Bitcoin As Property: What Perfection Looks Like with Michael Saylor | The Bitcoin Layer
The Bitcoin Layer · 2022-10-21 · 55m · View on YouTube →
foreign
[Music]
welcome back to the Bitcoin layer I'm
Nick Bhatia and today we have an
extremely special guest for you all
Michael Saylor Michael thank you so much
for joining us here today at the Bitcoin
layer
yeah thanks for having me Nick I'm
looking forward to this I'm really
excited to have you you have you offer
so much perspective for the investment
audience in terms of why Bitcoin and I
think that it's one of the things that
the world has identified you as one of
the best
metaphor Messengers on bitcoin so I was
hoping that going into bitcoin's 14th
birthday here in a couple months you
could give us a refreshed look and take
on what you feel the best metaphor or
two are for Bitcoin not necessarily
Bitcoin as of five years ago but how do
you see it explained best today
as Bitcoin has evolved uh through a few
Cycles
you know I tweeted this morning that uh
that Bitcoin is property
and I think
a lot of people are getting the idea
that Bitcoin is really technology to
manifest property rights to 8 billion
people
um but if we look at it look at Bitcoin
as perfected property or engineered
property
uh
that thing which you would need to
provide to an individual so that they
would have property rights
then I think that's an ideal metaphor I
think
I think a lot of people have have uh
talked about it as a currency and we've
and we've discussed other metaphors for
it but probably the most constructive
thing to do is to compare Bitcoin to
other forms of property and other other
assets to deliver property rights
to individuals
so can you talk to us about your view
about Bitcoin in terms of the potential
demonetization of other asset classes so
I've heard you describe how you believe
some of the capital that's allocated to
real estate and equities for example is
allocated to those to those two asset
classes because there is no other
alternative for that storage and Bitcoin
represents that so explain that to The
Listener please
sure
well um
in the absence of sound money
uh if my if fiat currency or the
currency of Any Given Society is not
holding its purchasing power
then then rational actors be they
corporations or or individual investors
or families will tend to take uh their
weak currency or their weakening
currency and they will want to invest it
in some stronger asset that'll be a
store of value
and so if we if we uh look at the United
States
the s p index has emerged as a store of
value there was a time when you could
actually take your cash put it in a bank
account and generate five percent
interest
and if you thought you're getting five
percent interest and then natural
inflation rate was less than you would
do that
um most people concluded that uh that
wasn't good enough and they actually
became stock market investors or Real
Estate Investors but uh there was a
debate about what the inflation rate is
and so if you roll the clock back 30
years some people less sophisticated
would have put their money in a savings
account other other mid-sophisticated
would have put their money in a mutual
fund and I'd say the highly
sophisticated put their money in
commercial real estate or real estate
Ventures and the reason they put them in
real estate Ventures is because real
estate offered greater property rights
and greater leverage you could lever a
real estate five to one ten to one and
more readily Finance it without a mark
to Market so I would say they're really
sophisticated long-term investors looked
to commercial real estate or some real
estate play
the uh you know the convention was I put
it with a mutual fund or I invested in
an s p index and uh you know I would say
the working class solution is I put it
in the bank in a savings account or a
credit union and I get three four five
percent interest
um
that uh that regime kind of disappeared
maybe 20 years ago or certainly 10 years
ago when the yield on credit uh on on
when the yield on savings accounts went
to zero so when the yielding savings
account is zero then there's no one
thinking they're saving money at zero
percent interest
the perception was still the inflation
rate was two or three percent even
though it was much higher than that
so now uh long-term store value uh moved
to a focus upon uh stock indexes
and real estate and other and ETFs Randa
we the king of all ETFs was the spider
the s p index but we had an explosion in
ETFs in the past decade and there were
all sorts of other types of exchange
traded funds that represent ownership of
a share of Commodities or companies or
or something and so so all of those
things are um the ETFs are securities
and if you're not going to save with uh
Securities you're going to buy
individual stocks which is a bit
complicated and some people did that and
the last thing is maybe again you go
back and you invest in real estate now
commercial real estate investment is is
really very Capital intensive so you
have to be in a 0.1 percent or the one
percent uh of the investors to have the
capital to do that most of the rest of
the investors if they wanted to pursue a
real estate strategy
they would get a second investment
property right the classic would be I
bought an apartment to Airbnb or I
bought a rental apartment a rental
property
or uh or I I bought some kind of share
and a Reit
and uh that takes us uh up to the stage
where people started to notice Bitcoin
and I I think that
it's pretty clear you know
by the end of 2021 uh after the pandemic
crisis we had monetized a lot of
different assets we had we had a spike
in uh housing prices where we're
monetizing we're basically putting a
premium on housing and excess of its
utility value we had a spike when
