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Bitcoin As Property: What Perfection Looks Like with Michael Saylor | The Bitcoin Layer

The Bitcoin Layer · 2022-10-21 · 55m · View on YouTube →

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foreign

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[Music]

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welcome back to the Bitcoin layer I'm

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Nick Bhatia and today we have an

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extremely special guest for you all

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Michael Saylor Michael thank you so much

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for joining us here today at the Bitcoin

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layer

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yeah thanks for having me Nick I'm

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looking forward to this I'm really

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excited to have you you have you offer

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so much perspective for the investment

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audience in terms of why Bitcoin and I

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think that it's one of the things that

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the world has identified you as one of

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the best

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metaphor Messengers on bitcoin so I was

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hoping that going into bitcoin's 14th

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birthday here in a couple months you

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could give us a refreshed look and take

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on what you feel the best metaphor or

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two are for Bitcoin not necessarily

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Bitcoin as of five years ago but how do

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you see it explained best today

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as Bitcoin has evolved uh through a few

1:05

Cycles

1:10

you know I tweeted this morning that uh

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that Bitcoin is property

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and I think

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a lot of people are getting the idea

1:16

that Bitcoin is really technology to

1:18

manifest property rights to 8 billion

1:20

people

1:22

um but if we look at it look at Bitcoin

1:25

as perfected property or engineered

1:28

property

1:33

that thing which you would need to

1:35

provide to an individual so that they

1:37

would have property rights

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then I think that's an ideal metaphor I

1:42

think

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I think a lot of people have have uh

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talked about it as a currency and we've

1:48

and we've discussed other metaphors for

1:50

it but probably the most constructive

1:52

thing to do is to compare Bitcoin to

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other forms of property and other other

