SaylorCorpus

Bitcoin’s $200T Future

Michael Saylor @saylor · 2025-03-25 · 1h 59m · View on X →

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You can understand Bitcoin as digital capital.

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It is the asset without the issuer.

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If it's digital capital,

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then it's going to grow to a $200 trillion plus network over time.

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The value to the United States is anywhere from

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three trillion to a hundred trillion dollars if

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the US begins to acquire that network.

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As digital capital,

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it can negate or retire the national debt,

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or it can convert us from owing 40 trillion to owning 40 trillion of net assets.

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So it's a very powerful financial lever.

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The content presented on this podcast does not in any way represent investment advice.

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The information is provided for educational and entertainment purposes.

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Crypto assets are considered risky investments.

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You should always do your own research before investing.

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The opinions expressed here do not represent those of coin desks editorial staff.

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Michael Sailor is a leading Bitcoin advocate serving as executive chairman of

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strategy formerly microstrategy,

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one of the largest holders of Bitcoin with about half a million in BTC in its

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corporate treasury.

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His bold strategies and unyielding belief in Bitcoin as digital gold have made

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an influential and sometimes polarizing voice in both tech and finance.

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Michael, welcome to the show. Thanks for joining us.

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Yeah, thanks for having me.

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It's been an exciting year for you.

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Most recently you've unveiled a $100 trillion crypto strategy

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at the White House.

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You've been promoting it in the crypto industry.

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Maybe we can start off with telling us a bit about what's behind this

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and why America needs to subscribe to this.

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I've been watching the industry for the past four years or so.

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I think there's been a lot of confusion, a lot of controversy, a lot of conflict,

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and confrontation was all unnecessary.

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It was unnecessary because of a lack of vision and a lack of creativity

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amongst the policy makers and the participants.

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So for example, in a world where the only assets that exist are securities and commodities

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and in a world where it's impossible for any innovator to issue a security,

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then everything has to be a commodity.

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And that means the token is a commodity, a currency is a commodity, a tokenized

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security is a commodity, and a commodity is a commodity.

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So what we had was people very confused thinking, well, is Bitcoin a currency

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competing with the dollar or is Bitcoin something different, a store of value competing with gold?

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And then is Bitcoin competing with Trump coin or any other token or not?

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And what's the next Bitcoin?

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And so I think the crypto industry was at odds.

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A lot of people that want to be issues of tokens are forced to go through this kabuki dance

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of pretending they're decentralized when they don't really want to be decentralized.

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What they want to do is access the capital markets and they haven't had a way to do it.

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And we haven't had that discussion.

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And my framework that I've laid out, and this is after hundreds of meetings

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and talking to people in the Senate, in the House, in the SEC, in the CFTC,

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in the White House, every industry participant, all the Bitcoin investors,

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all the crypto investors, all the crypto exchanges, all the policy makers,

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after lots of conversations and after listening to every word uttered by

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Gensler, by all the regulators, after listening to every minute of congressional testimony,

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here's my opinion. My opinion is the industry will move forward in a cheerful,

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constructive way with the greatest good done for the greatest number of people on earth

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if we define four new asset classes. And they would be a digital token, a digital security,

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a digital currency, and a digital commodity. And those four new asset classes would rest

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atop three 20th century assets, securities, commodities, and currencies. I don't think we really

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want to change the definition of 20th century assets. There's just too much inertia. You can't

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change 100 years of securities case law. And you don't want to change the way the world trades

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commodities like silver and soybeans. And trying to deal with changing the definition of

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currency is issued by nation state. That's too jarring. So the right way to handle this is simply

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to say we want to allow digital tokens to be issued by 400 million businesses,

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ideally in four hours for 40 bucks. Right? And what's the use case of a digital token? It's

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for capital creation and for innovation. So let Trump coin be issued, let Katie Perry token,

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or Joe Rogan coin, or any token, whether it's a smart contract token, or utility token,

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or meme coin, or maybe it gives me access to a music library on a website, or maybe it gets to be

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a hyper complicated token, or and or NFT. Some digital utility or some right that just stops

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short of being a security. And there's 400 million people that want to do it, and they want to do

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it in four hours for 40 bucks. And the reason that they can't issue a security to raise capital

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is because securities take 40 million dollars in army of lawyers and accountants in four years.

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And then you got to pay 10 million a year to stay compliant. And so and and even after you do all

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that, securities would only trade 930 to four on a few markets. They don't trade globally worldwide,

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24, 7. So token solved the problem of of giving capital markets access to hundreds of millions of

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corporations. And that's a profoundly important thing. If you have no money and you want to start a

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business, or you're a podcaster, and you somehow want to raise capital from your customers,

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or from investors to change your business, or if you want to innovate and say, I'm going to have

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a podcast that has two layers of of access, the free version and the tokenized version. If you buy

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the token, you get the inside scoop and you get the comment. And if you if you take the free version,

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you don't. So if you want innovation and you want capital creation, you need that, but you need

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a legitimate path to do that. And so that's missing. You know, the debate for the past four years was,

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well, if you want to be an issuer, then you have to register with the SEC and then of course,

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it's illegal to trade. Okay, that doesn't work. Or you can't be an issuer. So if you pretend that

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you wish you the token, but then you pretend that you're not the issuer, you don't control it in as

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decentralized, I won't sue you. Well, that doesn't work either because the truth is 400 million

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entrepreneurs want to issue the token, raise money overnight and use the money to do something good.

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So we don't have a digital token asset class in the United States. There isn't one recognized

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in the world. We need one. As soon as we have one, you'll see an explosion of innovation there.

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How do you balance that innovation with consumer protection? Because we did see this explosion of,

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you know, the ICO boom, initial coin offerings where innovators were able to create their own token,

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raise money for their projects, but a lot of them, many, most of them, ended up being scams and people

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ended up losing money. So that's where we see the regulators coming in and taking their hammer,

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perhaps a little heavy handed. What I'd point out there is we should just have a very principled

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framework and the observation would be if you want to issue it, you have to actually register

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that you're a person, right? You can't have like an anonymous secret organization issue it because

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there's no one to sue. So an issuer should actually register the token. They should lay out the

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utility. They should there should be a standard data structure. It could be hosted by crypto

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exchanges and or by the industry. And then when you when you issue the token, you say this is what

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the token, this is who's issuing it. This is how many there are. These are the rules. This is the

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utility. And then the issue where ought to be civilly and criminally liable for fraud, you know,

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basically do not lie, cheat and steal. And you're responsible for the damage you do. That's

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just a biblical piece of guidance. And I think that you just let the free market

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determine that because what will happen is if someone does defraud someone or steal, they're

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going to get sued. Right? If you issue a token, the results and the death of a person, you're going

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to have a criminal manslaughter charge against you. Right? So there ought to be civil and criminal

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law and there ought to be consequences for the issuer. But I don't think and here's the point. I

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don't think you want to have to take four years and ask permission from a governmental agency

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before you issue the token. If you think about the metaphor, you don't have to wait four years

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in order to post a tweet. You don't have to wait four years in order to create a product.

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You don't have to wait four years to take a trip or drive a car. Like if I told you you had to

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wait four years and spend $40 million and there's been 10 million a year on an insurance policy,

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before you can drive car because a government regulator wants to make sure that you don't hit some

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kid crossing the street. Nothing would move. The truth of the matter is if you hit a child crossing

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the street, you are criminally liable and if you slam into someone's bakery, you're civilly liable.

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So there are consequences of driving a car, but it seems utterly silly for the government to say

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that everyone has to apply for permission to say something or do something, whatever that might be

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out of an abundance of caution to protect the consumer. So I think that you should just have

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consumer protection laws just like every other product that is created in a free market.

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So do you envision a new regulatory agency overlooking this new set of digital

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license classes? No. If you were to tweet something that's a lie right now, we don't have an agency,

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right? You could be sued for liable or slander. If you if you drive your car into me crossing the

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street, we don't have a new agency and if you if you start a bakery and if you bake muffins that

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I'm poison in them, right? We don't have a new agency, right? You don't need to create a new

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agency for consumer protection. We've already got courts, we've already got criminal statutes,

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you're not allowed to kill people, you're not allowed to steal from people, right? So you don't need

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a new agency. We've already got the law. So my view on digital tokens is we ought to just let

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issuers issue the token and a hold them liable for the damage they do. And egregious examples,

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there'll be criminal liability. Someone will go to jail because of the issue that would have

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the liability because they're doing, I guess the KYC of the people who want to release these tokens.

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The issue would have liability but not for KYC. I think that with these digital assets,

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all the digital assets ought to circulate freely, friction free at the speed of light, at the speed

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of a computer. So a digital token, a digital currency, a digital commodity, and a digital security,

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all should circulate, no KYC, no AML, friction free, that's how you're going to make the economy work.

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But the issuer should have liability for fraud. So if the issuer says I'm selling 10 million

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coin desk tokens, and then you actually dump a billion coin desk tokens, it's fraud. You could call

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it wire fraud, you can call it consumer fraud, right? It's kind of very straightforward. I don't think

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we need more. And again, if coin desk issues a token that pays off on the murder of me, right?

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Well, that's criminal act, right? So maybe you're breaking a criminal law and you ought to be

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liable as the issuer. But I don't think you need any other agency, right? And that's the point

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of a digital token. We should see 10 million tokens issued. And by the way, you're right, most of

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more fail. Just like 10 million people tweet every morning and most of the tweets don't go anywhere,

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and 10 million new mobile apps get created, or millions of chrome extensions and millions of

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iPhone apps, most of them fail. Most businesses fail. That's okay. Like 99% can fail, 1% will be

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revolutionary and they will change the world. And I think the whole point of the capital market

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is people ought to be free to innovate, right? And the problem in a socialist environment where

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the government decides is that no one has any freedom to do anything, right? At some point, when

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the government tells you you can't create a business, you can't speak, you can't drive a car,

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you can't move, you can't create a product, right? You end up with sort of a collapse. So

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let me move on from that, though, because I mean, I don't think we want to spend the entire

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interview talking about just digital tokens. I think that if you go to digital currency, the real

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point is an issuer, a corporation, whether it's circle or tether or bank ought to be able to issue

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a digital asset that's backed by currency. So if I want to sell a billion dollars of digital

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stablecoin, I would have a billion dollars worth of currency and a bank. It'll all be one for one

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backed, right? And that's not the same as a stablecoin. Like it's not USD backed by Luna, right?

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It's not that would be a token, by the way. Right? If you create a token which you purport to be

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stable at a dollar, I mean, okay, you're kind of a fool to trust it. But if I create a digital

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currency, then I issue 10 billion dollars and I buy 10 billion dollars of treasuries and it ought

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to be sort of a regulated entity. And the issue are ought to be liable to the government and

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ought to be liable to the buyer for fraud, right? That's kind of very straightforward. But then the

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but then the digital currency ought to circulate friction free at the speed of light.

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And the benefit of that is that the stablecoin industry will go from 50 billion in the US to 10 trillion.

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And we will export 10 trillion dollars worth of US dollars to the rest of the world.

