Bitcoin is Forever Money with Michael Saylor
Peter McCormack · 2024-05-25 · 2h 30m · View on YouTube →
happy Thursday uh thank you for a lovely
pizza yesterday on Pizza day uh and
having us here that was two pizzas two
pizzas and a cheesecake I think that's
the best cheese cheesecake and a steak
and a steak a
whole it was a I I don't think anyone
finished it
um but uh it's always good to see you I
think when did we last sit down was it
in
Miami last year who it's been while it's
what happened yeah yeah the world has
changed a couple of times yeah a couple
of times
um you kind of have this pre- Bitcoin
life and post Bitcoin life where your
world must have changed quite a bit yeah
yeah definitely did um I would say uh
you I started a company in 1989 I came
public in
1998 there there was the stage from 98
to 2008
and it was all um business
intelligence and um then around 2008 I
felt like I conquered the business
intelligence World I'd been successful
and i' proven everything I need to prove
and so I wanted to go create value by
inventing new stuff and so I launched a
bunch of businesses I had you know I had
alarm.com and angel.com and usher.com
and wisdom and alert.com and I think
probably 10 different things and you
know I I'd hit like a single like a you
know with alarm but I end up spinning it
off it's a public company today but
there's no way that micro strategy could
commercialize that and then with Angel
we sold it for a lot of money but we
couldn't commercialize oursel that was
like an early competitor to Sur and
interactive voice response and then we
had a bunch of whiffs where I'd launch a
business it just didn't work and it
crashed and burn and um and over time I
think I just I came to realize that it's
very hard to be to if you if you manage
to do one thing in life and you're lucky
enough to have one thing that's
successful you know you should declare
yourself fortunate and then when you
start to do maybe you can do a second
thing but the second thing is really
hard and then when you start thinking
you can do a third thing a fourth thing
a fifth thing a sixth thing and you're
like the portfolio Guru and you launch
10 or 10 things at the same time you
start dropping balls and so when I got
to um I think sometime in the 2012 2014
time frame I realized I was going to
have to refocus you know and put the
laser eyes back on and go back to just
focusing on micro strategies business
intelligence business and I focused on
that from you know 2014 all the way to
2020 and we tried everything we could to
grow that business 20% a year you know
everybody in a tech business you know
the definition of success is are you
growing 10 to 20% a year and if you are
then you're good and if you're growing
faster than 20% You're great and if
you're growing 0% you're just deemed a
failure you know which like if you grow
your family 0% you're not a failure like
I have three kids imagine if you had to
go from three kids to six kids to 12
kids to 24 kids to 48 kids to 96 kids to
192 kids so you know like every mother
would fail but but in fact in business
the expectation is you have to double
double double double double failing so I
found it very frustrating you know I
tried spending massive amounts of money
on marketing massive amounts of money
buying the stock back masses amounts of
effort doing other things and by 2020 I
think we realized that we we weren't you
know success was continuing to generate
cash be profitable but we weren't going
to double double double double double
and um and then Along Came the pandemic
the lockdowns covid zero interest rates
and uh the world turned upside down for
a lot of people and and I would say the
next phase of my life started somewhere
in the March 2020 time frame and uh and
it forced me to rethink a lot of my
ideas I I was avidly against remote work
I would have fired you if you wanted to
work remotely in February 2020 and in
March of 2020 I was dragged Kicking and
Screaming into remote world work and all
of a sudden I I discover zoom and then I
discover I discover YouTube and I
discover you know all sorts of ideas for
doing business remotely that I would
have rejected
reflexively just because I didn't you
know it's like I was set in a certain
way I was going to do everything a
certain way and something snapped me out
of that and um and in the world of
Finance uh when uh the markets crashed
and they rebounded and you know I saw
this delamination of Main Street from
Wall Street every Main Street company
suffered struggled you know was
discriminated against was shut down
failed you know almost like a death
sentence for yoga studio or gyms and not
only were they were they harassed shut
down but people were like sent to jail
because they wanted to show up to the
office right and then all the Wall
Street businesses they all doubled in
value in 12 weeks while the world was
shut down and everybody on the Wall
Street side of the equasion had the best
year of their life in 2020 and it kind
of yeah it kind of really shocked me
broke my mind I'm like how is it
possible that this part of the society
is is having the worst year of their
life and this set of of societies having
the best year of their life and then you
have the Schism where one group of
people people are getting rich and not
working hard and they don't see what the
problem is and another group of people
are being decimated you know destroyed
physically mentally emotionally
economically and there seems to be a
disconnect and uh it was in that
environment that I just realized that
there was a part of my business which
was Main Street the $500 million
software company and working very hard
and as part of my business which was
Wall Street being a publicly traded
company with 5600 million of cash that
earned 0% interest and I thought well if
we're going to be successful going
forward I'm going to have to embrace the
Wall Street side of the business and
rethink that it's obvious that if you're
in if you're T bills are generating 0%
interest then you're not going to double
your money invested in t- bills so we
went on the search to find something to
invest in and that search brought us to
bitcoin and uh and then Bitcoin force
made a think you know at first it made
me rethink treasury strategy the
convention of there must be 43,000
publicly traded companies the
conventional Finance view is your
treasury should be invested in t- bills
sovereign debt cash or credit C and and
that and that leads to the conventional
view you should uh isue any investment
that creates volatility never invest in
anything that might go down right you
want to you want to have that money for
a rainy day and you should probably run
your your p&l so you asso volatility
volatility is a dirty word so what's the
perfect example like Microsoft sells
three-year contract so three years in
advance they know exactly what the price
is going to be for their customers and
if you ask the CFO how much revenue will
you generate in the fourth quarter of
next year they know plus or minus 1% so
all they got to do is just tweak the
cost and they will hit their numbers
every quarter because the p&l isn't
volatile it's very transparent very
predictable and so on the balance sheet
I give you a100 billion doll what do you
do with it well you don't go and and buy
Nvidia stock you don't buy Tesla stock
you don't bet it on anything you you buy
you know short you don't even buy
long-term treasury bills you wouldn't
buy 30 year bonds you would buy put it
in the money market generating whatever
if you're lucky at that point it was 3%
but today it's 5 a half% and you take no
interest rate risk and you take no
Market risk so now what if you construct
you've constructed like the ultimate
predictable company with no
uncertainty so if you're an investor you
know you make one decision a year do I
invest or not and then you you know you
might do a quick check quarterly but any
volatility is probably negative it's
either oh they outperformed that you
know that doesn't happen that often or
they screwed something up well that was
conventional wisdom 43,000 companies did
it and everybody with cash would
basically Buy t- bills shortterm and
since t- bills shortterm yield 3% after
tax and the cost of capital is
12% then that means you're losing 9% or
10% of shareholder value every year that
you hold t- bills and since people get
that the conventional view is buy your
stock back the the cost of capital so
people
understand yeah is that that's is that
the the gap between inflation and really
if you could get to it a number of ways
one way to get to it is actually look at
the expansion of the money supply you
know and if and and the money supply
expanded maybe s or 8% over 100
years and you could look at that and
then you could tack on a risk premium I
need to get that plus a risk premium the
money suppli has been if that was the
case the risk premium is normally four
5% so you go 7% plus 5% gets you to 12%
cost of capital but the cost of capital
is the cost of holding that capital and
doing nothing with it yeah another way
to look at it is the S&P index might
generate a 10 to 12% return and so if I
have a billion dollars my option as an
investor is just put it in the S&P index
and get the 12% Diversified kind of
quote unquote risk-free Equity return so
if the company is going to keep the
money and they're going to invest it in
a t- bill that generates 3% after tax
they should just give it to me and even
if I'm brainless I just put it in the
S&P index and generate 12% % tax
deferred so that that's the disconnect
right you're destroying shareholder
wealth if you're generating a a tax
deferred yield of less than 12% but this
that guaranteed almost guaranteed 12% on
the S&P feels a little bit scammy
itself um how how can you guarantee that
like the 3% is guaranteed yeah the three
well the 3% is guaranteed that is true
but over a hundred years the S&P has
yielded
78 9% on average but but you would have
down years right true or do you not have
down years but the decision or the
opinion is in the eye of the beholder or
the truth is in the eye of the beholder
and the beholder is the investor yeah so
the outside public if if you go and you
survey a hundred institutional investors
that invest in equity and you ask them
what is their Benchmark The Benchmark is
the S&P Index right like if the investor
is returning less than the S&P index all
their Capital would be called away from
them when you when uh an Institutional
Investor goes to the Yale pension fund
or the Harvard endowment and they say
hey I got 3% guaranteed in my T bills
Yale and Harvard would say you're an
idiot we could get 3% in t- bills we pay
you to pick companies that can
outperform the t- bill return and so if
the in if a hedge fund manager or an
investor goes to his limited partners
and says we're generating the S&P
return then the limited partner would
would say well that's interesting but
you're charging me 2% management fee and
20% participation fee and all you did
was the S&P index I can do that myself
there you go so at the end of the day I
have a billion dollars I can either put
it in the S&P index and get that and pay
a fee of nine BAS points to State Street
or I can put it into the T Bill take
zero risk get 3% after tax and pay no
fee or I can give it to you Mr you know
professional investor so the
professional investor says I'm going to
do better I'm gonna I'm going to pick
the 10 winners and my proof is I got 18%
return the S&P got 12% return but I kept
2% management fee so that's said I 18 is
16 and then I kept 20% of my return you
know and by the way some of them don't
do that some of them are just mutual
funds and they just take a 1% fee but at
the end of the day the the investor or
The Limited partner investor you know
the big boss at the at the back of the
line says what's my effective return
versus the S&P index and if you can do
better than that I'm going to give you
as much Capital as you want and if you
underperform that I'm going to take away
Capital so The Benchmark in the in the
modern era since you know 1993 was spy
was launched so Benchmark in the last 30
years is probably the S&P index that is
the effective cost of capital right The
Limited partner puts that burden on the
general partner running the investment
fund the general partner puts that
burden on the CEO and the CFO the
management team that run apple and Tesla
and Microsoft if you can't generate that
return or better for me my view is give
me the capital back so that means The
Limited partner takes the money away
from the Bridgewaters or the hedge funds
of the world and then the general
partner takes the money away from the
corporations and that just kind of
ripples down but if there's increasing
profits increasing companies putting
their money into the S&P as a as a way
to almost guarantee their
returns are those investments in those
companies uh reflective of their
performance or or they reflective of a
safe haven and a because it's almost
like a guaranteed it's like a
self-fulfilling prophecy yeah now now
you're getting to like rational Market
Theory it's um if you have active
investors they pick the winners and out
of them S&P 500 there's like seven
winners The Magnificent Seven and
there's 493 losers or or Treading Water
right so if the active investors pick
the winners they overinvestment
than the losers if everybody just uh
invested in the index there would be no
picking of winners or losers that's
almost just like a Socialist Communist
idea and that would be an example of the
investment Community stopping to stop
thinking right index investors they
don't think they just buy you know x% of
500 companies and so the truth is the
index strategy only works if you have
actor actors who are activists in the
market that don't index but does the
index itself naturally lead to companies
being
overvalued some yeah some companies will
be overvalued some companies may be
undervalued right so so it is it's uh an
example of an imperfection in the
marketplace that creates opportunity if
if everybody else chooses to index and
you're the one person that that doesn't
then it's like you're saying the emperor
has no coach you guys are all invested
in Kodak and Xerox and you're not
invested in Amazon and apple that's how
the big Tech investors could outperform
the overall market and again if I step
back and I'm I'm looking at you as the
activist investor the way that I know
you're thinking properly is you're
outperforming the index if you're
underperforming the index you're
thinking
poorly and if you're outperforming index
you're thinking properly but let's come
back to 2020 you came back to bitcoin
anyway um so in 2020 uh we had uh half
of our Enterprise was in cash and it was
generating 0% yield and it was very
clear that if if we wanted to actually
um have the uh the success of Wall
Street firms we needed to have an asset
and the asset needed to generate more
than the cost of capital so the search
is to and the cost of capital jumped
because of an Environ
where you print 40% more money all of
your assets have to go up and price 40%
for you to keep parity right and so what
did well big Tech stock surged uh real
estate surged um you know so so those
things do surge cash doesn't surge
owning a bunch of dollars dollars
weren't worth 40% more three years later
than they were in 2020 so we went on
this search and we and you know
considered art and real estate and
buying the index and buying big tech
companies and there are regulatory uh
considerations that keep you from just
buying Securities you can't have more
than 40% of your liquid uh Assets in
Securities if you're a publicly traded
company generally and so you can't just
buy $500 million of spy but and even if
you did There's then practical
consideration which is if you told all
your investors we just took all this
money and invested in the Spy their
response would be well there's nothing
special about that that's the most
conventional strategy you could pursue a
12-year-old could do the same give us
the capital back so we discovered uh the
idea of gold and then we thought about
it we decided the digital gold would be
better than gold if we could get all the
benefits of a non-sovereign store of