1:58

assets to deliver property rights

2:01

to individuals

2:03

so can you talk to us about your view

2:06

about Bitcoin in terms of the potential

2:10

demonetization of other asset classes so

2:13

I've heard you describe how you believe

2:16

some of the capital that's allocated to

2:19

real estate and equities for example is

2:23

allocated to those to those two asset

2:25

classes because there is no other

2:29

alternative for that storage and Bitcoin

2:32

represents that so explain that to The

2:35

Listener please

2:36

sure

2:38

well um

2:40

in the absence of sound money

2:42

uh if my if fiat currency or the

2:45

currency of Any Given Society is not

2:48

holding its purchasing power

2:50

then then rational actors be they

2:53

corporations or or individual investors

2:56

or families will tend to take uh their

3:00

weak currency or their weakening

3:01

currency and they will want to invest it

3:04

in some stronger asset that'll be a

3:06

store of value

3:08

and so if we if we uh look at the United

3:12

States

3:14

the s p index has emerged as a store of

3:18

value there was a time when you could

3:20

actually take your cash put it in a bank

3:22

account and generate five percent

3:23

interest

3:25

and if you thought you're getting five

3:26

percent interest and then natural

3:28

inflation rate was less than you would

3:29

do that

3:31

um most people concluded that uh that

3:34

wasn't good enough and they actually

3:36

became stock market investors or Real

3:39

Estate Investors but uh there was a

3:42

debate about what the inflation rate is

3:44

and so if you roll the clock back 30

3:47

years some people less sophisticated

3:49

would have put their money in a savings

3:50

account other other mid-sophisticated

3:54

would have put their money in a mutual

3:55

fund and I'd say the highly

3:58

sophisticated put their money in

4:00

commercial real estate or real estate

4:02

Ventures and the reason they put them in

4:05

real estate Ventures is because real

4:07

estate offered greater property rights

4:10

and greater leverage you could lever a

4:12

real estate five to one ten to one and

4:16

more readily Finance it without a mark

4:19

to Market so I would say they're really

4:21

sophisticated long-term investors looked

4:24

to commercial real estate or some real

4:26

estate play

4:27

the uh you know the convention was I put

4:30

it with a mutual fund or I invested in

4:33

an s p index and uh you know I would say

4:37

the working class solution is I put it

4:39

in the bank in a savings account or a

4:42

credit union and I get three four five

4:44

percent interest

4:47

that uh that regime kind of disappeared

4:51

maybe 20 years ago or certainly 10 years

4:54

ago when the yield on credit uh on on

4:57

when the yield on savings accounts went

4:59

to zero so when the yielding savings

5:01

account is zero then there's no one

5:04

thinking they're saving money at zero

5:06

percent interest

5:07

the perception was still the inflation

5:09

rate was two or three percent even

5:11

though it was much higher than that

5:13

so now uh long-term store value uh moved

5:17

to a focus upon uh stock indexes

5:21

and real estate and other and ETFs Randa

5:25

we the king of all ETFs was the spider

5:28

the s p index but we had an explosion in

5:32

ETFs in the past decade and there were

5:34

all sorts of other types of exchange

5:36

traded funds that represent ownership of

5:38

a share of Commodities or companies or

5:42

or something and so so all of those

5:46

things are um the ETFs are securities

5:50

and if you're not going to save with uh

5:52

Securities you're going to buy

5:54

individual stocks which is a bit

5:55

complicated and some people did that and

5:57

the last thing is maybe again you go

5:59

back and you invest in real estate now

6:01

commercial real estate investment is is

6:03

really very Capital intensive so you

6:05

have to be in a 0.1 percent or the one

6:08

percent uh of the investors to have the

6:11

capital to do that most of the rest of

6:13

the investors if they wanted to pursue a

6:15

real estate strategy

6:17

they would get a second investment

6:18

property right the classic would be I

6:21

bought an apartment to Airbnb or I

6:23

bought a rental apartment a rental

6:25

property

6:26

or uh or I I bought some kind of share

6:29

and a Reit

6:31

and uh that takes us uh up to the stage

6:35

where people started to notice Bitcoin

6:37

and I I think that

6:40

it's pretty clear you know

6:43

by the end of 2021 uh after the pandemic

6:47

crisis we had monetized a lot of

6:49

different assets we had we had a spike

6:52

in uh housing prices where we're

6:54

monetizing we're basically putting a

6:56

premium on housing and excess of its

6:58

utility value we had a spike when

7:00

commercial real estate we had a spike in

7:02

meme stocks and their value we saw

7:05

extraordinary spikes and collectibles

7:08

and watches and sports cars and artwork

7:12

so so as the central Bankers were

7:15

flooding the economy with excess

7:17

currency the currency is trying to find

7:20

a tangible asset uh that will hold its

7:24

value as the currency uh debases and

7:28

everybody chooses a different one

7:29

depending upon what they know and what

7:31

they're comfortable with

7:35

Bitcoin right is one of those assets

7:38

which is now being monetized and it is

7:41

rising through this

7:43

chaos

7:44

to be the Apex property asset or the the

7:48

Apex monetizing asset

7:51

so I I'm I'm of the opinion that we're

7:55

going to see

7:56

um a consistent demonetization

8:00

of other key assets and

8:03

and uh you know one asset that you'll

8:05

see demonetized that we're seeing

8:07

demonetized right now is bonds

8:09

I mean I guess the big three category

8:12

right are maybe the big four currency

8:16

bonds

8:18

real estate

8:20

and Equity right those are the four big

8:23

asset classes that have been monetized

8:26

by excessive money printing

8:29

um we we see uh we see and gold is a

8:32

small one right gold is 10 trillion all

8:34

the other 4 or 10x more than that so the

8:38

big four are the the currencies the

8:40

bonds the equities and the real estate

8:42

they're starting to be demonetized now

8:45

um and I I'm not going to dwell on bonds

8:48

that's probably a discussion for another

8:49

time except to state that you know

8:52

obviously they're they're crashing you

8:54

know they've lost 20 30 40 percent of

8:56

their asset value as interest rates come

9:00

what I'm going to do is I'm going to

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focus upon real estate

9:04

because I really think the interesting

9:06

discussion here is

9:08

how Bitcoin demonetizes real estate and

9:11

what will it demonetized what does it

9:13

mean to demonetize well there's a value

9:16

of real estate uh to a utility value to

9:19

someone that's using it right the true

9:22

utility rental value

9:24

and that doesn't matter whether it's a a

9:26

consumer or a business there there's a

9:29

utility value to the real estate and

9:31

then to the extent that the that the

9:33

price of the real estate is beyond that

9:35

that is the monetary premium and there's

9:38

a whole lot of commercial real estate

9:40

that has a monetary premium the way that

9:44

you would know

9:45

that it has a monetary premium

9:48

is you think about all the people that

9:51

have excess cash and they don't want to

9:53

store it in cash they don't they don't

9:55

have a safe bank account or a savings

9:56

account to put it in and their view is