commercial real estate we had a spike in
meme stocks and their value we saw
extraordinary spikes and collectibles
and watches and sports cars and artwork
so so as the central Bankers were
flooding the economy with excess
currency the currency is trying to find
a tangible asset uh that will hold its
value as the currency uh debases and
everybody chooses a different one
depending upon what they know and what
they're comfortable with
um
Bitcoin right is one of those assets
which is now being monetized and it is
rising through this
chaos
to be the Apex property asset or the the
Apex monetizing asset
so I I'm I'm of the opinion that we're
going to see
um a consistent demonetization
of other key assets and
and uh you know one asset that you'll
see demonetized that we're seeing
demonetized right now is bonds
I mean I guess the big three category
right are maybe the big four currency
bonds
real estate
and Equity right those are the four big
asset classes that have been monetized
by excessive money printing
um we we see uh we see and gold is a
small one right gold is 10 trillion all
the other 4 or 10x more than that so the
big four are the the currencies the
bonds the equities and the real estate
they're starting to be demonetized now
um and I I'm not going to dwell on bonds
that's probably a discussion for another
time except to state that you know
obviously they're they're crashing you
know they've lost 20 30 40 percent of
their asset value as interest rates come
up
um
what I'm going to do is I'm going to
focus upon real estate
because I really think the interesting
discussion here is
how Bitcoin demonetizes real estate and
what will it demonetized what does it
mean to demonetize well there's a value
of real estate uh to a utility value to
someone that's using it right the true
utility rental value
and that doesn't matter whether it's a a
consumer or a business there there's a
utility value to the real estate and
then to the extent that the that the
price of the real estate is beyond that
that is the monetary premium and there's
a whole lot of commercial real estate
that has a monetary premium the way that
you would know
that it has a monetary premium
is you think about all the people that
have excess cash and they don't want to
store it in cash they don't they don't
have a safe bank account or a savings
account to put it in and their view is
I've got to buy an investment property
right that the world is full of people
that have said I bought a second
investment property or
I uh I bought a piece of commercial real
estate or I'm an investor in commercial
real estate because that is the place
that I wish to store my money
right why do you even want to store your
money why do you even want to be an
investor right the only reason anybody
wants to invest in anything is because
they believe that the risk-free rate of
return on their money is too low to keep
up with inflation
if I told you that the money was going
to grow in value 10 a year and you knew
the inflation rate to be zero you
wouldn't invest in anything right you
would you would just put your money in
in a safe place and wait for it to
create in value 10 a year so so an
extreme hard money environment
um
the the average person right the
non-expert isn't an investor the only
people that really should be investors
in theory are professional investors
right professional Venture capitalists
and professional investors have spent
all of their time analyzing
opportunities to ascertain uh the true
long-term value the cash flows
but the world is full of people
that are actually making investments in
order to preserve their wealth and
they're doing it because of the weak
money and so one of the places they make
their Investments is in real estate
investment properties it could be I got
a second home and I rented out it could
be I bought an apartment and I and I
rent it out it could be I Airbnb
something it could be I I went in and
partners with three of my friends and we
bought you know a small garage or we
bought some Warehouse or something uh
that's that's going on everywhere in the
world
so
how does Bitcoin demonetize that well I
think that you just want to start from
first principles and you want to ask
what is property
and and you can either get to Pure
property by taking away all the defects
of real property or you can start from
nothing but let's start with real estate
real property and strip every defect
away from it
so let's say you had a piece of
commercial real estate maybe um
maybe it's a a two million dollar
building
called a warehouse or two million
dollars that's a 100 Bitcoin
100 Bitcoin building as of right now
and uh I uh I happen to pull out a Genie
in a Bottle and the genie comes out and
says well Michael I'll give you infinite
wishes
and uh so I start casting magic spells
to fix the defects in my warehouse
so what's the first defect
well the warehouse has got a finite life
it's only going to last 100 years
and after 100 years the warehouse is
going to fall down a rust it's got It's
got a problem there it won't last a
thousand years it won't last a hundred
thousand years
so I say the genie why don't you make uh
once you make the building last forever
like literally Immortal okay how do you
do that well just make it out of
something which is literally
indestructible how about like you know
Pure Energy pure uh Pure Solar Energy
Right Stars last a billion years so make
it out of star stuff
okay fine the building is uh is Immortal
now the second the second problem is uh
buildings are are uh prone to damage if
there's a hurricane
or if there's an earthquake or someone
drives a truck into it or if someone
sets a bomb off in it or if uh if if uh
it gets rained on and and the water runs
into cracks in the buildings and the
water expands and the building facade
