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Bitcoin at $100K and Beyond: Michael Saylor on AI and Digital Wealth | Faena Rose

Faena Rose · 2025-05-15 · 1h 32m · View on YouTube →

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[Music]

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So, welcome to another fantastic Fienna

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Rose event. I can't tell you how

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incredibly excited we are for this one.

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In fact, it was 4 years ago that we came

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out of CO and the very first event we

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did out of CO was with the man, the

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myth, the legend himself, the Bitcoin

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evangelist. That's right, Michael

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Sailor. And we're fortunate enough to

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have him back with us. And I think that

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the timing couldn't be more relevant,

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more um important given the current

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Bitcoin climate. Michael, share with us

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a little bit about what we're going to

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talk about. Thanks, Pablo. Um uh well,

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Bitcoin just uh just tapped 100K and so

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2025 represents the first year of

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institutional adoption. We've now

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entered the Bitcoin gold rush. So, I'm

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excited to talk to the fan of Rose Club

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about the Bitcoin Gold Rush, how it's

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going to go for the next 10 years, and

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how everybody can cash in. So, this is

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like the Klondike, the gold rush, the

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Bitcoin rush. That's it. So, like we we

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like to say, pardon me, strap in. Get

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ready for another fantastic Fiana Rose

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event. Thank you, Michael.

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All right, let's get into this guys

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tonight because we're all here to hear

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about the man, the myth, the evangelist

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himself, right? It's almost like I got

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the Bitcoin Holy Ghost in me, right? Um,

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you know, the first event we did coming

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out of COVID in February of 21 was with

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Michael Sailor. You know, we called him

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up and he didn't hesitate. He was very,

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very gracious with his and so we brought

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him in and we did a conversation. Then

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Bitcoin was at 34. Uh, how many people

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bought in at 34?

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How many people wish they bought in at

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34? There should be a lot more hands in

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the audience. And by the end of

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Michael's conversation, pretty much all

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of you will have your hands up saying

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you wish you bought in at 34. But with

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that said, um I love this story and

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because one of our members who's a

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friend of mine

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came knew nothing about Bitcoin.

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Absolutely nothing. and he came and he

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listened and he was like, "Oh, Pablo,

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that was a really interesting

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conversation." He bought a little

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Bitcoin and he bought a little more

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Bitcoin and in the four years since he's

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bought a lot more

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Bitcoin. Uh let's just say he is eight

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figures in. Uh as far as how he's done

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with it from his little investment, he's

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done incredibly well. Um, and we had

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this is now the third time that we've

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had Michael in. And I think that this is

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the most important time because of where

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we are with um the Bitcoin climate, you

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know, the cryptocurrency climate and the

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new administration, the Lumis uh bill

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and so on and so forth. So, with that

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said, I'm going to say I'm going to kind

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of read really quickly the introduction

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for Michael, who I feel does not need an

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introduction. So, uh, bear with me as I

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read his bio. Uh, Michael is the

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executive chairman and co-founder of

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Michael's Micro Strategy, a publicly

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traded business, intelligence firm, uh,

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and a holder of, uh, let's just say a

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lot of Bitcoin because this was written

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probably before your last purchase,

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Michael, so bear with me. Uh, he's also

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the founder of

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Alarm.com. Um, named inventor of 48 plus

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patents and the author of the book The

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Mobile Wave. He founded the Sailor

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Academy, sailor.org, which is a

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nonprofit that has provided free

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education to over 1.8 million students.

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He's an advocate for the Bitcoin

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Standard, hope.com, uh, with dual

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degrees from MIT in aerospace

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engineering and history of science.

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Ladies and gentlemen, please put your

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hands together and welcome Michael

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Sailor. Thank you.

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I'm delighted to see you all

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tonight. Okay, check. Can we just

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adjust? Okay, thanks for coming. Uh, I'm

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going to talk about

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money. If you don't want money, if you

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don't need money, if you don't care

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about money, you could ignore

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me. If money is interesting to you, then

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this should be interesting talk. Um, the

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year's 2025. I think 2025 is the first

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year of institutional adoption of of uh,

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Bitcoin. I think of it as the first year

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of the gold rush. There's a 10-year

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period from 2025 to 2035. I refer to

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that as the gold rush years. Why? Uh,

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I'm going to explain it in a second, but

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the short of it is this is the first

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year that a mega corporation, a public

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company could start to buy Bitcoin in

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quantities, billions. This is the first

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year that they're seriously talking

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about Bitcoin being purchased by

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governments, by states. And

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um by the time we get to

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2035,

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99% of all the Bitcoin will have been

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mined. The last 1% gets produced in the

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next hundred years. So if you want

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Bitcoin, you probably want to buy it in

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the next 10 years because once you get

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to 19 uh to

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2035, for all practical purposes, it's a

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capped supply and the only way to get it

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is to bid up the price astronomically.

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So it's an important year. Let me start

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by talking about economic and technology

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challenges. This is uh this this faces

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every investor, every executive,

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everybody in

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business. This challenge um first of

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all, if you're an investor, you've got

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to decide what to invest your money in.

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This is the list of all the various

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assets. You can buy magnificent seven

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NASDAQ stocks, you can buy bonds, you

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can buy currency, you can buy REITs, you

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can buy real estate. What you see is

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that um conventional wisdom is you got

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to beat CPI which is supposed to be two

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3% and people think they're getting more

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in two than two to 3% and then that's

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good but the truth is the real inflation

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rate isn't the CPI it's the monetary

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inflation rate that is uh the rate at

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which the money supply expands or the

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rate at which scarce desirable assets

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incre appreciate in price. Uh, an

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interesting surrogate would be what's

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the cost of an acre of land in Miami

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Beach on the water? Uh, the my house was

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built on a about three acres, two acres

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and one. And that that land went for

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$10,000 an acre in 2030 and that land's

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at least $10 million an acre today. It's

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uh if you do the math, it works out to

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more than 7% inflation. If you look at

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Palm Beach real estate on the beach,

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there's no way it's going up 2% a year.

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Things that are very uh scarce, very

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desirable are appreciating closer to uh

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the S&P index. If you want a surrogate,

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if you're wondering how fast is the

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money supply expanding, what is the cost

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of capital? What do I have to beat as a

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hurdle rate to keep my wealth? It's

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probably the S&P index. And so what you

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see here

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is most diversification is just

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destroying wealth. If you diversify out

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of anything other than maybe you get you

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get the magnificent seven, you're

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probably underperforming that monetary

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inflation rate. That's a challenge. If

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you're running a company, a public

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company or private company, if you can't

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grow organically 15% a year, if you're

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not growing your cash flows 15% a year,

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if you don't have a growth story saying

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we're going to be 20% next year and

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another 20, another 20, nobody wants to

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invest in you. You can't go public. If

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you are public, the public company

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investors lose interest in you. Your

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options market uh collapses, your

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liquidity collapses. You're in essence a

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zombie company. You're not going to go

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out of business. There's a lot of

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honorable businesses that grow one two

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3% a year. In fact, it works out that

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99% if not

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99.9% of all businesses cannot grow 15%

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a year. They won't tell you that, right?

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They'll make you feel like you're a

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failure or a loser if you're not growing

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15 or 20% a year. But this is a dilemma

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and it faces every public company, every

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private

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entrepreneur. And then here's a chart

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that's sobering. In the 21st century,

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the winners are all digital

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monopolies. That is the magnificent

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seven and that's the S&P 500. And what

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you can see is if you're Apple, you're

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Google, you're Meta, your Microsoft,

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your Amazon, you're winning. Everybody

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else is

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losing 493 comp the the S&P 500 is the

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500 greatest companies in the in the

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world or at least in the US. 493 of the

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500 are

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losing. Okay, don't feel bad if you're

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not outperforming Jeff Bezos. 20,000

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retailers had to fail for Amazon to

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succeed. 20,000 media companies had to

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fail for Google or Meta to succeed.

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20,000 device companies have to fail for

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Apple to

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succeed. It's really sad situation when

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you think about

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it. But um if you're an investor, your

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portfolio doesn't work if you don't own

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some of the Magnificent 7, right? Every

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other investment idea probably's not

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working. And if you're a company

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executive, you're probably not

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winning. Now in technology, if you want

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to win, you can't miss the next wave.

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Whether it's personal computers, whether

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it's the graphical user interface,

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whether it's the internet, whether it's

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mobile

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computing, cloud. Right now, everybody

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talks about AI, AI, AI, AI, AI. If you

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don't hear about AI, you're probably

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deaf. But I'm here to talk about what I

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think is the most compelling next wave.

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the the wave that you can catch. I if

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you think you can compete with Nvidia,

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you have at it. But I don't think Apple

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thinks they can compete with Nvidia.

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It's not easy. But digital capital is

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the next wave and everybody can catch

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wave. Now I've laid out the problem.

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Let's talk about the Bitcoin solution.

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What is

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Bitcoin? Bitcoin's the next wave. Today

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it is uh the seventh largest asset in

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the world. And you can count them,

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right? Number one asset in the world,

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gold. 5,000year head

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start. If you're not 5,000 years old, if

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if you don't want to wait 5,000 years,

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you're in the right place because I'm

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going to give you a fast track. Uh after

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that, you got the Magnificent 7. You got

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Nvidia, you got Apple, you got

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Microsoft, you got Amazon, you got

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Alphabet, you got Meta, and then just

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creeping in there, you've got some

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silver, and then you've got uh Saudi

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Ramco. But if you look at this, what

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you'll see is that the fastest horse in

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the race, the one that's actually moving

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up the leaderboard the fastest is

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Bitcoin. 62% a year, ARR. Not for the

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past year. Not for the past four years.

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Not for the past six years. For the past

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10, ever since it started more than 62%

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a year. That's just the past four years

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though. And it is running to the top.

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And it will run past all the magnificent

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seven. And it will run past gold. And

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I'm going to show you why in the rest of

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presentation. Now, it's not just the

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seventh largest, right? It's the fastest

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growing. It is the most popular in the

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world. Most popular asset. I get I I

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walk to the beach in in south southern

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Italy. People recognize me. I'm walking

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down into a hamburger shack in Urgue.

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People recognize me. I'm on the I'm on

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the tarmac and the runway in

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Switzerland. the guy that's servicing

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the engines and and uh and he's uh you

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know guiding the airplanes on the flight

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line, they recognize me, right? Uh

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Bitcoin is spread across hundreds of

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millions of people. Probably 500 million

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people know what this is and they're all

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very passionate about it in a way that

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they're not passionate about maybe

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Saudia Ramco or Meta Stock.

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Um, it's the most interesting cuz

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something is happening every minute of

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the day. You know, it crashed at 90,000

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two days ago. People are losing their

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minds. Smashed through a 100,000. My

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phone's ringing off the hook. It's

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always moving. Much more interesting

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than these other things. It's pure

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digital.

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um something that if you can wire a

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billion dollars from one iPhone to

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another Android phone between six

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billion people in a split second that

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becomes very interesting and very

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digital right what's you can't digitize

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silver you can't digitize gold most

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these other things are just securities

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you can't even take custody of your own

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security you can't you can't trade those

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securities on Saturday afternoon so

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Bitcoin is pure digital

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uh asset. It's useful. How useful? You

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can if you need a billion dollars in

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five minutes on Saturday afternoon in

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your life dependent upon it. There's

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only one thing out there that will

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actually give it to you. Only one thing

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people, you know, what's the consequence

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of that? Well, it's volatile. It's

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interesting. And lastly, it's global.