9:59

I've got to buy an investment property

10:01

right that the world is full of people

10:03

that have said I bought a second

10:05

investment property or

10:08

I uh I bought a piece of commercial real

10:10

estate or I'm an investor in commercial

10:12

real estate because that is the place

10:15

that I wish to store my money

10:17

right why do you even want to store your

10:19

money why do you even want to be an

10:20

investor right the only reason anybody

10:23

wants to invest in anything is because

10:25

they believe that the risk-free rate of

10:30

return on their money is too low to keep

10:32

up with inflation

10:34

if I told you that the money was going

10:37

to grow in value 10 a year and you knew

10:39

the inflation rate to be zero you

10:41

wouldn't invest in anything right you

10:42

would you would just put your money in

10:44

in a safe place and wait for it to

10:46

create in value 10 a year so so an

10:49

extreme hard money environment

10:52

the the average person right the

10:55

non-expert isn't an investor the only

10:57

people that really should be investors

10:59

in theory are professional investors

11:01

right professional Venture capitalists

11:03

and professional investors have spent

11:05

all of their time analyzing

11:07

opportunities to ascertain uh the true

11:10

long-term value the cash flows

11:13

but the world is full of people

11:15

that are actually making investments in

11:18

order to preserve their wealth and

11:20

they're doing it because of the weak

11:21

money and so one of the places they make

11:24

their Investments is in real estate

11:26

investment properties it could be I got

11:29

a second home and I rented out it could

11:31

be I bought an apartment and I and I

11:33

rent it out it could be I Airbnb

11:35

something it could be I I went in and

11:37

partners with three of my friends and we

11:39

bought you know a small garage or we

11:42

bought some Warehouse or something uh

11:45

that's that's going on everywhere in the

11:47

world

11:49

how does Bitcoin demonetize that well I

11:53

think that you just want to start from

11:55

first principles and you want to ask

11:57

what is property

11:59

and and you can either get to Pure

12:02

property by taking away all the defects

12:06

of real property or you can start from

12:09

nothing but let's start with real estate

12:11

real property and strip every defect

12:14

away from it

12:15

so let's say you had a piece of

12:18

commercial real estate maybe um

12:21

maybe it's a a two million dollar

12:24

building

12:25

called a warehouse or two million

12:27

dollars that's a 100 Bitcoin

12:30

100 Bitcoin building as of right now

12:34

and uh I uh I happen to pull out a Genie

12:38

in a Bottle and the genie comes out and

12:40

says well Michael I'll give you infinite

12:41

wishes

12:43

and uh so I start casting magic spells

12:46

to fix the defects in my warehouse

12:49

so what's the first defect

12:52

well the warehouse has got a finite life

12:56

it's only going to last 100 years

12:58

and after 100 years the warehouse is

13:01

going to fall down a rust it's got It's

13:02

got a problem there it won't last a

13:04

thousand years it won't last a hundred

13:06

thousand years

13:07

so I say the genie why don't you make uh

13:09

once you make the building last forever

13:12

like literally Immortal okay how do you

13:15

do that well just make it out of

13:17

something which is literally

13:18

indestructible how about like you know

13:20

Pure Energy pure uh Pure Solar Energy

13:24

Right Stars last a billion years so make

13:28

it out of star stuff

13:29

okay fine the building is uh is Immortal

13:32

now the second the second problem is uh

13:35

buildings are are uh prone to damage if

13:39

there's a hurricane

13:40

or if there's an earthquake or someone

13:43

drives a truck into it or if someone

13:45

sets a bomb off in it or if uh if if uh

13:48

it gets rained on and and the water runs

13:51

into cracks in the buildings and the

13:53

water expands and the building facade

13:55

decays and it crumbles

13:57

so I say the genie make it

13:59

indestructible

14:00

no problem you know when I made it

14:02

Immortal I also made it indestructible

14:04

right so it doesn't matter how often

14:06

gets rained on and if it gets struck by

14:08

lightning or rained on or crashed into

14:10

it or exploded it's not going anywhere

14:12

okay indestructible Immortal building

14:15

okay remember the building was worth uh

14:18

two million dollars a hundred Bitcoin

14:20

well

14:21

is the building that's indestructible

14:23

and Immortal worth more or less now

14:26

right a little bit more right maybe a

14:29

lot more you could say well I got to

14:31

discount it uh for the cash flows that

14:34

you're going to generate in years 100 to

14:36

10 000 right

14:38

but but generally a building that will

14:41

last forever that you can't destroy is

14:43

more valuable now the issue is uh the

14:46

building has maintenance fees

14:48

there are all sorts of fees normally on

14:50

an ordinary building and you're paying

14:52

Insurance that's a maintenance fee well

14:53

the insurance goes away if the building

14:55

is indestructible right

14:57

and uh then I have to always if I have a

14:59

building with uh steel or or something

15:02

in it I have to paint it to keep it from

15:04

rusting well that goes away no

15:05

repainting no changing out the roof

15:08

so uh no caulking no fixing cracks so uh

15:13

the maintenance fees go away and if the

15:15

maintenance cost of the building goes

15:17

away then it's worth even more

15:20

oftentimes maintenance fees could be one

15:23

two three percent of the commercial

15:24

value of the building so if you pay

15:26

three percent of the value of the

15:27

building for the next hundred years

15:29

right that's 300 percent

15:32

if I took the 300 percent and I took it

15:34

to zero building is worth more okay

15:38

so that's good so the genie basically

15:40

makes the maintenance cost makes it a

15:42

low maintenance or zero Maintenance

15:43

building now what else draws down the

15:47

drives down the value of the building

15:48

property taxes the building is sitting

15:50

in the middle of the city and there's a

15:52

city tax there might be a state property

15:54

tax there's some kind of property tax

15:56

those taxes can range from

15:59

10 20 basis points a year to 250 basis

16:03

points a year in Florida the property

16:06

tax on a building that's held as a

16:08

residence is 200 basis points a year 10

16:10

million you know the 10 million dollar

16:12

building costs you 200 000 a year to

16:13

hold it that's another form of

16:15

maintenance so I say the genie well uh

16:18

make the property tax go away well how

16:21

do we do that well we move it out of

16:23

space it's not in a city it's not in a

16:26

country it's in cyberspace

16:28

so in cyberspace there's no property tax

16:31

if I could if I could move the building

16:32

you know in into orbit around Jupiter

16:35

there'd be no property tax right move

16:37

the building

16:38

so now I've got an indestructible

16:40

Immortal maintenance-free building with

16:42

no property tax

16:44

it's getting a bit more valuable

16:47

now what's your next wish well um the

16:51

building is sitting in California and

16:53

nobody wants to rent a building in

16:54

California but all the customers are in

16:56

New York City

16:58

so I blink and the building is

17:00

teleported in New York City great well

17:02

now they want the building in Tokyo