decays and it crumbles
so I say the genie make it
indestructible
no problem you know when I made it
Immortal I also made it indestructible
right so it doesn't matter how often
gets rained on and if it gets struck by
lightning or rained on or crashed into
it or exploded it's not going anywhere
okay indestructible Immortal building
okay remember the building was worth uh
two million dollars a hundred Bitcoin
well
is the building that's indestructible
and Immortal worth more or less now
right a little bit more right maybe a
lot more you could say well I got to
discount it uh for the cash flows that
you're going to generate in years 100 to
10 000 right
but but generally a building that will
last forever that you can't destroy is
more valuable now the issue is uh the
building has maintenance fees
there are all sorts of fees normally on
an ordinary building and you're paying
Insurance that's a maintenance fee well
the insurance goes away if the building
is indestructible right
and uh then I have to always if I have a
building with uh steel or or something
in it I have to paint it to keep it from
rusting well that goes away no
repainting no changing out the roof
so uh no caulking no fixing cracks so uh
the maintenance fees go away and if the
maintenance cost of the building goes
away then it's worth even more
oftentimes maintenance fees could be one
two three percent of the commercial
value of the building so if you pay
three percent of the value of the
building for the next hundred years
right that's 300 percent
if I took the 300 percent and I took it
to zero building is worth more okay
so that's good so the genie basically
makes the maintenance cost makes it a
low maintenance or zero Maintenance
building now what else draws down the
drives down the value of the building
property taxes the building is sitting
in the middle of the city and there's a
city tax there might be a state property
tax there's some kind of property tax
those taxes can range from
10 20 basis points a year to 250 basis
points a year in Florida the property
tax on a building that's held as a
residence is 200 basis points a year 10
million you know the 10 million dollar
building costs you 200 000 a year to
hold it that's another form of
maintenance so I say the genie well uh
make the property tax go away well how
do we do that well we move it out of
space it's not in a city it's not in a
country it's in cyberspace
so in cyberspace there's no property tax
if I could if I could move the building
you know in into orbit around Jupiter
there'd be no property tax right move
the building
so now I've got an indestructible
Immortal maintenance-free building with
no property tax
it's getting a bit more valuable
um
now what's your next wish well um the
building is sitting in California and
nobody wants to rent a building in
California but all the customers are in
New York City
so I blink and the building is
teleported in New York City great well
now they want the building in Tokyo
during the Tokyo Olympics so I blink and
the building is there
so I say the genie will make the
building teleportable if I could
instantly teleport the building anywhere
they'll be better building okay I've
just upgraded the property a bit more
now
what impairs the value of the building
well a limitation on who you can rent it
to right so when I can teleport the
building
then I can move it to any City to or any
place where there are people and I can
rent it to them but um the other problem
is you can only rent a building maybe by
the month maybe by the year maybe by the
decade
well what if I've got someone that's
willing to pay me
a hundred thousand dollars a day but
they only want to rent it for three days
during the Monaco Grand Prix that's an
example you know during during the
inauguration in DC when there's infinite
demand and people will pay 10x as much I
need an office space NDC for three weeks
can you teleport the billing there
well that would be a that would be an
easier to monetize piece of real estate
so I say to the genie let me rent it to
anyone for any period or another way to
say it is is I want to be able to run it
at any frequency
anywhere at any frequency that upgrades
the value of the real estate
now
um someone comes along and looks at my
uh my warehouse and they go yeah this is
great I would pay you quadruple normal
rent but I only want a quarter of it
okay I'd like to be able to subdivide it
what if I could subdivide the building
into four pieces and ship it to four
different cities and sell it to the
highest bidder
the ability to uh freely subdivide and
read and recombine the the property
at any frequency
makes the property more valuable you
know
here's the trick you know convert the
building into a hotel divided into a
hundred rooms and make it into 30 Suites
and then rent the Suites for 30 hours
each and then recombine it into one big
banquet hall and then convert it back
into a warehouse and and what you're
doing is you're morphing the building
day by day place by place to maximize
the rents
now you look at it like that you say
well you know that that building I
started with doesn't feel that good you
know it could it was static it couldn't
move it couldn't reconfigure this one
sounds much better
a flexible building
so then my issue is well it's only a
warehouse or it's only a whatever I want
to use it for anything
so if the genie basically casts a spell
and allowed me to convert the building
into a school or into a sports Stadium
or into a hotel
right or how about this one into a
container ship
people don't want hotels they want
container ships that carry natural gas
right now
well it'd be a lot more valuable if my
real estate could become a different
form of property
so if you can use it for anything that's
a big upgrade
um
you know that