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And probably everybody in Africa and everybody in Asia will start using the dollars. Maybe the

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Europeans will flip to the dollar. It would be great for the world's reserve currency.

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And so and it would be great for the 8 billion people on the planet that have to use a defective

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currency as a medium of exchange or a short term store of value.

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So if the digital economy relies on stablecoins, why do we need Bitcoin? Where does

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I know you're the master of the Bitcoin reserve strategy. So tell me where that enters the picture.

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Yeah, because if you think about money, money decomposes into currency and capital.

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So if you live in Argentina and by law, you're required to pay your tax bill in pesos,

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you're going to need ARS, you're going to need local currency. And if the currency is losing 20,

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30, 40% of its value a year, then you would hold that for four weeks.

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Then if you needed money for the next four weeks to four years,

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call that midterm money, you'd probably want to buy the dollar. So you would have in your checking

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account USD, you wouldn't hold a bowl of R, you wouldn't hold Naira, you wouldn't hold any of the

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really weak collapsing currencies, you wouldn't hold any Syrian or Afghan or Iraqi currency.

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So in that case, you always want to hold a US dollar. But if you need to hold the money from four

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years to four hundred years, there is no institution or wealthy individual that would ever claim

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that the majority of their assets are held in dollars or pesos. They're holding capital assets.

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And those capital assets are split between three things. They're either holding bonds,

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you might be holding corporate bonds, you might be holding treasury bonds, or they're holding real

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estate. You're probably owning a building or property or a home or some other tangible physical asset.

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Or you're holding private equity, I own a company, or public equity. I have a portfolio of

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Magnificent 7 stocks or S&P index or something. So think about all the wealthiest people in the

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world. Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, what percentage of their wealth is US dollars?

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It's not even 1%. Bitcoin doesn't compete with the dollar. Bitcoin competes with capital assets

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in the world. And there are $450 trillion of those capital assets. So think you own a Nigerian

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warehouse. You own 1,000 acres in Siberia. You own a private portfolio of Chinese stocks.

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You own a bar of gold. Why do you own these things? Because you had to put your money somewhere.

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So Bitcoin is replacing or competing with those things. If you look at the M2 money supply, I think

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the US dollar was showing as like 13, maybe 17% of that. And the primary competitors

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the dollar, CNY, Euro and JPY, Yen, Euro and Chinese currency. So as the stable coin,

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as the digital currency back by the dollar starts to circulate, that number is going to go from

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17% to 30%. And what we're doing is we're really competing with other world currencies.

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And then the Bitcoin asset is less than 1%. And as it grows,

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if Bitcoin goes to $13 million of coin, then Bitcoin will go from half a percent or 20, 30 basis

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points of the world's capital assets to 13% of the world's capital assets. It will still compete with

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real estate, equity and bonds. But it will emerge as like a monetary index for long-term money.

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And so that's why it's important to understand this idea of digital commodity. Because the use case

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of a digital commodity is not capital creation. That's why all the altcoiners, that's why they don't

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get, if you have zero money, you can't buy Bitcoin. So if you have zero money, but you're a

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podcaster, you need to issue a token to raise money. So capital creation is a use case of a token.

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The use case of a digital commodity is capital preservation and appreciation. If you already have

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money and you want to store your money for 100 years without worrying about risk, then you want to

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put it in a savings account. And so traditionally, the king commodity as a long-term money was gold.

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And what happens is gold demonetizes silver and silver demonetizes copper and copper demonetizes

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glass beads. And they all demonetize the giant stone coin of the YAP people or bales of tobacco.

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And so Gresham's law says the strongest money wins. In the end, they're can be just wine. We're all

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going to go to the strongest form of money. So the strongest form of long-term money,

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which I'll call capital, is Bitcoin right now. And all these other assets are going to be traded

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in for Bitcoin. And there's no point creating a second or a third Bitcoin because there's only one

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network that's going to win. The rest are just going to collapse against it. But the real point here

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is you want to commodity to be a store of value. And it needs to be an asset without an issuer.

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And so if you look at all these asset classes, what you have is digital tokens and asset with an

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issuer with very light regulatory touch. You can issue it overnight. A digital currency is an asset

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with an issuer, but it's just pegged to a nation-state currency. A digital security is an asset with an

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issuer, but it's really tokenized stocks or bonds. So it's like BlackRock releasing tokenized apple

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shares or BlackRock releasing tokenized S&P index. It would be a token that circulates on a crypto

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exchange at the speed of light 24, 7 globally, but it is, but doesn't an issuer. And Bitcoin is special

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because it's an asset without an issuer. And why would you want an asset without an issuer? Because

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you're a company that doesn't want to trust any other company or you're a country that doesn't

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want to trust any other country or you're a saver that wants to store your money for 200 years.

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And you don't expect any company to last 200 years and you don't expect any government to last

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200 years. You just want your family to be rich forever. And so Bitcoin appeals to the people that

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want Immortal Capital. And you can see if you lay out this taxonomy, there's four quadrants.

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You need them all. You need short term money in order to make payments. You need tokens to create

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capital. You need to tokenize securities because otherwise how do you innovate or create more

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efficiency in the world capital markets? And then you need a commodity to store and protect your

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capital. And once you see all four of them, you realize they should all be designated as

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new asset classes. The rule ought to be the issuers have an obligation to lie not lie sheet and

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steel. The response with the damage they do. The exchanges should have the ability to trade these

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things at the speed of light with anybody or anything, any machine. And then they should have

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obligations. Don't lie sheet and steel. Don't don't assume a conflict of interest. And then the

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holders ought to have a right to self-custody. You ought to be able to you ought to be able to own

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your assets, custody your assets, and transfer your assets freely. So I think that what we all agree

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with is there ought to be no AML KYC frictions on asset transfer because that destroys the utility

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of all these digital assets. And to the extent that you want to enforce consumer protections or

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investor protections, you should put the obligations on the issuers. And that way the economy

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starts to grow very, very rapidly. In your plan, the US should acquire 5 to 25% of the total

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Bitcoin supply by 2035 to generate between 16 to 81 trillion dollars by 2045. I'm wondering

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what has been the reception of your plan at the White House by US President Donald Trump.

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And I'd like to hear you talk about why this is a national security issue.

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I think the last two weeks have been extraordinary for Bitcoin and for the strategic Bitcoin reserve

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because momentum is really building. Two weeks ago, there were three priorities or there were

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three things talked about in the digital assets universe, a stablecoin act, right, the genesis,

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the genius bill and a bill to create stablecoins and issue them in the US. And that really

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addresses the digital currency asset class. And then there's discussion of a market structure bill.

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And that's to create an entire digital assets framework, presumably to issue something akin to

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digital tokens or tokenized securities, digital securities. And then there is the strategic Bitcoin

0:26:30

bill or the Bitcoin act. That was the third priority. And it was a question mark of where that was

0:26:36

in DC. There was support, but people were wondering. What happened in the past two weeks is the strategic

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Bitcoin reserve got elevated to a primary, if not the primary priority with the executive order.

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So the president created it. And I think there are some very important things that happened.

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On Thursday night, about a week ago, the president issued the executive order,

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creating the strategic Bitcoin reserve. And in the executive order designated just Bitcoin to go

0:27:15

in the reserve said we should never ever sell it. Don't sell the Bitcoin. And then directed the

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secretary of commerce and treasury to look for budget neutral ways to acquire more Bitcoin.

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That was the strongest endorsement of any asset. I don't know, in 100 years, I think, by a president

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of the United States. I don't, you know, you could imagine if the president has said we're going to,

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you know, I'm directing the government to acquire silver and never sell it. And I want to buy more

0:27:48

silver or pick any asset. It would have been an extraordinary announcement. I think that was

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followed up by the digital assets summit. And in the digital assets summit, the president reiterated

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those points. And the secretary of the treasury and the secretary of commerce and small business

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administration, all were present and reiterated their support. That actually was quite amazing,

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along with all of the industry leaders being in one place at one time, you know, and a uniform mind.

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I think Friday night, after that summit, I think the most important thing said in this industry

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in four years was said Friday night. And I think it missed a lot of people's attention. I don't

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think people really realize what happened. David Sacks, the cryptos are, went on the all-in podcast.

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And on the all-in podcast, he said unequivocally that the US government only recognizes one

0:28:55

crypto asset as being decentralized. So what Sacks said was Bitcoin is a decentralized asset,

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a store of value. That's why it's in the strategic Bitcoin reserve. It's the only one.

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And so what you had was was a member of cabinet responsible for digital assets policy.

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In essence, providing very clear guidance that Bitcoin is a digital commodity and asset without

0:29:23

an issuer. And that's the policy of the United States and the president of the United States.

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And I think for four years, Gary Gensler at the SEC implied that, you know, in a hundred

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different ways, implied that Bitcoin is a commodity and nothing else is. But he implied it in a fairly

0:29:53

obscure fashion that was kind of not very constructive because he implied it by suing everybody else.

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What you had here was a different administration articulating it, but in a constructive fashion,

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because what Sacks said is Bitcoin is the asset without the issuer. If there are other crypto assets

0:30:18

in the future that prove to be decentralized, we will consider them when that when the time comes.

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So we're not dismissing the possibility there would be another commodity. But right now, we recognize one.

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And our agenda is to provide a legitimate framework to issue digital currencies, digital tokens,

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and digital securities. And of course, the president directed that that should come to his desk by

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August. He said, I want to see it by August. He's actually said, in the first executive order,

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he said within six months, so by late July. But basically, the requirement that there is no issuer.

0:30:59

I don't think any cryptocurrency would really qualify for a administration. No, one does.

0:31:06

Oh, except Bitcoin. Bitcoin quality. But any other ones.

0:31:10

Well, that's been the debate for a decade, right? And it's been a massive debate and a massive

0:31:18

source of confusion, which is, are there other digital commodities? And the position of the

0:31:24

previous administration, Christine, was you're either a commodity, in which case you can trade on a

0:31:30

crypto exchange legitimately, or you're a security, in which case it's illegal. We're going to

0:31:37

sue you, shut you down or jail you. You see, so we had a false dichotomy. And in that world,

0:31:47

where you're either going to die economic, the best cases economic death and your block from

0:31:54

the banking system. By the way, everybody's blocked in the banking system, even Bitcoin.

0:31:58

Sorry. So my god, I'm just, if I'm understanding this, you don't think any other cryptocurrency

0:32:04

qualifies to be in a strategic reserve in the United States, other than Bitcoin, because of its

0:32:09

decentralization and it has no issuer. I think there's only one universally acknowledged

0:32:15

digital commodity in the world. Right? There's only one. There's Bitcoin. I've said that, right?

0:32:21

There is no second best. I've implied that and said that. And I've spent $33 billion based on that.

0:32:27

So yeah, it was my view four and a half years ago. There's one digital commodity. But Christine,

0:32:34

there's a more important point here. Even if there was a second, third and fourth, like let's take

0:32:42

the fork wars, Bitcoin cash, Bitcoin Satoshi vision, even if you fork Bitcoin and you maintain,

0:32:48

that's a commodity, they're all going to zero if the use case is store of value or cap or money.

