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FULL VIDEO: A Mind Blowin' | Ross Stevens & Michael Saylor Discuss #Bitcoin

reizariva · 2021-02-04 · 59m · View on YouTube →

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i'd like to welcome ross stevens who's

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the founder and ceo of stone ridge

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holdings group

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which personally met which manages more

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than 20 billion dollars in alternative

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investments

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around 2015 as they started to

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personally own a lot of bitcoin

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they couldn't find a custodian who could

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satisfy their level of fiduciary

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standards

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that began a journey that is now naidig

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the new york digital investment group

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which ross founded and is executive

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chairman of

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today nida manages over 6 billion

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dollars of bitcoin

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all for institutions and it's a full

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service

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vertically integrated bitcoin only

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financial services firm

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ross started his career at goldman sachs

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working for fisher black

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after earning his phd in statistics and

1:01

finance at the university of chicago

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writing his dissertation under the

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direction of nobel prize winner gene

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fama

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ross did his undergraduate studies at

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wharton and ross is the chairman of the

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stevens center for innovation and

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finance at wharton

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which he founded more importantly

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ross is a friend of mine he's been an

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important partner

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and a trusted guide to me

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and to various members of

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microstrategy's leadership team

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as we navigate our own bitcoin journey

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please help me welcome ross and ross

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thanks for joining us today

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i'm really excited about this

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conversation i am too michael thank you

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very much

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it's a pleasure to be here and like each

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of the many conversations you and i

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have i'm sure i will enjoy and look

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forward to this one

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okay so let's get right into it in a

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sense

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let's do it this whole conference is

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about reserve assets

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it's not about property plant and

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equipment or

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other parts of a firm's business

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strategy or balance sheet

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it's about reserve assets you and i are

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both ceos

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we have a lot we need to focus on we

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have a lot we need to decide every

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single day

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why should we even care about reserve

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assets

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well i think a ceo has two jobs

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right executive but also capital

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allocator the first one is is obvious

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the second is more important capital

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allocation

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is a ceo's most important

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job i think all of us ceos work in

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in capital allocation in fact we

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specialize in it

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whether we're good at it or not we

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specialize in it and said differently

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whether or not we choose it

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capital allocation chooses us and i

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would say a capital allocation

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framework for a ceo used to be one thing

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which is how do we turn our liquid

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assets into

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illiquid assets and how do we turn our

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illiquid assets back

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into liquid assets you know are we going

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to buy something

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are we going to sell something are we

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going to fund a business are we going to

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close the business what's changed though

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is that it's now

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also about our liquid assets

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as their own thing your cash reserves

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because what used to be safe and not

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volatile it's no longer safe and it's

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highly volatile

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well why is this framework so relevant

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now

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i mean it's always been relevant i mean

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what's relevant is the urgency

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uh what's new is the urgency what's new

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i think is the outsized role of central

3:41

banks

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in all of our lives and the role of

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central banks on corporate

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balance sheets i mean cash is now a

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liability

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no longer an asset and i think that has

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profound

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long-term implications for corporations

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i mean we can go back

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and start a lot of different places but

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we can go back i mean one of my favorite

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federal reserve sort of central bank

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persons

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is hayami governor hiyami from japan

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he's not a name you hear

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a lot about now but he led the boj in

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the year 2000

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and he joined right out of college

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post-war 1947.

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it's hard to imagine japan back then but

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there were any hyper inflation imagine

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japan in a hyperinflation

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and those hyperinflationary years when

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he was out of college left an indelible

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scar

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on hiyami understandably and as he was

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rising through the ranks of the boj

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he was known for repeating the phrase if

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you debase the currency you debase

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the country in his internal meeting so

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that was he was a strident

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anti-inflationist now we think about

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japan back in 2000 right it's ten years

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after the bubble burst

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their benchmark rate basically their fed

4:49

funds had gone from eight percent to

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to zero and given hayami's personal

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background his anti-inflationary stance

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he thought free money was nuts

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right so he decided to do something

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about it now that he was finally in

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charge

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he took the radical step of raising

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rates

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25 basis points i mean pretty radical so

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he made it he made money

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slightly non-free okay

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but he didn't just do it it's really

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what he what he said he kind of had this

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speech and he thundered risk

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must be priced risk must be priced which

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is really academic jargon for saying the

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market

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must determine the price of money not

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bureaucrats

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so what happens right very predictably

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first of all the prime minister goes

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ballistic

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he says this is just unacceptable it's

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an unparalleled display of independence

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of the central bank as if that's not the

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entire point of central bank

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independence

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and what happens in markets the nikkei

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gets crushed

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drops 20 percent the politicians

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predictably in japan

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freak out and they demand a return to

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zero

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and seven months later hayami

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retreats he completely capitulates and

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moves the rate back to zero and

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probably not surprisingly soon

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thereafter he's out of a job right so

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that

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we can think about the journey starting

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there let's fast forward 18 years

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december 2018 let's talk about our own

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country

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and what i think is the greatest

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reversal of monetary policy

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in our country's history and i say that

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when i measure it based on the

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swiftness of the reversal and the impact

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of the reversal so we're december 2018

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fed meeting day the markets are down 8

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for the month so

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nerves are frayed and powell comes out

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of the meeting

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and he says the balance sheet runoff so

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coming out of qe

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it's on automatic pilot

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and with those two words the market just

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loses its mind

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it just drops five percent trump says

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he's gonna fire him

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and things kind of go ballistic at that

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point and i don't know if you know this

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but

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fed policy is that the day after a

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meeting nobody in the fed's allowed to

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talk publicly but the day after the day

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after they are

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and at the very first opportunity that

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powell has to walk

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back his remarks he saves space into it

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himself but he trots out

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williams who's the fed president of new

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york and williams says

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plans are not promises we will reassess

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the data

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the market knows exactly what that means

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and it rockets up 15

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in the next month so like kayami

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complete capitulation

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ayami took seven months pal took two

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days right

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let's do one more let's fast forward to

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last march

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the ecb christine lagarde is in charge

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let's talk about march 12th to be exact

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and she is president when spreads on

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italian bonds so what they are

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essentially over over german bonds

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they're blown out and she says her

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version of risk must be priced she says

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her version of

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automatic pilot remember what remember

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what she said

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she said and i quote we are not here to

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close spreads

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are you sure christine the markets go

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ballistic

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um during the press conference spreads

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keep widening and widening out

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um she actually doubles down she says

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it's not the function or the mission of

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the ecb to close spread she kind of

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thunders that

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spreads bloud even more and do you

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remember what happened

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complete capitulation except it didn't

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take regard

8:17

the seven months it took ayami or the

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two days it took

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powell two hours it took her two hours

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in the press conference

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two hours after the speech she

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completely walks back

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her comments with the quote i am fully

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committed to avoid

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any fragmentation all is is okay

8:35

it turns out she was there to close

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spreads after all and in fact her

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capitulation was

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so complete that the ecb took the

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unprecedented step

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of revising the speech with

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the conference afterwards they've never

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taken the remarks of a press conference

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and appended them

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to the speech i think what i take away

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from these stories is that

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a central bank can control the supply of

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their money

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they can't make their people value it it

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seems like hayami

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powell and lagarde each felt they had no