the other thing you want right with any
property is you want to upgrade it over
time yeah like I've got a piece of
property I've got uh 10 acres and it's a
parking lot
well it's worth X but what if I could
develop a thousand story uh parking lot
parking garage on top of the same
acreage and I could uh I could develop
you know a thousand story building on it
well my development rights are worth a
lot in fact in New York City oftentimes
you see these people that are operated
parking lots and they sold their air
rights
the rights to build above the parking
lot to the hotel or the or or the
commercial office building to their left
or their right
and you know the air rights might be
worth 10 million dollars
or 20 million dollars
the parking lot's never going to
generate 20 million dollars but but the
right to develop is so uh my property
would be a lot more valuable if I had
the right to develop it
now who controls that right
well um it's your neighborhood your
Precinct your city your state controls
your right but if I had property in
cyberspace
I would have no limitations on my
ability to develop it
you know like uh you would say to me
well wait a minute Michael
um what's the point
of of selling the rights to build a
thousand story building when the tallest
building that anybody is allowed to
build in New York City is a hundred
stories
see there is it's impaired by code right
but then you might say to me as an
engineer what's the right of selling a
thousand story building when the tallest
building that any architect is built
anywhere in the world is you know 50 150
stories
I would say well this century
what about next Century what about you
know 200 years from now when we have
adamantium steel right or or some some
new uh construction technique do you
really believe that the tallest building
in the year 2022 will remain the tallest
building and all of humanity for the
next Thousand Years
right I mean roll the clock back 100
years how far we come roll the clock
back 200 years in the tallest building's
six stories just about everywhere
so
the ability to to continue to upgrade
the property
or the ability to sell the lien on it
right the bill to sell the right
like for example I am the humble uh I'm
the humble uh parking lot operator and
I'm going to sell you the right as Mr
developer to the hundred stories above
my parking lot
and you're going to give me money today
even though you know it will take you 10
years to find a buyer for those rights
maybe it will take you 30 years maybe
you will die and you will pass the
rights to the development of the land to
your heir
and in 30 years someone in your family
will actually develop that property or
develop that right and they'll make a
lot of money
right uh do those property rights have
value well ask the people that own the
property rights to Michael Jackson music
right or the Beatles catalog right or or
fill in the blank right a intellectual
property rights have value over time so
do
so will property property rights now the
funny thing is we talk about property
rights I just gave you property rights
how many people have managed to sell
their property rights
not not not often because we never
thought of them that way
so I'm making some progress and getting
rid of the defects in real estate and I
think the next defect is right now real
estate and the physical world is
upgraded with tractors and machines and
steel
and electricity
right and material
but what if I could upgrade the property
using computer chips
right uh if I look at the efficiency of
a computer chip they've improved by a
factor of a million over the past 10 to
20 years but if I look at the efficiency
of construction cranes in New York City
they have not improved by a factor of a
million in the past 20 years so clearly
moving into the to The computational
Domain for development out of the
physical domain is a way to upgrade the
value of the property and that's another
really nice thing about digital property
versus physical property
now all of those are upgrades but then I
but then uh the genie says to me I got
an idea for you uh I'm going to make
your property invisible to those who
would do you harm
what is the definition of privacy
one definition of privacy is my property
is invisible to those who would do me
harm and available
to my friends and family
right so you think about walking down
the street saying a wall and you see the
sign private property
it's like well it's not private to the
family of the owner it's not private to
the Friends of the owner it's private to
the criminals with guns outside the
fence that might want to jump the fence
and do you harm
okay the ultimate private property
though is property that's so private
that no one that can do you harm whether
they're a criminal or they're a
competitor
right they could be a competitor they
could be a criminal they could be a
corporation
that wants your property it could be a
government or a state actor
when you don't have property if you if
you have um
if you did have a hundred story
indestructible shining building in the
middle of a city don't you think that
people in the city would start staring
at the building and resenting the person
that owns that
so so making it invisible or just making
it go away
I don't want to own a perfect piece of
property in the middle of a city
where there are where there are male
factors that would do me harm I want the
property to be in the middle of the
Milky Way nebula somewhere a billion
billion years from now
where no one can see it no one can get
to it and no one will resent the fact
that I have it
that is that is what privacy is
so
so the genie gives me privacy to my
property and they upgrade the value of
the property what you what would you
rather have the skyscraper in the middle