0:32:56

Right? Because if you were to, if you were to fork Bitcoin and claim its decentralized,

0:33:03

the free market is going to pick the strongest network and it's going to be monetized and everything

0:33:08

else is going to zero. So it doesn't matter from a practical point of view. I don't, my position is not

0:33:16

that you couldn't theoretically create another digital commodity. For example, if China forked Bitcoin

0:33:23

and declared China coin and then said it's legal to mind China coin and it's tax-free to hold China coin

0:33:31

and you can bank China coin in China. In theory, the power of a nation state could create

0:33:39

digital property in China. Just like I, for example, I acknowledge that real estate in China is an

0:33:45

asset without an issuer. I just don't want to own it, right? Like an American doesn't want to own

0:33:51

Chinese real estate. An American wouldn't want to own China coin. But in theory, if you understand

0:33:57

the economic theory of a crypto commodity, you could create it. It's just very unlikely.

0:34:04

At this point, you can ever create a global money that's a crypto commodity because Bitcoin has

0:34:10

a trillion dollars of smart money behind it. And the next best thing doesn't have even one percent.

0:34:17

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0:34:48

bright future, get started at Uniswap.org. I wanted to touch on the question about why is this a national

0:34:56

security issue? In my speech at the National Press Club on Tuesday, I covered this in a 30-minute

0:35:06

presentation for the Bitcoin policy institute, and I would encourage anyone to go grab that. It's

0:35:12

on my ex profile, I posted it. The point that I make is that there are four different metaphors,

0:35:20

four different ways to understand the Bitcoin network. You can understand Bitcoin as digital capital.

0:35:27

It is the asset without the issuer. If it's digital capital, then it's going to grow to a $200

0:35:35

trillion plus network over time. And the value to the United States is anywhere from

0:35:42

$3 trillion to $100 trillion if the US begins to acquire that network. As digital capital,

0:35:52

it can negate or retire the national debt, or it can convert us from owing $40 trillion

0:35:59

to owning $40 trillion of net assets. It's a very powerful financial lever.

0:36:06

And the companies in the United States, like my company, they're capitalizing on Bitcoin.

0:36:12

They're going to be worth $20 to $40 trillion just on their Bitcoin assets if they continue to

0:36:18

capitalize. So, under so-to-digital capital, Bitcoin is enriching the corporations and the government

0:36:25

itself, depending upon how much Bitcoin does entities own. That's the first metaphor.

0:36:33

The second metaphor is Bitcoin is digital property. If you think of it as gold or cheese,

0:36:41

nobody rents their cheese or mortgages their cheese. But when you think of it as owning

0:36:46

a hundred acres in Manhattan, if your family owned a hundred acres of Manhattan a hundred years ago,

0:36:52

and you owned it this year, and I asked you, what's your family doing with it?

0:36:57

You know, how are you going to pay your bills? You wouldn't say, well, we're going to sell our

0:37:02

property in Manhattan. You would say we're going to rent it. We're going to develop a building on it,

0:37:07

or we're going to borrow against it. We're going to finance it. And so, you would generate

0:37:12

billions and billions of dollars off of a hundred acres of real estate in Manhattan without ever

0:37:18

selling it. It's property. And so, Bitcoin is property means you will be able to rent it,

0:37:26

finance it, or build businesses on top of it in the cyber economy. That would be worth $10 trillion

0:37:34

to the United States in 2045 each year. We could generate $10 trillion off of the digital property

0:37:43

that the United States buys in the strategic Bitcoin reserve. You wouldn't be a national debt.

0:37:49

You would basically flip from being a net debtor to a net creditor, and you would generate yield.

0:37:58

And so, that's a very powerful idea, just like, you know, the company that owns a hundred

0:38:04

billion dollars worth of real estate generates billions and billions of dollars of rental income a year,

0:38:09

or if I have a hundred billion dollars of capital, I can generate five billion dollars a year,

0:38:14

or just loaning the capital out.

0:38:16

Would that crop require the rest of the world to also acknowledge the value of Bitcoin? I mean,

0:38:22

would have China and Russia and other countries, BRICS countries decide to create their own decentralized

0:38:29

currency. They say, you know, Bitcoin is too influenced by the Americans now. Let's create our own.

0:38:38

Yeah, so the point is everyone that's tried it is failed, and everyone that tries it probably will

0:38:42

fail against Bitcoin. Bitcoin is the winner. It's the orange dwarf. It's got the network effect,

0:38:51

and it is the most powerful global capital asset and global property assets. So, if you think about,

0:38:58

let's say, take every country in Africa. You think there's a country in Africa that can launch

0:39:03

the next Bitcoin that won't collapse against Bitcoin. Now, take every country in South America.

0:39:08

You know, as Brazil, we're going to be able to launch an asset that you would want to own more.

0:39:13

No, now take every country in Europe. The euro is the second largest currency, and the best currency

0:39:21

in the world other than the dollar. 99% of the demand for digital currency in Europe is for the dollar.

0:39:27

Okay, so the Europeans can't even compete against the dollar. Will the Russians be able to launch

0:39:31

something? No. Will the Chinese know? Why? Nobody in China wants to own anything in China,

0:39:38

Christine. How do I know that? Because there's a law, right? The Chinese make it illegal to move

0:39:44

more than $50,000 of capital a year outside of China. If the Chinese dropped the capital control,

0:39:52

all of the capital in China would flow out of capital, sorry, out of China. And so there will be

0:40:00

geopolitical jostling, but Bitcoin is already the winner. It's reached escape velocity.

0:40:06

And if the US government begins to acquire it aggressively, not only are they

0:40:12

beneficiary, but they will force every other country on earth to adopt Bitcoin as the global capital.

0:40:19

In fact, what will really happen is the Japanese, the Canadians, the Mexicans, the Brazilians,

0:40:24

all the Africans, all the Europeans will immediately, well, not immediately, they will inevitably,

0:40:31

is the right word, inevitably, begin to convert their physical and financial capital into digital

0:40:36

capital and the Bitcoin network. It becomes a fate of play. They almost can't stop it, right? So

0:40:42

it's one of those geopolitical moves that when you embrace the network, you force all of your

0:40:51

allies first to adopt it and then all your enemies have to adopt it. There's four different

0:40:57

metaphors for Bitcoin. There's digital capital. There's digital property. The third important

0:41:04

metaphor is it's a digital energy network. And the AI economy is going to be built on digital energy

0:41:12

by moving energy money at the speed of light at the speed of a computer. It's a $100 trillion

0:41:18

economy. There is one digital energy network. If you own it, if you control it, you control and

0:41:25

participate in that $100 trillion economy. If you don't, you're locked out of the economy. The

0:41:31

AI is going to think a million times a second and they're going to want to trade a million times

0:41:35

a second with each other. You can't do it without a digital monetary network and that'll be built on

0:41:41

Bitcoin as a settlement network. So the entire future of the banking system and the digital

0:41:48

commerce system and the AI economy, it's all going to be based upon digital money, digital energy,

0:41:55

digital capital. And so that's important. And then the fourth metaphor is it's a digital defense

0:42:01

system because the measure of power in the in cyberspace is the exohash. If you want to create a

0:42:10

system that can't be corrupted, censored, tampered with, or hacked by an AI or by another

0:42:19

computer, you need raw power combined with the power of cryptography, a wall of digital energy

0:42:27

or encrypted energy. And so if I wanted to send $10 billion into a war zone, the only way to do it

0:42:36

is with Bitcoin. If I want to lock down a cyber system against cyber attack where I want to

0:42:42

authenticate it and make a tamper proof, what you want is public private key cryptography embedded

0:42:49

into the Bitcoin blockchain backed by 20 gigawatts of electricity, 850 exohash. No one can crack that.

0:42:58

Right? And we have a situation today where Satoshi could prove to you in one second that they are

0:43:04

in possession of $80 billion worth of capital by simply signing a message with their private key.

0:43:13

That has profound cybersecurity implications for the country. So when you put them all together,

0:43:21

right? Digital capital, digital property, digital energy and digital defense. What you can see is that

0:43:31

you either are going to own cyberspace and owning cyberspace is owning the asset and controlling the

0:43:38

network, you know, controlling cyberspace or your enemy does. And if you lose control of your

0:43:46

airspace, you get bombed back to the Stone Age in one week. You lose the country. If you lose control

0:43:52

the sea lanes, you lose the country. If you lose control of cyberspace, not only can you not send

0:43:58

money between New York and Tokyo, you can't send money between New York and Chicago. You can't even

0:44:05

send money between your computer and the computer in the same room next to you in a secure fashion.

0:44:11

So in this case, the reason this is important to US digital supremacy is the future economy is

0:44:20

digital intelligence. And it's going to need to move digital energy protected by digital power

0:44:27

in order to engage in digital commerce. And Bitcoin is that digital energy network. And that's why

0:44:36

it's in the interest of the US to own it. You're also calling for ending hostile and unfair

0:44:42

tax policies. And there has been word of a zero capital gains tax being applied to Bitcoin and

0:44:48

other American cryptocurrencies, according to your Trump, the son of US president, all the Trump,

0:44:54

wondering what your thoughts are in regard to this.

0:44:57

If you had a tax, a tax that basically taxed everyone when they started a fire or they used

0:45:04

electricity or they put gasoline in a car, you'd pretty much tax yourself back to a Stone Age

0:45:13

Barter society. It'd be pretty stupid. And so taxing digital power, which is the current tax

0:45:23

treatment of Bitcoin miners, we actually tax Bitcoin when it's mined, not when it's sold. We're actually,

0:45:31

it's kind of like taxing, it's taxing an entrepreneur when they come up with a new idea before

0:45:38

anybody buys it. It's it's pretty crippling. So I think we have hostile unfair irrational

0:45:47

tax policies that impair the industry. I think clearly we want to change those. I think that we

0:45:55

have blocked the industry from the banking system. That's kind of foolish. If you prevent banks from

0:46:02

banking Bitcoin, it means the Bitcoin eventually will go to whichever bank in the world is willing

0:46:08

to bank it. All of the crypto crashes, the crypto winner, the failures of FTX and Genesis and

0:46:17

and three arrows and you know block five and Celsius. All of those failures were because the

0:46:25

regulators prevented legitimate banks, well run banks from custodying Bitcoin. And so they drove

0:46:33

everybody to crypto cowboys offshore that were run by entrepreneurs or shadow banks. And

0:46:41

and if they simply allowed actual banks, if they allowed public companies like Apple or Google,

0:46:48

or if they allowed big banks like JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley to handle these assets,

0:46:53

we wouldn't have had those crypto crashes. We wouldn't have had those failures. Those people

0:46:57

wouldn't have lost their money. And so what we want is a supportive regulation. We want to unwind

0:47:07

all of the hostile, you know, regressive policies which prevent big tech and big banking and big

0:47:15

insurance and big finance from handling these assets. And then we want to roll forward the path

0:47:21

of legitimacy. If you do that, the industry grows by a factor of 100 and the risk to the consumer

0:47:28

and the investor falls by a factor of 100. It's fairly straightforward.

0:47:33

You've said on plenty of occasions that Bitcoin in price is going to go up forever.