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choice

9:10

what's this tell us about central

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bankers

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well i mean i don't know i mean the

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sequence of hayami

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powell lagarde it makes me think of the

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great philosopher of modernity

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mike tyson oh yeah yeah he was the best

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at philosophy um and his most famous

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phrase was

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everyone has a plan until they get

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punched in the face i love that one

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i think of it often i think of it often

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too and i've been punched plenty of

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times

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um i mean these bankers they got punched

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in the face really hard

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and they felt pain and they felt fear

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because they're human

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you would have and i would have also

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they got scared

9:49

they retreated i think though what it

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really tells us

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about the world is that these central

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bankers

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as well intentioned as smart and as

9:59

really good as they are

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they're just up against forces far

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bigger than themselves

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i think it tells us the economic choice

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they'd like to make of short-term pain

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for a long-term gain it's just out of

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scope for them

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i think it tells us that their choice is

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short-term pain for economic catastrophe

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and certain political extinction so

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they'll just keep printing i mean

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they're just going to keep printing and

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that just makes corporate reserves kind

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of the point of the conference just

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riskier and riskier and more valid what

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it really tells us though i think is the

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system itself

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is the problem the system is so over

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levered

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so dependent on free money that's just a

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little huff

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and a little puff and the whole thing

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gets blown down

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can i tell you just one more one more

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story okay okay

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so let's let's go back to jerome our guy

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right last march

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um he's learned the lessons of mike

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tyson's wisdom he doesn't want to wait

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to get

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punched in the face and you know the

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markets start to fall

10:58

some people start to lose some money and

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powell's view

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through his actions not his words

11:04

through his actions is that

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no level of pre-crisis irresponsibility

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no level of overborrowing irresponsible

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over borrowing

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no level must be allowed to have

11:15

consequences

11:17

the new fed mandate is not price

11:20

stability it's not

11:21

full employment the new fed mandate

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again through his actions

11:25

not his words is let's decouple risk

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taking

11:29

from the consequences of risk taking the

11:31

new fed mandate is let's finally once

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and for all

11:34

institutionalize moral hazard so

11:37

to foam the runway for this this new

11:39

this new mandate what does he do

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jerome goes out and he starts buying

11:46

securities at a scale the world has

11:48

never

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seen or imagined was possible he starts

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buying about a day's worth of u.s

11:55

gdp a day's work so i'm gonna put that

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human terms all the work

12:03

all 350 million of us do we wake up in

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the morning

12:06

we get our kids to school we go to work

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all of the work of

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all of us you know i picture jerome kind

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of getting to his desk

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gets the keyboard out and just like

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control p click

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all americans collective daily labor he

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he just prints

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now as i said i don't question central

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bankers are well intentioned i strongly

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believe they

12:26

are but humans are not supposed to have

12:30

that kind of power

12:31

over other humans um you know in the

12:34

same way that a

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stock certificate is is titled to

12:38

company

12:38

capital money is title to human human

12:41

time

12:42

michael i mean people sacrifice their

12:44

time for money

12:46

which enables us to trade our time for

12:49

the time

12:49

sacrifices of others that's how it's

12:51

supposed to work

12:53

so a tool that can command human time

12:56

the central bank keyboard control p that

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keyboard steals time

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and it steals time from from some

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particularly

13:05

and most powerfully the non-asset owners

13:08

the most vulnerable and it redistributes

13:10

that time

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to others most notably the existing

13:15

asset owners it adds rocket fuel to

13:18

wealth inequality

13:19

and it leaves the fidelity of the signal

13:23

content of prices just in tatters

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now i i think mark march 2020 that was

13:30

the wake up call for me that

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you're a very sophisticated macro

13:34

economist

13:35

i was oblivious but that was like the

13:38

massive

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jolt of of some kind of macro

13:43

shock that caused me to stop and decide

13:45

that maybe i needed to take an interest

13:48

in uh in all of this and what you know

13:51

what you've described is pretty sobering

13:53

i didn't really know the history

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uh like you do but um

13:58

you know it's it's clear now the

14:00

challenges that central bankers face

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and uh it's pretty clear that we are

14:06

over

14:06

levered as an economy so

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um i guess the question is what's

14:12

bitcoin got to do

14:14

with any of this and what's bitcoin got

14:17

to do with corporations

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i mean a lot i mean in my view kind of

14:22

everything

14:23

um i can start with the conclusion i'll

14:26

i'll work backwards

14:27

um okay i like that give me the answer

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yeah i'll give you the answer the answer