of uh the capital of a hostile nation
state or the equivalent skyscraper
Somewhere In The Ether that's just as
useful to you
right well you know the mythical
Brigadoon right the Magic City the
Emerald City Over the Horizon Over the
Rainbow it's good for you you know we
have other phrases for those uh
sometimes we call it heaven right
somebody sometimes we call Paradise
right you know uh and so that's what
private property really means
now
we haven't gotten rid of all the
deficiencies in property for example if
you want to buy a piece of real estate
or sell a piece of real estate if it's
uh residential it costs you six percent
coming and going
six you know a two million dollar
residential real estate is 120 000 of
fees to buy it 120 000 of fees to sell
it heck you know you turn it over once
and you pay 12 percent of the value of
the thing
with commercial real estate the fees are
a bit lower but there's still percentage
points one two percent or something like
that
so I think I'd ask the genie to allow me
to buy and sell the property at no fee
or five basis points make it make it
possible to transfer it at zero
you know you can you can transfer uh
Bitcoin uh you know on on chain or or on
the lightning chain at numbers that are
either you know anywhere from
10 basis points to one basis point
and on Lightning less than one basis
point
so that would be nice
right I mean no one's got a cartel on
fees
make the genie get rid of the uh of the
oppressive transaction fees
that takes me my next my next point I
want uh I want my property not to be
private
I want it to be unconfiscatable
okay if you own a farm outside of a city
and the city wants an airport they can
seize your farm by eminent domain
now they can buy it at the rate they
want to pay and if you don't want to
sell it for that amount they can just
pass the law taking it
and they can pay you whatever they want
and in a war they're going to take it
for nothing
right they'll just declare it's a war
and they'll say you have to give it to
the public for the public good and in
peace time they'll take it for whatever
they want and maybe they'll take it for
their Road and maybe they'll take it for
the airport maybe they'll take it for
their public park or maybe they'll just
take it because they don't like you
right maybe you're the wrong religion or
the wrong color the wrong shape or the
wrong look or you've said the wrong
thing
so
everything that I've said before to the
genie
it still doesn't solve this problem
right how do you make it unconfiscatable
well so if if you actually put title
to the property in your head
as opposed to anywhere else then it does
become unconfiscatable
right they may not assuming that they
get past you know your other defenses
like the fact that you can teleport it
anywhere and it's private then you still
have the option to keep it it can't be
seized
I'm not done with that Genie right uh as
I pointed out before the the idea of
teleporting it is not just teleporting
it in uh space but also moving it
through jurisdictions different
jurisdictions uh put different uh
different restrictions on it so I want
the property not to be able to be
impaired by developmental restrictions
right and uh and anything physical by
definition can be impaired but anything
in the cyberspace you have a decent a
decent opportunity to keep it from being
impaired simply by moving it
um
I talked about renting it at any
frequency but the other right you have
with property is to mortgage it to
actually borrow money against it when I
have a building in uh in a state in
Atlanta I can mortgage it to banks that
do business in Atlanta that are licensed
by the nation state but by the the state
of Georgia by the city of Atlanta that
have a license to do business in the
United States
but I if someone offers me a better
mortgage if they offer me a mortgage at
half the cost but that is coming from a
different nation state I can't take that
mortgage
because I can't move the building
so when the property becomes flexible it
becomes possible to mortgage it to
anywhere to anyone
on Earth or in the heavens right any any
Bank could become the counterpart in the
mortgage
but um
you know mortgages come in flavors like
uh generally you know multi-year one
decade 30 years what if I wanted to
mortgage it at any frequency what if I
just wanted to borrow some money for the
next 30 seconds
so the ability to mortgage uh to anyone
at any frequency is an upgrade now why
would I want to do that well here's
here's a an
real world or a practical example I want
to actually borrow money against my
property and every month someone offers
me a higher bid or or a lower cost a
better offer so I just move it you know
one month I mortgage it to a bank in
Singapore another month I mortgage it to
a bank in London a third month I
mortgage it to a bank in Atlanta the
fourth month I mortgage it to a
different type of company
right it's it's a very flexible piece of
property and I can move it at any
frequency and I'm in essence driving
down the cost of my capital
in the same way that when I rent it at
any frequency
I'm driving up the yield on my asset and
and uh that makes it a better business
last ideas
well I say to the genie um can I just uh
store an entire
billion dollar building you know in the
palm of my hand
what if I could store a 10 000 floor
building and I could uh
wear it around my finger
right
infinite economic density
right the black hole right the white
dwarf of money
in this particular case if I can get to
infinite economic density that would be
fairly convenient because if I don't
have infinite economic density when it
takes you an entire city block to have
you know a warehouse
well then you run out of the ability to
manage that warehouse and so this
infinite density gives me a lot of
flexibility uh to manage the property