0:47:40

In your latest presentation, I saw that by 24 to 45, it'll be about 13 million dollars

0:47:48

Bitcoin. That's the base case and 49 million dollars in a bull case and three million

0:47:52

dollars in a bear case. What in will Bitcoin in your view or will anything derail that trajectory

0:48:01

in your view? No, I don't think so. I think that when I gave that speech, it was Bitcoin

0:48:09

Nashville in July of 2024 and I gave those forecasts. And obviously, I, you know, I gave them,

0:48:17

there's a model Bitcoin 24. It's published. It's on GitHub. Just go Google it, download it and

0:48:22

you can plug in all your assumptions about inflation and innovation. The two big drivers of Bitcoin

0:48:28

price going up are innovation and inflation. Right. Bitcoin's going to go up because capital is

0:48:36

going to be created by technology and as the world gets richer, the capital is going to have to find

0:48:41

home and Bitcoin is going, price is going to appreciate because there'll be more currency, more

0:48:47

dollars, more pesos, more rubles, more everything. And the price is going to appreciate because people

0:48:53

are going to sell their 20th century physical assets and financial assets and the like in order

0:49:00

to buy digital assets. And that trend is going to accelerate as people get educated because why would

0:49:07

anybody want to own a warehouse in the middle of Africa when you could own the equivalent amount

0:49:11

of Bitcoin? They're all going to trade when they can. It's just going to be a question of supportive

0:49:16

institutions. Give me a safe way to buy a billion dollars of it and then supportive regulations

0:49:23

and then education. So these are all things that are simple to predict. And that was my prediction

0:49:30

in July of 2024, but look what happened since then. Right. Since then we had a red sweep. You had a

0:49:38

pro Bitcoin Congress, pro Bitcoin Senate, pro Bitcoin House, pro Bitcoin president. You have every

0:49:45

cabinet member or nearly every cabinet member owns Bitcoin as pro crypto. They're all very supportive.

0:49:51

And now you have a supportive secretary of the treasury. You have one executive order,

0:49:58

directing that we create a vibrant digital assets industry in the United States. You have a

0:50:06

second executive order creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve. You have a huge amount of momentum.

0:50:12

What I've seen is a sea change over the past 16 weeks. Most conventional investors and

0:50:21

traditional investors everywhere in the world that were not interested or afraid of this asset class.

0:50:29

They have all flipped their view to being very curious. So I've been invited to conferences in

0:50:38

South America with the 100 wealthiest families for the first time. I've been invited to speak to all

0:50:45

the Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds for the first time. I've been invited to speak at

0:50:52

Morgan Stanley's tech conference. The most prestigious one of the tech industry of tech investors.

0:50:57

For the first time, I've been invited to speak at CPAC, a conservative political action committee.

0:51:04

For the first time, I've been invited to the White House to speak to the president of the cabinet

0:51:09

for the first time. There's a whole speech that I gave on Tuesday at the National Press Club

0:51:19

on, you know, there were two senators on stage with me for the first time. What you have is an

0:51:28

avalanche of institutional interest by mainstream policymakers, business leaders, investors.

0:51:40

If you roll the clock back 16 months, none of it existed. The number of institutional investors invested

0:51:48

in spot Bitcoin ETFs went from six to 3,300 over 12 months.

0:51:56

So I would say that institutional adoption is clearly a foot. All of the regulators in the world

0:52:05

will talk about digital assets and they'll talk about Bitcoin. They won't do anything

0:52:12

until Washington DC financial regulators take a position. And so the future of digital tokens,

0:52:20

digital currencies, digital securities, and digital commodities will all emanate from Washington DC

0:52:27

and every other financial regulator and every banking regulator everywhere in the world

0:52:33

will follow. And I'm not just talking our allies, the Brazilians, the Emirates, the Europeans,

0:52:39

our enemies or our quasi-animies or our frenemies. The Chinese, the Russians, everyone is going

0:52:46

to copy the taxonomy and the principles that are set in the United States. And I'm not

0:52:57

speculating. I'm telling you from first-person knowledge because I talk to them. I'm saying I

0:53:01

talk to people in South America and they say our banks will not embrace this until the US does it?

0:53:09

And so the entire industry has been frozen up until November 5th and on November 6th.

0:53:17

We thought things might get better, but if you look at the parade of positive actions that are

0:53:25

good for the digital assets industry, good for the crypto industry, good for Bitcoin,

0:53:30

I think it succeeded everybody's expectations. I don't think anybody expected every member of the

0:53:37

cabinet to be pro crypto, pro Bitcoin. Every member of the cabinet, there is it any, you know,

0:53:43

it's one thing to say, well, we elected a president that stopped suing us, right?

0:53:50

Ended the war on crypto. But we went from a war on crypto to every crypto enforcement action

0:53:57

getting unwound day by day to now a very, very positive, not just positive in an ambiguous way,

0:54:06

positive in a decisive way. We're going to do this. We're going to do this this week. Next week,

0:54:11

we're going to do this. And six months, you better do this, right? That I think is a reason that

0:54:17

everybody in the industry ought to be feeling very optimistic because these are the most auspicious

0:54:24

developments in the last 12 weeks that have happened in the entire history of the industry.

0:54:28

Or it could be a concern if in four years we have a new administration that thinks very differently.

0:54:35

I'm not so concerned about that. I think that Pandora's Box has been opened.

0:54:41

And if you look at these developments, they tend to be one way, just like a hash function is

0:54:48

is one way. There are certain things that once you've done them, you can't undo them. Once you've

0:54:53

seen it, you can't unsee it. I'll give you an example. When the spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved in

0:54:59

January of 2024, that opened the entire floodgate and now 3,300 institutions own this. And we went

0:55:07

from nothing to $150 billion. You can't undo that. You know, a future president or head of the SEC

0:55:16

could never say in four years, they'll be $500 billion in these things. They can't say,

0:55:21

well, I just decided that Bitcoin isn't a commodity anymore. It's just it's just too much in one

0:55:27

direction. And once banks start to bank, Bitcoin, when Bitcoin spreads with the banking system and

0:55:35

there's a trillion dollars of digital capital in the banking system, it won't just be in the US.

0:55:42

It's a virus. And so the virus spreads. And in this case, that means you're going to have hundreds of

0:55:49

banks and thousands of banks than trillions of dollars that are held by a billion people.

0:55:55

Okay, so a new president gets elected and maybe they don't like Bitcoin. You can't take a trillion

0:56:01

dollars out of this system. So it's kind of like a new president saying, I just don't think that we

0:56:09

should have the flu. Or I don't think bunny rabbits should be able to romp across the continent

0:56:16

of Australia. You're not going to put the genie back in the bottle. These things are viral.

0:56:24

You know, exothermal, it's a fire in cyberspace and it spreads very rapidly.

0:56:30

There is a question I wanted you to reflect on generally on government. You know, in the United

0:56:35

States, we have these short-term time horizons that change with administrations. We have lawyers,

0:56:41

businessmen, entertainers as presidents, whereas in other countries, they have engineers.

0:56:47

They have 25-year time horizons. Is that a limitation of the American government?

0:56:54

I think if you read the Bitcoin Act put forward by Senator Lomas and Congressman Begich,

0:57:05

they specify a 20-year minimum holding period for Bitcoin.

0:57:10

And the president of the United States has said, never sell your Bitcoin. I think those two

0:57:17

utterances by the politicians most heavily involved here are in incredibly visionary and

0:57:24

auspicious and principled. And so I actually believe that the United States has some very principled

0:57:33

leadership that has an ambition to make this nation great, not make this nation great for four

0:57:42

years. I think the goal is to make this nation great throughout the 21st century.

0:57:47

And thereafter, and I think that's the promise of Bitcoin, digital capital,

0:57:54

it's the promise of digital assets. And I laid out in my strategy, I said, we can create a

0:58:01

hundred trillion dollars of wealth for this nation. We need principled leadership.

0:58:09

We need a rational digital assets framework. And we need to remove crippling restrictions

0:58:17

that prevent innovators in the economy from moving forward as fast as they possibly could.

0:58:26

I wanted to go back to earlier this year. I was at your Bitcoin New Year's Eve party,

0:58:32

celebrating Bitcoin surpassing $100,000. It was a peak moment for many in the Bitcoin space.

0:58:40

It was really interesting going through Vili Vecchia, your home. I saw Bitcoin historical artifacts

0:58:49

that was lapped up by Adredience from 2009. A lot of nautical artifacts. And a lot of this has to do,

0:59:00

I suppose, the nautical aspects. I guess your history of traveling, exploring, and whatnot.

0:59:08

I was wondering what your family upbringing was like.

0:59:12

My father's a career Air Force non-commissioned officer and retired as a chief master sergeant,

0:59:18

the highest and less than rank in the US Air Force. I lived on Air Force bases my entire life.

0:59:23

So it's a military family, a military upbringing. We traveled all around the world. I lived in

0:59:29

New Zealand. I lived in Japan. I lived on a bunch of Air Force bases in the Midwest. I was born in

0:59:37

Lincoln, Nebraska. I went to school at Patrick Air Force Base and satellite beach for a while,

0:59:45

and eventually right Patterson Air Force Base, where I was in high school. So I would say

0:59:53

fairly straightforward Air Force family Air Force brat, they would say.

1:00:01

Then I got an Air Force scholarship and I went to MIT on an Air Force scholarship.

1:00:07

And I was commissioned as a Second Lieutenant of the United States Air Force. I ended up serving

1:00:13

Air Force Reserve and I ended up as a captain in Air Force Reserve. So I would say a lot of my

1:00:21

upbringing had that Air Force route in it. Does that Air Force upbringing also talk about or touch

1:00:32

upon some thrill seeking element, some a general in rush in your attraction to Dubit Coin and the

1:00:43

ups and downs of all Tildi associated with it? I think that the Air Force elevates the

1:00:52

and idealizes the engineer. I mean, Air Force is all about engineered aircraft and technology.

1:00:59

So technology is a pretty important principle in Air Force. I think it gave me a lot of appreciation

1:01:08

for flight, for engineering, for aerospace design, for spaceships. And that's why when I went to MIT,

1:01:18

I studied aerospace engineering and spaceship design. And so that gave me an appreciation for systems

1:01:26

engineering and systems engineering. You study higher order systems, feedback systems, servo

1:01:32

mechanisms, cybernetic systems, and obviously mechanical engineering, sub-engineering,

1:01:43

all sorts of engineering, electrical engineering. And so when I finally discovered Bic Coin,

1:01:49

I think I appreciated it as an engineered system. It's full of really, really powerful,

1:01:58

elegant engineering structures that made it stable. Something like the difficulty adjustment

1:02:06

is the first order negative feedback loop, a servo mechanism. It's the same principle you need to

1:02:11

make a steam engine work, by the way. It's the same principle that pops up in all sorts of

1:02:16

machines. And it's a principle in electrical engineering and it's a principle in all kind of

1:02:22

nonlinear dynamic simulations. You need a first order feedback loop. But then the other thing I

1:02:29

realized is Bic Coin is thermodynamically sound money and it's a thermodynamically sound network.