14:31

is bitcoin is not

14:32

volatile that's that's the answer

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and let me explain okay

14:38

learning bitcoin is like at least to me

14:40

it's like

14:41

for me it was like learning a foreign

14:43

language you know you live in spain for

14:44

a year or you live in

14:45

france for a year and at some point you

14:48

get you get good enough it takes some

14:49

time but with immersion you think

14:51

in spanish right you think in french

14:54

something clicks for you you make that

14:55

you make that switch you're no longer

14:57

thinking

14:58

like how do i say where's the barber in

15:00

spanish and doing that english to

15:01

spanish translation in your mind you

15:03

just think the question

15:04

in spanish i now

15:07

think in bitcoin okay it's taken me

15:12

eight years of morning study you are

15:14

much faster

15:15

than me you know i'm a slow learner but

15:17

i get there it's taken me eight years of

15:19

morning study and a lifetime of of

15:21

of lessons studying the markets but i

15:24

now think in bitcoin and it's it's very

15:27

freeing

15:28

and through that lens of thinking in

15:30

bitcoin bitcoin is not

15:33

volatile fiat is volatile the price of

15:36

college is volatile in fiat

15:39

keeps getting cheaper in bitcoin the

15:41

price of prime real estate

15:44

very volatile and fiat keeps getting

15:46

cheaper

15:47

in bitcoin the price of all of my

15:50

long-dated

15:51

denominated liabilities like a mortgage

15:54

or retirement or we do a lot of work

15:56

with insurance companies they're

15:57

long-dated fiat-based liabilities a

15:59

death benefit for life insurance

16:00

contracts or annuity payments

16:02

those are extraordinarily volatile

16:05

in fiat and they each getting keep

16:08

getting cheaper

16:09

in in bitcoin and so to understand

16:11

really what's going on and why this is

16:13

happening i think we need to ask

16:14

ourselves two things

16:16

one like what is money like what is it

16:19

and why is bitcoin an excellent money or

16:21

even is it an excellent

16:23

money so so so so what's money money is

16:26

technology

16:27

it it it is and it always has been

16:29

technology whether it was seashells or

16:31

salt or cattle

16:33

it's always been technology it's

16:35

technology for making

16:36

our wealth today available for

16:38

consumption

16:39

tomorrow and virtually all of us you

16:41

know americans

16:42

um we just take for granted that there's

16:45

a sharp line of distinction

16:47

between what's a money and what's not

16:50

but that's false

16:50

there's not a line of distinction in

16:53

fact throughout history various monies

16:55

plural have always co-existed

16:59

along a continuum of soundness meaning

17:02

good money to to kind of bad money and

17:04

they've always been subject to

17:05

competitive network effects

17:07

like any comp competition in fact

17:09

english language and language for humans

17:11

in general that was the first

17:13

network and money was the second um it

17:16

also means that

17:17

that given enough time

17:21

at any given time including right now no

17:24

money is

17:24

absolutely the best money on all

17:27

dimensions there are always trade-offs

17:31

some are better some are worse some are

17:32

better at this some are better at other

17:33

things it also means that all money is

17:35

is is temporal

17:36

no money has ever been or ever will be

17:39

forever including bitcoin bitcoin will

17:42

not last

17:43

forever it may last 100 years or 250

17:45

years i mean maybe forever for practical

17:47

terms for everybody at this conference

17:48

including you and i

17:50

but it will it will not last forever

17:53

because money is just a good

17:54

like any other good but what makes what

17:57

makes

17:57

money as a good unique among all goods

18:00

is that we value it

18:02

not for its own sake but for its

18:04

prospective

18:05

exchange utility which means we hope the

18:08

vessel whatever we

18:09

choose to store our money in

18:12

we hope that vessel keeps its value long

18:14

enough

18:15

so we can trade it in the future for

18:17

stuff we actually want right nobody

18:19

actually wants green little pieces of

18:21

paper nobody actually wants bitcoin

18:23

nobody actually wants bitcoin either

18:26

what we want

18:27

those things to do is to hopefully

18:30

allow us to trade them for things in the

18:33

future we actually want a vacation a

18:34

college education

18:36

property whatever right so

18:39

it's not that we want the money we don't

18:41

want the money we want what the money

18:43

can do for us in the future what we can

18:44

trade it for

18:45

so so then why is bitcoin

18:49

excellent money well i think that's for

18:53

everybody to make up their own mind i'll

18:54

tell you how i think about it though

18:56

there's really two

18:57

primary dimensions that i think money

18:59

should be evaluated on

19:02

sale ability across time and sellability

19:05

across

19:06

space so sellability across time just

19:08

means will the money keep its

19:10

value through time or will it depreciate

19:14

um you know the oldest fiat money that's

19:15

in existence today

19:17

is the british pound and 371 years ago

19:20

when

19:20

the modern british pound started it was

19:23

equal to one

19:24

pound of silver one british pound bought

19:26

you one

19:27

pound of silver today do you know what

19:31

one pound of silver buys you in terms of

19:33

british pounds

19:35

i'm guessing that it buys you more than

19:39

one british more than one

19:41

a little bit 174. so you used to buy

19:44

one for one now a pound of silver buys

19:46

174 british pounds

19:48

and the key here is to understand what

19:51

changed

19:52

and what did not change okay the silver

19:55

itself

19:56

did not change 371 years ago it weighed

19:59

a pound

20:00

today it weighs a pound 371 years ago

20:03

the silver had certain chemical

20:04

properties

20:05

it's got the same chemical properties

20:07

today

20:08

the silver did not change the fiat

20:12

changed it depreciated more than 99

20:15

so silver crushed fiat i hate the 99

20:19

number i i just hate that one yeah i

20:22

just didn't want to take it out to that

20:23

many decimals

20:24

but you know it's 99.7638129 i don't

20:27

know it's it's it's a lot it's basically

20:28

worthless right relative to silver

20:31

but you know people talk about gold what

20:32

about silver versus

20:34

gold and the reality is gold has been

20:36

far better and far

20:37

more reliable it's much better store

20:39

value than silver because it's scarcer

20:42

and it's got a much lower supply growth

20:44

gold grows at about two percent a year

20:46

silver grows about 20 30 a year so

20:50

gold is a much better money than

20:53

silver but let's compare it to bitcoin i

20:55

mean gold still does grow

20:57

you print through mining you print gold

20:59

at about two percent a year and bitcoins

21:01

on an asymptotic journey to zero percent

21:04

inflation per year so two percent a year

21:06

roughly times 50 years

21:08

and gold essentially depreciates

21:10

completely

21:11

versus bitcoin so bitcoin will be worth

21:15

far more than gold in the future once it

21:18

clicks for people

21:19

that gold is printed at a much higher

21:21

rate and that compounds

21:22

much higher 100 a year but that

21:24

compounds over 10 20 30

21:26

40 50 years but there's another property

21:29

of gold that makes it weak relative

21:33

to bitcoin and in fact this is a

21:34

property of bitcoin that makes bitcoin

21:36

truly unique

21:37

among any money in history which is that

21:40

bitcoin is the first store of value

21:42

ever in which its supply is entirely

21:46

unaffected

21:47

by its demand you know if we take

21:51

the example of gold to prove this point

21:53

if gold went to i don't know

21:55

100 000 bucks an ounce it's up 50 x

21:58

overnight

21:59

you and i know what's gonna happen

22:00

tomorrow morning the miner's gonna get

22:01

to work very early right now

22:04

you and i would drop the phone and start

22:05

mining right we're gonna start mining

22:06

we're gonna look around our house for

22:07

gold we're gonna melt it down

22:09

we're gonna drive up the supply we can't

22:11

skyrocket the supply but we're going to

22:12

drive up the supply we're going to drive

22:14