however I want
and then I think my last twist
as I say to the genie
you know I like the way you fixed my
property and made it maintenance free
and indestructible and Immortal and
allow me to program on a computer and
move at the speed of light and make it
non-confiscatable
Etc but now I'd like I'd like you to
guarantee me uh that you don't sell more
than 21 million blocks of this or do
this for more than 21 million in the
universe forever
so if you actually could get the
universe to agree that there will never
be more than 21 million blocks of
perfect property
that's the icing on the cake right
when I when I did everything else I
created
uh digital property
but when I capped it at 21 million
blocks I made it digital scarcity or the
ultimate scarce property
it's it's what happens to property
values when the city passes a law
saying that no one can develop any more
real estate you cannot build any more
buildings or you can't build a building
more than 10 floors forever in city
limits when you put a restriction on the
property development it drives up the
value of all the property within the
city dramatically
so here we're talking about putting a a
hard cap limit on digital property in
the universe for all time
that's even much better than 21 million
for the next hundred years or until you
know the administration changes or
someone passes a law or 21 million but
only until the United States of America
ceases to be a nation-state that's not
quite as good as 21 million forever
so
what I just did there was I you know
made about 18 wishes
to my genie
and uh each wish removed the defect in
the property
and it doesn't take a rocket scientist
to figure out that now now I've got two
million dollars to invest
do I want to own a two million dollar
Warehouse
in any city in the world or do I want to
own a hundred Bitcoin
seems pretty obvious right when you buy
the two million dollar Warehouse you are
marrying the neighborhood
zoning board you're marrying the city
you're marrying the county you're
marrying the state
right uh you're you're permanently
you're married for life to the country
right you're you're conjoined to uh and
and if you think all of those will go on
forever or for your useful Horizon
perfectly
you've still got the issue of Acts of
God
right now you're you're exposed to
earthquakes
tsunamis
floods fires lightning strikes hail
storms
global warming
Etc
and uh
it's it's pretty clear right that that
uh
commercial real estate was a good idea
for property preservation in the 20th
century
but in the 21st century
it's an Antiquated idea
right it it becomes Antiquated as as the
as the governments and as the society
around the property decays the property
itself decays for example you wouldn't
really want to own uh the most beautiful
building there is in a country where the
regime collapses
right you could have you could have a
luxury hotel but if the currency
collapses and the government collapses
your luxury hotel isn't going to hold
its value so
so as as uh various nation states
collapse the the pro properties collapse
uh a great case in point you would be to
go look at say luxury properties in Cuba
and look at what happened to luxury
hotels and luxury houses in Cuba with
the rise of Castro right it kind of
peaked in 1960 and then for the next 60
years uh all those properties decayed
gradually gradually gradually and you
know another 40 or 50 years whatever
whatever beauty or value that was there
is gone because they haven't maintained
them and they can't maintain them
this not without not without fixing the
other economic ills
and Bitcoin is the opposite of that
whereas uh
whereas commercial real estate peaked
you know as for when it peaked it peaked
at different points in different uh
jurisdictions over the last hundred
years
um Bitcoin is now just beginning to come
into its prime
and every time a new lightning wallet is
shipped Bitcoin is upgraded and every
time a new layer 3 app is created
bitcoin is upgraded and every time a new
Miner comes online Bitcoin is upgraded
and every time a new regulatory
guideline is is laid out Bitcoin is
upgraded
so Bitcoin is just continuing uh to
improve its property real estate is
continuing to Decay his property
if we come back to your question you
know how does it get this get
demonetized well you can see that the
only reason that a casual investor
wouldn't start to shift their allocation
of savings from commercial real estate
to bitcoin is they don't understand
Bitcoin
right most of them if you walked up to
the typical real estate investor and say
quick give me the 18 crippling defects
in your real estate
they couldn't name the 18 things I just
laid out to you and you know what I
couldn't either before I knew Bitcoin
you don't understand the defects in your
property until you see perfect synthetic
property or digital property just like
currency until you see perfect currency
if you don't understand Bitcoin you
don't know what's wrong with gold
right and you don't understand wrong
what's wrong with fiat currency really
until you understand what's right about
Bitcoin and I think the same is true
with with property holders they don't
understand what's wrong with their
investment until they understand what
Perfection looks like
and most of them when they hear Bitcoin
they just are afraid you know their
reaction is just oh it's it's scary I'm
afraid I don't know much about it it's
too volatile and and
the brain shuts off and that's like as
far as it goes
so
as we educate the population on bitcoin
I think uh people start to create tables
of
the 10 defects in real estate
versus Bitcoin and then you go wow the
only thing not to like about Bitcoin is
it's new and volatile
right and once you understand it's new
and volatile well you know what is the
