SaylorCorpus

Bitcoin as Inflation Hedge

Michael Saylor @saylor · 2022-04-19 · 4m · View on X →

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Time now for our crypto report and the market still looking risk averse with Bitcoin sticking

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in a tight range, providing more fodder for critics who don't think it's a hedge against

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inflation.

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Micro strategy co-founder and CEO Michael Sailor might push back on that idea, as I would

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expect him to.

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Let's bring him in now.

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Michael, good to have you back with us.

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You've been saying for a long time now you think Bitcoin is the hedge against the dangers

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of inflation.

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But what do you make of the fact that it's staying in such a tight range and not really

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moving on from that $40,000 mark?

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Well, it's all time frame.

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If you go back two years when Micro strategy bought in, it's up by 400% and it's dramatically

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outperform the NASDAQ or gold or any other asset you could have bought.

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If you're looking at it in a matter of days or weeks or months, the traders control it.

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And right now, there's three types of investors in Bitcoin.

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There's the traders, there's the technocrats and there's the maximalist.

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The maximalist are all in myself, Jack Dorsey.

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We think that Bitcoin is an instrument of economic empowerment.

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So we're just busy educating and we sweep free cash flows into it.

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But we're kind of out of the market day to day.

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The market price is set by a tug-of-war between the technocrats, people that are pro-technology

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and they think it's like the next big tech network like Google or Amazon for money.

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And the traders who are just looking at an uncorrelated asset or correlated asset.

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So right now, both the traders and the technocrats are kind of, you know, scared of risk and so

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they've both been in a bad mood and been selling.

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What you'll see over time is the technocrats will turn into a good mood and I'll realize

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that this is the next great big tech network.

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The maximalist will keep sweeping cash flows.

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So when does that happen?

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When does Bitcoin break this correlation with risk assets if ever?

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Well, I would think that over a four-year time frame, you're better off to be a maximalist

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or a tech investor.

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But as long as there's a massively choppy market, right, uncertainty about Fed policy and fear

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in the near term, I think the traders will probably dominate the price.

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So you're saying we're going to have to wait four years for this to happen?

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No, I think sometime on a day that is very unexpected, the correlation will go from

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70% correlated to risk assets to 0%.

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And when that happens, then the traders will reverse the polarity of their trades.

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The technologists will start to double down the maximalists will just enjoy the ride.

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You seem really optimistic about Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's understanding of Bitcoin.

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And I'm curious, even though we might be looking at a longer time frame for, you know,

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the divorce of Bitcoin and risk assets, do you think we're at an inflection point when

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it comes to regulation and mainstream adoption?

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Yeah, absolutely.

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I think April 7th at American University was a really critical speech.

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I think it's probably one of the most important speeches of the century because you had a set

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of deniers, people that said that Bitcoin is a mirage or a Ponzi scheme.

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And then you had a set of skeptics that said, well, it isn't that, but it's too good to be true.

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And so some government's going to take it away from you.

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And when you have the structure of the Treasury giving a speech, explaining what decentralized

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networks are and what digital property is and what Satoshi Nakamoto means to the world,

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I think it clicks in a lot of people's mind that Bitcoin is actually technology that's

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revolutionary.

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And it also clicks that no, it's not getting banned.

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And once you decide it's real technology to improve the world and it's not being banned,

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you're no longer a denier and you can't be a skeptic.

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So you have to move into the trader camp or the technocrat camp and eventually everybody

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ends up as a maximalist if you understand it well enough.

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