value Bearer instrument that's a hard
money and if we could combine it with
all the benefits of Apple Google
Facebook Amazon a big Tech Global
dominant Network putting the idea of
Technology investing with the idea of of
hard money investing together in the
year 2024 it struck us as being a
reasonable strategy and at the time it
was really the only reasonable strategy
we we either going to give the money
back to the shareholders and that's a
fast
death give the money back decapit lies
have no assets right once you lose your
financial Capital you're going to lose
your human capital because if you have
no money on the balance sheet and if
your business has no volatility the
options have no value stock options have
no value you can't afford you can't
overpay the employees you don't have the
cash and so you're probably going to
lose the employees and then three to six
years later the product's not going to
be competitive so the fast death wasn't
all that appealing if you're going to do
that you might as well would just sell
the company the slow death is sit on 600
million in cash which you know we could
we could run at an operating loss for 20
years with that much cash but you're
just waiting to die right it's like
you're not going to beat Microsoft and
Amazon and Facebook and Google that's
like H holding up in your Citadel while
the Army's outside they're just going to
starve you to death and okay I've got
7even years of food in my Citadel but
while I'm sitting here and for seven
years they're going to burn all my field
you know Dam my water supply and take
over the rest of the world and when I
come out in seven years people have
forgotten me so that's no good so the
last thing is you go you ride out of the
Citadel you take a risk you know pick
sides join the
fry uh you know take a decision and at
the time you know the the obvious uh
Team to join was team Bitcoin the
obvious movement was the crypto movement
and and there was a lot of risk but but
the alternative was just either a slow
or fast death you keep saying we but it
was really you and you brought it to
your team right um well I I'm the
Catalyst but the difference between uh
an individual investor and a public
company is an individual investor can
can think about it maybe discuss it with
a family member two and make the
decision a private company thinks about
it talks to one major investor three
people in the private company and makes
a decision and tells nobody a public
company you would have to you would have
to persuade your entire uh management
team the CFO The General Counsel the CEO
the head of Technology maybe then you
have to get the consensus of the
directors so the management the the the
directors and the officers have to come
aligned then you have to get consensus
from the outside auditor from the
outside Council and after you consider
those two you have to get consensus of
the outside public company investors and
the problem with the investors is at
9:30 in the morning the investor base
turns over it changes and by 400 p.m. in
the afternoon you have different
investors so you have to think really
hard about how you communicate Telegraph
and build consensus with the
investors and so so public companies are
interesting creatures because on one
hand it's like a 19 legged race you know
fought you know or something it's it's a
very intricate uh dance to build Harmony
across many constituencies that have
asymmetric information and they also
have asymmetric priorities right the
general Council doesn't want you to get
sued right the directors of a fiduciary
obligation the out you know there's a
set of investors that think one thing
another set of investors that think of
different things so you've got to
balance all those constituencies and
that's the negative or the challenge but
the positive is when a public company
does something it does it big right in
size so when we finally did something it
was a $250 million acquisition of
Bitcoin and and for me I was like I
wanted to do 500 million but 250 million
was the compromise and we agreed to buy
back 250 million of our stock at the
same time kind of as insurance to to to
give all of the the the the um
shareholders that were concerned about
the strategy give them an exit at a
profit so that was our move but in
retrospect of course 250 million was
like the largest public purchase of
Bitcoin that anybody in the world had
ever admitted to or the world had ever
seen I don't there there may have been
larger uh public Investments or larger
Investments but we don't know about them
and they're not credible about 12 of
them from
you yeah and then once we did that then
we then we were able to do the next one
the next one the next one so public
companies are very powerful Vehicles if
you can align all of your interest you
know just like countries are powerful
you know getting a country to get behind
Bitcoin would would be a very powerful
idea it's just you have a lot of
constituencies and so the exercise
becomes one in in uh
diplomacy politics and consideration are
you surprise more companies haven't done
it or done it to the scale you have
because you you've put the playbook out
there you've told everyone you run your
conference I don't on a very small scale
of my little businesses but and and it's
worked amazingly for every single
business I've had I've done my small
version of what micro strategy does
which is buy as much Bitcoin as I can
and it def it's protected and grow each
business but are you surprised that are
more large public companies have gone
wow we should have done that we should
be doing that um I'm not surprised and
I'm not disappointed with what we've
achieved in four years I mean we did I I
think there has been a sentiment shift
throughout the Bitcoin Community to to
look uh further in the future you know I
think there has been a positive
sentiment shift in media you know on on
in the financial you know television
networks it used to be people lamented
nobody talked about Bitcoin or they
talked it to scam me and I think I think
we legitimized Bitcoin as an asset class
with CNBC and Bloomberg and fox
I think um I think a lot of private
companies you know uh got very heavily
involved I get I get letters from from
people that are private investors and
also everywhere I go I meet somebody
that says oh I watch one of your videos
and I you know I finally got Bitcoin I
started buying heavily so a lot of
private investors a lot of families a
lot of private
companies and you know like my first
podcast with pum you know he always said
this question at the end of the day he'd
ask a question goes do and I watched his
previous podcast and I noticed he always
says so do you have a question for me
and I looked at that and I thought yeah
I'm gonna have a question for him so in
my first podcast with pump you know what
my first question was like my first
podcast my first question and pomp was
the most influential podcaster in the
Bitcoin space I said but that is
debatable at the time still debatable
okay I
thought no you m you me you messaged me
and I was like was this guy and I
ignored it and then you went on pumps I
was like
[ __ ] yeah I mean I messaged a lot of
people the day we bought $250 million of
Bitcoin and like half of the ogs ignored
me yeah but um I'm on Pal's podcast he
says you have a question for me and I
said yeah yeah I noticed Jack dorsy
likes Bitcoin he he tweets about it he
seems to really appreciate the value of
it he runs a publicly traded company
Square do you want to join force with me
and let's go ask Jack if he'll buy some
Bitcoin and p goes that's that's kind of
interesting and then a few weeks go by
maybe a month go by and square announced
that they bought Bitcoin yep I remember
and and that was a game Cher you know I
thought you know at the point they did
that you know I I
thought we're good now we're gonna win
like that was the that was the point at
which I thought we're going to win two
public companies took a position you
know and then when Elon came along long
and Tesla bought Bitcoin that was three
public companies and perception of
Bitcoin and mainstream media I mean it
it it's cross the front page of Wall
Street Journal New York Times Etc so I
think we accomplished a lot in those
four years but it doesn't surprise me
that you don't see a hundred or a
thousand publicly traded companies
adopting Bitcoin as a primary treasury
Reserve asset in those four years
because I think the modern era the
institutional era Bitcoin adoption
starts January
2024 right and and I think uh what
changed in January 2024 was the SEC
approved 11 10 to 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs
and that started an avalanche and I
think today there's like 24 there's 22
last week and there were two added in
London or getting added so we went from
a perception that this was not an
endorsed or legitimate asset class at
the at the regulatory level and someone
could have said I think the SEC is going
to ban it or they're going to deem it a
security or something and and the world
Changed by the middle of January and now
it was clear that it wasn't going to be
banned and then at the same time in
January um the accounting uh the
accounting profession offered fair value
accounting they they changed the
accounting guidelines and they made it
optional starting in January and
mandatory next January so in a regime
where it is uncertain whether the
administration will deem Bitcoin a
commodity or security and they haven't
they haven't definitively spoken and in
a world where the accounting profession
requires that you adopt indefinite and
tangible accounting indefinite and
tangible accounting is the most uh toxic
prejudicial discriminatory accounting
treatment you can have if I didn't want
you to buy something or invest in
something I would give it indefinite and
tangible accounting because that means
you can only write it down you can never
write it up and so you could have $15
billion doar or $150 billion do of
something and it could be held on your
balance sheet at 100 bucks and and not
only can you not ever acknowledge it uh
all of your losses under indefinite and
tangible they actually uh infect the p&l
so if if a if a normal company bought a
billion dollars of Bitcoin and it traded
down 30% and then traded up
150% they would be showing a $300
million operating
loss even though you know well the same
the same happen with my business I did
one advertising deal it was all paid in
Bitcoin uh it was a multi-year deal uh
seven figures and I took the deal
because it was paid in Bitcoin it was
under the value I normally do uh un
normally accept uh the price and the
price of Bitcoin was 42,000 at the time
um by the time we uh my year end Bitcoin
had dropped to below
20,000 and uh I had to pay taxation
based on the value of the Bitcoin at the
time I received it and it was a big hit
I managed to survive it but I nearly had
to you there was a Potential Threat of
selling some Bitcoin to pay the taxes at
that time it was a real threat to the
business we survived it and now we've
not sold any of that Bitcoin but it was
concerning if you look at the 42,000
publicly traded
companies and you went to a CFO in 2023
or 2022 and you said I think I want to
buy Bitcoin they would have said well
the accounting is a real problem the
accounting is going to let me tell you
how much of a problem it is it's going
to obscure all of your p&l and all of
your balance sheet such that your EPS
doesn't it doesn't uh have any useful
information anymore and it means that
any investor is going to have to
reconstruct their own view of your
business so it it takes uh it takes
financial reporting from something where
I can look at a glance and 30 seconds
and figure out whether you had a good
quarter to I have to spend three hours
thinking about it and and so that's kind
of a nonstarter so um I I think that
we're all only like we're May late May
and the era of institutional adoption
for Bitcoin started in January and and
it's and it's like uh if you go went
back to
1994 and we said well the first
companies in the world rolled out their
website in January of 1994 and now it's
May of
1994 and we're sitting in a podcast
you're saying well Michael are you
surprised that more companies aren't you
know rolling out websites or don't
appreciate the web and I'm like
well it's really year one and and and
give it four more years right give it 10
more years and you'll see that the
consensus will be of course you need a
website just like of course you need
Bitcoin and and with Bitcoin you you
found a place to park your Capital you
found a place to deliver a better return
but but you do also
mention you mentioned earlier during
covid there was an inequity during the
lockdowns where small yoga businesses CL
down and and whilst you're obviously a
very successful investor uh I have also
noticed you do have a lot of empathy you
do have uh you have an eye on the
inequities of the world whether it's
caused by the system or bureaucracy and
so how do you how do you manage those
two different parts of Bitcoin because
Bitcoin is a great investment tool but
it also is something that brings a lot
of equity with it you know a lot of
fairness is that just like a beautiful
marriage
yeah I think that uh that Bitcoin is
it's an
asset and that makes it the ideal
treasury asset that makes it a solution
for every corporation in the world and
every investor and every family every
individual it's uh it's also a
technology but it's a technology for uh
for human
empowerment right and you know I think
Peter teal pointed out that that
cryptography Y and and and giving strong
encryption to the individual it shifts
the balance of power away from the
corporation and away from the central
entity whether it's a government or a
big corpor and it shifts it back to the
individual you know and and that
movement started with pgp you know and
pretty good privacy and and uh it was
simmering it just and I knew it went on
because a lot of people at MIT were very
much into it and one of my MIT friends
Simpson garfinkle wrote a book on pretty
good privacy and so and I I follow a
little bit but it was never uh an
existential it was never I never had an
existential threat and I never had a
mortality experience or near-death
experience where I needed it to survive
right so so I started appreciating
Bitcoin not just as an asset but as a
technology and then and then once you
understand the technology you know how
do you Empower someone with whatever all
their money in their head or in their
hands and how do you Empower someone to
move all their assets from here to to
there without asking permission that
leads you to the
ideology right and and the and the
ideology is based upon you know a
protocol that empowers technology that
creates an asset But ultimately the
ideology is you know self- sovereignty
privacy individual rights and you know
the the sovereignty of the individual
and and also property rights and
freedom and um and I think that once I
got involved I you know I started
looking for a solution to a treasury
problem so I kind of got involved
because I had an economic problem and
then in the research it leads you to
understand the technology and and
appreciate the combination of
cryptography and proof of work and and
and and uh energy and then once you
start following all the bitcoiners you
get drawn into the ideology and then in
the ideology people start to start to
cause you to question basics for example
what is inflation I I would have I would
have accepted the party line inflation
is CPI and then as soon as you realize
inflation is not CPI or inflation and
you can generate as many inflation
metrics as you as you wish to generate
then you realize well I can just
cherry-pick any inflation and so the the
best possible situation is to run an
economy with 12% inflation while I
convince the people that it's 2%
inflation because the cost of capital
really is 12% but they think it's 2% and
the difference of the 10% I get to give
to anybody else I want right so like
every every pension is indexed at CP Pi
you know so I'm I'm raising your
pensions at 2% I'm inflating the money
supply at 10 or
12% right and and um that leads you to
question a lot of things well if the