17:04

during the Tokyo Olympics so I blink and

17:06

the building is there

17:08

so I say the genie will make the

17:10

building teleportable if I could

17:12

instantly teleport the building anywhere

17:14

they'll be better building okay I've

17:16

just upgraded the property a bit more

17:20

what impairs the value of the building

17:22

well a limitation on who you can rent it

17:24

to right so when I can teleport the

17:27

building

17:27

then I can move it to any City to or any

17:31

place where there are people and I can

17:32

rent it to them but um the other problem

17:35

is you can only rent a building maybe by

17:37

the month maybe by the year maybe by the

17:40

decade

17:41

well what if I've got someone that's

17:43

willing to pay me

17:46

a hundred thousand dollars a day but

17:48

they only want to rent it for three days

17:49

during the Monaco Grand Prix that's an

17:52

example you know during during the

17:55

inauguration in DC when there's infinite

17:58

demand and people will pay 10x as much I

18:00

need an office space NDC for three weeks

18:04

can you teleport the billing there

18:06

well that would be a that would be an

18:08

easier to monetize piece of real estate

18:11

so I say to the genie let me rent it to

18:15

anyone for any period or another way to

18:17

say it is is I want to be able to run it

18:19

at any frequency

18:22

anywhere at any frequency that upgrades

18:25

the value of the real estate

18:29

um someone comes along and looks at my

18:31

uh my warehouse and they go yeah this is

18:34

great I would pay you quadruple normal

18:36

rent but I only want a quarter of it

18:39

okay I'd like to be able to subdivide it

18:41

what if I could subdivide the building

18:43

into four pieces and ship it to four

18:45

different cities and sell it to the

18:47

highest bidder

18:48

the ability to uh freely subdivide and

18:52

read and recombine the the property

18:56

at any frequency

18:59

makes the property more valuable you

19:01

know

19:03

here's the trick you know convert the

19:05

building into a hotel divided into a

19:08

hundred rooms and make it into 30 Suites

19:10

and then rent the Suites for 30 hours

19:12

each and then recombine it into one big

19:15

banquet hall and then convert it back

19:17

into a warehouse and and what you're

19:19

doing is you're morphing the building

19:21

day by day place by place to maximize

19:25

the rents

19:27

now you look at it like that you say

19:29

well you know that that building I

19:30

started with doesn't feel that good you

19:32

know it could it was static it couldn't

19:34

move it couldn't reconfigure this one

19:36

sounds much better

19:38

a flexible building

19:40

so then my issue is well it's only a

19:44

warehouse or it's only a whatever I want

19:46

to use it for anything

19:47

so if the genie basically casts a spell

19:50

and allowed me to convert the building

19:51

into a school or into a sports Stadium

19:54

or into a hotel

19:57

right or how about this one into a

19:59

container ship

20:01

people don't want hotels they want

20:03

container ships that carry natural gas

20:05

right now

20:06

well it'd be a lot more valuable if my

20:08

real estate could become a different

20:10

form of property

20:12

so if you can use it for anything that's

20:14

a big upgrade

20:17

you know that

20:19

the other thing you want right with any

20:21

property is you want to upgrade it over

20:24

time yeah like I've got a piece of

20:27

property I've got uh 10 acres and it's a

20:29

parking lot

20:31

well it's worth X but what if I could

20:33

develop a thousand story uh parking lot

20:37

parking garage on top of the same

20:39

acreage and I could uh I could develop

20:42

you know a thousand story building on it

20:44

well my development rights are worth a

20:47

lot in fact in New York City oftentimes

20:50

you see these people that are operated

20:51

parking lots and they sold their air

20:53

rights

20:54

the rights to build above the parking

20:56

lot to the hotel or the or or the

20:59

commercial office building to their left

21:01

or their right

21:02

and you know the air rights might be

21:04

worth 10 million dollars

21:06

or 20 million dollars

21:08

the parking lot's never going to

21:09

generate 20 million dollars but but the

21:12

right to develop is so uh my property

21:15

would be a lot more valuable if I had

21:17

the right to develop it

21:20

now who controls that right

21:22

well um it's your neighborhood your

21:25

Precinct your city your state controls

21:28

your right but if I had property in

21:30

cyberspace

21:31

I would have no limitations on my

21:33

ability to develop it

21:35

you know like uh you would say to me

21:38

well wait a minute Michael

21:40

um what's the point

21:42

of of selling the rights to build a

21:45

thousand story building when the tallest

21:47

building that anybody is allowed to

21:50

build in New York City is a hundred

21:51

stories

21:53

see there is it's impaired by code right

21:55

but then you might say to me as an

21:57

engineer what's the right of selling a

21:59

thousand story building when the tallest

22:01

building that any architect is built

22:03

anywhere in the world is you know 50 150

22:06

stories

22:07

I would say well this century

22:10

what about next Century what about you

22:13

know 200 years from now when we have

22:15

adamantium steel right or or some some

22:19

new uh construction technique do you

22:22

really believe that the tallest building

22:24

in the year 2022 will remain the tallest

22:27

building and all of humanity for the

22:28

next Thousand Years

22:31

right I mean roll the clock back 100

22:33

years how far we come roll the clock

22:34

back 200 years in the tallest building's

22:36

six stories just about everywhere

22:40

the ability to to continue to upgrade

22:45

the property

22:46

or the ability to sell the lien on it

22:49

right the bill to sell the right

22:51

like for example I am the humble uh I'm

22:54

the humble uh parking lot operator and

22:58

I'm going to sell you the right as Mr

23:02

developer to the hundred stories above

23:04

my parking lot

23:06

and you're going to give me money today

23:08

even though you know it will take you 10

23:10

years to find a buyer for those rights

23:13

maybe it will take you 30 years maybe

23:15

you will die and you will pass the

23:18

rights to the development of the land to

23:20

your heir

23:21

and in 30 years someone in your family

23:23

will actually develop that property or

23:26

develop that right and they'll make a

23:27

lot of money

23:28

right uh do those property rights have

23:31

value well ask the people that own the

23:33

property rights to Michael Jackson music

23:35

right or the Beatles catalog right or or

23:39

fill in the blank right a intellectual

23:41

property rights have value over time so

23:44

so will property property rights now the

23:47

funny thing is we talk about property

23:49

rights I just gave you property rights

23:51

how many people have managed to sell

23:53

their property rights

23:54

not not not often because we never

23:57

thought of them that way

23:59

so I'm making some progress and getting

24:02

rid of the defects in real estate and I

24:05

think the next defect is right now real

24:08

estate and the physical world is

24:10

upgraded with tractors and machines and

24:13

steel

24:14

and electricity

24:16

right and material

24:18

but what if I could upgrade the property

24:22

using computer chips

24:24

right uh if I look at the efficiency of

24:27