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You know, uh the Magnificent Seven

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stocks are really just Western. They're

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United States, a little bit of Western

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Europe, Saudi Araco is Middle East. You

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don't see any Chinese companies up

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there, right? And so Bitcoin is very,

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very rare combination of things that

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make it interesting to billions of

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people around the

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planet. Now, what happens when I put

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Bitcoin on my asset allocation chart

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here? Well, it just punches a hole in

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it, right? Like when I I didn't put

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Bitcoin up there first because you

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wouldn't see anything else. Everything

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else is be is relatively

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uninteresting against 60%. What you see

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up there is there's an

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answer and then there's a bunch of

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noise. There's a signal and there's a

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bunch of noise. And if we look at it,

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that's that's 60% for four

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years. And when you look at it against

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this chart, th this makes it much

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simpler. You have a bunch of

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money. Lockdowns come along in August of

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2020. You can buy bonds, you can buy

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gold, you can buy real

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estate. All three of those don't beat

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the S&P index. They don't beat the

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hurdle rate. The conventional cost of

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capital is the S&P index is 13% every

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year for four

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years. Real estate probably less

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volatile, but but lower uh lower boost.

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Gold is only half as powerful. If you

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capitalize your entire bank on bonds,

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well, you end up with s uh Silicon

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Valley Bank, right? Your bank goes

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bankrupt. Bonds are an awful investment.

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The Magnificent Seven, good idea. Buy

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the seven greatest companies in the

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world. Okay, good idea. That doubles the

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S&P, right? You can outperform if you

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just buy the good ones. I've said often

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times I say diversification is um

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selling the winner to buy the

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losers. So when you're holding the S&P,

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you gave up the magnificent seven. You

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might as well just buy the top seven,

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throw away everything else. But the

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problem is, you know, you're living with

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the top seven. The the three richest

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guys in the world are going to be on the

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podium at uh the inauguration on Monday.

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They are

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Bezos, Musk,

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Zuckerberg. It's not a surprise. And

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then Bitcoin. Bitcoin is if you can't

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beat Bezos, Musk, and Zuckerberg, and if

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you're not going to actually buy those

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stocks, how do you outperform them?

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Well, Bitcoin is double. Bitcoin is four

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to five times better than the S&P index,

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right? It's it's a pretty compelling

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chart. You might say, well, it's just

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the last four years. But the truth is

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Bitcoin's the best asset in 11 of the

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past 14 years. This has been the story

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for for 15 years

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now. If you look at every other asset

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class, well, you've got one that's up

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147% a year on average since 2011. The

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next best is

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16 and everything else is just uh

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languishing right there. There's a

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signal there. It's screaming at you.

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It's not just the best performing asset,

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it's the best performing uncorrelated

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asset. If you go to uh conferences of

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high netw worth individuals, the

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affluent JP Morgan puts on one. It's

0:19:07

called the alternative investments

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conference. The idea is you're supposed

0:19:10

to find an alternative thing to invest

0:19:12

in which isn't risk assets. It's not

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you're not supposed to just buy a

0:19:16

portfolio of equities. So, find me

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something that will go up in value that

0:19:21

isn't correlated to

0:19:24

equities. This is uh what every

0:19:26

endowment manager at Yale or Harvard is

0:19:28

looking for. They're looking for assets

0:19:30

they can buy that aren't correlated to

0:19:33

the stock market. It might be timber

0:19:35

rates or might be real estate. Real

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estate's the most common. It might be

0:19:39

intellectual property rights or or some

0:19:42

other random thing, a natural gas

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pipeline.

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Well, in this case, it turns out that

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Bitcoin is the uncorrelated asset, the

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greatest uncorrelated asset in the

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world. But you don't have to take my

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word for it. These are Fidelity's

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numbers. Uh it's, you know, if you check

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it, it just has the weakest correlation,

0:20:04

you know, very low correlation to the

0:20:06

S&P, but also it's got the highest sharp

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ratio. So for the volatility you're

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taking, you're getting outsiz

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performance.

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A year ago, the first ETFs were approved

0:20:19

for Bitcoin, right? Uh in January of

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2024,

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um Black Rockck brought out one called

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IBIT. Black Rockck is the largest money

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manager in the world. They have

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1,1 ETFs. And the Bitcoin ETF went from

0:20:39

dead last to number 13 in uh 12

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months. basically in the first year it

0:20:46

skyrocketed above

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99%. Right. Right to the top.

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Um and and in fact it didn't just go to

0:20:58

the top. It turns out that IBID is the

0:21:01

most successful ETF launch in the

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history of Wall

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Street. In the last 40 years, the

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biggest

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innovation since Bitcoin, the biggest

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innovation, if you got to go back 40

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years, is ETFs. This idea you can buy a

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package of the S&P index called

0:21:21

SPY. And uh they've been around forever.

0:21:25

And this uh Bitcoin spot ETF just blows

0:21:29

past everything and uh scorches the

0:21:33

earth. That's how much demand there was

0:21:36

to invest in this

0:21:38

asset. In fact, Black Rockck's ETF

0:21:41

outstripped its own gold ETF in the

0:21:43

first year. Again, gold 5,000 years old.

0:21:46

Everybody knows what it is. Digital gold

0:21:49

in the first year blows past. That's how

0:21:52

fast it's

0:22:00

moving. There are 20 uh ETFs, the top 20

0:22:00

ETFs we correlated.

0:22:03

Turns out 10 of them are all Bitcoin

0:22:05

related in the last 12 months. So what

0:22:08

you can see is that Wall Street is

0:22:10

fascinated with uh Bitcoinbased ETFs,

0:22:14

derivatives, anything that's related to

0:22:16

Bitcoin is really changing the world.

0:22:19

And uh those ETFs had uh not a nickel in

0:22:23

them January 1st of 2020. Now they have

0:22:25

$ 109 billion of AUM. And uh and you can

0:22:30

see this is becoming uh a major

0:22:33

trend. But it's not just a trend in the

0:22:36

US. Uh these ETFs are popping up

0:22:38

everywhere in the world. You can see

0:22:40

these are the global ETFs. They're

0:22:42

popping up in Hong Kong and Germany.

0:22:44

They're popping up in South America and

0:22:46

Brazil and

0:22:47

Australia. Uh pretty much every major

0:22:51

capital market has an ETF launching. Uh

0:22:55

why? because they make it possible to

0:22:57

buy Bitcoin in 10 seconds on the phone.

0:23:00

Also, because of your China government,

0:23:02

you want people to keep their Bitcoin in

0:23:04

a bank regulated by a Chinese regulator.

0:23:08

You don't want the capital to flow out

0:23:10

of the country. And so, these solve

0:23:11

capital control issues, compliance

0:23:13

issues, tax issues, convenience issues.

0:23:17

And uh 6% of all the Bitcoin has just

0:23:20

been slurped up by these ETFs. The

0:23:23

people that are buying those generally

0:23:25

they're just long-term holders. They're

0:23:26

buying them for exposure. And so as they

0:23:30

buy up this Bitcoin, they're taking it

0:23:32

out of circulation. The price is being

0:23:33

squeezed

0:23:38

up. I I was talking about alternative

0:23:38

investments, right? Well, here's 60

0:23:40

global billionaires invested in

0:23:43

Bitcoin. What is Bitcoin? Imagine

0:23:45

Bitcoin is a hundred rich families sit

0:23:47

around and say, "Well, we like money. We

0:23:50

don't trust banks. We don't trust

0:23:51

governments. We don't trust any

0:23:53

currency. We'd like to keep our money,

0:23:55

but we don't trust each

0:23:57

other. So, they create a bank in

0:24:00

cyberspace. They cap out the number of

0:24:02

units at some number. We'll call it 21

0:24:05

million. And then all those families can

0:24:07

buy into that bank. And since they don't

0:24:09

trust each other, they all run a copy of

0:24:11

the bank software. That's Bitcoin.

0:24:14

Bitcoin is just a very elegant idea for

0:24:17

how you get to keep your money, right?

0:24:19

Rich people like their money. They want

0:24:21

to keep their money, right? This is

0:24:23

spreading. Those 60 billionaires, those

0:24:25

are just the ones we know, not the ones

0:24:27

that own it. I'm sure that a lot of

0:24:29

people own it that aren't going to

0:24:31

disclose it. But the point that I want

0:24:33

to make here is that Bitcoin is the

0:24:34

fastest growing alternative investment

0:24:36

for high netw worth individuals in the

0:24:38

world. And you know, if you think about

0:24:41

it from first principles, it's by far

0:24:43

the easiest. Yeah, it's not easy to buy

0:24:46

buildings or buy, you know, Paul

0:24:48

McCartney's music rights or buy natural

0:24:50

gas pipelines, but you can buy $20 of

0:24:53

Bitcoin, 200, 2,000, 20 million, 200

0:24:57

million, 2 billion, 20 billion. And it

0:25:00

doesn't matter how much you buy, you

0:25:01

have the same exact property rights, the

0:25:04

same exact asset as everybody

0:25:06

else. This is very compelling. Um, I say

0:25:10

to people sometimes, you're trying to

0:25:11

figure out what to buy to give to your

0:25:13

kids or

0:25:15

grandkids. Um, buy something that passes

0:25:18

the Bernard RO test. Buy something that

0:25:22

a person richer than you, more cultured

0:25:24

than you will want to buy from you in a

0:25:27

decade. Right? If the billionaires want

0:25:30

it now, they're going to want your

0:25:32

Bitcoin in a decade. If they want your

0:25:34

Bitcoin in a decade, then the price is

0:25:36

going up. It's not going down. you'll

0:25:38

always find a willing market for

0:25:41

it. 70 public companies right now are

0:25:44

capitalizing on Bitcoin. Uh in uh August

0:25:47

of 2020 that number was zero and Micro

0:25:52

Strategy was the first and uh and since

0:25:55

then we're starting to see a viral

0:25:58

effect. This is an economic de dynamic

0:26:00

spreading virally around the world. Why?

0:26:03

Because public companies can issue

0:26:07

millions or billions of dollars of

0:26:09

securities every week and they can do it

0:26:12

again over and over again. So once a

0:26:15

public company capitalizes on Bitcoin,

0:26:17

they don't just buy 10 million a year or

0:26:20

10 million a week. Um we uh we went to

0:26:24

the market and we uh raised a billion

0:26:27

dollars in a convertible bond one week.

0:26:29

Uh it worked out well. The next week we

0:26:31

did it again. The next quarter we did it

0:26:34

again. The next quarter we did it again.

0:26:37

Last quarter we started to raise one and

0:26:39

a half billion and then we decided to

0:26:42

make it two and then we decided at the

0:26:44

end of the day to make it

0:26:45

three. So when you're playing with

0:26:47

public company money, the amount of of

0:26:50

capital here is orders of magnitude more

0:26:54

than you would see with private

0:26:56

corporations. And as each one of these

0:26:58

flip, they go from um they go and if the

0:27:03

miners flip, they go from selling

0:27:04

Bitcoin to buying it. And another

0:27:08

example, MEA up there, they went and did

0:27:10

a convertible bond offering one week for

0:27:13

something like $800 million. They came

0:27:15

back the next week and did another 600.

0:27:17

I think they did a billion the first

0:27:18

week and then like 800 million the next

0:27:20

week. And so these are very very

0:27:23

powerful actors in this space. and uh

0:27:26

every major market this is

0:27:34

spreading. Here's a snapshot of Bitcoin

0:27:34

ETFs um versus the commodity ETFs. What

0:27:38

you can see uh like we're looking at

0:27:40

silver and gold and Bitcoin. So,

0:27:42

Bitcoin's the

0:27:44

winner. Gold is the second best

0:27:47

commodity. Um and

0:27:50

um there really isn't a third, right?

0:27:53

The rest are just trading vehicles.