1:02:36

The idea of thermodynamically sound is very important to an aeronautical engineer,

1:02:41

because in order to create airplanes, you normally do all the modeling and engineering based upon

1:02:48

assumptions of adiabatic systems. And an adiabatic system is a sealed closed system. And in a sealed

1:02:57

closed system where energy doesn't leave or enter the system, you can solve all the problems. And so

1:03:04

they say, assume an adiabatic system. And it turns out that if the system is not adiabatic,

1:03:11

if it's not sound and sealed, you can't solve any problem. And so the real genius of Satoshi

1:03:19

was to create a thermodynamically sound monetary system. And if I give you the example, I give you

1:03:27

a bathtub, there's a leak in it, or I give you a ship, there's a leak in it, or if I give you a plane

1:03:31

and there's a hole in the fuselage, you know that's always the theme of the horror movies, the Titanic,

1:03:38

or the window got blown out in the airplane, explosive decompression. All of the catastrophes

1:03:46

are because you don't have an adiabatic system or thermodynamically sound system.

1:03:52

The economic catastrophe that's the analogy here is hyperinflation or the collapse of a currency.

1:04:00

And so all of my engineering background at MIT was how to design systems that are sound that work,

1:04:06

a ship that flies, and a plane that flies, a ship that doesn't sink. You see them in my house

1:04:14

when you see the ships, the ships that don't sink, the planes that fly, Satoshi was a truly genius

1:04:23

engineer. But you could also say Satoshi was simply a competent engineer. Satoshi designed a

1:04:30

monetary system using semiconductors, public private key cryptography, and the internet

1:04:38

that was possible for the first time, sometime around 2009. It was impossible during the time

1:04:46

period of Hayek or Von Mises when all the Austrian economists wrote about this. They didn't have

1:04:52

the technology to design a thermodynamically sound monetary system. So they used gold,

1:04:58

which was an imperfect network and an imperfect asset. It's kind of like

1:05:04

Da Vinci and Michelangelo or maybe Newton and Leibniz. They're genius scientists and they want to

1:05:10

design an airship. But if you don't have an internal combustion engine and petroleum, you can't

1:05:16

make an airplane. The Wright brothers had petroleum and a motor and internal combustion engine

1:05:23

and they could create an airplane, maybe not so theoretically genius, but practically they made us

1:05:29

fly. So Satoshi took all of the math, all of the engineering, all of the monetary theory that came

1:05:38

in the hundreds of years or thousands of years before him or her and created perfect money.

1:05:47

And so I think my background drove me to go to MIT. My education was as an engineer and as a systems

1:05:56

engineer. By the way, there's another important point. Aeronautical engineers are probably the greatest

1:06:03

of all systems engineers. Because to create an airplane, you have to master civil engineering,

1:06:09

mechanical engineering, metallurgy, you have to master electrical engineering, stability.

1:06:15

And if you get anything wrong, the plane crashes and burns. And for example, you have to build an

1:06:23

airplane with aluminum, even though the best material is steel, because steel is so heavy,

1:06:29

the plane crashes. You can never fly a steel plane. And so you have to make a compromise.

1:06:35

And the compromise is, I have a plane that flies, but it's not as strong as steel. When you're a

1:06:42

civil engineer, you use steel, but the building building doesn't fly. So if you apply that to money

1:06:49

and Bitcoin, Bitcoin was an engineered system with compromises. Like, well, why can't you just

1:06:55

query the transactions every five seconds? Well, because it's not stable, right? If you want it to

1:07:00

be stable, then you have to query the transactions every 10 minutes. And so, well, why can't you just have

1:07:06

infinite block space? Well, because then it's not stable over time and the security collapses.

1:07:15

Well, Satoshi understood that if you wanted it to be stable in time and space, there was a limit

1:07:21

to what you could achieve. Just like, well, why can't I just have a hundred story building the

1:07:26

flies across the ocean? Well, a civil engineer wouldn't know why you can't, but a

1:07:32

neeronautical engineer would be able to explain exactly why you can't fly a hundred story building

1:07:37

across the ocean. Right? And so my background, I think, calls me to look at Bitcoin and appreciate

1:07:43

the beauty of the engineering. And whereas someone that doesn't have an engineering background might

1:07:49

say, well, I'm just going to hack together something which is smarter, faster, quicker, and easier.

1:07:55

And you end up with all the other all-coin experiments. But what they don't do is they don't appreciate

1:08:01

the thermodynamic physical mathematical and systems limitations over time and space

1:08:08

that a really good system is an engineer would understand. And so I think that that all brought

1:08:15

me to where I am today. And it caused me to look at this thing and say, oh my Satoshi created the perfect

1:08:24

monetary network, you know, for the world. And it's like someone gives you steel, you want to

1:08:31

build Manhattan. Someone gives you aluminum, you want to build an Air Force. And so I see Bitcoin

1:08:40

and I sell perfect money. What am I going to build? And so far we've taken our company, you know,

1:08:47

with a billion dollar market cap and built into an 80 billion dollar company just by building

1:08:53

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into a bright future, get started at Uniswap.org. Well, I was at your place. I saw one of your super

1:09:31

yachts. It's called the Usher. And someone there said it referred to one of your greatest failures.

1:09:38

So I want, I was curious, why would you name a ship after one of your greatest failures? And

1:09:44

what you learned from that? Back in the mid 90s, I bought up a bunch of domain names,

1:09:52

names like Usher and Hope and Michael and Mike and Speaker and Angel and Voice and Strategy.

1:10:00

Because I thought one day you could build businesses on these because they're great words

1:10:04

in the English language and everybody knows how to spell them and say them and they're very powerful

1:10:08

brands. And I had some singles and some doubles. You know, I launched some things. I sold

1:10:15

Voice for 30 million and I sold Angel for 100 million and then we launched Alarm.com and

1:10:21

that's a multi billion dollar business. But then I launched a business called Usher on the Usher

1:10:27

on the Usher domain and it was going to be a mobile authentication application. So it was a

1:10:32

mobile app that was multi factor authentication that you could use to seamlessly log into a website

1:10:39

or authenticate a transaction. Whether it's a financial transaction or a ticketing transaction. So

1:10:47

it was this idea of public private key cryptography and a consumer app because you couldn't

1:10:56

rely on it. And we wanted to replace passwords. Right, passwords are garbage. Everybody knows

1:11:01

passwords are garbage. You could almost think of it as like it's a software version of a

1:11:06

signing device like a Bitcoin wallet or hardware wallet. But we did it back in 2012. We didn't

1:11:14

have the distribution channel and it turned out that it was an idea a bit ahead of its time.

1:11:20

And ultimately what happened was Apple just kind of built login with Apple into their iPhone

1:11:26

and then Microsoft issued Microsoft Authenticator and they just gave it for free to 100 million

1:11:33

businesses. And Microsoft Authenticator has got like one one hundredth of the functionality of Usher.

1:11:40

But what I learned, right, what did I learn? Well, first of all, it failed, right? I thought it was

1:11:44

going to be a multi billion dollar thing and I named the yacht Usher while I was launching it. I

1:11:49

didn't name it after it failed. I named it because Usher was mobile identity and I thought it was

1:11:55

kind of cute to name a yacht after my mobile identity and it made a good name and you can read

1:12:01

the sign from a long way away. So it's a good handle for a boat for safety reasons and practical

1:12:08

reasons. But what I learned from the endeavor is, you know, sometimes you can overthink things.

1:12:17

Like you're better off, the winner in that market was Microsoft and Apple or Google.

1:12:24

Like people log in with Chrome, they log in with Apple, they log in with Microsoft Authenticator.

1:12:31

The winner is the simple brainless idea that has just enough functionality, replace the password,

1:12:39

that you have the distribution channel for. You can you can jam it down a channel to a billion people

1:12:45

or bundle it. And we were like the innovator with this, you know, Swiss Army knife that did

1:12:52

everything, but we didn't have the distribution channel and it was a little bit before it's time.

1:12:57

So it's, you know, I would say generally Christine, maybe one of the things that made me appreciate

1:13:05

Bitcoin is I had, you know, I probably came up with 20 ideas that I thought were the best idea ever.

1:13:12

You know, I went through this period, you know, from your 30s to your 50s, you're like, I'm going to

1:13:16

invent this, I'm going to invent that, I'm going to invent this. And whenever you invent something,

1:13:20

you think it's the best idea ever. And then then you don't know it isn't until the market tells you

1:13:27

it isn't. And the market's going to tell you, you know, most of them will fail. A couple may achieve

1:13:33

a hundred or a tenth of what you thought. Occasionally you get you find a really good idea,

1:13:39

but you shouldn't be so proud that you're not going to embrace somebody else's idea if it's better.

1:13:46

The great irony, right, the great irony of life. And Elon Musk says he says sometimes the most

1:13:52

ironic outcome is the most likely outcome. The irony of life is after 30 years in business,

1:13:58

after I created 20 ideas and after some succeeded and a lot of them failed. My biggest success is

1:14:05

somebody else's idea, right, when we trip, and I wasn't even looking for it. I was, you know,

1:14:12

I was kind of kicked in the back by a golden horseshoe, if you will. And so during the lockdowns,

1:14:20

we had a problem and we discovered Bitcoin and that was Satoshi's idea. And we kind of just grabbed

1:14:27

it, you know, defensively because the choice was either that or a quick death or a slow death. So

1:14:33

it was really like a life raft or a, you know, life preserver. And then it became an opportunity.

1:14:40

And then it became a strategy and then all the sudden in the past 12 months, we realized it was a

1:14:46

really good business. We could build a really good business on it. And it wasn't our idea and I

1:14:51

didn't invent it. But the truth is we made a hundred X as much money for our shareholders and our

1:14:57

employees and our, and everybody involved as all the things that I invented. And so yeah,

1:15:03

that yacht behind the yacht kept the name usher. It reminds me of something that I thought was

1:15:10

a brilliant idea, but it didn't turn out that way. And it reminds you that even when you think you're

1:15:17

a hundred percent right, you know, it's quite possible that you're not. And you probably

1:15:22

ought to have the humility to appreciate other people's thoughts on the matter.

1:15:29

What advice would you give to a younger version of yourself?

1:15:34

First of all, embrace the new platforms of your generation that are going to change the world,

1:15:40

right? So don't do what your parents did or your grandparents did because they might have been

1:15:49

insanely successful. And all your role models may be insanely successful, but

1:15:54

but they did something which made sense in the 70s or the 90s, you know, or the 2010 time frame.

1:16:02

You ought to actually think for yourself and figure out what is going to be profoundly earth

1:16:09

shattering? What's going to change the world and create prosperity for the human race in the next

1:16:15

20 years or 30 years? And then, you know, and what are those themes right now? They seem to be

1:16:20

digital intelligence and digital energy or digital money or digital capital, whatever you want to call

1:16:26

it, digital assets. And so start to study them, think about it, think about the consequences of

1:16:34

that, make your own path, and then focus. And once you focus, figure out what you're going to do

1:16:41

and be the best in the world at that. And I think that if you look at the classic pattern of

1:16:50

of failure of an alpha male, and I'm just going to single out alpha males because I am one,

1:16:57

an alpha female could make the same mistake. It's in your 20s, you struggle to be successful,

1:17:03

and then you succeed at something. Like you launch a business, you're a famous podcaster,

1:17:10

you know, you build out a niche, you're the greatest digital assets reporter. And then it goes

1:17:16

to your head. And then you think, well, now that I've conquered this, what new thing am I going to

1:17:20

conquer? And so then you expand and you launch the second business and the third thing and the fourth

1:17:25

thing. And you know, maybe everybody in the world wants to understand your opinion of digital currency.