inflation rate isn't cor correct then
maybe GDP isn't correct how do you
actually measure gross domestic product
you know if it's not inflation
adjusted you know and I think uh I think
the CEO of Microsoft you know made a
point a very quiet point no one noticed
which is you the real e the economy is
shrinking it's not growing in nominal
terms people will perceive the economy
to be growing but once you put in place
the right inflation rate the economy is
shrinking nobody in the modern era wants
to admit that they that their National
economy is shrinking due to political
policy well that leads you to start
looking at all these other things like
uh PPI indexes what does that really
mean and then what about unemployment
how can you have unemployment of an
unemployment rate of 2 or 3% when 45% of
the people don't have a job like what
what's the definition of unemployment
well we we only count people as
unemployed if they wish they
weren't huh huh like uh so so all of
these metrics that that Talking Heads on
TV they they argue about they're all
synthetic flow metrics and and you know
you can build an entire world in a trade
strategy and an ideology around
synthetic
cherry-picked false metrics or once you
discover Bitcoin you start thinking well
if the GDP is not right and the
unemployment's not right and the
inflation's not right then what you know
then what is right and so I think that
uh the Bitcoin opened that door for me
and it cause me to question a bunch of
other things I taken for granted and
that leads you to you know it leads you
to read you know the creature from
Jackal Island and then it leads you to
read everything by Murray rothbart you
know a history of economic thought and
you discover Austrian
economics and then it causes you to go
back and and you rethink all of history
like I you know I go back and I reread
the history of the world if you read
Durant's story of civilization he wrote
15,000 pages on the world if you most
people didn't read 15,000 pages of world
history when they were 18 years old old
but if you did you didn't understand
inflation and you didn't understand
money and you didn't understand politics
and you and you hadn't lived through a
war and so you misinterpret or you or
you you know shallowly interpret what's
going on when you go back and you read
history again after you've lived through
an actual war or currency meltdown or
you live in in in 2020 right you see one
part of the economy being destroyed and
another part of the economy being lifted
up by the political action of a few
people and then you watch the media and
you realize there's there's one set of
media that doesn't even recognize
there's a problem and there's another
set of media that uh that takes a a
totally different point of view and then
you realize that that news is just a
curated stream of opinions and if you
wanted one set of opinions you could
watch one set of channels if you want
another set of opinions you watch other
set of channels but what do you do with
this now you cuz you you you it's like
anyone you have your eyes opened you
question everything but for you what
does that mean what do you do with this
now once you
realize that so many things you took for
granted aren't necessarily so and it and
it and it cause you to open your eyes
toward a bunch of things in the world
well there's there's there's two
responses you could have one response is
to not there's a hundred things that are
wrong with the world and start to
complain about all 100 of
them and the other response is just to
pick one single thing that you can do
that might make a
difference and uh and I'm of the opinion
that uh I could complain about a hundred
things in the world that I disagree with
that I would talk about with you
privately but the world doesn't want my
opinion and it doesn't care and and uh
and those things aren't going to change
based upon me complaining about them I
don't have any real power
and I and I also think I remember the
words of of Hayak you know he says you
know you want to take money away from
the state you know you can't do it you
know in a frontal assault you have to do
it in a Sly roundabout way MH so my view
is how do you
fight you know something which is so
entrenched in the
civilization that the harder you push
the harder pushes back and the answer is
you have to in you have to introduce a
new idea that will go viral so for
example
Bitcoin you know is a new idea you could
view it as Freedom technology a freedom
virus and you can also view it as a
monetary virus to give sound money to
the world so if I want to give freedom
and sovereignty and dignity and
empowerment to eight billion people
I don't loudly scream that their
overlords ought to stop leaning on them
you know I I'm not going to topple every
government and every corporate over
Overlord and everything so what I do is
I introduce a new technology that
spreads virally and if I want to give
property rights to 8 billion people I
introduce a new technology and when you
introduce a new technology you there's a
right way to do and a wrong way to do it
I think when you say you're wrong you're
stupid I'm smart do it my way change
your way right the harder you the louder
you say that the harder someone pushes
back against you that's like parenting
you create inflammation yeah right and
and there are examples in our political
system where certain political parties
their position is the other party is
wrong we're right they're stupid we're
smart do it our way and give us credit
and blame them right and so that that's
an inflammatory approach I think that um
you could spend a hundred billion
dollars trying to to jam your idea on
someone that doesn't want it they will
just crowdsource a hundred billion
dollars of power to push back and that's
called fighting a war right you're just
going to war I think that the more
elegant way is to introduce a new idea
you know Bitcoin what is it good for oh
it'll it'll be good for your family what
else it'll be good for your company what
else oh it'll help your bank what else
it'll help your state what else it'll
help your city it'll help your country
what else oh you know you want to fight
a war it'll help you win the war you
know you disagree with X it'll help your
political party you want to win an
election it'll help you win right what
what is bitcoin Bitcoin is is good for
you right Bitcoin is empowerment
technology that will allow you to be the
best version of yourself who's losing
nobody's losing
who's wrong nobody's wrong just
everybody's just better with this is
Better Living Through technology and I
you know my Approach is I think about
the one thing that can make the world a
better place and I think about the one
thing I might accomplish like I I
literally I don't think like micro
strategy spent seven a half billion
dollars buying Bitcoin I don't think
that if we spent $7.5 billion dollar on
the next 100 things you think are wrong
with the world I don't think it' make a
difference I think that you would just
spend the money and the counter side the
other opposition would spend an
equivalent amount of money to negate the
amount of money you're spending so I
don't think you change the world through
full frontal attacks and I don't think
you change it through aggressive
confrontation I think you change it
through elegant diplomatic Innovation
and and uh that's that's my observation
if I look at at the history of the world
the people that made the world a better
place the people that introduce steel
electricity
antibiotics you know the small pox
vaccine airplanes steam engines internal
combustion engines Motors but starlink
these are all very elegant things and
they're non-controversial at the end of
the day maybe early on people are afraid
of new tech but if you look back and you
say well just give me an example of
someone that righteously opposed
electricity who history deems was on the
right side of that I think generally
history views you on the wrong side of
technical
Innovation and uh and so you'll win over
time if you want to change the world
with technology tech technology is
bipartisan if you want to change the
world with religion or you want to
change the world with ideology or
politics
or you want to change the world with
with critique you know or violence I
think the world has a way of pushing
back and and so I I guess I was just
practical and and uh in 2020 what
started as a how do I saved my own
company became uh oh how do I actually
do something good for my shareholders
right I started with a defensive
strategy almost out of desperation it's
either this or throwing the towel on out
of business and then it became oh
opportunity I actually can actually make
money for my shareholders we did it when
the stock was $120 a share and then when
the stock gets to three or $400 a share
we think well maybe we can keep doing
this and then it became a well you know
wait a minute there's a lot of other
people there's 400 million people in
this crypto community and they actually
like Bitcoin and there's hundreds of
millions of people that own some piece
of Bitcoin and they love it and then
there's the Bitcoin maximalist and they
think that's an instrument of economic
empowerment they think it's going to
change the world for the better and they
don't want to live in a world without
it why do they you know and and so
getting drawn into the spiritual side of
Bitcoin it came later right I mean I
realized there are a lot of people I
mean Jack dorsy maybe being the most
famous of these people that clearly they
were motivated by spiritual drivers and
spiritual motivations more so than by
monetary you know he didn't need to do
Bitcoin to save his company he was a big
Tech billionaire success I I did you
know and and on the other hand it's not
bad that uh that we both had different
motives because my motive was save a
zombie company guess what there's 30,000
other zombie companies and there's 300
million corporations in the world
they're all in the same boat with me
right so my motive was was Wonder
Direction his motive was a different
direction but I I eventually ended up
appreciating him and that spir that
spiritual element you know and
discovered the XS of the world you know
and and all of the Bitcoin Believers
through podcasts like yours and and the
like but I think he ended up
appreciating what we were doing too
right it's after micro strategy that
square buys Bitcoin and then it was just
a month ago that square oun that they
would start buying Bitcoin every
month right and and and there is a role
for
corporations you know in this as well so
I think that we're all evolving and uh
and my journey kind of went from from uh
one economically motivated uh to then
one uh spiritually motivated and then I
started to see the
ideology right and and if you want to
make if you want fix fix the there are
there are serious problems in the
political system of the US there's
dysfunction and there's serious
dysfunction in the EU and there's
serious dysfunction in China and there's
some serious dysfunction in South
America and probably you'll find some
serious dysfunction in Asia right and
and then we could tack on a little bit
of serious dysfunction in in asan and
and New Zealand and Australia and we're
not I'm not going to talk about it but I
think we all know that there's some
serious dysfunction
I think that the answer is not to side
with one party against the other or to
blame one party or or to or to celebrate
one politician as the Savior I think the
solution is to spread the orange wave
right it's the orange solution which is
every every political party every
politician every
movement will find that they will be the
best version of thems they will be more
effective they will be more ethically
grounded they will be more technically
grounded and they will be more
economically grounded in pursuit of
their mission if they Embrace Bitcoin in
the Bitcoin standard and so I so that
has become you know the primary driving
force of my life right now and I I use I
use the Sailor Academy to promote
Bitcoin education and we've done we've
done courses in Austrian economics and
courses in Bitcoin for developers and
courses in Bitcoin for everybody and
courses in monetary history and we do
our best to educate the world in that
mission and in micro strategy we've uh
we've tried to set an example for a
company on the Bitcoin standard and and
not just do the minimum but actually
show how you can adopt a Bitcoin
development strategy and you can you can
grow the network through financial
activity like issuance of equity and
debt and securitizing the network but
also you know we do our best to do our
Bitcoin R&D projects we have we had a
lightning project we have our orange
project we experiments you know working
on Layer Two protocols that might be
helpful and um and then um I get calls
from CEOs and I spend a lot of time my
best my best experiences or when I have
a CEO of a publicly traded company and
they'll say to me I saw what you did
tell me how we could do it like okay let
me tell you you and I'm like I you know
you want me to talk to your board you
want me to talk to your management team
here you know here's everything we did
in Vegas you want to talk to you know
all of our custodians all of our
traditor blah blah blah this is you know
this is what I can help with and I I
think that uh there's a movement of foot
and we can see even as of this week
There's a sea change and there's just a
broad worldwide
consensus that we need something
different than the ideas of the last 30
years we need something new and that
manifests us self in a ground swell of
support for Bitcoin a ground swell of
support for crypto a ground swell of
support for digital assets and a new way
to see the world on Wall Street on Main
Street on Capitol Hill in Europe in Hong
Kong and London Etc and so this is a
very this is maybe the most exciting
time you know in my life and maybe in
the history of Bitcoin I think it's
pretty exciting time yeah but but all
this and look there's been some complex
computer science problem solved with
Bitcoin and Bitcoin technically is
complex but the idea itself is quite
simple it's a fixed limit currency of 21
million with a known issuance rate it's
a very simple monetary policy I know you
have a background in you know systems
design we we interviewed a guy a guy
called Nicholas bowick who reached out
to me he's never been on a podcast I
listened to it yeah I loved it he's
great I mean and aeronautical engineer
honestly he was great question but you
you know you have a background of
understanding systems uh
design how what is it about Bitcoin that
that enables it to do so
much is it is it bringing uh balance to
the world is it is it this kind of ying
yang to the to a financial system where
they've tried to force
stability I think it's it's the three e
it's it's
ethics it's
economics and it's engineering it's
sound ethics sound economics Sound
Engineering um and uh and in ethics it's
this idea of of a fair Ledger and a fair
asset Satoshi created a way Satoshi gave
it away Satoshi went away right if if
you want the road map for an ethical
launch of a decentralized digital
commodity and open protocol for anything
it's you create it you give it away you
disappear right and and you know
Prometheus is not standing around taking
10% of the revenue from fire you know
and suing you for for patent
infringement a million years after
Prometheus gave us fire just create it
give it away go away
uh and so that idea it's very profound
idea because you think about how many
corporations and governments in the
world where you have the bringer of
Truth or the bringer of the solution and
they want to stick around and benefit
from
it right and so I think Bitcoin sets
that example and uh the second thing is
it's economically sound right you can
create it you know in theory a digital
commodity that's inflationary it's like
you know I can I can create and give
away a protocol that inflates 5% a year
and I can go away and disclaim
beneficial ownership but it's still
messed up like it's still defective like
5% a year means it just keeps inflating
so this simple idea which such an
elegant idea pick a number don't change
the