0:27:54

you're not going to actually hold any

0:27:56

other commodity for any material period

0:27:58

of time. So, Bitcoin is generally just

0:28:01

eating all the commodity ETFs. This is

0:28:04

Bitcoin against the bond

0:28:06

ETFs. What you can see here is, you

0:28:09

know, all the bonds are kind of slow,

0:28:11

sleepy money and Bitcoin is blowing past

0:28:14

all of them, right? Do you want 4%

0:28:16

return a year or do you want 99%.

0:28:19

Um, there used to be a 60/40 bond

0:28:21

portfolio. You know, 60% equity, 40%

0:28:24

bond. Now, Bitcoin's creeping in to be 1

0:28:26

to 3% of those

0:28:28

portfolios. It'll move to 5 to 10% of

0:28:31

those

0:28:32

portfolios. As it does, the price of

0:28:35

Bitcoin is going to

0:28:36

skyrocket. This is all the the large

0:28:40

these are the largest ETFs in the world.

0:28:43

And so it's ranked from the number one

0:28:45

in assets, the spy, all the way down.

0:28:49

You see where IBIT is on this chart, you

0:28:51

know, from nothing crawled up on the on

0:28:54

the board. But what you can also see is

0:28:56

that with the performance of IBIT, it's

0:28:58

pulling and Bitcoin, they're pulling so

0:29:00

much capital, they're going to slurp the

0:29:03

capital out of all the other ETFs. And I

0:29:06

don't think it's unreasonable to

0:29:08

forecast that IBIT may very well grow to

0:29:11

be the biggest ETF in the world within

0:29:12

10 years at the rate it's going right

0:29:16

now. And uh the bad news for you is

0:29:19

Bitcoin is beating your favorite hedge

0:29:21

fund. These are the best hedge

0:29:24

funds. You know, we can find four hedge

0:29:27

funds that could outperform the S&P in

0:29:29

2024. Most hedge funds underperform the

0:29:32

S&P in

0:29:34

2024, but Bitcoin, of course, is

0:29:36

crushing all of them. And the joke, of

0:29:38

course, is, you know, the bartender, you

0:29:42

know, the Uber driver, the aircraft

0:29:45

mechanic, they're all buying

0:29:47

Bitcoin, right? And they're totally

0:29:49

crushing all of the masters of the

0:29:51

universe with their PhDs in finance and

0:29:54

all of their computers and their 18

0:29:56

screens and all their high frequency

0:29:58

trading.

0:30:00

Right. And

0:30:01

uh it's a it's a reckoning. Bitcoin is

0:30:05

the new

0:30:07

benchmark. What is it? Well, you have to

0:30:10

go back to first principles to figure

0:30:12

out what is Bitcoin. This is uh the

0:30:14

great court at

0:30:15

MIT where I studied physics and

0:30:17

thermodynamics and engineering.

0:30:21

And everybody in the world knows Satoshi

0:30:24

discovered a method to transfer value

0:30:27

without a trusted intermediary. that's

0:30:29

been repeated at infinitum. Uh it's

0:30:32

repeated at infinitum brainlessly by

0:30:34

people that love Bitcoin, by people that

0:30:36

hate Bitcoin, by people that want to

0:30:38

criticize it. Right? This is the thing.

0:30:41

But they don't really think hard about

0:30:45

what that means. Because if you can come

0:30:48

up with a way to send value between two

0:30:51

individuals without a trusted

0:30:54

intermediary, you've come up with a way

0:30:56

to store value without a trusted

0:31:00

intermediary. So the profound idea is is

0:31:04

not I can send a billion dollars from me

0:31:07

to you without a bank in the middle. The

0:31:10

profound idea is I can put a billion

0:31:12

dollars in cyberspace for all of

0:31:15

eternity without a bank in the middle.

0:31:18

That is to say, we put money in orbit.

0:31:21

The difference between putting something

0:31:23

in orbit and then putting it a ballistic

0:31:25

trajectory is the ballistic trajectory

0:31:28

comes back to Earth. The thing in orbit

0:31:30

orbits for a billion years. you put it

0:31:33

up uh into into a fast enough escape

0:31:36

trajectory, maybe it orbits the solar

0:31:38

system or the sun, maybe it escapes the

0:31:41

solar

0:31:42

system. Putting something in orbit is

0:31:46

profound. Putting money in cyberspace,

0:31:49

storing value in a network that doesn't

0:31:53

rely on a government, a company, a

0:31:55

computer, a

0:31:57

counterparty. That's the profound idea.

0:32:01

uh bitcoin you know satoshi discovered

0:32:03

something which is profound it's it's

0:32:06

digital energy it's the conservation of

0:32:09

energy in cyber space it's the first

0:32:12

digital thing that you can't copy you

0:32:15

can copy everything else it represents

0:32:18

the transformation of capital our

0:32:21

capital from finance and physical assets

0:32:24

to digital is the digital transformation

0:32:28

of everything that we think is valuable

0:32:30

in this world. And here's a chart of it.

0:32:34

Global wealth, $900

0:32:36

trillion. People own things they think

0:32:38

are valuable, bonds and currencies and

0:32:41

equities and real estate and art and

0:32:44

gold. But if you look at that chart and

0:32:47

you think about it a bit, you realize

0:32:49

that half of those assets are held for

0:32:52

the utility value. When you have a car

0:32:54

or a plane because you want to fly in it

0:32:56

or drive it, it's it's useful.

0:32:59

When you have a building because you

0:33:01

need to work in it or manufacture in it,

0:33:03

it's useful. But when you just buy

0:33:05

something because you need to park your

0:33:07

money there, it's long-term capital.

0:33:10

It's store of value. It's the It's the

0:33:13

rich dude that has 10 houses but lives

0:33:15

in one, right? They're just land

0:33:18

banking, right? When you buy the bar of

0:33:20

gold, it it's the rich family that has

0:33:23

87 Picassos in a vault under a mountain

0:33:27

in Switzerland.

0:33:29

They didn't buy them to look at them.

0:33:31

They're just parking the money there.

0:33:34

So, I'm going to call that long-term

0:33:36

capital, that's half of

0:33:38

everything, right? When you when you're

0:33:40

a company with bonds on the balance

0:33:42

sheet, you're just parking your capital

0:33:45

there, right? And so, you can see with

0:33:47

currencies, with bonds, it's pretty

0:33:49

obvious. But a lot of people buy real

0:33:51

estate and a lot of people buy stocks

0:33:54

because they just have to buy something.

0:33:56

They're just putting their money there.

0:33:59

Now, here's the

0:34:06

problem. That $450 trillion parked in

0:34:06

financial assets and physical assets is

0:34:09

struggling against entropy, against

0:34:11

chaos, against inflation, against

0:34:15

competition, against the passage of

0:34:17

time, right? You had a bunch of land in

0:34:20

Pacific Palisades, right? Fire hits.

0:34:23

It's not worth as much. you had uh

0:34:25

something on the on the Gulf Coast of

0:34:28

Florida hurricane hits you, right? You

0:34:31

had a bunch of buildings in downtown

0:34:32

Kiev or maybe uh you're invested in the

0:34:35

best of Siberian real estate or maybe

0:34:38

Yeah, maybe you had ships and they got

0:34:41

caught in a storm and one of them sunk,

0:34:44

right? How does your capital get

0:34:46

destroyed? It gets destroyed by war and

0:34:48

taxation and expropriation. And you

0:34:52

know, you have $10 million house in

0:34:54

Miami and then the state of Florida hits

0:34:56

you for 2% of it every single year.

0:34:59

$200,000 tax bill, right? If you

0:35:03

actually took all your money and you

0:35:05

just bought a nice property in Miami,

0:35:07

your money would be gone in 15 years,

0:35:10

right? Your capital is being destroyed

0:35:12

all the time. How big a problem is this

0:35:14

to the world? It's a $10 trillion

0:35:18

problem. Okay, $450 trillion decaying at

0:35:22

3% a year. It's 13 trillion dollars,

0:35:26

right? It's a lot of money. And and it

0:35:30

is it is the gradual but progressive and

0:35:34

certain decay of your capital assets

0:35:37

because you have them in short-lived

0:35:39

storage containers.

0:35:42

Bitcoin is an asset without the

0:35:44

financial risk of your currency, your

0:35:46

stock or your bond. And it doesn't have

0:35:47

the physical risk of the real estate or

0:35:50

your Picasso or whatever concrete thing

0:35:53

that you want to hold. And so now when

0:35:56

you come back and look at that long-term

0:35:58

capital and you think about smart

0:36:01

people, you say, "Well, I'm a smart

0:36:03

person. I'm a Russian. I have a bunch of

0:36:05

real estate in Siberia. Oops. Maybe I'll

0:36:07

buy some Bitcoin. I'm a Chinese, you

0:36:10

know, wealthy person, but I want to

0:36:13

leave China at some point. I can only

0:36:14

take $50,000 of cash with me. Maybe I'll

0:36:17

buy some Bitcoin. You know, I've got a

0:36:19

bunch of warehouses. They're rusting in

0:36:22

South America. Maybe I'll buy some

0:36:25

Bitcoin. I'm worried about the

0:36:27

government toppling in my local African

0:36:29

country. I'll buy some Bitcoin. I just

0:36:32

buy some Bitcoin. I believe in tech. I

0:36:35

buy Bitcoin.

0:36:37

Bitcoin is transforming and it's

0:36:40

slurping out that long-term capital. So

0:36:43

people go, "Well, what happens if it

0:36:45

stops going up?" It's like, "Well, what

0:36:47

happens if water stops flowing downhill?

0:36:50

What happens if time goes backwards?"

0:36:53

Right? What what happens if the law of

0:36:56

thermodynamics no longer hold? What

0:36:58

happens when people decide they want

0:36:59

less secure things rather than more

0:37:01

secure things? What happens when they

0:37:03

want crappy stuff instead of good stuff?

0:37:05

Right? It's not going to happen, right?

0:37:07

There's a natural progression here,

0:37:09

which is intelligent people are moving

0:37:11

their money from a more disordered state

0:37:14

to a less disordered state, from a uh

0:37:17

from a uh shorter life expectancy

0:37:20

container to a longer life expectancy

0:37:23

container. They're moving from from a an

0:37:26

unsafe place to a safer

0:37:29

place. And that is the digital

0:37:31

transformation of capital. The greatest

0:37:33

transformation of the 21st century is

0:37:36

not digital photos. It's not digital

0:37:38

books. It's not digital newspapers. It's

0:37:41

not digital storefronts or digital menus

0:37:44

or digital audio. Not that those aren't

0:37:47

cool things. You can make a trillion

0:37:49

dollar company on them. But the greatest

0:37:51

transformation of the 21st century is a

0:37:53

transformation of capital, right?

0:37:56

Bitcoin is digital capital. That's the

0:37:59

profound idea. And digital capital is

0:38:02

just economically and technically

0:38:04

superior to physical capital. If I give

0:38:06

you if I give you a bunch of

0:38:09

money and uh I give you the opportunity

0:38:11

to buy a hundred million dollar building

0:38:14

Miami and then you start thinking or

0:38:17

maybe you put it in Kiev or maybe it's

0:38:19

in LA or maybe it's in San Francisco or

0:38:22

pick or maybe it's in Istanbul and you

0:38:24

thought about it. What are the problems

0:38:26

with the building? The problems are the

0:38:28

taxes on it, the traffic in front of it,

0:38:31

the tenants, the tors, the trouble, the

0:38:34

mayor. You know, the the governor of

0:38:36

California says you can't sell your

0:38:38

property anymore to protect you, right?