negative uh oftentimes people have
managed to not mark their real estate to
Market if you can avoid a mark to Market
loan on real estate then you're in good
shape
any big property development family that
went bankrupt they normally went
bankrupt because their real estate
assets got marked down and their loans
got called by the bank
so it's that volatility which is the
number one risk and as bitcoin's
volatility decreases over time the loan
to value ratio that you could incur
uh if you're acquiring Bitcoin will
start to advance right now it's a low
loan to value but it will it will grow
as the volatility deteriorates and and
you know as I've Illustrated you know
even in commercial real estate there
still is some volatility and there are
still some Mark to Market uh loan
defaults sometimes
but having said all that you know that
doesn't whether or not the asset is
volatile doesn't change
um all the other strategies with regard
to real estate investment if your only
strategy is I wanted to borrow money to
buy real estate well then you're you're
going to lean toward non-volatile uh
traditional assets that your bank won't
remark every day
but if you're not using debt
to make the investment if if in fact you
were holding two million dollars in cash
right now
and your choices
you know do I actually put it into
Bitcoin or do I put it into something
else
right uh then it's a slightly different
uh a different calculation
so I I think that uh education will
cause people to gradually demonetize
their real estate and move it into
Bitcoin
I think if we switch subjects to the
second question you had which is how you
know how's it impact equity
well uh the most vulnerable Equity is
the equity indexes like the s p index
like some broad uh broad index of the
Russell 2000 or the S P 500 or the
NASDAQ index
those are things that people buy just
have a store of value without expressing
an opinion on a given company
like I don't want to pick which of the
500 S P 500 companies is undervalued
I just want to park my money somewhere
so I think Bitcoin there is emerging as
as the monetary index or a monetary
index that you can acquire
and you just don't have to an Express
opinion about a commercial entity
you don't have to be worried about the
quality of the management team or the
cash flows or or regulatory concerns and
so it it will tend to demonetize those
indexes and as those index get
demonetized
if
if a billion dollars gets pulled out of
the s p index and put into Bitcoin then
that's a billion dollars of demand for
stocks of the underlying 500 companies
in the s p that goes away
so as the money gets pulled out of the
indexes and the ETFs then that will
demonetize the equities of the
underlying constituents and as that
happens uh if some if one of the
constituents is undervalued on a
standalone basis then a professional
investor will come in and they will buy
that stock in order to Arbitrage the
difference
and so I I think that uh
that that's uh that's the dynamic there
I'll pause
and so do a little bit of fun math with
me now and let's only use the t word you
mentioned 10 trillion for gold and other
asset classes 10x or more that 10
trillion number Bitcoin sits at less
than half a trillion today
so there there's just this Delta of
potentially hundreds of trillions
between Bitcoin and the rest of the
asset classes that have some monetary
premium obviously like you mentioned
those assets have utility value then
there's a monetary premium beyond that
utility value so that monetary premium
it it hasn't as a as a number what do
you think is the potential market cap
for Bitcoin then over several decades
just using today's dollars and let's you
know uh ignore inflation as we as we
just look at today's numbers and
hundreds of trillions of dollars
relative to bitcoin
well I mean it strikes me that
if you look at gold at least half of the
value of gold is the monetary premium
so when gold trades at sixteen hundred
dollars an ounce maybe you know the cost
to pull out of the ground is 800 an
ounce and so and uh and there's more
demand for it than there should be so if
you cut the demand in half
then the marginal cost for the cheapest
uh amount of gold would probably go to
six or five hundred dollars an ounce
so
reasonable to think that two-thirds of
the value of gold is monetary premium
and if people just limited their gold to
their goal demand to what they want to
wear
then you would see a gold price which is
half to one-third of what it is right
now and uh and the remaining monetary
premium would flow into digital gold
which is Bitcoin in this case so there's
five six seven trillion dollars of
Gold's monetary premium to be grabbed by
Bitcoin but I think if you if you look
at the world
I know lots of people you know lots of
Rich investors that will hold uh 10 20
30 50 million dollar real estate
portfolio that would never think about
holding 50 million in gold
right so I think that there's probably
10x the amount of monetary premium in
real estate that there is in gold and if
you look at the monetary premium sitting
between you know real estate and Equity
you know one would think that you know
you're starting to approach a hundred
trillion dollar number there
so uh and and so all of that
is that the truly great
the great uh what is it uh the great
waste of capital or the great Capital
sinks in the world are all of the money
trapped in bonds trapped in in equity
indexes and trapped in overvalued real
estate
to a lesser extent the currencies but I
really think the bonds the real estate
and the equity and probably the bonds
and the realest the bonds are the
biggest the real estate's the second
biggest the equity is the third biggest
but all of them are an order of
magnitude more
than the capital that's been trapped in
the gold asset