number right it's like the number nine
has stood for nine
right one two three four five six seven
eight you know there's got to be a
certain number that is the same it's not
changing next year no one gets to
redefine it there's no debate over it
right
nine right it is a permanent thing
um how important is it well every
machine in the world works on it like
every computer in the world works and if
you actually want a wobble warble nine
to be nine and a half and nine and a
quarter if you want deflection on the
the idea it destroys the machine right
the reason that we use steel is it
doesn't deflect the reason we use math
is it doesn't deflect so this idea of a
fixed number that that nobody could
change that that no Corporation could
corrupt that no politician could corrupt
that no political movement could corrupt
incredible powerful and then the last
idea Sound Engineering well also only
computers could
deliver this couldn't it couldn't have
been done in an analog world even with
gold yeah
um the idea of Bitcoin uh you couldn't
have you couldn't exe execute perfect
money until you had modern the modern
internet modern computers modern
semiconductors right uh modern
cryptography so you needed a combination
of Technologies and and in order to
execute this idea and you know there are
a lot of there are a lot of good
philosophers and Austrian
economists but uh the struggle they had
is maybe they had the right idea but the
technology was not up to implementing an
ideal
notion just like you could be a great
doctor but you know like before
antibiotics and before we before had a
microscope and before you understood
germs there's a limit to what you can
accomplish so it's the in the instrument
one of the themes of scientific history
is until the telescope we couldn't see
the moons of Jupiter until we couldn't
see the moons of Jupiter we couldn't
figure out the Kepler's laws made sense
and and you you would never have
determined that the Earth was revolving
around the Sun until you had the
telescope and that and so an instrument
allows you to prove uh to break a
paradigm and the Paradigm leads to
Newton's laws and that needs to leads to
you know the calculus and the calculus
of variations and then the entire modern
world changes and the same is true with
the microscope so a technology and
instrument gets sufficiently good enough
that it breaks the Paradigm oh germs
maybe not believe people to death right
but it all kind of starts with things
like grinding glass into Optics to see a
very small thing or see a very far away
thing now uh and Bitcoin you know it's
it required pgp it required the internet
it required uh chips not not analog
chips digital chips right and
semiconductors and and CPUs
so that being the case right the third
prong of the Bitcoin stool is
engineering and and the thing that's
beautiful Bitcoin is is it's uh a
balanced stable engineered system but
the way you get there is by combining uh
energy
electricity and something
thermodynamically scarce with Hardware
with
semiconductors with
software right and and with cryptography
so there's like an element of math and
cryptography
uh and and there's an element of
semiconductors and you're running them
with electricity when you put all three
of them together in an open
protocol then what you have is something
which is stable that spreads virally you
know and eventually you get you know the
Asic Wars and then and then what happens
is people build big Bitcoin mining
centers and everybody thinks oh that's
not that's bad that's centralizing but
of course the mining centers suck up so
much electricity that they eventually
have to run to the edge of the grid and
they're always running away from the
center of civilization to the person
that has the stranded energy because you
need almost zero cost energy so what
does that do well that creates a it
creates a phrase balance of power right
I mean which is H you know kind of it
means a lot of different things but we
need a balance of power for the system
to be stable and how do I make it
unstable I take away the hard component
if I if I go to proof of stake all of a
sudden your balance of power means well
I don't need I don't need $5 billion a
year of electricity so that means people
that have electricity are not actors and
I don't need Hardware anymore and that
means that uh that there's no inertia
from the hardware and now I just need a
software node and now and now of course
all of those nodes can be running in the
Amazon cloud or they can they could
collapse down to 27 computers in one
city and you would a you wouldn't know
and B you wouldn't care and and so the
system becomes very very fragile
aeronautical Engineers are very
sensitive to this one of the reasons
that that uh they like Bitcoin I think
is in an in a in an
aircraft you have to
consider all these factors the shape of
the aircraft matters but the but the
avionics matter but the balance matter
Ms but the conditions matter and when
you design the aircraft someone goes
yeah I just want to change the couch you
know you want to change the couch and
and put a different couch in an aircraft
they might charge you
$96,000 of engineering to actually run
the weights the balances they got to
consider will the couch catch fire in
you know in the event of a crash landing
right is the couch rated for 16 G's or
will the couch break loose and kill
everybody you know Etc and so you have
all of these second order third order
fourth order concerns in in aviation and
Aeronautical Engineering a and you don't
really have those concerns if you're
just a hacker and so so people people
that are computer
programmers they just write code it
works their world is very
simple but uh but people that build
spaceships and you know and people that
build airplanes they have to consider a
circumstance where one system fails one
system gets jammed there's a storm
there's wind shear and all of those
things are irrelevant except in the last
15 seconds of the flight when they're
certainly going to kill you and they
have to design the system such that in
the last 15 seconds of the flight if
such and such happens we don't all die
but Bitcoin similar to Austin Hill said
this to me he said he said the engineer
of Bitcoin needs to be like uh aircraft
engineer or um rocket Engineering in
that you cannot have a catastrophic
failure a catastrophic bug I mean look I
know bitcoin's had it in the past but
catastrophic inflation
bug could be terminal for
Bitcoin I totally agree yeah I I totally
agree the more you know about
engineering and and I think the more you
know about
economics and the more you know about
ethics the more conservative and the
more considerate you become about any
change to the protocol like you you
radically change uh from proof of work
to proof of stake it's not just uh an
engineering lapse where you centralize
and you make the system unstable it's
also an ethical lapse because now you've
actually created a staking Network and
you converted a commodity into a
security an investment contract you know
and and it's you know it's also an
economic lapse long term because you
have destroyed part of the free market
that was supporting your network right
you've just you've just nationalized $20
billion do worth of mining Rigs and
seized them and now you've just
disincentivized any any minor from ever
investing in your ecosystem ever again
and you've disincentivized anybody else
if a government seizes $10 billion of
your property you want to invest money
in that country right so so it's an
economic disaster to nationalize
property and it's an e it's an ethical
disaster to steal from somebody or or to
or to seize control of what should be a
central a decentralized network or a
commodity network but also it's an
engineering disaster because you've
basically taken something which is anti-
fragile nearly
indestructible that is guaranteed to get
more
secure uh technically over time and
you've converted it in into you know a
bunch of software running on a server
and you're hoping that the five people
that control the updates don't get
compromised right you if I if I get
control of the people that control the
code that that release or unrelease
staked assets that's a problem but you
could shut down all Bitcoin development
right and and arrest every single
developer the miners are going to keep
working and someone would spin up a new
Development Group in some other country
you know and and and start to work from
where we left off so I I think that um
that uh Engineers system Engineers are
just
naturally very uh they're very
thoughtful and and they want to create
sta self-stabilizing systems for example
you design an airplane plane you put the
wings down like this it's
unstable okay it'll spin fast but that
means it'll go into a tail spin or a
death spiral crash and
burn if you lose control of it for 50
Mills or 100 milliseconds that's a very
dangerous machine you need very
complicated uh software if you design
the plane with the wing swept up like
this when it turns like this this you
you know what happens is this Wing loses
lift this Wing gets more lift and it
wants to come back to Center you know
just like why are ships designed with a
certain hole shape because when it goes
like this you want it to swing back why
don't we put a big weight on top of the
ship like over the mass because when it
goes like this it wants to
capsize
so ocean
Engineers civil engineers aeronautical
Engineers mechanical Eng engers you know
they they know that software is is
useful but software is not all the end
all end all be right it's it's your
relationship to the laws of
thermodynamics and the laws of gravity
right and Ren's law and viscosity and
you and it's your relationship to
Maxwell's equations and
electromagnetics etc those things
determine whether you crash and burn and
sink and if you've got a stable vehicle
or a stable Network yeah you can write
some software and maybe you need some
software right I mean I need software in
an
airplane uh and you can and and and Well
Done software makes it safer but when
the software engineers get out of
control like on the Boeing 737 Max and
someone says well we have to upgrade the
software and we have to do the latest
greatest right and and and let's just go
ahead and get the update out the result
is the software actually overrides the
human makes the plane unstable and
crashes the plane and kills everybody
and maybe it kills the entire company I
mean that also wasn't that uh a software
hack to solve a problem whereby they
wanted to upgrade the plane for bigger
engines but they didn't want to upgrade
the the hull I can't remember what part
the the fuch yeah the fuch they didn't
want it this and so they ended up it was
a hack really wasn't it but it's but
it's again it's come back to systems
engineering they tried to hack around
what they should have done which is
build a new fuselage I'm going to tell
you two two quick stories one is is if
you look at the 737 it was designed in
the late 60s and and the the shape of
the 737 and the style of it once you
have a fuch shage design you've worked
that out in a wind tonnel and that's
stable you can generally make it a
little bit longer without having to redo
all the engineering but if you make it
wider or change the shape every single
assumption gets thrown out the door
change the shape of the fucha slightly
the plane crashes and burns and it
becomes a 10 billion or or hundred
billion dollar exercise to do a new
plane that's why the 737 didn't change
for 40 years the the Golf Stream 5 is
based upon the design of the golf stream
4 based on the design of the golf stream
3 based on the design of the golf stream
2 which is a 70s aircraft so for 40
years the golf stream didn't change
Global Express same thing you don't want
to change these airplanes and and and
that teaches aeronautical Engineers to
be humble it's like yeah I've got this
new idea it will look cool let's just
add this one thing but the one thing
might very well just kill everybody and
so you become very thoughtful careful
humble one more one more observation
this is a funny one but I had a chance
to to go on a tour of uh the US uh
military the dod uh and the same tour
that all the generals take when they
first make General and they would take
some VIPs and they would take you to the
Pentagon and show you how they fight
Wars and then they took us to show us
the the ballistic submarine pins and we
went into a ballistic nuclear powered
submarine and then uh they took us uh
out to Camp Wun and we saw Marine
Amphibious invasions you know and then
we saw Air Force Special Ops and we went
to Fort Hood and we saw you know tanks
and we got in tanks and we fired the
tank you know fired the you know the
tank artillery and learned what it was
like and and then uh they flew us out
and we we landed on an aircraft carrier
I landed on the John stennis which is a
nuclear powered aircraft carrier in the
middle of the Atlantic you know and a
Cod slammed down got off the carrier and
I'm walking around the aircraft carrier
and um they give us the VIP and they
take us to the combat control center and
they take us the you know all through
the the carrier and then part of the
tour is they take us to a room it's
about as big as this room underneath the
landing deck underneath the flight deck
and literally um it's like the planes
are landing 8 feet above your head and
they're slamming and you would sit in
the room and you could hear this jet an
F14 you know slamming down you know on
the jet of the uh aircraft carrier and
you know what's in the room is a long
cable and there's a little black and
white television uh closed circuit TV
black and white TV and there's three
naval enlisted people seen you know and
the one of them has a
clipboard and the other one is uh
staring at the television and the third
one is standing next next to a big
crank so they stare at the television
and I can see the airplane coming on
approach and it's Slams on the deck bam
you could hear it guy
goes Mark three and the next Sean goes
Mark three check and we wait and I'm
with like a I'm with an officer like a
pilot and he's showing me around and I
stare at it again and in 60 seconds you
see a plane coming down and slams into
the deck you can hear the entire room
Rattle and the Seaman goes mark four and
the next one goes Mark for
check and the guy with the clipboard
does a check okay and I say to this guy
I'm with the officer I said what are
they doing it looks like they're just
counting Landings off of a it's like two
people or three people to watch planes
slam into the into the aircraft carrier
he's like yeah that's what they're doing
and he said he said I said really he
goes yeah they're going to count to 100
and when they get to 100 that guy there
is going to pull that
crank and this cable is going to rotate
they're going to replace the existing
steel cable the cable is the tail hook
cable that winds up to the deck and when
that plane lands the tail hook would
catch the cable yeah and it would keep
the plane from from crashing into into
the ocean and I look and I look at it I
go well I mean isn't this something they
could computerize I mean you would think
a computer could count from one to 100
right and uh and then just rotate the
cable and he goes yeah a lot of people
think that but this is the way we've
done it since World War II and it's
never failed us right and and it's it's
in the greater scheme of things the
people aren't that expensive you know
they're making minimum wage they're like
you know first term of Duty 19yearold
Airmen and there's there's triple
redundancy and if they screw that up if
that system failed the Pilot's going to
die it's going to be a 40 million doll
disaster and maybe maybe it's a disaster
for the entire you know multi-billion
dollar carrier so this is just the way
we do it
right and it just shows you how
conservative people can get you know and
and I could give you a hundred examples
like that in the military where if
there's lives on the line and there's a
lot of energy and a lot of power
sometimes the you know the
supercoder might not be the right
solution you might not want to trust
your life to a piece of software that
might get
fried well I think I think conservatives