1:17:31

And then you think that they're also going to want to know your opinion of cooking and music. And

1:17:37

you're going to be a movie critic. And the truth is they probably don't, right? Like if you,

1:17:42

if you're lucky enough to be relevant in one thing in the world, you've already won the lottery,

1:17:49

right? If you actually carve out a position where people acknowledge you is having a

1:17:57

useful opinion or useful service or useful product, then you want to lay, you know, put on laser

1:18:06

eyes, right? My advice is laser eyes. Once you figure out what you're, what you enjoy, what you're

1:18:12

good at, what's going to change the world, you ought to laser like focus on it. Don't take it for

1:18:18

granted because so often people take it for granted, right? Napoleon ended up, you know, he ended

1:18:28

up taking over France at a young age and brought peace to France. And he could have said, well,

1:18:34

that was a one in a million likelihood. Like how many people in the history of France ever actually

1:18:39

stopped the revolution, brought peace and security to France. And instead he thought, well, I just

1:18:44

got a conqueror, Spain, Italy, Germany, Russia, Sweden, you know, et cetera. And of course, the

1:18:52

result was ruined and he and he accomplished nothing other than to get 20 million people killed.

1:18:58

That's the Napoleonic complex. And I think I can't tell you how many companies they come to

1:19:05

their end because they have one successful business and then the diversify and they launch the next

1:19:11

four. And it's the same problem a parent has. You have a child and they're and they get in their

1:19:19

20s or their teens and they don't turn out the way you wanted. So you think, well, I'll just start

1:19:22

on another one and they will do it. And what people forget is that the common element and the

1:19:29

relationship is you and people always blame all of their problems on somebody else. And I think that

1:19:40

the mature view is you look in the mirror and you say, I'm struggling in business. I'm struggling

1:19:45

with what I'm trying to do. If you say, what is it that you're not doing that's keeping you for

1:19:50

being successful and then you focus and were to fix yourself. I think that's always much more

1:19:57

constructive. And when I think when you say, well, the customers are stupid or the investors are

1:20:02

stupid or the market's stupid or someone else is stupid. So I'm going to do the next thing. I mean,

1:20:07

when you're in denial, I think you tend to just go and you pick a new thing and you never really can

1:20:15

develop a core strength. So I would say, have a laser focus on something. Be humble.

1:20:24

Don't assume that just because you've been successful in one field, you can replicate your success

1:20:31

in 10 more fields. So I even Michael Jordan when he played baseball, he was a mediocre baseball player.

1:20:37

He was the greatest basketball player, right? And the world's full of it's full of people that are

1:20:44

extremely talented, extremely intelligent, that are laser focused. And so if you're extremely

1:20:51

talented and extremely intelligent, but you're not laser focused, you're probably going to get displaced

1:20:56

in the world. There's no doubt that you are laser focused on Bitcoin. You've had a lot of

1:21:04

opportunities to take money out of Bitcoin and profit, but you're not doing that. You're only

1:21:08

accumulating. So I'm wondering, what is the purpose of all this accumulation in the end? Do you

1:21:13

want to be a Bitcoin bank? I've heard words of that or there'll be a point in time where you'll

1:21:21

have a lot of influence on the Bitcoin network and having accumulated so much, what are you going to

1:21:27

do with all that influence? Bitcoin represents the most certain thing in the financial universe,

1:21:35

right? And Archimedes said, give me a lever long enough in a place to stand. I can move the world.

1:21:43

Bitcoin is the place to stand. I'm not trying to change Bitcoin at all. I'm just standing on it.

1:21:52

The question is, what am I doing? I'm trying to digitally transform the capital markets.

1:21:57

The world that I'm changing is a traditional finance world. And here's my observation.

1:22:03

Equity, capital markets, for the most part, value companies based upon a promise and expectation

1:22:11

of future cash flows, which another way to say it is, the companies have no money, but they promise

1:22:16

to get some money over the next 20 years and we estimate how much they're going to get, and that's

1:22:21

the value of the equity. Our company's position is we actually have the money, right? So we have

1:22:28

the money now. Maybe you can value us a premium, but right now the company is 65% or 6% of the market

1:22:37

capital company is the money. Whereas if you look at a typical company like Apple or Microsoft,

1:22:43

5% of the company is money and 95% is just expectation that they might get money in the future.

1:22:51

Why is that? That's because money is toxic if you're using bonds, treasury bills as a capital asset.

1:22:59

So if the money the corporations hold is toxic, if it generates a 3% after tax return,

1:23:06

and if the cost of capital is 13%, then you destroy 10% of your capital a year. That means that

1:23:12

every conventional company is capitalized on toxic money. And so my mission is to capitalize companies

1:23:19

on virtuous clean money, right? And if you look at the fixed income markets,

1:23:26

this is even more profound. Think about this for a second, Christine. A company, a corporation

1:23:33

borrows money because it needs money. And so I borrow a billion dollars, but I don't have a billion

1:23:39

dollars. That's why I borrowed the billion. And my credit rating is based upon my cash flows

1:23:44

or my EBITDA. So the credit rating agency says, well, you don't have the billion, but you have

1:23:51

a hundred million cash flow. And so over the next decade, maybe you'll get the billion.

1:23:57

So I'll give you a credit rating. So your credit rating is based on the money that you expect

1:24:04

to get to pay back the bond. Okay. We're in the market with $10 billion

1:24:12

or say we have $45 billion of actual money. And we want to borrow a billion. And a credit

1:24:21

rating agency would say, well, you don't have any cash flows. So we don't know if we can give you

1:24:26

a credit rating. And of course, the joke is, well, we actually have the money. We have 45 billion.

1:24:31

We want to borrow a billion. Or I have five billion in collateral. I want to borrow a billion more.

1:24:37

I'm 5X over collateralized. You could literally give me a credit rating based upon the money I have.

1:24:45

But the entire fixed income market, which is $300 trillion of corporate bonds, preferred stocks,

1:24:51

structured instruments and like that entire credit market is based upon credit ratings and the

1:24:57

theory of credit that's based upon loaning to companies that don't have any money to pay it back.

1:25:02

But they promise that they'll get the money in the future. So my company is issuing bonds

1:25:11

and issuing preferred stock that's backed by Bitcoin. And our mission is to create a new theory of

1:25:18

credit. Right. We want to issue billions than tens of billions, then hundreds of billions,

1:25:24

then trillions of dollars worth of credit instruments that are backed by real money. And

1:25:33

and that's what we're doing right now. We're the largest convertible bond issuer in the world

1:25:38

last year. I would like to be the largest convertible bond issuer this year. And those convertible

1:25:44

bonds are the highest performing most sought after bonds in the world because they're backed by

1:25:50

by Bitcoin, by real money. You know, other people that issue convertible bonds don't have any money.

1:25:57

They're they're actually just backed by future expectations of getting some money.

1:26:03

And we just issued this convertible preferred stock called strike STRK. That's the first convertible

1:26:10

preferred instrument ever backed by Bitcoin or any crypto asset. And that's the best performing one

1:26:17

as well. And then we announced the $21 billion shelf registration. That's the first time anybody

1:26:23

in the history of the capital markets has ever attached a shelf registration to a preferred stock.

1:26:29

Okay. So what are we going to do? We're going to sell billions of dollars of preferred stock

1:26:35

to a market. And it's going to be twice as good or three times as good as the existing preferred.

1:26:42

So preferred stock investors get a benefit. And then we're going to buy Bitcoin and our common

1:26:47

stock shareholders are going to get a benefit. And the Bitcoin network is going to grow. And the

1:26:52

entire crypto economy is going to grow. And so the long long term plan is just securitize the entire

1:27:00

market. And last year we raised about $22 billion a capital. If we can raise $22 billion then $40

1:27:07

billion, then $80 billion, then $160 billion, then $320 billion. We'll just keep raising more capital.

1:27:12

And you would say, well, when is it going to end? Well, when we've got 1% of the fixed income

1:27:18

market, that's going to be $3 trillion, Christine. And then it won't end. When we get 1%, we'll be going

1:27:24

for 2%, and then we'll be going for 4%. So there's really no reason to ever end. And you're like,

1:27:30

well, what is the value you're creating? And the answer is we're giving all the fixed income

1:27:34

investors an extra 200 basis points of yield every year with less risk. That's the value we're

1:27:42

creating. We're basically rationalizing the equity capital markets and the fixed income

1:27:49

capital markets. We're improving the credit quality. And we're improving the returns. Because

1:27:59

like, for example, if you're holding $5 billion a Bitcoin and you show a billion dollars of

1:28:03

credit instruments and the Bitcoin is trading with a wall of 60, there's like an 80 to 100 basis

1:28:09

point risk that you'll be under collateralized in 12 months. That means that you ought to have

1:28:14

investment grade credit. But the market's paying, trading in like junk. So we can pay junk bond

1:28:21

rates and offer investment grade credit. And someone gets an extra 400 basis points of boost.

1:28:27

And we can afford it because our use of proceeds invest in a network that pays 30 to 60% a year.

1:28:34

And then they benefit. And so what we're really doing is we're digitally transforming the

1:28:39

capital markets to the benefit of everybody involved. I want to just push back with what critics say,

1:28:47

which is that if Bitcoin has a massive downturn, which has happened with the volatility,

1:28:53

draw downs of 90% and there's less interest in MSCR bonds or equity. That forced the company to

1:29:01

sell Bitcoin at a loss to cover its debt, potentially unraveling the model. And they also could

1:29:07

decide the stock's premium. It's often trading far above its Bitcoin holding net asset value.

1:29:12

Is that seen as a bubble right for bursting a faith in the strategy falters?

1:29:18

Yeah, we've learned a lot over the past four years. And I think we're built an indestructible

1:29:23

balance sheet. Right. If you think about what we're what we're issuing, we're not borrowing money

1:29:29

as on a junk bond or a senior bond that comes due in five years. We're actually issuing a

1:29:35

preferred stock, which is a perpetuity. You know, you don't hear the word perpetuity that often.

1:29:41

It means that we're never paying the money back. Like when we when we sell a billion dollars of a

1:29:47

preferred stock, we're borrowing a billion dollars forever for a thousand years. So it's a perpetual

1:29:54

swap. And and it's a perpetual swap with no covenant. So Bitcoin could trade down 99%.

1:30:03

There's no, I mean, people talk about margin call on X. There's no margin call coming.

1:30:09

This is not happening. Right. The instruments that are constructed, you know, don't have Bitcoin

1:30:16

pledged as collateral. And so we could take an 80 or a 90 or a 95% drawdown.