so 100 to 200 trillion dollars right is
kind of trapped there depending on how
you look at it
and you know you can work backwards to
try to figure out what that means to to
bitcoin yes a 100 trillion is a 5
million price of Bitcoin using about 20
million coins and the 5 trillion in Gold
monetary premium comes out to about 250
000 per Bitcoin uh using about 20
million coins so that's really the range
that we're talking about is anywhere
from a quarter million per Bitcoin to 5
million per Bitcoin in terms of just in
today's dollars in today's dollars and
just looking at
um the the landscape of money and
Investments and assets that are out
there in the world that doesn't mean
that you or I are predicting it goes
there tomorrow or even within a Time
Horizon but it's just a representative
look at what you feel is the potential
monetary premium elsewhere that could
find its way into Bitcoin now Michael
the last thing I want to ask you about
today and thank you for being so
generous with your time is about how we
connected which is through sailor
Academy and your efforts there so so
layered money my book is now part of the
Sailor Academy curriculum in the course
econ 120 monetary history it's a big
honor for me to be a part of that
Academy tell people about sailor Academy
what some of the courses are in there
why you started to bring in Bitcoin
content and anything else there you want
to share
well the idea behind sailor Academy is
to create
um to create college level courses or
courses for continuing education for for
um everyone
but but generally for adults right we're
not really creating elementary school or
junior high or secondary school content
as much as we're creating either college
preparatory content or you know
continuing professional development type
courses
we create those courses we uploaded them
to the web we make them available to
everybody in the world
for free
so it's just uh the mission is make
education free for everybody forever
you can get a you know Computer Science
Education or chemistry or physics or you
can learn economics you know we have we
of course is in English as a second
language
we have a lot of Bitcoin related courses
Bitcoin for everybody we have Bitcoin
for developers courses we have Austrian
economics courses we have year monetary
history course
um I think um
every week we have about five or six
thousand new students
join so it's like we're spinning up a a
college in cyberspace every week
and uh everything's totally free
uh there's no cost to learn there's no
cost to get certified you can do it at
your own pace
and you could do it anywhere
and uh the you know the vision is
a hundred years from now or or hundreds
of years from now there are hundreds of
millions of people
people always going to want to be
learning hundreds of millions of
students learning whatever they want to
learn anywhere on Earth or anywhere in
the heavens they are
right so it's a very simple idea
and it's based upon
the concept that physical education is
too expensive
digital education can perfect physical
education by removing all the friction
and all the cost
the discussion we just had on digital
property
was
one of the 18 frictions that I want to
remove from physical property to create
digital property and and how much better
would digital properly property be than
physical property if it was Immortal and
could move at the speed of light and
indestructible
and the Sailor Academy is all about
digital education how do we give
billions of people hundreds of millions
of people
free education and if you think about a
scalable model like that then
then uh what follows next is pretty
pretty obvious you're just going to find
domain experts like yourself and then
you're going to license the rights to
books the rights to textbooks the rights
to custody materials and then you want
to upload the lectures upload the
reading guides upload uh the test the
certifications and and related learning
materials and and focus upon giving it
to people in a scalable platform so that
you know if tomorrow after watching this
podcast 800 people show up and they all
want to learn they can all start for
free and without any gating or
Gatekeepers right it's Education Without
Gatekeepers
and so that's the mission of uh sailor
Academy it's all available at sailor.org
saylor.org
we do offer a lot of cross accreditation
with a lot of universities and so a lot
of times if you take our courses you can
actually uh submit them to other degree
granting institutions in order to
augment your education there and get the
degree from them
we are currently pursuing uh University
status
so that we can grant our own full
degrees as a university
that requires a lot of Reggae you know
regulatory submissions and the like and
and compliance Investments and so we're
working on that you know as we speak and
and we look forward to a time when World
grant our own degrees but until then we
can still teach you how to code in Java
or data science or or monetary history
or how to bitcoin
wonderful well Michael thank you so much
for joining us today at the Bitcoin
layer we really appreciate your time you
can find Michael's Academy at sailor.org
and where else can uh the listeners find
you Michael
yeah I would encourage anybody to follow
me on Twitter uh my handle is Sailor
s-a-y-l-o-r
if you're interested in Bitcoin just
remember the phrase Bitcoin is Hope and
go to hope.com
h-o-p-e and we have we have tons of
Education materials courses we have
pointers to leaders uh websites books
videos and other instruction uh on
bitcoin at hope.com
uh my personal website is uh michael.com
you know so those are all places uh to
go if you want more information
thank you so much and thanks to everyone
for joining us today at the Bitcoin
layer
yeah thanks Nick
[Music]