a computer chip they've improved by a

24:29

factor of a million over the past 10 to

24:31

20 years but if I look at the efficiency

24:34

of construction cranes in New York City

24:36

they have not improved by a factor of a

24:38

million in the past 20 years so clearly

24:41

moving into the to The computational

24:43

Domain for development out of the

24:45

physical domain is a way to upgrade the

24:48

value of the property and that's another

24:49

really nice thing about digital property

24:52

versus physical property

24:55

now all of those are upgrades but then I

24:57

but then uh the genie says to me I got

25:00

an idea for you uh I'm going to make

25:02

your property invisible to those who

25:06

would do you harm

25:12

what is the definition of privacy

25:12

one definition of privacy is my property

25:16

is invisible to those who would do me

25:20

harm and available

25:22

to my friends and family

25:25

right so you think about walking down

25:27

the street saying a wall and you see the

25:28

sign private property

25:31

it's like well it's not private to the

25:32

family of the owner it's not private to

25:34

the Friends of the owner it's private to

25:37

the criminals with guns outside the

25:40

fence that might want to jump the fence

25:41

and do you harm

25:43

okay the ultimate private property

25:45

though is property that's so private

25:48

that no one that can do you harm whether

25:51

they're a criminal or they're a

25:53

competitor

25:54

right they could be a competitor they

25:57

could be a criminal they could be a

25:59

corporation

26:00

that wants your property it could be a

26:03

government or a state actor

26:05

when you don't have property if you if

26:07

you have um

26:08

if you did have a hundred story

26:10

indestructible shining building in the

26:13

middle of a city don't you think that

26:16

people in the city would start staring

26:18

at the building and resenting the person

26:19

that owns that

26:22

so so making it invisible or just making

26:26

it go away

26:27

I don't want to own a perfect piece of

26:30

property in the middle of a city

26:32

where there are where there are male

26:35

factors that would do me harm I want the

26:37

property to be in the middle of the

26:38

Milky Way nebula somewhere a billion

26:41

billion years from now

26:44

where no one can see it no one can get

26:46

to it and no one will resent the fact

26:47

that I have it

26:49

that is that is what privacy is

26:53

so the genie gives me privacy to my

26:55

property and they upgrade the value of

26:57

the property what you what would you

26:59

rather have the skyscraper in the middle

27:01

of uh the capital of a hostile nation

27:04

state or the equivalent skyscraper

27:08

Somewhere In The Ether that's just as

27:10

useful to you

27:13

right well you know the mythical

27:15

Brigadoon right the Magic City the

27:17

Emerald City Over the Horizon Over the

27:20

Rainbow it's good for you you know we

27:23

have other phrases for those uh

27:25

sometimes we call it heaven right

27:27

somebody sometimes we call Paradise

27:30

right you know uh and so that's what

27:34

private property really means

27:38

we haven't gotten rid of all the

27:39

deficiencies in property for example if

27:42

you want to buy a piece of real estate

27:44

or sell a piece of real estate if it's

27:46

uh residential it costs you six percent

27:48

coming and going

27:50

six you know a two million dollar

27:52

residential real estate is 120 000 of

27:54

fees to buy it 120 000 of fees to sell

27:57

it heck you know you turn it over once

28:00

and you pay 12 percent of the value of

28:02

the thing

28:03

with commercial real estate the fees are

28:05

a bit lower but there's still percentage

28:07

points one two percent or something like

28:09

that

28:10

so I think I'd ask the genie to allow me

28:13

to buy and sell the property at no fee

28:17

or five basis points make it make it

28:20

possible to transfer it at zero

28:23

you know you can you can transfer uh

28:25

Bitcoin uh you know on on chain or or on

28:29

the lightning chain at numbers that are

28:32

either you know anywhere from

28:34

10 basis points to one basis point

28:38

and on Lightning less than one basis

28:40

point

28:41

so that would be nice

28:43

right I mean no one's got a cartel on

28:45

fees

28:46

make the genie get rid of the uh of the

28:50

oppressive transaction fees

28:52

that takes me my next my next point I

28:55

want uh I want my property not to be

28:57

private

28:58

I want it to be unconfiscatable

29:01

okay if you own a farm outside of a city

29:04

and the city wants an airport they can

29:07

seize your farm by eminent domain

29:09

now they can buy it at the rate they

29:12

want to pay and if you don't want to

29:13

sell it for that amount they can just

29:15

pass the law taking it

29:17

and they can pay you whatever they want

29:19

and in a war they're going to take it

29:21

for nothing

29:22

right they'll just declare it's a war

29:24

and they'll say you have to give it to

29:25

the public for the public good and in

29:26

peace time they'll take it for whatever

29:28

they want and maybe they'll take it for

29:30

their Road and maybe they'll take it for

29:32

the airport maybe they'll take it for

29:33

their public park or maybe they'll just

29:35

take it because they don't like you

29:37

right maybe you're the wrong religion or

29:41

the wrong color the wrong shape or the

29:43

wrong look or you've said the wrong

29:44

thing

29:47

everything that I've said before to the

29:49

genie

29:50

it still doesn't solve this problem

29:52

right how do you make it unconfiscatable

29:55

well so if if you actually put title

30:00

to the property in your head

30:02

as opposed to anywhere else then it does

30:04

become unconfiscatable

30:06

right they may not assuming that they

30:09

get past you know your other defenses

30:12

like the fact that you can teleport it

30:13

anywhere and it's private then you still

30:15

have the option to keep it it can't be

30:17

seized

30:26

I'm not done with that Genie right uh as

30:26

I pointed out before the the idea of

30:29

teleporting it is not just teleporting

30:31

it in uh space but also moving it

30:34

through jurisdictions different

30:36

jurisdictions uh put different uh

30:40

different restrictions on it so I want

30:42

the property not to be able to be

30:44

impaired by developmental restrictions

30:47

right and uh and anything physical by

30:51

definition can be impaired but anything

30:53

in the cyberspace you have a decent a

30:55

decent opportunity to keep it from being

30:56

impaired simply by moving it

31:01

I talked about renting it at any

31:02

frequency but the other right you have

31:04

with property is to mortgage it to

31:06

actually borrow money against it when I

31:09

have a building in uh in a state in

31:11

Atlanta I can mortgage it to banks that

31:13

do business in Atlanta that are licensed

31:15

by the nation state but by the the state

31:18

of Georgia by the city of Atlanta that

31:20

have a license to do business in the

31:22

United States

31:24

but I if someone offers me a better

31:26

mortgage if they offer me a mortgage at

31:29

half the cost but that is coming from a

31:31

different nation state I can't take that

31:33

mortgage

31:34

because I can't move the building

31:36

so when the property becomes flexible it

31:40

becomes possible to mortgage it to

31:43

anywhere to anyone

31:45

on Earth or in the heavens right any any

31:48

Bank could become the counterpart in the

31:50