up drive down the price of gold

22:16

if during the course of this

22:17

conversation people really feel like

22:19

bullish on bitcoin and bitcoin goes to a

22:21

million i'm saying that with a smile

22:23

what's going to happen in supply of

22:24

bitcoin nothing

22:27

nothing nothing that's incredible

22:30

that's incredible bitcoin is the first

22:33

store of value in human history

22:35

where its supply is never can never will

22:38

never be affected by

22:39

any amount of its increased demand so

22:43

the conclusion is that bitcoin is better

22:46

at being gold than gold because it's

22:49

more sellable across

22:50

time now the other characteristic about

22:53

money that's really important is

22:54

sellability across space like can you

22:55

move the money around the world

22:57

efficiently

22:58

and this is another place where gold has

23:00

a really

23:01

acute flaw it's just hard to transport i

23:04

mean if you get paper gold except you're

23:05

back in sort of fiat land and all the

23:07

problems of fiat

23:08

gold is just hard to to transport and

23:10

this is where fiat for all its flaws and

23:12

fiat's doa

23:14

but for all its flaws fiat really shines

23:16

here you can move it around the world

23:17

and it's sort of an internet

23:19

world where network power is is

23:21

everything

23:22

this ability to sell across space is

23:26

is critical however i want to

23:29

clear up a pretty common misperception

23:33

which is that bitcoin is slower than

23:35

fiat the reality is the opposite

23:38

bitcoin moves much faster across space

23:40

than fiat the key though

23:42

is to compare apples to apples final

23:46

settlement and in final settlement

23:47

there's no comparison bitcoin increases

23:49

our capacity

23:51

for final for example international

23:52

settlement by

23:54

500 000 transactions a day and completes

23:57

the settlement

23:58

with finality in about an hour you know

24:01

in international settlement you're

24:03

talking two three four five days seven

24:04

days it can be a month

24:06

depends on the two countries you may not

24:07

you may not get there

24:09

and even within a country like ours

24:11

michael don't confuse

24:13

the speed of your visa payment with its

24:15

final settlement because it's not

24:16

finally settling when you go to

24:18

starbucks and buy coffee with your visa

24:20

card no final settlement occurs what

24:22

actually happens

24:23

is your bank and starbucks bank

24:26

they have some credit risk to each other

24:28

for two or three days

24:30

usually it's fine but sometimes with

24:32

disastrous results

24:33

and then there's final settlements

24:36

bitcoin

24:36

settles every hour and it's a bearer

24:39

instrument it's the first ever

24:40

electronic

24:41

bearer instrument so credit risk is not

24:43

a concept

24:45

we said earlier that bitcoin is better

24:46

at being gold than gold

24:48

what we're saying now is bitcoin is

24:50

better being fiat

24:51

than fia it's more saleable across space

24:54

and because it's not

24:56

debt like fiat it has no credit risk so

25:00

the conclusion is that bitcoin is the

25:02

best

25:04

money we have maybe it's the best money

25:06

we ever we've ever had

25:08

and that's why i've learned the language

25:11

that's why

25:11

i now think in it okay

25:15

i get it it's pretty clear when you say

25:19

it that way

25:20

bitcoins just better money but it's not

25:23

only money

25:25

and i obviously agree with you however

25:28

i have a related question even if we

25:32

agree

25:32

that bitcoin is better money it comes at

25:35

a cost

25:36

bitcoin's use of energy how do you think

25:39

about that

25:42

i mean i think about it a lot um

25:45

and i think that you know if people take

25:48

nothing away from our conversation i

25:50

hope they take

25:52

this part away about how i think about

25:54

bitcoin's use of energy

25:56

um let's start with some facts okay

25:58

bitcoin consumes a ton of energy

25:59

the the amount of energy that bitcoin

26:01

consumes you can think about it as the

26:03

sum of all the mining equipment

26:04

in the world and there's no you know

26:06

there's no central registry for for

26:07

mining equipment so you don't

26:09

really know exactly but i think an

26:10

excellent estimate is about

26:12

10 million humans worth of energy so

26:15

it's enormous

26:16

and in a warming world how can this be

26:18

good

26:19

well let's set some context like what is

26:21

the problem of energy what are we

26:23

solving

26:23

it's never been its scarcity we can

26:24

produce tons and tons of energy

26:26

it's always been our ability to channel

26:29

the energy geographically that means to

26:31

move it

26:31

where it's needed most and before

26:33

bitcoin that was always where

26:35

humans lived we needed to move the

26:36

energy to where humans lived

26:38

but bitcoin's mining energy it's just

26:40

solving a different problem

26:42

solving a math problem not a

26:44

transportation problem

26:46

and because of satellites and wireless

26:48

internet connections

26:49

a math problem can be solved anywhere

26:52

so bitcoin mining can be located

26:56

anywhere and you know the long-term

26:58

implications of this i think

27:00

are are world-changing so so for example

27:03

bitcoin can make monetizable

27:07

isolated energy sources all over the all

27:10

over the world i mean think about

27:11

waterfalls or running rivers we can

27:13

create dams

27:15

in places that are you know now entirely

27:17

untapped because they would be cost

27:19

prohibitive

27:20

to move that energy to the electric grid

27:24

near where residential or commercial

27:26

uses would be possible just it's just

27:27

cost prohibitive

27:28

so here's the key insight as bitcoin's

27:31

price

27:32

rises it's high enough now but as it

27:34

continues to rise

27:35

bitcoin mining will be the most

27:38

profitable use of energy in human

27:39

history

27:41

that does not need to be located near

27:43

human settlement

27:44

to operate that's a big deal

27:48

bitcoin is going to fundamentally change

27:50

the economics of

27:52

energy and that's because with bitcoin

27:54

mining we've got a highly profitable use

27:56

of energy that's

27:57

location in dependent we've never had a

28:00

highly profitable use of energy

28:02

that was location dependent now now we

28:05

and since fossil fuels they're already

28:07

too expensive for bitcoin mining

28:09

um i think the only i mean i think

28:12

confidently the only long-term

28:13

profitable

28:14

bitcoin mining will be powered by clean

28:17

energy so so imagine a future just just

28:19

imagine

28:20

where bitcoin mining firms unsubsidized

28:22

and i think that's key

28:23

are in extraordinarily isolated

28:26

locations

28:28

i don't know let's visualize a waterfall

28:31

powerful waterfall in a

28:34

population free part of an african

28:37

country that's destitute

28:38

people living in abject poverty and we

28:40

can easily connect that waterfall

28:42

to the bitcoin network we can build the

28:45

energy infrastructure

28:46

to monetize the local clean energy

28:49

source

28:50

for bitcoin mining but once we've got

28:53

the infrastructure let's extend it let's

28:56

build roads let's build houses let's

28:58

build schools let's build

28:59

let's build let's build human settlement

29:02

let's move humans there

29:03

and i think the net result will be more

29:05

and more of humanity

29:06

clustering around cheap and cheap is key

29:10

clean clean as ke2 energy sources

29:13

historically

29:14

our challenge with energy has been to

29:16

move the power to

29:18

the people bitcoin will allow us to move

29:22

the people

29:23

to the power now you think about the

29:25

world's major population centers i'm in

29:27

new york you're in miami think about

29:28

tokyo

29:29

or paris or london they developed where

29:31

they are

29:32

geographically because of natural

29:34

seaports or trade routes or water rays

29:37

waterways the placement of those cities

29:40

had nothing to do with energy because

29:41

they're all free energy right they were

29:42

all pre-fossil fuels

29:44

with more and more of the world's

29:45

population now able

29:47

in the future with bitcoin to congregate

29:50

around abundant energy and this is the

29:51

key with extraordinarily low marginal

29:54

costs of production

