be a language
of value that's entirely Beyond
corruption
because you just can't argue with
whatever's on that ledger just is right
you own it it happened so
yeah very important way to look at it
there and not so the question I'm asking
here is you know you concluded our
original Nine episodes together
uh we're focusing the discussion on the
intervention of human beings into
Dynamic systems like the national
economy
and you concluded that
uh it was episode nine by saying that
we've been trying to turn nature into a
zoo
and it was kind of a haunting ending in
a way and
um it certainly seems like the
construction of that Zoo has
started to accelerate recently
how do we free ourselves from this how
do we present prevent ourselves from
uh becoming zoo animals if if you want
to use that analogy
um how can we free ourselves to our
higher Humanity
going into this future I think there are
a lot of lessons
of Sciences in
you know like I I have a living
Shoreline that i gaze at sometimes
and a living Shoreline is um is where
you'll actually create
you'll create a rabbit mint to keep
um keep the the waves or the water from
washing away or eroding the shore but
you have to have breaks in the Revenge
um where that where the tidal water can
get in and out in order to cleanse the
shoreline and avoid a buildup of
stagnant water and bacteria that that
kills everything so you have to have
continual circulation and you have to be
in relationship with nature we have this
phrase you know it's not natural
right yeah and and uh or it it is
natural kind of means it's a good thing
it's unnatural means it's not
necessarily a good thing I think that um
Zoo creatures will live longer in
captivity uh but they end up becoming
fat and blind and Toothless and they
can't fend for themselves they have to
be fed
and over time if you start to conclude
that the healthy lion is the fat
toothless lion that has to be fed
through a feeding tube then you have a
pretty distorted view of virtue right
and um so so studying the lions in the
zoo is probably not a good idea and uh
if you decide to domesticate yourself
then the question becomes who's your
zookeeper and when will they Tire of you
and stop feeding you through the tube
and stop protecting you and as soon as
they stop you're gonna die
so the the problem with all these
systems all the monetary systems is we
attempt to create these artificial
systems
you know like the proof of stake systems
you're trying to create a system and
software and you're just trusting some
software Engineers to make it uh to make
it honest and virtuous and as soon as
one of them has a good idea and they
keep having good ideas they keep loading
on ID after idea after idea and you you
end up with this sharp duck that lives
in the tree's idea that makes no sense
but because you've got an all-powerful
being in you know in the ecosystem that
gets to just go ahead and put 187 foot
nose and 37 antlers on the shark duck
and you can't stop it you know there's
no feedback to point out that you know
having 137 antlers on a shark duck makes
it impossible to swim right or fly
so the way that you keep from creating
those monstrosities
is you subject yourself to Natural rigor
on a on a consistent basis
right and and Bitcoin it subjects itself
to Natural rigor because you have to
generate Shaw 256 hashes
and you have to generate them
consistently with energy
and you start breaking the rules you
can't generate the hashes you know or if
you fall behind and you have old
Antiquated equipment you can't afford to
compete with the new
modern equipment so there's a
never-ending uh replacement of the old
generation with the new generation and
the lazy and competent is squeezed off
the network
by
um by the the younger more aggressive
right and um someone that uh that loses
their money because they lose their keys
they don't just get it back by appealing
to Authority they lose it and it's a
contribution of their energy to
everybody else in the ecosystem
so Bitcoin isn't is naturally engineered
to be organically healthy and the same
way that you know a creature in nature
can't help but be healthy it's a you
can't regulate your body temperature at
37 degrees Fahrenheit for long before
you simply just die right it's like it
doesn't matter how much you wish you
could you just can't right and and
that's that is the brutal discipline of
Nature and the result is you have this
feedback and then you have a constant
darwinian Evolution uh to the virtuous
and that's how life continues
so I think the recipe for virtue in a
monetary system is you have to plug it
into nature right gold was plugged into
nature in a roundabout way not perfect
because you could sort of sack a city
and inflate the supply of gold or you
know or you could find more gold and you
can lie about the quality of the gold
and you could centralize the gold and
seize it right so not perfect but but
there was some thermodynamic
relationship uh to Nature and matter and
energy and I think Bitcoin achieves that
thermodynamic relationship via proof of
work mining
and that's what makes it healthy the
fact that it's it's it's an open
protocol that's decentralized
you know makes it makes it uh
uncorruptable you know
much much much
harder to corrupt than something that
does naturally centralize
so I I do think it is like uh it is like
Arabic math it is like a standard
English language it is like certain
other protocols like tcpip and the like
it's a base level protocol to build a
you know and and uh and and it is uh a
wonderful achievement
and just like just like we can't really
expect to advance without mastering the
flow of water or mechanics uh you know
or or fire or electricity
we can't really expect to drive forward
the socio-economic political systems
of humanity without mastering money or
monetary engineering
so I think one day one day we'll see a
subject called monetary engineering that
will be taught in engineering schools
you know all around the world
and we'll know that we've succeeded
when you have a choice of studying
electrical engineering or nuclear
engineering or Aeronautical Engineering
or monetary engineering and uh and when
we put monetary engineers
you know in charge
of our systems instead of um instead of
just putting lawyers and politicians in
charge of these things
wonderfully said
um yeah constant continuous feedback
learning honest work seems to be the
path to individual and Collective
success in this world
Michael thank you for your time your
eloquence your skin in the game
um again sailor Series starts at episode
one what does money show this is on
YouTube
and what is moneypodcast.com and the
Sailor series book is now available
paperback hardback and Kindle versions
on Amazon
Michael thank you again
yeah thanks for doing this with me
Robert I really enjoyed it I hope uh I
hope people get some value from this and
and uh find ways that they can use it to
uh inspire people around them or or
improve their own lives
and uh I look forward to any comments
and feedback and until then onward and
upward
onward and upward thank you so much