make conservatism is making a comeback
in all aspects of life I think uh I
think people living in New York and
San Francisco wanted a little bit of
political conservatism um
so I agree with you there so so we look
let's touch on it because there is this
perception maybe it's right or wrong but
you'll tell me there is this perception
that you're keen on oifc and I was
chatting to you last night and I said I
had actually heard you use the word oifc
but uh my discussion with Danny was I
don't
think Michael wants I ification whereby
the code is frozen which by the way
probably can't be done but I think uh I
said it's probably more like a stale
made where where it's very hard to get
things through and we're at a time where
there's a there's like a new guard of uh
Bitcoin developers and an Old Guard of
Bitcoin developers the old guard's very
conservative and the new guard is
wanting wanting to move out the way
because I want to do things they want to
build things opcat and various other
things I'm certainly in the world of
being more conservative but there is
this perception that you keen on
alific yeah um I don't know where that
started because I've never used the word
oif I've never even discussed the issue
I've never tweeted it I've never I've
never mentioned it in a podcast I think
um if you would ask me my opinion on
bitcoin development I would say
considerate and
conservative right and and I would I
think that uh there are a lot of people
in the Bitcoin that have well-considered
uh well-considered proposals you know
I'm you know I've listened to your
discussions with Steve Lee and with John
carvalo and uh and I I think there are a
lot of people and with Bitcoin cords
like Gloria Xiao and I think that
they're very considered very responsible
um I've uh I've been uh a big supporter
of uh the Bitcoin security initiative at
MIT and and I think
generally my view on this
is Bitcoin is an extraordinary protocol
maybe the most successful protocol the
most important protocol in human history
certainly it's up there with uh base 10
math and English and and and uh the like
so I I think the Bitcoin protocol is
very important I also think that um we
ought to prioritize Integrity you know
you said am I in favor of Bitcoin
ocation no but am I in favor of Bitcoin
Integrity yes Bitcoin security yes right
uh Bitcoin stability yes um I definitely
believe in stability like do I yeah do I
think that the numbers one through
n are stable yeah if you want to call
them aifi
you know we could debate it but I think
it's an irrelevant thing I think OIC is
a straw man put forth by people that
have a progressive proposal and if
someone says hold it now let's think
about it right they could say well you
just you just don't want to change
anything well I mean the truth
is I I think it's a mistake to presume
that you have to change the protocol in
order for Bitcoin to be successful um I
think there's a lot of software I mean
that you you have to write software to
make the nodes run you have to write
software to make the Bitcoin mining work
you have to write software for the
wallets you have to write software for
communication you have to consider bugs
and the software that might prevent the
nodes from coordinating right you have
there's a lot of software to consider
and if someone wants to write a full
node uh Bitcoin that runs on the iOS
versus Android versus some new operating
system versus whatever right I think
those are all reasonable considerations
and and we're going to write software I
even think it's there's a place to write
software to check the network right is
the network healthy to to monitor the
network and uh and so I I'm not against
software if you said to me uh there's a
contention of mathematicians that want
to introduce a new integer between seven
and
eight I would think let's be considerate
and conservative in that and let's
consider what we're going to break right
okay so you could almost like partition
this between what is op codes and
expansion of what the protocol to do can
do versus uh when like you said
integrity and security protection of the
network from uh uh catastrophic failures
attacks
hacks are you seeing those as two
different things it's your your it's not
that you're you want conservatism around
much more conservativism around the
expansion what the protocol can do
defend the network don't f with the
network make sure the network is healthy
don't
introduce don't introduce um risks
unnecessary risks to the network that
might infect it with uh with the disease
but but but any I mean any substantial
change there'll always be some I mean we
saw that with tap rout right with tap
rout we made it a lot easier uh for
people to put
inscriptions and so that that was that
was an unintended consequence is that
was that like a warning shot for you was
that was that what made you think about
this you know um everybody's Bitcoin
journey is different I mean I didn't
really start thinking hard about Bitcoin
until
2020 and my focus on bitcoin was the the
asset the economics the adoption
throughout the rest of the
world and um if you if you look
at all my writings and look at all my
podcast you won't see that I ever took a
public position on bitcoin development
Bitcoin core segwit tap rout or the like
in fact segwit was before me before my
time right uh during you know as a
resolution to the blocksize wars or at
least an outcome of right it was an
artifact of the blocksize wars and uh I
just accepted it as a given and then tap
route took place early in my Bitcoin
journey and I didn't really focus on
whether it was risky or not risky and
and good or bad uh I've I
think I'm only now getting to the point
where I start to think
hard about uh about the philosophy of
Bitcoin development and and I think
that's appropriate wait four years study
things think about it because maybe your
opinion when you first get started might
be modified by by some experiences just
to add to that
is are you having to consider how much
people listen to in the weight of
opinions you might have if I have an
opinion certain certain number of people
listen to if you have a a lot of people
might listen to and and is that do you
feel the way to that I I yes I do feel
like there's a responsibility if you're
a leader in the community uh don't
create inflammation
yeah like
don't um you can have 100 opinions
privately and share it with your circle
of trust and you may or may not be you
may be right you may be wrong but that's
how you learn so I think I think being
private and considerate and exploring
your opinions and developing an opinion
is reasonable but if you just go on
Twitter and start spouting a 100
definitive opinions about a 100 things
what's clear what's certain is you
probably aren't the expert in each of
the hundred areas and you probably don't
have the most invested in each of the
hundred areas so generally you just
enrage a lot of people who know more or
who have a lot more invested in it so I
think you ought to wait until you've
actually gathered enough information and
you have a a point of view which is
considered that's worth sharing so
that's why I mean you if you look at me
on Twitter I don't engage in the debates
over you know this proposal or that
proposal and and I might have a private
opinion about it and I might I've
expressed private opinions that I I
think we should be careful and very
conservative uh but I don't you know I
don't then convert that into and
therefore that means you should not
support this or you should not do that
because the devil's in the details let
let me just make a point about
philosophy though um the Bitcoin
protocol is the ESS governance it's the
government of Bitcoin the nation if
Bitcoin was a nation the protocol is the
body of laws that govern the nation and
the
protocol has no statute of limitation so
for all practical purposes when you put
something in the protocol it's like
writing a law that might very well last
a thousand
years so that being the case if you ask
me what is My Philosophy about politics
I'm in favor of small government not big
government I'm in favor of less not more
I'm in favor of free markets not uh
Central uh or not government mandated
agencies if there's a choice between
should the government do it or should a
a corporation or a free actor do it I
think the government should stay out of
it um if uh if a bunch of people come to
the nation's capital and they have a
hundred ideas for a 100 ways to make
government more beneficial to you and
they want to help you by giving you
government mandated food and government
issued education and government issued
Fillin the blank I'm fairly skeptical
and and I actually admire I admire uh
you know politicians like Reagan that
said government isn't the solution
government is the problem and how about
an initiative where you make the
government smaller not
bigger right and of course lobbyists and
politicians they think government is the
solution of everything and they want to
intervene and what you say what you eat
your medicine how you you know raise
your children how you educate how you
travel where you can go you know and in
the extreme you know the government
might tell you you're not allowed to
have Thanksgiving dinner with six people
in your family or sit more than six feet
away from someone and so and your own
private home so so I I'm in favor of
small government and in the same way I'm
not in favor of big protocol I'm in
favor of small protocol I'm in favor of
of um do the
minimum if if you believe the government
should do the minimum to control your
life you believe that the protocol
should do the minimum because it's very
hard you know to reverse this and if you
look at the history of civilization
every Empire starts small and struggling
it's the underdog and and you're trying
to struggle to live and then at some
point they win and when they win they
conclude that they're they're the most
virtuous and then they get rich and then
when they get rich they start creating
more laws and those laws get to be
ridiculous and they create inflation and
they create
regulation and I think most people in
the Bitcoin Community are against
inflation and I think we're against
regulation and the whole the whole irony
is Bitcoin is a technology to escape to
escape devic or or or the the uh
oppression of inflation and
regulation so why would we want to
encourage inflation in the protocol and
regulation in the protocol sorry can you
define inflation in the protocol and
regulation in the protocol just so I
understand the analogy yeah I mean if I
dump another million lines of code that
does another when I'm adding
functionality and performance and
scalability Via features and I'm writing
all this code I inan creating
inflationary Dynamics in the protocol
I'm what is inflation I'm I'm
devaluing something else what whatever
that else whatever that else is I might
be undermining the security I might be
undermining the Simplicity I might be in
the protocol is encroaching on the free
market and I I won't say in all
circumstance es changes to government
enro encroach on the free market you
could actually in theory pass a law
which shrinks the
government right you could you could
make changes to the government that
makes it smaller
but I guess I would say I'm not in favor
of any
law because some laws make government
bigger and they're inflationary and
they're Regulatory and they're
oppressive some laws might make
government smaller and more more
efficient and more effective and so I
would consider any law code is law right
when you write code you're just writing
a law on cyberspace right I mean
software developers are the lawyers of
cyberspace when they write law and you
know it's one thing you write code for
your application like cash app it's a
layer three app you're risking your
shareholders money and your corporate
credibility but you're not going to
crash the Bitcoin Network when you write
code for Layer Two you've got to be a
bit more a bit more consensus driven
because now there's a hundred or a
thousand other companies that have to
work with your lightning or work with
your whatever and you have to go a 100
times
slower but when you write code for layer
one the protocol like either you're
you're in different stages in the first
few years of Bitcoin it wasn't sure it
would work you had the catastrophic
inflation bug and you have to move fast
and take risks and you might destroy it
I mean most of the early protocols were
defective I mean there's a 99.9% failure
rate but in this particular case Bitcoin
survived you know they took that risk
and they survived and yeah Satoshi
changed a lot of stuff fast but Satoshi
was risking a million dollars or1
million today we have $ 1.4
trillion but and we are in the third
stage I think the second stage was like
the block size Wars around then where
there was something very valuable and
there was some serious issues to be
worked out and you had multiple camps
and the protocol did suffer inflation
segwit was inflation the big blockers
would have been more inflationary so
there's a lot of Regulation inflation
was in how was seg inflation it C it it
it took the block from one megabyte to 4
megabytes right it created all that all
that extra block space right so you
could do
things with uh with a segwit that you
couldn't do before but some would argue
that that was good for Bitcoin I think
it was good for Bitcoin it wasn't
necessarily good for the Bitcoin miners
right the point is if you increase the
block size and and you change that
Dynamic it's not clear you didn't
bankrupt a bunch of Bitcoin miners that
would still be in business today so you
know we can go back and forth but it
stands the reason that when you add
functionality or scalability or
performance ments you're actually
depriving someone else in the ecosystem
of their property rights of their
opportunity right and so you know a a
perfect example like if I took the block
size up by a factor of 10 and
transaction fees Fall by a factor of 10
right there's someone on the other side
of transaction fees they've just had
their revenue destroyed right and so so
uh that is inflationary and it Al it
inflates if you in
it'd be obvious if you just took 21
million to 42 million that's that's
first order inflation but when you
increase the bandwidth from one megabyte
blocks to four megabyte blocks that's
second order inflation if I take the
transaction bandwidth up by a factor of
a 100 that's hyperinflation of the
bandwidth in the second order that would
bankrupt all the Bitcoin Miners and so
if you bankrupt all the Bitcoin miners
you know there's an ethical lapse
there's an economic lapse there's also a
thermodynamic or a security lapse and
not only are you depriving the Bitcoin
miners of their property you're also
depriving the Bitcoin holders of their
security and you're undermining the
political stability the economic
stability of the holders as well as the
minors and you're doing it maybe to
create fast blocks or more bandwidth but
there's been a lot of work that's been
done to make uh transactions more
efficient um blocks more efficient so is
all that work inflationary are they all
all is that you know is all that
depriving the miners I I think the
ethical the ethical line here is if the
free market does it consistent with the
existing protocol then that's just a
darwinian evolution of the free market
like like if people all decide to use
cash app and do lightning transfers
between cash app and
coinbase and we didn't change the
protocol yeah the there is a decrease in
transaction fees but the point is you
didn't jam it into the protocol against
the will of everybody in the Bitcoin
ecosystem it was a natural
artifact right of of the free market and
I think that that the free market
naturally will uh create more efficient
companies and more efficient layer to
protocols and they will scale the
network they are scaling the network and
that is a risk but you don't believe
we're done scaling at the protocol level
do you let me come back to this when I
invested a billion dollars in my Bitcoin
mining rig I I accepted the risks of the
existing protocol when someone changes
the the protocol so as to bankrupt me