29:55

that's the part that matters because

29:57

cheap energy

29:58

in the natural form equals human

30:01

flourishing that that's an equation

30:02

cheap energy equals

30:04

human flourishing and we can we can sign

30:06

all the climate accords we want we can

30:08

add our name to anything we can we can

30:09

virtue signal whatever we want sign them

30:11

right they're all irrelevant they've

30:13

been irrelevant they will be irrelevant

30:15

what's relevant is this

30:17

because when you have people with a

30:19

profit motive

30:20

and for the first time ever we have a

30:22

huge pull

30:24

towards clean energy with a profit

30:25

motive that's when things

30:27

change so from my perspective beyond the

30:31

the revolution and monetary policy that

30:34

bitcoin already represents

30:36

bitcoin also represents the biggest

30:38

catalyst the world has ever known

30:40

for the development of abundant clean

30:43

cheap

30:44

energy and therefore you know one of the

30:47

biggest catalysts the world has ever

30:48

known

30:49

for human flourishing it's going to take

30:52

a decade or two

30:53

but that's one of the things that

30:54

bitcoin can do

30:56

you know i never really thought about it

30:58

that way before it's really pretty

30:59

amazing i mean

31:00

manufacturing money from clean

31:04

energy sounds like a better idea than

31:05

manufacturing aluminum

31:07

from clean energy a little bit a little

31:10

you got to imagine a lot of countries in

31:12

the world that have shut in stranded

31:14

energy

31:15

and they have and we know you can't move

31:17

electricity more than 500 miles so

31:20

if you could actually literally make

31:24

money off of stranded energy you could

31:28

you can tap into your natural resources

31:30

in order to move into the 21st century

31:33

i think it's fascinating yeah yeah may

31:36

take a decade or two to realize the

31:38

vision

31:38

but you know given the way uh the

31:41

economics of mining works

31:43

especially as bitcoin's price rises

31:46

i think the energy vision makes perfect

31:49

sense

31:50

it's and it's inevitable okay so

31:53

big idea big idea ross okay

31:57

going back to bitcoin itself and your

32:00

firm

32:00

stone ridge what what is what is stone

32:03

ridge doing with bitcoin and

32:05

let's break it into two questions um

32:08

what are you doing

32:10

as a steward of your own firm's

32:12

resources and

32:14

what are you doing to help others see

32:17

what you see

32:19

well um our own resources you know what

32:22

are we doing

32:23

i mean i don't know if you can read the

32:24

books in the back there's a lot of tele

32:26

books we like tele

32:27

so i'm going to rephrase your question a

32:28

little bit which is

32:30

ross don't tell me what you think show

32:31

me what's in your portfolio

32:33

that's a that's a telephrase um

32:37

our reserves are now in bitcoin

32:43

now it's been true since 2017 and other

32:43

than what we keep you know for

32:44

convenience for salaries and

32:47

and rent and things you know cash we

32:48

need like fiat

32:50

our liquid reserves are in bitcoin um so

32:53

so how did we get there

32:55

you know i think i think great questions

32:57

are underestimated

32:58

um and i think we got there through a

33:00

great question

33:01

that our team asked which is what do we

33:05

have to believe to be

33:06

true to move to the bitcoin standard

33:09

what do we have to believe

33:10

to be true to move our reserves from

33:11

fiat into bitcoin

33:14

and our answer was that if we allow

33:16

ourselves to focus only on

33:18

point-to-point risk meaning

33:19

point-to-point in time from today

33:22

until our long-dated fiat liabilities

33:25

are due and remember we're corporations

33:26

so theoretically infinitely lived of

33:28

course we're not

33:28

actually infinitely lived but yes we

33:31

have salaries in rent

33:32

next week but we have salaries and rent

33:33

in 10 years and 20 years and 30 years

33:35

too so we can think about

33:36

those liabilities if we just think about

33:40

point-to-point

33:42

the only thing we really have to believe

33:43

is that over the next 10 or 20 years

33:46

that the dollar will depreciate

33:49

relative to bitcoin and i believe that

33:53

i have no idea what the dollar is going

33:54

to do tomorrow

33:56

next week next month next year but i

33:59

have a high degree of confidence and i

34:00

voted with my dollars not

34:02

certainty but a high degree of

34:04

confidence

34:05

that the dollar will depreciate versus

34:07

bitcoin over the very long term

34:09

as it has eighty percent depreciated in

34:12

the last

34:13

two years as it has thirty percent

34:15

appreciated

34:16

so far this year so this insight

34:19

allows us to ignore us dollar volatility

34:22

along the way

34:24

focus on point to point focus on end

34:26

state economics now

34:28

like anything in life a point-to-point

34:29

perspective doesn't make it a risk-free

34:31

perspective but it is our perspective

34:34

and the net result

34:35

is has been and i believe will be

34:38

enormous

34:39

competitive business advantages

34:41

certainly relative to other

34:42

firms in our sector and financial

34:44

services i mean for us everything is

34:46

getting cheaper

34:47

right so paying rent paying salaries

34:51

m a recruiting it's just

34:54

it's all cheaper and the stock market's

34:57

making new highs every day

34:59

for us everything's on sale right so

35:03

abstracting from stone ridge though if

35:04

you take company a and company b

35:07

in the same industry one adopts the

35:08

bitcoin standard and what does not

35:10

you know just think about the macro

35:11

environment as the money printer goes

35:13

bur or if it continues to i think it

35:15

will as credit creation just continues

35:17

to explode

35:19

you know as real rates on riskier and

35:20

risky assets continue to go negative

35:22

when we cross the rubicon when real

35:24

rates on corporates went negative

35:25

recently

35:27

you know consider the implications for

35:28

the dollar in one year and two years and

35:30

10 years i don't know

35:32

lower a lot lower

35:36

certainly versus bitcoin that's that's

35:37

my versus the end versus europe i i

35:39

don't know but certainly

35:41

versus bitcoin remember at the very

35:42

beginning we talked about

35:44

every ceo's most important job capital

35:48

allocation the decision of whether and

35:51

to adopt the bitcoin standard

35:55

i believe that will be the single most

35:58

important decision every ceo makes

36:02

in the next 10 years the most important

36:05

decision

36:06

whether they realize it today or not and

36:07

i acknowledge well under one percent

36:10

would acknowledge that's going to be the

36:12

most important decision they make in the

36:13

next 10 years but it will be

36:15

and whether they actively make it or not

36:17

they make it they make it

36:19

with high consequence okay

36:23

so the second part of my question um is

36:26

what are you doing to help others see

36:29

what you see

36:31

well um for a while we were trying and

36:36

nothing was actually happening i

36:37

i recently learned how bamboo grows it's

36:41

pretty

36:41

to me it's pretty fascinating it spends

36:43

its first five years

36:45

building an extensive root system

36:47

underground and

36:48

basically doing nothing visible and then

36:51

it explodes

36:53

90 feet in the air in six weeks that's

36:55

that's bamboo

36:56

it's not a terrible analogy to nydic

36:59

stoneridge's bitcoin subsidiary

37:01

you know we started in 2017 we put a

37:04

great team together we had a bunch of

37:06

capital

37:07

we worked and worked and worked you know

37:08

we laid our root system

37:10

um we operated largely well we operated

37:12

in stealth

37:13

it's true that we operate in stealth but

37:15

it's almost as if it didn't matter that

37:16

we operated in stealth because

37:18

no institutions really cared and it

37:20

wasn't for lack of trying we could be

37:21

knocked on a lot of doors

37:23

we were just too early we were just too

37:25

early but you know we kept it our craft

37:27

we built our root system we thickened

37:29

and strengthened the roots

37:31

um and we worked quietly you know out of

37:33

out of view which is our style the firm

37:35

you know has had a no press policy since

37:37

its inception in 2012.