0:38:41

You know, at one point the mayor of New

0:38:43

York rent controlled every property you

0:38:45

owed. At another point, they told you

0:38:46

you couldn't charge your tenants rent

0:38:48

because they might not be able to pay

0:38:50

it. You have all of these problems you

0:38:52

got to deal with. Not to mention

0:38:54

corrosion, hurricanes,

0:38:56

fires, right? Etc. If you could get rid

0:38:59

of all of them, then your building would

0:39:03

be more valuable. But what about the

0:39:04

good things? What if I could cast a

0:39:06

magic spell? What if I could make the

0:39:08

building invisible, indestructible,

0:39:11

immortal, teleportable, programmable,

0:39:14

divisible, funible,

0:39:16

configurable? Right? What if I could

0:39:18

just move the building in a split second

0:39:20

to a place where the mayor didn't hate

0:39:22

me, right? Might be useful, right?

0:39:25

That's digital capital. And digital

0:39:27

capital is global capital because we'll

0:39:30

do a little experiment. I'm going to

0:39:32

take all your money. I'm going to cast a

0:39:33

magic spell and it's all transported

0:39:35

into a mixture of banks and African

0:39:38

countries. 27 banks in 27 countries and

0:39:41

you're converted into the local

0:39:43

currency. you know the whatever the

0:39:46

currency of Zambia central Africa and

0:39:48

some Krueger rounds and some Naira and

0:39:50

some whatever and some whatever and then

0:39:52

I give you a green button and I say well

0:39:55

do you want to reverse that spell and

0:39:57

just move your money back to the US?

0:40:00

Would you punch it? Of course you would

0:40:02

punch it. What if I didn't give you the

0:40:04

green button? What if I gave you an

0:40:05

orange button? And I said, you can

0:40:07

either invest all of your money in

0:40:09

diversified portfolios of companies and

0:40:11

real estate in Africa or you can convert

0:40:14

it into Bitcoin, put it in

0:40:16

cyerspace. And what you see, and now let

0:40:19

me make it easier for you. I'm going to

0:40:20

drop you and all your money in North

0:40:22

Korea or Cuba or I'm going to put you in

0:40:25

Venezuela or Russia or Turkey or Kiev or

0:40:29

Lebanon or Syria. And what you can see

0:40:32

is that all around the world, by the

0:40:35

way, I'm going to put you in Europe. You

0:40:36

know what the Europeans think? The

0:40:38

Europeans want the dollar. If you

0:40:40

actually ask people in the crypto

0:40:42

industry, what's the demand for digital

0:40:44

euros versus digital dollars? It's 99%

0:40:47

dollars, 1% euros. The Europeans don't

0:40:50

even want their own

0:40:52

euro. Every one of them would dump the

0:40:54

euro and go to the dollar. And we, and

0:40:56

that's not speculation. We know that for

0:40:58

a fact because when they're given a

0:41:01

choice, they all choose the dollar. And

0:41:03

so the truth is, you look up at that

0:41:05

map, there's just about nowhere in the

0:41:08

world do you want to be invested in real

0:41:10

estate or diversified portfolios of

0:41:13

currencies, bonds, or companies that's

0:41:16

better than the

0:41:18

US? And so what if I can't bring my

0:41:21

money to the US? And the truth of the

0:41:23

matter is, you can't. Russians don't get

0:41:25

to invest in the US. Chinese don't get

0:41:27

to invest in the US. You're Chinese, you

0:41:30

have a billion dollars. You can move

0:41:32

$50,000 out of the country per year.

0:41:35

Right? In Africa, they don't get to

0:41:36

invest in the US. You know, it's illegal

0:41:39

to hold a dollar bill in in

0:41:42

Nigeria. It's

0:41:44

illegal. Okay? So, in this particular

0:41:47

case, the entire world is looking for a

0:41:50

place to put their money. If they can't

0:41:53

move and leave, then they put it in

0:41:55

cyerspace. Bitcoin represents a bank in

0:41:57

cyerspace and when they put their money

0:41:59

into the Bitcoin bank, they're getting

0:42:01

the same performance, the same

0:42:03

protection that the San Francisco

0:42:05

billionaire gets, right? Everybody's

0:42:14

equal. One last way to look at Bitcoin,

0:42:14

it's a revolutionary advance in capital

0:42:17

preservation. Your commercial real

0:42:19

estate building's good for 40 years. you

0:42:22

know, your your house in Miami, you

0:42:24

know, you probably will hold it 20 years

0:42:25

before you paid the equivalent in taxes

0:42:27

on it, right? Maybe maybe you've got

0:42:31

some other financial assets that last

0:42:33

longer, but for the most part, people

0:42:34

hold things that are good for 10 to 100

0:42:36

years, and it's hard to get a

0:42:38

100red-year asset. Well, Bitcoin's a

0:42:41

thousand year plus asset. If you're

0:42:44

looking for something that you can buy,

0:42:46

hold in your family, and give to your

0:42:48

grandchildren's

0:42:50

grandchildren, Bitcoin is that thing.

0:42:53

You don't know where you're going to be

0:42:55

living. You don't know what regime

0:42:57

you'll be under. You don't you don't

0:42:58

There's no bank. There's no company.

0:43:00

There's nobody you can trust it'll be

0:43:02

around in 150 years. The Bitcoin you can

0:43:05

take with you. And why? Well, because

0:43:08

it's it's literally secured by the most

0:43:12

power in the world. It's a power

0:43:14

network. It's a monetary network backed

0:43:16

by computer power. More computer power

0:43:19

than Microsoft or Amazon could muster if

0:43:22

they wanted to attack it. It's backed by

0:43:24

electrical power. A gigawatt is a

0:43:26

nuclear reactor. 20 full-on nuclear

0:43:29

reactors, but scattered everywhere in

0:43:31

the world. backed by hundreds of

0:43:33

millions of holders, backed by 600

0:43:36

million fanatic crypto people. How

0:43:38

fanatic? Fanatic enough to tilt the

0:43:40

election in favor of

0:43:42

Trump. All three, you know, the House,

0:43:44

the Senate, and the White House. And uh

0:43:47

it's they're not not just crypto

0:43:50

fanatics in the US, they're crypto

0:43:51

fanatics everywhere. South America,

0:43:53

China, Russia, Africa, everywhere. And

0:43:57

it's got real money in it. So this is a

0:44:00

very powerful

0:44:01

network. It's the most powerful crypto

0:44:04

network in the world. People ask, well,

0:44:07

what's it backed by? Power, right? Well,

0:44:09

why Bitcoin instead of the other one?

0:44:11

Well, 99% of the power is in this one.

0:44:14

You can copy it a thousand times, but

0:44:16

the point is there's got to be a winner,

0:44:18

just like there had to be a Google. Just

0:44:20

like, well, why do we use English? Well,

0:44:22

because all the rich, powerful people

0:44:24

speak English. Well, what if they all

0:44:26

change? What if they stop speaking

0:44:29

English? Well, why would they? They have

0:44:32

all the power, right? Why do we use B 10

0:44:35

math? Because all the rich, powerful

0:44:37

people made their machines with B 10

0:44:38

math. It's a protocol. Once you adopt

0:44:41

the protocol, it tends to go on for

0:44:43

hundreds of years or even thousands of

0:44:46

years. Uh, my 21-year Bitcoin

0:44:49

outlook. You can download this model.

0:44:51

Just Google Bitcoin 24. You grab it off

0:44:54

of GitHub. It's a nice spreadsheet. You

0:44:56

can plug in all your own assumptions,

0:44:58

come up with your own forecast. This is

0:45:00

what I think. I think you're going to

0:45:02

see the um the money supply to continue

0:45:04

to expand. I think you'll see 7% or more

0:45:07

monetary inflation. I think certain

0:45:10

assets like real estate will keep up

0:45:13

with that inflation. I think that uh

0:45:16

equity will outperform by a few percent

0:45:18

because of AI and technology. I think

0:45:21

eventually there'll be a, you know, a

0:45:23

million robots making a billion robots,

0:45:25

you know, run by a robot and the company

0:45:27

that owns the robots will be very

0:45:29

valuable, right? Maybe that'll be Tesla.

0:45:32

Maybe there'll be Robot Corp. Who knows?

0:45:34

But I think that I think that the

0:45:36

magnificent seven, the big tech

0:45:37

companies will do okay. I think gold

0:45:40

will gradually get demonetized. I think

0:45:43

I think as people discover digital gold,

0:45:44

they'll sell their gold. They'll buy

0:45:46

digital gold. And I think Bitcoin is

0:45:49

going to outstrip everything. I I think

0:45:51

Bitcoin right now it's growing 60% a

0:45:53

year. It's been growing 60%. I think

0:45:56

that over the next 20 years it'll go

0:45:59

from 60% to 55 to 50 to 45 to 40 to 35

0:46:04

to 30 to 25.

0:46:06

Eventually the S&P index may be growing

0:46:10

12 to 14%. Bitcoin will be 50% more.

0:46:13

It'll be growing 18 to 20%. It'll always

0:46:16

be higher performance than the S&P

0:46:18

index. It'll always be more volatile

0:46:21

than the S&P index, but it will

0:46:24

gradually uh it'll gradually converge on

0:46:29

being 50% better than the next best

0:46:31

thing. And if you work out that math in

0:46:34

your head, it works out to about 29% AR

0:46:38

over 21 years. And when you plug in 29%,

0:46:42

that means by the year 2045, I think

0:46:45

Bitcoin should be about $13 million a

0:46:47

coin. It means that every Bitcoin that

0:46:49

you sell today is going to cost you 13

0:46:51

million. I would not short it. Uh it

0:46:54

means every Bitcoin you don't buy today

0:46:55

is costing you 13 million. It means that

0:46:58

if you want to give 13 million to your

0:47:00

granddaughter, just buy one

0:47:02

Bitcoin, put it in their estate, and

0:47:05

just let it compound. It's maybe one of

0:47:07

the greatest estate planning techniques

0:47:09

ever, right? And you can see the world

0:47:13

doesn't have to turn upside down.

0:47:14

Bitcoin just goes from being 0.1% of the

0:47:17

assets of the world to being

0:47:19

7%. And this this chart of the wealth in

0:47:22

the world looks like this. At 7% uh USD

0:47:27

uh inflation, the total asset pool goes

0:47:30

from 900 trillion to 4,000 four quad

0:47:34

quadrillion. And uh Bitcoin looks like

0:47:37

280 trillion. So it's it's just a small

0:47:40

blotch in the left corner. It's not as

0:47:42

big as equity. is not as big as real

0:47:44

estate. It's not as big as bonds, right?

0:47:47

Global anarchy did not ensue. It's just

0:47:50

you have an emergent global monetary

0:47:53

index. When people with money just want

0:47:57

to keep their money without betting on a

0:47:59

real estate idea, without betting on a

0:48:02

company idea, without betting on

0:48:04

technology, when they just want to park

0:48:06

their capital somewhere, then this is

0:48:08

just a no-brainer place to put

0:48:10

it. Now, I I said we're entering the era

0:48:13

of institutional

0:48:15

adoption. In

0:48:18

2024, Bitcoin emerged as an alternative

0:48:21

to bonds for institutions and there were

0:48:25

a couple of catalytic events. The

0:48:27

approval of the ETFs in January was a

0:48:30

big event. the uh the marriage, the

0:48:33

partnership between the crypto industry

0:48:36

and and the Trump organization and the

0:48:39

Republicans was another very big event

0:48:41

that happened around April, May of the

0:48:44

year. Then the Redwave sweep November

0:48:47

5th was a third monstrous event. Those

0:48:50

those three things catapulted us uh to a

0:48:54

new state. Along the way,

0:48:58

um, there was a massive fight over

0:49:01

whether banks could be able to custody

0:49:03

Bitcoin. And that fight manifested in

0:49:07

something called SAB 121. It was a rule

0:49:09

put forth by the SEC effectively

0:49:12

preventing banks in the United States

0:49:15

from custoing, holding, trading,

0:49:17

handling Bitcoin. And um the the House

0:49:21

of Representatives didn't like that. The

0:49:23

industry didn't like that. The Senate

0:49:25

didn't like that. They actually put

0:49:26

forth a bill to repeal it. It it passed

0:49:30

overwhelmingly in the Senate, in the

0:49:32

House, went all the way to the White

0:49:33

House, and Biden vetoed the bill. Well,

0:49:37

um Biden's going to be gone in a few

0:49:41

hours. We have a new head of the

0:49:44

SEC. I think we uh I think we have very

0:49:47

credible uh beliefs from the industry

0:49:50

that that that SAB 121 will go away next

0:49:53

week. And that will open the floodgates

0:49:56

for every bank in the United States to

0:49:58

start to handle Bitcoin. When that goes

0:50:02

away, all of the financial regulators in

0:50:05

Singapore, UAE, Saudi, in Europe, in

0:50:09

South America, even in China, even in

0:50:12

Hong Kong, believe it or not, they all

0:50:15

and and even in Russia. I'll go on a

0:50:17

limb. They all take their cues from what

0:50:19

happens in Washington DC.