mortgage

31:51

but um

31:53

you know mortgages come in flavors like

31:55

uh generally you know multi-year one

31:59

decade 30 years what if I wanted to

32:01

mortgage it at any frequency what if I

32:03

just wanted to borrow some money for the

32:05

next 30 seconds

32:07

so the ability to mortgage uh to anyone

32:10

at any frequency is an upgrade now why

32:14

would I want to do that well here's

32:16

here's a an

32:18

real world or a practical example I want

32:21

to actually borrow money against my

32:23

property and every month someone offers

32:25

me a higher bid or or a lower cost a

32:28

better offer so I just move it you know

32:31

one month I mortgage it to a bank in

32:33

Singapore another month I mortgage it to

32:35

a bank in London a third month I

32:36

mortgage it to a bank in Atlanta the

32:38

fourth month I mortgage it to a

32:39

different type of company

32:41

right it's it's a very flexible piece of

32:44

property and I can move it at any

32:46

frequency and I'm in essence driving

32:49

down the cost of my capital

32:52

in the same way that when I rent it at

32:54

any frequency

32:56

I'm driving up the yield on my asset and

32:59

and uh that makes it a better business

33:06

last ideas

33:06

well I say to the genie um can I just uh

33:09

store an entire

33:12

billion dollar building you know in the

33:15

palm of my hand

33:17

what if I could store a 10 000 floor

33:19

building and I could uh

33:22

wear it around my finger

33:24

right

33:25

infinite economic density

33:27

right the black hole right the white

33:31

dwarf of money

33:33

in this particular case if I can get to

33:35

infinite economic density that would be

33:36

fairly convenient because if I don't

33:39

have infinite economic density when it

33:41

takes you an entire city block to have

33:43

you know a warehouse

33:46

well then you run out of the ability to

33:49

manage that warehouse and so this

33:51

infinite density gives me a lot of

33:53

flexibility uh to manage the property

33:56

however I want

33:58

and then I think my last twist

34:01

as I say to the genie

34:02

you know I like the way you fixed my

34:05

property and made it maintenance free

34:06

and indestructible and Immortal and

34:09

allow me to program on a computer and

34:11

move at the speed of light and make it

34:13

non-confiscatable

34:15

Etc but now I'd like I'd like you to

34:18

guarantee me uh that you don't sell more

34:22

than 21 million blocks of this or do

34:24

this for more than 21 million in the

34:27

universe forever

34:33

so if you actually could get the

34:33

universe to agree that there will never

34:34

be more than 21 million blocks of

34:38

perfect property

34:40

that's the icing on the cake right

34:43

when I when I did everything else I

34:45

created

34:47

uh digital property

34:49

but when I capped it at 21 million

34:51

blocks I made it digital scarcity or the

34:54

ultimate scarce property

34:56

it's it's what happens to property

34:58

values when the city passes a law

35:03

saying that no one can develop any more

35:06

real estate you cannot build any more

35:08

buildings or you can't build a building

35:09

more than 10 floors forever in city

35:12

limits when you put a restriction on the

35:15

property development it drives up the

35:17

value of all the property within the

35:19

city dramatically

35:21

so here we're talking about putting a a

35:23

hard cap limit on digital property in

35:26

the universe for all time

35:29

that's even much better than 21 million

35:32

for the next hundred years or until you

35:34

know the administration changes or

35:36

someone passes a law or 21 million but

35:40

only until the United States of America

35:42

ceases to be a nation-state that's not

35:44

quite as good as 21 million forever

35:49

what I just did there was I you know

35:52

made about 18 wishes

35:55

to my genie

35:56

and uh each wish removed the defect in

35:59

the property

36:01

and it doesn't take a rocket scientist

36:04

to figure out that now now I've got two

36:07

million dollars to invest

36:09

do I want to own a two million dollar

36:12

Warehouse

36:13

in any city in the world or do I want to

36:16

own a hundred Bitcoin

36:19

seems pretty obvious right when you buy

36:22

the two million dollar Warehouse you are

36:25

marrying the neighborhood

36:28

zoning board you're marrying the city

36:30

you're marrying the county you're

36:32

marrying the state

36:34

right uh you're you're permanently

36:37

you're married for life to the country

36:41

right you're you're conjoined to uh and

36:46

and if you think all of those will go on

36:47

forever or for your useful Horizon

36:50

perfectly

36:51

you've still got the issue of Acts of

36:54

right now you're you're exposed to

36:57

earthquakes

36:59

tsunamis

37:00

floods fires lightning strikes hail

37:05

storms

37:06

global warming

37:10

and uh

37:12

it's it's pretty clear right that that

37:16

commercial real estate was a good idea

37:19

for property preservation in the 20th

37:23

century

37:28

but in the 21st century

37:28

it's an Antiquated idea

37:31

right it it becomes Antiquated as as the

37:37

as the governments and as the society

37:39

around the property decays the property

37:41

itself decays for example you wouldn't

37:44

really want to own uh the most beautiful

37:46

building there is in a country where the

37:49

regime collapses

37:51

right you could have you could have a

37:53

luxury hotel but if the currency

37:55

collapses and the government collapses

37:58

your luxury hotel isn't going to hold

38:00

its value so

38:02

so as as uh various nation states

38:04

collapse the the pro properties collapse

38:07

uh a great case in point you would be to

38:10

go look at say luxury properties in Cuba

38:13

and look at what happened to luxury

38:15

hotels and luxury houses in Cuba with

38:18

the rise of Castro right it kind of

38:20

peaked in 1960 and then for the next 60

38:23

years uh all those properties decayed

38:25

gradually gradually gradually and you

38:28

know another 40 or 50 years whatever

38:30

whatever beauty or value that was there

38:33

is gone because they haven't maintained

38:36

them and they can't maintain them

38:38

this not without not without fixing the

38:41

other economic ills

38:44

and Bitcoin is the opposite of that

38:46

whereas uh

38:48

whereas commercial real estate peaked

38:52

you know as for when it peaked it peaked

38:55

at different points in different uh

38:56

jurisdictions over the last hundred

38:58

years

38:59

um Bitcoin is now just beginning to come

39:03

into its prime

39:05

and every time a new lightning wallet is

39:08

shipped Bitcoin is upgraded and every

39:10

time a new layer 3 app is created

39:12

bitcoin is upgraded and every time a new

39:15

Miner comes online Bitcoin is upgraded

39:17

and every time a new regulatory

39:19

guideline is is laid out Bitcoin is

39:22

upgraded

39:24

so Bitcoin is just continuing uh to

39:27

improve its property real estate is

39:29

continuing to Decay his property

39:32

if we come back to your question you

39:34

know how does it get this get

39:35

demonetized well you can see that the

39:39

only reason that a casual investor

39:42

wouldn't start to shift their allocation

39:46

of savings from commercial real estate

39:48

to bitcoin is they don't understand

39:51

Bitcoin

39:52

right most of them if you walked up to

39:55

the typical real estate investor and say

39:57

quick give me the 18 crippling defects

40:00

in your real estate

40:02

they couldn't name the 18 things I just