37:39

but if you fast forward to today nydig

37:42

is a full service

37:44

vertically integrated bitcoin only

37:47

financial services firm the first

37:50

billion during that dark

37:51

challenging five years it took 1200 days

37:55

raise that first billion first billion

37:57

is always the hardest first billions

37:58

always the hardest

37:59

1200 days the last billion took six

38:04

six one a year ago we had 25

38:06

institutional clients

38:08

today we have 280 institutional clients

38:10

we've got a pipeline

38:12

in the onboarding process of 96 we can

38:15

75 institutions through the pipe a month

38:17

that's our current capacity

38:20

we've got over six billion dollars

38:23

in bitcoin now between what's in the

38:25

door and what's committed from

38:27

institutions and we are vanguardizing

38:29

this asset class best product best price

38:33

and as we scale we're driving prices

38:35

down down down our pricing today is

38:37

70 lower than it was a year ago

38:40

and by the end of the year michael i am

38:42

confident we'll have over 25 billion

38:44

dollars

38:45

of bitcoin i've just got this order book

38:47

i'm not guessing i see what's happening

38:54

okay 25 billion dollars um

38:54

yeah that's astonishing growth and it

38:57

matches what

38:58

i suspected but i didn't know

39:01

is going on with institutions and

39:03

bitcoin

39:05

given knightig's role in the bitcoin

39:07

ecosystem

39:09

you have tremendous visibility into what

39:12

all sorts of

39:13

institutions are doing and how they're

39:15

adopting bitcoin

39:16

so what can you tell us well i mean

39:20

the the one-liner is all kinds of

39:22

institutions are adopting

39:24

bitcoin public companies private

39:26

companies hedge funds private equity

39:27

funds

39:28

credit funds i mean even investors who

39:31

if you asked me a year ago

39:33

would they come in i'd say absolutely

39:35

not the most conservative but also the

39:36

most sophisticated most

39:38

careful investors in the world triple a

39:42

and double a life insurance companies

39:45

double a pnc

39:46

insurance companies today have more than

39:49

500 million dollars

39:51

of bitcoin exposure through knightig and

39:53

i know for sure because i'm not guessing

39:55

they're just getting started

39:57

and these institutions want to do more

39:59

than just own bitcoin that's that's

40:01

table stakes within a year

40:03

america is going to be able to get a

40:04

portion of their income annuities

40:07

paid in bitcoin americans will be able

40:08

to get a portion of their salaries

40:10

paid in bitcoin you want that poultry

40:12

interest on your cd paid in bitcoin

40:14

you'll be able to get that too there's

40:15

going to be an explosion

40:17

in bitcoin driven financial innovation

40:20

another interesting phenomena we're

40:21

seeing in our book is

40:23

exactly zero clients have walked back

40:25

their allocation

40:26

and that may not be true for other firms

40:27

but that's true for us so once people

40:29

get off zero

40:31

they either stand pat or they increase

40:33

now i don't want to overstate this it's

40:34

been a year

40:35

but that's what we're seeing so far and

40:37

another phenomena we're seeing is among

40:39

family offices so a year ago we had

40:41

zero family offices today of our six

40:44

billion two billion

40:46

is from family offices and the average

40:48

account size of a high net worth

40:49

individual is seven million

40:51

dollars so yeah we serve retail but the

40:52

average account size is seven million

40:59

so the breadth of adoption across

40:59

institutions and the

41:00

increasing adoption within a given

41:03

institution

41:05

shocking not surprising yeah it does

41:08

seem to be it's a one-way trade that's

41:10

the way i see it no question

41:12

you're moving in that direction so

41:16

you know i don't i don't think of me as

41:18

a crystal ball but

41:20

what does the future of bitcoin hold and

41:23

do you think it's too late

41:25

to opt in and i'm interested in i know i

41:28

have my opinions but what are your

41:29

drivers for the price over the next few

41:31

years

41:32

well i definitely don't have a crystal

41:34

ball but i think at least

41:36

from a framing perspective i'll tell you

41:37

how i think about it i think about the

41:39

first

41:39

chapter of bitcoin as kind of the

41:42

genesis block

41:43

until let's call it now and that's been

41:46

all about

41:47

bitcoin the asset which is really the

41:50

theme of this conference and what's

41:51

driving right now

41:52

accelerating institutional adoption

41:56

is the view of bitcoin being de-risked

41:59

right and i think that's why you're just

42:01

going to see a wall of money

42:02

i i know it i have an order book a wall

42:05

of money coming into the asset class so

42:07

let me put you

42:08

to sort of frame this out in the mind of

42:10

an institutional investor me

42:11

okay i'll put you in my mind my partners

42:14

and i bought more bitcoin

42:16

in 2020 last year than in 2013

42:19

through 2019 combined okay

42:23

and as our fiat businesses continue to

42:26

inflate

42:27

and accelerate which they are i expect

42:30

we'll buy more bitcoin in the next two

42:32

years

42:32

and in the pre than we did in the

42:34

previous eight so so what's going on

42:35

we're conservative institutional

42:38

professional risk managers it's what we

42:40

do for a living and it's why

42:42

investors including the most

42:44

conservative investors in the world have

42:45

entrusted us

42:47

with 20 billion dollars in our

42:49

alternative businesses our non-bitcoin

42:50

businesses

42:51

and to us conservative us bitcoin is

42:54

de-risked

42:55

why well when i look at bitcoin i see it

42:58

above 500 million

43:00

billion dollars of market cap i see

43:02

millions of people using it every day

43:04

with a clear line of sight to tens of

43:08

and then billions i see 12 years of

43:12

uninterrupted

43:13

safe operation of the network

43:17

when i look at all that the left tail of

43:20

the zero

43:21

outcome is gone and that

43:25

is the key observation so when i talked

43:26

to institutional investors a few years

43:28

i would get the question you know what's

43:30

the chance of bitcoin going to zero

43:32

and a few years ago that was an

43:33

interesting conversation

43:36

last week a client asked me what's the

43:37

chances of bitcoin going there so what's

43:39

the chance of christianity going to zero

43:40

like it's just not like it's just it's

43:41

just left

43:42

it's left the station and so remember at

43:45

stoneridge we are

43:46

risk managers we do it professionally

43:48

and what you're talking about here with

43:50

bitcoin is an extraordinarily asymmetric

43:52

upside asset

43:54

we can debate whether it's good or bad

43:55

but i think we can't debate

43:57

the asymmetric upside to it it's perhaps

43:59

the most asymmetric potential right tail

44:02

asset in

44:02

in the world in history and you chop off

44:05

the left tail

44:06

we all know what happens right to the

44:08

mean it just it just

44:10

explodes it explodes you chop off the

44:13

left tail the mean explodes and you

44:14

combine that with the macro environment

44:16

the money printing presses running at

44:17

full tilt

44:18

i mean the blue wave in the u.s complete

44:21

political dysfunction

44:22

around the world um i mean for us at

44:25

least at stoneridge fiat reserves are

44:26

like a hot potato in our hand we make

44:27

them in this business

44:28

we can't get them our hands fast enough

44:30

and put them into

44:31

into bitcoin we can convert them as

44:33

quickly as possible so yeah we're risk

44:35

managers at stoneridge but we're also

44:37

capital allocators you can't eat risk

44:39

management you can

44:40

make you can eat making money in the

44:42

markets and we believe in the power of

44:44

bitcoin

44:45

but if we didn't think we'd make money

44:47

we wouldn't invest a penny

44:50

so you're calling chapter one of bitcoin

44:54

2009

44:55

through today bitcoin asset

44:58