0:50:21

So when DC flips on this, you're going

0:50:24

to see a rippling set of dominoes fall

0:50:27

and I think you'll see a lot of banks

0:50:28

everywhere else in the world will also

0:50:30

get involved uh in in handling Bitcoin.

0:50:34

And then that leaves us one last thing

0:50:36

that's going to go on which is uh what

0:50:38

we call fazby accounting or fair value

0:50:41

accounting and that became mandatory

0:50:43

January 1st of this year. And so those

0:50:46

things are very important to public

0:50:48

entities. There's 115 public entities

0:50:51

right now holding Bitcoin. Remember,

0:50:53

there was one four years ago and and now

0:50:57

it's spreading very virally. And not not

0:51:00

holding a small amount. They're holding

0:51:03

2,700,000

0:51:06

Bitcoin. Okay. Okay. And if you look at

0:51:08

the wave of political

0:51:10

support, Trump, Vance, RFK, Lutnik,

0:51:13

Bessant, Ramiswami, Wals, Musk, they all

0:51:17

like Bitcoin. They all support Bitcoin,

0:51:20

right? The entire cabinet is pro

0:51:22

Bitcoin, right? And and in addition, the

0:51:25

White House likes Bitcoin, the Senate

0:51:27

supports Bitcoin, the House supports

0:51:28

Bitcoin, and Wall Street has flipped.

0:51:31

You have a senator Cynthia Lamez

0:51:34

standing up uh putting forth a bill for

0:51:37

the US to create a strategic Bitcoin

0:51:44

reserve. Black Rockck is the most

0:51:44

influential money manager in the world.

0:51:46

They have 11 trillion dollars of assets.

0:51:49

The guy there used to be against

0:51:51

Bitcoin. He called it an index of money

0:51:53

laundering in 2018. He's the single most

0:51:56

influential person in Wall Street. This

0:51:58

is what he said a few months ago. Now I

0:52:01

I know you have been a leader in willing

0:52:05

to embrace crypto. You have made it so

0:52:07

that people can be in Bitcoin. We hear

0:52:09

that you are thinking about Ethereum.

0:52:11

These are incredible things. How now

0:52:14

Black Rockck is not known as a uh a

0:52:16

gunslinger by any means. So you

0:52:18

obviously must believe that this may be

0:52:19

as an alternative. Is this an

0:52:21

alternative uh in order to be able

0:52:22

because of the a deficit? Maybe

0:52:24

something long-term people should have.

0:52:26

Absolutely. Um as you know, I was a

0:52:29

skeptic.

0:52:30

Yes, I you know I was a proud

0:52:34

skeptic and I studied it, learned about

0:52:38

it and I came away saying okay you know

0:52:41

my opinion 5 years ago was wrong here's

0:52:43

my opinion city this is what I believe

0:52:45

in today I believe the opportunity today

0:52:47

I believe Bitcoin is legitimate I'm not

0:52:51

trying to say there's not misuses like

0:52:53

everything else but it is a legitimate

0:52:55

financial instrument that allows you to

0:52:59

have maybe uncorrelated, non-correlated

0:53:01

type of returns. I believe it is an

0:53:04

instrument that you invest in when

0:53:05

you're more frightened though it is an

0:53:08

instrument when you believe that co

0:53:09

countries are debasing their currency

0:53:11

debasing their currency by excess

0:53:14

deficits and some countries are. I

0:53:18

believe we have um countries where

0:53:20

you're frightened of your everyday

0:53:22

existence and have an opportunity to

0:53:25

invest in in a a something that is

0:53:27

outside your country's uh you know

0:53:29

control then you can have more financial

0:53:32

control and so I'm a a major believer

0:53:35

that there is a role for Bitcoin and in

0:53:39

portfolios. I believe you're going to

0:53:41

see that as an as one of the asset

0:53:43

classes that we all look at. I look at

0:53:46

it as digital gold as I said before and

0:53:48

I do believe there's a there's a there's

0:53:50

a real

0:53:52

need for everyone to look at it as as

0:53:56

one alternative to I would say the

0:53:59

optimism that I have in the world. If

0:54:01

you want to hedge hope, Bitcoin is not a

0:54:05

an instrument for hope unless you're

0:54:07

hopeful you're going to make a lot of

0:54:08

money on it. But I I look at it as a

0:54:10

vehicle in which you're expressing your

0:54:12

your financial acumen in something that

0:54:15

you're more frightened of the world.

0:54:17

You're more frightened of your

0:54:18

existence. And I believe there's a great

0:54:19

industrial use for it. And I and I think

0:54:22

a lot of people are missing that. I

0:54:24

couldn't agree more. I changed my mind

0:54:26

about it when you did. You had been my

0:54:28

thinking. It was like uh he didn't

0:54:29

believe in it. So I can't believe it. I

0:54:31

want to thank Larry Frink for the

0:54:32

message of optimism. Thanks and also for

0:54:34

a great quarter. Larry Frink is the

0:54:36

co-founder, chairman, and CEO of Black

0:54:38

Rockck. I think the most important

0:54:40

investment company in the world. Thank

0:54:42

you. Thanks, guys. Carl, that's Wall

0:54:45

Street

0:54:47

flipping. And here, never sell your

0:54:51

Bitcoin,

0:54:56

right? That's Donald Trump giving you

0:54:56

some good

0:54:58

advice. By by the way, he stood up on

0:55:01

stage and said the US would not sell

0:55:03

Bitcoin if he's president.

0:55:05

The only things the US won't sell are

0:55:07

their national parks and their nuclear

0:55:10

stockpiles and their

0:55:12

Bitcoin. They would sell everything

0:55:14

else. They'll sell your Google stock,

0:55:16

your Nvidia stock, your real estate,

0:55:18

your bond portfolio, your art

0:55:21

collection, your collectibles

0:55:23

collection, your sports team, etc.

0:55:27

That's a very profound, very profound

0:55:29

statement. It might go you might go past

0:55:35

fast. But just think about the guy.

0:55:46

Never sell your Bitcoin. Right.

0:55:46

President of the United States telling

0:55:48

you that this is uh Senator Lumis. I

0:55:51

encourage people to buy and hold. I

0:55:53

encourage them to say Bitcoin for their

0:55:56

retirement, for their future. Uh and

0:55:58

that's because as the Congress spends

0:56:01

trillions and trillions of dollars uh

0:56:04

and is flooding our economy and the

0:56:07

world economy with US dollars, there's

0:56:09

no way that we cannot debase the value

0:56:13

of the US dollars.

0:56:16

It's very important here. Bitcoin is a

0:56:19

digital commodity. That gives it an

0:56:21

ethical advantage, a political

0:56:23

advantage. It gives it an ideological

0:56:26

advantage. There's no way she could

0:56:28

stand up there in front of the in front

0:56:30

of the capital and say, "I encourage you

0:56:32

to buy Apple stock or Magnificent 7 or

0:56:36

Nvidia." Right? She might be able to

0:56:39

say, "I encourage you to buy gold." She

0:56:41

could tell you you should buy a house.

0:56:43

She could tell you you should have a

0:56:44

chicken in every pot. Right? She can

0:56:47

tell you you need electricity. These are

0:56:49

commodities, right? The fact that

0:56:51

Bitcoin is a digital commodity means a

0:56:53

governor, a senator, a president, you

0:56:57

know, anyone can advocate for this in an

0:57:00

egalitarian

0:57:02

utilitarian fashion without a conflict

0:57:04

of interest. It's a it's a very very

0:57:06

important uh important nuance here.

0:57:11

And then the entire mood in the market

0:57:15

is really switching. And you can see it

0:57:17

here in this exchange with Joe Kernan

0:57:20

and Muhammad Elaran who is probably the

0:57:23

most well wellspoken wellrespected

0:57:26

modern

0:57:28

economist. There's a lot of people that

0:57:31

are nodding with you because we can

0:57:33

deflate our way out of some of the debt.

0:57:34

But the difference between 2% and 3%

0:57:37

compounded for the dollar is

0:57:39

devastating. And and I don't know, for

0:57:41

you to just blow it off is a little

0:57:42

weird. I mean, there's a reason they

0:57:43

want 2%. Anyone can move goalposts. I

0:57:46

mean, if you compound 3, that's 50%

0:57:50

higher than 2%. You know where 2% comes

0:57:52

from? I don't I'm not I'm No, no, but 2%

0:57:55

2% it would be would make all of us feel

0:57:59

awful in 10 years. Comes from the Bank

0:58:01

of New Zealand. Okay. In the early '90s.

0:58:03

It seems like a good number to me. But

0:58:05

it's an arbitrary number. What you've

0:58:07

got to what well five is an arbitrary

0:58:09

number. I mean if you want to deflate 36

0:58:12

trillion let's go to 10 then I don't

0:58:14

want to pull the rug from under US

0:58:16

economic exceptionalism. I think we are

0:58:18

outpacing the rest at 3%. I think we are

0:58:21

investing in the economies of tomorrow.

0:58:23

If we in the growth drivers of tomorrow,

0:58:25

if we not government, no, the private

0:58:28

sector, everything else. If you if you

0:58:30

push this economy into the private

0:58:32

sector is not what causes the inflation,

0:58:33

Joe. If you push this economy into

0:58:35

recession, you will not just lose

0:58:38

current standard of living, you will

0:58:40

lose future standard of living. We we

0:58:42

are in a very good position. 3% loses

0:58:44

the future standard of living. That's

0:58:46

the problem. Two and a half to three is

0:58:48

is is what I said. You went immediately

0:58:50

to three. Well, if you say three at the

0:58:52

high end, as long as inflation, as long

0:58:54

as inflation expectations are stable,

0:58:57

you can navigate. Better buy some

0:58:59

Bitcoin, Muhammad.

0:59:07

It gives you a sense that Bitcoin has

0:59:07

creeped into the dialogue everywhere in

0:59:11

the world. So, we're year one of the

0:59:13

crypto renaissance. This is what you can

0:59:15

expect in 2025.

0:59:17

You're going to have uh improvements to

0:59:19

the ETFs. You're going to have fair

0:59:20

value accounting. You're going to have a

0:59:22

a pro Bitcoin cabinet, the repeal of SAB

0:59:26

121, an end to the war on crypto, a

0:59:30

digital assets framework of some sort,

0:59:32

and a bunch of Bitcoin standard

0:59:34

companies, uh leaping out of the

0:59:37

woodwork. Micro Strategy is an example

0:59:39

of one of those companies. We're powered

0:59:41

by digital capital. So, what do we do?