with a protocol chains right they have
actually deprived me of my economic
rights and introduced a risk I didn't
sign up for right that's that's the
ethical distinction which converts
something in some cases from a commodity
to a security right if a
government if I go into uh a country and
I invest billions of dollars in a
Bitcoin mining rig and it's legal and
then the guy wins the election and
changes the law and makes it illegal and
seizes all my Bitcoin mining rigs right
that was an ethical lapse right at the
at the governmental protocol level so if
I go and I invest in Bitcoin mining and
then then uh a bunch of companies launch
some ETFs and all of a sudden the
transaction fees go to zero because
companies launched an application on
layer four of the network the free
market bankrupted me but you know a
protocol developer didn't so the point
really is but hold on so sorry I do want
to challenge this because um I don't
think
you I think when you sign up when you
put a billion dollars in I think you're
signing up to a protocol that you know
has a developer community that does have
changes that's that's something you
accept you can voice opinion that you
want it to be conservative or not change
but but we do want the protocol to be
more efficient at a protocol level and
you know we have had important changes
bit bit 16 that brought in multisig
we've dealt with transaction Mal
malleability we've we we have had segwit
that brought lightning I I think these
changes are always going to come and and
and I with you on the conservatism but I
still think changes to the Bitcoin
protocol is the free market because it
kind it's never one developer who can
change things develop I mean look we've
seen developers want to bring things in
and they've just haven't managed to get
the consensus from other developers it
has to go through social consensus uh
for a softw to get approved you know
miners have to signal so isn't that the
free market deciding that they want the
upgrades you know I don't see it that
way I I see it as
I'm a lawyer I go to
London I Lobby a politician to pass a
law making it illegal for soccer clubs
to operate in Bedford and and you know
in response and in response the lawyer
passes the law because I gave him a
campaign donation and I explained how I
wanted to turn bford into the next
Disney
World and it's going to bring jobs at
Disney and I think that you would be
irate if someone if if a a lawyer or
lobbyist was lobbying for laws that
impact your family your business your
friends and and I would be like oh it's
just the free market okay I went to DC
and I got a law passed that made the
pipeline illegal oh who paid me to get
the law pass the other pipeline so
there's one guy that's got $50 billion
do because he's got the only Pipeline
and the and the second pipeline was shut
down by some lobbying in DC I view that
as corruption and so I I I think
I I think that if you're able to deprive
some economic actor in your nation or
your network of billions of dollars or
millions or hundreds of thousands or
trillions of dollars of economic
property rights by lobbying to actually
change the law right I think that that
that introduces moral hazard and so I
think that I think that uh protocol
changes like would you be supportive of
a protocol change that stole $50 billion
from a company in the Bitcoin ecosystem
I wouldn't be supportive yeah so so the
and and some somebody else says well you
know it's just a free market well well I
would say it like this but but hold on
for that company to lose 50 billion yeah
say from the starting point of 100
billion say you're saying cut in half
everyone would be cut in half so no no
not
necessarily like you can introduce you
can introduce protocol proposals that
are discrimin discriminatory that that
uh hit uh certain exchanges or certain
business models or or for example proof
of work to proof of stake it destroyed
the ethereum miners it was a very
targeted protocol change that basically
deprived you know what's it worth to
basically do ethereum mining well it
would have been worth a hundred billion
doar what's it worth today zero okay
where' the money go well it it from
people that would have had 100 billion
to people that now have the 100 billion
and so so
um but what saying no changes are you
saying no more changes at the protocol
level I'm saying first of all I would
say Bitcoin would be a lot better if the
protocol was stable it's like like do
you want to change the numbers one
through
nine and zero I mean like like like for
example how long has 0 through n been a
stable mathematical protocol it's not
the only one by the way you know there
are a lot of there's base 2 math there's
base 16 math there's there there's you
know base eight math there's a lot of
other ways to do it but the question is
if I have a machine that processes base
16 and I go to a politician and I get
them to pass a law making it illegal to
operate machines on base 10 and you have
to switch to base 16 and I'm the guy
that produces the machine you don't find
that to be a little bit corrupt I I
don't buy the analogy with government
because the point of Bitcoin is Rule
it's rules without
rulers so so social consensus is is
important you minor signaling is
important but but I I do want to just
stick on that question because I think
it's important it's are you basically
saying no more changes at the protocal
level or you what what I'm saying is
people shouldn't shouldn't uh deprive
other people of their economic rights
without due process and I would say that
if you have a government that routinely
seizes people's property and doesn't
respect economic property rights no
one's going to want to live in that
country so like I'm against socialism
I'm against communism I'm not in favor
of
authoritarianism if you told me that
here's a country where they just make up
new laws to steal from people in the
country I would say I don't want to live
there and so Bitcoin in theory is
supposed to be uh a Libertarian Network
where we respect property rights and I I
don't think you're undermining my
property rights if you write software to
make the nodes work better but I think
that if you actually change the
bandwidth of the network right if if you
inflate the bandwidth you've definitely
deprived everybody in the ecosystem of
certain rights you've undermined the
security if you inflate the money supp
you've deprived people their rights if
you change the hashing protocol you've
deprived people of their rights if you
actually destabilize the network by
introduc if you sacrifice the
performance and the stability of the
network to introduce altcoin crypto you
know shitcoin features into the network
right you've deprived people of their
rights if you hijack the Bitcoin mining
n Hardware in order to do other app
applications other than Shaw 256 hashing
to defend Bitcoin you've undermined the
security of the Bitcoin holders you have
destabilized the network you may have
introduced all sorts of uh attack
vectors for hackers and also also legal
risks regulatory risk and nation state
attack vectors and so there are lots of
protocol changes that
actually destabilize the the network or
they deprive some participants of the
network of their rights to the benefit
of others and my position is I just
don't think we should deprive people of
their rights and I don't think we should
use code in order to Advantage one uh
one special interest group to the
disadvantage of everybody else um so if
we had Quantum Computing and Sh 256
became at risk
um we could move to uh Quantum resistant
uh hashing algorithm that would protect
people's property rights so that would
be something would you be in favor or
not I think that when there's
broad-based
consensus that we need to do this to
defend Bitcoin then I think yeah we're
going to do it it's a no-brainer but def
I think defending Bitcoin can become
subjective um because address formats
can change to create more efficient
trans transactions that's that's better
for everybody who holds Bitcoin who
wants to send Bitcoin and spend Bitcoin
but not so good for the miners so in
that scenario you wouldn't be in favor
of that because that would be uh that
would that would be depriving miners of
their
look I'm I don't think it's appropriate
for me to give you a definitive yes or
no I support a very tricky yeah the
point I'm trying to make is is there are
some things that make sense that would
just generally broadly universally or
near universally be viewed as good for
the network I don't think they're
controversial yeah there are some things
that may or may not be good for the
network and they Merit a lot of
discussion and there are some things
that on the margin it's not clear
they're good for the network right and
and they probably don't Merit a lot of
discussion um let's just take vaccines
everybody talks about vaccines small pox
used to kill like 10 20% of the world
everybody had a member of their family
that died of smallpox right small poox
was a rampant epidemic you roll the
clock back 3 400 years your odds of
getting it are 20 30 40% and it kills a
third of the people that get it okay you
along comes people with the idea of
let's vaccinate against small poox does
it work we don't know took a hundred
years to work through it
eventually there was a consensus that
the small pox vaccine
works you know even having said that
hundreds of millions maybe billions of
people died to small pox in the history
of of humanity so today if you were to
ask people do you think you should
vaccinate your kids with for small pox
generally the consensus would be yeah I
mean given the fact that it killed like
onethird of the Native American Indians
that weren't vaccinated yeah yeah
probably um and on the other hand if I
posit you know a theoretical disease
that may pop up in 10 years that may in
fact kill us all and then I Rush a
vaccine into production in six months
and then if I go to the to the capital
and I get a politician to pass a law
requiring that everybody take the
vaccine including your kids and then I
put you in jail and deprive you of your
job if you don't take the vaccine right
it's the it's the same word vaccine
but one of them we developed very
carefully and
conservatively based upon consensus over
a long period of time and the other one
was a well-intentioned scientist that
just wanted to help you know that was TR
and was trying to think about the future
I think uh Nicholas TB puts this best in
you know most of his books he's like he
calls these people intellectual yet
idiots it's like I sit around and I IM
imagine 100 things that might go wrong
in the country in the next 100 years now
that I imagined it whether it's the
oceans rising or the ocean sinking or
the atmosphere boiling or we all die of
this or we all die of that or the kids
don't get enough of this or they don't
get enough of that once I figure out the
the existential threat then I go and I
create a law and then I then I Lobby for
the law and then I get the law passed
and then I get the law funded and then
the government forces first they buy the
thing they force you to take the thing
they jail you if you don't take the
thing they shut down your business
discriminate against you they hijack the
entire media system they inflate the
currency to pay for the
thing and then we go to the next thing
and and it's a meme the next thing
what's the next thing what's the next
thing what's the next thing I think that
the way that Empires fall is you
have uh big
government and and you know there's big
defense there's big Tech there's Big
Medicine there's big lobbyists there's
big government there's big Banks there's
big something it's people with big ideas
and they're all convinced that the
government needs to save you from
yourself and this is good for the
country I don't think it's that
different with Bitcoin it's like no I'm
not in favor of big protocol I don't
think I think the whole idea of big
protocol
is the free market can't solve the
problem and and at the end of the day
you have people that don't believe the
free market and individuals can solve
their own problem so the government's
got to step in and help and then it
becomes the government's got to do it
for you and then it becomes the
government's going to force you to do it
and that's the road toward serfdom and
authoritarianism and that's how Empires
fail I think in
Bitcoin right that you can take the
position
that is the protocol working or is the
protocol not working it looks to me like
the protocol is working it's the most
successful monetary protocol in the
history of the world it's gone from0 to$
1.4 trillion do in 15 years it looks
like it's on the on a path to go to 14
trillion and I don't know why it
wouldn't go to 140 trillion so I look at
it right now and it looks like the
protocol as it stands is capable of
going to the point where it constitutes
5 10 20% of the capital in the world
it's going to change and inject Freedom
sovereignty and sound money into every
country every company every
institution that's that's the path we're
on right now and so why would you want
to interrupt that right and and I think
that the danger
is you can figure out how to break it
right like if you just get out of the
way and let the free market function
there are 300 million companies
and there's thousands and thousands of
agencies and there's 8 billion people
that are going to adopt the protocol and
the world will be a much better place
and I happen to be The Optimist that
thinks less is more Let the protocol
work and and in the words of you know
hyp hypocrisies Do no harm right I I
think when you have a healthy
child if I come into your house I say I
know you got healthy children but have
this theory that maybe in you know in
their 60s they're going to die of
something and so I want to try my
experimental drug on them now yeah [ __ ]
off you tell me get out of your house
like I you know like at the end of the
day but but how much worse is it if I
say well I have a theory that the entire
world's going to end in 40 years and I
want to try my experimental drug now
just to inoculate us against it and and
I think I think that that's not the case
I'm quite The Optimist I think that
Bitcoin is going to succeed it is
succeeding it's succeeding as fast as it
could reasonably
succeed and we ought to try to avoid the
tendency to F with it right remember the
meme I just heard about Bitcoin I'm here
to fix it well so if I had come into
Bitcoin in the first four years I said I
I heard about it but here's here's my
list of bip proposals to fix it how
would people react yeah yeah it's like
[ __ ] off right and and so the point
really is just because you've been
around for 10 years or five years or 15
years doesn't mean that uh you know a
diversified aggressive slate of bit
proposals that might make it better are
are any more valid you ought to consider
all of the people you affect so that
needs a strong culture of conservatism
within the developers CU look Jeremy
ruin has struggled to get CTV through
but there is an increasing number of or
increasing number of voices uh more you
know people you may consider a little
bit more liberal with proposals for
Bitcoin um and as we lose an Old Guard
as we lose you know people like Peter
will less involved I I think there is a
risk of losing that culture and so but I
think it can only be solved by
culture I I listen to all the Bitcoin
podcasts I listen to all like a ton of
L's podcasts I listen to a ton of your
podcasts I listened to you know a lot of
the
proposals and there's a lot of
discussion about about um the code and
and how a certain upgrade would improve
would add a feature or add a capability
or add some scalability and there's a
there's a big emphasis on well we need a
billion people to be able to self-
custody their own Bitcoin and and a
billion people need to be bble to do a
lot of transaction on the Bas ler or
else Bitcoin has failed like I won't say
everybody believes that I'll say there's
a lot of discussion for people that want
to add upgrades to the network and when
they're focused they're focused upon the
sovereign
individual and they're focused on the
code what I don't hear is a lot of
discussion about the second order
effects of what happens when the