and i guess that really is the process

45:01

of going from

45:03

zero to one bitcoin didn't exist

45:07

now it does what's chapter two well

45:10

i think chapter two is going to be

45:11

incredibly exciting and chapter two

45:14

builds on bitcoin the asset and it adds

45:16

bitcoin

45:17

the network in chapter two bitcoin the

45:20

network

45:21

it solely leverages bitcoin's

45:23

proprietaryness as an open source

45:25

monetary network in chapter one we

45:27

reached millions

45:29

in chapter two we're gonna reach

45:31

billions and we're gonna do it quickly

45:33

and chapter two starts right now

45:35

so i'll give you a flavor of chapter two

45:37

say i wanna send a thousand bucks i'm

45:39

sitting in new york right now to a

45:40

friend in milan

45:42

italy strike jack muller's firm

45:45

working with nydig takes my dollars and

45:48

delivers them to my milan friend

45:49

in euros instantly and for free

45:53

what like how did this happen so let's

45:56

go slow

45:56

first strike takes my dollars from my

46:00

bank account

46:01

my thousand bucks and they debit it

46:04

that's a millisecond second

46:08

strike works with nydig and we do a

46:10

trade we convert

46:11

the thousand dollars into bitcoin

46:14

it's another millisecond or two third

46:18

strikes work strike works with lightning

46:20

labs and it

46:21

zips the bitcoin across the atlantic

46:23

ocean to milan

46:25

we're still in single digit milliseconds

46:27

basically instantly

46:29

over there there's another fx trade naid

46:32

converts that bitcoin

46:33

into euros we're still in milliseconds

46:36

and finally

46:37

strike credits my friend's bank account

46:41

with final settlement in euros done

46:44

so what what just happened what just

46:47

happened is a thousand bucks

46:49

were moved from me in new york to my

46:50

friend in milan and converted to euros

46:54

instantly and for free how

46:58

because for the first time in history

47:02

we have an electronic bearer asset never

47:04

had an electronic bearer asset it's

47:06

called bitcoin

47:08

and an open source monetary network

47:10

which we've never had before

47:11

it's also called bitcoin that together

47:15

can achieve

47:15

cash finality anywhere in the world

47:18

anytime 24 7

47:19

365 with liquidity in every any currency

47:23

pair you care about

47:24

and notice something critical in the

47:26

transaction i described critical

47:29

the volatility of bitcoin the asset was

47:31

nowhere to be found right

47:33

why because we didn't use it we didn't

47:35

use bitcoin

47:36

for its properties as an asset we use

47:39

brick coin for its properties

47:40

as an open source monetary network

47:43

now i gave you an example of two friends

47:45

moving a thousand bucks from new york to

47:47

milan that's

47:48

that's cute it's adorable

47:51

imagine the entire global import export

47:54

industry

47:55

with instant and free international

47:56

settlement right

47:58

imagine the entire global remittance

48:00

market with international and free

48:02

global

48:02

settlement imagine the entire global

48:04

credit card industry with no merchant

48:06

fees

48:07

right i mean use the open source

48:10

networks of bitcoin

48:12

in the open source networks of lightning

48:15

and bitcoin the network will change the

48:17

way we all interact

48:18

and connect this part chapter two of

48:21

bitcoin

48:21

this part has nothing to do with

48:22

monetary policy this point has nothing

48:24

to do with central bankers with dollar

48:25

depreciation

48:26

zero however there will be this virtuous

48:29

beautiful

48:30

feedback loop between bitcoin the asset

48:32

and bitcoin the network and bitcoin the

48:33

asset and bitcoin

48:34

network and working together the bitcoin

48:37

the assets specialists

48:38

at nydig and the bitcoin the network

48:40

specialists at strike and lightning

48:42

they're going to get this chapter 2

48:43

flywheel in motion and it is going to

48:45

hum it's going to hum so just stay tuned

48:47

for more okay that's awe-inspiring

48:50

i'm really excited uh world-changing

48:54

bitcoin as the greatest force for good

48:57

the world kind of stuff

49:00

what do you think stops so many people

49:02

from seeing it

49:05

well i think that it is

49:08

awesome it is awe-inspiring and i think

49:11

we just

49:12

live in such a cynical age with with so

49:15

many people

49:16

devoid of feelings of all just kind of

49:19

beaten it beaten out of us

49:20

i mean i'm grateful for many things

49:22

about bitcoin i think one of them

49:24

is it's just wonderful that i need not

49:26

be among

49:28

the people who are devoid of feelings of

49:31

i think that relates to another question

49:33

which is why people

49:34

underestimate bitcoin so much and what

49:37

do they underestimate most

49:39

about bitcoin and that one's easy right

49:42

that's easy the ferocity

49:44

of the bitcoin community for bitcoin

49:47

that i can tell you that is

49:48

underestimated i don't speak for the

49:49

community i speak for myself

49:51

but i think there are two core views of

49:53

the community the first few we'll call

49:54

it the individualist view

49:56

is that money is not the root of all

49:58

evil money is a root of all sovereignty

50:01

it's the authority to act in the world

50:03

as we see fit as long as we don't harm

50:05

others money is a property right and

50:07

since we've traded our time for money

50:09

when money is printed our time is stolen

50:11

and that is not okay

50:12

the second view i would say is the

50:13

community view money is the greatest

50:15

force for good in the world today

50:17

it's an arc it's designed to help the

50:19

most vulnerable the most unprepared

50:22

escape the accelerating fiat flood and

50:25

it's

50:25

it's raining outside pretty hard so

50:27

let's get as many of those living on

50:29

society's fringes

50:30

not just in the us but everywhere let's

50:32

get him in the ark let's get him in the

50:34

ark as soon as possible and nothing is

50:35

more important

50:37

what i would say though is that these

50:38

two views of the bitcoin community

50:40

they're they're not mutually exclusive

50:41

in fact every single bitcoiner i know

50:44

holds both of them in there in their

50:46

minds

50:47

you know one of the things that really

50:49

got me going

50:51

and a lot of bitcoiners going was last

50:52

march when kashkari who's president of

50:55

the minneapolis

50:55

fed he said there's an infinite amount

50:57

of cash

50:59

in the federal reserve an infinite

51:01

amount of cash in the federal reserve

51:02

you can almost hear the other 11 fed

51:04

presidents saying

51:06

neil you're not supposed to say that

51:08

part out loud all right

51:10

right the american people are really

51:12

smart right they may not

51:14

have gone to the same schools as neil or

51:15

worked at the same firms as neil

51:17

but they're smarter than you and one

51:19

thing they definitely can do they can do

51:20

division

51:22

if i got 50 000 of life savings i don't

51:25

really know what that 50 000 is

51:27

out of but i have a sense right and now

51:31

the guy in charge of the money is

51:33

telling me the denominator is infinity

51:36

i don't need to know calculus or theory

51:38

of limits to know that my 50

51:40

000 divided by infinity that means my 50

51:42

000 bucks

51:43

is worthless why would i hold my life

51:45

savings in something with infinite

51:47

supply

51:48

i might as well go to the beach and

51:48

exchange it for grains of sand they're

51:50

an infinite supply

51:51

too so i think what kashkari is really

51:54

telling us

51:55

is that fiat should come with a warning

51:56

label like cigarettes comes with a

51:58

warning label but instead of

51:59

the cigarette label saying you know

52:01

these are bad for your health

52:03

the fiat warning label would say these

52:04

are bad for your your wealth

52:06

right and the cigarette pack has this

52:09

you know the skull and crossbones

52:11

on the outside i'd like to see the

52:13

treasury

52:14

start printing the infinity sign on our