0:59:44

We just buy Bitcoin. This is the last uh

0:59:47

four years. We started with $250 million

0:59:50

buy. Uh then we bought it about 48 more

0:59:54

times. After we bought $250 million,

0:59:56

then we bought 2 billion. Uh now we're

0:59:59

up to about 28 billion. So we put

1:00:02

billions of dollars into Bitcoin. I

1:00:04

guess it's worth about 45 billion right

1:00:08

Um, this is a company that had 450

1:00:11

million of free cash and we converted

1:00:13

into $45 billion of assets going up 60%

1:00:16

a year in 48 months. Um, in essence,

1:00:20

what we're doing is we're securitizing

1:00:22

the Bitcoin. We sell fixed income

1:00:25

instruments. We sell bonds backed by

1:00:27

Bitcoin. We take the money, we buy

1:00:29

Bitcoin. We sell equity backed by

1:00:31

Bitcoin. We buy more Bitcoin. The bonds

1:00:34

make the equity outperform Bitcoin and

1:00:36

make us more volatile. The options

1:00:39

traders like to trade the stock that um

1:00:42

that creates demand for it. And in

1:00:45

essence, we're just siphoning that

1:00:47

capital uh into the Bitcoin ecosystem.

1:00:51

In the fourth quarter, we raised $18

1:00:54

billion, 15 billion of equity.

1:00:57

Basically, just 15 billion of equity,

1:00:59

three billion in a convertible bond. The

1:01:02

bond we sold uh to arbitrageers who

1:01:06

wanted to trade the volatility. So we

1:01:08

borrowed $3 billion at 0% interest for

1:01:11

five years and we bought Bitcoin. So

1:01:13

we're borrowing $3 billion, investing it

1:01:16

at 60% a year for free for five years,

1:01:21

right? It's it's a good business. If you

1:01:23

can get it, I highly recommend you do

1:01:26

Um it's not unlike an oil refinery.

1:01:29

We're like a Bitcoin refinery. You know,

1:01:31

you take crude oil and then you spit out

1:01:34

kerosene and gasoline or asphalt. If you

1:01:37

want asphalt, you don't want kerosene.

1:01:39

And you can't pour crude oil on the

1:01:41

highway, right? So, we're literally

1:01:44

using our operation to create various

1:01:47

flavors of Bitcoin back

1:01:50

securities. How's that do for us? Well,

1:01:52

over four years, Bitcoin is up 60% which

1:01:55

is doubling the MAG 7 and we're just

1:01:58

slightly less than double Bitcoin. So,

1:02:00

we've returned 110% a year every year

1:02:02

for four years. Um, that makes us the

1:02:06

best performing stock in the entire S&P

1:02:08

500 universe. Um, by a large amount.

1:02:13

Thank you.

1:02:16

Um, here's my chart. Nvidia everybody

1:02:19

knows about. They're up about a th000%,

1:02:22

1100% over that time period and we've

1:02:24

doubled them. Now, here's here's

1:02:28

the the most important thing I'm going

1:02:30

to say today. I don't think you can beat

1:02:33

Nvidia and I don't think you have the

1:02:35

wherewithal to compete against Nvidia

1:02:37

creating AI chips. But every one of you

1:02:40

can copy us, right? It's a very simple

1:02:44

playbook. Anybody can copy us. any

1:02:47

company, a private company, a public

1:02:49

company, an individual, a family. That's

1:02:51

why I'm on stage. I wouldn't waste my

1:02:53

time coming out to brag about making a

1:02:56

lot of money with some esoteric

1:02:57

proprietary technology that you can't

1:03:00

access. I'm not even here to pitch Micro

1:03:03

Strategy stock. I'm actually here to

1:03:05

pitch Bitcoin. What I'm saying is

1:03:08

Bitcoin is the most important thing of

1:03:12

century. It is digital energy. It is

1:03:15

digital capital. It is as profound as

1:03:18

electricity a 100 years ago. It is as

1:03:20

profound as, you know, as

1:03:22

gunpowder, right, was or steel or

1:03:27

fire. If you figure it out, you can do

1:03:31

some good for your community, your

1:03:32

family, your company, your country. Um,

1:03:36

micro strategy happens to be more

1:03:37

volatile than every company in the S&P

1:03:40

500. Okay. Conventional wisdom they

1:03:42

teach you at Harvard B school is volat

1:03:44

volatility is a bug.

1:03:46

And the problem with that is everybody

1:03:48

strips the volatility off the balance

1:03:50

sheet and they strip it off the P&L and

1:03:52

their companies become very

1:03:53

uninteresting. Their stocks die, their

1:03:55

options markets die. You you want to

1:03:57

there's nothing wrong with volatility as

1:04:00

long as you have a lot of capital. So

1:04:03

example, you know, Bernard Arno has $200

1:04:06

billion of stock and people write

1:04:08

stories about how he lost 20 billion

1:04:10

last week or he made 40 billion. Or how

1:04:12

about Elon Musk? We made a hundred

1:04:14

billion dollars in a in a month. That's

1:04:17

volatility. Okay? You want that

1:04:19

volatility to go away. Give away all

1:04:21

your stuff and you will have no

1:04:23

volatility, right? People with that own

1:04:25

nothing have no volatility. When you're

1:04:28

dead, you have no volatility, right?

1:04:31

When someone tells you volatility is bad

1:04:33

and therefore you should give them all

1:04:36

of your

1:04:38

wealth, right? They're playing you.

1:04:41

There's nothing wrong with having very

1:04:43

valuable stuff that goes up and down

1:04:45

from time to time. Um, so Micro Strategy

1:04:49

harnesses that volatility. We

1:04:52

actually we actually structured the

1:04:54

business to create it and the

1:05:02

volatility the volatility actually

1:05:02

creates the options market. So if you

1:05:03

look up here, we have uh one of the 10

1:05:06

biggest options markets in the entire

1:05:08

stock market and our stock trades in the

1:05:11

top 10 in terms of equity too. And that

1:05:16

would be impressive for a small company.

1:05:18

But if you look at the right side where

1:05:21

you compare our options open interest to

1:05:23

the market cap, what you see is that we

1:05:25

have the

1:05:26

highest open interest on a market cap

1:05:29

basis in the world. And you see the same

1:05:32

thing uh with regard to liquidity at

1:05:35

least out of S&P 500 companies. It's the

1:05:38

single it's hot money, right? I want you

1:05:41

to think about I take 10 tons, I make it

1:05:44

a sculpture in your backyard. Well, when

1:05:47

you take 10 billion and buy bonds with

1:05:49

it, it's like a sculpture in your

1:05:50

backyard. It's a paper weight. When I

1:05:53

take the 10 uh billion dollars and I put

1:05:55

it in Bitcoin, it's like fashioning it

1:05:57

into a

1:05:58

flywheel and spinning at 60 RPM. And

1:06:02

when you're spinning 10 tons, 60 RPM,

1:06:05

you think about it, that's a turbine.

1:06:07

There's a lot of energy in that. You can

1:06:09

power a city with that. And so thinking

1:06:13

that that uh volatility is bad is like

1:06:16

thinking kinetic energy is a nuisance,

1:06:20

right? When I'm spinning something that

1:06:22

fast, it's literally a reactor or a

1:06:25

turbine. It'll light up a city. Um, this

1:06:29

shows the relative size of our options

1:06:31

market compared

1:06:32

to iBit. You can see the reason Micro

1:06:36

Strategy is interesting is because

1:06:37

everybody's trading there. If you want

1:06:39

to short Bitcoin, you short our options.

1:06:41

If you want to go long, you do the

1:06:42

opposite. I don't really mind if you go

1:06:44

short, you go long. You trade whatever.

1:06:46

It just doesn't It's all good, right? I

1:06:49

mean, we exist to give everybody the

1:06:51

ability to express their opinion, their

1:06:53

fear, their doubt, their anxiety, their

1:06:57

aspiration. So, what I say is your

1:06:59

company ought to be powered by digital

1:07:02

capital, right? And why? Because it's

1:07:05

the highest performing asset you can put

1:07:06

on a balance sheet.

1:07:09

This is analysis I did for

1:07:11

Microsoft. Big rich company. Probably if

1:07:14

not the best greatest company in the

1:07:15

world. One of the four or five greatest

1:07:18

companies in the world. You see,

1:07:20

Microsoft's been appreciating 18% a year

1:07:23

for the past uh four years. You know,

1:07:27

Bitcoin is uh beating them handily by a

1:07:30

factor of three.

1:07:33

But what happens you know if you come

1:07:36

back here look at the S&P 500 that's the

1:07:38

cost of capital that's your benchmark.

1:07:40

So when I normalize this graph and I say

1:07:43

how are you doing versus the cost of

1:07:45

capital what you see is that Microsoft

1:07:47

is beating the cost of capital by 4%.

1:07:51

You see bonds are minus

1:07:53

19%. Right? If you're buying bonds

1:07:56

you're getting destroyed. You're

1:07:58

destroying 1ifth of your wealth every

1:08:00

year. Um, but if you're buying Bitcoin,

1:08:03

you're beating by 48%. Right? You're

1:08:06

compounding whatever you're doubling

1:08:07

every 18 months or

1:08:10

something. Now, if you're Microsoft and

1:08:14

you generate a hundred billion dollar in

1:08:17

cash flow and you buy your own stock

1:08:19

back, you're basically buying the 4%

1:08:23

line. That compared to buying Bitcoin is

1:08:26

minus 97%.

1:08:28

You're destroying 97% of your capital if

1:08:31

you buy your own stock even though

1:08:33

you're the greatest company in the

1:08:34

[ __ ] world. Excuse my

1:08:43

French. How could you do worse? Buy

1:08:43

bonds. If you take the hundred billion

1:08:46

dollars and you don't buy your stock

1:08:48

back, you buy treasury

1:08:50

bills, it's minus

1:08:53

99.7%. Like you literally can't you

1:08:56

might as well burn the money, right? You

1:08:59

can't do much worse than this. I would

1:09:01

say bonds are toxic. You might as well

1:09:04

just inject sludge into your

1:09:07

veins, right? I mean, it's that they're

1:09:10

that bad. And you can see it from this

1:09:17

chart. So, if you want to outperform,

1:09:17

you can't just keep doing things the

1:09:19

same way. You have to recapitalize your

1:09:22

balance sheet with digital capital. Look

1:09:24

at Micros Micro Strategy versus

1:09:26

Microsoft in the same time

1:09:29

period. And I'm telling you what we did.

1:09:31

We bought Bitcoin. We didn't sell the

1:09:33

Bitcoin. We borrowed a bit of money. We

1:09:35

bought more Bitcoin. But look at the

1:09:36

difference is what's going on here. Now

1:09:39

compare Micro Strategy to Microsoft in

1:09:42

terms of open interest in the options

1:09:44

market. Our options market is about the

1:09:46

same size as them.

1:09:50

our our daily trading volume has been

1:09:52

higher than

1:09:53

theirs. But in terms of of options

1:09:56

interest, they destroy 98% of their

1:10:01

options market by stripping volatility.

1:10:03

They're literally stripping all of the

1:10:06

life out of their own company. And look

1:10:09

at what they do to their liquidity. They

1:10:10

destroy

1:10:13

99%. Right? So every company has a

1:10:16

choice to make. You cling to the past or

1:10:20

you embrace the future. Right? The past

1:10:22

is buybacks, dividends, buy treasury

1:10:25

bonds. That's the conventional playbook

1:10:28

they teach you at Harvard B school. The

1:10:30

future is keep your money. This is not

1:10:33

complicated. If you have a bunch of

1:10:35

money, buy Bitcoin and keep it, right?