unintended consequences it's like it's
normally like arm waved away as yeah
there may some but but we we need this
feature and of course we could see the
unintended consequences and sometimes
you don't always see them all but
there's a lot of them and then I don't
see a lot of discussion of the impact of
Any Given change to the Bitcoin
ecosystem what is the impact of this on
coinbase on cash app what is the impact
on Fidelity what is the impact on all
the Bitcoin miners what is the impact on
uh all the Bitcoin ETF issuers what is
the impact on all the Bitcoin holders
and and the various types and then what
and then I don't see a lot of discussion
about the impact on the free market how
will this change impact the view of
everybody that has not yet joined the
network how will it how will it impact
the view of skeptical politicians how
will it impact the view of Apple Google
Facebook Amazon Microsoft how will it
impact the Chinese View how will it
impact the Russian View and then I don't
hear a lot of discussion about are we
prepared to live with this for the next
thousand
years right and what might happen over
the course of a hundred years or 200
years right so so these are second order
third order fourth order fifth order
effects and of course the answer would
be well we don't have time to consider
all those things we have one hour or two
hours there's no way we have the
bandwidth to consider it and my answer
is exactly we don't have the bandwidth
to considerate you know it's you want to
introduce uh a new protocol change that
may have catastrophic or structural uh
inflationary impact or it may have
regulatory impact it it may deprive
someone of their property rights it it
it may create an a moral hazard an
ethical Hazard an economic Hazard an
engineering Hazard all of these things
need to be considered and when you get
in a
hurry when you know what happens when
you get in a hurry in a war whether it's
a a war on covid or whether it's an
actual War what happens is a central
planner jams this down the society we
implement the draft you go to war you
kill people we Implement medical policy
we Implement lockdown policy we
Implement centrally planned banking
policy there wasn't time we had to shut
down that bank we had to shut we had to
shut down 40 million businesses why we
had to do it for the good of the people
and and so I think that there's a lot of
bad decisions that are made when you get
in a hurry and fundamentally I would say
I'm not in favor of central planning and
I think that most of the Bitcoin
Community doesn't agree with Central
planning so why would you want a dozen
developers to centrally plan the
protocol and then to make changes
because they think it's academically
theoretically good for everybody you get
to make the decisions for the next
thousand years for 10 billion people
just because you have a good idea and my
answer is no I don't I don't think that
it's wise for us to encourage people to
play God I think you get to play God
once Satoshi played God I think the rest
of us ought to have the humility to say
we're not Satoshi by the odds were
10,000 to one against Satoshi Satoshi
the dice he won we're good but now the
way that Empires fall is the person that
in that inherited the United States that
inherits Bitcoin that inherits the
corporation they think they're just as
smart and they're just going to go ahead
and roll the dice just as hard and
they're going to play God and I think
the the the the history books show the
result the result is they always fail
the empires always Crash and Burn and
the things that last are these protocols
that we that we have respect for like
Arabic numerals like I like I I
understand protocols evolv Peter like
the English language the English
language has evolved over a thousand
years you know and if you go back to the
King James Bible you know you can see
you can understand it but it's obviously
used differently today
I'm okay with the protocol evolving over
400 years carefully conservatively
deliberately because everybody says it's
in our Collective economic and political
interest to do this I'm just skeptical
of people that have uh good ideas that
are in a hurry that would like to change
the entire network uh because it would
be maybe it would make their project
easier yeah and I'm I don't want to stay
on this track for too long and conscious
we could go around and around in circles
I'm not sure that 12 developers can make
it a change but but but I think the
trend here is something I 100% agree
with which is a strong culture of
conservative conservatism with
development I always tend to lean
towards what an Adam backck thinks you
know what Mt carello thinks uh what do
John cllo thinks with regards to things
and there tends to be this culture of
conservatism and I think we''ve kind of
had that really I mean we've had I
joined dur in one upgrade and there's
been one big upgrade since and right now
I haven't seen anything on the table
that I I really like so I I think we're
in
agreement and and I agree with you on
those names too I mean I I think that
there are voices of reason and voices of
maturity and and voices of uh
conservatism and
experience and and the the other the
other point to be made
is the protocol doesn't have to do
everything that you have to leave
opportunity for functioning and
scalability to the layer two to the
layer 3es and oftentimes the most uh the
most aggressive protocols they
dismiss the role of
corporations in this entire equation
like that the idea of be your own bank
it's like Well everybody's just got to
be their own bank but I think at some
point we're sacrificing the interest of
money in pursuit of the ideal of
sovereignty of the individual and it's
not clear to me that you get both right
and certainly you don't get both at the
same time like maybe sound money sound
money introduced in a Sly roundabout way
would be a monetary asset adopted by
every Bank every government every
corporation it backs every currency it
backs every piece of debt it backs every
equity and everybody in the world
universally agrees on it and we still
have corporations and and I think if you
consider it it's pretty obvious you're
going to want corporations to generate
electricity run your hospitals do your
Dentistry create complicated equipment
Etc so I'm I I think that if you allow
for corporations to exist then some uh
some of the you know existential threats
that we imagine that Force us to take
risk with the and Rush protocol changes
those kind of dissipate and then you say
well maybe what we'll do is will be a
Network that has a 100 million or 50
million Sovereign individuals and those
individuals will include JP Morgan and
Apple computer and the Bank of China and
the bank you know the bank of England
right mega mega Corps Mega Banks Mega
countries and maybe we're safer if they
all join the network
as opposed to construct a network to
keep them out yeah I think this is kind
of the conclusion I've come to because
for about a year now I've been asking
the question is that can you be self-
Sovereign on the lightning Network and
I've got a range of answers not
particularly good or convincing uh but
an Economy based on sound money is
certainly leaps forward and look it it
might just be a case that if you are
sovereign on the base chain that that is
a privileged that privileged position
you get not every not everyone could
have that Jeff next door can't have that
on that on that subject I think it's
important people some say well that's
just like the gold standard and gold
centralizes but it really isn't if you
had a 100,000 Banks and a 100,000
corporations and they all had billions
of dollarss of Bitcoin and they settled
with each other on the Bitcoin Network
and there was Bank of China Bank of
Russia Bank of England bank of
Switzerland Bank of America Bank of
Brazil were among them and Alibaba and
apple were among them I think that your
rights as bitcoiner and your freedom and
your sovereignty would be much better
defended by all of those powerful actors
that also adopted the Bitcoin standard
because what you're doing is you're
replacing 40,000 banks that are all
trading through one node right the
Central Bank of America right you've got
one One bank that controls the monetary
policy and the value of the reserve
asset of every corporation and every
Bank in the western world you're
replacing that with the Bitcoin base
layer and Bitcoin the asset and and
that's a that's a vision we can achieve
in the next 20 years or 30 years we can
achieve that in our lifetime and we
don't have to change the protocol to
achieve that vision of every powerful
entity on Earth universally settling
with each other and trusting each other
using Bitcoin the asset and Bitcoin the
base layer so I just I I don't see the
immediate existential threat that
necessitates that we have to take risk I
do think that if we put our focus on
getting every powerful entity on Earth
to adopt Bitcoin that isn't we convert
all of our potential enemies into
friends and we accelerate adoption to
the 8 billion people much much faster
than than making protocol adjustments
okay so this makes the next question
even more interesting because I I think
I'm aligned with you but but what about
developer funding because that has come
up uh with various accusations but
what's your position on developer
funding and and do we have enough
developers I think uh we should fund uh
developers in a surgical fashion knowing
what their priorities and principles are
so like when I when I listen to the
principles of the Bitcoin core devs like
Gloria yeah they're pretty good
principles yeah right they're they're
very grounded very thoughtful
considerate you and it's very when I
listen to the principles of Steve Lee
Steve Lee they're very good principles
you know it's Granite make the granite
good make sure it doesn't crack and then
and then trying to think about how we
stay decentralized and stay Rock Solid
you know and I I think about uh you know
principles you know from from carvalo I
think pretty good principles and then I
look at every project and I think some
projects you know some projects strike
me as being as being
improvements and then I look at others
and I think someone says well we just
really want to duplicate all the
functionality of ethereum on the Bitcoin
Network and you know and I'm like well I
don't know if I if that's such a good
idea I don't May at some point Bitcoin
is succeeding because it doesn't do
certain things right sometimes the the
absence of a feature is the feature and
and uh if we did everything we'd be less
successful and so humility you know
suggest that you got to know your
limitations so um here's what I don't
agree with I don't agree with unlimited
un governed funding for anyone that
wants to change or Lobby for a change to
the Bitcoin
protocol like I I I think that when you
have unlimited ungoverned funding for
people that wish to modify the protocol
it's like you're trying to give yourself
a disease you know and and and what
happens when you when you ere eat over
drink you give yourself metabolic
disease so I don't want to give
ourselves cancer and I don't want to
give us a heart attack and when and and
when you here's what happens when you
have big charity when you have a when
you have a mega billionaire right you
could point the gates you could point to
Zoros you could point to whatever and
they start by trying to do good for the
world so they're like I want to to help
you know save the world from global
warming I want to save the inner cities
I want to do this that billion dollars
trickles down three levels and by the
time it gets to the fifth level down
it's
financing someone that wants to define
the police you know it's like gay rights
ends up financing you know men in the
women's locker room beating the [ __ ] out
of the girls it's like well did it start
that way there's no one that financed it
thinking that but what happened
is if I made a billion doll gift right
now and I said here my billion dollar
gift is to make Bitcoin better well that
money might find its way into a bunch of
crypto [ __ ] coiner hands and they might
decide to port ethereum to bitcoin and
create proof of stake and then they
might go and start spending hundreds of
millions of dollars to lobby for
something which is just whatever they
think it's better so I think that um I
think it's a bad idea uh big charity by
I just think big charity is a bad idea
like I I don't like big government Big
Medicine big defense big lobbying big
protocol big charity I what are they all
they're all centrally centralizing
organizations with infinite power run by
a few people at the top and the person
at the top it's like big Tech I just
want to help the world is in panic and
so I'm going to censor everybody that
uses the following words and you get
ripped off of one of the networks they
don't think that they're doing the wrong
thing they think they're helping but but
big anything big
centralization results in in um a
distortion by the time it trickles down
and uh and so that's why I'm not in
favor of big development I don't want a
developer industrial complex right and
and uh you know the irony is you know PE
people worry about like uh Wall Street
taking over Bitcoin right the criticism
I've got on on this topic is pointing
out to certain Wall Street firms that
maybe it's not a good look to provide
unlimited ungoverned funding you know to
development efforts that might
destabilize the network right for
example would would you want the people
that support the other crypto networks
the proof of stake networks that are
centralized would you want them to be
funding Bitcoin development initiatives
to make Bitcoin better
no okay so do you want people that don't
distinguish the difference between those
two to fund all the Bitcoin core devs
like it my point really is I'm in favor
of thoughtful principled development but
in terms of dollars I think I think you
can go 10,000 times as fast on the layer
three and above because you're just
risking your company and your
shareholders and you should go fast I
think on the layer two I think you
should go 100x slower on on lightning or
any other layer too and you need to you
need to bow to the community consensus
even like with the orange protocol that
micro strategy looked at we got some we
got people concerned about the
efficiency the first thing I did is I
said to my devs go talk to all those
people figure out what the concerns are
don't do anything that makes it worse
right I think you have to be politically
sensitive and you have to you have to
seek consensus at Layer Two and you got
to go
slower but at layer one I think you
should be
10,000 times slower it's
like if I said to you if I said to you
uh Peter I'm showing up in the UK I'm
going to launch a business uh do you
want to oversee everything I'm going to
do and and tell me whether I can do it
and You' be like I don't have time do
whatever if it works it works if it
doesn't work fails if I said Peter I
just got put in charge of the UK I'm the
dictator and I'm going to put in place a
law and it will last for a thousand
years and I've got 20 good
ideas you know do you want to talk about
it an hour you want to talk about it a
day a week or or actually is there
something reflexive about that where
your skin crawls and you go like why
should here's the difference between
Bitcoin protocol you you could say you
could say in a way I'm more conservative
about the Bitcoin protocol called then I
am about the government of the United
States or the UK or the EU at least you
can leave the United States you can
leave you know if the government gets
you know how many laws there are there
like what 10 million pages of laws on
the books right like they didn't used to
be ask George Washington what he thought
about that right so most governments
they just Stack Up 100,000 Pages million
Pages 10 million pages of
regulations and they're all infl
inationary Regulatory and then the heart
stops and the society collapses or it
gets cancer and that's the end of the
civilization but here's my
issue people die you know if the mayor
or the president has crazy regs they get
they eventually get voted out of office