52:17

cash so if you got a 20

52:18

bill under each the numbers in all the

52:21

corners it would just you have a red

52:22

warning label that says divide this

52:24

number by

52:25

infinity remember as i said earlier a

52:27

central bank can control

52:29

the supply of money they can't make

52:32

their people

52:32

value it so you know i think that

52:36

bitcoin is massively under

52:37

underestimated i think that's

52:38

understandable i mean i think

52:40

you underestimated it i underestimated

52:42

until we go

52:43

deep down our own version of the rabbit

52:45

hole it's it's underestimated i mean the

52:47

financial establishment

52:49

underestimates again i did until i

52:50

didn't um

52:52

you know i give them all mulligans they

52:54

just haven't put the time

52:56

into it i mean jamie dimon calls it uh

52:59

a fraud right yet it's much more real

53:02

than

53:02

fiat larry fink calls bitcoin an index

53:05

of money laundering

53:07

i think it's more akin to an index of

53:09

money printing warren buffett calls

53:11

bitcoin

53:12

rat poison that one's shameful that one

53:14

is shameful because bitcoin is giving

53:16

life not taking it it's giving life

53:18

right now to tens of thousands in el

53:20

salvador and pakistan

53:23

venezuela it's giving life it's not

53:24

taking it and soon to be millions and

53:26

with strike and nydig and lightning soon

53:28

to be

53:28

soon to be billions so fraud money

53:30

laundering rat poison

53:32

bitcoin it's just intellectual

53:35

laziness i think people also

53:37

underestimate

53:38

just how unstoppable it is it is on

53:41

bitcoin is just

53:42

unstoppable um i mean it'll have fits

53:44

and starts as it has of course that's

53:45

for sure

53:46

but it is here to stay forever and

53:48

that's for simple reason that's that

53:49

it's open source

53:50

it's open source i mean china last time

53:52

i checked pretty powerful place

53:54

they basically banned it price rallied

53:57

in their face

53:58

india basically banned it a lot of

54:00

people lived there last time i checked

54:02

basically rallied in their face pakistan

54:05

banned bitcoin banned mining it all went

54:08

underground usage

54:09

exploded mining in pakistan after the

54:11

ban exploded

54:12

it was so profitable to mine in pakistan

54:15

that eventually the government

54:16

themselves the province started a

54:18

bitcoin miner

54:19

and they they changed the legality of it

54:21

so you know these are the four

54:23

three of the four most popular populated

54:25

countries in the world

54:26

effectively kind of said bitcoin's

54:28

banned we're making new highs

54:29

kind of even as we speak and i think

54:32

about our own country i really don't

54:33

think

54:34

a ban is in store because i don't think

54:36

it's possible but we can just we can

54:37

just go there for a second let's just

54:40

the u.s banned bitcoin it wouldn't stop

54:44

it would accelerate it remember we kind

54:46

of tried this once in 1935

54:48

we we did actually ban and confiscate

54:50

gold for what i said before you actually

54:51

could do that

54:52

you can't confiscate bitcoin you could

54:54

and in the ensuing period of time till

54:56

today

54:57

the dollars depreciate about 85 percent

54:59

versus gold so it just

55:01

didn't work i imagine trying prohibition

55:04

right i mean that's alcohol and it would

55:07

be unenforceable

55:08

can you imagine trying to ban people

55:10

from holding their own money you mean

55:12

forget it

55:13

no way and it won't happen anyway

55:15

because it's it's private property and

55:16

we've got pretty good rules in our

55:18

country

55:19

about private property and it might even

55:21

be speech

55:22

because it's code so it might be

55:24

protected by the first amendment

55:26

but regardless michael none of this

55:27

matters none of this matters

55:29

because with regards to confiscation if

55:31

you really boil all this down what is it

55:34

it's just a password it's the password

55:36

to a private key

55:38

and that password can easily be stored

55:40

with phrase memorization

55:42

in my head so confiscations off the

55:45

table remember

55:47

gold has a vault

55:50

you can take the vault good luck

55:53

confiscating my memory yeah and given

55:56

all of this

55:57

it seems like individuals and

55:58

corporations are being forced to take

56:00

action

56:02

yeah look i think everybody now has a

56:04

choice which is a which is a good thing

56:05

and it's a choice they make

56:07

you make i make and everybody gets to

56:08

make on their own

56:10

you can stay on the fiat standard that's

56:13

available in which some people get to

56:16

print

56:17

new units of money in unlimited size

56:20

just not you or you can move to the

56:24

bitcoin

56:25

standard in which no one gets to do that

56:29

including you we finally got

56:32

a monetary system governed by rules

56:36

not rulers and given that i've made my

56:40

choice

56:41

you have to make yours and everybody at

56:42

this conference has to make theirs i

56:44

will tell you

56:45

i am working tirelessly towards the

56:47

future

56:49

with a globally adopted inflation proof

56:53

common currency for the world one that

56:57

billions

56:58

can opt into as their peaceful

57:02

weapon of choice you know satoshi

57:07

solved the byzantine generals problem

57:10

bitcoin solves the military

57:13

generals problem

57:19

and when you think about trends in

57:19

anything you're a tech guy

57:20

all you got to do is follow the brains

57:22

even more than the money the brains know

57:24

first

57:25

where are some of the smartest people in

57:27

the world shifting their careers to

57:29

focus

57:30

where are some of the best developers in

57:31

the world going they're going to bitcoin

57:33

and i'd never underestimate the power of

57:35

a mass movement

57:37

of developers and don't underestimate

57:39

the ferocity

57:40

of the emerging decentralized class us

57:43

bitcoiners

57:45

i mean just like early encounters with

57:47

the printing press and antibiotics and

57:49

aqueducts and the internet itself they

57:51

were incalculably underestimated

57:55

people incalculably underestimate

57:57

bitcoin

57:58

totally understandably but you michael

58:01

microstrategy your colleagues i think

58:03

you're doing everybody an incredible

58:05

service

58:06

by having this conference by having this

58:08

talk and creating a platform

58:09

for these ideas to be introduced so look

58:12

you've just heard from

58:13

a guy with a background in financial

58:15

services and a background in background

58:17

in bitcoin i straddle both worlds

58:20

so i offered my perspective but it's

58:21

it's only my

58:23

perspective colored by my experience

58:25

you're a fellow

58:26

founder you're a fellow entrepreneur

58:27

you're a fellow ceo

58:30

you've got your perspective you're a

58:31

tech guy you know what do you what do

58:33

you think about this and what do you

58:34

think i've said and what i've missed

58:37

well you know ross i i think there's

58:40

clearly a macroeconomic win that's

58:42

blowing

58:43

and i don't think any corporation can

58:46

afford to

58:47

ignore it anymore we've all got to act

58:50

you've acted

58:51

microstrategy's acted the reason we're

58:54

having this conference is to help

58:56

everybody else figure out what they

58:57

should do

58:58

and uh i want to thank you for sharing

59:02

all this this has just been mind-blowing

59:04

it's just awesome i'm uh i'm just so

59:07

inspired and

59:08

and uh i didn't realize there are so

59:10

many institutions

59:11

that were moving into this space as

59:15

aggressively as they are what a

59:17

difference a year makes

59:18

so i guess we'll wrap our session right

59:22

and uh i want to thank everybody that's

59:25

been with us for this session

59:26

and will picks but ross thank you for

59:29

everything

59:30

great great to challenge you michael

59:31

good to see you as always take care

59:33

likewise cheers bye

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