1:10:38

Bitcoin is digital capital. The

1:10:41

conventional finance theory tells you

1:10:43

volatility is bad and capital is

1:10:48

toxic. Like literally they're saying to

1:10:51

every operating company, get rid of your

1:10:53

capital, avoid volatility. But the but

1:10:57

the digital way to see it is capital is

1:10:59

good and volatility is a feature. It's

1:11:03

life form. So one is regression, the

1:11:06

other one is

1:11:07

progression, right?

1:11:10

You're investing your earnings,

1:11:11

decreasing risk, accelerating growth.

1:11:14

With the progression or the regression

1:11:16

is you're divesting your earnings,

1:11:19

you're increasing your risk. You're

1:11:20

decelerating your growth. This is a

1:11:23

actual chart. Microsoft has surrendered

1:11:25

$200 billion of capital in the past five

1:11:28

five years. Okay, think about this.

1:11:31

Here's my idea for our family. Dad, give

1:11:33

away all of our money, but you just work

1:11:35

harder. Oh, really, son? That was

1:11:37

brilliant. What's your other idea?

1:11:39

That's the idea here,

1:11:42

right? Those are the risks that

1:11:45

Microsoft shareholders face. They

1:11:47

disclose them in their own 10K. I

1:11:49

literally took them out of their own

1:11:51

financial

1:11:53

filings. When you actually surrender all

1:11:56

your capital, you lever up the company

1:11:59

such that all of those risks are

1:12:01

actually much more damaging to the

1:12:04

shareholders. How do you get rid of

1:12:06

that? Well, you have to buy Bitcoin

1:12:07

because you want to escape that vicious

1:12:09

cycle because Bitcoin is it doesn't have

1:12:13

counterparty risk to a

1:12:14

competitor, to a country, to a

1:12:17

corporation, to a creditor, to a

1:12:19

culture, to a currency. The whole point

1:12:21

of Bitcoin is strip away the risk. I

1:12:24

want orthogonal to all of my

1:12:27

risk. So, what if you could buy a

1:12:29

digital monopoly for one times

1:12:32

revenue? And what if it was growing 60%

1:12:35

a year? And what if it's more profitable

1:12:38

than your own company? And what if you

1:12:40

could just keep doing it every

1:12:42

year? Well, that's Bitcoin. Bitcoin's

1:12:45

the universal merger partner. It's how

1:12:48

you actually get out of your rut if

1:12:50

you're a zombie company. It's how you

1:12:52

diversify away from your own your own

1:12:55

risk in your own business. So when you

1:12:57

evaluate those options, you take the

1:12:59

Bitcoin 24 model. We actually plugged in

1:13:03

Microsoft's business here, their cash

1:13:05

flows, their buybacks, their stock, and

1:13:09

we said, well, what if they just sweep

1:13:11

their cash flows into Bitcoin instead of

1:13:13

buying treasuries? And we said, well,

1:13:15

what if they convert their dividend into

1:13:17

buying Bitcoin? And we said, well, what

1:13:20

if they actually replace the buyback

1:13:22

with buying Bitcoin? And what if they

1:13:25

just borrowed a little bit of money at

1:13:27

three or 4% interest, 10% of their

1:13:30

capital to buy

1:13:31

Bitcoin? Well, that's what happens right

1:13:33

there. You add

1:13:35

$155 a share if you just sweep your cash

1:13:38

flows and and avoid the bonds. You add

1:13:42

$362 a share when you replace the

1:13:44

dividend,

1:13:46

$477 a share when you replace the

1:13:48

buyback, almost $600 a share if you just

1:13:51

borrow a little bit of money cheap. This

1:13:54

is against a $420 stock price. It works

1:13:58

out to you you add a trillion dollar to

1:14:00

the market cap or $5 trillion to the

1:14:03

market cap. That's all money that they

1:14:07

could have. What do they have instead?

1:14:08

They just give away the money. Okay? So

1:14:11

instead of being $5 trillion richer,

1:14:13

they're

1:14:15

not. It's worse than that though. The

1:14:18

status quo at Microsoft is 95% of the

1:14:21

value of the stock is based on forward

1:14:24

expectations. They're just you're just

1:14:26

valuing future expected cash flows. They

1:14:29

only have 5% of the enterprise value

1:14:31

backed by tangible

1:14:33

assets, right? Could you imagine valuing

1:14:36

Elon Musk based upon our expectations of

1:14:39

his future

1:14:40

wages? It's like stupid, right? But but

1:14:43

the point is you're the shareholder

1:14:45

holding a share of that stock. when they

1:14:46

actually report they missed

1:14:48

expectations, the stock's going to

1:14:49

crash. If you actually just start to buy

1:14:52

Bitcoin, eventually half of the value of

1:14:55

the company is valued on tangible

1:14:56

assets. You can't screw it

1:14:59

up. If you don't even show up to work

1:15:01

for a year, you've still got 41% of your

1:15:04

enterprise

1:15:05

value, right? So, bottom line there is

1:15:08

Microsoft prospers on that Bitcoin

1:15:10

standard. They go from 10% a year growth

1:15:12

rate to 16%. And the value at risk goes

1:15:16

from 95% down to less than

1:15:19

60%. And they create anywhere from$1 to5

1:15:23

trillion worth of market

1:15:25

cap. And what does it take? Oh, it takes

1:15:28

five people in the Treasury Department

1:15:30

to change the financial policy. That's

1:15:33

literally all it

1:15:34

takes. And I'm going to end with this

1:15:37

observation. If it's good for your

1:15:38

family and it's good for your portfolio

1:15:40

and it's good for your company, it's

1:15:41

good for your country.

1:15:44

So this is a little observation about

1:15:46

the US strategic Bitcoin reserve. Why?

1:15:49

What is the logic of that idea? And the

1:15:53

proposal by the way is uh the US buys a

1:15:55

million Bitcoin over five years, buys 5%

1:15:58

of the

1:15:59

network. Okay, why? Well, first of all,

1:16:02

because it's the US endorsing a

1:16:06

worldwide global capital network which

1:16:08

represents a fair, equitable, peaceful

1:16:10

system to resolve political differences.

1:16:14

We're we're resolving the differences

1:16:15

with technology and with economic and

1:16:19

leadership as opposed to with guns and

1:16:22

nuclear weapons. Right? So that it's not

1:16:25

a bad idea. But the second idea here is

1:16:28

that the US assumes economic technical

1:16:32

leadership for the world. All of the all

1:16:35

the physical capital and the financial

1:16:37

capital in the 20th century is going to

1:16:40

the 21st century. It's going to go from

1:16:43

Siberian real estate and Chinese real

1:16:46

estate to Bitcoin. And if the US buys

1:16:50

it, then we're we're basically

1:16:54

benefiting from that capital

1:16:57

flow. The US already controls the

1:16:59

world's reserve currency, the dollar. If

1:17:02

people stop using the dollar, they're

1:17:04

going to switch to

1:17:06

Bitcoin. The obvious thing to do is just

1:17:08

own the Bitcoin before they switch to it

1:17:10

because then it doesn't matter if they

1:17:12

switch to it. you can basically have all

1:17:14

the Bitcoin and have the dollar and then

1:17:17

you don't have to

1:17:18

worry, right? And and that that creates

1:17:21

a capital network for the world and all

1:17:25

foreign capital, the Chinese money, the

1:17:27

Russian money, the uh you know, all the

1:17:29

money in Africa, all the money in South

1:17:31

America, all the money in Europe, it's

1:17:33

all going to flow into cyberspace on the

1:17:36

Bitcoin network and the US can just buy

1:17:40

So why not attract the

1:17:43

capital to the Bitcoin network which is

1:17:46

owned by the US and then the US benefits

1:17:48

from it. If the Lumis bill is

1:17:51

implemented as it's

1:17:52

written, it it um alleviates half the US

1:17:56

debt. It basically retires half the debt

1:17:59

over 21 years, which is not a bad thing

1:18:02

to do. But if you think about this in

1:18:05

the in the form of or against other

1:18:08

historic precedents, uh the US bought

1:18:11

the Louisiana territory for about $15

1:18:14

million in 1803 from Napoleon. You know,

1:18:17

he paid for an army for a summer

1:18:19

probably,

1:18:21

right? It's worth 12 trillion

1:18:24

today, right? The Dutch bought Manhattan

1:18:27

for 60 gilders for nothing. Became the

1:18:30

greatest city in North America. The US

1:18:33

bought California and Texas from the

1:18:36

Mexicans, paid $18 million. Who would

1:18:38

ever want to live in California? What

1:18:40

good is that, right? It was 1848. They

1:18:44

they definitely didn't see Silicon

1:18:45

Valley or LA or the movie business. But

1:18:48

the point is, it was a pretty big

1:18:50

payoff. And then Seward bought Alaska in

1:18:53

1867 for a few million dollars. They

1:18:55

called it a Seward's

1:18:57

folly. There was no petroleum industry.

1:19:00

There was no natural gas. There was no

1:19:02

anything else. It turned out there was a

1:19:05

trillion dollars of of minerals

1:19:06

underneath Alaska. All told, so you

1:19:10

spend $40 million to increase the United

1:19:12

States's land mass and its property by a

1:19:15

factor of

1:19:17

five. Where's the world headed? The

1:19:19

world's headed to cyberspace. All the

1:19:21

AIs are going to put their money in

1:19:23

cyerspace. Every global actor is going

1:19:25

to put their money in cyberspace. If you

1:19:28

know where the money's going, if you

1:19:30

know where the AI is going, if you know

1:19:32

where the future is going, buy it. Buy

1:19:35

the future. Right? The greatest deal of

1:19:38

the century is the Bitcoin deal. Right?

1:19:41

The Lumus The Lumis bill is worth $16

1:19:44

trillion to the country. What's it cost

1:19:47

us? Nothing. Like almost nothing. Like

1:19:51

you would a rounding error. You could

1:19:53

like pledge 25% of the gold and you

1:19:56

would have that. If you actually scale

1:19:59

up to a triple max or the Trump max

1:20:02

bill, just buy 6 million Bitcoin, you

1:20:04

could just swap the gold that we've got

1:20:08

floating around the Treasury for

1:20:09

Bitcoin. Take over the entire network.

1:20:12

It'll be worth $81 trillion to the

1:20:15

United States. So people say, "Well, the

1:20:17

US doesn't need it." Well, like who

1:20:19

doesn't need $81

1:20:20

trillion, right? Like we go from like

1:20:24

owing money to being net creditors. I

1:20:26

mean, maybe you think we don't need it,

1:20:28

but but it's kind of like saying,

1:20:30

"Well, we didn't really need California

1:20:33

back in 1848 or Texas. We didn't need

1:20:37

Alaska. We didn't need the Louisiana

1:20:39

territory." Well, maybe you didn't know

1:20:41

why we needed it, but the fact of the

1:20:43

matter is you're going to build the

1:20:45

economy of the future on top of that

1:20:48

property, and you can buy it for a

1:20:50

nickel today. And uh you know, this this

1:20:54

analysis works for any country. By the

1:20:57

way, there's like 13 or 14 states that

1:20:59

are putting forth strategic Bitcoin

1:21:01

reserve bills. Texas, just uh one popped

1:21:04

up on my screen today. So, there's a

1:21:07

competition here. uh the first country

1:21:11

to print some of its own currency to buy

1:21:13

Bitcoin wins, right? People that just

1:21:15

swap their gold reserves for Bitcoin

1:21:17

win. If uh the US swaps gold for

1:21:20

Bitcoin, not only would they actually

1:21:22

retire their own debt, they would crash

1:21:24

the gold network and they would

1:21:25

demonetize all the assets of the

1:21:28

Russians and the Chinese and all of our

1:21:30

geopolitical enemies. So, I think there

1:21:33

will be a lot of interesting geopolitics

1:21:36

here. Uh and I guess I will end uh with

1:21:43

observation. Look, if if you're a

1:21:47

fool, then you take all your money and

1:21:49

you put it in a third world bank or

1:21:51

third world currency or developing world

1:21:53

bonds and you will lose it all. If

1:21:56

you're

1:21:57

fearful, then take all your money and

1:22:00

you buy currency and bonds and you wait

1:22:03

to die and you'll probably make it to

1:22:06

the rest of your life and not run out of

1:22:07

money. But it's not likely that your

1:22:09

kids or your grandchildren will be rich

1:22:11

because bonds aren't a very good

1:22:13

investment. If you have wealth and you

1:22:15

just want to keep your money and you're

1:22:17

conservative and you're uh

1:22:19

traditionalist, buy a diversified

1:22:22

portfolio of real estate and high

1:22:24

quality equity. Buy the S&P index and

1:22:27

buy some commercial real estate and

1:22:30

carefully manage it and watch it. You

1:22:32

won't get richer. You probably won't get

1:22:34

you'll get a little bit poorer. Maybe

1:22:36

you'll just tread water. You'll stay the

1:22:37

same. your your net worth and nominal

1:22:40

amount will trend up 7% a year or 10% a

1:22:43

year or something. And so good for you.