1:30:24

We'd be just fine. Right. What we've done is we've constructed the business such that the leverage

1:30:33

for the equity comes from from intelligent sources. And the most intelligent source is is

1:30:39

clearly preferred stock. Right. Because it's like all the leverage you get from a bond, but none of

1:30:44

the liabilities of a bond, right. Someone's going to give you money forever. You never have to pay it

1:30:48

back. Think about it. Right. It's like, why if I offered to give you money forever, and you

1:30:54

would never pay it back. And you know, your friend said, well, don't take it because you might get

1:31:00

liquidated. If your investment, you know, draws down 75%. You're like, yeah, but on the other hand,

1:31:07

I expect it to go up by a factor of a hundred. And if I take the billion dollars, all have a hundred

1:31:11

billion dollars. And if I don't take the billion dollars, then I'll have nothing. So and by the way,

1:31:16

it's like there's no liquidation risk. So so these are just they're not really that risky

1:31:22

instruments. It's very intelligent leverage. And the more important point is that this is an

1:31:29

engineered company. The leverage that's generated by the convertible bonds is beneficial to the

1:31:36

equity. And the volatility of the equity is beneficial to the convertible bonds. And the leverage

1:31:43

generated by the preferred stock benefits the equity and the convertible bonds. And the more

1:31:48

preferred we sell, the more strike we sell, the more leverage and volatility for the equity,

1:31:55

which is beneficial to the options traders, which drives up the premium and the equity,

1:32:00

which drives up the premium and the price of the converts, which opens up the convert market,

1:32:05

which drives up the price of the preferred stock, which loops back into the capital market. So

1:32:12

everything is is reflexive or engineered to feed back into everything else. It's like an engine.

1:32:20

And if you were to say it sounds like financial engineering, it absolutely is financial engineering.

1:32:25

We've engineered a machine where it's almost quadratically reflexive because when we sell strike,

1:32:33

it creates more more pressure to drive at the price of Bitcoin, which drives up the price of

1:32:40

MSTR, which drives up the leverage of MSTR, which drives up the value of the options, which drives up

1:32:47

the demand for the equity, which drives up the demand and the value of the converts, which drives up

1:32:53

the price of and the demand for the preferred. Right. And so you're like, the risk is what Bitcoin

1:33:01

trades down. And as I've explained, there are no covenants, no warrants, no leans, no liquidation

1:33:07

rights. You know, and the truth of the matter is Christine, we want Bitcoin to be volatile.

1:33:14

Like things that are when it's volatile, like our volatility is 100, we're the most volatile stock

1:33:20

in the S&P index. That makes us the most desirable stock for a trader. If the volatility goes away,

1:33:29

then it's probably not good for the equity. Want market moving insights at your fingertips?

1:33:36

Download the CoinDesk app for news, prices, videos and events on the go.

1:33:42

Would you ever consider buying back strategy stock instead of Bitcoin using strike ATM,

1:33:47

or would you use some of the proceeds from the convertible bonds to pay the dividend on strike?

1:33:54

I think we just keep every option open. And we'd never rule out any option. But generally our view is

1:34:03

when the equity capital markets give us a massive premium, we'll sell the equity. When the convertible

1:34:11

bond markets give us a massive premium, there's massive demand. We'll go sell the converts.

1:34:18

And when the preferred markets have a massive demand, we'll sell the preferred. And our general

1:34:24

strategy is just keep acquiring Bitcoin, never sell the Bitcoin. And then we will adjust our various

1:34:33

capital markets activities. If we get too delivered, we'll sell more levered instruments, fixed

1:34:40

income instruments. And if we get too levered, we will deliver. And if we feel that the capital

1:34:46

markets aren't really favorable to sell any securities, we'll just stop and wait. Because if I did

1:34:53

nothing right now, if we did nothing, we have a $45 billion company growing 60% a year.

1:35:00

Which is better than every other company in the world, there might have been,

1:35:05

find me another $45 billion company growing 60% a year by doing nothing.

1:35:12

So we have a good option to do nothing. Our company's stock has been, we've been growing 95% a year

1:35:20

right to our equity shareholders. And the more the most sophisticated thing we do is

1:35:28

a very delicate balancing in order to optimize the interest of every stakeholder. I mean, every

1:35:37

every creditor, the bond holders, we in essence have six different convertible bonds, a preferred stock

1:35:43

and the equity. And we're content. I will say we are very much thinking about those eight classes

1:35:50

of security holders, like those things keep me up at night. I will say for the record,

1:35:57

I don't worry much about people that are trading out of the money 30 day call options. So

1:36:03

if you're a guy that's trading 30 day call options, you know, with 20X leverage, like, you know,

1:36:10

we are not partners, I might do something that undermines your short dated option position.

1:36:17

Our goal is over the long term to create the most shareholder value we can for the common stock,

1:36:24

but to treat every other class of security holder with respect and be very, very transparent and

1:36:32

give them exactly what we promised to give them in the most responsible way. I know you're buying

1:36:39

forever, but maybe you can give folks a timeline that you expect to issue the full 21 billion of

1:36:46

strike ATM, considering you went through 17 billion of the 21 billion in five months. And when the

1:36:53

plan was three years, and are you expecting to issue any more convertible bonds by the end of the

1:36:58

quarter? So Christine, if you were to go to business school, I would say you could save your time

1:37:06

because I can boil business school down to the following phrase, keep your options open.

1:37:14

Right? The entire essence of business is keep your options open, right? Those four words. So

1:37:22

you're asking me to commit the cardinal cent in business, which is close off all my options,

1:37:29

which would be foolish. I would say moronically insane and stupid. So no, I would never, ever commit

1:37:38

to doing something. What I would say is the way we run the company is we create the most

1:37:47

optionality as possible. We could sell 21 billion dollars worth of strike next week.

1:37:55

If the demand was there under the right terms, we could sell it never. We could sell it over three

1:38:02

years. We could sell it over one year. And the presumption that I know when I'm going to sell it,

1:38:09

it's a mistake. Here's the mistake because generally you can sell a certain amount of securities

1:38:16

in a time frame. I could sell a billion dollars of equity tomorrow, but at what price?

1:38:22

And so if you specify the time frame and the size, you have to give up the third variable,

1:38:28

which is the price. And so if I wanted to tank the stock, I could make the commitment. So making

1:38:37

the commitment is really dare election of duty because you're undermining the interest of your

1:38:43

own shareholders and you're undermining your negotiating position. So if we look at our 21 billion

1:38:52

dollar ATM for equity, we announced that October 30th. We had the option to take three years.

1:39:00

Well, what couldn't we predict? Well, we can't predict how enthusiastic the equity

1:39:05

capital markets will be. We can't predict who's going to win the election. We can't predict how

1:39:10

enthusiastic the market will be after the election. And so we created the option to sell a lot of

1:39:17

equity in a hurry. What happened was a parade of wonderful developments, the markets rallied,

1:39:23

Bitcoin rallied. We were able to sell 15 billion dollars of equity with the stock price and the

1:39:30

premium strengthening every single day. But we didn't know that on October 30th. Now if you were say,

1:39:38

well, you should have promised to do it in 36 months and you should have done it every day for 36

1:39:44

months. Well, you'd be a fool because you had a chance to basically do, you know, to generate a 10

1:39:51

billion dollar gain with no risk in four weeks. And so if I said, I'll give you 10 billion dollars,

1:39:58

no risk in the next four weeks, or you can take three years and maybe in the third year, you'll get

1:40:05

a five billion dollar gain, but that way you won't have surprised anybody. Well, that's stupid,

1:40:11

right? So if someone offers you 15 billion tomorrow and you're going to make 10 billion dollars on

1:40:16

the trade, take the money. That's my advice to you. But if you promise to do it tomorrow, the stock

1:40:23

will go to one dollar because everybody will frontrun you and then you can't do it. So with all of

1:40:29

these things, the key is we create optionality. If I were to promise you, guarantee that we're going

1:40:36

to issue certain amount of convertible bonds this year, I could do it, but at what price to my shareholders,

1:40:43

it would probably be deluded. So what you have to do is you have to open up your options, you have

1:40:49

to be very nimble. Every day we evaluate the market, there are certain days when the Bitcoin

1:40:57

markets are favorable, sometimes the equity market is favorable, sometimes the convert market is

1:41:02

favorable. By the way, Christine, there are weeks where we could sell a billion dollars of a

1:41:08

convertible bond with a four-year tenor, but not with a six-year tenor. Like the market to sell

1:41:15

four-year bonds is open and you can do that for zero coupon, and the market for a five or a six or

1:41:22

seven-year bond is slam-shut in your face and you can't do it. Or you can do this, it's going to

1:41:29

cost you 10% or you can do that and it's free. So the real key is the capital markets are multi-dimensional.

1:41:38

I'll give you one more metaphor. This is what you learn if you're a nautical. If you ever

1:41:45

sail a sailboat or cruise in a yacht, it's like you get up in the morning and you say,

1:41:53

I'm really excited, I want to go to the Bahamas. It's only three hours away. If the wind is blowing

1:41:59

in one direction, if it's blowing from the south to the north, the Gulf Stream lays down like a

1:42:07

mirror glass and you can go across it and you wouldn't even notice it and you'll be there in three

1:42:14

hours, sipping your peanut collada, quite happy. If the wind changes direction and it's blowing

1:42:21

from the north to the south, you get a standing wave against the Gulf Stream. You're going to have

1:42:25

10 or 20-foot seas. If you get there, you'll get there with broken arms. Someone will fall

1:42:33

on off the ship. And the point is, if the wind changes direction and if you're smart, you're not going.

1:42:39

If you're full, it's like the scene in the Wolf of Wall Street where the guy takes his yacht out

1:42:45

in the middle of a mistral and the ship sinks, it's like, if you have a strong ego and you've decided

1:42:51

you absolutely must do something but the winds and the Capitol Market's chain direction, it's not

1:42:57

going to turn out well. Humility is, you chart your path based upon prevailing winds and currents.

1:43:05

And that's why the naval greeting or farewell is fair winds and following seas.

1:43:14

There's a direction to go. You go that direction and if you go that direction, it's going to be a

1:43:20

lovely time and you're going to have extraordinary success. But when your ego gets in the way and you

1:43:26

make some plan and you declare you're going to do a come hell or high water, you're going to slam

1:43:32

into a wall of water and mother nature and it's just not going to work. And so I don't give that

1:43:38

kind of guidance because it's just unwise to do it. It would be not in the best interest of my

1:43:45

shareholders or stakeholders and that's not the way to run a business, right? What's the difference

1:43:53

between corporate chisories that don't hold Bitcoin in those that hold a million, five million,

1:44:00

10 million. And when do you see the Fortune 500 companies really getting into the Bitcoin

1:44:07

corporate treasury game? We seem to be adding one or two companies a month right now. There's 70

1:44:13

on the hot all list. I think we'll probably get to 100 at some point. I think it'll grow exponentially.