or they die laws last until they get
repealed but that but then again this
the nation May Fail the Bitcoin protocol
might last it should Outlast any
politician and it should outl any
government so I think when you're
inserting stuff in the protocol whether
it's segwit whether it's tap rot whether
it's the next good idea you have to be
saying well how do I feel about this 150
years from now I'll give you one simple
example um the mayor of New York City
gets to pass a zoning ordinance in the
year 1776 saying you can't build
buildings more than five stories because
it's not safe then okay then along com
steel and five stories zoning ordinance
don't make any sense so we repeal that
zoning ordinance but then what if every
mayor of New York got to put another
Covenant another another lean another
zoning ordinance on the land it's like
you can't bake bread you can't have
fires you can't have a nuclear reactor
you can't have explosives you can't use
steel you can't use electricity you
can't build more than 50 feet up in the
air every one of them had a reason and
look at New York City today and then
imagine if any of them still stuck
around and then also it's like do I
really want someone in the year
2024 to be able to put a recursive
Perpetual Covenant on whatever property
they owned on the Bitcoin Network
that'll last in the year
2400 right aren't you just impairing the
asset forever now I'm not saying every
Covenant proposal allows you to do it
I'm not even criticizing any particular
proposal I'm just pointing out that
there's a certain danger to being able
to write laws on the network that are
Perpetual that will go on for a thousand
years and mayor of the mayor of New
York's not thinking about that and
politicians aren't thinking about that
and the people that are lobbying in
favor of it aren't thinking about that
but I think that today and and I
wouldn't I wouldn't take such a
conservative view in the year 2012 I
would say in the year 2012
the risks on the on the margin are
greater Bitcoin will fail because maybe
of some lack of functionality or
performance or you're going too slow to
fix the bugs you know and so I think
that you have to look at the the risk
reward profile every year from
208 2009 all the way to
2024 I would just say it's logical a
logical principle is the bigger the
network gets the more likely it is to be
successful the more
conservative we should be about protocol
changes right and the more careful and
considerate we should be about the
second third fourth fifth and sixth
order
effects right and we can't afford to
make decisions in the year 2024 or
2025 the way we made them in
2016 right we we we need to we need to
be careful there's there's a lot to lose
and so
that's the way I think of it all right
conscious of time one thing we haven't
touched on that we talked about
yesterday and we can do the short
version genla but I think it's a it's a
really interesting time um the game
theory of Bitcoin is playing out in the
political landscape of the US ahead of
an
election um and it's yeah hav't been
around a few years in Bitcoin myself now
to see this is It's kind of insane
but what's your read of
all I think that um in
2020 Bitcoin was unstable and it was
unclear whether the Republican
Administration was in favor of it or
against and then maybe they leaned
against it and I think that um the
Democratic Administration came in and
gendler came in and actually um the
administration flipped from Bitcoin is a
digital currency competing with the
dollar we should ban it to bitcoin is a
digital
commodity speculative asset doesn't
compete with the dollar we don't have to
ban it so the first contribution of
gendler was to actually legitimize it as
a digital asset and a digital commodity
I think that gendler you know respects
Satoshi believes in the vision of
Bitcoin always did we know that you know
I've listened to all of his lectures in
MIT so he came in
as a as someone appreciating Bitcoin is
a digital commodity what happened next
is a very con you know guinsler then
established uh the principle the proof
of work is superior to proof of stake
and so you got so I'm going to lay out
the positives the the contribution skin
me he you know he legitimized Bitcoin as
a digital commodity he showed the world
how you create something
decentralized he he pointed out Satoshi
you know and the iMac conception is the
right principle he pointed out that
staking is probably an investment
contract and he explained why going to
proof of stake is not a good idea then
he was very hyper conservative in in uh
normalizing Bitcoin in the
ecosystem holding back for a while
eventually right we have to go to all
the way to 2024 January before we get
the approval of the spot ETFs for
Bitcoin but the single most important
thing that happened in this Epic was the
approval of the spot Bitcoin ETFs that
that that basically was crossing of the
chasm which said that Bitcoin is not a
multi hundred billion doll asset class
bit Bitcoin is a 10 to1 trillion dollar
asset class so that was a 10x to 100x
and
so so we got that from this this regime
but I think in the meantime uh the has
basically been very very obstructionist
uh you know and at war with the entire
crypto industry and we know that M right
uh you know suing all the crypto
exchanges suing a lot of the
entrepreneurs and and uh what we didn't
get right we we got um a very passive
what is the word like a a minimalist
embracement of Bitcoin embracing of
Bitcoin by CEO very reluctant under
under protest yeah embracing and then a
couple things that happened that were
triggers uh the SEC denied and has been
stalling uh the approval of options
trading on the spot ETFs it's slowing
them down so just you know those are
coming a year or two years later then
they probably ought to come if you agree
that Bitcoin is a spot asset why not
approve the
options uh for the same spot ETFs and
then the SEC uh denied in in kind
creates so you couldn't just trade your
Bitcoin for the ETF and so that both of
those make the spot ETFs inferior and
then uh the SEC put forth Sab 121 that
made it impossible for a bank to cut
Bitcoin so we got the minimal uh
acceptance of of Bitcoin legit it's like
the minimal thing I can do to legitimize
it but these other logical things let
let the bank's custody let people hedge
it and and then um you know let them
trade Bitcoin for Securities these
things which would normally be C they're
normal and customary in any other asset
they were denied and so we're going at a
very slow rate so so they're letting you
in the race but they're blindfold you
and cutting a leg off well I think that
that created a lot of friction between
the Bitcoin community and the SEC right
then you have the friction between the
crypto community and the SEC which I
don't have to go over it right there's
100 stor rais men and that was
exacerbated by the fact that over the
course of four years the SEC never put
forth uh a digital assets framework
right so what you've got an entire
industry and for it to live it needs you
you need a way to establish a digital
commodity versus a digital security
versus a digital exchange versus a
digital currency and the position of of
the regulator in this case was I'm not
giving you any framework and the
implication is you guys all have to just
roll over and die so so so how do you
tell 400 million people that support an
industry and the entire industry that
they all just have to cease operating
right and so so that's a very a very
obstructionist view like a
non-constructive view toward toward the
crypto industry and then I think the
third the third thing that happened here
is is um
we had a lot of banks you know there are
Rumors in the market that there were
banks that spent a hundred million do or
more to get ready to do Bitcoin
custody okay so you have a bunch of
banks spending money they're ready to do
it and then Sab 121 is just capriciously
denying them of the ability to do it
without
explanation okay and I and that brought
the the sa 129 debate because sorry Saab
121 means Wall Street the banking law
the bankers the crypto Lobby and the
Bitcoin Lobby all four of those
constituencies all all side together on
the same issue so that being the case
the Sab 121 repeal comes up and then the
position of the administration is we're
proactively going to veto it and now you
basically have the administration
against Wall Street and crypto and
Bitcoin and the banks right a and you
have the welling up of frustration over
four years which which reached a fever
pitch and the combination of that plus
the eth ETF coming up for approval with
the expectation that it's going to be
denied punctuated by the lawsuits
against Unis Swap and metamask which
kind of are what caus people to conclude
it would be denied I mean we all thought
it' be denied two weeks ago I thought it
would be denied the entire consensus
even the etherians thought it' be denied
so that brings everything to a
head the bill goes to the house it
passes then it then it moves into the
Senate and it passes that's a shocker
and then of course Godzilla walks into
the room and and the the the trump card
right is
is Trump and Trump becomes crypto
engaged and Trump comes down in favor of
crypto if you believe crypto you better
vote for me and then the next thing you
see is the polls flip and the Republican
front runner is ahead of the incumbent
right and when Trump flips Biden in the
polls now you see the entire Democratic
party flip and so I think in the past
few days this literally happened over
the weekend I think this weekend I think
you saw you saw the political wind
change direction this became a political
issue and the the strategists think wait
a minute 80 million people with a
coinbase account or 80 million Americans
with crypto and a big crypto Lobby and
we're going to be on the wrong side of
this there is no one that's going to
vote for you because you're anti- crypto
or anti- Bitcoin no there are no votes
there is an army of people that'll vote
against
you so I think the White House change
policies the Democratic party change
policies the signal of that was uh Chuck
Schumer and the s
voting in favor of the repeal of sa
121 and you can see why he might
basically Wall Streets adopted crypto
Wall Streets adopted Bitcoin they want
to custody it they want to securitize it
and the crypto industry is just fed up I
mean they've had enough and you know
it's like I think sunzo says you've got
your enemy cornered leave them with an
escape okay I I think that uh that the
regulator overplayed their hand in this
regard or a regulator overplayed their
hand if you basically got an industry
that represents 80 million Americans and
their only option is to fight you or die
it's a battle to the death right it's
that you know that's a very difficult
fight you you know you polarized it so I
think that the dam burst this weekend
Monday
morning uh the policy of the
administration flipped and now I think
they realize that they're best to
accommodate you know give Wall Street
What It Wants give the banks what they
want um I I think there's a lot of
details yet to be figured out like what
will happen next but um all of the
signals in the market suggest that the
Republicans will be violently Pro crypto
Pro Bitcoin and the existing
Administration the Democrats will uh
will move to a accomodate reluctantly
Pro they will move to accommodate and
and stop taking a such a an obstinate
position wild though isn't it and it is
it is wild it it upends it upend
everybody's model yeah it's like when
things get political you know and and
and uh this gets very political then you
just have to rethink all of your
premises and you know so here what I
think I think I think two weeks before
the world looked like Bitcoin was going
to be the only asset securitized and and
offered as a spot ETF by the Wall Street
establishment and it was going to spread
as the one legitimate crypto
asset I think right now uh the best
expectation is the crypto asset class
will be legitimized supported by both
parties there's an industry crypto is an
asset class there's an entire
range of use cases 247 digital trading
digital art you know nfts tokens you
know decentralize this functionality
defy there's a lot of things that will
will be considered and in a more open
light and um Bitcoin will be the leader
of the crypto asset class and and if you
look at it and say well is this good for
Bitcoin or not yeah I think it's good
for Bitcoin I think in fact it may be
better for Bitcoin because I think that
we are politically much more
powerful you know supported by the
entire crypto industry right they
obviously have a lot of political power
a lot of users and and they serve as a
as another line of defense for Bitcoin
so I think uh instead of someone saying
well there's one crypto asset maybe I'll
allocate 1% of my money to it I think
mainstream investors might say oh
there's a crypto asset class now and
maybe we'll allocate 5% or 10% of the
crypto asset class but Bitcoin will be
60% or 70% of that so I actually think
it could accelerate institutional
adoption we're back to indexing it's
good for marketing yeah there'll be
there'll be all these other things
that'll happen and you just kind of have
to rethink you know all of your models
and and move forward in a new world with
with the caveat that I looked at you
know last night fit 21 the the the
crypto bill was passed in a Landslide by
the House of Representatives 73 Dems
voted for it yeah I don't know exact
number but it it was like 2/3 1/3 so it
was a 66% or something majority it's a
484 page Bill okay so I started reading
it you know and reading F it's hard to
read 500 pages and internalize it but
I'm sure they haven't read it yeah and
it goes to the Senate and so I imagine
there be a lot of debate about what goes
into 484
Pages what what clearly they want to do
is they want to create a a um a
regulatory process to establish a
digital commodity and Define
decentralization and Define a digital
commodity and and and treat the rest I
think that again this would be political
but the difference is instead of one one
party is taking the position uh um
limited Bitcoin nothing else and you
know we're afraid of Bitcoin the the
only explanation I can come up with for
why you would believe in Bitcoin but be
but be so resistant to bitcoin options
in kind creates and Bitcoin custody for
banks is bitcoin's so good we don't want
it to go too fast we we don't want it to
grow too quickly because it might
destabilize the traditional system but
one party was limited Bitcoin and the
other party was crypto and now
we've got one party we're defined by
crypto advocacy very Pro crypto Pro
Bitcoin aggressively PR crypto and the
second party uh responsible crypto
responsible
Bitcoin but we're enthusiastic right I
mean that's that's how the playing
Shield field is shifted and that will
Ripple to the rest of the world right
however the US goes it'll go to
Singapore the UAE the EU and there are
even signs that this is it's already
rippled into Hong Kong but it may Ripple
back into China and so ultimately I
think uh 2024 will definitely be viewed
as a pivotal year but I don't see how
you can view it as anything other than
incredibly auspicious uh for the
adoption of Bitcoin by nation states
large Banks institutional investors and
there's there's just an explosion in
Global consensus that this is an idea
whose time has come and we'll be living
with uh you know a lot of other crypto
ideas along the way for quite a while to
come I think but none of them none of
them are threatening to us at this point
I think Bitcoin has gotten too
mature has become too powerful to be
threatened by another crypto I think
this is going to be a case of a rising
tide is going to lift all
boats we probably could have gone from
for another 3 or 4 hours I think that's
a good good time we save I mean there's
so many things I wanted to get into you
that with you I haven't done yet so
we'll just have to do it again uh thank
you for your hospitality always a
pleasure I don't know when I'll see you
next uh Nashville probably it was fun
we'll have something to talk about next
time around I'm sure thanks Michael
thank you to everyone listening see you
soon