1:22:46

If you want to 10x your money, if you

1:22:48

want to take whatever you've got and do

1:22:51

10x, buy

1:22:53

Bitcoin. And if you want a

1:22:56

100x, if you want to make extreme

1:22:58

amounts of money, a 100x, a thousandx,

1:23:00

if you want to make hundreds of millions

1:23:02

or billions, then you buy Bitcoin with

1:23:05

somebody else's money. Okay? You you

1:23:08

basically have to buy it with leverage,

1:23:10

right? Borrow money from a bank, buy

1:23:12

Bitcoin. Start a company, raise venture

1:23:15

capital, buy Bitcoin. Take a public

1:23:17

company and issue public company stock,

1:23:19

buy Bitcoin. Take your hedge fund, raise

1:23:22

a billion dollars, get a 2 and 20 deal,

1:23:25

buy some Bitcoin with it, and get 20% of

1:23:27

the upside. So, if you want to outper,

1:23:29

you can get to 10x without a lot of

1:23:31

leverage. If you want to get to the 100x

1:23:33

or the thousandx, then you leverage

1:23:36

something. Uh, Micro Strategy went from

1:23:39

a $12 stock to a, you know,

1:23:44

$360 stock in four years by levered

1:23:48

Bitcoin, right? I mean, this is not a

1:23:50

complicated idea. People have levered

1:23:52

real estate for 100 years. The

1:23:54

difference is this is the most valuable

1:23:56

real estate humanity has ever come up

1:23:59

with. It's digital real estate, right?

1:24:01

It's much more scarce. It's cyber

1:24:03

Manhattan.

1:24:05

Every business can do it. Any family can

1:24:08

do it. Any investor can do it. Any

1:24:10

country can do it. Um hopefully I piqu

1:24:13

your interest and I just invite you uh

1:24:16

to consider, you know, what's your

1:24:19

Bitcoin strategy and I encourage you to

1:24:22

do the right thing for your family, for

1:24:24

your employees, for your shareholders,

1:24:26

for citizens, for your investors, for

1:24:28

country, for the world, for your legacy.

1:24:31

Right? It's a new technology. It was

1:24:34

fire. Some people run away from the

1:24:36

fire. Henry Ford, put the fire in an

1:24:39

engine. Put the engine in a billion

1:24:41

cars. Put it in millions of airplanes.

1:24:44

Put it in all your ships. Right. Changed

1:24:47

the world. He harnessed the

1:24:50

fire. Some people are burned by the

1:24:52

fire. Some people harness the fire. I

1:24:55

give you electricity. Some people are

1:24:56

shocked by the electricity. Other people

1:24:59

wire their houses, their appliances,

1:25:01

their elevators with electricity. Right?

1:25:05

This is digital energy. You can run from

1:25:07

it. You can embrace it. Right? You can

1:25:10

run from

1:25:11

gunpowder,

1:25:13

nitroglycerin. You can embrace it. But

1:25:15

the problem is, you know, the technology

1:25:17

is going to find you one way or the

1:25:19

other, right? And when it does find you,

1:25:22

if you're on the other side of a

1:25:24

monetary technology, it'll make you

1:25:27

poor. You'll be the African tribal

1:25:29

leader holding the glass beads when the

1:25:32

Europeans come in with gold coins and

1:25:34

they manufacture your glass beads and

1:25:36

they buy up everything in your country

1:25:38

and leave you and your heirs destitute

1:25:41

because you weren't smart enough to

1:25:42

realize that glass beads aren't going to

1:25:44

beat gold coins. You can't cling to your

1:25:47

wood when steel comes along. You can't

1:25:50

cling to your bronze when a harder

1:25:52

metal. And if you don't like air power,

1:25:54

when they stop dropping bombs on your

1:25:56

head, you'll probably discover a love of

1:25:58

air power. So, this is technology. Don't

1:26:02

be afraid of

1:26:03

it. You know, I'm not telling you to

1:26:06

take your money. I'm telling you to take

1:26:08

your time. If you don't believe anything

1:26:09

I said, invest 100 hours in this. uh if

1:26:13

you decide after a 100 hours it's a

1:26:15

waste of time, then you'll know for sure

1:26:17

that the other 500 million of us are

1:26:19

idiots and you could talk about it. But

1:26:23

on the other hand, and I'll I'll end

1:26:26

with this one

1:26:28

observation, the average person spends a

1:26:30

100,000 hours in their life learning to

1:26:33

get a job and then

1:26:35

working. Trace how much time you spent

1:26:38

from age six to age 60.

1:26:41

66, right? 60 years, 2,000 hours a year,

1:26:46

maybe you stop 10 years, right? A

1:26:49

100,000 hours you're going to spend to

1:26:51

make money. I would say spend a 100

1:26:53

hours figuring out how to keep

1:26:55

it. Thank

1:27:04

you, Michael. Wait, Michael, please.

1:27:04

We're going to do audience questions if

1:27:07

that's okay. So folks, we want to give

1:27:09

you the opportunity because I know that

1:27:11

a lot of you came into this uh wanting

1:27:13

to ask questions. So please put your

1:27:16

hands up if you want to ask a question.

1:27:18

I think there

1:27:20

was question uh Orlando.

1:27:31

Sorry if that's okay.

1:27:31

Yes. Thank you very much for an amazing

1:27:34

conference. I would like to know what

1:27:36

threats do quantum computing signals for

1:27:40

the blockchain.

1:27:42

I I think right now uh all the quantum

1:27:45

computing uh discussion is primarily

1:27:49

being used to raise money for quantum

1:27:51

startups that want to attract capital

1:27:54

but for the most part it's just hype and

1:27:55

FUD. Every two years people bring up the

1:27:58

topic. The consensus of the programmers

1:28:01

in the industry is is we don't have to

1:28:03

worry about computers capable of

1:28:06

cracking encryption algorithms that we

1:28:07

use today for another 10 to 20 years. At

1:28:11

some point, if computers are powerful

1:28:13

enough to crack those algorithms, then

1:28:16

all of the software in the world run by

1:28:18

Google and Microsoft and Apple and all

1:28:20

the Bitcoin nodes will all be upgraded

1:28:22

with a new set of encryption routines.

1:28:25

But you're at least a decade out before

1:28:27

that's relevant. And it's not unique to

1:28:29

Bitcoin. Uh it would have an impact on

1:28:32

every government, every bank, every

1:28:34

technology company, every digital

1:28:36

product you have in the world. They'll

1:28:37

all get upgraded if they need to. But

1:28:40

for now, it it represents more of a

1:28:42

marketing thing for tech companies that

1:28:45

are raising capital than it represents a

1:28:47

realistic threat to anybody. Perfect. Uh

1:28:50

11 o'clock.

1:28:52

Hey, hey, Michael. How you doing? Um I

1:28:56

uh came to your session last year, not a

1:28:59

crypto guy, but I walked out buying

1:29:01

Bitcoin. So thanks and it's done great.

1:29:05

Um great share on the arc of family,

1:29:10

friends, country for Bitcoin. What are

1:29:13

the most piercing counter if you were to

1:29:15

take the exact opposite side? Like what

1:29:18

are the biggest counterarguments to not

1:29:20

buying Bitcoin?

1:29:22

It's new. It's different. It's not I

1:29:26

didn't learn it in

1:29:28

school. Nobody taught me. It's just it's

1:29:31

new and different and strange and it's a

1:29:34

different way to see the universe. And

1:29:37

most people they function based upon

1:29:39

simple truisms. Volatility is

1:29:43

bad. Don't risk. CFOs aren't supposed to

1:29:46

take risk. You know, stuff like that. So

1:29:49

conventional wisdom is the number one uh

1:29:51

the number one uh friction point or

1:29:55

impediment right now.

1:30:01

Thank you so much. Um what kind of

1:30:01

impact do you see fair accounting value

1:30:04

having in Micro Strategy stock this

1:30:06

year?

1:30:07

uh we'll adopt fair value accounting uh

1:30:10

with uh our Q1 results and then you'll

1:30:13

start to see a change in in uh our GAP

1:30:17

financials. At that point, you'll be

1:30:19

able to write up or write down the value

1:30:21

of all your assets based on fair value

1:30:23

at the end of the quarter. So, we'll

1:30:24

have a much larger balance sheet and

1:30:26

we'll start to generate investment

1:30:27

income in large quantities.

1:30:36

Hello. Um yeah, thank you very much for

1:30:36

your speech today. Um as the biggest

1:30:39

buyer of Bitcoin aside from let's say

1:30:42

Black Rock as ETF

1:30:46

um what is what in your opinion what is

1:30:49

the current size of available Bitcoin

1:30:53

liquidity? I mean, we all know that

1:30:55

there is going to be 21 million Bitcoin,

1:30:57

but in reality, there's a lot of uh

1:30:59

Bitcoin that are locked, uh lost keys,

1:31:03

uh a lot of people not selling. Like, if

1:31:04

you could buy all the Bitcoin available

1:31:06

today, what do you think that number is?

1:31:09

Yeah. I mean, you can buy any amount of

1:31:11

Bitcoin you want today as long as you

1:31:12

pay a price. We buy hundreds of hundred

1:31:15

million dollars an hour sometimes

1:31:17

without moving the price. We bought 200

1:31:19

million an hour without moving the

1:31:21

price, you know. Uh so you can buy any

1:31:24

amount of Bitcoin you want.

1:31:26

Um what's going to h it doesn't really

1:31:29

matter that there's a limited supply

1:31:31

because because as the price doubles

1:31:34

people are going to put Bitcoin on the

1:31:35

market to sell it. So what what's

1:31:37

happening is just there's

1:31:40

450 Bitcoin mined every day and that's

1:31:44

available for sale by natural sellers

1:31:46

the miners. That's about 40 million or

1:31:48

$45 million a day. uh once that 45

1:31:52

million's been bought, then the price

1:31:53

has to move up to find a willing seller

1:31:57

that's willing to sell at a higher

1:31:58

price. And that's a dynamic that will

1:32:00

continue forever.

1:32:06

Ladies and gentlemen, I think we're

1:32:06

going to take this conversation um over

1:32:08

continued cocktails. And I want to thank

1:32:11

Michael Sailor. Michael, thank you so

1:32:13

much for enlightening us. I want to

1:32:15

thank you all for being part of this.

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