40:04

laid out to you and you know what I

40:07

couldn't either before I knew Bitcoin

40:10

you don't understand the defects in your

40:12

property until you see perfect synthetic

40:16

property or digital property just like

40:20

currency until you see perfect currency

40:24

if you don't understand Bitcoin you

40:26

don't know what's wrong with gold

40:28

right and you don't understand wrong

40:30

what's wrong with fiat currency really

40:32

until you understand what's right about

40:34

Bitcoin and I think the same is true

40:36

with with property holders they don't

40:39

understand what's wrong with their

40:41

investment until they understand what

40:44

Perfection looks like

40:46

and most of them when they hear Bitcoin

40:48

they just are afraid you know their

40:49

reaction is just oh it's it's scary I'm

40:51

afraid I don't know much about it it's

40:53

too volatile and and

40:55

the brain shuts off and that's like as

40:57

far as it goes

41:00

as we educate the population on bitcoin

41:03

I think uh people start to create tables

41:07

the 10 defects in real estate

41:10

versus Bitcoin and then you go wow the

41:14

only thing not to like about Bitcoin is

41:16

it's new and volatile

41:19

right and once you understand it's new

41:21

and volatile well you know what is the

41:24

negative uh oftentimes people have

41:26

managed to not mark their real estate to

41:28

Market if you can avoid a mark to Market

41:30

loan on real estate then you're in good

41:31

shape

41:32

any big property development family that

41:34

went bankrupt they normally went

41:37

bankrupt because their real estate

41:38

assets got marked down and their loans

41:41

got called by the bank

41:43

so it's that volatility which is the

41:46

number one risk and as bitcoin's

41:48

volatility decreases over time the loan

41:52

to value ratio that you could incur

41:55

uh if you're acquiring Bitcoin will

41:57

start to advance right now it's a low

41:59

loan to value but it will it will grow

42:02

as the volatility deteriorates and and

42:04

you know as I've Illustrated you know

42:07

even in commercial real estate there

42:09

still is some volatility and there are

42:11

still some Mark to Market uh loan

42:14

defaults sometimes

42:16

but having said all that you know that

42:19

doesn't whether or not the asset is

42:21

volatile doesn't change

42:24

um all the other strategies with regard

42:27

to real estate investment if your only

42:29

strategy is I wanted to borrow money to

42:31

buy real estate well then you're you're

42:33

going to lean toward non-volatile uh

42:37

traditional assets that your bank won't

42:39

remark every day

42:41

but if you're not using debt

42:43

to make the investment if if in fact you

42:46

were holding two million dollars in cash

42:47

right now

42:49

and your choices

42:50

you know do I actually put it into

42:53

Bitcoin or do I put it into something

42:54

else

42:56

right uh then it's a slightly different

42:58

uh a different calculation

43:02

so I I think that uh education will

43:06

cause people to gradually demonetize

43:10

their real estate and move it into

43:12

Bitcoin

43:14

I think if we switch subjects to the

43:16

second question you had which is how you

43:17

know how's it impact equity

43:19

well uh the most vulnerable Equity is

43:22

the equity indexes like the s p index

43:25

like some broad uh broad index of the

43:29

Russell 2000 or the S P 500 or the

43:32

NASDAQ index

43:34

those are things that people buy just

43:36

have a store of value without expressing

43:38

an opinion on a given company

43:40

like I don't want to pick which of the

43:43

500 S P 500 companies is undervalued

43:46

I just want to park my money somewhere

43:49

so I think Bitcoin there is emerging as

43:52

as the monetary index or a monetary

43:55

index that you can acquire

43:58

and you just don't have to an Express

43:59

opinion about a commercial entity

44:03

you don't have to be worried about the

44:05

quality of the management team or the

44:07

cash flows or or regulatory concerns and

44:10

so it it will tend to demonetize those

44:13

indexes and as those index get

44:14

demonetized

44:18

if a billion dollars gets pulled out of

44:20

the s p index and put into Bitcoin then

44:23

that's a billion dollars of demand for

44:25

stocks of the underlying 500 companies

44:28

in the s p that goes away

44:31

so as the money gets pulled out of the

44:33

indexes and the ETFs then that will

44:36

demonetize the equities of the

44:38

underlying constituents and as that

44:40

happens uh if some if one of the

44:42

constituents is undervalued on a

44:45

standalone basis then a professional

44:47

investor will come in and they will buy

44:48

that stock in order to Arbitrage the

44:50

difference

44:51

and so I I think that uh

44:54

that that's uh that's the dynamic there

44:58

I'll pause

45:00

and so do a little bit of fun math with

45:04

me now and let's only use the t word you

45:07

mentioned 10 trillion for gold and other

45:10

asset classes 10x or more that 10

45:13

trillion number Bitcoin sits at less

45:16

than half a trillion today

45:18

so there there's just this Delta of

45:21

potentially hundreds of trillions

45:23

between Bitcoin and the rest of the

45:26

asset classes that have some monetary

45:28

premium obviously like you mentioned

45:31

those assets have utility value then

45:34

there's a monetary premium beyond that

45:36

utility value so that monetary premium

45:40

it it hasn't as a as a number what do

45:44

you think is the potential market cap

45:48

for Bitcoin then over several decades

45:50

just using today's dollars and let's you

45:53

know uh ignore inflation as we as we

45:56

just look at today's numbers and

45:58

hundreds of trillions of dollars

46:00

relative to bitcoin

46:02

well I mean it strikes me that

46:06

if you look at gold at least half of the

46:09

value of gold is the monetary premium

46:12

so when gold trades at sixteen hundred

46:15

dollars an ounce maybe you know the cost

46:18

to pull out of the ground is 800 an

46:20

ounce and so and uh and there's more

46:23

demand for it than there should be so if

46:25

you cut the demand in half

46:27

then the marginal cost for the cheapest

46:30

uh amount of gold would probably go to

46:32

six or five hundred dollars an ounce

46:35

reasonable to think that two-thirds of

46:38

the value of gold is monetary premium

46:40

and if people just limited their gold to

46:43

their goal demand to what they want to

46:45

wear

46:47

then you would see a gold price which is

46:49

half to one-third of what it is right

46:51

now and uh and the remaining monetary

46:54

premium would flow into digital gold

46:56

which is Bitcoin in this case so there's

46:59

five six seven trillion dollars of

47:02

Gold's monetary premium to be grabbed by

47:04

Bitcoin but I think if you if you look

47:07

at the world

47:09

I know lots of people you know lots of

47:12

Rich investors that will hold uh 10 20

47:15

30 50 million dollar real estate

47:17

portfolio that would never think about

47:20

holding 50 million in gold

47:23

right so I think that there's probably

47:25

10x the amount of monetary premium in

47:29

real estate that there is in gold and if

47:31

you look at the monetary premium sitting

47:33

between you know real estate and Equity

47:35

you know one would think that you know

47:38

you're starting to approach a hundred

47:39

trillion dollar number there

47:42

so uh and and so all of that

47:46

is that the truly great

47:50