1:44:21

We'll get then we'll get to 200. Maybe we'll get to 400. Four years from now, maybe 10% of companies

1:44:28

might 5 or 10% might be 4 to 8 years. The thing that slows it down, this slows on institutional adoption

1:44:37

is you have to have a company with a need. So well run companies that are conventional don't have a

1:44:44

need to change and so they'll be resistant. And then also you need institutional great custodians.

1:44:51

You need to have major banks that are banking all these companies. They have to hold Bitcoin

1:44:57

and sell it. So I think that corporate adoption will accelerate once JP Morgan and Bank of America

1:45:03

and city and Wells Fargo and the like once they're in the space and that will ripple everywhere in the

1:45:08

world. And initially it'll be small amounts like 5% of my treasury or 10% it'll start to go like that.

1:45:16

The really big companies, the big tech companies will probably be the last ones to embrace it because

1:45:22

they have the least need. This is a perverse irony. The better the business is, the less likely

1:45:30

you are to adopt this new innovation because you don't have a need. It'll be the zombie companies

1:45:36

that have a need that have an open mind. In the 70s, who embraces rock and roll music? It's the

1:45:43

teenagers and the 20s some things who want to make a name for themselves. They want fame and fortune.

1:45:51

And they're not going to go be conductors in Carnegie Hall. And in the 65 year old Carnegie Hall

1:45:58

conductor, the Bernstein or whatever, who's theoretically the better musician, they're not going

1:46:04

to pick up the guitar. They have nothing to prove. They've got a life of success based upon a

1:46:11

different paradigm and a different set of techniques. Bitcoin is a solution for the Gen Zs,

1:46:20

for the millennials. Whenever I go to a conference, if I go to a conference of 100 rich families,

1:46:27

it's the 20-something sons that know me. I'm a rock star with the 20-something and the 30-something

1:46:34

sons of billionaires. They all know me. And they're like, oh yeah, you've got to talk to my

1:46:39

my grandmother. You convince my dad, my grandfather, etc. They won't listen to me.

1:46:47

I think that you're going to see it trickle up from the small companies and from the newer companies

1:46:55

run by the innovators. And then gradually, the next group and the next group. There's something

1:47:02

very equitable about it. It's like, do you really want the rich, powerful, successful people,

1:47:08

the arrogant ones that have everything? Do you really want them to be the ones that get rich off

1:47:13

of this? They don't need it. Why should they get the benefit? What you want is for the people

1:47:20

starting their career or for those who are hopeless. Give me your tired, your hungry, your poor.

1:47:28

The people that don't have a chance, you want them to be to benefit shareers. And so I think

1:47:34

they're the ones that will embrace this. And it'll be progressive over the next 10 to 20 years.

1:47:42

What does ultimately the future of digital finance, where is it headed, and how do people work and

1:47:51

transact in this future? The one thing that we have universal consensus on is that Bitcoin is

1:47:58

digital capital. And it's a digital commodity. And you can own it and hold it forever. And it

1:48:05

will be beneficial to you. And that's a solution to every family and every company on earth right

1:48:11

now. And that's, we have clarity on that. The future of digital currencies, digital tokens, and

1:48:17

digital securities should be 80 to 90 percent clear. Once we have this digital assets framework

1:48:26

or the market structure act sometime in the next six to 12 months. So hopefully by the end of

1:48:31

2025, we have clarity from the US regulators as to what you can do. Like how much utility can you

1:48:39

put into a token, who can issue a digital security, who can issue a digital currency, how much,

1:48:46

how much friction will there be on those things? Once we have that, then I think we can have a very

1:48:54

interesting conversation about what the consequences or implications of that are the entrepreneurs.

1:49:01

What's Apple going to do with digital currency and digital securities and digital tokens and digital

1:49:06

capital in the iPhone? Like what's Google going to do? What's Meta or Microsoft going to do? What should

1:49:12

you do as a startup? What will the AIs be able to do? There's a lot of interesting outcomes.

1:49:19

But we're still before we've got a gray market here. Right? You don't have any legitimate path to

1:49:27

trade, custody, or issue any of those things until the US government has codified into some code,

1:49:35

hopefully into law, those rules. So having settled that, what do I think will happen long term?

1:49:43

I think we'll get that framework. And then I think the future is going to be millions and millions

1:49:49

of digital assets moving at the speed of light, millions of times an hour or a second. I think you're

1:49:57

going to see profound innovation in wallets and exchanges. You're going to see AI infused.

1:50:06

Maybe I'll have Bitcoin and an AI wallet and the AI will basically loan out my Bitcoin to 87,000

1:50:13

counter parties every second and then fetch it back and reconstitute it. Or maybe it won't.

1:50:20

And then you'll see AI is capitalized on Bitcoin. Maybe you'll see an AI in cyberspace that offers

1:50:26

legal advice to everybody in the world that takes Bitcoin or takes stablecoin and is capitalized

1:50:32

on Bitcoin that floats in a transnational way. Maybe you'll see tokens that offer utility

1:50:41

that is powered by AI. You could imagine a smart contract, DeFi market like a unit swap,

1:50:48

but there are no people. There's just an AI that's offering a trading market that floats in cyberspace,

1:50:54

you know, that's capitalized with Bitcoin that trades 10 million times a minute that is continually

1:51:01

evolving. I think there'll be all sorts of interesting things, interesting opportunities,

1:51:06

interesting products and services. The free market is a Cambrian explosion and mutation of life

1:51:15

forms and most of them will fail. 99% will fail, but you will see out of all that mutation,

1:51:25

you'll see extraordinarily powerful life forms that will rise. And I'm the optimist. I think that

1:51:33

I think that human beings will get products and services and capabilities that are

1:51:41

100,000 x 1 million x better cheaper faster than anything they ever had before. And I think the

1:51:48

world will be a better place, but ultimately I can't give you any more detail than that because the

1:51:57

free market, the free market is by definition free and chaotic and that's what makes it virtuous.

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future, get started at uniswap.org. What are some books that people should be reading?

1:52:41

And what philosophers do you subscribe to?

1:52:45

I think anything by Rothbard, you know, Austrian economists, but especially everything by Rothbard.

1:52:53

I mean, history of whatever money and banking, Austria, you know, Austrian economist, you know,

1:53:04

history, history from an Austrian economist point of view. All the Rothbard stuff is really good.

1:53:11

I think, and just general history, Durant's history, read the story of civilization

1:53:18

every volume, beginning to end. And I think that I think you can't go wrong. And I guess probably,

1:53:29

if you want a third category, read biographies of every innovator, read the most in-depth biography

1:53:36

of JP Morgan, Rockefeller, Andrew Malin, Carnegie, you know, Edison, Newton,

1:53:45

Leibniz, right, Voltaire, right? Because I think that when you're just going to first-person sources,

1:53:53

you know, you have the history, of course, there are a lot of versions of it, then you have the,

1:53:57

you know, you have the struggles of the individuals and then, and then you have the economic theory.

1:54:02

I think all of those things position you in order to make rational decisions in the modern world.

1:54:13

All right. Thank you so much for this grand interview. I really appreciate it. I just,

1:54:19

I want to end up with one last thought, if you will, you know, when you die, I don't think you're

1:54:25

going to say I wish I brought my shareholders more values. So what is your goal in all this? And

1:54:31

what will ultimately bring you happiness, Michael? Bitcoin is an ideology that spawned a protocol

1:54:39

that created an asset that circulates on a network. The ideology is sovereignty, sound money,

1:54:49

freedom and property rights, right? Dignity of the human spirit, ownership of your life force,

1:54:57

economic sovereignty and immortality, right? That's the ideology of Bitcoin, right? And Satoshi gave us

1:55:07

that. And so, you know, if I, if I were to boil down my mission, my mission is I want to spread the

1:55:15

ideology of sound money, sovereignty, you know, economic freedom, economic immortality, right? What if I,

1:55:25

what if I told you you could live forever? That's the basis of every religion, isn't it? Well,

1:55:32

I can't, I'm not going to give you that promise that's, that's been done and there are, there are

1:55:37

other people more qualified than me to talk to you about a mortal life. But I think what Satoshi

1:55:44

is offering us is economic immortality. You may not live forever, but your economic energy will

1:55:53

live forever. And if your economic energy, if your capital lives forever, maybe that means your ideas

1:55:59

live forever, right? Because if I can actually, if I've, if I've got an asset that'll last 10,000

1:56:05

years, I can capitalize an AI and cyberspace, you know, whatever and digital sailor digital sailor

1:56:14

can spout, you know, things for 10,000 years. What, what is it you believe in? What is your value?

1:56:21

Right? And if you have a value, right? If you, if your value is, you want to preserve a park forever

1:56:26

with money. So you leave your money to an AI, capitalize by Bitcoin and the park, you know, gets

1:56:31

preserved forever. Maybe you get to see your ideas preserved forever. And you know what? If you don't

1:56:39

have a single idea, like maybe digital sailor is arrogant and the park will come and go,

1:56:43

then you have the option to convert as much wealth as you can into Bitcoin, like Satoshi did,

1:56:53

a million coin and burn the key. And so should you raise a million, a billion, a trillion, a

1:57:01

whatever? And if you burn the key, you will have made an economic contribution pro-rata to everyone

1:57:09

else in the Bitcoin network forever. You will have empowered everybody else. Everybody with

1:57:18

one Satoshi will be that much richer. And you will have made that contribution. And that strikes me

1:57:24

as being a much more ethically proper, ethically sound form of charity. Like you've got centralized

1:57:32

charity. I give the money to a charity run by someone that may spend it the way I want. But

1:57:38

let me tell you, if you leave your money to a charity 100 years after you're dead, they'll spend

1:57:42

it on something you wouldn't want them to spend it on. It'll be corrupted. That's you can figure that

1:57:47

out. That's true. So how about decentralized charity, which is you'll just leave your money to

1:57:54

the human race. And everybody that believes what I believe, I believe in Satoshi and his vision,

1:58:03

sovereignty, property rights, freedom, economic empowerment, economic immortality, I believe nobody

1:58:11

should be able to steal your money. I believe you should get to keep it. And so if I believe that,

1:58:16

and I burn those keys, then I have made everybody in the network that much richer and more powerful

1:58:23

forever. And they have the option to do the same, or maybe they'll use that power for good in a

1:58:29

way that they deem to be appropriate. And you're like, well, who'd you give the most power to?

1:58:35

I gave the most power to the person that believed the most what I believe. Right? I mean, everybody

1:58:41

has the choice to join the network with a dollar, $100, a million, a billion dollars, or a trillion

1:58:48

dollars, right? So everybody gets to join and we're all in it together from now to eternity. So,

1:58:55

yeah, that's my legacy. I guess that begs the question. Would you ever burn all your big

1:59:04

I think that I've just answered the question in the most in the most responsible way that anybody

1:59:11

would ever answer the question. All right, leave it at that. Okay. Michael Saylor, thank you so

1:59:18

much for this incredible interview. We went through the present with what you're working with

1:59:23

and the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve, US policy, the year past, going back to Air Force bases and

1:59:32

getting inspired by exploration and micro strategy to where you are today with strategy. And the

1:59:39

future, which is very exciting with the evolution of digital finance. So thank you so much for sharing

1:59:47

that with us. Yeah, thank you, Christine.

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