the great uh what is it uh the great

47:54

waste of capital or the great Capital

47:56

sinks in the world are all of the money

48:00

trapped in bonds trapped in in equity

48:04

indexes and trapped in overvalued real

48:07

estate

48:09

to a lesser extent the currencies but I

48:11

really think the bonds the real estate

48:13

and the equity and probably the bonds

48:15

and the realest the bonds are the

48:17

biggest the real estate's the second

48:18

biggest the equity is the third biggest

48:19

but all of them are an order of

48:22

magnitude more

48:23

than the capital that's been trapped in

48:26

the gold asset

48:28

so 100 to 200 trillion dollars right is

48:32

kind of trapped there depending on how

48:33

you look at it

48:35

and you know you can work backwards to

48:37

try to figure out what that means to to

48:39

bitcoin yes a 100 trillion is a 5

48:43

million price of Bitcoin using about 20

48:45

million coins and the 5 trillion in Gold

48:48

monetary premium comes out to about 250

48:51

000 per Bitcoin uh using about 20

48:54

million coins so that's really the range

48:56

that we're talking about is anywhere

48:58

from a quarter million per Bitcoin to 5

49:01

million per Bitcoin in terms of just in

49:04

today's dollars in today's dollars and

49:07

just looking at

49:09

um the the landscape of money and

49:12

Investments and assets that are out

49:14

there in the world that doesn't mean

49:15

that you or I are predicting it goes

49:18

there tomorrow or even within a Time

49:20

Horizon but it's just a representative

49:22

look at what you feel is the potential

49:25

monetary premium elsewhere that could

49:28

find its way into Bitcoin now Michael

49:30

the last thing I want to ask you about

49:32

today and thank you for being so

49:34

generous with your time is about how we

49:36

connected which is through sailor

49:38

Academy and your efforts there so so

49:41

layered money my book is now part of the

49:44

Sailor Academy curriculum in the course

49:47

econ 120 monetary history it's a big

49:50

honor for me to be a part of that

49:51

Academy tell people about sailor Academy

49:54

what some of the courses are in there

49:57

why you started to bring in Bitcoin

49:59

content and anything else there you want

50:01

to share

50:06

well the idea behind sailor Academy is

50:06

to create

50:07

um to create college level courses or

50:10

courses for continuing education for for

50:14

um everyone

50:16

but but generally for adults right we're

50:18

not really creating elementary school or

50:20

junior high or secondary school content

50:22

as much as we're creating either college

50:24

preparatory content or you know

50:26

continuing professional development type

50:28

courses

50:30

we create those courses we uploaded them

50:32

to the web we make them available to

50:33

everybody in the world

50:36

for free

50:37

so it's just uh the mission is make

50:40

education free for everybody forever

50:43

you can get a you know Computer Science

50:46

Education or chemistry or physics or you

50:50

can learn economics you know we have we

50:53

of course is in English as a second

50:54

language

50:56

we have a lot of Bitcoin related courses

50:58

Bitcoin for everybody we have Bitcoin

51:00

for developers courses we have Austrian

51:02

economics courses we have year monetary

51:05

history course

51:08

um I think um

51:10

every week we have about five or six

51:13

thousand new students

51:14

join so it's like we're spinning up a a

51:18

college in cyberspace every week

51:21

and uh everything's totally free

51:24

uh there's no cost to learn there's no

51:26

cost to get certified you can do it at

51:29

your own pace

51:30

and you could do it anywhere

51:32

and uh the you know the vision is

51:36

a hundred years from now or or hundreds

51:39

of years from now there are hundreds of

51:41

millions of people

51:43

people always going to want to be

51:44

learning hundreds of millions of

51:45

students learning whatever they want to

51:48

learn anywhere on Earth or anywhere in

51:51

the heavens they are

51:53

right so it's a very simple idea

51:55

and it's based upon

51:58

the concept that physical education is

52:01

too expensive

52:02

digital education can perfect physical

52:05

education by removing all the friction

52:07

and all the cost

52:09

the discussion we just had on digital

52:11

property

52:13

one of the 18 frictions that I want to

52:16

remove from physical property to create

52:18

digital property and and how much better

52:20

would digital properly property be than

52:22

physical property if it was Immortal and

52:26

could move at the speed of light and

52:28

indestructible

52:29

and the Sailor Academy is all about

52:31

digital education how do we give

52:35

billions of people hundreds of millions

52:37

of people

52:39

free education and if you think about a

52:42

scalable model like that then

52:44

then uh what follows next is pretty

52:47

pretty obvious you're just going to find

52:49

domain experts like yourself and then

52:52

you're going to license the rights to

52:53

books the rights to textbooks the rights

52:55

to custody materials and then you want

52:58

to upload the lectures upload the

53:00

reading guides upload uh the test the

53:03

certifications and and related learning

53:06

materials and and focus upon giving it

53:09

to people in a scalable platform so that

53:11

you know if tomorrow after watching this

53:14

podcast 800 people show up and they all

53:16

want to learn they can all start for

53:19

free and without any gating or

53:21

Gatekeepers right it's Education Without

53:24

Gatekeepers

53:25

and so that's the mission of uh sailor

53:28

Academy it's all available at sailor.org

53:31

saylor.org

53:37

we do offer a lot of cross accreditation

53:37

with a lot of universities and so a lot

53:39

of times if you take our courses you can

53:41

actually uh submit them to other degree

53:44

granting institutions in order to

53:46

augment your education there and get the

53:47

degree from them

53:48

we are currently pursuing uh University

53:52

status

53:54

so that we can grant our own full

53:56

degrees as a university

53:58

that requires a lot of Reggae you know

54:00

regulatory submissions and the like and

54:03

and compliance Investments and so we're

54:06

working on that you know as we speak and

54:08

and we look forward to a time when World

54:10

grant our own degrees but until then we

54:13

can still teach you how to code in Java

54:15

or data science or or monetary history

54:17

or how to bitcoin

54:20

wonderful well Michael thank you so much

54:22

for joining us today at the Bitcoin

54:24

layer we really appreciate your time you

54:27

can find Michael's Academy at sailor.org

54:31

and where else can uh the listeners find

54:33

you Michael

54:35

yeah I would encourage anybody to follow

54:36

me on Twitter uh my handle is Sailor

54:39

s-a-y-l-o-r

54:41

if you're interested in Bitcoin just

54:43

remember the phrase Bitcoin is Hope and

54:45

go to hope.com

54:47

h-o-p-e and we have we have tons of

54:50

Education materials courses we have

54:53

pointers to leaders uh websites books

54:56

videos and other instruction uh on

55:00

bitcoin at hope.com

55:03

uh my personal website is uh michael.com

55:07

you know so those are all places uh to

55:09

go if you want more information

55:12

thank you so much and thanks to everyone

55:14

for joining us today at the Bitcoin

55:16

layer

55:17

yeah thanks Nick

55:18

[Music]

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